Efficacy and safety of 3-week response-guided triple direct-acting antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C infection: a phase 2, open-label, proof-of-concept study

Second-Phase Hepatitis C Plasma Viral Kinetics Directly Reflects Reduced Intrahepatic Burden of Hepatitis C Virus

BACKGROUND

Mathematical models explain how antivirals control viral infections. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment results in at least 2 phases of decline in viremia. The first phase reflects clearance of rapidly produced virions. The second phase is hypothesized to derive from loss of infected cells but has been challenging to prove.

METHODS

Using single-cell methods, we quantified the number of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected hepatocytes in liver biopsies taken before and within 7 days of initiating direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in a double-blinded randomized controlled trial testing 2 (sofosbuvir-velpatasvir) versus 3 (sofosbuvir-velpatasvir-voxilaprevir) DAAs.

RESULTS

We employed thousands of intrahepatic measurements in 10 persons with chronic genotype 1a HCV infection: median proportion of infected hepatocytes declined from 11.3% (range, 1.3%-59%) to 0.6% (range, <0.3%-5.8%), a loss of 75%-95% infected hepatocytes. Plasma viremia correlated with numbers of HCV-infected hepatocytes (r = 0.77; P < .0001). Second-phase plasma dynamics and changes in infected hepatocytes were indistinct (P = .16), demonstrating that second-phase viral dynamics derive from loss of infected cells. DAAs led to a decline in intracellular HCV RNA and interferon-stimulated gene expression (P < .05 for both).

CONCLUSIONS

We proved that second-phase viral dynamics reflect decay of intrahepatic burden of HCV, partly due to clearance of HCV RNA from hepatocytes.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT02938013.

Preemptive antiviral therapy in lung transplantation from hepatitis C donors results in a rapid and sustained virologic response

Objective

The study objective was to assess the safety and efficacy of a preemptive direct-acting antiviral therapy in lung transplants from hepatitis C virus donors to uninfected recipients.

Methods

This study is a prospective, open-label, nonrandomized, pilot trial. Recipients of hepatitis C virus nucleic acid test positive donor lungs underwent preemptive direct-acting antiviral therapy with glecaprevir 300 mg/pibrentasvir 120 mg for 8 weeks from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2020. Recipients of nucleic acid test positive lungs were compared with recipients of lungs from nucleic acid test negative donors. Primary end points were Kaplan-Meier survival and sustained virologic response. Secondary outcomes included primary graft dysfunction, rejection, and infection.

Results

Fifty-nine lung transplantations were included: 16 nucleic acid test positive and 43 nucleic acid test negative. Twelve nucleic acid test positive recipients (75%) developed hepatitis C virus viremia. Median time to clearance was 7 days. All nucleic acid test positive patients had undetectable hepatitis C virus RNA by week 3, and all alive patients (n = 15) remained negative during follow-up with 100% sustained virologic response at 12 months. One nucleic acid test positive patient died of primary graft dysfunction and multiorgan failure. Three of 43 nucleic acid test negative patients (7%) had hepatitis C virus antibody positive donors. None of them developed hepatitis C virus viremia. One-year survival was 94% for nucleic acid test positive recipients and 91% for nucleic acid test negative recipients. There was no difference in primary graft dysfunction, rejection, or infection. One-year survival for nucleic acid test positive recipients was similar to a historical cohort of the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (89%).

Conclusions

Recipients of hepatitis C virus nucleic acid test positive lungs have similar survival as recipients of nucleic acid test negative lungs. Preemptive direct-acting antiviral therapy results in rapid viral clearance and sustained virologic response at 12 months. Preemptive direct-acting antiviral may partially prevent hepatitis C virus transmission.

Efficacy of ultra-short, response-guided sofosbuvir and daclatasvir therapy for hepatitis C in a single-arm mechanistic pilot study

Background

World Health Organization has called for research into predictive factors for selecting persons who could be successfully treated with shorter durations of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for hepatitis C. We evaluated early virological response as a means of shortening treatment and explored host, viral and pharmacokinetic contributors to treatment outcome.

Methods

Duration of sofosbuvir and daclatasvir (SOF/DCV) was determined according to day 2 (D2) virologic response for HCV genotype (gt) 1- or 6-infected adults in Vietnam with mild liver disease. Participants received 4- or 8-week treatment according to whether D2 HCV RNA was above or below 500 IU/ml (standard duration is 12 weeks). Primary endpoint was sustained virological response (SVR12). Those failing therapy were retreated with 12 weeks SOF/DCV. Host IFNL4 genotype and viral sequencing was performed at baseline, with repeat viral sequencing if virological rebound was observed. Levels of SOF, its inactive metabolite GS-331007 and DCV were measured on days 0 and 28.

Results

Of 52 adults enrolled, 34 received 4 weeks SOF/DCV, 17 got 8 weeks and 1 withdrew. SVR12 was achieved in 21/34 (62%) treated for 4 weeks, and 17/17 (100%) treated for 8 weeks. Overall, 38/51 (75%) were cured with first-line treatment (mean duration 37 days). Despite a high prevalence of putative NS5A-inhibitor resistance-associated substitutions (RASs), all first-line treatment failures cured after retreatment (13/13). We found no evidence treatment failure was associated with host IFNL4 genotype, viral subtype, baseline RAS, SOF or DCV levels.

Conclusions

Shortened SOF/DCV therapy, with retreatment if needed, reduces DAA use in patients with mild liver disease, while maintaining high cure rates. D2 virologic response alone does not adequately predict SVR12 with 4-week treatment.

Funding

Funded by the Medical Research Council (Grant MR/P025064/1) and The Global Challenges Research 70 Fund (Wellcome Trust Grant 206/296/Z/17/Z).

Evaluating Post-Market Adverse Events of The New Hepatitis C Therapies Using FEARS Data

Background: Little is known regarding the safety of direct-acting antivirals (DAA), even though they are widely used. This study aims to evaluate the adverse events of DAA using post-market data. Methods: FDA Adverse Events Reporting System (FAERS) data from January 2019 through December 2019 were analyzed. FERAS reports in which the suspected drug contained the DAA drugs were extracted and included in the analysis. Univariable and bivariable analyses were performed in this study. Results: Most of the reported side effects were non-serious (62%). The number of times the drug was reported as ineffective was significantly higher while using Harvoni vs. Mavyret (32.14% vs. 1.05%) (p-value < 0.0001). On the other hand, hospitalization was significantly more reported while using Mavyret compared to Harvoni (52.02% vs. 22.45%) (p-value < 0.0001). Liver cancer was significantly more reported while using Harvoni vs. Mavyret (7.65% vs. 1.20%) (p-value < 0.0001). No significant difference in death cases was reported while using both drugs. Conclusion: Depending on the FDA Adverse Events Reporting System (FAERS) database, most of the non-serious adverse effects were headache and fatigue. There was no significant difference in cases of death reported while using both drugs. Liver cancer was more reported while using Harvoni. Hospitalization was more reported while using Mavyret.

Four Weeks Treatment with Glecaprevir/Pibrentasvir + Ribavirin-A Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial

Enhancing treatment uptake for hepatitis C to achieve the elimination goals set by the World Health Organization could be achieved by reducing the treatment duration. The aim of this study was to compare the sustained virological response at week 12 (SVR12) after four weeks of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) + ribavirin compared to eight weeks of GLE/PIB and to estimate predictors for SVR12 with four weeks of treatment through a multicenter open label randomized controlled trial. Patients were randomized 2:1 (4 weeks:8 weeks) and stratified by genotype 3 and were treatment naïve of all genotypes and without significant liver fibrosis. A total of 27 patients were analyzed for predictors for SVR12, including 15 from the first pilot phase of the study. In the ‘modified intention to treat’ group, 100% (7/7) achieved cure after eight weeks and for patients treated for four weeks the SVR12 was 58.3% (7/12). However, patients with a baseline viral load <2 mill IU/mL had 93% SVR12. The study closed prematurely due to the low number of included patients due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results suggest that viral load should be taken into account when considering trials of short course treatment.

Diastereoselective Synthesis of 2'-Dihalopyrimidine Ribonucleoside Inhibitors of Hepatitis C Virus Replication

We present a newly developed synthetic route to 2-bromo-2-fluoro ribolactone based on our published 2-chloro-2-fluoro ribolactone synthesis. Stereoselective fluorination is key to controlling the 2-diastereoselectivity. We also report a substantially improved glycosylation reaction with both the 2-bromo-2-fluoro and 2-chloro-2-fluoro sugars. These improvements allowed us to prepare 2'-dihalo nucleosides 13 and 14 in an overall 15-20% yield.

Efficacy of Glecaprevir/Pibrentasvir for Real-World HCV Infected Patients in the Northern Part of Tokyo, Japan

Hepatis virus C (HCV) infection causes liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. The objective of our study was to examine the effects of the HCV nonstructural protein (NS) 3/4A inhibitor glecaprevir/NS5A inhibitor pibrentasvir on real-world HCV patients in the northern part of Tokyo, Japan. Although 106 patients were consecutively included, a total of 102 HCV-infected patients with chronic hepatitis or compensated cirrhosis, who received 8- or 12-week combination treatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir and were followed up to week 12 after the end of treatment were analyzed retrospectively. Only three patients discontinued treatment due to adverse events; however, they achieved a sustained virologic response at 12 weeks (SVR12). Finally, SVR rates were 99.0% (101/102). Only one patient without liver cirrhosis was a treatment relapser who received hepatic resection for HCC approximately two years after commencement of the 8-week combination treatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir. After the exclusion of patients with HCV genotype 1b and P32 deletion in the HCV NS5A region, a 12-week combination of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir led to SVR12 in all nine direct-acting antiviral-experienced patients. Glecaprevir/pibrentasvir had a high efficacy and an acceptable safety profile for real-world HCV patients in a single hospital in Japan.

Short- and Long-Term Immunological Responses in Chronic HCV/HIV Co-Infected Compared to HCV Mono-Infected Patients after DAA Therapy

Background: Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) treatment, although highly efficacious for the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, may not completely reconstitute the HCV-mediated dysregulated immune system, especially in patients co-infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and HCV. Objectives: We aimed to evaluate the impact of HCV eradication following DAA therapy on the immune system and liver disease improvement through comparative monitoring of 10 HCV mono-infected and 10 HCV/HIV co-infected patients under combined antiretroviral therapy (cART). Early and late longitudinal phenotypic changes in peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) subsets, T-cell activation, differentiation and exhaustion, as well as inflammatory biomarkers, indoleamine 2-3 dioxygenase (IDO) activity, and liver stiffness, APRI and FIB-4 scores were assessed. Materials and Methods: Samples were obtained at baseline (T0), week 1 (T1), week 2 (T2), week 12 (T3, end of treatment, EOT), and month 9 (T4, end of follow-up, 36 weeks post EOT). Results: All patients achieved a sustained virological response (SVR 12) after DAA treatment. Overall, changes of the T-cell immune phenotypes were greater in HCV/HIV co-infected than in HCV mono-infected, due to an increase in CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell percentages and of CD8+ T-cell activation and memory markers, in particular at the end of follow-up. On the other end, HCV mono-infected showed changes in the activation profile and in the memory CD4+ T-cell compartment. In HCV/HIV co-infected, a decrease in the IDO activity by DAA treatment was observed; conversely, in HCV mono-infected, it resulted unmodified. Regarding inflammatory mediators, viral suppression was associated with a reduction in IP-10 levels, while interferon regulatory factor (IRF)-7, interferon (IFN)-β, and interferon (IFN)-γ levels were downregulated during therapy and increased post therapy. A decrease in liver stiffness, APRI, and FIB-4 scores was also observed. Conclusions: Our study suggests that, although patients achieved HCV eradication, the immune activation state in both HCV mono-infected and HCV/HIV co-infected patients remains elevated for a long time after the end of DAA therapy, despite an improvement of liver-specific outcomes, meanwhile highlighting the distinct immunophenotypic and inflammatory biomarker profile between the groups of patients.

Inferior cure rate in pilot study of 4-week glecaprevir/pibrentasvir treatment with or without ribavirin of chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Shortening the treatment duration for chronic hepatitis C may increase feasibility and reduce the cost of cure. The aims of this study were to compare 4 weeks of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) treatment with and without ribavirin for patients with chronic hepatitis C and favourable baseline characteristics and to monitor the development of resistance-associated substitutions (RAS) and re-treatment outcomes if treatment failed.

METHODS

We performed an open-label single-centre randomized controlled trial, in which patients with chronic hepatitis C were randomized 1:1 to GLE/PIB ± ribavirin, stratified by genotype 3. The main inclusion criteria were treatment-naive patients, aged 18-49 with all genotypes accepted, and absence of liver fibrosis, determined by liver stiffness measurement less than 8 kPa. Viral genome sequences were determined by deep sequencing at baseline and at the time of relapse.

RESULTS

A total of 32 patients started treatment. Sustained virological response at week 12 (SVR12) was 59% (10/17) for GLE/PIB without ribavirin and 73% (11/15) for GLE/PIB with ribavirin. Drug target-specific NS5A RAS were detected at baseline for 45% (5/11) of patients with treatment failure and for 14% (3/21) of patients who achieved SVR12. Ten failure patients were retreated 12 weeks with sofosbuvir-based regimens; all have been cured.

CONCLUSIONS

In this pilot study of 4-week treatment with GLE/PIB with and without ribavirin, we found that baseline RAS were more frequent in patients with virological failure. Development of RAS did occur after short treatment but did not result in retreatment failure with a different regimen. EudraCT no: 2017-005179-21.

Strategic treatment optimization for HCV (STOPHCV1): a randomised controlled trial of ultrashort duration therapy for chronic hepatitis C

Background: The World Health Organization (WHO) has identified the need for a better understanding of which patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) can be cured with ultrashort course HCV therapy. Methods: A total of 202 individuals with chronic HCV were randomised to fixed-duration shortened therapy (8 weeks) vs variable-duration ultrashort strategies (VUS1/2). Participants not cured following first-line treatment were retreated with 12 weeks' sofosbuvir/ledipasvir/ribavirin. The primary outcome was sustained virological response 12 weeks (SVR12) after first-line treatment and retreatment. Participants were factorially randomised to receive ribavirin with first-line treatment. Results: All evaluable participants achieved SVR12 overall (197/197, 100% [95% CI 98-100]) demonstrating non-inferiority between fixed-duration and variable-duration strategies (difference 0% [95% CI -3.8%, +3.7%], 4% pre-specified non-inferiority margin). First-line SVR12 was 91% [86%-97%] (92/101) for fixed-duration vs 48% [39%-57%] (47/98) for variable-duration, but was significantly higher for VUS2 (72% [56%-87%] (23/32)) than VUS1 (36% [25%-48%] (24/66)). Overall, first-line SVR12 was 72% [65%-78%] (70/101) without ribavirin and 68% [61%-76%] (69/98) with ribavirin (p=0.48). At treatment failure, the emergence of viral resistance was lower with ribavirin (12% [2%-30%] (3/26)) than without (38% [21%-58%] (11/29), p=0.01). Conclusions: Unsuccessful first-line short-course therapy did not compromise retreatment with sofosbuvir/ledipasvir/ribavirin (100% SVR12). SVR12 rates were significantly increased when ultrashort treatment varied between 4-7 weeks rather than 4-6 weeks. Ribavirin significantly reduced resistance emergence in those failing first-line therapy. ISRCTN Registration: 37915093 (11/04/2016).

High Cure Rates for Hepatitis C Virus Genotype 6 in Advanced Liver Fibrosis With 12 Weeks Sofosbuvir and Daclatasvir: The Vietnam SEARCH Study

BACKGROUND

Genotype 6 is the most genetically diverse lineage of hepatitis C virus, and it predominates in Vietnam. It can be treated with sofosbuvir with daclatasvir (SOF/DCV), the least expensive treatment combination globally. In regional guidelines, longer treatment durations of SOF/DCV (24 weeks) are recommended for cirrhotic individuals, compared with other pangenotypic regimens (12 weeks), based on sparse data. Early on-treatment virological response may offer means of reducing length and cost of therapy in patients with liver fibrosis.

METHODS

In this prospective trial in Vietnam, genotype 6-infected adults with advanced liver fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis were treated with SOF/DCV. Day 14 viral load was used to guide duration of therapy: participants with viral load <500 IU/mL at day 14 were treated with 12 weeks of SOF/DCV and those ≥500 IU/mL received 24 weeks. Primary endpoint was sustained virological response (SVR).

RESULTS

Of 41 individuals with advanced fibrosis or compensated cirrhosis who commenced treatment, 51% had genotype 6a and 34% had 6e. The remainder had 6h, 6k, 6l, or 6o. One hundred percent had viral load <500 IU/mL by day 14, meaning that all received 12 weeks of SOF/DCV. One hundred percent achieved SVR12 despite a high frequency of putative NS5A inhibitor resistance-associated substitutions at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Prescribing 12 weeks of SOF/DCV results in excellent cure rates in this population. These data support the removal of costly genotyping in countries where genotype 3 prevalence is <5%, in keeping with World Health Organization guidelines. NS5A resistance-associated mutations in isolation do not affect efficacy of SOF/DCV therapy. Wider evaluation of response-guided therapy is warranted.

Strategic treatment optimization for HCV (STOPHCV1): a randomised controlled trial of ultrashort duration therapy for chronic hepatitis C

Background: The world health organization (WHO) has identified the need for a better understanding of which patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) can be cured with ultrashort course HCV therapy. Methods: A total of 202 individuals with chronic HCV were randomised to fixed-duration shortened therapy (8 weeks) vs variable-duration ultrashort strategies (VUS1/2). Participants not cured following first-line treatment were retreated with 12 weeks' sofosbuvir/ledipasvir/ribavirin. The primary outcome was sustained virological response 12 weeks (SVR12) after first-line treatment and retreatment. Participants were factorially randomised to receive ribavirin with first-line treatment. Results: All evaluable participants achieved SVR12 overall (197/197, 100% [95% CI 98-100]) demonstrating non-inferiority between fixed-duration and variable-duration strategies (difference 0% [95% CI -3.8%, +3.7%], 4% pre-specified non-inferiority margin). First-line SVR12 was 91% [86%-97%] (92/101) for fixed-duration vs 48% [39%-57%] (47/98) for variable-duration, but was significantly higher for VUS2 (72% [56%-87%] (23/32)) than VUS1 (36% [25%-48%] (24/66)). Overall, first-line SVR12 was 72% [65%-78%] (70/101) without ribavirin and 68% [61%-76%] (69/98) with ribavirin (p=0.48). At treatment failure, the emergence of viral resistance was lower with ribavirin (12% [2%-30%] (3/26)) than without (38% [21%-58%] (11/29), p=0.01). Conclusions: Unsuccessful first-line short-course therapy did not compromise retreatment with sofosbuvir/ledipasvir/ribavirin (100% SVR12). SVR12 rates were significantly increased when ultrashort treatment varied between 4-7 weeks rather than 4-6 weeks. Ribavirin significantly reduced resistance emergence in those failing first-line therapy. ISRCTN Registration: 37915093 (11/04/2016).

HCV GT1b-patient with alanine aminotransferase elevation and sustained virologic response achieved by grazoprevir/elbasvir discontinuation

In the present Japanese female patient with alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation greater than 500 IU/l during combination therapy with grazoprevir/elbasvir against HCV infection, this therapy was stopped at week 8. However, sustained virologic response was achieved. In the present report, we also focused on ALT elevation and sustained virologic response during and after antiviral therapies. The current case report demonstrates that careful monitoring of liver function tests may be required during direct-acting antiviral therapy against HCV infection because it is now possible to treat patients with polypharmacy, patients with chronic kidney disease, patients with cirrhosis or aged patients. Careful attention should be paid to liver damage as one of the adverse events in the use of HCV nonstructural protein 3/4A protease inhibitors. Of interest, many publications have addressed both ALT elevations during direct-acting antiviral therapy and viral clearance in relatively short treatment durations.

Required concentration index quantifies effective drug combinations against hepatitis C virus infection

Successful clinical drug development requires rational design of combination treatments based on preclinical data. Anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) drugs exhibit significant diversity in antiviral effect. Dose-response assessments can be used to determine parameters profiling the diverse antiviral effect during combination treatment. In the current study, a combined experimental and mathematical approaches were used to compare and score different combinations of anti-HCV treatments. A “required concentration index” was generated and used to rank the antiviral profile of possible double- and triple-drug combinations against HCV genotype 1b and 2a. Rankings varied based on target HCV genotype. Interestingly, multidrug (double and triple) treatment not only augmented antiviral activity, but also reduced genotype-specific efficacy, suggesting another advantage of multidrug treatment. The current study provides a quantitative method for profiling drug combinations against viral genotypes, to better inform clinical drug development.

Peripheral blood correlates of virologic relapse after Sofosbuvir and Ribavirin treatment of Genotype-1 HCV infection

Background

Treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection with direct acting antiviral therapy results in viral elimination in over 90% of cases. The duration of treatment required to achieve cure differs between individuals and relapse can occur. We asked whether cellular and transcriptional profiling of peripheral blood collected during treatment could identify biomarkers predictive of treatment outcome.

Methods

We analyzed peripheral blood collected during treatment of genotype 1 HCV with 24 weeks of sofosbuvir and weight-based or low dose ribavirin in a trial in which 29% of patients relapsed. Changes in host immunity during treatment were assessed by flow cytometry and whole blood gene expression profiling. Differences in expression of immune-relevant transcripts based on treatment outcome were analyzed using the Nanostring Human Immunology V2 panel.

Results

Multiple cellular populations changed during treatment, but pre-treatment neutrophil counts were lower and natural post-treatment killer cell counts were higher in patients who relapsed. Pre-treatment expression of genes associated with interferon-signaling, T-cell dysfunction, and T-cell co-stimulation differed by treatment outcome. We identified a pre- and post-treatment gene expression signature with high predictive capacity for distinguishing treatment outcome, but neither signature was sufficiently robust to suggest viability for clinical use.

Conclusions

Patients who relapse after hepatitis C virus therapy differ immunologically from non-relapsers based on expression of transcripts related to interferon signaling and T-cell dysfunction, as well as by peripheral neutrophil and NK-cell concentrations. These data provide insight into the host immunologic basis of relapse after DAA therapy for HCV and suggests mechanisms which may be relevant for understanding outcomes with currently approved regimens.

Response guided therapy for reducing duration of direct acting antivirals in chronic hepatitis C infected patients: a Pilot study

The advent of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) has transformed the landscape of hepatitis C virus (HCV) management. We aimed to prospectively (real-time) evaluate the feasibility of using a response-guided therapy approach, based on mathematical modeling of early viral kinetics, to reduce the duration of DAAs therapy. Patients were treated with DAAs according to the physicians' preference. HCV was measured at baseline and at day 2 and weeks 1, 2 and 4 after treatment initiation. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with sustained-virological response (SVR) at 12 and/or 24 weeks post-treatment. Twenty-nine patients (mean age 54 ± 16, 44% females, 73% with HCV genotype 1), were enrolled and all completed therapy. Treatment duration was shortened in 11 of the 29 patients (38%). SVR was achieved in 28 of the 29 patients (97%). Relapse occurred post treatment in a single case of a non-cirrhotic male with genotype 3, who was treated with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir for 6 weeks. Virus sequencing did not identify baseline or treatment emergent resistance associated substitutions. Real-time mathematical modeling of early HCV kinetics can be utilized for shortening DAAs duration in approximately 40% of patients without compromising treatment efficacy.Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03603327.

Baseline resistance-associated substitutions may impact DAA response among treatment failure chronic hepatitis C patients with pegylated interferon and ribavirin in real life

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the impact of baseline resistance-associated substitutions (RASs) on direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment response among pegylated interferon in combination with ribavirin (PR) failing patients in a real-life setting.

METHODS

Blood samples and clinical data from 171 patients who failed PR treatment were collected. All of them received rescue DAA regimens. RAS identified in the NS3, NS5A and NS5B regions by Sanger sequencing method were compared by DAA regimen and HCV subtypes. We assessed sustained virological response at 12 weeks (SVR12) and evaluated the impact of baseline RASs on the effectiveness of DAA regimens in clinical practice.

RESULTS

The overall SVR12 rates were: 89.47% (153/171), 92.1% (117/127) in patients without cirrhosis versus 81.8% (36/44) in those with cirrhosis, without significant difference (χ²=3.69, P=0.08); 87.9% in genotype (GT)1b patients (n=116) versus 93.8% in GT2a (n=32) versus 90.5% in GT3 (n=21) versus 100% in GT6 (n=2), without significant difference (χ²=1.02, P=0.84); 66.7% in asunaprevir (ASV) + daclatasvir (DCV) regimen (n=24) versus 94.0% in sofosbuvir (SOF)-based regimen (n=133), with significant difference (χ²=19.7, P=0.001). Our results showed that the prevalence of NS3, NS5A, NS5B RASs was 45.02%, 39.76% and 71.34%, respectively, and higher incidence of RASs in cirrhosis than without cirrhosis (81.8% versus 63.8%), with a statistically significant difference (χ²=4.92, P=0.03). In the ASV/DCV cohort (n=24), 4 of 11 patients (36.4%) with baseline NS3/NS5A RASs achieved SVR12, whereas 12 of 13 patients (92.3%) without RASs achieved SVR12, with significant difference (χ²=8.39, P=0.008). However, this relationship was not seen in the SOF-based subgroup (94.6% versus 92.7%; χ²=0.18, P=0.7). Treatment failure with DAAs occurred in 10.53% (n=18) of our study population, baseline NS5A substitution including L31M or Y93H (n=13) was the most frequently detected RAS, rescue regimen with velpatasvir (VEL)/SOF + ribavirin (RBV) for 12 weeks or 24 weeks was highly effective in patients who failed previous use of NS5A inhibitors, regardless of GT or cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Natural RASs are common in Chinese patients failing with PR treatment. High prevalence of clinically relevant RASs (such as L31M, Y93H) supports the appropriateness of HCV resistance tests to properly guide DAA-based therapy. These findings might be used to select salvage therapies.

Modeling-Based Response-Guided Glecaprevir-Pibrentasvir Therapy for Chronic Hepatitis C to Identify Patients for Ultrashort Treatment Duration

We recently showed in a proof-of-concept study that real-time modeling-based response-guided therapy can shorten hepatitis C virus treatment duration with sofosbuvir-velpatasvir, elbasvir-grazoprevir, and sofosbuvir-ledipasvir without compromising efficacy, confirming our retrospective modeling reports in >200 patients. However, retrospective modeling of pibrentasvir-glecaprevir (P/G) treatment has yet to be evaluated. In the current study, modeling hepatitis C virus kinetics in 44 cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients predicts that P/G treatment might have been reduced to 4, 6, and 7 weeks in 16%, 34%, and 14% of patients, respectively. These results support the further evaluation of a modeling-based response-guided therapy approach using P/G.

The design and statistical aspects of VIETNARMS: a strategic post-licensing trial of multiple oral direct-acting antiviral hepatitis C treatment strategies in Vietnam

BACKGROUND

Eliminating hepatitis C is hampered by the costs of direct-acting antiviral treatment and the need to treat hard-to-reach populations. Access could be widened by shortening or simplifying treatment, but limited research means it is unclear which approaches could achieve sufficiently high cure rates to be acceptable. We present the statistical aspects of a multi-arm trial designed to test multiple strategies simultaneously and a monitoring mechanism to detect and stop individual randomly assigned groups with unacceptably low cure rates quickly.

METHODS

The VIETNARMS trial will factorially randomly assign patients to two drug regimens, three treatment-shortening strategies or control, and adjunctive ribavirin or no adjunctive ribavirin with shortening strategies (14 randomly assigned groups). We will use Bayesian monitoring at interim analyses to detect and stop recruitment into unsuccessful strategies, defined by more than 0.95 posterior probability that the true cure rate is less than 90% for the individual randomly assigned group (non-comparative). Final comparisons will be non-inferiority for regimens (margin 5%) and strategies (margin 10%) and superiority for adjunctive ribavirin. Here, we tested the operating characteristics of the stopping guideline for individual randomly assigned groups, planned interim analysis timings and explored power at the final analysis.

RESULTS

A beta (4.5, 0.5) prior for the true cure rate produces less than 0.05 probability of incorrectly stopping an individual randomly assigned group with a true cure rate of more than 90%. Groups with very low cure rates (<60%) are very likely (>0.9 probability) to stop after about 25% of patients are recruited. Groups with moderately low cure rates (80%) are likely to stop (0.7 probability) before overall recruitment finishes. Interim analyses 7, 10, 13 and 18 months after recruitment commences provide good probabilities of stopping inferior individual randomly assigned groups. For an overall true cure rate of 95%, power is more than 90% to confirm non-inferiority in the regimen and strategy comparisons, regardless of the control cure rate, and to detect a 5% absolute difference in the ribavirin comparison.

CONCLUSIONS

The operating characteristics of the stopping guideline are appropriate, and interim analyses can be timed to detect individual randomly assigned groups that are highly likely to have suboptimal performance at various stages. Therefore, our design is suitable for evaluating treatment-shortening or -simplifying strategies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN registry: ISRCTN61522291. Registered on 4 October 2019.

Logistic growth modelling of COVID-19 proliferation in China and its international implications

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This study applied a logistic growth model with parameters estimated by a non-linear least squares (NLS) method to daily new COVID-19 cases.

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The model fitted time-series data exceedingly well for the whole of China, eleven selected Chinese provinces and municipalities, South Korea and Iran.

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This study provided key estimates and a 95% confidence interval for parameters K, r, and P₀.

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This study found that the growth rates of outbreaks differed between provinces in China and between South Korea and Iran.

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As of March 13, 2020, this study's model suggested that countries such as the U.S.A., France, Italy, and Spain were still in the early stages of outbreaks.

Objective

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to proliferate globally, this paper shares the findings of modelling the outbreak in China at both provincial and national levels. This paper examines the applicability of the logistic growth model, with implications for the study of the COVID-19 pandemic and other infectious diseases.

Methods

An NLS (Non-Linear Least Squares) method was employed to estimate the parameters of a differentiated logistic growth function using new daily COVID-19 cases in multiple regions in China and in other selected countries. The estimation was based upon training data from January 20, 2020 to March 13, 2020. A restriction test was subsequently implemented to examine whether a designated parameter was identical among regions or countries, and the diagnosis of residuals was also conducted. The model's goodness of fit was checked using testing data from March 14, 2020 to April 18, 2020.

Results

The model presented in this paper fitted time-series data exceedingly well for the whole of China, its eleven selected provinces and municipalities, and two other countries - South Korea and Iran - and provided estimates of key parameters. This study rejected the null hypothesis that the growth rates of outbreaks were the same among ten selected non-Hubei provinces in China, as well as between South Korea and Iran. The study found that the model did not provide reliable estimates for countries that were in the early stages of outbreaks. Furthermore, this study concured that the R² values might vary and mislead when compared between different portions of the same non-linear curve. In addition, the study identified the existence of heteroskedasticity and positive serial correlation within residuals in some provinces and countries.

Conclusions

The findings suggest that there is potential for this model to contribute to better public health policy in combatting COVID-19. The model does so by providing a simple logistic framework for retrospectively analyzing outbreaks in regions that have already experienced a maximal proliferation in cases. Based upon statistical findings, this study also outlines certain challenges in modelling and their implications for the results.

Fully automated rapid quantification of Hepatitis C Virus RNA in human plasma and serum by integrated on-chip RT-qPCR and capillary electrophoresis

The quantification of hepatitis C virus (HCV) is essential for the management of chronic hepatitis C therapy. We have developed a fully automated microfluidic RT-qPCR system for rapid quantitative detection of HCV RNA in human EDTA-plasma and serum, and the performance of the method was assessed. The platform for the assay, µTASWako g1 Fully Automated Genetic Analyzer, performs automated sample preparation and RNA extraction, followed by amplification and detection on an integrated RT-qPCR-CE (capillary electrophoresis (CE)) microfluidic chip. The total assay time from sample input to data output is less than 120 minutes. The HCV assay has a linear quantitative range of 15 to 10⁷ IU/mL, with a limit of detection (LOD) of 10.65 IU/mL in EDTA-plasma and 12.43 IU/mL in serum. The assay has a reproducibility of SD ≤ 0.16 log₁₀ IU/mL and an accuracy of ≤ 0.22 log₁₀ IU/mL difference when compared to the assigned values. The main HCV genotypes 1 to 6 are detected with an accuracy of ± 0.3 log₁₀ IU/mL. The assay is specific for HCV RNA and is free of interference from non-HCV pathogens, elevated levels of anti-viral and anti-bacterial drugs, and common endogenous interferents. In the linear quantitative range, the assay is highly correlated with the Roche cobas AmpliPrep/cobas TaqMan HCV Test, version 2.0 (r² = 0.949). As the assay is highly sensitive, accurate and specific, and provides reliable quantification of HCV in plasma and serum, it can potentially be applicable for monitoring the therapy and management of HCV infection.

Disentangling the lifespans of hepatitis C virus-infected cells and intracellular vRNA replication-complexes during direct-acting anti-viral therapy

The decay rate of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected cells during therapy has been used to determine the duration of treatment needed to attain a sustained virologic response, but with direct-acting anti-virals (DAA), this rate has been difficult to estimate. Here, we show that it is possible to estimate it, by simultaneously analysing the viral load and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) kinetics during combination DAA therapy. We modelled the HCV RNA and ALT serum kinetics in 26 patients with chronic HCV genotype 1b infection, under four different sofosbuvir-based combination treatments. In all patients, ALT decayed exponentially to a set point in the normal range by 1-3 weeks after initiation of therapy. The model indicates that the ALT decay rate during the first few weeks after initiation of therapy reflects the death rate of infected cells, with an estimated median half-life of 2.5 days in this patient population. This information allows independent estimation of the rate of loss of intracellular replication complexes during therapy. Our model also predicts that the final ALT set point is not related to the release of ALT by dying HCV-infected cells. Using ALT data, one can separately obtain information about the rate of 'cure' of HCV-infected cells versus their rate of death, something not possible when analysing only HCV RNA data. This information can be used to compare the effects of different DAA combinations and to rationally evaluate their anti-viral effects.

Sustained virologic response with 6 weeks or less of direct-acting antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C: Experience at a veterans affairs healthcare system

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Duration of treatment for chronic hepatitis C infection has been shortened since the introduction of highly effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Presented is our experience in successful treatment of veterans with chronic hepatitis C infection, with a shorter than currently recommended duration of therapy.

METHODS

Retrospective chart review of veterans with chronic hepatitis C infection who received more than 1 week and up to 6 weeks (8-42 days) of DAA therapy with the initiation day between January 1, 2015, and October 15, 2018, at Bay Pines Veterans Affairs Healthcare System. Successful treatment was defined by a sustained virologic response at 12 weeks (SVR-12) since the end of treatment.

RESULTS

Of the 1841 veterans treated, 27 met the criteria for this review. Overall, SVR-12 was achieved in 92.6% of veterans treated for a duration of more than 1 week and up to 6 weeks. Amongst those who completed only 4 weeks of therapy, 93.3% achieved SVR-12. All four veterans (100%) treated for a duration of more than 4 weeks and up to 6 weeks achieved SVR-12.

CONCLUSIONS

Amongst the chronically infected hepatitis C population, a subpopulation who could achieve SVR with a shorter course of treatment than currently recommended does exist. A prospective study of a larger scale will likely provide helpful data in this regard. Our findings could be an impetus for further work.

Viral hepatitis C treatment shortening - what is the limit?

Successful antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is crucial to prevent progression of the disease and its most serious complications. Therapy options have changed over the years with improvement of treatment efficacy, safety and simplification. They evolved from interferon and ribavirin combination administered for 24-72 weeks through interferon (IFN)-based triple therapies with 24-48 weeks duration to the all-oral, well-tolerated direct-acting antiviral regimens lasting for 8-16 weeks and with almost 100% cure rates. The benefits of shorter treatment duration are cost reduction, access to therapy for more patients, and lower risk of adverse events and nonadherence. This review summarizes data on treatment options, focusing on the recommended durations of different regimens depending on HCV genotype, severity of liver disease and history of previous therapy. According to currently available data, shortening treatment below 8 weeks does not provide additional benefits, although the further simplification of therapy is still a subject of study.

APASL HCV guidelines of virus-eradicated patients by DAA on how to monitor HCC occurrence and HBV reactivation

In the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, sustained virological response (SVR) is very high, but close attention must be paid to the possible occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and reactivation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) in patients with co-infection who achieved SVR in short term. HCC occurrence was more often observed in patients with previous HCC history. We found occurrence of HCC in 178 (29.6%) of 602 patients with previous HCC history (15.4 months mean follow-up post-DAA initiation) but, in contrast, in only 604 (1.3%) of 45,870 patients without previous HCC history (18.2 months mean follow-up). Thus, in these guidelines, we recommend the following: in patients with previous HCC history, surveillance at 4-month intervals for HCC by ultrasonography (US) and tumor markers should be performed. In patients without previous HCC history, surveillance at 6- to 12-month intervals for HCC including US is recommended until the long-term DAA treatment effects, especially for the resolution of liver fibrosis, are confirmed. This guideline also includes recommendations on how to follow-up patients who have been infected with both HCV and HBV. When HCV was eradicated in these HBsAg-positive patients or patients with previous HBV infection (anti-HBc and/or anti-HBs-positive), it was shown that HBV reactivation or HBV DNA reappearance was observed in 67 (41.4%) of 162 or 12 (0.9%) of 1317, respectively. For these co-infected patients, careful attention should be paid to HBV reactivation for 24 weeks post-treatment.

Treatment optimisation for hepatitis C in the era of combination direct-acting antiviral therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Prior to direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy, personalised medicine played an important role in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Whilst simplified treatment strategies are central to treatment scale-up, some patients will benefit from treatment optimisation. This systematic review and meta-analysis explores treatment optimisation strategies in the DAA era. Methods: We systematically searched Medline, Embase, and Web of Science for studies that adopted a stratified or personalised strategy using a licensed combination DAA regimen, alone or with additional agents. We performed a thematic analysis to classify optimisation strategies and a meta-analysis of sustained virologic response rates (SVR), exploring heterogeneity with subgroup analyses and meta-regression. Results: We included 64 studies (9450 participants). Thematic analysis found evidence of three approaches: duration, combination, and/or dose optimisation. We separated strategies into those aiming to maintain SVR in the absence of predictors of failure, and those aiming to improve SVR in the presence of predictors of failure. Shortened duration regimens achieve pooled SVR rates of 94.2% (92.3-95.9%) for 8 weeks, 81.1% (75.1-86.6%) for 6 weeks, and 63.1% (39.9-83.7%) for ≤4 weeks. Personalised strategies (100% vs 87.6%; p<0.001) and therapy shortened according to ≥3 host/viral factors (92.9% vs 81.4% or 87.2% for 1 or 2 host/viral factors, respectively; p=0.008) offer higher SVR rates when shortening therapy. Hard-to-treat HCV genotype 3 patients suffer lower SVR rates despite treatment optimisation (92.6% vs 98.2%; p=0.001). Conclusions: Treatment optimisation for individuals with multiple predictors of treatment failure can offer high SVR rates. More evidence is needed to identify with confidence those individuals in whom SVR can be achieved with shortened duration treatment.

Interferon at the cellular, individual, and population level in hepatitis C virus infection: Its role in the interferon-free treatment era

The advent of powerful direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) has revolutionized the treatment of hepatitis C. DAAs cure nearly all patients with short duration, oral treatments. Significant efforts are now underway to optimize DAA-based treatments. We discuss the potential role of interferon in this optimization. Clinical studies present compelling evidence that DAAs perform better in treatment-naive individuals than in individuals who previously failed treatment with interferon, a surprising correlation because interferon and DAAs are thought to act independently. Recent mathematical models explore a mechanistic hypothesis underlying this correlation. The hypothesis invokes the action of interferon at the cellular, individual, and population levels. Strong interferon responses prevent the productive infection of cells, reduce viral replication, and impede the development of resistance to DAAs in infected individuals and improve cure rates elicited by DAAs in treated populations. The models develop descriptions of these processes, integrate them into a comprehensive framework, and capture clinical data quantitatively, providing a successful test of the hypothesis. Individuals with strong endogenous interferon responses thus present a promising subpopulation for reducing DAA treatment durations. This review discusses the conceptual advances made by the models, highlights the new insights they unravel, and examines their applicability to optimize DAA-based treatments.

The preoperative management of Hepatitis C may improve the outcome after total knee arthroplasty

AIMS

With an ageing population of patients who are infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV), the demand for total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in this high-risk group continues to grow. It has previously been shown that HCV infection predisposes to poor outcomes following TKA. However, there is little information about the outcome of TKA in patients with HCV who have been treated successfully. The purpose of this study was to compare the outcomes of TKA in untreated HCV patients and those with HCV who have been successfully treated and have a serologically confirmed remission.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective review of all patients diagnosed with HCV who underwent primary TKA between November 2011 and April 2018 was conducted. HCV patients were divided into two groups: 1) those whose HCV was cured (HCV-C); and 2) those in whom it was untreated (HCV-UT). All variables including demographics, HCV infection characteristics, surgical details, and postoperative medical and surgical outcomes were evaluated. There were 64 patients (70 TKAs) in the HCV-C group and 63 patients (71 TKAs) in the HCV-UT cohort. The mean age at the time of surgery was 63.0 years (sd 7.5; 44 to 79) in the HCV-C group and 61.7 years (sd 6.9; 47 to 88) in the HCV-UT group.

RESULTS

HCV-UT patients had a significantly longer mean hospital stay (3.4 days vs 2.9 days; p = 0.04), were more likely to be transferred to the intensive care unit (14.1% vs 4.3%; p = 0.04), and were significantly more often discharged to a post-acute care facility (39.4% vs 14.3%; p < 0.01). HCV-UT patients had significantly more postoperative infections (15.5% vs 4.3%; p = 0.03), surgical complications (21.1% vs 7.1%; p = 0.02), and revision TKA (12.7% vs 1.4%; p < 0.01) than HCV-C patients.

CONCLUSION

The preoperative treatment of HCV can reduce the risk of complications, including prosthetic joint infection and revision TKA. We recommend that HCV treatment regimens should be integrated into the preoperative optimization protocol for this high-risk group of patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2019;101-B:667-674.

A proof-of-concept study in HCV-infected Huh7.5 cells for shortening the duration of DAA-based triple treatment regimens

With the development of more effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), dual- or triple-therapy regimens represent the major strategy used to cure chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Thus, shorter treatment duration regimens with low burden, few adverse effects and good patient adherence are urgently needed. This study theoretically demonstrates a proof-of-concept approach for shortening therapy duration by examining HCV-infected Huh7.5 cells after treatment with a high or low fixed dose of three DAAs (simeprevir + daclatasvir + sofosbuvir) for 6-15 days. The results demonstrated that HCV-infected Huh7.5 cells achieved an ultrarapid virologic response with undetectable HCV RNA and protein and were cured after treatment with the triple-therapy regimen for 15 days. When the treatment duration was shortened, virologic relapse might occur after treatment with a low fixed dose of the three DAAs for 9 days and did occur after treatment with a low fixed dose for 6 days, although HCV was below detectable levels at the end of treatment. However, virologic relapse could be avoided with treatment of a high fixed dose of the three DAAs for 9 or 6 days. Although a virologic breakthrough occurred after an intermittent treatment regimen at the low fixed dose, the high fixed dose cured HCV-positive Huh7.5 cells with intermittent treatment. In conclusion, HCV is persistently present below detectable levels in HCV-infected Huh7.5 cells for a long time after treatment, and a shortened therapy duration is associated with an increased risk of virologic relapse, but virologic relapse or breakthrough might be avoided by treatment with a combination of more highly effective DAAs.

Early HCV viral kinetics under DAAs may optimize duration of therapy in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Detailed hepatitis C virus (HCV) kinetics modelling is scarce in patients with advanced liver disease receiving direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Due to budget restrictions, patients and health systems would benefit from the shortest possible treatment course. We investigated whether modelling very early HCV kinetics in cirrhotic patients under DAAs therapy could be used to individualize care and reduce treatment duration to achieve cure.

METHODS

We included 74 patients with HCV-related cirrhosis who received interferon-free treatments for 12-24 weeks. HCV genotype, liver disease stage and treatment regimen were recorded. Viral load was determined prospectively at very frequent intervals until target not detected (TND, <15 IU/mL). A viral kinetic model was used to predict time to cure based on HCV clearance in extracellular body fluid (CL-EF).

RESULTS

Sixty-eight patients (92%) achieved cure. Thirteen (18%) had MELD ≥15, 35 (47%) were Child-Pugh (CTP) ≥7. Median time to reach TND was 2 weeks (IQR: 1-4 weeks). Modelling indicated an average DAAs efficacy in blocking viral production of ε = 99.1%. HCV half-life (t1/2 ) was significantly shorter in patients with CTP <7, LSM <21 kPa or MELD <15 (1.5 vs 2.5 hours; P = 0.0057). The overall median CL-EF was 5.6 weeks (4.1-7.8). A CTP >7 and a LSM ≥21 kPa were significantly (P = 0.016) associated with longer CL-EF.

CONCLUSIONS

The study provides insights into HCV dynamics during DAAs therapy in patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Viral kinetics modelling suggests that treatment duration may be optimized in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

A liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry method for simultaneous determination of simeprevir, daclatasvir, sofosbuvir, and GS-331007 applied to a retrospective clinical pharmacological study

A highly sensitive liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) method was developed and validated for simultaneous determination of daclatasvir (DCV), simeprevir (SMV), sofosbuvir (SOF), and its major metabolite GS-331007 in human plasma using stable-isotope-labeled (SIL) analogs as internal standards (IS) to minimize a possible matrix effect. Liquid-liquid extraction (LLE) of the analytes and IS from human plasma was performed using a commercial extraction kit requiring low sample volume (50 μL). The analytes were eluted under a gradient program with mobile phase A (water + 0.1% formic acid) and mobile phase B (methanol + 0.1% formic acid) at a flow-rate of 0.6 mL/min for 10 min. The detection was performed on a Qtrap 5500 triple quadrupole tandem-mass spectrometer using multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) mode via the positive electrospray ionization interface. The method was validated according to the European Medicine Agency (EMA) guidelines over the clinically relevant concentration range of 15.6-2000 ng/mL. The high reproducibility, the low matrix effect associated with the use of SIL-IS, and the need of small sample amounts make this method particularly suited for high-throughput routine analysis. The proposed method was successfully applied to a retrospective clinical pharmacology study involving 67 HIV/HCV co-infected patients treated with a SOF-based therapy. DCV, SMV, SOF, and GS-331007 plasma levels were measured at week 4 of treatment and compared with the patients' clinical and laboratory characteristics. Higher GS-331007 plasma concentrations were observed in female patients compared to males, which can be explained by different anthropometric characteristics between genders. Importantly, patients with high plasma levels of GS-331007 also showed enhanced concentration of DCV and SMV probably due to a specific metabolic/pathological condition. Altogether, our findings indicate that the proposed method is a reliable and accurate new tool for high-throughput screening of large patient cohorts that could be readily used to optimize treatment modalities and reduce drug-related toxicities.

Mutational pathway maps and founder effects define the within-host spectrum of hepatitis C virus mutants resistant to drugs

Knowledge of the within-host frequencies of resistance-associated amino acid variants (RAVs) is important to the identification of optimal drug combinations for the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Multiple RAVs may exist in infected individuals, often below detection limits, at any resistance locus, defining the diversity of accessible resistance pathways. We developed a multiscale mathematical model to estimate the pre-treatment frequencies of the entire spectrum of mutants at chosen loci. Using a codon-level description of amino acids, we performed stochastic simulations of intracellular dynamics with every possible nucleotide variant as the infecting strain and estimated the relative infectivity of each variant and the resulting distribution of variants produced. We employed these quantities in a deterministic multi-strain model of extracellular dynamics and estimated mutant frequencies. Our predictions captured database frequencies of the RAV R155K, resistant to NS3/4A protease inhibitors, presenting a successful test of our formalism. We found that mutational pathway maps, interconnecting all viable mutants, and strong founder effects determined the mutant spectrum. The spectra were vastly different for HCV genotypes 1a and 1b, underlying their differential responses to drugs. Using a fitness landscape determined recently, we estimated that 13 amino acid variants, encoded by 44 codons, exist at the residue 93 of the NS5A protein, illustrating the massive diversity of accessible resistance pathways at specific loci. Accounting for this diversity, which our model enables, would help optimize drug combinations. Our model may be applied to describe the within-host evolution of other flaviviruses and inform vaccine design strategies.

Rapid hepatitis C virus clearance by antivirals correlates with immune status of infected patients

Altered immune parameters associated with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1b infection and their correlation with virus eradication in direct-acting antivirals (DAA)-treated patients were examined. Thirty-one HCV-infected patients were treated with DAAs for 12 weeks. Pre-DAA-treatment and post-DAA-treatment sera were analyzed for cytokines/chemokines using MILLIPLEX MAP. Serum complement level and antibody neutralization activity were measured separately. Sera from 11 spontaneously cleared HCV subjects were included for comparison. Rapid virological responders (RVR) or end-of-treatment responders (EOTR) were defined as patients with HCV RNA negative at week 4 or positive at week 4 and negative at week 12, respectively. HCV RNA eradication and a decrease in liver fibrosis-related cytokines after treatment were observed when compared with pretreatment sera from RVR and EOTR. In pretreatment sera, interferons and T-helper 1 or 2 cell-associated cytokines/chemokines were significantly higher among RVR as compared with EOTR. Furthermore, serum complement and virus neutralizing antibody levels were higher in pretreatment RVR sera. Eradication of HCV RNA by DAA decreased liver fibrosis-related cytokines. Pretreatment sera from RVR displayed an enhanced cytokine/chemokine, complement and virus neutralizing antibody response as compared with EOTR sera. Our results suggested that enhanced host immune status may play an additive role on HCV RNA clearance by DAA.

Towards multiscale modeling of the CD8+ T cell response to viral infections

The CD8⁺ T cell response is critical to the control of viral infections. Yet, defining the CD8⁺ T cell response to viral infections quantitatively has been a challenge. Following antigen recognition, which triggers an intracellular signaling cascade, CD8⁺ T cells can differentiate into effector cells, which proliferate rapidly and destroy infected cells. When the infection is cleared, they leave behind memory cells for quick recall following a second challenge. If the infection persists, the cells may become exhausted, retaining minimal control of the infection while preventing severe immunopathology. These activation, proliferation and differentiation processes as well as the mounting of the effector response are intrinsically multiscale and collective phenomena. Remarkable experimental advances in the recent years, especially at the single cell level, have enabled a quantitative characterization of several underlying processes. Simultaneously, sophisticated mathematical models have begun to be constructed that describe these multiscale phenomena, bringing us closer to a comprehensive description of the CD8⁺ T cell response to viral infections. Here, we review the advances made and summarize the challenges and opportunities ahead. This article is categorized under: Analytical and Computational Methods > Computational Methods Biological Mechanisms > Cell Fates Biological Mechanisms > Cell Signaling Models of Systems Properties and Processes > Mechanistic Models.

Status of Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy for Hepatitis C Virus Infection and Remaining Challenges

Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus is a major cause of liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide. After the discovery of hepatitis C virus 3 decades ago, the identification of the structure of the viral proteins, combined with high-throughput replicon models, enabled the discovery and development of direct-acting antivirals. These agents have revolutionized patient care, with cure rates of more than 90%. We review the status of direct-acting antiviral therapies for hepatitis C virus infection and discuss remaining challenges. We highlight licensed compounds, discuss the potential to shorten therapy even further, and review different options for treatment failure and resistance. We also provide an overview of clinical experience with generic agents and evidence for their efficacy. Finally, we discuss the need for new drugs and outline promising targets for future therapies.

What Is Needed to Eliminate Hepatitis B Virus and Hepatitis C Virus as Global Health Threats

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) cause 1.3 million deaths annually. To prevent more than 7 million deaths by 2030, the World Health Organization set goals to eliminate HBV and HCV, defined as a 90% reduction in new infections and a 65% reduction in deaths, and prevent more than 7 million related deaths by 2030. Elimination of HBV and HCV is feasible because of characteristics of the viruses, reliable diagnostic tools, and available cost-effective or cost-saving interventions. Broad implementation of infant immunization against HBV, blood safety, and infection-control programs have greatly reduced the burden of HBV and HCV infections. To achieve elimination, priorities include implementation of HBV vaccine-based strategies to prevent perinatal transmission, safe injection practices and HCV treatment for persons who inject drugs, and testing and treatment for HBV- and HCV-infected persons. With sufficient capacity, HBV and HCV elimination programs can meet their goals.

HA1077 displays synergistic activity with daclatasvir against hepatitis C virus and suppresses the emergence of NS5A resistance-associated substitutions in mice

The kinase C-related kinase 2 (PRK2), which phosphorylates hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA polymerase, is a proviral factor enhancing HCV replication. Here, we report on the in vivo anti-HCV efficacy of HA1077, which inhibits viral genome replication by targeting PRK2 and displays viral entry inhibitory activity by targeting Rho-associated kinase. HA1077 showed synergistic antiviral activity selectively with nonstructural protein 5 A (NS5A) inhibitors including daclatasvir (DCV). HA1077 oral administration substantially reduced serum viral loads in mice bearing HCV genotype 2a-replicating Huh7 xenografts. When administered with DCV, HA1077 potentiated the antiviral efficacy of DCV and suppressed the generation of DCV resistance-associated variants (RAVs). By deep-sequencing analysis, we uncovered an unprecedented DCV-induced polymorphism at the poly-proline motif (PxxPxxP) of NS5A. Coadministration of HA1077 reduced such a polymorphism. Overall, our results demonstrate the potential therapeutic benefit of combination therapy with HA1077 plus DCV for HCV patients carrying emerging or pre-existing RAVs toward NS5A inhibitors.

Superinfection and cure of infected cells as mechanisms for hepatitis C virus adaptation and persistence

RNA viruses exist as a genetically diverse quasispecies with extraordinary ability to adapt to abrupt changes in the host environment. However, the molecular mechanisms that contribute to their rapid adaptation and persistence in vivo are not well studied. Here, we probe hepatitis C virus (HCV) persistence by analyzing clinical samples taken from subjects who were treated with a second-generation HCV protease inhibitor. Frequent longitudinal viral load determinations and large-scale single-genome sequence analyses revealed rapid antiviral resistance development, and surprisingly, dynamic turnover of dominant drug-resistant mutant populations long after treatment cessation. We fitted mathematical models to both the viral load and the viral sequencing data, and the results provided strong support for the critical roles that superinfection and cure of infected cells play in facilitating the rapid turnover and persistence of viral populations. More broadly, our results highlight the importance of considering viral dynamics and competition at the intracellular level in understanding rapid viral adaptation. Thus, we propose a theoretical framework integrating viral and molecular mechanisms to explain rapid viral evolution, resistance, and persistence despite antiviral treatment and host immune responses.

Modelling how responsiveness to interferon improves interferon-free treatment of hepatitis C virus infection

Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for hepatitis C treatment tend to fare better in individuals who are also likely to respond well to interferon-alpha (IFN), a surprising correlation given that DAAs target specific viral proteins whereas IFN triggers a generic antiviral immune response. Here, we posit a causal relationship between IFN-responsiveness and DAA treatment outcome. IFN-responsiveness restricts viral replication, which would prevent the growth of viral variants resistant to DAAs and improve treatment outcome. To test this hypothesis, we developed a multiscale mathematical model integrating IFN-responsiveness at the cellular level, viral kinetics and evolution leading to drug resistance at the individual level, and treatment outcome at the population level. Model predictions quantitatively captured data from over 50 clinical trials demonstrating poorer response to DAAs in previous non-responders to IFN than treatment-naïve individuals, presenting strong evidence supporting the hypothesis. Model predictions additionally described several unexplained clinical observations, viz., the percentages of infected individuals who 1) spontaneously clear HCV, 2) get chronically infected but respond to IFN-based therapy, and 3) fail IFN-based therapy but respond to DAA-based therapy, resulting in a comprehensive understanding of HCV infection and treatment. An implication of the causal relationship is that failure of DAA-based treatments may be averted by adding IFN, a strategy of potential use in settings with limited access to DAAs. A second, wider implication is that individuals with greater IFN-responsiveness would require shorter DAA-based treatment durations, presenting a basis and a promising population for response-guided therapy.

Management of acute HCV infection in the era of direct-acting antiviral therapy

The management of acute HCV infection has not been standardized following the availability of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) for chronic HCV infection, and substantial uncertainty exists regarding the optimal treatment regimen and duration. Despite the lack of direct evidence, the 2016 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD)-Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) guidelines supported "the same regimens for acute HCV as recommended for chronic HCV infection … owing to high efficacy and safety", whereas the 2016 European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) guidelines recommended sofosbuvir-ledipasvir, sofosbuvir-velpatasvir or sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir for 8 weeks in acute HCV infection, with a longer duration of 12 weeks recommended for those infected with HIV and/or baseline HCV RNA levels >1,000,000 IU/ml. This Review outlines the epidemiology, natural history and diagnosis of acute HCV infection and provides contemporary information on DAAs for acute and recent HCV infection. The Review also discusses the 2016 AASLD-IDSA and EASL recommendations for acute HCV infection management in light of available evidence and highlights key differences in study populations and design that influence interpretation. We focus on populations at high risk of HCV transmission and acquisition, including people who inject drugs and HIV-positive men who have sex with men, and highlight the potential effects of diagnosis and treatment of acute HCV infection in contributing to HCV elimination.

Modeling how reversal of immune exhaustion elicits cure of chronic hepatitis C after the end of treatment with direct-acting antiviral agents

A fraction of chronic hepatitis C patients treated with direct‐acting antivirals (DAAs) achieved sustained virological responses (SVR), or cure, despite having detectable viremia at the end of treatment (EOT). This observation, termed EOT⁺/SVR, remains puzzling and precludes rational optimization of treatment durations. One hypothesis to explain EOT⁺/SVR, the immunologic hypothesis, argues that the viral decline induced by DAAs during treatment reverses the exhaustion of cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs), which then clear the infection after treatment. Whether the hypothesis is consistent with data of viral load changes in patients who experienced EOT⁺/SVR is unknown. Here, we constructed a mathematical model of viral kinetics incorporating the immunologic hypothesis and compared its predictions with patient data. We found the predictions to be in quantitative agreement with patient data. Using the model, we unraveled an underlying bistability that gives rise to EOT⁺/SVR and presents a new avenue to optimize treatment durations. Infected cells trigger both activation and exhaustion of CTLs. CTLs in turn kill infected cells. Due to these competing interactions, two stable steady states, chronic infection and viral clearance, emerge, separated by an unstable steady state with intermediate viremia. When treatment during chronic infection drives viremia sufficiently below the unstable state, spontaneous viral clearance results post‐treatment, marking EOT⁺/SVR. The duration to achieve this desired reduction in viremia defines the minimum treatment duration required for ensuring SVR, which our model can quantify. Estimating parameters defining the CTL response of individuals to HCV infection would enable the application of our model to personalize treatment durations.

Significance of day-1 viral response of hepatitis C virus in patients with chronic hepatitis C receiving direct-acting antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

On-treatment response of serum hepatitis C virus (HCV) is reportedly less useful to predict the outcome of anti-HCV therapy with interferon (IFN)-free regimen with direct-acting antivirals than with IFN-based regimens in clinical trials. We evaluated the significance of very early viral response after the start of therapy, which indicates direct HCV response to the drugs, on therapeutic outcome.

METHODS

Reductions in serum HCV-RNA levels were measured at 1 day after the start of therapy in 544 patients who underwent IFN-free direct-acting antiviral regimens. The association between these reductions and the achievement or failure of sustained virologic response (SVR) was evaluated.

RESULTS

Patient characteristics did not influence 1-day reduction in serum HCV-RNA except for liver fibrosis. There was no difference in 1-day HCV reduction between SVR and non-SVR patients treated with a 24-week regimen. In contrast, in patients treated with a 12-week regimen, 1-day reduction was significantly greater in SVR than in non-SVR patients (P = 0.0013) and was predictive of SVR versus non-SVR (area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve: 0.80).

CONCLUSIONS

Whereas the reduction in serum HCV-RNA levels at 1 day after the start of therapy was not associated with treatment outcomes in patients who underwent a 24-week regimen of IFN-free therapy, there was an association in patients receiving a 12-week regimen, and this reduction was predictive of SVR, thus potentially serving as a factor to identify patients at risk of treatment failure.

A PDE multiscale model of hepatitis C virus infection can be transformed to a system of ODEs

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) treat hepatitis C virus (HCV) by targeting its intracellular viral replication. DAAs are effective and deliver high clinical performance against HCV infection, but optimization of the DAA treatment regimen is ongoing. Different classes of DAAs are currently under development, and HCV treatments that combine two or three DAAs with different action mechanisms are being improved. To accurately quantify the antiviral effect of these DAA treatments and optimize multi-drug combinations, we must describe the intracellular viral replication processes corresponding to the action mechanisms by multiscale mathematical models. Previous multiscale models of HCV treatment have been formulated by partial differential equations (PDEs). However, estimating the parameters from clinical datasets requires comprehensive numerical PDE computations that are time consuming and often converge poorly. Here, we propose a user-friendly approach that transforms a standard PDE multiscale model of HCV infection (Guedj J et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2013; 110(10):3991-6) to mathematically identical ordinary differential equations (ODEs) without any assumptions. We also confirm consistency between the numerical solutions of our transformed ODE model and the original PDE model. This relationship between a detailed structured model and a simple model is called ``model aggregation problem'' and a fundamental important in theoretical biology. In particular, as the parameters of ODEs can be estimated by already established methods, our transformed ODE model and its modified version avoid the time-consuming computations and are broadly available for further data analysis.

[Personalized treatment of viral hepatitis of the present and the future : Hepatitis B, C, delta, and E]

Precision medicine is also possible for infectious diseases as shown for the treatment of chronic viral hepatitis, especially if different options are available. In hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, treatment indication as well as the choice of treatment and the decisions to stop treatment are based on viral markers and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level. Future therapies for HBV infection aiming for functional cure or even virus elimination may be even more personalized and have to take into account the immune status of a given patient. Such treatment modalities might also increase the chance for successful treatment of chronic hepatitis delta where treatment options are still very limited. Some new therapeutic concepts targeting host receptors or host enzymes are promising, but may require individualized approaches. Chronic hepatitis C is a good example for precision medicine based on viral and host factors. However, the main reason for individualized direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment is to save costs. As DAAs are effective in more than 95% of patients, elimination of HCV seems to be possible at the level of a given country or even on a global scale. However, owing to high reinfection rates in high-risk groups and limited availability of antiviral therapy in many high endemic countries, it must still be decided whether an HCV vaccine or pre-exposure prophylaxis is required to achieve this goal. Hepatitis E is an emerging topic as this is the most frequent acute hepatitis virus infection. It can result in a chronic infection in immunosuppressed individuals. Treatment options are still limited and individualized management is based on tailoring immunosuppressive therapy and therapy with ribavirin. Thus, personalized therapy of hepatitis E virus infection is still limited.

Predicting Early Viral Control under Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy for Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Using Pretreatment Immunological Markers

Recent introduction of all-oral direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment has revolutionized care of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Regrettably, the high cost of DAA treatment is burdensome for healthcare systems and may be prohibitive for some patients who would otherwise benefit. Understanding how patient-related factors influence individual responses to DAA treatment may lead to more efficient prescribing. In this observational study, patients with chronic HCV infection were comprehensively monitored by flow cytometry to identify pretreatment immunological variables that predicted HCV RNA negativity within 4 weeks of commencing DAA treatment. Twenty-three patients [genotype 1a (n = 10), 1b (n = 9), and 3 (n = 4)] were treated with daclatasvir plus sofosbuvir (SOF) (n = 15), ledipasvir plus SOF (n = 4), or ritonavir-boosted paritaprevir, ombitasvir, and dasabuvir (n = 4). DAA treatment most prominently altered the distribution of CD8+ memory T cell subsets. Knowing only pretreatment frequencies of CD3+ and naive CD8+ T cells allowed correct classification of 83% of patients as "fast" (HCV RNA-negative by 4 weeks) or "slow" responders. In a prospective cohort, these parameters correctly classified 90% of patients. Slow responders exhibited higher frequencies of CD3+ T cells, CD8+ TEM cells, and CD5high CD27- CD57+ CD8+ chronically activated T cells, which is attributed to bystander hyperactivation of virus-non-specific CD8+ T cells. Taken together, non-specific, systemic CD8+ T cell activation predicted a longer time to viral clearance. This discovery allows pretreatment identification of individuals who may not require a full 12-week course of DAA therapy; in turn, this could lead to individualized prescribing and more efficient resource allocation.

[Revealing the characteristics of antiviral agents]

Rapid development of novel anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) agents in recent years has greatly improved treatment outcomes. However, such rapid progress in anti-HCV treatment has not allowed us to fully argue the different characteristics of each anti-HCV agent, optimal multidrug combinations, and the selection of treatment enabling to efficiently eliminate drug resistant viruses. We here quantified the intrinsic antiviral effect of 15 anti-HCV agents either clinically available or under developmental phase using a cell culture system, and identified the parameters that represent the antiviral profile of drugs through mathematical analysis. A computer simulation that calculated the antiviral activity and the frequency of mutation rate under dual- and triple-multidrug treatment presented the argument for the advantage of multidrug treatments. In this review, we summarize the novel approaches to evaluate intrinsic antiviral efficacy of drugs by combining the virological and mathematical analyses.