Contribution of low population immunity to the severe Omicron BA.2 outbreak in Hong Kong

The impact of vaccine type and booster dose on the magnitude and breadth of SARS-CoV-2-specific systemic and mucosal antibodies among COVID-19 vaccine recipients

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a major impact on global health and economy, which was significantly mitigated by the availability of COVID-19 vaccines. The levels of systemic and mucosal antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 correlated with protection. However, there is limited data on how vaccine type and booster doses affect mucosal antibody response, and how the breadth of mucosal and systemic antibodies compares. In this cross-sectional study, we compared the magnitude and breadth of mucosal and systemic antibodies in 108 individuals who received either the BNT162b2 (Pfizer) or CoronaVac (SinoVac) vaccine. We found that BNT162b2 (vs CoronaVac) or booster doses (vs two doses) were significantly associated with higher serum IgG levels, but were not significantly associated with salivary IgA levels, regardless of prior infection status. Among non-infected individuals, serum IgG, serum IgA and salivary IgG levels were significantly higher against the ancestral strain than the Omicron BA.2 sublineage, but salivary IgA levels did not differ between the strains. Salivary IgA had the weakest correlation with serum IgG (r = 0.34) compared with salivary IgG (r = 0.63) and serum IgA (r = 0.60). Our findings suggest that intramuscular COVID-19 vaccines elicit a distinct mucosal IgA response that differs from the systemic IgG response. As mucosal IgA independently correlates with protection, vaccine trials should include mucosal IgA as an outcome measure.

The significance of recurrent de novo amino acid substitutions that emerged during chronic SARS-CoV-2 infection: an observational study

BACKGROUND

De novo amino acid substitutions (DNS) frequently emerge among immunocompromised patients with chronic SARS-CoV-2 infection. While previous studies have reported these DNS, their significance has not been systematically studied.

METHODS

We performed a review of DNS that emerged during chronic SARS-CoV-2 infection. We searched PubMed until June 2023 using the keywords "(SARS-CoV-2 or COVID-19) and (mutation or sequencing) and ((prolonged infection) or (chronic infection) or (long term))". We included patients with chronic SARS-CoV-2 infection who had SARS-CoV-2 sequencing performed for at least 3 time points over at least 60 days. We also included 4 additional SARS-CoV-2 patients with chronic infection of our hospital not reported previously. We determined recurrent DNS that has appeared in multiple patients and determined the significance of these mutations among epidemiologically-significant variants.

FINDINGS

A total of 34 cases were analyzed, including 30 that were published previously and 4 from our hospital. Twenty two DNS appeared in ≥3 patients, with 14 (64%) belonging to lineage-defining mutations (LDMs) of epidemiologically-significant variants and 10 (45%) emerging among chronically-infected patients before the appearance of the corresponding variant. Notably, nsp9-T35I substitution (Orf1a T4175I) emerged in all three patients with BA.2.2 infection in 2022 before the appearance of Variants of Interest that carry nsp9-T35I as LDM (EG.5 and BA.2.86/JN.1). Structural analysis suggests that nsp9-T35I substitution may affect nsp9-nsp12 interaction, which could be critical for the function of the replication and transcription complex.

INTERPRETATION

DNS that emerges recurrently in different chronically-infected patients may be used as a marker for potential epidemiologically-significant variants.

FUNDING

Theme-Based Research Scheme [T11/709/21-N] of the Research Grants Council (See acknowledgements for full list).

Dysnatremia as a Mortality Marker in Intensive Care Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Retrospective Study

Background and Objectives: The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may cause acute respiratory failure, but also remains responsible for many other pathologies, including electrolyte disorders. SARS-CoV-2 infection causes disorders in many systems and can disrupt water homeostasis with thirst and appetite abnormalities. Dysnatremia affects prognosis, and may be associated with mortality in patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2. Materials and Methods: The study included 209 patients admitted to the ICU between 12 April 2021 and 1 March 2022 who were over 18 years old and diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection by clinical and thoracic tomography findings or with a positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test result. The laboratory markers, treatment modalities, nutritional, and respiratory support also for outcome evaluation, length of stay in the ICU, total hospitalization duration, and mortality in the ICU were recorded. The laboratory marker comparison was made using admission with the final assessment performed before the time of mortality in the ICU or after discharge. Results: Inotropic requirements among patients were high, which reflected mortality in the ICU. Hypernatremia presence was associated with an increase in enteral support, the inotropic support requirement, and mortality. Hypernatremia was correlated with diabetes mellitus, chronic renal failure, and a longer duration under mechanical ventilation. Conclusions: Hypernatremia was an important risk factor in ICU patients hospitalized for SARS-CoV-2 infection, which was also affected by the treatment regimens given themselves. This complex relationship underlies the importance of proper electrolyte management, especially in patients who were under severe stress and organ failure.

An AI-empowered indoor digital contact tracing system for COVID-19 outbreaks in residential care homes

An AI-empowered indoor digital contact-tracing system was developed using a centralized architecture and advanced low-energy Bluetooth technologies for indoor positioning, with careful preservation of privacy and data security. We analyzed the contact pattern data from two RCHs and investigated a COVID-19 outbreak in one study site. To evaluate the effectiveness of the system in containing outbreaks with minimal contacts under quarantine, a simulation study was conducted to compare the impact of different quarantine strategies on outbreak containment within RCHs. The significant difference in contact hours between weekdays and weekends was observed for some pairs of RCH residents and staff during the two-week data collection period. No significant difference between secondary cases and uninfected contacts was observed in a COVID-19 outbreak in terms of their demographics and contact patterns. Simulation results based on the collected contact data indicated that a threshold of accumulative contact hours one or two days prior to diagnosis of the index case could dramatically increase the efficiency of outbreak containment within RCHs by targeted isolation of the close contacts. This study demonstrated the feasibility and efficiency of employing an AI-empowered system in indoor digital contact tracing of outbreaks in RCHs in the post-pandemic era.

Characterizing fitness and immune escape of SARS-CoV-2 EG.5 sublineage using elderly serum and nasal organoid

SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant has evolved into sublineages. Here, we compared the neutralization susceptibility and viral fitness of EG.5.1 and XBB.1.9.1. Serum neutralization antibody titer against EG.5.1 was 1.71-fold lower than that for XBB.1.9.1. However, there was no significant difference in virus replication between EG.5.1 and XBB.1.9.1 in human nasal organoids and TMPRSS2/ACE2 over-expressing A549 cells. No significant difference was observed in competitive fitness and cytokine/chemokine response between EG.5.1 and XBB.1.9.1. Both EG.5.1 and XBB.1.9.1 replicated more robustly in the nasal organoid from a younger adult than that from an older adult. Our findings suggest that enhanced immune escape contributes to the dominance of EG.5.1 over earlier sublineages. The combination of population serum susceptibility testing and viral fitness evaluation with nasal organoids may hold promise in risk assessment of upcoming variants. Utilization of serum specimens and nasal organoid derived from older adults provides a targeted risk assessment for this vulnerable population.

Efficacy and safety of Chinese herbal medicine to prevent and treat COVID-19 household close contacts in Hong Kong: an open-label, randomized controlled trial

Objectives

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of CHM in the prevention of COVID-19 infection and treatment for COVID-19 related symptoms.

Design

Prospective open-label randomized controlled trial.

Setting

Participants' home in Hong Kong.

Participants

Participants who had household close contact with COVID-19-infected family members.

Interventions

Close contacts were stratified into 4 groups (cohort A, B, C, D) based on symptoms and infection status and were randomized in 4:1 ratio to receive CHM granules (9g/sachet, two times daily) or blank control for 7 days with 2 weeks of follow-up.

Main outcome measures

The primary outcome measure was the rate of positive nucleic acid tests. Secondary outcomes were the proportion of developed COVID-19 related symptoms and adverse events during the whole 3-week study period. Subgroup analysis was used to evaluate demographic factors associated with positive infection rates.

Results

A total of 2163 contacts were enrolled and randomly assigned to the CHM group (1720 contacts) and blank control (443 contacts) group. During the 21 days, the rate of PCR-positive cases in cohort A was markedly lower in the CHM group (3.6%) compared to the control group (7.0%) (P=0.036). Overall, the rate of infection in the CHM group was significantly lower than that in the control group (10.69% vs. 6.03%; RR 0.56, 95% CI 0.39-0.82) after 7-day treatment. No serious adverse events were reported during the medication period.

Conclusion

The preliminary findings indicate that CHM may be effective and safe in preventing COVID-19. Future double-blind, randomized controlled trials and long-term follow-up are needed to fully evaluate the efficacy of CHM in a larger contact population.

Clinical trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT05269511.

Risk factors for progression to severe infection and prolonged viral clearance time in hospitalized elderly patients infected with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2: a retrospective study at Shanghai Fourth People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University

Introduction

In elderly patients infected with the Omicron variant, disease progression to severe infection can result in poor outcomes. This study aimed to identify risk and protective factors associated with disease progression to severe infection and viral clearance time in elderly Omicron-infected patients.

Methods

Shanghai Fourth People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, was officially designated to provide treatment to patients with COVID-19. This study was conducted on confirmed Omicron cases admitted to the hospital between 10 April 2022 and 21 June 2022. In total, 1,568 patients aged 65 years or older were included. We conducted a retrospective, observational study using logistic regression to analyze risk and protective factors for the development of severe disease and Cox proportional hazards regression models to analyze factors influencing viral clearance time.

Results

Aged over 80 years, having 2 or more comorbidities, combined cerebrovascular disease, chronic neurological disease, and mental disorders were associated with the development of severe disease, and full vaccination was a protective factor. Furthermore, aged over 80 years, combined chronic respiratory disease, chronic renal disease, cerebrovascular disease, mental disorders, and high viral load were associated with prolonged viral clearance time, and full vaccination was a protective factor.

Discussion

This study analyzed risk factors for progression to severe infection and prolonged viral clearance time in hospitalized elderly Omicron-infected patients. Aged patients with comorbidities had a higher risk of developing severe infection and had longer viral clearance, while vaccination protected them against the Omicron infection.

Risk of acute kidney injury in critically-ill patients with COVID-19 compared with seasonal influenza: a retrospective cohort study

Background

The SARS-CoV-2 virus can bind to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 receptors on host renal cells and may cause acute kidney injury (AKI). The comparative risks of AKI in patients severely ill with COVID-19 and influenza A have not been examined.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study including patients with positive PCR results for SARS-CoV-2 or influenza A virus admitted to the intensive care units (ICUs) of 15 public hospitals in Hong Kong between 1st January 2013 and 30th April 2023. Patients who were already on chronic dialysis or had missing values in the confounder model were excluded. Data were retrieved from Hong Kong Hospital Authority's electronic healthcare records. The primary outcome was incident AKI during ICU stay. Secondary outcomes included acute kidney disease (AKD) and hospital mortality. All analyses were examined in multivariable regression adjusting for potential confounders (age, sex, baseline eGFR, PaO2/FiO2 ratio, baseline comorbidities, APACHE IV predicted risk of death, Charlson Comorbidity Index, emergent hospital admission, admission from elderly home, reason for ICU admission, presence of bacterial co-infections, use of medications [including vasopressors, antiviral medications, steroids and nephrotoxic antibiotics], as well as anaemia and leucocytosis). Patients were matched in a 1:1 ratio using a propensity score generated based on the full confounder model. The analyses were repeated using inverse probability weighting and in propensity-score matched cohorts.

Findings

A total of 5495 ICU patients were identified. After excluding 1093 (19.9%) patients who met the exclusion criteria and 74 (1.3%) patients who had one or more missing values in the logistic regression model, a total of 4328 patients were included in the final analysis, with 2787 (64.4%) patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription (RT)-PCR and 1541 (35.6%) patients who tested positive for influenza A virus RT-PCR. The comorbidity burden was greater in patients with COVID-19 (Charlson Comorbidity Index 3 [2-4] vs. 3 [1-4]), but the median APACHE IV predicted risk of death was significantly lower (0.19 [0.08-0.38] vs. 0.25 [0.11-0.52]). A total of 1053 (37.8%) patients with COVID-19 and 828 (53.7%) patients with influenza A developed AKI of any stage during ICU stay. In adjusted analysis, the risk of AKI was significantly lower in patients with COVID-19 compared with influenza A (adjusted odds ratio 0.51, 95% confidence interval 0.42-0.61, P < 0.0001]. The risk of stage 3 AKI and AKD were also significantly lower in patients with COVID-19. These results remained robust in multiple pre-planned sensitivity analyses including inverse probability weighting and propensity score matching.

Interpretation

Our results suggest that the risk of AKI in patients severely ill with COVID-19 was lower than in patients with influenza A. The burden of concurrent organ failure complicating respiratory viral infections, such as the higher disease-attributable risk of AKI associated with influenza, should be clarified.

Funding

An unrestricted philanthropic donation from Mr and Mrs Laurence Tse, The Wai Im Charitable Foundation, Chan Sui Kau Family Benefits and Charitable Foundation, So Ka Wing and Lee Sau Ying Charitable Foundation, Mr & Mrs Tam Wing Fun Edmund Renal Research Fund, the Theme-Based Research Scheme of the Research Grants Council, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region; Programme of Enhancing Laboratory Surveillance and Investigation of Emerging Infectious Diseases and Antimicrobial Resistance for the Department of Health of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government; Emergency COVID-19 Project, Major Projects on Public Security, National Key Research and Development Program; Emergency Collaborative Project of Guangzhou Laboratory; the National Key Research and Development Program of China; Sanming Project of Medicine in Shenzhen China; and the High Level-Hospital Program, Health Commission of Guangdong Province, China.

Exploration of P1 and P4 modifications of nirmatrelvir: Design, synthesis, biological evaluation, and X-ray structural studies of SARS-CoV-2 Mpro inhibitors

We report the synthesis, biological evaluation, and X-ray structural studies of a series of SARS-CoV-2 Mpro inhibitors based upon the X-ray crystal structure of nirmatrelvir, an FDA approved drug that targets the main protease of SARS-CoV-2. The studies involved examination of various P4 moieties, P1 five- and six-membered lactam rings to improve potency. In particular, the six-membered P1 lactam ring analogs exhibited high SARS-CoV-2 Mpro inhibitory activity. Several compounds effectively blocked SARS-CoV-2 replication in VeroE6 cells. One of these compounds maintained good antiviral activity against variants of concern including Delta and Omicron variants. A high-resolution X-ray crystal structure of an inhibitor bound to SARS-CoV-2 Mpro was determined to gain insight into the ligand-binding properties in the Mpro active site.

Development and validation of a prognostic model based on clinical laboratory biomarkers to predict admission to ICU in Omicron variant-infected hospitalized patients complicated with myocardial injury

Aims

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a prognostic model based on clinical laboratory biomarkers for the early identification of high-risk patients who require intensive care unit (ICU) admission among those hospitalized with the Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and complicated with myocardial injury (MI).

Methods

This single-center study enrolled 263 hospitalized patients with confirmed Omicron variant infection and concurrent MI. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Relevant variables were collected upon admission, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select candidate variables for constructing a Cox regression prognostic model. The model's performance was evaluated in both training and validating cohorts based on discrimination, calibration, and net benefit.

Results

Of the 263 eligible patients, 210 were non-ICU patients and 53 were ICU patients. The prognostic model was built using four selected predictors: white blood cell (WBC) count, procalcitonin (PCT) level, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level. The model showed good discriminative ability in both the training cohort (concordance index: 0.802, 95% CI: 0.716-0.888) and the validation cohort (concordance index: 0.799, 95% CI: 0.681-0.917). For calibration, the predicted probabilities and observed proportions were highly consistent, indicating the model's reliability in predicting outcomes. In the 21-day decision curve analysis, the model had a positive net benefit for threshold probability ranges of 0.2 to 0.8 in the training cohort and nearly 0.2 to 1 in the validation cohort.

Conclusion

In this study, we developed a clinically practical model with high discrimination, calibration, and net benefit. It may help to early identify severe and critical cases among Omicron variant-infected hospitalized patients with MI.

Correlations of Myeloperoxidase (MPO), Adenosine deaminase (ADA), C-C motif chemokine 22 (CCL22), Tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) and Interleukin-6 (IL-6) mRNA expression in the nasopharyngeal specimens with the diagnosis and severity of SARS-CoV-2 infections

Cytokine dynamics in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been studied in blood but seldomly in respiratory specimens. We studied different cell markers and cytokines in fresh nasopharyngeal swab specimens for the diagnosis and for stratifying the severity of COVID-19. This was a retrospective case-control study comparing Myeloperoxidase (MPO), Adenosine deaminase (ADA), C-C motif chemokine ligand 22 (CCL22), Tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) and Interleukin-6 (IL-6) mRNA expression in 490 (327 patients and 163 control) nasopharyngeal specimens from 317 (154 COVID-19 and 163 control) hospitalized patients. Of the 154 COVID-19 cases, 46 died. Both total and normalized MPO, ADA, CCL22, TNFα, and IL-6 mRNA expression levels were significantly higher in the nasopharyngeal specimens of infected patients when compared with controls, with ADA showing better performance (OR 5.703, 95% CI 3.424-9.500, p < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve showed that the cut-off value of normalized ADA mRNA level at 2.37 × 10^-3 had a sensitivity of 81.8% and specificity of 83.4%. While patients with severe COVID-19 had more respiratory symptoms, and elevated lactate dehydrogenase, multivariate analysis showed that severe COVID-19 patients had lower CCL22 mRNA (OR 0.211, 95% CI 0.060-0.746, p = 0.016) in nasopharyngeal specimens, while lymphocyte count, C-reactive protein, and viral load in nasopharyngeal specimens did not correlate with disease severity. In summary, ADA appears to be a better biomarker to differentiate between infected and uninfected patients, while CCL22 has the potential in stratifying the severity of COVID-19.

Humoral and cellular immunity against different SARS-CoV-2 variants in patients with chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients are at higher risk of severe COVID-19. Humoral and cellular immunity from prior infection or vaccination are important for protection, but the neutralizing antibody (nAb) response against SARS-CoV-2 variants is impaired. We investigated the variant-specific nAb and T cell immunity among CKD patients. Adult CKD patients were recruited between August and October 2022. nAb against the SARS-CoV-2 (ancestral strains and four Omicron sublineages) and T cell response were measured using the live virus neutralization assay and interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA). The correlation between nAb/T-cell response and subsequent infection after recruitment were also determined. Among the 88 recruited patients, 95.5% had prior infection or had completed the primary vaccine series. However, only 77.3% had detectable nAb against at least one SARS-CoV-2 strains, 59.1% tested positive in IGRA, and 52.3% had detectable nAb and tested positive in the IGRA. The nAb geometic mean titers (GMTs) against XBB.1, BA.5 and BA.2.3.20 were significantly lower than those against BA.2 and ancestral strain. Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with elevated nAb and T cell response. More kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) showed absent nAb and T cell response (36.8% vs. 10.1%), despite a higher prevalence of vaccine booster in this population (94.7% vs. 50.7%). Lower levels of nAb titer and T cell response were significantly associated with subsequent infection. A considerable proportion of CKD patients, especially KTRs, showed absence of humoral and cellular protective immunity against SARS-CoV-2. Strategies to improve immunogenicity in this population are urgently needed.

Antibiotic use in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: a population-based study in Hong Kong

Background

Hong Kong experienced four epidemic waves caused by the ancestral strain of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in 2020-2021 and a large Omicron wave in 2022. Few studies have assessed antibacterial prescribing for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) inpatients throughout the pandemic.

Objectives

To describe inpatient antibacterial prescribing and explore factors associated with their prescription.

Methods

Electronic health records of patients with COVID-19 admitted to public hospitals in Hong Kong from 21 January 2020 to 30 September 2022 were used to assess the prevalence and rates of inpatient antibacterial drug use (days of therapy/1,000 patient days [DOT/1,000 PD]). We used multivariable logistic regression to investigate potential associations between patients' baseline characteristics and disease severity and prescription of an antibacterial drug during hospital admission.

Results

Among 65,810 inpatients with COVID-19, 54.0% were prescribed antibacterial drugs (550.5 DOT/1,000 PD). Compared to waves 1-2 (46.7%; 246.9 DOT/1,000 PD), the prescriptions were lowest during wave 4 (28.0%; 246.9; odds ratio (OR): 0.39, 95% CI: 0.31-0.49) and peaked in early wave 5 (64.6%; 661.2; 0.82, 0.65-1.03). Older age (≥80 years: OR 2.66, 95% CI, 2.49-2.85; 60-79 years: 1.59, 1.51-1.69, compared with 20-59 years), more severe disease (fatal: 3.64, 3.2-4.16; critical: 2.56, 2.14-3.06, compared with severe), and COVID-19 vaccine doses (two doses: 0.74, 0.69-0.78; three doses: 0.69, 0.64-0.74; four doses: 0.52, 0.44-0.62, compared with unvaccinated) were associated with inpatient antibacterial drug use.

Conclusions

Antibacterial prescribing changed over time for hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 and was potentially related to patients' demographics, medical conditions, and COVID-19 vaccination status as well as healthcare capacity during epidemic waves.

P21-activated kinase 1 (PAK1)-mediated cytoskeleton rearrangement promotes SARS-CoV-2 entry and ACE2 autophagic degradation

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causative agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has had a significant impact on healthcare systems and economies worldwide. The continuous emergence of new viral strains presents a major challenge in the development of effective antiviral agents. Strategies that possess broad-spectrum antiviral activities are desirable to control SARS-CoV-2 infection. ACE2, an angiotensin-containing enzyme that prevents the overactivation of the renin angiotensin system, is the receptor for SARS-CoV-2. ACE2 interacts with the spike protein and facilitates viral attachment and entry into host cells. Yet, SARS-CoV-2 infection also promotes ACE2 degradation. Whether restoring ACE2 surface expression has an impact on SARS-CoV-2 infection is yet to be determined. Here, we show that the ACE2-spike complex is endocytosed and degraded via autophagy in a manner that depends on clathrin-mediated endocytosis and PAK1-mediated cytoskeleton rearrangement. In contrast, free cellular spike protein is selectively cleaved into S1 and S2 subunits in a lysosomal-dependent manner. Importantly, we show that the pan-PAK inhibitor FRAX-486 restores ACE2 surface expression and suppresses infection by different SARS-CoV-2 strains. FRAX-486-treated Syrian hamsters exhibit significantly decreased lung viral load and alleviated pulmonary inflammation compared with untreated hamsters. In summary, our findings have identified novel pathways regulating viral entry, as well as therapeutic targets and candidate compounds for controlling the emerging strains of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Broad-spectrum humanized monoclonal neutralizing antibody against SARS-CoV-2 variants, including the Omicron variant

Introduction

Therapeutic monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein have been shown to improve the outcome of severe COVID-19 patients in clinical trials. However, novel variants with spike protein mutations can render many currently available mAbs ineffective.

Methods

We produced mAbs by using hybridoma cells that generated from mice immunized with spike protein trimer and receptor binding domain (RBD). The panel of mAbs were screened for binding and neutralizing activity against different SARS-CoV-2 variants. The in vivo effectiveness of WKS13 was evaluated in a hamster model.

Results

Out of 960 clones, we identified 18 mAbs that could bind spike protein. Ten of the mAbs could attach to RBD, among which five had neutralizing activity against the ancestral strain and could block the binding between the spike protein and human ACE2. One of these mAbs, WKS13, had broad neutralizing activity against all Variants of Concern (VOCs), including the Omicron variant. Both murine or humanized versions of WKS13 could reduce the lung viral load in hamsters infected with the Delta variant.

Conclusions

Our data showed that broad-spectrum high potency mAbs can be produced from immunized mice, which can be used in humans after humanization of the Fc region. Our method represents a versatile and rapid strategy for generating therapeutic mAbs for upcoming novel variants.

The effects of amino acid substitution of spike protein and genomic recombination on the evolution of SARS-CoV-2

Over three years' pandemic of 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), multiple variants and novel subvariants have emerged successively, outcompeted earlier variants and become predominant. The sequential emergence of variants reflects the evolutionary process of mutation-selection-adaption of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Amino acid substitution/insertion/deletion in the spike protein causes altered viral antigenicity, transmissibility, and pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2. Early in the pandemic, D614G mutation conferred virus with advantages over previous variants and increased transmissibility, and it also laid a conservative background for subsequent substantial mutations. The role of genomic recombination in the evolution of SARS-CoV-2 raised increasing concern with the occurrence of novel recombinants such as Deltacron, XBB.1.5, XBB.1.9.1, and XBB.1.16 in the late phase of pandemic. Co-circulation of different variants and co-infection in immunocompromised patients accelerate the emergence of recombinants. Surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 genomic variations, particularly spike protein mutation and recombination, is essential to identify ongoing changes in the viral genome and antigenic epitopes and thus leads to the development of new vaccine strategies and interventions.

Clinical characteristics of unvaccinated or incompletely vaccinated children with neurological manifestations due to SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection

Omicron generally causes milder disease than previous strains of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), especially in fully vaccinated individuals. However, incompletely vaccinated children may develop Omicron-related complications such as those affecting the central nervous system. To characterize the spectrum of clinical manifestations of neuro-COVID and to identify potential biomarkers associated with clinical outcomes, we recruited 15 children hospitalized for Omicron-related neurological manifestations in three hospitals in Hong Kong (9 boys and 6 girls aged 1-13 years). All were unvaccinated or incompletely vaccinated. Fourteen (93.3%) were admitted for convulsion, including benign febrile seizure (n = 7), complex febrile seizure (n = 2), seizure with fever (n = 3), and recurrent breakthrough seizure (n = 2), and the remaining nonconvulsive patient developed encephalopathic state with impaired consciousness. None of the seven children with benign febrile seizure and six of eight children with other neurological manifestations had residual deficits at 9-month follow-up. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was undetectable in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) specimens of seven patients who underwent lumbar puncture. Spike-and-wave/sharp waves affecting the frontal lobes were detected in four of seven (57.1%) patients who underwent electroencephalogram. Children with Omicron-related neurological manifestations had significantly higher blood levels of IL-6 (p < 0.001) and CHI3L1 (p = 0.022) than healthy controls, and higher CSF levels of IL-6 (p = 0.002) than children with non-COVID-19-related febrile illnesses. Higher CSF-to-blood ratios of IL-8 and CHI3L1 were associated with longer length of stay, whereas higher ratios of IL-6 and IL-8 were associated with higher blood tau level. The role of CSF:blood ratio of IL-6, IL-8, and CHI3L1 as prognostic markers for neuro-COVID should be further evaluated.

The End or a New Era of Development of SARS-CoV-2 Virus: Genetic Variants Responsible for Severe COVID-19 and Clinical Efficacy of the Most Commonly Used Vaccines in Clinical Practice

Although the chief of the World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the end of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as a global health emergency, the disease is still a global threat. To be able to manage such pandemics in the future, it is necessary to develop proper strategies and opportunities to protect human life. The data on the SARS-CoV-2 virus must be continuously analyzed, and the possibilities of mutation and the emergence of new, more infectious variants must be anticipated, as well as the options of using different preventive and therapeutic techniques. This is because the fast development of severe acute coronavirus 2 syndrome (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern have posed a significant problem for COVID-19 pandemic control using the presently available vaccinations. This review summarizes data on the SARS-CoV-2 variants that are responsible for severe COVID-19 and the clinical efficacy of the most commonly used vaccines in clinical practice. The consequences after the disease (long COVID or post-COVID conditions) continue to be the subject of studies and research, and affect social and economic life worldwide.

Global prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 3CL protease mutations associated with nirmatrelvir or ensitrelvir resistance

BACKGROUND

Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid) and ensitrelvir are 3-chymotrypsin-like cysteine protease (3CLpro) inhibitors which have been approved for the treatment of COVID-19 in 2021 and 2022, respectively. Previous studies have identified 3CLpro mutations that are associated with reduced susceptibility to these antivirals. The aim of the current study was to estimate the global prevalence of 3CLpro inhibitor-resistant SARS-CoV-2 strains.

METHODS

We compiled a list of 3CLpro mutations which have been associated with nirmatrelvir or ensitrelvir resistance based on either viral replication or 3CLpro activity assays, and determined their prevalence among 13.4 million sequences deposited in GISAID as of December 14, 2022, about 1 year after the approval of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir. We analyzed the prevalence for different time periods, SARS-CoV-2 lineages and geographical locations.

FINDINGS

Overall, 0.5% (67,095/13,446,588) of the sequences contained at least one mutation that was shown to affect the inhibitory activity of nirmatrelvir or ensitrelvir on viral replication or 3CLpro activity. We did not observe any increasing trend of resistance after the widespread clinical use of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir. G15S (2070 per million) and T21I (1386 per million) were the most prevalent mutations, and these mutations were dominant in some SARS-CoV-2 lineages. E166V and S144E, previously shown to affect the inhibitory activity of nirmatrelvir on viral replication or protease activity by > 100-folds, were found in <1 per million sequences.

INTERPRETATION

Our data suggest that 3CLpro inhibitor resistance is currently rare. However, continuous global genotypic and phenotypic surveillance would be crucial in the early detection of resistant mutants.

FUNDING

Richard and Carol Yu, May Tam Mak Mei Yin, The Shaw Foundation Hong Kong, Michael Tong, Marina Lee, Government Consultancy Service, the Emergency Key Program of Guangzhou Laboratory (See acknowledgements for full list).

Resurgence of Omicron BA.2 in SARS-CoV-2 infection-naive Hong Kong

Hong Kong experienced a surge of Omicron BA.2 infections in early 2022, resulting in one of the highest per-capita death rates of COVID-19. The outbreak occurred in a dense population with low immunity towards natural SARS-CoV-2 infection, high vaccine hesitancy in vulnerable populations, comprehensive disease surveillance and the capacity for stringent public health and social measures (PHSMs). By analyzing genome sequences and epidemiological data, we reconstructed the epidemic trajectory of BA.2 wave and found that the initial BA.2 community transmission emerged from cross-infection within hotel quarantine. The rapid implementation of PHSMs suppressed early epidemic growth but the effective reproduction number (Re) increased again during the Spring festival in early February and remained around 1 until early April. Independent estimates of point prevalence and incidence using phylodynamics also showed extensive superspreading at this time, which likely contributed to the rapid expansion of the epidemic. Discordant inferences based on genomic and epidemiological data underscore the need for research to improve near real-time epidemic growth estimates by combining multiple disparate data sources to better inform outbreak response policy.

Trends in Cases, Hospitalizations, and Mortality Related to the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 Subvariants in South Africa

BACKGROUND

In this study, we compared admission incidence risk and the risk of mortality in the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave to previous waves.

METHODS

Data from South Africa's SARS-CoV-2 case linelist, national COVID-19 hospital surveillance system, and Electronic Vaccine Data System were linked and analyzed. Wave periods were defined when the country passed a weekly incidence of 30 cases/100 000 population. In-hospital case fatality ratios (CFRs) during the Delta, Omicron BA.1/BA.2, and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 waves were compared using post-imputation random effect multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The CFR was 25.9% (N = 37 538 of 144 778), 10.9% (N = 6123 of 56 384), and 8.2% (N = 1212 of 14 879) in the Delta, Omicron BA.1/BA.2, and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 waves, respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, race, comorbidities, health sector, and province, compared with the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave, patients had higher risk of mortality in the Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-1.4) and Delta wave (aOR, 3.0; 95% CI: 2.8-3.2). Being partially vaccinated (aOR, 0.9; 95% CI: .9-.9), fully vaccinated (aOR, 0.6; 95% CI: .6-.7), and boosted (aOR, 0.4; 95% CI: .4-.5) and having prior laboratory-confirmed infection (aOR, 0.4; 95% CI: .3-.4) were associated with reduced risks of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, admission incidence risk and in-hospital mortality, which had increased progressively in South Africa's first 3 waves, decreased in the fourth Omicron BA.1/BA.2 wave and declined even further in the fifth Omicron BA.4/BA.5 wave. Mortality risk was lower in those with natural infection and vaccination, declining further as the number of vaccine doses increased.

Omicron Subvariants: Clinical, Laboratory, and Cell Culture Characterization

BACKGROUND

The variant of concern Omicron has become the sole circulating severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant for the past several months. Omicron subvariants BA.1, BA.2, BA.3, BA.4, and BA.5 evolved over the time, with BA.1 causing the largest wave of infections globally in December 2021-January 2022. This study compared the clinical outcomes in patients infected with different Omicron subvariants and the relative viral loads and recovery of infectious virus from upper respiratory specimens.

METHODS

SARS-CoV-2-positive remnant clinical specimens, diagnosed at the Johns Hopkins Microbiology Laboratory between December 2021 and July 2022, were used for whole-genome sequencing. The clinical outcomes of infections with Omicron subvariants were compared with infections with BA.1. Cycle threshold (Ct) values and the recovery of infectious virus on the VeroTMPRSS2 cell line from clinical specimens were compared.

RESULTS

BA.1 was associated with the largest increase in SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related hospitalizations at the Johns Hopkins system. After a peak in January, cases decreased in the spring, but the emergence of BA.2.12.1 followed by BA.5 in May 2022 led to an increase in case positivity and admissions. BA.1 infections had a lower mean Ct value when compared with other Omicron subvariants. BA.5 samples had a greater likelihood of having infectious virus at Ct values <20.

CONCLUSIONS

Omicron subvariants continue to be associated with a relatively high rate of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) positivity and hospital admissions. The BA.5 infections are more while BA.2 infections are less likely to have infectious virus, suggesting potential differences in infectibility during the Omicron waves.

Intranasal Boosting with Spike Fc-RBD of Wild-Type SARS-CoV-2 Induces Neutralizing Antibodies against Omicron Subvariants and Reduces Viral Load in the Nasal Turbinate of Mice

The emergence of new immune-evasive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants and subvariants outpaces the development of vaccines specific against the dominant circulating strains. In terms of the only accepted immune correlate of protection, the inactivated whole-virion vaccine using wild-type SARS-CoV-2 spike induces a much lower serum neutralizing antibody titre against the Omicron subvariants. Since the inactivated vaccine given intramuscularly is one of the most commonly used coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines in developing regions, we tested the hypothesis that intranasal boosting after intramuscular priming would provide a broader level of protection. Here, we showed that one or two intranasal boosts with the Fc-linked trimeric spike receptor-binding domain from wild-type SARS-CoV-2 can induce significantly higher serum neutralizing antibodies against wild-type SARS-CoV-2 and the Omicron subvariants, including BA.5.2 and XBB.1, with a lower titre in the bronchoalveolar lavage of vaccinated Balb/c mice than vaccination with four intramuscular doses of inactivated whole virion vaccine. The intranasally vaccinated K18-hACE2-transgenic mice also had a significantly lower nasal turbinate viral load, suggesting a better protection of the upper airway, which is the predilected site of infection by Omicron subvariants. This intramuscular priming and intranasal boosting approach that achieves broader cross-protection against Omicron variants and subvariants may lengthen the interval required for changing the vaccine immunogen from months to years.

Weekly symptom profiles of nonhospitalized individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 during the Omicron outbreak in Hong Kong: A retrospective observational study from a telemedicine center

Omicron BA.2.2 is the dominant variant in the Hong Kong outbreak since December 31, 2021. There is no study reporting the weekly symptom profile after infection. In this retrospective study, participants who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 after December 31, 2021, and registered in the telemedicine system between March 14 and May 6, 2022, were analyzed. Among registered 12 950 self-quarantined COVID-19-positive patients, 11 776 symptomatic patients were included for weekly symptom profile analysis. A total of 4718 (40.1%) patients reported symptoms in the first week after a positive test, 2501 (21.2%) in the second week, 1498 (12.7%) in the third week, 1048 (8.9%) in the fourth week, and 2011 (17.1%) in over 4 weeks. Cough was the most common symptom in all participants. Patients in the first week had higher odds of reporting fever (0.206, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.161-0.263, p < 0.001) and sore throat (0.228, 95% CI: 0.208-0.252, p < 0.001). Patients in over 4 weeks had higher odds of reporting fatigue (1.263, 95% CI: 1.139-1.402, p < 0.001). Further, having at least two vaccine doses linked to lower odds of having fever (0.675, 95% CI: 0.562-0.811, p < 0.001), but not associated with the presence of cough and fatigue. Diabetic patients had higher odds of reporting diarrhea (1.637, 95% CI: 1.351-1.982, p < 0.001). Symptoms from Omicron infection may last for more than 4 weeks and symptom profiles vary from week to week. Vaccination and comorbidity affect the symptom profiles.

Epidemiology and Outcomes of Hypernatraemia in Patients with COVID-19-A Territory-Wide Study in Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

Dysnatraemias are commonly reported in COVID-19. However, the clinical epidemiology of hypernatraemia and its impact on clinical outcomes in relation to different variants of SARS-CoV-2, especially the prevailing Omicron variant, remain unclear.

METHODS

This was a territory-wide retrospective study to investigate the clinical epidemiology and outcomes of COVID-19 patients with hypernatraemia at presentation during the period from 1 January 2020 to 31 March 2022. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Key secondary outcomes included rates of hospitalization and ICU admission, and costs of hospitalization.

RESULTS

In this study, 53,415 adult COVID-19 patients were included for analysis. Hypernatraemia was observed in 2688 (5.0%) patients at presentation, of which most cases (99.2%) occurred during the local "5th wave" dominated by the Omicron BA.2 variant. Risk factors for hypernatraemia at presentation included age, institutionalization, congestive heart failure, dementia, higher SARS-CoV-2 Ct value, white cell count, C-reactive protein and lower eGFR and albumin levels (p < 0.001 for all). Patients with hypernatraemia showed significantly higher 30-day mortality (32.0% vs. 5.7%, p < 0.001) and longer lengths of stay (12.9 ± 10.9 vs. 11.5 ± 12.1 days, p < 0.001) compared with those with normonatraemia. Multivariate analysis revealed hypernatraemia at presentation as an independent predictor for 30-day mortality (aHR 1.32, 95% CI 1.14-1.53, p < 0.001) and prolonged hospital stays (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.17-2.05, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Hypernatraemia is common among COVID-19 patients, especially among institutionalized older adults with cognitive impairment and other comorbidities during large-scale outbreaks during the Omicron era. Hypernatraemia is associated with unfavourable outcomes and increased healthcare utilization.

Effect of vaccine booster, vaccine type, and hybrid immunity on humoral and cellular immunity against SARS-CoV-2 ancestral strain and Omicron variant sublineages BA.2 and BA.5 among older adults with comorbidities: a cross sectional study

BACKGROUND

Vaccination reduces COVID-19-related hospitalization among older adults. However, how SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccine regimens affect vaccine-elicited immunity remain unclear.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study recruiting adults aged ≥70 years with comorbidities in Hong Kong. Demographic and clinical information were collected using a questionnaire. Neutralizing antibody (nAb) titers (against ancestral and Omicron strains) and SARS-CoV-2-specific T cell response were analyzed according to infection and vaccination status. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to assess the associations of BNT162b2 and booster doses with higher nAb titers, with adjustment for comorbidities.

FINDINGS

In July 2022, 101 patients were recruited, of whom 25 (24%) had previous infection. Overall, the geometric mean titer (GMT) of BA.5 nAb was 2.8-fold lower than that against BA.2 (P < 0.0001). The ancestral strain and BA.2 titers were higher for the 3-4-dose-BNT162 group than the 2-dose-BNT162b2 group. Non-infected individuals in the 3-4-dose-CoronaVac group had a more robust T cell response than the 2-dose-CoronaVac group (P = 0.0181), but there was no significant difference between the 2-dose-BNT162b2 and 3-4-dose-BNT162b groups. Patients who had heterologous CoronaVac-BNT162b2 prime-boost regimen had 3.22-fold higher BA.5 nAb titers than those who were primed/boosted with CoronaVac (P = 0.0207). Patients with hybrid immunity had higher Omicron nAb titers than those with vaccine-only immunity. Multivariable analysis showed that BNT162b2 and booster doses were independently associated with higher ancestral strain nAb titers.

INTERPRETATION

Our data support the use of booster doses for older adults with or without prior infection. Non-infected individuals primed with CoronaVac will benefit from heterologous mRNA vaccine booster.

FUNDING

Richard and Carol Yu, May Tam Mak Mei Yin, The Shaw Foundation Hong Kong, Michael Tong, Marina Lee, Government Consultancy Service (See acknowledgements for full list).

Evolution and Control of COVID-19 Epidemic in Hong Kong

Hong Kong SAR has adopted universal masking, social distancing, testing of all symptomatic and high-risk groups for isolation of confirmed cases in healthcare facilities, and quarantine of contacts as epidemiological control measures without city lockdown or border closure. These measures successfully suppressed the community transmission of pre-Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variants or lineages during the first to the fourth wave. No nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infection was documented among healthcare workers in the first 300 days. The strategy of COVID-19 containment was adopted to provide additional time to achieve population immunity by vaccination. The near-zero COVID-19 situation for about 8 months in 2021 did not enable adequate immunization of the eligible population. A combination of factors was identified, especially population complacency associated with the low local COVID-19 activity, together with vaccine hesitancy. The importation of the highly transmissible Omicron variant kickstarted the fifth wave of COVID-19, which could no longer be controlled by our initial measures. The explosive fifth wave, which was partially contributed by vertical airborne transmission in high-rise residential buildings, resulted in over one million cases of infection. In this review, we summarize the epidemiology of COVID-19 and the infection control and public health measures against the importation and dissemination of SARS-CoV-2 until day 1000.

Omicron Subvariants: Clinical, Laboratory, and Cell Culture Characterization

Background

The variant of concern, Omicron, has become the sole circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant for the past several months. Omicron subvariants BA.1, BA.2, BA.3, BA.4, and BA.5 evolved over the time, with BA.1 causing the largest wave of infections globally in December 2021- January 2022. In this study, we compare the clinical outcomes in patients infected with different Omicron subvariants and compare the relative viral loads, and recovery of infectious virus from upper respiratory specimens.

Methods

SARS-CoV-2 positive remnant clinical specimens, diagnosed at the Johns Hopkins Microbiology Laboratory between December 2021 and July 2022, were used for whole genome sequencing. The clinical outcomes of infections with Omicron subvariants were compared to infections with BA.1. Cycle threshold values (Ct) and the recovery of infectious virus on VeroTMPRSS2 cell line from clinical specimens were compared.

Results

The BA.1 was associated with the largest increase in SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate and COVID-19 related hospitalizations at the Johns Hopkins system. After a peak in January cases fell in the spring, but the emergence of BA.2.12.1 followed by BA.5 in May 2022 led to an increase in case positivity and admissions. BA.1 infections had a lower mean Ct when compared to other Omicron subvariants. BA.5 samples had a greater likelihood of having infectious virus at Ct values less than 20.

Conclusions

Omicron subvariants continue to associate with a relatively high positivity and admissions. The BA.5 infections are more while BA.2 infections are less likely to have infectious virus, suggesting potential differences in infectibility during the Omicron waves.

Funding

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention contract 75D30121C11061, NIH/NIAID Center of Excellence in Influenza Research and Surveillance contract HHS N2772201400007C, Johns Hopkins University, Maryland department of health, and The Modeling Infectious Diseases in Healthcare Network (MInD) under awards U01CK000589.

Slow Waning of Antibodies Following BNT162b2 as a Third Dose in Adults Who Had Previously Received 2 Doses of Inactivated Vaccine

We administered BNT162b2 as a third dose to 314 adults aged ≥30 years who had previously received 2 doses of inactivated vaccine. We collected blood samples before the third dose and again after 1 month and 6 months, and found robust antibody responses to the ancestral strain at 6 months after receipt of BNT162b2. Antibody responses to Omicron BA.2 by live virus neutralization were weaker after the third dose and had declined to a low level by 6 months.

Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron lineages BA.4 and BA.5 in South Africa

Three lineages (BA.1, BA.2 and BA.3) of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron variant of concern predominantly drove South Africa's fourth Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) wave. We have now identified two new lineages, BA.4 and BA.5, responsible for a fifth wave of infections. The spike proteins of BA.4 and BA.5 are identical, and similar to BA.2 except for the addition of 69-70 deletion (present in the Alpha variant and the BA.1 lineage), L452R (present in the Delta variant), F486V and the wild-type amino acid at Q493. The two lineages differ only outside of the spike region. The 69-70 deletion in spike allows these lineages to be identified by the proxy marker of S-gene target failure, on the background of variants not possessing this feature. BA.4 and BA.5 have rapidly replaced BA.2, reaching more than 50% of sequenced cases in South Africa by the first week of April 2022. Using a multinomial logistic regression model, we estimated growth advantages for BA.4 and BA.5 of 0.08 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08-0.09) and 0.10 (95% CI: 0.09-0.11) per day, respectively, over BA.2 in South Africa. The continued discovery of genetically diverse Omicron lineages points to the hypothesis that a discrete reservoir, such as human chronic infections and/or animal hosts, is potentially contributing to further evolution and dispersal of the virus.

The spike receptor-binding motif G496S substitution determines the replication fitness of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron sublineage

AbstractThe replication and pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 is comparable to that of BA.1 in experimental animal models. However, BA.2 has rapidly emerged to overtake BA.1 to become the predominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant worldwide. Here, we compared the replication fitness of BA.1 and BA.2 in cell culture and in the Syrian hamster model of COVID-19. Using a reverse genetics approach, we found that the BA.1-specific spike mutation G496S compromises its replication fitness, which may contribute to BA.1 being outcompeted by BA.2 in the real world. Additionally, the BA.1-unique G496S substitution confers differentiated sensitivity to therapeutic monoclonal antibodies, which partially recapitulates the immunoevasive phenotype of BA.1 and BA.2. In summary, our study identified G496S as an important determinant during the evolutionary trajectory of SARS-CoV-2.

Risk Factors for Slow Viral Decline in COVID-19 Patients during the 2022 Omicron Wave

Formulating termination of isolation (de-isolation) policies requires up-to-date knowledge about viral shedding dynamics. However, current de-isolation policies are largely based on viral load data obtained before the emergence of Omicron variant. In this retrospective cohort study involving adult patients hospitalised for COVID-19 between January and February 2022, we sought to determine SARS-CoV-2 viral shedding kinetics and to investigate the risk factors associated with slow viral decline during the 2022 Omicron wave. A total of 104 patients were included. The viral load was highest (Ct value was lowest) on days 1 post-symptom-onset (PSO) and gradually declined. Older age, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia and chronic kidney disease were associated with slow viral decline in the univariate analysis on both day 7 and day 10 PSO, while incomplete or no vaccination was associated with slow viral decline on day 7 PSO only. However, older age was the only risk factor that remained statistically significant in the multivariate analysis. In conclusion, older age is an independent risk factor associated with slow viral decline in this study conducted during the Omicron-dominant 2022 COVID-19 wave. Transmission-based precaution guidelines should take age into consideration when determining the timing of de-isolation.

SARS-CoV-2 IgG seropositivity after the severe Omicron wave of COVID-19 in Hong Kong

The Omicron variant has led to a major fifth wave of COVID-19 in Hong Kong between January and May 2022. Here, we used seroprevalence to estimate the combined incidence of vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection, including subclinical infection which were not diagnosed at the acute stage. The overall seropositive rate of IgG against receptor binding domain (anti-RBD IgG) increased from 52.2% in December 2021 to 89.3% in May 2022. The level of anti-RBD IgG was lowest in the 0-9 and ≥80 year-old age groups in May 2022. The seropositive rate of antibody against ORF8, which reflects the rate of prior infection, was 23.4% in May 2022. Our data suggest that although most individuals were either vaccinated or infected after the fifth wave, children and older adults remain most vulnerable. Public health measures should target these vulnerable age groups in order to ameliorate the healthcare consequences of upcoming waves.

Vaccine effectiveness of one, two, and three doses of BNT162b2 and CoronaVac against COVID-19 in Hong Kong: a population-based observational study

Background

Hong Kong maintained low circulation of SARS-CoV-2 until a major community epidemic of the omicron (B.1.1.529) sublineage BA.2 began in January, 2022. Both mRNA (BNT162b2 [Fosun Pharma-BioNTech]) and inactivated CoronaVac (Sinovac, Beijing, China) vaccines are widely available; however, vaccination coverage has been low, particularly in older adults aged 70 years or older. We aimed to assess vaccine effectiveness in this predominantly infection-naive population.

Methods

In this observational study, we used individual-level case data on mild or moderate, severe or fatal, and fatal disease in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 along with census information and coverage data of BNT162b2 and CoronaVac. We used a negative binomial model, adjusting for age, sex, and calendar day to estimate vaccine effectiveness of one, two, and three doses of both BNT162b2 and CoronaVac vaccines, and relative effectiveness by number of doses and vaccine type.

Findings

Between Dec 31, 2020, and March 16, 2022, 13·2 million vaccine doses were administered in Hong Kong's 7·4-million population. We analysed data from confirmed cases with mild or moderate (n=5566), severe or fatal (n=8875), and fatal (n=6866) COVID-19. Two doses of either vaccine protected against severe disease and death within 28 days of a positive test, with higher effectiveness among adults aged 60 years or older with BNT162b2 (vaccine effectiveness 89·3% [95% CI 86·6–91·6]) compared with CoronaVac (69·9% [64·4–74·6]). Three doses of either vaccine offered very high levels of protection against severe or fatal outcomes (97·9% [97·3–98·4]).

Interpretation

Third doses of either BNT162b2 or CoronaVac provide substantial additional protection against severe COVID-19 and should be prioritised, particularly in older adults older than 60 years and others in high-risk populations who received CoronaVac primary schedules. Longer follow-up is needed to assess duration of protection across different vaccine platforms and schedules.

Funding

COVID-19 Vaccines Evaluation Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.