The Malmö Diet and Cancer Study: representativity, cancer incidence and mortality in participants and non-participants

The impact of prediabetes and diabetes on endothelial function in a large population-based cohort

BACKGROUND

Diabetes and prediabetes are well-recognized risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and are marked by vascular endothelial dysfunction (ED). However, there is a scarcity of thorough population-based studies examining ED in individuals with diabetes/prediabetes free from manifest CVD. Here, we examined the association between ED assessed by reactive hyperaemia index (RHI) in the finger and diabetes/prediabetes in a large middle-aged population cohort.

METHODS

Within the Malmö Offspring Study, following the exclusion of participants <30 years and participants with prevalent CVD, 1384 participants had complete data on all covariates. The RHI was calculated using pulse amplitude tonometry. ED was defined as RHI < 1.67. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were conducted to investigate associations between ED and RHI with diabetes and prediabetes.

RESULTS

The study population had a mean age of 53.6 ± 7.6 years (53% women). In study participants with manifest diabetes (n = 121) and prediabetes (n = 514), ED was present in 42% and 25% respectively, compared to 23% in those with normal glucometabolic status. In multivariable logistic regression analyses, prevalent diabetes was significantly associated with ED (OR 1.95; 95%CI 1.57-3.39; p = 0.002), as well as with lower RHI (β-coeff. -0.087; p = 0.002). However, prediabetes showed no association with neither ED nor RHI.

CONCLUSION

In a population free from CVD, vascular endothelial dysfunction was primarily associated with manifest diabetes, but not with prediabetes, implying that finger ED may develop when diabetes is established, rather than being an early sign of glucose intolerance. Further research is needed to explore whether addressing glucose intolerance could potentially delay or prevent vascular ED onset.

Adulthood weight changes, body mass index in youth, genetic susceptibility and risk of atrial fibrillation: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological evidence on weight change and atrial fibrillation (AF) remains limited and inconsistent. Previous studies on body mass index (BMI) in youth and AF rarely considered subsequent BMI. This study aimed to assess the associations of AF with weight change and BMI in youth, as well as modified effect by genetic susceptibility of AF.

METHODS

The study included 21,761 individuals (mean age 57.8 years) from the Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort. Weight information was obtained at three time points, including recalled weight at age 20 years, measured weight at baseline (middle adulthood), and reported weight at 5-year follow-up examination (late middle adulthood). A weighted genetic risk score of AF was created using 134 variants.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 23.2 years, a total of 4038 participants developed AF. The association between weight change from early to middle adulthood and AF risk was modified by sex (Pinteraction = 0.004); weight loss was associated with a lower AF risk in females, but not in males. Conversely, weight gain was positively associated with AF risk in a linear manner in females, whereas increased AF risk appeared only when weight gain exceeded a threshold in males. Participants with weight gain of > 5 kg from middle to late middle adulthood had a 19% higher risk of AF relative to those with stable weight, whereas weight loss showed a null association. Compared to individuals with a lower BMI at age 20 years, those with a BMI above 25 kg/m2 had an increased risk of AF (HR = 1.14; 95% CI: 1.02-1.28), after controlling for baseline BMI; this association was more pronounced in males or those with a lower genetic risk of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Weight gain in middle adulthood was associated with higher AF risk. Weight loss from early to middle adulthood, but not from middle to late middle adulthood, was associated with a lower risk of AF only in females. Higher BMI in youth was associated with an increased risk of AF, particularly among males or those with a lower genetic risk of AF.

Lifestyle and genetic risk of chronic liver disease in metabolically healthy and unhealthy individuals from the general population

Background & Aims

It is unclear to what extent lifestyle and genetic factors affect the incidence of chronic liver disease (CLD) in the general population and if lifestyle affects CLD independently of underlying cardiometabolic perturbations and genetic predisposition.

Methods

We examined 27,991 men and women aged 44-73 years from the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study recruited between 1991-1996 and followed until the end of 2020 using registry linkage (median follow-up time 25.1 years; 382 incident first-time CLD events). Associations between cardiometabolic factors, polygenic risk scores (PRSs), and lifestyle factors in relation to CLD were examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

The incidence of CLD increased with number of cardiometabolic risk factors (the hazard ratio per each additional cardiometabolic risk factor was 1.33; 95% CI 1.21-1.45; p = 5.1 x 10-10). Two novel PRSs for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and a PRS for cirrhosis were associated with higher risk of CLD but provided marginal predictive utility on top of other risk factors and compared to the PNPLA3 rs738409 genetic variant. An unhealthy lifestyle (high alcohol intake, current smoking, physical inactivity and unhealthy diet) markedly increased the risk of CLD (hazard ratio 3.97, 95% CI 2.59-6.10). Observed associations between examined lifestyle factors and CLD were largely independent of cardiometabolic perturbations and polygenic risk.

Conclusions

We confirmed the importance of cardiometabolic dysfunction in relation to risk of CLD in the general population. Lifestyle risk factors were shown to be independently associated with CLD and added predictive information on top of cardiometabolic risk factors. Information on the polygenic risk of liver disease does not currently improve the prediction of CLD in the general population.

Impact and implications

This large population-based prospective study suggests largely independent roles of cardiometabolic, lifestyle, and genetic risk factors in the development of chronic liver disease. Findings strengthen the evidence base for a beneficial effect of modification of high-risk lifestyle behaviors in the primary prevention of chronic liver disease in the general population.

Long-term exposure to transportation noise and obesity: A pooled analysis of eleven Nordic cohorts

Background

Available evidence suggests a link between exposure to transportation noise and an increased risk of obesity. We aimed to assess exposure-response functions for long-term residential exposure to road traffic, railway and aircraft noise, and markers of obesity.

Methods

Our cross-sectional study is based on pooled data from 11 Nordic cohorts, including up to 162,639 individuals with either measured (69.2%) or self-reported obesity data. Residential exposure to transportation noise was estimated as a time-weighted average Lden 5 years before recruitment. Adjusted linear and logistic regression models were fitted to assess beta coefficients and odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for body mass index, overweight, and obesity, as well as for waist circumference and central obesity. Furthermore, natural splines were fitted to assess the shape of the exposure-response functions.

Results

For road traffic noise, the OR for obesity was 1.06 (95% CI = 1.03, 1.08) and for central obesity 1.03 (95% CI = 1.01, 1.05) per 10 dB Lden. Thresholds were observed at around 50-55 and 55-60 dB Lden, respectively, above which there was an approximate 10% risk increase per 10 dB Lden increment for both outcomes. However, linear associations only occurred in participants with measured obesity markers and were strongly influenced by the largest cohort. Similar risk estimates as for road traffic noise were found for railway noise, with no clear thresholds. For aircraft noise, results were uncertain due to the low number of exposed participants.

Conclusion

Our results support an association between road traffic and railway noise and obesity.

Mammographic features differ with body composition in women with breast cancer

OBJECTIVES

There are several breast cancer (BC) risk factors-many related to body composition, hormonal status, and fertility patterns. However, it is not known if risk factors in healthy women are associated with specific mammographic features at the time of BC diagnosis. Our aim was to assess the potential association between pre-diagnostic body composition and mammographic features in the diagnostic BC image.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study includes women with invasive BC from 1991 to 2014 (n = 1116). BC risk factors at baseline were registered (anthropometric measures, menopausal status, and parity) along with mammography data from BC diagnosis (breast density, mammographic tumor appearance, and mode of detection). We investigated associations between anthropometric measures and mammographic features via logistic regression analyses, yielding odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

There was an association between high body mass index (BMI) (≥ 30) at baseline and spiculated tumor appearance (OR 1.370 (95% CI: 0.941-2.010)), primarily in women with clinically detected cancers (OR 2.240 (95% CI: 1.280-3.940)), and in postmenopausal women (OR 1.580 (95% CI: 1.030-2.440)). Furthermore, an inverse association between high BMI (≥ 30) and high breast density (OR 0.270 (95% CI: 0.166-0.438)) was found.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated an association between obesity and a spiculated mass on mammography-especially in women with clinically detected cancers and in postmenopausal women. These findings offer insights on the relationship between risk factors in healthy women and related mammographic features in subsequent BC.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

With increasing numbers of both BC incidence and women with obesity, it is important to highlight mammographic findings in women with an unhealthy weight.

KEY POINTS

Women with obesity and BC may present with certain mammographic features. Spiculated masses were more common in women with obesity, especially postmenopausal women, and those with clinically detected BCs. Insights on the relationship between obesity and related mammographic features will aid mammographic interpretation.

Birth weight and birth length affect future fracture risk differently in men and women

We wanted to determine if there are any associations between birth factors and adult fracture risk. For women only, shorter birth length was associated with lower relative fracture risk. For women and men, individuals who were long at birth as well as tall in adulthood had a substantially higher relative fracture risk.

PURPOSE

We aimed to examine associations between birth anthropometry and adult fracture risk and to investigate if developmental mismatch is associated with fracture risk.

METHODS

We included 4635 participants (476 women and 4159 men; born 1921-1950) with hospital and national registry-based data on birth anthropometry and adult fractures (≥ 50 years). We tested associations by Cox proportional hazards regressions and present hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

In total, 1215 (26%) suffered ≥ 1 fracture during a mean observation period of 26 years. In women, unadjusted analyses indicated that both higher birth weight (HR 1.42 per kg (1.10-1.84)) and birth length (1.10 per cm (1.05-1.17)) were associated to higher adult fracture risk. After adjustment (year of birth and gestational age), statistical significance remained only for birth length, HR 1.10 per cm (1.04-1.17). For men, no associations were apparent. We found no associations between developmental mismatch (lower birth weight followed by higher adult weight) and adult fracture risk. However, for both sexes, being born tall and staying tall into adulthood was associated with a markedly higher (55-105%) relative fracture risk (HR women 2.09 (1.18-3.68), men 1.55 (1.19-2.03)) compared to being born short and remaining short in adulthood.

CONCLUSION

In this study, being born shorter and lighter was associated with a lower risk for fractures ≥ 50 years in women. However, analyses indicated that tall adults who were also long at birth may be at markedly higher risk of fractures; this warrants further examinations.

The EAT-Lancet Diet Index, Plasma Proteins, and Risk of Heart Failure in a Population-Based Cohort

BACKGROUND

The landmark EAT-Lancet Commission proposed that a planetary health diet is comprised mainly of plant-based foods. However, studies examining whether this diet is associated with heart failure (HF) are currently lacking. In addition, the potential proteomics mechanism on the association between diet and HF warrants further elucidation.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to both examine the association between the EAT-Lancet diet index and risk of HF and identify plasma proteins underlying such an association.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 23,260 participants. HF cases during the follow-up were identified through the Swedish national register. An EAT-Lancet diet index (score range: 0-42) was created to assess adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet. In a subcohort (n = 4,742), fasting plasma proteins were quantified.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 25.0 years, 1,768 incident HF cases were documented. After adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, diabetes, hypertension, use of lipid-lowering drugs, and body mass index, the HR per 3-point increase of the EAT-Lancet diet index was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.88-0.97). This association was robust in several sensitivity analyses. Among the included 136 plasma proteins, a total of 8 proteins (AM, GDF15, IL-6, TIM, CTSD, CCL20, FS, and FUR) were both inversely associated with the EAT-Lancet diet index and positively associated with risk of HF; the overall proteomic score mediated 9.4% (95% CI: 2.2%-32.1%) of the association.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet was associated with a lower risk of HF. The identified eight plasma proteins provide information on potential pathways mediating such an association.

Associations of modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors with cognitive functions - a prospective, population-based, 17 years follow-up study of 3,229 individuals

BACKGROUND

Although several cardiovascular, demographic, genetic and lifestyle factors have been associated with cognitive function, little is known about what type of cognitive impairment they are associated with. The aim was to examine the associations between different risk factors and future memory and attention/executive functions, and their interaction with APOE genotype.

METHODS

Participants from a large, prospective, population-based, Swedish study were included (n = 3,229). Linear regression models were used to examine baseline hypertension, body mass index (BMI), long-term glucose levels (HbA1c), different lipid levels, physical activity, alcohol consumption, smoking, education, APOE genotype, age and sex. All models were adjusted for follow-up time and basic demographics, and, in a second step, all significant predictors were included to examine independent effects. Follow-up outcomes were memory and attention/executive functions.

RESULTS

The mean age at baseline was 56.1 (SD 5.7) years and 59.7% were women. The mean follow-up time was 17.4 (range 14.3-20.8) years. When examining independent effects, APOE ε4 genotype(p < 0.01), and higher HbA1c(p < 0.001), were associated with future low memory function. Higher BMI (p < 0.05), and HbA1c(p < 0.05), lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C)(p < 0.05)and stroke(p < 0.001) were associated with future low attention/executive function. The strongest factors associated with both better memory and attention/executive functions were higher education and alcohol consumption. Further, significant interaction effects between predictors and APOE genotype were found. For memory function, the protective effects of education were greater among ɛ4-carriers(p < 0.05). For attention/executive function, the protective effects of alcohol were greater among ɛ2 or ɛ4-carriers(p < 0.05). Also, attention/executive function was lower among ɛ4-carriers with higher BMI(p < 0.05) and ɛ2-carriers with higher HbA1c-levels(p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Targeting cardiovascular risk factors in mid-life could have greater effect on future attention/executive functions rather than memory, whereas targeting diabetes could be beneficial for multiple cognitive domains. In addition, effects of different risk factors may vary depending on the APOE genotype. The varied cognitive profiles suggest that different mechanisms and brain regions are affected by the individual risk factors. Having detailed knowledge about the specific cognitive effects of different risk factors might be beneficial in preventive health counseling.

Risk of hand and forearm conditions due to vibrating hand-held tools exposure: a retrospective cohort study from Sweden

OBJECTIVES

The occurrence of hand and forearm disorders related to vibration exposure, adjusted for relevant background factors, is scarcely reported. We analysed the prevalence of such conditions in a large population cohort, stratified by sex, and associations with exposure to vibrating hand-held tools.

DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Individuals in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study cohort (MDCS; inclusion 1991-1996; followed until 2018) were asked, 'does your work involve working with vibrating hand-held tools?' (response: 'not at all', 'some' and 'much'). Data were cross-linked with national registers to identify treatment for carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS), ulnar nerve entrapment (UNE), Dupuytren's disease, trigger finger or first carpometacarpal joint (CMC-1) osteoarthritis (OA). Cox regression models, unadjusted and adjusted (age, sex, prevalent diabetes, smoking, hypertension and alcohol consumption), were performed to analyse the effects of reported vibration exposure.

PARTICIPANTS

Individuals in the MDCS who had answered the questionnaire on vibration exposure (14 342 out of the originally 30 446 individuals in MDCS) were included in the study.

RESULTS

In total, 12 220/14 342 individuals (76%) reported 'no' exposure, 1392/14 342 (9%) 'some' and 730/14 342 (5%) 'much' exposure to vibrating hand-held tools. In men, 'much' exposure was independently associated with CTS (HR 1.71 (95% CI 1.11 to 2.62)) and UNE (HR 2.42 (95% CI 1.15 to 5.07)). 'Some' exposure was independently associated with UNE in men (HR 2.10 (95% CI 1.12 to 3.95)). 'Much' exposure was independently associated with trigger finger in women (HR 2.73 (95% CI 1.49 to 4.99)). We found no effect of vibration exposure on Dupuytren's disease or CMC-1 OA. 'Much' vibration exposure predicted any hand and forearm diagnosis in men (HR 1.44 (95% CI 1.08 to 1.80)), but not in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Vibration exposure by hand-held tools increases the risk of developing CTS and UNE and any common hand and forearm conditions in men, whereas women only risk trigger finger and CMC-1 OA. Adjustment for relevant confounders in vibration exposure is crucial.

A systematic evaluation of seven different scores representing the EAT-Lancet reference diet and mortality, stroke, and greenhouse gas emissions in three cohorts

Different approaches have been used for translation of the EAT-Lancet reference diet into dietary scores that can be used to assess health and environmental impact. Our aim was to compare the different EAT-Lancet diet scores, and to estimate their associations with all-cause mortality, stroke incidence, and greenhouse gas emissions. We did a systematic review (PROSPERO, CRD42021286597) to identify different scores representing adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet. We then qualitatively compared the diet adherence scores, including their ability to group individuals according the EAT-Lancet reference diet recommendations, and quantitatively assessed the associations of the diet scores with health and environmental outcome data in three diverse cohorts: the Danish Diet, Cancer and Health Cohort (DCH; n=52 452), the Swedish Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort (MDC; n=20 973), and the Mexican Teachers' Cohort (MTC; n=30 151). The DCH and MTC used food frequency questionnaires and the MDC used a modified diet history method to assess dietary intake, which we used to compute EAT-Lancet diet scores and evaluate the associations of scores with hazard of all-cause mortality and stroke. In the MDC, dietary greenhouse gas emission values were summarised for every participant, which we used to predict greenhouse gas emissions associated with varying diet adherence scores on each scoring system. In our review, seven diet scores were identified (Knuppel et al, 2019; Trijsburg et al, 2020; Cacau et al, 2021; Hanley-Cook et al, 2021; Kesse-Guyot et al, 2021; Stubbendorff et al, 2022; and Colizzi et al, 2023). Two of the seven scores (Stubbendorff and Colizzi) were among the most consistent in grouping participants according to the EAT-Lancet reference diet recommendations across cohorts, and higher scores (greater diet adherence) were associated with decreased risk of mortality (in the DCH and MDC), decreased risk of incident stroke (in the DCH and MDC for the Stubbendorff score; and in the DCH for the Colizzi score), and decreased predicted greenhouse gas emissions in the MDC. We conclude that the seven different scores representing the EAT-Lancet reference diet had differences in construction, interpretation, and relation to disease and climate-related outcomes. Two scores generally performed well in our evaluation. Future studies should carefully consider which diet score to use and preferably use multiple scores to assess the robustness of estimations, given that public health and environmental policy rely on these estimates.

Mammographic features at primary breast cancer diagnosis in relation to recurrence-free survival

PURPOSE

The number of women living with breast cancer (BC) is increasing, and the efficacy of surveillance programs after BC treatment is essential. Identification of links between mammographic features and recurrence could help design follow up strategies, which may lead to earlier detection of recurrence. The aim of this study was to analyze associations between mammographic features at diagnosis and their potential association with recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

Women with invasive BC in the prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (n = 1116, 1991-2014) were assessed for locoregional and distant recurrences, with a median follow-up of 10.15 years. Of these, 34 women were excluded due to metastatic disease at diagnosis or missing recurrence data. Mammographic features (breast density [BI-RADS and clinical routine], tumor appearance, mode of detection) and tumor characteristics (tumor size, axillary lymph node involvement, histological grade) at diagnosis were registered. Associations were analyzed using Cox regression, yielding hazard ratios (HR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Of the 1082 women, 265 (24.4 %) had recurrent disease. There was an association between high mammographic breast density at diagnosis and impaired RFS (adjusted HR 1.32 (0.98-1.79). In analyses limited to screen-detected BC, this association was stronger (adjusted HR 2.12 (1.35-3.32). There was no association between mammographic tumor appearance and recurrence.

CONCLUSION

RFS was impaired in women with high breast density compared to those with low density, especially among women with screen-detected BC. This study may lead to insights on mammographic features preceding BC recurrence, which could be used to tailor follow up strategies.

Inverse association between Paleolithic Diet Fraction and mortality and incidence of cardiometabolic disease in the prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study

PURPOSE

Paleolithic Diet Fraction (PDF) estimates how large a portion of the absolute dietary intake stems from food groups included in the Paleolithic diet. In randomized controlled trials higher PDFs have been associated with healthier levels of cardiometabolic risk markers. Our aim was to build upon these findings by examining associations between PDF and mortality and incidence of cardiometabolic disease in the prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study.

METHODS

PDF was calculated from an interview-based, modified diet history method, and associations were estimated by using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. The examined cohort consisted of 24,104 individuals (44-74 years, 63% women) without previous coronary events, diabetes, or stroke at baseline (1992-1996). A total of 10,092 individuals died during a median follow-up of 18 years.

RESULTS

Median PDF was 40% (0-90%). The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for PDF as a continuous variable (from 0 to 100%) were for risk of death from all causes 0.55 [95% CI 0.45, 0.66], tumor 0.68 [95% CI 0.49, 0.93], cardiovascular 0.55 [95% CI 0.39, 0.78], respiratory 0.44 [95% CI 0.21, 0.90], neurological 0.26 [95% CI 0.11, 0.60], digestive, 0.10 [95% CI 0.03, 0.30], and other diseases 0.64 [95% CI 0.41, 1.00]. The corresponding HR for risk of coronary event was 0.61 [95% 0.43, 0.86], for ischemic stroke it was 0.73 [95% 0.48, 1.09] and for type 2 diabetes it was 0.82 [95% 0.61, 1.10].

CONCLUSION

Observational data suggest an inverse association between PDF and all-cause as well as cause-specific mortality and incidence of cardiometabolic disease.

Aortic Stiffness Can be Predicted From Different eGFR Formulas With Long Follow-Up in the Malmö Diet Cancer Study

We studied the impact of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on either creatinine or cystatin C, or in combination, on vascular aging (aortic stiffness) and central hemodynamics (central systolic blood pressure) in a Swedish urban population with median 17 years of follow-up. Participants (n = 5049) from the population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer Study that underwent baseline examination and later participated in the prospective cardiovascular arm were selected. Of these, 2064 with measured carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and central blood pressure at follow-up were enrolled. eGFR was calculated using cystatin C (eGFRCYS) and creatinine (eGFRCR) equations: Caucasian, Asian, pediatric, and adult cohorts (CAPA), the Lund-Malmö revised (LMrev), and the European Kidney Function Consortium (EKFC) equations. Lower adjusted eGFRCR, but not eGFRCYS, were independently associated with higher cfPWV (P < .001, respectively). eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 determined higher cfPWV except when using the EKFC equation. Conversely, CAPA/LMrev and CAPA/EKFC ratios were not associated with aortic stiffness. Lower eGFRCR is associated with higher future aortic stiffness independently of age, sex, heart rate, mean blood pressure, body mass index, and antihypertensive treatment. The ratio of eGFRCYS and eGFRCR equations could not predict aortic stiffness at all.

Adherence to dietary guidelines, and the risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis: results from a nested case-control study

OBJECTIVES

To examine the relationship between adherence to dietary guidelines and the risk of developing RA.

METHODS

Participants in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study (MDCS) cohort diagnosed with RA were identified through register linkage and validated in a structured review. Four controls per case were selected, matched for sex, year of birth, and year of inclusion in the MDCS. Diet was assessed at baseline (1991-1996) using a validated diet history method. A Diet Quality Index (DQI) based on adherence to the Swedish dietary guidelines including intakes of fibre, vegetables and fruits, fish and shellfish, saturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, and sucrose, was used. The associations between the DQI and its components and the risk of RA were assessed using conditional logistic regression analysis, adjusting for total energy intake, smoking, leisure time physical activity and alcohol consumption.

RESULTS

We identified 172 validated cases of incident RA in the cohort. Overall adherence to the dietary guidelines was not associated with the risk of RA. Adherence to recommended fibre intake was associated with decreased risk of RA in crude and multivariable-adjusted analyses, with odds ratios (ORs) 0.60 (95% CI 0.39, 0.93) and 0.51 (95% CI 0.29, 0.90), respectively, compared with subjects with non-adherence.

CONCLUSIONS

Reaching the recommended intake level of dietary fibre, but not overall diet quality, was independently associated with decreased risk of RA. Further studies are needed to assess the role of different food sources of dietary fibre in relation to risk of RA and the underlying mechanisms.

Apolipoproteins and the risk of giant cell arteritis-a nested case-control study

BACKGROUND

The etiology of giant cell arteritis (GCA) and its predictors are incompletely understood. Previous studies have indicated reduced risk of future development of GCA in individuals with obesity and/or diabetes mellitus. There is limited information on blood lipids before the onset of GCA. The objective of the study was to investigate the relation between apolipoprotein levels and future diagnosis of GCA in a nested case-control analysis.

METHODS

Individuals who developed GCA after inclusion in a population-based health survey (the Malmö Diet Cancer Study; N = 30,447) were identified by linking the health survey database to the local patient administrative register and the national patient register. A structured review of medical records was performed. Four controls for every validated case, matched for sex, year of birth, and year of screening, were selected from the database. Anthropometric measures, self-reported physical activity, based on a comprehensive, validated questionnaire, and non-fasting blood samples had been obtained at health survey screening. Concentrations of apolipoprotein A-I (ApoA-I) and apolipoprotein B (ApoB) in stored serum were measured using an immunonephelometric assay. Potential predictors of GCA were examined in conditional logistic regression models.

RESULTS

There were 100 cases with a confirmed clinical diagnosis of GCA (81% female; mean age at diagnosis 73.6 years). The median time from screening to diagnosis was 12 years (range 0.3-19.1). The cases had significantly higher ApoA-I at baseline screening compared to controls (mean 168.7 vs 160.9 mg/dL, odds ratio [OR] 1.57 per standard deviation (SD); 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.18-2.10) (SD 25.5 mg/dL). ApoB levels were similar between cases and controls (mean 109.3 vs 110.4 mg/dL, OR 0.99 per SD; 95% CI 0.74-1.32) (SD 27.1 mg/dL). The ApoB/ApoA1 ratio tended to be lower in cases than in controls, but the difference did not reach significance. The association between ApoA-I and GCA development remained significant in analysis adjusted for body mass index and physical activity (OR 1.48 per SD; 95% CI 1.09-1.99).

CONCLUSION

Subsequent development of GCA was associated with significantly higher levels of ApoA-I. These findings suggest that a metabolic profile associated with lower risk of cardiovascular disease may predispose to GCA.

The association between water intake and future cardiometabolic disease outcomes in the Malmö Diet and Cancer cardiovascular cohort

The aim of this study was to explore the longitudinal association between reported baseline water intake and incidence of coronary artery disease (CAD) and type 2 diabetes in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort (n = 25,369). Using cox proportional hazards models, we separately modelled the effect of plain and total (all water, including from food) water on CAD and type 2 diabetes risk, whilst adjusting for age, sex, diet collection method, season, smoking status, alcohol intake, physical activity, education level, energy intake, energy misreporting, body mass index, hypertension, lipid lowering medication, apolipoprotein A, apolipoprotein B, and dietary variables. Sensitivity analyses were run to assess validity. After adjustment, no association was found between tertiles of plain or total water intake and type 2 diabetes risk. For CAD, no association was found comparing moderate to low intake tertiles from plain or total water, however, risk of CAD increased by 12% (95% CI 1.03, 1.21) when comparing high to low intake tertiles of plain water, and by 17% (95% CI 1.07, 1.27) for high versus low tertiles of total water. Sensitivity analyses were largely in agreement. Overall, baseline water intake was not associated with future type 2 diabetes risk, whilst CAD risk was higher with higher water intakes. Our findings are discordant with prevailing literature suggesting higher water intakes should reduce cardiometabolic risk. These findings may be an artefact of limitations within the study, but future research is needed to understand if there is a causal underpinning.

Clusters of carbohydrate-rich foods and associations with type 2 diabetes incidence: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

About one in ten adults are living with diabetes worldwide. Intake of carbohydrates and carbohydrate-rich foods are often identified as modifiable risk factors for incident type 2 diabetes. However, strong correlation between food variables can make it difficult to identify true associations. The purpose of this study was to identify clusters of carbohydrate-rich foods and analyse their associations with type 2 diabetes incidence in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study cohort in southern Sweden.

METHODS

Dietary intake of 26 622 participants was assessed using a validated three-part diet history method: a 7-day food diary, a 168-item food frequency questionnaire, and a 60-minute interview. K-means clustering analysis identified five clusters from 21 food variables. The Cox proportional hazard regression model was applied to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the association between clusters and incident type 2 diabetes.

RESULTS

The cluster analysis resulted in five clusters; high vegetables/low added sugar, high sugar-sweetened beverages, high juice, high fruit, and high refined carbohydrates/low fruit & vegetables (reference). During mean follow-up of 18 years, 4046 type 2 diabetes cases were identified. After adjustment for potential confounding (including lifestyle, body mass index, and diet), a high fruit cluster (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.78, 0.94) was inversely associated with type 2 diabetes compared to the reference cluster. No other significant associations were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

A dietary pattern defined by a high intake of fruits was associated with a lower incidence of type 2 diabetes. The findings provide additional evidence of a potential protective effect from fruit intake in reducing type 2 diabetes risk. Future studies are needed to explore this association further.

Relationships between Charlson comorbidity index associated biomarkers and outcomes among participants in the Malmö diet and cancer study

INTRODUCTION

The aim was to evaluate two biomarker scores trained to identify comorbidity burden in the prediction of specified chronic morbidities, and mortality in the general population.

METHODS

Cardiovascular biomarkers were measured in the cardiovascular cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. A score of 19 biomarkers associated with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was created (BSMDC). Individuals with CCI diagnoses and other major comorbidities were excluded. Another score of 11 biomarkers associated with comorbidity burden from a previous study of acute dyspnea was also created (BSADYS). The scores were prospectively evaluated for prediction of mortality, and some chronic diseases, using Cox Proportional Hazards Model.

RESULTS

Fully adjusted models showed that BSMDC was significantly associated per 1 SD increment of the score with incident COPD, 55%, and congestive heart failure, 32%; and with mortality, 33% cardiovascular, 91% respiratory, 30% cancer, and 45% with all-cause mortality. The BSADYS showed no association with these outcomes, after simultaneous inclusion of both biomarker scores to all the clinical covariates.

CONCLUSION

BSMDC shows strong prediction of morbidity and mortality in individuals free from comorbidities at baseline, and the results suggest that healthy individuals with high level of BSMDC would benefit from intense preventive actions.

Red cell distribution width and its polygenic score in relation to mortality and cardiometabolic outcomes

Introduction

Elevated red cell distribution width (RDW) has been associated with a range of health outcomes. This study aims to examine prognostic and etiological roles of RDW levels, both phenotypic and genetic predisposition, in predicting cardiovascular outcomes, diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality.

Methods

We studied 27,141 middle-aged adults from the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (MDCS) with a mean follow up of 21 years. RDW was measured with a hematology analyzer on whole blood samples. Polygenic scores for RDW (PGS-RDW) were constructed for each participant using genetic data in MDCS and published summary statistics from genome-wide association study of RDW (n = 408,112). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess associations between RDW, PGS-RDW and cardiovascular outcomes, diabetes, CKD and mortality, respectively.

Results

PGS-RDW was significantly associated with RDW (Pearson's correlation coefficient = 0.133, p < 0.001). RDW was significantly associated with incidence of stroke (hazard ratio (HR) per 1 standard deviation = 1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.10, p = 0.003), atrial fibrillation (HR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.12, p < 0.001), heart failure (HR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.08-1.19, p < 0.001), venous thromboembolism (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.15-1.28, p < 0.001), diabetes (HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.84-0.90, p < 0.001), CKD (HR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.03-1.13, p = 0.004) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.16-1.20, p < 0.001). However, PGS-RDW was significantly associated with incidence of diabetes (HR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.94-0.99, p = 0.01), but not with any other tested outcomes.

Discussion

RDW is associated with mortality and incidence of cardiovascular diseases, but a significant association between genetically determined RDW and incident cardiovascular diseases were not observed. However, both RDW and PGS-RDW were inversely associated with incidence of diabetes, suggesting a putative causal relationship. The relationship with incidence of diabetes needs to be further studied.

The Long-Term Mortality Effects Associated with Exposure to Particles and NOx in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort

In this study, the long-term mortality effects associated with exposure to PM10 (particles with an aerodynamic diameter smaller than or equal to 10 µm), PM2.5 (particles with an aerodynamic diameter smaller than or equal to 2.5 µm), BC (black carbon), and NOx (nitrogen oxides) were analyzed in a cohort in southern Sweden during the period from 1991 to 2016. Participants (those residing in Malmö, Sweden, born between 1923 and 1950) were randomly recruited from 1991 to 1996. At enrollment, 30,438 participants underwent a health screening, which consisted of questionnaires about lifestyle and diet, a clinical examination, and blood sampling. Mortality data were retrieved from the Swedish National Cause of Death Register. The modeled concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, BC, and NOx at the cohort participants' home addresses were used to assess air pollution exposure. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the associations between long-term exposure to PM10, PM2.5, BC, and NOx and the time until death among the participants during the period from 1991 to 2016. The hazard ratios (HRs) associated with an interquartile range (IQR) increase in each air pollutant were calculated based on the exposure lag windows of the same year (lag0), 1-5 years (lag1-5), and 6-10 years (lag6-10). Three models were used with varying adjustments for possible confounders including both single-pollutant estimates and two-pollutant estimates. With adjustments for all covariates, the HRs for PM10, PM2.5, BC, and NOx in the single-pollutant models at lag1-5 were 1.06 (95% CI: 1.02-1.11), 1.01 (95% CI: 0.95-1.08), 1.07 (95% CI: 1.04-1.11), and 1.11 (95% CI: 1.07-1.16) per IQR increase, respectively. The HRs, in most cases, decreased with the inclusion of a larger number of covariates in the models. The most robust associations were shown for NOx, with statistically significant positive HRs in all the models. An overall conclusion is that road traffic-related pollutants had a significant association with mortality in the cohort.

Associations of ultra-processed food consumption, circulating protein biomarkers, and risk of cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

We aim to examine the association between ultra-processed foods (UPF) consumption and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and to identify plasma proteins associated with UPF.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 26,369 participants from the Swedish Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, established in 1991-1996. Dietary intake was assessed using a modified diet history method, and UPF consumption was estimated using the NOVA classification system. A total of 88 selected CVD-related proteins were measured among 4475 subjects. Incident CVD (coronary heart disease and ischemic stroke) was defined as a hospital admission or death through registers. Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to analyze the associations of UPF intake with risks of CVD. Linear regression models were used to identify the plasma proteins associated with UPF intake.

RESULTS

During 24.6 years of median follow-up, 6236 participants developed CVD, of whom 3566 developed coronary heart disease and 3272 developed ischemic stroke. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) in the 4th versus 1st quartile of UPF was 1.18 (1.08, 1.29) for CVD, 1.20 (1.07, 1.35) for coronary heart disease, and 1.17 (1.03, 1.32) for ischemic stroke. Plasma proteins interleukin 18, tumor necrosis factor receptor 2, macrophage colony-stimulating factor 1, thrombomodulin, tumor necrosis factor receptor 1, hepatocyte growth factor, stem cell factor, resistin, C-C motif chemokine 3, and endothelial cell-specific molecule 1 were positively associated with UPF after correcting for multiple testing.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that high UPF intake increased the risk of CVD and was associated with several protein biomarkers. Future studies are warranted to validate these findings and assess the potential pathways between UPF intake and CVD.

Can non-participants in a follow-up be used to draw conclusions about incidences and prevalences in the full population invited at baseline? An investigation based on the Swedish MDC cohort

BACKGROUND

Participants in epidemiological cohorts may not be representative of the full invited population, limiting the generalizability of prevalence and incidence estimates. We propose that this problem can be remedied by exploiting data on baseline participants who refused to participate in a re-examination, as such participants may be more similar to baseline non-participants than what baseline participants who agree to participate in the re-examination are.

METHODS

We compared background characteristics, mortality, and disease incidences across the full population invited to the Malmö Diet and Cancer (MDC) study, the baseline participants, the baseline non-participants, the baseline participants who participated in a re-examination, and the baseline participants who did not participate in the re-examination. We then considered two models for estimating characteristics and outcomes in the full population: one ("the substitution model") assuming that the baseline non-participants were similar to the baseline participants who refused to participate in the re-examination, and one ("the extrapolation model") assuming that differences between the full group of baseline participants and the baseline participants who participated in the re-examination could be extended to infer results in the full population. Finally, we compared prevalences of baseline risk factors including smoking, risky drinking, overweight, and obesity across baseline participants, baseline participants who participated in the re-examination, and baseline participants who did not participate in the re-examination, and used the above models to estimate the prevalences of these factors in the full invited population.

RESULTS

Compared to baseline non-participants, baseline participants were less likely to be immigrants, had higher socioeconomic status, and lower mortality and disease incidences. Baseline participants not participating in the re-examination generally resembled the full population. The extrapolation model often generated characteristics and incidences even more similar to the full population. The prevalences of risk factors, particularly smoking, were estimated to be substantially higher in the full population than among the baseline participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Participants in epidemiological cohorts such as the MDC study are unlikely to be representative of the full invited population. Exploiting data on baseline participants who did not participate in a re-examination can be a simple and useful way to improve the generalizability of prevalence and incidence estimates.

The use of deep learning in medical imaging to improve spine care: A scoping review of current literature and clinical applications

Background

Artificial intelligence is a revolutionary technology that promises to assist clinicians in improving patient care. In radiology, deep learning (DL) is widely used in clinical decision aids due to its ability to analyze complex patterns and images. It allows for rapid, enhanced data, and imaging analysis, from diagnosis to outcome prediction. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the current literature and clinical utilization of DL in spine imaging.

Methods

This study is a scoping review and utilized the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) methodology to review the scientific literature from 2012 to 2021. A search in PubMed, Web of Science, Embased, and IEEE Xplore databases with syntax specific for DL and medical imaging in spine care applications was conducted to collect all original publications on the subject. Specific data was extracted from the available literature, including algorithm application, algorithms tested, database type and size, algorithm training method, and outcome of interest.

Results

A total of 365 studies (total sample of 232,394 patients) were included and grouped into 4 general applications: diagnostic tools, clinical decision support tools, automated clinical/instrumentation assessment, and clinical outcome prediction. Notable disparities exist in the selected algorithms and the training across multiple disparate databases. The most frequently used algorithms were U-Net and ResNet. A DL model was developed and validated in 92% of included studies, while a pre-existing DL model was investigated in 8%. Of all developed models, only 15% of them have been externally validated.

Conclusions

Based on this scoping review, DL in spine imaging is used in a broad range of clinical applications, particularly for diagnosing spinal conditions. There is a wide variety of DL algorithms, database characteristics, and training methods. Future studies should focus on external validation of existing models before bringing them into clinical use.

The EAT-Lancet diet, genetic susceptibility and risk of atrial fibrillation in a population-based cohort

BACKGROUND

The EAT-Lancet Commission proposed a global reference diet with both human health benefits and environmental sustainability in 2019. However, evidence regarding the association of such a diet with the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is lacking. In addition, whether the genetic risk of AF can modify the effect of diet on AF remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the association of the EAT-Lancet diet with the risk of incident AF and examine the interaction between the EAT-Lancet diet and genetic susceptibility of AF.

METHODS

This prospective study included 24,713 Swedish adults who were free of AF, coronary events, and stroke at baseline. Dietary habits were estimated with a modified diet history method, and an EAT-Lancet diet index was constructed to measure the EAT-Lancet reference diet. A weighted genetic risk score was constructed using 134 variants associated with AF. Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 22.9 years, 4617 (18.7%) participants were diagnosed with AF. The multivariable HR (95% CI) of AF for the highest versus the lowest group for the EAT-Lancet diet index was 0.84 (0.73, 0.98) (P for trend < 0.01). The HR (95% CI) of AF per one SD increment of the EAT-Lancet diet index for high genetic risk was 0.92 (0.87, 0.98) (P for interaction = 0.15).

CONCLUSIONS

Greater adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet index was significantly associated with a lower risk of incident AF. Such association tended to be stronger in participants with higher genetic risk, though gene-diet interaction was not significant.

Participation bias in the UK Biobank distorts genetic associations and downstream analyses

While volunteer-based studies such as the UK Biobank have become the cornerstone of genetic epidemiology, the participating individuals are rarely representative of their target population. To evaluate the impact of selective participation, here we derived UK Biobank participation probabilities on the basis of 14 variables harmonized across the UK Biobank and a representative sample. We then conducted weighted genome-wide association analyses on 19 traits. Comparing the output from weighted genome-wide association analyses (neffective = 94,643 to 102,215) with that from standard genome-wide association analyses (n = 263,464 to 283,749), we found that increasing representativeness led to changes in SNP effect sizes and identified novel SNP associations for 12 traits. While heritability estimates were less impacted by weighting (maximum change in h2, 5%), we found substantial discrepancies for genetic correlations (maximum change in rg, 0.31) and Mendelian randomization estimates (maximum change in βSTD, 0.15) for socio-behavioural traits. We urge the field to increase representativeness in biobank samples, especially when studying genetic correlates of behaviour, lifestyles and social outcomes.

Associations between birth parameters and skin autofluorescence advanced glycation end products and ankle-brachial index in young adulthood: the Malmö Offspring Study

BACKGROUND

Low birth weight (LBW), advanced glycation end-products (AGE), and ankle-brachial index (ABI) have all been independently associated with risk of cardiovascular disease. Evidence is lacking on the effect of LBW on adult AGE, a marker of glucose metabolism, and ABI, a marker of peripheral atherosclerosis. The objective was to study these associations in a population-based cohort.

METHODS

Data from the Malmö Offspring Study, Sweden, were used for 2012 participants (958 men, 1054 women) born between 1973 and 2000, linked to the Medical Birth Register. General linear regression analysis (with β coefficients and 95% confidence intervals) was applied for associations between birth weight and skin auto-fluorescence (sf)AGE as well as mean ABI (right/left), before and after adjusting for gestational age, sex, glucose, lipids, smoking, BMI and SBP.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) age of men was 29.3 (7.3) and of women 28.6 (7.3) years. There was an average 0.054 decrease in sfAGE value per 1 kg increase in birth weight (adjusted for gestational age and sex). Similarly, 1 kg increase in birth weight (adjusted for gestational age and confounders) was associated with an average 0.016 decrease in mean ABI.

CONCLUSION

Birth weight, adjusted for gestational age and other confounding variables, is inversely associated with ABI in young adulthood, an age range when ABI may represent hemodynamic changes more than atherosclerosis, but for sfAGE, the association was attenuated upon further adjustment. These risk markers may, therefore, represent mediating pathways for early life factors affecting cardiovascular risk later in life.

Exposure to hand-held vibrating tools and biomarkers of nerve injury in plasma: a population-based, observational study

OBJECTIVES

To analyse potential biomarkers for vibration-induced nerve damage in a population-based, observational study.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Malmö Diet Cancer Study (MDCS), Malmö, Sweden.

PARTICIPANTS

In a subcohort of 3898 individuals (recruited 1991-1996) from MDCS (baseline examination in 28 449 individuals; collection of fasting blood samples in a cardiovascular subcohort of MDCS of 5540 subjects), neuropathy-relevant plasma biomarkers were analysed during follow-up after filling out questionnaires, including a question whether work involved hand-held vibrating tools, graded as 'not at all', 'some' or 'much'.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The neuropathy-relevant plasma biomarkers vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-A, VEGF-D, VEGF receptor 2, galanin, galectin-3, HSP27, ß-nerve growth factor, caspase-3, caspase-8, transforming growth factor-α and tumour necrosis factor were analysed. Data were analysed by conventional statistics (Kruskal-Wallis test; post hoc test Mann-Whitney U test; Bonferroni correction for multiple testing) and in a subanalysis for galanin using two linear regression models (unadjusted and adjusted).

RESULTS

Among participants, 3361 of 3898 (86%) reported no work with hand-held vibrating tools, 351 of 3898 (9%) reported some and 186 of 3898 (5%) much work. There were more men and smokers in vibration-exposed groups. Galanin levels were higher after much vibration exposure (arbitrary units 5.16±0.71) compared with no vibration exposure (5.01±0.76; p=0.015) with no other observed differences.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher plasma levels of galanin, possibly related to magnitude, frequency, acceleration and duration, as well as to severity of symptoms of vibration exposure, may be found in individuals working with hand-held vibrating tools.

Obesity and breast cancer prognosis: pre-diagnostic anthropometric measures in relation to patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics

PURPOSE

Examine the association between obesity and clinical outcomes in early breast cancer and assess if patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics modify such associations in Malmö Diet and Cancer Study patients (MDCS).

METHODS

The MDCS enrolled 17,035 Swedish women from 1991 to 1996. At enrollment, participants' body mass index (BMI), waist circumference and body fat percentage measures were collected. We identified all female MDCS participants with invasive breast cancer from 1991 to 2014. Follow-up began at breast cancer diagnosis and ended at breast cancer recurrence (BCR), death, emigration, or June 8, 2020. The World Health Organization guidelines were used to classify BMI, waist circumference, and body fat percentage into three categories of healthy weight, overweight, and obesity. We fit Cox regression models to compute adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) of BCR according to body composition. To evaluate effect measure modification, we stratified Cox models by patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics.

RESULTS

In total, 263 BCRs were diagnosed over 12,816 person-years among 1099 breast cancer patients with a median follow-up of 11.1 years. Obesity according to BMI (HR = 1.44 [95%CI 1.00-2.07]), waist circumference (HR = 1.31 [95%CI 0.98-1.77]), and body fat percentage (HR = 1.41 [95%CI 1.02-1.98]) was associated with increased risk of BCR compared with healthy weight. Obesity was stronger associated with BCR in patients with low socioeconomic position (HR = 2.55 [95%CI 1.08-6.02]), larger tumors > 20 mm (HR = 2.68 [95%CI 1.42-5.06]), estrogen-receptor-negative breast cancer (HR = 3.13 [95%CI 1.09-8.97]), and with adjuvant chemotherapy treatment (HR = 2.06 [95%CI 1.08-4.31]).

CONCLUSION

Higher pre-diagnostic BMI, waist circumference, and body fat percentage was associated with increased risk of BCR. The association between obesity and BCR appears dependent on patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics.

Imaging ovarian cancer - from baseline characteristics to high-risk image factors

BACKGROUND

Imaging ovarian cancer (OC) includes evaluating peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) and enlarged cardio phrenic lymph nodes (CPLN) by computed tomography (CT), and thorough evaluation is tedious work. A "CT short score" with high-risk CT parameters might be a more pragmatic approach, but it is not known if such a short score associates with aggressive OC subtypes and impaired OC survival. Further, it is not known if certain established OC risk factors are linked to high-risk CT-findings which would be important in image evaluation. Herein, we investigate a CT short score and its relation to baseline characteristics, OC subtypes, and survival.

METHODS

The Malmö Diet and Cancer Study is a prospective cohort that included 17,035 women (1991-1996). Baseline characteristics and tumor information on 159 OC and information on OC specific survival (last follow-up, 2017-12-31) was registered. A CT short score (CPLN and PC-index (PCI) in seven regions) was registered and associations with clinical stage [stage I vs. advanced stage (II-IV), histological type/grade (high grade serous and endometrioid vs. other subtypes], and OC-specific survival were analyzed with logistic and Cox regression, respectively. Parity and menopausal status were analyzed in relation to short score and PCI.

RESULTS

There was an association between higher short score and advanced clinical stage (adjusted OR 2.76 (1.42-5.38)), adjusted for age at diagnosis and histological type/grade. Higher short score was associated with impaired OC specific survival (adjusted HR 1.17 (1.01-1.35)), adjusted for age at diagnosis, histological type/grade, and clinical stage. There were no significant associations between parity, menopausal status, and short score/PCI.

CONCLUSIONS

CT short score was significantly associated with advanced clinical stages and impaired OC survival. A pragmatic approach (based on CT) to evaluate high risk image findings in OC could help reduce radiologists' workload and at the same time provide structured reports to surgeons and oncologists involved in OC care.

Adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet and risk of coronary events in the Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort study

BACKGROUND

The EAT-Lancet Commission proposed a globally environmentally sustainable dietary pattern featuring mainly plant-based foods in 2019. However, evidence on this dietary pattern in preventing coronary events is minimal.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine the association between the EAT-Lancet diet and risk of coronary events.

METHODS

The Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort study (recruited between 1991 and 1996) included 23,877 participants aged 44.5-73.6 y (62.5% women) without CVDs and diabetes at baseline. A modified diet history was used to collect the dietary data. An EAT-Lancet diet index (range, 0-42 points) was applied on the basis of 14 food components scored 0 (nonadherence) to 3 (adherence). Coronary events were extracted from the registers. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the HRs and 95% confidential intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Over a median of 24.9 y of follow-up, 3031 coronary events occurred (incidence rate: 5.89/1000 person-years). After adjusting for age, sex, dietary assessment methods, season, total energy intake, leisure-time physical activity, alcohol consumption, smoking status, educational level, and BMI, the multivariable HR (95% CI) for coronary events among participants who had the highest adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet index (≥23 points, 8.1%) was 0.80 (0.67, 0.96) compared with those who had the lowest adherence (≤13 points, 9.7%) (P-trend = 0.01 across 5 groups of the EAT-Lancet diet). The inverse association was consistent in men and women and was robust after excluding those with misreported energy and significant diet changes or excluding coronary events occurred within the first 2 y of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data indicate that adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet was associated with a lower risk of coronary events.

Milk intake, lactase persistence genotype, plasma proteins and risks of cardiovascular events in the Swedish general population

To investigate the associations of milk intake (non-fermented and fermented milk), lactase persistence (LCT-13910 C/T) genotype (a proxy for long-term non-fermented milk intake), and gene-milk interaction with risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CVD mortality. Also, to identify the CVD-related plasma proteins and lipoprotein subfractions associated with milk intake and LCT-13910 C/T genotype. The prospective cohort study included 20,499 participants who were followed up for a mean of 21 years. Dietary intake was assessed using a modified diet history method. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). After adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, higher non-fermented milk intake was significantly associated with higher risks of coronary heart disease (CHD) and CVD mortality, whereas higher fermented milk intake was significantly associated with lower risks of CVD and CVD mortality. The genotype associated with higher milk (mainly non-fermented) intake was positively associated with CHD (CT/TT vs. CC HR = 1.27; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.55) and CVD (HR = 1.22; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.42). The association between rs4988235 genotype and CVD mortality was stronger in participants with higher milk intake than among participants with lower intake (P for interaction < 0.05). Furthermore, leptin, HDL, and large HDL were associated with non-fermented milk intake, while no plasma proteins or lipoprotein subfractions associated with fermented milk intake and LCT-13910 C/T genotype were identified. In conclusion, non-fermented milk intake was associated with higher risks of CHD and CVD mortality, as well as leptin and HDL, whereas fermented milk intake was associated with lower risks of CVD and CVD mortality.

A New Instrument for Assessing Work-Related Body Mechanics and Strain in the General Population

Clinical pain is often linked to poor body mechanics, with individuals sometimes presenting multiple painful disorders. Such disorders may be influenced by behaviors that affect the general resiliency and health of the musculoskeletal system. We aimed to develop a self-reported scale using the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study questions on work-related body mechanical exposures. An expert panel identified 41 variables having content validity for musculoskeletal problems. Exploratory factor analysis was conducted on a random selection of 50% of the cohort (n = 6,789 adults); the remaining was reserved for confirmatory factor analyses (CFA), item response theory (IRT) item calibration, and differential item functioning investigations. Supported by standard measure development methods and fit criteria, the final unidimensional item bank contains 13 items. Overall CFA statistics (root mean square error of approximation = .09; comparative fit index = .96; Tucker-Lewis index = .96; standardized root mean residuals = .05) indicated excellent single-factor model fit and appropriateness of IRT modeling and calibration. Expert review and item information values (score-precision) guided selection of an 8-item short form with acceptable score-level reliabilities (≥.70) for T-scores = 39-80+. This measure provides reliable assessment of body mechanics strain in adults and can be useful when evaluating different contributions to musculoskeletal problems affecting pain-treatment success in future clinical research. PERSPECTIVE: This article presents the development and psychometric properties of a new measure, "Work-related Body Mechanics and Strain Scale (WR-BMSS)." The scale has 13-items or alternatively an 8-item short form. This measure could potentially help clinicians who seek to assess how musculoskeletal problems may contribute to patient pain and disability.

Starch intake, amylase gene copy number variation, plasma proteins, and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality

BACKGROUND

Salivary amylase, encoded by the AMY1 gene, initiate the digestion of starch. Whether starch intake or AMY1 copy number is related to disease risk is currently rather unknown. The aim was to investigate the association between starch intake and AMY1 copy number and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality and whether there is an interaction. In addition, we aim to identify CVD-related plasma proteins associated with starch intake and AMY1 copy number.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study used data from 21,268 participants from the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. Dietary data were collected through a modified diet history method and incident CVD and mortality were ascertained through registers. AMY1 gene copy number was determined by droplet digital polymerase chain reaction, a risk score of 10 genetic variants in AMY1 was measured, and a total of 88 selected CVD-related proteins were measured. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze the associations of starch intake and AMY1 copy number with disease risk. Linear regression was used to identify plasma proteins associated with starch intake and AMY1 copy number.

RESULTS

Over a median of 23 years' follow-up, 4443 individuals developed CVD event and 8125 died. After adjusting for potential confounders, a U-shape association between starch intake and risk of CVD (P-nonlinearity = 0.001) and all-cause mortality (P-nonlinearity = 0.03) was observed. No significant association was found between AMY1 copy number and risk of CVD and mortality, and there were no interactions between starch intake and AMY1 copy number (P interaction > 0.23). Among the 88 plasma proteins, adrenomedullin, interleukin-1 receptor antagonist protein, fatty acid-binding protein, leptin, and C-C motif chemokine 20 were associated with starch intake after adjusting for multiple testing.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large prospective study among Swedish adults, a U-shaped association between starch intake and risk of CVD and all-cause mortality was found. Several plasma proteins were identified which might provide information on potential pathways for such association. AMY1 copy number was not associated with CVD risk or any of the plasma proteins, and there was no interaction between starch intake and AMY1 copy number on disease risk.

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a predictor of arterial stiffness, incidence of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: A longitudinal two-cohort analysis

Background

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a useful low-cost marker of insulin resistance. We aimed to evaluate the association between TyG index and arterial stiffness, incidence of diabetes, adverse cardiovascular outcomes, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in two large prospective Swedish cohorts, the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study-Cardiovascular Cohort (MDCS-CV) and the Malmö Preventive Project (MPP).

Methods

Association between baseline TyG index and arterial stiffness, measured by carotid femoral pulse wave velocity (c-f PWV), was assessed using linear regression and general linear models, adjusting for covariates. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to assess the association between TyG index and incidence of diabetes, coronary events (CE), stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Results

After multivariable adjustment, baseline TyG index was significantly associated with increased arterial stiffness (β for c-f PWV = 0.61, p = 0.018). Participants in the highest quartile of TyG index vs. lowest quartile had an increased incidence of diabetes (HR: 3.30, 95% CI: 2.47-4.41), CE (HR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.41-1.68), stroke (HR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.18-1.44), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.16-1.28), and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.26-1.49) after adjustment for covariates. Per unit increase in TyG index was associated with increased heart failure risk. No significant association was observed for incident AF.

Conclusion

Elevated TyG index is positively associated with increased arterial stiffness and increased incidence of diabetes, CE, stroke, and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The results suggest that TyG index can potentially be useful in the identification of those at increased long-term risk of adverse health outcomes.

Association Between Dietary Habits in Midlife With Dementia Incidence Over a 20-Year Period

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Dementia cases are expected to triple during the next 30 years, highlighting the importance of finding modifiable risk factors for dementia. The aim of this study was to investigate whether adherence to conventional dietary recommendations or to a modified Mediterranean diet are associated with a subsequent lower risk of developing all-cause dementia, Alzheimer disease (AD), vascular dementia (VaD), or with future accumulation of AD-related β-amyloid (Aβ) pathology.

METHODS

Baseline examination in the prospective Swedish population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer Study took place in 1991-1996 with a follow-up for incident dementia until 2014. Nondemented individuals born 1923-1950 and living in Malmö were invited to participate. Thirty thousand four hundred forty-six were recruited (41% of all eligible). Twenty-eight thousand twenty-five had dietary data and were included in this study. Dietary habits were assessed with a 7-day food diary, detailed food frequency questionnaire, and 1-hour interview. Main outcomes were incident all-cause dementia, AD, or VaD determined by memory clinic physicians. Secondary outcome was Aβ-accumulation measured using CSF Aβ42 (n = 738). Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine associations between diet and risk of developing dementia (adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, smoking, physical activity, and alcohol).

RESULTS

Sixty-one percent were women, and the mean (SD) age was 58.1 (7.6) years. One thousand nine hundred forty-three (6.9%) were diagnosed with dementia (median follow-up, 19.8 years). Individuals adhering to conventional dietary recommendations did not have lower risk of developing all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] comparing worst with best adherence, 0.93, 95% CI 0.81-1.08), AD (HR 1.03, 0.85-1.23), or VaD (HR 0.93, 0.69-1.26). Neither did adherence to the modified Mediterranean diet lower the risk of developing all-cause dementia (HR 0.93 0.75-1.15), AD (HR 0.90, 0.68-1.19), or VaD (HR 1.00, 0.65-1.55). The results were similar when excluding participants developing dementia within 5 years or those with diabetes. No significant associations were found between diet and abnormal Aβ accumulation, conventional recommendations (OR 1.28, 0.74-2.24) or modified Mediterranean diet (OR 0.85, 0.39-1.84).

DISCUSSION

In this 20-year follow-up study, neither adherence to conventional dietary recommendations nor to modified Mediterranean diet were significantly associated with subsequent reduced risk for developing all-cause dementia, AD dementia, VaD, or AD pathology.

Performance of [18F]RO948 PET, MRI and CSF neurofilament light in the differential diagnosis of progressive supranuclear palsy

INTRODUCTION

The diagnosis of progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) is often challenging since PSP may clinically resemble other neurodegenerative disorders. Recently, the tau PET tracer [¹⁸F]RO948, a potential new biomarker for PSP, was developed. The aim of this study was to determine the ability of three different biomarkers, including [¹⁸F]RO948 PET, to distinguish PSP patients from healthy controls and from patients with α-synucleinopathies.

METHODS

Patients with PSP (n = 23), α-synucleinopathies (n = 47) and healthy controls (n = 61) were included from the BioFINDER-2 study. [¹⁸F]RO948 standardized uptake value ratios (SUVR), magnetic resonance imaging midbrain/pons ratio, and cerebrospinal fluid neurofilament light (NfL) levels were compared between diagnostic groups individually and in combination.

RESULTS

[¹⁸F]RO948 PET SUVR in the globus pallidus, NfL, and midbrain/pons area ratios were all able to differentiate PSP patients from controls and from patients with α-synucleinopathies ([¹⁸F]RO948 [mean ± SD]: controls 1.24 ± 0.22; PSP 1.47 ± 0.4; PD 1.18 ± 0.2; DLB 1.25 ± 0.24, p < 0.05), (NfL pg/mL [mean ± SD]: controls 1055 ± 569; PSP 2197 ± 1010; PD 1038 ± 416; DLB 1548 ± 687, p < 0.001) and (midbrain/pons ratio [mean ± SD]: controls 0.46 ± 0.07; PSP 0.34 ± 0.09; PD 0.43 ± 0.06; DLB 0.40 ± 0.07, p < 0.01). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses indicated that combining the three biomarkers resulted in the highest area under the ROC values (0.94 [0.88-1.00]) for separating controls from PSP and (0.92 [0.85-0.99]) for separating PSP from α-synucleinopathies.

CONCLUSIONS

All studied biomarkers could individually separate PSP from controls and α-synucleinopathies patients at a group level. The optimal prediction models included NfL and midbrain/pons ratio for separating controls from PSP and all three biomarkers for separating PSP from α-synucleinopathies.

Event dependent overall survival in the population-based LIFE-Adult-Study

BACKROUND

Information about the direct comparability of big data of epidemiological cohort studies and the general population still is lacking, especially regarding all-cause mortality rates. The aim of this study was to investigate the overall survival and the influence of several diagnoses in the medical history on survival time, adjusted to common risk factors in a populations-based cohort.

METHODS

From 10,000 subjects of the population-based cohort LIFE-Adult-Study (Leipzig Research Centre for Civilization Diseases), the medical history and typical risk factors such as age, smoking status and body-mass-index (BMI) were assessed. The survival status was identified from the saxonian population register. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine the influence of the medical history and risk factors on overall survival. To develope an optimal model, the method by Collet [1] was used.

RESULTS

The mortality rate of the participants is approximately half the mortality rate expected for the german population. The selection bias in epidemiological studies needs to be considered whenever interpreting results of epidemiological cohort studies. Nevertheless we have shown that several diagnoses proved to have a negative influence on overall survival time even in this relatively healthy cohort. This study showed the significantly increased mortality risk if the following diseases are reported in medical history of the participants in a large population-based cohort study including adults aged 18 and over: diabetes mellitus (HR 1.533, p = 0.002), hypertension (HR 1.447, p = 0.005), liver cirrhosis (HR 4.251, p < 0.001), osteoporosis (HR 2.165, p = 0.011), chronic bronchitis (HR 2.179, p < 0.001), peptic ulcer disease (HR 1.531, p = 0.024) and cancer (HR 1.797, p < 0.001). Surprisingly, asthma has the opposite effect on survival time (HR 0.574, p = 0.024), but we believe this may be due to an overrepresentation of mild to moderate asthma and its management, which includes educating patients about a healthy lifestyle.

CONCLUSION

In the LIFE-Adult-Study, common risk factors and several diseases had relevant effect on overall survival. However, selection bias in epidemiological studies needs to be considered whenever interpreting results of epidemiological cohort studies. Nevertheless it was shown that the general cause-and-effect principles also apply in this relatively healthy cohort.

The association between plasma metabolites and future risk of all-cause mortality

BACKGROUND

Metabolite profiles provide snapshots of the overall effect of numerous exposures accumulated over life courses, which may lead to health outcomes in the future.

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that the risk of all-cause mortality is linked to alterations in metabolism earlier in life, which are reflected in plasma metabolite profiles. We aimed to identify plasma metabolites associated with future risk of all-cause mortality.

METHODS

Through metabolomics, 110 metabolites were measured in 3833 individuals from the Malmö Diet and Cancer-Cardiovascular Cohort (MDC-CC). A total of 1574 deaths occurred within an average follow-up time of 22.2 years. Metabolites that were significantly associated with all-cause mortality in MDC-CC were replicated in 1500 individuals from Malmö Preventive Project re-examination (MPP), among whom 715 deaths occurred within an average follow-up time of 11.3 years.

RESULTS

Twenty two metabolites were significantly associated with all-cause mortality in MDC-CC, of which 13 were replicated in MPP. Levels of trigonelline, glutamate, dimethylglycine, C18-1-carnitine, C16-1-carnitine, C14-1-carnitine, and 1-methyladenosine were associated with an increased risk, while levels of valine, tryptophan, lysine, leucine, histidine, and 2-aminoisobutyrate were associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

We used metabolomics in two Swedish prospective cohorts and identified replicable associations between 13 metabolites and future risk of all-cause mortality. Novel associations between five metabolites-C18-1-carnitine, C16-1-carnitine, C14-1-carnitine, trigonelline, and 2-aminoisobutyrate-and all-cause mortality were discovered. These findings suggest potential new biomarkers for the prediction of mortality and provide insights for understanding the biochemical pathways that lead to mortality.

Prevalence and Ascertainment of Dementia Cases in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study

Background:

Register diagnoses, both hospital-based and from open clinic care, are often used in research studies in Sweden. The validity of such diagnoses has been debated and a validation assessment can improve the diagnostic accuracy for use in research studies.

Objective:

The aim of this study was to investigate the quality of register-derived dementia diagnoses in the Malmö Diet and Cancer population study (MDCS) and to validate these diagnoses using systematic criteria.

Methods:

MDCS is a population-based prospective study comprising 30,446 participants. Register diagnoses of dementia for the MDCS population were derived from the Swedish National Patient Register (NPR) and validated through re-evaluation of available medical records by physicians.

Results:

In the MDCS cohort, 2,206 participants were diagnosed with dementia according to the NPR during a mean follow-up of 18.1 years. The general dementia diagnosis was valid in 96% of the cases, but 40% of the specific dementia diagnoses were changed during the process of reevaluation. The diagnostic validity varied between 25.2% and 82.9% for the different diagnoses. The results from the validity assessment per diagnostic category revealed that the validity of the NPR diagnoses was higher for the more specific diagnoses and lower for unspecified dementia. The major diagnostic shift during the re-evaluation was from unspecified dementia to more specific diagnoses.

Conclusion:

Validation of dementia diagnoses using medical records results in more precise diagnoses. Dementia diagnoses derived from registers should be validated in order to study associations between influential factors and different dementia diagnoses.

Levels of Vitamin D and Expression of the Vitamin D Receptor in Relation to Breast Cancer Risk and Survival

Previous research suggests associations between low systemic levels of vitamin D and poor breast cancer prognosis and between expression of the vitamin D receptor (VDR) in breast cancers and survival. This study aimed to study associations between pre-diagnostic systemic levels of vitamin D and expression of VDR in subsequent breast tumors, and interactions between vitamin D and VDR on breast cancer mortality. Systemic vitamin D levels were measured in women within the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. The expression of VDR was evaluated immunohistochemically in a tissue microarray of subsequent breast cancers. Statistical analyses followed. Women with high levels of vitamin D had a smaller proportion of VDR negative breast tumors compared to women with low levels of vitamin D (odds ratio: 0.68; 95% confidence interval: 0.41–1.13). Vitamin D levels were not found to modify the association between low VDR expression and high breast cancer mortality. To conclude, there was no statistical evidence for an association between pre-diagnostic levels of vitamin D and the expression of VDRs in breast cancer, nor did vitamin D levels influence the association between VDR expression and breast cancer mortality. Further studies are needed in order to establish the effects of vitamin D on breast cancer.

Early menopause and weight loss are significant factors associated with risk of future fracture in middle-aged women

BACKGROUND

To identify factors related to reproductive history and weight change associated with first incident fracture in middle-aged women.

METHODS

In total, 18,326 women from the Malmö Diet and Cancer study were included in this prospective population-based cohort study. Participants were included 1991-1996 and followed to 2016. Using data from the National Patient Registry, linked with every participants' unique personal identification number, any first fracture affecting spine, thoracic cage, upper and lower extremities was identified. The association of baseline factors with incident fracture risk was analyzed using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

For participating women, median age 56.0 years, the multivariable Cox regression analysis observed that early menopause (40-44 years) (hazard ratio (HR) 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.27) but not premature menopause < 40 years (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.91-1.24) was associated with future fracture risk. Self-reported weight loss since age 20 was also associated with future fracture risk (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.17-1.65) whereas a daily alcohol consumption in the third quartile (5.36-11.42 g/day) compared to the lowest quartile (0-0.80 g/day) was associated with decreased future fracture risk (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.96). The multivariable Cox regression analysis also observed that increasing age and weight at baseline, current smoking, a positive history of previous fracture and family history of fractures were associated with increased fracture risk whereas an increasing BMI was associated with a decreased fracture risk. No association to parity or period of lactation was observed nor ever-use of oral contraceptives and menopausal hormone therapy.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that early menopause between 40 to 45 years and self-reported weight loss since age of 20 are relevant factors associated with increased fracture risk in middle-aged women. These factors were independent of traditional predictors of fracture risk among women and may be considered in preventive initiatives.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov with identifier: NCT04151732, since Nov 5th 2018.

Predicting Sensitivity to Adverse Lifestyle Risk Factors for Cardiometabolic Morbidity and Mortality

People appear to vary in their susceptibility to lifestyle risk factors for cardiometabolic disease; determining a priori who is most sensitive may help optimize the timing, design, and delivery of preventative interventions. We aimed to ascertain a person’s degree of resilience or sensitivity to adverse lifestyle exposures and determine whether these classifications help predict cardiometabolic disease later in life; we pooled data from two population-based Swedish prospective cohort studies (n = 53,507), and we contrasted an individual’s cardiometabolic biomarker profile with the profile predicted for them given their lifestyle exposure characteristics using a quantile random forest approach. People who were classed as ‘sensitive’ to hypertension- and dyslipidemia-related lifestyle exposures were at higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD, hazards ratio 1.6 (95% CI: 1.3, 1.91)), compared with the general population. No differences were observed for type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk. Here, we report a novel approach to identify individuals who are especially sensitive to adverse lifestyle exposures and who are at higher risk of subsequent cardiovascular events. Early preventive interventions may be needed in this subgroup.

Zinc and Breast Cancer Survival: A Prospective Cohort Study of Dietary Intake and Serum Levels

Zinc has been suggested to play a role in breast cancer progression; however, no previous study on zinc levels and the potential effect on breast cancer survival has been conducted. This study investigates recurrence-free survival (RFS), breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) in relation to zinc levels, in serum and diet, overall and stratified for phosphorus and selenium levels. The Malmö Diet and Cancer Study, a prospective population-based cohort in Sweden including 17,035 women, was used to identify breast cancer patients diagnosed in the period 1991–2013. Diet was assessed by a validated modified diet history method. A Cox regression analysis yielded hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals adjusted for potential confounders. Out of 1062 patients with invasive breast cancer, 268 recurrences, 205 breast cancer deaths and 228 deaths from other causes were recorded. No overall associations were seen between zinc and RFS, BCSS or OS. However, in women with a high phosphorus intake, a higher BCSS and OS were seen in zinc intake Q2 to Q4 versus Q1; the adjusted HR was 0.41 (0.23–0.73) and 0.64 (0.41–1.00), respectively. The results indicate that the combination of intermediate/high zinc intake and high phosphorus intake may lead to a better breast cancer survival.

Incident cardiovascular disease and long-term exposure to source-specific air pollutants in a Swedish cohort

BACKGROUND

Air pollution is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, but its role in the development of congestive heart failure (CHF) and the role of different pollution sources in cardiovascular disease remain uncertain.

METHODS

Participants were enrolled in the Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort in 1991-1996 with information on lifestyle and clinical indicators of cardiovascular disease. The cohort participants were followed through registers until 2016. Annual total and local source-specific concentrations of particulate matter less than 10 μm and 2.5 μm (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5), black carbon (BC), and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) from traffic, residential heating, and industry were assigned to each participant's address throughout the study period. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for possible confounders was used to estimate associations between air pollution 1-5 years prior to outcomes of incident CHF, fatal myocardial infarction (MI), major adverse coronary events (MACE), and ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

Air pollution exposure levels (mean annual exposures to PM_2.5 of 11 μg/m³ and NO_x of 26 μg/m³) within the cohort were moderate in terms of environmental standards. After adjusting for confounders, we observed statistically significant associations between NO_x and CHF (hazard ratio [HR] 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.22) and NO_x and fatal MI (HR 1.10, 95%CI 1.01-1.20) per interquartile range (IQR) of 9.6 μg/m³. In fully adjusted models, the estimates were similar, but the precision worse. In stratified analyses, the associations were stronger in males, ever-smokers, older participants, and those with baseline carotid artery plaques. Locally emitted and traffic-related air pollutants generally showed positive associations with CHF and fatal MI. There were no associations between air pollution and MACE or stroke.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

In an area with low to moderate air pollution exposure, we observed significant associations of long-term residential NO_x with increased risk of incident CHF and fatal MI, but not with coronary events and stroke.

Association between Adherence to Swedish Dietary Guidelines and Mediterranean Diet and Risk of Stroke in a Swedish Population

Dietary factors associated with stroke risk are still rather unknown. The aim was to examine the association between adherence to healthy dietary patterns and incidence of stroke among 25,840 individuals from the Swedish Malmö Diet and Cancer Study cohort. Dietary data were obtained using a combination of a 7-day food record, diet questionnaire, and interview. A Swedish Dietary Guidelines Score (SDGS), including five dietary components based on the current Swedish dietary guidelines, and a modified Mediterranean diet score (mMDS), composed of ten dietary components, were constructed. Over a mean follow-up period of 19.5 years, 2579 stroke cases, of which 80% were ischaemic, were identified through national registers. Weak, non-significant associations were found between the dietary indices and the risk of stroke. However, after excluding potential misreporters and individuals with unstable food habits (35% of the population), we observed significant inverse association (p-trend < 0.05) between SDGS and mMDS and total and ischaemic stroke (HR per point for total stroke: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.92−1.00 for SDGS and 0.95; 95% CI: 0.91−0.99 for mMDS). In conclusion, high quality diet in line with the current Swedish dietary recommendations or Mediterranean diet may reduce the risk of total and ischaemic stroke.

Carpal Tunnel Syndrome and Ulnar Nerve Entrapment at the Elbow Are Not Associated With Plasma Levels of Caspase-3, Caspase-8 or HSP27

Background

Nerve compression disorders, such as carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) and ulnar entrapment at the elbow (UNE), may be associated with apoptosis and neuroprotective mechanisms in the peripheral nerve that may be detected by biomarkers in the blood. The relationships between CTS and UNE and two biomarkers of apoptosis, i.e., caspase-3 and caspase-8, and the neuroprotective factor Heat Shock Protein 27 (HSP27) in plasma were examined in a population-based cohort.

Method

The biomarkers caspase-3, caspase-8 and HSP27 were measured in plasma at inclusion of 4,284 study participants aged 46-68 years in the population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer study (MDCS). End-point retrieval was made from national registers concerning CTS and UNE. Independent t-test was used to examine the association between caspase-3, caspase-8 and HSP27 plasma levels and incidence of CTS and UNE. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to investigate if plasma levels of caspase-3, caspase-8 and HSP27 affected time to diagnosis of CTS or UNE.

Results

During the mean follow-up time of 22 years, 189/4,284 (4%) participants were diagnosed with CTS and 42/4,284 (1%) were diagnosed with UNE. No associations were found between incident CTS or UNE and the biomarkers caspase-3, caspase-8 and HSP27 in plasma.

Conclusion

The apoptotic biomarkers caspase-3 and caspase-8 and the neuroprotective factor HSP27 in plasma, factors conceivably related to a nerve injury, are not associated with the nerve compression disorders CTS and UNE in a general population.

Development of an EAT-Lancet index and its relation to mortality in a Swedish population

BACKGROUND

Current global food systems threaten human health and environmental sustainability. In 2019, the EAT-Lancet Commission on healthy diets from sustainable food systems defined the first global reference diet to improve both areas, but there is no consensus on how to quantify the EAT-Lancet reference diet as a diet index, and its relation to mortality has not been widely studied.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to develop a new dietary index to quantify adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet and assess its association with mortality in a large, population-based Swedish cohort. We also examined food components included in the index and their individual associations with mortality.

METHODS

We used the Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort (n = 22,421; 45-73 years old at baseline). Dietary data were collected using a modified diet history method. The EAT-Lancet index was developed based on intake levels and reference intervals of 14 food components defined in the EAT-Lancet diet (0-3 points per component; 0-42 points in total). Associations with mortality were examined based on registers during a mean of 20 years of follow-up and were adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Divided into 5 adherence groups, the highest adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet (≥23 points) was associated with lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.67-0.85), cancer mortality (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.92), and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.54-0.84) than the lowest adherence (≤13 points). Several food components included in the index contributed to the observed reductions in mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a new dietary index to investigate adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet. The findings indicate a 25% lower risk of mortality among those with the highest adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet, as defined using our index, which adds to the evidence base for the development of sustainable dietary guidelines.

Using Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models to Estimate Exposure Lag-Response Associations between Long-Term Air Pollution Exposure and Incidence of Cardiovascular Disease

Long-term air pollution exposure increases the risk for cardiovascular disease, but little is known about the temporal relationships between exposure and health outcomes. This study aims to estimate the exposure-lag response between air pollution exposure and risk for ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke incidence by applying distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs). Annual mean concentrations of particles with aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm (PM_2.5) and black carbon (BC) were estimated for participants in five Swedish cohorts using dispersion models. Simultaneous estimates of exposure lags 1-10 years using DLNMs were compared with separate year specific (single lag) estimates and estimates for lag 1-5- and 6-10-years using moving average exposure. The DLNM estimated no exposure lag-response between PM_2.5 total, BC, and IHD. However, for PM_2.5 from local sources, a 20% risk increase per 1 µg/m³ for 1-year lag was estimated. A risk increase for stroke was suggested in relation to lags 2-4-year PM_2.5 and BC, and also lags 8-9-years BC. No associations were shown in single lag models. Increased risk estimates for stroke in relation to lag 1-5- and 6-10-years BC moving averages were observed. Estimates generally supported a greater contribution to increased risk from exposure windows closer in time to incident IHD and incident stroke.

Associations between long-term exposure to low-level air pollution and risk of chronic kidney disease-findings from the Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort

BACKGROUND

Associations between air pollution and chronic kidney disease (CKD) have been reported, but studies at low exposure levels and relevant exposure time windows are still warranted. This study investigated clinical CKD at low air pollution levels in the Swedish Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort in different exposure time windows.

METHODS

This study included 30,396 individuals, aged 45-74 at enrollment 1991-1996. Individual annual average residential outdoor PM_2.5, PM₁₀, nitrogen oxides (NO_x), and black carbon (BC) were assigned using dispersion models from enrollment to 2016. Diagnoses of incident CKD were retrieved from national registries. Cox proportional hazards models were used to obtain hazard ratios (HRs) for CKD in relation to three time-dependent exposure time windows: exposure at concurrent year (lag 0), mean exposure in the 1-5 or 6-10 preceding years (lag 1-5 and lag 6-10), and baseline exposure.

RESULTS

During the study period, the average annual residential exposures were 16 μg/m³ for PM₁₀, 11 μg/m³ for PM_2.5, 26 μg/m³ for NO_x, and 0.97 μg/m³ for BC. For lag 1-5 and lag 6-10 exposure, significantly elevated HRs for incident CKD were found for total PM₁₀:1.13 (95% CI: 1.01-1.26) and 1.22 (1.06-1.41); NO_x: 1.19 (1.07-1.33) and 1.13 (1.02-1.25) and BC: 1.12 (1.03-1.22) and 1.11 (1.02-1.21) per interquartile range increase in exposure. For total PM_2.5 the positive associations of 1.12 (0.97-1.31) and 1.16 (0.98-1.36) were not significant. For baseline or lag 0 exposure there were significant associations only for NO_x and BC, not for PM.

CONCLUSION

Residential exposure to outdoor air pollution was associated with increased risk of incident CKD at relatively low exposure levels. Average long-term exposure was more clearly associated with CKD than current exposure or exposure at recruitment. Our findings imply that the health effects of low-level air pollution on CKD are considerable.