Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease burden: Australia, 2019-2030

Therapeutic siRNA targeting PLIN2 ameliorates steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis in steatotic liver disease models

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide. If left untreated, MASLD can progress from simple hepatic steatosis to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, which is characterized by inflammation and fibrosis. Current treatment options for MASLD remain limited, leaving substantial unmet medical needs for innovative therapeutic approaches. Here, we show that PLIN2, a lipid droplet protein inhibiting hepatic lipolysis, serves as a promising therapeutic target for MASLD. Hepatic PLIN2 levels were markedly elevated in multiple MASLD mouse models induced by diverse nutritional and genetic factors. The liver-specific deletion of Plin2 exhibited significant anti-MASLD effects in these models. To translate this discovery into a therapeutic application, we developed a GalNAc-siRNA conjugate with enhanced stabilization chemistry and validated its potent and sustained efficacy in suppressing Plin2 expression in mouse livers. This siRNA therapeutic, named GalNAc-siPlin2, was shown to be biosafe in mice. Treatment with GalNAc-siPlin2 for 6-8 weeks led to a decrease in hepatic triglyceride levels by approximately 60% in high-fat diet- and obesity-induced MASLD mouse models, accompanied with increased hepatic secretion of VLDL-triglyceride and enhanced thermogenesis in brown adipose tissues. Eight-week treatment with GalNAc-siPlin2 significantly improved hepatic steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis in high-fat/high fructose-induced metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis models compared to control group. As a proof of concept, we developed a GalNAc-siRNA therapeutic targeting human PLIN2, which effectively suppressed hepatic PLIN2 expression and ameliorated MASLD in humanized PLIN2 knockin mice. Together, our results highlight the potential of GalNAc-siPLIN2 as a candidate MASLD therapeutic for clinical trials.

Trends in the burden of hospitalised patients with cirrhosis in Switzerland: a cross-sectional study of cirrhosis-related hospitalisations between 1998 and 2020

OBJECTIVE

Liver cirrhosis is an increasing cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide with a heavy load on healthcare systems. We analysed the trends in hospitalisations for cirrhosis in Switzerland.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Large nationwide inpatient database, years between 1998 and 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

Hospitalisations for cirrhosis of adult patients were selected.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Hospitalisations with either a primary diagnosis of cirrhosis or a cirrhosis-related primary diagnosis with a mandatory presence of cirrhosis as a secondary diagnosis were considered following the 10th revision of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems codes. Trends in demographic and clinical characteristics, in-hospital mortality and length of stay were analysed. Causes and costs of cirrhosis-related hospitalisations were available from 2012 onwards.

RESULTS

Cirrhosis-related hospitalisations increased from 1631 in 1998 to 4052 in 2020. Of the patients, 68.7% were men. Alcohol-related liver disease was the leading cause, increasing from 44.1% (95% CI, 42.4% to 45.9%) in 2012 to 47.9% (95% CI, 46.4% to 49.5%) in 2020. Assessed by exclusion of other coded causes, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease was the second cause at 42.7% (95% CI, 41.2% to 44.3%) in 2020. Hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis decreased from 12.3% (95% CI, 11.2% to 13.5%) in 2012 to 3.2% (95% CI, 2.7% to 3.8%) in 2020. Median length of stay decreased from 11 to 8 days. Hospitalisations with an intensive care unit stay increased from 9.8% (95% CI, 8.4% to 11.4%) to 15.6% (95% CI, 14.5% to 16.8%). In-hospital mortality decreased from 12.1% (95% CI, 10.5% to 13.8%) to 9.7% (95% CI, 8.8% to 10.7%). Total costs increased from 54.4 million US$ (51.4 million €) in 2012 to 92.6 million US$ (87.5 million €) in 2020.

CONCLUSIONS

Cirrhosis-related hospitalisations and related costs increased in Switzerland from 1998 to 2020 but in-hospital mortality decreased. Alcohol-related liver disease and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease were the most prevalent and preventable aetiologies of cirrhosis-related hospitalisations.

The burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in Australia: an analysis of Global Burden of Disease study from 1990 to 2019

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent liver disease. Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data from 1990 to 2019 reported a rise in prevalence (9-13%) in Australia, which also ranked third highest for NAFLD prevalence compared to 14 similar countries. As a result of underdiagnosis, NAFLD burden is underestimated by GBD.

Hepatic steatosis: Qualitative and quantitative sonographic assessment in comparison to histology

Introduction

Globally, B-mode ultrasound is the most common modality used for the diagnosis of hepatic steatosis. We aimed to assess the correlation between qualitative liver ultrasound parameters, attenuation imaging (ATI) and histopathology-diagnosed steatosis grade obtained from liver biopsy. Our secondary aim was to examine the interobserver variability of qualitative ultrasound features.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was performed which included adult patients (age ≥ 18 years) who had same-day liver ultrasound, ATI and liver biopsy for grading hepatic steatosis severity between 2018 and 2022. The qualitative US features for hepatic steatosis were independently scored by three radiologists and interobserver variability was examined. Histologic steatosis grade, ATI and qualitative ultrasound parameters were compared.

Results

Ninety patients were included; 67% female with a median age of 54 (IQR 39-65) years. The radiologist's overall impression had the highest correlation (very strongly correlated) with histologic steatosis grade (r = 0.82, P < 0.001). ATI coefficient and all qualitative ultrasound B-mode features except for liver echotexture and focal fat sparing were strongly correlated with histologic steatosis grade (r ≥ 0.70, P < 0.001). Most qualitative ultrasound features had good agreement between observers (Kappa statistic 0.61-1.0, P < 0.001), (Kendall coefficient 0.92, P < 0.001).

Conclusion

The examined qualitative ultrasound parameters and ATI had good-excellent performance for diagnosing clinically significant hepatic steatosis; however, the radiologist's overall impression had the best correlation with histologic steatosis grade. Our findings suggest an ongoing role for qualitative liver ultrasound assessment of hepatic steatosis despite the emergence of newer quantitative measures.

Role of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Periodontitis: A Bidirectional Relationship

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and periodontitis share common risk factors such as obesity, insulin resistance (IR), and dyslipidemia, which contribute to systemic inflammation. It has been suggested that a bidirectional relationship exists between NAFLD and periodontitis, indicating that one condition may exacerbate the other. NAFLD is characterized by excessive fat deposition in the liver and is associated with low-grade chronic inflammation. There are several risk factors for the development of NAFLD, including gender, geriatric community, race, ethnicity, poor sleep quality and sleep deprivation, physical activity, nutritional status, dysbiosis gut microbiota, increased oxidative stress, overweight, obesity, higher body mass index (BMI), IR, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), metabolic syndrome (MetS), dyslipidemia (hypercholesterolemia), and sarcopenia (decreased skeletal muscle mass). This systemic inflammation can contribute to the progression of periodontitis by impairing immune responses and exacerbating the inflammatory processes in the periodontal tissues. Furthermore, individuals with NAFLD often exhibit altered lipid metabolism, which may affect oral microbiota composition, leading to dysbiosis and increased susceptibility to periodontal disease. Conversely, periodontitis has been linked to the progression of NAFLD through mechanisms involving systemic inflammation and oxidative stress. Chronic periodontal inflammation can release pro-inflammatory cytokines and bacterial toxins into the bloodstream, contributing to liver inflammation and exacerbating hepatic steatosis. Moreover, periodontitis-induced oxidative stress may promote hepatic lipid accumulation and IR, further aggravating NAFLD. The interplay between NAFLD and periodontitis underscores the importance of comprehensive management strategies targeting both conditions. Lifestyle modifications such as regular exercise, a healthy diet, and proper oral hygiene practices are crucial for preventing and managing these interconnected diseases. Additionally, interdisciplinary collaboration between hepatologists and periodontists is essential for optimizing patient care and improving outcomes in individuals with NAFLD and periodontitis.

Australians with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease have a twofold increase in the incidence of cancer

Background and Aim

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is associated with an increased risk of extrahepatic morbidity. We compared the incidence of cancers in adults admitted to Queensland hospitals with MASLD with that for the Queensland population and examined the association between cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes and the development of extrahepatic cancers.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we identified all cancers (Queensland Cancer Registry) after the first hospitalization with MASLD during Jul-2007 to Dec-2019, estimated age-standardized incidence (ASI) of cancers, and compared that with the ASI in the Queensland population (incidence rate ratios [IRR]). Among the MASLD cohort, we examined the association between diabetes and cancer risk (Cox regression). Median follow-up was 3.8 years (54 204 person-years).

Results

Totally 1104 new cancers were diagnosed in 1018 patients (8.9% of 9771 non-cirrhotic and 1712 adults with cirrhosis). The ASI (all cancers) of 1668.2 per 100 000 person-years in men (95% CI 1523.7-1827.4) and 1284.0 per 100 000 person-years in women (95% CI 1169.6-1408.2) was 2-fold higher than that of the Queensland population (IRR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.75-2.16 and IRR = 1.99, 95% CI 1.78-2.22, respectively). Incidence of stomach cancer, unknown primary, and pancreas was 3- to 5-fold higher compared to the general population (all P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis of the MASLD cohort, older age (e.g. ≥70 years adjusted hazard ratio [adj-HR] = 4.59, 95% CI 3.61-5.83), male gender (adj-HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.37), and cirrhosis (adj-HR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.11-1.70) were independently associated with extrahepatic cancer risk, while diabetes was not.

Conclusions

Our findings will help to raise awareness among clinicians about the importance of cancer vigilance in this patient group.

Chronic hepatitis B care in regional Australia: implications for clinical practice and public health policy

BACKGROUND

Australia is struggling to meet its National Hepatitis B Strategy care targets, particularly in nonmetropolitan settings. It is vital to engage priority populations and improve their access to recommended care to reach these targets.

AIMS

This retrospective study examined people living with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in regional North Queensland, Australia, and determined whether their care adhered to current national CHB management guidelines. The analysis aimed to identify gaps in care that might be addressed to improve future outcomes.

METHODS

All individuals referred to the gastroenterology clinic at the Townsville University Hospital in regional North Queensland, Australia, for CHB care between January 2015 and December 2020 were identified. Their linkage to care, engagement in care and receipt of guideline-recommended CHB care were determined.

RESULTS

Of 255 individuals, 245 (96%) were linked to care; 108 (42%) remained engaged in care and 86 (38%) were receiving guideline-recommended care in 2021. There were 91/255 (36%) who identified as Indigenous Australians. Indigenous status was the only independent predictor of not being linked to care (odds ratio (OR): 0.13 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.03-0.60), P = 0.01), not being engaged in care (OR: 0.19 (95% CI: 0.10-0.36), P < 0.0001), not receiving guideline-recommended CHB care (OR: 0.16 (95% CI: 0.08-0.31), P < 0.0001) or not being engaged in a hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance programme (OR: 0.08 (95% CI: 0.02-0.27), P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Current approaches are failing to deliver optimal CHB care to Indigenous Australians in regional North Queensland. Targeted strategies to ensure that Indigenous Australians in the region receive equitable care are urgently needed.

Temporal change in aetiology and clinical characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in a large cohort of patients in New South Wales, Australia

BACKGROUND

Viral hepatitis, alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are the main risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in many countries. In Australia, given the access to hepatitis C virus (HCV) direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy since 2016, a temporal change in HCC aetiology was hypothesized. This study evaluated the temporal change in the aetiology and characteristics of HCC in New South Wales (NSW).

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with HCC, admitted to three public hospitals in NSW between 2008 and 2021, were included in the analyses. We assessed the annual frequency of each HCC aetiology and the distribution of HCC characteristics in participants.

RESULTS

Among 1370 patients, the most common HCC etiologies were HCV (n = 483, 35%), ARLD (n = 452, 33%), NAFLD (n = 347, 25%) and hepatitis B virus (n = 301, 22%). The proportion of HCV-related HCC was the highest in 2011-2016 (41%) and significantly declined to 30% in 2017-2021 (odds ratio [OR], 0.53 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.35-0.79]; P = 0.002). The proportion of HCC diagnosed at an early stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage O/A) increased from 41% in 2008-2009 to 56% in 2020-2021 (OR per annum, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.02-1.08]; P = 0.002), and the proportion of patients receiving potentially curative HCC management increased from 29% in 2008-2009 to 41% in 2020-2021 (OR per annum, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.03-1.10]; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The contribution of HCV to HCC burden has been decreasing in the DAA era, suggesting the role of HCV elimination in decreasing HCC risk. Increasing frequency of less advanced HCC at diagnosis over time suggests improved HCC surveillance.

Causes of death among Australians with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, 2002-2019

AIMS

This population-based study sought to explore in detail the conditions driving the diversification in causes of death among people with diabetes.

METHODS

We linked Australians with type 1 or type 2 diabetes of all ages on the National Diabetes Services Scheme to the National Death Index for 2002-2019. We investigated the proportional contributions of different causes of death to total deaths over time across eight categories of causes of death, stratified by sex and diabetes type. The underlying causes of death were classified according to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes.

RESULTS

Between 2002 and 2019, there was a shift in the causes of death among Australians with diabetes away from cardiovascular disease. The proportion of deaths attributed to cardiovascular disease declined in both sexes (ptrend  <0.001), most substantially among women with type 2 diabetes from 48.2% in 2002 to 30.7% in 2019. Among men with type 2 diabetes, cancer replaced cardiovascular disease as the leading cause of death. The proportion of deaths due to dementia increased overall, from 2% in 2002 to over 7% in 2019, and across all age groups, notably from 1% to 4% in those aged 70-79. The proportion of deaths due to falls and Parkinson's disease also increased.

CONCLUSIONS

There has been a shift of causes of death among those with diabetes away from cardiovascular disease. The proportion of deaths due to conditions such as dementia and falls is increasing among those with diabetes, which will require consideration when planning future resource allocation.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in older adults is associated with frailty and social disadvantage

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is growing rapidly, as is the number of older adults globally. However, relatively few studies have been performed evaluating the prevalence and risk factors for MASLD in older adults. As such, we aimed to identify the prevalence of MASLD in older adults, as well as sociodemographic, clinical, functional and biochemical associations.

METHODS

The study population included older adults without a history of cardiovascular disease, dementia or independence-limiting functional impairment who had participated in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomised trial. MASLD was defined using the Fatty Liver Index (FLI). Associations were identified using Poisson regression with robust variance for FLI ≥ 60 vs FLI < 30.

RESULTS

9097 Australian participants aged ≥70 years had complete biochemical and anthropometric data to identify MASLD. The study population had a mean age of 75.1 ± 4.3 years and was 45.0% male. Almost one-third (33.0%) had prevalent MASLD, and the prevalence decreased with increasing age (adjusted RR [aRR] 0.96, 95% CI: 0.96-0.97). MASLD was also negatively associated with social advantage (aRR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90-0.99) and exercise tolerance and was positively associated with diabetes mellitus (aRR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.16-1.29), hypertension (aRR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.22-1.41), male sex (aRR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.57-1.74), pre-frailty (aRR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.82-2.12) and frailty (aRR: 2.36, 95% CI: 2.16-2.56). MASLD and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) results were 100% concordant.

CONCLUSION

This study in a large cohort of relatively healthy community-dwelling older adults shows that MASLD is common, decreases with age and is associated with poorer metabolic health, social disadvantage and frailty.

GLP-1/GLP-1RAs: New Options for the Drug Treatment of NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has recently emerged as a global public health concern. Currently, the cornerstone of NAFLD treatment is lifestyle modification and, if necessary, weight loss. However, compliance is a challenge, and this approach alone may not be sufficient to halt and treat the more serious disease development, so medication is urgently needed. Nevertheless, no medicines are approved to treat NAFLD. Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) is an enteropeptide hormone that inhibits glucagon synthesis, promotes insulin secretion, and delays gastric emptying. GLP-1 has been found in recent studies to be beneficial for the management of NAFLD, and the marketed GLP-1 agonist drugs have different degrees of effectiveness for NAFLD while lowering blood glucose. In this article, we review GLP-1 and its physiological roles, the pathogenesis of NAFLD, the correlation between NAFLD and GLP-1 signaling, and potential strategies for GLP-1 treatment of NAFLD.

Exercise in the Management of Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) in Adults: A Position Statement from Exercise and Sport Science Australia

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide, affecting 25% of people globally and up to 80% of people with obesity. MAFLD is characterised by fat accumulation in the liver (hepatic steatosis) with varying degrees of inflammation and fibrosis. MAFLD is strongly linked with cardiometabolic disease and lifestyle-related cancers, in addition to heightened liver-related morbidity and mortality. This position statement examines evidence for exercise in the management of MAFLD and describes the role of the exercise professional in the context of the multi-disciplinary care team. The purpose of these guidelines is to equip the exercise professional with a broad understanding of the pathophysiological underpinnings of MAFLD, how it is diagnosed and managed in clinical practice, and to provide evidence- and consensus-based recommendations for exercise therapy in MAFLD management. The majority of research evidence indicates that 150-240 min per week of at least moderate-intensity aerobic exercise can reduce hepatic steatosis by ~ 2-4% (absolute reduction), but as little as 135 min/week has been shown to be effective. While emerging evidence shows that high-intensity interval training (HIIT) approaches may provide comparable benefit on hepatic steatosis, there does not appear to be an intensity-dependent benefit, as long as the recommended exercise volume is achieved. This dose of exercise is likely to also reduce central adiposity, increase cardiorespiratory fitness and improve cardiometabolic health, irrespective of weight loss. Resistance training should be considered in addition to, and not instead of, aerobic exercise targets. The information in this statement is relevant and appropriate for people living with the condition historically termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), regardless of terminology.

Methylsulfonylmethane ameliorates metabolic-associated fatty liver disease by restoring autophagy flux via AMPK/mTOR/ULK1 signaling pathway

Introduction: Metabolism-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a global health concern because of its association with obesity, insulin resistance, and other metabolic abnormalities. Methylsulfonylmethane (MSM), an organic sulfur compound found in various plants and animals, exerts antioxidant and anti-inflammatory effects. Here, we aimed to assess the anti-obesity activity and autophagy-related mechanisms of Methylsulfonylmethane. Method: Human hepatoma (HepG2) cells treated with palmitic acid (PA) were used to examine the effects of MSM on autophagic clearance. To evaluate the anti-obesity effect of MSM, male C57/BL6 mice were fed a high-fat diet (HFD; 60% calories) and administered an oral dose of MSM (200 or 400 mg/kg/day). Moreover, we investigated the AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK)/mechanistic target of rapamycin complex 1 (mTORC1)/UNC-51-like autophagy-activating kinase 1 (ULK1) signaling pathway to further determine the underlying action mechanism of MSM. Results: Methylsulfonylmethane treatment significantly mitigated PA-induced protein aggregation in human hepatoma HepG2 cells. Additionally, Methylsulfonylmethane treatment reversed the PA-induced impairment of autophagic flux. Methylsulfonylmethane also enhanced the insulin sensitivity and significantly suppressed the HFD-induced obesity and hepatic steatosis in mice. Western blotting revealed that Methylsulfonylmethane improved ubiquitinated protein clearance in HFD-induced fatty liver. Remarkably, Methylsulfonylmethane promoted the activation of AMPK and ULK1 and inhibited mTOR activity. Conclusion: Our study suggests that MSM ameliorates hepatic steatosis by enhancing the autophagic flux via an AMPK/mTOR/ULK1-dependent signaling pathway. These findings highlight the therapeutic potential of MSM for obesity-related MAFLD treatment.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in Australia: current and future perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, and is increasing in incidence in Australia. For most people with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B, HCC screening and surveillance is recommended with 6-monthly ultrasound. However, most patients with HCC are still diagnosed outside of surveillance with incurable disease. While HCC surveillance almost certainly reduces cancer-related mortality, the potential harms of surveillance are incompletely understood. Surveillance uptake remains suboptimal in many contexts, and stems from a combination of patient, clinician and system level barriers. Improved case-finding strategies may be required to identify high risk individuals in need of surveillance, as cirrhosis and viral hepatitis are often asymptomatic. HCC prediction models and novel surveillance tools such as biomarker panels, computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging may have a future role in personalised HCC surveillance. Analyses suggest surveillance may be cost-effective, but Australian data remain limited. A centralised HCC surveillance program may ultimately have a role in delivering improved and more equitable care.

Initial outcomes of a dedicated multidisciplinary non-alcoholic fatty liver disease clinic: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a major healthcare burden. Real-world outcomes in dedicated tertiary care settings in Australia remain unknown.

AIM

To evaluate the initial outcomes of patients referred to a dedicated multidisciplinary tertiary care NAFLD clinic.

METHODS

Retrospective review of all adult patients with NAFLD who attended a dedicated tertiary care NAFLD clinic between January 2018 and February 2020 and who had two clinic visits and FibroScans at least 12 months apart. Demographic and health-related clinical and laboratory data were extracted from electronic medical records. Key outcome measures were serum liver chemistries, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and weight control at 12 months.

RESULTS

A total of 137 patients with NAFLD were included. Median (interquartile range (IQR)) follow-up time was 392 days (343-497 days). One hundred and eleven patients (81%) achieved weight control (i.e. weight loss or stability). Markers of liver disease activity were significantly improved, including median (IQR) serum alanine aminotransferase (48 (33-76) vs 41 (26-60) U/L, P = 0.009) and aspartate aminotransferase (35 (26-54) vs 32 (25-53) U/L, P = 0.020). Median (IQR) LSM across the whole cohort was significantly improved (8.4 (5.3-11.8) vs 7.0 (4.9-10.1) kPa, P = 0.001). No significant reduction was observed in mean body weight or the frequency of metabolic risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights a new model of care for patients with NAFLD and demonstrates promising initial outcomes in relation to significant reductions in markers of liver disease severity. Although most patients achieved weight control, further refinements are needed to achieve significant weight reduction including more frequent and structured dietetic and/or pharmacotherapeutic interventions.

Diabetes mellitus and the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease to decompensated cirrhosis: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence of decompensated cirrhosis and associated risk factors in people hospitalised with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) with or without cirrhosis.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study; analysis of linked Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection, Queensland Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages, and Queensland Cancer Register data.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Queensland residents aged 20 years or older admitted to Queensland hospitals with NAFLD/NASH during 1 July 2009 - 31 December 2018.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Progression to decompensated cirrhosis (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or oesophageal variceal bleeding).

RESULTS

We included data for 8006 patients in our analysis (10 082 admissions), including 4632 women (58%) and 2514 people with diabetes mellitus (31%); median follow-up time was 4.6 years (interquartile range, 2.7-7.2 years). Three hundred and fifty-one people (4.4%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis during the follow-up period. Of the 6900 people without cirrhosis, 4.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6-5.7%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 0.5% per year; 95% CI, 0.4-0.6% per year); risk of progression was greater for people aged 70 years or older (v 20-39 years: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 4.7; 95% CI, 2.0-11.0) and those who had extrahepatic cancers (aHR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.0-8.2), history of major cardiovascular events (aHR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.1), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.0-3.9). Of the 1106 people with cirrhosis, 32.4% (95% CI, 27.2-38.3%) experienced decompensated cirrhosis within ten years (mean, 5.5% per year; 95% CI, 4.8-6.3% per year); risk of progression was greater for those with portal hypertension (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.7), extrahepatic cancer (aHR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-2.9), or diabetes mellitus (aHR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0). Compared with people who had neither cirrhosis nor diabetes mellitus, the risk of decompensation was greater for people with cirrhosis (aHR, 10.7; 95% CI, 7.6-15.0) or cirrhosis and diabetes mellitus (aHR, 14.4; 95% CI, 10.1-20.6).

CONCLUSIONS

Given the greater risk of progression to cirrhosis decompensation in people with diabetes mellitus, a disorder common in people with NAFLD/NASH, identifying advanced fibrosis and providing appropriate treatment for averting disease progression is vital.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease prevalence in Australia has risen over 15 years in conjunction with increased prevalence of obesity and reduction in healthy lifestyle

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent liver condition globally. The aim of this study was to evaluate the change in age- and sex-standardized prevalence of NAFLD in regional Victoria over a 15-year period and explore the underlying factors associated with differences over time.

METHODS

Repeated comparative cross-sectional studies in four towns in regional Victoria, Australia. Individuals randomly selected from households from residential address lists from local government organizations in 2001-2003 (CrossRoads I [CR1]) and 2016-2018 (CrossRoads II [CR2]) with 1040 (99%) and 704 (94%) participants from CR1 and CR2 having complete data for analysis. Primary outcome was change in prevalence estimates of NAFLD (defined by a fatty liver index ≥ 60 in the absence of excess alcohol and viral hepatitis) between 2003 and 2018.

RESULTS

Crude prevalence of NAFLD increased from 32.7% to 38.8% (P < 0.01), while age-standardized/sex-standardized prevalence increased from 32.4% to 35.4% (P < 0.01). Concurrently, prevalence of obesity defined by BMI and elevated waist circumference increased 28% and 25%, respectively. Women had a greater increase in the prevalence of NAFLD than men, in parallel with increasing prevalence of obesity. Proportion of participants consuming takeaway food greater than once weekly increased significantly over time. Up to 60% of NAFLD patients require additional tests for assessment of significant fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Crude and age-standardized/sex-standardized prevalence of NAFLD have both increased significantly over the last 15 years, particularly among women, in association with a parallel rise in the prevalence of obesity.

A discrete choice experiment to elicit preferences for a liver screening programme in Queensland, Australia: a mixed methods study to select attributes and levels

BACKGROUND

In Australia, the overall prevalence of liver disease is increasing. Maximising uptake of community screening programmes by understanding patient preferences is integral to developing consumer-centred care models for liver disease. Discrete choice experiments (DCEs) are widely used to elicit preferences for various healthcare services. Attribute development is a vital component of a well-designed DCE and should be described in sufficient detail for others to assess the validity of outcomes. Hence, this study aimed to create a list of potential attributes and levels which can be used in a DCE study to elicit preferences for chronic liver disease screening programmes.

METHODS

Key attributes were developed through a multi-stage, mixed methods design. Focus groups were held with consumers and health care providers on attributes of community screening programmes for liver disease. Stakeholders then prioritised attributes generated from the focus group in order of importance via an online prioritisation survey. The outcomes of the prioritisation exercise were then reviewed and refined by an expert panel to ensure clinically meaningful levels and relevance for a DCE survey.

RESULTS

Fifteen attributes were generated during the focus group sessions deemed necessary to design liver disease screening services. Outcomes of the prioritisation exercise and expert panel stages recognised five attributes, with three levels each, for inclusion in a DCE survey to elicit consumer preferences for community screening for liver disease. This study also highlights broader social issues such as the stigma around liver disease that require careful consideration by policy makers when designing or implementing a liver screening programme.

CONCLUSIONS

The attributes and levels identified will inform future DCE surveys to understand consumer preferences for community screening programmes for liver disease. In addition, the outcomes will help inform the implementation of the LOCATE-NAFLD programme in real-world practice, and could be relevant for other liver and non-liver related chronic disease screening programmes.

Changing epidemiology, global trends and implications for outcomes of NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has rapidly become the most common liver disease globally and is currently estimated to affect 38% of the global population. Only a minority of patients with NAFLD will progress to cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma, but from this vast population the total number of patients who are at risk of such severe outcomes is increasing. Worryingly, individuals are increasingly being affected by NAFLD at an earlier age, meaning there is more time for them to develop severe complications. With considerable changes in dietary composition and urbanisation, alongside the growth in obesity and type 2 diabetes in the global population, in particular in developing countries, the global proportion of persons affected by NAFLD is projected to increase further. Yet, there are large geographical discrepancies in the prevalence rates of NAFLD and its inflammatory component non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Such differences are partly related to differing socio-economic milieus, but also to genetic predisposition. In this narrative review, we discuss recent changes in the epidemiology of NAFLD and NASH from regional and global perspectives, as well as in special populations. We also discuss the potential consequences of these changes on hepatic and extrahepatic events.

Global incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 63 studies and 1,201,807 persons

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing. We aimed to estimate the pooled global NAFLD incidence.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies of adults without NAFLD at baseline to evaluate the global incidence of ultrasound-diagnosed NAFLD.

RESULTS

A total of 63 eligible studies (1,201,807 persons) were analyzed. Studies were from Mainland China/Hong Kong (n = 26), South Korea (n = 22), Japan (n = 14), other (n = 2, Sri Lanka, Israel); 63.8% were clinical center studies; median study year 2000 to 2016; 87% were good quality. Among the 1,201,807 persons at risk, 242,568 persons developed NAFLD, with an incidence rate of 4,612.8 (95% CI 3,931.5-5,294.2) per 100,000 person-years and no statistically significant differences by study sample size (p = 0.90) or study setting (p = 0.055). Males had higher incidence vs. females (5,943.8 vs. 3,671.7, p = 0.0013). Both the obese (vs. non-obese) and the overweight/obese groups (vs. normal weight) were about threefold more likely to develop NAFLD (8,669.6 vs. 2,963.9 and 8,416.6 vs. 3,358.2, respectively) (both p <0.0001). Smokers had higher incidence than non-smokers (8,043.2 vs. 4,689.7, p = 0.046). By meta-regression, adjusting for study year, study setting, and study location, study period of 2010 or after and study setting were associated with increased incidence (p = 0.010 and p = 0.055, respectively). By country, China had a higher NAFLD incidence compared to non-China regions (p = 0.012) and Japan a lower incidence compared to non-Japan regions (p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD incidence is increasing with a current estimate of 4,613 new cases per 100,000 person-years. Males and overweight/obese individuals had significantly higher incidence rates compared to females and those of normal weight. Public health interventions for prevention of NAFLD are needed with a special emphasis on males, overweight/obese individuals, and higher risk regions.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects approximately 30% of people worldwide and appears to be increasing, but data to estimate the incidence rate are limited. In this meta-analytic study of over 1.2 million people, we estimated an incidence rate of NAFLD of 46.13 per 1,000 person-years with significant differences by sex, BMI, geography, and time-period. As treatment options for NAFLD remain limited, prevention of NAFLD should remain the focus of public health strategies. Studies such as these can help policy makers in determining which and whether their interventions are impactful.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is changing its face: analysis of the temporal trends in aetiology and clinical patterns of HCC in South Australia

BACKGROUND

The epidemiology of chronic liver disease is changing with the introduction of potent antiviral therapies for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) and the increasing prevalence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

AIM

To establish the impact of this change on the rates and clinical patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in South Australia (SA).

METHODS

Newly diagnosed HCC patients from January 2014 until December 2019 from four tertiary centres in SA were included. The overall age-standardised incidence rates (ASIR) of HCC were calculated using 2016 SA population as the standard. To assess the trends, Join-Point regression models were used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Forecasting of overall and aetiology-specific HCC from 2020 to 2024 was performed using linear regression.

RESULTS

There were 626 new cases of HCC in SA (males 80%; median age 64 years) during the study period. There was a significant increase in NASH-related HCC (AAPC: +7.0%; P < 0.05) from 2014 to 2019. However, there were no significant differences in the ASIR for overall HCC (AAPC: -4.1%), HCV-related HCC (AAPC: -8.0%) and stage of HCC diagnosis (AAPC: +3.0%; P > 0.05). Forecasting analysis projected the decline and increase in the incidence of HCV and NASH-related HCC, respectively, over the next few years.

CONCLUSION

Overall ASIR of HCC has plateaued in SA. However, NASH-related HCC has increased significantly and is expected to continue to increase in the near future. Further research and intervention is required to reduce NASH-related HCC, a major contributor to the current and future burden of HCC.

Healthcare and socioeconomic costs of NAFLD: A global framework to navigate the uncertainties

Left unaddressed, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) will continue to have substantial health, economic and social implications. To address the challenge, a paradigm shift is needed in the way NAFLD is conceptualised. Concerted, collaborative action across medical specialities, industry sectors and governments will be vital in tackling this public health threat. To drive this change, in this review, we present data on the current global healthcare and socioeconomic costs of NAFLD and highlight priority actions. The estimated healthcare costs of patients with NAFLD are nearly twice as high as their age-matched counterparts without the disease and are highest in those with advanced fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. NAFLD is accountable for the highest increase in DALYs (disability-adjusted life years) among all liver diseases globally. NAFLD and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-specific drug therapies are not yet available and there is considerable uncertainty regarding cost, optimal length of treatment, and their impact on liver-related outcomes and mortality. Among the currently available bariatric procedures, sleeve gastrectomy is reported to be the most cost-effective for NASH resolution. Gastric bypass remains very expensive, while data on bariatric endoscopy are limited. Lastly, we propose a global NAFLD/NASH investment framework to guide the development of achievable yet ambitious country-specific targets and strategic actions to optimise resource allocation and reduce the prevalence of NAFLD and NASH. Its focus on high-level inputs will be critical to enabling a political and financial environment that supports clinical-level implementation of NAFLD prevention, treatment and care efforts, across all settings.

Testosterone is lower in men with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and alcohol-related cirrhosis and is associated with adverse clinical outcomes

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Low serum testosterone is common in cirrhotic men, but the impact of disease aetiology remains uncertain. This study compares serum total testosterone (TT) levels by disease aetiology and assesses its prognostic value.

METHODS

Single-centre retrospective study of cirrhotic men who had TT levels measured between 2002 and 2020. A cut-off of 12 nmol/L was used to define low TT and 230 pmol/L for calculated free testosterone (cFT). Linear and logistic regression used to adjust for variables known to affect testosterone levels and assess for an association between levels and outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 766 cirrhotic men, 33.3% had alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) and 11.9% had non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The median age was 56 years (interquartile range (IQR) 50-61), and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score 14 (IQR 9-20). TT levels were low in 53.3% of patients, (median 11.0 nmol/L; IQR 3.7-19.8) and cFT low in 79.6% (median 122 pmol/L; IQR 48.6-212). Median TT was lower in men with ALD (7.6 nmol/L; IQR 2.1-16.2) and NAFLD (9.8 nmol/L; IQR 2.75-15.6) compared to other aetiologies (11.0 nmol/L; IQR 3.73-19.8) (p < 0.001 for all), which remained true after adjustment for age and MELD score. TT was inversely associated with 12-month mortality or transplant (381 events, p = 0.02) and liver decompensation (345 events, p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Low serum testosterone is common in cirrhotic men and is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. TT levels are significantly lower in ALD and NAFLD compared to other disease aetiologies. Further large-scale studies are required to assess the potential benefits of testosterone therapy.

Higher Overall Intakes Are the Defining Feature of Dietary Intakes in NAFLD and Compared to the General Population

We aimed to compare the dietary intakes of Australian patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to general Australian population intake data and determine whether the intake of any nutrient or food group was able to predict the degree of steatosis. Dietary data from fifty adult patients with NAFLD were compared to intake data from the Australian Health Survey for energy, macronutrients, fat sub-types, alcohol, iron, folate, sugar, fibre, sodium and caffeine. Linear regression models adjusting for potential confounders (age, sex, physical activity and body mass index) were used to examine predictive relationships between hepatic steatosis (quantified via magnetic resonance spectroscopy) and dietary components. The mean percentage differences between NAFLD and Australian usual intakes were significant for energy, protein, total fat, saturated fat, monounsaturated and polyunsaturated fats (all p < 0.001). The contribution of fat and protein to total energy intake was significantly higher in the NAFLD cohort (p < 0.05). No individual nutrients or food groups were strongly related to hepatic fat in the adjusted models. Higher overall consumption appears to be a major feature of dietary intake in NAFLD when compared to the general population. A whole-diet approach to NAFLD treatment and prevention is likely to be more effective than focusing on single food components.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Latin America and Australia

The epidemiologic and demographical features of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) vary significantly across countries and continents. In this review, we analyze current data regarding prevalence of NAFLD in Latin America and Caribbean and Australia and review some peculiarities found in these regions. We stress the need of greater awareness of NAFLD and the development of cost-effective risk stratification strategies and clinical care pathways of the disease. Finally, we highlight the need of effective public health policies to control the main risk factors for NAFLD.

Screening for NAFLD-Current Knowledge and Challenges

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of abnormal liver function tests worldwide, with an estimated prevalence ranging between 19-46% in the general population. Of note, NAFLD is also expected to become a leading cause of end-stage liver disease in the next decades. Given the high prevalence and severity of NAFLD, especially in high-risk populations (i.e., patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus and/or obesity), there is a major interest in early detection of the disease in primary care. Nevertheless, substantial uncertainties still surround the development of a screening policy for NAFLD, such as limitations in currently used non-invasive markers of fibrosis, cost-effectiveness and the absence of a licensed treatment. In this review, we summarise current knowledge and try to identify the limitations surrounding the screening policy for NAFLD in primary care.

The high burden of comorbidities in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians living with chronic hepatitis B in Far North Queensland, Australia, and the implications for patient management

BACKGROUND

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians living with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection have a significant burden of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prevalence of comorbidities that increase the risk of HCC in this population is incompletely defined.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was performed in remote tropical Queensland, Australia in January 2021. All individuals living with chronic HBV in the region were identified; the prevalence of relevant comorbidities was determined by reviewing medical records.

RESULTS

All 236 individuals in the cohort identified as Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians; their median (interquartile range (IQR)) age was 48 (40-62) years; 120/236 (50.9%) were female. Of the 194/236 (82.2%) engaged in HBV care, 61 (31.4%) met criteria for HBV therapy and 38 (62.2%) were receiving it. However, 142/236 (60.2%) were obese, 73/236 (30.9%) were current smokers and 57/236 (24.2%) were drinking alcohol hazardously; 70/236 (29.7%) had ≥2 of these additional risk factors for HCC, only 43/236 (18.2%) had none. Among the 19 patients with confirmed cirrhosis, 9 (47%) were obese, 8 (42%) were currently-or had a history of-drinking alcohol hazardously and 5 (26.3%) were current smokers. Patients also had a median (IQR) of 3 (2-4) cardiovascular risk factors (cigarette smoking, hypertension, impaired glucose tolerance, dyslipidaemia, renal impairment/proteinuria). Only 9/236 (3.8%) did not have one of these 5 comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians living with chronic HBV in this region of remote Australia have a high engagement with HBV care and the majority of individuals eligible for antiviral therapy are receiving it. However, a significant comorbidity burden increases their risk of cirrhosis, HCC, and premature death. It is essential to integrate chronic HBV care with management of these comorbidities-rather than focusing on HBV alone-to achieve optimal health outcomes.

Geographical similarity and differences in the burden and genetic predisposition of NAFLD

NAFLD has become a major public health problem for more than 2 decades with a growing prevalence in parallel with the epidemic of obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). The disease burden of NAFLD differs across geographical regions and ethnicities. Variations in prevalence of metabolic diseases, extent of urban-rural divide, dietary habits, lifestyles, and the prevalence of NAFLD risk and protective alleles can contribute to such differences. The rise in NAFLD has led to a remarkable increase in the number of cases of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatic decompensation, and liver-related mortality related to NAFLD. Moreover, NAFLD is associated with multiple extrahepatic manifestations. Most of them are risk factors for the progression of liver fibrosis and thus worsen the prognosis of NAFLD. All these comorbidities and complications affect the quality of life in subjects with NAFLD. Given the huge and growing size of the population with NAFLD, it is expected that patients, healthcare systems, and the economy will suffer from the ongoing burden related to NAFLD. In this review, we examine the disease burden of NAFLD across geographical areas and ethnicities, together with the distribution of some well-known genetic variants for NAFLD. We also describe some special populations including patients with T2D, lean patients, the pediatric population, and patients with concomitant liver diseases. We discuss extrahepatic outcomes, patient-reported outcomes, and economic burden related to NAFLD.

Lipid accumulation product (LAP) index for the diagnosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD): a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Lipid accumulation product (LAP) is an index calculated by waist circumference (WC) and triglyceride (TG), which reflects lipid toxicity. This study aims to investigate the association between the LAP index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS AND RESULTS

PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science online databases were searched for eligible studies that investigated the association of the LAP index and NAFLD. Sixteen observational studies with 96,101 participants, including four cohort studies, one case‒control study and 11 cross-sectional studies with baseline data, were entered into this analysis. Fourteen studies reported a significant association between the LAP index and NAFLD, and two reported that this relation was not significant; two different meta-analyses (1- mean difference (MD) and 2- bivariate diagnostic test accuracy [DTA]) were conducted using Stata version 14. The LAP index was compared in subjects with and without NAFLD, and the difference was significant with 34.90 units (CI 95: 30.59-39.31, P < 0.001) of the LAP index. The DTA meta-analysis was conducted and showed that the LAP index pooled sensitivity and specificity for screening of NAFLD were 94% (CI95: 72%-99%, I2 = 99%, P < 0.001) and 85% (CI95: 62%-96%, I2 = 99%, P < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The LAP Index is an inexpensive, sensitive, and specific method to evaluate NAFLD and may be valuable for NAFLD screening.

Disease Progression Modeling for Economic Evaluation in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Globally, 25% of people have nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and, currently, there are no approved pharmacologic treatments for NAFLD. With a slow disease progression, long-term impact of pharmacologic treatments can be assessed only by complementing emerging clinical trial evidence with data from other sources in disease progression modeling. Although this modeling is crucial for economic evaluation studies assessing the clinical and economic consequences of new treatments, the approach to modeling the natural history of NAFLD differs in contemporary research. This systematic literature review investigated modeling of the natural history of NAFLD.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was conducted searching PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane, and the National Health Service Economic Evaluation Database to identify articles focusing on modeling of the natural history of NAFLD. Model structure and transition probabilities were extracted from included studies.

RESULTS

Of the 28 articles identified, differences were seen in model structure and data input. Clear definitions of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and NAFLD often were lacking; differences in the granularity of modeling fibrosis progression, the approach to disease regression, and modeling of advanced liver disease varied across studies. Observed transition probabilities for F0 to F1, F1 to F2, F2 to F3, and F3 to compensated cirrhosis varied between 0.059 to 0.095, 0.023 to 0.140, 0.018 to 0.070, and 0.040 to 0.118, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The difference in disease progression modeling for seemingly similar models warrants further inquiry regarding how to model the natural course of NAFLD. Such differences may have a large impact when assessing the value of emerging pharmacologic treatments.

Global incidence and prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a leading cause of liver disease worldwide. The estimated global incidence of NAFLD is 47 cases per 1,000 population and is higher among males than females. The estimated global prevalence of NAFLD among adults is 32% and is higher among males (40%) compared to females (26%). The global prevalence of NAFLD has increased over time, from 26% in studies from 2005 or earlier to 38% in studies from 2016 or beyond. The prevalence of NAFLD varies substantially by world region, contributed by differing rates of obesity, and genetic and socioeconomic factors. The prevalence of NAFLD exceeds 40% in the Americas and South-East Asia. The prevalence of NAFLD is projected to increase significantly in multiple world regions by 2030 if current trends are left unchecked. In this review, we discuss trends in the global incidence and prevalence of NAFLD and discuss future projections.

The Evidence Surrounding Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Individuals with Cancer: A Systematic Literature Review

Emerging evidence indicates an association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), cancer development and mortality. Cancer treatment-induced metabolic and hepatic dysfunction may be associated with increased rates of NAFLD. The review aims to investigate current evidence surrounding NAFLD in adults (≥18 years) with cancer including prevalence, effect of cancer treatments, metabolic co-morbidities, and mortality. Embase, Scopus, PubMed, and CINAHL were searched from inception to December 2021 including randomized controlled trials and observational studies. Twenty-three articles were included, comprising 142,218 participants. The overall risk of bias for observational studies was determined as low for 10 studies and neutral for 12 studies, and the RCT was determined as some concerns. The prevalence of NAFLD, based on imaging or histology, in adults with cancer ranged from 0.5 to 81.3%, with higher prevalence in breast, colorectal and gynecological cancers. Higher rates of NAFLD were also seen in patients who (i) underwent treatments-including chemotherapy and hormone therapy and/or who (ii) had higher BMI or other metabolic co-morbidities. NAFLD was associated with an increase in all-cause and cancer-related mortality. Based on review results, it is recommended that further assessment is carried out to determine whether liver screening in high-risk patients is cost effective and if interventions can be implemented to improve hepatic and health outcomes in adults with cancer.

An ecological study of obesity-related cancer incidence trends in Australia from 1983 to 2017

BACKGROUND

Overweight and obesity is a growing public health issue as it contributes to the future burden of obesity-related diseases, including cancer, especially in high-income countries. In Australia, 4.3% of all cancers diagnosed in 2013 were attributable to overweight and obesity. Our aim was to examine Australian age-specific incidence trends over the last 35 years for obesity-related cancers based on expert review (colorectal, liver, gallbladder, pancreas, breast in postmenopausal women, uterine, ovary, kidney, thyroid, and multiple myeloma) individually and pooled.

METHODS

Australian incidence data for 10 obesity-related cancers among people aged 25-84 years, diagnosed from 1983 to 2017, were obtained from the Australian Cancer Database. We used age-period-cohort modelling and joinpoint analysis to assess trends, estimating incidence rate ratios (IRR) by birth-cohort for each individual cancer and pooled, and the annual percentage change. The analyses were also conducted for non-obesity-related cancers over the same period.

FINDINGS

The total number of cancers where some proportion is obesity-related, diagnosed from 1983-2017, was 1,005,933. This grouping was 34.7% of cancers diagnosed. The IRR of obesity-related cancers increased from 0.77 (95% CI 0.73, 0.81) for the 1903 birth-cohort to 2.95 (95% CI 2.58, 3.38) for the recent 1988 cohort relative to the 1943 cohort. The IRRs of non-obesity related cancers were stable with non-significant decreases in younger cohorts. These trends were broadly similar across sex and age groups.

INTERPRETATION

The incidence of obesity-related cancers in Australia has increased by birth-cohort across all age-groups, which should be monitored. Obesity, a public health epidemic, needs to be addressed through increased awareness, policy support and evidence-based interventions.

FUNDING

This research received no specific funding.

Missing-view completion for fatty liver disease detection

Fatty liver disease is a common disease that causes extra fat storage in an individual's liver. Patients with fatty liver disease may progress to cirrhosis and liver failure, further leading to liver cancer. The prevalence of fatty liver disease ranges from 10% to 30% in many countries. In general, detecting fatty liver requires professional neuroimaging modalities or methods such as computed tomography, ultrasound, and medical experts' practical experiences. Considering this point, finding intelligent electronic noninvasive diagnostic approaches are desired at present. Currently, most existing works in the area of computerized noninvasive disease detection often apply one view (modality) or perform multi-view (several modalities) analysis, e.g., face, tongue, and/or sublingual for disease detection. The multi-view data of patients provides more complementary information for diagnosis. However, due to the conditions of data acquisition, interference by human factors, etc., many multi-view data are defective with some missing-view information, making these multi-view data difficult to evaluate. This factor largely affects the performance of classifying disease and the development of fully computerized noninvasive methods. Thus, the purpose of this study is to address the missing view issue among noninvasive disease detection. In this work, a multi-view dataset containing facial, sublingual vein, and tongue images are initially processed to produce corresponding feature for incomplete multi-view disease diagnostic evaluation. Hereby, we propose a novel method, i.e., multi-view completion, to process the incomplete multi-view data in order to complete the missing-view information for classifying fatty liver disease from healthy candidates. In particular, this method can explore the intra-view and inter-view information to produce the missing-view data effectively. Extensive experiments on a collected dataset with 220 fatty liver patients and 220 healthy samples show that our proposed approach achieves better diagnostic results with missing-view completion compared to the original incomplete multi-view data under various classifiers. Related results prove that our method can effectively process the missing-view issue and improve the noninvasive disease detection performance.

A Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Model to Predict the Impact of Metabolic Changes Associated with Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease on Drug Exposure

Metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease, with an estimated prevalence of between 20 and 30% worldwide. Observational data supported by in vitro and pre-clinical animal models of MAFLD suggest meaningful differences in drug disposition in MAFLD patients. This study aimed to build a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model reflecting observed changes in physiological and molecular parameters relevant to drug disposition that are associated with MAFLD. A comprehensive literature review and meta-analysis was conducted to identify all studies describing in vivo physiological changes along with in vitro and pre-clinical model changes in CYP 1A2, 2C9, 2C19, 2D6 and 3A4 protein abundance associated with MAFLD. A MAFLD population profile was constructed in Simcyp (version 19.1) by adapting demographic and physiological covariates from the Sim-Healthy population profile based on a meta-analysis of observed data from the published literature. Simulations demonstrated that single dose and steady state area under the plasma concentration time curve (AUC) for caffeine, clozapine, omeprazole, metoprolol, dextromethorphan and midazolam, but not s-warfarin or rosiglitazone, were increased by >20% in the MAFLD population compared to the healthy control population. These findings indicate that MAFLD patients are likely to be experience meaningfully higher exposure to drugs that are primarily metabolized by CYP 1A2, 2C19, 2D6 and 3A4, but not CYP2C9. Closer monitoring of MAFLD patients using drugs primarily cleared by CYP 1A2, 2C19 and 3A4 is warranted as reduced metabolic activity and increased drug exposure are likely to result in an increased incidence of toxicity in this population.

Forecasted 2040 global prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease using hierarchical bayesian approach

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Due to increases in obesity and type 2 diabetes, the prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has also been increasing. Current forecast models may not include non-obese NAFLD. Here, we used the Bayesian approach to forecast the prevalence of NAFLD through the year 2040.

METHODS

Prevalence data from 245 articles involving 2,699,627 persons were used with a hierarchical Bayesian approach to forecast the prevalence of NAFLD through 2040. Subgroup analyses were performed for age, gender, presence of metabolic syndrome, region, and smoking status. Sensitivity analysis was conducted for clinical setting and study quality.

RESULTS

The forecasted 2040 prevalence was 55.7%, a three-fold increase since 1990 and a 43.2% increase from the 2020 prevalence of 38.9%. The estimated average yearly increase since 2020 was 2.16%. For those aged <50 years and ≥50 years, the 2040 prevalence were not significantly different (56.7% vs. 61.5%, P=0.52). There was a significant difference in 2040 prevalence by sex (males: 60% vs. 50%) but the trend was steeper for females (annual percentage change: 2.5% vs. 1.5%, P=0.025). There was no difference in trends overtime by region (P=0.48). The increase rate was significantly higher in those without metabolic syndrome (3.8% vs. 0.84%, P=0.003) and smokers (1.4% vs. 1.1%, P=0.011). There was no difference by clinical/community setting (P=0.491) or study quality (P=0.85).

CONCLUSION

By 2040, over half the adult population is forecasted to have NAFLD. The largest increases are expected to occur in women, smokers, and those without metabolic syndrome. Intensified efforts are needed to raise awareness of NAFLD and to determine long-term solutions addressing the driving factors of the disease.

Risk of dementia or cognitive impairment in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

To investigate whether non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) increases the risk of dementia or cognitive impairment.

Methods

A systematic search of the literature in the PubMed, Excerpta Medica Database (EMBASE), Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases was conducted, covering the period from the inception of each database to 22 May 2022. Statistical analysis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and the risk of cognitive impairment or dementia based on data extracted from each article was performed using Stata software v. 16.0. The quality of this study was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for assessing the quality of cohort and case-control studies and the American Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) methodology checklist for assessing the quality of cross-sectional studies. Funnel plots and the Egger's test were used to assess publication bias.

Results

We included 7 studies comprising 891,562 individuals from 6 countries, which were published between 2020 and 2022. The pooling analysis showed that a history of NAFLD was associated with cognitive impairment [odds ratio (OR) = 1.44; 95% CI: 1.17-1.78; heterogeneity (I 2) = 0%; P = 0.001]. A history of NAFLD was not associated with an increased risk of all-cause dementia (OR = 1.03; 95% CI: 0.97-1.09; I 2 = 84.7%; P = 0.341) or Alzheimer disease (OR = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.83-1.09; I 2 = 61.0%; P = 0.489). In contrast, NAFLD was associated with an obvious reduction of the risk of vascular dementia (OR = 0.88; 95% CI: 0.79-0.98; I 2 = 0.0%; P = 0.020). In the subgroup analysis, male and female patients with NAFLD showed an equal risk of dementia or cognitive impairment. The risk of dementia or cognitive impairment in the cross-sectional study (OR = 1.49; 95% CI: 1.19-1.88; I 2 = 0.0%; P = 0.001) was slightly higher than that in the retrospective cohort (OR = 1.03; 95% CI: 0.97-1.09; I 2 = 84.3%; P = 0.294).

Conclusions

NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of cognitive impairment and a decreased risk of vascular dementia. More studies are needed to clarify the pathophysiological mechanism underlying the association between NAFLD and dementia or cognitive impairment.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/#recordDetails, identifier: CRD42022334492.

Review article: the epidemiologic burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease across the world

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing in parallel with obesity and type 2 diabetes.

AIM

To review the global epidemiology of NAFLD METHODS: We retrieved articles from PubMed using search terms of NAFLD, epidemiology, prevalence, incidence, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Over 250 articles were reviewed. In 2016, the global NAFLD prevalence was 25%; this increased to >30% in 2019. Prevalence in Asia, Latin America and Middle East-North Africa (MENA) was 30.8%, 34.5% and 42.6%, respectively. Prevalence increased with age. Although prevalence was higher in men, prevalence in post-menopausal women was similar. NAFLD prevalence was higher in certain subpopulations, especially among the obese and those with metabolic syndrome (MS). However, the prevalence of lean NAFLD was 11.2%. The global prevalence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is estimated between 2% and 6% in the general population. Approximately 7% of patients with NAFLD have advanced fibrosis; rates were between 21% and 50% among patients with NASH. Overall mortality related to NAFLD was 15-20 per 1000 person-years, and increased substantially in patients with NASH, especially in those with components of MS. Recent data suggest mortality/morbidity from NAFLD is increasing globally but NAFLD awareness remains low among patients and healthcare providers.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD poses a global public health problem with a very high disease burden in Asia, MENA and Latin America. Research is needed to better quantify the full impact of NAFLD and to develop strategies to improve awareness and risk stratification.

Hypolipidemic Effects of Soy Protein and Isoflavones in the Prevention of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease- A Review

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease and affects about 25% of the population globally. Obesity and diabetes are the main causes of the disease characterized by excessive accumulation of lipids in the liver. There is currently no direct pharmacological treatments for NAFLD. Dietary intervention and lifestyle modification are the key strategies in the prevention and treatment of the disease. Soy consumption is associated with many health benefits such as decreased incidence of coronary heart disease, type-2 diabetes, atherosclerosis and obesity. The hypolipidemic functions of soy components have been shown in both animal studies and human clinical trials. Dietary soy proteins and associated isoflavones suppressed the formation and accumulation of lipid droplets in the liver and improved NAFLD-associated metabolic syndrome. The molecular mechanism(s) underlying the effects of soy components are mainly through modulation of transcription factors, sterol regulatory element-binding protein-1 and peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ2, and expressions of their target genes involved in lipogenesis and lipolysis as well as lipid droplet-promoting protein, fat-specific protein-27. Inclusion of appropriate amounts of soy protein and isoflavones in the diets might be a useful approach to decrease the prevalence of NAFLD and mitigate disease burden.

Hepatocellular and extrahepatic cancers in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular (HCC) and extrahepatic cancers have been associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD); however, the extent and nature of these relationships remain unclear. We aimed to estimate the absolute incidence rates of these cancers in adults with NAFLD with respect to key demographic and clinical factors.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases for studies reporting the incidence rates of any cancer in adults with NAFLD from inception to 31 August 2020. The main meta-analysis outcomes were pooled incidences of cancers in NAFLD using random-effects modelling. Subgroup analyses examined the effects of NAFLD disease stage.

FINDINGS

In total, 64 studies were eligible for analysis of HCC and extrahepatic cancer incidence including 625,984 and 41,027 patients, respectively. The pooled HCC incidence rate was 1.25 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 1.01 to 1.49; I² = 94.8%). In patients with NAFLD with advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis, the HCC incidence rate was 14.46 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 10.89 to 18.04; I² = 91.3%). The pooled extrahepatic cancer incidence rate was 10.58 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 8.14 to 13.02; I² = 97.1%). The most frequently occurring extrahepatic cancers were uterine, breast, prostate, colorectal, and lung. Extrahepatic cancer incidence rates were not higher in patients with NAFLD with advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis.

INTERPRETATION

The rate of HCC development in patients with NAFLD who have progressed to advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis supports current HCC surveillance recommendations targeted for this group. Extrahepatic cancers are over eight-fold more frequent than HCC in NAFLD and not associated with liver fibrosis stage. As the global prevalence of NAFLD is approximately 25% and increasing, these findings support a focus on its prevention and the early detection of cancer in adults with NAFLD.

Changing clinical management of NAFLD in Asia

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become the leading cause of chronic liver disease, affecting approximately 25% of the world's population. Recently, because of the sedentary lifestyle and overnutrition resulting from urbanisation, the burden of NAFLD has rapidly increased in many Asian countries. Currently, the prevalence of NAFLD in Asia is approximately 30%, as is the case in many Western countries. In Asia, the prevalence and presentation of NAFLD vary widely across regions because of the substantial diversity in race, socioeconomic status and living environment. Furthermore, the dual aetiology of fatty liver, particularly with viral hepatitis in Asia, makes it complex and challenging to manage. Because Asians are likely to have central adiposity and insulin resistance, approximately 7%-20% of non-obese Asians with body mass indexes of less than 25 kg/m² are estimated to have NAFLD. Accumulating evidence indicates that NAFLD is associated with various extrahepatic comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, malignancy, in addition to liver-specific complications. Therefore, NAFLD should be managed as a multisystem disease in conjunction with metabolic syndrome. Lifestyle modification remains the basis of NAFLD management, but few patients can achieve adequate weight loss and maintain it long term. While various pharmacological agents are in phase 3 trials for steatohepatitis, Asian patients are underrepresented in most trials. This article reviews the epidemiological trends, clinical features, optimal assessment and current management practices for NAFLD in Asia.

The Hidden Epidemic: The Prevalence and Impact of Concurrent Liver Diseases in Patients Undergoing Liver Transplantation in Australia and New Zealand

Prevalence of concurrent liver diseases among liver transplant recipients and impact on posttransplant outcomes are unknown.

Methods

This retrospective study included adult liver transplants between January 1' 1985' and December 31' 2019' from the Australian and New Zealand Liver and Intestinal Transplant Registry. Up to 4 liver disease causes were recorded for each transplant; concurrent liver diseases were defined as >1 liver disease indication for transplantation, excluding hepatocellular carcinoma. Impact on posttransplant survival was determined using Cox regression.

Results

A total of 840 (15%) of 5101 adult liver transplant recipients had concurrent liver diseases. Recipients with concurrent liver diseases were more likely male (78% versus 64%) and older (mean age 52 versus 50 y). A higher proportion of liver transplants for hepatitis B (12% versus 6%), hepatitis C (33% versus 20%), alcohol liver disease (23% versus 13%), and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (11% versus 8%, all P < 0.001) were identified when all indications were included than with primary diagnosis only. The number and proportion of liver transplants performed for concurrent liver diseases have increased from 8 (6%) during Era 1 (1985-1989) to 302 (20%) during Era 7 (2015-2019; P < 0.001). Concurrent liver diseases were not associated with increased posttransplant mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.98, 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.14).

Conclusions

Concurrent liver diseases are increasing among adult liver transplant recipients in Australia and New Zealand; however, they do not appear to impact posttransplant survival. Reporting all liver disease causes in the transplant registry reports provides more accurate estimates of liver disease burden.

Poor disease knowledge is associated with higher healthcare service use and costs among patients with cirrhosis: an exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Optimal management of cirrhosis is complex, and patients often lack knowledge and skills, which can affect self-management. We assessed patient knowledge about cirrhosis and examined whether knowledge was associated with clinical outcomes, healthcare service use, and healthcare costs. A cross-sectional 'knowledge survey' was conducted during 2018-2020. We assessed patient knowledge about cirrhosis and explore whether knowledge was associated with clinical outcomes, healthcare service use, and costs.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis (n = 123) completed a 'knowledge survey'. We calculated the proportion of correct answers to eight questions deemed to be "key knowledge" about cirrhosis by an expert panel, and dichotomized patients as 'good knowledge'/'poor knowledge'. Clinical data, healthcare costs, and health-related quality of life (SF-36) were available.

RESULTS

58.5% of patients had 'good knowledge' about cirrhosis. Higher education level was associated with higher odds of having 'good knowledge' about cirrhosis (adjusted-OR = 5.55, 95%CI 2.40-12.84). Compared to patients with 'poor knowledge', those with 'good knowledge' had a higher health status in the SF-36 physical functioning domain (p = 0.011), fewer cirrhosis-related admissions (adjusted incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.59, 95%CI 0.35-0.99) and emergency presentations (adj-IRR = 0.34, 95%CI 0.16-0.72), and more planned 1-day cirrhosis admissions (adj-IRR = 3.96, 95%CI 1.46-10.74). The total cost of cirrhosis admissions was lower for patients with 'good knowledge' (adj-IRR = 0.30, 95%CI 0.29-0.30).

CONCLUSION

Poor disease knowledge is associated with increased use and total cost of healthcare services. Targeted educational interventions to improve patient knowledge may be an effective strategy to promote a more cost-effective use of healthcare services.

Cancer Incidence in Migrants in Australia: Patterns of Three Infection-Related Cancers

BACKGROUND

Australia provides an ideal population-base for cancer migration studies because of its multicultural society and high-quality cancer registrations. Among migrant groups there is considerable variability in the incidence of infection-related cancers; thus, the patterns of three such cancers were examined among migrant groups relative to Australian-born residents.

METHODS

Using national incidence data for cancers of the stomach, liver, and cervix diagnosed during 2005 to 2014, incidence rates were compared for selected migrant groups with the Australian-born population using incidence rate ratios (IRR), from a negative binomial regression model.

RESULTS

Wide variations in incidence between countries/regions of birth were observed for all three cancers (P < 0.0001). The patterns were similar for cancers of the stomach and liver, in that migrants from countries/regions with higher incidence rates maintained an increased risk in Australia, with the highest being among South American migrants (IRR = 2.35) for stomach cancer and among Vietnamese migrants (5.44) for liver cancer. In contrast, incidence rates of cervical cancer were lower for many migrant groups, with women from Southern Asia (0.39) and North Africa (0.42) having the lowest rates. The rate of cervical cancer was higher in migrants from New Zealand, Philippines, and Polynesia.

CONCLUSIONS

Several Australian migrant groups were found to experience a disproportionate burden of infection-related cancers; further studies of associated risk factors may inform the design of effective interventions to mediate these disparities.

IMPACT

By identifying these migrant groups, it is hoped that these results will motivate and inform prevention or early detection activities for these migrant groups. See related commentary Dee and Gomez, p. 1251.

Proteomic analysis reveals exercise training induced remodelling of hepatokine secretion and uncovers syndecan-4 as a regulator of hepatic lipid metabolism

Objective

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is linked to impaired lipid metabolism and systemic insulin resistance, which is partly mediated by altered secretion of liver proteins known as hepatokines. Regular physical activity can resolve NAFLD and improve its metabolic comorbidities, however, the effects of exercise training on hepatokine secretion and the metabolic impact of exercise-regulated hepatokines in NAFLD remain unresolved. Herein, we examined the effect of endurance exercise training on hepatocyte secreted proteins with the aim of identifying proteins that regulate metabolism and reduce NAFLD severity.

Methods

C57BL/6 mice were fed a high-fat diet for six weeks to induce NAFLD. Mice were exercise trained for a further six weeks, while the control group remained sedentary. Hepatocytes were isolated two days after the last exercise bout, and intracellular and secreted proteins were detected using label-free mass spectrometry. Hepatocyte secreted factors were applied to skeletal muscle and liver ex vivo and insulin action and fatty acid metabolism were assessed. Syndecan-4 (SDC4), identified as an exercise-responsive hepatokine, was overexpressed in the livers of mice using adeno-associated virus. Whole-body energy homeostasis was assessed by indirect calorimetry and skeletal muscle and liver metabolism was assessed using radiometric techniques.

Results

Proteomics analysis detected 2657 intracellular and 1593 secreted proteins from mouse hepatocytes. Exercise training remodelled the hepatocyte proteome, with differences in 137 intracellular and 35 secreted proteins. Bioinformatic analysis of hepatocyte secreted proteins revealed enrichment of tumour suppressive proteins and proteins involved in lipid metabolism and mitochondrial function, and suppression of oncogenes and regulators of oxidative stress. Hepatocyte secreted factors from exercise trained mice improved insulin action in skeletal muscle and increased hepatic fatty acid oxidation. Hepatocyte-specific overexpression of SDC4 reduced hepatic steatosis, which was associated with reduced hepatic fatty acid uptake, and blunted pro-inflammatory and pro-fibrotic gene expression. Treating hepatocytes with recombinant ectodomain of SDC4 (secreted form) recapitulated these effects with reduced fatty acid uptake, lipid storage and lipid droplet accumulation.

Conclusions

Remodelling of hepatokine secretion is an adaptation to regular exercise training that induces changes in metabolism in the liver and skeletal muscle. SDC4 is a novel exercise-responsive hepatokine that decreases fatty acid uptake and reduces steatosis in the liver. By understanding the proteomic changes in hepatocytes with exercise, these findings have potential for the discovery of new therapeutic targets for NAFLD.

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Exercise training remodels hepatokine secretion.

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Exercise regulated secreted factors improve insulin action in skeletal muscle.

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Syndecan-4 (SDC4) is a novel exercise-induced hepatokine.

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SDC4 reduces hepatic fatty acid uptake and hepatic steatosis.