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Sethi A, Bell C, Norton D, Goss M, Barlow S, Chen G, Uzicanin A, Temte J. Factors Associated With Transmission Across Three Waves of SARS-CoV-2 in a Prospective Community-Based Study of Households With School-Aged Children-Dane County, Wisconsin, 2020-2022. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024; 18:e70031. [PMID: 39478308 PMCID: PMC11525035 DOI: 10.1111/irv.70031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2024] [Revised: 07/31/2024] [Accepted: 10/12/2024] [Indexed: 11/03/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is a driver of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding factors that contribute to secondary infection risks (SIRs) can define changing trends and inform public health policies. METHODS The ORegon CHild Absenteeism due to Respiratory Disease Study (ORCHARDS) prospectively monitors respiratory viruses within the Oregon School District (OSD) in southcentral Wisconsin. Households with students who had ≥ 2 respiratory symptoms were eligible and opted to participate in ORCHARDS. Between October 28, 2020, and May 16, 2022, all household members provided self-collected nasal specimens on days 0, 7, and 14 for SARS-CoV-2 detection using real-time reverse-transcription-polymerase chain reaction. We used logistic regression to investigate individual- and household-level characteristics associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission. RESULTS Overall, 127 households comprising 572 individuals (48% female; 52% male; 0.4% nonbinary; 77% ≥ 18 years) had at least one detection of SARS-CoV-2. The overall SIR was 47% and decreased over time (pre-Delta = 72% [95% CI: 58%-83%]; Delta = 51% [40%-63%]; and Omicron = 41% [36%-47%]). Odds of household transmission were 63% lower during the Omicron period compared with the pre-Delta period (OR = 0.36 [95% CI: 0.13-0.94] p = 0.037). Greater household density (members/bedroom) was significantly associated with household transmission during the Omicron period (OR = 6.8, [2.19-21.37] p = 0.001). Index case age, illness severity, and individual symptoms were not significantly associated with odds of household transmission. CONCLUSIONS Greater household density was associated with a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, but the risk declined over time with subsequent variants. Interplay between variants, prior infection, and individual/household factors may identify modifiable factors (e.g., behavior and vaccination) to reduce future transmission risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ajay K. Sethi
- Department of Population Health SciencesUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
| | - Cristalyne Bell
- Department of Family Medicine and Community HealthUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
| | - Derek Norton
- Department of Biostatistics and Medical InformaticsUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
| | - Maureen D. Goss
- Department of Family Medicine and Community HealthUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
| | - Shari Barlow
- Department of Family Medicine and Community HealthUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
| | - Guanhua Chen
- Department of Biostatistics and Medical InformaticsUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
| | - Amra Uzicanin
- National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious DiseasesCenters for Disease Control and PreventionAtlantaGeorgiaUSA
| | - Jonathan L. Temte
- Department of Family Medicine and Community HealthUniversity of WisconsinMadisonWisconsinUSA
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Choo SJ, Chang CT, Chan HK, Abu Hassan MR, Hamdan MH, Cheong AT, Mat Noh FN, Uzma Mustafa NS. Knowledge and attitude towards home quarantine instructions and associations with history of Covid-19 infection in Malaysia. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:1311. [PMID: 38745185 PMCID: PMC11094920 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18739-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2023] [Accepted: 04/29/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Although COVID-19 has entered the endemic phase, individuals infected with COVID-19 are required to adhere to home quarantine measures. By exploring the public's knowledge and attitude towards recommended home quarantine measures, their readiness in containing potential COVID-19 outbreak can be determined. This study aimed to assess the public knowledge and attitude towards home quarantine instructions and their association with history of COVID-19 infections. METHODS This was a web-based cross-sectional study conducted among the public in Malaysia between August to October 2022. All Malaysian adults over 18 years of age were included. Knowledge on home quarantine instructions and COVID-19 warning signs were measured using "True," "False," or "I'm not sure", while attitude towards home quarantine instructions was measured using a five-point Likert Scale. The questionnaire was initially constructed in English and then translated into the national language, Bahasa Malaysia. Face and content validation were performed. The internal consistency of the questionnaire was found to be satisfactory. RESULTS 1,036 respondents were analyzed, comprised mostly of females (743, 71.6%) with a history of COVID-19 (673, 64.9%). In the knowledge domain, more than 80% of the respondents answered 9 out of 11 home quarantine instructions statements correctly. 457 (44.1%) were unaware or unsure about the minimum distance of the infected individual's bed from the rest of the occupants in a shared bedroom. The respondents reported relatively weaker knowledge in identifying uncommon warning signs of COVID-19 deterioration, including anuria (162, 44.5%), ingestion problems (191, 52.5%), and immobility (195, 53.6%). In the attitude domain, more than 90% of respondents answered correctly in 8 out of 9 questions. Respondents with a previous history of COVID-19 infections had better knowledge than COVID-19 infection-naïve individuals towards both home quarantine instructions and COVID-19 warning signs. CONCLUSION Most respondents had good knowledge and attitude towards home quarantine instructions, with those previously infected with COVID-19 showing greater awareness of uncommon warning signs. However, there was a notable lack of awareness regarding physical distancing within shared rooms, appropriate disinfectant use and mobility limitation within the household. This study highlights the knowledge gaps to be improved in future educational campaigns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shea Jiun Choo
- Pharmacy Department, Hospital Taiping, Ministry of Health Malaysia, Taiping, Malaysia
| | - Chee Tao Chang
- Clinical Research Centre, Hospital Raja Permaisuri Bainun, Ministry of Health Malaysia, Ipoh, Malaysia.
- School of Pharmacy, Monash University Malaysia, Subang Jaya, Malaysia.
| | - Huan-Keat Chan
- Clinical Research Centre, Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah, Ministry of Health Malaysia, Alor Setar, Malaysia
| | - Muhammad Radzi Abu Hassan
- Clinical Research Centre, Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah, Ministry of Health Malaysia, Alor Setar, Malaysia
| | - Muhammad Hazmi Hamdan
- Pharmacy Department, Hospital Taiping, Ministry of Health Malaysia, Taiping, Malaysia
| | - Ai Ting Cheong
- Pharmacy Department, Hospital Taiping, Ministry of Health Malaysia, Taiping, Malaysia
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Vu TT, Ngo TH, Nguyen KC, Lan VT, Hanh CTB, Son LH, Nguyen HT, Nguyen HT, Ngu ND, Tran DN, Dang DA, Vogt F, Pham TQ. Within-household SARS-CoV-2 transmission and vaccine effectiveness in the first three COVID-19 school outbreaks in northern Viet Nam, September-December 2021. Western Pac Surveill Response J 2024; 15:1-12. [PMID: 39114528 PMCID: PMC11304045 DOI: 10.5365/wpsar.2024.15.3.1077] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Objective The risk of transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) from schoolchildren to their household and the protective effects of vaccination in these settings remain poorly understood. We assessed the transmission dynamics of schoolchildren with SARS-CoV-2 within their households and the protective effects of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccination among household members in Viet Nam. Methods We estimated the attack rate, vaccine effectiveness and adjusted risk ratio (aRR) of factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission to household contacts of children confirmed to have COVID-19 who attended three schools in Ha Nam, Phu Tho and Thanh Hoa provinces between September and December 2021 using multivariable regression with household-level random effects. Results This retrospective cohort study included 157 children infected with SARS-CoV-2 and their 540 household contacts. The attack rate among household contacts was 24.6% (133/540). Overall, vaccine effectiveness among household contacts was 39% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -1 to -63), higher among males than females and higher in adults aged > 40 years. COVID-19 transmission was greater among female household contacts compared with males (aRR: 1.35, 95% CI: 0.94 to 1.95), although not statistically significant, and highest among those aged 19-39 years (aRR: 2.51, 95% CI: 1.50 to 4.21). Fully vaccinated household contacts had significantly lower infection risk (aRR: 0.46, 95% CI: 0.26 to 0.84). Discussion We found substantial onward transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from schoolchildren to household members, and older people were more likely to be protected by vaccination. We recommend that schoolchildren and all household members living with schoolchildren receive at least two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine. Recognizing the role of schoolchildren in the onward transmission of COVID-19 is an important lesson learned by Viet Nam that can help not only in managing other outbreaks but also in protecting schoolchildren by predicting the progress of the outbreak and preparing for a timely response.
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Affiliation(s)
- Trang Thu Vu
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
- These authors contributed equally to this work as shared first authors
| | - Tu Huy Ngo
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
- Field Epidemiology Training Program, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
- These authors contributed equally to this work as shared first authors
| | - Khanh Cong Nguyen
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
- Field Epidemiology Training Program, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
| | - Vu Thi Lan
- Ha Nam Center for Disease Control, Ha Nam, Viet Nam
| | | | - Le Hong Son
- Thanh Hoa Center for Disease Control, Thanh Hoa, Viet Nam
| | - Huyen Thi Nguyen
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
| | - Hien Thi Nguyen
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
| | - Nghia Duy Ngu
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
| | - Duong Nhu Tran
- National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
| | - Duc-Anh Dang
- National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
| | - Florian Vogt
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
- The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
- These authors contributed equally to this work as shared last authors
| | - Thai Quang Pham
- Department of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Viet Nam
- Department of Research Methodology and Biostatistics, School of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Hanoi Medical University, Hanoi, Viet Nam
- These authors contributed equally to this work as shared last authors
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Almayahi ZK, Al Mujaini SM, Al Shaqsi N, Al Hattali N, Al Hattali A, Al Ghafri Y, Al Lamki N, Al Kharusi Z, Al Jaradi N, Al Mayahi A, Al Subhi M, Al Naabi H, Al Siyabi H, Al Jaradi AS, Al Nofli I, Al Khanjari S, Al Naabi M, Al Subhi A, Jabri AAL, Al Jarjari Y, Al Harmali S, Al Gefaily N, Al Mamari S, Al Kharusi A, Al Khudhuri M, Al Baloshi M, Al Shaqsi D, Al Ghafri F, Al Dhuhli K, Al Malki R. Transmission dynamics, responses, and clinical features for the first 1100 COVID-19 cases in South Batinah, Oman: Major lessons from a provincial perspective. J Taibah Univ Med Sci 2023; 18:1627-1645. [PMID: 37711758 PMCID: PMC10498412 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtumed.2023.07.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 06/16/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 09/16/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives This study was aimed at exploring and analyzing the epidemiological profile, surveillance, and response to COVID-19, including transmission dynamics and cluster formation. Methodology This was a retrospective analysis of surveillance data, including contact tracing, risk factors, and clinical information. Binary logistic regressions were used to assess the likelihood of admission, cluster formation, and of each individual being an index patient. Clusters were demonstrated through geographic data systems, network analysis, and visualization software. Results A total of 1100 COVID-19 cases were diagnosed from 20 March to 7 June 2020, of which 144 (13.1%) were asymptomatic. The median time from symptom onset to admission was 7 days (IQR, 4.5-10), and the median symptom duration was 5 days (IQR, 3-9). Eighty-nine clusters containing 736 patients were identified. The surveillance and control actions were divided into three phases. Clusters began to form in phase 2 and became more pronounced in phase 3. Patients ≥50 years of age and patients presenting with fever had relatively higher odds of admission: OR = 12.85 (95% CI 5.13-32.19) and 2.53 (95% CI 1.24-5.17), respectively. Cluster formation was observed among females, asymptomatic patients, and people living in Awabi: OR = 2.3 (95% CI 1.7-3.1), 6.39 (95% CI 2.33-17.2), and 3.54 (95% CI 2.06-6.07), respectively. Patients working in the police and defense sectors had higher odds of being an index patient: OR = 7.88 (95% CI 3.35-18.52). Conclusion Case-based interventions should be supported by population-wide measures, particularly movement restrictions. Establishing prevention teams or district units, or primary care will be crucial for the control of future pandemics. Prevention should always be prioritized for vulnerable populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zayid K. Almayahi
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Sami M. Al Mujaini
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Nasser Al Shaqsi
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Noaman Al Hattali
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Azza Al Hattali
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Yusra Al Ghafri
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Nasser Al Lamki
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Zalkha Al Kharusi
- Wadi Mistal Hospital, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Wadi Mawel, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Naima Al Jaradi
- Sawadi Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Barka, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Ahmed Al Mayahi
- Barka Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Barka, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Muna Al Subhi
- Sawadi Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Barka, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Haitham Al Naabi
- Nakhal Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Nakhal, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Haitham Al Siyabi
- Al Naseem Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Barka, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Ahmed S. Al Jaradi
- Al Musanaah Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Musanaah, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Idrees Al Nofli
- Rustaq Extended Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Sultan Al Khanjari
- Nakhal Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Nakhal, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Muatasim Al Naabi
- Wadi Al Mawel Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Wadi Mawel, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Amir Al Subhi
- Barka Extended Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Barka, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Ahmed AL. Jabri
- Barka Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Barka, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Yousif Al Jarjari
- Awabi Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Awabi, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Saif Al Harmali
- Rustaq Extended Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Naeema Al Gefaily
- Wudam Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Musanaah, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Seif Al Mamari
- Rustaq Extended Health Center, Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Abdullah Al Kharusi
- Primary Health Care Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Marwa Al Khudhuri
- Planning and Studies Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Muradjan Al Baloshi
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Dalal Al Shaqsi
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Fakhriya Al Ghafri
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Khalid Al Dhuhli
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
| | - Rashid Al Malki
- Disease Surveillance and Control Department, Ministry of Health, Rustaq, South Batinah, Oman
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Mongin D, Bürgisser N, Laurie G, Schimmel G, Vu DL, Cullati S, Courvoisier DS. Effect of SARS-CoV-2 prior infection and mRNA vaccination on contagiousness and susceptibility to infection. Nat Commun 2023; 14:5452. [PMID: 37673865 PMCID: PMC10482859 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-41109-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2023] [Accepted: 08/21/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023] Open
Abstract
The immunity conferred by SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and infections reduces the transmission of the virus. To answer how the effect of immunity is shared between a reduction of infectiousness and an increased protection against infection, we examined >50,000 positive cases and >110,000 contacts from Geneva, Switzerland (June 2020 to March 2022). We assessed the association between secondary attack rate (i.e. proportion of new cases among contacts) and immunity from natural infection and/or vaccination, stratifying per four SARS-CoV-2 variants and adjusting for index cases and contacts' socio-demographic characteristics and the propensity of the contacts to be tested. Here we show that immunity protected contacts from infection, rather than reducing infectiousness of index cases. Natural infection conferred the strongest immunity. Hybrid immunity did not surpass recent infection. Although of smaller amplitude, the reduction in infectiousness due to vaccination was less affected by time and by the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants than the susceptibility to infection. These findings support the role of vaccine in reducing infectiousness and underscore the complementary role of interventions reducing SARS-CoV-2 propagation, such as mask use or indoor ventilation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Denis Mongin
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
| | - Nils Bürgisser
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
- General internal medicine division, Department of Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Gustavo Laurie
- Division of General cantonal physician, Geneva Directorate of Health, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Guillaume Schimmel
- Division of General cantonal physician, Geneva Directorate of Health, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Diem-Lan Vu
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
- Division of General cantonal physician, Geneva Directorate of Health, Geneva, Switzerland
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland
- Laboratory of Virology, Division of Laboratory Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Stephane Cullati
- Division Quality of care, University Hospitals of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
- Population Health Laboratory (#PopHealthLab), Faculty of Science and Medicine, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, Switzerland
| | - Delphine Sophie Courvoisier
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
- Division Quality of care, University Hospitals of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
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Ng DCE, Liew CH, Tan KK, Chin L, Ting GSS, Fadzilah NF, Lim HY, Zailanalhuddin NE, Tan SF, Affan MA, Nasir FFWA, Subramaniam T, Ali MM, Rashid MFA, Ong SQ, Ch'ng CC. Risk factors for disease severity among children with Covid-19: a clinical prediction model. BMC Infect Dis 2023; 23:398. [PMID: 37308825 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-023-08357-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/14/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Children account for a significant proportion of COVID-19 hospitalizations, but data on the predictors of disease severity in children are limited. We aimed to identify risk factors associated with moderate/severe COVID-19 and develop a nomogram for predicting children with moderate/severe COVID-19. METHODS We identified children ≤ 12 years old hospitalized for COVID-19 across five hospitals in Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia, from 1 January 2021 to 31 December 2021 from the state's pediatric COVID-19 case registration system. The primary outcome was the development of moderate/severe COVID-19 during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify independent risk factors for moderate/severe COVID-19. A nomogram was constructed to predict moderate/severe disease. The model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. RESULTS A total of 1,717 patients were included. After excluding the asymptomatic cases, 1,234 patients (1,023 mild cases and 211 moderate/severe cases) were used to develop the prediction model. Nine independent risk factors were identified, including the presence of at least one comorbidity, shortness of breath, vomiting, diarrhea, rash, seizures, temperature on arrival, chest recessions, and abnormal breath sounds. The nomogram's sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and AUC for predicting moderate/severe COVID-19 were 58·1%, 80·5%, 76·8%, and 0·86 (95% CI, 0·79 - 0·92) respectively. CONCLUSION Our nomogram, which incorporated readily available clinical parameters, would be useful to facilitate individualized clinical decisions.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Chun-Ern Ng
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia.
| | - Chuin-Hen Liew
- Hospital Tuanku Ampuan Najihah, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Melang, 72000, Kuala Pilah, Malaysia
| | - Kah Kee Tan
- Perdana University Seremban Clinical Academic Center, Negeri Sembilan, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Ling Chin
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Grace Sieng Sing Ting
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Nur Fadzreena Fadzilah
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Hui Yi Lim
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Nur Emylia Zailanalhuddin
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Shir Fong Tan
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Muhamad Akmal Affan
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | | | - Thayasheri Subramaniam
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Marlindawati Mohd Ali
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Mohammad Faid Abd Rashid
- Negeri Sembilan State Health Department, Negeri Sembilan, Ministry of Health, Jalan Rasah, 70300, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Song-Quan Ong
- Institute for Tropical Biology and Conservation, University Malaysia Sabah, Jalan UMS, 88400, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia
| | - Chin Chin Ch'ng
- Clinical Research Centre Hospital Pulau Pinang, Ministry of Health, Jalan Residensi, 10450, Pulau Pinang, Malaysia
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Zhu Y, Xia Y, Pickering J, Bowen AC, Short KR. The role of children in transmission of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern within households: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis, as at 30 June 2022. Euro Surveill 2023; 28:2200624. [PMID: 37140450 PMCID: PMC10161681 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2023.28.18.2200624] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2022] [Accepted: 03/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BackgroundMeta-analyses and single-site studies have established that children are less infectious than adults within a household when positive for ancestral SARS-CoV-2. In addition, children appear less susceptible to infection when exposed to ancestral SARS-CoV-2 within a household. The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOC) has been associated with an increased number of paediatric infections worldwide. However, the role of children in the household transmission of VOC, relative to the ancestral virus, remains unclear.AimWe aimed to evaluate children's role in household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 VOC.MethodsWe perform a meta-analysis of the role of children in household transmission of both ancestral SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV-2 VOC.ResultsUnlike with the ancestral virus, children infected with VOC spread SARS-CoV-2 to an equivalent number of household contacts as infected adults and were equally as likely to acquire SARS-CoV-2 VOC from an infected family member. Interestingly, the same was observed when unvaccinated children exposed to VOC were compared with unvaccinated adults exposed to VOC.ConclusionsThese data suggest that the emergence of VOC was associated with a fundamental shift in the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2. It is unlikely that this is solely the result of age-dependent differences in vaccination during the VOC period and may instead reflect virus evolution over the course of the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanshan Zhu
- School of Chemistry and Molecular Biosciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
- Wesfarmer's Centre for Vaccines and Infectious Diseases, Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, Perth, Australia
- These authors contributed equally to this manuscript
| | - Yao Xia
- Department of Microbiology, State Key Laboratory of Emerging Infectious Diseases, Carol Yu Centre for Infection, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
- These authors contributed equally to this manuscript
| | - Janessa Pickering
- Wesfarmer's Centre for Vaccines and Infectious Diseases, Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, Perth, Australia
| | - Asha C Bowen
- Wesfarmer's Centre for Vaccines and Infectious Diseases, Telethon Kids Institute, University of Western Australia, Nedlands, Perth, Australia
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Perth Children's Hospital, Nedlands, Perth, Australia
| | - Kirsty R Short
- School of Chemistry and Molecular Biosciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
- Australian Infectious Diseases Research Centre, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
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Ng DCE, Tan KK, Liew CH, Low YW, Chin L, Jamil MB, Chandirasekharan DA, Baharuddin SB, Cheah YK. Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 in hospitalized young infants and risk factors for disease severity. Pediatr Int 2023; 65:e15565. [PMID: 37368506 DOI: 10.1111/ped.15565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2022] [Revised: 05/09/2023] [Accepted: 05/19/2023] [Indexed: 06/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics and severity of young infants hospitalized with COVID-19 and study the relationship between breastfeeding and maternal COVID-19 vaccination on the severity of COVID-19. METHODS A retrospective, observational study was performed among infants aged 6 months and below hospitalized for COVID-19 in a tertiary state hospital in Malaysia between February 1 and April 30, 2022. The primary outcome was "serious disease," defined as pneumonia requiring respiratory support or dehydration with warning signs. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine independent predictors for serious disease. RESULTS A total of 102 infants were included in the study; 53.9% were males with a median age of 11 weeks (interquartile range: 5-20 weeks). Sixteen patients (15.7%) had pre-existing comorbidities, including preterm birth. Fever was the most common presenting symptom (82.4%), followed by cough (53.9%), and rhinorrhea (31.4%). Forty-one infants (40.2%) presented with serious disease, warranting either respiratory support or intravenous fluid therapy for dehydration. Recent maternal COVID-19 vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of serious disease on univariate analysis but was not significant after multivariate adjustment (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.39; 95% CI: 0.14-1.11; p = 0.08). Exclusive breastfeeding was protective against serious COVID-19 in young infants, independent of other confounding factors (aOR 0.21, 95% CI: 0.06-0.71; p = 0.01). CONCLUSION COVID-19 is a serious disease with non-specific clinical manifestations in young infants. Exclusive breastfeeding could play an important protective role.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Chun-Ern Ng
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Kah Kee Tan
- Department of Pediatrics, Perdana University-Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland School of Medicine, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Chuin Hen Liew
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ampuan Najihah Kuala Pilah, Kuala Pilah, Malaysia
| | - Yik Wan Low
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Ling Chin
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Munzir Bin Jamil
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | | | - Suhaila Binti Baharuddin
- Microbiology Unit, Department of Pathology, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Yee Keat Cheah
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
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9
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Wang C, Huang X, Lau EHY, Cowling BJ, Tsang TK. Association Between Population-Level Factors and Household Secondary Attack Rate of SARS-CoV-2: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Open Forum Infect Dis 2023; 10:ofac676. [PMID: 36655186 PMCID: PMC9835764 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac676] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2022] [Accepted: 12/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Accurate estimation of household secondary attack rate (SAR) is crucial to understand the transmissibility of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The impact of population-level factors, such as transmission intensity in the community, on SAR estimates is rarely explored. Methods In this study, we included articles with original data to compute the household SAR. To determine the impact of transmission intensity in the community on household SAR estimates, we explored the association between SAR estimates and the incidence rate of cases by country during the study period. Results We identified 163 studies to extract data on SARs from 326 031 cases and 2 009 859 household contacts. The correlation between the incidence rate of cases during the study period and SAR estimates was 0.37 (95% CI, 0.24-0.49). We found that doubling the incidence rate of cases during the study period was associated with a 1.2% (95% CI, 0.5%-1.8%) higher household SAR. Conclusions Our findings suggest that the incidence rate of cases during the study period is associated with higher SAR. Ignoring this factor may overestimate SARs, especially for regions with high incidences, which further impacts control policies and epidemiological characterization of emerging variants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Can Wang
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Xiaotong Huang
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Eric H Y Lau
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Benjamin J Cowling
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Tim K Tsang
- WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, New Territories, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
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10
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Chun-Ern Ng D, Liew CH, Tan KK, Lim HY, Zailanalhuddin NEB, Tan SF, Chandra Mohan VAA, Mahendran SA, Tan YC, Chin L, Ong SQ, Siew Yin Eng C. Epidemiology, clinical characteristics and outcomes of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children. Pediatr Int 2023; 65:e15690. [PMID: 38037505 DOI: 10.1111/ped.15690] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2023] [Revised: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 12/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We describe the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) among children from Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia. METHODS A retrospective, multicentre, observational study was performed among children ≤15 years old who were hospitalized for MIS-C between January 18, 2021 and June 30, 2023. The incidence of MIS-C was estimated using reported SARS-CoV-2 cases and census population data. Descriptive analyses were used to summarize the clinical presentation and outcomes. RESULTS The study included 53 patients with a median age of 5.7 years (IQR 1.8-8.7 years); 75.5% were males. The overall incidence of MIS-C was approximately 5.9 cases per 1,000,000 person-months. Pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission was required for 22 (41.5%) patients. No mortalities were recorded. Children aged 6-12 years were more likely to present with cardiac dysfunction/shock (odds ratio [OR] 5.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.67-17.66), whereas children below 6 years were more likely to present with a Kawasaki disease phenotype (OR 5.50, 95% CI 1.33-22.75). Twenty patients (37.7%) presented with involvement of at least four organ systems, but four patients (7.5%) demonstrated single-organ system involvement. CONCLUSION An age-based variation in the clinical presentation of MIS-C was demonstrated. Our findings suggest MIS-C could manifest in a spectrum, including single-organ involvement. Despite the high requirement for PICU admission, the prognosis of MIS-C was favorable, with no recorded mortalities.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Chuin-Hen Liew
- Hospital Tuanku Ampuan Najihah, Kuala Pilah, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
| | - Kah Kee Tan
- Perdana University Seremban Clinical Academic Center, Seremban, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
| | - Hui Yi Lim
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Seremban, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
| | | | - Shir Fong Tan
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Seremban, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
| | | | | | - Yuong Chie Tan
- Hospital Tuanku Ampuan Najihah, Kuala Pilah, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
| | - Ling Chin
- Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Seremban, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
| | - Song-Quan Ong
- Institute for Tropical Biology and Conservation, University Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia
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11
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Chen F, Tian Y, Zhang L, Shi Y. The role of children in household transmission of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Infect Dis 2022; 122:266-275. [PMID: 35562045 PMCID: PMC9091150 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2022.05.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2022] [Revised: 05/03/2022] [Accepted: 05/07/2022] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To explore household transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 in children in new-variants dominating periods. METHODS Through retrieval in PubMed and Embase, studies were included in two parts: meta-analysis of the household secondary attack rate (SAR) and case analysis of household pediatric infections. RESULTS A total of 95 articles were included: 48 for meta-analysis and 47 for case analysis. Pediatric COVID-19 only comprised a minority of the household transmission. The total pooled household SAR of child index cases and contacts were 0.20 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.15-0.26) and 0.24 (95% CI: 0.18-0.30). Lower household transmissibility was reported in both child index cases and contacts than in adults (relative risk [RR] = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.50-0.81; RR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.64-0.85). Younger children were as susceptible as the older children (RR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.72-1.10). Through subgroup analyses of different variants and periods, increased household SAR was observed in children (Wild: 0.20; Alpha: 0.42; Delta: 0.35; Omicron: 0.56), and no significant difference was found in household SAR between children and adults when new variants dominated. CONCLUSION Although children were found not to be dominant in the household transmission, their transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 appeared to be on the rise as new variants emerged.
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Affiliation(s)
- Feifan Chen
- Department of Neonatology, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400014, China
| | - Yan Tian
- Department of Neonatology, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400014, China
| | - Lixin Zhang
- Department of Neonatology, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400014, China
| | - Yuan Shi
- Department of Neonatology, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400014, China.
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12
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Sumner KM, Karron RA, Stockwell MS, Dawood FS, Stanford JB, Mellis A, Hacker E, Thind P, Castro MJE, Harris JP, Deloria Knoll M, Schappell E, Hetrich MK, Duque J, Jeddy Z, Altunkaynak K, Poe B, Meece J, Stefanski E, Tong S, Lee JS, Dixon A, Veguilla V, Rolfes MA, Porucznik CA. Impact of Age and Symptom Development on SARS-CoV-2 Transmission in Households With Children-Maryland, New York, and Utah, August 2020-October 2021. Open Forum Infect Dis 2022; 9:ofac390. [PMID: 35991589 PMCID: PMC9384637 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac390] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2022] [Accepted: 08/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Households are common places for spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). We investigated factors associated with household transmission and acquisition of SARS-CoV-2. Methods Households with children age <18 years were enrolled into prospective, longitudinal cohorts and followed from August 2020 to August 2021 in Utah, September 2020 to August 2021 in New York City, and November 2020 to October 2021 in Maryland. Participants self-collected nasal swabs weekly and with onset of acute illness. Swabs were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. We assessed factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 acquisition using a multilevel logistic regression adjusted for household size and clustering and SARS-CoV-2 transmission using a logistic regression adjusted for household size. Results Among 2053 people (513 households) enrolled, 180 people (8.8%; in 76 households) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. Compared with children age <12 years, the odds of acquiring infection were lower for adults age ≥18 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.34; 95% CI, 0.14-0.87); however, this may reflect vaccination status, which protected against SARS-CoV-2 acquisition (aOR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.03-0.91). The odds of onward transmission were similar between symptomatic and asymptomatic primary cases (aOR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.35-2.93) and did not differ by age (12-17 years vs <12 years: aOR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.20-5.62; ≥18 years vs <12 years: aOR, 1.70; 95% CI, 0.52-5.83). Conclusions Adults had lower odds of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 compared with children, but this association might be influenced by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination, which was primarily available for adults and protective against infection. In contrast, all ages, regardless of symptoms and COVID-19 vaccination, had similar odds of transmitting SARS-CoV-2. Our findings underscore the importance of SARS-CoV-2 mitigation measures for persons of all ages.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kelsey M Sumner
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Epidemic Intelligence Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Ruth A Karron
- Center for Immunization Research, Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Melissa S Stockwell
- Division of Child and Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatrics, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
- Department of Population and Family Health, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Fatimah S Dawood
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Joseph B Stanford
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
| | - Alexandra Mellis
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Emily Hacker
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
| | - Priyam Thind
- Division of Child and Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatrics, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Maria Julia E Castro
- Division of Child and Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatrics, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - John Paul Harris
- Division of Child and Adolescent Health, Department of Pediatrics, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Maria Deloria Knoll
- International Vaccine Access Center, Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Elizabeth Schappell
- Center for Immunization Research, Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Marissa K Hetrich
- International Vaccine Access Center, Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | | | - Zuha Jeddy
- Abt Associates, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Brandon Poe
- Abt Associates, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jennifer Meece
- Marshfield Clinic Research Institute, Marshfield, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Elisha Stefanski
- Marshfield Clinic Research Institute, Marshfield, Wisconsin, USA
| | - Suxiang Tong
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Justin S Lee
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Ashton Dixon
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Vic Veguilla
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Melissa A Rolfes
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 Response, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Christina A Porucznik
- Division of Public Health, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
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13
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Madewell ZJ, Yang Y, Longini IM, Halloran ME, Dean NE. Household Secondary Attack Rates of SARS-CoV-2 by Variant and Vaccination Status: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. JAMA Netw Open 2022; 5:e229317. [PMID: 35482308 PMCID: PMC9051991 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.9317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 117] [Impact Index Per Article: 58.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2021] [Accepted: 03/10/2022] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Importance An overall household secondary attack rate (SAR) of 18.9% (95% CI, 16.2%-22.0%) through June 17, 2021 was previously reported for SARS-CoV-2. Emerging variants of concern and increased vaccination have affected transmission rates. Objective To evaluate how reported household SARs changed over time and whether SARs varied by viral variant and index case and contact vaccination status. Data Sources PubMed and medRxiv from June 18, 2021, through March 8, 2022, and reference lists of eligible articles. Preprints were included. Study Selection Articles with original data reporting the number of infected and total number of household contacts. Search terms included SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, variant, vaccination, secondary attack rate, secondary infection rate, household, index case, family contacts, close contacts, and family transmission. Data Extraction and Synthesis The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses reporting guideline was followed. Meta-analyses used generalized linear mixed models to obtain SAR estimates and 95% CIs. Main Outcomes and Measures SAR stratified by covariates according to variant, index case and contact vaccination status, and index case identification period. SARs were used to estimate vaccine effectiveness on the basis of the transmission probability for susceptibility to infection (VES,p), infectiousness given infection (VEI,p), and total vaccine effectiveness (VET,p). Results Household SARs were higher for 33 studies with midpoints in 2021 to 2022 (37.3%; 95% CI, 32.7% to 42.1%) compared with 63 studies with midpoints through April 2020 (15.5%; 95% CI, 13.2% to 18.2%). Household SARs were 42.7% (95% CI, 35.4% to 50.4%) for Omicron (7 studies), 36.4% (95% CI, 33.4% to 39.5%) for Alpha (11 studies), 29.7% (95% CI, 23.0% to 37.3%) for Delta (16 studies), and 22.5% (95% CI, 18.6% to 26.8%) for Beta (3 studies). For full vaccination, VES,p was 78.6% (95% CI, 76.0% to 80.9%) for Alpha, 56.4% (95% CI, 54.6% to 58.1%) for Delta, and 18.1% (95% CI, -18.3% to 43.3%) for Omicron; VEI,p was 75.3% (95% CI, 69.9% to 79.8%) for Alpha, 21.9% (95% CI, 11.0% to 31.5%) for Delta, and 18.2% (95% CI, 0.6% to 32.6%) for Omicron; and VET,p was 94.7% (95% CI, 93.3% to 95.8%) for Alpha, 64.4% (95% CI, 58.0% to 69.8%) for Delta, and 35.8% (95% CI, 13.0% to 52.6%) for Omicron. Conclusions and Relevance These results suggest that emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern have increased transmissibility. Full vaccination was associated with reductions in susceptibility and infectiousness, but more so for Alpha than Delta and Omicron. The changes in estimated vaccine effectiveness underscore the challenges of developing effective vaccines concomitant with viral evolution.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yang Yang
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville
| | - Ira M. Longini
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville
| | - M. Elizabeth Halloran
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle
| | - Natalie E. Dean
- Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia
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14
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Madewell ZJ, Yang Y, Longini IM, Halloran ME, Dean NE. Household secondary attack rates of SARS-CoV-2 by variant and vaccination status: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2022:2022.01.09.22268984. [PMID: 35043125 PMCID: PMC8764734 DOI: 10.1101/2022.01.09.22268984] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
We previously reported a household secondary attack rate (SAR) for SARS-CoV-2 of 18.9% through June 17, 2021. To examine how emerging variants and increased vaccination have affected transmission rates, we searched PubMed from June 18, 2021, through January 7, 2022. Meta-analyses used generalized linear mixed models to obtain SAR estimates and 95%CI, disaggregated by several covariates. SARs were used to estimate vaccine effectiveness based on the transmission probability for susceptibility ( VE S,p ), infectiousness ( VE I,p ), and total vaccine effectiveness ( VE T,p ). Household SAR for 27 studies with midpoints in 2021 was 35.8% (95%CI, 30.6%-41.3%), compared to 15.7% (95%CI, 13.3%-18.4%) for 62 studies with midpoints through April 2020. Household SARs were 38.0% (95%CI, 36.0%-40.0%), 30.8% (95%CI, 23.5%-39.3%), and 22.5% (95%CI, 18.6%-26.8%) for Alpha, Delta, and Beta, respectively. VE I,p , VE S,p , and VE T,p were 56.6% (95%CI, 28.7%-73.6%), 70.3% (95%CI, 59.3%-78.4%), and 86.8% (95%CI, 76.7%-92.5%) for full vaccination, and 27.5% (95%CI, -6.4%-50.7%), 43.9% (95%CI, 21.8%-59.7%), and 59.9% (95%CI, 34.4%-75.5%) for partial vaccination, respectively. Household contacts exposed to Alpha or Delta are at increased risk of infection compared to the original wild-type strain. Vaccination reduced susceptibility to infection and transmission to others. SUMMARY Household secondary attack rates (SARs) were higher for Alpha and Delta variants than previous estimates. SARs were higher to unvaccinated contacts than to partially or fully vaccinated contacts and were higher from unvaccinated index cases than from fully vaccinated index cases.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yang Yang
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
| | - Ira M. Longini
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
| | - M. Elizabeth Halloran
- Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | - Natalie E. Dean
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
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15
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Ng DCE, Tan KK, Ting GSS, Ling C, Fadzilah NFB, Tan SF, Subramaniam T, Zailanalhuddin NEB, Lim HY, Baharuddin SB, Lee YL, Mohamad Nor A, Khoo EJ. Comparison of Severe Viral Pneumonia Caused by SARS-CoV-2 and Other Respiratory Viruses Among Malaysian Children During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Front Pediatr 2022; 10:865099. [PMID: 35547549 PMCID: PMC9082799 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2022.865099] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2022] [Accepted: 03/28/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We described the etiology of severe pneumonia in children during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia and compared the clinical features of severe SARS-CoV-2 to other respiratory viruses. METHODS This retrospective study included all children aged 12 years and below hospitalized with severe pneumonia in Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia, between 1 April 2021 and 31 October 2021. We extracted demographic and clinical data and used logistic regression to examine risk factors associated with severe SARS-CoV-2 or other viral pneumonia. RESULTS A total of 111 children were included. The median age was 15 months. Human rhinovirus/enterovirus, SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory syncytial virus were the most common etiology of severe pneumonia. Codetection of >1 viral pathogen was present in 14 (12.6%) patients. Children with severe COVID-19 presented early in the course of illness and had lower rates of pediatric intensive care admission. The presence of sick contact with an adult was a predictor for SARS-CoV-2, whereas adventitious breath sounds were predictive of other respiratory viruses. CONCLUSIONS The etiology of severe pneumonia in children evolved with the epidemic curve of COVID-19 and school closures. Children with severe pneumonia due to SARS-CoV-2 experienced a milder clinical course when compared to other respiratory viruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Chun-Ern Ng
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Kah Kee Tan
- Department of Pediatrics, Perdana University-Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland School of Medicine, Seremban, Malaysia
| | | | - Chin Ling
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | | | - Shir Fong Tan
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | | | | | - Hui Yi Lim
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Suhaila Binti Baharuddin
- Microbiology Unit, Department of Pathology, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Yee Lean Lee
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Airena Mohamad Nor
- Department of Pediatrics, Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar Seremban, Seremban, Malaysia
| | - Erwin Jiayuan Khoo
- Department of Pediatrics, International Medical University, Seremban, Malaysia
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