Time trends in incidence of diabetes mellitus in Austrian children and adolescents <15 years (1989-2017)

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Relation to Exposure to Rotavirus Infections in Pre- and Postvaccine Birth Cohorts in Finland

OBJECTIVE

To explore the incidence of type 1 diabetes in children in relation to exposure to rotavirus infections.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A nationwide register-based ecological study on the 1995-2015 birth cohorts in Finland compared those born before and after the national implementation of the rotavirus vaccine in 2009.

RESULTS

When the prevaccine 2001-2005 birth cohorts were compared with the postvaccine birth cohorts, the number of children exposed to rotavirus infection by the age of 5 years decreased from 2,522 per 100,000 children (2.5%) to 171 per 100,000 children (0.2%), while the incidence of type 1 diabetes in those aged <5 years decreased from 71.5 to 54.4 per 100,000 person-years (incidence rate ratio 0.79, 95% CI 0.71-0.86).

CONCLUSIONS

At the population level, a decrease in exposure to rotavirus infections was associated with a decrease in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in young children.

Trends and cyclic variation in the incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes in two Italian regions over 33 years and during the COVID-19 pandemic

AIM

There is conflicting evidence about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence of type 1 diabetes. Here, we analysed long-term trends in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in Italian children and adolescents from 1989 to 2019 and compared the incidence observed during the COVID-19 pandemic with that estimated from long-term data.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a population-based incidence study using longitudinal data from two diabetes registries in mainland Italy. Trends in the incidence of type 1 diabetes from 1 January 1989 to 31 December 2019 were estimated using Poisson and segmented regression models.

RESULTS

There was a significant increasing trend in the incidence of type 1 diabetes of 3.6% per year [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.4-4.8] between 1989 and 2003, a breakpoint in 2003, and then a constant incidence until 2019 (0.5%, 95% CI: -1.3 to 2.4). There was a significant 4-year cycle in incidence over the entire study period. The rate observed in 2021 (26.7, 95% CI: 23.0-30.9) was significantly higher than expected (19.5, 95% CI: 17.6-21.4; p = .010).

CONCLUSION

Long-term incidence analysis showed an unexpected increase in new cases of type 1 diabetes in 2021. The incidence of type 1 diabetes now needs continuous monitoring using population registries to understand better the impact of COVID-19 on new-onset type 1 diabetes in children.

Trends in incidence rates of childhood type 1 diabetes mellitus: A retrospective study in Isfahan province, Iran

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

We aimed to determine the incidence trend of childhood type 1 diabetes mellitus in Isfahan province over a period of 12 years.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, children aged <20 years at the time of type 1 diabetes mellitus diagnosis, from March 2007 to March 2019, were included. The crude and adjusted incidence rate of type 1 diabetes mellitus is calculated as the number of cases per 100,000 person-years by the period. The cumulative, age- and sex-specific incidence rates were also calculated. Age-specific incidence rates were calculated for age and sex groups.

RESULTS

A total of 1,954 (983 boys and 971 girls) cases of type 1 diabetes mellitus were identified. The mean age at diagnosis in all studied populations was 9.89 (standard deviation 4.76). There were no significant differences between the proportion of boys and girls in different years (P = 0.12) and different age groups (P = 0.19). The average annual percent change of incidence rate for the total population, for girls and boys, was 6.9%, 6.7% and 6.3% respectively. The type 1 diabetes mellitus incidence rate had a significant trend to be increased from 2007 to 2019 (P < 0.001, t = 3.6).

CONCLUSION

Our findings showed that currently our region is considered a region with a high incidence rate of type 1 diabetes mellitus. Although we have had fluctuations in the incidence rate over the 12 years, the overall trend is increasing.

Diabetestechnologie bei Kindern und Jugendlichen mit Diabetes mellitus Typ 1

Die Behandlung des Diabetes mellitus Typ 1 (T1D) im Kindes- und Jugendalter ist komplex und stellt eine Herausforderung für die betroffenen Kinder und Jugendlichen, deren Familien und das ganze Umfeld (Schule/Kindergarten) dar. Das Ziel der Diabetestherapie besteht darin, eine möglichst normoglykämische Blutzuckerkontrolle zu erreichen, um akuten und chronischen Komplikationen vorzubeugen. Laut Registerstudien können die metabolischen Therapieziele derzeit noch nicht erreicht werden, weswegen ein Risiko für Akut- und Spätkomplikationen besteht. Weitere Therapieziele sind eine normale Entwicklung, Inklusion, Flexibilität im Alltag sowie eine hohe Lebensqualität. Abgesehen von neueren Insulinanaloga gingen auch die Entwicklungen in der Diabetestechnologie in den letzten Jahren mit großen Veränderungen und Verbesserungen in der Behandlung und Lebensqualität der betroffenen Familien einher. Die Insulinpumpentherapie, die kontinuierliche Glukosemessung sowie die automatische Insulindosierung (AID) führten zu einer signifikanten Verbesserung der metabolischen Einstellung sowie einer Reduktion der schweren Hypoglykämien und Ketoazidosen. Die Diabetestechnologie entwickelt sich ständig weiter und erfordert eine umfassende Schulung und Fortbildung der betroffenen Familien, der Betreuungseinrichtungen sowie auch des multidisziplinären Behandlungsteams. Ziel sind eine Reduktion der glykämischen Variabilität und damit ein besseres Langzeitoutcome der jungen Menschen mit T1D. Die AID ist zunehmend die Therapie der Wahl bei Kindern und Jugendlichen mit T1D. Mit weiteren Innovationen im Bereich der Diabetestechnologie ist in naher Zukunft zu rechnen.

Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes in Children and Adolescents During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Germany: Results From the DPV Registry

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Germany compared with previous years.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Based on data from the multicenter German Diabetes Prospective Follow-up Registry, we analyzed the incidence of type 1 diabetes per 100,000 patient-years in children and adolescents from 1 January 2020 through 30 June 2021. Using Poisson regression models, expected incidences for 2020/21 were estimated based on the data from 2011 to 2019 and compared with observed incidences in 2020/21 by estimating incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

From 1 January 2020 to 30 June 2021, 5,162 children and adolescents with new-onset type 1 diabetes in Germany were registered. The observed incidence in 2020/21 was significantly higher than the expected incidence (24.4 [95% CI 23.6-25.2] vs. 21.2 [20.5-21.9]; IRR 1.15 [1.10-1.20]; P < 0.001). IRRs were significantly elevated in June 2020 (IRR 1.43 [1.07-1.90]; P = 0.003), July 2020 (IRR 1.48 [1.12-1.96]; P < 0.001), March 2021 (IRR 1.29 [1.01-1.65]; P = 0.028), and June 2021 (IRR 1.39 [1.04-1.85]; P = 0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

A significant increase in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in children was observed during the COVID-19 pandemic, with a delay in the peak incidence of type 1 diabetes by ∼3 months after the peak COVID-19 incidence and also after pandemic containment measures. The underlying causes are yet unknown. However, indirect rather than direct effects of the pandemic are more likely to be the cause.

Worldwide estimates of incidence of type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents in 2021

AIMS

We aimed to conduct a systematic review of published studies on the incidence of type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents aged under 20 years and provide worldwide incidence estimates for 2021.

METHODS

We used MEDLINE and EMBASE to identify studies reporting type 2 diabetes incidence in children and adolescents published between Jan 2000 and April 2021. We used a negative binomial regression model to develop a prediction equation to estimate incidence rates from country characteristics. We applied the resulting incidence predictions to country population data to estimate numbers of incident cases in children and adolescents by International Diabetes Federation (IDF) region and World Bank income classification group.

RESULTS

We estimate that there are approximately 41,600 new cases of diagnosed type 2 diabetes among children and adolescents in 2021 worldwide. Around 30% and 40% of the worldwide total incident cases are in IDF Western Pacific region and in World Bank upper-middle-income countries, respectively. The three countries with the highest estimated number of incident cases are China, India, and United States of America.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents is substantial. More reliable data are needed to track the incidence of type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents.

Alarming Increase of Ketoacidosis Prevalence at Type 1 Diabetes-Onset in Austria-Results From a Nationwide Registry

OBJECTIVE

We analyzed the annual prevalence of onset-DKA (diabetic ketoacidosis) from 2012 to 2020 with a sub-analysis for lockdown-periods during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

DESIGN

All newly diagnosed children with type 1 diabetes (T1D) aged <15 years are prospectively registered in the population-based Austrian Diabetes Incidence Study in Austria.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The annual DKA prevalence was analyzed using Joinpoint regression. Definition of DKA: pH <7.3, mild DKA: pH 7.3 to ≤ 7.1, severe DKA: pH <7.1. DKA prevalence during the lockdown periods in 2020 and the corresponding periods in 2015-2019 were examined using Fisher's exact test.

RESULTS

In the years 2012-2020 the mean prevalence for onset-DKA in Austria was 43.6% [95%CI (confidence interval): 41.6, 45.7] and thus above the mean prevalence of previous decades (1989-2011) of 37,1 % (95%CI: 35.6, 38.6). A particularly high prevalence was found among children <2 years of age (72.0% DKA, 32.8% severe DKA). No significant gender difference was found. Prevalence of severe DKA at T1D-onset increased significantly since 2015 (p = 0.023). During the lockdown in 2020, 59.3% of children were diagnosed with DKA at T1D-onset, compared to 42.1% during the previous 5 years (p = 0.022). Moreover, 20% of children had severe DKA at T1D diagnosis, compared to 14% during the comparison period.

CONCLUSIONS

The previously already high prevalence of DKA at T1D-onset has further increased over time. The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the problem of a late or delayed diagnosis of diabetes in children resulting in onset-DKA. The alarmingly increased prevalence of DKA in Austrian children with T1D calls for urgent action.

Rotavirus vaccination and the risk of type 1 diabetes and celiac disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Rotavirus vaccination has been proven to effectively protect against rotavirus gastroenteritis. However, there are concerns about the relationship between rotavirus vaccination and the risk of autoimmune disorders. Thus, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to comprehensively assess the association between rotavirus vaccination and type 1 diabetes (T1D) or celiac disease (CD) risk.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to evaluate the type 1 diabetes or celiac disease associated with rotavirus vaccination. The following journal databases were searched to identify potential studies for inclusion: PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases.

RESULTS

Seven articles involving more than 5,793,055 children were included. Our results showed that rotavirus vaccination does not alter the subsequent risk of T1D (RR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.82-1.09) or CD (RR 0.86, 95% CI: 0.64-1.17) after vaccination. Furthermore, the risk of T1D was not increased or decreased for children fully exposed to rotavirus vaccination (RR 0.86, 95% CI, 0.54-1.36) and for children partially exposed to rotavirus vaccination (RR 1.05, 95% CI, 0.87-1.26). However, younger (<5 years) vaccinated children at the end of study (RR 0.84, 95% CI = 0.75-0.95) may be at a lower risk for T1D than older (≥5 years) vaccinated children (RR 0.93, 95% CI, 0.81-1.07).

CONCLUSION

The findings of this study suggest that rotavirus vaccination does not appear to be associated with T1D or CD in children. The protective effect of rotavirus vaccination on T1D may be presented by time dependent.

Evidence of a plateau in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in children 0-4 years of age from a regional pediatric diabetes center; Auckland, New Zealand: 1977-2019

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence of new onset type 1 diabetes in children aged 0-14 years from 1977 to 2019 in Auckland, New Zealand.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A cohort study of children with type 1 diabetes aged 0-14 years (n = 1688; 50.4% male) managed by the regional diabetes service between 1977 and 2019. Incidence rates were estimated using census data.

RESULTS

The incidence of type 1 diabetes increased by 2.9%/year from 1977 to 2006 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.13% - 3.48%). Although there was no significant change from 2006 to 2019 (-0.3%/year, 95% CI -1.62% - 1.08%), there was a dramatic fall from 1976 to 2018 in the proportion of New Zealand Europeans, from 69.9 to 33.9%. New Zealand Europeans had the highest incidence (23.3/100,000, 95% CI 20.6-26.1) compared to Māori (8.3/100,000, 95% CI 6.3-10.2), Pasifika (8.6/100,000, 95% CI 6.9-10.4) and other (6.4/100,000, 95% CI 4.7-8.0). All groups showed an overall increase in incidence over time, Māori 4.4%/year, Pasifika 3.7%, compared to New Zealand European 2.7%, and other 2.1%. Incidence increased consistently in 5-9 and 10-14 year olds (2.0% and 2.2%/year, respectively). By contrast, whereas 0-4 year olds showed an increase of 4.6%/year from 1977 to 2003 (p < 0.01), there was no change from 2003 to 2019 (p = 0.2).

CONCLUSION

There has been a plateau in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in children 0-4 years of age in the Auckland region since 2003, but not older children. The apparent plateau in the overall incidence of new onset type 1 diabetes in children 0-14 years since 2006 was mediated by substantial changes in the ethnic makeup of the Auckland region.

Use of the Whole Country Insulin Consumption Data in Israel to Determine the Prevalence of Type 1 Diabetes in Children <5 Years of Age Before and During Rotavirus Vaccination

BACKGROUND

Recent studies showed that rotavirus vaccination may affect the prevalence of type 1 diabetes (T1D). The aim of the study was to determine the prevalence of early childhood (<5 years) T1D before and during the introduction of rotavirus vaccination in Israel by syndromic surveillance.

METHODS

Data on insulin purchases reported by Israel's four Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs) were retrieved from the National Program for Quality Indicators in Community Healthcare.

RESULTS

During the prevaccination years (2002-2007), a steady increase in insulin purchases was reported in the young (<5 years). The period percent change (PC) of children <5 years old diagnosed with T1D inferred from purchased insulin prescriptions increased by 50.0%, and the annual percent change (APC) increased by 10.0% (p = 0.01). During the period of free, universal Rotavirus vaccination (2011-2018), the PC for T1D diagnoses among children <5 years of age decreased by 3.8% with an APC of -2.5% (p = 0.14). There was a significant difference (p = 0.002) between the increasing trend in insulin use before vaccination versus the decreasing trend after vaccination.

CONCLUSION

Rotavirus vaccination correlated with attenuation of the increasing rate in the prevalence of T1D in <5-year-old children in Israel.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Diabetes-Related Chronic Kidney Disease From 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a public health problem largely caused by diabetes. The epidemiology of diabetes mellitus-related CKD (CKD-DM) could provide specific support to lessen global, regional, and national CKD burden.

METHODS

Data were derived from the GBD 2019 study, including four measures and age-standardized rates (ASRs). Estimated annual percentage changes and 95% CIs were calculated to evaluate the variation trend of ASRs.

RESULTS

Diabetes caused the majority of new cases and patients with CKD in all regions. All ASRs for type 2 diabetes-related CKD increased over 30 years. Asia and Middle socio-demographic index (SDI) quintile always carried the heaviest burden of CKD-DM. Diabetes type 2 became the second leading cause of CKD and CKD-related death and the third leading cause of CKD-related DALYs in 2019. Type 2 diabetes-related CKD accounted for most of the CKD-DM disease burden. There were 2.62 million incident cases, 134.58 million patients, 405.99 thousand deaths, and 13.09 million disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of CKD-DM worldwide in 2019. Age-standardized incidence (ASIR) and prevalence rate (ASPR) of type 1 diabetes-related CKD increased, whereas age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and DALY rate decreased for females and increased for males. In high SDI quintile, ASIR and ASPR of type 1 diabetes-related CKD remained the highest, with the slowest increase, whereas the ASDR and age-standardized DALY rate remained the lowest there. In high SDI quintile, ASIR of type 2 diabetes-related CKD was the highest, with the lowest increasing rate. In addition, type 2 diabetes-related CKD occurred most in people aged 80-plus years worldwide. The main age of type 2 diabetes-related CKD patients was 55-64 years in Asia and Africa. The prevalence, mortality, and DALY rate of type 2 diabetes-related CKD increased with age. As for incidence, there was a peak at 80 years, and after age of 80, the incidence declined. CKD-DM-related anemia was mainly in mild to moderate grade.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing burden of CKD-DM varied among regions and countries. Prevention and treatment measures should be strengthened according to CKD-DM epidemiology, especially in middle SDI quintile and Asia.

Time trends in incidence of diabetes mellitus in Austrian children and adolescents <15 years (1989-2017)

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the time trends of nationwide diabetes incidence <15 years of age from 1989 until 2017 in Austria.

METHODS

The Austrian Diabetes Incidence Study Group registers all newly diagnosed patients with diabetes mellitus <15 years of age in a prospective population-based study. The diabetes type was classified on the basis of clinical and laboratory findings according to American Diabetes Association criteria. Time trends were estimated by Joinpoint analysis.

RESULTS

1311 patients were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes (T1D) between 1989 and 1999 and 4624 patients with any type of diabetes (1999-2017). T1D accounted for the majority of cases (94.2%), 1.8% were classified as type 2 (T2D) and 4.0% as other specific types of diabetes (1999-2017). In the total cohort (age 0 to <15 years), a constant increase until 2012 (annual percent change [APC] 4.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.94, 5.06) was observed, followed by a leveling off with a corresponding drop (APC 0.28, 95%CI: -3.94, 4.69). This observation was mainly driven by the dynamic in the youngest age group (0-4 years) with a steep increase until 2007 (APC 7.1, 95%CI: 5.05, 9.19) and a decrease from 2007 to 2017 (APC -0.86, 95%CI: 4.41, 2.82). No significant increase of T2D <15 years was detected. Over the observed time period (APC = 3.7, 95%CI: -0.30, 7.78).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of T1D is declining in young children aged 0 to 4 years, but is still rising in children 5 to 14 years in Austria. Incidence of T2D did not increase significantly and other specific types of diabetes occur twice as often compared to T2D.