HbA1c overtesting and overtreatment among US adults with controlled type 2 diabetes, 2001-13: observational population based study

Healthcare Utilization and Discrepancies by Income Level Among Patients With Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes in Korea: An Analysis of National Health Insurance Sample Cohort Data

OBJECTIVES

The use of qualitative healthcare services or its discrepancy between different income levels of the type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients has seldom been studied concurrently. The present study is unique that regarding T2D patients of early stages of diagnosis. Aimed to assess the utilization of qualitative healthcare services and influence of income levels on the inequality of care among newly diagnosed patients with T2D.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 7590 patients was conducted by the National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort 2.0 from 2002 to 2015. Insured employee in 2013 with no history of T2D between 2002 and 2012 were included. The standard of diabetes care includes hemoglobin A1c (HbAlc; 4 times/y), eyes (once/y) and lipid abnormalities (once/y). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the difference between income levels and inequality of care.

RESULTS

From years 1 to 3, rates of appropriate screening fell from 16.9% to 14.1% (HbA1c), 15.8% to 14.5% (eye), and 59.2% to 33.2% (lipid abnormalities). Relative to income class 5 (the highest-income group), HbA1 screening was significantly less common in class 2 (year 2: odds ratio [OR], 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.61 to 0.99; year 3: OR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.69 to 0.91). In year 1, lipid screening was less common in class 1 (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.98) than in class 5, a trend that continued in year 2. Eye screening rates were consistently lower in class 1 than in class 5 (year 1: OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.89; year 2: OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.78; year 3: OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67 to 0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

Newly diagnosed T2D patients have shown low rate of HbA1c and screening for diabetic-related complications and experienced inequality in relation to receiving qualitative diabetes care by income levels.

High-frequency HbA1c testing among older patients with diabetes in Japan: a longitudinal analysis using medical claims data

Aims

We aimed to determine the rate of high-frequency HbA1c testing among older Japanese patients (≥ 75 years) with type 2 diabetes who did not have diabetic complications and were not using insulin, and to explore its influencing factors and association with the number of hospital admissions.

Methods

A retrospective, longitudinal observation study design based on medical claims data between 2015 and 2020 was adopted. We tracked patients for 3 years to describe the annual rate and determine factors associated with high-frequency HbA1c testing using a hierarchical logistical model. We employed a zero-inflated Poisson model to examine the association between frequency of HbA1c testing and the number of hospitalizations.

Results

Among 6594 patients included (mean age 80.4 years), the rates of high-frequency HbA1c testing in the first, second, and third year were 10.2%, 4.8%, and 4.7%, respectively. Follow-up year [odds ratio (OR) = 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.49-0.59];insulin use (OR = 1.63, 95% CI = 1.26-2.11); multi facility for HbA1c testing (OR = 5.51, 95% CI = 4.66-6.51); more than 48 outpatient days per year (OR = 2.13, 95% CI = 1.81-2.51); hospitalizations (OR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.55-0.79); two or more classes of antidiabetic agents at baseline (OR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.11-1.56); and dementia at baseline (OR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.51-0.97) were significantly associated with high-frequency HbA1c testing. No significant association between frequent HbA1c testing and the number of all-cause hospitalizations was found.

Conclusions

We revealed a high rate of HbA1c testing among older Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes in ambulatory care and indicated that high-frequency HbA1c testing was more likely to result from the decentralized healthcare system and its structure.

Potential Overtreatment and Overtesting Among Older Adults With Type 2 Diabetes Across Canada: An Observational, Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Our aim in this study was to assess potential overtreatment and overtesting among older adults with type 2 diabetes across Canada.

METHODS

An observational, population-based cohort study was conducted using data available through the Canadian Primary Care Sentinel Surveillance Network. All patients included in the study were seen by a primary care provider between 2010 and 2017, ≥65 years with type 2 diabetes and had at least one glycated hemoglobin (A1C) measurement. Potential overtreatment was defined as an index A1C of <7% and being prescribed antidiabetes medications other than metformin within 1 year of the index A1C. Testing ≥3 times/year in patients with A1C <7% was considered potential overtesting. Analyses were performed/compared within 2 cross-sectional cohorts (2012 and 2016). A subcohort analysis was performed on those with advanced age and dementia.

RESULTS

An overall cohort of 41,032 patients (mean age, 76.6 years) was identified. Proportions of potential overtreatment were 7.0% (2012) and 6.9% (2016) (difference in rate in %: 0.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.32 to 0.52]). Overall, 19.2% (2012) and 19.0% (2016) of patients were potentially overtested (difference in rate in %: 0.2; 95% CI, -0.45 to 0.85), whereas 2.4% (2012) and 2.3% (2016) were potentially undertested (difference in rate in %: 0.1; 95% CI, -0.15 to 0.35). Among patients with dementia and advanced age, proportions of patients potentially overtreated were 14.5% and 12.1%, and those overtested were 29.2% and 25.0% in 2012 and 2016, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Potential overtreatment and overtesting exists among older adults with diabetes in Canadian primary care practices with minimal change over time. Higher proportions of potentially unnecessary care were observed in those with advanced age and dementia. Our study highlights an opportunity for primary care clinicians to improve testing and treatment practices considering the individual patient, context and potential for net benefit.

Variability in Test Interval Is Linked to Glycated Haemoglobin (HbA1c) Trajectory over Time

AIMS

We previously showed that the glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) testing frequency links to diabetes control. Here, we examine the effect of variability in test interval, adjusted for the frequency, on change in HbA1c (ΔHbA1c). Materials & Methods. HbA1c results were collected on 83,872 people with HbA1c results at baseline and 5 years (±3 months) later and ≥6 tests during this period. We calculated the standard deviation (SD) of test interval for each individual and examined the link between deciles of SD of the test interval and ΔHbA1c level, stratified by baseline HbA1c.

RESULTS

In general, less variability in testing frequency (more consistent monitoring) was associated with better diabetes control. This was most evident with moderately raised baseline HbA1c levels (7.0-9.0% (54-75 mmol/mol)). For example, in those with a starting HbA1c of 7.0-7.5% (54-58 mmol/mol), the lowest SD decile was associated with little change in HbA1c over 5 years, while for those with the highest decile, HbA1c rose by 0.4-0.6% (4-6 mmol/mol; p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed that the association was independent of the age/sex/hospital site. Subanalysis suggested that the effect was most pronounced in those aged <65 years with baseline HbA1c of 7.0-7.5% (54-58 mmol/mol). We observed a 6.7-fold variation in the proportion of people in the top-three SD deciles across general practices.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that the consistency of testing interval, not the just number of tests/year, is important in maintaining diabetes control, especially in those with moderately raised HbA1c levels. Systems to improve regularity of HbA1c testing are therefore needed, especially given the impact of COVID-19 on diabetes monitoring.

Associations between regular GP contact, diabetes monitoring and glucose control: an observational study using general practice data

OBJECTIVE

Continuity and regularity of general practitioner (GP) contacts are associated with reduced hospitalisation in type 2 diabetes (T2DM). We assessed associations of these GP contact patterns with intermediate outcomes reflecting patient monitoring and health.

DESIGN

Observational longitudinal cohort study using general practice data 2011-2017.

SETTING

193 Australian general practices in Western Australia and New South Wales participating in the MedicineInsight programme run by NPS MedicineWise.

PARTICIPANTS

22 791 patients aged 18 and above with T2DM.

INTERVENTIONS

Regularity was assessed based on variation in the number of days between GP visits, with more regular contacts assumed to indicate planned, proactive care. Informational continuity (claims for care planning incentives) and relational continuity (usual provider of care index) were assessed separately.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Process of care indicators were glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) test underuse (8 months without test), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) underuse (14 months) and HbA1c overuse (two tests within 80 days). The clinical indicator was T2DM control (HbA1c 6.5% (47.5 mmol/mol)-7.5% (58.5 mmol/mol)).

RESULTS

The quintile with most regular contact had reduced odds of HbA1c and eGFR underuse (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.81 and OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.86, respectively), but increased odds of HbA1c overuse (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.38). Informational continuity was associated with reduced odds of HbA1c underuse (OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.56), reduced eGFR underuse (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.67) and higher odds of HbA1c overuse (OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.34 to 1.64). Neither had significant associations with HbA1c level. Results for relational continuity differed.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence that regularity and continuity influence processes of care in the management of patients with diabetes, though this did not result in the recording of HbA1c within target range. Research should capture these intermediate outcomes to better understand how GP contact patterns may influence health rather than solely assessing associations with hospitalisation outcomes.

De-implementing low-value care in endocrinology

Low-value care exposes patients to ineffective, costly, and potentially harmful care. In endocrinology, low-value care practices are common in the care of patients with highly prevalent conditions. There is an urgent need to move past the identification of these practices to an active process of de-implementation. However, clinicians, researchers, and other stakeholders might lack familiarity with the frameworks and processes that can help guide successful de-implementation. To address this gap and support the de-implementation of low-value care, we provide a summary of low-value care practices in endocrinology and a primer on the fundamentals of de-implementation science. Our goal is to increase awareness of low-value care within endocrinology and suggest a path forward for addressing low-value care using principles of de-implementation science.

Clinical Inertia and 2-Year Glycaemic Trajectories in Patients with Non-Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Primary Care: A Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To analyse diabetes treatment, treatment change and self-management behaviours in association with 2-year glycaemic trajectories in patients with non-newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus in Chinese primary care.

METHODS

This was an observational, multi-centre, longitudinal, retrospective cohort study. Clinical data of 4690 subjects were extracted from electronic medical records, including serial glycated haemoglobin A_1c (HbA_1c) measurements, antidiabetic medication records and compliance to exercise, diet, medications and self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG). Patterns of longitudinal HbA1c trajectories were identified using the percentage of HbA_1c measurements <7.5% from the second available HbA_1c measurement. Clinical relevance of the clusters was assessed through multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

Approximately half of the participants demonstrated good glycaemic control; of these, 34.5% demonstrated stable, good control, and 13.7% demonstrated relatively good control. About 16.2% demonstrated moderate control, and 35.6% demonstrated poor control. From the good to poor control groups, the percentage of subjects treated with insulin at baseline and during the follow-up period increased gradually, while the percentage of subjects adhering to exercise, diet, medications and SMBG decreased gradually. Compared with baseline, the adherence to exercise, diet, medications and SMBG improved significantly. Approximately 50% and 26% of subjects in the two poorest control groups, respectively, experienced treatment changes. After multivariable adjustments, baseline HbA_1c ≥7.5%, HbA_1c change ≥-0.5% from baseline to visit 1, insulin treatment, treatment change, poor adherence to diet, exercise, SMBG during the follow-up period and HbA_1c measurements <3 per year were significantly associated with poorer glycaemic control.

CONCLUSION

We identified four longitudinal HbA_1c trajectories in patients with non-newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes. Even if baseline HbA_1c is suboptimal, aggressive treatment changes, good adherence during the follow-up period, ≥3 HbA_1c measurements per year and reducing HbA_1c levels to a certain extent by the first follow-up visit were important for good, stable, long-term glycaemic control.

What methods are being used to create an evidence base on the use of laboratory tests to monitor long-term conditions in primary care? A scoping review

BACKGROUND

Studies have shown unwarranted variation in test ordering among GP practices and regions, which may lead to patient harm and increased health care costs. There is currently no robust evidence base to inform guidelines on monitoring long-term conditions.

OBJECTIVES

To map the extent and nature of research that provides evidence on the use of laboratory tests to monitor long-term conditions in primary care, and to identify gaps in existing research.

METHODS

We performed a scoping review-a relatively new approach for mapping research evidence across broad topics-using data abstraction forms and charting data according to a scoping framework. We searched CINAHL, EMBASE and MEDLINE to April 2019. We included studies that aimed to optimize the use of laboratory tests and determine costs, patient harm or variation related to testing in a primary care population with long-term conditions.

RESULTS

Ninety-four studies were included. Forty percent aimed to describe variation in test ordering and 36% to investigate test performance. Renal function tests (35%), HbA1c (23%) and lipids (17%) were the most studied laboratory tests. Most studies applied a cohort design using routinely collected health care data (49%). We found gaps in research on strategies to optimize test use to improve patient outcomes, optimal testing intervals and patient harms caused by over-testing.

CONCLUSIONS

Future research needs to address these gaps in evidence. High-level evidence is missing, i.e. randomized controlled trials comparing one monitoring strategy to another or quasi-experimental designs such as interrupted time series analysis if trials are not feasible.

Assessment of Trends in Statin Therapy for Secondary Prevention of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in US Adults From 2007 to 2016

IMPORTANCE

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is highly prevalent in the US, with studies indicating substantial rates of nonadherence to and undertreatment with statin therapy. The 2013 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline recommended high-intensity statins for all patients age 75 years and younger with documented ASCVD in whom such therapy is tolerated, but there is limited evidence documenting population trends of statin use, adherence, and outcomes in the periods before and after the update to the guideline.

OBJECTIVE

To assess trends in the use, adherence, cost, and outcomes of statin therapy for secondary prevention in patients with different types of ASCVD between 2007 and 2016.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study used data from the OptumLab Data Warehouse database containing privately insured and Medicare Advantage enrollees with demographic characteristics similar to the national US population. Participants were adult patients (age ≥21 years) who had their first ASCVD event between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2016. Data were characterized as belonging to 3 groups: (1) cardiovascular heart disease (CHD); (2) ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA); and (3) peripheral artery disease (PAD). Data were analyzed from July 1 to August 1, 2018.

EXPOSURES

Calendar year of the initial ASCVD event.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Trends in the statin use (within 30 days of discharge from hospitalization), adherence (proportion of days covered ≥80% within the first year), cost, major adverse cardiac events (1-year cumulative risk), and statin intolerance (within the first year).

RESULTS

Of the 284 954 patients with a new ASCVD event, 128 422 (45.1%) were women; the median age was 63 years (interquartile range [IQR], 54-72 years); 207 781 (72.9%) were White. The use of statins increased from 50.3% in 2007 to 59.9% in 2016, the use of high-intensity statins increased from 25.0% to 49.2%, and the adherence increased from 58.7% to 70.5% (P < .001 for all trends). Patients with CHD were more likely to receive statins and high-intensity statins and adhere to medications than patients with ischemic stroke, TIA, or PAD despite similar observed treatment benefit. In 2016, 80.9% of patients with CHD used a statin vs 65.8% of patients with ischemic stroke or TIA and 37.5% of patients with PAD. Out-of-pocket cost per 30-day decreased from a median of $20 (interquartile range, $7.6-$31.9) in 2007 to $2 (interquartile range, $1.6-$10.0) in 2016 (P < .001) with the increasing use of generic statins (42.0% in 2007 vs 94.9% in 2016; P < .001). Major adverse cardiac events decreased from 8.9% in 2007 to 6.5% in 2016 (P < .001) whereas statin intolerance increased from 4.0% to 5.1% (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

There have been modest improvements in the use, adherence, and cardiovascular outcomes over the past decade for statin therapy in patients with ASCVD, but a substantial and persistent treatment gap exists between patients with and without CHD, between men and women.

Development and evaluation of a patient-centered quality indicator for the appropriateness of type 2 diabetes management

INTRODUCTION

Current diabetes quality measures are agnostic to patient clinical complexity and type of treatment required to achieve it. Our objective was to introduce a patient-centered indicator of appropriate diabetes therapy indicator (ADTI), designed for patients with type 2 diabetes, which is based on hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) but is also contextualized by patient complexity and treatment intensity.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A draft indicator was iteratively refined by a multidisciplinary Delphi panel using existing quality measures, guidelines, and published literature. ADTI performance was then assessed using OptumLabs Data Warehouse data for 2015. Included adults (n=206 279) with type 2 diabetes were categorized as clinically complex based on comorbidities, then categorized as treated appropriately, overtreated, or undertreated based on a matrix of clinical complexity, HbA1c level, and medications used. Associations between ADTI and emergency department/hospital visits for hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia were assessed by calculating event rates for each treatment intensity subset.

RESULTS

Overall, 7.4% of patients with type 2 diabetes were overtreated and 21.1% were undertreated. Patients with high complexity were more likely to be overtreated (OR 5.60, 95% CI 5.37 to 5.83) and less likely to be undertreated (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.68) than patients with low complexity. Overtreated patients had higher rates of hypoglycemia than appropriately treated patients (22.0 vs 6.2 per 1000 people/year), whereas undertreated patients had higher rates of hyperglycemia (8.4 vs 1.9 per 1000 people/year).

CONCLUSIONS

The ADTI may facilitate timely, patient-centered treatment intensification/deintensification with the goal of achieving safer evidence-based care.

Minimum retesting intervals in practice: 10 years experience

Background

Minimum retesting intervals (MRI) are a popular demand management solution for the identification and reduction of over-utilized tests. In 2011 Association of Clinical Biochemistry and Laboratory Medicines (ACB) published evidence-based recommendations for the use of MRI.

Aim

The aim of the paper was to review the use of MRI over the period since the introduction of these recommendations in 2011 to 2020 and compare it to previous published data between 2000-2010.

Methods

A multi-source literature search was performed to identify studies that reported the use of a MRI in the management or identification of inappropriate testing between the years prior to (2000–2010) and after implementation (2011–2020) of these recommendations.

Results

31 studies were identified which met the acceptance criteria (2000–2010 n=4, 2011–2020 n=27). Between 2000 and 2010 4.6% of tests (203,104/4,425,311) were identified as failing a defined MRI which rose to 11.8% of tests (2,691,591/22,777,288) in the 2011–2020 period. For those studies between 2011 and 2020 reporting predicted savings (n=20), 14.3% of tests (1,079,972/750,580) were cancelled, representing a total saving of 2.9 M Euros or 2.77 Euro/test. The most popular rejected test was Haemoglobin A1c which accounted for nearly a quarter of the total number of rejected tests. 13 out 27 studies used the ACB recommendations.

Conclusions

MRI are now an established, safe and sustainable demand management tool for the identification and management of inappropriate testing. Evidence based consensus recommendations have supported the adoption of this demand management tool into practice across multiple healthcare settings globally and harmonizing laboratory practice.

Trends and Between-Physician Variation in Laboratory Testing: A Retrospective Longitudinal Study in General Practice

Laboratory tests are frequently ordered by general practitioners (GPs), but little is known about time trends and between-GP variation of their use. In this retrospective longitudinal study, we analyzed over six million consultations by Swiss GPs during the decade 2009–2018. For 15 commonly used test types, we defined specific laboratory testing rates (sLTR) as the percentage of consultations involving corresponding laboratory testing requests. Patient age- and sex-adjusted time trends of sLTR were modeled with mixed-effect logistic regression accounting for clustering of patients within GPs. We quantified between-GP variation by means of intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). Nine out of the 15 laboratory test types considered showed significant temporal increases, most eminently vitamin D (ten-year odds ratio (OR) 1.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.71–2.06) and glycated hemoglobin (ten-year OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.82–1.92). Test types both subject to substantial increase and high between-GP variation of sLTR were vitamin D (ICC 0.075), glycated hemoglobin (ICC 0.101), C-reactive protein (ICC 0.202), and vitamin B12 (ICC 0.166). Increasing testing frequencies and large between-GP variation of specific test type use pointed at inconsistencies of medical practice and potential overuse.

Sociodemographic disparities in the management of type 2 diabetes in the United States

Objective: To examine the potential sociodemographic disparities in type 2 diabetes (T2D) management and care among US adult individuals, after controlling for clinical and behavioral factors.Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of individuals with T2D (N = 4552) from a linked database of the National Health and Wellness Survey and a large US ambulatory electronic health record (EHR) database. This study period was between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2018 and individuals were followed up for at least 6 months through EHR after the completion of the survey. The sociodemographic characteristics included gender, race, ethnicity, marital status, education, employment status, household income, insurance status, and geographic region. The independent variables included testing and control of HbA1c, blood pressure (BP), and low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C); hypoglycemia, emergency room (ER) visits, and all-cause hospitalization. Multivariable analyses were conducted using generalized linear models.Results: The percentage of uncontrolled HbA1c was 38.6%. With clinical and behavioral characteristics adjusted, individuals living in the Northeast region had 30% higher odds of having HbA1c testing than those who lived in the South. Blacks and Asians were less likely to have HbA1c control than Whites. Uninsured individuals had a lower likelihood of receiving HbA1c, BP, or LDL-C testing compared with commercial insurers. Individuals with low income were more likely to have higher ER visits and hospitalizations.Conclusion: Potential sociodemographic disparities exist in T2D management and care in the US, indicating the needs for improvement in healthcare access, educational and behavioral programs, as well as disease and treatment management in these subgroups.

Dysregulation of miR-210 is involved in the development of diabetic retinopathy and serves a regulatory role in retinal vascular endothelial cell proliferation

Background

Diabetic retinopathy is a common complication of diabetes mellitus (DM). The purpose of this study was to investigate the expression and clinical significance of miR-210 in DR patients and explore the regulatory effect of miR-210 on vascular endothelial cell function under high-glucose condition.

Methods

Quantitative real-time PCR was used to estimate miR-210 expression. A receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) was plotted to evaluate the diagnostic value of miR-210. Human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs) were used and treated with high glucose (30 mM), and the cell proliferation was assessed by MTT assay.

Results

Serum expression of miR-210 was upregulated in DR patients compared with DM without DR patients and healthy controls. The expression of miR-210 in proliferative DR (PDR) patients was higher than non-proliferative DR (NPDR) patients. The increased serum miR-210 could be used to distinguish DR cases from healthy individuals and also simple DM patients, and can screen PDR cases from NPDR cases. The overexpression of miR-210 promoted HUVEC proliferation, while the knockdown of miR-210 resulted in the opposite effect under a high-glucose condition.

Conclusion

The data of this study demonstrated that serum increased miR-210 serves as a diagnostic biomarker in DR patients and may have the ability to predict DR development and severity. The regulatory effect of miR-210 on vascular endothelial cell proliferation under high-glucose condition, indicating its therapeutic potential in the treatment of diabetic vascular diseases.

The cost of repetitive laboratory testing for chronic disease

Interval laboratory investigations are necessary for monitoring chronic diseases. However, testing too frequently may not be beneficial clinically and can be considered low-value care. We examined the frequency of glycosylated haemoglobin, lipids, iron panels (serum iron, ferritin, transferrin, iron binding) thyroid function (free T4 and thyroid stimulating hormone) and 25-OH vitamin D tests in a 1290-bed tertiary hospital in Singapore. All tests done over a 20-month period (January 2016 to August 2017) were retrieved from the laboratory database. Of the 275 565 tests done for 115 971 patients, 5.2% were repeat tests done at intervals shorter than the minimum retesting interval, as defined by the Royal College of Pathologist and Irish Guidelines on the Use of the Laboratory. Using the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule, we estimated a cost burden of US$222 096 per year. Strategies to reduce unnecessary repetitive testing can result in significant cost savings.

The present and future scope of real-world evidence research in diabetes: What questions can and cannot be answered and what might be possible in the future?

The last decade has witnessed an exponential growth in the opportunities to collect and link health-related data from multiple resources, including primary care, administrative, and device data. The availability of these "real-world," "big data" has fuelled also an intense methodological research into methods to handle them and extract actionable information. In medicine, the evidence generated from "real-world data" (RWD), which are not purposely collected to answer biomedical questions, is commonly termed "real-world evidence" (RWE). In this review, we focus on RWD and RWE in the area of diabetes research, highlighting their contributions in the last decade; and give some suggestions for future RWE diabetes research, by applying well-established and less-known tools to direct RWE diabetes research towards better personalized approaches to diabetes care. We underline the essential aspects to consider when using RWD and the key features limiting the translational potential of RWD in generating high-quality and applicable RWE. Only if viewed in the context of other study designs and statistical methods, with its pros and cons carefully considered, RWE will exploit its full potential as a complementary or even, in some cases, substitutive source of evidence compared to the expensive evidence obtained from randomized controlled trials.

Reducing the probability of falsely elevated HbA1c results in diabetic patients by applying automated and educative HbA1c re-testing intervals

INTRODUCTION

Too frequent HbA1c measurements may lead to unnecessary treatment modifications of diabetic patients. The aim of this study was to estimate the percentage of falsely elevated HbA1c results in two hospitals, Landeskrankenhaus/Uniklinikum Salzburg (LKH) and Landesklinik St. Veit (STV), as well as to retrospectively investigate the effect of an automated and an educative 60-day re-testing interval (RTI).

METHODS

The amount of estimated falsely elevated results (eFER), based on odds calculated using the baseline and the follow-up values and the time between these measurements, the number of HbA1c re-testings within 60 days as well as the overall number of ordered and performed HbA1c analyses were calculated. In LKH, an automated algorithm cancelling inappropriate HbA1c testing was applied, and in STV, educational actions were taken.

RESULTS

Before RTI-implementation, eFER were 0.9% and 2.1% and within-60-days-re-testing were 15.0% and 7.4% of cases in LKH and STV, respectively. After RTI-implementation, these numbers decreased to 0.2% (p < .001) and 1.8% (p = .869) and within-60-days-re-testing decreased to 1.1% (p < .001) and 3.6% (p = .003) in LKH and STV, respectively. Median monthly HbA1c measurements decreased by 15.8% (p < .001) and 21.1% (p = .002) in LKH and STV, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Both the educational and the automated 60-day-RTI were proven to be efficient in reducing overall HbA1c measurements, re-testing within 60 days and eFER.

Glycemic control and use of glucose-lowering medications in hospital-admitted type 2 diabetes patients over 80 years

Treatment guidelines for type 2 diabetes (T2D) recommend avoidance of hypoglycemia and less stringent glycemic control in older patients. We examined the relation of glycemic control to glucose-lowering medications use in a cohort of patients aged>80 years with a diagnosis of T2D and a hospital admission in the Capital Region of Denmark in 2012-2016. We extracted data on medication use, diagnoses, and biochemistry from the hospitals' records. We identified 5,172 T2D patients with high degree of co-morbidity and where 17% had an HbA_1c in the range recommended for frail, comorbid, older patients with type 2 diabetes (58-75 mmol/mol (7.5-9%)). Half of the patients (n = 2,575) had an HbA_1c <48 mmol/mol (<6.5%), and a majority of these (36% of all patients) did not meet the diagnostic criteria for T2D. Of patients treated with one or more glucose-lowering medications (n = 1,758), 20% had HbA_1c-values <42 mmol/mol (<6%), and 1% had critically low Hba_1c values <30 mmol/mol (<4.9%), In conclusion, among these hospitalized T2D patients, few had an HbA_1c within the generally recommended glycemic targets. One third of patients did not meet the diagnostic criteria for T2D, and of the patients who were treated with glucose-lowering medications, one-fifth had HbA_1c-values suggesting overtreatment.

Effect of diabetes duration on the relationship between glycaemic control and risk of death in older adults with type 2 diabetes

AIM

To investigate the effect of diabetes duration on glycaemic control, measured using mean glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) level, and mortality risk within different age, sex and clinically relevant, comorbidity-defined subgroups in an elderly population with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

We studied older (≥65 years) primary care patients with T2D, who had three successive annual measurements of HbA1c taken between 2005 and 2013. The primary exposure was the mean of all three HbA1c measurements. Follow-up began on the date of the third measurement. Individual mean HbA1c levels were categorized into clinically relevant groups (<6.5% [<48 mmol/mol]; 6.5%-6.9% [48-52 mmol/mol]; 7%-7.9% [53-63 mmol/mol]; 8%-8.9% [64-74 mmol/mol]; and ≥9% [≥75 mmol/mol]). We used multiple Cox regression to study the effect of glycaemic control on the hazard of all-cause mortality, adjusted for age, sex, use of concomitant medication, and age- and disease-related comorbidities.

RESULTS

A total of 9734 individuals were included. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 7.3 (4.6-8.7) years, 3320 individuals died. We found that the effect of mean HbA1c on all-cause mortality depended on the duration of diabetes (P for interaction <.001). For individuals with short diabetes duration (<5 years), the risk of death increased with poorer glycaemic control (increasing HbA1c), whereas for individuals with longstanding diabetes (≥5 years), we found a J-shaped association, where a mean HbA1c level between 6.5% and 7.9% [48 and 63 mmol/mol] was associated with the lowest risk of death. For individuals with longstanding diabetes, both low (<6.5% [<48 mmol/mol]; hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.37, P = .002) and high mean HbA1c levels (≥9.0% [≥75 mmol/mol]; HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.28-1.99, P < .001) were associated with an increased risk of death. We also calculated 5-year absolute risks of all-cause mortality, separately for short and long diabetes duration, and found similar risk patterns across different age groups, sex and comorbidity strata.

CONCLUSIONS

In elderly individuals with T2D, the effect of glycaemic control (measured by HbA1c) on all-cause mortality depended on the duration of diabetes. Of particular clinical importance, we found that strict glycaemic control was associated with an increased risk of death among individuals with long (≥ 5 years) diabetes duration. Conversely, for individuals with short diabetes duration, strict glycaemic control was associated with the lowest risk of death. These results indicate that tight glycemic control may be beneficial in people with short duration of diabetes, whereas a less stringent target may be warranted with longer diabetes exposure.

The frequency of testing for glycated haemoglobin, HbA1c, is linked to the probability of achieving target levels in patients with suboptimally controlled diabetes mellitus

Background We previously showed, in patients with diabetes, that >50% of monitoring tests for glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) are outside recommended intervals and that this is linked to diabetes control. Here, we examined the effect of tests/year on achievement of commonly utilised HbA1c targets and on HbA1c changes over time. Methods Data on 20,690 adults with diabetes with a baseline HbA1c of >53 mmol/mol (7%) were extracted from Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory records at three UK hospitals. We examined the effect of HbA1c tests/year on (i) the probability of achieving targets of ≤53 mmol/mol (7%) and ≤48 mmol/mol (6.5%) in a year using multi-state modelling and (ii) the changes in mean HbA1c using a linear mixed-effects model. Results The probabilities of achieving ≤53 mmol/mol (7%) and ≤48 mmol/mol (6.5%) targets within 1 year were 0.20 (95% confidence interval: 0.19-0.21) and 0.10 (0.09-0.10), respectively. Compared with four tests/year, having one test or more than four tests/year were associated with lower likelihoods of achieving either target; two to three tests/year gave similar likelihoods to four tests/year. Mean HbA1c levels were higher in patients who had one test/year compared to those with four tests/year (mean difference: 2.64 mmol/mol [0.24%], p<0.001). Conclusions We showed that ≥80% of patients with suboptimal control are not achieving commonly recommended HbA1c targets within 1 year, highlighting the major challenge facing healthcare services. We also demonstrated that, although appropriate monitoring frequency is important, testing every 6 months is as effective as quarterly testing, supporting international recommendations. We suggest that the importance HbA1c monitoring frequency is being insufficiently recognised in diabetes management.

A Randomized Trial of Alerting to Low Glycated Hemoglobin Level in Older Adults: Results of the Low Indexes of Metabolism Intervention Trial B (LIMIT-B)

OBJECTIVES

The benefit of alerting clinical staff to low plasma glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in patients aged 75 years and older who receive antidiabetic drugs remains uncertain.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In a randomized controlled trial, 1684 patients with HbA1c ≤ 6.5% who received antidiabetic drugs were assigned to have an e-mail alert sent to their physician, and 1643 were assigned to have no such alert (control group). The primary outcome of the trial was annual death. Secondary outcomes included antidiabetic drug dose reduction and HbA1c change.

RESULTS

In the first quarter, antidiabetic drug-defined daily doses were reduced on average by 10.4 ± 35.8 (16% ± 55%) in the intervention group and by 6.4 ± 36.1 (10% ± 56%) in the control group (difference -4.1 ± 1.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] -6.5 to -1.6; P = .001). Measured HbA1c levels were raised by a mean (± standard deviation) of 0.28 ± 0.77 in the intervention group and by 0.18 ± 0.57 in the control group (difference 0.10 ± 0.02, 95% CI -0.15 to -0.059, P < .001). One year after the alerts, 121 patients (7.2%) died in the intervention group and 107 patients (6.5%) died in the control group (relative risk 1.1, 95% CI 0.86-1.42; P = .44).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

In this trial, alerting clinical staff to low HbA1c in patients aged 75 years and older treated with antidiabetic medicines was associated with mildly reduced antidiabetic doses and increased HbA1c but was not associated with a significant difference in survival rate compared with usual clinical care.

Effectiveness of monthly and bimonthly follow-up of patients with well-controlled type 2 diabetes: a propensity score matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

On average, patients in Japan with type 2 diabetes mellitus have a clinical consultation every month, although evidence for a favorable follow-up interval is lacking. This study investigated whether the follow-up interval can be extended by comparing the clinical outcomes and cost for monthly versus bimonthly follow-up of patients with well-controlled diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

We combined administrative claims data from the National Health Insurance and the Health Checkups Program data of Tsu city, Japan between 2011 and 2014 to conduct a retrospective cohort study of patients with well-controlled type 2 diabetes mellitus. Propensity scores were used to assemble a matched-pairs cohort from patients who had monthly and bimonthly follow-up. Equivalence between two groups was assessed by designating the proportion of patients who maintained good control of their diabetes in the subsequent year as a primary outcome. The proportion achieving target blood pressure and lipid levels, favorable lifestyle, and annual cost were compared as secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 12,145 participants, 693 with monthly follow-up and 693 with bimonthly follow-up were matched using propensity scores. In the monthly follow-up group 654 (94.4%) remained under good diabetic control, versus 658 (95.0%) in the bimonthly group (difference: 0.6%; 95% confidence interval: - 1.8 to 2.9%). All secondary outcomes were equivalent for the monthly and bimonthly follow-up groups except the proportion achieving target blood pressure, the proportion engaging in regular exercise, and annual cost.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with well-controlled diabetes mellitus, although frequent follow-up by a physician does not affect the control of blood glucose level in the subsequent year, the annual treatment cost becomes much higher. We suggest that patients with well-controlled diabetes can be followed up less often.

Does reviewing fasting plasma glucose results patterns before glycosylated hemoglobin testing in type-2 diabetic patients lead to better testing decision?

AIMS

Glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA_1c) test for blood glucose control in type-2 diabetic patients is recommended at least once annually under the guidelines of the Thai National Health Security Office (NHSO) benefits coverage. With limited resources and capability for HbA_1c testing in most primary-care providers, this study explored patterns of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) tests for proper timing of HbA_1c test would increase value of the money spent.

METHODS

A retrospective review of laboratory findings of 4906 type-2 diabetic outpatients in two university hospitals in Thailand was conducted. Percentages of discordant results between the indexed FPG and HbA_1c tests were compared between the patient groups with different FPG patterns before HbA_1c testing and the control group of randomly selected cases.

RESULTS

Having HbA_1c tested after two and three consecutively normal FPG tests (OO and OOO patterns) were found to have significantly less discordance than the control group (-9.6% and -15.7%). HbA_1c testing after two abnormal and one normal consecutive FPG tests (XXO pattern) gained the discordant results by 24.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

Some FPG patterns were more predictive of HbA_1c findings than focusing on one-time FPG results. Reviewing and recognizing certain patterns of FPGs prior to taking HbA_1c tests can lead to better HbA_1c testing decision than randomly prescribing the tests.

Timings for HbA1c testing in people with diabetes are associated with incentive payments: an analysis of UK primary care data

AIMS

Guidelines recommend testing HbA1c every 3-6 months in people with diabetes. In the United Kingdom (UK), primary care clinics are financially incentivized to monitor HbA1c at least annually and report proportions of patients meeting targets on 31 March. We explored the hypothesis that this reporting deadline may be associated with over-frequent or delayed HbA1c testing.

METHODS

This analysis used HbA1c results from 100 000 people with diabetes during 2005-2014 in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink UK primary care database. Logistic regression was used to explore whether the four months prior to the deadline for quality reporting (December to March) or individual's previous HbA1c were aligned with retesting HbA1c within 60 days or > 1 year from the previous test, and identify other factors associated with the timing of HbA1c testing.

RESULTS

Retesting HbA1c within 60 days or > 1 year was more common in December to March compared with other months of the year (odds ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.08 for retesting within 60 days). Those with higher HbA1c were more likely to have a repeat test within 60 days and less likely to have a repeat test > 1 year from the previous test.

CONCLUSIONS

We have found that retesting HbA1c within 60 days and > 1 year from the previous test was more common in December to March compared with the other months of the year. This work suggests that both practice-centred administrative factors and patient-centred considerations may be influencing diabetes care in the UK.

Glycaemic control and mortality in older people with type 2 diabetes: The Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase II

AIM

To investigate whether tight glycaemic control achieved with metformin, insulin or sulphonylurea-based pharmacotherapy increases all-cause mortality in older people with type 2 diabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study of individuals with known diabetes recruited between 2008 and 2011 and followed until 2016. The impact of baseline glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) on mortality hazards was investigated in participants aged ≥75 years. Proportional hazards models for time to death were constructed from the baseline clinical assessment, then the variables of interest (HbA1c, treatment category and their interactions) were entered.

RESULTS

There were 367 participants (mean age 80.1 ± 3.9 years, median [interquartile range] HbA1c 50 [45-56] mmol/mol or 6.7 [6.3-7.3]%) who were followed for a median (interquartile range) 6.7 (4.5-7.7) years, during which 40.9% of the participants died. At baseline, 60.4% were on metformin-based treatment, 35.3% on sulphonylurea-based treatment and 23.2% on treatment including insulin. Baseline HbA1c was significantly associated with mortality in a model that included interactions between HbA1c and the three treatment-based groups compared with non-pharmacological treatment. The metformin treatment group had higher mortality when HbA1c levels were <48 mmol/mol (<6.5%) and the sulphonylurea and insulin treatment groups had higher mortality when HbA1c levels were <52 mmol/mol (<7.0%), with hazard ratios of 2.63 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39-4.97), 2.49 (95% CI 1.14-5.44) and 2.22 (95% CI 1.12-4.43), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Tight glycaemic control may be hazardous in older people with type 2 diabetes when achieved with pharmacotherapy with metformin, and especially with insulin or sulphonylureas. These data confirm that overtreatment is likely to be an important clinical problem in this vulnerable population.

Mixed effect machine learning: A framework for predicting longitudinal change in hemoglobin A1c

Accurate and reliable prediction of clinical progression over time has the potential to improve the outcomes of chronic disease. The classical approach to analyzing longitudinal data is to use (generalized) linear mixed-effect models (GLMM). However, linear parametric models are predicated on assumptions, which are often difficult to verify. In contrast, data-driven machine learning methods can be applied to derive insight from the raw data without a priori assumptions. However, the underlying theory of most machine learning algorithms assume that the data is independent and identically distributed, making them inefficient for longitudinal supervised learning. In this study, we formulate an analytic framework, which integrates the random-effects structure of GLMM into non-linear machine learning models capable of exploiting temporal heterogeneous effects, sparse and varying-length patient characteristics inherent in longitudinal data. We applied the derived mixed-effect machine learning (MEml) framework to predict longitudinal change in glycemic control measured by hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) among well controlled adults with type 2 diabetes. Results show that MEml is competitive with traditional GLMM, but substantially outperformed standard machine learning models that do not account for random-effects. Specifically, the accuracy of MEml in predicting glycemic change at the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th clinical visits in advanced was 1.04, 1.08, 1.11, and 1.14 times that of the gradient boosted model respectively, with similar results for the other methods. To further demonstrate the general applicability of MEml, a series of experiments were performed using real publicly available and synthetic data sets for accuracy and robustness. These experiments reinforced the superiority of MEml over the other methods. Overall, results from this study highlight the importance of modeling random-effects in machine learning approaches based on longitudinal data. Our MEml method is highly resistant to correlated data, readily accounts for random-effects, and predicts change of a longitudinal clinical outcome in real-world clinical settings with high accuracy.

Recurrent hospitalizations for severe hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia among U.S. adults with diabetes

AIMS

Examine 30-day readmissions for recurrent hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia in a national cohort of adults with diabetes.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of data from OptumLabs Data Warehouse for all adults with diabetes hospitalized January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2014 with a principal diagnosis of hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia. We examined the rates and risk factors of 30-day readmissions for hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia.

RESULTS

After 6419 index hypoglycemia hospitalizations, 1.2% were readmitted for recurrent hypoglycemia, 0.2% for hyperglycemia, and 8.6% for other causes. Multimorbidity was the strongest predictor of recurrent hypoglycemia. After 6872 index hyperglycemia hospitalizations, 4.0% were readmitted for recurrent hyperglycemia, 0.4% for hypoglycemia, and 5.4% for other causes. Recurrent hyperglycemia was less likely in older patients (OR 0.6, 95% CI 0.5-0.9 for 45-64 vs. <45 years) and with the addition of a new glucose-lowering medication at index discharge (OR 0.40; 95% CI 0.2-0.7). New hypoglycemia readmissions were most likely among patients ≥75 years (OR 13.3, 95% CI 2.4-73.4, vs. <45 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients hospitalized for hyperglycemia are often readmitted for recurrent hyperglycemia, while patients hospitalized for hypoglycemia are generally readmitted for unrelated causes. Early recognition of high risk patients may identify opportunities to improve post-discharge management and reduce these events.

Deintensification of hypoglycaemic medications-use of a systematic review approach to highlight safety concerns in older people with type 2 diabetes

IMPORTANCE

Intensive treatment of older people with diabetes is common placing them at increased risk of adverse events such as hypoglycaemia and hospitalisation for drug errors. Little is known about when, how or for whom to deintensify hypoglycaemic medications.

OBJECTIVE

To explore the characteristics of patients for whom deintensification is appropriate and to determine the outcome of deintensification.

EVIDENCE REVIEW

Medline, Google scholar and EmBase search from 1997 to present was performed using keywords relating to diabetes mellitus, polypharmacy, hypoglycaemia, hospitalisation, deintensification, deprescribing and reduction, simplification or withdrawal of hypoglycaemic medications. Only English language articles were selected. Articles were reviewed for relevance by abstract. A manual review of citations in retrieved articles was performed in addition to the electronic literature search.

FINDINGS

Those who are over treated appear to be of older age group, frail with weight loss and have multiple medical morbidities especially renal impairment and dementia. Simplification, reduction or even complete withdrawal of hypoglycaemic medications in these patients appears to be feasible without deterioration of glycaemic control.

CONCLUSIONS

Over treatment is common in frail older people with multiple comorbidities and deintensification appears safe in this group of patients. Current recommendations emphasise preventing underuse rather than overuse of medications, and therefore, a change in guidelines advice may be warranted.

Characteristics Associated With Decreased or Increased Mortality Risk From Glycemic Therapy Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and High Cardiovascular Risk: Machine Learning Analysis of the ACCORD Trial

OBJECTIVE

Identifying patients who may experience decreased or increased mortality risk from intensive glycemic therapy for type 2 diabetes remains an important clinical challenge. We sought to identify characteristics of patients at high cardiovascular risk with decreased or increased mortality risk from glycemic therapy for type 2 diabetes using new methods to identify complex combinations of treatment effect modifiers.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The machine learning method of gradient forest analysis was applied to understand the variation in all-cause mortality within the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial (N = 10,251), whose participants were 40-79 years old with type 2 diabetes, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) ≥7.5% (58 mmol/mol), cardiovascular disease (CVD) or multiple CVD risk factors, and randomized to target HbA1c <6.0% (42 mmol/mol; intensive) or 7.0-7.9% (53-63 mmol/mol; standard). Covariates included demographics, BMI, hemoglobin glycosylation index (HGI; observed minus expected HbA1c derived from prerandomization fasting plasma glucose), other biomarkers, history, and medications.

RESULTS

The analysis identified four groups defined by age, BMI, and HGI with varied risk for mortality under intensive glycemic therapy. The lowest risk group (HGI <0.44, BMI <30 kg/m2, age <61 years) had an absolute mortality risk decrease of 2.3% attributable to intensive therapy (95% CI 0.2 to 4.5, P = 0.038; number needed to treat: 43), whereas the highest risk group (HGI ≥0.44) had an absolute mortality risk increase of 3.7% attributable to intensive therapy (95% CI 1.5 to 6.0; P < 0.001; number needed to harm: 27).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, BMI, and HGI may help individualize prediction of the benefit and harm from intensive glycemic therapy.

HbA1c monitoring interval in patients on treatment for stable type 2 diabetes. A ten-year retrospective, open cohort study

[Aims] This study aims to suggest an informative interval for HbA1c in DM patients with stable glycemic control, based on test characteristics of the HbA1C assay using the signal-to-noise ratio method. [Methods] This was a retrospective, open cohort study. Data were collected between January 2005 to December 2014 at a tertiary-level community hospital in Japan. All adult patients aged under 75 years, with stable glycemic control on a first pharmaceutical regimen for Type II diabetes, and at least two HbA1c measurements after they achieved glycemic stability, were included in the analysis. We defined stable glycemic control as HbA1c <7.0% (52 mmol/mol) and requiring no change in the medication regimen after three consecutive measurements. We adapted a signal-to-noise method for distinguishing true change from measurement error by constructing a linear random effects model to calculate signal and noise for HbA1c. The screening interval for HbA1c was defined as informative when the signal-to-noise ratio exceeded 1. [Results] Among 1066 adults with diabetes, 639 patients (18.5%) were identified as achieving stable glycemic control (511 male (67.3%)), with a mean HbA1c (SD) of 6.4 (0.4)% (46 mmol/mol). Patients with stable glycemic control increase their HbA1c 0.27% (3 mmol/mol) every year while HbA1c has 0.32% (3.5 mmol/mol) noise, as testing characteristics. Signal exceeds noise after 1.2 years (95%CI: 0.9-1.6). [Conclusion] Once patients achieve stable glycemic control at their HbA1c goal, an informative interval for HbA1c monitoring is once every year. Current guidelines, which suggest testing every six months, may contribute to substantial over-testing.

Trajectories of Glycemic Change in a National Cohort of Adults With Previously Controlled Type 2 Diabetes

BACKGROUND

Individualized diabetes management would benefit from prospectively identifying well-controlled patients at risk of losing glycemic control.

OBJECTIVES

To identify patterns of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) change among patients with stable controlled diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Cohort study using OptumLabs Data Warehouse, 2001-2013. We develop and apply a machine learning framework that uses a Bayesian estimation of the mixture of generalized linear mixed effect models to discover glycemic trajectories, and a random forest feature contribution method to identify patient characteristics predictive of their future glycemic trajectories.

SUBJECTS

The study cohort consisted of 27,005 US adults with type 2 diabetes, age 18 years and older, and stable index HbA1c <7.0%.

MEASURES

HbA1c values during 24 months of observation.

RESULTS

We compared models with k=1, 2, 3, 4, 5 trajectories and baseline variables including patient age, sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidities, medications, and HbA1c. The k=3 model had the best fit, reflecting 3 distinct trajectories of glycemic change: (T1) rapidly deteriorating HbA1c among 302 (1.1%) youngest (mean, 55.2 y) patients with lowest mean baseline HbA1c, 6.05%; (T2) gradually deteriorating HbA1c among 902 (3.3%) patients (mean, 56.5 y) with highest mean baseline HbA1c, 6.53%; and (T3) stable glycemic control among 25,800 (95.5%) oldest (mean, 58.5 y) patients with mean baseline HbA1c 6.21%. After 24 months, HbA1c rose to 8.75% in T1 and 8.40% in T2, but remained stable at 6.56% in T3.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with controlled type 2 diabetes follow 3 distinct trajectories of glycemic control. This novel application of advanced analytic methods can facilitate individualized and population diabetes care by proactively identifying high risk patients.

Plasma miR-21 expression: an indicator for the severity of Type 2 diabetes with diabetic retinopathy

To investigate the roles of plasma miR-21 in the pathogenic process of Type 2 diabetes (T2D) with diabetic retinopathy (DR). T2D patients included patients without DR (NDR) group, patients with non-proliferative/background DR (BDR) group and patients with proliferative DR (PDR) group. Healthy individuals served as control group. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG), glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c), triacylglycerol (TG), total cholesterol (TC), urine creatinine (Cr), fasting blood glucose (FBG), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), fasting insulin (FINS) and plasma miR-21 expression were measured. Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) was applied to detect miR-21 expression. Pearson analysis was used to conduct correlation analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyse the diagnostic value of miR-21 in T2D with DR. Compared with the control group, FBG and HbA1c increased in the NDR group; compared with the control and NDR groups, disease course, HbA1c, FPG levels and homoeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) were increased in the BDR and PDR groups; and compared with the BDR group, disease course, HbA1c and FPG levels were higher in the PDR group. miR-21 expression was higher in the BDR group than the control group, and higher in the PDR group than the BDR group. miR-21 expression was positively related with disease course, HbA1C, FPG and HOMA-IR, and had diagnostic value for T2D with DR and PDR. The plasma miR-21 expression was increased in the development of T2D with DR and can be used as an indicator for the severity of T2D with DR.

Feeding Tubes and Health Care Service Utilization in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: Benefits and Limits to a Retrospective, Multicenter Study Using Big Data

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive, fatal neurologic disorder with predictable challenges regarding disease progression and end-of-life care. These include need for respiratory and nutritional support. Little is known about how such choices impact end-of-life health service utilization for these patients. Using OptumLabs Data Warehouse, a large administrative claims database with more than 150 million privately insured, geographically diverse enrollees, we sought to explore outcomes associated with the use of enteral nutrition (EN). Patients were of age ≥18 years, with first ALS diagnosis during calendar years 2006-2012, and 6 months of continuous health plan coverage before first diagnosis. EN use was identified using procedure codes. Data were summarized descriptively. Among 1974 patients with ALS, mean age was 60.0 ± 12.5 years, 41.8% were women, and 9.7% demonstrated use of EN. Median time from ALS diagnosis to evidence of EN was 211 days (interquartile range [IQR]: 70-426). Those receiving EN had greater aggregate comorbidity (47% with Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Index ≥ 3 vs only 27% in non-EN subset). In total, 38.1% of patients had at least 1 hospitalization, with median time to hospitalization of 162 days. Unfortunately, the EN group ended coverage a median of 155 days after EN started (IQR: 63.5-388), thereby limiting ability to capture outcomes. Although many ALS patients were identified, EN use was lower than expected, due to being earlier in disease trajectory and lost to follow-up with transition from private insurance. As such, databases exclusively including privately insured patients may be suboptimal for detecting late complications of protracted illnesses.

Intensive Treatment and Severe Hypoglycemia Among Adults With Type 2 Diabetes

IMPORTANCE

Intensive glucose-lowering treatment among patients with non-insulin-requiring type 2 diabetes may increase the risk of hypoglycemia.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the prevalence of intensive treatment and the association between intensive treatment, clinical complexity, and incidence of severe hypoglycemia among adults with type 2 diabetes who are not using insulin.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Retrospective analysis of administrative, pharmacy, and laboratory data from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse from January 1, 2001, through December 31, 2013. The study included nonpregnant adults 18 years or older with type 2 diabetes who achieved and maintained a hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level less than 7.0% without use of insulin and had no episodes of severe hypoglycemia or hyperglycemia in the prior 12 months.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Risk-adjusted probability of intensive treatment and incident severe hypoglycemia, stratified by patient clinical complexity. Intensive treatment was defined as use of more glucose-lowering medications than recommended by practice guidelines at specific index HbA1c levels. Severe hypoglycemia was ascertained by ambulatory, emergency department, and hospital claims for hypoglycemia during the 2 years after the index HbA1c test. Patients were categorized as having high vs low clinical complexity if they were 75 years or older, had dementia or end-stage renal disease, or had 3 or more serious chronic conditions.

RESULTS

Of 31 542 eligible patients (median age, 58 years; interquartile range, 51-65 years; 15 483 women [49.1%]; 18 188 white [57.7%]), 3910 (12.4%) had clinical complexity. The risk-adjusted probability of intensive treatment was 25.7% (95% CI, 25.1%-26.2%) in patients with low clinical complexity and 20.8% (95% CI, 19.4%-22.2%) in patients with high clinical complexity. In patients with low clinical complexity, the risk-adjusted probability of severe hypoglycemia during the subsequent 2 years was 1.02% (95% CI, 0.87%-1.17%) with standard treatment and 1.30% (95% CI, 0.98%-1.62%) with intensive treatment (absolute difference, 0.28%; 95% CI, -0.10% to 0.66%). In patients with high clinical complexity, intensive treatment significantly increased the risk-adjusted probability of severe hypoglycemia from 1.74% (95% CI, 1.28%-2.20%) with standard treatment to 3.04% (95% CI, 1.91%-4.18%) with intensive treatment (absolute difference, 1.30%; 95% CI, 0.10%-2.50%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

More than 20% of patients with type 2 diabetes received intensive treatment that may be unnecessary. Among patients with high clinical complexity, intensive treatment nearly doubles the risk of severe hypoglycemia.

Treated glycosylated hemoglobin levels in individuals with diabetes mellitus vary little by health status: A retrospective cohort study

As choosing wisely has raised the issue of whether some individuals with type 2 diabetes may be overtreated, we examined the intensity of glycemic control across health status strata defined by comorbidities or frailty.This is a retrospective cohort study of commercially insured patients from 50 US states (Clinformatics Data Mart). We evaluated treated HbA1c levels in adults with new diabetes diagnosed between January 2004 and December 2009 who had HbA1C measured after at least 1 year of follow-up.Of 191,590 individuals with diabetes, 78.5% were otherwise healthy, 10.6% had complex health status (3 or more chronic conditions), and 10.9% were very complex (Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups frailty marker or end-stage chronic disease). The proportion of patients who were tightly controlled (HbA1C <7%) was similar in otherwise healthy patients (66.1%) and in complex patients (65.8%, P = 0.37), and although it was lower (60.9%, P < 0.0001) in very complex patients, the magnitude of the difference was small. A substantial proportion of complex/very complex patients were taking sulfonylurea or insulin despite being at an increased risk for adverse effects from these agents and having tightly controlled HbA1C: 40.6% had HbA1C <7% and 24% had HbA1C <6.5%. Among patients with HbA1C <7%, use of insulin or sulfonylureas was associated with an increased risk for all-cause hospitalization [aHR 1.54, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.45-1.64] and for emergency room visits (aHR 1.44, 95% CI 1.35-1.53) over the subsequent median 6 months follow-up.Diabetic control was similar regardless of comorbidity burden and frailty status. Despite being at a higher risk for adverse effects, nearly half of complex and very complex patients were still receiving insulin or sulfonylureas despite having treated HbA1C levels <7%, and these patients did exhibit higher risk of all-cause hospitalizations or emergency visits subsequently.

A 3-year follow-up study of β-cell function in patients with early-onset type 2 diabetes

Insulin resistance and reduced β-cell glucose sensitivity are present in patients with type 2 diabetes. In the present study, we investigated the changes in β-cell function in patients with type 2 diabetes during a 3-year follow-up study. A total of 48 patients with early-onset type 2 diabetes (EOD) and 55 patients with late-onset type 2 diabetes (LOD) were enrolled. Weight, height, waist circumference, hip circumference, blood pressure and plasma levels of lipids, glucose, fasting serum C-peptide (CPR0) and serum C-peptide 6 min after glucagon stimulation (CPR6) were measured. In addition, islet β-cell secretory activity was detected. Subjects with EOD had lower Systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), body mass index (BMI), fasting CPR0, CPR6 and greater glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), triglyceride (TG) compared with subjects with LOD. CPR0, CPR6 and TG were decreased in both EOD and LOD groups 3 years later. The ratio of β-cell function failure was 29.17 and 10.91% in the EOD and LOD groups, respectively, and there was significant difference between the two groups. A positive correlation was identified between the CPR0 and waist-hip ratio, HbA1c in the EOD group. A similar positive correlation was observed between CPR0 and BMI in the LOD group. Collectively, islet β-cell function has declined in patients with EOD, and this change may be more evident when compared with those with LOD.