Prospective validation of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index

Categorization of Patients With Pulmonary Embolism by Charlson Comorbidity Index

BACKGROUND

Short-term outcomes of pulmonary embolism are closely related to right ventricular dysfunction and patient's hemodynamic status, but also to individual comorbidity profile. However, the impact of patients' comorbidities on survival during pulmonary embolism might be underrated. Although the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is the most extensively studied comorbidity index for detecting comorbidity burden, studies analyzing the impact of CCI on pulmonary embolism patients' survival are limited.

METHODS

We used the German nationwide inpatient sample to analyze all hospitalized patients with pulmonary embolism in Germany 2005-2020 and calculated CCI for each patient, compared the CCI classes (very low: CCI = 0 points, mild: CCI = 1-2 points, moderate: CCI = 3-4, high severity: CCI >4 points) and impact of CCI class on outcomes.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,373,145 hospitalizations of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (53.0% females, 55.9% aged ≥70 years) were recorded in Germany between 2005 and 2020; the CCI class stratified them. Among these, 100,156 (7.3%) were categorized as very low; 221,545 (16.1%) as mild; 394,965 (28.8%) as moderate; and 656,479 (47.8%) as patients with a high comorbidity burden according to CCI class. In-hospital case fatality increased depending on the CCI class: 3.6% in very low, 6.5% in mild, 12.1% in moderate, and 22.1% in high CCI class (P < .001). CCI class was associated with increased in-hospital case fatality (odds ratio 2.014; 95% confidence interval, 2.000-2.027; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Our study results may help practitioners to better understand and measure the association between an aggravated comorbidity profile and increased in-hospital case fatality in patients with pulmonary embolism.

Clinical Presentation and Risk Stratification of Pulmonary Embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) presents with a spectrum of symptoms, ranging from asymptomatic cases to life-threatening events. Common symptoms include sudden dyspnea, chest pain, limb swelling, syncope, and hemoptysis. Clinical presentation varies based on thrombus burden, demographics, and time to presentation. Diagnostic evaluation involves assessing symptoms, physical examination findings, and utilizing laboratory tests, including D-dimer. Risk stratification using tools like Wells score, Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index, and Hestia criteria aids in determining the severity of PE. PE is categorized based on hemodynamic status, temporal patterns, and anatomic locations of emboli to guide in making treatment decisions. Risk stratification plays a crucial role in directing management strategies, with elderly and comorbid individuals at higher risk. Early identification and appropriate risk stratification are essential for effective management of PE. As we delve into this review article, we aim to enhance the knowledge base surrounding PE, contributing to improved patient outcomes through informed decision-making in clinical practice.

Intermediate-Risk and High-Risk Pulmonary Embolism: Recognition and Management: Cardiology Clinics: Cardiac Emergencies

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the third most common cause of cardiovascular death. Every specialty of medical practitioner will encounter PE in their patients, and should be prepared to employ contemporary strategies for diagnosis and initial risk-stratification. Treatment of PE is based on risk-stratification, with anticoagulation for all patients, and advanced modalities including systemic thrombolysis, catheter-directed therapies, and mechanical circulatory supports utilized in a manner paralleling PE severity and clinical context.

Enhancing Pulmonary Embolism Mortality Risk Stratification Using Machine Learning: The Role of the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

(1) Background: Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a significant public health concern that requires efficient risk estimation to optimize patient care and resource allocation. The purpose of this retrospective study was to show the correlation of NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio) and PESI (pulmonary embolism severity index)/sPESI (simplified PESI) in determining the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with pulmonary thromboembolism. (2) Methods: A total of 160 patients admitted at the County Clinical Emergency Hospital of Sibiu from 2019 to 2022 were included and their hospital records were analyzed. (3) Results: Elevated NLR values were significantly correlated with increased in-hospital mortality. Furthermore, elevated NLR was associated with PESI and sPESI scores and their categories, as well as the individual components of these parameters, namely increasing age, hypotension, hypoxemia, and altered mental status. We leveraged the advantages of machine learning algorithms to integrate elevated NLR into PE risk stratification. Utilizing two-step cluster analysis and CART (classification and regression trees), several distinct patient subgroups emerged with varying in-hospital mortality rates based on combinations of previously validated score categories or their defining elements and elevated NLR, WBC (white blood cell) count, or the presence COVID-19 infection. (4) Conclusion: The findings suggest that integrating these parameters in risk stratification can aid in improving predictive accuracy of estimating the in-hospital mortality of PE patients.

Ultrasound-assisted catheter-directed thrombolysis in a patient with COVID-19 infection and bilateral intermediate-to-high-risk pulmonary embolism: a case report

Background

Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common cardiovascular disorder, potentially associated with high morbidity and mortality rates.

Case summary

Herein, we report on a patient with COVID-19 infection and bilateral PE, who presented after cardiovascular resuscitation with return of spontaneous circulation. Initially, an acute coronary syndrome was suspected but bedside echocardiography showed dilatation of the right ventricle (RV) and RV dysfunction, helping to establish the diagnosis of acute intermediate-to-high-risk PE, which was subsequently confirmed by contrast-enhanced computed tomography pulmonary angiography. The patient was successfully treated using low-dose (12 mg of tissue plasminogen) ultrasound-assisted catheter-directed thrombolysis, which resulted in prompt clinical improvement and reversal of RV dysfunction without bleeding complications.

Discussion

This case demonstrates the importance of echocardiography for the differential diagnosis of PE and of catheter-directed thrombolysis for its treatment in patients with intermediate-to-high-risk and high-risk PEs.

PrOgnosis in Pulmonary Embolism (PoPE): 30-Day mortality risk score based on five admission parameters

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

Several scoring systems have been developed for risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and its simplified version (sPESI) are among the most used, however the high number of variables hinder its application. Our aim was to derive an easy-to-perform score based on simple parameters obtained at admission to predict 30-day mortality in acute PE patients.

METHODS

Retrospective study in 1115 patients with acute PE from two institutions (derivation cohort n=835, validation cohort n=280). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 30 days. Statistically and clinically relevant variables were selected for multivariable Cox regression analysis. We derived and validated a multivariable risk score model and compared to other established scores.

RESULTS

The primary endpoint occurred in 207 patients (18.6%). Our model included five variables weighted as follows: modified shock index ≥1.1 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.57, 1.68-3.92, p<0.001), active cancer (HR 2.27, 1.45-3.56, p<0.001), altered mental state (HR 3.82, 2.50-5.83, p<0.001), serum lactate concentration ≥2.50 mmol/L (HR 5.01, 3.25-7.72, p<0.001), and age ≥80 years (HR 1.95, 1.26-3.03, p=0.003). The prognostic ability was superior to other scores (area under curve [AUC] 0.83 [0.79-0.87] vs 0.72 [0.67-0.79] in PESI and 0.70 [0.62-0.75] in sPESI, p<0.001) and its performance in the validation cohort was deemed good (73 events in 280 patients, 26.1%, AUC=0.76, 0.71-0.82, p<0.0001) and superior to other scores (p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The PoPE score (https://tinyurl.com/ybsnka8s) is an easy tool with superior performance to predict early mortality in patients admitted for PE with non-high-risk PE.

Predicting acute and long-term mortality in a cohort of pulmonary embolism patients using machine learning

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a severe condition that causes significant mortality and morbidity. Due to its acute nature, scores have been developed to stratify patients at high risk of 30-day mortality. Here we develop a machine-learning based score to predict 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day mortality in PE patients.

METHODS

The Birmingham and Black Country Venous Thromboembolism registry (BBC-VTE) of 2183 venous thromboembolism patients is used. Random forests were trained on a 70% training cohort and tested against 30% held-out set. The outcomes of interest were 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day mortality. These were compared to the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI). Shapley values were used to determine important predictors. Oral anticoagulation at discharge was also investigated as a predictor of mortality.

RESULTS

The machine learning risk score predicted 30-day mortality with AUC 0.71 [95% CI: 0.63 - 0.78] compared to the sPESI AUC of 0.65 [95% CI: 0.57 - 0.73] and PESI AUC of 0.64 [95% CI: 0.56 - 0.72]. 90-day mortality and 365-day mortality were predicted with an AUC of 0.74 and 0.73 respectively. High counts of neutrophils, white blood cell counts, and c-reactive protein and low counts of haemoglobin were important for 30-day mortality prediction but progressively lost importance with time. Older age was an important predictor of high risk throughout.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning algorithms have improved on standard clinical risk stratification for PE patients. External cohort validation is required before incorporation into clinical workflows.

Validation of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index Risk Classification and the 2019 European Society of Cardiology Risk Stratification in the Southeast Asian Population with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

AIM

To date, no studies representing the Southeast Asian population have validated the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and 2019 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) risk stratification. Therefore, this study aimed to validate the PESI score, simplified PESI (sPESI), PESI risk classification, and 2019 ESC risk stratification in Southeast Asian patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE).

METHODS

The present study is a 10-year cross-sectional study. Here, risk regressions were conducted to identify the PESI risk classification, sPESI, and 2019 ESC risk stratification as predictors for 30-day all-cause and PE-related mortalities. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to determine the diagnostic ability of the PESI score, sPESI score, PESI risk classification, and 2019 ESC risk stratification to predict 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 696 patients (male, 286; female, 410; mean age, 57.7±15.7 years) were included in this study from 2011 to 2020. The risk of 30-day all-cause mortality progressively increased with the 2019 ESC risk stratification, being approximately 6-fold higher in the high-risk than in the low-risk class [risk ratio: 6.24 (95% confidence interval (CI), 3.12, 12.47), P＜0.001]. The risk of 30-day all-cause mortality with the PESI risk classification also increased with the risk classes, being approximately 6-fold higher in class V than in class I [adjusted risk ratio: 5.91 (95% CI, 2.25, 15.51), P＜0.001]. The highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) of the predictive model was the PESI score [AuROC=0.733 (95% CI, 0.685, 0.782)].

CONCLUSION

Our study represents a good validation of the PESI and 2019 ESC risk stratification to predict 30-day mortality after APE diagnosis in the Southeast Asian population.

Risk stratification of acute pulmonary embolism

Approximately 5% of pulmonary embolism (PE) cases present with persistent hypotension, obstructive shock, or cardiac arrest. Given the high short-term mortality, management of high-risk PE cases focuses on immediate reperfusion therapies. Risk stratification of normotensive PE is important to identify patients with an elevated risk of hemodynamic collapse or an elevated risk of major bleeding. Risk stratification for short-term hemodynamic collapse includes assessment of physiological parameters, right heart dysfunction, and identification of comorbidities. Validated tools such as European Society of Cardiology guidelines and Bova score can identify normotensive patients with PE and an elevated risk of subsequent hemodynamic collapse. At present, we lack high-quality evidence to recommend one treatment over another (systemic thrombolysis, catheter-directed therapy, or anticoagulation with close monitoring) for patients at elevated risk of hemodynamic collapse. Newer, less well-validated scores such as BACS and PE-CH may help identify patients at a high risk of major bleeding following systemic thrombolysis. The PE-SARD score may identify those at risk of major anticoagulant-associated bleeding. Patients at low risk of short-term adverse outcomes can be considered for outpatient management. The simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index score or Hestia criteria are safe decision aids when combined with physician global assessment of the need for hospitalization following the diagnosis of PE.

Interventional therapies for pulmonary embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the leading cause of in-hospital death and the third most frequent cause of cardiovascular death. The clinical presentation of PE is variable, and choosing the appropriate treatment for individual patients can be challenging. Traditionally, treatment of PE has involved a choice of anticoagulation, thrombolysis or surgery; however, a range of percutaneous interventional technologies have been developed that are under investigation in patients with intermediate-high-risk or high-risk PE. These interventional technologies include catheter-directed thrombolysis (with or without ultrasound assistance), aspiration thrombectomy and combinations of the aforementioned principles. These interventional treatment options might lead to a more rapid improvement in right ventricular function and pulmonary and/or systemic haemodynamics in particular patients. However, evidence from randomized controlled trials on the safety and efficacy of these interventions compared with conservative therapies is lacking. In this Review, we discuss the underlying pathophysiology of PE, provide assistance with decision-making on patient selection and critically appraise the available clinical evidence on interventional, catheter-based approaches for PE treatment. Finally, we discuss future perspectives and unmet needs.

Standardization of Pulmonary Embolism Evaluation and Management Through Implementation of a Pulmonary Embolism Response Team: A Single-Center Experience at Brooke Army Medical Center

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is associated with significant rates of morbidity and mortality. Management of PE is complex, and adverse patient events are not uncommon. Brooke Army Medical Center (BAMC) is among several select institutions that have implemented multidisciplinary pulmonary embolism response teams (PERTs) to improve PE outcomes. PERT structure varies among institutions and often involves specialty expertise from a variety of departments within the hospital. PE response teams aim to improve the diagnosis and treatment for patients with acute PE. Here, we report our initial experience with this intervention.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We developed a multidisciplinary PERT and implemented a standardized algorithm to guide the evaluation, management, and disposition of patients with acute PE. Patients with PE were identified in the pre-PERT period (2015-2017) and the post-PERT period (2020-2021). A retrospective analysis of clinical characteristics, management strategies, and outcomes was performed for both cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 68 patients with acute PE were analyzed, 38 patients before PERT adoption, and 30 patients post-PERT. Baseline characteristics between the two cohorts were similar. A statistically significant increase in the evaluation for right ventricle dysfunction was noted in the post-PERT cohort, with 80% of patients having pro-brain natriuretic peptide labs obtained compared to 47% in the pre-PERT cohort (P = .005). Furthermore, 97% of patients in the post-PERT cohort had a transthoracic echocardiogram compared to 55% in the pre-PERT cohort (P = .0001). Six patients in the pre-PERT cohort underwent catheter-directed thrombolysis, compared to zero in the post-PERT cohort (P = .006). There were no differences in other treatment modalities. There was no statistically significant difference in length of stay between the two cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this is the first report describing the successful implementation of a PERT at a military treatment facility to guide the evaluation, management, and treatment of PE. The implementation of the PERT improved the appropriate diagnostic evaluation for patients with intermediate-risk PE and reduced the use of non-guideline-based catheter-directed thrombolysis. This initiative serves as an example of what could be applied across other military treatment facilities within the Defense Health Agency.

[Thromboembolic diseases from a cardiological point of view]

Thromboembolic disease is associated with a high mortality. It can be divided into two groups: embolism from a venous and embolism from an arterial side. This article gives an overview on thromboembolic disease (with a focus on pulmonary embolism and ischemic stroke) from a cardiologist's perspective.The therapeutic options for acute pulmonary embolism range from anticoagulation to fibrinolysis to interventional recanalization and surgery. The deciding factor for choice of therapy is the risk of early death. Besides clinical parameters, laboratory markers like cardiac troponin and right ventricular function on echocardiography or CTPA (computed tomography pulmonary angiography) are used to determine the early mortality risk. In hemodynamically instable patients, immediate thrombolysis is required, whereas patients with intermediate and low risk can be treated with anticoagulation. Interventional recanalization is currently being studied in patients at risk for development of CTEPH (chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension) or an intermediate risk of early mortality.In ischemic stroke, early interdisciplinary workup involving a cardiologist is paramount. Post stroke screening should include monitoring for arrythmias (especially atrial fibrillation) and transthoracic echocardiography as well as sonography of extra- and intracranial arteries. If no embolic source can be detected (embolic stroke of undetermined source), transesophageal echo can be helpful to detect intracardiac shunts like patent foramen ovale (PFO) or intracardiac tumors. Post stroke care includes secondary prevention measures like risk factor modification and lipid lowering therapy as well as anticoagulation. In high risk for paradoxical embolization, interventional PFO closure can be performed. Interventional closure of the left atrial appendage (LAA) can be discussed in patients with both high thromboembolic and bleeding risk.

Saddle pulmonary embolism in the setting of COVID-19 infection: A systematic review of case reports and case series

Saddle pulmonary embolism (SPE) is a rare type of pulmonary embolism that can lead to hemodynamic compromise causing sudden deaths. Due to a dearth of large prospective studies in this area, little is known regarding the epidemiology, and prognosis and factors affecting the latter for COVID-19-associated SPE. We aimed to describe COVID-19-associated SPE and quantify and compare mortality and factors affecting mortality among the cases. We included a total of 25 publications with a total of 35 cases. The average age was 45 ± 16.3 years with 11 females and 24 males. Dyspnoea (82.5%), orthopnoea (43.5%), and cough (43.5%) were the most common symptoms, and obstructive shock was present in five (21.7%) patients. The average reported oxygen (O₂) saturation was 85.8% ± 11.9 mm Hg. Hypertension (26.1%), diabetes (21.7%), and deep vein thrombosis (21.7%) were the most commonly reported comorbidities. Right heart strain was recognized in seven (30%) patients on electroencephalogram (S1QIIITIII) and 12 (52.2%) patients on echocardiogram. Anticoagulation, thrombolysis, and percutaneous intervention were tried in 21 (91.3%), 13 (56.5%), and 6 (26.1%) cases, respectively. Despite the aggressive management, 2 of 25 (8.7%) patients died in our smaller case report cohort. We conclude that despite aggressive management modalities, the mortality of SPE remains high in COVID-19.

Association between Hispanic or Latino ethnicity and pulmonary embolism severity, management, and in-hospital outcomes

BACKGROUND

Hispanic and Latino patients are under-represented in existing healthcare disparities research in pulmonary embolism (PE). The goal of this study was to determine if differences in PE severity, treatment modality, or in-hospital outcomes exist for Hispanic or Latino patients with PE.

METHODS

All PE cases from 2013 to 2019 at a single institution were reviewed. Clinical characteristics, imaging findings, intervention types, and in-hospital and 30-day outcomes were collected. Two cohorts were created based on patients' self-reported ethnicity. Outcomes were compared using univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1265 patients were identified with confirmed PE; 474 (37%) identified as Hispanic or Latino. Hispanic or Latino patients presented with high-risk PE significantly less often (19% vs 25%, p = 0.03). On univariate analysis, Hispanic or Latino patients had lower rates of PE-specific intervention (15% vs 19%, p = 0.03) and similar rates of inpatient mortality (6.8% vs 7.5%, p = 0.64). On ordinal regression analysis, Hispanic or Latino ethnicity was associated with lower PE severity (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.54-0.89, p = 0.003). In subgroup analyses of intermediate and high-risk PEs, ethnicity was not a significant predictor of receipt of PE-specific intervention or in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

At this institution, Hispanic or Latino patients were less likely to present with high-risk PE but had similar rates of inpatient mortality. Future research is needed to identify if disparities in in-hospital care are driving perceived differences in PE severity and what addressable systematic factors are driving higher-than-expected in-hospital mortality for Hispanic or Latino patients.

Long-Term Outcomes of Patients With Pulmonary Embolism Managed With Endovascular Therapies Compared to Medical Therapy

Background

Guidelines on the management of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) recommend consideration of endovascular therapies (EVT) for patients at intermediate-high risk. However, long-term data on the outcomes of patients after EVT as compared to medical therapy is lacking. This study aimed to compare outcomes of patients receiving EVT as compared to medical therapy alone at 3 to 6 months.

Methods

In this single-center, retrospective cohort study, 190 patients with PE underwent evaluation for presence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction by transthoracic echocardiogram, residual perfusion defects on ventilation-perfusion scanning, and functional capacity by 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) at 3 to 6 month follow-up.

Results

Fifty-eight (31%) patients received EVT for the management of their acute PE. At follow-up (median 120 [97-170] days), 71% of patients who received EVT had normalization of RV function compared with only 34% of patients who received medical therapy alone (P < .001). Patients who received EVT had a significantly greater increase in their estimated glomerular filtration rate (P = .001), decrease in N-terminal proB-type natriuretic peptide (P = .003), and decrease in hemoglobin values (P = .018). Patients with intermediate-high to high risk PE who received EVT had significantly greater distance achieved on their 6MWD as compared to those who received medical therapy alone (P = .025).

Conclusions

Patients with acute PE who received EVT plus medical therapy were more likely to achieve normalization of RV dysfunction at 3 to 6 month follow-up compared to patients who received medical therapy alone. These data suggest that EVT is an effective therapy option for acute PE in intermediate-high and high risk patients with potential durable long-term benefits.

Cancer patients with venous thromboembolism: Diagnostic and prognostic value of elevated D-dimers

BACKGROUND

D-dimer testing is known to have a high sensitivity at simultaneously low specificity, resulting in nonspecific elevations in a variety of conditions.

METHODS

This retrospective study sought to assess diagnostic and prognostic features of D-dimers in cancer patients referred to the emergency department for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep vein thrombosis (DVT). In total, 526 patients with a final adjudicated diagnosis of PE (n = 83) and DVT (n = 69) were enrolled, whereas 374 patients served as the comparative group, in which venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been excluded.

RESULTS

For the identification of VTE, D-dimers yielded the highest positive predictive value of 96% (95% confidence interval (CI), 85-99) at concentrations of 9.9 mg/L and a negative predictive value of 100% at .6 mg/L (95% CI, 97-100). At the established rule-out cut-off level of .5 mg/L, D-dimers were found to be very sensitive (100%) at a moderate specificity of nearly 65%. Using an optimised cut-off value of 4.9 mg/L increased the specificity to 95% for the detection of life-threatening VTE at the cost of moderate sensitivities (64%). During a median follow-up of 30 months, D-dimers positively correlated with the reoccurrence of VTE (p = .0299) and mortality in both cancer patients with VTE (p < .0001) and without VTE (p = .0008).

CONCLUSIONS

Although D-dimer testing in cancer patients is discouraged by current guidelines, very high concentrations above the 10-fold upper reference limit contain diagnostic and prognostic information and might be helpful in risk assessment, while low concentrations remain useful for ruling out VTE.

Assessment of sST2 Behaviors to Evaluate Severity/Clinical Impact of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a potentially life-threatening disorder. Beyond its usefulness in the prognostic stratification of heart failure, sST2 can represent a biomarker with high utility in several acute conditions. Our study was aimed to investigate whether sST2 can be used as a clinical marker of severity and prognostic outcome in acute PE. We enrolled 72 patients with documented PE and 38 healthy subjects; we measured the plasma concentrations of sST2 to evaluate the prognostic and severity performance of different levels of sST2 according to its association with the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score and several parameters of respiratory function. PE patients had significantly higher levels of sST2 compared with healthy subjects (87.74 ± 17.1 vs. 17.1 ± 0.4 ng/mL, p < 0.001); we found higher PESI scores and serum lactate values in the group of patients with sST2 > 35 ng/mL compared with patients with sST2 < 35 ng/mL (138.7 ± 14.9 vs. 103.7 ± 15.1 and 2.43 ± 0.69 vs. 1.025 ± 0.05 mmol/L, respectively; p < 0.05). Patients with sST2 > 35 ng/mL showed higher radiological severity of PE compared with patients with sST2 < 35 ng/mL. Moreover, sST2 was the strongest parameter with a discriminative capacity for the development of acute respiratory failure and a PESI score >106 with respect to C reactive protein (CRP), creatinine, d-dimer, and serum lactate. We clearly demonstrated that sST2 significantly increased in PE and that its elevation was associated with disease severity. Therefore, sST2 may be used as a clinical marker in the evaluation of PE severity. However, further studies with larger patient populations are required to confirm these findings.

Characteristics and 6-Month Mortality of Medical Oncology Patients With Incidental and Symptomatic Pulmonary Embolism: A Single-Institutional Retrospective Longitudinal Analysis

This study aimed to identify clinical characteristics of cancer patients with incidental pulmonary embolism (IPE) and assess the variables associated with 30-day mortality in cancer patients with PE including symptomatic pulmonary embolism (SPE) and IPE. 6-Month mortality rate in cancer patients with SPE and IPE were also compared. We retrospectively analyzed electronic medical records of cancer patients with newly diagnosed PE between January 2016 and June 2021. We compared clinical and radiological characteristics in cancer patients with IPE and SPE and identified variables associated with the overall 30-day mortality on multivariate analysis. All patients were followed up for 6 months and survival analysis was performed by use of Kaplan-Meier. Five hundred and nine eligible cancer patients with pulmonary embolism were identified during the study period. IPE is associated with lower BMI, colorectal and pancreas cancers, stage III/IV of cancer, recent antiangiogenic therapy, central venous catheter (CVC) and chronic cardiac or respiratory disease compared to SPE. The factors associated with 30-day mortality included poor performance status, lung/pleura or upper gastrointestinal cancers, stage III/IV of cancer, previous VTE, oxygen saturation < 95%, lactic acid > 2 mmol/l and bilateral PE. The overall survival in patients with IPE at 6-month follow-up was similar to those diagnosed with SPE. The present study has allowed the identification of factors associated with 30-day mortality in cancer patients with IPE and SPE. We also found similar mortality rate in cancer patients with IPE compared with patients with SPE at 6-month follow-up.

CRB-65 for Risk Stratification and Prediction of Prognosis in Pulmonary Embolism

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is accompanied by high morbidity and mortality. The search for simple and easily assessable risk stratification scores with favourable effectiveness is still ongoing, and prognostic performance of the CRB-65 score in PE might promising.

METHODS

The German nationwide inpatient sample was used for this study. All patient cases of patients with PE in Germany 2005-2020 were included and stratified for CRB-65 risk class: low-risk group (CRB-65-score 0 points) vs. high-risk group (CRB-65-score ≥1 points).

RESULTS

Overall, 1,373,145 patient cases of patients with PE (76.6% aged ≥65 years, 47.0% females) were included. Among these, 1,051,244 patient cases (76.6%) were classified as high-risk according to CRB-65 score (≥1 points). The majority of high-risk patients according to CRB-65 score were females (55.8%). Additionally, high-risk patients according to CRB-65 score showed an aggravated comorbidity profile with increased Charlson comorbidity index (5.0 [IQR 4.0-7.0] vs. 2.0 [0.0-3.0], p < 0.001). In-hospital case fatality (19.0% vs. 3.4%, p < 0.001) and MACCE (22.4% vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001) occurred distinctly more often in PE patients of the high-risk group according to CRB-65 score (≥1 points) compared to the low-risk group (= 0 points). The CRB-65 high-risk class was independently associated with in-hospital death (OR 5.53 [95%CI 5.40-5.65], p < 0.001) as well as MACCE (OR 4.31 [95%CI 4.23-4.40], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Risk stratification with CRB-65 score was helpful for identifying PE patients being at higher risk of adverse in-hospital events. The high-risk class according to CRB-65 score (≥1 points) was independently associated with a 5.5-fold increased occurrence of in-hospital death.

Predictive Ability of the National Early Warning Score in Mortality Prediction of Acute Pulmonary Embolism in the Southeast Asian Population

BACKGROUND

The National Early Warning Scores (NEWS) easily and objectively measures acute clinical deterioration. However, the performance of NEWS to predict mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is still required. Therefore, the objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of the NEWS in predicting the mortality of patients with APE.

METHODS

NEWS and Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) at diagnosis time were calculated. Risk regression analysis was performed to identify the NEWS and PESI risk classification as a predictor for 30 days all-cause mortality and PE-related mortality.

RESULTS

NEWS was significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors (median (IQR) was 10 (7, 11) vs. 7 (2, 9), respectively, p < 0.001). The best cut-off point of NEWS in discriminating APE patients who non-survived from those who survived at 30 days was ≥9, with a sensitivity and specificity of 66.9% and 66.3%, respectively. The adjusted risk ratio of 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with initial NEWS ≥ 9 was 2.96 (95% CI; 2.13, 4.12, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The NEWS can be used for mortality prediction in patients with APE. APE patients with NEWS ≥ 9 are associated with a high risk of mortality and should be closely monitored.

Utility of Combining High-Sensitive Cardiac Troponin I and PESI Score for Risk Management in Patients with Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Pulmonary embolism (PE) has a major burden of morbidity and mortality, consequently the need for a prompt risk stratification for these subjects is crucial. In order to evaluate the risk management and final disposition of patients with PE in the Emergency Department (ED), we conducted a study that was divided in two phases: Phase I retrospective study (RS), Phase II prospective study (PS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In Phase I, 291 patients were enrolled while in Phase II, 83 subjects were evaluated. In both study phases, the enrolled subjects were analyzed for final disposition in ED using PESI score, right ventricle (RV) imaging, and high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) data. The RS patients were divided into low risk and high risk according to the sPESI score, while PS patients were grouped in low, intermediate, and high risk classes according to PESI score. In both study phases, all the studied patients were further divided into negative (hs-cTnI-) or positive (hs-cTnI+) groups according to hs-cTnI levels within normal or above cutoff values, respectively. For all enrolled subjects, CT pulmonary angiography was analyzed to assess the RV/LV diameter and volume ratio as an indicator of RV involvement.

RESULTS

In both RS and PS phases, hs-cTnI+ group showed a higher PESI score. Nevertheless, a significant percentage of hs-cTnI+ patients resulted to be in the low-risk PESI class. Patients with a positive RV/LV ratio were more likely to have a hs-cTnI+ (p < 0.01), while among those with a negative ratio, 24 to 32% showed as hs-cTnI+. In the hs-cTnI+ group from both study phases, patients were more likely to be admitted in an ICU (RR 3.7, IC: 2.1-6.5).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, in patients with PE in the ED compared PESI score alone, the combination of hs-cTnI and PESI seems to be of greater utility in improving risk stratification and final disposition decision-making.

Use of the National Early Warning Score for predicting deterioration of patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a post-hoc analysis of the YEARS Study

BACKGROUND

The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and the simplified PESI (sPESI) are validated scores for mortality prediction in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). National Early Warning Score (NEWS) is a general prognostic risk score for multiple clinical settings. We investigated whether the NEWS had a comparable performance with the PESI and sPESI, for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) admission and death in patients with acute PE.

METHODS

In haemodynamically stable patients with confirmed PE from the YEARS Study (2013-2015), we evaluated the performance of the NEWS, PESI and sPESI for predicting 7-day ICU admission and 30-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.

RESULTS

Of 352 patients, 12 (3.4%) were admitted to the ICU and 5 (1.4%) died. The AUC of the NEWS for ICU admission was 0.80 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.94) and 0.92 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.00) for 30-day mortality. At a threshold of 3 points, NEWS yielded a sensitivity and specificity of 92% and 53% for ICU admission and 100% and 52% for 30-day mortality. The AUC of the PESI was 0.64 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.79) for ICU admission and 0.94 (95% CI 0.87 to 1.00) for mortality. At a threshold of 66 points, PESI yielded a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 38% for ICU admission. For mortality, these were 100% and 37%, respectively. The performance of the sPESI was similar to that of PESI.

CONCLUSION

In comparison with PESI and sPESI, NEWS adequately predicted 7-day ICU admission as well as 30-day mortality, supporting its potential relevance for clinical practice.

Risk factors for hospital outcomes in pulmonary embolism: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is not only a life-threatening disease but also a public health issue with significant economic burden. The aim of the study was to identify factors-including the role of primary care-that predict length of hospital stay (LOHS), mortality and re-hospitalization within 6 months of patients admitted for PE.

Method

A retrospective cohort study was conducted with patients presenting to a Swiss public hospital with PE diagnosed at the hospital between November 2018 and October 2020. Multivariable logistic and zero-truncated negative binomial regression analyses were performed to assess risk factors for mortality, re-hospitalization and LOHS. Primary care variables encompassed whether patients were sent by their general practitioner (GP) to the emergency department and whether a GP follow-up assessment after discharge was recommended. Further analyzed variables were pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score, laboratory values, comorbidities, and medical history.

Results

A total of 248 patients were analyzed (median 73 years and 51.6% females). On average patients were hospitalized for 5 days (IQR 3-8). Altogether, 5.6% of these patients died in hospital, and 1.6% died within 30 days (all-cause mortality), 21.8% were re-hospitalized within 6 months. In addition to high PESI scores, we detected that, patients with an elevated serum troponin, as well as with diabetes had a significantly longer hospital stay. Significant risk factors for mortality were elevated NT-proBNP and PESI scores. Further, high PESI score and LOHS were associated with re-hospitalization within 6 months. PE patients who were sent to the emergency department by their GPs did not show improved outcomes. Follow-up with GPs did not have a significant effect on re-hospitalization.

Conclusion

Defining the factors that are associated with LOHS in patients with PE has clinical implications and may help clinicians to allocate adequate resources in the management of these patients. Serum troponin and diabetes in addition to PESI score might be of prognostic use for LOHS. In this single-center cohort study, PESI score was not only a valid predictive tool for mortality but also for long-term outcomes such as re-hospitalization within 6 months.

PECULIARITIES OF THE COURSE OF PULMONARY EMBOLISM DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

OBJECTIVE

The aim: A comparative analysis of the course of pulmonary embolism during the COVID-19 pandemic and the era before pandemia.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Materials and methods: 294 patients with pulmonary embolism (PE) , 1 group - 188 with PE before the pandemic, 2 group -106 during the pandemic. Two subgroups were distinguished in 2 group : 1- with laboratory-excluded coronavirus (acute and in anamnesis) and 2 - with a history of COVID-19. The diagnosis of PE was confirmed by CT. Echocardiography and ultrasound Doppler imaging of the veins of the lower extremities were performed.

RESULTS

Results: In 1 group there was a more significant increase in pulmonary artery pressure (44.29 ± 17.04 vs 36.91 ± 16.6, p 0.0023) and a decrease in the E/A ratio of the right ventricle (0.80 ± 0,21 vs 1.28 ± 1.42, p 0.0202). In 2 subgroup of patients with COVID-19 had a significantly higher incidence of Diabetes mellitus (73.7% vs 13.3%, p 0.00001) and significantly lower signs of superficial venous thrombosis of the lower extremities (5.3% vs 33,3%, p 0,0175) and signs of proximal deep vein thrombosis (0% vs 56.7%, p 0.00001) and 3 times less often there was a high risk of adverse disease, right ventricular dysfunction were more pronounced (ratio E/A 0.87 ± 0.25 vs 1.13 ± 0.28, p 0.022).

CONCLUSION

Conclusions: In patients with coronavirus infection, PE was significantly more common in the presence of diabetes mellitus , right ventricular diastole disorders were more common, and superficial and proximal deep vein thrombosis of the lower extremities were less common.

Prognostic Risk Factors of 30-Day Death in Traumatic Lower Limb Fracture Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism: A Single-Center Retrospective Study

Background

To explore the prognostic risk factors of 30-day death in patients with traumatic lower limb fracture (TLLF) complicated with acute pulmonary embolism (APE).

Methods

295 consecutive TLLF patients diagnosed as APE according to pulmonary artery CT angiography, hospitalized in our hospital from January 2017 to December 2021, were included in this study. Patients were divided into nonsurvival group and survival group according to 30-day follow-up results. After adjusting age, sex, and all the clinical variables with P values of <0.2 with backward stepwise method (likelihood ratio), multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to analyze risk factors of 30 days all-cause death in TLLF patients with APE. The area under curve (AUC) calculated by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and the incremental model were used to determine the prognostic potential of identified risk factors.

Results

29 patients died during 30-day follow-up. Simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) score ≥1 (P < 0.05), Wells score ≥7 (P < 0.01), and pulmonary hypertension (P < 0.01) were associated with higher risk, while anticoagulant therapy (P < 0.01) was associated with lower risk of all-cause death during 30 days follow-up in APE patients. Compared with sPESI score, Wells score plus pulmonary hypertension produced better predictive efficacy. Prognostic value of sPESI score could be enhanced by adding Wells score, pulmonary hypertension, and anticoagulant therapy to the predicting models.

Conclusions

Wells score ≥7 and pulmonary hypertension are independent predictive risk factors of 30-day all-cause death in TLLF patients with APE.

The relationship between pesi score and pulmonary venous flow parameters in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is an important cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. PESI scoring is used in risk classification. This study was designed to determine the relationship between echocardiographic pulmonary vein measurements and PESI score, which is an important tool in diagnosis and treatment.

METHODS

A total of 210 patients were evaluated. Pulmonary vein measurements and PESI scores of the patients at the time of diagnosis were calculated. Correlation analysis was performed to determine the relationship between the two parameters.

RESULTS

Total PESI scores were 112.9 ± 33.9. The pulmonary vein S wave .39 ± .14, the D wave .48 ± .18, and the S/D ratio was found to be .86 ± .35. It was determined that there was a significant correlation between pulmonary S/D ratio and PESI score. (Pearson correlation coefficient = -.693, R2 Linear:.484; p < .001) The AUC of S/D for mortality prediction was .729 (95% CI = .653-.804; p < .001), the cutoff value was .63, the sensitivity and specificity were 55.6% and 55.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Pulmonary vein measurements were found to be correlated with the PESI score and were found to be a parameter that could predict mortality.

Saddle Pulmonary Embolism in Patients with Cancer in the Era of Incidental Events: Clinical Findings and Outcomes in a Single Centre Cohort

Background  There is scarce information regarding the prevalence and clinical impact of saddle pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with cancer. Objectives  This study aimed to assess the prevalence, clinical findings, and short-term outcomes of patients with cancer-related saddle PE including acute symptomatic and unsuspected events. Patients/Methods  Consecutive patients with cancer-related PE (March 1, 2006-October 31, 2014) were retrospectively reviewed by a chest radiologist to assess PE burden and signs of right ventricular (RV) overload. The clinical outcomes within 30 days were evaluated according to saddle versus nonsaddle PE. Results  Thirty-six (12%) out of 289 patients with newly diagnosed cancer-related PE presented with saddle PE. Saddle PE was found in 21 cases (58%) with acute symptomatic PE and the remaining 15 cases (42%) were found as unsuspected findings. Patients with saddle PE had more frequently experienced a previous thrombotic event (31 vs. 13%; p =0.008), and it occurred more frequently as an acute symptomatic event (58 vs. 39%; p =0.025) compared with those with nonsaddle PE. Signs of RV overload including RV/left ventricle ratio ≥1 (22 vs. 4%; p <0.001) and interventricular septum displacement (53 vs. 20%; p <0.001) were also more common in patients with saddle PE compared with nonsaddle PE. Overall, PE-related mortality, venous thromboembolism recurrence, and major bleeding within 30 days were found to be similar according to saddle versus nonsaddle PE. Conclusion  Saddle PE is not uncommon in patients with cancer-related PE including in those with unsuspected PE. Similar 30-day outcomes were found according to saddle versus nonsaddle PE in our cohort.

Outcome Prediction in Critically-Ill Patients with Venous Thromboembolism and/or Cancer Using Machine Learning Algorithms: External Validation and Comparison with Scoring Systems

Intensive care unit (ICU) patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) and/or cancer suffer from high mortality rates. Mortality prediction in the ICU has been a major medical challenge for which several scoring systems exist but lack in specificity. This study focuses on two target groups, namely patients with thrombosis or cancer. The main goal is to develop and validate interpretable machine learning (ML) models to predict early and late mortality, while exploiting all available data stored in the medical record. To this end, retrospective data from two freely accessible databases, MIMIC-III and eICU, were used. Well-established ML algorithms were implemented utilizing automated and purposely built ML frameworks for addressing class imbalance. Prediction of early mortality showed excellent performance in both disease categories, in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC–ROC): VTE-MIMIC-III 0.93, eICU 0.87, cancer-MIMIC-III 0.94. On the other hand, late mortality prediction showed lower performance, i.e., AUC–ROC: VTE 0.82, cancer 0.74–0.88. The predictive model of early mortality developed from 1651 VTE patients (MIMIC-III) ended up with a signature of 35 features and was externally validated in 2659 patients from the eICU dataset. Our model outperformed traditional scoring systems in predicting early as well as late mortality. Novel biomarkers, such as red cell distribution width, were identified.

Validation of the PESI Scale to Predict in-Hospital Mortality in Patients with Pulmonary Thromboembolism Secondary to SARS CoV - 2 Infection

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the discriminative ability and the calibration of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with Pulmonary Embolism (PE) secondary to COVID 19 in two hospitals in Bogotá.

METHODS

External validation study of a prediction model based on a retrospective cohort of patients with PE secondary to COVID-19 treated at Hospital Universitario San Ignacio and Hospital universitario La Samaritana, between March 2020 and August 2021. Calibration of the scale was evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and a calibration belt diagram. Discrimination ability was evaluated using a ROC curve.

RESULTS

272 patients were included (median age 61.5 years, male 58.8%). PE was diagnosed in 45.6% of the patients at the time of admission. Of the remaining 54.4%, 95.9% received thromboprophylaxis until the time of diagnosis.17.6% of the patients died. Regarding calibration, the scale systematically underestimates risk in all classes of PESI. For class I, the ratio of observed/expected events was 4.4 vs 0.8%, class II 4.8 vs 1.8%, class III 15.2 vs 4.2%, class IV 14.3 vs 5.9% and class V 46.7 vs 5.8%. The calibration test rejected the adequate calibration hypothesis (p < 0.001). The discriminatory ability was adequate (AUC = 0.7128, 95% CI 0.63-0.79).

CONCLUSIONS

The PESI scale in patients with PE secondary to COVID 19 underestimates the risk of in-hospital mortality, while maintaining adequate discrimination. It is suggested not to use the PESI scale until it is recalibrated in this context.

Risk stratification for clinical severity of pulmonary embolism in patients with cancer: a narrative review and MASCC clinical guidance for daily care

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with cancer. The clinical presentation and outcomes of PE range from an acute life-threatening condition requiring intensive care to a mild symptomatic condition associated with favorable outcomes and potentially candidate for early hospital discharge. The wide clinical spectrum of PE has led to the development of risk stratification models aimed at the triage of patients in emergency care departments and optimizing the utilization of health care resources. Incidental or unsuspected PE (UPE), detected during routine staging computed tomography scans, make up a significant proportion of this cohort among the oncology population. The present narrative review is aimed at examining the currently available PE risk assessment models developed for the general population and for patients with cancer including UPE. We include general recommendations for the daily care of patients with cancer-related PE and hypothesize on the factors that would potentially favor hospitalization with early discharge or ambulatory management in this setting.

Risk stratification to optimize the management of acute pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a life-threatening disease. Risk stratification in patients with acute PE can guide clinical decisions. Clinical assessment, including hemodynamics, respiratory parameters, patient history, and right ventricle evaluation, has a pivotal role in this scope.

AREAS COVERED

This review aims to describe: i) the role of individual tools for prognostic stratification, from simple clinical parameters to the models suggested by international guidelines; ii) the implications of risk stratification in terms of patient disposition and treatment. The bleeding risk assessment in acute PE was also reviewed. The literature search was performed in PubMed and Embase to address these issues.

EXPERT OPINION

Prognostic assessment is essential to proceed with life-saving treatments in hemodynamically unstable patients and consider home treatment or short hospital stay in patients at low risk for death. In hemodynamically stable patients, risk stratification allows the implementation of personalized treatment pathways to reduce the risk of death, early PE recurrence, and bleeding. With the aim of optimizing healthcare resources, risk stratification may suggest appropriate patient disposition.

Comparison of 5 acute pulmonary embolism mortality risk scores in patients with COVID-19

Objective

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Pulmonary artery capacitance and pulmonary vascular resistance as prognostic indicators in acute pulmonary embolism

Aims

The non-invasive calculation of right ventricular (RV) haemodynamics as pulmonary artery (PA) capacitance (PAC) and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) have proved to be feasible, easy to perform, and of high prognostic value. We, therefore, evaluated whether baseline PAC and PVR could predict clinical outcomes for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE).

Methods and results

We prospectively followed 373 patients [mean (standard deviation) age, 64.1 (14.9) years; 58.4% were men, and 27.9% had cancer] who had acute PE and transthoracic echocardiography within 1 day of diagnosis from 1 March 2013 through 30 June 2020. Pulmonary artery capacitance was calculated as left ventricular stroke volume/(PA systolic pressure − PA diastolic pressure). Pulmonary vascular resistance was calculated as (tricuspid regurgitant velocity/RV outflow tract velocity time integral) × 10 + 0.16. These two variables were calculated retrospectively from the values obtained with transthoracic echocardiography. Pulmonary artery capacitance was acquired in 99 (27%) patients and PVR in 65 (17%) patients. Univariable and bivariable logistic regression analyses, and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the ability of these haemodynamic measurements to predict mortality up to 6 months. After using bivariable models to adjust individually for age, cancer, and pulmonary hypertension. Pulmonary vascular resistance was associated with all-cause mortality at 3 months [area under the curve (AUC) 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.61–0.86; P = 0.01], and 6 months (AUC 0.81; 95% CI 0.69–0.91; P≤ 0.03). Pulmonary artery capacitance was associated with all-cause mortality at 30 days (AUC 0.95; 95% CI 0.82–0.99; P &lt; 0.001) and 3 months (AUC 0.84; 95% CI 0.65–0.99; P = 0.003).

Conclusion

Non-invasive measurement of RV haemodynamics could provide prognostic information of patients with acute PE. Pulmonary artery capacitance and PVR are potentially important predictors of all-cause mortality in these patients and should be explored in future studies.

CHA2 DS2 -VASc and PESI scores are associated with right ventricular dysfunction on computed tomography pulmonary angiography in patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Accurate risk stratification is the most important step in the management of patients with acute pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE). Pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) is a clinical tool for PTE risk stratification. CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, a risk assessment tool in patients with atrial fibrillation, is recently considered for acute PTE. The presence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction in imaging is more efficient in acute PTE risk evaluation.

HYPOTHESIS

This study aims to evaluate the association between CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc and PESI score and each of them with RV dysfunction on computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA).

METHODS

One hundred eighteen patients with a definite diagnosis of PTE were entered. The CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc and PESI scores were calculated for all of them. RV dysfunction including an increase in RV to left ventricular diameter ratio, interventricular septal bowing, and reflux of contrast medium into the inferior vena cava was examined by CTPA.

RESULTS

PESI and CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc scores were significantly associated with RV dysfunction. In addition, different classes of PESI scores were correlated with RV dysfunction. Moreover, this study showed that the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score and PESI score had a positive correlation. The area under the curve value for the CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score was 0.625 with 61.54% sensitivity and 60.0% specificity for predicting RV dysfunction while for PESI score was 0.635 with 66.7% sensitivity and 60.0% specificity.

CONCLUSION

This study showed that not only CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc and PESI scores are positively correlated, but they are both associated with RV dysfunction diagnosed by CTPA. CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc and PESI scores are able to predict RV dysfunction.

Inpatient Management of Pulmonary Embolism: Clinical Characteristics and Mortality in a High-Volume Tertiary Care Center

The optimal management strategy for submassive or intermediate risk pulmonary embolism (IRPE)-anticoagulation alone versus anticoagulation plus advanced therapies-remains in equipoise leading many institutions to create multidisciplinary PE response teams (PERTs) to guide therapy. Cause-specific mortality of IRPE has not been thoroughly examined, which is a meaningful outcome when examining the effect of specific interventions for PE. In this retrospective study, we reviewed all adult inpatient admissions between 8/1/2018 and 8/1/2019 with an encounter diagnosis of PE to study all cause and PE cause specific mortality as the primary outcomes and bleeding complications from therapies as a secondary outcome. There were 429 total inpatient admissions, of which 59.7% were IRPE. The IRPE 30-day all-cause mortality was 8.7% and PE cause-specific mortality was 0.79%. Treatment consisted of anticoagulation alone in 93.4% of cases. Advanced therapies-systemic thrombolysis, catheter directed thrombolysis, or mechanical thrombectomy, were performed in only six IRPE cases (2.3%). Decompensation of IRPE cases requiring higher level of care and/or rescue advanced therapy occurred in only five cases (2%). In-hospital major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding were more common in those receiving systemic thrombolysis (61.5%) compared to anticoagulation combined with other advanced therapies (11.7%). Despite the high overall acuity of PE cases at our institution, in-hospital all-cause mortality was low and cause-specific mortality for IRPE was rare. These data suggest the need to target other clinically meaningful outcomes when examining advanced therapies for IRPE.

Clinical and radiological characteristics of acute pulmonary embolus in relation to 28-day and 6-month mortality

Background

Patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) exhibit a wide spectrum of clinical and laboratory features when presenting to hospital and pathophysiologic mechanisms differentiating low-risk and high-risk PE are poorly understood.

Objectives

To investigate the prognostic value of clinical, laboratory and radiological information that is available within routine tests undertaken for patients with acute PE.

Methods

Electronic patient records (EPR) of patients who underwent Computed Tomography Pulmonary Angiogram (CTPA) scan for the investigation of acute PE during 6-month period (01.01.2016–30.06.2016) were examined. Data was gathered from EPR for patients that met inclusion criteria and all CTPA scans were re-evaluated. Biochemical thresholds of low-grade and high-grade inflammation, serum CRP >10mg/L and >150mg/L and serum albumin concentrations <35g/L and <25 g/L, were combined in the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and peri-operative Glasgow Prognostic Score (poGPS) respectively. Neutrophil Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was also calculated. Pulmonary Embolus Severity Index score was calculated.

Results

Of the total CTPA reports (n = 2129) examined, 245 patients were eligible for inclusion. Of these, 20 (8%) patients had died at 28-days and 43 (18%) at 6-months. Of the 197 non-cancer related presentations, 28-day and 6-month mortality were 3% and 8% respectively. Of the 48 cancer related presentations, 28-day and 6-month mortality were 29% and 58% respectively. On univariate analysis, age ≥65 years (p<0.01), PESI score ≥100(p = <0.001), NLR ≥3(p<0.001) and Coronary Artery Calcification (CAC) score ≥ 6 (p<0.001) were associated with higher 28-day and 6-month mortality. PESI score ≥100 (OR 5.2, 95% CI: 1.1, 24.2, P <0.05), poGPS ≥1 (OR 2.5, 95% CI: 1.2–5.0, P = 0.01) and NLR ≥3 (OR 3.7, 95% CI: 1.0–3.4, P <0.05) remained independently associated with 28-day mortality. On multivariate binary logistic regression analysis of factors associated with 6-month mortality, PESI score ≥100 (OR 6.2, 95% CI: 2.3–17.0, p<0.001) and coronary artery calcification score ≥6 (OR 2.3, 95% CI: 1.1–4.8, p = 0.030) remained independently associated with death at 6-months. When patients who had an underlying cancer diagnosis were excluded from the analysis only GPS≥1 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.2–22.0, p<0.05).

Conclusion

PESI score >100, poGPS≥1, NLR ≥3 and CAC score ≥6 were associated with 28-day and 6-month mortality. PESI score ≥100, poGPS≥1 and NLR ≥3 remained independently associated with 28-day mortality. PESI score ≥100 and CAC score ≥6 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality. When patients with underlying cancer were excluded from the analysis, GPS≥1 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality. The role of the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) in determining treatment and prognosis requires further study. Routine reporting of CAC scores in CTPA scans for acute PE may have a role in aiding clinical decision-making regarding treatment and prognosis.

A Radiological Nomogram to Predict 30-day Mortality in Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is a common disease with a high mortality, especially in the short term. Computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) is a recommended method in the diagnostic workup for APE; thus, this study aimed to establish a CTPA-based radiological nomogram to predict the 30-day mortality in patients with APE, and to further compare this model with the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) and simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (SPESI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively recruited 158 adults with confirmed APE who underwent CTPA from August 1, 2017, to August 1, 2020. These adults were stratified into two groups according to their 30-day mortality. CTPA-based variables were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses, independent risk factors for 30-day mortality were established, and a radiological nomogram was constructed. Subsequently, PESI and SPESI were calculated. The performance of the radiological nomogram model was compared to that of the PESI and SPESI using decision curve analysis and receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-three patients died within 30 days (30-day mortality rate, 20.9%). On logistic regression analysis, the right and left ventricular diameter ratio (odds ratio [OR] = 8.709, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.085-69.903, p = 0.042), ventricular septal bowing (OR = 8.085, 95% CI: 1.947-33.567, p = 0.004), chronic bronchitis (OR = 4.383, 95% CI: 1.025-18.740, p = 0.046), malignant lung lesions (OR = 17.530, 95% CI: 2.408-127.636, p = 0.005), and pneumonia (OR = 3.477, 95% CI: 1.123-10.766, p = 0.031) were identified as the independent predictors of 30-day mortality. The area under the curve of the radiological nomogram, PESI, and SPESI were 0.900 (95% CI: 0.828-0.971), 0.729 (95% CI: 0.642-0.815), and 0.718 (95% CI: 0.621-0.815), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The CTPA-based radiological nomogram appeared valuable for the prediction of 30-day mortality in patients with APE, and was superior to both PESI and SPESI.

Comparison of Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Acute Hospital Mortality in Venous Thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

The choice of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for venous thromboembolism (VTE) is at the physician's discretion; however, it is useful to know the differences in the clinical data of DOACs to help physicians choose.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to compare the mortality associated with the use of rivaroxaban, edoxaban, and apixaban in clinical practice.

METHODS

We identified 38,245 patients with first hospitalization for VTE from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database in the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Datasets (JROAD-DPC). We classified patients into three groups by DOAC (rivaroxaban and edoxaban group, rivaroxaban and apixaban group, and edoxaban and apixaban group) and compared the in-hospital mortality and bleeding risk by propensity score (PS) matching in each group.

RESULTS

After PS matching, patients with rivaroxaban use had significantly lower total in-hospital mortality (1.2% vs. 2.1%; odds ratio [OR] 0.55, p = 0.012) and in-hospital mortality within 21 days (0.4% vs. 1.0%; OR 0.41, p = 0.020) and 28 days (0.7% vs. 1.3%; OR 0.53, p = 0.042) than patients with apixaban use. In the subanalysis, significant differences were only observed in patients younger than 80 years of age, patients with pulmonary embolism, and patients without heart failure. There was no significant difference in in-hospital mortality in the other groups and in the rate of bleeding events among the three groups.

CONCLUSION

On PS-matched analysis, there was a difference in in-hospital mortality, especially in the rivaroxaban and apixaban group. Identifying the clinical characteristics of patients associated with each DOAC, as well as prognosis, will be useful in determining treatment strategies for VTE.

Building a CAT clinic - real-world systems approaches to prevention and treatment

Cancer patients have an increased risk of developing venous thrombosis. The implementation of a cancer associated thrombosis clinic can be instrumental for the prevention, early recognition, and management of venous thromboembolism in this vulnerable population. Cancer thrombosis clinics rely on a multidisciplinary approach to care and require standardization along with a dedicated team of healthcare professionals. Cancer thrombosis clinics have the potential to improve patient outcomes and lower healthcare expenditure. Herein, we describe a successful model of a cancer thrombosis clinic and highlight the potential impact on clinical outcomes.

Analysis of CRP, Antithrombin, Fibrinogen, and Hematological Changes in 433 Patients with PTE

Objective

To investigate the characteristics of coagulation indicators, such as C-reactive protein (CRP), antithrombin (AT), and fibrinogen (FB) in patients with pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) and their relationship with PTE.

Methods

The clinical characteristics, CRP, AT, FB, plasma D-dimer (D-D) and platelet (PLT) counts, and blood coagulation indicators of 433 patients with PTE diagnosed by computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) were comprehensively analyzed, and the relevant clinical significance was discussed.

Results

The total incidence of PTE was 1.60% (433/270,983 cases), and the age group with the highest incidence was over 60 years old. D-D increased in 412 (95.2%) patients. PLT was normal in 331 (76.4%) cases, but decreased in 53 (12.3%) cases and increased in 49 (11.3%) cases. CRP increased in 76.0% (288/379 cases) and was normal in 24.0% (91/379 cases). AT decreased in 109 (25.2%) cases and FB increased in 102 (23.6%) cases. There were no significant changes in other coagulation indexes. CRP was positively correlated with PLT and FB (r = 0.1026, t = 2.0118, P < 0.05, and r = 0.5360, t = 12.2963, P < 0.01, respectively). CRP was negatively correlated with AT (r = –0.2005, t = 4.0100, P < 0.01).

Conclusion

The incidence of PTE was higher in hospitalized patients. Most patients with PTE have increased CRP and FB and decreased AT, and these levels may be related to the occurrence of PTE.

The mean bilateral proximal extension of the clot is associated with pulmonary embolism severity parameters and management-associated outcomes

BACKGROUND

The value of the proximal extension of the clot in risk stratification of pulmonary embolism (PE) has not been established. The mean bilateral proximal extension of the clot (MBPEC) is a computed tomography (CT) radiological score, where initial evaluation showed promising results considering its ability in predicting the severity of PE.

PURPOSE

To explore the possible associations between MBPEC and PE-severity parameters, short- and long-term outcomes of PE, and inter-observer agreement.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Patients diagnosed with PE at Østfold Hospital, Norway during 2003-2011 were identified. MBPEC was calculated by calculating the mean of a score in the range of 1-4 assigned for the most proximal extension of the clot in each lung: sub-segmental; segmental; lobar; and main pulmonary arteries. Medical records were reviewed to capture clinical, biochemical, and management-associated data (thrombolysis, admission to ICU).

RESULTS

The mean age of 245 included patients was 55 ± 16 years; 42% were women. Patients with higher MBPEC scores had a significantly higher pulse rate and lower oxygen saturation. MBPEC score <4 predicted a negative troponin value with a negative predictive value of 90% (95% confidence interval [CI] 81-95). Patients with MBPEC 4 were 5.3 times more likely to have elevated troponin (odds ratio [OR] 5.3, 95% CI 2.0-14.3). MBPEC score of 4 was independently associated with admission to ICU (OR 3.8, 95% CI 1.8-7.9). The inter-observer agreement was excellent; weighted kappa 0.82.

CONCLUSION

MBPEC is associated with PE-severity parameters and can predict short-term adverse outcomes.

A New Index for the Prediction of 30-Day Mortality in Patients With Pulmonary Embolism: The Pulmonary Embolism Mortality Score (PEMS)

Our aim was to analyze possibility of combination of basic clinical and radiological signs to predict 30-day mortality after acute pulmonary embolism (PE). We included 486 patients. Age, gender, simplified pulmonary embolism index (sPESI), pH, troponin, N-terminal natriuretic peptide, minimal systolic and diastolic blood pressure, O2 saturation, syncope, need for vasopressors, thrombotic obstruction, vessel diameter, short axis ratio right ventricle/left ventricle, and contrast medium reflux into the inferior vena cava (IVC) were analyzed. A backward algorithm in a logistic regression model was used to identify relevant risk factors. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified that sPESI, pH, minimal diastolic blood pressure, IVC reflux, and need for vasopressors influenced 30-day mortality. A score for mortality prediction was constructed (the Pulmonary Embolism Mortality Score): sPESI >2 points (1 point), pH <7.35 (1 point), minimal diastolic blood pressure <45 mm Hg (1 point), IVC reflux (1 point), and need for vasopressors (2 points). Patients with >3 points showed higher 30-day mortality (sensitivity: 84.9%, specificity: 83.0%, positive predictive value: 51.8%, negative predictive value: 96.2%). The net reclassification improvement compared with the sPESI was 0.94 (95% CI = 0.73-1.15). In conclusion, a new score can predict 30-day mortality in patients with PE and is more sensitive than sPESI.