Non-genetic risk factors for atrial fibrillation are equally important in both young and old age: A nationwide population-based study

Impact of changes in left heart geometry on predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertension

BACKGROUND

Hypertension-induced left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) increases end-diastolic LV pressure and contributes to left atrial enlargement (LAE), which are associated with development of atrial fibrillation. However, the impact of LVH and LAE and their regression following antihypertensive therapy on atrial fibrillation incidence remains unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included consecutive patients with sinus rhythm who underwent echocardiography at hypertension diagnosis and after 6-18 months between 2006 and 2021 at tertiary care centres in Korea. LVH was defined as LV mass index greater than 115 g/m2 (men) and greater than 95 g/m2 (women), and LAE was defined as LA volume index greater than 42 ml/m2. The occurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) was assessed in relation to changes in LVH and LAE status.

RESULTS

Among the 1464 patients included, 163 (11.1%) developed NOAF during a median 63.8 [interquartile range (IQR) 35.9-128.5] months of surveillance period. New-onset LVH [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-2.94, P = 0.006] and LAE (aHR 1.89, 95% CI 1.05-3.40, P = 0.034) were significant predictors of NOAF. Conversely, regression of LVH (aHR 0.51, 95% CI 0.28-0.91, P = 0.022) or LAE (aHR 0.30, 95% CI 0.15-0.63, P = 0.001) was associated with a reduced risk for developing NOAF. Patients with both LVH and LAE at follow-up echocardiography had a higher risk for NOAF (aHR 4.30, 95% CI 2.81-6.56, P < 0.001) than those with either LVH or LAE or those with neither.

CONCLUSION

The changes in left heart geometry can serve as a predictive marker for NOAF in patients with hypertension.

The Role of P Wave Parameters in Predicting Pulmonary Vein Isolation Outcomes for Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: An Observational Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an effective management method for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). The P wave in the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) represents atrial depolarisation. This study aims to utilise the P wave to predict PVI outcomes for PAF.

METHODS

This single-centre retrospective study aimed to predict PVI outcomes using P wave parameters. It included 211 consecutive patients with first PVI for PAF between 2018 and 2019 and targeted the pulmonary veins (PVs). Procedure success was defined by freedom of ECG-documented AF at 12 months. Digital 12-lead ECGs with 1-50 hertz bandpass filters were monitored before the procedure. Corrected P wave duration (PWDc), P wave amplitude (PWV), P wave dispersion (PWDisp), intra-atrial block (IAB), P wave area (PWA), and P wave terminal force in V1 (PTFV1) were measured before ablation and correlated with the outcomes.

RESULTS

Successful PVI occurred in 154 patients (73%). Demographics were similar between both arms. P wave parameters correlated with PVI failure included increased PWDc in all leads except for lead III, aVR, and V3, decreased PWV in lead I (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.7, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53-0.95), lead II (HR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.22-0.65), aVL (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.22-0.98), and aVF (HR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.58-0.87), decreased PWA in lead I (HR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.21-0.76), lead II (HR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.34-0.87), aVL (HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.45-0.96), and aVF (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.32-0.89), and the presence of IAB (HR: 2, 95% CI: 1.4-4.2, p = 0.02). PWDisp and PTFV1 were not correlated with PVI outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

PWDc, PWA, PWV, and IAB are valuable predictors for PVI outcome for PAF at 12 months.

Association of temporal change in body mass index with sudden cardiac arrest in diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Underweight imposes significant burden on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with diabetes mellitus. However, less is known about the impact of serial change in body weight status measured as body mass index (BMI) on the risk of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). This study investigated the association between SCA and temporal change in BMI among patients with diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

Based on Korean National Health Insurance Service database, participants with diabetes mellitus who underwent health examination between 2009 and 2012 and had prior health examination data (four years ago, 2005-2008) were retrospectively analyzed. BMI was measured at baseline (2005-2008) and 4-year follow-up health examination (2009-2012). Patients were classified in four groups according to the body weight status and its temporal change: sustained non-underweight, sustained underweight, previous underweight, and newly developed underweight. Primary outcome was defined as occurrence of SCA.

RESULTS

A total of 1,355,746 patients with diabetes mellitus were included for analysis, and SCA occurred in 12,554 cases. SCA was most common in newly developed underweight (incidence rate = 4.45 per 1,000 person-years), followed by sustained underweight (incidence rate = 3.90), previous underweight (incidence rate = 3.03), and sustained non-underweight (incidence rate = 1.34). Adjustment of covariates resulted highest risk of SCA in sustained underweight (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.60, 95% confidence interval [2.25-3.00], sustained non-underweight as a reference), followed by newly developed underweight (2.42, [2.15-2.74]), and previous underweight (2.12, [1.77-2.53]).

CONCLUSIONS

In diabetes mellitus, sustained underweight as well as decrease in body weight during 4-year follow-up imposes substantial risk on SCA. Recovery from underweight over time had relatively lower, but yet increased risk of SCA. Both underweight and dynamic decrease in BMI can be associated with increased risk of SCA.

Temporal elevation of blood pressure is associated with increased risk of sudden cardiac arrest

Hypertension is a known risk factor for sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). However, the role of temporal changes in blood pressure on the risk of SCA is not fully understood. This study was conducted to determine whether a temporal increase or decrease in blood pressure is associated with the risk of SCA. This study was based on nationwide healthcare insurance data. Individuals who underwent nationwide health check-ups in 2009 and 2011 were analyzed. A total of 2,801,153 individuals were evaluated for 8100 SCA events during the 17, 740, 420 person-years of follow-up. In a multivariate analysis, there were linear association between the degree of temporal elevation of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and the risk of SCA: (i) adjusted-hazard ratio (HR) 1.11 (p = 0.001) in 10 ≤ ΔSBP < 20 (mmHg) group; (ii) adjusted-HR 1.40 (p < 0.001) in 20 ≤ ΔSBP < 40 group; and (iii) adjusted-HR 1.88 (p < 0.001) in 40 ≤ ΔSBP group as compared with the reference group (- 10 ≤ ΔSBP < 10). Temporal increase in diastolic blood pressure (DBP) also a showed significant association with SCA risk with the highest risk observed in ∆DBP ≥ 25 group (adjusted-HR 1.61; p < 0.001) as compared with the reference group (- 5 ≤ ΔDBP < 5). The association between SBP and SCA was not affected by age, sex, presence of diabetes mellitus, or baseline SBP. In conclusion, a temporal increase in blood pressure was significantly associated with the occurrence of SCA, and this association was consistent across all subgroups. However, a temporary decrease in blood pressure does not reduce the risk of SCA. Prevention of elevated blood pressure may play an important role in preventing SCA.

Insomnia and Early Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A 16-Year Cohort Study of Younger Men and Women Veterans

Background There is growing consideration of sleep disturbances and disorders in early cardiovascular risk, including atrial fibrillation (AF). Obstructive sleep apnea confers risk for AF but is highly comorbid with insomnia, another common sleep disorder. We sought to first determine the association of insomnia and early incident AF risk, and second, to determine if AF onset is earlier among those with insomnia. Methods and Results This retrospective analysis used electronic health records from a cohort study of US veterans who were discharged from military service since October 1, 2001 (ie, post-9/11) and received Veterans Health Administration care, 2001 to 2017. Time-varying, multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the independent contribution of insomnia diagnosis to AF incidence while serially adjusting for demographics, lifestyle factors, clinical comorbidities including obstructive sleep apnea and psychiatric disorders, and health care utilization. Overall, 1 063 723 post-9/11 veterans (Mean age=28.2 years, 14% women) were followed for 10 years on average. There were 4168 cases of AF (0.42/1000 person-years). Insomnia was associated with a 32% greater adjusted risk of AF (95% CI, 1.21-1.43), and veterans with insomnia showed AF onset up to 2 years earlier. Insomnia-AF associations were similar after accounting for health care utilization (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.27 [95% CI, 1.17-1.39]), excluding veterans with obstructive sleep apnea (aHR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.24-1.53]), and among those with a sleep study (aHR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.07-1.50]). Conclusions In younger adults, insomnia was independently associated with incident AF. Additional studies should determine if this association differs by sex and if behavioral or pharmacological treatment for insomnia attenuates AF risk.

Five-year changes in alcohol intake and risk of atrial fibrillation: a Danish cohort study

AIMS

Alcohol intake is a well-established risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, evidence on the effects of changes in alcohol intake to primary AF prevention is sparse. The aim of this study was to examine the association between 5-year changes in alcohol intake and the risk of incident AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study was based on the Danish cohort study Diet, Cancer and Health. Lifestyle factors were assessed using questionnaires at a recruitment research examination and a second examination 5 years later. Diagnoses of AF and comorbidities were retrieved from the Danish National Patient Registry. 43 758 participants without prior AF were included. The median age was 61 (25th-75th percentile 58-66) years and 54% were female. Over a median follow-up time of 15.7 years, 5312 participants had incident AF (incidence rate 8.6/1000 person-years). Compared with stable intake, increases in alcohol intake to ≥21 drinks/week from ≤6.9 drinks/week (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.09-1.72) or 14-20.9 drinks/week (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.01-1.59) at baseline were associated with a higher risk of AF. In contrast, we did not observe a statistically significant association between reductions in alcohol intake and the risk of AF.

CONCLUSION

A 5-year increase in alcohol intake was associated with a greater risk of AF compared with a stable low/moderate intake.

Atrial fibrillation: primary prevention, secondary prevention, and prevention of thromboembolic complications: part 1

Atrial fibrillation (AF), is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia. It was once thought to be benign as long as the ventricular rate was controlled, however, AF is associated with significant cardiac morbidity and mortality. Increasing life expectancy driven by improved health care and decreased fertility rates has, in most of the world, resulted in the population aged ≥65 years growing more rapidly than the overall population. As the population ages, projections suggest that the burden of AF may increase more than 60% by 2050. Although considerable progress has been made in the treatment and management of AF, primary prevention, secondary prevention, and prevention of thromboembolic complications remain a work in progress. This narrative review was facilitated by a MEDLINE search to identify peer-reviewed clinical trials, randomized controlled trials, meta-analyses, and other clinically relevant studies. The search was limited to English-language reports published between 1950 and 2021. Atrial fibrillation was searched via the terms primary prevention, hyperthyroidism, Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome, catheter ablation, surgical ablation, hybrid ablation, stroke prevention, anticoagulation, left atrial occlusion and atrial excision. Google and Google scholar as well as bibliographies of identified articles were reviewed for additional references. In these two manuscripts, we discuss the current strategies available to prevent AF, then compare noninvasive and invasive treatment strategies to diminish AF recurrence. In addition, we examine the pharmacological, percutaneous device and surgical approaches to prevent stroke as well as other types of thromboembolic events.

Obesity Is Indirectly Associated with Sudden Cardiac Arrest through Various Risk Factors

Although obesity is a well-established risk factor of cardiovascular event, the linkage between obesity and sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is not fully understood. Based on a nationwide health insurance database, this study investigated the impact of body weight status, measured by body-mass index (BMI) and waist circumference, on the SCA risk. A total of 4,234,341 participants who underwent medical check-ups in 2009 were included, and the influence of risk factors (age, sex, social habits, and metabolic disorders) was analyzed. For 33,345,378 person-years follow-up, SCA occurred in 16,352 cases. The BMI resulted in a J-shaped association with SCA risk, in which the obese group (BMI ≥ 30) had a 20.8% increased risk of SCA compared with the normal body weight group (18.5 ≤ BMI < 23.0) (p < 0.001). Waist circumference showed a linear association with the risk of SCA, with a 2.69-fold increased risk of SCA in the highest waist circumference group compared with the lowest waist circumference group (p < 0.001). However, after adjustment of risk factors, neither BMI nor waist circumference was associated with the SCA risk. In conclusion, obesity is not independently associated with SCA risk based on the consideration of various confounders. Rather than confining the findings to obesity itself, comprehensive consideration of metabolic disorders as well as demographics and social habits might provide better understanding and prevention of SCA.

Long-term increase in fasting blood glucose is associated with increased risk of sudden cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with various cardiovascular complications, including sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). Furthermore, the severity of DM, as assessed by fasting blood glucose (FBG), is associated with the risk of SCA. However, whether long-term changes in FBG influence on SCA risk remains to be determined.

METHODS

This study used sequential nationwide health screening data from 2009 and 2011. FBG was measured at each health screening, and ΔFBG was calculated as FBG in 2011-FBG in 2009.

RESULTS

Overall, 2,801,153 people were analyzed, and the mean follow-up duration was 6.33 years. Compared with the euglycemic group (- 20 ≤ ΔFBG < 20), the 20 ≤ ΔFBG < 40, 40 ≤ ΔFBG < 100, and ΔFBG ≥ 100 groups had increased SCA risks of 25% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16-1.35; p < 0.001), 66% (adjusted HR = 1.66; 95% CI 1.49-1.86; p < 0.001), and 2.9-fold (adjusted HR = 2.85; 95% CI 2.37-3.44; p < 0.001), respectively. The association between ΔFBG and SCA was maintained in people with DM but not in people without DM. However, sex, age, blood pressure, and presence of heart failure did not affect the association between ΔFBG and SCA. A decrease in ΔFBG over time was not associated with reduced risk of SCA: the adjusted HR was 1.11 (95% CI 0.98-1.27; p = 0.113) for the ΔFBG < -40 group and 1.12 (95% CI 1.03-1.22; p = 0.009) for the - 40 ≤ ∆FBG < - 20 group.

CONCLUSIONS

A long-term increase in ΔFBG can be associated with increased risk of SCA in people with DM. However, a long-term decrease in ΔFBG was not associated with reduced risk of SCA. Actions to prevent increase in FBG can have significant effects on public health in terms of SCA prevention.

Association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and sudden cardiac arrest in people with diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Dyslipidemia measured as low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol is an established risk factor of cardiovascular disease, which is more pronounced in diabetes population. Less is known about the association of LDL-cholesterol level and sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) risk in diabetes mellitus patients. This study investigated the association of LDL-cholesterol level and SCA risk in diabetes population.

METHODS

This study was based on Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Patients who received general examination from 2009 to 2012 and diagnosed as type 2 diabetes mellitus were analyzed. Primary outcome was defined as SCA event identified with International Classification of Disease code.

RESULTS

A total of 2,602,577 patients were included, with total follow-up duration of 17,851,797 person * year. Mean follow-up duration was 6.86 years, and 26,341 SCA cases were identified. Overall incidence of SCA was highest in the lowest LDL-cholesterol group (< 70 mg/dL) and decreased in a linear manner as LDL-cholesterol rises, till 160 mg/dL. Adjustment of covariates resulted in U-shape association, with highest risk of SCA in the highest LDL-cholesterol group (≥ 160 mg/dL) followed by lowest LDL-cholesterol group (< 70 mg/dL). In subgroup analysis, U-shape association between SCA risk and LDL-cholesterol was more pronounced in male, non-obese people, and those who did not use statins.

CONCLUSIONS

In people with diabetes, the association between SCA and LDL-cholesterol level was U-shaped with highest and lowest LDL-cholesterol group having higher risk of SCA than others. Low LDL-cholesterol level can be a surrogate marker for increased risk of SCA in people with diabetes mellitus and this paradoxical association should be recognized and extended to clinical preventive measures.

Genetics of atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia worldwide. There is considerable interest in better understanding the molecular genetics and biology of atrial fibrillation to inform the development of new therapies and improve clinical management. This review summarizes recent advances in our understanding of the genetic basis of atrial fibrillation and new efforts to utilize genetics to inform clinical management.

RECENT FINDINGS

Genome-wide association studies in diverse populations have increased the number of genetic loci associated with atrial fibrillation and its specific subtypes. Large-scale biobanks with deep phenotyping have provided invaluable data to study the impact of both common and rare variants on atrial fibrillation, susceptibility, and prognosis. Polygenic risk scores help improve individual atrial fibrillation risk stratification and prognostication.

SUMMARY

Our understanding of atrial fibrillation genetics is rapidly improving with larger and more diverse genome-wide association studies. Translating genetic discoveries into molecular pathways and new therapeutic targets remains a bottleneck in the development of new therapies for atrial fibrillation. Genetic risk scores have shown early promise in improving atrial fibrillation risk stratification; however, their broader utility for the general population remains unclear.

Being Underweight Is Associated with Increased Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death in People with Diabetes Mellitus

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) can cause various atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease including sudden cardiac death (SCD). The impact of being underweight on the risk of SCD in people with DM remains to be revealed. We aimed to evaluate the risk of SCD according to body-mass index (BMI; kg/m²) level in DM population.

METHODS

We used a nationwide healthcare insurance database to conduct this study. We identified people with DM among those who underwent nationwide health screening during 2009 to 2012. Medical follow-up data was available until December 2018.

RESULTS

A total of 2,602,577 people with DM with a 17,851,797 person*year follow-up were analyzed. The underweight group (BMI < 18.5) showed 2.4-fold increased risk of SCD during follow-up (adjusted-hazard ratio [HR] = 2.40; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.26-2.56; p < 0.001). When normal-BMI group (18.5 ≤ BMI < 23) was set as a reference, underweight group (adjusted-HR = 2.01; 95% CI = 1.88-2.14) showed even higher risk of SCD compared with the obesity group (BMI ≥ 30; adjusted-HR = 0.89; 95% CI = 0.84-0.94). When BMI was stratified by one unit, BMI and SCD risk showed a U-curve association with the highest risk observed at low BMI levels. The lowest risk was observed in 27 ≤ BMI < 28 group. The association between being underweight and increased SCD risk in DM people was maintained throughout various subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Being underweight is significantly associated with an increased risk of SCD in the DM population. A steep rise in the risk of SCD was observed as the BMI level decreased below 23. The lowest risk of SCD was observed in 27 ≤ BMI < 28 group.

Inhibition of late sodium current via PI3K/Akt signaling prevents cellular remodeling in tachypacing-induced HL-1 atrial myocytes

An aberrant late sodium current (I_Na,Late) caused by a mutation in the cardiac sodium channel (Na_v1.5) has emerged as a contributor to electrical remodeling that causes susceptibility to atrial fibrillation (AF). Although downregulation of phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K)/Akt signaling is associated with AF, the molecular mechanisms underlying the negative regulation of I_Na,Late in AF remain unclear, and potential therapeutic approaches are needed. In this work, we constructed a tachypacing-induced cellular model of AF by exposing HL-1 myocytes to rapid electrical stimulation (1.5 V/cm, 4 ms, 10 Hz) for 6 h. Then, we gathered data using confocal Ca²⁺ imaging, immunofluorescence, patch-clamp recordings, and immunoblots. The tachypacing cells displayed irregular Ca²⁺ release, delayed afterdepolarization, prolonged action potential duration, and reduced PI3K/Akt signaling compared with controls. Those detrimental effects were related to increased I_Na,Late and were significantly mediated by treatment with the I_Na,Late blocker ranolazine. Furthermore, decreased PI3K/Akt signaling via PI3K inhibition increased I_Na,Late and subsequent aberrant myocyte excitability, which were abolished by I_Na,Late inhibition, suggesting that PI3K/Akt signaling is responsible for regulating pathogenic I_Na,Late. These results indicate that PI3K/Akt signaling is critical for regulating I_Na,Late and electrical remodeling, supporting the use of PI3K/Akt-mediated I_Na,Late as a therapeutic target for AF.

Long-term outcome of repaired tetralogy of Fallot: Survival, tachyarrhythmia, and impact of pulmonary valve replacement

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary valve replacement (PVR) is recommended for severe pulmonary regurgitation in repaired tetralogy of Fallot (rTOF).

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the event rate and effectiveness of PVR.

METHODS

A retrospective study of tetralogy of Fallot patients who survived total repair from 1970 to 2020 was conducted.

RESULTS

We identified 1744 rTOF patients; 86.6% with classic rTOF, 11.5% with pulmonary atresia, 0.8% with endocardial cushion defect, and 1.1% with absent pulmonary valve. Annual risks of tachyarrhythmia/sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) increased to 0.295% and 1.338% in patients aged 10-30 and 30-60 years, respectively, without sex predominance. PVR (223 surgical and 39 percutaneous) event rate was 34.7% ± 2.1% by 30 years after repair (annual risk: 1.57% between 10 and 30 years after repair). The second PVR rate was 9.9% ± 4.1% by 20 years after the first PVR. Tachyarrhythmia/SCA risk was higher in PVR patients than in No PVR patients and was reduced in PVR patients without tachyarrhythmia/SCA before PVR. However, survival in patients with ventricular tachyarrhythmia/SCA still was better after PVR. At PVR, 13% of patients had tachyarrhythmia/SCA, which was the major predictor of events after PVR. Before PVR, although the ventricular tachyarrhythmia/SCA risks included QRS duration >160 ms and New York Heart Association functional class III or IV, supraventricular tachyarrhythmia was associated with PVR age ≥28 years and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide >450 pg/mL.

CONCLUSION

Tachyarrhythmia/SCA occurrence and the need for PVR increased with age during young adulthood. PVR reduced subsequent arrhythmias only in those patients without arrhythmias before PVR.

Habitual Alcohol Intake and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Young Adults in Korea

Importance

Guidelines recommend that all risk factors for early-onset atrial fibrillation, including lifestyle factors, be proactively managed, considering the poor prognosis of the disease. Not much is known about the association of cumulative alcohol intake with the risk of atrial fibrillation in young adults aged 20 to 39 years, especially among heavy drinkers.

Objective

To explore the association of alcohol consumption with the risk of incident atrial fibrillation in young adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Using the National Health Insurance Service database, a nationwide population-based cohort study of adults aged 20 to 39 years without prior atrial fibrillation who underwent 4 serial annual health examinations between 2009 and 2012 was conducted. The cumulative alcohol consumption burden over 4 years was calculated by assigning 1 point to more than moderate drinking (≥105 g of alcohol per week) each year. Additionally, a semiquantitative cumulative burden was calculated by assigning 0, 1, 2, and 3 points to non, mild (<105 g per week), moderate (105-210 g per week), and heavy (≥210 g per week) drinking, respectively. Data were analyzed from May to June 2021.

Exposure

Amount of alcohol intake in 4 years.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was incident atrial fibrillation during the follow-up period.

Results

A total of 1 537 836 participants (mean [SD] age 29.5 [4.1] years, 1 100 099 [71.5%] male) were included in the final analysis. According to the 4-year cumulative burden of alcohol consumption stratified by moderate to heavy drinking, 889 382 participants (57.8%) were in the burden 0 group, 203 374 participants (13.2%) in the burden 1 group, 148 087 participants (9.6%) in the burden 2 group, 144 023 participants (9.4%) in the burden 3 group, and 152 970 participants (9.9%) in the burden 4 group. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 6.13 (4.59-6.48) years, atrial fibrillation was newly diagnosed in 3066 participants (0.36 per 1000 person-years). Participants with a cumulative burden of 4 points who continued more than moderate drinking for 4 years showed a 25% higher risk of atrial fibrillation compared with 0-point participants who kept non-to-mild drinking over 4 years (adjusted HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.12-1.40). In a semiquantitative analysis, participants who sustained heavy drinking for 4 consecutive years were associated with a 47% higher atrial fibrillation risk than those who remained nondrinkers over 4 years (aHR, 1.47, CI 1.18-1.83).

Conclusions and Relevance

Persistent moderate to heavy drinking and higher cumulative alcohol consumption burden might increase the risk of atrial fibrillation even in young adults aged 20 to 39 years.

Hypertension and diabetes including their earlier stage are associated with increased risk of sudden cardiac arrest

Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a medical disaster for both the victim and the society. Despite intrinsic limitations in the management of SCA, primary prevention has been overlooked and risk factors for SCA are not fully understood. We aimed to evaluate whether hypertension and diabetes mellitus (DM), including pre-hypertension and impaired fasting glucose (IFG), are associated with increased risk of SCA. We performed a nationwide population-based analysis using the Korean National Health Insurance Service. People who underwent a national health check-up in 2009 were enrolled. The risk of SCA was evaluated in people with hypertension and DM with a clinical follow-up through December 2018. A total of 4,056,423 people with 33,345,378 person-years of follow-up and 16,352 SCA events were examined. People with hypertension had 65.4% increased risk of SCA (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.654 [1.572–1.739]; p < 0.001). Pre-hypertension was also associated with 21.3% increased risk of SCA (adjusted HR = 1.213 [1.158–1.272]; p < 0.001). People who had IFG and DM showed 7.5% (adjusted HR = 1.075 [1.035–1.117]; p < 0.001) and 80.1% (adjusted HR = 1.801 [1.731–1.875]; p < 0.001) increased risk of SCA, respectively. People with DM who took anti-diabetic medication showed significantly lower risk of SCA compared with uncontrolled DM patients (fasting glucose ≥ 200 mg/dL) (adjusted HR = 0.625 [0.533–0.733]; p < 0.001). Coexistence of hypertension and DM was associated with an even higher risk of SCA (adjusted HR = 3.078 [2.877–3.293]; p < 0.001). In conclusion, the risk of SCA is significantly higher in people with hypertension and DM, including pre-hypertension and IFG. Adequate control of blood pressure and serum glucose can have a profound impact for the primary prevention of SCA in the general population.

A Watch-Type Electrocardiography Is a Reliable Tool for Detecting Paroxysmal Cardiac Arrhythmias

Background: A substantial proportion of cardiac arrhythmias are paroxysmal in nature, and 12-lead electrocardiography (ECG) and Holter monitoring often fail to detect paroxysmal arrhythmias. We designed and evaluated a watch-type, electrocardiograph-recording, wearable device (w-ECG) to overcome the limitations of 12-lead ECG and Holter monitoring. Methods: We prospectively enrolled 96 patients with symptoms assumed to be related to cardiac arrhythmias. Electrocardiography recording was performed with both the w-ECG and Holter monitoring. Detection of any arrhythmia was the primary outcome endpoint and was compared between the w-ECG and Holter monitoring. Results: Any arrhythmia was detected in 51 (53.1%) and 27 (28.1%) patients by the w-ECG and Holter monitoring, respectively (odds ratio (OR) = 2.9, p < 0.001). The w-ECG was superior to Holter monitoring for the detection of clinically significant arrhythmias (excluding atrial premature contraction, ventricular premature contraction, and non-sustained atrial tachyarrhythmia) (OR = 2.34, p = 0.018). In 27 (28.1%) patients, cardiac arrhythmias were detected only by the w-ECG, with atrial fibrillation being the most frequent case (13 patients). Based on ECGs recorded by using the w-ECG, 17 patients (17.7%) received therapeutic interventions, including radiofrequency catheter ablation. Conclusions: The w-ECG is capable of recording ECGs of good quality, with a discernable P wave and distinguishable QRS morphology. The ability of the w-ECG to detect cardiac arrhythmias was significantly better than that of Holter monitoring, and a significant proportion of patients received therapeutic intervention based on ECGs recorded by the w-ECG.

Metabolic Syndrome, Gamma-Glutamyl Transferase, and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death

Background: Metabolic syndrome is associated with a significantly increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, whether temporal changes in the metabolic syndrome status are associated with SCD is unknown. We aimed to determine whether metabolic syndrome and gamma-glutamyl transferase (ɣ-GTP), including their temporal changes, are associated with the risk of SCD. Methods: We performed a nationwide population-based analysis using the Korean National Health Insurance Service. People who underwent a national health check-up in 2009 and 2011 were enrolled. The influence of metabolic syndrome and ɣ-GTP on SCD risk was evaluated. Results: In 2009, 4,056,423 (848,498 with metabolic syndrome) people underwent health screenings, 2,706,788 of whom underwent follow-up health screenings in 2011. Metabolic syndrome was associated with a 50.7% increased SCD risk (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.507; p < 0.001). The SCD risk increased linearly as the metabolic syndrome diagnostic criteria increased. The ɣ-GTP significantly impacted the SCD risk; the highest quartile had a 51.9% increased risk versus the lowest quartile (aHR = 1.519; p < 0.001). A temporal change in the metabolic syndrome status and ɣ-GTP between 2009 and 2011 was significantly correlated with the SCD risk. Having metabolic syndrome in 2009 or 2011 indicated a lower SCD risk than having metabolic syndrome in 2009 and 2011 but a higher risk than having no metabolic syndrome. People with a ≥20-unit increase in ɣ-GTP between 2009 and 2011 had an 81.0% increased SCD risk versus those with a change ≤5 units (aHR = 1.810; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Metabolic syndrome and ɣ-GTP significantly correlated with an increased SCD risk. SCD was also influenced by temporal changes in the metabolic syndrome status and ɣ-GTP, suggesting that appropriate medical treatment and lifestyle modifications may reduce future SCD risk.

Assessment of the Causal Effects of Obstructive Sleep Apnea on Atrial Fibrillation: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Background

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are epidemiologically correlated, but the causal relationship between them remains elusive. We aimed to explore the causal relationships between OSA and AF.

Method

Using both the Finnish biobank and publicly available genome-wide association study data (GWAS), we conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to estimate the causal effect of OSA on AF, both in the primary analysis and replicated analysis. The inverse variance weighted MR was selected as the main method. To further test the independent causal effect of OSA on AF, we also performed multivariable MR (MVMR), adjusting for body mass index (BMI), hypertension, and coronary artery disease (CAD), respectively.

Results

In the primary analysis, OSA was significantly associated with the increased risk of AF (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.11–1.32) and the replicated analysis showed consistent results (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05–1.30). Besides, there was no heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy observed both in the primary and replicated analysis. Further multivariable MR suggested that the causal relationships between OSA and AF exist independently of BMI and CAD. The MVMR result after the adjustment for hypertension is similar in magnitude and direction to the univariable MR. But it did not support a causal relationship between OSA and AF.

Conclusion

Our study found that genetically driven OSA causally promotes AF. This causal relationship sheds new light on taking effective measures to prevent and treat OSA to reduce the risk of AF.

Association of Depression With Atrial Fibrillation in South Korean Adults

IMPORTANCE

The risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in people with depression is not fully known. Depression is associated with sympathetic activation and emotional stress, which might increase the risk of new-onset AF.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the incidence of new-onset AF in those with and without depression using data from a nationwide health care database.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study obtained data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database and enrolled people who underwent a nationwide health checkup in 2009. People younger than 20 years and those with a history of heart valve surgery, previous diagnosis of mitral stenosis, or who were diagnosed with AF between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2008 were excluded. The risk of new-onset AF (occurring between 2009 and 2018) was compared in people who were and were not diagnosed with depression within a year before the 2009 nationwide health checkup. Data were analyzed between August 1, 2020 and October 31, 2020.

EXPOSURE

Previous diagnosis of depression.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cumulative incidence and risk of new-onset AF between 2009 and 2018 in participants with and without depression. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to assess incidence of AF, and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate adjusted and unadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

A total of 5 031 222 individuals with a mean (SD) age of 46.99 (14.06) years (2 771 785 men [55.1%]) were included in the analysis; of these individuals, 148 882 (3.0%) had a diagnosis of depression in the year before the 2009 health checkup and 4 882 340 (97%) did not. People with depression vs those without depression were older (aged 56.7 vs 46.7 years) and more likely to be women (96 472 [64.8%] vs 2 162 965 [44.3%]). Prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and heart failure was higher in the depression group. The cumulative incidence of new-onset AF was significantly higher in people with depression vs without depression in the Kaplan-Meier analysis and showed steady divergence throughout 10 years of follow-up (cumulative incidence, 4.44% vs 1.92%; log-rank P < .001). After adjusting for covariates, depression was associated with a 25.1% increased risk of new-onset AF (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.22-1.29; P < .001). People with recurrent episodes of depression showed even higher risk of new-onset AF (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.27-1.37; P < .001). Young age and female sex had significant interactions with depression, which suggests that young people and women with depression may have an increased risk of new-onset AF.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study found that depression was associated with a significantly increased cumulative incidence and risk of new-onset AF. Recurrent episodes of depression were associated with even higher risk. These findings suggest the need for adequate screening for AF in people with depression, particularly in younger people and women.

Electrical Remodeling of Left Atrium Is a Better Predictor for Recurrence Than Structural Remodeling in Atrial Fibrillation Patients Undergoing Radiofrequency Catheter Ablation

We demonstrated that the electrical remodeling represented by low voltage zone is a better marker for the prediction of recurrence after radiofrequency catheter ablation as compared with structural remodeling measured by left atrium (LA) diameter. The study provides important clue that further deep dive into LA substrate research will be important to improve success rate of non-paroxysmal atrial fibrillation ablation.

Background and Objectives

Recurrence rates after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are not low especially in non-paroxysmal AF. The diameter of left atrium (LA) has been widely used to predict the recurrence after RFCA for decades. However, LA diameter represents structural remodeling of LA and does not reflect electrical remodeling. We aimed to determine the predictive value of electrical remodeling of LA which is represented by the amount of low voltage zone (LVZ).

Methods

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of AF patients who underwent de novo RFCA in a single-center.

Results

A total of 3,120 AF patients with de novo RFCA were analyzed. Among these patients, 537 patients underwent an electroanatomic mapping with bipolar voltage measurement of LA. The diameter of LA and flow velocity of LA appendage (LAA) differed significantly according to quartile group of LVZ area and percentage: patients with high LVZ had large LA diameter and low LAA flow velocity (p<0.001). Freedom from late recurrence (LR) was significantly lower in patients with high LVZ area and percentage (p<0.001). The diameter and surface area of LA had area under curve (AUC) of 0.592 and 0.593, respectively (p=0.002 for both). The predictive value of LVZ area (AUC, 0.676) and percentage (AUC, 0.671) were both superior compared with LA diameter (p=0.011 and 0.027 for each comparison).

Conclusions

In conclusion, LVZ can predict freedom from LR after RFCA in AF patients. Predictive value was higher in parameters reflecting electrical rather than structural remodeling of LA.

Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and the Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Young Adults: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a multisystem disease including cardiovascular. However, the association between NAFLD and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF), especially in young adults, remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association between NAFLD as assessed by the fatty liver index (FLI) and the risk of AF in young adults.

METHODS

We identified individuals aged 20-39 years who underwent health examinations conducted by the Korean National Health Insurance Corporation between January 2009 and December 2012. Individuals with significant liver disease, heavy alcohol consumption, or prevalent AF were excluded. We categorized based on FLI: <30, 30 to <60, and ≥60. Incident AF was evaluated as the primary outcome.

RESULTS

We included 5,333,907 subjects (mean age, 31 ± 5 years; men, 57%). During a mean follow-up of 7.4 ± 1.1 years, 12,096 patients had newly diagnosed AF (incidence rate 0.31 per 1,000 person-years). After adjustment, subjects with FLI 30 to <60 and FLI ≥60 showed a higher risk of AF compared to those with FLI <30 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI, 1.15-1.27] and HR 1.47, 95% CI [1.39-1.55], p < 0.001, respectively). In women, the increased AF risk was accentuated in the higher FLI group than in the individuals with FLI <30, compared with men (p-for-interaction = 0.023). A higher incident AF risk in the higher FLI groups was consistently observed in various subgroups.

CONCLUSION

Among young adults, NAFLD assessed using FLI was positively correlated with the AF risk. These findings support the evidence of AF screening in young adults with high FLI scores.

Risk of incident atrial fibrillation with low-to-moderate alcohol consumption is associated with gender, region, alcohol category: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS 

The association between low-to-moderate alcohol consumption and atrial fibrillation (AF) has yet to be fully elucidated. The main purpose of this meta-analysis was to estimate the risk of incident AF related to low-to-moderate alcohol consumption.

METHODS AND RESULTS 

A meta-analysis was performed on 13 publications discussing the estimated risk for AF with habitual low-to-moderate alcohol intake in 10 266 315 participants. Graphical augmentations to the funnel plots were used to illustrate the potential impact of additional evidence on the current meta-analysis. Thirteen eligible studies were included in this meta-analysis. We found that moderate alcohol consumption was associated with an increased risk of incident AF in males [hazard ratio (HR) 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-1.11, P < 0.00001], Europeans (HR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.23-1.42, P < 0.00001), and Asians (HR 1.09, 95% CI: 1.07-1.11, P < 0.00001). Moderate beer consumption was associated with an increased risk of developing AF (HR 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.21, P = 0.01). Low alcohol consumption conferred an increased risk of AF in males (HR 1.14, 95% CI: 1.01-1.28, P = 0.04) and Europeans (HR 1.12, 95% CI: 1.07-1.17, P < 0.00001).

CONCLUSIONS 

This analysis represents the increased risk of incident AF in males, Europeans, and Asians at moderate alcohol consumption levels and in males and Europeans at low alcohol consumption levels. Those who drink any preferred alcohol beverage at moderate levels should be cautious for incident AF. More studies are warranted to find those factors that influence alcohol's effect on predisposing AF.

Comparison of risk profiles for new-onset atrial fibrillation between patients aged <60 and ≥60 years

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has a heterogeneous pathophysiology according to individual patient characteristics. This study aimed to identify the effects of widely known risk factors on AF incidence according to age and to elucidate the clinical implications of these effects.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed data from 501,668 subjects (≥18years old) without AF and valvular heart disease from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort. The total population was divided into two groups according to age, <60years and ≥60years. AF occurred in 0.7% of the overall population (3,416 of 501,668) during the follow-up period (mean 47.6 months). In Cox regression analysis, age, male sex, previous ischemic stroke, heart failure, and hypertension were related to increased risk of new-onset AF in both age groups. Especially in the <60years age group, risk of new-onset AF was increased by relatively modifiable risk factors: obesity (body mass index ≥25kg/m2; hazard ratio[HR] 1.37 [1.22-1.55], p<0.001, interaction p<0.001), and hypertension (HR 1.93[1.69-2.22], p<0.001, interaction p<0.001). Although interactions were not significant, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR 1.41[1.24-1.60], p<0.001) and chronic kidney disease (HR 1.28[1.15-1.41], p<0.001) showed increased trends of the risk of new-onset AF in the ≥60years age group.

CONCLUSION

The risk profile for new-onset AF was somewhat different between the <60years and the ≥60years age groups. Compared to the ≥60years group, relatively modifiable risk factors (such as obesity and hypertension) had a greater impact on AF incidence in the <60years age group. Different management strategies to prevent AF development according to age may be needed.

Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Young Adults With Isolated Diastolic, Isolated Systolic, and Systolic-Diastolic Hypertension

[Figure: see text].

Atrial fibrillation is associated with increased risk of lethal ventricular arrhythmias

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with various major adverse cardiac events such as ischemic stroke, heart failure, and increased overall mortality. However, its association with lethal ventricular arrhythmias such as ventricular tachycardia (VT), ventricular flutter (VFL), and ventricular fibrillation (VF) is controversial. We conducted this study to determine whether AF can increase the risk of VT, VFL, and VF. We utilized the Korean National Health Insurance Service database for this nationwide population-based study. This study enrolled people who underwent a nationwide health screen in 2009 for whom clinical follow-up data were available until December 2018. Primary outcome endpoint was the occurrence of VT, VFL, or VF in people who were and were not diagnosed with new-onset AF in 2009. We analyzed a total of 9,751,705 people. In 2009, 12,689 people were diagnosed with new-onset AF (AF group). The incidence (events per 1000 person-years of follow-up) of VT, VFL, and VF was 2.472 and 0.282 in the AF and non-AF groups, respectively. After adjustment for covariates, new-onset AF was associated with 4.6-fold increased risk (p < 0.001) of VT, VFL, and VF over 10 years of follow-up. The risk of VT, VFL, and VF was even higher if identification of AF was based on intensified criteria (≥ 2 outpatient records or ≥ 1 inpatient record; hazard ratio = 5.221; p < 0.001). In conclusion, the incidence of VT, VFL, and VF was significantly increased in people with new-onset AF. The potential risk of suffering lethal ventricular arrhythmia in people with AF should be considered in clinical practice.

Age-specific atrial fibrillation incidence, attributable risk factors and risk of stroke and mortality: results from the MORGAM Consortium

Background

The main aim was to examine age-specific risk factor associations with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and their attributable fraction in a large European cohort. Additionally, we aimed to examine risk of stroke and mortality in relation to new-onset AF across age.

Methods

We used individual-level data (n=66 951, 49.1% men, age range 40–98 years at baseline) from five European cohorts of the MOnica Risk, Genetics, Archiving and Monograph Consortium. The participants were followed for incident AF for up to 10 years and the association with modifiable risk factors from the baseline examinations (body mass index (BMI), hypertension, diabetes, daily smoking, alcohol consumption and history of stroke and myocardial infarction (MI)) was examined. Additionally, the participants were followed up for incident stroke and all-cause mortality after new-onset AF.

Results

AF incidence increased from 0.9 per 1000 person-years at baseline age 40–49 years, to 17.7 at baseline age ≥70 years. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models showed that higher BMI, hypertension, high alcohol consumption and a history of stroke or MI were associated with increased risk of AF across age groups (p<0.05). Between 30% and 40% of the AF risk could be attributed to BMI, hypertension and a history of stroke or MI. New-onset AF was associated with a twofold increase in risk of stroke and death at ages≥70 years (p≤0.001).

Conclusion

In this large European cohort aged 40 years and above, risk of AF was largely attributed to BMI, high alcohol consumption and a history MI or stroke from middle age. Thus, preventive measures for AF should target risk factors such as obesity and hypertension from early age and continue throughout life.

Consensus and Controversy in the Debate over the Biphasic Impact of Alcohol Consumption on the Cardiovascular System

In the past few decades, research has focused on the importance of addressing modifiable risk factors as a means of lowering the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), which represents the worldwide leading cause of death. For quite a long time, it has been considered that ethanol intake has a biphasic impact on the cardiovascular system, mainly depending on the drinking pattern, amount of consumption, and type of alcoholic beverage. Multiple case-control studies and meta-analyses reported the existence of a "U-type" or "J-shaped" relationship between alcohol and CVD, as well as mortality, indicating that low to moderate alcohol consumption decreases the number of adverse cardiovascular events and deaths compared to abstinence, while excessive alcohol use has unquestionably deleterious effects on the circulatory system. However, beginning in the early 2000s, the cardioprotective effects of low doses of alcohol were abnegated by the results of large epidemiological studies. Therefore, this narrative review aims to reiterate the association of alcohol use with cardiac arrhythmias, dilated cardiomyopathy, arterial hypertension, atherosclerotic vascular disease, and type 2 diabetes mellitus, highlighting literature disagreements over the risk and benefits of low to moderate drinking on the cardiovascular system.

The relationship between blood pressure and risk of atrial fibrillation: a Mendelian randomization study

AIMS

Observational studies suggest elevated blood pressure (BP) as the leading risk factor for incident atrial fibrillation (AF), but whether this relationship is causal remains unknown. In this study, we used Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate the potential causal association of BP levels with the risk of developing AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Genetic variants associated with the BP traits were retrieved from the International Consortium of Blood Pressure-Genome Wide Association Studies (N = 299 024). From 901 reported variants, 894 were assessed in a dedicated Genome-Wide Association Study of AF genetics, including >1 000 000 subjects of European ancestry. We used two-sample MR analyses to examine the potential causal association of systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) as well as of pulse pressure (PP) with AF. MR analysis identified a potentially causal association between AF and SBP [odds ratio (OR): 1.018 per 1 mmHg increase, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.012-1.024, P < 0.001], DBP (OR: 1.026, 95% CI: 1.016-1.035, P < 0.001), and PP (OR: 1.014, 95% CI: 1.001-1.028, P = 0.033). These findings were robust in sensitivity analyses, including the MR-Egger method and the MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier test (MR-PRESSO). The causal relationship of BP and AF did not change when single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with possible confounders (i.e. coronary artery disease and obesity) of the causal relationship were excluded.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between increased BP levels and the risk of AF is likely causal and applies for different BP indices. Independently from other risk factors, optimal BP control might represent an important therapeutic target for AF prevention in the general population.

Premature ventricular contraction is associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based study

Premature ventricular contraction (PVC) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common arrhythmias affecting 1–2% of the general population. During PVC, retrograde ventriculo-atrial activation can occur and act like an atrial ectopy. However, the clinical significance of this phenomenon is not fully understood. We aimed to elucidate whether the clinical diagnosis of PVC can increase the risk of new-onset AF. We performed a nationwide population-based analysis using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. A total of 9,537,713 people without prior history of PVC and AF were identified. Among these people, 4135 developed PVC in 2009, and people with and without PVC were followed until 2018. People who had PVC showed an increased risk of new-onset AF as compared with people without PVC (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.705; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.428–3.013; p < 0.001). The risk of ischemic stroke was also significantly increased in people with PVC (HR 1.160; 95% CI 1.048–1.284; p = 0.0041). New-onset AF developed in 72 people (19.3%) among 374 people with PVC who had ischemic stroke during their follow-up. A significant interaction was observed between PVC and age with people < 65 years at greater risk of new-onset AF for having PVC. In this observational analysis, the risk of new-onset AF and ischemic stroke was increased in people with PVC. Additional evaluation to identify AF in people with PVC can be helpful.