Predictors of early adulthood hypertension during adolescence: a population-based cohort study

Hypertension-Related Status and Influencing Factors among Chinese Children and Adolescents Aged 6~17 Years: Data from China Nutrition and Health Surveillance (2015-2017)

Hypertension is currently highly prevalent worldwide and serves as one of the significant risk factors for chronic diseases and mortality. Adult hypertension can be traced back to, as well as prevented starting in, childhood and adolescence. However, due to the lack of surveillance among children and adolescents, the prevalence and influencing factors of hypertension-related conditions have not been well described. Hence, a total of 67,947 children and adolescents aged 6 to 17 from China Nutrition and Health Surveillance (2015-2017) were enrolled to describe the weighted average blood pressure level and the weighted prevalence of hypertension, pre-hypertension, and their distribution and to analyze the risk factors for hypertension and pre-hypertension among Chinese children and adolescents at a nationwide level. In summary, the weighted mean values of systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure were 111.8 (95% CI, 111.2-112.5) mmHg and 66.5 (95% CI, 66.0-67.0) mmHg, respectively. The weighted prevalence of hypertension and pre-hypertension was 24.9% and 17.1%, respectively. Moreover, general obesity, overweight, and central obesity served as risk factors for hypertension and pre-hypertension among Chinese children and adolescents. The current study indicated that the prevalence of hypertension and pre-hypertension in Chinese children and adolescents was at a high level. Moreover, blood pressure screening should be further intensified for children and adolescents at a high risk of being overweight or obese.

Early-onset alcohol, tobacco, and illicit drug use with age at onset of hypertension: a survival analysis

PURPOSE

To examine the associations of age when first substance use and early-onset substance use before age 18 with age at onset (AAO) of hypertension.

METHODS

This study included 19,270 individuals with AAO of hypertension from the 2015-2019 National Survey on Drug Use and Health. Age when first use of 10 substance use variables included alcohol, daily cigarettes, cigars, smokeless tobacco, marijuana, cocaine, hallucinogens, lysergic acid diethylamide (LSD), inhalants, and methamphetamine use. The outcome was AAO of hypertension and variable cluster analysis was used to classify the exposures and outcome. Substance use status was classified into three categories: early-onset substance use (first used substance before age 18), late-onset substance use (first used substance after age 18), and never used.

RESULTS

The mean AAO of hypertension was 42.7 years. Age when first use of 10 substance use variables had significant correlations with AAO of hypertension (all p values < 0.001). Individuals with early-onset alcohol, cigars, smokeless tobacco, marijuana, hallucinogens, inhalants, cocaine, LSD, and methamphetamine use revealed significantly earlier onset of hypertension than those never used. Compared with never used substances, the Cox regression model showed that early-onset alcohol, smokeless tobacco, marijuana, inhalants, and methamphetamine use had an increased risk of AAO of hypertension [hazard ratio (HR) (95%CI) = 1.22 (1.13, 1.31), 1.36 (1.24, 1.49), 1.85 (1.75, 1.95), 1.41 (1.30, 1.52), and 1.27 (1.07,1.50), respectively].

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that intervention strategies or programs focusing on preventing early-onset substance use before age 18 may delay the onset of adult hypertension.

Wrist Circumference Cutoff Points for Determining Excess Weight Levels and Predicting Cardiometabolic Risk in Adults

(1) Background: An elevated wrist circumference may indicate excess weight and cardiometabolic risk. The present study aims to identify wrist circumference cutoff points (WrC) to determine excess weight levels and predict cardiometabolic risk in adults. (2) Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted with adults aged 20 to 59 years old, attending the outpatient clinic at University Hospital/Federal University of Sergipe HU/UFS-EBSERH. Demographic, anthropometric, biochemical, and blood pressure (BP) data were collected. Cardiometabolic risk was assessed, according to the global risk score (ERG) and Framingham score criteria. The descriptive analysis included calculating medians and frequencies of anthropometric, demographic, biochemical, and blood pressure variables. The gender and age of adult groups were compared using the Mann-Whitney test. Spearman's correlation coefficient and multiple regression analysis were used to assess the association between wrist circumference (WrC) and the variables mentioned above. The predictive validity of WrC in identifying excess weight levels and cardiometabolic risk was analyzed using the ROC curve. The sample consisted of 1487 adults aged 20 to 59 years, 55.7% of whom were female; (3) Results: WrC correlated positively with other adiposity indicators such as waist circumference and Body Mass Index. WrC was the anthropometric indicator most significantly associated with cardiometabolic risk factors. WrC cutoff points identified by the study for determining excess weight were categorized by gender and age group. For males aged 20 to 40 years and >40 years, respectively, the cutoff points for overweight were 17.1 cm and 17.3 cm, and for obesity, 17.9 cm and 17.5 cm. For females aged 20 to 40 years and >40 years, respectively, the cutoff points for overweight were 15.6 cm and 15.4 cm, and for obesity, 16.1 cm and 16 cm (4). Conclusions: Wrist circumference showed a significant correlation with other adiposity indicators and can be used to identify adults with excess weight and predict cardiometabolic risk.

Associations between Neck Circumference, Mid-Upper Arm Circumference, Wrist Circumference, and High Blood Pressure among Lithuanian Children and Adolescents: A Cross-Sectional Study

(1) Background: High blood pressure (HBP) and obesity are significant and growing public health issues worldwide. Our study aimed to evaluate the associations of neck circumference (NC), mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC), and wrist circumference (WrC) with HBP among Lithuanian children and adolescents aged 7-17 years. (2) Methods: In this cross-sectional study, data on BP and anthropometric measurements were analysed in 3688 children and adolescents aged 7-17 years. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the associations between anthropometric indices and HBP. (3) Results: Overall, the prevalence rates of elevated BP and hypertension were 13.7% and 12.9%, respectively. After adjustment for age, BMI, and WC, statistically significant elevated aORs were observed for associations between greater NC, MUAC, WrC, and HBP in boys (aORs: 2.13, 2.46, and 2.48, respectively) and in girls (aORs: 2.01, 2.36, and 2.09, respectively). Moreover, per-unit increase in NC, MUAC, and WrC was also associated with greater odds of HBP in boys (aORs: 1.20, 1.21, and 1.37, respectively) and in girls (aORs: 1.10, 1.10, and 1.21, respectively). The analysed anthropometric indices presented higher area under the curve values for predicting HBP in boys than in girls. (4) Conclusions: This study suggests that higher NC, MUAC, and WrC are associated with increased odds of HBP in Lithuanian children and adolescents.

Effect of delayed hospitalization on patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and complex lesions undergoing successful new-generation drug-eluting stents implantation

In the absence of available data, we evaluated the effects of delayed hospitalization (symptom-to-door time [SDT] ≥ 24 h) on major clinical outcomes after new-generation drug-eluting stent implantation in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and complex lesions. In total, 4373 patients with NSTEMI were divided into complex (n = 2106) and non-complex (n = 2267) groups. The primary outcome was the 3-year rate of major adverse cardiac events (MACE), defined as all-cause death, recurrent MI, and any repeat revascularization. Secondary outcomes included the individual MACE components. In the complex group, all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.752; p = 0.004) and cardiac death (aHR, 1.966; p = 0.010) rates were significantly higher for patients with SDT ≥ 24 h than for those with SDT < 24 h. In the non-complex group, all patients showed similar clinical outcomes. Patients with SDT < 24 h (aHR, 1.323; p = 0.031) and those with SDT ≥ 24 h (aHR, 1.606; p = 0.027) showed significantly higher rates of any repeat revascularization and all-cause death, respectively, in the complex group than in the non-complex group. Thus, in the complex group, delayed hospitalization was associated with higher 3-year mortalities.

Effect of delayed hospitalization on 3-year clinical outcomes according to renal function in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the effect of delayed hospitalization (symptom-to-door time [STD] ≥ 24 h) on 3-year clinical outcomes according to renal function in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) undergoing new-generation drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation.

METHODS

A total of 4513 patients with NSTEMI were classified into chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] < 60 mL/min/1.73 m², n = 1118) and non-CKD (eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m², n = 3395) groups. They were further sub-classified into groups with (STD ≥ 24 h) and without (STD < 24 h) delayed hospitalization. The primary outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), defined as all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction, any repeat coronary revascularization, and stroke. The secondary outcome was stent thrombosis (ST).

RESULTS

After multivariable-adjusted and propensity score analyses, the primary and secondary clinical outcomes were similar in patients with or without delayed hospitalization in both CKD and non-CKD groups. However, in both the STD < 24 h and STD ≥ 24 h groups, MACCE (p < 0.001 and p < 0.006, respectively) and mortality rates were significantly higher in the CKD group than in the non-CKD group. However, ST rates were similar between the CKD and non-CKD groups and between the STD < 24 h and STD ≥ 24 h groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic kidney disease appears to be a much more important determinant of MACCE and mortality rates than STD in patients with NSTEMI.

Three-Year Clinical Outcomes Based on Pre-Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Coronary Blood Flow Grade and Symptom-to-Balloon Time in Patients with Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

We compared the 3-year clinical outcomes according to the degree of pre-percutaneous coronary intervention thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow grade (pre-PCI TIMI) and symptom-to-balloon time (SBT) individuals who underwent successful stent implantation with a diagnosis of non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). A total of 4910 patients with NSTEMI were divided into two groups: pre-PCI TIMI 0/1 (SBT < 48 h: n = 1328, SBT ≥ 48 h: n = 558) and pre-PCI TIMI 2/3 (SBT < 48 h: n = 1965, SBT ≥ 48 h: n = 1059). The primary outcome was a 3-year all-cause death rate, and the secondary outcome was the composite endpoint of 3-year all-cause death, recurrent MI, or any repeat revascularization rate. After adjustment, in the pre-PCI TIMI 0/1 group, the 3-year all-cause death (p = 0.003), cardiac death (CD, p < 0.001), and secondary outcome (p = 0.030) values were significantly higher in the SBT ≥ 48 h group than in the SBT < 48 h group. However, patients with pre-PCI TIMI 2/3 had similar primary and secondary outcomes, regardless of the SBT group. Within the SBT < 48 h group, the pre-PCI TIMI 2/3 group exhibited significantly higher rates of 3-year all-cause death, CD, recurrent MI, and secondary outcome values than the pre-PCI TIMI 0/1 group. Patients in the SBT ≥ 48 h group with either pre-PCI TIMI 0/1 or TIMI 2/3 had similar primary and secondary outcomes. Our results suggest that shortening the SBT may confer a survival benefit in patients with NSTEMI and those in the pre-PCI TIMI 0/1 group compared to those in the pre-PCI TIMI 2/3 group.

Effects of delayed hospitalization on the 3-year clinical outcomes of patients with or without diabetes who had non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction and underwent new-generation drug-eluting stent implantation

Clinical outcomes after non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) in patients with (symptom-to-door time [SDT] ≥ 24 h) or without (SDT < 24 h) delayed hospitalization among patients with or without diabetes were compared. From the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry-National Institute of Health, a total of 4517 patients with NSTEMI who underwent new-generation drug-eluting stents implantation were recruited and they were classified into the diabetes mellitus (DM) and non-DM groups. These two groups were subdivided into groups with and without delayed hospitalization. The primary clinical outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), defined as all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction, repeat coronary revascularization, and stroke. The secondary clinical outcome was the occurrence of individual components of MACCE and stent thrombosis. Although after multivariable and propensity score-adjusted analyses in the DM group, the primary and secondary clinical outcomes between the SDT < 24 h and SDT ≥ 24 h groups were similar; in the non-DM group, all-cause (p = 0.003 and p = 0.007, respectively) and cardiac (p = 0.001 and p = 0.008, respectively) death rates were significantly higher in the SDT ≥ 24 h group than in the SDT < 24 h group. Our results suggested that there was no significant difference in prognosis between diabetic patients with and without delayed SDT, but delayed SDT was associated with poor prognosis in nondiabetic patients.

Sex Differences in Delayed Hospitalization in Patients with Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Undergoing New-Generation Drug-Eluting Stent Implantation

We compared the effects of sex differences in delayed hospitalization (symptom-to-door time [SDT], ≥24 h) on major clinical outcomes in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction after new-generation drug-eluting stent implantation. A total of 4593 patients were classified into groups with (n = 1276) and without delayed hospitalization (SDT < 24 h, n = 3317). Thereafter, these two groups were subdivided into male and female groups. The primary clinical outcomes were major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), defined as all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction, repeat coronary revascularization, and stroke. The secondary clinical outcome was stent thrombosis. After multivariable- and propensity score-adjusted analyses, in-hospital mortalities were similar between the male and female groups in both the SDT < 24 h and SDT ≥ 24 h groups. However, during a 3-year follow-up period, in the SDT < 24 h group, all-cause death (p = 0.013 and p = 0.005, respectively) and cardiac death (CD, p = 0.015 and p = 0.008, respectively) rates were significantly higher in the female group than those in the male group. This may be related to the lower all-cause death and CD rates (p = 0.022 and p = 0.012, respectively) in the SDT < 24 h group than in the SDT ≥ 24 h group among male patients. Other outcomes were similar between the male and female groups and between the SDT < 24 h and SDT ≥ 24 h groups. In this prospective cohort study, female patients showed higher 3-year mortality, especially in the SDT < 24 h, compared to male patients.

Childhood environments and their relationship with sleep and ambulatory blood pressure in college students

Objective: Investigate whether psychosocial risk in the childhood family environment moderates the relationship between childhood socioeconomic status (SES) and sleep, and the relationship between childhood SES and ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) in college students, two factors that are linked to future risk for cardiovascular disease. Participants: 124 American college students. Methods: Childhood SES and psychosocial risk in childhood family environments were measured by self-report instruments. Sleep was measured with self-report and actigraphy (over 5 days) and ABP over a 2-day period. Results: Linear regressions adjusting for age, sex, current SES, and current depressive symptoms indicated that SES and psychosocial risk in family environments during childhood interact to inform sleep quality, actigraphy derived wake after sleep onset (WASO), actigraphy derived Sleep Efficiency (SE) and ABP. Conclusions: Psychosocial risk in the childhood family environment may offset previously documented relationships between childhood SES and health-relevant outcomes in college students.

Comparison of Glycosylated Haemoglobin, Blood Pressure, and Anthropometric Measurements Depending on Gender and Bodyweight State in Adolescents

Background/Objective: The greatest anthropometric and physiological changes occur during adolescence. Assessment of growth patterns is necessary to prevent future health risks. Aims: To describe the values of glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c), systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressure, triceps skinfold, and abdominal circumference according to gender and age (between 12 and 17 years), as well as explore the differences between body weight conditions. Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional study was carried out, including 4130 adolescents between 12 and 17 years old. SBP and DBP, HbA1c, triceps skinfold, and abdominal circumference were evaluated. Results: Significant differences were observed between males and females for HbA1c (p < 0.001), SBP (p < 0.001), triceps curl (p < 0.001), and abdominal circumference (p < 0.001), independently of the age group. Regardless of gender and age groups, significant differences were observed between overweight/obese and normal-weight adolescents in SBP (p < 0.001), DBP (p < 0.001 to 0.009), triceps skinfold (p < 0.001), and abdominal perimeter (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Our findings revealed higher SBP, DBP, triceps skinfold, and abdominal circumference in overweight/obese adolescents compared to normal-weight adolescents in both genders.

Comparison of Clinical Outcomes after Non-ST-Segment and ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction in Diabetic and Nondiabetic Populations

Using a new-generation drug-eluting stent, we compared the 2-year clinical outcomes of patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) and non-DM concomitant with a non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and an ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention. A total of 11,798 patients with acute myocardial infarction were classified into two groups: DM (NSTEMI, n = 2399; STEMI, n = 2693) and non-DM (NSTEMI, n = 2694; STEMI, n = 4012). The primary clinical outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE), defined as all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction, or any coronary repeat revascularization. The secondary outcome was the occurrence of definite or probable stent thrombosis. In all the patients, both multivariable and propensity score-adjusted analyses revealed that the incidence rates of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.214; p = 0.006 and aHR, 1.298; p = 0.002, respectively), all-cause death, cardiac death (CD), and non-CD rate were significantly higher in the NSTEMI group than in the STEMI group. Additionally, among patients with NSTEMI, there was a higher non-CD rate (aHR, 2.200; p = 0.007 and aHR, 2.484; p = 0.004, respectively) in the DM group and a higher CD rate (aHR, 2.688; p < 0.001 and 2.882; p < 0.001, respectively) in the non-DM group. In this retrospective study, patients with NSTEMI had a significantly higher 2-year mortality rate than those with STEMI did. Furthermore, strategies to reduce the non-CD rate in patients with DM and the CD rate in patients without DM could be beneficial for those with NSTEMI.

Comparison of 3-Year Outcomes between Early and Delayed Invasive Strategies in Older and Younger Adults with Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Undergoing New-Generation Drug-Eluting Stent Implantation

We evaluated the 3-year clinical outcomes of early invasive (EI) and delayed invasive (DI) strategies in older and younger adults with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) undergoing successful new-generation drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation to reflect current real-world practice. Overall, 4513 patients with NSTEMI were recruited from the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry-National Institute of Health and divided into two groups according to age: group A (age ≥ 65 years, n = 2253) and group B (age < 65 years, n = 2260). These two groups were further divided into two subgroups: group EI (A1 and B1) and DI (A2 and B2). The primary clinical outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), defined as all-cause death, recurrent MI (re-MI), any repeat coronary revascularization, or stroke. The secondary clinical outcome was definite or probable stent thrombosis (ST). In both groups A and B, after multivariable-adjusted and propensity score-adjusted analyses, MACCE (group A, p = 0.137 and p = 0.255, respectively; group B, p = 0.171 and p = 0.135, respectively), all-cause death, cardiac death (CD), non-CD, re-MI, any repeat revascularization, stroke, and ST rates were similar between the EI and DI groups. When including only those with complex lesions, the primary and secondary clinical outcomes were not significantly different between the EI and DI groups. In the era of new-generation DESs, major clinical outcomes were not significantly different between the EI and DI strategies in both older and younger adults with NSTEMI.

Outcomes of early versus delayed invasive strategy in older adults with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

We evaluated the 3-year clinical outcomes following early invasive (EI) and delayed invasive (DI) strategies in older adults with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) undergoing successful new-generation drug-eluting stents (DESs) implantation to reflect current real-world practice. Overall, 2437 older adults (age, ≥ 65 years) with NSTEMI were recruited from the Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry-National Institute of Health. They were divided into two groups: EI (n = 1750) and DI (n = 687). The primary clinical outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), defined by all-cause death, recurrent MI, any repeat coronary revascularization, and stroke. The secondary clinical outcome was stent thrombosis (ST). After multivariable-adjusted and propensity score-matched analyses, the primary and secondary clinical outcomes were not significantly different between the EI and DI groups. Even after the analysis was confined to those having complex lesions, these major clinical outcomes were similar between these two groups. The EI and DI strategies in older adults with NSTEMI receiving new-generation DES showed comparable results.

Clinical Trial Registration: URL: http://cris.nih.go.kr/cris/en/; Unique identifier: KCT0000863.

Modelling of South African Hypertension: Comparative Analysis of the Classical and Bayesian Quantile Regression Approaches

Hypertension has become a major public health challenge and a crucial area of research due to its high prevalence across the world including the sub-Saharan Africa. No previous study in South Africa has investigated the impact of blood pressure risk factors on different specific conditional quantile functions of systolic and diastolic blood pressure using Bayesian quantile regression. Therefore, this study presents a comparative analysis of the classical and Bayesian inference techniques to quantile regression. Both classical and Bayesian inference techniques were demonstrated on a sample of secondary data obtained from South African National Income Dynamics Study (2017–2018). Age, BMI, gender male, cigarette consumption and exercises presented statistically significant associations with both SBP and DBP across all the upper quantiles (τ∈{0.75,0.95}). The white noise phenomenon was observed on the diagnostic tests of convergence used in the study. Results suggested that the Bayesian approach to quantile regression reveals more precise estimates than the frequentist approach due to narrower width of the 95% credible intervals than the width of the 95% confidence intervals. It is therefore suggested that Bayesian approach to quantile regression modelling to be used to estimate hypertension.

Two-year outcomes between ST-elevation and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction in patients with chronic kidney disease undergoing newer-generation drug-eluting stent implantation

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the 2-year clinical outcomes of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI (NSTEMI) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) who received newer-generation drug-eluting stents (DES).

METHODS

Overall, 18,875 acute myocardial infarction patients were divided into two groups: CKD (STEMI, n = 1707; NSTEMI, n = 1648) and non-CKD (STEMI, n = 8660; NSTEMI, n = 6860). The occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE), defined as all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction (re-MI), any repeat coronary revascularization, and definite or probable stent thrombosis (ST), was evaluated.

RESULTS

After multivariable-adjusted analysis, in the CKD group, the MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.365, p = 0.004), all-cause death (aHR: 1.503, p = 0.004), noncardiac death (non-CD; aHR: 1.960, p = 0.004), and all-cause death or MI rates (aHR: 1.458, p = 0.002) were significantly higher in the NSTEMI group than in the STEMI group. In the non-CKD group, the non-CD rate (aHR: 1.78, p = 0.006) was also higher in the NSTEMI group. The CD, re-MI, any repeat revascularization, and ST rates were similar between groups. In the CKD group, from 6 months to 2 years after the index procedure, all-cause death, non-CD, and all-cause death or MI rates were significantly higher in the NSTEMI group than in the STEMI group. These results may be related to the higher non-CD rate in the NSTEMI group.

CONCLUSIONS

In the era of contemporary newer-generation DES, NSTEMI showed a relatively higher non-CD rate than STEMI in both CKD and non-CKD groups.

A Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network Model to Classify Hypertension in Adolescents Using Anthropometric Measurements: A Cross-Sectional Study in Sarawak, Malaysia

This study outlines and developed a multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network model for adolescent hypertension classification focusing on the use of simple anthropometric and sociodemographic data collected from a cross-sectional research study in Sarawak, Malaysia. Among the 2,461 data collected, 741 were hypertensive (30.1%) and 1720 were normal (69.9%). During the data gathering process, eleven anthropometric measurements and sociodemographic data were collected. The variable selection procedure in the methodology proposed selected five parameters: weight, weight-to-height ratio (WHtR), age, sex, and ethnicity, as the input of the network model. The developed MLP model with a single hidden layer of 50 hidden neurons managed to achieve a sensitivity of 0.41, specificity of 0.91, precision of 0.65, F-score of 0.50, accuracy of 0.76, and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve (AUC) of 0.75 using the imbalanced data set. Analyzing the performance metrics obtained from the training, validation and testing data sets show that the developed network model is well-generalized. Using Bayes' Theorem, an adolescent classified as hypertensive using this created model has a 66.2% likelihood of having hypertension in the Sarawak adolescent population, which has a hypertension prevalence of 30.1%. When the prevalence of hypertension in the Sarawak population was increased to 50%, the developed model could predict an adolescent having hypertension with an 82.0% chance, whereas when the prevalence of hypertension was reduced to 10%, the developed model could only predict true positive hypertension with a 33.6% chance. With the sensitivity of the model increasing to 65% and 90% while retaining a specificity of 91%, the true positivity of an adolescent being hypertension would be 75.7% and 81.2%, respectively, according to Bayes' Theorem. The findings show that simple anthropometric measurements paired with sociodemographic data are feasible to be used to classify hypertension in adolescents using the developed MLP model in Sarawak adolescent population with modest hypertension prevalence. However, a model with higher sensitivity and specificity is required for better positive hypertension predictive value when the prevalence is low. We conclude that the developed classification model could serve as a quick and easy preliminary warning tool for screening high-risk adolescents of developing hypertension.

Risk of hypertension in school-aged children with different parental risk: a longitudinal study from childhood to young adulthood

BACKGROUND

Although previous studies have shown the relationship between different parental factors and children's blood pressure status, there is limited data on the cumulative effect of these factors. Considering parental socio-demographic, behavioral and cardio-metabolic characteristics, the current study aimed to distinguish parental risk clusters and their impact on the incidence of hypertension in school-age children over 13 years.

METHODS

Parental characteristics of 1669 children, including age, education, employment, smoking, physical activity, metabolic syndrome (MetS), hypertension (HTN), weight status, and diabetes were considered to categorize parents into low and high-risk clusters. Crude incidence rates (per 10,000 person-years) of HTN in children were assessed in each maternal and paternal cluster. Using Cox proportional hazard model, results on the association between parental risk clusters and HTN incidence in children were reported in five different models.

RESULTS

Mean age of children was 13.96 ± 2.89 years, and 51.2% (n = 854) were girls. MetS, HTN, and weight status were the most important factors distinguishing low and high-risk parental clusters, respectively. Crude incidence rates (per 10,000 person-years) of HTN were 86 (95% CI: 71-106) and 38 (95% CI, 29-52) in boys and girls, respectively. Moreover, incidence rates (per 10,000 person-years) of HTN were 50 (95% CI, 40-63) and 80 (95% CI, 64-102) in maternal low and high-risk clusters, respectively. The incidence rates (per 10,000 person-years) of HTN in paternal low and high-risk clusters were 53 (95% CI, 41-70) and 68 (95% CI, 56-84), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our findings underscore the prognostic value of maternal characteristics in predicting the incidence of HTN in their offspring. The current results could be valuable in planning related programs to prevent hypertension in similar communities.

Neck and Wrist Circumferences as Indicators of Metabolic Alterations in the Pediatric Population: A Scoping Review

Neck circumference (NC) and wrist circumference (WrC) have been proposed as practical and inexpensive tools with the capacity to indicate metabolic alterations to some extent. Nevertheless, their application in the pediatric population is relatively recent. Thus, the aim of this scoping review was to review and analyze the reported evidence regarding the correlation of NC and WrC with metabolic alterations in the pediatric stage. The literature search was performed in January 2021 in seven indexes and databases. A total of 26 articles published between 2011 and 2020 were included. Most significant results were grouped into three categories: serum lipid profile, glucose homeostasis, and blood pressure. The parameter that showed the most significant results regardless of the anthropometric indicator analyzed for association was blood pressure. In contrast, total cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol showed non-significant associations along with conflicting results. We conclude that the use of NC and WrC, in addition to other well-established indicators, could facilitate the identification of metabolic alterations, specifically in plasma insulin and blood pressure. In fact, further studies are required to address the potential use of NC and WrC as predictors of early metabolic alterations, especially in countries with a fast-growing prevalence in obesity.

Sex specific trajectories of central adiposity, lipid indices, and glucose level with incident hypertension: 12 years Follow-up in Tehran lipid and glucose study

Aims

To identify sex specific trajectories of waist circumference (WC),triglyceride (TG), total cholesterol (TC), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) during adulthood and examine their associations with incident hypertension.

Methods

The cohort consisted of 5030 participants (2051 males) with at least 2 repeated measurement during a median of 12 years follow up. We identified trajectory groups using latent class growth mixture model, their association with hypertension was examined using multivariate Cox-regression analysis.

Results

We found 997 cases of hypertension (483 male). For both exposures, three distinct trajectory groups were identified in both genders. For WC, in women: low-increasing, 82.4%; high-stable, 13.4%; high-increasing, 4.2% and in men: stable, 94.6%; low-increasing, 3.6% and for high- increasing, 1.7%. For TG, in women: stable, 91.3%; decreasing, 5.9%; inverse U-shape, 2.8%; in men: stable, 89.7%; inverse U- shape, 6.2% and for decreasing, 4.1%.

Regarding WC, high stable and high-increasing trajectories were associated with hypertension in the multivariate model [(hazard ratio (HR) = 1.66 (95% CI 1.26–2.20) and 2.78(1.79–3.60), respectively]. Among men, this association was shown only for the low-increasing trajectory [2.76: 1.49–5.10]. For TG, among women decreasing and inverse U-shape trajectories were significantly associated with hypertension in the multivariate model [1.32:1.01–1.76] and [2.23:1.58–3.23, respectively].

We did not find any impact of increasing trajectories of FPG and HDL-C on incident hypertension. Considering TC, all individuals followed a stable trajectory.

Conclusion

WC dynamic changes in both gender and TG trajectory among women were significantly associated with incident hypertension.

Competing risk analysis of cardiovascular/cerebrovascular death in T1/2 kidney cancer: a SEER database analysis

Background

Kidney cancer (KC) is associated with cardiovascular regulation disorder and easily leads to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular death (CCD), which is one of the major causes of death in patients with KC, especially those with T1/2 status. However, few studies have treated CCD as an independent outcome for analysis. We aimed to identify and evaluate the key factors associated with CCD in patients with T1/2 KC by competing risk analysis and compared these risk factors with those associated with kidney cancer-specific death (KCD) to offer some information for clinical management.

Methods

A total of 45,117 patients diagnosed with first primary KC in T1/2 status were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. All patients were divided into the CCD group (n = 3087), KCD group (n = 3212), other events group (n = 6312) or alive group (n = 32,506). Patients’ characteristics were estimated for their association with CCD or KCD by a competing risk model. Pearson’s correlation coefficient and variance inflation factor (VIF) were used to detect collinearity between variables. Factors significantly correlated with CCD or KCD were used to create forest plots to compare their differences.

Results

The competing risk analysis showed that age at diagnosis, race, AJCC T/N status, radiation therapy, chemotherapy and scope of lymph node represented different relationships to CCD than to KCD. In detail, age at diagnosis (over 74/1–50: HR = 9.525, 95% CI: 8.049–11.273), race (white/black: HR = 1.475, 95% CI: 1.334–1.632), AJCC T status (T2/T1: HR = 0.847, 95% CI: 0.758–0.946) and chemotherapy (received/unreceived: HR = 0.574, 95% CI: 0.347–0.949) were correlated significantly with CCD; age at diagnosis (over 74/1–50: HR = 3.205, 95% CI: 2.814–3.650), AJCC T/N status (T2/T1: HR = 2.259, 95% CI: 2.081–2.451 and N1/N0:HR = 3.347, 95% CI: 2.698–4.152), radiation therapy (received/unreceived: HR = 2.552, 95% CI: 1.946–3.346), chemotherapy (received/unreceived: HR = 2.896, 95% CI: 2.342–3.581) and scope of lymph nodes (1–3 regional lymph nodes removed/none: HR = 1.378, 95% CI: 1.206–1.575) were correlated significantly with KCD.

Conclusions

We found that age at diagnosis, race, AJCC T status and chemotherapy as the independent risk factors associated with CCD were different from those associated with KCD.

Sugar-sweetened beverages increases the risk of hypertension among children and adolescence: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In the current systematic review and meta-analysis, we summarized the studies that evaluated the effects of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) intake on blood pressure among children and adolescents.

METHODS

In a systematic search from PubMed, Scopus, Embase and Cochrane electronic databases up to 20 April 2020, the observational studies that evaluated the association between sugar-sweetened beverages intake and hypertension, systolic or diastolic blood pressure (SBP, DBP) were retrieved.

RESULTS

A total of 14 studies with 93873 participants were included in the current meta-analysis. High SSB consumption was associated with 1.67 mmHg increase in SBP in children and adolescents (WMD: 1.67; CI 1.021-2.321; P < 0.001). The difference in DBP was not significant (WMD: 0.313; CI -0.131- 0.757; P = 0.108). High SSB consumers were 1.36 times more likely to develop hypertension compared with low SSB consumers (OR: 1.365; CI 1.145-1.626; P = 0.001). In dose-response meta-analysis, no departure from linearity was observed between SSB intake and change in SBP (P-nonlinearity = 0.707) or DBP (P-nonlinearity = 0.180).

CONCLUSIONS

According to our finding, high SSB consumption increases SBP and hypertension in children and adolescents.

Diagnostic Precision of Anthropometric Variables for the Detection of Hypertension in Children and Adolescents

Introduction: High blood pressure (HBP) is a health problem the prevalence of which has increased in young populations. Overweight and obesity in early ages have been directly related to its development. Due to the impact of HBP, it is necessary to provide tools that facilitate its early diagnosis, with useful anthropometric variables being those that assess obesity. The objective of this paper was to determine the diagnostic accuracy of anthropometric variables to detect HBP. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted on 265 students aged 6-16. The diagnosis of HBP was made following the criteria proposed by the Spanish Association of Pediatrics. Through different statistical methods, the association between anthropometric variables of general obesity with HBP was analyzed. Results: Waist circumference (WC) showed the best diagnostic capacity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.729), with a sensitivity and specificity of 72.2% and 76%, respectively, for a cut-off point of 73.5 cm. In the adjusted multivariate analysis, an association was found between HBP and anthropometric variables: WC (odds ratio (OR) = 10.7), body mass index (OR = 7.5), waist-to-height ratio (OR = 5.5) and body fat percentage (OR = 5.3) (p < 0.05). Conclusions: The anthropometric variables studied showed a moderate predictive capacity for HBP, highlighting WC, which showed the strongest association with HBP in the infant and child population.

Association Between Abdominal Waist Circumference and Blood Pressure In Brazilian Adolescents With Normal Body Mass Index: Waist circumference and blood pressure in Adolescents

Obesity is the most common chronic disease in adolescents. In adults, waist circumference (WC) is associated with the presence of cardiovascular risk factors and is also a better predictor of cardiovascular (CV) risk than body mass index (BMI). The association between WC and CV risk factors in adolescents has been poorly explored so far, mainly in those within the normal BMI range.

Impaired fasting glucose prevalence surge among Iranian adolescents in a decade: The Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

PURPOSE

Impaired fasting glucose (IFG) is associated with incident diabetes, cardiovascular risk, and markers of atherosclerosis in early adulthood. We aimed to explore the 10-year change in IFG prevalence among adolescent participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, a population-based study from Iran.

METHODS

For our study, we used data on fasting plasma glucose (FPG), anthropometric, and demographic information of 11 to 19-year-old adolescents in study periods I (1999-2005; 1415 boys, 1583 girls) and II (2011-2014; 477 boys, 469 girls). Sex-adjusted and sex-stratified multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the relationship of the study period (reference: study period I) with IFG.

RESULTS

The prevalence of IFG, general obesity, and central obesity increased from 7%, 13.3%, and 18.8% in study period I to 16.6%, 24%, and 37.4% in study period II; while a favorable trend was seen for blood pressure, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. In the fully adjusted model, being older (age group 15-19 vs 11-14 years) and female sex were associated with lower risk. Being overweight and obese increased the risk by risk ratios (confidence interval) of 1.57 (1.17-2.11) and 1.63 (1.15-2.30), respectively. Central adiposity did not remain as an independent risk factor. Nevertheless, study period persisted as a significant factor despite all adjustments [2.20 (1.81-2.68)]. Results in the sex-stratified models were generally the same.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated that the over 2-fold rise in IFG prevalence among adolescents was not solely dependent on general and central obesity.

The association of wrist circumference with hypertension in northeastern Chinese residents in comparison with other anthropometric obesity indices

Background

Wrist circumference (WrC) is an easily obtained measure in estimating the body frame and regional fat distribution, and has increasingly used as an obesity index. The aim of our study is to estimate the association of WrC with elevated blood pressure (BP) among northeastern Chinese community-dwelling residents, and compare the strength of this association to other anthropometric obesity indices.

Methods

A total of 2,331 adult participants (761 male participants, and 1,570 female participants) were included. WrC and other five generally used obesity indices, including body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) and neck circumference (NC) were measured. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure (SBP)/diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥140/90 mmHg or anti-hypertensive medication use. Multivariable linear and logistic regression models were performed to identify associations of BP and hypertension with per standard deviation (SD) increase of obesity indices. Areas under receiver operative characteristic curves (AUC) were calculated to compare the predicting capacity of WrC and other obesity indices on hypertension.

Results

All of the six obesity indices were positively associated with both SBP and DBP after adjustment for age and gender (P-values of associations of SBP with obesity indices were 0.043 for WrC, and <0.001 for other five indices; P-values of associations of DBP with obesity indices were 0.011 for WrC, 0.031 for WHR, and <0.001 for other four indices), while the association between SBP and WrC showed no statistically significant after further adjusted for life-style and metabolic risk factors (P-value was 0.062). The increases of both SBP and DBP per SD increase of BMI were the largest. The positive associations of five obesity indices but WHR with hypertension were observed after adjustment for all risk factors (P-values were 0.024 for WrC, 0.064 for WHR and <0.001 for other four indices). However, the odd ratios (OR) of WrC was the smallest, while BMI was the largest. Consistently, the AUC of BMI was the largest and statistically larger than that observed for WrC (P-value <0.001).

Conclusions

WrC was associated with hypertension among northeastern Chinese populations. However, the association was not stronger than the other generally used indices, particularly BMI.

Age- and Sex-Related Percentiles of Skinfold Thickness, Waist and Hip Circumference, Waist-to-Hip Ratio and Waist-to-Height Ratio: Results from a Population-Based Pediatric Cohort in Germany (LIFE Child)

BACKGROUND

Skinfold thickness (ST), waist circumference (WC) and hip circumference (HC) measurements are simple methods for assessing fat tissue at defined body parts. We examined these parameters in a cohort of healthy children and adolescents in Leipzig. Our study provides current percentile curves for biceps, triceps, subscapular and iliac crest ST, plus WC, HC, waist-to-hip ratio and waist-to-height ratio.

METHODS

6,344 visits were recorded involving 2,363 individuals from 3 to 16 years in age. Continuous age- and gender-related percentiles (3rd, 10th, median, 90th, 97th percentiles) were estimated using Cole's LMS method.

RESULTS

For biceps and triceps ST, boys show a peak at the beginning of adolescence with a subsequent decrease, while percentile values among girls rise across the age range. Subscapular and iliac crest percentiles also show increasing curves with disproportionately high values for P90 and P97. Boys show higher values of WC, girls have higher levels of HC. WC and HC median percentiles constantly increase in both sexes with a plateau at the age of 16 for girls.

CONCLUSION

Trends for all parameters of body fat are in line with other national and international studies. Unlike the KiGGS study, our study provides circumference data across the whole of our age range, i.e. from 3 to 16 years.

Blood Pressure and Hypertension: Findings from 20 Years of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS)

CONTEXT

Hypertension (HTN) is a well-known modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease and mortality. Positive effects of blood pressure (BP) lowering for prevention of CVD and death have been documented in several meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

This review focuses on the key findings derived from the Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS) papers on different aspects of BP and HTN.

RESULTS

A prevalence of 23% for HTN has been reported in the TLGS population, aged ≥ 20 years. Over a decade long follow-up, the crude incidence rate (95% CI) of new-onset HTN defined as systolic BP (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg and/or diastolic BP (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg, and not using antihypertensive medication was 33.63 (32.0 - 35.3) per 1000 person-years. Age, baseline SBP and body mass index were significant risk factors for development of isolated systolic HTN; regarding isolated diastolic HTN, baseline DBP and waist circumference were recognized as important risk factors whereas age, female gender and marriage were shown to be protective factors. SBP decreased significantly in both diabetic and non-diabetic participants; DBP showed a non-significant decrease in diabetic men and a statistically significant decrease in non-diabetic men. Among women, both those with and without diabetes (DM) generally experienced statistically significant decreases in DBP. Cox proportional hazard models showed that neither SBP nor DBP were associated with incident DM in the total population and in either gender, separately. All BP components were associated with CVD and all-cause mortality in the middle-aged population. Contribution of HTN to cerebrovascular events was also documented in the TLGS participants, aged ≥ 50 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Several important findings regarding BP/HTN have been derived from the TLGS. According to data regarding the prevalence and incidence of preHTN and HTN and their contribution to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the TLGS population as a representative sample of Tehranian population, it is recommended that interventions be prioritized for lifestyle modifications for the prevention and appropriate management of preHTN/HTN.

Serum Lipids During 20 Years in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study: Prevalence, Trends and Impact on Non-Communicable Diseases

CONTEXT

Dyslipidemia, including elevated serum total cholesterol (TC), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and triglycerides (TG), and low high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is a major modifiable risk factor for non-communicable diseases (NCDs). This review summarizes many of the key findings on lipid measures in the Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS), a large scale community-based study with an approximately two decade follow-up.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic literature search was conducted using PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science databases, and the library of the Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, using the following keywords: Lipid measures, lipid ratios, lipid profile, dyslipidemia, and "Tehran lipid and glucose study". Articles were categorized based on fields of prevalence, trends, and impact of lipid profile on incident NCDs and mortality.

RESULTS

Between 1999 - 2001, the prevalence of high risk lipids ranged from 14% (low HDL-C) to 17% (high LDL-C) among adolescents, although among adults the lowest and highest prevalence were observed for low HDL-C (19%) and high TG (28%). Despite favorable trends for lipid parameters among adolescents, adults, and the elderly population, a considerable number of diabetic individuals, failed to achieve the optimum level of serum lipids. During follow-up, consumption of lipid-lowering drugs increased from 1.5 to 9.0% and 3.7 to 11.4% among adult men and women, respectively. The association between different lipid parameters and related ratios for incident type 2 diabetes (T2D), hypertension, metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular diseases differed between genders. Interestingly, each 1-unit increase in TC/HDL-C increased risk of hypertension among women (odds ratio (OR): 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00 - 1.27) and T2D among men (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.06 - 1.51). Moreover, TC, LDL-C, non-HDL-C, Ln-TG, TC/HDL-C, and Ln-TG/HDL were inversely associated with non-cardiovascular mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite high prevalence of high risk lipid profiles among the TLGS population at baseline, favorable trends were observed in levels of all lipid components, which might be attributable to increased consumption of lipid-lowering medications and improvement in the general knowledge of Iranians regarding limited consumption of hydrogenated oil. Considering the impact of lipid profiles on incident NCDs, more attention should be paid to at-risk groups for screening and treatment purposes.

Outcomes of a Longitudinal Population-based Cohort Study and Pragmatic Community Trial: Findings from 20 Years of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

CONTEXT

The Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS) is one of the oldest population-based longitudinal cohort studies, providing knowledge about the incidence and risk factors of some non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in West Asia which hitherto was relatively scarce. We reviewed the methods and results related to the outcome measurements of this study.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We reviewed all the TLGS papers which reported the incidence of NCDs.

RESULTS

The TLGS was initiated in 1999 - 2001 on a population in district no. 13 of Tehran with the same age distribution of the overall Tehran population and with a middle socioeconomic status. Totally, 15005 individuals, aged ≥ 3 years, participated in the first examination; reexaminations were conducted in a triennial manner and 3550 individuals were added in the second examination. All participants were also followed up annually and asked about any medical event leading to hospitalization or death. A part of participants was assigned to an educational program for lifestyle modification. High incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), premature CVD, diabetes and hypertension (around 19, 6, 10 and 31 in men and 11, 5, 11 and 29 in women per 1000 person-year, respectively) besides the high incidence of pre-diabetes and pre-hypertension (around 46 and 76 in men and 37 and 49 in women per 1000 person-year, respectively) showed a worrying situation. Fortunately, the results of the community interventions were promising with around 20% reduction in the risk of metabolic syndrome up to six years.

CONCLUSIONS

These precise detections of different outcomes in the TLGS provided valuable evidences for prediction and prevention of NCDs in Iran with some novelties in the middle-income countries in the world. The Tehran thyroid study (TTS) and the Tehran cardiometabolic genetic study (TCGS), conducted in the framework of the TLGS, are among few studies aiming to determine the natural course of thyroid function and to identify patterns of genetic polymorphisms related to cardiometabolic outcomes, respectively.

Healthy lifestyle behaviors and control of hypertension among adult hypertensive patients

The aim of the present study was to evaluate the healthy lifestyle behaviors in hypertensive patients (aware, n = 1364 and not aware, n = 1213) based on 2011 national survey of risk factors of non-communicable disease (SuRFNCD) of Iran. Lifestyle score was calculated based on lifestyle behaviors, including smoking status, nutrition, physical activity status and body mass index separately for each patient. Of all aware patients, 27.79% (22.35–33.64) were adherence to the good lifestyle category. Almost the same percentage 29.24% (23.62–34.86) were observed in patients who were not aware of his/her illness. Moreover, adherence to good lifestyle is significantly higher in those who were aware without using antihypertensive medication (30.52% vs. 27.14%; p-value = 0.033). We also found that the prevalence of good lifestyle among patients with controlled hypertension is significantly higher than those who did not control his/her hypertension (32.54% vs. 27.59; p-value = 0.042). In people who were taking antihypertensive medication, adherence to healthy lifestyle did not have any significant relationship with the control of hypertension. The results of this study showed that awareness of hypertension did not improve people’s lifestyle. However, those who aware, but not using any antihypertensive medications are able to control his/her level of blood pressure better than those using medications.