Candidate Surrogate End Points for ESRD after AKI

Risk Prediction Models for Renal Function Decline After Cardiac Surgery Within Different Preoperative Glomerular Filtration Rate Strata

BACKGROUND

Our goal was to create a simple risk-prediction model for renal function decline after cardiac surgery to help focus renal follow-up efforts on patients most likely to benefit.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This single-center retrospective cohort study enrolled 24 904 patients who underwent cardiac surgery from 2012 to 2019 at Fuwai Hospital, Beijing, China. An estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) reduction of ≥30% 3 months after surgery was considered evidence of renal function decline. Relative to patients with eGFR 60 to 89 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (4.5% [531/11733]), those with eGFR ≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (10.9% [1200/11042]) had a higher risk of renal function decline, whereas those with eGFR ≤59 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (5.8% [124/2129]) did not. Each eGFR stratum had a different strongest contributor to renal function decline: increased baseline eGFR levels for patients with eGFR ≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m2, transfusion of any blood type for patients with eGFR 60 to 89 mL/min per 1.73 m2, and no recovery of renal function at discharge for patients with eGFR ≤59 mL/min per 1.73 m2. Different nomograms were established for the different eGFR strata, which yielded a corrected C-index value of 0.752 for eGFR ≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m2, 0.725 for eGFR 60-89 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and 0.791 for eGFR ≤59 mL/min per 1.73 m2.

CONCLUSIONS

Predictors of renal function decline over the follow-up showed marked differences across the eGFR strata. The nomograms incorporated a small number of variables that are readily available in the routine cardiac surgical setting and can be used to predict renal function decline in patients stratified by baseline eGFR.

Cystatin C or creatinine for pre-operative assessment of kidney function and risk of post-operative acute kidney injury: a secondary analysis of the METS cohort study

Background

Post-operative acute kidney injury (PO-AKI) is a common surgical complication consistently associated with subsequent morbidity and mortality. Prior kidney dysfunction is a major risk factor for PO-AKI, however it is unclear whether serum creatinine, the conventional kidney function marker, is optimal in this population. Serum cystatin C is a kidney function marker less affected by body composition and might provide better prognostic information in surgical patients.

Methods

This was a pre-defined, secondary analysis of a multi-centre prospective cohort study of pre-operative functional capacity. Participants were aged ≥40 years, undergoing non-cardiac surgery. We assessed the association of pre-operative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) calculated using both serum creatinine and serum cystatin C with PO-AKI within 3 days after surgery, defined by KDIGO creatinine changes. The adjusted analysis accounted for established AKI risk factors.

Results

A total of 1347 participants were included (median age 65 years, interquartile range 56-71), of whom 775 (58%) were male. A total of 82/1347 (6%) patients developed PO-AKI. These patients were older, had higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease and related medication, were more likely to have intra-abdominal procedures, had more intraoperative transfusion, and were more likely to be dead at 1 year after surgery 6/82 (7.3%) vs 33/1265 (2.7%) (P = .038). Pre-operative eGFR was lower in AKI than non-AKI patients using both creatinine and cystatin C. When both measurements were considered in a single age- and sex-adjusted model, eGFR-Cysc was strongly associated with PO-AKI, with increasing risk of AKI as eGFR-Cysc decreased below 90, while eGFR-Cr was no longer significantly associated.

Conclusions

Data from over 1000 prospectively recruited surgical patients confirms pre-operative kidney function as major risk factor for PO-AKI. Of the kidney function markers available, compared with creatinine, cystatin C had greater strength of association with PO-AKI and merits further assessment in pre-operative assessment of surgical risk.

[A global core outcome measurement set for snakebite clinical trials]

Background

Snakebite clinical trials have often used heterogeneous outcome measures and there is an urgent need for standardisation.

Method

A globally representative group of key stakeholders came together to reach consensus on a globally relevant set of core outcome measurements. Outcome domains and outcome measurement instruments were identified through searching the literature and a systematic review of snakebite clinical trials. Outcome domains were shortlisted by use of a questionnaire and consensus was reached among stakeholders and the patient group through facilitated discussions and voting.

Results

Five universal core outcome measures should be included in all future snakebite clinical trials: mortality, WHO disability assessment scale, patient-specific functional scale, acute allergic reaction by Brown criteria, and serum sickness by formal criteria. Additional syndrome-specific core outcome measures should be used depending on the biting species.

Conclusion

This core outcome measurement set provides global standardisation, supports the priorities of patients and clinicians, enables meta-analysis, and is appropriate for use in low-income and middle-income settings.

A global core outcome measurement set for snakebite clinical trials

Snakebite clinical trials have often used heterogeneous outcome measures and there is an urgent need for standardisation. A globally representative group of key stakeholders came together to reach consensus on a globally relevant set of core outcome measurements. Outcome domains and outcome measurement instruments were identified through searching the literature and a systematic review of snakebite clinical trials. Outcome domains were shortlisted by use of a questionnaire and consensus was reached among stakeholders and the patient group through facilitated discussions and voting. Five universal core outcome measures should be included in all future snakebite clinical trials-mortality, WHO disability assessment scale, patient-specific functional scale, acute allergic reaction by Brown criteria, and serum sickness by formal criteria. Additional syndrome-specific core outcome measures should be used depending on the biting species. This core outcome measurement set provides global standardisation, supports the priorities of patients and clinicians, enables meta-analysis, and is appropriate for use in low-income and middle-income settings.

Cannabis Use and Risk of Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease Transitioning to Dialysis

Background: The current social and legal landscape is likely to foster the medicinal and recreational use of cannabis. Synthetic cannabinoid use is associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) in case reports; however, the association between natural cannabis use and AKI risk in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. Materials and Methods: From a nationally representative cohort of 102,477 U.S. veterans transitioning to dialysis between 2007 and 2015, we identified 2215 patients with advanced CKD who had undergone urine toxicology (UTOX) tests within a year before dialysis initiation and had inpatient serial serum creatinine levels measured within 7 days after their UTOX test. The exposure of interest was cannabis use compared with no use as ascertained by the UTOX test. We examined the association of this exposure with AKI using logistic regression and inverse probability of treatment weighting with extensive adjustment for potential confounders. Results: The mean age of the overall cohort was 61 years; 97% were males, 51% were African Americans, 97% had hypertension, 76% had hyperlipidemia, and 75% were diabetic. AKI occurred in 56% of the cohort, and in multivariable-adjusted analysis, cannabis use (when compared with no substance use) was not associated with significantly higher odds of AKI (odds ratio 0.85, 95% confidence interval 0.38-1.87; p=0.7). These results were robust to various sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: In this observational study examining patients with advanced CKD, cannabis use was not associated with AKI risk. Additional studies are needed to characterize the impact of cannabis use on risk of kidney disease and injury.

Prediction of Mortality and Major Adverse Kidney Events in Critically Ill Patients With Acute Kidney Injury

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Risk prediction tools for assisting acute kidney injury (AKI) management have focused on AKI onset but have infrequently addressed kidney recovery. We developed clinical models for risk stratification of mortality and major adverse kidney events (MAKE) in critically ill patients with incident AKI.

STUDY DESIGN

Multicenter cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

9,587 adult patients admitted to heterogeneous intensive care units (ICUs; March 2009 to February 2017) who experienced AKI within the first 3 days of their ICU stays.

PREDICTORS

Multimodal clinical data consisting of 71 features collected in the first 3 days of ICU stay.

OUTCOMES

(1) Hospital mortality and (2) MAKE, defined as the composite of death during hospitalization or within 120 days of discharge, receipt of kidney replacement therapy in the last 48 hours of hospital stay, initiation of maintenance kidney replacement therapy within 120 days, or a ≥50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline to 120 days from hospital discharge.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Four machine-learning algorithms (logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting) and the SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) framework were used for feature selection and interpretation. Model performance was evaluated by 10-fold cross-validation and external validation.

RESULTS

One developed model including 15 features outperformed the SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score for the prediction of hospital mortality, with areas under the curve of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.79-0.80) and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.71-0.71) in the development cohort and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.73-0.74) and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.71-0.71) in the validation cohort (P < 0.001 for both). A second developed model including 14 features outperformed KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) AKI severity staging for the prediction of MAKE: 0.78 (95% CI, 0.78-0.78) versus 0.66 (95% CI, 0.66-0.66) in the development cohort and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.72-0.74) versus 0.67 (95% CI, 0.67-0.67) in the validation cohort (P < 0.001 for both).

LIMITATIONS

The models are applicable only to critically ill adult patients with incident AKI within the first 3 days of an ICU stay.

CONCLUSIONS

The reported clinical models exhibited better performance for mortality and kidney recovery prediction than standard scoring tools commonly used in critically ill patients with AKI in the ICU. Additional validation is needed to support the utility and implementation of these models.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in critically ill patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and is associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Prediction of mortality and recovery after an episode of AKI may assist bedside decision making. In this report, we describe the development and validation of a clinical model using data from the first 3 days of an ICU stay to predict hospital mortality and major adverse kidney events occurring as long as 120 days after hospital discharge among critically ill adult patients who experienced AKI within the first 3 days of an ICU stay. The proposed clinical models exhibited good performance for outcome prediction and, if further validated, could enable risk stratification for timely interventions that promote kidney recovery.

Risk Classification and Subphenotyping of Acute Kidney Injury: Concepts and Methodologies

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a complex syndrome with a paucity of therapeutic development. One aspect that could explain the lack of implementation science in the AKI field is the vast heterogeneity of the AKI syndrome, which hinders precise therapeutic applications for specific AKI subpopulations. In this context, there is a consensual focus of the scientific community toward the development and validation of tools to better subphenotype AKI and therefore facilitate precision medicine approaches. The subphenotyping of AKI requires the use of specific methodologies suitable for interrogation of multimodal data inputs from different sources such as electronic health records, organ support devices, and/or biospecimens and tissues. Over the past years, the surge of artificial intelligence applied to health care has yielded novel machine learning methodologies for data acquisition, harmonization, and interrogation that can assist with subphenotyping of AKI. However, one should recognize that although risk classification and subphenotyping of AKI is critically important, testing their potential applications is even more important to promote implementation science. For example, risk-classification should support actionable interventions that could ameliorate or prevent the occurrence of the outcome being predicted. Furthermore, subphenotyping could be applied to predict therapeutic responses to support enrichment and adaptive platforms for pragmatic clinical trials.

Biomarkers During Recovery From AKI and Prediction of Long-term Reductions in Estimated GFR

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The effects of acute kidney injury (AKI) on long-term kidney function, cardiovascular disease, and mortality are well documented. We aimed to identify biomarkers for estimating the risk of new or worsening chronic kidney disease (CKD) following AKI.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Adults from a single clinical center who developed AKI between May 2013 and May 2016, and survived until 3 years after the hospitalization during which AKI occurred. Participants included those with and without pre-existing CKD.

PREDICTORS

Panel of 11 plasma biomarkers measured 3-months after hospitalisation.

OUTCOME

Kidney disease progression, defined as a ≥25% decline in eGFR combined with a decline in CKD stage, assessed three years after the occurrence of AKI.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Associations between biomarkers and kidney disease progression were evaluated in multivariable logistic regression models. Importance of predictor variables was assessed by constructing multiple decision trees, with penalised Lasso logistic regression for variable selection used to produce multivariable models.

RESULTS

A total of 500 patients were studied. Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1), sTNFR2, cystatin C, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), three-month eGFR and urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) were independently associated with kidney disease progression and were more important than AKI severity or duration. A multivariable model containing sTNFR1, sTNFR2, cystatin C and eGFR discriminated between those with and without kidney disease progression (AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.7-0.83). Optimising the cut-point to maximise utility as a 'rule-out' test to identify those at low risk increased the sensitivity of the model to 95% and its negative predictive value to 92%.

LIMITATIONS

Lack of external validation cohort. Analyses limited to patients surviving for 3 years after AKI. Mixed population of patients with and without baseline CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

A panel of plasma biomarkers measured 3-months after discharge from a hospitalization complicated by AKI provides potential opportunity to identify patients who are at very low risk of incident or worsening CKD. Further study is required to determine its clinical utility through independent prospective validation.

Volume of Crescents Affects Prognosis of IgA Nephropathy in Patients without Obvious Chronic Renal Pathology

INTRODUCTION

A working group on the Oxford classification of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) recently reported that crescents detected in the kidney tissue predicted a worse renal outcome. However, the effect of C1 lesion (crescents in <1/4th of all glomeruli) and their volume on the prognosis of IgAN is still unclear. We explored the association of C1 lesion with the renal prognosis in IgAN patients without obvious chronic renal lesions (glomerulosclerosis <25%, T score <2).

METHODS

We investigated 305 biopsy-proven IgAN patients without obvious chronic renal lesions. Clinicopathologic features and treatment modalities were recorded. The patients were divided into several groups according to the presence or absence of a global crescent: no crescent (NC) group, only segmental crescent (SC) group, and global crescent (GC) group. The outcome was the survival from a combined event defined by a ≥15% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) after 1 year or ≥30% decline in the eGFR after 2 years.

RESULTS

Among all patients, 75.7% were in the NC group, 14.8% were in the SC group, and 9.5% were in the GC group. Compared with the NC group, patients in the SC group and the GC group had more urine protein, lower eGFR, and presented with more severe pathological change. During a median follow-up of 34.8 (26.16-57.95) months, the combined event occurred in 34 individuals (11.1%). In a multivariate model, the GC group (HR = 2.756, 95% CI = 1.068-7.109) was associated with an increased risk of the combined event.

CONCLUSIONS

In IgAN patients without obvious chronic renal lesions, the GC group had more severe clinical and pathological manifestations than in the NC group. GC is an independent risk factor for the progression of IgAN renal function.

Utilization of Echocardiography After Acute Kidney Injury Was Associated with Improved Outcomes in Patients in Intensive Care Unit

Background

We aimed to investigate the association between usage of transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) within 24 hours after acute kidney injury (AKI) and the prognosis of patients in intensive care unit (ICU).

Methods

The Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database was used to identify AKI patients with and without TTE administration. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Multivariable regression was used to clarify the association between TTE and clinical outcomes and propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were utilized to validate our findings.

Results

Among 23,945 eligible AKI patients, 3361 patients who received TTE and 3361 who did not conduct TTE had similar propensity scores which were included in this study. After matching, the TTE group had a significantly lower 28-day mortality (OR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72–0.88, P<0.001). Patients in the TTE group received more fluid on day 1 and day 2 and had a more urine volume on day 1 and day 3, and the reduction in serum creatinine was greater than that in the no TTE group. The mediating effect of creatinine reduction was remarkable for the whole cohort (P=0.02 for the average causal mediation effect).

Conclusion

TTE utilization was associated with decreased risk-adjusted 28-day mortality for AKI patients in ICU and was proportionally mediated through creatinine reduction.

Long-term kidney function of patients discharged from hospital after an intensive care admission: observational cohort study

The long-term trajectory of kidney function recovery or decline for survivors of critical illness is incompletely understood. Characterising changes in kidney function after critical illness and associated episodes of acute kidney injury (AKI), could inform strategies to monitor and treat new or progressive chronic kidney disease. We assessed changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and impact of AKI for 1301 critical care survivors with 5291 eGFR measurements (median 3 [IQR 2, 5] per patient) between hospital discharge (2004-2008) and end of 7 years of follow-up. Linear mixed effects models showed initial decline in eGFR over the first 6 months was greatest in patients without AKI (- 9.5%, 95% CI - 11.5% to - 7.4%) and with mild AKI (- 12.3%, CI - 15.1% to - 9.4%) and least in patients with moderate-severe AKI (- 4.3%, CI - 7.0% to - 1.4%). However, compared to patients without AKI, hospital discharge eGFR was lowest for the moderate-severe AKI group (median 61 [37, 96] vs 101 [78, 120] ml/min/1.73m2) and two thirds (66.5%, CI 59.8-72.6% vs 9.2%, CI 6.8-12.4%) had an eGFR of < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 through to 7 years after discharge. Kidney function trajectory after critical care discharge follows a distinctive pattern of initial drop then sustained decline. Regardless of AKI severity, this evidence suggests follow-up should incorporate monitoring of eGFR in the early months after hospital discharge.

Postoperative acute kidney injury in adult non-cardiac surgery: joint consensus report of the Acute Disease Quality Initiative and PeriOperative Quality Initiative

Postoperative acute kidney injury (PO-AKI) is a common complication of major surgery that is strongly associated with short-term surgical complications and long-term adverse outcomes, including increased risk of chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular events and death. Risk factors for PO-AKI include older age and comorbid diseases such as chronic kidney disease and diabetes mellitus. PO-AKI is best defined as AKI occurring within 7 days of an operative intervention using the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) definition of AKI; however, additional prognostic information may be gained from detailed clinical assessment and other diagnostic investigations in the form of a focused kidney health assessment (KHA). Prevention of PO-AKI is largely based on identification of high baseline risk, monitoring and reduction of nephrotoxic insults, whereas treatment involves the application of a bundle of interventions to avoid secondary kidney injury and mitigate the severity of AKI. As PO-AKI is strongly associated with long-term adverse outcomes, some form of follow-up KHA is essential; however, the form and location of this will be dictated by the nature and severity of the AKI. In this Consensus Statement, we provide graded recommendations for AKI after non-cardiac surgery and highlight priorities for future research.

Predicting kidney failure risk after acute kidney injury among people receiving nephrology clinic care

Background

Outcomes after acute kidney injury (AKI) are well described, but not for those already under nephrology clinic care. This is where discussions about kidney failure risk are commonplace. We evaluated whether the established kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) should account for previous AKI episodes when used in this setting.

Methods

This observational cohort study included 7491 people referred for nephrology clinic care in British Columbia in 2003–09 followed to 2016. Predictors were previous Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes–based AKI, age, sex, proteinuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and renal diagnosis. Outcomes were 5-year kidney failure and death. We developed cause-specific Cox models (AKI versus no AKI) for kidney failure and death, stratified by eGFR (</≥30 mL/min/1.73 m²). We also compared prediction models comparing the 5-year KFRE with two refitted models, one with and one without AKI as a predictor.

Results

AKI was associated with increased kidney failure (33.1% versus 26.3%) and death (23.8% versus 16.8%) (P  < 0.001). In Cox models, AKI was independently associated with increased kidney failure in those with an eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m² {hazard ratio [HR] 1.35 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07–1.70]}, no increase in those with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m² ([HR 1.05 95% CI 0.91–1.21)] and increased mortality in both subgroups [respective HRs 1.89 (95% CI 1.56–2.30) and 1.43 (1.16–1.75)]. Incorporating AKI into a refitted kidney failure prediction model did not improve predictions on comparison of receiver operating characteristics (P = 0.16) or decision curve analysis. The original KFRE calibrated poorly in this setting, underpredicting risk.

Conclusions

AKI carries a poorer long-term prognosis among those already under nephrology care. AKI may not alter kidney failure risk predictions, but the use of prediction models without appreciating the full impact of AKI, including increased mortality, would be simplistic. People with kidney diseases have risks beyond simply kidney failure. This complexity and variability of outcomes of individuals is important.

Post-Acute Kidney Injury Proteinuria and Subsequent Kidney Disease Progression: The Assessment, Serial Evaluation, and Subsequent Sequelae in Acute Kidney Injury (ASSESS-AKI) Study

IMPORTANCE

Among patients who had acute kidney injury (AKI) during hospitalization, there is a need to improve risk prediction such that those at highest risk for subsequent loss of kidney function are identified for appropriate follow-up.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of post-AKI proteinuria with increased risk of future loss of renal function.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The Assessment, Serial Evaluation, and Subsequent Sequelae in Acute Kidney Injury (ASSESS-AKI) Study was a multicenter prospective cohort study including 4 clinical centers in North America included 1538 patients enrolled 3 months after hospital discharge between December 2009 and February 2015.

EXPOSURES

Urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) quantified 3 months after hospital discharge.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Kidney disease progression defined as halving of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage renal disease.

RESULTS

Of the 1538 participants, 769 (50%) had AKI durring hospitalization. The baseline study visit took place at a mean (SD) 91 (23) days after discharge. The mean (SD) age was 65 (13) years; the median eGFR was 68 mL/min/1.73 m2; and the median urine ACR was 15 mg/g. Overall, 547 (37%) study participants were women and 195 (13%) were black. After a median follow-up of 4.7 years, 138 (9%) participants had kidney disease progression. Higher post-AKI urine ACR level was associated with increased risk of kidney disease progression (hazard ratio [HR], 1.53 for each doubling; 95% CI, 1.45-1.62), and urine ACR measurement was a strong discriminator for future kidney disease progression (C statistic, 0.82). The performance of urine ACR was stronger in patients who had had AKI than in those who had not (C statistic, 0.70). A comprehensive model of clinical risk factors (eGFR, blood pressure, and demographics) including ACR provided better discrimination for predicting kidney disease progression after hospital discharge among those who had had AKI (C statistic, 0.85) vs those who had not (C statistic, 0.76). In the entire matched cohort, after taking into account urine ACR, eGFR, demographics, and traditional chronic kidney risk factors determined 3 months after discharge, AKI (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 0.51-4.13 for AKI vs non-AKI) or severity of AKI (HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.50-4.72 for AKI stage 1 vs non-AKI; HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.07-4.84 for AKI stage 2 vs non-AKI; HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 0.33-15.29 for AKI stage 3 vs non-AKI) was not independently associated with more rapid kidney disease progression.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Proteinuria level is a valuable risk-stratification tool in the post-AKI period. These results suggest there should be more widespread and routine quantification of proteinuria after hospitalized AKI.

Long-Term Outcomes in Patients with Acute Kidney Injury

The long-term sequelae of AKI have received increasing attention so that its associations with a number of adverse outcomes, including higher mortality and development of CKD, are now widely appreciated. These associations take on particular importance when considering the high incidence of AKI, with a lack of proven interventions and uncertainties around optimal care provision meaning that the long-term sequelae of AKI present a major unmet clinical need. In this review, we examine the published data that inform our current understanding of long-term outcomes following AKI and discuss potential knowledge gaps, covering long-term mortality, CKD, progression to ESKD, proteinuria, cardiovascular events, recurrent AKI, and hospital readmission.

Acute Kidney Injury and Risk of Death After Elective Surgery: Prospective Analysis of Data From an International Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with a high mortality rate. However, the relationship among AKI, its associations, and mortality is not well understood.

METHODS

Planned analysis of data was collected during an international 7-day cohort study of adults undergoing elective in-patient surgery. AKI was defined using Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Patients missing preoperative creatinine data were excluded. We used multivariable logistic regression to examine the relationships among preoperative creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), postoperative AKI, and hospital mortality, accounting for the effects of age, major comorbid diseases, and nature and severity of surgical intervention on outcomes. We similarly modeled preoperative associations of AKI. Data are presented as n (%) or odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

A total of 36,357 patients were included, 743 (2.0%) of whom developed AKI with 73 (9.8%) deaths in hospital. AKI affected 73 of 196 (37.2%) of all patients who died. Mortality was strongly associated with the severity of AKI (stage 1: OR, 2.57 [1.3-5.0]; stage 2: OR, 8.6 [5.0-15.1]; stage 3: OR, 30.1 [18.5-49.0]). Low preoperative eGFR was strongly associated with AKI. However, in our model, lower eGFR was not associated with increasing mortality in patients who did not develop AKI. Conversely, in older patients, high preoperative eGFR (>90 mL·minute·1.73 m) was associated with an increasing risk of death, potentially reflecting poor muscle mass.

CONCLUSIONS

The occurrence and severity of AKI are strongly associated with risk of death after surgery. However, the relationship between preoperative renal function as assessed by serum creatinine-based eGFR and risk of death dependent on patient age and whether AKI develops postoperatively.

The Association Between Obesity and Risk of Acute Kidney Injury After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVE

To determine the relationship between obesity and the risk of AKI after cardiac surgery (CS-AKI) in a cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 1,601 patients undergoing cardiac surgery were collected and their incidence of CS-AKI was recorded. They were divided into underweight, normal weight, overweight, and obese groups. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association between BMI (body mass index) and CS-AKI risk. Then, a meta-analysis of published cohort studies was conducted to confirm this result using PubMed and Embase databases.

RESULTS

A significant association was observed in this independent cohort after adjusting age, gender, hypertension and New York Heart Association classification (NYHA) class. Compared with normal BMI group (18.5 ≤ BMI < 24.0), the individuals with aberrant BMI level had an increased AKI risk (OR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.01-2.78) for BMI < 18.5 group and (OR: 1.43, 95% CI: 0.96-2.15) for BMI ≥ 28.0. Interestingly, the U-shape curve showed the CS-AKI risk reduced with the increasing of BMI when BMI ≤ 24.0. As BMI increases with BMI > 24.0, the risk of developing CS-AKI increased significantly. In the confirmed meta-analysis, compared with normal weight, overweight group with cardiac surgery had higher AKI risk (OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.16-1.41, P_{heterogeneity} = 0.49). The similar association was found in obesity subgroup (OR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.57-2.03, P_{heterogeneity} = 0.42).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the results suggested that abnormal BMI was a risk factor for CS-AKI independently.

Roadblocks and Opportunities to the Implementation of Novel Therapies for Acute Kidney Injury: A Narrative Review

Background:

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a complex and heterogeneous clinical syndrome with limited effective treatment options. Therefore, a coherent research structure considering AKI pathophysiology, treatment, translation, and implementation is critical to advancing patient care in this area.

Purpose of review:

In this narrative review, we discuss novel therapies for AKI from their journey from bench to bedside to population and focus on roadblocks and opportunities to their successful implementation.

Sources of information:

Peer-reviewed articles, opinion pieces from research leaders and research funding agencies, and clinical and research expertise.

Methods:

This narrative review details the challenges of translation of preclinical studies in AKI and highlights trending research areas and innovative designs in the field. Key developments in preclinical research, clinical trials, and knowledge translation are discussed. Furthermore, this article discusses the current need to involve patients in clinical research and the barriers and opportunities for effective knowledge translation.

Key findings:

Preclinical studies have largely been unsuccessful in generating novel therapies for AKI, due both to the complexity and heterogeneity of the disease, as well as the limitations of commonly available preclinical models of AKI. The emergence of kidney organoid technology may be an opportunity to reverse this trend. However, the roadblocks encountered at the bench have not precluded researchers from running well-designed and impactful clinical trials, and the field of renal replacement therapy in AKI is highlighted as an area that has been particularly active. Meanwhile, knowledge translation initiatives are bolstered by the presence of large administrative databases to permit ongoing monitoring of clinical practices and outcomes, with research output from such evaluations having the potential to directly impact patient care and inform the generation of meaningful clinical practice guidelines.

Limitations:

There are limited objective data examining the process of knowledge creation and translation in AKI, and as such the opinions and research areas of the authors are significantly drawn upon in the discussion.

Implications:

The use of an organized knowledge-to-action framework involving multiple stakeholders, especially patient partners, is critical to translating basic research findings to improvements in patient care in AKI, an area where effective treatment options are lacking.

Cause-specific mortality in the general population with transient dipstick-proteinuria

Recently, changes in urinary albumin and in GFR have been recognized as risk factors for the development of end-stage kidney disease and mortality. Though most clinical epidemiology studies of chronic kidney disease (CKD) used renal function and proteinuria at baseline alone, definitive diagnosis of CKD with multiple measurements intensifies the differences in the risk for mortality between the CKD and non-CKD populations. We hypothesized that a transient diagnosis of proteinuria and reduced renal function each indicate a significantly higher mortality compared to definitive non-CKD as the negative control and lower mortality compared with definitive CKD as the positive control. The present longitudinal study evaluated a general-population cohort of 338,094 persons who received annual health checkups, with a median 4.3-year study period. There were 2,481 deaths, including 510 CVD deaths (20.6%) and 1,328 cancer deaths (53.5%), and mortality risk was evaluated for transient proteinuria and for transiently reduced renal function. The hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality and cancer mortality were not significant, but that for cardiovascular mortality was significantly higher for transient proteinuria (HR, 1.94 [95% confidence interval, 1.27–2.96] in men and 2.78 [1.50–5.16] in women). On the other hand, transiently reduced renal function was not significant for either cardiovascular mortality risk or cancer mortality risk. We surmise that this is the first study of the mortality risk of transient dipstick proteinuria in a large general-population cohort with cause-specific death registration. Transiently positive proteinuria appears to be a significant risk specifically for cardiovascular mortality compared with definitely negative for proteinuria.

Relationship between complement deposition and the Oxford classification score and their combined effects on renal outcome in immunoglobulin A nephropathy

Background

Complement activation has been highlighted in immunoglobulin (Ig) A nephropathy pathogenesis. However, whether the complement system can affect the downstream phenotype of IgA nephropathy remains unknown. Herein, we investigated the association of mesangial C3 deposition with the Oxford classification and their joint effects on worsening kidney function.

Methods

We investigated 453 patients with biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy. C3 deposition was defined as an immunofluorescence intensity of C3 ≥2+ within the mesangium. The subjects were classified according to the combination of C3 deposition and Oxford classification lesions. The primary endpoint was a composite of ≥30% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate or an increase in proteinuria ≥3.5 g/g during follow-up.

Results

Among the Oxford classification lesions, mesangial hypercellularity (M1), segmental glomerulosclerosis (S1) and tubulointerstitial fibrosis (T1–2) and crescentic lesion significantly correlated with C3 deposition. During a median follow-up of 33.0 months, the primary endpoint occurred more in patients with M1, S1, T1–2 and mesangial C3 deposition than in those without. In individual multivariable-adjusted Cox analyses, the presence of M1, S1, T1–2 and C3 deposition was significantly associated with higher risk of reaching primary endpoint. In the combined analyses of C3 deposition and the Oxford classification lesions, the hazard ratios for the composite outcome were significantly higher in the presence of C3/M1, C3/S1 and C3/crescent than in the presence of each lesion alone.

Conclusions

Complement deposition can strengthen the significance of the Oxford classification, and the presence of both components portends a poorer prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

STandard versus Accelerated initiation of Renal Replacement Therapy in Acute Kidney Injury: Study Protocol for a Multi-National, Multi-Center, Randomized Controlled Trial

Background

The optimal timing of renal replacement therapy (RRT) initiation in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) remains controversial.

Objective

In critically ill patients with AKI, to determine whether the accelerated initiation of RRT reduces mortality compared to a strategy of standard RRT initiation whereby RRT is initiated if urgent complications of AKI arise or based on clinician judgment.

Design

Pragmatic allocation-concealed open-label randomized controlled trial.

Setting

Up to 170 centers in Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Finland, New Zealand, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Patients

We will enroll at least 2,866 critically ill patients with AKI stages 2 or 3 (defined as doubling of serum creatinine from baseline or serum creatinine ≥354 µmol/L with increase of ≥27 µmol/L from baseline or urine output <6 mL/kg in preceding 12 hours). Patients will be excluded if 1 or more of the following is/are present: potassium >5.5 mmol/L; bicarbonate <15 mmol/L; concomitant intoxication necessitating RRT; philosophy of care precluding escalation to RRT; any RRT in preceding 2 months; kidney transplant within the past year; preexisting estimated glomerular filtration rate <20 mL/min/1.73 m²; AKI etiology attributable to obstruction, glomerulonephritis, vasculitis, microangiopathy, or acute interstitial nephritis; clinician opinion that urgent RRT is mandated; or clinician opinion that RRT must be deferred.

Methods

Participants will be randomized to one of two strategies: accelerated RRT initiation, which entails the initiation of RRT within 12 hours of the patient fulfilling all eligibility criteria, or standard RRT initiation, whereby clinicians would be discouraged from initiating RRT unless a conventional trigger for RRT initiation arises or if AKI persists for ≥72 hours.

Measurements

The primary outcome is all-cause mortality at 90 days following randomization. Key secondary outcomes include RRT dependence, residual kidney function, health services use, and health-related quality of life, all assessed at 90 days after randomization. In jurisdictions where it is feasible, participants will be followed through day 365 using linked administrative data.

Results

Through March 18, 2019, we have recruited 2623 (92% of target) participants.

Limitations

Reliance on physician declaration of equipoise may create heterogeneity across the trial population; open-label design may introduce bias and uneven postrandomization cointerventions; variations in practice (eg, choice of RRT modality and RRT prescription) likely exist across sites.

Conclusions

Once complete, the STARRT-AKI trial will provide the most robust evidence to date to guide clinical practice on the optimal timing of RRT initiation among critically ill patients with AKI.

Trial registration

Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02568722.

Urine Klotho Is Lower in Critically Ill Patients With Versus Without Acute Kidney Injury and Associates With Major Adverse Kidney Events

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Klotho and fibroblast growth factor-23 were recently postulated as candidate biomarkers and/or therapeutic targets in acute kidney injury. We examined whether urine Klotho and serum intact fibroblast growth factor-23 levels were differentially and independently associated with major adverse kidney events in critically ill patients with and without acute kidney injury.

Higher medical costs for CKD patients with a rapid decline in eGFR: A cohort study from the Japanese general population

To investigate how changes in eGFR can affect medical costs, a regional cohort of national health insurance beneficiaries in Japan was developed from a nationwide database system (Kokuho database, KDB), and non-individualized data were obtained. From 105,661 people, subjects on chronic dialysis and subjects without consecutive medical checkups were excluded. Finally, medical costs in the follow-up year categorized by annual changes in eGFR between baseline and the next year were longitudinally examined in 70,627 people ranging in age from 40 to 74 years. Global mean costs for subjects with a rapid decrease in eGFR (≤-30%/year) were the highest among all ΔeGFR categories. In men, the cost was 1.42 times that for a stable eGFR. A total of 6,268 (19.4%) men and 5,381 (14.0%) women with eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m² were identified in the baseline year. The mean cost was higher with a low eGFR than without a low eGFR, and there were also higher proportions newly initiating dialysis in 2014 (low eGFR with rapid decrease in eGFR vs. with stable eGFR: 9.61% vs. 0.02% in women, P<0.001). Moreover, the costs for low eGFR subjects with a rapid decrease in eGFR were more than twice those of non-low eGFR subjects with a rapid decrease in eGFR and also compared to low eGFR subjects with a stable eGFR. Moreover, initiating chronic dialysis was considered one of the major causes of high medical costs in women with rapid eGFR decline. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study of renal disease using a cohort developed from the KDB system recently established in Japan.

Incidence and Prognosis of Acute Kidney Diseases and Disorders Using an Integrated Approach to Laboratory Measurements in a Universal Health Care System

Importance

Abnormal measurements of kidney function or structure may be identified that do not meet criteria for acute kidney injury (AKI) or chronic kidney disease (CKD) but nonetheless may require medical attention. The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Clinical Practice Guideline for AKI proposed criteria for the definition of acute kidney diseases and disorders (AKD), which include AKI; however, the incidence and prognosis of AKD without AKI remain unknown.

Objective

To characterize the incidence and outcomes of AKD without AKI, with or without CKD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Retrospective cohort study including all adult residents in a universal health care system in Alberta, Canada, without end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and with at least 1 serum creatinine measurement between January 1 and December 31, 2008, in a community or hospital setting. Data analysis took place in 2018.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes guideline definitions for CKD, AKI, and AKD based on serum creatinine, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and albuminuria criteria were applied to estimate the proportion of patients with CKD, AKI, and AKD without AKI, and combinations of the conditions. Patients were followed up for up to 8 years (study end date, June 31, 2016) to characterize their risks of mortality, development of new CKD, progression of preexisting CKD, and ESKD.

Results

Among 1 109 099 Alberta residents included in the cohort, the mean (SD) age was 52.3 (17.6) years, and 43.0% were male. Findings showed that AKD without AKI was common (3.8 individuals without preexisting CKD and 0.6 with preexisting CKD per 100 population tested). In Cox proportional hazards and competing risks models over a median (interquartile range) of 6.0 (5.7-6.3) years of follow-up, AKD without AKI (compared with no kidney disease) was associated with higher risks of developing new CKD (37.4% vs 7.4%%; adjusted sub-hazard ratio [sHR], 3.17; 95% CI, 3.10-3.23), progression of preexisting CKD (49.5% vs 34.6%; adjusted sHR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.33-1.44), ESKD (0.6% vs 0.1%; adjusted sHR, 8.56; 95% CI, 7.32-10.01), and death (25.8% vs 7.3%; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.39-1.45).

Conclusions and Relevance

Criteria for AKD identified many patients who did not meet the criteria for CKD or AKI but had overall modestly increased risks of incident and progressive CKD, ESKD, and death. The clinical importance of AKD remains to be determined.

A Survey Study of Self-Rated Patients' Knowledge About AKI in a Post-Discharge AKI Clinic

BACKGROUND

Survivors of acute kidney injury (AKI) are at risk of adverse outcomes. Post-discharge nephrology care may improve patients' AKI knowledge and prevent post-AKI complications.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to examine patients' awareness about their AKI diagnosis and self-rated knowledge and severity of AKI before and after their first post-discharge AKI Clinic encounter.

DESIGN

We conducted a pre- and post-survey study among AKI survivors who attended a post-discharge AKI Clinic.

SETTING

AKI Clinic at the University of Kentucky Medical Center (October 2016 to December 2017). Education about AKI was based on transformative learning theory and provided through printed materials and interdisciplinary interactions between patients/caregivers and nurses, pharmacists, and nephrologists.

PATIENTS

A total of 104 patients completed the survey and were included in the analysis.

MEASUREMENTS

Three survey questions were administered before and after the first AKI Clinic encounter: Question 1 (yes-no) for awareness, and questions 2 and 3 (Likert scale, 1 = lowest to 5 = highest) for self-rated knowledge and severity of AKI.

METHODS

Two mixed-model analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used for between-group (AKI severity) and within-group (pre- and post-encounter) comparisons. Logistic regression was used to examine parameters associated with the within-group change in self-perceived knowledge.

RESULTS

Twenty-two out of 104 (21%) patients were not aware of their AKI diagnosis before the clinic encounter. Patients' self-ratings of their AKI knowledge significantly increased after the first AKI Clinic encounter (mean ± SEM: pre-visit = 1.94 ± 0.12 to post-visit = 3.88 ± 0.09, P = .001), even after adjustment for age, gender, Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) severity stage, or poverty level. Patients with AKI stage 3 self-rated their AKI as more severe than patients with AKI stage 1 or 2.

LIMITATIONS

Our study population may not be representative of the general AKI survivor population. Administered surveys are subject to response-shift bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients' self-perceived knowledge about AKI significantly increased following the first post-discharge AKI Clinic encounter that included interdisciplinary education. This is the first survey study examining self-perceived AKI knowledge in AKI survivors. Further examination of AKI literacy in survivors of AKI and its effect on post-AKI outcomes is needed.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

Vancomycin-Associated Acute Kidney Injury in a Large Veteran Population

BACKGROUND

To determine the association of vancomycin with acute kidney injury (AKI) in relation to its serum concentration value and to examine the risk of AKI in patients treated with vancomycin when compared with a matched cohort of patients receiving non-glycopeptide antibiotics (linezolid/daptomycin).

METHODS

From a cohort of > 3 million US veterans with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2, we identified 33,527 patients who received either intravenous vancomycin (n = 22,057) or non-glycopeptide antibiotics (linezolid/daptomycin, n = 11,470). We examined the association of the serum trough vancomycin level recorded within the first 48 h of administration with subsequent AKI in all patients treated with vancomycin and association of vancomycin vs. non-glycopeptide antibiotics use with the risk of incident AKI.

RESULTS

The overall multivariable adjusted ORs of AKI stages 1, 2, and 3 in patients on vancomycin vs. non-glycopeptides were 1.1 (1.1-1.2), 1.2 (1-1.4), and 1.4 (1.1-1.7), respectively. When examined in strata divided by vancomycin trough level, the odds of AKI were similar or lower in patients receiving vancomycin compared to non-glycopeptide antibiotics as long as serum vancomycin levels were ≤20 mg/L. However, in patients with serum vancomycin levels > 20 mg/L, the ORs of AKI stages 1, 2, and 3 in patients on vancomycin vs. non-glycopeptide antibiotics were 1.5 (1.4-1.7), 1.9 (1.5-2.3), and 2.7 (2-3.5), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Vancomycin use is associated with a higher risk of AKI when serum levels exceed > 20 mg/L.

Elevated Vancomycin Trough Levels in a Tertiary Health System: Frequency, Risk Factors, and Prognosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the frequency of, risk factors for, and outcomes after elevated levels of vancomycin.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We identified hospitalizations among 21,285 individuals in which intravenous vancomycin was given between August 29, 2007, and October 10, 2014. We investigated frequency and risk factors for elevated vancomycin levels (trough levels >30 mg/L) as well as associations with subsequent acute kidney injury (AKI), length of stay, and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 21,285 patients, the mean age was 62.9 years, and 10,478 (49.2%) were female. Trough levels of vancomycin were checked in 7422 patients, and 755 elevated levels were detected. Compared with patients with trough levels checked but no elevated levels found, those with elevated levels had longer duration of vancomycin therapy (median, 6.0 days vs 3.4 days; P<.001) and slightly higher doses (mean, 1.72 g vs 1.58 g; P<.001). Patients with higher body mass index or lower estimated glomerular filtration rate had more elevated levels. In propensity-matched analyses, patients had higher risk of incident AKI after elevated levels compared with patients without elevated levels (hazard ratio, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.09-2.20; P=.02), as well as longer subsequent length of stay (relative risk, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.02-1.28; P=.03) but similar in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSION

In this study, elevated vancomycin levels were common, particularly in patients with higher body mass index and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, and were associated with greater subsequent AKI and length of stay.

Long-term risk of adverse outcomes after acute kidney injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies using consensus definitions of exposure

Reliable estimates of the long-term outcomes of acute kidney injury (AKI) are needed to inform clinical practice and guide allocation of health care resources. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to quantify the association between AKI and chronic kidney disease (CKD), end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and death. Systematic searches were performed through EMBASE, MEDLINE, and grey literature sources to identify cohort studies in hospitalized adults that used standardized definitions for AKI, included a non-exposed comparator, and followed patients for at least 1 year. Risk of bias was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to pool risk estimates; subgroup, sensitivity, and meta-regression analyses were used to investigate heterogeneity. Of 4973 citations, 82 studies (comprising 2,017,437 participants) were eligible for inclusion. Common sources of bias included incomplete reporting of outcome data, missing biochemical values, and inadequate adjustment for confounders. Individuals with AKI were at increased risk of new or progressive CKD (HR 2.67, 95% CI 1.99-3.58; 17.76 versus 7.59 cases per 100 person-years), ESKD (HR 4.81, 95% CI 3.04-7.62; 0.47 versus 0.08 cases per 100 person-years), and death (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.61-2.02; 13.19 versus 7.26 deaths per 100 person-years). A gradient of risk across increasing AKI stages was demonstrated for all outcomes. For mortality, the magnitude of risk was also modified by clinical setting, baseline kidney function, diabetes, and coronary heart disease. These findings establish the poor long-term outcomes of AKI while highlighting the importance of injury severity and clinical setting in the estimation of risk.

Acute Kidney Injury in Sugarcane Workers at Risk for Mesoamerican Nephropathy

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Mesoamerican nephropathy (MeN), a form of chronic kidney disease (CKD) of unknown cause in Central America, affects young individuals working in physically strenuous occupations. Repeated episodes of work-related kidney injury may lead to CKD in this setting. We aimed to better understand the burden and natural history of acute kidney injury (AKI) in workers at risk for MeN.

STUDY DESIGN

Cross-sectional study of active sugarcane workers, followed by prospective follow-up of individuals with AKI.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

326 sugarcane workers with normal preharvest serum creatinine (Scr) values and no history of CKD in an MeN hotspot in Nicaragua near the end of the harvest, and prospective follow-up of workers with AKI.

PREDICTOR

AKI during the harvest, as defined by Scr level increase ≥ 0.3mg/dL over baseline to a level ≥ 1.3mg/dL.

OUTCOMES

Kidney function trajectory and development of CKD over 12 months.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Linear regression models were used to analyze the association between job category and kidney function. For workers with AKI, the effect of time on Scr level was evaluated using linear mixed effects.

RESULTS

34 of 326 participants were found to have AKI, with a median late-harvest Scr level of 1.64mg/dL in the AKI group. Workers without AKI had a median Scr level of 0.88mg/dL. AKI was more common among cane cutters compared with other field workers. Participants with AKI had variable degrees of kidney function recovery, with median 6- and 12-month Scr values of 1.25 and 1.27mg/dL, respectively (P < 0.001 for each follow-up value compared to late-harvest Scr). When we compared workers' kidney function before the AKI episode to their kidney function at last follow-up, 10 participants with AKI developed de novo estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60mL/min/1.73m² and 11 had a >30% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate.

LIMITATIONS

Follow-up limited to 1 year and some loss to follow-up in the prospective component of the study. Broad definition of AKI that includes both acute and subacute kidney injury.

CONCLUSIONS

In a group of sugarcane workers with normal preharvest kidney function, newly decreased kidney function developing during the harvest season was common. Of those with kidney injury, nearly half had established CKD 12 months later.

Pre-operative anaemia, intra-operative hepcidin concentration and acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery: a retrospective observational study

Acute kidney after cardiac surgery is more common in anaemic patients, whereas haemolysis during cardiopulmonary bypass may lead to iron-induced renal injury. Hepcidin promotes iron sequestration by macrophages: hepcidin concentration is reduced by anaemia and increased by inflammation. We analysed the associations in 525 patients between pre-operative anaemia (haemoglobin < 130 g.l^-1 in men and < 120 g.l^-1 in women), intra-operative hepcidin concentration and acute kidney injury (dialysis or > 26.4 μmol.l^-1 or > 50% creatinine increase during the first two days after cardiac surgery. Rates of pre-operative anaemia and postoperative kidney injury were 109/525 (21%) and 36/525 (7%), respectively. The median (IQR [range]) intra-operative hepcidin concentration was 20 (10-33 [0-125]) μg.l^-1 and was lower in anaemic patients than those who were not: 15 (4-28 [0-125]) μg.l^-1 vs. 21 (12-33 [0-125]) μg.l^-1 , respectively, p = 0.002. Four variables were independently associated with postoperative kidney injury, for which the beta-coefficients (SE) were: minutes on cardiopulmonary bypass, 0.016 (0.004), p < 0.001; intra-operative hepcidin concentration, 0.032 (0.008), p < 0.001; pre-operative anaemia, 1.97 (0.56), p < 0.001; and Cleveland clinic risk score, 0.88 (0.35), p = 0.005. Contrary to generally increased rates of kidney injury in patients with higher hepcidin concentrations, rates of kidney injury in anaemic patients were lower in patients with higher hepcidin concentrations, beta-coefficient (SE) -0.037 (0.01), p = 0.007. In cardiac surgical patients the rate of postoperative acute kidney injury predicted by the Cleveland risk score might be adjusted for pre-operative anaemia and intra-operative cardiopulmonary bypass time and hepcidin concentration. Pre-operative correction of anaemia, reduction in intra-operative bypass time and modification of iron homeostasis and hepcidin concentration might reduce acute kidney injury.

Effects of Intensive Blood Pressure Treatment on Acute Kidney Injury Events in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT)

BACKGROUND

Treating to a lower blood pressure (BP) may increase acute kidney injury (AKI) events.

STUDY DESIGN

Data for AKI resulting in or during hospitalization or emergency department visits were collected as part of the serious adverse events reporting process of the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT).

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

9,361 participants 50 years or older with 1 or more risk factors for cardiovascular disease.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants were randomly assigned to a systolic BP target of <120 (intensive arm) or <140mmHg (standard arm).

OUTCOMES & MEASUREMENTS

Primary outcome was the number of adjudicated AKI events. Secondary outcomes included severity of AKI and degree of recovery of kidney function after an AKI event. Baseline creatinine concentration was defined as the most recent SPRINT outpatient creatinine value before the date of the AKI event.

RESULTS

There were 179 participants with AKI events in the intensive arm and 109 in the standard arm (3.8% vs 2.3%; HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.30-2.10; P<0.001). Of 288 participants with an AKI event, 248 (86.1%) had a single AKI event during the trial. Based on modified KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) criteria for severity of AKI, the number of AKI events in the intensive versus standard arm by KDIGO stage was 128 (58.5%) versus 81 (62.8%) for AKI stage 1, 42 (19.2%) versus 18 (14.0%) for AKI stage 2, and 42 (19.2%) versus 25 (19.4%) for AKI stage 3 (P=0.5). For participants with sufficient data, complete or partial resolution of AKI was seen for 169 (90.4%) and 9 (4.8%) of 187 AKI events in the intensive arm and 86 (86.9%) and 4 (4.0%) of 99 AKI events in the standard arm, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

Trial results are not generalizable to patients with diabetes mellitus or without risk factors for cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSIONS

More intensive BP lowering resulted in more frequent episodes of AKI. Most cases were mild and most participants had complete recovery of kidney function.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov with study number NCT01206062.

Post-discharge kidney function is associated with subsequent ten-year renal progression risk among survivors of acute kidney injury

The extent to which renal progression after acute kidney injury (AKI) arises from an initial step drop in kidney function (incomplete recovery), or from a long-term trajectory of subsequent decline, is unclear. This makes it challenging to plan or time post-discharge follow-up. This study of 14651 hospital survivors in 2003 (1966 with AKI, 12685 no AKI) separates incomplete recovery from subsequent renal decline by using the post-discharge estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) rather than the pre-admission as a new reference point for determining subsequent renal outcomes. Outcomes were sustained 30% renal decline and de novo CKD stage 4, followed from 2003-2013. Death was a competing risk. Overall, death was more common than subsequent renal decline (37.5% vs 11.3%) and CKD stage 4 (4.5%). Overall, 25.7% of AKI patients had non-recovery. Subsequent renal decline was greater after AKI (vs no AKI) (14.8% vs 10.8%). Renal decline after AKI (vs no AKI) was greatest among those with higher post-discharge eGFRs with multivariable hazard ratios of 2.29 (1.88-2.78); 1.50 (1.13-2.00); 0.94 (0.68-1.32) and 0.95 (0.64-1.41) at eGFRs of 60 or more; 45-59; 30-44 and under 30, respectively. The excess risk after AKI persisted over ten years of study, irrespective of AKI severity, or post-episode proteinuria. Thus, even if post-discharge kidney function returns to normal, hospital admission with AKI is associated with increased renal progression that persists for up to ten years. Follow-up plans should avoid false reassurance when eGFR after AKI returns to normal.

The incidence of pediatric acute kidney injury is increased when identified by a change in a creatinine-based electronic alert

A prospective national cohort study was undertaken to collect data on all cases of pediatric (under 18 yrs of age) acute kidney injury (AKI) identified by a biochemistry-based electronic alert using the Welsh National electronic AKI reporting system. Herein we describe the utility and limitation of using this modification of the KDIGO creatinine-based system data set to characterize pediatric AKI. Of 1,343 incident episodes over a 30-month period, 34.5% occurred in neonates of which 83.8% were AKI stage 1. Neonatal 30-day mortality was 4.1%, with 73.3% of this being accounted for by patients treated in an Intensive Care Unit. In the non-neonatal group, 76.1% were AKI stage 1. Hospital-acquired AKI accounted for 40.1% of episodes while community-acquired AKI represented 29.4% of cases within which 33.9% were admitted to hospital and 30.5% of cases were unclassified. Non-neonatal 30-day mortality was 1.2%, with half of this accounted for by patients treated in the Intensive Care Unit. Nonrecovery of renal function at 30 days occurred in 28% and was significantly higher in patients not admitted to hospital (45% vs. 20%). The reported incidence of AKI in children was far greater than previously reported in studies reliant on clinical identification of adult AKI or hospital coding data. Mortality was highest in neonates and driven by those in the Intensive Care Unit. Nonrecovery of renal function and persistent renal impairment was more common in non-neonates and was especially high in patients with community-acquired AKI who were not hospitalized.

Race, Serum Potassium, and Associations With ESRD and Mortality

BACKGROUND

Recent studies suggest that potassium levels may differ by race. The basis for these differences and whether associations between potassium levels and adverse outcomes differ by race are unknown.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Associations between race and potassium level and the interaction of race and potassium level with outcomes were investigated in the Racial and Cardiovascular Risk Anomalies in Chronic Kidney Disease (RCAV) Study, a cohort of US veterans (N=2,662,462). Associations between African ancestry and potassium level were investigated in African Americans in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (N=3,450).

PREDICTORS

Race (African American vs non-African American and percent African ancestry) for cross-sectional analysis; serum potassium level for longitudinal analysis.

OUTCOMES

Potassium level for cross-sectional analysis; mortality and end-stage renal disease for longitudinal analysis.

RESULTS

The RCAV cohort was 18% African American (N=470,985). Potassium levels on average were 0.162mmol/L lower in African Americans compared with non-African Americans, with differences persisting after adjustment for demographics, comorbid conditions, and potassium-altering medication use. In the ARIC Study, higher African ancestry was related to lower potassium levels (-0.027mmol/L per each 10% African ancestry). In both race groups, higher and lower potassium levels were associated with mortality. Compared to potassium level of 4.2mmol/L, mortality risk associated with lower potassium levels was lower in African Americans versus non-African Americans, whereas mortality risk associated with higher levels was slightly greater. Risk relationships between potassium and end-stage renal disease were weaker, with no difference by race.

LIMITATIONS

No data for potassium intake.

CONCLUSIONS

African Americans had slightly lower serum potassium levels than non-African Americans. Consistent associations between potassium levels and percent African ancestry may suggest a genetic component to these differences. Higher and lower serum potassium levels were associated with mortality in both racial groups.

Acute kidney injury and mortality 1 year after major non-cardiac surgery

Background

Even mild and transient acute kidney injury (AKI), defined by increases in serum creatinine level, has been associated with adverse outcomes after major surgery. However, characteristic decreases in creatinine concentration during major illness could confound accurate assessment of postoperative AKI.

Methods

In a single-hospital, retrospective cohort study of non-cardiac surgery, the association between postoperative AKI, defined using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria, and 1-year survival was modelled using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis. Factors associated with development of AKI were examined by means of multivariable logistic regression. Temporal changes in serum creatinine during and after the surgical admission in patients with and without AKI were compared.

Results

Some 1869 patients were included in the study, of whom 128 (6·8 per cent) sustained AKI (101 stage 1, 27 stage 2–3). Seventeen of the 128 patients with AKI (13·3 per cent) died in hospital compared with 16 of 1741 (0·9 per cent) without AKI (P &lt; 0·001). By 1 year, 34 patients with AKI (26·6 per cent) had died compared with 106 (6·1 per cent) without AKI (P &lt; 0·001). Over the 8–365 days after surgery, AKI was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio for death of 2·96 (95 per cent c.i. 1·86 to 4·71; P &lt; 0·001). Among hospital survivors without AKI, the creatinine level fell consistently (median difference at discharge versus baseline –7 (i.q.r. –15 to 0) µmol/l), but not in those with AKI (0 (–16 to 26) µmol/l) (P &lt; 0·001).

Conclusion

Although the majority of postoperative AKI was mild, there was a strong association with risk of death in the year after surgery. Underlying decreases in serum creatinine concentration after major surgery could lead to underestimation of AKI severity and overestimation of recovery.