Mortality and predictors of mortality in a cohort of Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients

Diabetes Mellitus Mortality Trends in Brazil From 2000 to 2021: An In-Depth Joinpoint Analysis

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a public health concern in Brazil, with deleterious effects on quality of life and increasing mortality rates. The prevalence of diabetes in Brazil is on the rise, and it is imperative to understand its effects on mortality rates in the last two decades in order to effectively mitigate the detrimental impact of diabetes on public health. This study aims to analyze mortality trends related to diabetes in Brazil from 2000 to 2021, encompassing both type 1 and type 2 diabetes, across sex and various age cohorts. Using joinpoint regression analysis, temporal trends in Brazil were assessed, while also incorporating findings from previous studies and considering potential influencing factors, such as government initiatives and cuts in healthcare investment. The study revealed a general upward trend in mortality rates associated with DM1 and DM2 over the study period, in both males and females, with men showing a higher AAPC (average annual percent change), which translated into significantly increased mortality difference at the end of the study. Additionally, it revealed elevated mortality values for extreme age groups in the age cohorts studied, with the exception of middle-aged cohort groups in DM2, which showed an expected higher APC (annual percent change), considering the age of highest incidence of DM2 in those age groups. This comprehensive analysis provides critical insights into the escalating impact of diabetes on mortality rates in Brazil and highlights the urgent need for healthcare strategies. It is expected that the increased prevalence of diabetes in the Brazilian population adds an additional economic burden to healthcare expenditure by the Brazilian government, further worsening the health disparities among different social groups. Unless several political decisions to reduce healthcare expenditure are reversed, greater difficulties in accessing treatments will be detrimental for vulnerable social groups in Brazil. By understanding the nuanced patterns of diabetes-related mortality, healthcare providers and policymakers can allocate resources effectively and implement tailored interventions to better address diabetes in Brazil.

Wearable Flexible Electronics Based Cardiac Electrode for Researcher Mental Stress Detection System Using Machine Learning Models on Single Lead Electrocardiogram Signal

In the modern world, wearable smart devices are continuously used to monitor people's health. This study aims to develop an automatic mental stress detection system for researchers based on Electrocardiogram (ECG) signals from smart T-shirts using machine learning classifiers. We used 20 subjects, including 10 from mental stress (after twelve hours of continuous work in the laboratory) and 10 from normal (after completing the sleep or without any work). We also applied three scoring techniques: Chalder Fatigue Scale (CFS), Specific Fatigue Scale (SFS), Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scale (DASS), to confirm the mental stress. The total duration of ECG recording was 1800 min, including 1200 min during mental stress and 600 min during normal. We calculated two types of features, such as demographic and extracted by ECG signal. In addition, we used Decision Tree (DT), Naive Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF), and Logistic Regression (LR) to classify the intra-subject (mental stress and normal) and inter-subject classification. The DT leave-one-out model has better performance in terms of recall (93.30%), specificity (96.70%), precision (94.40%), accuracy (93.30%), and F1 (93.50%) in the intra-subject classification. Additionally, The classification accuracy of the system in classifying inter-subjects is 94.10% when using a DT classifier. However, our findings suggest that the wearable smart T-shirt based on the DT classifier may be used in big data applications and health monitoring. Mental stress can lead to mitochondrial dysfunction, oxidative stress, blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, and various health problems. Therefore, real-time ECG signals help assess cardiovascular and related risk factors in the initial stage based on machine learning techniques.

The Risk of QTc Prolongation in Non-Diabetic and Diabetic Patients Taking Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors (TKIs)- A Patient Safety Project at a Private Oncology Practice

Objective: To assess the prevalence of QTc prolongation in both non-diabetic and diabetic patients on TKIs. Some TKIs have been reported to cause QTc prolongation, which is prevalent in diabetes. However, there is no Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy using series ECG to monitor those patients.

Methods: Patients taking TKIs, with two ECGs recorded between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2017 were selected from the electronic database. The QTc duration >450 ms was determined as prolonged. Percentage of QTc prolongation on participants were compared using Chi-Square test.

Results: This study included 313 patients (age 66.1 ± 0.8 years and 57.5% are female) taking TKIs. In non-Diabetic patients, the prevalence of QTc prolongation is 19.1% (n = 253) before and 34.8% (n = 253) after treatment with TKIs (p < 0.001), respectively. In diabetic patients, the prevalence of QTc prolongation is 21.7% (n = 60) before and 40% (n = 60) after treatment with TKIs (p = 0.03), respectively. In addition, we examined the effect of modifying risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) on the prevalence of QTc prolongation caused by TKIs. In non-diabetic patients, the prevalence of QTc prolongation is 33.3% (n = 57) before and 34.2% (n = 196) after risk factors modification (p = 0.91), respectively. In diabetic patients, the prevalence of QTc prolongation is 50% (n = 24) before and 33.3% (n = 36) after risk factors modification (p = 0.20), respectively.

Conclusion: Use of TKIs is associated with a significantly increased risk of QTc prolongation for patients, particularly when patients are diabetic. Modification of risk factors for CVD does not significantly affect the prevalence of QTc prolongation caused by TKIs.

Causes and predictors of mortality in Asian Indians with and without diabetes-10 year follow-up of the Chennai Urban Rural Epidemiology Study (CURES - 150)

Background

The incidence and prevalence of diabetes is increasing worldwide and it is the fifth leading cause of mortality accounting for over 3.8 million deaths annually. Despite the enormity of the diabetes-related health burdens, very few studies have evaluated the factors associated with mortality among people with diabetes in India. We sought to study the causes and predictors of mortality among urban Asian Indians with and without diabetes.

Methods and findings

Of 2273 adults (27,850 person-years of follow-up) from the 10-year follow-up of the Chennai Urban Rural Epidemiology Study (CURES), the cause of death could be ascertained in 552 individuals out of the 671 who had died (response rate 82.3%). Verbal autopsy was obtained from the family members of the deceased and this was adjudicated by trained physicians. The age-standardized mortality rate was 28.2 (95%CI 25.9–30.6) per 100,000 population. Mortality rates were significantly higher in individuals with diabetes compared to those without [27.9(95% CI 25.5–30.6) vs. 8.0 (6.6–9.9) per 1000 person years]. Compared to individuals of normal body mass index, underweight individuals had higher risk of mortality (Hazard ratio 1.49; 95% CI 1.11–2.0), whereas overweight and obese individuals did not show a higher risk. The population-attributable risk for all-cause mortality in the entire study cohort was highest for ischemic heart disease and diabetes. The excess mortality attributable to diabetes was highest in the age group of 51 to 70 years, and was mostly accounted for by renal disease (Rate ratio 5.68, 95%CI 2.43–6.23), ischemic heart disease (4.23,2.78–6.67), and cerebrovascular disease (4.00,1.87–9.81).

Conclusion

Underweight (but not overweight or obesity) was strongly associated with mortality in this Asian Indian population. Ischemic heart disease and diabetes contributed the most to risk for all cause mortality. Excess mortality due to diabetes was higher in relatively younger individuals and was mostly accounted for by renal disease.

Effect of diabetes duration and glycaemic control on 14-year cause-specific mortality in Mexican adults: a blood-based prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Diabetes is a cause of at least a third of all deaths in Mexican adults aged 35-74 years, with the excess mortality due mainly to vascular disease, renal disease, infection, and acute diabetic crises. We aimed to analyse the effect of diabetes duration and glycaemic control on death rate ratios (RRs) for these causes and to assess the relevance to cause-specific mortality of undiagnosed diabetes.

METHODS

About 100 000 women and 50 000 men aged 35 years or older from Mexico City were recruited into a blood-based prospective study between April 14, 1998, and Sept 28, 2004, and followed up until Jan 1, 2016, for cause-specific mortality. Participants who, at recruitment, reported any chronic disease other than diabetes and those who had missing data for HbA1c or diabetes duration were excluded. We used Cox models to estimate the associations of undiagnosed or previously diagnosed diabetes (almost all type 2) with risk of mortality from vascular disease, renal disease, and infection, exploring among those with previously diagnosed diabetes the independent relevance of diabetes duration (<5 years, ≥5 to <10 years, or ≥10 years) and HbA1c (<9%, ≥9% to <11%, or ≥11%). We also estimated the association of HbA1c with mortality in participants without diabetes at recruitment.

FINDINGS

133 662 participants were aged 35-74 years and had complete data and no other chronic disease. 16 940 (13%) had previously diagnosed diabetes, 6541 (5%) had undiagnosed diabetes, and 110 181 (82%) had no diabetes. Among participants with previously diagnosed diabetes, glycaemic control was poor (median HbA1c 8·9% [IQR 7·0-10·9]), and was worse in those with longer duration of disease at recruitment. Compared with participants without diabetes, the death RRs at ages 35-74 years for the combination of vascular, renal, or infectious causes were 3·0 (95% CI 2·7-3·4) in those with undiagnosed diabetes, 4·5 (4·0-5·0) for the 5042 participants with a diabetes duration of less than 5 years, 6·6 (6·1-7·1) for the 7713 participants with a duration of 5 years to less than 10 years, and 11·7 (10·7-12·7) for the 4185 participants with a duration of at least 10 years. Similarly, the death RRs were 5·2 (4·8-5·7) for those with HbA1c less than 9%, 6·8 (6·2-7·4) for those with HbA1c of 9% to less than 11%, and 10·5 (9·7-11·5) for those with HbA1c of at least 11%. Diabetes was not strongly associated with the combination of deaths from other causes apart from acute glycaemic crises. Among participants without diabetes, higher HbA1c was not positively related to mortality.

INTERPRETATION

In Mexico, the rates of death from causes strongly associated with diabetes increased steeply with duration of diabetes and were higher still among people with poor glycaemic control. Delaying the onset of type 2 diabetes, as well as improving its treatment, is essential to reduce premature adult mortality in Mexico.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, the Mexican Health Ministry, the Mexican National Council of Science and Technology, Cancer Research UK, British Heart Foundation, and the UK Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit.

Long-term mortality in outpatients with type 2 diabetes in a reference hospital in Cameroon: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

There are limited data on mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Sub-Saharan Africa. We aimed at determining the mortality rate, and the causes and the predictors of death in patients with T2DM followed as outpatients in a reference hospital in Cameroon.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

A reference hospital in Cameroon.

PARTICIPANTS

From December 2015 to March 2016, patients with T2DM aged 18 years and older and who consulted between January 2009 and December 2014, were contacted directly or through their next of kin, and included in this study. All participants with less than 75% of desired data in files, those who could not be reached on the phone and those who refused to provide consent were excluded from the study. Of the 940 eligible patients, 628 (352 men and 276 women) were included and completed the study, giving a response rate of 66.8%.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Death rate, causes of death and predictors of death.

RESULTS

Of the 628 patients (mean age: 56.5 years; median diabetes duration: 3.5 years) followed up for a total of 2161 person-years, 54 died, giving a mortality rate of 2.5 per 100 person-years and a cumulative mortality rate of 8.6%. Acute metabolic complications (22.2%), cardiovascular diseases (16.7%), cancers (14.8%), nephropathy (14.8%) and diabetic foot syndrome (13.0%) were the most common causes of death. Advanced age (adjusted HR (aHR) 1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.10; P=0.002), raised glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (aHR 1.16, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.35; P=0.051), low blood haemoglobin (aHR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.10; P=0.002) and proteinuria (aHR 2.97, 95% CI 1.40 to 6.28; P=0.004) were identified as independent predictors of death.

CONCLUSIONS

The mortality rate in patients with T2DM is high in our population, with acute metabolic complications as the leading cause. Patients with advanced age, raised HbA1c, anaemia or proteinuria are at higher risk of death and therefore represent the target of interest to prevent mortality in T2DM.

Prevalence of QT prolongation and associated LVEF changes in diabetic patients over a four-year retrospective time period

Aim: To evaluate the prevalence and longitudinal changes of prolonged QTc in DM patients admitted to our community hospital, and to determine, if any, its correlation with changes of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods: A retrospective chart review of patients with Type 1 (T1DM) and Type 2 (T2DM) with at least two admissions during a four-year period was performed to identify QTc interval, and LVEF, as measured on transthoracic echocardiogram. Changes in QTc and LVEF between patient hospital admissions were compared. Results: A prolonged QTc interval was found in 66.7% (n = 24) of type 1 and 51.3% (n = 154) type 2 diabetic patients. The QTc interval is progressively increased in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes during follow-up, although it did not reach statistical significance. A total of 62% patients (23 out 37 patients) had a reduction of LVEF during follow-up. Conclusion and Discussion: High prevalence of QTc prolongation was confirmed in hospitalized patients with in both T1DM and T2DM. Significant reduction of LVEF correlated with QTc prolongation over a mean of 17.3 months in T2DM patients, and may have implications for interventions.

Abbreviations CHF: Congestive heart failure LVEF: Left ventricular ejection fraction

Changes in cardiac repolarisation during spontaneous nocturnal hypoglycaemia in subjects with type 1 diabetes: a preliminary report

AIMS

Experimental studies have revealed that hypoglycaemia can result in morphological changes in electrocardiographic repolarisation in subjects with type 1 diabetes. However, the influence of spontaneous nocturnal hypoglycaemia on repolarisation morphology in a 'real life' situation is not clear.

METHODS

Adults with type 1 diabetes (n = 11) underwent continuous glucose monitoring with a subcutaneous sensor and digital 12-lead ECG recording for three nights. T-wave morphology was analysed with custom-made software during both hypoglycaemia (glucose <3.5 mmol/l at least 20 min) from ten consecutive heart beats in the middle of the deepest hypoglycaemia and from a control nonhypoglycaemic period (glucose ≥5.0 mmol/l) from the same recording.

RESULTS

In the comparison of 10 hypoglycaemia-control pairs, heart rate (65 ± 12 beats/min during normoglycaemia versus 85 ± 19 beats/min during hypoglycaemia, p = 0.028) increased and the QT_c interval (439 ± 5 vs. 373 ± 5 ms, respectively, p = 0.025) decreased significantly during hypoglycaemia. The spatial QRS-T angle (TCRT) was reduced, and the roughness of the T-wave loop (T-E) increased significantly (p = 0.037 for both) in the patients during hypoglycaemia.

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with type 1 diabetes, spontaneous nocturnal hypoglycaemia results in morphological changes and increased heterogeneity of global cardiac repolarisation. These changes may contribute to the risk of 'dead in bed' syndrome encountered in young individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Diabetes mellitus statistics on prevalence and mortality: facts and fallacies

Diabetes mellitus is one of the most important public health challenges of the twenty-first century. Until the past decade, it has been seriously underrated as a global health threat. Major gaps exist in efforts to comprehend the burden nationally and globally, especially in developing nations, due to a lack of accurate data for monitoring and surveillance. Early attempts to obtain accurate data, discussed in this article, seem to have been cast aside so, at present, these needs remain unmet. Existing international efforts to assemble information fall far short of requirements. Current estimates are imprecise, only providing a rough picture, and probably underestimate the disease burden. The methodologies that are currently used, and that are discussed in this Perspectives article, are inadequate for providing a complete and accurate assessment of the prevalence of diabetes mellitus. International consensus on uniform standards and criteria for reporting national data on diabetes mellitus prevalence as well as for common complications of diabetes mellitus and mortality need to be developed.

Prevalence, survival analysis and multimorbidity of chronic diseases in the general veterinarian-attended horse population of the UK

The average age of the global human population is increasing, leading to increased interest in the effects of chronic disease and multimorbidity on health resources and patient welfare. It has been posited that the average age of the general veterinarian-attended horse population of the UK is also increasing, and therefore it could be assumed that chronic diseases and multimorbidity would pose an increasing risk here also. However, evidence for this trend in ageing is very limited, and the current prevalence of many chronic diseases, and of multimorbidity, is unknown. Using text mining of first-opinion electronic medical records from seven veterinary practices around the UK, Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard modelling, we were able to estimate the apparent prevalence among veterinarian-attended horses of nine chronic diseases, and to assess their relative effects on median life expectancy following diagnosis. With these methods we found evidence of increasing population age. Multimorbidity affected 1.2% of the study population, and had a significant effect upon survival times, with co-occurrence of two diseases, and three or more diseases, leading to 6.6 and 21.3 times the hazard ratio compared to no chronic disease, respectively. Laminitis was involved in 74% of cases of multimorbidity. The population of horses attended by UK veterinarians appears to be aging, and chronic diseases and their co-occurrence are common features, and as such warrant further investigation.

QT-interval parameters are increased in systemic lupus erythematosus patients

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients have increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. QT-interval parameters are presumed markers of cardiovascular risk and have not been previously evaluated in SLE. Standard 12-lead ECGs were obtained from 140 female SLE outpatients and 37 age and body mass index-matched controls. QT interval was measured in each lead and heart rate-corrected maximum QT-interval duration (QTcmax) and QT-interval dispersion (QTd) were calculated. Risk factors for cardiovascular disease and lupus clinical features, disease treatment, disease activity and damage index were recorded. SLE patients have increased QT-interval parameters when compared to controls (QTcmax: 427.91 31.53 ms1/2 versus 410.05 15.45 ms1/2, P 0.001; QTd: 52.38 22.21 ms versus 37.12 12.88 ms, P 0.001). These differences persisted after excluding those patients with arterial hypertension, diabetes and with ECG abnormalities (QTcmax: 419.90 28.78 ms1/2 versus 409.15 15.85 ms1/2, P 0.041; QTd: 54.74 26.00 ms versus 37.96 13.05 ms, P 0.001). Multivariate linear regression for factors associated with QTcmaxselected the presence of electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (ECG-LVH) ( P 0.003), nonspecific ST-T-wave abnormalities ( P 0.022) and left atrial enlargement ( P 0.044). Multivariate associates with QTd were age ( P 0.018), ECG-LVH ( P 0.022) and ST-T abnormalities ( P 0.031). In conclusion, SLE patients have increased QT interval parameters when compared to controls. This prolongation may lead to an increased cardiovascular risk. This finding might be due to subclinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

Heart rate-corrected QT interval is an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes: the Diabetes Heart Study

OBJECTIVE

Heart rate-corrected QT (QTc) interval is associated with mortality in the general population, but this association is less clear in individuals with type 2 diabetes. We assessed the association of QTc interval with all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in the Diabetes Heart Study.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We studied 1,020 participants with type 2 diabetes (83% European Americans; 55% women; mean age 61.4 years) who were free of atrial fibrillation, major ventricular conduction defects, and antiarrhythmic therapy at baseline. QT duration was automatically calculated from a standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Following American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology Foundation recommendations, a linear scale was used to correct the QT for heart rate. Using Cox regression, risk was estimated per 1-SD increase in QTc interval as well as prolonged QTc interval (>450 ms) vs. normal QTc interval for mortality.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean (SD) QTc duration was 414.9 ms (18.1), and 3.0% of participants had prolonged QTc. After a median follow-up time of 8.5 years (maximum follow-up time 13.9 years), 204 participants were deceased. In adjusted multivariate models, a 1-SD increase in QTc interval was associated with an 18% higher risk for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.18 [95% CI 1.03-1.36]) and 29% increased risk for CVD mortality (1.29 [1.05-1.59]). Similar results were obtained when QTc interval was used as a categorical variable (prolonged vs. normal) (all-cause mortality 1.73 [0.95-3.15]; CVD mortality 2.86 [1.35-6.08]).

CONCLUSIONS

Heart rate QTc interval is an independent predictor of all-cause and CVD mortality in this population with type 2 diabetes, suggesting that additional prognostic information may be available from this simple ECG measure.

Prevalence and risk factors of prolonged QTc interval among Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes

Objectives. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence and the risk factors of prolonged QTc interval among Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes. Methods. The retrospective study included 3156 outpatients from the Diabetes Centre, the 306th Hospital of PLA, during the period from September 2003 to June 2010. QT interval was measured manually in the 12-lead conventional electrocardiogram. The QT interval corrected for heart rate (QTc) was calculated using Bazett's formula. Additional demographic and laboratory data were also collected. Potential risk factors of prolonged QTc interval were assessed using multivariable regression. Results. The prevalence of prolonged QTc interval among Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes was 30.1%. Height (OR 0.156, 95% CI 0.032~0.748), waist circumference (OR 1.025, 95% CI 1.010~1.040), diastolic blood pressure (OR 1.016, 95% CI 1.007~1.026), postprandial glucose (OR 1.040, 95% CI 1.022~1.059), fasting insulin (OR 1.014, 95% CI 1.003~1.025), and presence of microalbuminuria (OR 1.266, 95% CI 1.033~1.551) were significant risk factors. Conclusions. The prevalence of prolonged QTc interval among Chinese patients with type 2 diabetes is high. Risk factors for prolongation of QTc interval were low height, high waist circumference, increasing diastolic blood pressure levels, high postprandial glucose levels, high fasting insulin levels, and presence of microalbuminuria.

Early cardiac evaluation in children with non-specific mitochondrial disease with isolated mitochondrial respiratory chain complex I defect

AIMS

We evaluated echocardiography and electrocardiography (ECG) results in children with non-specific mitochondrial disease (MD) in order to study early cardiac involvement, a well-known complication of the disease.

METHODS

Among non-specific MD children whose isolated mitochondrial respiratory chain complex I defect was confirmed by muscle biopsy and satisfied the criteria of MD, 27 who had no cardiac symptoms were evaluated by echocardiography and ECG.

RESULTS

Three (11.1%) out of the 27 non-specific MD patients had left ventricular ejection fraction of less than 55% and two of them (7.4%) had fractional shortening of less than 26%. ECG abnormalities were observed in 16 of the non-specific MD patients (59.3%). Prolongation of heart rate-corrected QT interval was seen in 11 (40.7%) and widening of the QRS interval in eight (29.6%). Left ventricular ejection fraction and fractional shortening of the patients were significantly decreased compared with those in the control group while heart rate-corrected QT interval was prolonged in the former group. QRS interval was more widened in non-specific MD patients, but without statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

The potentially severe cardiac involvement observed in our subjects suggests that early cardiac evaluation after confirming the diagnosis of MD and regular follow-up tests should be strongly recommended in children even in cases without typical cardiac manifestations.

Effect of the yellow passion fruit peel flour (Passiflora edulis f. flavicarpa deg.) in insulin sensitivity in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients

BACKGROUND

A study with the yellow passion fruit peel flour showed positive action in blood glucose control as therapies' adjuvant in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Therefore, we evaluated its effect on insulin sensitivity since there is a quest for studies that focus at better understanding of insulin resistance aspects in diabetic patients. Furthermore its relationship with chronic complications can also give good prospects for alternative treatments.

METHODS

A total of 43 type 2 diabetes volunteers (28 females and 15 males) ingested 30 g/day of the yellow passion fruit peel flour for two months. The levels of blood glucose and fasting insulin, HOMA index and glycated hemoglobin were measured for each patient before and after dietary supplementation.

RESULTS

There was a significant difference in the fasting blood glucose values (P = 0.000) and glycated hemoglobin (P = 0.032) after supplementation. It was also seen a reduction in HOMA IR (P = 0.005) in the supplemented group, however it was not observed changes in insulin values for females. HOMA beta (P = 0.000) showed significant increase in its values for the studied group.

CONCLUSIONS

The supplementation used decreased insulin resistance in type 2 diabetic patients, suggesting a positive action in blood glucose control as adjuvant therapy in conventional treatments.

Correlates of the incidence of disability and mortality among older adult Brazilians with and without diabetes mellitus and stroke

Background

The combined effect of diabetes and stroke on disability and mortality remains largely unexplored in Brazil and Latin America. Previous studies have been based primarily on data from developed countries. This study addresses the empirical gap by evaluating the combined impact of diabetes and stroke on disability and mortality in Brazil.

Methods

The sample was drawn from two waves of the Survey on Health and Well-being of the Elderly, which followed 2,143 older adults in São Paulo, Brazil, from 2000 to 2006. Disability was assessed via measures of activities of daily living (ADL) limitations, severe ADL limitations, and receiving assistance to perform these activities. Logistic and multinomial regression models controlling for sociodemographic and health conditions were used to address the influence of diabetes and stroke on disability and mortality.

Results

By itself, the presence of diabetes did not increase the risk of disability or the need for assistance; however, diabetes was related to increased risks when assessed in combination with stroke. After controlling for demographic, social and health conditions, individuals who had experienced stroke but not diabetes were 3.4 times more likely to have ADL limitations than those with neither condition (95% CI 2.26-5.04). This elevated risk more than doubled for those suffering from a combination of diabetes and stroke (OR 7.34, 95% CI 3.73-14.46). Similar effects from the combination of diabetes and stroke were observed for severe ADL limitations (OR 19.75, 95% CI 9.81- 39.76) and receiving ADL assistance (OR 16.57, 95% CI 8.39-32.73). Over time, older adults who had experienced a stroke were at higher risk of remaining disabled (RRR 4.28, 95% CI 1.53,11.95) and of mortality (RRR 3.42, 95% CI 1.65,7.09). However, risks were even higher for those who had experienced both diabetes and stroke. Diabetes was associated with higher mortality.

Conclusions

Findings indicate that a combined history of stroke and diabetes has a great impact on disability prevalence and mortality among older adults in São Paulo, Brazil.

Increased QT interval dispersion predicts 15-year cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetic subjects: the population-based Casale Monferrato Study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictive role of increased corrected QT (QTc) and QT interval dispersion (QTd) on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a large, unselected type 2 diabetic population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The prospective study included 1,357 type 2 diabetic patients from the Casale Monferrato Study. At baseline, QTc intervals >0.44 s and QTd intervals >0.08 s were considered abnormally prolonged. Both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were assessed 15 years after the baseline examination.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 862 subjects per 12,450 person-years died. Multivariate analysis showed that the hazard ratio (HR) of cardiovascular mortality was significantly increased in subjects with prolonged QTd (1.26 [95% CI 1.02-1.55]) and was only slightly reduced after multiple adjustments. Conversely, prolonged QTc did not increase the HRs for all-cause or cardiovascular mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased QTd predicts cardiovascular mortality after a long-term follow-up period in a large, unselected population of type 2 diabetic subjects.

Methods of competing risks analysis of end-stage renal disease and mortality among people with diabetes

BACKGROUND

When a patient experiences an event other than the one of interest in the study, usually the probability of experiencing the event of interest is altered. By contrast, disease-free survival time analysis by standard methods, such as the Kaplan-Meier method and the standard Cox model, does not distinguish different causes in the presence of competing risks. Alternative approaches use the cumulative incidence estimator by the Cox models on cause-specific and on subdistribution hazards models. We applied cause-specific and subdistribution hazards models to a diabetes dataset with two competing risks (end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or death without ESRD) to measure the relative effects of covariates and cumulative incidence functions.

RESULTS

In this study, the cumulative incidence curve of the risk of ESRD by the cause-specific hazards model was revealed to be higher than the curves generated by the subdistribution hazards model. However, the cumulative incidence curves of risk of death without ESRD based on those three models were very similar.

CONCLUSIONS

In analysis of competing risk data, it is important to present both the results of the event of interest and the results of competing risks. We recommend using either the cause-specific hazards model or the subdistribution hazards model for a dominant risk. However, for a minor risk, we do not recommend the subdistribution hazards model and a cause-specific hazards model is more appropriate. Focusing the interpretation on one or a few causes and ignoring the other causes is always associated with a risk of overlooking important features which may influence our interpretation.

A 12-year follow-up study of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among 10,532 people newly diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes in Tayside, Scotland

AIMS

To determine absolute and relative risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among patients newly diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In an observational cohort study using record-linkage databases, based in Tayside, Scotland, UK, we identified newly diagnosed patients with Type 2 diabetes in 1993-2004. We also identified a set of non-diabetic comparators from lists of patients registered with a general practice, individually matched to the diabetic patients by sex, age and deprivation. We followed up patients for mortality and cardiovascular mortality over a 12-year period and calculated hazard ratios using Cox regression.

RESULTS

There were 10,532 patients with Type 2 diabetes and 21,056 non-diabetic comparators. Diabetic patients in every age/sex group had higher absolute mortality rates. Even taking deprivation into account, the hazard ratio for mortality was 1.32 (95% CI 1.25-1.40), decreasing to 1.15 (1.09-1.22) after adjusting for pre-existing cardiovascular disease. The hazard ratios for cardiovascular mortality were higher, decreasing from 1.51 (1.37-1.67) to 1.23 (1.11-1.36) after adjusting for pre-existing cardiovascular disease. The hazard ratios decreased with increasing age at diagnosis, although the difference in absolute rate of mortality increased slightly with age. Increased mortality risks were only evident 2 years after diagnosis and increased thereafter.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with Type 2 diabetes have an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality compared with non-diabetic comparators, although this is not observable immediately after diagnosis. Age at diagnosis and duration of the disease independently affect absolute and relative mortality risk.

Electrocardiography as an early cardiac screening test in children with mitochondrial disease

Purpose

To evaluate myocardial conductivity to understand cardiac involvement in patients with mitochondrial disease.

Methods

We performed retrospective study on fifty-seven nonspecific mitochondrial encephalopathy patients with no clinical cardiac manifestations. The patients were diagnosed with mitochondrial respiratory chain complex defects through biochemical enzyme assays of muscle tissue. We performed standard 12-lead electrocardiography (ECG) on all patients.

Results

ECG abnormalities were observed in 30 patients (52.6%). Prolongation of the QTc interval (>440 ms) was seen in 19 patients (33.3%), widening of the corrected QRS interval in 15 (26.3%), and bundle branch block in four (7.0%). Atrioventricular block, premature atrial contraction and premature ventricular contraction were seen in two patients each (3.5%) and Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome in one patient (1.8%).

Conclusion

Given this finding, we recommend active screening with ECG in patients with mitochondrial disease even in patients without obvious cardiac manifestation.

16-year excess all-cause mortality of newly diagnosed type 2 diabetic patients: a cohort study

Background

Studies have shown that type 2 diabetic patients have higher all-cause mortality than people without diabetes, but it is less clear how diabetes affects mortality in elderly patients and to what degree mortality differs between diabetic men and women. The aim of the present study is to investigate the age- and sex-specific all-cause mortality pattern in patients with type 2 diabetes in comparison with the Danish background population.

Methods

Population-based cohort study of 1323 patients, diagnosed with clinical type 2 diabetes in 1989-92 and followed for 16 years. Median (interquartile range) age at diagnosis was 65.3 (55.8-73.6) years. The age- and sex-specific hazard rates were estimated for the cohort using the life table method and compared with the expected hazard rates calculated with Danish register data from the general population.

Results

In comparison with the general population, diabetic patients had a 1.5-2.5 fold higher risk of dying depending on age. The over-mortality was higher for men than for women. It decreased with age in both sexes, and among patients over 80 years at diagnosis the difference between the observed and the expected survival was small.

Conclusion

We found an excess mortality of type 2 diabetic patients compared with the background population in all age groups. The excess mortality was most pronounced in men and in young patients.

Influência da adiposidade sobre o risco inflamatório em pacientes com glicemia de jejum alterada

OBJETIVO: Investigar as alterações dos marcadores inflamatórios em obesos com glicemia de jejum alterada. MÉTODOS: Foram avaliados 125 indivíduos adultos tendo sido pesquisados: Índice de Massa Corporal, circunferência da cintura, glicemia de jejum, proteína C reativa ultra-sensível, ácido úrico e homocisteína. Os grupos apresentando glicemia de jejum normal (grupo 1) e glicemia de jejum alterada (grupo 2) foram comparados entre si e em associação aos subgrupos de obesos, sobrepesos e eutróficos. RESULTADOS: O grupo 2 apresentou maiores valores de circunferência da cintura (p<0,05), principalmente quando associados ao excesso de peso. Adicionalmente, o grupo 2 mostrou valores de proteína C reativa e ácido úrico superiores, sendo os dos obesos maiores que os com sobrepeso e os eutróficos, enquanto a homocisteína foi semelhante entre obesos, com sobrepeso e eutróficos. O Índice de Massa Corporal correlacionou-se positivamente com ambos ácido úrico (r=0,39, p<0,01) e proteína C reativa (r=0,37; p<0,01). A circunferência da cintura apresentou correlação apenas com o ácido úrico (r=0,53, p<0,01). Porém, a correlação entre Índice de Massa Corporal e proteína C reativa foi significante no grupo 2 (r=0,66, p<0,01), mas não no grupo 1 (r=0,25, p>0,05). O mesmo resultado foi encontrado em relação à circunferência da cintura e à proteína C reativa, que se correlacionaram significantemente somente na presença de glicemia de jejum alterada (r=0,40, p<0,05). Na regressão logística, a circunferência da cintura foi a variável explicativa (11%, p<0,01) da alteração da glicemia de jejum. CONCLUSÃO: Os estados pró-oxidativo e pró-inflamatório estiveram significantemente associados à glicemia de jejum alterada na presença de adiposidade corporal.

Cardiovascular risk attributable to diabetes in southern Brazil: a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the effect of diabetes on general and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and morbidity in southern Brazil.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A population-based cohort study of 1,091 individuals was conducted. Diabetes was ascertained by medical history. The vital status of 982 individuals and the incidence of events were ascertained during another visit and through hospital records, death certificates, and verbal necropsy with relatives.

RESULTS

The mean +/- SD age of participants was 43.1 +/- 17 years, and 55.7% were women. The prevalence of diabetes was 4.2%, and the mean follow-up time was 5.3 +/- 0.07 years. Mortality was 36.3% and 6.6% in participants with or without diabetes, respectively; the incidence of CVD was 20.8% and 3.0%, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 4.4 (95% CI 2.4-7.9). Diabetic population-attributable risk (PAR) for CVD mortality was 10.1% and 13.1% for total CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes is responsible for a large PAR for overall mortality and cardiovascular events in Brazil.

Predictors of development and progression of microvascular complications in a cohort of Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients

AIMS

Microvascular complications are associated with increased mortality in diabetes. The objective of this study was to investigate the predictors of microvascular complication development and progression in a prospective study of Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients.

METHODS

A prospective follow-up study was carried out with 471 type 2 diabetic outpatients. Primary end points were the development or progression of retinopathy, peripheral neuropathy, and clinical nephropathy. Predictors were assessed for each individual microvascular complication and also as a composite outcome by Kaplan-Meier estimation of survival curves and by uni- and multivariate Cox analysis.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 57 months (range 2-84 months), 196 patients (41.6%) developed or had a progression in microvascular disease. Retinopathy occurred in 22.5%, nephropathy in 19.1%, and neuropathy in 15.5% of the patients. In Cox multivariate analysis, increased echocardiographic left ventricular mass (LVM) and longer diabetes duration were selected as predictors for all end points. Higher mean fasting glycemia was a predictor for retinopathy and neuropathy, lower serum high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol for neuropathy, and higher total cholesterol for nephropathy. Increased LVM [hazard ratio (HR): 1.39, 95% CI: 1.23-1.56], higher fasting glycemia (HR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.36), and longer diabetes duration (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.11-1.47) were the predictors of the composite end point.

CONCLUSIONS

Development and progression of microvascular complications in Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients are associated with worse hypertension and metabolic control. Additional studies are necessary to show if modification of these risk factors can reduce the burden of morbidity and mortality related to microvascular disease in type 2 diabetes.

[Influence of body weight excess and central adiposity in glycemic and lipid profile in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus]

The purpose of the present study was to evaluate, in diabetic type 2 patients, the influence of body weight excess assessed by BMI and the central adiposity assessed by the waist circumference in the lipid and glycemic profile. One hundred and forty five individuals assisted in a unit of health, aged >or= 20 years old, were appraised. The female frequency was 61.4%. Among men, the weight excess was correlated with HDL (r = -0.34, p < 0.05), with the total cholesterol (r = 0.35, p < 0.01), and with the triglycerides (r = 49, p < 0.0001), and among women there was correlation just with the triglycerides (r = 0.24, p < 0,05). Waist circumference was correlated with the fast glycemia women's group (r = 0.3, p < 0.01), with the total cholesterol among men (r = 0.33, p < 0.05) and with triglycerides in both genders (F: r = 0.22, p < 0.05; M: r = 0.49, p < 0.001). Highest glycemic and triglycerides levels were present in patients with excess body weight and central adiposity and lower HDL levels were present in patients with body weight excess. In conclusion, there is association between inadequate metabolic profile and the excess of body weight and/or central obesity, evidencing the need for a nutritional and clinical intervention in the diabetic type 2 patients, in order to reduce the risk of future chronic complications.

Internações por Diabetes Mellitus como diagnóstico principal na Rede Pública do Brasil, 1999-2001

OBJETIVO: Descrever no âmbito nacional e por faixa etária, sexo e região as 327.800 hospitalizações por diabetes mellitus (DM) da rede pública do Brasil, entre 1999-2001. MÉTODOS: Foram utilizados dados do Sistema de Informação Hospitalar do Sistema Único de Saúde (SIH/SUS) referentes ao DM (diagnóstico principal CID-10 E10-E14 combinado com procedimento realizado) e indicadores anuais de hospitalizações/10(4)hab. e óbitos hospitalares/10(6)hab. (ajustados pelo método direto por idade), letalidade, médias de permanência e gastos por internação e por 10(4)hab. em US$, e regressão logística múltipla para desfecho óbito. RESULTADOS: Houve mais hospitalizações anuais do sexo feminino (7,5/10(4)hab. [intervalo de confiança de 95%: 7,4-7,6] vs. masculino (5,2/10(4)hab. [5,2-5,3]), mais óbitos hospitalares anuais de mulheres (38,1/10(6)hab. [36,8-39,3] vs. 30,7 [29,5-32,0]), porém maior letalidade no sexo masculino (5,9 vs. 5,0%) em todas as regiões. Observou-se incremento das hospitalizações com a idade, mais acentuado para mulheres. Não houve diferença na permanência das internações com óbito (6,5 dias [6,3-6,6]) ou sem (6,4 [6,3-6,6]), apesar do gasto por internação superior (US$ 275,27 [268,37-282,16] vs. 143,45 [136,56-150,35]). O gasto anual/10(4)hab. equivaleu a US$ 969,09. A razão de chances de óbito hospitalar aumentou com a idade, foi maior para homens (1,21 [1,17-1,24]) e 2 vezes maior para habitantes das regiões Nordeste e Sudeste comparados aos da região Sul. Os gastos anuais/10(4)hab. foram 50-100% maiores nas regiões mais desenvolvidas. CONCLUSÕES: O volume e a desigualdade nos gastos enfatizam a necessidade de cobertura mais adequada da população, evitando as hospitalizações e suas complicações.

Incidence and risk factors of prolonged QTc interval in type 1 diabetes: the EURODIAB Prospective Complications Study

OBJECTIVE

Corrected QT (QTc) prolongation is predictive of cardiovascular mortality in both the general and diabetic populations. As part of the EURODIAB Prospective Complication Study, we have assessed the 7-year incidence and risk factors of prolonged QTc in people with type 1 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 1,415 type 1 diabetic subjects, who had normal QTc at baseline, were reanalyzed after the 7-year follow-up period. QTc >0.44 s was considered abnormally prolonged.

RESULTS

Cumulative incidence of prolonged QTc was 18.7%, which is twofold higher in women than in men (24.5 vs. 13.9%, P < 0.0001). At the baseline examination, incident cases were older and less physically active than nonincident cases, had higher mean values of systolic blood pressure and HDL cholesterol, and had higher frequencies of hypertension, coronary heart disease, and distal symmetrical polyneuropathy. In multivariate logistic regression analyses, female sex and higher values of A1C and systolic blood pressure were associated with the risk of prolonged QTc, whereas physical activity and BMI within the range of 21.5-23.2 kg/m2 were protective factors. In women, association with modifiable factors, particularly BMI, was stronger than in men.

CONCLUSIONS

In type 1 diabetic subjects from the EURODIAB cohort, female sex, A1C, and systolic blood pressure are predictive of prolonged QTc, whereas physical activity and BMI within the range of 21.5-23.2 kg/m2 play a protective role. These findings are clinically relevant, as they may help to identify subjects at higher risk for prolonged QTc, as well as provide potential targets for risk-lowering strategies.

Substitution of drinking water by fructose solution induces hyperinsulinemia and hyperglycemia in hamsters

PURPOSE

To test the possibility of obtaining a practical and stable model of hyperinsulinemia and hyperglycemia in hamsters, substituting the drinking water by 10% or 20% fructose solutions for a period of 2, 4, or 6 months.

METHODS

Male hamsters were divided into 3 main groups, further divided in 3 subgroups: Two months: Group Ia control (n = 51) received filtered water, Group Ib (n = 49) received 10% fructose solution instead of water, Group Ic (n=8) received 20% fructose solution instead of water. Four months: Group IIa control (n=8), Group IIb 10% fructose (n = 7), Group IIc 20% fructose (FIIc, n = 7). Six months: Group IIIa control (n = 6), Group IIIb 10% Fructose (n = 6), Group IIIc 20% Fructose (n = 5). All groups were fed with the same laboratory diet. The animals were weighed every 2 weeks during the study period. On the final day of each experiment (61st, 121st, and 181st day after the beginning of the study, respectively), the animals were weighed and anesthetized for blood collection to determine plasma glucose and insulin after at least a 12-h fast. Ten animals of group Ia and 10 of group Ib were evaluated to determine changes in macromolecular permeability induced by ischemia/reperfusion as measured in the cheek pouch microcirculation.

RESULTS

Compared to controls, the animals that drank the 10% or 20% fructose solution had significantly greater weight gain (P < .001), fasting plasma glucose (P < .001) Reperfusion, after 30 min ischemia, resulted in an immediate but reversible increase in postcapillary leakage (L) of 89.0 +/- 2.0 L/cm(2) (group Ia - controls), and 116.5 +/- 4.8 L/cm(2) (group Ib 10% fructose), P < .001. These results suggest that chronic administration of either 10% or 20% fructose solutions could be used to experimentally induce a stable hamster model of hyperinsulinemia and hyperglycemia.

CONCLUSION

The model might facilitate the study of basic mechanisms of hyperglycemia and hyperinsulinemia affecting the microvasculature as demonstrated by the findings regarding ischemia/reperfusion after only 2 months of treatment.

Macro and microvascular complications are determinants of increased infection-related mortality in Brazilian type 2 diabetes mellitus patients

OBJECTIVE

To investigate infection-related mortality and its predictors in Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients.

METHODS

It was carried out a long-term prospective study with 471 type 2 diabetic outpatients. Several clinical, laboratory and electrocardiographic variables were recorded at baseline. Predictive factors for infection-related mortality were evaluated by Kaplan-Meyer estimation of survival curves, univariate and multivariate Cox survival analysis. Excess infection-related mortality in this cohort was evaluated by comparing its rate with that of the Rio de Janeiro background population and calculating standardized mortality rates (SMR).

RESULTS

During a median follow up of 57 months (range: 1-86 months), 40 (33.1%) patients died from infection-related causes. After adjusting for age and sex, the infection-related SMR was 6.6 (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 4.8-9.0). In Cox multivariate analysis the predictors of infection-related mortality were older age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.91; 95% CI: 1.35-2.70), pre-existing peripheral arterial disease (HR: 3.86; 95% CI: 1.80-8.28) and cerebrovascular disease (HR: 3.28; 95% CI: 1.24-8.70), lower HDL-cholesterol (HR: 2.50; 95% CI: 1.32-4.74) and increased 24h-proteinuria (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.08-1.37). After excluding patients with peripheral and cerebrovascular disease at baseline, neuropathy and coronary heart disease were selected as predictors of mortality, besides older age and proteinuria.

CONCLUSIONS

Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients have a six-fold excess infection-related mortality than the general population. This increased mortality is mainly determined by the presence of micro and macrovascular complications. Multifactorial risk interventions are needed in order to decrease this burden of infection-related mortality.

The burden of mortality attributable to diabetes: realistic estimates for the year 2000

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the global number of excess deaths due to diabetes in the year 2000.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used a computerized generic formal disease model (DisMod II), used by the World Health Organization to assess disease burden through modeling the relationships between incidence, prevalence, and disease-specific mortality. Baseline input data included population structure, age- and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence, and available published estimates of relative risk of death for people with diabetes compared with people without diabetes. The results were validated with population-based observations and independent estimates of relative risk of death.

RESULTS

The excess global mortality attributable to diabetes in the year 2000 was estimated to be 2.9 million deaths, equivalent to 5.2% of all deaths. Excess mortality attributable to diabetes accounted for 2-3% of deaths in poorest countries and over 8% in the U.S., Canada, and the Middle East. In people 35-64 years old, 6-27% of deaths were attributable to diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

These are the first global estimates of mortality attributable to diabetes. Globally, diabetes is likely to be the fifth leading cause of death.

The -374A allele of the receptor for advanced glycation end products gene is associated with a decreased risk of ischemic heart disease in African-Brazilians with type 2 diabetes

Three functional polymorphisms described in the promoter of receptor for advanced glycation end products (RAGE) gene were shown to have a marked effect on transcriptional activity. The few studies which analyzed the relationship between these three polymorphisms and the diabetic complications have shown conflicting results. In this case-control study, we evaluated the association between the -429T>C, the -374T>A and the 63bp insertion/deletion (I/D) polymorphisms in the RAGE gene, and the presence of diabetic retinopathy, diabetic nephropathy and ischemic heart disease, in 703 Brazilians with type 2 diabetes (520 Caucasian- and 183 African-Brazilians). Patients underwent a clinical and laboratory evaluation consisting of a questionnaire, physical examination, assessment of diabetic complications and blood collection. Genotype analysis was performed using the polymerase chain reaction and allele-specific restriction. Logistic regression analyses were used to examine associations between the clinical and genetic variables and the presence of diabetic complications. No association between the -429C, the -374A and the 63bp D alleles and diabetic retinopathy, diabetic nephropathy or ischemic heart disease was observed in Caucasian-Brazilians with type 2 diabetes. However, the -374A allele was associated with a decreased risk of having ischemic heart disease in African-Brazilian type 2 diabetic patients [odds ratio (OR)=0.35; 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.15-0.81; P=0.014], independently of other risk factors associated with this complication. Thus, our results show that the -374A allele (-374T>A polymorphism) in the RAGE gene is related to the susceptibility of developing ischemic heart disease in African-Brazilians with type 2 diabetes.

Usefulness of QT-interval parameters for cardiovascular risk stratification in type 2 diabetic patients with arterial hypertension

QT-interval parameters are potential indicators of increased cardiovascular risk. We evaluated prospectively their prognostic value, in relation to other risk markers, for cardiovascular fatal and nonfatal events in a cohort of 271 hypertensive type 2 diabetic outpatients. QT intervals were measured from 12-lead standard ECGs obtained on admission and maximum rate-corrected QT-interval duration and QT-interval dispersion (QTd) calculated. Clinical and laboratory data and 2-D echocardiograms (available in 126 patients) were recorded. Survival analyses included Kaplan-Meier survival curves, uni and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards models. After a median follow-up of 55 months (range 2-84), 68 total fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular events and 34 cardiovascular deaths (24 of them from cardiac causes) were observed. In multivariate Cox analysis, QTd was an independent predictor for total cardiovascular events (HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.01-1.34, for each 10 ms increments) and for cardiac deaths (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.01-1.60). Other independent risk indicators for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality were echocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (Echo-LVH), serum triglycerides, presence of pre-existing cardiac and peripheral arterial disease, age, diabetes duration, heart rate and the presence of frequent ventricular premature contractions on ECG. The combination of QTd and Echo-LVH improved cardiovascular risk stratification compared with either alone, the presence of both prolonged QTd (>65 ms) and Echo-LVH was associated with a 3.2-fold (95% CI: 1.7-6.1) increased risk of a first cardiovascular event and a 5.9-fold (95% CI: 2.1-16.4) increased risk of cardiovascular death. Thus, QT provided additive prognostic information for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality beyond that obtained from conventional risk markers, including Echo-LVH, in type 2 diabetic patients with arterial hypertension.

Is atherosclerosis in diabetes and impaired fasting glucose driven by elevated LDL cholesterol or by decreased HDL cholesterol?

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the atherogenicity of lipids in coronary patients with normal fasting glucose (NFG), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), and type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Serum lipid values, the presence of angiographic coronary artery disease (CAD) at baseline, and the incidence of vascular events over 2.3 years were recorded in 750 consecutive patients undergoing coronary angiography.

RESULTS

Triglycerides significantly (P < 0.001) increased and HDL cholesterol (P < 0.001) as well as LDL particle diameter (P < 0.001) significantly decreased from subjects with NFG <5.6 mmol/l (n = 272) over patients with IFG > or =5.6 mmol/l (n = 314) to patients with type 2 diabetes (n = 164). Factor analysis revealed two factors in the lipid profiles of our patients: triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, apolipoprotein A1, and LDL particle diameter loaded high on an HDL-related factor, and total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and apolipoprotein B loaded high on an LDL-related factor. In patients with type 2 diabetes, the HDL-related factor (odds ratio 0.648 [95% CI 0.464-0.904]; P = 0.011), but not the LDL-related factor (0.921 [0.677-1.251]; P = 0.597), was associated with significant coronary stenoses > or =50%. Consistently, in the prospective study, the HDL-related factor (0.708 [0.506-0.990]; P = 0.044), but not the LDL-related factor (1.362 [0.985-1.883]; P = 0.061), proved significantly predictive for vascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

The low HDL cholesterol/high triglyceride pattern is associated with the degree of hyperglycemia. In coronary patients with type 2 diabetes, this pattern correlates with the prevalence of CAD and significantly predicts the incidence of vascular events.