TBscore II: Refining and validating a simple clinical score for treatment monitoring of patients with pulmonary tuberculosis

Factors associated with hospitalization and mortality in adult and pediatric extrapulmonary tuberculosis at a tertiary care hospital in Central India

BACKGROUND

Comorbidities complicate the management of tuberculosis (TB) and have become an essential part of the end TB strategy to eradicate TB. However, pulmonary TB has received the most attention, and little is known about the impact of comorbidities and other factors on outcomes in patients with extrapulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB).

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to analyze the factors associated with hospitalization and mortality in EPTB at a hospital in Central India, using non-TB patients with similar clinical presentations as a comparison.

METHODS

Patients with presumptive EPTB were prospectively enrolled and followed up until the end of treatment or for at least 6 months. Detailed demographic and clinical information was collected for all participants, and patients were categorized as TB or non-TB using a composite reference standard. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the impact of various clinical findings and risk factors on hospitalization and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 276 patients were categorized as TB cases and 175 as non-TB cases. Factors associated with hospitalization in children were younger age and non-adenitis site of disease. In adults, factors associated with mortality were older age, non-adenitis site of disease and HIV infection regardless of TB diagnosis, while diabetes mellitus increased the odds of mortality in EPTB patients.

CONCLUSION

Our results show that comorbidities increase the odds of death in both TB and non-TB patients in low-resource settings. This argues for a shift away from the traditional vertical management of diseases in these areas and supports a continued focus on building robust healthcare systems.

Percent of lung involved in disease on chest X-ray predicts unfavorable treatment outcome in pulmonary tuberculosis

Radiology may better define tuberculosis (TB) severity and guide duration of treatment. We aimed to systematically study baseline chest X-rays (CXR) and their association with TB treatment outcome using real-world data. We used logistic regression to associate TB treatment outcomes with CXR findings, including percent of lung involved in disease (PLI), cavitation, and Timika score, alone or in combination with other clinical characteristics, stratifying by drug resistance status and HIV (n = 2,809). We fine-tuned convolutional neural nets (CNN) to automate PLI measurement from the CXR DICOM images (n = 5,261). PLI is the only CXR finding associated with unfavorable outcome across drug resistance and HIV subgroups [Rifampicin-susceptible disease without HIV, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1·11 (1·01, 1·22), P-value 0·025]. The most informed model of baseline characteristics tested predicts outcome with a validation mean area under the curve (AUC) of 0·769. PLI and Timika (AUC 0·656 and 0·655 respectively) predict unfavorable outcomes better than cavitary information (best AUC 0·591). The addition of PLI improves prediction compared to sex and age alone (AUC 0·680 and 0·627, respectively).PLI>25% provides a better separation of favorable and unfavorable outcomes compared to PLI>50%. The best performing ensemble of CNNs has an AUC 0·850 for PLI>25% and mean absolute error of 11·7% for the PLI value. PLI is better than cavitation for predicting unfavorable treatment outcome in pulmonary TB in non-clinical trial settings and it can be accurately and automatically predicted with CNNs.

One Sentence Summary

The percent of lung involved in disease improves prediction of unfavorable outcomes in pulmonary tuberculosis when added to clinical characteristics.

Drug Exposure and Treatment Outcomes in Patients With Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis and Diabetes Mellitus: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study From China

BACKGROUND

The management of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) remains challenging. Treatment outcome is influenced by multiple factors; the specific roles of diabetes and glycemic control remain uncertain. This study aims to assess the impact of glycemic control on drug exposure, to investigate the association between drug exposure and treatment outcomes, and to identify clinically significant thresholds predictive of treatment outcome, among patients with diabetes.

METHODS

This multicenter prospective cohort study involved patients with confirmed MDR-TB and diabetes. Drug exposure level was estimated by noncompartmental analysis. The minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) were determined for the individual Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates. The influence of poor glycemic control (glycated hemoglobin ≥7%) on drug exposure and the associations between drug exposure and treatment outcome were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis. Classification and regression tree analysis was used to identify the drug exposure/susceptibility thresholds.

RESULTS

Among the 131 diabetic participants, 43 (32.8%) exhibited poor glycemic control. Poor glycemic control was independently associated with decreased exposure to moxifloxacin, linezolid, bedaquiline, and cycloserine, but not clofazimine. Additionally, a higher ratio of drug exposure to susceptibility was found to be associated with a favorable MDR-TB treatment outcome. Thresholds predictive of 6-month culture conversion and favorable outcome were bedaquiline area under the concentration-time curve (AUC)/MIC ≥245 and moxifloxacin AUC/MIC ≥67, demonstrating predictive accuracy in patients, regardless of their glycemic control status.

CONCLUSIONS

Glycemic control and optimal TB drug exposure are associated with improved treatment outcomes. This dual management strategy should be further validated in randomized controlled trials of patients with MDR-TB and diabetes.

The burden and natural history of cardiac pathology at TB diagnosis in a high-HIV prevalence district in Zambia: protocol for the TB-Heart study

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a major cause of death across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). In parallel, non-communicable disease and especially cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden has increased substantially in the region. Cardiac manifestations of TB are well-recognised but the extent to which they co-exist with pulmonary TB (PTB) has not been systematically evaluated. The aim of this study is to improve understanding of the burden of cardiac pathology in PTB in those living with and without HIV in a high-burden setting.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional and natural history study to evaluate the burden and natural history of cardiac pathology in participants with PTB in Lusaka, Zambia, a high burden setting for TB and HIV. Participants with PTB, with and without HIV will be consecutively recruited alongside age- and sex-matched TB-uninfected comparators on a 2:1 basis. Participants will undergo baseline assessments to collect clinical, socio-demographic, functional, laboratory and TB disease impact data followed by point-of-care and standard echocardiography. Participants with PTB will undergo further repeat clinical and functional examination at two- and six months follow-up. Those with cardiac pathology at baseline will undergo repeat echocardiography at six months.

DISCUSSION

The outcomes of the study are to a) determine the burden of cardiac pathology at TB diagnosis, b) describe its association with patient-defining risk factors and biochemical markers of cardiac injury and stretch and c) describe the natural history of cardiac pathology during the course of TB treatment.

Second-line antituberculosis drug exposure thresholds predictive of adverse events in multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate the association between drug exposure and adverse events (AEs) during the standardized multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment, as well as to identify predictive drug exposure thresholds.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective, observational multicenter study among participants receiving standardized MDR-TB treatment between 2016 and 2019 in China. AEs were monitored throughout the treatment and their relationships to drug exposure (e.g., the area under the drug concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h, AUC0-24 h) were analyzed. The thresholds of pharmacokinetic predictors of observed AEs were identified by boosted classification and regression tree (CART) and further evaluated by external validation.

RESULTS

Of 197 study participants, 124 (62.9%) had at least one AE, and 15 (7.6%) experienced serious AEs. The association between drug exposure and AEs was observed including bedaquiline, its metabolite M2, moxifloxacin and QTcF prolongation (QTcF >450 ms), linezolid and mitochondrial toxicity, cycloserine and psychiatric AEs. The CART-derived thresholds of AUC0-24 h predictive of the respective AEs were 3.2 mg·h/l (bedaquiline M2); 49.3 mg·h/l (moxifloxacin); 119.3 mg·h/l (linezolid); 718.7 mg·h/l (cycloserine).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the drug exposure thresholds predictive of AEs for key drugs against MDR-TB treatment. Using the derived thresholds will provide the knowledge base for further randomized clinical trials of dose adjustment to minimize the risk of AEs.

Drug Exposure and Susceptibility of Pyrazinamide Correlate with Treatment Response in Pyrazinamide-Susceptible Patients with Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis

Exploring the influence of pyrazinamide exposure and susceptibility on treatment response is crucial for optimizing the management of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). This study aimed to investigate the association between pyrazinamide exposure, susceptibility, and response to MDR-TB treatment, as well as find clinical thresholds for pyrazinamide. A prospective multi-center cohort study of participants with MDR-TB using pyrazinamide was conducted in three TB-designated hospitals in China. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to investigate the associations. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to identify clinical thresholds, which were further evaluated by multivariate analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The study included 143 patients with MDR-TB. The exposure/susceptibility ratio of pyrazinamide was associated with two-month culture conversion (adjusted risk ratio (aRR), 1.1; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.20), six-month culture conversion (aRR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.06-1.16), treatment success (aRR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03-1.10), as well as culture conversion time (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.18; 95% CI,1.14-1.23). The threshold for optimal improvement in sputum culture results at the sixth month of treatment was determined to be a pyrazinamide AUC0-24h/MIC ratio of 7.8. In conclusion, the exposure/susceptibility ratio of pyrazinamide is associated with the treatment response of MDR-TB, which may change in different Group A drug-based regimens.

BCG is protective against death in male but not female patients with pulmonary tuberculosis in Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Growing evidence supports the existence of a sex difference in immunity to tuberculosis (TB). This is most often to the detriment of males. This study aimed to assess the association between scar size from bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) and mortality risk stratified by sex.

METHODS

Kaplan-Meier survivor functions and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess mortality risk by sex and scar size. Groups were further compared by clinical and epidemiological characteristics.

RESULTS

Between 2003 and 2019, 2944 eligible patients were identified, of whom 1003 were included in the final analysis. Males with BCG scars, particularly large scars, were less likely to die within 1 y of diagnosis than males with no scar (adjusted hazard ratio 0.36 [95% confidence interval 0.15 to 0.88]). In contrast, females with small scars trended towards higher mortality than females with no scars or females with large scars.

CONCLUSIONS

BCG protects against death in male but not female patients with TB. More research is needed to determine the mechanisms underpinning these sex differences and whether they are generalizable beyond this setting.

Population pharmacokinetics and dose evaluations of linezolid in the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis

Background: The pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamics (PK/PD) target derived from the hollow-fiber system model for linezolid for treatment of the multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) requires clinical validation. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a population PK model for linezolid when administered as part of a standardized treatment regimen, to identify the PK/PD threshold associated with successful treatment outcomes and to evaluate currently recommended linezolid doses. Method: This prospective multi-center cohort study of participants with laboratory-confirmed MDR-TB was conducted in five TB designated hospitals. The population PK model for linezolid was built using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling using data from 168 participants. Boosted classification and regression tree analyses (CART) were used to identify the ratio of 0- to 24-h area under the concentration-time curve (AUC_0-24h) to the minimal inhibitory concentration (MIC) threshold using the BACTEC MGIT 960 method associated with successful treatment outcome and validated in multivariate analysis using data from a different and prospective cohort of 159 participants with MDR-TB. Furthermore, based on the identified thresholds, the recommended doses were evaluated by the probability of target attainment (PTA) analysis. Result: Linezolid plasma concentrations (1008 samples) from 168 subjects treated with linezolid, were best described by a 2-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination. An AUC_0-24h/MIC > 125 was identified as a threshold for successful treatment outcome. Median time to sputum culture conversion between the group with AUC_0-24h/MIC above and below 125 was 2 versus 24 months; adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 21.7; 95% confidence interval (CI), (6.4, 72.8). The boosted CART-derived threshold and its relevance to the final treatment outcome was comparable to the previously suggested target of AUC_0-24h/MIC (119) using MGIT MICs in a hollow fiber infection model. Based on the threshold from the present study, at a standard linezolid dose of 600 mg daily, PTA was simulated to achieve 100% at MGIT MICs of ≤ .25 mg which included the majority (81.1%) of isolates in the study. Conclusion: We validated an AUC_0-24h/MIC threshold which may serve as a target for dose adjustment to improve efficacy of linezolid in a bedaquiline-containing treatment. Linezolid exposures with the WHO-recommended dose (600 mg daily) was sufficient for all the M. tb isolates with MIC ≤ .25 mg/L.

Clinical utility of C-reactive protein-based triage for presumptive pulmonary tuberculosis in South African adults

BACKGROUND

Identification of an accurate, low-cost triage test for pulmonary TB among people presenting to healthcare facilities is an urgent global research priority. We assessed the diagnostic accuracy and clinical utility of C-reactive protein (CRP) for TB triage among symptomatic adult outpatients, irrespective of HIV status.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled adults reporting at least one (for people with HIV) or two (for people without HIV) symptoms of cough, fever, night sweats, or weight loss at two TB clinics in Cape Town, South Africa. Participants provided sputum for culture and Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of CRP (measured using a laboratory-based assay) against a TB-culture reference standard as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and sensitivity and specificity at pre-specified thresholds. We assessed clinical utility using decision curve analysis and benchmarked against WHO recommendations.

RESULTS

Of 932 included individuals, 255 (27%) had culture-confirmed pulmonary TB and 389 (42%) were living with HIV. CRP demonstrated an AUROC of 0·80 (95% confidence interval 0·77-0·83), with sensitivity 93% (89-95%) and specificity 54% (50-58%) using a primary cut-off of ≥10 mg/L. Performance was similar among people with HIV to those without. In decision curve analysis, CRP-based triage offered greater clinical utility than confirmatory testing for all up to a number willing to test threshold of 20 confirmatory tests per true positive pulmonary TB case diagnosed (threshold probability 5%). If it is possible to perform more confirmatory tests than this, a 'confirmatory test for all' strategy performed better.

CONCLUSIONS

CRP achieved the WHO-defined sensitivity, but not specificity, targets for a triage test for pulmonary TB and showed evidence of clinical utility among symptomatic outpatients, irrespective of HIV status.

FUNDING

South African Medical Research Council, EDCTP2, Royal Society Newton Advanced Fellowship, Wellcome Trust, National Institute of Health Research, Royal College of Physicians.

Xpert MTB/RIF on urine samples to increase diagnosis of TB in people living with HIV in Guinea-Bissau

OBJECTIVES

We investigated if Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) testing on urine samples among newly diagnosed HIV-patients as an adjunctive test to Xpert testing on sputum increases diagnosis. We sought to define subgroups of patients, for whom testing with either test is especially advantageous.

METHODS

We included patients >15 years, newly diagnosed with HIV, that delivered a urine sample on the day of HIV-diagnosis at the biggest HIV-clinic in Guinea-Bissau between September 5, 2016 and October 13, 2017 into a cross-sectional study. Patients were asked for a sputum sample, which was Xpert tested if returned within 30 days. A questionnaire and physical examination were completed on day of inclusion.

RESULTS

We included 390 patients. TB prevalence was 12.6%. Adding Xpert urine test to all newly diagnosed HIV-patients increased diagnostic yield of TB by 58% compared with testing on sputum alone. Patients who tested positive by Xpert on urine samples were clinically similar to those tested with sputum, except that the sputum positives reported more cough (p=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Indiscriminate Xpert urine testing in newly diagnosed HIV-patients with advanced disease increased diagnostic yield. Xpert testing for TB on urine and sputum should be offered as screening in Guinea-Bissau and possibly in similar settings.

Predicting mortality in pulmonary tuberculosis: A systematic review of prognostic models

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary tuberculosis is a highly prevalent disease in low-income countries; clinical prediction tools allow healthcare personnel to catalog patients with a higher risk of death in order to prioritize medical attention.

METHODOLOGY

We conducted a literature search on prognostic models aimed to predict mortality in patients diagnosed with pulmonary tuberculosis. We included prospective and retrospective studies where prognostic models predicting mortality were either developed or validated in patients diagnosed with pulmonary tuberculosis. Three reviewers independently assessed the quality of the included studies using the PROBAST tool (Prediction model study Risk of Bias Assessment Tool). A narrative review of the characteristics of each model was conducted.

RESULTS

Six articles (n = 3553 patients) containing six prediction models were included in the review. Most studies (5 out of 6) were retrospective cohorts, only one study was a prospective case-control study. All the studies had a high risk of bias according to the PROBAST tool in the overall assessment. Regarding the applicability of the prediction models, three studies had a low concern of applicability, two high concern and one unclear concern. Five studies developed new prediction rules. In general, the presented models had a good discriminatory ability, with areas under the curve fluctuating between 0.65 up to 0.91.

CONCLUSION

None of the prognostic models included in the review accurately predict mortality in patients with pulmonary tuberculosis, due to great heterogeneity in the population and a high risk of bias.

Tuberculosis Treatment Monitoring and Outcome Measures: New Interest and New Strategies

Despite the advent of new diagnostics, drugs and regimens, tuberculosis (TB) remains a global public health threat. A significant challenge for TB control efforts has been the monitoring of TB therapy and determination of TB treatment success. Current recommendations for TB treatment monitoring rely on sputum and culture conversion, which have low sensitivity and long turnaround times, present biohazard risk, and are prone to contamination, undermining their usefulness as clinical treatment monitoring tools and for drug development. We review the pipeline of molecular technologies and assays that serve as suitable substitutes for current culture-based readouts for treatment response and outcome with the potential to change TB therapy monitoring and accelerate drug development.

Safety and pharmacokinetics-pharmacodynamics of a shorter tuberculosis treatment with high-dose pyrazinamide and rifampicin: a study protocol of a phase II clinical trial (HighShort-RP)

INTRODUCTION

Increased dosing of rifampicin and pyrazinamide seems a viable strategy to shorten treatment and prevent relapse of drug-susceptible tuberculosis (TB), but safety and efficacy remains to be confirmed. This clinical trial aims to explore safety and pharmacokinetics-pharmacodynamics of a high-dose pyrazinamide-rifampicin regimen.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Adult patients with pulmonary TB admitted to six hospitals in Sweden and subjected to receive first-line treatment are included. Patients are randomised (1:3) to either 6-month standardised TB treatment or a 4-month regimen based on high-dose pyrazinamide (40 mg/kg) and rifampicin (35 mg/kg) along with standard doses of isoniazid and ethambutol. Plasma samples for measurement of drug exposure determined by liquid chromatography tandem-mass spectrometry are obtained at 0, 1, 2, 4, 6, 8, 12 and 24 hours, at day 1 and 14. Maximal drug concentration (Cmax) and area under the concentration-time curve (AUC0-24h) are estimated by non-compartmental analysis. Conditions for early model-informed precision dosing of high-dose pyrazinamide-rifampicin are pharmacometrically explored. Adverse drug effects are monitored throughout the study and graded according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events V.5.0. Early bactericidal activity is assessed by time to positivity in BACTEC MGIT 960 of induced sputum collected at day 0, 5, 8, 15 and week 8. Minimum inhibitory concentrations of first-line drugs are determined using broth microdilution. Disease severity is assessed with X-ray grading and a validated clinical scoring tool (TBscore II). Clinical outcome is registered according to WHO definitions (2020) in addition to occurrence of relapse after end of treatment. Primary endpoint is pyrazinamide AUC0-24h and main secondary endpoint is safety.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study is approved by the Swedish Ethical Review Authority and the Swedish Medical Products Agency. Informed written consent is collected before study enrolment. The study results will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04694586.

A new blood-based RNA signature (R9), for monitoring effectiveness of tuberculosis treatment in a South Indian longitudinal cohort

Tuberculosis (TB) treatment involves a multidrug regimen for six months, and until two months, it is unclear if treatment is effective. This delay can lead to the evolution of drug resistance, lung damage, disease spread, and transmission. We identify a blood-based 9-gene signature using a computational pipeline that constructs and interrogates a genome-wide transcriptome-integrated protein-interaction network. The identified signature is able to determine treatment response at week 1-2 in three independent public datasets. Signature-based R9-score correctly detected treatment response at individual timepoints (204 samples) from a newly developed South Indian longitudinal cohort involving 32 patients with pulmonary TB. These results are consistent with conventional clinical metrics and can discriminate good from poor treatment responders at week 2 (AUC 0.93(0.81-1.00)). In this work, we provide proof of concept that the R9-score can determine treatment effectiveness, making a case for designing a larger clinical study.

Effect of quitting smoking on health outcomes during treatment for tuberculosis: secondary analysis of the TB & Tobacco Trial

BACKGROUND

Despite treatment, patients with tuberculosis (TB) who smoke have poorer outcomes compared with non-smokers. It is unknown, however, if quitting smoking during the 6 months of TB treatment improves TB outcomes.

METHODS

The TB & Tobacco Trial was a double-blind, placebo-controlled randomised trial of cytisine for smoking cessation in 2472 patients with pulmonary TB in Bangladesh and Pakistan. In a secondary analysis, we investigated the hypothesis that smoking cessation improves health outcomes in patients during the TB treatment course. The outcomes included an eight-point TB clinical score, sputum conversion rates, chest X-ray grades, quality of life (EQ-5D-5L), TB cure plus treatment completion rates and relapse rates. These were compared between those who stopped smoking and those who did not, using regression analysis.

RESULTS

We analysed the data of 2273 (92%) trial participants. Overall, 25% (577/2273) of participants stopped smoking. Compared with non-quitters, those who quit had better TB cure plus treatment completion rates (91% vs 80%, p<0.001) and lower TB relapse rates (6% vs 14%, p<0.001). Among quitters, a higher sputum conversion rate at week 9 (91% vs 87%, p=0.036), lower mean TB clinical scores (-0.20 points, 95% CI -0.31 to -0.08, p=0.001) and slightly better quality of life (mean EQ-5D-5L 0.86 vs 0.85, p=0.015) at 6 months were also observed. These differences, except quality of life, remained statistically significant after adjusting for baseline values, trial arm and TB treatment adherence rates.

CONCLUSION

Patients with TB who stop smoking may have better outcomes than those who don't. Health professionals should support patients in stopping smoking.

Drug exposure and susceptibility of second-line drugs correlate with treatment response in patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: a multi-centre prospective cohort study in China

Background

Understanding the impact of drug exposure and susceptibility on treatment response of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) will help to optimise treatment. This study aimed to investigate the association between drug exposure, susceptibility and response to MDR-TB treatment.

Methods

Drug exposure and susceptibility for second-line drugs were measured for patients with MDR-TB. Multivariate analysis was applied to investigate the impact of drug exposure and susceptibility on sputum culture conversion and treatment outcome. Probability of target attainment was evaluated. Random Forest and CART (Classification and Regression Tree) analysis was used to identify key predictors and their clinical targets among patients on World Health Organization-recommended regimens.

Results

Drug exposure and corresponding susceptibility were available for 197 patients with MDR-TB. The probability of target attainment was highly variable, ranging from 0% for ethambutol to 97% for linezolid, while patients with fluoroquinolones above targets had a higher probability of 2-month culture conversion (56.3% versus 28.6%; adjusted OR 2.91, 95% CI 1.42–5.94) and favourable outcome (88.8% versus 68.8%; adjusted OR 2.89, 95% CI 1.16–7.17). Higher exposure values of fluoroquinolones, linezolid and pyrazinamide were associated with earlier sputum culture conversion. CART analysis selected moxifloxacin area under the drug concentration–time curve/minimum inhibitory concentration (AUC_0–24h/MIC) of 231 and linezolid AUC_0–24h/MIC of 287 as best predictors for 6-month culture conversion in patients receiving identical Group A-based regimens. These associations were confirmed in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

Our findings indicate that target attainment of TB drugs is associated with response to treatment. The CART-derived thresholds may serve as targets for early dose adjustment in a future randomised controlled study to improve MDR-TB treatment outcome.

Drug exposure and susceptibility were proved to be associated with treatment responses during multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment, and identified thresholds may serve as targets for dose adjustment in future clinical studies to improve treatment efficacyhttps://bit.ly/3pZQbFU

Assessing gender differences among presumed and diagnosed patients with pulmonary TB: observations from Guinea-Bissau

BACKGROUND

Globally, more males than females are diagnosed with pulmonary TB (PTB); however, the cause of this gender disparity remains unknown. We aimed to assess gender differences in an observational cohort of patients with presumed PTB (prePTB) at the Bandim Health Project, Guinea-Bissau.

METHODS

Adult patients with signs and symptoms suggestive of PTB seeking medical care were invited to participate and were referred to comprehensive diagnostic work-up.

RESULTS

We included 2020 patients with prePTB; 54.6% were female. Females were younger than males and more often infected with HIV. More male patients with prePTB were diagnosed with PTB and the proportion of smear-positive cases was greater among males. There was no gender difference in loss to follow-up during the diagnostic process. Of 219 patients with PTB, 205 started treatment, with no difference between genders regarding pretreatment loss to follow-up or treatment outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

More women sought help for symptoms indicative of PTB, yet more men were diagnosed. Women did not have more clinically severe disease at presentation, did not drop out of diagnostic procedures more frequently and did not experience a worse outcome than men. This suggests that the gender gap in PTB is unlikely to be due solely to differences in care-seeking behaviour or diagnostic procedures in our setting.

Anaerobe-enriched gut microbiota predicts pro-inflammatory responses in pulmonary tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

The relationship between tuberculosis (TB), one of the leading infectious causes of death worldwide, and the microbiome, which is critical for health, is poorly understood.

METHODS

To identify potential microbiome-host interactions, profiling of the oral, sputum and stool microbiota [n = 58 cases, n = 47 culture-negative symptomatic controls (SCs)] and whole blood transcriptome were done in pre-treatment presumptive pulmonary TB patients. This was a cross-sectional study. Microbiota were also characterised in close contacts of cases (CCCs, n = 73) and close contacts of SCs (CCSCs, n = 82) without active TB.

FINDINGS

Cases and SCs each had similar α- and β-diversities in oral washes and sputum, however, β-diversity differed in stool (PERMANOVA p = 0•035). Cases were enriched with anaerobes in oral washes, sputum (Paludibacter, Lautropia in both) and stool (Erysipelotrichaceae, Blautia, Anaerostipes) and their stools enriched in microbial genes annotated as amino acid and carbohydrate metabolic pathways. In pairwise comparisons with their CCCs, cases had Megasphaera-enriched oral and sputum microbiota and Bifidobacterium-, Roseburia-, and Dorea-depleted stools. Compared to their CCSCs, SCs had reduced α-diversities and many differential taxa per specimen type. Cases differed transcriptionally from SCs in peripheral blood (PERMANOVA p = 0•001). A co-occurrence network analysis showed stool taxa, Erysipelotrichaceae and Blautia, to negatively co-correlate with enriched "death receptor" and "EIF2 signalling" pathways whereas Anaerostipes positively correlated with enriched "interferon signalling", "Nur77 signalling" and "inflammasome" pathways; all of which are host pathways associated with disease severity. In contrast, none of the taxa enriched in SCs correlated with host pathways.

INTERPRETATION

TB-specific microbial relationships were identified in oral washes, induced sputum, and stool from cases before the confounding effects of antibiotics. Specific anaerobes in cases' stool predict upregulation of pro-inflammatory immunological pathways, supporting the gut microbiota's role in TB.

FUNDING

European & Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership, South African-Medical Research Council, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Increasing smear positive tuberculosis detection using a clinical score - A stepped wedge multicenter trial from Africa

BACKGROUND

The Bandim TBscore is a clinical score that predicts treatment outcome in Tuberculosis (TB) patients and proved useful as an indicator of which healthcare-seeking adults to refer for sputum smear microcopy. We aimed to test in a randomized trial if the TBscore could be used to enhance the detection of smear positive (SP) TB.

METHODS

We carried out a stepped wedge cluster-randomized trial at six health centers in Bissau, Guinea-Bissau, and Gondar, Ethiopia. The primary outcome was diagnostic yield for SP TB. Secondary outcomes were successful treatment and effect on overall 12 months mortality. The study was registered at the Pan African Clinical Trials Registry (PACTR201611001838365).

RESULTS

We included 3571 adults. Overall, there was no effect of the intervention on SP PTB detected (OR 1.39 (95%CI 0.75 - 2.56). Analysis stratified by country, showed that the TBscore increased case detection in Gondar (OR 4.05 (95%CI 1.67 - 9.85)) but no effect was found in Bissau (OR 0.47 (95%CI 0.22 - 1.05)) where take-up was much lower. Overall mortality decreased during the intervention (HR 0.31 (95%CI 0.13-0.72)).

CONCLUSION

Using the TBscore for triage before smear microscopy may improve case detection and decrease mortality if there is sufficient laboratory capacity to increase sputum smears.

Systematic review of prediction models for pulmonary tuberculosis treatment outcomes in adults

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review and critically evaluate prediction models developed to predict tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes among adults with pulmonary TB.

DESIGN

Systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Google Scholar were searched for studies published from 1 January 1995 to 9 January 2020.

STUDY SELECTION AND DATA EXTRACTION

Studies that developed a model to predict pulmonary TB treatment outcomes were included. Study screening, data extraction and quality assessment were conducted independently by two reviewers. Study quality was evaluated using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. Data were synthesised with narrative review and in tables and figures.

RESULTS

14 739 articles were identified, 536 underwent full-text review and 33 studies presenting 37 prediction models were included. Model outcomes included death (n=16, 43%), treatment failure (n=6, 16%), default (n=6, 16%) or a composite outcome (n=9, 25%). Most models (n=30, 81%) measured discrimination (median c-statistic=0.75; IQR: 0.68-0.84), and 17 (46%) reported calibration, often the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (n=13). Nineteen (51%) models were internally validated, and six (16%) were externally validated. Eighteen (54%) studies mentioned missing data, and of those, half (n=9) used complete case analysis. The most common predictors included age, sex, extrapulmonary TB, body mass index, chest X-ray results, previous TB and HIV. Risk of bias varied across studies, but all studies had high risk of bias in their analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

TB outcome prediction models are heterogeneous with disparate outcome definitions, predictors and methodology. We do not recommend applying any in clinical settings without external validation, and encourage future researchers adhere to guidelines for developing and reporting of prediction models.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study was registered on the international prospective register of systematic reviews PROSPERO (CRD42020155782).

Delay in treatment initiation and its association with clinical severity and infectiousness among new adult pulmonary tuberculosis patients in Tigray, northern Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Delayed treatment initiation of tuberculosis (TB) increases disease progression and development of complications which may lead to a higher level of infectiousness, clinical severity and increased mortality. But published evidences that investigated the effect of delayed initiation of treatment on clinical severity and level of infectiousness of pulmonary tuberculosis patients is scarce in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of delayed treatment initiation of new adult Pulmonary Tuberculosis patients with clinical severity and level of infectiousness.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study design, a total of 875 newly diagnosed adult pulmonary tuberculosis patients were recruited from 21 health facilities from October 2018 to October 2019. Health facilities and study participants were selected by a simple random sampling method. Data were collected using questionnaires through face-to-face interviews of patients within the first 2 weeks of treatment initiation. Clinical severity was assessed by Bandim tuberculosis score and level of infectiousness was assessed by smear positivity or lung cavitations. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 21 software program. Logistic regression analysis was used to ascertain the association of delay with clinical severity and level of infectiousness. P-BMC Public Health of less than 0.05 was reported as being statistically significant.

RESULTS

Those who had initiated treatment without delay and those who have initiated treatment after a medium delay of 31 to 60 days were significantly associated with decreased clinical score compared to those who initiated treatment after a delay of more than two months. Compared with patients who have initiated treatment within one month, the level of infectiousness was greater for delay of 30-60 days and above 60 days. Patients having more than 3 family members have higher level of infectiousness as compared to those who have a maximum of 3 family members. Whereas, patients having at least two rooms and being HIV negative had lower levels of infectiousness compared to their counter patients.

CONCLUSION

Narrowing the gap between their initial occurrence of TB symptoms and treatment initiation is the way forward to improve clinical courses of TB patients and to reduce the level of infectiousness of TB to other people from these patients.

Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra and Xpert MTB/RIF for diagnosis of tuberculosis in an HIV-endemic setting with a high burden of previous tuberculosis: a two-cohort diagnostic accuracy study

BACKGROUND

Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Ultra) is a new test for tuberculosis undergoing global roll-out. We assessed the performance of Ultra compared with Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) in an HIV-endemic setting where previous tuberculosis is frequent and current test performance is suboptimal.

METHODS

In this two-cohort diagnostic accuracy study, we used sputum samples from patients in South Africa to evaluate the accuracy of Ultra and Xpert against a single culture reference standard. For the first cohort (cohort A), we recruited adults (aged ≥18 years) with symptoms of presumptive tuberculosis at Scottsdene clinic in Cape Town, South Africa. We collected three sputum samples from each patient in cohort A, two at the first visit of which one was tested using Xpert and the other was tested using culture, and one sample the next morning which was tested using Ultra. In a separate cohort of patients with presumptive tuberculosis and recent previous tuberculosis (≤2 years) who had submitted sputum samples to the National Health Laboratory Services (cohort B), decontaminated sediments were, after processing, randomly allocated (1:1) for testing with Ultra or Xpert. For both cohorts we calculated the sensitivity and specificity of Ultra and Xpert and evaluated the effects of different methods of interpreting Ultra trace results.

FINDINGS

Between Feb 6, 2016, and Feb 2, 2018, we recruited 302 people into cohort A, all of whom provided sputum samples and 239 were included in the head-to-head analyses of Ultra and Xpert. For cohort B, we collected sputum samples from eligible patients who had submitted samples between Dec 6, 2016, and Dec 21, 2017, to give a cohort of 831 samples, of which 352 were eligible for inclusion in analyses and randomly assigned to Ultra (n=173) or Xpert (n=179). In cohort A, Ultra gave more non-actionable results (not positive or negative) than did Xpert (28 [10%] 275 vs 14 [5%] 301; p=0·011). In the head-to-head analysis, in smear-negative patients, sensitivity of Ultra was 80% (95% CI 64-90) and of Xpert was 73% (57-85; p=0·45). Overall, specificity of Ultra was lower than that of Xpert (90% [84-94] vs 99% [95-100]; p=0·001). In cohort B, overall sensitivity was 92% (81-98) for Xpert versus 86% (73-95; p=0·36) for Ultra and overall specificity was 69% (60-77) for Ultra versus 84% (78-91; p=0·005) for Xpert. Ultra specificity estimates improved after reclassification of results with the lowest Ultra-positive semiquantitation category (trace) to negative (15% [8-22]). In cohort A, the positive predictive value (PPV) for Ultra was 78% (67-87) and for Xpert was 96% (87-99; p=0·004); in cohort B, the PPV for Ultra was 50% (43-57) and for Xpert was 70% (61-78; p=0·014). Ultra PPV estimates in previously treated patients were low: at 15% tuberculosis prevalence, half of Ultra-positive patients with presumptive tuberculosis would be culture negative, increasing to approximately 70% in patients with recent previous tuberculosis. In cohort B, 21 (28%) of 76 samples that were Ultra positive were rifampicin indeterminate (all trace) and, like cohort A, most were culture negative (19 [90%] of 21).

INTERPRETATION

In a setting with a high burden of previous tuberculosis, Ultra generated more non-actionable results and had diminished specificity compared with Xpert. In patients with recent previous tuberculosis, a quarter of Ultra-positive samples were indeterminate for rifampicin resistance and culture negative, suggesting that additional drug-resistance testing will probably be unsuccessful. Our data have implications for the handling of Ultra-positive results in patients with previous tuberculosis in high burden settings.

FUNDING

South African Medical Research Council, the EDCTP2 program, and the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University.

Blood transcriptional biomarkers for active pulmonary tuberculosis in a high-burden setting: a prospective, observational, diagnostic accuracy study

BACKGROUND

Blood transcriptional signatures are candidates for non-sputum triage or confirmatory tests of tuberculosis. Prospective head-to-head comparisons of their diagnostic accuracy in real-world settings are necessary to assess their clinical use. We aimed to compare the diagnostic accuracy of candidate transcriptional signatures identified by systematic review, in a setting with a high burden of tuberculosis and HIV.

METHODS

We did a prospective observational study nested within a diagnostic accuracy study of sputum Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) and Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra (Ultra) tests for pulmonary tuberculosis. We recruited consecutive symptomatic adults aged 18 years or older self-presenting to a tuberculosis clinic in Cape Town, South Africa. Participants provided blood for RNA sequencing, and sputum samples for liquid culture and molecular testing using Xpert and Ultra. We assessed the diagnostic accuracy of candidate blood transcriptional signatures for active tuberculosis (including those intended to distinguish active tuberculosis from other diseases) identified by systematic review, compared with culture or Xpert MTB/RIF positivity as the standard reference. In our primary analysis, patients with tuberculosis were defined as those with either a positive liquid culture or Xpert result. Patients with missing blood RNA or sputum results were excluded. Our primary objective was to benchmark the diagnostic accuracy of candidate transcriptional signatures against the WHO target product profile (TPP) for a tuberculosis triage test.

FINDINGS

Between Feb 12, 2016, and July 18, 2017, we obtained paired sputum and RNA sequencing data from 181 participants, 54 (30%) of whom had confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis. Of 27 eligible signatures identified by systematic review, four achieved the highest diagnostic accuracy with similar area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (Sweeney3: 90·6% [95% CI 85·6-95·6]; Kaforou25: 86·9% [80·9-92·9]; Roe3: 86·9% [80·3-93·5]; and BATF2: 86·8% [80·6-93·1]), independent of age, sex, HIV status, previous tuberculosis, or sputum smear result. At test thresholds that gave 70% specificity (the minimum WHO TPP specificity for a triage test), these four signatures achieved sensitivities between 83·3% (95% CI 71·3-91·0) and 90·7% (80·1-96·0). No signature met the optimum criteria, of 95% sensitivity and 80% specificity proposed by WHO for a triage test, or the minimum criteria (of 65% sensitivity and 98% specificity) for a confirmatory test, but all four correctly identified Ultra-positive, culture-negative patients.

INTERPRETATION

Selected blood transcriptional signatures met the minimum WHO benchmarks for a tuberculosis triage test but not for a confirmatory test. Further development of the signatures is warranted to investigate their possible effects on clinical and health economic outcomes as part of a triage strategy, or when used as add-on confirmatory test in conjunction with the highly sensitive Ultra test for Mycobacterium tuberculosis DNA.

FUNDING

Royal Society Newton Advanced Fellowship, Wellcome Trust, National Institute of Health Research, and UK Medical Research Council.

A clinical score has utility in tuberculosis case-finding among patients with HIV: A feasibility study from Bissau

BACKGROUND

Clinical scores are promising case-finding tools for tuberculosis (TB) among HIV-infected patients. The Bandim TBscore has been shown to increase the diagnostic yield among patients with presumed TB in general, but has not previously been tested among newly diagnosed HIV patients at high risk of TB.

METHODS

HIV-infected patients were included in this cross-sectional study. A pre-post-intervention study design was used to assess the outcome of a change in practice, i.e. the application of a clinical score (TBscore) consisting of 13 signs and symptoms to assess the need for further TB diagnostics. Patients with a TBscore ≥2 were evaluated using smear microscopy and Xpert MTB/RIF. A TB diagnosis was made based on microbiology or clinical evaluation. The sensitivity and specificity of the TBscore were compared with those of World Health Organization symptoms.

RESULTS

The TB prevalence among newly enrolled HIV-infected patients during the study period was 13.4% (22/164). Using the TBscore and a diagnostic algorithm, it was possible to increase the proportion of patients started on TB treatment from 2.7% (10/367) the year before the study to 10.4% (17/164) during the study period. Five patients diagnosed with TB were not started on TB treatment as they were lost to follow-up or died. With a cut-off value of 2, the TBscore had a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 95.5% (21/22), 36.9% (41/111), 23.1% (22/118), and 97.6% (41/42), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The TBscore is useful for standardized TB screening among HIV-infected individuals and may be a valuable tool to prioritize patients at high risk of TB.

Tuberculosis deaths are predictable and preventable: Comprehensive assessment and clinical care is the key

The goal of reducing tuberculosis (TB) mortality in the END TB Strategy can be achieved if TB deaths are considered predictable and preventable. This will require programs to examine and address some key gaps in the understanding of the distribution and determinants of TB mortality and the current model of assessment and care in high burden countries.

Most deaths in high-burden countries occur in the first eight weeks of treatment and in those belonging to the age group of 15–49 years, living in poverty, with HIV infection and/or low body mass index (BMI). Deaths result from extensive disease, comorbidities like advanced HIV disease complicated with other infections (bacterial, fungal, bloodstream), and moderate-severe undernutrition. Most early deaths in patients with TB, even with TB-HIV co-infection, are due to TB itself.

Comprehensive assessment and clinical care are a prerequisite of patient-centered care. Simple independent predictors of death like unstable vital signs, BMI, mid-upper arm circumference, or inability to stand or walk unaided can be used by programs for risk assessment. Programs need to define criteria for referral for inpatient care, address the paucity of hospital beds and develop and implement guidelines for the clinical management of seriously ill patients with TB, advanced HIV disease and severe undernutrition as co-morbidities. Programs should also consider notification and audit of all TB deaths, similar to audit of maternal deaths, and address the issues in delays in diagnosis, treatment, and quality of care.

MAL adaptor (TIRAP) S180L polymorphism and severity of disease among tuberculosis patients

OBJECTIVE

Though several genetic variants have been recognized to be associated with susceptibility to Tuberculosis (TB) infection and disease, a recent observation on the association of TIRAP C975T (S180L) variants with TB disease severity in mice model prompted us to assess their relevance in humans. In addition, TIRAP variants have also been reported to be associated with varied circulating Interferon-gamma induced protein (IP-10) levels. We investigated the association of TIRAP variants with severity of TB disease and IP-10 production in humans, which may be useful in predicting poor clinical outcome.

METHODS

Culture positive symptomatic adult pulmonary TB (PTB) patients enrolled between August 2014 and October 2017 were included in this investigation. Allelic discrimination PCR and conventional IP-10 quantification methods were employed for genotyping and IP-10 measurement followed by statistical investigations to analyse patients' variables.

RESULTS

Among 211 participants, C/C allele was identified in 70% (n = 147); 26% (n = 55) and 4% (n = 9) had C/T and T/T alleles respectively. There was no significant association between TIRAP variants and smear grade, chest-X-ray score, symptom severity score and circulating IP-10 levels. However, significant association was observed between i) circulating IP-10 levels and time to Mycobacterium Growth Indicator Tube (MGIT) culture conversion (p =0.032); ii) smear grade among active TB patients and circulating IP-10 levels (p =0 .032).

CONCLUSIONS

Although mice experiments showed promising results with more severe disease in C/C and T/T individuals, we did not observe any such association in humans.

Distribution of plasma concentrations of first-line anti-TB drugs and individual MICs: a prospective cohort study in a low endemic setting

Background

Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) could improve current TB treatment, but few studies have reported pharmacokinetic data together with MICs.

Objectives

To investigate plasma concentrations of rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and ethambutol along with MICs.

Methods

Drug concentrations of rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and ethambutol were analysed pre-dose and 2, 4 and 6 h after drug intake at week 2 in 31 TB patients and MICs in BACTEC 960 MGIT were determined at baseline. The highest plasma concentrations at 2, 4 and 6 h post-dose (Chigh) were determined, as well as estimates of Chigh/MIC and area under the concentration-time curve (AUC0-6)/MIC including the corresponding ratios based on calculated free-drug concentrations. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02042261).

Results

After 2 weeks of treatment, the median Chigh values for rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and ethambutol were 10.0, 5.3, 41.1 and 3.3 mg/L respectively. Lower than recommended drug concentrations were detected in 42% of the patients for rifampicin (<8 mg/L), 19% for isoniazid (<3 mg/L), 27% for pyrazinamide (<35 mg/L) and 16% for ethambutol (<2 mg/L). The median Chigh/MIC values for rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide and ethambutol were 164, 128, 1.3 and 2.5, respectively, whereas the AUC0-6/MIC was 636 (range 156-2759) for rifampicin and 351 (range 72-895) for isoniazid.

Conclusions

We report low levels of first-line TB drugs in 16%-42% of patients, in particular for rifampicin. There was a wide distribution of the ratios between drug exposures and MICs. The future use of MIC determinations in TDM is dependent on the development of a reference method and clinically validated pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic targets.

Plasma concentrations of second-line antituberculosis drugs in relation to minimum inhibitory concentrations in multidrug-resistant tuberculosis patients in China: a study protocol of a prospective observational cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Individualised treatment through therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) may improve tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes but is not routinely implemented. Prospective clinical studies of drug exposure and minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) in multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) are scarce. This translational study aims to characterise the area under the concentration-time curve of individual MDR-TB drugs, divided by the MIC for Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates, to explore associations with markers of treatment progress and to develop useful strategies for clinical implementation of TDM in MDR-TB.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Adult patients with pulmonary MDR-TB treated in Xiamen, China, are included. Plasma samples for measure of drug exposure are obtained at 0, 1, 2, 4, 6, 8 and 10 hours after drug intake at week 2 and at 0, 4 and 6 hours during weeks 4 and 8. Sputum samples for evaluating time to culture positivity and MIC determination are collected at days 0, 2 and 7 and at weeks 2, 4, 8 and 12 after treatment initiation. Disease severity are assessed with a clinical scoring tool (TBscore II) and quality of life evaluated using EQ-5D-5L. Drug concentrations of pyrazinamide, ethambutol, levofloxacin, moxifloxacin, cycloserine, prothionamide and para-aminosalicylate are measured by liquid chromatography tandem-mass spectrometry and the levels of amikacin measured by immunoassay. Dried blood spot on filter paper, to facilitate blood sampling for analysis of drug concentrations, is also evaluated. The MICs of the drugs listed above are determined using custom-made broth microdilution plates and MYCOTB plates with Middlebrook 7H9 media. MIC determination of pyrazinamide is performed in BACTEC MGIT 960.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study has been approved by the ethical review boards of Karolinska Institutet, Sweden and Fudan University, China. Informed written consent is given by participants. The study results will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02816931; Pre-results.

Perspectives for personalized therapy for patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), tuberculosis is the leading cause of death attributed to a single microbial pathogen worldwide. In addition to the large number of patients affected by tuberculosis, the emergence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis drug-resistance is complicating tuberculosis control in many high-burden countries. During the past 5 years, the global number of patients identified with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), defined as bacillary resistance at least against rifampicin and isoniazid, the two most active drugs in a treatment regimen, has increased by more than 20% annually. Today we experience a historical peak in the number of patients affected by MDR-TB. The management of MDR-TB is characterized by delayed diagnosis, uncertainty of the extent of bacillary drug-resistance, imprecise standardized drug regimens and dosages, very long duration of therapy and high frequency of adverse events which all translate into a poor prognosis for many of the affected patients. Major scientific and technological advances in recent years provide new perspectives through treatment regimens tailor-made to individual needs. Where available, such personalized treatment has major implications on the treatment outcomes of patients with MDR-TB. The challenge now is to bring these adances to those patients that need them most.

The safety, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of cytisine in achieving six-month continuous smoking abstinence in tuberculosis patients-protocol for a double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized trial

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Tuberculosis (TB) patients who quit smoking have much better disease outcomes than those who continue to smoke. In general populations, behavioural support combined with pharmacotherapy is the most effective strategy in helping people to quit. However, there is no evidence for the effectiveness of this strategy in TB patients who smoke. We will assess the safety, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of cytisine-a low-cost plant-derived nicotine substitute-for smoking cessation in TB patients compared with placebo, over and above brief behavioural support.

DESIGN

Two-arm, parallel, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multi-centre (30 sites in Bangladesh and Pakistan), individually randomized trial.

SETTING

TB treatment centres integrated into public health care systems in Bangladesh and Pakistan.

PARTICIPANTS

Newly diagnosed (in the last 4 weeks) adult pulmonary TB patients who are daily smokers (with or without dual smokeless tobacco use) and are interested in quitting (n = 2388).

MEASUREMENTS

The primary outcome measure is biochemically verified continuous abstinence from smoking at 6 months post-randomization, assessed using Russell Standard criteria. The secondary outcome measures include continuous abstinence at 12 months, lapses and relapses; clinical TB outcomes; nicotine dependency and withdrawal; and adverse events.

COMMENTS

This is the first smoking cessation trial of cytisine in low- and middle-income countries evaluating both cessation and TB outcomes. If found effective, cytisine could become the most affordable cessation intervention to help TB patients who smoke.

Management of infections in critically ill returning travellers in the intensive care unit-II: clinical syndromes and special considerations in immunocompromised patients

This position paper is the second ESCMID Consensus Document on this subject and aims to provide intensivists, infectious disease specialists, and emergency physicians with a standardized approach to the management of serious travel-related infections in the intensive care unit (ICU) or the emergency department. This document is a cooperative effort between members of two European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases (ESCMID) study groups and was coordinated by Hakan Leblebicioglu and Jordi Rello for ESGITM (ESCMID Study Group for Infections in Travellers and Migrants) and ESGCIP (ESCMID Study Group for Infections in Critically Ill Patients), respectively. A relevant expert on the subject of each section prepared the first draft which was then edited and approved by additional members from both ESCMID study groups. This article summarizes considerations regarding clinical syndromes requiring ICU admission in travellers, covering immunocompromised patients.

Successful Tuberculosis Treatment Outcomes among HIV/TB Coinfected Patients Down-Referred from a District Hospital to Primary Health Clinics in Rural South Africa

Background

HIV and tuberculosis (TB) coinfection remains a major public health threat in sub-Saharan Africa. Integration and decentralization of HIV and TB treatment services are being implemented, but data on outcomes of this strategy are lacking in rural, resource-limited settings. We evaluated TB treatment outcomes in TB/HIV coinfected patients in an integrated and decentralized system in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Methods

We retrospectively studied a cohort of HIV/TB coinfected patients initiating treatment for drug-susceptible TB at a district hospital HIV clinic from January 2012-June 2013. Patients were eligible for down-referral to primary health clinics(PHCs) for TB treatment completion if they met specific clinical criteria. Records were reviewed for patients’ demographic, baseline clinical and laboratory information, past HIV and TB history, and TB treatment outcomes.

Results

Of 657(88.7%) patients, 322(49.0%) were female, 558(84.9%) were new TB cases, and 572(87.1%) had pulmonary TB. After TB treatment initiation, 280(42.6%) were down-referred from the district level HIV clinic to PHCs for treatment completion; 377(57.4%) remained at the district hospital. Retained patients possessed characteristics indicative of more severe disease. In total, 540(82.2%) patients experienced treatment success, 69(10.5%) died, and 46(7.0%) defaulted. Down-referred patients experienced higher treatment success, and lower mortality, but were more likely to default, primarily at the time of transfer to PHC.

Conclusion

Decentralization of TB treatment to the primary care level is feasible in rural South Africa. Treatment outcomes are favorable when patients are carefully chosen for down-referral. Higher mortality in retained patients reflects increased baseline disease severity while higher default among down-referred patients reflects failed linkage of care. Better linkage mechanisms are needed including improved identification of potential defaulters, increased patient education, active communication between hospitals and PHCs, and tracing of patients lost to follow up. Decentralized and integrated care is successful for carefully selected TB/HIV coinfected patients and should be expanded.

Impact of HIV-1, HIV-2, and HIV-1+2 dual infection on the outcome of tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

HIV-1 infection has been shown to impact the outcome of patients with tuberculosis (TB), but data regarding the impact of HIV-2 on TB outcomes are limited. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of HIV types on mortality among TB patients in Guinea-Bissau and to examine the predictive ability of the TBscoreII, a clinical score used to assess disease severity.

METHODS

In a prospective follow-up study, we examined the prevalence of HIV-1, HIV-2, and HIV-1+2 co-infection in TB patients in Guinea-Bissau, and the impact on outcomes at 12 months of follow-up. We included all adult TB patients in an observational TB cohort at the Bandim Health Project (BHP) in Guinea-Bissau between 2003 and 2013 and assessed survival status at 12 months after the start of treatment.

RESULTS

A total 1312 patients were included; 499 (38%) were female (male/female ratio 1.6). Three hundred and seventy-nine patients were HIV-infected: 241 had HIV-1, 93 had HIV-2, and 45 were HIV-1+2 dual infected. The HIV type-associated risk of TB was 6-fold higher for HIV-1, 7-fold higher for HIV-1+2 dual infection, and 2-fold higher for HIV-2 compared with the HIV-uninfected. Of the patients included, 144 (11%) died, 62 (12%) among females and 82 (9%) among males (hazard ratio (HR) 0.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.64-1.30; p=0.596). Compared to male patients, female patients were younger (1 year younger, 95% CI 0.5-2; p=0.04), reported a longer duration of symptoms (14 days longer, 95% CI 4-25; p=0.003), and had a higher TBscoreII (0.5 points more, 95% CI 0.3-0.7; p<0.001). More females than males were HIV-infected (36% vs. 25%; p<0.001) and more females had a body mass index (BMI) <15 kg/m(2) (11% vs. 6%; p<0.001) and a mid upper arm circumference (MUAC) <200 mm (13% vs. 7%; p < 0.001). HIV infection increased the mortality risk, with HIV-1 infection displaying the highest HR (5.0, 95% CI 3.5-7.1), followed by HIV-1+2 (HR 4.2, 95% CI 2.2-7.8) and HIV-2 (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.8). A TBscoreII ≥4 was associated with increased mortality (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.5-3.1). Significantly increased HRs were found for signs of wasting; a BMI <18 kg/m(2) was associated with a HR of 1.8 (95% CI 1.3-2.6) and a MUAC <220 mm with a HR of 3.8 (95% CI 2.7-5.2).

CONCLUSION

The HIV type-associated risk of TB was much higher for HIV-1 patients and higher but less so for HIV-2 patients, compared with the HIV-uninfected. Clinical severity at presentation was also higher for HIV-infected patients, although less so for HIV-2-infected patients, and all HIV-infected patients had a poorer outcome than the uninfected; mortality was 4-5-fold higher for HIV-1 and dually infected patients and two-fold higher for HIV-2-infected patients. These differences between HIV types did not disappear after adjusting for CD4 count.

A Clinical Scoring Algorithm for Determination of the Risk of Tuberculosis in HIV-Infected Adults: A Cohort Study Performed at Ethiopian Health Centers

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization (WHO) tuberculosis (TB) symptom screening instrument (WHO-TB) can identify human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals at low risk of tuberculosis (TB); however, many patients report WHO-TB symptoms and require further TB investigations. We hypothesized that further clinical scoring could classify subjects with a positive WHO-TB screening result (WHO-TB(+)) for the likelihood of TB.

METHODS

HIV-infected adults eligible to initiate antiretroviral therapy (ART) were recruited and prospectively followed at 5 Ethiopian health centers. Irrespective of symptoms, all participants underwent sputum bacteriological testing for TB. Symptoms, physical findings, hemoglobin, and CD4 cell count results were compared between subjects with and those without bacteriologically confirmed TB. Variables associated with TB in WHO-TB(+) individuals were used to construct a scoring algorithm with multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 812 participants, 137 (16.9%) had TB. One hundred fifty-nine persons (20%) had a negative WHO-TB screen, 10 of whom had TB (negative predictive value [NPV], 94% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 90%-97.5%]). For WHO-TB(+) subjects, the following variables were independently associated with TB, and were assigned 1 point each in the clinical scoring algorithm: cough, Karnofsky score ≤80, mid-upper arm circumference <20 cm, lymphadenopathy, and hemoglobin <10 g/dL. Among subjects with 0-1 points, 20 of 255 had TB (NPV, 92% [95% CI, 89%-95%]), vs 19 of 34 participants with ≥4 points (positive predictive value, 56% [95% CI, 39%-73%]). The use of WHO-TB alone identified 159 of 784 (20%) with a low risk of TB, vs 414 of 784 (53%) using WHO-TB followed by clinical scoring (P< .001). The difference in proportions of confirmed TB in these subsets was nonsignificant (6.3% vs 7.2%; P= .69).

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical scoring can further classify HIV-infected adults with positive WHO-TB screen to assess the risk of TB, and would reduce the number of patients in need of further TB investigations before starting ART.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT01433796.

Treatment delay affects clinical severity of tuberculosis: a longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To describe the risk factors for treatment delay and the effect of delay on the severity of tuberculosis (TB) in a prospectively followed TB cohort at the Bandim Health Project in Guinea-Bissau.

BACKGROUND

Treatment delay in patients with TB is associated with increased mortality and transmission of disease. However, it is not well described whether delay influences clinical severity at diagnosis. Previously reported risk factors for treatment delay vary in different geographical and cultural settings. Such information has never been investigated in our setting. Change in delay over time is rarely reported and our prospectively followed TB cohort gives an opportunity to present such data.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients were included at the time of diagnosis at three local TB clinics and the national TB reference hospital. Inclusion criteria were age >15 years and diagnosis of TB by either sputum examination or by the WHO clinical criteria. Patients with extrapulmonary TB were excluded.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was treatment delay. Delay was assessed by patient questionnaires. The secondary outcome was Bandim TBscore as a measure of TB morbidity and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 1424 persons were diagnosed with TB in the study area between 2003 and 2010. We included 973 patients with TB in the study. The median treatment delay was 12.1 weeks. Risk factors for delay were low educational level, HIV-1+HIV-2 dual infection and negative sputum smear. TB treatment delay decreased by 10.3% (7.9-12.6%) per year during the study period. Delay was significantly associated with clinical severity at presentation with 20.8% severe TB cases in the low delay quartile compared with 33.9% if delay was over the median of 12.1 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

Long treatment delay was associated with more severe clinical presentation. Treatment delay in TB cases is decreasing in Guinea-Bissau.

The Bandim TBscore--reliability, further development, and evaluation of potential uses

Background

The tuberculosis (TB) case detection rate has stagnated at 60% due to disorganized case finding and insensitivity of sputum smear microscopy. Of the identified TB cases, 4% die while being treated, monitored with tools that insufficiently predict failure/mortality.

Objective

To explore the TBscore, a recently proposed clinical severity measure for pulmonary TB (PTB) patients, and to refine, validate, and investigate its place in case finding.

Design

The TBscore’s inter-observer agreement was assessed and compared to the Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) (paper I). The TBscore’s variables underlying constructs were assessed, sorting out unrelated items, proposing a more easily assessable TBscoreII, which was validated internally and externally (paper II). Finally, TBscore and TBscoreII’s place in PTB-screening was examined in paper III.

Results

The inter-observer variability when grading PTB patients into severity classes was moderate for both TBscore (κ_W=0.52, 95% CI 0.46–0.56) and KPS (κ_W=0.49, 95% CI 0.33–0.65). KPS was influenced by HIV status, whereas TBscore was unaffected by it. In paper II, proposed TBscoreII was validated internally, in Guinea-Bissau, and externally, in Ethiopia. In both settings, a failure to bring down the score by ≥25% from baseline to 2 months of treatment predicted subsequent failure (p=0.007). Finally, in paper III, TBscore and TBscoreII were assessed in health-care-seeking adults and found to be higher in PTB-diagnosed patients, 4.9 (95% CI 4.6–5.2) and 3.9 (95% CI 3.8–4.0), respectively, versus patients not diagnosed with PTB, 3.0 (95% CI 2.7–3.2) and 2.4 (95% CI 2.3–2.5), respectively. Had we referred only patients with cough >2 weeks to sputum smear, we would have missed 32.1% of the smear confirmed cases in our cohort. A TBscoreII>=2 missed 8.6%.

Conclusions

TBscore and TBscoreII are useful monitoring tools for PTB patients on treatment, as they could fill the void which currently exists in risk grading of patients. They may also have a role in PTB screening; however, this requires our findings to be repeated elsewhere.