The Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) as a Predictor of Incident Ischemic Heart Disease: A Longitudinal Study among Korean without Diabetes

Association between METS-IR and heart failure: a cross-sectional study

Background

Prior research has indicated the importance of insulin resistance in the development of heart failure (HF). The metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), a novel measure for assessing insulin resistance, has been found to be associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Nevertheless, the relationship between METS-IR and heart failure remains uncertain.

Methods

This cross-sectional study collected data from the 2007-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression analysis and smoothing curve fitting were performed to explore the relationship between METS-IR and the risk of heart failure. Subgroup analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were also conducted.

Results

A total of 14772 patients were included, of whom 485 (3.28%) had heart failure. We observed a significant positive association between METS-IR and the risk of heart failure in a fully adjusted model (per 1-unit increment in METS-IR: OR: 2.44; 95% CI: 1.38, 4.32). Subgroup analysis and interaction tests revealed no significant influence on this relationship. A saturation effect and nonlinear relationship between METS-IR and heart failure risk were found using a smoothing curve fitting analysis. The relationship was represented by a J-shaped curve with an inflection point at 40.966.

Conclusions

The results of our study indicated a J-shaped association between METS-IR and HF in adults in the United States. METS-IR may be a promising novel index for predicting the risk of heart failure. More longitudinal studies are needed to further verify causal relationships and validate the results in different classifications of heart failure populations.

Which surrogate insulin resistance indices best predict coronary artery disease? A machine learning approach

BACKGROUND

Various surrogate markers of insulin resistance have been developed, capable of predicting coronary artery disease (CAD) without the need to detect serum insulin. For accurate prediction, they depend only on glucose and lipid profiles, as well as anthropometric features. However, there is still no agreement on the most suitable one for predicting CAD.

METHODS

We followed a cohort of 2,000 individuals, ranging in age from 20 to 74, for a duration of 9.9 years. We utilized multivariate Cox proportional hazard models to investigate the association between TyG-index, TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, TG/HDL, plus METS-IR and the occurrence of CAD. The receiver operating curve (ROC) was employed to compare the predictive efficacy of these indices and their corresponding cutoff values for predicting CAD. We also used three distinct embedded feature selection methods: LASSO, Random Forest feature selection, and the Boruta algorithm, to evaluate and compare surrogate markers of insulin resistance in predicting CAD. In addition, we utilized the ceteris paribus profile on the Random Forest model to illustrate how the model's predictive performance is affected by variations in individual surrogate markers, while keeping all other factors consistent in a diagram.

RESULTS

The TyG-index was the only surrogate marker of insulin resistance that demonstrated an association with CAD in fully adjusted model (HR: 2.54, CI: 1.34-4.81). The association was more prominent in females. Moreover, it demonstrated the highest area under the ROC curve (0.67 [0.63-0.7]) in comparison to other surrogate indices for insulin resistance. All feature selection approaches concur that the TyG-index is the most reliable surrogate insulin resistance marker for predicting CAD. Based on the Ceteris paribus profile of Random Forest the predictive ability of the TyG-index increased steadily after 9 with a positive slope, without any decline or leveling off.

CONCLUSION

Due to the simplicity of assessing the TyG-index with routine biochemical assays and given that the TyG-index was the most effective surrogate insulin resistance index for predicting CAD based on our results, it seems suitable for inclusion in future CAD prevention strategies.

Association between metabolic score for insulin resistance and clinical outcomes: insights from the Tehran lipid and glucose study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to assess the relationship between Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, mortality, diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a population from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

METHOD

Individuals aged ≥ 20 years were enrolled. Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied to assess the association between METS-IR and incident CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality, diabetes, hypertension, and CKD.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 9-18 years, 1080 (10.6%), 267 (2.6%), 1022 (9.6%), 1382 (16.4%), 2994 (58.5%), and 2002 (23.0%) CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality, diabetes, hypertension, and CKD events occurred, respectively. Compared to the lowest quartile (reference), the hazard ratios (HR) associated with the highest quartile of METS-IR were 1.527 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.208-1.930, P for trend 0.001), 1.393 (0.865-2.243, > 0.05), 0.841 (0.682-1.038, > 0.05), 3.277 (2.645-4.060, < 0.001), 1.969 (1.752-2.214, < 0.001), and 1.020 (0.874-1.191, > 0.05) for CHD, stroke, all-cause mortality, diabetes, hypertension, and CKD, respectively. METS-IR, as a continuous variable, was significantly associated with the risk of incident CHD [HR, 95% CI: 1.106, 1.034-1.184], diabetes [1.524, 1.438-1.616], and hypertension [1.321, 1.265-1.380]. These associations were also independent of metabolic syndrome (METS) and remained unchanged in a subgroup of individuals without METS and/or diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing levels of METS-IR were significantly associated with a greater risk of incident CHD, diabetes, and hypertension; therefore, this index can be a useful tool for capturing the risk of these clinical outcomes.

Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance and New-Onset Type 2 Diabetes in a Middle-Aged and Older Adult Population: Nationwide Prospective Cohort Study and Implications for Primary Care

BACKGROUND

The metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) has emerged as a noninsulin-based index for the approximation of insulin resistance (IR), yet longitudinal evidence supporting the utility of METS-IR in the primary prevention of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains limited.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the longitudinal association between METS-IR, which combines fasting plasma glucose (FPG), lipid profiles, and anthropometrics that can be routinely obtained in resource-limited primary care settings, and the incidence of new-onset T2DM.

METHODS

We conducted a closed-cohort analysis of a nationwide, prospective cohort of 7583 Chinese middle-aged and older adults who were free of T2DM at baseline, sampled from 28 out of 31 provinces in China. We examined the characteristics of participants stratified by elevated blood pressure (BP) at baseline and new-onset T2DM at follow-up. We performed Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to explore associations of baseline METS-IR with incident T2DM in participants overall and in participants stratified by baseline BP. We also applied net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement to examine the incremental value of METS-IR.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 6.3 years, T2DM occurred in 527 participants, among which two-thirds (332/527, 62.9%; 95% CI 58.7%-67.1%) had baseline FPG<110 mg/dL. A SD unit increase in baseline METS-IR was associated with the first incidence of T2DM (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.33, 95% CI 1.22-1.45; P<.001) in all participants. We obtained similar results in participants with normal baseline BP (aHR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22-1.62; P<.001) and elevated baseline BP (aHR 1.29, 95% CI 1.16-1.44; P<.001). The predictive capability for incident T2DM was improved by adding METS-IR to FPG. In study participants with new-onset T2DM whose baseline FPG was <126 mg/dL and <110 mg/dL, 62.9% (332/527; 95% CI 60%-65.9%) and 58.1% (193/332; 95% CI 54.3%-61.9%) of participants had baseline METS-IR above the cutoff values, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

METS-IR was significantly associated with new-onset T2DM, regardless of baseline BP level. Regular monitoring of METS-IR on top of routine blood glucose in clinical practice may add to the ability to enhance the early identification of primary care populations at risk for T2DM.

Harnessing Metabolic Indices as a Predictive Tool for Cardiovascular Disease in a Korean Population without Known Major Cardiovascular Event

BACKGRUOUND

This study evaluated the usefulness of indices for metabolic syndrome, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and insulin resistance (IR), as predictive tools for cardiovascular disease in middle-aged Korean adults.

METHODS

The prospective data obtained from the Ansan-Ansung cohort database, excluding patients with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). The primary outcome was the incidence of MACCE during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

A total of 9,337 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 1,130 (12.1%) experienced MACCE during a median follow-up period of 15.5 years. The metabolic syndrome severity Z-score, metabolic syndrome severity score, hepatic steatosis index, and NAFLD liver fat score were found to significantly predict MACCE at values above the cut-off point and in the second and third tertiles. Among these indices, the hazard ratios of the metabolic syndrome severity score and metabolic syndrome severity Z-score were the highest after adjusting for confounding factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) score for predicting MACCE was 0.716, and the metabolic syndrome severity Z-score had an AUC of 0.619.

CONCLUSION

The metabolic syndrome severity score is a highly reliable indicator and was closely associated with the 10-year ASCVD risk score in predicting MACCE in the general population. Given the specific characteristics and limitations of metabolic syndrome severity scores as well as the indices of NAFLD and IR, a more practical scoring system that considers these factors is essential to achieve greater accuracy in forecasting cardiovascular outcomes.

Metabolic score for insulin resistance predicts major adverse cardiovascular event in premature coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

The Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) index serves as a simple surrogate marker for insulin resistance (IR) and is associated with the presence and severity of coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the prognostic significance of METS-IR in patients with premature CAD remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the prognostic value of METS-IR in premature CAD.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 582 patients diagnosed with premature CAD between December 2012 and July 2019. The median follow-up duration was 63 months (interquartile range, 44-81 months). The primary endpoint was Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE), defined as a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), repeat coronary artery revascularization, and non-fatal stroke.

RESULTS

Patients with MACE had significantly higher METS-IR levels than those without MACE (44.88±8.11 vs. 41.68±6.87, p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival curves based on METS-IR tertiles demonstrated a statistically significant difference (log-rank test, p<0.001). In the fully adjusted model, the Hazard Ratio (95% CI) for MACE was 1.41 (1.16-1.72) per SD increase in METS-IR, and the P for trend based on METS-IR tertiles was 0.001 for MACE. Time-dependent Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) analysis of METS-IR yielded an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.74 at 2 years, 0.69 at 4 years, and 0.63 at 6 years.

CONCLUSIONS

METS-IR serves as a reliable prognostic predictor of MACE in patients with premature CAD. Therefore, METS-IR may be considered a novel, cost-effective, and dependable indicator for risk stratification and early intervention in premature CAD.

METS-IR and all-cause mortality in Korean over 60 years old: Korean genome and epidemiology study-health examinees (KoGES-HEXA) cohorts

Background

The metabolic score for insulin resistance index (METS-IR) is a novel non insulin-based marker that indicates the risk for metabolic syndrome and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, METS-IR has not been investigated in relation to all-cause mortality. We investigated the longitudinal effect of METS-IR on all-cause mortality in a significantly large cohort of Korean adults over 60 years old.

Methods

Data were assessed from 30,164 Korean participants over 60 years of age from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study-Health Examinees (KoGES-HEXA) cohort data, linked with the death certificate database of the National Statistical Office. The participants were grouped into three according to METS-IR tertiles. We used multivariate Cox proportional-hazard regression models to prospectively assess hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) over an 11-year postbaseline period.

Results

During the mean 11.7 years of follow-up, 2,821 individuals expired. The HRs of mortality for METS-IR tertiles were 1.16 (95% CI, 1.01-1.34) in T3 after adjustment for metabolic parameters, but the T2 did not show statistical significance towards increases for incident mortality respectively. In subgroup analysis depending on the cause of mortality, higher METS-IR was associated with cancer mortality (HR, 1.23, 95% CI, 1.01-1.51) but not with cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.14, 95% CI, 0.83-1.57) after adjustment for the same confounding variables.

Conclusion

The METS-IR may be a useful predictive marker for all-cause mortality and cancer mortality, but not for cardiovascular mortality in subjects over 60 years of age. This implies that early detection and intervention strategies for metabolic syndrome could potentially benefit this identified group.

Magnitude and time course of insulin resistance accumulation with the risk of cardiovascular disease: an 11-years cohort study

BACKGROUND

The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) depended on the magnitude and exposure duration of insulin resistance (IR). This study aimed to investigate the associations of cumulative metabolic score for IR (cumMETS-IR) with incident CVD, and to further explore the modulated effects of time course of METS-IR accumulation.

METHODS

We enrolled 47,270 participants without CVD and underwent three examinations during 2006-2010 from the Kailuan study. CumMETS-IR from 2006 to 2010 were calculated as the mean values of METS-IR between consecutive examinations multiplying by time intervals between visits. Time course of METS-IR accumulation was calculated as the slope of METS-IR versus time. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CVD risk were calculated with multivariable-adjusted Cox regressions.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 10.99 years, we identified 3184 cases of incident CVD. The risk of incident CVD increased with increasing cumMETS-IR (HR, 1.77; 95% CI 1.58-1.98 for the Q4 versus Q1 group), exposure duration (HR, 1.60; 95% CI 1.45-1.77 for 6 years versus 0 years), and cumulative burden (HR, 1.49; 95% CI 1.37-1.61 for burden ≥ 0 versus < 0). A positive slope was associated with 14% higher risk of CVD (HR, 1.14; 95% CI 1.07-1.22). When combining cumMETS-IR and slope, those with cumMETS-IR ≥ median (142.78) and slope ≥ 0 had the highest risk of CVD (HR,1.38; 95% CI 1.25-1.53).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of CVD increased with elevated cumMETS-IR and an increasing trend over time, emphasizing the importance of maintaining optimal METS-IR levels across life span.

Comparison of METS-IR and HOMA-IR for predicting new-onset CKD in middle-aged and older adults

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has emerged as a mounting public health issue worldwide; therefore, prompt identification and prevention are imperative in mitigating CKD-associated complications and mortality rate. We aimed to compare the predictive powers of the homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) and the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) for CKD incidence in middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

This study used longitudinal prospective cohort data from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. A total of 10,030 participants, aged 40-69 years, residing in the Ansung or Ansan regions of the Republic of Korea, were recruited between 2001 and 2002 through a two-stage cluster sampling method. We compared the predictive powers of METS-IR and HOMA-IR for CKD prevalence and incidence, respectively. CKD prevalence was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and the indices' predictive performance for CKD incidence were assessed using Harrell's concordance index and time-dependent ROC curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 9261 adults aged 40-69 years at baseline and 8243 adults without CKD were included in this study. The AUCs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of HOMA-IR and METS-IR for CKD prevalence at baseline were 0.577 (0.537-0.618) and 0.599 (0.560-0.637), respectively, with no significant difference (p = 0.337). The Heagerty's integrated AUC for METS-IR in predicting CKD incidence was 0.772 (95% CI 0.750-0.799), which was significantly higher than that of HOMA-IR (0.767 [95% CI 0.742-0.791], p = 0.015).

CONCLUSION

METS-IR surpassed HOMA-IR in predicting CKD incidence and was as effective as HOMA-IR in predicting CKD prevalence. This implies that METS-IR could be a valuable indicator for early detection and prevention of CKD among Korean adults.

Hypertension-mediated organ damage involving multiple sites is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular events

Aims

Chronic pressure overload determines functional and structural alterations, leading to hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD), affecting multiple districts. We aim at evaluating the prognostic impact of the absence vs. presence of HMOD in one or more sites and of blood pressure (BP) and metabolic control in hypertensive patients.

Methods and results

The study included 7237 hypertensive patients from the Campania Salute Network Registry, followed up for 5.3 ± 4.5 years. As HMOD, we analysed the presence of left ventricular hypertrophy, carotid plaques, and chronic kidney disease (CKD-EPI ≥3 stage) and evaluated the impact of zero vs. one vs. two vs. three sites of HMOD on the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Blood pressure control and Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) were also considered. Optimal BP control was achieved in 57.3% patients. Major adverse cardiovascular events occurred in 351 (4.8%) patients. The MACE rate in patients without HMOD was 2.7%, whereas it was 4.7, 7.9, and 9.8% in patients with one, two, and three sites with HMOD, respectively. By using Cox multivariate models, adjusted for age, BP control, mean heart rate, mean METS-IR, number of HMOD sites, and drugs, MACE was found to be significantly associated with ageing, mean METS-IR, anti-platelet therapy, and multiple sites with HMOD, whereas a negative association was found with renin-angiotensin system inhibitor drugs.

Conclusion

In hypertensive patients, the risk of MACE increases with the incremental number of districts involved by HMOD, independent of BP control and despite the significant impact of metabolic dysregulation. Hypertension-mediated organ damage involving multiple sites is the deleterious consequence of hypertension and dysmetabolism but, when established, it represents an independent cardiovascular risk factor for MACE occurrence.

Associations between metabolic score for visceral fat and the risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality among populations with different glucose tolerance statuses

AIMS

To investigate the associations between metabolic score for visceral fat (METS-VF) and clinical outcomes among populations with different glucose tolerance statuses.

METHODS

We analysed 6827 participants aged ≥ 40 years with different glucose tolerance statuses from a cohort study. The associations between METS-VF and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and all-cause mortality were assessed using Cox regression, restricted cubic spline and receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

During a follow-up of 5.00 years, there were 338 CVD events and 307 subjects experienced all-cause death. The METS-VF quartile (Quartile 4 versus 1) was significantly related to CVD events [adjusted HRs and 95% CIs: 5.75 (2.67-12.42), 2.80 (1.76-4.48), and 3.31 (1.28-8.54) for subjects with normal glucose tolerance, prediabetes and diabetes, respectively] and all-cause mortality [adjusted HRs and 95% CIs: 2.80 (1.43-5.49), 4.15 (2.45-7.01), and 4.03 (1.72-9.42), respectively]. Restricted cubic spline suggested a dose-response association of METS-VF with the risk of CVD events and all-cause mortality. The area under curve for CVD events and all-cause mortality was higher for METS-VF than for the other obesity and IR indexes in subjects with different glucose tolerance statuses.

CONCLUSIONS

The METS-VF was associated with an increased risk of CVD events and all-cause mortality and could be used as a predictive index of the risk of CVD events and all-cause mortality among populations with different glucose tolerance statuses.

Predictive value of metabolic score for insulin resistance and triglyceride glucose-BMI among patients with acute myocardial infarction in 1-year follow-up

BACKGROUND

Recently two indicators - metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and triglyceride glucose-BMI (TyG-BMI) have been proposed as surrogate markers of IR and potential cardiovascular risk factors. The aim of the study was to assess the predictive value of METS-IR and TyG-BMI concerning the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality in 1-year follow-up among patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

METHODS

Two thousand one hundred fifty-three patients with a median age of 68 years were enrolled in the study. Patients were divided into two groups according to the type of AMI.

RESULTS

MACE occurred in 7.9% of the patients in the ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) group and in 10.9% of the non-STEMI (NSTEMI) group. No significant difference in median MACE-IR and TyG-BMI between patients with and without incidence of MACE was found in both groups. None of the examined indices were predictors of MACE in the STEMI and NSTEMI groups. Moreover, both of them did not predict MACE in subgroups of patients classified according to the presence of diabetes. Finally, METS-IR and TyG-BMI were significant predictors of 1-year morality, however with low prognostic value and only in univariate regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

METS-IR and TyG-BMI should not be used in predicting MACE among patients with AMI.

Predictive values of metabolic score for insulin resistance on risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and comparison with other insulin resistance indices among Chinese with and without diabetes mellitus: Results from the 4C cohort study

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

To investigate the relationship between the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) index and major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) and to compare its ability to predict MACEs with other IR indices including homeostatic model assessment for IR (HOMA-IR) and triglyceride glucose (TyG) index-related parameters.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a cohort study enrolling 7,291 participants aged ≥40 years. Binary logistic regression and restricted cubic splines were performed to determine the association between METS-IR and MACEs, and the receiver operating curve (ROC) was utilized to compare the predictive abilities of IR indices and to determine the optimal cut-off points.

RESULTS

There were 348 (4.8%) cases of MACEs during a median follow-up of 3.8 years. Compared with participants with a METS-IR in the lowest quartile, the multivariate-adjusted RRs and 95% CIs for participants with a METS-IR in the highest quartile were 1.47 (1.05-2.77) in all participants, 1.42 (1.18-2.54) for individuals without diabetes, and 1.75 (1.11-6.46) for individuals with diabetes. Significant interactions were found between the METS-IR and the risk of MACEs by sex in all participants and by age and sex in individuals without diabetes (all P values for interaction < 0.05). In the ROC analysis, the METS-IR had a higher AUC value than other indices for predicting MACEs in individuals with diabetes and had a comparable or higher AUC than other indices for individuals without diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

The METS-IR can be an effective clinical indicator for identifying MACEs, as it had superior predictive power when compared with other IR indices in individuals with diabetes.

Mets-IR as a predictor of cardiovascular events in the middle-aged and elderly population and mediator role of blood lipids

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a global health concern, with a significant impact on morbidity and mortality rates. Using fasting glucose, fasting triglycerides, body mass index (BMI), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), the metabolic score of insulin resistance (Mets-IR), a novel index created by Mexican researchers to assess insulin sensitivity, is a more precise way to measure insulin sensitivity. This study aimes to explore the association between Mets-IR and CVD, as well as investigate the potential mediating role of of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C).

Methods

The study's data came from the 2011 and 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Studies (CHARLS). We used three logistic regression models to account for the potential effects of ten factors on cardiovascular disease/stroke/heart disease. Moreover, We performed mediation analyses to evaluate the role of LDL-C in the association between Mets-IR and incident CVD.

Results

This study comprised 4,540 participants, of whom 494 (10.88%) were found to develop disease (CVD). Each interquartile range (IQR) increased in Mets-IR raised the risk of developing CVD by 38% (OR=1.38; 95% CI, 1.21-1.56) and there was a linear dose-response relationship between Mets-IR and the risk of new-onset cardiovascular disease, stroke, and heart disease (P overall<0.05, P non-linear>0.05). Approximately 5% (indirect effect/total effect) of the significant association of Mets-IR with stroke was mediated by LDL-C, respectively. With the addition of Mets-IR to the base model, the continuous net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement for predicting cardiovascular disease increased by 0.175 (P <0.001) and 0.006 (P <0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

ets-IR is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease/stroke/cardiac issues, with LDL-C mediating these relationships. Improving insulin sensitivity and lipid regulation may be essential and effective preventive measures for cardiovascular events.

The metabolic score for insulin resistance in the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients after coronary artery bypass surgery: a multicenter retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) is a simple, convenient, and reliable marker for resistance insulin (IR), which has been regarded as a predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cardiovascular events. However, few studies examined the relationship between METS-IR and prognosis after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG). This study aimed to investigate the potential value of METS-IR as a prognostic indicator for the major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients after CABG.

METHOD

1100 CABG patients were enrolled in the study, including 760 men (69.1%) and 340 women (30.9%). The METS-IR was calculated as Ln [(2 × FPG (mg/dL) + fasting TG (mg/dL)] × BMI (kg/m²)/Ln [HDL-C (mg/dL)]. The primary endpoint of this study was the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), coronary artery revascularization, and stroke.

RESULT

The following-up time of this study was 49-101 months (median, 70 months; interquartile range, 62-78 months). During the follow-up period, there were 243 MACEs (22.1%). The probability of cumulative incidence of MACE increased incrementally across the quartiles of METS-IR (log-rank test, p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated a hazard ratio (95% CI) of 1.97 (1.36-2.86) for MACE in quartile 4 compared with participants in quartile 1. The addition of the METS-IR to the model with fully adjusting variables significantly improved its predictive value [C-statistic increased from 0.702 to 0.720, p < 0.001, continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) = 0.305, < 0.001, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) = 0.021, p < 0.001].

CONCLUSION

METS-IR is an independent and favorable risk factor for predicting the occurrence of MACE and can be used as a simple and reliable indicator that can be used for risk stratification and early intervention in patients after CABG.

The metabolic score of insulin resistance is positively correlated with bone mineral density in postmenopausal patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

The prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) complicated with osteoporosis (OP) is increasing yearly. Early prevention, detection and treatment of OP are important in postmenopausal patients with T2DM. This study aimed to explore the correlation between insulin resistance and bone mineral density (BMD), and OP in postmenopausal patients with T2DM. In this study, postmenopausal patients with T2DM who visited our hospital from January 2021 to March 2022 were divided into the OP group (n = 91) and non-OP group (n = 119) according to whether they were complicated with OP or not. The general data of patients, BMD, blood routine, glucose metabolism, lipid metabolism, liver and kidney function indexes were collected, and the homeostatic model assessment for IR (HOMA-IR), the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and the metabolic score for IR (METS-IR) were calculated. A weighted multivariate linear regression model assessed the correlation between insulin resistance (IR) related indexes and lumbar spine, femoral neck, and hip BMD. A weighted logistic regression model assessed the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for the association between the IR-related indexes and OP risk. The nonlinear relationship was also evaluated by smooth curve fitting (SCF) and a weighted generalized additive model (GAM). Moreover, the Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive efficiency of METS-IR in postmenopausal patients with T2DM with OP. HOMA-IR, TyG, and METS-IR in the OP group were lower than those in the non-OP group (all P < 0.05). Weighted multiple linear regression after adjusting covariates showed that METS-IR was positively correlated with the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and hip BMD (β_METS-IR = 0.006,0.005,0.005, all P < 0.001). The results of weighted Logistic regression and GAM showed that when METS-IR < 44.5, each unit of increased METS-IR value was associated with a decreased OP risk of 12% (P = 0.002). When METS-IR ≥ 44.5, there was no significant correlation between METS-IR and the risk of OP (OR = 1.00, P = 0.934). Similar trends were not observed in HOMA-IR and TyG. The ROC suggested helpful discriminative power of the METS-IR index for T2DM. We confirmed that METS-IR, as a novel alternative marker of IR, had a positive association with BMD in postmenopausal patients with T2DM, and METS-IR was a protective factor for OP in a specific range.

Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) Predicts Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Ischemic Cardiomyopathy

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the association between metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and adverse cardiovascular events in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Methods

METS-IR was calculated using the following formula: ln[(2 × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL) + fasting triglyceride (mg/dL)] × body mass index (kg/m2)/(ln[high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (mg/dL)]). Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of nonfatal myocardial infarction, cardiac death, and rehospitalization for heart failure. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between METS-IR and adverse outcomes. The predictive value of METS-IR was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC), continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

Results

The incidence of MACEs increased with METS-IR tertiles at a 3‑year follow‑up. Kaplan‒Meier curves showed a significant difference in event-free survival probability between METS-IR tertiles (P<0.05). Multivariate Cox hazard regression analysis adjusting for multiple confounding factors showed that when comparing the highest and lowest METS-IR tertiles, the hazard ratio was 1.886 (95% CI:1.613-2.204; P<0.001). Adding METS-IR to the established risk model had an incremental effect on the predicted value of MACEs (AUC=0.637, 95% CI:0.605-0.670, P<0.001; NRI=0.191, P<0.001; IDI=0.028, P<0.001).

Conclusion

METS-IR, a simple score of insulin resistance, predicts the occurrence of MACEs in patients with ICM and T2DM, independent of known cardiovascular risk factors. These results suggest that METS-IR may be a useful marker for risk stratification and prognosis in patients with ICM and T2DM.

The impact of the metabolic score for insulin resistance on cardiovascular disease: a 10-year follow-up cohort study

PURPOSE

To investigate whether the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

METHODS

A total of 6489 participants aged 35-70 years without a history of CVD were included in this prospective cohort study. The median follow-up time was 10.6 years. The METS-IR was calculated as ln [2 × FPG (mg/dL) + fasting TG (mg/dL)] × BMI (kg/m²)/ln [HDL-C (mg/dL)]. The primary outcome was CVD, defined as the composite of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 396 individuals developed CVD. Kaplan-Meier survival curves by quintiles of METS-IR showed statistically significant differences (log-rank test, P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the hazard ratio [95% confidence interval (95% CI)] of CVD was 1.80 (1.24-2.61) in quintile 5 and 1.17 (1.05-1.31) for per standard deviation (SD) increase in METS-IR. In subgroup analysis, the significant association between METS-IR and CVD was mainly observed among females and subjects without diabetes mellitus. A significant interaction was found between gender and METS-IR (P-interaction = 0.001). Moreover, adding METS-IR to models with traditional risk factors yielded a significant improvement in discrimination and reclassification of incident CVD.

CONCLUSION

The elevated METS-IR was independently associated with incident CVD, suggesting that the METS-IR might be a valuable indicator for risk stratification and early intervention of CVD.

Metabolic Deregulations in Patients with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) contributes to endocrine and metabolic complications for women worldwide. The aim of this study was to establish the usefulness of new anthropometric indices and atherogenic indices in the evaluation of metabolic disorders, in particular, glucose and insulin abnormalities in the profiles of women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). In the study, a total of 49 women with PCOS aged between 18 and 39 years were recruited. All patients were tested for fasting glucose and insulin, lipid parameters, oral-glucose administration, and biochemical parameters. All of them underwent anthropometric measurements, such as BMI (body mass index), WHR (waist-to-hip ratio), WHtR (waist-to-height ratio), BAI (body adiposity index), VAI (visceral adiposity index), LAP (lipid accumulation product), BRI (body roundness index), ABSI (A body shape index), AIP (atherogenic risk of plasma), AC (atherogenic coefficient), Castelli risk index-I, Castelli risk index-II and (LCI) lipoprotein combine index, TG/HDL-C ratio, METS-IR (The metabolic score of insulin resistance), triglyceride glucose index (TyG index), triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI index) and triglyceride glucose-waist circumference index (TyG-WC index) were calculated. The analyzed anthropometric measurements/indices and atherogenic indices demonstrated significant correlations in PCOS women. T A strong relationship was found between fasting glucose, fasting insulin, glucose after 60 min, HOMA-IR index in the patients with PCOS. There was no significant relationship between HbA1c and other analyzed parameters and indices. Most of the analyzed anthropometric and atherogenic indices may be useful tools in evaluating metabolic disorders, and, in particular, glucose and insulin abnormalities in PCOS women.

The Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance (METS-IR) Predicts Cardiovascular Disease and Its Subtypes in Patients with Hypertension and Obstructive Sleep Apnea

Objective

We aimed to evaluate the METS-IR (metabolic score for insulin resistance) index for the prediction of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its subtypes (coronary artery disease and stroke) in patients with hypertension and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA).

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 2031 adults with hypertension and OSA, participants from the Urumqi Research on Sleep Apnea and Hypertension study (UROSAH). The hazard ratios and 95% CIs (credibility interval) for CVD and its subtypes were estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

After a median follow-up of 6.80 years (interquartile range: 5.90-8.00 years), a total of 317 (15.61%) participants developed new-onset CVD, including 198 (9.75%) incident coronary heart disease (CHD) and 119 (5.86%) incident stroke. After adjusting for as many relevant confounding factors as possible, each SD increase in METS-IR was associated with a 30% increased risk of new onset overall CVD events, a 32% increased risk of new onset CHD, and a 27% increased risk of new onset stroke. When METS-IR was assessed as tertiles, after adjustment for fully confounding factors, the highest tertiles versus the lowest tertiles were associated with a greater hazard of CVD (HR 2.05; 95% CI 1.52,-2.77), CHD (HR 1.96; 95% CI 1.35-2.84), and stroke (HR 2.24; 95% CI 1.35-3.72). The results of various subgroups and sensitivity analyses were similar. When METS-IR was added, CVD predictions were reclassified and identified more accurately than baseline models for the C-index, continuous net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination index. CHD and stroke showed similar results.

Conclusion

METS-IR is a powerful predictor of CVD and its subtypes in patients with hypertension and OSA, which can facilitate the identification of high-risk individuals and provide individualized CVD prevention.

A nonlinear associations of metabolic score for insulin resistance index with incident diabetes: A retrospective Chinese cohort study

Background

The Metabolic score of insulin resistance (METS-IR) has recently been accepted as a reliable alternative to insulin resistance (IR), which was demonstrated to be consistent with the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp. Few pieces of research have focused on the relationship between METS-IR and diabetes in Chinese. The purpose of this research was to explore the effect of METS-IR on new-onset diabetes in a large multicenter Chinese study.

Methods

At the baseline of this retrospective longitudinal research, 116855 participators were included in the Chinese cohort study administered from 2010 to 2016. The subjects were stratified by quartiles of METS-IR. To assess the effect of METS-IR on incident diabetes, the Cox regression model was constructed in this study. Stratification analysis and interaction tests were applied to detect the potential effect of METS-IR and incident diabetes among multiple subgroups. To verify whether there was a dose-response relationship between METS-IR and diabetes, a smooth curve fitting was performed. In addition, to further determine the performance of METS -IR in predicting incident diabetes, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was conducted.

Results

The average age of the research participators was 44.08 ± 12.93 years, and 62868 (53.8%) were men. METS-IR were significant relationship with new-onset diabetes after adjusting for possible variables (Hazard ratio [HR]: 1.077; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.073-1.082, P &lt; 0.0001), the onset risk for diabetes in Quartile 4 group was 6.261-fold higher than those in Quartile 1 group. Moreover, stratified analyses and interaction tests showed that interaction was detected in the subgroup of age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and fasting plasma glucose, there was no significant interaction between males and females. Furthermore, a dose-response correlation was detected between METS-IR and incident diabetes, the nonlinear relationship was revealed and the inflection point of METS-IR was calculated to be 44.43. When METS-IR≥44.43, compared with METS-IR &lt; 44.43, the trend was gradually saturated, with log-likelihood ratio test P &lt; 0.001. Additionally, the area under receiver operating characteristic of the METS-IR in predicting incident diabetes was 0.729, 0.718, and 0.720 at 3, 4, and 5 years, respectively.

Conclusions

METS-IR was correlated with incident diabetes significantly, and showed a nonlinear relationship. This study also found that METS-IR had good discrimination of diabetes.

Non-insulin-based insulin resistance indexes in predicting severity for coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

Triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride glucose-body mass (TyG-BMI) index, triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, and metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) are considered simple and reliable indicators of insulin resistance (IR). Although they have been associated with coronary artery disease (CAD), evidence supporting this is limited. Here, this is the first study to demonstrate the relationship between TyG-BMI index and CAD severity. The performance of the four non-insulin-based IR indexes in predicting CAD severity was explored.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 485 CAD patients between August 2020 and August 2021 in China, who were assigned into single- and multi-vessel CAD groups according to the coronary angiography (CAG) results. All patients were stratified into groups based on the tertiles of the TyG index, TyG-BMI index, TG/HDL-C ratio, and METS-IR.

RESULTS

Patients in the multi-vessel CAD group had significantly higher TyG index, TyG-BMI index, TG/HDL-C ratio and METS-IR than those in the single-vessel CAD group. After adjusting for confounding factors, these four indicators were significantly associated with the risk of multi-vessel CAD. Notably, the highest tertile of TyG index, TyG-BMI index, TG/HDL-C ratio and METS-IR were significantly associated with the risk of multi-vessel CAD compared to participants in the lowest tertile. We also constructed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, to assess CAD severity. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC plots was 0.673 (95% CI 0.620-0.726; P < 0.001) for TyG index, while those for the TyG-BMI index, TG/HDL-C ratio, and METS-IR were 0.704 (95% CI 0.652-0.755; P < 0.001), 0.652 (95% CI 0.597-0.708; P < 0.001), and 0.726 (95% CI 0.677-0.775; P < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

TyG-BMI index is not only significantly associated with CAD severity, but is also an independent risk factor for multi-vessel CAD. The TyG index, TyG-BMI index, TG/HDL-C ratio, and METS-IR could be valuable predictors of CAD severity. Among the four non-insulin-based IR indexes, METS-IR had the highest predictive value, followed by TyG-BMI index.

Potential Association of Isolated γ-Glutamyltransferase Elevation with Incident Ischemic Heart Disease in Lean Koreans

Isolated elevation of γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT), a microsomal membrane-bound protein, is commonly observed in non-obese Koreans without diabetes, and its clinical implications are not well-known. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the longitudinal effect of isolated GGT on the incidence of ischemic heart disease (IHD) risk in a large cohort of lean non-diabetic Koreans. Data were obtained from the Health Risk Assessment Study (HERAS) and Korea Health Insurance Review and Assessment (HIRA) datasets. The participants were divided into four groups according to the GGT quartile after the exclusion of those participants with diabetes, a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m2, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ≥ 40 IU/L, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/ALT > 1.5, as well as those positive for hepatitis B surface antigen or hepatitis C antibody. We prospectively assessed the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for IHD using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models over a 50-month period. During the follow-up period, 183 individuals (1.85%) developed IHD. After setting the lowest GGT quartile as a reference group, the HRs of IHD for GGT quartiles 2−4 were 1.66 (95% CI 0.95−2.89), 1.82 (95% CI 1.05−3.16), and 1.98 (95% CI 1.12−3.50), respectively, after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, mean arterial blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, and dyslipidemia. An isolated high GGT may be an additional measure for assessing and managing future IHD risks among lean Koreans without diabetes.

Relationship between a novel non-insulin-based metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and coronary artery calcification

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A novel non-insulin-based metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) index has been proposed as a simple and reliable alternative insulin resistance (IR) marker, but its the predictive value in asymptomatic adults with coronary artery calcification (CAC) remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 1576 participants without cardiovascular disease (CVD), who underwent multidetector computed tomography. Logistic regression, restricted cubic spline models and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to examine the association between METS-IR, the ratio of triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) and triglyceride glucose index (TyG index) and CAC. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the increase in METS-IR was independently associated with a higher prevalence of CAC (all P < 0.05 in Models 1-3). Furthermore, restricted cubic splines indicated that the significance of METS-IR in predicting CAC was higher than that of other IR indexes. In ROC curve analysis, without considering the P value, the area under the curve of CAC predicted by METS-IR was higher than that of other IR indexes (METS-IR, 0.607; TyG index, 0.603; TG/HDL-C, 0.577).

CONCLUSION

Compared with other IR indexes, METS-IR may have better discrimination ability in predicting the incidence of CAC in asymptomatic adults without CVD.

Comparison of three non-insulin-based insulin resistance indexes in predicting the presence and severity of coronary artery disease

Background

Insulin resistance (IR) has emerged as a risk factor for coronary heart disease (CAD), but there is currently insufficient data on the association of non-insulin-based IR indexes [triglyceride (TG)/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) ratio, triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index, and metabolic score for IR (METS-IR)] with the presence and severity of CAD. Thus, the present study aimed to examine the relationship between these three non-insulin-based IR indexes and CAD, as well as to further compare the predictive values of each index.

Materials and methods

In total, 802 consecutive patients who underwent coronary angiography for suspected CAD from January 2016 to April 2017 were included in this study and were divided into the control group (n = 149) and CAD group (n = 653) according to the angiography results. The triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, triglyceride and glucose index (TyG index), and METS-IR were calculated according to the corresponding formulas. The severity of CAD was evaluated using the Gensini score (GS). The relationship of the TG/HDL-C ratio, TyG index, and METS-IR with CAD was analyzed, and the predictive values of the indexes were compared.

Results

The TG/HDL-C ratio, TyG index, and METS-IR in the CAD group were significantly higher than those in the control group. The TG/HDL-C ratio and METS-IR in the high GS group were significantly higher than those in the non-high GS group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the TG/HDL-C ratio and METS-IR were independent predictors for the presence of CAD {adjusted odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.32 (1.02-1.70) and 1.65 (1.32-2.05), respectively}, whereas only the METS-IR was an independent predictor of the severity of CAD [adjusted OR (95% CI): 1.22 (1.02-1.47)]. Further subgroup analysis indicated that statistical significance was observed only among men, younger patients (≤ 60), and patients with prediabetes mellitus (PDM). Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that the METS-IR had the highest predictive value for the prediction of both the presence and severity of CAD.

Conclusion

The TG/HDL-C ratio, TyG index, and METS-IR are valuable predictors of the presence and severity of CAD, and the METS-IR has the highest predictive value among the three non-insulin-based IR indexes.

Predictive Value of Serum Uric Acid to HDL Cholesterol Ratio for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease in Non-Diabetic Koreans

HDL cholesterol, besides its function in lipid metabolism, plays a role in suppressing blood oxidation reactions and protecting vascular endothelial cells. The uric acid/HDL cholesterol ratio (UHR) has recently attracted attention as a new biomarker for evaluating interactions between inflammatory and anti-inflammatory substances in the blood. This study aimed to investigate the longitudinal association between UHR and incident ischemic heart disease (IHD). Data from 16,455 participants without diabetes from the Health Risk Assessment Study (HERAS) and Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment (HIRA) were assessed. Over 50 months after baseline enrolment, 321 (2.0%) participants developed IHD. The HRs of incident IHD were 0.85 (95% CI, 0.55–1.29), 1.42 (95% CI, 0.94–2.13), and 1.57 (95% CI, 1.01–2.45) in the second, third, and fourth UHR quartiles, respectively, after adjusting for potential confounding variables. In the subgroup analysis by sex-specific quartile, women tended to have higher HRs in the highest UHR quartile. We found that high UHR values were positively associated with incident IHD in Koreans without diabetes. An increased UHR may be a useful measure by which to assess cardiovascular risk in the preclinical stage.

Association Between a Novel Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance and Mortality in People With Diabetes

Background

Growing studies have shown that insulin resistance (IR) is associated with poor prognoses among patients with diabetes, whereas the association between IR and mortality has not been determined. Hence we aimed to evaluate the associations between IR and all-cause, cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and cancer-related mortality in patients with diabetes.

Methods

We enrolled 2,542 participants with diabetes with an average age of 57.12 ± 0.39 years and 52.8% men from the 1999-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 1999-2014). A novel metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) was considered as alternative marker of IR. Mortality data were obtained from the National Death Index records and all participants were followed up until December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic spline and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were performed to evaluate the associations between METS-IR and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with diabetes.

Results

During 17,750 person-years of follow-up [median (months), 95% CI: 90, 87-93], 562 deaths were documented, including 133 CVDs-related deaths and 90 cancer-related deaths. Multivariate Cox regression showed that compared with Quintile 1 (METS-IR ≤ 41), METS-IR in Quintile 2, 3, and 4 was all associated with all-cause mortality (Q2 vs. Q1: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.49-0.87, P = 0.004; Q3 vs. Q1: HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.50-0.96, P = 0.029; Q4 vs. Q1: HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.36-0.91, P = 0.019; respectively). Restricted cubic spline indicated that METS-IR was non-linearly associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality. Threshold effect analyses determined that threshold values of METS-IR for all-cause and CVDs-related mortality were both 33.33. Only METS-IR below the threshold was negatively associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality (HR 0.785, 95% CI 0.724-0.850, P < 0.001; HR 0.722, 95% CI 0.654-0.797, P < 0.001; respectively). Sensitivity analyses showed that when excluding participants who died within 1 years of follow-up, the results of threshold effect analyses remained consistent, whereas excluding participants with CVDs, METS-IR below the threshold was only negatively correlated with all-cause mortality. Subgroup analyses indicated that for all-cause mortality, the results were still stable in all subgroups except newly diagnosed diabetes, but for CVDs-related mortality, the association persisted only in participants who were ≤ 65 years, male, White, non-White, already diagnosed diabetes, or uesd oral drugs, insulin, insulin sensitizing drugs.

Conclusion

METS-IR was non-linearly associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality in patients with diabetes, and METS-IR below the threshold was negatively associated with all-cause and CVDs-related mortality.

Dose-Response Associations of Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance Index with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease among a Nonobese Chinese Population: Retrospective Evidence from a Population-Based Cohort Study

Purpose

This study is aimed at investigating the association between the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the nonobese population and its predictive value.

Methods

10730 nonobese subjects were selected from longitudinal cohort research conducted from January 2010 to December 2014. Cox proportional hazards models were employed to assess the relationship between METS-IR and new-onset NAFLD. Generalized additive models were used to identify nonlinear relationships. In addition, we performed subgroup analyses and interaction tests. The time-dependent receiver operating curve (ROC) and area under the ROC (AUC) were utilized to measure the discriminatory ability of METS-IR for new-onset NAFLD. Beyond clinical risk factors, the incremental predictive value of METS-IR was appraised using integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), C-index, and net reclassification index (NRI).

Results

Over a median period of 804.50 days of follow-up, 1859 (17.33%) participants had a new onset of NAFLD. After adjusting for confounders, the HR for new-onset NAFLD in the Q4 group was 6.40 compared with the Q1 group. When METS-IR was considered a continuous variable, the risk of NAFLD increased by 34% for every 1 SD increase in METS-IR. The smoothing curve shows the dose-response relationship between METS-IR and the presence of new-onset NAFLD. Using a two-piecewise linear regression model, we derived a METS-IR inflection point of 36. HRs were 1.31 on the left side of the inflection point and 1.04 on the right side of the inflection point (log-likelihood ratio test, P < 0.001). Subgroup analyses and interaction tests revealed an interaction between gender and SBP in the association between METS-IR and new-onset NAFLD. In the subgroup analysis of gender and SBP, we observed a higher risk of new-onset NAFLD in men and in those with abnormal SBP levels. We evaluated the ability of METS-IR to identify new-onset NAFLD at different time points. The AUCs at 1, 2, 3, and 4 years were 0.784, 0.756, 0.758, and 0.752, respectively, which represent good discrimination of new-onset NAFLD. The addition of METS-IR greatly improved the reclassification and differentiation of clinical risk factors, with an NRI of 0.276 and an IDI of 0.068. In addition, the addition of METS-IR increased the C-index from 0.719 to 0.771.

Conclusion

In a nonobese Chinese population, elevated METS-IR was independently associated with an enhanced risk of NAFLD development and a dose-response relationship existed. In addition, METS-IR might be a reliable indicator for screening individuals at risk for early NAFLD, especially in nonobese populations.

Longitudinal Effects of Serum Calcium and Phosphate Levels and Their Ratio on Incident Ischemic Heart Disease among Korean Adults

Serum calcium and phosphate levels are controlled by a regulatory system, but their individual concentration tendencies and interactions may affect long-term vascular health. This study aimed to assess the effects of serum calcium and phosphate levels on incident ischemic heart disease (IHD) in a large-scale community-dwelling Korean cohort. We evaluated 15,259 non-diabetic individuals (median age, 45 years; range, 30–85) without previous IHD or ischemic stroke using the Korean National Health Insurance data. The study population was classified based on the calcium, phosphate, and calcium/phosphate ratios. Using Cox proportional hazards regression models, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for IHD over 50 months after baseline enrolment. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of IHD gradually increased with serum calcium and phosphate quartiles and decreased with calcium/phosphate ratio quartiles, with an overall crude rate of 2.1% (315/15,259). After setting the lowest calcium, phosphate, and calcium/phosphate ratio quartiles as a reference group, the HRs (95% CIs) of the highest calcium, phosphate, and calcium/phosphate ratio quartiles for IHD were 1.77 (1.15–2.72), 1.73 (1.18–2.55), and 0.58 (0.39–0.87), respectively, after adjusting for potential confounding variables. Serum calcium and phosphate levels were positively associated with IHD incidence, while the serum calcium/phosphate ratio exhibited an inverse relationship. Serum calcium and phosphate homeostasis may merit serious consideration to understand the pathogenesis of coronary atherosclerosis as a risk modifier for IHD.

Association of Non-Insulin-Based Insulin Resistance Indices with Risk of Incident Prediabetes and Diabetes in a Chinese Rural Population: A 12-Year Prospective Study

OBJECTIVE

Three non-insulin-based insulin resistance (IR) indices, ie, triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, and metabolic score for IR (METS-IR), were considered powerful and simplified alternatives for IR. However, evidence for the association between the three IR indices and incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), especially impaired fasting glucose (IFG), remains limited. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the association among IR indices, incident IFG, and T2DM in a rural population cohort.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 2209 adults (aged 24-75 years) at baseline and from 1205 normoglycemic participants who were followed up. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the associations between the three indices and IFG or T2DM. Restricted cubic spline curves based on the Cox regression model were used to examine the association between baseline indices and incident T2DM.

RESULTS

For the baseline data, logistic analyses demonstrated that the TyG index, TG/HDL-C ratio, and METS-IR had a significantly positive correlation with IFG or T2DM after multivariable adjustment. During a median follow-up of 12.17 years, 157 incident cases of IFG and 97 incident cases of T2DM were noted. The risk of T2DM, but not IFG, was strongly associated with the baseline TyG index in the adjusted model, and participants with the TyG index in the third tertile had a higher risk of developing T2DM (adjusted hazards ratio, 2.84; 95% confidence intervals, 1.26-6.37; p for trend <0.001) than those in the lowest tertile (reference). Moreover, a linear relationship was observed between the TyG index and T2DM incidence. The TG/HDL-C ratio and METS-IR had no significant relationship with the risk of IFG or T2DM.

CONCLUSION

The TyG index is more useful than the TG/HDL-C ratio and METS-IR in predicting T2DM in the normoglycemic population.

The Nonlinear Correlation Between a Novel Metabolic Score for Insulin Resistance and Subclinical Myocardial Injury in the General Population

BACKGROUND

Growing studies have shown that insulin resistance (IR) is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), while the association between IR and subclinical myocardial injury (SC-MI) remains unclear. Hence we aimed to assess the association between IR and SC-MI.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we enrolled 6043 individuals (age: 58.43 ± 13.08 years; 46.2% men) free from CVD from the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. A novel metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) was used as alternative markers of IR. Multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic spline were performed to evaluate the associations between METS-IR and SC-MI.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for cardiovascular metabolic risk factors, higher METS-IR was independently correlated with higher risk of SC-MI [as a quartile variable, Q4 vs Q1, OR (95% CI): 1.395 (1.147, 1.698), P = 0.001, P for trend < 0.001; as a continuous variable, per 10-unit increment, OR (95% CI): 1.869 (1.524, 2.292), P < 0.001]. Restricted cubic spline indicated that there was a J-curve connection between METS-IR and SC-MI. Threshold effect analysis ascertained an inflection point of 37 of METS-IR. The ORs (95% CIs) of per 10-unit increase of METS-IR for SC-MI were 0.707 (0.538, 0.928) and 1.327 (1.210, 1.456) on the left and right sides of the inflection point (P < 0.05), respectively. Subgroup analysis showed that the association between METS-IR and SC-MI was only statistically significant in participants without diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

METS-IR was nonlinearly related to SC-MI in the general population without CVD.

Association between the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) among health check-up population in Japan: A retrospective cross-sectional study

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the relationship between a new metric-metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR)-and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) among Japanese participants who underwent health check-ups.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study that involved participants in a medical health screening program, which was conducted at the Medical Health Check-up Center in Japan. This retrospective study examined the relationship between METS-IR and eGFR among 881 individuals that joined the program between March 1, 2004, and December 31, 2012. Covariates consisted of serum laboratory tests and lifestyle questionnaires. Multivariate linear regression analysis was used to explore the association between METS-IR and eGFR. In addition, subgroup and interaction analyses were done based on age, sex, body mass index (BMI), alcohol use, smoking status, and hyperuricemia.

RESULTS

A total of 881 individuals participated in this study. High METS-IR was highly linked with reduced eGFR (adjusted β = -5.04, 95% confidence interval (CI): -7.65 to -2.43), while METS-IR was utilized as a categorical variable inside the multiple regression analysis. A decrease in eGFR of 2.54 units was reported for every 10-unit rise in METS-IR (adjusted β = -2.54, 95% CI: -4.04 to -1.05, P-value = 0.001). Stratified analysis suggested no marked interaction between METS-IR and eGFR across age, sex, BMI, and alcohol consumption groups. However, there was an indication of interaction between METS-IR level, smoking status (P-value = 0.001), and uric level (P-value = 0.011) on eGFR decrease.

CONCLUSIONS

METS-IR is remarkably associated with eGFR among the participants who underwent health check-ups in Gifu, Japan. Although more studies are required to prove it, METS-IR could be applied as a monitoring index for early screening, primary prevention, and diagnostic and treatment management strategies for chronic kidney disease.

Relationship of the metabolic score for insulin resistance and the risk of stroke in patients with hypertension: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

The current status of the dose-response relationship between the metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) and new-onset stroke in hypertensive patients and its subtypes is unclear. This study aimed to determine the association between METS-IR and incident stroke and its subtypes within a cohort of Chinese hypertensive patients.

METHODS

A total of 14032 hospitalized patients with hypertension from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2021, were included in this retrospective cohort study. Cox models and restricted cubic splines were applied to determine the association between METS-IR and the risk of stroke.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.80 years, 1067 incident stroke cases occurred. Patients in the highest quartile group of METS-IR levels exhibited a higher risk of stroke (HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.50-2.17) and ischemic stroke (HR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.60-2.42) than those in the lowest quartile group. However, no significant associations were observed between METS-IR and the risk of hemorrhagic stroke. Restricted cubic spline analysis suggested a nearly J-shaped association between METS-IR and risk of stroke and ischemic stroke (P for nonlinearity < 0.001). METS-IR did produce a significant improvement in the C statistic when added to the basic model (from 0.637 to 0.664, P < 0.001). Notably, the addition of METS-IR to the basic model resulted in a significant improvement in predicting incident total stroke and ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

This cohort study suggests a relationship between METS-IR and the risk of stroke and ischemic stroke. Further studies are required to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Usefulness of metabolic score for insulin resistance index in estimating the risk of mildly reduced estimate glomerular filtration rate: a cross-sectional study of rural population in China

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to reveal the association between metabolic score for insulin resistance (MetS-IR) and the risk of mildly decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and explore the evaluation effect of MetS-IR on the progress of eGFR decline.

STUDY DESIGN

A cross-sectional study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 11 956 rural participants (aged ≥35 years) from northeastern China were enrolled in the study. After excluding the subjects whose data were not integrated or who met the exclusion criteria, we finally obtained 11 042 participants in the present study.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Mildly decreased eGFR was defined as 60-90 mL/min/1.73 m².

RESULTS

The prevalence of mildly decreased eGFR in the general population was 36.9%. After adjustment of covariates, each SD increment of MetS-IR could bring 26.3% additional risk of mildly decreased eGFR (OR: 1.263, 95% CI: 1.066 to 1.497, p=0.007). When MetS-IR was classified into four levels by quartile, we observed participants in the top level had 3.032-fold risk of mildly decreased eGFR (OR: 3.032, 95% CI: 1.841 to 4.991, p<0.001) compared with those from the bottom level. Further, we found the participants with higher MetS-IR score were more likely to aggravate into a worse renal state which presented as higher risk of accelerated decline of eGFR, by additional 28.3% risk in whole participants (OR: 1.283, 95% CI: 1.150 to 1.430, p<0.001) and 41.9% in men (OR: 1.419, 95% CI: 1.183 to 1.701, p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

High MetS-IR was associated with high risk of mildly reduced eGFR and often accompanied by a high risk of accelerated decline in eGFR. Hence, we believed MetS-IR was a suitable indicator to evaluate the risk of early-stage renal dysfunction.