Interferon therapy reduces the risk for hepatocellular carcinoma: national surveillance program of cirrhotic and noncirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C in Japan. IHIT Study Group. Inhibition of Hepatocarcinogenesis by Interferon Therapy

Analysis of Carcinogenic Involvement of MicroRNA Pattern in Peripheral Non-Cancerous Tissues and Chronic Viral Liver Injury

Risk factors for hepatocarcinogenesis include chronic inflammation due to viral infection, liver fibrosis, and aging. In this study, we separated carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic cases due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, aiming to comprehensively analyze miRNA expression in liver tissues by age, and identify factors that contribute to carcinogenesis. Total RNA was extracted from 360 chronic hepatitis C (CH), 43 HCV infected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and surrounding non-tumor (SNT) tissues. MicroRNA (miRNA) expression patterns were analyzed using microarray. Using machine learning, we extracted characteristic miRNA expression patterns for each disease and age. There were no age-dependent changes in miRNA expression in the disease-specific comparisons; however, miRNA expression differed among the age groups of 50, 60, and 70 years of age between CH and SNT. The expression of miRNA was different between SNT and HCC only in patients in their 70s. Of the 55 miRNAs with significant differences in expression between CH and SNT, 34 miRNAs showed significant differences in expression even in the degree of liver fibrosis. The observation that miRNAs involved in hepatocarcinogenesis differ at different ages suggests that the mechanisms of carcinogenesis differ by age group as well. We also found that many miRNAs whose expression did not affect liver fibrosis were involved in carcinogenesis. These findings are expected to define biomarkers for detection of HCC at early stage, and develop novel therapeutic targets for HCC.

Changes in clinical outcomes in Japanese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma due to hepatitis C virus following the development of direct-acting antiviral agents

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have been accessible in Japan since 2014. The aim of this study is to compare how the prognosis of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCV-HCC) changed before and after DAA development.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 1949 Japanese HCV-HCC patients from January 2000 to January 2023 categorized them into pre-DAA (before 2013, n = 1169) and post-DAA (after 2014, n = 780) groups. Changes in clinical features and prognosis were assessed.

RESULTS

Despite no significant differences in BCLC stage between groups, the post-DAA group exhibited higher rates of sustained virological response (SVR) (45.6% vs. 9.8%), older age (73 vs 69 years), lower levels of AST (40 vs 56 IU/L), ALT (31 vs 46 IU/L), and AFP (11.7 vs 23.6 ng/mL), higher platelet count (13.5 vs 10.8 × 104/μL), better prothrombin time (88.0% vs 81.9%), and better ALBI score (-2.54 vs -2.36) (all P < 0.001). The post-DAA group also showed higher rates of curative treatments (74.1% vs 65.2%) and significantly improved recurrence-free survival (median 2.8 vs 2.1 years). Adjusted for inverse probability weighting, overall survival was superior in the post-DAA group (median 7.4 vs 5.6 years, P < 0.001). Subanalysis within the post-DAA group revealed significantly shorter overall survival for patients without SVR (median 4.8 years vs NA vs NA) compared to pre-SVR or post-SVR patients (both P < 0.001). No significant difference in OS was observed between the pre-SVR and post-SVR groups (P = 1.0).

CONCLUSION

The development of DAA therapy has dramatically improved the prognosis of HCV-HCC patients.

Albumin-bilirubin score is a useful predictor of worsening liver reserve after stereotactic body radiation therapy in elderly Japanese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

The prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is closely related to their liver reserves. The Child-Pugh (CP) score has traditionally been used to evaluate this reserve, with CP Grade B (CP score ≥ 7) associated with a higher risk of radiation-induced liver disease after stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). However, the CP score has limitations, as it does not accurately assess liver reserve capacity. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score has been introduced as a meticulous indicator of liver reserve for the treatment of HCC. We retrospectively evaluated the role of the ALBI score in estimating the worsening liver reserve in 42 patients with HCC treated with SBRT using CyberKnife between 2015 and 2023. The median biologically effective dose (α/β = 10 Gy) was 100 Gy. For a median follow-up duration of 17.4 months, the 1-year overall survival (OS), local control (LC) and progression-free survival (PFS) rates were 100, 98 and 62%, respectively. Worsening liver reserve was defined as an increase in the modified ALBI grade or CP score within 1 year after SBRT. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that the baseline ALBI score (≥-2.7 vs <-2.7) was the only significantly different predictor of worsening liver reserve. The OS and LC rates after SBRT for HCC were satisfactory. However, the PFS was poor, and recurrent HCC will require additional treatment. It is clinically important to predict the liver reserve capacity after SBRT, and the baseline ALBI score is a useful predictor.

FIB‑4 index and NAFLD fibrosis score are useful indicators for screening high‑risk groups of non‑viral hepatocellular carcinoma

Non-viral hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tends to appear in non-cirrhotic livers, rendering it difficult to screen for a high-risk group. The present study aimed to identify the most suitable indicator for screening high-risk groups of non-viral HCC. A total of 190 patients with non-viral HCC, including 126 with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), were enrolled in the present study. A total of two cut-off values, for low and high levels of fibrosis, were set for each of the indicators, including the Child-Pugh score (CPS; 6 and 7), platelet counts (15.8 and 10x104/µl), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score (-2.60 and -2.27), fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4 index; 1.30 and 2.67) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS; -1.455 and 0.675). The ratio of the number of patients who fell outside the cut-off value for all patients was defined as the overlooking rate. The overlooking rates of CPS, platelet counts, ALBI score, FIB-4 index and NFS for the low fibrosis cut-off value were 41.0, 48.9, 35.8, 4.2 and 5.8%, respectively. When performing analysis limited to the NAFLD cases, those of the FIB-4 index and NFS were 4.8 and 6.3%, respectively. Those for the high fibrosis cut-off value were 79.5, 73.2, 62.6, 30.0 and 37.4%, respectively. On the whole, the present study demonstrates that the cut-off values of ≥1.30 for the FIB-4 index or ≥-1.455 for the NFS may be used to screen high-risk groups of HCC among patients with non-viral hepatitis.

Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients).

RESULTS

During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.

Early Phase of Specific Cellular Immune Status Associates with HCV Infection Outcomes in Marmosets

The major mechanism for determination of HCV infection outcomes has not been fully described, particularly in the early phase of the "window-period" of infection. Based on two groups of marmosets infected with HCV-CE1E2p7/GBV-B chimeric virus (HCV chimera) or GBV-B, the immune mechanism correlating with the different outcomes of virus infections was explored in this study. HCV chimera containing the entire HCV core and envelope proteins (CE1E2p7) and GBV-B RNA were intrahepatically injected into four marmosets in each group, respectively. Blood samples were taken from individual animals in an interval of 2 weeks. Viral load and specific T cell responses were detected in two groups of HCV chimera- and GBV-B-infected marmosets. HCV chimera-infected marmosets appeared to have a virally persistent infection over 6 months post inoculation of the virus. Of these, the specific IFN-γ-secretion T cell response slowly developed over 13 to 19 weeks and was maintained at a relatively low level with 40-70 SFC/10⁶ PBMCs, while the specific Treg cell response was rapidly activated over 3 weeks and was maintained at a high level around 5% among lymphocytes. In contrast, GBV-B-infected marmosets presented spontaneous viral clearance within 6 months; the specific IFN-γ-secretion T cell response was quickly established over 5 to 7 weeks and was maintained at a high level with 50-130 SFC/10⁶ PBMCs, while the specific Treg cell response was inactivated and maintained at a baseline below 3% among lymphocytes. In conclusion, the HCV structural proteins inducing immune suppression in the early phase of HCV infection contributed to the viral persistence, of which the activation of Treg cells might play an important role in the inhibition of an effective T cell antiviral response.

Response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in Japan: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

In Japan, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality and hepatitis C virus infection is a major cause of HCC. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published studies evaluating patient response to antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis C on the risk of HCC occurrence in Japan. Articles were searched using terms determined a priori through PubMed, screened by title and abstract, and selected by full-text assessment according to criteria determined a priori, including HCC occurrence in response to interferon (IFN)-based or IFN-free therapy, Japanese study, and 2 or more years of follow-up. We excluded studies on HCC recurrence. We calculated the pooled estimate of the crude incidence rate ratio with data from the selected studies using the person-years method with Poisson regression model and pooled estimate of the hazard ratio adjusted for potential confounders reported by the studies using a random effects model. A total of 26 studies were identified, all of which examined only IFN-based therapy as a result of the selection process. The pooled estimate (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 25 studies was 0.37 (0.33-0.43) for sustained virologic response (SVR) and 1.70 (1.61-1.80) for non-SVR for the HCC incidence rate per 100 person-years, and 0.22 (0.19-0.26) for the incidence rate ratio (SVR vs. non-SVR). The pooled estimate of the hazard ratio (95% CI) of HCC incidence adjusted for potential confounders of 8 studies was 0.25 (0.19-0.34). SVR to interferon therapy for chronic hepatitis C reduces the risk of HCC occurrence.

The incidence of all organ malignancies and overall survival of patient with sustained virological response of HCV-comparable to SMR (standardized mortality ratio) of Japan general population

OBJECTIVE

This study prospectively observed the incidence of all malignancies and the prognosis of all patients in a population of patients who achieved Sustained Virological Response (SVR) with a 100% capture rate.

DESIGN

A prospective study of 651 SVR cases was conducted from July 2013 to December 2021. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of all malignancies, and the secondary endpoint was overall survival. The cancer incidence during the follow-up period was calculated using the man-year method, and risk factors were analyzed. In addition, sex- and age-matched standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was used to compare the general population with the study population.

RESULTS

The overall median follow-up was 5.44 years. 107 malignancies occurred in 99 patients during the follow-up. The incidence of all malignancies was 3.94/100 person-years. The cumulative incidence was 3.6% at 1 year, 11.1% at 3 years, and 17.9% at 5 years, and continued to increase almost linearly. The incidence of liver cancer and non-liver cancer was 1.94/100 patient-years vs. 1.81%/100 patient-years. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 99.3%, 96.5%, and 94.4%, respectively. This life expectancy was compared to the standardized mortality ratio of the Japanese population, which proved non-inferior.

CONCLUSION

It was found that malignancies of other organs occur as frequently as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, follow-up of patients who have achieved SVR should focus not only on HCC but also on malignant tumors of other organs, and lifelong follow could contribute prolonged life expectancy for the previously short-lived.

Venous thromboembolism in viral diseases: A comprehensive literature review

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is known to be a common respiratory and/or cardiovascular complication in hospitalized patients with viral infections. Numerous studies have proven human immunodeficiency virus infection to be a prothrombotic condition. An elevated VTE risk has been observed in critically ill H1N1 influenza patients. VTE risk is remarkably higher in patients infected with the Hepatitis C virus in contrast to uninfected subjects. The elevation of D-dimer levels supported the association between Chikungunya and the Zika virus and the rise of clinical VTE risk. Varicella-zoster virus is a risk factor for both cellulitis and the consequent invasive bacterial disease which may take part in thrombotic initiation. Eventually, hospitalized patients infected with the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19), the cause of the ongoing worldwide pandemic, could mainly suffer from an anomalous risk of coagulation activation with enhanced venous thrombosis events and poor quality clinical course. Although the risk of VTE in nonhospitalized COVID-19 patients is not known yet, there are a large number of guidelines and studies on thromboprophylaxis administration for COVID-19 cases. This study aims to take a detailed look at the effect of viral diseases on VTE, the epidemiology of VTE in viral diseases, and the diagnosis and treatment of VTE.

Hepatocellular carcinoma and hepatitis C virus treatments: The bold and the beautiful

The occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most serious complications of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Recently, effective antiviral medications have made sustained viral response (SVR) or cure a realistic therapeutic goal for most chronic HCV patients. Given HCV's tumorigenic propensity, it is not surprising that achieving SVR is helpful in preventing HCC. This review briefly summarizes and discusses the existing evidence on the relationship between hepatic carcinogenesis and viral eradication by antivirals, which is mainly divided into interferon-based and direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) based therapy. DAAs have changed the treatment landscape of chronic HCV, reaching high rates of SVR even in patients with advanced cirrhosis, with few contraindications and little side effects. Although some early reports suggested that DAA treatment increased the chance of HCC occurrence, more subsequent observational studies have refuted this theory. The probability of HCC recurrence after HCV eradication appears to be decreasing over time following SVR. Despite virological suppression/cure, individuals with liver cirrhosis are still at risk of HCC and should be monitored. There is a considerable need for markers/scores to predict the long-term risk of HCC in patients with HCV-related liver disease who attain SVR with direct-acting antivirals.

Increasing liver stiffness is associated with higher incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C infection and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-A population-based study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Both non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection commonly result in hepatic fibrosis and may lead to cirrhosis. This study aims to determine the incidence of HCC in patients with HCV or NAFLD complicated by advanced fibrosis, inferred from measurements of liver stiffness.

METHODS

Using Veterans Affairs (VA) Informatics and Computing Infrastructure (VINCI), we identified a nationwide cohort of patients with an existing diagnosis of HCV or NAFLD with liver transient elastography (TE) testing from 2015 to 2019. HCC cases, along with a random sample of non-HCC patients, were identified and validated, leading to calculation of incidence rates for HCC after adjustment for confounders.

RESULTS

26,161 patients carried a diagnosis of HCV and 13,629 were diagnosed with NAFLD at the time of testing. In those with HCV, rates of HCC increased with liver stiffness with incidences of 0.28 (95% CI 0.24, 0.34), 0.93 (95% CI 0.72, 1.17), 1.28 (95% CI 0.89, 1.79), and 2.79 (95% CI 2.47, 3.14)/100,000 person years for TE score ranges <9.5 kPa, 9.5-12.5 kPa, 12.5-14.5 kPa and >14.5 kPa, respectively, after a median follow-up of 2.3 years. HCC incidence also increased with higher TE liver stiffness measures in NAFLD after a median follow-up of 1.1 years.

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective cohort, the incidence of HCC in HCV and NAFLD increases with higher TE liver stiffness measures, confirming that advanced fibrosis portends risk in viral and non-viral fibrotic liver diseases. Additional comparative studies are needed to determine the optimal cut point of TE liver stiffness to inform HCC screening guidelines and approaches.

Impact of eradication of hepatitis C virus on liver-related and -unrelated diseases: morbidity and mortality of chronic hepatitis C after SVR

Hepatitis C virus infection is characterized by chronic liver inflammation and fibrogenesis, leading to end-stage liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma over the course of 20 to 30 years. It seems not only the chronicity of hepatitis C but also the presence of the virus in non-hepatic tissues creates a favorable environment for the potential development of pathogenic impacts on extrahepatic systems and organs. Numerous extra-hepatic manifestations have been reported in association with HCV infection, all of which can substantially affect morbidity, mortality, and quality of life. With the recent development of DAAs, antiviral treatment can cure almost all patients with HCV infection, even those intolerant of or unresponsive to IFN treatment, and several large multicenter studies have confirmed the association of DAA-induced SVR with reductions in liver-related and liver-unrelated complications, such as cardiovascular events, end stage renal disease, and so on. Because, in addition to liver-related diseases, extrahepatic lesions are threatening for patients, it is important to eradicate the virus before these progress and affect life prognosis; in other words, patients should be treated before reaching the point of no return. Tailored surveillance with biomarkers such as M2BPGi and Ang-2, which can be used to identify patients with an elevated risk of EHM, and early prevention or treatment for these patients could improve the morbidity, mortality and QOL. Advancement of both basic and clinical research in this field including the development of more precise biomarkers is highly anticipated.

No increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after eradication of hepatitis C virus by direct-acting antivirals, compared with interferon-based therapy

It is well-known that sustained virological response (SVR) by interferon (IFN)-based therapy against hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection reduced the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, whether IFN-free direct-acting antivirals reduce the risk of HCC is controversial. Therefore, this study aims to compare the incidence of HCC after the achievement of SVR between sofosbuvir combined with ledipasvir (SOF/LDV) and simeprevir with pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (Sim+IFN). Japanese patients with HCV infection (genotype 1) who achieved SVR between January 2013 and December 2014 by SOF/LDV (NCT01975675, n = 320) or Sim+IFN (000015933, n = 289) therapy in two nationwide, multicenter, phase III studies were prospectively monitored for the development of HCC by ultrasonography for 5 years after the end of treatment (EOT). No HCC was detected before the treatment. HCC was detected in 9 and 7 patients in the SOF/LDV and the Sim+IFN group in 5 years, respectively. The cumulative incidences of HCC rates 1, 3, and 5 years after EOT were similar between the two groups (1.5%, 2.7%, and 3.2% for the SOF/LDV and 1.8%, 2.8%, and 3.0% for the Sim+IFN group, respectively). No HCC was developed 3.5 years after EOT. Interestingly, a retrospective careful review of imaging taken before therapy revealed hepatic nodules in 50% of HCC patients, suggesting HCC was pre-existed before therapy. In conclusion, we could not find any differences in the incidence of HCC after the HCV eradication between the two therapeutic regimens, suggesting no enhancement of HCC development by DAA.

Adherence to regular surveillance visits for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection who achieved sustained virologic response

OBJECTIVE

Patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieve sustained virologic response (SVR) to anti-HCV therapy, that is the eradication of HCV, are recommended to continue regular hospital visits for the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that can develop after SVR. However, it is unclear how well patients with SVR adhere to post-SVR follow-up over the long term. We investigated this adherence and the factors associated with it.

METHODS

Medical record data on regular hospital visits were reviewed in 1329 patients with no history of HCC who achieved SVR by anti-HCV therapy. At the time of SVR confirmation, all patients were advised to continue regular visits, and the risk of post-SVR HCC was explained. The adherence rate of post-SVR follow-up and associated factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

Adherence rates decreased continuously over time, as follows: 76.6% at 5 years, 62.4% at 10 years, 48.8% at 15 years, and 35.3% at 20 years after SVR. Adherence rates did not differ based on the degree of baseline liver fibrosis and were significantly lower in patients who achieved SVR by interferon (IFN)-free therapy and those with HCV genotype 2b.

CONCLUSION

Adherence to post-SVR follow-up decreased over the long term, and rates differed by patient background. Adherence was especially poor in patients who achieved SVR by IFN-free therapy, and therefore, strategies are necessary to encourage these patients to maintain their regular schedule of hospital visits.

Improved prognosis of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma in the era of direct-acting antivirals

The prognostic impact of direct‐acting antivirals (DAAs) on patients with hepatitis C‐related hepatocellular carcinoma (C‐HCC) is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the prognosis of C‐HCC in the DAA era. We enrolled 1237 consecutive patients with treatment‐naive C‐HCC who underwent radical radiofrequency ablation between 1999 and 2019. We also enrolled 350 patients with nonviral HCC as controls. We divided these patients into three groups according to the year of initial treatment: 1999–2005 (cohort 1), 2006–2013 (cohort 2), and 2014–2019 (cohort 3). The use of antiviral agents and their effect in patients with C‐HCC was investigated. Overall survival was evaluated for each cohort using the Kaplan‐Meier method and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved in 52 (10%), 157 (26%), and 102 (74%) patients with C‐HCC in cohorts 1–3, respectively. The 3‐ and 5‐year survival rates of patients with C‐HCC were 82% and 59% in cohort 1; 80% and 64% in cohort 2; and 86% and 78% in cohort 3, respectively (p = 0.003). Multivariable analysis adjusted for age, liver function, and tumor extension showed that the prognosis of C‐HCC improved in cohort 3 compared to cohort 1 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32–0.73; p < 0.001), whereas the prognosis of nonviral HCC did not improve significantly (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.59–1.57; p = 0.88). The prognosis of C‐HCC drastically improved with the advent of DAAs.

Real‐world long‐term analysis of daclatasvir plus asunaprevir in patients with hepatitis C virus infection

Background and Aim

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Revolution in the diagnosis and management of hepatitis C virus infection in current era

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major global public health problem, particularly in developing part of the world. Significant advances have been made in the early diagnosis and treatment of the disease. Its management has been particularly revolutionized during the past two decades. In this review, we summarize the major advances in the diagnostic and management armamentarium for chronic HCV infection. The focus of the present review is on the newer directly acting anti-viral agents, which have revolutionized the management of chronic HCV infection. Management of uncomplicated chronic HCV infection and of specific complications and special at-risk populations of patients will be covered in detail. Despite the advent and approval of highly effective and well tolerable oral agents, still many challenges remain, particularly the affordability, the equitable distribution and access to later drugs. The World Health Organization aims to eliminate viral hepatitis including HCV by 2030 since its poses a major public health threat. There is an urgent need to ensure uniform and early access to diagnostic and therapeutic facilities throughout the world if the later goal has to be realized.

The influence of hepatitis C virus eradication on hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with hemophilia

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in patients with hemophilia lead to the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at a relatively younger age than that in patients without hemophilia. Although recent progress in direct-acting-antivirals has facilitated a high rate of sustained virological response (SVR), the clinical influence of HCV eradication in hemophilia patients remains unclear. This study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of SVR against HCV in patients with and without hemophilia.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study enrolled 699 patients who achieved SVR after HCV antiviral treatment. Patients were divided into two groups: 78 patients with hemophilia (H group) and 621 patients without hemophilia (NH group). We evaluated patient characteristics, clinical outcomes, and the cumulative incidence of HCC after SVR.

RESULTS

Compared with the NH group, patients in the H-group were significantly younger and had a lower hepatic fibrosis score. No difference was found in the incidence of liver-related disease or overall death between the two groups over a mean follow-up period of 7 years. Four patients in the H group and 36 patients in the NH group were diagnosed with HCC after SVR. Multivariate analysis showed that male sex, age, and cirrhosis were significant risk factors for HCC incidence. There was no significant difference in the cumulative incidence of HCC after propensity-score matching adjusting for the risk factors of HCC between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

Hemophilia is not a significant risk factor for hepatocarcinogenesis after SVR against HCV.

The role of exosomal miRNA in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) impacts more than one-third of the population and is linked with other metabolic diseases. The term encompasses a wide spectrum of diseases, from modest steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, fibrosis and, ultimately, cirrhosis with the potential for development of hepatocellular carcinoma. Currently, available methods for diagnosing NAFLD are invasive or lack accuracy, and monitoring to determine response to therapeutic interventions is challenging. Exosomes are nano-scaled extracellular vesicles that are secreted by a variety of cells. They convey proteins, mRNA, miRNA, and other bioactive molecules between cells and are involved in an extensive range of biological processes, particularly cell-cell communication. Several reports suggest that exosomes mediate miRNAs and, thus, they have potential clinical utility for diagnosis, prognosis, and therapeutics in liver diseases. In view of the vital role of exosomal microRNA in disease, we here synthesized current knowledge about the biogenesis of exosomal miRNA and exosome-mediated microRNA transfer. We then discuss the potential of exosomal miRNA in diagnosis and therapeutics of NAFLD.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma using age and liver stiffness on transient elastography after hepatitis C virus eradication

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a useful tool for assessing advanced liver fibrosis, an important risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatitis C (HCV) eradication. This study aimed to clarify the non-invasive factors associated with HCC following sustained virological response (SVR) and to identify the low-risk group. 567 patients without history of HCC who achieved SVR at 24 weeks (SVR24) after IFN-free treatment were retrospectively analyzed. The cumulative incidence of HCC and the risk factors were examined using pre-treatment and SVR24 data. The median observation period was 50.2 months. Thirty cases of HCC were observed, and the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 5.9%. In multivariate analysis, significant pre-treatment factors were age ≥ 71 years (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.402) and LSM ≥ 9.2 kPa (HR: 6.328); SVR24 factors were age ≥ 71 years (HR: 2.689) and LSM ≥ 8.4 kPa (HR: 6.642). In cases with age < 71 years and LSM < 8.4 kPa at the time of SVR24, the 4-year cumulative incidence of HCC was as low as 1.1%. Both pre-treatment LSM (≥ 9.2 kPa) and SVR24 LSM (≥ 8.4 kPa) and age (≥ 71 years) are useful in predicting the risk of HCC after SVR with IFN-free treatment. Identification of low-risk individuals may improve the efficiency of follow-up.

Novel combined fibrosis-based index predicts the long-term outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection

AIM

Liver fibrosis influences liver regeneration and surgical outcomes. The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is strongly associated with liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. This study aimed to examine the prognostic significance of the combination of FIB-4 index and Protein Induced by Vitamin K Absence or Antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) (PIVKA-II-FIB-4 index score) in patients who underwent curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We included 284 patients who underwent elective hepatic resection for HCC between January 2000 and December 2018. We retrospectively investigated how FIB-4 index is related to disease-free survival and overall survival.

RESULTS

According to a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, the optimal cutoff value of the FIB-4 index was 3.44. In a multivariate analysis, high PIVKA-II and FIB-4 index values were independent predictors of both disease-free survival (P = 0.013 and P = 0.005, respectively) and overall survival (P = 0.048 and P < 0.001, respectively). We classified the PIVKA-II and FIB-4 index levels into two groups (high vs. low) and calculated a new score (PIVKA-II-FIB-4 index score; 0-2) by the sum of each measurement (high, 1; low, 0). The 5 year overall survival rates of patients with PIVKA-II-FIB-4 index scores of 0, 1, and 2 were 84.9, 74.4, and 47.1%, respectively (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The combination of the preoperative PIVKA-II and FIB-4 index may be a prognostic factor of HCC after hepatic resection, suggesting that the combined score is useful in assessing the liver fibrosis status in cancer cases.

Consensus on the secondary prevention of primary liver cancer

To standardize the effective prevention, surveillance, and diagnosis of primary liver cancer, the Chinese Society of Hepatology, Chinese Medical Association, invited clinical experts and methodologists to develop the Consensus on the Secondary Prevention of Primary Liver Cancer, which was based on the clinical and scientific advances on hepatocellular carcinoma. The purpose is to provide a current basis for the prevention, surveillance, and early diagnosis of primary liver cancer in patients with chronic liver diseases.

Computed Tomography-Measured Liver Volume Predicts the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients

AIM

In this retrospective cohort study, we evaluated the significance of liver volume in the prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in 277 chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who received dynamic computed tomography (CT) during surveillance.

METHODS

Liver volumes were measured on portal venous phase of CT images by using ImageJ software. Liver volume index, a ratio of the standard liver volume expected by weight and height to the measured liver volume, was calculated to adjust for normal variations. The cohort was randomly divided to derivation (n = 100) and validation sets (n = 177) for the generation of a liver volume-based Cox prediction model and validation of a liver volume-based nomogram, respectively.

RESULTS

The liver volume index was independent of weight or height, and it predicted further development of HCC (hazard ratio [HR] 16.30, 95% CI 6.70-39.62; p < 0.001). Liver cirrhosis, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and liver volume index were independent predictors of HCC, and nomogram-based prediction score from these three parameters identified high-risk patients at the cutoff of 110 in both derivation (p < 0.001) and validation cohort (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Liver volume-based prediction model stratifies the risk of developing HCC in CHC patients whose initial dynamic CT study gave negative results.

Direct antiviral agents for chronic hepatitis C virus infection improve health-related quality of life significantly in the long term

Introduction

Direct antiviral agents (DAAs) are new drugs for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. These drugs are very effective and well tolerated. HCV can cause liver disease as well as extrahepatic manifestations, including a profound negative impact on health-related quality of life (HRQL).

Aim of the study

To evaluate HRQL in the long term (> 6 months after finishing treatment) after successful treatment with DAAs. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that evaluates quality of life in the long term after DAA treatment.

Material and methods

This is an observational study which included 100 patients treated with DAAs for chronic HCV infection between January 2015 and August 2018. Patients were assigned randomly. The average time after finishing treatment was 29.96 months. The Liver Disease Symptom Index (LDSI) 2.0 Questionnaire was used to evaluate quality of life before and after treatment.

Results

Seven of 9 parameters of the LDSI 2.0 Questionnaire showed significant improvement in the long term after successful treatment with DAAs. Two parameters (arthralgia and jaundice) did not improve significantly. Quality of life improved in both males and females similarly. Improvement did not correlate with the severity of liver fibrosis.

Conclusions

Treatment with DAAs improves HRQL significantly in the long term.

Chest Wall Swelling in a Baby Boomer: An Unusual Presentation of Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most frequently diagnosed cancers in adult men and a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. It also has an association with patients with hepatitis C-related cirrhosis. HCC usually metastasizes within the liver as well as to the lungs, regional lymph nodes, and adrenal glands, whereas the involvement of the chest wall and thoracic musculoskeletal system are more unusual.

Herein, we report the case of a 58-year-old man who presented with swelling of the right anterolateral lower chest wall. The final diagnosis was primary HCC with distant metastases involving the right anterolateral ribs and left scapula. Such a presentation of extrahepatic HCC of this size and at this site is unique and has never before been reported in the literature. It reinforces the urgency and importance of screening all adults (18 years and above), particularly baby boomers, because three out of 100 have been infected with hepatitis C, at least once in their lifetime. It is also a wake-up call, as the incidence of primary HCC secondary to hepatitis C-associated cirrhosis has doubled, with a resultant increase in mortality.

This HCC-related death might have been prevented if the patient had been screened for hepatitis C virus in his lifetime, as recommended by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. We also discuss the latest developments in the diagnosis and management of HCC. 

Impact of Obesity and Heavy Alcohol Consumption on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development after HCV Eradication with Antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It remains unclear whether obesity increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) with antiviral therapy.

METHODS

In this multicenter cohort study, we enrolled patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved SVR with interferon (IFN)-based therapy (IFN group) or direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy (DAA group) between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2018. The patients underwent regular surveillance for HCC. Cumulative incidence of and the risk factors for HCC development after SVR were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, respectively.

RESULTS

Among 2,055 patients (840 in the IFN group and 1,215 in the DAA group), 75 developed HCC (41 in the IFN group and 34 in the DAA group) during the mean observation period of 4.1 years. The incidence rates of HCC at 1, 2, and 3 years were 1.2, 1.9, and 3.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that in addition to older age, lower albumin level, lower platelet count, higher alpha-fetoprotein level, and absence of dyslipidemia, obesity (body mass index ≥25 kg/m²) and heavy alcohol consumption (≥60 g/day) were independent risk factors for HCC development, with adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.53 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.51-4.25) and 2.56 (95% CI: 1.14-5.75), respectively. The adjusted HR was not significant between the 2 groups (DAA vs. IFN; HR 1.19, 95% CI: 0.61-2.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Obesity and heavy alcohol consumption increased the risk of HCC development after SVR.

Real-world clinical outcomes of sofosbuvir and velpatasvir treatment in HCV genotype 1- and 2-infected patients with decompensated cirrhosis: A nationwide multicenter study by the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group

The real-world virological efficacy and safety of interferon-free direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy with sofosbuvir (SOF) and velpatasvir (VEL) were assessed in hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1- and 2-infected patients with decompensated cirrhosis. A total of 65 patients with HCV-related decompensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh score of 7 points or more) who were treated with the SOF/VEL regimen were enrolled. The sustained virological response (SVR) rate and safety profile were analyzed. SVR was defined as undetectable serum HCV RNA at 12 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR12). The percentages of patients with undetectable HCV RNA at 4, 8, and 12 weeks after the start of therapy were 81.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69.5-89.9) (52/64), 98.4% (95% CI, 91.2-100.0) (60/61), and 98.5% (95% CI, 91.7-100.0) (64/65), respectively. The overall SVR rate was 92.3% (95% CI, 83.0-97.5) (60/65). Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores decreased during and after treatment (p < 0.001), and there were significant differences between baseline and end of treatment and between baseline and SVR12. Subgroup analyses showed no significant differences in SVR rates according to patient age, sex, HCV genotype (subtype), Child-Pugh classification, modified ALBI grade, presence of ascites, presence of hepatic coma, or history of hepatocellular carcinoma. In all subpopulations, the SVR rates were higher than 80%. There were no severe adverse events associated with the treatment. The SOF/VEL regimen showed good virological efficacy and acceptable safety even in patients with HCV-related decompensated cirrhosis.

AFP and eGFR are related to early and late recurrence of HCC following antiviral therapy

Background

An unexpected recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) sometimes occurs in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) after treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). However, the characteristics of patients with HCC recurrence may differ depending on time after DAA treatment. We aimed to identify risk factors related to HCC recurrence according to time after DAA treatment.

Methods

Of 1663 patients with HCV treated with a DAA, 199 patients had a previous history of HCC. We defined HCC recurrence within 1 year after DAA treatment as ‘early recurrence’, and recurrence more than 1 year after as ‘late recurrence’. The different risk factors between the early and late phases of HCC recurrence after the end of DAA therapy were investigated.

Results

Ninety-seven patients experienced HCC recurrence during the study period. Incidences of recurrence were 29.8, 41.0, and 53.4% at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively, after the end of DAA therapy. Multivariate analysis identified post-treatment α-fetoprotein (AFP) as an independent factor contributing to HCC recurrence in the early phase (hazard ratio, 1.056; 95% confidence interval, 1.026–1.087, p < 0.001) and post-treatment estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.96–0.99, p = 0.032) as a predictor of HCC recurrence in the late phase.

Conclusion

Patients with higher post-treatment AFP in the early phase and those with lower post-treatment eGFR in the late phase had a high risk of HCC recurrence. The risk factors associated with HCC recurrence after DAA treatment were different between the early and late phases.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08401-7.

Noninvasive Assessment of Hepatitis C Virus Infected Patients Using Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography

Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Surveillance of these patients is an essential strategy in the prevention chain, including in the pre/post-antiviral treatment states. Ultrasound elastography techniques are emerging as key methods in the assessment of liver diseases, with a number of advantages such as their rapid, noninvasive, and cost-effective characters. The present paper critically reviews the performance of vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in the assessment of HCV patients. VCTE measures liver stiffness (LS) and the ultrasonic attenuation through the embedded controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), providing the clinician with a tool for assessing fibrosis, cirrhosis, and steatosis in a noninvasive manner. Moreover, standardized LS values enable proper staging of the underlying fibrosis, leading to an accurate identification of a subset of HCV patients that present a high risk for complications. In addition, VCTE is a valuable technique in evaluating liver fibrosis prior to HCV therapy. However, its applicability in monitoring fibrosis regression after HCV eradication is currently limited and further studies should focus on extending the boundaries of VCTE in this context. From a different perspective, VCTE may be effective in identifying clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). An emerging prospect of clinical significance that warrants further study is the identification of esophageal varices. Our opinion is that the advantages of VCTE currently outweigh those of other surveillance methods.

Changes in liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C after successful direct-acting antiviral therapy

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

After successful treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), the stage of liver fibrosis decreases over time. Here, we aimed to assess the changes in the liver fibrosis stage using transient elastography (TE) after successful DAA therapy in HCV-infected cirrhotic patients who were referred to Shariati hospital from 2016 to 2017.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In this observational cohort, all HCV-infected cirrhotic patients who were treated with a combination of sofosbuvir/daclatasvir, had sustained virologic response (SVR), and had undergone pre- and post-treatment TE, were enrolled. The primary outcome was the changes in TE parameters six months after the end of treatment compared with baseline.

RESULTS

A total of 442 eligible subjects received DAA therapy. Overall, the SVR rate was 96.6%. Of these, 149 patients had completed the protocol and were enrolled. The mean age of patients was 56.1 ± 10.3 years and the predominant sex was male (77.9%). The median (Q₁ -Q₃ ) liver stiffness (LS) value at baseline was 26.3 kPa (18.1-38 kPa), which significantly decreased to 20.9 kPa (12-29.7 kPa) [z = -8.45, P-value < .001]. Also, the liver steatosis of patients with baseline CAP ≥ 220 dB/m had a significant response to treatment [z = -2.3, P-value = .023]. Based on multivariate analysis, a higher baseline liver fibrosis stage was the only determinant of LS values improvement in our study.

CONCLUSION

Successful HCV eradication in patients with liver fibrosis results in significant improvement in LS, even in cirrhotic patients.

Diagnosis and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma. Update of the consensus document of the AEEH, AEC, SEOM, SERAM, SERVEI, and SETH

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver neoplasm and one of the most common causes of death in patients with cirrhosis of the liver. In parallel, with recognition of the clinical relevance of this cancer, major new developments have recently appeared in its diagnosis, prognostic assessment and in particular, in its treatment. Therefore, the Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH) has driven the need to update the clinical practice guidelines, once again inviting all the societies involved in the diagnosis and treatment of this disease to participate in the drafting and approval of the document: Spanish Society for Liver Transplantation (SETH), Spanish Society of Diagnostic Radiology (SERAM), Spanish Society of Vascular and Interventional Radiology (SERVEI), Spanish Association of Surgeons (AEC) and Spanish Society of Medical Oncology (SEOM). The clinical practice guidelines published in 2016 and accepted as National Health System Clinical Practice Guidelines were taken as the reference documents, incorporating the most important recent advances. The scientific evidence and the strength of the recommendation is based on the GRADE system.

Intrahepatic distribution of nerve fibers and alterations due to fibrosis in diseased liver

Autonomic nerve fibers in the liver are distributed along the portal tract, being involved in the regulation of blood flow, bile secretion and hepatic metabolism, thus contributing to systemic homeostasis. The present study investigated changes in hepatic nerve fibers in liver biopsy specimens from patients with normal liver, viral hepatitis and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, in relation to clinical background. The areal ratio of nerve fibers to the total portal area was automatically calculated for each sample. The nerve fiber areal ratios (NFAR) for total nerve fibers and sympathetic nerve fibers were significantly lower in liver affected by chronic hepatitis, particularly viral hepatitis, and this was also the case for advanced liver fibrosis. However, the degree of inflammatory activity did not affect NFAR for either whole nerves or sympathetic nerves. Comparison of samples obtained before and after antiviral treatment for HCV demonstrated recovery of NFAR along with improvement of liver fibrosis.

Cost-Utility of All-Oral Direct-Acting Antiviral Regimens for the Treatment of Genotype 1 Chronic Hepatitis C Virus-Infected Patients in Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are entering the hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment landscape in Hong Kong, prompting the need for cost-effectiveness evaluations of these interventions to enable optimal use of healthcare resources.

AIMS

This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of DAAs to standard-of-care pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (RBV) in treatment-naïve patients without significant liver fibrosis and to compare different DAAs in patients who are treatment-experienced and/or have advanced liver disease.

METHODS

A Markov model was constructed to evaluate cost-effectiveness over a lifetime time horizon from the payer perspective. The target population was treatment-naïve and treatment-experienced HCV genotype 1 patients, stratified by degree of liver fibrosis. The model consists of 16 health states encompassing METAVIR fibrosis score (F0-F4), treatment success or failure, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant, and liver-related death. The proportions of patients achieving sustained virologic response were obtained from clinical trials. Other inputs were obtained from published and local data. The primary outcome was incremental cost-utility ratio for each DAA versus pegylated interferon + ribavirin and among different DAAs.

RESULTS

In treatment-naïve F0-2 HCV patients, all DAAs were cost-effective in genotype 1a and daclatasvir + asunaprevir, elbasvir/grazoprevir, ledipasvir/sofosbuvir, and glecaprevir/pibrentasvir were cost-effective compared to pegylated interferon + ribavirin in genotype 1b. In genotypes 1a and 1b, treatment-experienced patients, and F3-4 patients, elbasvir/grazoprevir was the least costly DAA and economically dominant over most other DAAs.

CONCLUSIONS

DAAs can be a cost-effective option for the treatment of genotype 1 HCV patients in Hong Kong, and elbasvir/grazoprevir is cost-effective.

Cost-effectiveness of a "treat-all" strategy using Direct-Acting Antivirals (DAAs) for Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 at different fibrosis stages

Aim

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of therapeutic strategies initiated at different stages of liver fibrosis using three direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), sofosbuvir-ledipasvir (SL), glecaprevir-pibrentasvir (GP), and elbasvir plus grazoprevir (E/G), for Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) genotype 1.

Methods

We created an analytical decision model reflecting the progression of liver fibrosis stages to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of alternative therapeutic strategies applied at different fibrosis stages. We compared six treatment strategies: treating all patients regardless of fibrosis stage (TA), treating individual patients with one of four treatments starting at four respective stages of liver fibrosis progression (F1S: withholding treatment at stage F0 and starting treatment from stage F1 or higher, and three successive options, F2S, F3S, and F4S), and administering no antiviral treatment (NoRx). We adopted a lifetime horizon and Japanese health insurance payers’ perspective.

Results

The base case analysis showed that the incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gain of TA by SL, GP, and E/G compared with the strategies of starting treatments for patients with the advanced fibrosis stage, F2S, varied from 0.32 to 0.33, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were US$24,320, US$18,160 and US$17,410 per QALY, respectively. On the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve, TA was most likely to be cost-effective, with the three DAAs at the willingness to pay thresholds of US$50,000.

Conclusions

Our results suggested that administration of DAA treatment for all Japanese patients with genotype 1 CHC regardless of their liver fibrosis stage would be cost-effective under ordinary conditions.

Comparison of liver disease state progression in patients with eradication of versus persistent infection with hepatitis C virus: Markov chain analysis

To investigate the long-term prognosis of liver disease in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication after antiviral therapy versus those with persistent HCV infection. Four hundred and eighty patients (5259 person-years [PYs]) who received interferon-based therapy and achieved sustained virologic response and 848 patients (3853 PYs) with persistent HCV infection were included. In the analysis of 1-year liver disease state transition probability matrices using Markov chain models, progression to cirrhosis from the chronic hepatitis state was observed (0.00%-0.63%) in patients with HCV eradication. Among patients with chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis and HCV eradication, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development was observed in males aged ≥ 50 years (0.97%-1.96%) and females aged ≥ 60 years (0.26%-5.00%). Additionally, in patients with cirrhosis and HCV eradication, improvement to chronic hepatitis was also observed (4.94%-10.64%). Conversely, in patients with chronic hepatitis and persistent HCV infection, progression to cirrhosis was observed in males aged ≥ 30 years and female aged ≥ 40 years (0.44%-1.99%). In males aged ≥ 40 years and female aged ≥ 50 years with cirrhosis, the transition probability for HCC was relatively high (4.17%-14.02%). Under the assumption of either chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis at age 40 or 60 years as the starting condition for simulation over the next 30 or 40 years, respectively, the probability of HCC was higher in patients with persistent HCV infection than those with HCV eradication. In conclusion, HCV eradication can reduce the risk of developing cirrhosis or HCC in patients with chronic HCV infection.

Incidence and Clinical Features of Hepatitis C Virus-associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients without Liver Cirrhosis in Hepatitis B Virus-endemic Area

Background/objective

Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is rarely observed in patients without liver cirrhosis (LC). We evaluated the incidence and clinical feature of HCV-associated HCC patients with or without LC.

Methods

The medical records of 1,516 patients diagnosed as having primary HCC at our hospital between January 2005 and December 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Of these, 154 (10.2%) HCV-associated HCC patients were analyzed. LC was diagnosed histologically or clinically.

Results

Seventeen (11.0%) of the 154 patients had non-cirrhotic HCC, and all were of Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class A, Among the 17 patients, 88.2% were male, all had nodular type HCC, and only 2 (11.8%) were under HCC surveillance. Median overall survival (OS) of HCV-associated HCC patients with and without LC was 15 months and 37 months, respectively. Cumulative OS rates were not different between non-cirrhotic patients and cirrhotic patients with CTP class A (P=0.229). Cumulative OS rates were significantly higher in non-cirrhotic patients than in cirrhotic patients of CTP class B (P<0.001) or C (P<0.001). Multivariate analyses showed serum AST (hazard ratio [HR] 1.01, P=0.003) and AFP levels (HR 1.01, P=0.016), antiviral therapy (HR 0.25, P=0.022), and LC of CTP class B (HR, 5.24, P=0.006) or C (HR 21.79, P<0.001) were significantly associated with prognosis in HCV-associated HCC patients.

Conclusions

HCC in a non-cirrhotic liver was found in 11% of HCV-associated HCC patients. OSs of HCV-associated HCC patients were better in those of CTP A, regardless of LC than in those with LC of CTP class B or C.

Extrahepatic Malignancies After Treatment with Direct Antiviral Agents for Chronic HCV Infection

BACKGROUND

Direct antiviral agents (DAAs) have become the treatment of choice for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). A safety concern was raised about a possible relationship between DDAs and malignancies. We report unexpected development of extrahepatic malignancies after DAA treatment.

METHODS

Four hundred thirty-one patients were treated with DAAs in our unit between January 2015 and February 2018. The most common regimen used the combination of paritaprevir/ritonavir/ombitasvir with/without dasabuvir (PrOD) (141 patients, 32.7%). The most common genotype was G1b (317 patients, 73.5%).

RESULTS

Nine patients (2.08%) were diagnosed with malignancies after treatment: three patients developed lymphoma, one laryngeal carcinoma, one pancreatic adenocarcinoma, one cervix carcinoma, one lung carcinoma, one developed recurrent transitional cell carcinoma of the urinary bladder, and one developed recurrent metastatic breast cancer. The incidence of these malignancies in the cohort was 696 to 100,000 for lymphoma and 232 to 100,000 for each one of the other malignancies described, while the incidence in the general population is 20, 8.8, 1.7, 44.7, 142, and 89.7 to 100,000, respectively. Five of these patients were treated with PrOD, two with sofosbuvir and daclatasvir, one with simeprevir and sofosbuvir, and one with ledipasvir and sofosbuvir. The occurrence of the malignancies was 3 months to 4 years after the end of the treatment. Besides, 10 patients (2.3%) developed HCC and one developed recurrent aggressive HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

This report raises a question about a possible relationship between treatment with DAAs and development of extrahepatic malignancies. Thus, data collection from larger cohorts is critical to determine the relationship possibility.

Dynamic Evaluation of Liver Fibrosis to Assess the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C Who Achieved Sustained Virologic Response

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis is an important risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virologic response (SVR) in patients with persistent hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. However, as the degree of liver fibrosis changes following the eradication of HCV after SVR, it is unclear whether the prediction of HCC development based on liver fibrosis at baseline remains valid.

METHODS

In 522 patients who achieved SVR by interferon-based anti-HCV therapy, the Fibrosis-4 Index for Liver Fibrosis (FIB-4 index) was updated annually by recalculation based on laboratory values after SVR. The incidence of HCC was reassessed annually based on the updated FIB-4 index.

RESULTS

The percentage of patients with mild liver fibrosis (FIB-4 index <1.45) increased annually after SVR, whereas the percentage of patients with advanced liver fibrosis (FIB-4 index ≥3.25) decreased. The incidences of HCC based on the FIB-4 index remained constant between the time of SVR and subsequent annual updates. No patients developed HCC after SVR if the FIB-4 index decreased to <1.45.

CONCLUSIONS

The FIB-4 index retained its predictive ability for the risk of HCC when recalculated after SVR, despite the decrease in patients with high FIB-4 index values. Dynamic assessment of the FIB-4 index can be useful in the surveillance of HCC after SVR. Patients with a FIB-4 index <1.45 did not develop HCC even by the regression from advanced fibrosis after SVR. Further studies will be necessary to confirm these findings, which may result in a decrease in the number of patients in whom surveillance is required.

Sex difference in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma after direct-acting antiviral therapy in patients with HCV infection

Sex differences in the predictors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy was investigated. DAA therapy was given to 1438 (663 male, 775 female) patients. Sex differences in the HCC development rate and the factors contributing to HCC development after DAA therapy were investigated. Male patients had a significantly higher cumulative HCC incidence (log-rank test, P =  .007). On multivariate analysis, the fibrosis-4 index (HR = 1.11; 95%CI, 1.042-1.202, P =  .002) and posttreatment α-fetoprotein (AFP) (HR = 1.11; 95%CI, 1.046-1.197, P  =  .001) were found to be independent factors that contributed to HCC development following DAA therapy in female patients, whereas only posttreatment AFP (HR  =  1.090; 95%CI, 1.024-1.160, P  = .007) was an independent factor in male patients. The optimal posttreatment AFP cut-off values were set based on receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. The optimal posttreatment AFP cut-off value was much higher in females (6.0 ng/mL) than in male (3.5 ng/mL) patients. In conclusion both in male and female patients, posttreatment AFP was an independent predictor of HCC development after DAA therapy. However, the cut-off values differed between the sexes. In male patients, HCC could be seen in patients with relatively low posttreatment AFP levels; more careful observation might be needed in such patients.

Timing of DAA Initiation After Curative Treatment and Its Relationship with the Recurrence of HCV-Related HCC

Hepatitis C virus infection is a major cause of chronic hepatitis, leading to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Many studies agree that interferon (IFN)-based antiviral therapy can reduce the risk of HCC recurrence in patients with chronic hepatitis C who have achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). The recent introduction of direct-acting antivirals (DAA) has resulted in excitingly high SVR rates. However, as an IFN-free regimen, DAAs only exert antiviral activity without an immune response. The benefit of DAA-based regimens for HCC recurrence in patients with cirrhosis and following successful curative treatment remains controversial. Additionally, the time span between curative-intent therapy and the DAA regimen is an independent risk factor for HCC recurrence, irrespective of the DAA response. HCC patients who are eligible for potentially curative therapy by liver resection or ablation should defer DAA therapy; however, the accurate timing remains unclear. In this study, we reviewed the timing of DAA initiation after curative treatment and its effect on the recurrence of related HCC.

PNPLA3 and HLA-DQB1 polymorphisms are associated with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication

BACKGROUND

Even though both interferon (IFN)-based and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapies against hepatitis C virus (HCV) reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), post-sustained virological response (SVR) patients remain at elevated risk of HCC.

METHODS

A total of 4620 patients who achieved SVR were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. After excluding patients who had a history of HCC or developed HCC within 1 year and whose follow-up period was less than 1 year and who were positive for HBsAg, we investigated the association between clinical characteristics and HCC development after SVR in the remaining 3771 patients.

RESULTS

Median observation period was 41 months. We confirmed known risk factors. In addition, we found that PNPLA3 and HLA-DQB1 polymorphisms were associated with HCC after SVR. Finally, we propose an estimation model for the incidence of HCC after SVR. Based on gender, FIB-4 index, AFP, and PNPLA3 polymorphism, about 18% of all patients were classified as having high risk, with a cumulative incidence rate (CIR) at 5 years of 16.5%. Another 17% were classified as having moderate risk with a CIR of 7.6%. The remaining 65% showed a CIR of 0.5%. The effect of PNPLA3 polymorphism might be more pronounced in patients with lower body mass index (BMI) and without diabetes mellitus compared to those with higher BMI and diabetes mellitus.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that PNPLA3 and HLA-DQB1 polymorphisms were associated with HCC after SVR. These findings might be useful to inform risk stratification for HCC surveillance after SVR.

Risk Factors, Pathogenesis, and Strategies for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prevention: Emphasis on Secondary Prevention and Its Translational Challenges

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-associated mortality globally. Given the limited therapeutic efficacy in advanced HCC, prevention of HCC carcinogenesis could serve as an effective strategy. Patients with chronic fibrosis due to viral or metabolic etiologies are at a high risk of developing HCC. Primary prevention seeks to eliminate cancer predisposing risk factors while tertiary prevention aims to prevent HCC recurrence. Secondary prevention targets patients with baseline chronic liver disease. Various epidemiological and experimental studies have identified candidates for secondary prevention-both etiology-specific and generic prevention strategies-including statins, aspirin, and anti-diabetic drugs. The introduction of multi-cell based omics analysis along with better characterization of the hepatic microenvironment will further facilitate the identification of targets for prevention. In this review, we will summarize HCC risk factors, pathogenesis, and discuss strategies of HCC prevention. We will focus on secondary prevention and also discuss current challenges in translating experimental work into clinical practice.

Real-World Virological Efficacy and Safety of Ledipasvir and Sofosbuvir in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Genotype 2 Infection: A Multicenter Study

INTRODUCTION

The real-world virological efficacy and safety of interferon-free direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy with ledipasvir (LDV) plus sofosbuvir (SOF) were assessed in patients who were chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2.

METHODS

A total of 126 patients with chronic hepatitis C due to HCV genotype 2 infection who were treated with the LDV/SOF regimen were enrolled. The sustained virological response (SVR) rate and safety were analyzed. SVR was assessed in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population as well as in the modified intention-to-treat (mITT) population, which excluded patients with non-virological failure, including those who dropped out before the SVR assessment.

RESULTS

The overall SVR rates of the ITT and mITT populations were 87.3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 80.2-92.6) (110/126) and 97.3% (95% CI 92.4-99.4) (110/113), respectively. In the mITT population, the percentages of patients with undetectable HCV RNA at 4, 8, and 12 weeks after the start of therapy were 92.9% (95% CI 86.5-96.9) (105/113), 99.1% (95% CI 95.2-100.0) (112/113), and 100.0% (95% CI 97.4-100.0) (113/113), respectively. Subgroup analyses of the mITT population showed no significant differences in SVR rates according to age, sex, HCV genotype (subtype), history of interferon-based therapy, baseline FIB-4 index, or baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. In all subpopulations, the SVR rates were > 90%. There were no severe adverse events associated with the treatment.

CONCLUSION

The LDV/SOF regimen showed high virological efficacy and acceptable safety in patients with HCV genotype 2 infection.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN registration no. 000038604.

Real-world clinical outcomes among individuals with chronic HCV infection in China: CCgenos study

BACKGROUND

This 5-year follow-up of the CCgenos cross-sectional study aimed to observe real-life outcomes in a cohort of 997 Han Chinese patients with chronic HCV infection and to explore the impacts of HCV genotype, patient characteristics and treatment status.

METHODS

Clinical information and centralized HCV RNA measures were collected every 6/3 months for untreated/treated patients. Overall disease progression was defined as ≥1 of: de novo development of cirrhosis, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score increased by ≥2 points (if cirrhosis at baseline), progression to decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplant or death. Cox regression assessed risk factors for the time from estimated infection to cirrhosis or HCC. Logistic regression assessed risk factors for incidence rates of cirrhosis and overall disease progression.

RESULTS

281 of 514 patients enrolled across China completed 5 years of follow-up. Overall disease progression occurred in 36/364 (9.9%) treated patients and 35/148 (23.6%) untreated patients (odds ratio = 0.35; 95% CI 0.21, 0.59; P<0.0001). Overall disease progression occurred in 6/231 (2.6%) patients achieving sustained virological response at 24 weeks (SVR24) versus 11/82 (13.4%) who did not (P=0.0002). Cirrhosis development was significantly associated with abnormal aspartate aminotransferase (AST), age ≥40 years, body mass index ≥28 kg/m², HCV GT1, platelet count <100×10⁹/l, and AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) ≥2 (multivariate Cox regression, P<0.05). HCC was significantly associated with HCV GT1 and platelet count <100×10⁹/l (multivariate Cox regression, P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Achieving SVR24 significantly reduced the probability of overall disease progression but no significant difference was seen for both cirrhosis and HCC during 5 years of follow-up.

Cost-Utility Analysis of Direct-Acting Antivirals for Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis C Genotype 1 and 6 in Vietnam

OBJECTIVE

Very few cost-utility analyses have either evaluated direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) on hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 6 patients or undertaken societal perspective. Recently, DAAs have been introduced into the Vietnamese health insurance drug list for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) treatment without empirical cost-effectiveness evidence. This study was conducted to generate these data on DAAs among CHC patients with genotypes 1 and 6 in Vietnam.

METHODS

A hybrid decision-tree and Markov model was employed to compare costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of available DAAs, including (1) sofosbuvir/ledipasvir, (2) sofosbuvir/velpatasvir, and (3) sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir, with pegylated-interferon plus ribavirin (PR). Primary data collection was conducted in Vietnam to identify costs and utility values. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were estimated from societal and payer perspectives. Uncertainty and scenario analyses and value of information analyses were performed.

RESULTS

All DAAs were cost-saving as compared with PR in CHC patients with genotypes 1 and 6 in Vietnam, and sofosbuvir/velpatasvir was the most cost-saving regimen, from both societal and payer perspectives. From the societal perspective, DAAs were associated with the increment of quality-adjusted life-years by 1.33 to 1.35 and decrement of costs by $6519 to $7246. Uncertainty and scenario analyses confirmed the robustness of base-case results, whereas the value of information analyses suggested the need for further research on relative treatment efficacies among DAA regimens.

CONCLUSIONS

Allocating resources for DAA treatment for HCV genotype 1 and 6 is surely a rewarding public health investment in Vietnam. It is recommended that the government rapidly scale up treatment and enable financial accessibility for HCV patients.

Non-invasive fibrosis tests to predict complications in compensated post-hepatitis C cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Markers predicting complications of post-hepatitis C cirrhosis are needed. We asked whether changes in noninvasive markers of fibrosis can predict liver-related complications.

METHODS

This was a case-controlled study using a prospective national cohort (ANRS-CO12-CIRVIR) of 1323 HCV-infected patients with compensated cirrhosis: 97 patients who developed liver-related complications such as hepatocellular carcinoma or hepatic decompensation (cases) matched in age, sex and follow-up duration were compared with 257 patients without complications (controls). Actitest/Fibrotest™, Inflameter/Fibrometer™, ELF™ and Fibroscan™ were performed at baseline and yearly. Samples based on Propensity score matching were built and mixed linear models performed. Outcomes in a sustained virological response (SVR) negative population and a SVR-positive population were also described.

RESULTS

At baseline, all characteristics of patients were similar between the groups. All fibrosis tests were statistically higher for cases compared to controls, Fibroscan™ excepted: Fibrotest™: 0.83±0.13 vs. 0.77±0.16; Fibrometer™: 0.93±0.07 vs. 0.90±0.11; ELF™: 11.4±1.0 vs. 11.0±1.2 (P<0.02). The mean follow-up was 5.7±1.9 years. Over a 3-year period, the significant difference in fibrosis marker values between cases and controls remained constant; with a trend toward a decrease in inflammation markers in controls, independent of SVR status.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline noninvasive serum fibrosis and inflammation markers were significantly higher in patients developing a complication than in controls. During the follow-up only inflammatory markers decreased in controls, but not in cases, and thus could potentially be used to predict the occurrence of complications in cirrhotic patients.

Long-term prognosis of liver disease in patients with eradicated chronic hepatitis C virus: An analysis using a Markov chain model

AIM

The long-term prognosis of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who have received antiviral therapy and who demonstrate HCV eradication remains incompletely characterized. In this study, we investigated the long-term prognosis of liver disease in patients with eradication of HCV.

METHODS

A total of 552 patients with chronic HCV infection (6815 person-years) who were treated with interferon-based therapy and who achieved sustained virologic response were included. Yearly transition probabilities for each liver state (chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC]) were calculated using a Markov chain model.

RESULTS

In the analysis of 1-year liver disease state transition probabilities, progression to cirrhosis occurred in 0.5-2.1% of male patients with chronic hepatitis across all age groups. In male patients with cirrhosis, HCC developed in 0.6-1.9% of patients over the age of 50 years. In female patients with chronic hepatitis, progression to cirrhosis occurred in 0.4-2.1% of patients across all age groups. In addition, in female patients with cirrhosis, HCC developed in those aged 60-69 (0.4%) and 70-79 (0.4%) years. Under the assumption of either a chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis state at age 40 or 60 years as the starting condition for simulation over the next 40 or 20 years, respectively, the probability of HCC gradually increased with age and was higher in male patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The development or progression of cirrhosis and the development of HCC are risks in HCV patients despite HCV eradication, not only in those with cirrhosis but also in those with chronic hepatitis.

Two Cases of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Arising Over 20 Years after a Sustained Virologic Response Following Interferon Therapy for Chronic Hepatitis C

The development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after a sustained virologic response (SVR) due to interferon (IFN) therapy for hepatitis C virus infection remains a serious problem. We herein report 2 cases of HCC that developed more than 20 years after SVR with IFN therapy for chronic hepatitis C. The patients were 89- and 72-year-old men with HCC that developed 24-25 years after an SVR with IFN therapy. These patients regularly underwent imaging examinations; therefore, the HCC was detected in the early stage, when it was still curable. Both cases suggest that long-term surveillance after an SVR is effective for the detection of HCC, and radical treatment is possible.

Application of artificial intelligence in hepatology: Minireview

With the rapid advancements in computer science, artificial intelligence (AI) has become an intrinsic part of our daily life and clinical practices. The concepts of AI, such as machine learning, deep learning, and big data, are extensively used in clinical and basic research. In this review, we searched for the articles in PubMed and summarized recent developments of AI concerning hepatology while focusing on the diagnosis and risk assessment of liver diseases. Ultrasound is widely conducted for the routine surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma along with tumor markers. Computer-aided diagnosis is useful in the detection of tumors and characterization of space-occupying lesions. The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma can be estimated via AI using large-scale and high-quality training datasets. The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is increasing worldwide and pivotal concern in the field is who will progress and develop hepatocellular carcinoma. Most AI studies require a large dataset, including laboratory or radiological findings and outcome data. AI will be useful in reducing medical errors, supporting clinical decisions, and predicting clinical outcomes. Thus, cooperation between AI and humans is expected to improve healthcare.