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Bender RG, Sirota SB, Swetschinski LR, Dominguez RMV, Novotney A, Wool EE, Ikuta KS, Vongpradith A, Rogowski ELB, Doxey M, Troeger CE, Albertson SB, Ma J, He J, Maass KL, A.F.Simões E, Abdoun M, Abdul Aziz JM, Abdulah DM, Abu Rumeileh S, Abualruz H, Aburuz S, Adepoju AV, Adha R, Adikusuma W, Adra S, Afraz A, Aghamiri S, Agodi A, Ahmadzade AM, Ahmed H, Ahmed A, Akinosoglou K, AL-Ahdal TMA, Al-amer RM, Albashtawy M, AlBataineh MT, Alemi H, Al-Gheethi AAS, Ali A, Ali SSS, Alqahtani JS, AlQudah M, Al-Tawfiq JA, Al-Worafi YM, Alzoubi KH, Amani R, Amegbor PM, Ameyaw EK, Amuasi JH, Anil A, Anyanwu PE, Arafat M, Areda D, Arefnezhad R, Atalell KA, Ayele F, Azzam AY, Babamohamadi H, Babin FX, Bahurupi Y, Baker S, Banik B, Barchitta M, Barqawi HJ, Basharat Z, Baskaran P, Batra K, Batra R, Bayileyegn NS, Beloukas A, Berkley JA, Beyene KA, Bhargava A, Bhattacharjee P, Bielicki JA, Bilalaga MM, Bitra VR, Brown CS, Burkart K, Bustanji Y, Carr S, Chahine Y, Chattu VK, Chichagi F, Chopra H, Chukwu IS, Chung E, Dadana S, Dai X, Dandona L, Dandona R, Darban I, Dash NR, Dashti M, Dashtkoohi M, Dekker DM, Delgado-Enciso I, Devanbu VGC, Dhama K, Diao N, Do THP, Dokova KG, Dolecek C, Dziedzic AM, Eckmanns T, Ed-Dra A, Efendi F, Eftekharimehrabad A, Eyre DW, Fahim A, Feizkhah A, Felton TW, Ferreira N, Flor LS, Gaihre S, Gebregergis MW, Gebrehiwot M, Geffers C, Gerema U, Ghaffari K, Goldust M, Goleij P, Guan SY, Gudeta MD, Guo C, Gupta VB, Gupta I, Habibzadeh F, Hadi NR, Haeuser E, Hailu WB, Hajibeygi R, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haller S, Hamiduzzaman M, Hanifi N, Hansel J, Hasnain MS, Haubold J, Hoan NQ, Huynh HH, Iregbu KC, Islam MR, Jafarzadeh A, Jairoun AA, Jalili M, Jomehzadeh N, Joshua CE, Kabir MA, Kamal Z, Kanmodi KK, Kantar RS, Karimi Behnagh A, Kaur N, Kaur H, Khamesipour F, Khan MN, Khan suheb MZ, Khanal V, Khatab K, Khatib MN, Kim G, Kim K, Kitila ATT, Komaki S, Krishan K, Krumkamp R, Kuddus MA, Kurniasari MD, Lahariya C, Latifinaibin K, Le NHH, Le TTT, Le TDT, Lee SW, LEPAPE A, Lerango TL, Li MC, Mahboobipour AA, Malhotra K, Mallhi TH, Manoharan A, Martinez-Guerra BA, Mathioudakis AG, Mattiello R, May J, McManigal B, McPhail SM, Mekene Meto T, Mendez-Lopez MAM, Meo SA, Merati M, Mestrovic T, Mhlanga L, Minh LHN, Misganaw A, Mishra V, Misra AK, Mohamed NS, Mohammadi E, Mohammed M, Mohammed M, Mokdad AH, Monasta L, Moore CE, Motappa R, Mougin V, Mousavi P, Mulita F, Mulu AA, Naghavi P, Naik GR, Nainu F, Nair TS, Nargus S, Negaresh M, Nguyen HTH, Nguyen DH, Nguyen VT, Nikolouzakis TK, Noman EA, Nri-Ezedi CA, Odetokun IA, Okwute PG, Olana MD, Olanipekun TO, Olasupo OO, Olivas-Martinez A, Ordak M, Ortiz-Brizuela E, Ouyahia A, Padubidri JR, Pak A, Pandey A, Pantazopoulos I, Parija PP, Parikh RR, Park S, Parthasarathi A, Pashaei A, Peprah P, Pham HT, Poddighe D, Pollard A, Ponce-De-Leon A, Prakash PY, Prates EJS, Quan NK, Raee P, Rahim F, Rahman M, Rahmati M, Ramasamy SK, Ranjan S, Rao IR, Rashid AM, Rattanavong S, Ravikumar N, Reddy MMRK, Redwan EMM, Reiner RC, Reyes LF, Roberts T, Rodrigues M, Rosenthal VD, Roy P, Runghien T, Saeed U, Saghazadeh A, Saheb Sharif-Askari N, Saheb Sharif-Askari F, Sahoo SS, Sahu M, Sakshaug JW, Salami AA, Saleh MA, Salehi omran H, Sallam M, Samadzadeh S, Samodra YL, Sanjeev RK, Sarasmita MA, Saravanan A, Sartorius B, Saulam J, Schumacher AE, Seyedi SA, Shafie M, Shahid S, Sham S, Shamim MA, Shamshirgaran MA, Shastry RP, Sherchan SP, Shiferaw D, Shittu A, Siddig EE, Sinto R, Sood A, Sorensen RJD, Stergachis A, Stoeva TZ, Swain CK, Szarpak L, Tamuzi JL, Temsah MH, Tessema MBT, Thangaraju P, Tran NM, Tran NH, Tumurkhuu M, Ty SS, Udoakang AJ, Ulhaq I, Umar TP, Umer AA, Vahabi SM, Vaithinathan AG, Van den Eynde J, Walson JL, Waqas M, Xing Y, Yadav MK, Yahya G, Yon DK, Zahedi Bialvaei A, Zakham F, Zeleke AM, Zhai C, Zhang Z, Zhang H, Zielińska M, Zheng P, Aravkin AY, Vos T, Hay SI, Mosser JF, Lim SS, Naghavi M, Murray CJL, Kyu HH. Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality burden of non-COVID-19 lower respiratory infections and aetiologies, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Infect Dis 2024:S1473-3099(24)00176-2. [PMID: 38636536 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(24)00176-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2023] [Revised: 02/19/2024] [Accepted: 03/07/2024] [Indexed: 04/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are a major global contributor to morbidity and mortality. In 2020-21, non-pharmaceutical interventions associated with the COVID-19 pandemic reduced not only the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, but also the transmission of other LRI pathogens. Tracking LRI incidence and mortality, as well as the pathogens responsible, can guide health-system responses and funding priorities to reduce future burden. We present estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 of the burden of non-COVID-19 LRIs and corresponding aetiologies from 1990 to 2021, inclusive of pandemic effects on the incidence and mortality of select respiratory viruses, globally, regionally, and for 204 countries and territories. METHODS We estimated mortality, incidence, and aetiology attribution for LRI, defined by the GBD as pneumonia or bronchiolitis, not inclusive of COVID-19. We analysed 26 259 site-years of mortality data using the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate LRI mortality rates. We analysed all available age-specific and sex-specific data sources, including published literature identified by a systematic review, as well as household surveys, hospital admissions, health insurance claims, and LRI mortality estimates, to generate internally consistent estimates of incidence and prevalence using DisMod-MR 2.1. For aetiology estimation, we analysed multiple causes of death, vital registration, hospital discharge, microbial laboratory, and literature data using a network analysis model to produce the proportion of LRI deaths and episodes attributable to the following pathogens: Acinetobacter baumannii, Chlamydia spp, Enterobacter spp, Escherichia coli, fungi, group B streptococcus, Haemophilus influenzae, influenza viruses, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Legionella spp, Mycoplasma spp, polymicrobial infections, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and other viruses (ie, the aggregate of all viruses studied except influenza and RSV), as well as a residual category of other bacterial pathogens. FINDINGS Globally, in 2021, we estimated 344 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 325-364) incident episodes of LRI, or 4350 episodes (4120-4610) per 100 000 population, and 2·18 million deaths (1·98-2·36), or 27·7 deaths (25·1-29·9) per 100 000. 502 000 deaths (406 000-611 000) were in children younger than 5 years, among which 254 000 deaths (197 000-320 000) occurred in countries with a low Socio-demographic Index. Of the 18 modelled pathogen categories in 2021, S pneumoniae was responsible for the highest proportions of LRI episodes and deaths, with an estimated 97·9 million (92·1-104·0) episodes and 505 000 deaths (454 000-555 000) globally. The pathogens responsible for the second and third highest episode counts globally were other viral aetiologies (46·4 million [43·6-49·3] episodes) and Mycoplasma spp (25·3 million [23·5-27·2]), while those responsible for the second and third highest death counts were S aureus (424 000 [380 000-459 000]) and K pneumoniae (176 000 [158 000-194 000]). From 1990 to 2019, the global all-age non-COVID-19 LRI mortality rate declined by 41·7% (35·9-46·9), from 56·5 deaths (51·3-61·9) to 32·9 deaths (29·9-35·4) per 100 000. From 2019 to 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic and implementation of associated non-pharmaceutical interventions, we estimated a 16·0% (13·1-18·6) decline in the global all-age non-COVID-19 LRI mortality rate, largely accounted for by a 71·8% (63·8-78·9) decline in the number of influenza deaths and a 66·7% (56·6-75·3) decline in the number of RSV deaths. INTERPRETATION Substantial progress has been made in reducing LRI mortality, but the burden remains high, especially in low-income and middle-income countries. During the COVID-19 pandemic, with its associated non-pharmaceutical interventions, global incident LRI cases and mortality attributable to influenza and RSV declined substantially. Expanding access to health-care services and vaccines, including S pneumoniae, H influenzae type B, and novel RSV vaccines, along with new low-cost interventions against S aureus, could mitigate the LRI burden and prevent transmission of LRI-causing pathogens. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, and Department of Health and Social Care (UK).
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Visaria A, Kang E, Parthasarathi A, Robinson D, Read J, Nethery R, Josey K, Gandhi P, Bates B, Rua M, Ghosh AK, Setoguchi S. Ambient heat exposure patterns and emergency department visits and hospitalizations among medicare beneficiaries 2008-2019. Am J Emerg Med 2024; 81:1-9. [PMID: 38613874 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajem.2024.04.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Revised: 03/18/2024] [Accepted: 04/05/2024] [Indexed: 04/15/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To assess the association between ambient heat and all-cause and cause-specific emergency department (ED) visits and acute hospitalizations among Medicare beneficiaries in the conterminous United States. DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING Conterminous US from 2008 and 2019. PARTICIPANTS 2% random sample of all Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries eligible for Parts A, B, and D. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES All-cause and cause-specific (cardiovascular, renal, and heat-related) ED visits and unplanned hospitalizations were identified using primary ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis codes. We measured the association between ambient temperature - defined as daily mean temperature percentile of summer (June through September) - and the outcomes. Hazard ratios and their associated 95% confidence intervals were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusting for individual level demographics, comorbidities, healthcare utilization factors and zip-code level social factors. RESULTS Among 809,636 Medicare beneficiaries (58% female, 81% non-Hispanic White, 24% <65), older beneficiaries (aged ≥65) exposed to >95th percentile temperature had a 64% elevated adjusted risk of heat-related ED visits (HR [95% CI], 1.64 [1.46,1.85]) and a 4% higher risk of all-cause acute hospitalization (1.04 [1.01,1.06]) relative to <25th temperature percentile. Younger beneficiaries (aged <65) showed increased risk of heat-related ED visits (2.69 [2.23,3.23]) and all-cause ED visits (1.03 [1.01,1.05]). The associations with heat related events were stronger in males and individuals dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. No significant differences were observed by climatic region. We observed no significant relationship between temperature percentile and risk of CV-related ED visits or renal-related ED visits. CONCLUSIONS Among Medicare beneficiaries from 2008 to 2019, exposure to daily mean temperature ≥ 95th percentile was associated with increased risk of heat-related ED visits, with stronger associations seen among beneficiaries <65, males, and patients with low socioeconomic position. Further longitudinal studies are needed to understand the impact of heat duration, intensity, and frequency on cause-specific hospitalization outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aayush Visaria
- Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, One Robert Wood Johnson Pl., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
| | - Euntaik Kang
- Rutgers Business School, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
| | - Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi
- Center for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Sciences, Rutgers Institute for Health, Health Care Policy, and Aging Research, 112 Paterson St., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
| | - David Robinson
- Department of Geography, Rutgers University, Lucy Stone Hall, 54 Joyce Kilmer Ave., Piscataway, NJ 08854, United States of America.
| | - John Read
- Department of Geography, Rutgers University, Lucy Stone Hall, 54 Joyce Kilmer Ave., Piscataway, NJ 08854, United States of America.
| | - Rachel Nethery
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave., Building 1, Boston, MA 02115, United States of America.
| | - Kevin Josey
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave., Building 1, Boston, MA 02115, United States of America.
| | - Poonam Gandhi
- Center for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Sciences, Rutgers Institute for Health, Health Care Policy, and Aging Research, 112 Paterson St., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
| | - Benjamin Bates
- Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, One Robert Wood Johnson Pl., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America; Center for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Sciences, Rutgers Institute for Health, Health Care Policy, and Aging Research, 112 Paterson St., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
| | - Melanie Rua
- Center for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Sciences, Rutgers Institute for Health, Health Care Policy, and Aging Research, 112 Paterson St., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
| | - Arnab K Ghosh
- Department of Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, 420 E 70(th) St, NY 10065, United States of America.
| | - Soko Setoguchi
- Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, One Robert Wood Johnson Pl., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America; Center for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Sciences, Rutgers Institute for Health, Health Care Policy, and Aging Research, 112 Paterson St., New Brunswick, NJ 08901, United States of America.
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Naghavi M, Ong KL, Aali A, Ababneh HS, Abate YH, Abbafati C, Abbasgholizadeh R, Abbasian M, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbastabar H, Abd ElHafeez S, Abdelmasseh M, Abd-Elsalam S, Abdelwahab A, Abdollahi M, Abdollahifar MA, Abdoun M, Abdulah DM, Abdullahi A, Abebe M, Abebe SS, Abedi A, Abegaz KH, Abhilash ES, Abidi H, Abiodun O, Aboagye RG, Abolhassani H, Abolmaali M, Abouzid M, Aboye GB, Abreu LG, Abrha WA, Abtahi D, Abu Rumeileh S, Abualruz H, Abubakar B, Abu-Gharbieh E, Abu-Rmeileh NME, Aburuz S, Abu-Zaid A, Accrombessi MMK, Adal TG, Adamu AA, Addo IY, Addolorato G, Adebiyi AO, Adekanmbi V, Adepoju AV, Adetunji CO, Adetunji JB, Adeyeoluwa TE, Adeyinka DA, Adeyomoye OI, Admass BAA, Adnani QES, Adra S, Afolabi AA, Afzal MS, Afzal S, Agampodi SB, Agasthi P, Aggarwal M, Aghamiri S, Agide FD, Agodi A, Agrawal A, Agyemang-Duah W, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad A, Ahmad D, Ahmad F, Ahmad MM, Ahmad S, Ahmad S, Ahmad T, Ahmadi K, Ahmadzade AM, Ahmed A, Ahmed A, Ahmed H, Ahmed LA, Ahmed MS, Ahmed MS, Ahmed MB, Ahmed SA, Ajami M, Aji B, Akara EM, Akbarialiabad H, Akinosoglou K, Akinyemiju T, Akkaif MA, Akyirem S, Al Hamad H, Al Hasan SM, Alahdab F, Alalalmeh SO, Alalwan TA, Al-Aly Z, Alam K, Alam M, Alam N, Al-amer RM, Alanezi FM, Alanzi TM, Al-Azzam S, Albakri A, Albashtawy M, AlBataineh MT, Alcalde-Rabanal JE, Aldawsari KA, Aldhaleei WA, Aldridge RW, Alema HB, Alemayohu MA, Alemi S, Alemu YM, Al-Gheethi AAS, Alhabib KF, Alhalaiqa FAN, Al-Hanawi MK, Ali A, Ali A, Ali L, Ali MU, Ali R, Ali S, Ali SSS, Alicandro G, Alif SM, Alikhani R, Alimohamadi Y, Aliyi AA, Aljasir MAM, Aljunid SM, Alla F, Allebeck P, Al-Marwani S, Al-Maweri SAA, Almazan JU, Al-Mekhlafi HM, Almidani L, Almidani O, Alomari MA, Al-Omari B, Alonso J, Alqahtani JS, Alqalyoobi S, Alqutaibi AY, Al-Sabah SK, Altaany Z, Altaf A, Al-Tawfiq JA, Altirkawi KA, Aluh DO, Alvis-Guzman N, Alwafi H, Al-Worafi YM, Aly H, Aly S, Alzoubi KH, Amani R, Amare AT, Amegbor PM, Ameyaw EK, Amin TT, Amindarolzarbi A, Amiri S, Amirzade-Iranaq MH, Amu H, Amugsi DA, Amusa GA, Ancuceanu R, Anderlini D, Anderson DB, Andrade PP, Andrei CL, Andrei T, Angus C, Anil A, Anil S, Anoushiravani A, Ansari H, Ansariadi A, Ansari-Moghaddam A, Antony CM, Antriyandarti E, Anvari D, Anvari S, Anwar S, Anwar SL, Anwer R, Anyasodor AE, Aqeel M, Arab JP, Arabloo J, Arafat M, Aravkin AY, Areda D, Aremu A, Aremu O, Ariffin H, Arkew M, Armocida B, Arndt MB, Ärnlöv J, Arooj M, Artamonov AA, Arulappan J, Aruleba RT, Arumugam A, Asaad M, Asadi-Lari M, Asgedom AA, Asghariahmadabad M, Asghari-Jafarabadi M, Ashraf M, Aslani A, Astell-Burt T, Athar M, Athari SS, Atinafu BTT, Atlaw HW, Atorkey P, Atout MMW, Atreya A, Aujayeb A, Ausloos M, Avan A, Awedew AF, Aweke AM, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayatollahi H, Ayuso-Mateos JL, Ayyoubzadeh SM, Azadnajafabad S, Azevedo RMS, Azzam AY, B DB, Babu AS, Badar M, Badiye AD, Baghdadi S, Bagheri N, Bagherieh S, Bah S, Bahadorikhalili S, Bahmanziari N, Bai R, Baig AA, Baker JL, Bako AT, Bakshi RK, Balakrishnan S, Balasubramanian M, Baltatu OC, Bam K, Banach M, Bandyopadhyay S, Banik PC, Bansal H, Bansal K, Barbic F, Barchitta M, Bardhan M, Bardideh E, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Barone-Adesi F, Barqawi HJ, Barrero LH, Barrow A, Barteit S, Barua L, Basharat Z, Bashiri A, Basiru A, Baskaran P, Basnyat B, Bassat Q, Basso JD, Basting AVL, Basu S, Batra K, Baune BT, Bayati M, Bayileyegn NS, Beaney T, Bedi N, Beghi M, Behboudi E, Behera P, Behnoush AH, Behzadifar M, Beiranvand M, Bejarano Ramirez DF, Béjot Y, Belay SA, Belete CM, Bell ML, Bello MB, Bello OO, Belo L, Beloukas A, Bender RG, Bensenor IM, Beran A, Berezvai Z, Berhie AY, Berice BN, Bernstein RS, Bertolacci GJ, Bettencourt PJG, Beyene KA, Bhagat DS, Bhagavathula AS, Bhala N, Bhalla A, Bhandari D, Bhangdia K, Bhardwaj N, Bhardwaj P, Bhardwaj PV, Bhargava A, Bhaskar S, Bhat V, Bhatti GK, Bhatti JS, Bhatti MS, Bhatti R, Bhutta ZA, Bikbov B, Bishai JD, Bisignano C, Bisulli F, Biswas A, Biswas B, Bitaraf S, Bitew BD, Bitra VR, Bjørge T, Boachie MK, Boampong MS, Bobirca AV, Bodolica V, Bodunrin AO, Bogale EK, Bogale KA, Bohlouli S, Bolarinwa OA, Boloor A, Bonakdar Hashemi M, Bonny A, Bora K, Bora Basara B, Borhany H, Borzutzky A, Bouaoud S, Boustany A, Boxe C, Boyko EJ, Brady OJ, Braithwaite D, Brant LC, Brauer M, Brazinova A, Brazo-Sayavera J, Breitborde NJK, Breitner S, Brenner H, Briko AN, Briko NI, Britton G, Brown J, Brugha T, Bulamu NB, Bulto LN, Buonsenso D, Burns RA, Busse R, Bustanji Y, Butt NS, Butt ZA, Caetano dos Santos FL, Calina D, Cámera LA, Campos LA, Campos-Nonato IR, Cao C, Cao Y, Capodici A, Cárdenas R, Carr S, Carreras G, Carrero JJ, Carugno A, Carvalheiro CG, Carvalho F, Carvalho M, Castaldelli-Maia JM, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castelpietra G, Catalá-López F, Catapano AL, Cattaruzza MS, Cederroth CR, Cegolon L, Cembranel F, Cenderadewi M, Cercy KM, Cerin E, Cevik M, Chadwick J, Chahine Y, Chakraborty C, Chakraborty PA, Chan JSK, Chan RNC, Chandika RM, Chandrasekar EK, Chang CK, Chang JC, Chanie GS, Charalampous P, Chattu VK, Chaturvedi P, Chatzimavridou-Grigoriadou V, Chaurasia A, Chen AW, Chen AT, Chen CS, Chen H, Chen MX, Chen S, Cheng CY, Cheng ETW, Cherbuin N, Cheru WA, Chien JH, Chimed-Ochir O, Chimoriya R, Ching PR, Chirinos-Caceres JL, Chitheer A, Cho WCS, Chong B, Chopra H, Choudhari SG, Chowdhury R, Christopher DJ, Chukwu IS, Chung E, Chung E, Chung E, Chung SC, Chutiyami M, Cindi Z, Cioffi I, Claassens MM, Claro RM, Coberly K, Cogen RM, Columbus A, Comfort H, Conde J, Cortese S, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Costanzo S, Cousin E, Couto RAS, Cowden RG, Cramer KM, Criqui MH, Cruz-Martins N, Cuadra-Hernández SM, Culbreth GT, Cullen P, Cunningham M, Curado MP, Dadana S, Dadras O, Dai S, Dai X, Dai Z, Dalli LL, Damiani G, Darega Gela J, Das JK, Das S, Das S, Dascalu AM, Dash NR, Dashti M, Dastiridou A, Davey G, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Davis Weaver N, Davletov K, De Leo D, de Luca K, Debele AT, Debopadhaya S, Degenhardt L, Dehghan A, Deitesfeld L, Del Bo' C, Delgado-Enciso I, Demessa BH, Demetriades AK, Deng 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Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024:S0140-6736(24)00367-2. [PMID: 38582094 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00367-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Revised: 02/15/2024] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/08/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mortality rates and life expectancy allow comparisons of the consequences of causes of death globally and over time, providing a nuanced understanding of the effect of these causes on global populations. METHODS The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death analysis estimated mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) from 288 causes of death by age-sex-location-year in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations for each year from 1990 until 2021. The analysis used 56 604 data sources, including data from vital registration and verbal autopsy as well as surveys, censuses, surveillance systems, and cancer registries, among others. As with previous GBD rounds, cause-specific death rates for most causes were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model-a modelling tool developed for GBD to assess the out-of-sample predictive validity of different statistical models and covariate permutations and combine those results to produce cause-specific mortality estimates-with alternative strategies adapted to model causes with insufficient data, substantial changes in reporting over the study period, or unusual epidemiology. YLLs were computed as the product of the number of deaths for each cause-age-sex-location-year and the standard life expectancy at each age. As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. We also used the coefficient of variation and the fraction of population affected by 90% of deaths to highlight concentrations of mortality. Findings are reported in counts and age-standardised rates. Methodological improvements for cause-of-death estimates in GBD 2021 include the expansion of under-5-years age group to include four new age groups, enhanced methods to account for stochastic variation of sparse data, and the inclusion of COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality-which includes excess mortality associated with the pandemic, excluding COVID-19, lower respiratory infections, measles, malaria, and pertussis. For this analysis, 199 new country-years of vital registration cause-of-death data, 5 country-years of surveillance data, 21 country-years of verbal autopsy data, and 94 country-years of other data types were added to those used in previous GBD rounds. FINDINGS The leading causes of age-standardised deaths globally were the same in 2019 as they were in 1990; in descending order, these were, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lower respiratory infections. In 2021, however, COVID-19 replaced stroke as the second-leading age-standardised cause of death, with 94·0 deaths (95% UI 89·2-100·0) per 100 000 population. The COVID-19 pandemic shifted the rankings of the leading five causes, lowering stroke to the third-leading and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease to the fourth-leading position. In 2021, the highest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa (271·0 deaths [250·1-290·7] per 100 000 population) and Latin America and the Caribbean (195·4 deaths [182·1-211·4] per 100 000 population). The lowest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 were in the high-income super-region (48·1 deaths [47·4-48·8] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania (23·2 deaths [16·3-37·2] per 100 000 population). Globally, life expectancy steadily improved between 1990 and 2019 for 18 of the 22 investigated causes. Decomposition of global and regional life expectancy showed the positive effect that reductions in deaths from enteric infections, lower respiratory infections, stroke, and neonatal deaths, among others have contributed to improved survival over the study period. However, a net reduction of 1·6 years occurred in global life expectancy between 2019 and 2021, primarily due to increased death rates from COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality. Life expectancy was highly variable between super-regions over the study period, with southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania gaining 8·3 years (6·7-9·9) overall, while having the smallest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 (0·4 years). The largest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 occurred in Latin America and the Caribbean (3·6 years). Additionally, 53 of the 288 causes of death were highly concentrated in locations with less than 50% of the global population as of 2021, and these causes of death became progressively more concentrated since 1990, when only 44 causes showed this pattern. The concentration phenomenon is discussed heuristically with respect to enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, tuberculosis, and measles. INTERPRETATION Long-standing gains in life expectancy and reductions in many of the leading causes of death have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the adverse effects of which were spread unevenly among populations. Despite the pandemic, there has been continued progress in combatting several notable causes of death, leading to improved global life expectancy over the study period. Each of the seven GBD super-regions showed an overall improvement from 1990 and 2021, obscuring the negative effect in the years of the pandemic. Additionally, our findings regarding regional variation in causes of death driving increases in life expectancy hold clear policy utility. Analyses of shifting mortality trends reveal that several causes, once widespread globally, are now increasingly concentrated geographically. These changes in mortality concentration, alongside further investigation of changing risks, interventions, and relevant policy, present an important opportunity to deepen our understanding of mortality-reduction strategies. Examining patterns in mortality concentration might reveal areas where successful public health interventions have been implemented. Translating these successes to locations where certain causes of death remain entrenched can inform policies that work to improve life expectancy for people everywhere. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Global, regional, and national burden of disorders affecting the nervous system, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Neurol 2024; 23:344-381. [PMID: 38493795 PMCID: PMC10949203 DOI: 10.1016/s1474-4422(24)00038-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2023] [Revised: 01/23/2024] [Accepted: 01/26/2024] [Indexed: 03/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Disorders affecting the nervous system are diverse and include neurodevelopmental disorders, late-life neurodegeneration, and newly emergent conditions, such as cognitive impairment following COVID-19. Previous publications from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor Study estimated the burden of 15 neurological conditions in 2015 and 2016, but these analyses did not include neurodevelopmental disorders, as defined by the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-11, or a subset of cases of congenital, neonatal, and infectious conditions that cause neurological damage. Here, we estimate nervous system health loss caused by 37 unique conditions and their associated risk factors globally, regionally, and nationally from 1990 to 2021. METHODS We estimated mortality, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), with corresponding 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs), by age and sex in 204 countries and territories, from 1990 to 2021. We included morbidity and deaths due to neurological conditions, for which health loss is directly due to damage to the CNS or peripheral nervous system. We also isolated neurological health loss from conditions for which nervous system morbidity is a consequence, but not the primary feature, including a subset of congenital conditions (ie, chromosomal anomalies and congenital birth defects), neonatal conditions (ie, jaundice, preterm birth, and sepsis), infectious diseases (ie, COVID-19, cystic echinococcosis, malaria, syphilis, and Zika virus disease), and diabetic neuropathy. By conducting a sequela-level analysis of the health outcomes for these conditions, only cases where nervous system damage occurred were included, and YLDs were recalculated to isolate the non-fatal burden directly attributable to nervous system health loss. A comorbidity correction was used to calculate total prevalence of all conditions that affect the nervous system combined. FINDINGS Globally, the 37 conditions affecting the nervous system were collectively ranked as the leading group cause of DALYs in 2021 (443 million, 95% UI 378-521), affecting 3·40 billion (3·20-3·62) individuals (43·1%, 40·5-45·9 of the global population); global DALY counts attributed to these conditions increased by 18·2% (8·7-26·7) between 1990 and 2021. Age-standardised rates of deaths per 100 000 people attributed to these conditions decreased from 1990 to 2021 by 33·6% (27·6-38·8), and age-standardised rates of DALYs attributed to these conditions decreased by 27·0% (21·5-32·4). Age-standardised prevalence was almost stable, with a change of 1·5% (0·7-2·4). The ten conditions with the highest age-standardised DALYs in 2021 were stroke, neonatal encephalopathy, migraine, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, diabetic neuropathy, meningitis, epilepsy, neurological complications due to preterm birth, autism spectrum disorder, and nervous system cancer. INTERPRETATION As the leading cause of overall disease burden in the world, with increasing global DALY counts, effective prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation strategies for disorders affecting the nervous system are needed. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Ledesma JR, Ma J, Zhang M, Basting AVL, Chu HT, Vongpradith A, Novotney A, LeGrand KE, Xu YY, Dai X, Nicholson SI, Stafford LK, Carter A, Ross JM, Abbastabar H, Abdoun M, Abdulah DM, Aboagye RG, Abolhassani H, Abrha WA, Abubaker Ali H, Abu-Gharbieh E, Aburuz S, Addo IY, Adepoju AV, Adhikari K, Adnani QES, Adra S, Afework A, Aghamiri S, Agyemang-Duah W, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad D, Ahmad S, Ahmadzade AM, Ahmed H, Ahmed M, Ahmed A, Akinosoglou K, AL-Ahdal TMA, Alam N, Albashtawy M, AlBataineh MT, Al-Gheethi AAS, Ali A, Ali EA, Ali L, Ali Z, Ali SSS, Allel K, Altaf A, Al-Tawfiq JA, Alvis-Guzman N, Alvis-Zakzuk NJ, Amani R, Amusa GA, Amzat J, Andrews JR, Anil A, Anwer R, Aravkin AY, Areda D, Artamonov AA, Aruleba RT, Asemahagn MA, Atre SR, Aujayeb A, Azadi D, Azadnajafabad S, Azzam AY, Badar M, Badiye AD, Bagherieh S, Bahadorikhalili S, Baig AA, Banach M, Banik B, Bardhan M, Barqawi HJ, Basharat Z, Baskaran P, Basu S, Beiranvand M, Belete MA, Belew MA, Belgaumi UI, Beloukas A, Bettencourt PJG, Bhagavathula AS, Bhardwaj N, Bhardwaj P, Bhargava A, Bhat V, Bhatti JS, Bhatti GK, Bikbov B, Bitra VR, Bjegovic-Mikanovic V, Buonsenso D, Burkart K, Bustanji Y, Butt ZA, Camargos P, Cao Y, Carr S, Carvalho F, Cegolon L, Cenderadewi M, Cevik M, Chahine Y, Chattu VK, Ching PR, Chopra H, Chung E, Claassens MM, Coberly K, Cruz-Martins N, Dabo B, Dadana S, Dadras O, Darban I, Darega Gela J, Darwesh AM, Dashti M, Demessa BH, Demisse B, Demissie S, Derese AMA, Deribe K, Desai HD, Devanbu VGC, Dhali A, Dhama K, Dhingra S, Do THP, Dongarwar D, Dsouza HL, Dube J, Dziedzic AM, Ed-Dra A, Efendi F, Effendi DE, Eftekharimehrabad A, Ekadinata N, Ekundayo TC, Elhadi M, Elilo LT, Emeto TI, Engelbert Bain L, Fagbamigbe AF, Fahim A, Feizkhah A, Fetensa G, Fischer F, Gaipov A, Gandhi AP, Gautam RK, Gebregergis MW, Gebrehiwot M, Gebrekidan KG, Ghaffari K, Ghassemi F, Ghazy RM, Goodridge A, Goyal A, Guan SY, Gudeta MD, Guled RA, Gultom NB, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Gupta S, Hagins H, Hailu SG, Hailu WB, Hamidi S, Hanif A, Harapan H, Hasan RS, Hassan S, Haubold J, Hezam K, Hong SH, Horita N, Hossain MB, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc M, Hostiuc S, Huynh HH, Ibitoye SE, Ikuta KS, Ilic IM, Ilic MD, Islam MR, Ismail NE, Ismail F, Jafarzadeh A, Jakovljevic M, Jalili M, Janodia MD, Jomehzadeh N, Jonas JB, Joseph N, Joshua CE, Kabir Z, Kamble BD, Kanchan T, Kandel H, Kanmodi KK, Kantar RS, Karaye IM, Karimi Behnagh A, Kassa GG, Kaur RJ, Kaur N, Khajuria H, Khamesipour F, Khan YH, Khan MN, Khan Suheb MZ, Khatab K, Khatami F, Kim MS, Kosen S, Koul PA, Koulmane Laxminarayana SL, Krishan K, Kucuk Bicer B, Kuddus MA, Kulimbet M, Kumar N, Lal DK, Landires I, Latief K, Le TDT, Le TTT, Ledda C, Lee M, Lee SW, Lerango TL, Lim SS, Liu C, Liu X, Lopukhov PD, Luo H, Lv H, Mahajan PB, Mahboobipour AA, Majeed A, Malakan Rad E, Malhotra K, Malik MSA, Malinga LA, Mallhi TH, Manilal A, Martinez-Guerra BA, Martins-Melo FR, Marzo RR, Masoumi-Asl H, Mathur V, Maude RJ, Mehrotra R, Memish ZA, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Merza MA, Mestrovic T, Mhlanga L, Misra S, Misra AK, Mithra P, Moazen B, Mohammed H, Mokdad AH, Monasta L, Moore CE, Mousavi P, Mulita F, Musaigwa F, Muthusamy R, Nagarajan AJ, Naghavi P, Naik GR, Naik G, Nair S, Nair TS, Natto ZS, Nayak BP, Negash H, Nguyen DH, Nguyen VT, Niazi RK, Nnaji CA, Nnyanzi LA, Noman EA, Nomura S, Oancea B, Obamiro KO, Odetokun IA, Odo DBO, Odukoya OO, Oh IH, Okereke CO, Okonji OC, Oren E, Ortiz-Brizuela E, Osuagwu UL, Ouyahia A, P A MP, Parija PP, Parikh RR, Park S, Parthasarathi A, Patil S, Pawar S, Peng M, Pepito VCF, Peprah P, Perdigão J, Perico N, Pham HT, Postma MJ, Prabhu ARA, Prasad M, Prashant A, Prates EJS, Rahim F, Rahman M, Rahman MA, Rahmati M, Rajaa S, Ramasamy SK, Rao IR, Rao SJ, Rapaka D, Rashid AM, Ratan ZA, Ravikumar N, Rawaf S, Reddy MMRK, Redwan EMM, Remuzzi G, Reyes LF, Rezaei N, Rezaeian M, Rezahosseini O, Rodrigues M, Roy P, Ruela GDA, Sabour S, Saddik B, Saeed U, Safi SZ, Saheb Sharif-Askari N, Saheb Sharif-Askari F, Sahebkar A, Sahiledengle B, Sahoo SS, Salam N, Salami AA, Saleem S, Saleh MA, Samadi Kafil H, Samadzadeh S, Samodra YL, Sanjeev RK, Saravanan A, Sawyer SM, Selvaraj S, Senapati S, Senthilkumaran S, Shah PA, Shahid S, Shaikh MA, Sham S, Shamshirgaran MA, Shanawaz M, Sharath M, Sherchan SP, Shetty RS, Shirzad-Aski H, Shittu A, Siddig EE, Silva JP, Singh S, Singh P, Singh H, Singh JA, Siraj MS, Siswanto S, Solanki R, Solomon Y, Soriano JB, Sreeramareddy CT, Srivastava VK, Steiropoulos P, Swain CK, Tabuchi T, Tampa M, Tamuzi JJLL, Tat NY, Tavakoli Oliaee R, Teklay G, Tesfaye EG, Tessema B, Thangaraju P, Thapar R, Thum CCC, Ticoalu JHV, Tleyjeh IM, Tobe-Gai R, Toma TM, Tram KH, Udoakang AJ, Umar TP, Umeokonkwo CD, Vahabi SM, Vaithinathan AG, van Boven JFM, Varthya SB, Wang Z, Warsame MSA, Westerman R, Wonde TE, Yaghoubi S, Yi S, Yiğit V, Yon DK, Yonemoto N, Yu C, Zakham F, Zangiabadian M, Zeukeng F, Zhang H, Zhao Y, Zheng P, Zielińska M, Salomon JA, Reiner Jr RC, Naghavi M, Vos T, Hay SI, Murray CJL, Kyu HH. Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Infect Dis 2024:S1473-3099(24)00007-0. [PMID: 38518787 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(24)00007-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2023] [Revised: 12/09/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 03/24/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Global evaluations of the progress towards the WHO End TB Strategy 2020 interim milestones on mortality (35% reduction) and incidence (20% reduction) have not been age specific. We aimed to assess global, regional, and national-level burdens of and trends in tuberculosis and its risk factors across five separate age groups, from 1990 to 2021, and to report on age-specific progress between 2015 and 2020. METHODS We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD 2021) analytical framework to compute age-specific tuberculosis mortality and incidence estimates for 204 countries and territories (1990-2021 inclusive). We quantified tuberculosis mortality among individuals without HIV co-infection using 22 603 site-years of vital registration data, 1718 site-years of verbal autopsy data, 825 site-years of sample-based vital registration data, 680 site-years of mortality surveillance data, and 9 site-years of minimally invasive tissue sample (MITS) diagnoses data as inputs into the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling platform. Age-specific HIV and tuberculosis deaths were established with a population attributable fraction approach. We analysed all available population-based data sources, including prevalence surveys, annual case notifications, tuberculin surveys, and tuberculosis mortality, in DisMod-MR 2.1 to produce internally consistent age-specific estimates of tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality. We also estimated age-specific tuberculosis mortality without HIV co-infection that is attributable to the independent and combined effects of three risk factors (smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes). As a secondary analysis, we examined the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis mortality without HIV co-infection by comparing expected tuberculosis deaths, modelled with trends in tuberculosis deaths from 2015 to 2019 in vital registration data, with observed tuberculosis deaths in 2020 and 2021 for countries with available cause-specific mortality data. FINDINGS We estimated 9·40 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 8·36 to 10·5) tuberculosis incident cases and 1·35 million (1·23 to 1·52) deaths due to tuberculosis in 2021. At the global level, the all-age tuberculosis incidence rate declined by 6·26% (5·27 to 7·25) between 2015 and 2020 (the WHO End TB strategy evaluation period). 15 of 204 countries achieved a 20% decrease in all-age tuberculosis incidence between 2015 and 2020, eight of which were in western sub-Saharan Africa. When stratified by age, global tuberculosis incidence rates decreased by 16·5% (14·8 to 18·4) in children younger than 5 years, 16·2% (14·2 to 17·9) in those aged 5-14 years, 6·29% (5·05 to 7·70) in those aged 15-49 years, 5·72% (4·02 to 7·39) in those aged 50-69 years, and 8·48% (6·74 to 10·4) in those aged 70 years and older, from 2015 to 2020. Global tuberculosis deaths decreased by 11·9% (5·77 to 17·0) from 2015 to 2020. 17 countries attained a 35% reduction in deaths due to tuberculosis between 2015 and 2020, most of which were in eastern Europe (six countries) and central Europe (four countries). There was variable progress by age: a 35·3% (26·7 to 41·7) decrease in tuberculosis deaths in children younger than 5 years, a 29·5% (25·5 to 34·1) decrease in those aged 5-14 years, a 15·2% (10·0 to 20·2) decrease in those aged 15-49 years, a 7·97% (0·472 to 14·1) decrease in those aged 50-69 years, and a 3·29% (-5·56 to 9·07) decrease in those aged 70 years and older. Removing the combined effects of the three attributable risk factors would have reduced the number of all-age tuberculosis deaths from 1·39 million (1·28 to 1·54) to 1·00 million (0·703 to 1·23) in 2020, representing a 36·5% (21·5 to 54·8) reduction in tuberculosis deaths compared to those observed in 2015. 41 countries were included in our analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis deaths without HIV co-infection in 2020, and 20 countries were included in the analysis for 2021. In 2020, 50 900 (95% CI 49 700 to 52 400) deaths were expected across all ages, compared to an observed 45 500 deaths, corresponding to 5340 (4070 to 6920) fewer deaths; in 2021, 39 600 (38 300 to 41 100) deaths were expected across all ages compared to an observed 39 000 deaths, corresponding to 657 (-713 to 2180) fewer deaths. INTERPRETATION Despite accelerated progress in reducing the global burden of tuberculosis in the past decade, the world did not attain the first interim milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy in 2020. The pace of decline has been unequal with respect to age, with older adults (ie, those aged >50 years) having the slowest progress. As countries refine their national tuberculosis programmes and recalibrate for achieving the 2035 targets, they could consider learning from the strategies of countries that achieved the 2020 milestones, as well as consider targeted interventions to improve outcomes in older age groups. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Schumacher AE, Kyu HH, Aali A, Abbafati C, Abbas J, Abbasgholizadeh R, Abbasi MA, Abbasian M, Abd ElHafeez S, Abdelmasseh M, Abd-Elsalam S, Abdelwahab A, Abdollahi M, Abdoun M, Abdullahi A, Abdurehman AM, Abebe M, Abedi A, Abedi A, Abegaz TM, Abeldaño Zuñiga RA, Abhilash ES, Abiodun OO, Aboagye RG, Abolhassani H, Abouzid M, Abreu LG, Abrha WA, Abrigo MRM, Abtahi D, Abu Rumeileh S, Abu-Rmeileh NME, Aburuz S, Abu-Zaid A, Acuna JM, Adair T, Addo IY, Adebayo OM, Adegboye OA, Adekanmbi V, Aden B, Adepoju AV, Adetunji CO, Adeyeoluwa TE, Adeyomoye OI, Adha R, Adibi A, Adikusuma W, Adnani QES, Adra S, Afework A, Afolabi AA, Afraz A, Afyouni S, Afzal S, Agasthi P, Aghamiri S, Agodi A, Agyemang-Duah W, Ahinkorah BO, Ahmad A, Ahmad D, Ahmad F, Ahmad MM, Ahmad T, Ahmadi K, Ahmadzade AM, Ahmadzade M, Ahmed A, Ahmed H, Ahmed LA, Ahmed MB, Ahmed SA, Ajami M, Aji B, Ajumobi O, Akalu GT, Akara EM, Akinosoglou K, Akkala S, Akyirem S, Al Hamad H, Al Hasan SM, Al Homsi A, Al Qadire M, Ala M, Aladelusi TO, AL-Ahdal TMA, Alalalmeh SO, Al-Aly Z, Alam K, Alam M, Alam Z, Al-amer RM, Alanezi FM, Alanzi TM, Albashtawy M, AlBataineh MT, Aldridge RW, Alemi S, Al-Eyadhy A, Al-Gheethi AAS, Alhabib KF, Alhalaiqa FAN, Al-Hanawi MK, Ali A, Ali A, Ali BA, Ali H, Ali MU, Ali R, Ali SSS, Ali Z, Alian Samakkhah S, Alicandro G, Alif SM, Aligol M, Alimi R, Aliyi AA, Al-Jumaily A, Aljunid SM, Almahmeed W, Al-Marwani S, Al-Maweri SAA, Almazan JU, Al-Mekhlafi HM, Almidani O, Alomari MA, Alonso N, Alqahtani JS, Alqutaibi AY, Al-Sabah SK, Altaf A, Al-Tawfiq JA, Altirkawi KA, Alvi FJ, Alwafi H, Al-Worafi YM, Aly H, Alzoubi KH, Amare AT, Ameyaw EK, Amhare AF, Amin TT, Amindarolzarbi A, Aminian Dehkordi J, Amiri S, Amu H, Amugsi DA, Amzat J, Ancuceanu R, Anderlini D, Andrade PP, Andrei CL, Andrei T, Angappan D, Anil A, Anjum A, Antony CM, Antriyandarti E, Anuoluwa IA, Anwar SL, Anyasodor AE, Appiah SCY, Aqeel M, Arabloo J, Arabzadeh Bahri R, Arab-Zozani M, Arafat M, Araújo AM, Aravkin AY, Aremu A, Ariffin H, Aripov T, Armocida B, Arooj M, Artamonov AA, Artanti KD, Arulappan J, Aruleba IT, Aruleba RT, Arumugam A, Asaad M, Asgary S, Ashemo MY, Ashraf M, Asika MO, Athari SS, Atout MMW, Atreya A, Attia S, Aujayeb A, Avan A, Awotidebe AW, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayanore MA, Ayele GM, Ayuso-Mateos JL, Ayyoubzadeh SM, Azadnajafabad S, Azhar GS, Aziz S, Azzam AY, Babashahi M, Babu AS, Badar M, Badawi A, Badiye AD, Baghdadi S, Bagheri N, Bagherieh S, Bah S, Bahadorikhalili S, Bai J, Bai R, Baker JL, Bakkannavar SM, Bako AT, Balakrishnan S, Balogun SA, Baltatu OC, Bam K, Banach M, Bandyopadhyay S, Banik B, Banik PC, Bansal H, Barati S, Barchitta M, Bardhan M, Barker-Collo SL, Barone-Adesi F, Barqawi HJ, Barr RD, Barrero LH, Basharat Z, Bashir AIJ, Bashiru HA, Baskaran P, Basnyat B, Bassat Q, Basso JD, Basu S, Batra K, Batra R, Baune BT, Bayati M, Bayileyegn NS, Beaney T, Bedi N, Begum T, Behboudi E, Behnoush AH, Beiranvand M, Bejarano Ramirez DF, Belgaumi UI, Bell ML, Bello AK, Bello MB, Bello OO, Belo L, Beloukas A, Bendak S, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Benzian H, Berezvai Z, Berman AE, Bermudez ANC, Bettencourt PJG, Beyene HB, Beyene KA, Bhagat DS, Bhagavathula AS, Bhala N, Bhalla A, Bhandari D, Bhardwaj N, Bhardwaj P, Bhardwaj PV, Bhargava A, Bhaskar S, Bhat V, Bhatti GK, Bhatti JS, Bhatti MS, Bhatti R, Bhutta ZA, Bikbov B, Binmadi N, Bintoro BS, Biondi A, Bisignano C, Bisulli F, Biswas A, Biswas RK, Bitaraf S, Bjørge T, Bleyer A, Boampong MS, Bodolica V, Bodunrin AO, Bolarinwa OA, Bonakdar Hashemi M, Bonny A, Bora K, Bora Basara B, Borodo SB, Borschmann R, Botero Carvajal A, Bouaoud S, Boudalia S, Boyko EJ, Bragazzi NL, Braithwaite D, Brenner H, Britton G, Browne AJ, Brunoni AR, Bulamu NB, Bulto LN, Buonsenso D, Burkart K, Burns RA, Burugina Nagaraja S, Busse R, Bustanji Y, Butt ZA, Caetano dos Santos FL, Cai T, Calina D, Cámera LA, Campos LA, Campos-Nonato IR, Cao C, Cardenas CA, Cárdenas R, Carr S, Carreras G, Carrero JJ, Carugno A, Carvalho F, Carvalho M, Castaldelli-Maia JM, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castelpietra G, Catalá-López F, Catapano AL, Cattaruzza MS, Caye A, Cederroth CR, Cembranel F, Cenderadewi M, Cercy KM, Cerin E, Cevik M, Chacón-Uscamaita PRU, Chahine Y, Chakraborty C, Chan JSK, Chang CK, Charalampous P, Charan J, Chattu VK, Chatzimavridou-Grigoriadou V, Chavula MP, Cheema HA, Chen AT, Chen H, Chen L, Chen MX, Chen S, Cherbuin N, Chew DS, Chi G, Chirinos-Caceres JL, Chitheer A, Cho SMJ, Cho WCS, Chong B, Chopra H, Choudhary R, Chowdhury R, Chu DT, Chukwu IS, Chung E, Chung E, Chung SC, Cini KI, Clark CCT, Coberly K, Columbus A, Comfort H, Conde J, Conti S, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Cousin E, Cowden RG, Criqui MH, Cruz-Martins N, Culbreth GT, Cullen P, Cunningham M, da Silva e Silva D, Dadana S, Dadras O, Dai Z, Dalal K, Dalli LL, Damiani G, D'Amico E, Daneshvar S, Darwesh AM, Das JK, Das S, Dash NR, Dashti M, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Davis Weaver N, Davletov K, De Leo D, Debele AT, Degenhardt L, Dehbandi R, Deitesfeld L, Delgado-Enciso I, Delgado-Ortiz L, Demant D, Demessa BH, Demetriades AK, Deng X, Denova-Gutiérrez E, Deribe K, Dervenis N, Des Jarlais DC, Desai HD, Desai R, Deuba K, Devanbu VGC, Dey S, Dhali A, Dhama K, Dhimal ML, Dhimal M, Dhingra S, Dias da Silva D, Diaz D, Dima A, Ding DD, Dirac MA, Dixit A, Dixit SG, Do TC, Do THP, do Prado CB, Dodangeh M, Dokova KG, Dolecek C, Dorsey ER, dos Santos WM, Doshi R, Doshmangir L, Douiri A, Dowou RK, Driscoll TR, Dsouza HL, Dube J, Dumith SC, Dunachie SJ, Duncan BB, Duraes AR, Duraisamy S, Durojaiye OC, Dutta S, Dzianach PA, Dziedzic AM, Ebenezer O, Eboreime E, Ebrahimi A, Echieh CP, Ed-Dra A, Edinur HA, Edvardsson D, Edvardsson K, Efendi D, Efendi F, Eghdami S, Eikemo TA, Eini E, Ekholuenetale M, Ekpor E, Ekundayo TC, El Arab RA, El Morsi DAW, El Sayed Zaki M, El Tantawi M, Elbarazi I, Elemam NM, Elgar FJ, Elgendy IY, ElGohary GMT, Elhabashy HR, Elhadi M, Elmeligy OAA, Elshaer M, Elsohaby I, Emami Zeydi A, Emamverdi M, Emeto TI, Engelbert Bain L, Erkhembayar R, Eshetie TC, Eskandarieh S, Espinosa-Montero J, Estep K, Etaee F, Eze UA, Fabin N, Fadaka AO, Fagbamigbe AF, Fahimi S, Falzone L, Farinha CSES, Faris MEM, Farjoud Kouhanjani M, Faro A, Farrokhpour H, Fatehizadeh A, Fattahi H, Fauk NK, Fazeli P, Feigin VL, Fekadu G, Fereshtehnejad SM, Feroze AH, Ferrante D, Ferrara P, Ferreira N, Fetensa G, Filip I, Fischer F, Flavel J, Flaxman AD, Flor LS, Florin BT, Folayan MO, Foley KM, Fomenkov AA, Force LM, Fornari C, Foroutan B, Foschi M, Francis KL, Franklin RC, Freitas A, Friedman J, Friedman SD, Fukumoto T, Fuller JE, Gaal PA, Gadanya MA, Gaihre S, Gaipov A, Gakidou E, Galali Y, Galehdar N, Gallus S, Gan Q, Gandhi AP, Ganesan B, Garg J, Gau SY, Gautam P, Gautam RK, Gazzelloni F, Gebregergis MW, Gebrehiwot M, Gebremariam TB, Gerema U, Getachew ME, Getachew T, Gething PW, Ghafourifard M, Ghahramani S, Ghailan KY, Ghajar A, Ghanbarnia MJ, Ghasemi M, Ghasemzadeh A, Ghassemi F, Ghazy RM, Ghimire S, Gholamian A, Gholamrezanezhad A, Ghorbani Vajargah P, Ghozali G, Ghozy S, Ghuge AD, Gialluisi A, Gibson RM, Gil AU, Gill PS, Gill TK, Gillum RF, Ginindza TG, Girmay A, Glasbey JC, Gnedovskaya EV, Göbölös L, Goel A, Goldust M, Golechha M, Goleij P, Golestanfar A, Golinelli D, Gona PN, Goudarzi H, Goudarzian AH, Goyal A, Greenhalgh S, Grivna M, Guarducci G, Gubari MIM, Gudeta MD, Guha A, Guicciardi S, Gunawardane DA, Gunturu S, Guo C, Gupta AK, Gupta B, Gupta IR, Gupta RD, Gupta S, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Gupta VK, Gutiérrez RA, Habibzadeh F, Habibzadeh P, Hachinski V, Haddadi M, Haddadi R, Haep N, Hajj Ali A, Halboub ES, Halim SA, Hall BJ, Haller S, Halwani R, Hamadeh RR, Hamagharib Abdullah K, Hamidi S, Hamiduzzaman M, Hammoud A, Hanifi N, Hankey GJ, Hannan MA, Haque MN, Harapan H, Haro JM, Hasaballah AI, Hasan F, Hasan I, Hasan MT, Hasani H, Hasanian M, Hasanpour- Dehkordi A, Hassan AM, Hassan A, Hassanian-Moghaddam H, Hassanipour S, Haubold J, Havmoeller RJ, Hay SI, Hbid Y, Hebert JJ, Hegazi OE, Heidari G, Heidari M, Heidari-Foroozan M, 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N, Zakzuk J, Zamagni G, Zaman BA, Zaman SB, Zamora N, Zand R, Zandi M, Zandieh GGZ, Zanghì A, Zare I, Zastrozhin MS, Zeariya MGM, Zeng Y, Zhai C, Zhang C, Zhang H, Zhang H, Zhang Y, Zhang Z, Zhang Z, Zhao H, Zhao Y, Zhao Y, Zheng P, Zhong C, Zhou J, Zhu B, Zhu Z, Ziaeefar P, Zielińska M, Zou Z, Zumla A, Zweck E, Zyoud SH, Lim SS, Murray CJL. Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950-2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet 2024:S0140-6736(24)00476-8. [PMID: 38484753 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00476-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 12/08/2023] [Accepted: 03/06/2024] [Indexed: 04/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020-21 COVID-19 pandemic period. METHODS 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. FINDINGS Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5-65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020-21; 5·1% [0·9-9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98-5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50-6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126-137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7-17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8-24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7-51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9-72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0-2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67-8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4-52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0-44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. INTERPRETATION Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Arunachala S, Parthasarathi A, Basavaraj CK, Kaleem Ullah M, Chandran S, Venkataraman H, Vishwanath P, Ganguly K, Upadhyay S, Mahesh PA. The Validity of the ROX Index and APACHE II in Predicting Early, Late, and Non-Responses to Non-Invasive Ventilation in Patients with COVID-19 in a Low-Resource Setting. Viruses 2023; 15:2231. [PMID: 38005908 PMCID: PMC10675664 DOI: 10.3390/v15112231] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2023] [Revised: 10/31/2023] [Accepted: 11/08/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023] Open
Abstract
The use of the Ratio of Oxygen Saturation (ROX) index to predict the success of high-flow nasal oxygenation (HFNO) is well established. The ROX can also predict the need for intubation, mortality, and is easier to calculate compared with APACHE II. In this prospective study, the primary aim is to compare the ROX (easily administered in resource limited setting) to APACHE II for clinically relevant outcomes such as mortality and the need for intubation. Our secondary aim was to identify thresholds for the ROX index in predicting outcomes such as the length of ICU stay and failure of non-invasive respiratory support therapies and to assess the effectiveness of using the ROX (day 1 at admission, day 2, and day 3) versus Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II scores (at admission) in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) to predict early, late, and non-responders. After screening 208 intensive care unit patients, a total of 118 COVID-19 patients were enrolled, who were categorized into early (n = 38), late (n = 34), and non-responders (n = 46). Multinomial logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Multivariate Cox regression, and Kaplan-Meier analysis were conducted. Multinomial logistic regressions between late and early responders and between non- and early responders were associated with reduced risk of treatment failures. ROC analysis for early vs. late responders showed that APACHE II on admission had the largest area under the curve (0.847), followed by the ROX index on admission (0.843). For responders vs. non-responders, we found that the ROX index on admission had a slightly better AUC than APACHE II on admission (0.759 vs. 0.751). A higher ROX index on admission [HR (95% CI): 0.29 (0.13-0.52)] and on day 2 [HR (95% CI): 0.55 (0.34-0.89)] were associated with a reduced risk of treatment failure. The ROX index can be used as an independent predictor of early response and mortality outcomes to HFNO and NIV in COVID-19 pneumonia, especially in low-resource settings, and is non-inferior to APACHE II.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sumalatha Arunachala
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
- Public Health Research Institute of India, Mysuru 570020, India
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Adichunchanagiri Institute of Medical Sciences, Bellur 571448, India
| | - Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi
- Allergy, Asthma, and Chest Centre, Krishnamurthypuram, Mysuru 570004, India;
- Rutgers Centre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Science, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USA
| | - Chetak Kadabasal Basavaraj
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
| | - Mohammed Kaleem Ullah
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysore 570015, India; (M.K.U.); (P.V.)
- Division of Infectious Disease and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
| | - Shreya Chandran
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
| | - Hariharan Venkataraman
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
| | - Prashant Vishwanath
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysore 570015, India; (M.K.U.); (P.V.)
| | - Koustav Ganguly
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden;
| | - Swapna Upadhyay
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden;
| | - Padukudru Anand Mahesh
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
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Wu D, Jin Y, Xing Y, Abate MD, Abbasian M, Abbasi-Kangevari M, Abbasi-Kangevari Z, Abd-Allah F, Abdelmasseh M, Abdollahifar MA, Abdulah DM, Abedi A, Abedi V, Abidi H, Aboagye RG, Abolhassani H, Abuabara K, Abyadeh M, Addo IY, Adeniji KN, Adepoju AV, Adesina MA, Sakilah Adnani QE, Afarideh M, Aghamiri S, Agodi A, Agrawal A, Aguilera Arriagada CE, Ahmad A, Ahmad D, Ahmad S, Ahmad S, Ahmadi A, Ahmed A, Ahmed A, Aithala JP, Ajadi AA, Ajami M, Akbarzadeh-Khiavi M, Alahdab F, AlBataineh MT, Alemi S, Saeed Al-Gheethi AA, Ali L, Alif SM, Almazan JU, Almustanyir S, Alqahtani JS, Alqasmi I, Khan Altaf IU, Alvis-Guzman N, Alvis-Zakzuk NJ, Al-Worafi YM, Aly H, Amani R, Amu H, Amusa GA, Andrei CL, Ansar A, Ansariniya H, Anyasodor AE, Arabloo J, Arefnezhad R, Arulappan J, Asghari-Jafarabadi M, Ashraf T, Atata JA, Athari SS, Atlaw D, Wahbi Atout MM, Aujayeb A, Awan AT, Ayatollahi H, Azadnajafabad S, Azzam AY, Badawi A, Badiye AD, Bagherieh S, Baig AA, Bantie BB, Barchitta M, Bardhan M, Barker-Collo SL, Barone-Adesi F, Batra K, Bayileyegn NS, Behnoush AH, Belgaumi UI, Bemanalizadeh M, Bensenor IM, Beyene KA, Bhagavathula AS, Bhardwaj P, Bhaskar S, Bhat AN, Bitaraf S, Bitra VR, Boloor A, Bora K, Botelho JS, Buchbinder R, Calina D, Cámera LA, Carvalho AF, Kai Chan JS, Chattu VK, Abebe EC, Chichagi F, Choi S, Chou TC, Chu DT, Coberly K, Costa VM, Couto RA, Cruz-Martins N, Dadras O, Dai X, Damiani G, Dascalu AM, Dashti M, Debela SA, Dellavalle RP, Demetriades AK, Demlash AA, Deng X, Desai HD, Desai R, Rahman Dewan SM, Dey S, Dharmaratne SD, Diaz D, Dibas M, Dinis-Oliveira RJ, Diress M, Do TC, Doan DK, Dodangeh M, Dodangeh M, Dongarwar D, Dube J, Dziedzic AM, Ed-Dra A, Edinur HA, Eissazade N, Ekholuenetale M, Ekundayo TC, Elemam NM, Elhadi M, Elmehrath AO, Abdou Elmeligy OA, Emamverdi M, Emeto TI, Esayas HL, Eshetu HB, Etaee F, Fagbamigbe AF, Faghani S, Fakhradiyev IR, Fatehizadeh A, Fathi M, Feizkhah A, Fekadu G, Fereidouni M, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes JC, Ferrara P, Fetensa G, Filip I, Fischer F, Foroutan B, Foroutan M, Fukumoto T, Ganesan B, Belete Gemeda BN, Ghamari SH, Ghasemi M, Gholamalizadeh M, Gill TK, Gillum RF, Goldust M, Golechha M, Goleij P, Golinelli D, Goudarzi H, Guan SY, Guo Y, Gupta B, Gupta VB, Gupta VK, Haddadi R, Hadi NR, Halwani R, Haque S, Hasan I, Hashempour R, Hassan A, Hassan TS, Hassanzadeh S, Hassen MB, Haubold J, Hayat K, Heidari G, Heidari M, Heidari-Soureshjani R, Herteliu C, Hessami K, Hezam K, Hiraike Y, Holla R, Hosseini MS, Huynh HH, Hwang BF, Ibitoye SE, Ilic IM, Ilic MD, Iranmehr A, Iravanpour F, Ismail NE, Iwagami M, Iwu CC, Jacob L, Jafarinia M, Jafarzadeh A, Jahankhani K, Jahrami H, Jakovljevic M, Jamshidi E, Jani CT, Janodia MD, Jayapal SK, Jayaram S, Jeganathan J, Jonas JB, Joseph A, Joseph N, Joshua CE, Vaishali K, Kaambwa B, Kabir A, Kabir Z, Kadashetti V, Kaliyadan F, Kalroozi F, Kamal VK, Kandel A, Kandel H, Kanungo S, Karami J, Karaye IM, Karimi H, Kasraei H, Kazemian S, Kebede SA, Keikavoosi-Arani L, Keykhaei M, Khader YS, Khajuria H, Khamesipour F, Khan EA, Khan IA, Khan M, Khan MJ, Khan MA, Khan MA, Khatatbeh H, Khatatbeh MM, Khateri S, Khayat Kashani HR, Kim MS, Kisa A, Kisa S, Koh HY, Kolkhir P, Korzh O, Kotnis AL, Koul PA, Koyanagi A, Krishan K, Kuddus M, Kulkarni VV, Kumar N, Kundu S, Kurmi OP, La Vecchia C, Lahariya C, Laksono T, Lám J, Latief K, Lauriola P, Lawal BK, Thu Le TT, Bich Le TT, Lee M, Lee SW, Lee WC, Lee YH, Lenzi J, Levi M, Li W, Ligade VS, Lim SS, Liu G, Liu X, Llanaj E, Lo CH, Machado VS, Maghazachi AA, Mahmoud MA, Mai TA, Majeed A, Sanaye PM, Makram OM, Rad EM, Malhotra K, Malik AA, Malik I, Mallhi TH, Malta DC, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Martorell M, Masoudi S, Masoumi SZ, Mathangasinghe Y, Mathews E, Mathioudakis AG, Maugeri A, Mayeli M, Carabeo Medina JR, Meles GG, Mendes JJ, Menezes RG, Mestrovic T, Michalek IM, Micheletti Gomide Nogueira de Sá AC, Mihretie ET, Nhat Minh LH, Mirfakhraie R, Mirrakhimov EM, Misganaw A, Mohamadkhani A, Mohamed NS, Mohammadi F, Mohammadi S, Mohammed S, Mohammed S, Mohan S, Mohseni A, Mokdad AH, Momtazmanesh S, Monasta L, Moni MA, Moniruzzaman M, Moradi Y, Morovatdar N, Mostafavi E, Mousavi P, Mukoro GD, Mulita A, Mulu GB, Murillo-Zamora E, Musaigwa F, Mustafa G, Muthu S, Nainu F, Nangia V, Swamy SN, Natto ZS, Navaraj P, Nayak BP, Nazri-Panjaki A, Negash H, Nematollahi MH, Nguyen DH, Hien Nguyen HT, Nguyen HQ, Nguyen PT, Nguyen VT, Niazi RK, Nikolouzakis TK, Nnyanzi LA, Noreen M, Nzoputam CI, Nzoputam OJ, Oancea B, Oh IH, Okati-Aliabad H, Okonji OC, Okwute PG, Olagunju AT, Olatubi MI, Olufadewa II, Ordak M, Otstavnov N, Owolabi MO, Mahesh P, Padubidri JR, Pak A, Pakzad R, Palladino R, Pana A, Pantazopoulos I, Papadopoulou P, Pardhan S, Parthasarathi A, Pashaei A, Patel J, Pathan AR, Patil S, Paudel U, Pawar S, Pedersini P, Pensato U, Pereira DM, Pereira J, Pereira MO, Pereira RB, Peres MF, Perianayagam A, Perna S, Petcu IR, Pezeshki PS, Pham HT, Philip AK, Piradov MA, Podder I, Podder V, Poddighe D, Sady Prates EJ, Qattea I, Radfar A, Raee P, Rafiei A, Raggi A, Rahim F, Rahimi M, Rahimifard M, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman MO, Ur Rahman MH, Rahman M, Rahman MA, Rahmani AM, Rahmani M, Rahmani S, Rahmanian V, Ramasubramani P, Rancic N, Rao IR, Rashedi S, Rashid AM, Ravikumar N, Rawaf S, Mohamed Redwan EM, Rezaei N, Rezaei N, Rezaei N, Rezaeian M, Ribeiro D, Rodrigues M, Buendia Rodriguez JA, Roever L, Romero-Rodríguez E, Saad AM, Saddik B, Sadeghian S, Saeed U, Safary A, Safdarian M, Safi SZ, Saghazadeh A, Sagoe D, Sharif-Askari FS, Sharif-Askari NS, Sahebkar A, Sahoo H, Sahraian MA, Sajid MR, Sakhamuri S, Sakshaug JW, Saleh MA, Salehi L, Salehi S, Farrokhi AS, Samadzadeh S, Samargandy S, Samieefar N, Samy AM, Sanadgol N, Sanjeev RK, Sawhney M, Saya GK, Schuermans A, Senthilkumaran S, Sepanlou SG, Sethi Y, Shafie M, Shah H, Shahid I, Shahid S, Shaikh MA, Sharfaei S, Sharma M, Shayan M, Shehata HS, Sheikh A, Shetty JK, Shin JI, Shirkoohi R, Shitaye NA, Shivakumar K, Shivarov V, Shobeiri P, Siabani S, Sibhat MM, Siddig EE, Simpson CR, Sinaei E, Singh H, Singh I, Singh JA, Singh P, Singh S, Siraj MS, Al Mamun Sohag A, Solanki R, Solikhah S, Solomon Y, Soltani-Zangbar MS, Sun J, Szeto MD, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabatabaei SM, Tabish M, Taheri E, Tahvildari A, Talaat IM, Lukenze Tamuzi JJ, Tan KK, Tat NY, Oliaee RT, Tavasol A, Temsah MH, Thangaraju P, Tharwat S, Tibebu NS, Vera Ticoalu JH, Tillawi T, Tiruye TY, Tiyuri A, Tovani-Palone MR, Tripathi M, Tsegay GM, Tualeka AR, Ty SS, Ubah CS, Ullah S, Ullah S, Umair M, Umakanthan S, Upadhyay E, Vahabi SM, Vaithinathan AG, Tahbaz SV, Valizadeh R, Varthya SB, Vasankari TJ, Venketasubramanian N, Verras GI, Villafañe JH, Vlassov V, Vo DC, Waheed Y, Waris A, Welegebrial BG, Westerman R, Wickramasinghe DP, Wickramasinghe ND, Willekens B, Woldegeorgis BZ, Woldemariam M, Xiao H, Yada DY, Yahya G, Yang L, Yazdanpanah F, Yon DK, Yonemoto N, You Y, Zahir M, Zaidi SS, Zangiabadian M, Zare I, Zeineddine MA, Zemedikun DT, Zeru NG, Zhang C, Zhao H, Zhong C, Zielińska M, Zoladl M, Zumla A, Guo C, Tam LS. Global, regional, and national incidence of six major immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: findings from the global burden of disease study 2019. EClinicalMedicine 2023; 64:102193. [PMID: 37731935 PMCID: PMC10507198 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.102193] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2023] [Revised: 08/15/2023] [Accepted: 08/16/2023] [Indexed: 09/22/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The causes for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) are diverse and the incidence trends of IMIDs from specific causes are rarely studied. The study aims to investigate the pattern and trend of IMIDs from 1990 to 2019. Methods We collected detailed information on six major causes of IMIDs, including asthma, inflammatory bowel disease, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, and atopic dermatitis, between 1990 and 2019, derived from the Global Burden of Disease study in 2019. The average annual percent change (AAPC) in number of incidents and age standardized incidence rate (ASR) on IMIDs, by sex, age, region, and causes, were calculated to quantify the temporal trends. Findings In 2019, rheumatoid arthritis, atopic dermatitis, asthma, multiple sclerosis, psoriasis, inflammatory bowel disease accounted 1.59%, 36.17%, 54.71%, 0.09%, 6.84%, 0.60% of overall new IMIDs cases, respectively. The ASR of IMIDs showed substantial regional and global variation with the highest in High SDI region, High-income North America, and United States of America. Throughout human lifespan, the age distribution of incident cases from six IMIDs was quite different. Globally, incident cases of IMIDs increased with an AAPC of 0.68 and the ASR decreased with an AAPC of -0.34 from 1990 to 2019. The incident cases increased across six IMIDs, the ASR of rheumatoid arthritis increased (0.21, 95% CI 0.18, 0.25), while the ASR of asthma (AAPC = -0.41), inflammatory bowel disease (AAPC = -0.72), multiple sclerosis (AAPC = -0.26), psoriasis (AAPC = -0.77), and atopic dermatitis (AAPC = -0.15) decreased. The ASR of overall and six individual IMID increased with SDI at regional and global level. Countries with higher ASR in 1990 experienced a more rapid decrease in ASR. Interpretation The incidence patterns of IMIDs varied considerably across the world. Innovative prevention and integrative management strategy are urgently needed to mitigate the increasing ASR of rheumatoid arthritis and upsurging new cases of other five IMIDs, respectively. Funding The Global Burden of Disease Study is funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. The project funded by Scientific Research Fund of Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital (2022QN38).
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Josey K, Nethery R, Visaria A, Bates B, Gandhi P, Parthasarathi A, Rua M, Robinson D, Setoguchi S. Retrospective cohort study investigating synergism of air pollution and corticosteroid exposure in promoting cardiovascular and thromboembolic events in older adults. BMJ Open 2023; 13:e072810. [PMID: 37709308 PMCID: PMC10503335 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-072810] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2023] [Accepted: 08/14/2023] [Indexed: 09/16/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the synergistic effects created by fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and corticosteroid use on hospitalisation and mortality in older adults at high risk for cardiovascular thromboembolic events (CTEs). DESIGN AND SETTING A retrospective cohort study using a US nationwide administrative healthcare claims database. PARTICIPANTS A 50% random sample of participants with high-risk conditions for CTE from the 2008-2016 Medicare Fee-for-Service population. EXPOSURES Corticosteroid therapy and seasonal-average PM2.5. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Incidences of myocardial infarction or acute coronary syndrome (MI/ACS), ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack, heart failure (HF), venous thromboembolism, atrial fibrillation and all-cause mortality. We assessed additive interactions between PM2.5 and corticosteroids using estimates of the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) obtained using marginal structural models for causal inference. RESULTS Among the 1 936 786 individuals in the high CTE risk cohort (mean age 76.8, 40.0% male, 87.4% white), the mean PM2.5 exposure level was 8.3±2.4 µg/m3 and 37.7% had at least one prescription for a systemic corticosteroid during follow-up. For all outcomes, we observed increases in risk associated with corticosteroid use and with increasing PM2.5 exposure. PM2.5 demonstrated a non-linear relationship with some outcomes. We also observed evidence of an interaction existing between corticosteroid use and PM2.5 for some CTEs. For an increase in PM2.5 from 8 μg/m3 to 12 μg/m3 (a policy-relevant change), the RERI of corticosteroid use and PM2.5 was significant for HF (15.6%, 95% CI 4.0%, 27.3%). Increasing PM2.5 from 5 μg/m3 to 10 μg/m3 yielded significant RERIs for incidences of HF (32.4; 95% CI 14.9%, 49.9%) and MI/ACSs (29.8%; 95% CI 5.5%, 54.0%). CONCLUSION PM2.5 and systemic corticosteroid use were independently associated with increases in CTE hospitalisations. We also found evidence of significant additive interactions between the two exposures for HF and MI/ACSs suggesting synergy between these two exposures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kevin Josey
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Rachel Nethery
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard University T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Aayush Visaria
- Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, Piscataway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Benjamin Bates
- Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, Piscataway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Poonam Gandhi
- Rutgers University Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA
| | - Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi
- Rutgers University Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA
| | - Melanie Rua
- Rutgers University Institute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA
| | - David Robinson
- Department of Geography, Rutgers The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA
| | - Soko Setoguchi
- Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, Piscataway, New Jersey, USA
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Arunachala S, Parthasarathi A, Basavaraj CK, Malamardi S, Chandran S, Venkataraman H, Ullah MK, Ganguly K, Upadhyay S, Mahesh PA. The Use of High-Flow Nasal Cannula and Non-Invasive Mechanical Ventilation in the Management of COVID-19 Patients: A Prospective Study. Viruses 2023; 15:1879. [PMID: 37766286 PMCID: PMC10535869 DOI: 10.3390/v15091879] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2023] [Revised: 08/30/2023] [Accepted: 09/02/2023] [Indexed: 09/29/2023] Open
Abstract
High-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) and ventilator-delivered non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) were used to treat acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) due to COVID-19 pneumonia, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), due to lack of ventilators and manpower resources despite the paucity of data regarding their efficacy. This prospective study aimed to analyse the efficacy of HFNC versus NIV in the management of COVID-19 ARDS. A total of 88 RT-PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients with moderate ARDS were recruited. Linear regression and generalized estimating equations (GEEs) were used for trends in vital parameters over time. A total of 37 patients were on HFNC, and 51 were on NIV. Patients in the HFNC group stayed slightly but not significantly longer in the ICU as compared to their NIV counterparts (HFNC vs. NIV: 8.00 (4.0-12.0) days vs. 7.00 (2.0-12.0) days; p = 0.055). Intubation rates, complications, and mortality were similar in both groups. The switch to HFNC from NIV was 5.8%, while 37.8% required a switch to NIV from HFNC. The resolution of respiratory alkalosis was better with NIV. We conclude that in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia with moderate ARDS, the duration of treatment in the ICU, intubation rate, and mortality did not differ significantly with the use of HFNC or NIV for respiratory support.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sumalatha Arunachala
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.M.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
- Public Health Research Institute of India, Mysuru 570020, India
| | - Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi
- Allergy, Asthma, and Chest Centre, Krishnamurthy Puram, Mysuru 570004, India;
- RUTGERS Centre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Science, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USA
| | - Chetak Kadabasal Basavaraj
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.M.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
| | - Sowmya Malamardi
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.M.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
- School of Psychology & Public Health, College of Science Health and Engineering, La Trobe University, Melbourne, VIC 3086, Australia
| | - Shreya Chandran
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.M.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
| | - Hariharan Venkataraman
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.M.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
| | - Mohammed Kaleem Ullah
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India;
- Division of Infectious Disease and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
| | - Koustav Ganguly
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institute, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden;
| | - Swapna Upadhyay
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institute, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden;
| | - Padukudru Anand Mahesh
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.); (S.M.); (S.C.); (H.V.)
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Rai M, Parthasarathi A, Beeraka NM, Kaleem Ullah M, Malamardi S, Padukudru S, Siddaiah JB, Uthaiah CA, Vishwanath P, Chaya SK, Ramaswamy S, Upadhyay S, Ganguly K, Mahesh PA. Circulatory Serum Krebs von Den Lungen-6 and Surfactant Protein-D Concentrations Predict Interstitial Lung Disease Progression and Mortality. Cells 2023; 12:cells12091281. [PMID: 37174681 PMCID: PMC10177381 DOI: 10.3390/cells12091281] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2023] [Revised: 04/21/2023] [Accepted: 04/25/2023] [Indexed: 05/15/2023] Open
Abstract
There is a need for biomarkers to predict outcomes, including mortality, in interstitial lung disease (ILD). Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) and surfactant protein D (SP-D) are associated with lung damage and fibrosis in all ILDs and are related to important clinical outcomes. Though these two biomarkers have been associated with ILD outcomes, there are no studies that have evaluated their predictive potential in combination. This study aims to determine whether KL-6 and SP-D are linked to poor disease outcomes and mortality. Additionally, we plan to examine whether changes in KL-6 and SP-D concentrations correspond with changes in lung function and whether serial measurements improve their predictive potential to identify disease progression and mortality. Forty-four patients with ILD participated in a prospective 6-month longitudinal observational study. ILD patients who succumbed had the highest KL-6 levels (3990.4 U/mL (3490.0-4467.6)) and highest SP-D levels (256.1 ng/mL (217.9-260.0)), followed by those who deteriorated: KL-6 levels 1357.0 U/mL (822.6-1543.4) and SP-D levels 191.2 ng/mL (152.8-210.5). The generalized linear model (GLM) analysis demonstrated that changes in forced vital capacity (FVC), diffusing capacity of lungs for carbon monoxide (DLCO), forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), and partial pressure of arterial oxygen (PaO2) were correlated to changes in KL6 (p = 0.016, 0.014, 0.027, 0.047) and SP-D (p = 0.008, 0.012, 0.046, 0.020), respectively. KL-6 (odds ratio (OR): 2.87 (1.06-7.79)) and SPD (OR: 1.76 (1.05-2.97)) were independent predictors of disease progression, and KL-6 (hazard ratio (HR): 3.70 (1.46-9.41)) and SPD (HR: 2.58 (1.01-6.59)) were independent predictors of death by Cox regression analysis. Combined biomarkers (KL6 + SPD + CT + FVC) had the strongest ability to predict disease progression (AUC: 0.797) and death (AUC: 0.961), on ROC analysis. Elevated KL-6 and SPD levels are vital biomarkers for predicting the severity, progression, and outcomes of ILD. High baseline levels or an increase in levels over a six-month follow-up despite treatment indicate a poor prognosis. Combining KL6 and SPD with conventional measures yields a more potent prognostic indicator. Clinical studies are needed to test additional interventions, and future research will determine if this combined biomarker benefits different ethnicities globally.
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Affiliation(s)
- Meghna Rai
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
| | - Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi
- Allergy, Asthma, and Chest Centre, Krishnamurthypuram, Mysuru 570004, India
- Rutgers Centre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Science, New Brunswick, NJ 08901-1293, USA
| | - Narasimha M Beeraka
- Department of Pharmaceutical Chemistry, JSS College of Pharmacy, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
- Raghavendra Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research (RIPER), Chiyyedu, Anantapuramu 515721, Andhra Pradesh, India
| | - Mohammed Kaleem Ullah
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysore 570015, India
- Division of Infectious Disease and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
| | - Sowmya Malamardi
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
- School of Psychology & Public Health, College of Science Health and Engineering, La Trobe University, Melbourne 3086, Australia
| | - Sunag Padukudru
- Yenepoya Medical College, Yenepoya University, Mangalore 575018, Karnataka, India
| | - Jayaraj Biligere Siddaiah
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
| | - Chinnappa A Uthaiah
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysore 570015, India
| | - Prashant Vishwanath
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysore 570015, India
| | - Sindaghatta Krishnarao Chaya
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
| | - Subramanian Ramaswamy
- Department of Clinical Immunology & Rheumatology, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
| | - Swapna Upadhyay
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Koustav Ganguly
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Padukudru Anand Mahesh
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSS Academy of Higher Education and Research, Mysuru 570015, India
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Mahesh PA, Kaleem Ullah M, Parthasarathi A. Allergic sensitization to foods in India and other Low-Middle-income countries. Clin Exp Allergy 2023. [PMID: 36825760 DOI: 10.1111/cea.14300] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2022] [Revised: 01/06/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2023] [Indexed: 02/25/2023]
Abstract
Food allergy is an important cause of morbidity, significantly affecting the quality of life of the sufferer. Most food allergy research has been undertaken in high-income countries. Here, we summarize literature regarding food allergy in India and other low-middle-income countries (LMIC). We provide summaries of self-reported adverse food reactions and food sensitization in these regions by reviewing published community-based studies of prevalence, burden, and risk factors. We identified 2 community-based studies of food allergy prevalence in Karnataka, India, which estimate that food allergy affects just 0.14% of children and 1.2% of adults. The overall prevalence of allergic sensitization to 'any' food was 26.5% in adults and 19.1% in children by serum-specific IgE; but only 4.48% in children by skin prick test. We identified a further 28 studies in other LMICs, mainly from China but also Turkey, South Africa, Ghana, Mexico, Brazil, Thailand, Philippines, and Korea. The overall prevalence of allergic sensitization to 'any' food ranged from 0.11% to 16.8% in children using serum-specific IgE and 0.14% to 9.6% in children by skin prick test. The questionnaires and skin prick testing materials used and number of allergens tested varied significantly between studies. Other than Karnataka, there is no information on prevalence of food sensitization and probable food allergy in the community in India. Similar lack of information is noted among the majority of the 136 LMICs. Where community-based studies have been undertaken, there is wide variation in the prevalence and patterns of food sensitization across different LMICs, at least partly due to variations in study methodology. International collaboration is required in order to formally assess food allergy prevalence and burden across representative samples from multiple LMICs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Padukudru Anand Mahesh
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Special Interest Group, Environment and Respiratory Diseases, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore, Karnataka, India
| | - Mohammed Kaleem Ullah
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine (A DST-FIST Supported Center), Department of Biochemistry (A DST-FIST Supported Department), JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Karnataka, Mysore, India.,Division of Infectious Disease and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, California, USA
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Kaleem Ullah M, Parthasarathi A, Biligere Siddaiah J, Vishwanath P, Upadhyay S, Ganguly K, Anand Mahesh P. Impact of Acute Exacerbation and Its Phenotypes on the Clinical Outcomes of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Hospitalized Patients: A Cross-Sectional Study. Toxics 2022; 10:toxics10110667. [PMID: 36355958 PMCID: PMC9695923 DOI: 10.3390/toxics10110667] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2022] [Revised: 10/27/2022] [Accepted: 11/02/2022] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) are clinically significant events having therapeutic and prognostic consequences. However, there is a lot of variation in its clinical manifestations described by phenotypes. The phenotypes of AECOPD were categorized in this study based on pathology and exposure. In our cross-sectional study, conducted between 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2020, the patients were categorized into six groups based on pathology: non-bacterial and non-eosinophilic; bacterial; eosinophilic; bacterial infection with eosinophilia; pneumonia; and bronchiectasis. Further, four groups were classified based on exposure to tobacco smoke (TS), biomass smoke (BMS), both, or no exposure. Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses were performed to assess hazard ratios, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to assess survival, which was then compared using the log-rank test. The odds ratio (OR) and independent predictors of ward admission type and length of hospital stay were assessed using binomial logistic regression analyses. Of the 2236 subjects, 2194 were selected. The median age of the cohort was 67.0 (60.0 to 74.0) and 75.2% were males. Mortality rates were higher in females than in males (6.2% vs. 2.3%). AECOPD-B (bacterial infection) subjects [HR 95% CI 6.42 (3.06-13.46)], followed by AECOPD-P (pneumonia) subjects [HR (95% CI: 4.33 (2.01-9.30)], were at higher mortality risk and had a more extended hospital stay (6.0 (4.0 to 9.5) days; 6.0 (4.0 to 10.0). Subjects with TS and BMS-AECOPD [HR 95% CI 7.24 (1.53-34.29)], followed by BMS-AECOPD [HR 95% CI 5.28 (2.46-11.35)], had higher mortality risk. Different phenotypes have different impacts on AECOPD clinical outcomes. A better understanding of AECOPD phenotypes could contribute to developing an algorithm for the precise management of different phenotypes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammed Kaleem Ullah
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine, Department of Biochemistry, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore 570015, Karnataka, India
- Global Infectious Diseases Fellow, Division of Infectious Disease and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
| | - Ashwaghosha Parthasarathi
- Allergy, Asthma, and Chest Centre, Krishnamurthypuram, Mysore 570004, Karnataka, India
- RUTGERS Centre for Pharmacoepidemiology and Treatment Science, New Brunswick, NJ 08901-1293, USA
| | | | - Prashant Vishwanath
- Centre for Excellence in Molecular Biology and Regenerative Medicine, Department of Biochemistry, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore 570015, Karnataka, India
| | - Swapna Upadhyay
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Koustav Ganguly
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Padukudru Anand Mahesh
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore 570015, Karnataka, India
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Parthasarathi A, Padukudru S, Arunachal S, Basavaraj CK, Krishna MT, Ganguly K, Upadhyay S, Anand MP. The Role of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Risk Stratification and Prognostication of COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Vaccines (Basel) 2022; 10:vaccines10081233. [PMID: 36016121 PMCID: PMC9415708 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines10081233] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2022] [Revised: 07/27/2022] [Accepted: 07/28/2022] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Several studies have proposed that the neutrophil−lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is one of the various biomarkers that can be useful in assessing COVID-19 disease-related outcomes. Our systematic review analyzes the relationship between on-admission NLR values and COVID-19 severity and mortality. Six different severity criteria were used. A search of the literature in various databases was conducted from 1 January 2020 to 1 May 2021. We calculated the pooled standardized mean difference (SMD) for the collected NLR values. A meta-regression analysis was performed, looking at the length of hospitalization and other probable confounders, such as age, gender, and comorbidities. A total of sixty-four studies were considered, which included a total of 15,683 patients. The meta-analysis showed an SMD of 3.12 (95% CI: 2.64−3.59) in NLR values between severe and non-severe patients. A difference of 3.93 (95% CI: 2.35−5.50) was found between survivors and non-survivors of the disease. Upon summary receiver operating characteristics analysis, NLR showed 80.2% (95% CI: 74.0−85.2%) sensitivity and 75.8% (95% CI: 71.3−79.9%) specificity for the prediction of severity and 78.8% (95% CI: 73.5−83.2%) sensitivity and 73.0% (95% CI: 68.4−77.1%) specificity for mortality, and was not influenced by age, gender, or co-morbid conditions. Conclusion: On admission, NLR predicts both severity and mortality in COVID-19 patients, and an NLR > 6.5 is associated with significantly greater the odds of mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sunag Padukudru
- Yenepoya Medical College, Yenepoya University, Mangalore 575018, India;
| | - Sumalata Arunachal
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.)
| | - Chetak Kadabasal Basavaraj
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.)
| | - Mamidipudi Thirumala Krishna
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Institute of Immunology Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2GW, UK;
| | - Koustav Ganguly
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden;
| | - Swapna Upadhyay
- Unit of Integrative Toxicology, Institute of Environmental Medicine (IMM), Karolinska Institutet, 17177 Stockholm, Sweden;
- Correspondence: (S.U.); (M.P.A.)
| | - Mahesh Padukudru Anand
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore 570015, India; (S.A.); (C.K.B.)
- Correspondence: (S.U.); (M.P.A.)
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Parthasarathi A, Srinivas S, Biligere Siddaiah J, Anand Mahesh P. Local Adverse Drug Reactions In Ambulatory Asthma Patients Treated With Inhaled Corticosteroids: An Experience From A South Indian Teaching Hospital. CRMR 2022. [DOI: 10.2174/1573398x18666220501124708] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Background:
Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) have an essential and established role in the treatment of asthma. Both systemic and local adverse effects may accompany the long-term use of ICS. Systemic adverse drug reactions (ADRs) of ICS are well established. However, there is a paucity of information on local ADRs, especially in the Indian population.
Objectives:
To determine the prevalence, severity, predictability, and preventability of local ADRs to ICS and their associated risk factors.
Methods:
Patients with asthma who need ICS were enrolled. Study patients were interviewed with open-ended questions to assess local ADRs to ICS at baseline and each follow-up visit, once a month for three months. Causality (Naranjo’s algorithm and WHO scale), severity (Hartwig SCf scale), predictability (based on the frequency of occurrence of ADR and history of drug exposure), and preventability (Schumock and Thornton criteria) of local ADRs were assessed. Bivariate analysis and subsequently multivariate logistic regression were used to identify the risk factors for local ADRs to ICS.
Results:
A total of 243 patients (134 female) were included in the study. A total of 74 local ADRs were observed in 59 patients (prevalence 24.3%). The most common local ADRs were feeling of thirst (14.8%) followed by cough during inhalation (8.6%) and taste disturbance (4.5%). All ADRs were predictable and mild in severity. Preventability assessment found 85.1% of local ADRs as ‘probably preventable’. Two out of five patients who had ADR’s reduced or skipped doses because of the discomfort, despite their physician’s recommendation to continue their regular dose of ICS. Age >41 years, use of MDI without spacer, and use of budesonide were identified as the risk factors for developing ADRs to ICS.
Conclusion:
Local ADRs to ICS were observed in approximately one in four patients with asthma. Two out of five patients who had ADRs reduced or skipped doses because of it. Strategies to prevent local ADRs to ICS should focus on patients aged >41 years, receiving budesonide, using MDI without a spacer, and is dose-dependent. We need to establish standards on the best practices for preventing ADRs, such as identifying the most suited device or ICS that is best tolerated by the individual patient, identifying the least ICS dose that maintains ideal asthma control.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sachith Srinivas
- Subbaiah Institute of Medical Sciences, Shimoga, Karnataka, India
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Parthasarathi A, Puvvada RK, Siddaiah JB, Mahesh PA. The association of tobacco use in adolescents with their interpersonal surroundings and assessing tobacco vendor compliance with COPTA policies: A cross-sectional study. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2022.101008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
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Parthasarathi A, Basavaraja CK, Arunachala S, Chandran S, Venkataraman H, Satheesh A, Mahesh PA. Comorbidities influence the predictive power of hematological markers for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Adv Respir Med 2022; 90:ARM.a2022.0017. [PMID: 35099049 DOI: 10.5603/arm.a2022.0017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2021] [Revised: 09/01/2021] [Accepted: 09/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused unprecedented mortality and has stretched the health infrastructure thin worldwide, especially in low- and middle-income countries. There is a need to evaluate easily available biomarkers for their clinical relevance for poor outcomes in severe cases of COVID-19. It is also known that comorbidities affect these biomarkers with or without COVID-19. We aimed to unearth the influence of comorbidities on feasible hematological predictive markers for mortality in hospitalized severe COVID-19 patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a retrospective study done on severe COVID-19 hospitalized patients, diagnosed with RT polymerase chain reaction (n = 205), were investigated. Comorbidities associated with the patients were tracked and scored according to Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). CCI score of zero was grouped in A, those with CCI score 1-4 into group B and those with CCI scores ≥ 5 into group C. Correlation between hematological parameters and CCI scores was analyzed using Pearson correlation coefficient. Optimal cut-off and odds ratio was derived from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS Among the 205 severe COVID-19 patients age, C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived NLR (dNLR), absolute neutrophil count (ANC) and total leukocyte count (TLC) were found to be statistically significant independent risk factors for predicting COVID-19 mortality (p < 0.01). In group A, cut off for CRP was 51.5 mg/L (odds ratio [OR]: 26.7; area under curve [AUC]: 0.867), TLC was 11850 cells/mm³ (OR: 11.7; AUC: 0.731), NLR was 11.76 (OR: 14.3; AUC: 0.756), dNLR was 5.77 (OR: 4.89; AUC: 0.659), ANC was 13110 cells/mm³ (OR: 1.68; AUC: 0.553). In group B, cut off for CRP was 36.5 mg/L (OR: 32.1; AUC: 0.886), TLC was 11077 cells/mm³ (OR: 12.1; AUC: 0.722), NLR was 8.27 (OR: 18.9; AUC: 0.827), dNLR was 3.79 (OR: 9.26; AUC: 0.727), ANC was 11420 cells/mm³ (OR: 2.42; AUC: 0.564). In group C, cut-off for CRP was 23.7 mg/L (OR: 32.7; AUC: 0.904), TLC was 10480 cells/mm³ (OR: 21.2; AUC: 0.651), NLR was 6.29 (OR: 23.5; AUC: 0.647), dNLR was 1.93 (OR: 20.8; AUC: 0.698), ANC was 6650 cells/mm³ (OR: 2.45; AUC: 0.564). CONCLUSIONS In severe COVID-19 patients, CRP was the most reliable biomarker to predict mortality followed by NLR. Presence, type, and number of co-morbidities influence the levels of the biomarkers and the clinically relevant cut-offs associated with mortality.
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Shankar M, Chowdhury T, Gousy N, Parthasarathi A. An Insight Into Flatbush Diabetes: A Rare Form of Diabetes. Cureus 2022; 14:e21567. [PMID: 35228926 PMCID: PMC8865986 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.21567] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Ketone-prone diabetes or Flatbush diabetes is being increasingly recognized worldwide. It is typically seen in obese middle-aged men with a family history of Type 2 DM. Atypicality in the onset of age and gender variation is increasingly observed worldwide. Predisposition to glucose desensitization is one of many unclear pathophysiologic mechanisms which is why extensive studies are obligatory. After intensive insulin therapy, many patients eventually become insulin-independent and attain euglycemia with oral hypoglycemic agents or with diet alone due to the recovered functionality of pancreatic beta cells. Our report sheds light on the atypicality of presentation and summarizes the main diagnostic features of this rare form of diabetes. Increased awareness of this entity can facilitate early diagnosis and management.
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Parthasarathi A, Puvvada RK, Basappa S, Krishna MT, P A M. Global intention of the general public to undergo COVID-19 vaccination: time trends and risk factors for vaccine refusal, a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Wellcome Open Res 2022. [DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17517.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Knowledge of facilitators and barriers regarding the uptake of COVID-19 vaccination at a global population level is critical for combating the pandemic, saving lives, and protecting the economy. The aim of this work was to determine the proportion of people likely to accept or refuse to undergo COVID-19 vaccination. This study also investigated (a) time trends regarding the intention to undergo COVID-19 vaccination and (b) socio-demographic risk factors influencing vaccine refusal. Methods: Databases (01 March 2020-01 March 2021) searched included PubMed, MEDLINE, and Scopus. The sample size was n ≥1000 and selected studies were those that determined vaccine ‘acceptance’, ‘refusal’ and ‘hesitancy’. A random-effects model was employed to obtain the overall odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for socio-demographic predictors for vaccine refusal. Results: A total of 832 citations were screened and 35 studies from 21 countries (n=130,179) were analyzed. The pooled proportion of individuals reporting an intention to vaccinate was 0.70 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.74; I2 = 99.68%). The proportion of people intending to vaccinate decreased (regression coefficient = -0.13; p<0.001) during the study period and odds of refusal to vaccinate increased by 1.37-fold (95% CI: 1.33-1.41) during the second half. Risk factors identified for vaccine refusal included being female, rural residence, lower income, and lower level of formal education. Conclusions: A moderate proportion of people showed an intention to receive vaccination, although this declined during the study period. A global and national multi-pronged strategic and targeted approach is urgently needed to enhance vaccination uptake amongst females, those with a relatively lower educational and socioeconomic status, and those in rural areas.
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Bhandari P, Nagpal S, Parthasarathi A, Ahmed MM, Jeswani M. Hypothalamic Injury Following Surgery for Craniopharyngioma Causing Immediate Postoperative Death. Cureus 2021; 13:e18814. [PMID: 34804672 PMCID: PMC8591369 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.18814] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
While autonomic disturbances resulting from a hypothalamic injury are uncommon complications following surgery for craniopharyngioma, they can lead to postoperative death. Herein, we discuss the case of a multicompartmental craniopharyngioma in a 13-year-old child who died due to unexpected hypothalamic injury, resulting in rapid deterioration in the hemodynamic and neurological status of the patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pooja Bhandari
- Public Health, Madhavnagar Government Hospital, Ujjain, IND
| | - Sagar Nagpal
- Internal Medicine, Erie County Medical Center, Buffalo, USA
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21
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Parthasarathi A, Padukudru S, Krishna MT, Mahesh PA. Clinical characterization of asthma with fungal sensitization in a South Indian paediatric cohort. Clin Exp Allergy 2021; 52:456-460. [PMID: 34735746 DOI: 10.1111/cea.14038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2021] [Revised: 10/19/2021] [Accepted: 10/28/2021] [Indexed: 01/16/2023]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Sunag Padukudru
- Yenepoya Medical College, Yenepoya University, Mangalore, Karnataka, India
| | - Mamidipudi Thirumala Krishna
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Institute of Immunology Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, UK
| | - Padukudru Anand Mahesh
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, JSS Medical College, JSSAHER, Mysore, Karnataka, India
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Parthasarathi A, Kumar R, Undela K, Biligere Siddaiah J, Mahesh PA. The extent of formal tobacco cessation training received by student health professionals and the prevalence of tobacco use among them: a cross-sectional study. Wellcome Open Res 2021. [DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16980.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Advice from health care professionals (HCPs) is critical for tobacco prevention and cessation efforts. The academic curricula for health care professional students (HCS) lack comprehensive training in assisting patients in tobacco cessation. Tobacco use among HCP’s deters them from giving proper tobacco prevention and cessation guidance. The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence and determinants of tobacco consumption in third-year students of four health care disciplines (medical, dental, pharmacy, and nursing) and to assess their undergraduate education on tobacco control and cessation. Methods: A web-based survey (response rate 84.4%) employing the Global Health Professions Student Survey (GHPSS) questionnaire; n= 838; [20.89 (SD± 0.94) years] was conducted in Mysore, India. A descriptive, comparative and multivariate analysis was performed. Results: The number of students who received formal training in smoking cessation approaches was only 14.04%. In total, two-thirds of medical students, compared to 38.9% of dental, 29.7% of pharmacy, and 11.40 % of nursing students, learned “the reasons why people smoke” as a part of their formal training. However, only less than a quarter of the study population were aware of the role of antidepressants in nicotine cessation medications. The total prevalence of tobacco use was 28.9%. A total of 37.72% wanted to quit smoking, while a mere 1.2% had sought any professional help to do so. Conclusions: Tobacco use in HCS, apart from personal health risks to themselves, may potentially affect their future commitment to support patients in tobacco cessation. There is a need for further research into tobacco prevention and cessation programs tailored to the needs of student groups. There is a need for an updated curriculum for tobacco cessation strategies and more research into better cessation strategies.
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Parthasarathi A, Kumar R, Undela K, Biligere Siddaiah J, Mahesh PA. The extent of formal tobacco cessation training received by student health professionals and the prevalence of tobacco use among them: a cross-sectional study. Wellcome Open Res 2021. [DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16980.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Advice from health care professionals (HCPs) is critical for tobacco prevention and cessation efforts. The academic curricula for health care professional students (HCS) lack comprehensive training in assisting patients in tobacco cessation. Tobacco use among HCP’s deters them from giving proper tobacco prevention and cessation guidance. The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence and determinants of tobacco consumption in third-year students of four health care disciplines (medical, dental, pharmacy, and nursing) and to assess their undergraduate education on tobacco control and cessation. Methods: A web-based survey (response rate 84.4%) employing the Global Health Professions Student Survey (GHPSS) questionnaire; n= 838; [20.89 (SD± 0.94) years] was conducted in Mysore, India. A descriptive, comparative and multivariate analysis was performed. Results: The number of students who received formal training in smoking cessation approaches was only 14.04%. In total, two-thirds of medical students, compared to 38.9% of dental, 29.7% of pharmacy, and 11.40 % of nursing students, learned “the reasons why people smoke” as a part of their formal training. However, only less than a quarter of the study population were aware of the role of antidepressants in nicotine cessation medications. The total prevalence of tobacco use was 28.9%. A total of 37.72% wanted to quit smoking, while a mere 1.2% had sought any professional help to do so. Conclusions: Tobacco use in HCS, apart from personal health risks to themselves, may potentially affect their future commitment to support patients in tobacco cessation. There is a need for further research into tobacco prevention and cessation programs tailored to the needs of student groups. There is a need for an updated curriculum for tobacco cessation strategies and more research into better cessation strategies.
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Mohan M, Parthasarathi A, S K C, Biligere Siddaiah J, Mahesh PA. Fibrinogen: A Feasible Biomarker in Identifying the Severity and Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Cureus 2021; 13:e16864. [PMID: 34367840 PMCID: PMC8341272 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.16864] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/03/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is no longer considered a disease exclusive to the respiratory system. It is a multipronged disease with both lung and systemic involvement. Although the forced expiratory volume (FEV) in one second is one of the most commonly used markers to assess disease severity, in recent years, biomarkers such as interleukin-1 beta, serum C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10, fibrinogen, soluble receptor for advanced glycation, surfactant protein D, and club cell secretory protein have been proven to be effective markers to assess disease severity. Objective The current study aimed to test the association of fibrinogen levels with increased exacerbation of COPD per year and lower lung function and to discuss its potential utility as a biomarker. Methodology A total of 105 participants were enrolled in the study. The study participants included 35 stable COPD patients, 35 COPD patients with acute exacerbation, and 35 non-COPD healthy controls (matched for age and gender). All patients above 18 years of age who were diagnosed with COPD as per the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Disease (GOLD) guidelines were considered for inclusion in the study. The patients were divided into stable COPD group and acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) group based on the Anthonisen criteria. Sociodemographic factors, six-minute walk test, Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale, and COPD Assessment Test scale were computed. Spirometry according to the American Thoracic Society guidelines and hematological investigations including serum fibrinogen were performed. Additionally, GOLD staging and severity indices were used to determine the clinical phenotyping of COPD, namely, ADO (age, dyspnea, airflow obstruction) index, BODE (body mass index, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity) index, and DOSE (dyspnea, obstruction, smoking, exacerbation) index. Results Plasma fibrinogen level was significantly higher in the COPD groups compared to the control group. Plasma fibrinogen level was elevated in AECOPD compared to stable COPD patients. In addition, fibrinogen levels showed a positive correlation with important functional indices and prognostic markers such as BODE, ADO, and DOSE indices and a negative correlation with lung function. The odds of predicting an acute exacerbation of COPD for patients with FEV of <50% and FEV of >50% were 17.2 (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.825; sensitivity = 90.4%; specificity = 62.79%) and 15.1 (AUC = 0.791; sensitivity = 57.7%; specificity = 92.5%), respectively. Conclusions Plasma fibrinogen has the potential to be an important biomarker in the management of COPD and its exacerbation due to its ability to be responsive to the COPD disease statuses such as the severity of COPD and AECOPD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mikash Mohan
- Department of Pulmonology, Jagadguru Sri Shivarathreeshwara Medical College, Mysore, IND
| | | | - Chaya S K
- Department of Pulmonology, Jagadguru Sri Shivarathreeshwara Medical College, Mysore, IND
| | | | - Padukudru A Mahesh
- Department of Pulmonology, Jagadguru Sri Shivarathreeshwara Medical College, Mysore, IND
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Parthasarathi A, Shankar M, Madhivanan P, Lokesh KS, Undela K, Krishna MT, Mahesh PA. Determinants of Tobacco Use and Nicotine Dependence Among Healthcare
Students and Their Undergraduate Peers. CRMR 2021. [DOI: 10.2174/1573398x17666210713163954] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Background:
Global estimates suggest that tobacco will account for 8 million deaths
per year by 2030. The Global Adult Tobacco Survey (2016-17) reported that more than half of men
and one in ten women aged 15 years and above smoke in India.
Introduction:
Health science courses students (HCS), being the future of our health care system,
are expected to be more knowledgeable regarding the hazards of tobacco and are considered less
likely to use it compared to their peers (non-HCS) from other fields. The aim of the study is to determine
the prevalence and determinants of tobacco use and levels of nicotine dependence amongst
HCS and non-HCS students.
Methods:
Web-based survey (response rate of 72%) employing Global Youth Tobacco Survey
(GYTS) and Fagerström standardized questionnaires (n = 4770 [21.5 (SD: ± 1.61) years: 62%
male] was filled by HCS (43.5%) and non-HCS (56.3%) students from three universities. A descriptive,
comparative and multivariate analysis was performed.
Results:
Half of non-HCS and a third of HCS used tobacco, with a higher proportion of male users
in both groups. 70% of overall participants showed ‘low nicotine dependence’ with a higher proportion
of ‘high dependence’ within the non-HCS group (13.89% vs. 9.2%). There were crucial differences
in specific determinants and ages of initiation of tobacco use between the two groups.
Conclusion:
Tobacco use in HCS, apart from personal health risks, may potentially affect their future
commitment to support patients in tobacco cessation programs. There is a need for further research
into tobacco prevention and cessation programs tailored to the needs of student groups
based on the determinants affecting them.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Malavika Shankar
- Subbaiah Institute of Medical Sciences, Shimoga, Karnataka, India
| | - Purnima Madhivanan
- Department of Health Promotion Sciences, the
University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, AZ, USA
| | | | - Krishna Undela
- Department of Pharmacy Practice National Institute
of Pharmaceutical Education and Research (NIPER) Guwahati, India
| | - Mamidipudi Thirumala Krishna
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation
Trust, Institute of Immunology & Immunotherapy and Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham,
Birmingham, UK
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Parthasarathi A, Puvvada R, Patel H, Bhandari P, Nagpal S. Evaluation of Medication Errors in a Tertiary Care Hospital of a Low- to Middle-Income Country. Cureus 2021; 13:e16769. [PMID: 34354894 PMCID: PMC8328840 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.16769] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Medication errors (MEs) are a major public health concern as they are detrimental to patient safety, compromise patients' confidence in the healthcare system, increase healthcare costs, and adversely affect the patient's quality of life. This is especially true in low to middle-income countries where the significance of MEs is largely undervalued. This study aims to investigate the prevalence of MEs and analyze the causes, medicines involved, reporting, and severity of MEs in a tertiary care setting. Methods A prospective observational study was conducted from March 2020 to February 2021 in a tertiary care teaching hospital in South India. The data was collected after reviewing patient medical records, by interviewing patients and healthcare professionals. National Coordinating Council for Medication Error Reporting and Prevention (NCC MERP) index was used to evaluate MEs. Results A total of 557 MEs were identified from 3798 patients with a prevalence of 14.6%. Prescribing errors were the most commonly observed ME followed by errors related to documentation of medical records, administration-related errors, and dispensing errors. Lack of time for documentation of medication records, shift change and work overload were common causes of MEs. The majority of MEs were category A and B of the NCC MERP severity index. Conclusion Antibiotics and proton pump inhibitors were the most common medicines involved in MEs. Prescribing and documentation errors were most prevalent. Implementation of systems like strict adherence to treatment guidelines, computerized provider order entry (CPOE), barcode medication administration, and closed-loop electronic medication management systems may greatly help reduce MEs. All healthcare institutions should undertake routine audits to determine the prevalence and causes of medication errors.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Rahul Puvvada
- Physiology, Anatomy, and Microbiology, College of Science, Health and Engineering, La Trobe University, Melbourne, AUS
| | - Himanshu Patel
- Pharmacology and Therapeutics, International Society of Oncology Pharmacy Practitioners, North Vancouver, CAN
| | - Pooja Bhandari
- Public Health, Madhavnagar Government Hospital, Ujjain, IND
| | - Sagar Nagpal
- Internal Medicine, Erie County Medical Center, Buffalo, USA
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Parthasarathi A, Padukudru S, Rajgopal N, Holla AD, Krishna MT, Mahesh PA. Allergic disease prevalence in school children in Bengaluru, India: A cross-sectional survey. Clin Exp Allergy 2021; 51:955-958. [PMID: 33829565 DOI: 10.1111/cea.13881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2021] [Revised: 03/26/2021] [Accepted: 03/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Sunag Padukudru
- Yenepoya Medical College, Yenepoya University, Mangalore, India
| | | | | | - Mamidipudi Thirumala Krishna
- University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy and Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
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Parthasarathi A, Fraser HL. The annealing of vacancy defects in β-NiAl I. Vacancy loop growth in as-grown single crystals annealed in ultra-high vacuum. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2006. [DOI: 10.1080/01418618408244214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- A. Parthasarathi
- a Department of Metallurgy and Mining Engineering and the Materials Research Laboratory , University of Illinois , 1304 West Green Street, Urbana , Illinois , 61801 , U.S.A
- b Olin Metals Research Laboratory , 91 Shelton Avenue, New Haven , Connecticut , 06511 , U.S.A
| | - H. L. Fraser
- a Department of Metallurgy and Mining Engineering and the Materials Research Laboratory , University of Illinois , 1304 West Green Street, Urbana , Illinois , 61801 , U.S.A
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Abstract
Quinine is a well-known ototoxic drug which may affect portions of the auditory system with different biochemical effects, causing reversible hearing loss and tinnitus. Recent investigations indicate that quinine at high concentrations can act directly on cochlear outer hair cells to affect their motility and the mechanical response of the basilar membrane. This study aimed to investigate the effect of quinine on the electromotility of outer hair cells in vivo by means of measuring the electrically evoked otoacoustic emissions (EEOAEs), and the relationship between EEOAE and hearing sensitivity alterations in guinea pigs. Quinine was infused into the scala tympani with concentrations between 0.05 and 5 mM. An alternating current (35 microA RMS) swept from 400 Hz to 40 kHz was applied to the round window to evoke the EEOAE. The compound action potential (CAP), cochlear microphonic (CM) and summating potential (SP) were also measured. Results show that quinine affects the EEOAE in a dose-dependent manner and that its effects are reversible. Two aspects of the EEOAE were affected by quinine, depending on concentration: (1) the 'fine structure' only for concentrations below 0.1 mM and (2) the overall amplitude and the 'fine structure' for concentrations above 0.1 mM. At 5 mM the fine structure was completely absent and the mean amplitude of the EEOAE greatly decreased. Multiple component analysis shows the short delay component of the EEOAE is related to the mean value of the amplitude spectrum while the long delay component is related to the fine structure. The alterations of the EEOAE are roughly comparable to that of the cochlear potentials. A 'threshold concentration' for quinine's effects was found at 25 microM. CAP was significantly affected at 25 microM while EEOAE, CM and SP were not. Enhancement of the EEOAE amplitude was noticed in five out of 20 animals in the current study. The enhancement appears only related to the EEOAE mean level or short delay component. The results suggest that quinine can affect in vivo electromotility of outer hair cells at low concentration and therefore change the cochlear amplifier performance via an effect on electro-mechanical transduction. Its effects on the cochlear spiral ganglion neurons and/or their presynaptic process are also suggested, and these are speculated to be the primary sites for quinine's effects on the auditory system.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Zheng
- Oregon Hearing Research Center, Department of Otolaryngology/Head and Neck Surgery, Oregon Health Sciences University, Portland 97201-3098, USA
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Reddy BSN, Parthasarathi A, Sait MA. Age-at-onset of Leprosy. Indian J Dermatol Venereol Leprol 1986; 52:23-25. [PMID: 28150626] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
In a retrospective analysis of 971 patients, the mean age at onset of the is recorded to be 24.1 years. Sex had no, influence on the age-at-onset of leprosy. However, a atatistically significant variation was noted between the type of leprosy and, the at-onset, it was the lowest (19.2 years) in indeterminate and highest (31.08 years) in neuritic leprosy. Our . ob serrations lend support to the prevailing concept that the ageat-onset of leprosy not only varies from one country to another but also indifferent parts of the same country.
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