Machine learning-based prediction of in-hospital death for patients with takotsubo syndrome: The InterTAK-ML model

AIMS

Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is associated with a substantial rate of adverse events. We sought to design a machine learning (ML)-based model to predict the risk of in-hospital death and to perform a clustering of TTS patients to identify different risk profiles.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A ridge logistic regression-based ML model for predicting in-hospital death was developed on 3482 TTS patients from the International Takotsubo (InterTAK) Registry, randomly split in a train and an internal validation cohort (75% and 25% of the sample size, respectively) and evaluated in an external validation cohort (1037 patients). Thirty-one clinically relevant variables were included in the prediction model. Model performance represented the primary endpoint and was assessed according to area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity. As secondary endpoint, a K-medoids clustering algorithm was designed to stratify patients into phenotypic groups based on the 10 most relevant features emerging from the main model. The overall incidence of in-hospital death was 5.2%. The InterTAK-ML model showed an AUC of 0.89 (0.85-0.92), a sensitivity of 0.85 (0.78-0.95) and a specificity of 0.76 (0.74-0.79) in the internal validation cohort and an AUC of 0.82 (0.73-0.91), a sensitivity of 0.74 (0.61-0.87) and a specificity of 0.79 (0.77-0.81) in the external cohort for in-hospital death prediction. By exploiting the 10 variables showing the highest feature importance, TTS patients were clustered into six groups associated with different risks of in-hospital death (28.8% vs. 15.5% vs. 5.4% vs. 1.0.8% vs. 0.5%) which were consistent also in the external cohort.

CONCLUSION

A ML-based approach for the identification of TTS patients at risk of adverse short-term prognosis is feasible and effective. The InterTAK-ML model showed unprecedented discriminative capability for the prediction of in-hospital death.

Association between common cardiovascular risk factors and clinical phenotype in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy from the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) EurObservational Research Programme (EORP) Cardiomyopathy/Myocarditis registry

AIMS

The interaction between common cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is poorly studied. We sought to explore the relation between CVRF and the clinical characteristics of patients with HCM enrolled in the EURObservational Research Programme (EORP) Cardiomyopathy registry.

METHODS AND RESULTS

1739 patients with HCM were studied. The relation between hypertension (HT), diabetes (DM), body mass index (BMI), and clinical traits was analysed. Analyses were stratified according to the presence or absence of a pathogenic variant in a sarcomere gene. The prevalence of HT, DM, and obesity (Ob) was 37, 10, and 21%, respectively. HT, DM, and Ob were associated with older age (P<0.001), less family history of HCM (HT and DM P<0.001), higher New York Heart Association (NYHA) class (P<0.001), atrial fibrillation (HT and DM P<0.001; Ob p = 0.03) and LV (left ventricular) diastolic dysfunction (HT and Ob P<0.001; DM P = 0.003). Stroke was more frequent in HT (P<0.001) and mutation-positive patients with DM (P = 0.02). HT and Ob were associated with higher provocable LV outflow tract gradients (HT P<0.001, Ob P = 0.036). LV hypertrophy was more severe in Ob (P = 0.018). HT and Ob were independently associated with NYHA class (OR 1.419, P = 0.017 and OR 1.584, P = 0.004, respectively). Other associations, including a higher proportion of females in HT and of systolic dysfunction in HT and Ob, were observed only in mutation-positive patients.

CONCLUSION

Common CVRF are associated with a more severe HCM phenotype, suggesting a proactive management of CVRF should be promoted. An interaction between genotype and CVRF was observed for some traits.

Impact of Atrial Fibrillation on Outcome in Takotsubo Syndrome: Data From the International Takotsubo Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for mortality. The prevalence, clinical correlates, and prognostic impact of AF in Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) have not yet been investigated in a large patient cohort. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence, clinical correlates, and prognostic impact of AF in patients with TTS.

Methods and Results

Patients with TTS were enrolled from the International Takotsubo Registry, which is a multinational network with 26 participating centers in Europe and the United States. Patients were dichotomized according to the presence or absence of AF at the time of admission. Of 1584 patients with TTS, 112 (7.1%) had AF. The mean age was higher (P<0.001), and there were fewer women (P=0.046) in the AF than in the non‐AF group. Left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly lower (P=0.001), and cardiogenic shock was more often observed (P<0.001) in the AF group. Both in‐hospital (P<0.001) and long‐term mortality (P<0.001) were higher in the AF group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that AF was independently associated with higher long‐term mortality (hazard ratio, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.50–3.55; P<0.001). Among patients with AF on admission, 42% had no known history of AF before the acute TTS event, and such patients had comparable in‐hospital and long‐term outcomes compared with those with a history of AF.

Conclusions

In patients presenting with TTS, AF on admission is significantly associated with increased in‐hospital and long‐term mortality rates. Whether antiarrhythmics and/or cardioversion are beneficial in TTS with AF should thus be tested in a future trial.

Registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01947621.

Coexistence and outcome of coronary artery disease in Takotsubo syndrome

AIMS

Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is an acute heart failure syndrome, which shares many features with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Although TTS was initially described with angiographically normal coronary arteries, smaller studies recently indicated a potential coexistence of coronary artery disease (CAD) in TTS patients. This study aimed to determine the coexistence, features, and prognostic role of CAD in a large cohort of patients with TTS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Coronary anatomy and CAD were studied in patients diagnosed with TTS. Inclusion criteria were compliance with the International Takotsubo Diagnostic Criteria for TTS, and availability of original coronary angiographies with ventriculography performed during the acute phase. Exclusion criteria were missing views, poor quality of angiography loops, and angiography without ventriculography. A total of 1016 TTS patients were studied. Of those, 23.0% had obstructive CAD, 41.2% had non-obstructive CAD, and 35.7% had angiographically normal coronary arteries. A total of 47 patients (4.6%) underwent percutaneous coronary intervention, and 3 patients had acute and 8 had chronic coronary artery occlusion concomitant with TTS, respectively. The presence of CAD was associated with increased incidence of shock, ventilation, and death from any cause. After adjusting for confounders, the presence of obstructive CAD was associated with mortality at 30 days. Takotsubo syndrome patients with obstructive CAD were at comparable risk for shock and death and nearly at twice the risk for ventilation compared to an age- and sex-matched ACS cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Coronary artery disease frequently coexists in TTS patients, presents with the whole spectrum of coronary pathology including acute coronary occlusion, and is associated with adverse outcome.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT01947621.

Prognostic impact of acute pulmonary triggers in patients with takotsubo syndrome: new insights from the International Takotsubo Registry

AIMS

Acute pulmonary disorders are known physical triggers of takotsubo syndrome (TTS). This study aimed to investigate prevalence of acute pulmonary triggers in patients with TTS and their impact on outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients with TTS were enrolled from the International Takotsubo Registry and screened for triggering factors and comorbidities. Patients were categorized into three groups (acute pulmonary trigger, chronic lung disease, and no lung disease) to compare clinical characteristics and outcomes. Of the 1670 included patients with TTS, 123 (7%) were identified with an acute pulmonary trigger, and 194 (12%) had a known history of chronic lung disease. The incidence of cardiogenic shock was highest in patients with an acute pulmonary trigger compared with those with chronic lung disease or without lung disease (17% vs. 10% vs. 9%, P = 0.017). In-hospital mortality was also higher in patients with an acute pulmonary trigger than in the other two groups, although not significantly (5.7% vs. 1.5% vs. 4.2%, P = 0.13). Survival analysis demonstrated that patients with an acute pulmonary trigger had the worst long-term outcome (P = 0.002). The presence of an acute pulmonary trigger was independently associated with worse long-term mortality (hazard ratio 2.12, 95% confidence interval 1.33-3.38; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrates that TTS is related to acute pulmonary triggers in 7% of all TTS patients, which accounts for 21% of patients with physical triggers. The presence of acute pulmonary trigger is associated with a severe in-hospital course and a worse long-term outcome.

Age-Related Variations in Takotsubo Syndrome

BACKGROUND

Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) occurs predominantly in post-menopausal women but is also found in younger patients.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate age-related differences in TTS.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with TTS and enrolled in the International Takotsubo Registry between January 2011 and February 2017 were included in this analysis and were stratified by age (younger: ≤50 years, middle-age: 51 to 74 years, elderly: ≥75 years). Baseline characteristics, hospital course, as well as short- and long-term mortality were compared among groups.

RESULTS

Of 2,098 TTS patients, 242 (11.5%) patients were ≤50 years of age, 1,194 (56.9%) were 51 to 74 years of age, and 662 (31.6%) were ≥75 years of age. Younger patients were more often men (12.4% vs. 10.9% vs. 6.3%; p = 0.002) and had an increased prevalence of acute neurological (16.3% vs. 8.4% vs. 8.8%; p = 0.001) or psychiatric disorders (14.1% vs. 10.3% vs. 5.6%; p < 0.001) compared with middle-aged and elderly TTS patients. Furthermore, younger patients had more often cardiogenic shock (15.3% vs. 9.1% vs. 8.1%; p = 0.004) and had a numerically higher in-hospital mortality (6.6% vs. 3.6% vs. 5.1%; p = 0.07). At multivariable analysis, younger (odds ratio: 1.60; 95% confidence interval: 0.86 to 3.01; p = 0.14) and older age (odds ratio: 1.09; 95% confidence interval: 0.66 to 1.80; p = 0.75) were not independently associated with in-hospital mortality using the middle-aged group as a reference. There were no differences in 60-day mortality rates among groups.

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial proportion of TTS patients are younger than 50 years of age. TTS is associated with severe complications requiring intensive care, particularly in younger patients.

Analysis of DCM associated protein alterations of human right and left ventricles

Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is characterized by ventricular chamber enlargement and impaired myocardial function. Endomyocardial biopsies (EMB) enable immunohistochemical and molecular characterization of this disease. However, knowledge about specific molecular patterns and their relation to cardiac function in both ventricles is rare. Therefore, we performed a mass spectrometric analysis of 28 paired EMBs of left (LV) and right ventricles (RV) of patients with DCM or suspected myocarditis allowing quantitative profiling of 743 proteins. We analysed associations between protein abundance of LV and RV as well as the echocardiographic parameters LVEF, TAPSE, LVEDDI, and RVEDDI by linear regression models. Overall, more LV than RV proteins were associated with LV parameters or with RVEDDI. Most LV and RV proteins increasing in level with impairing of LVEF were annotated to structural components of cardiac tissue. Additionally, a high proportion of LV proteins with metabolic functions decreased in level with decreasing LVEF. Results were validated with LV heart sections of a genetic murine heart failure model. The study shows, that remodelling and systolic dysfunction in DCM is mirrored by distinct alterations in protein composition of both ventricles. Loss of LV systolic function is reflected predominantly by alterations in proteins assigned to metabolic functions in the LV whereas structural remodelling was more obvious in the RV. Alterations related to intermediate filaments were seen in both ventricles and highlight such proteins as early indicators of LV loss of function. SIGNIFICANCE: The present study report protein sets in the RV and the LV being associated with ventricular function and remodelling in DCM. Protein abundances in the LV and the RV emphasize and expand current knowledge on pathophysiological changes in heart failure and DCM. While RV and LV EMBs do not differ concerning diagnostic assessment of inflammatory status and virus persistence, additional information reflecting disease severity associated protein alterations can be gained by EMB protein profiling. RV and LV protein data provided complementary information. The protein pattern of the LV reflects metabolic changes and an impaired energy production, which is associated with the degree of LV systolic dysfunction and remodelling and may yield important information about the disease status in DCM. On the other hand, at this disease stage of DCM with still preserved RV function, RV alterations in structural proteins may reflect myocardial compensatory protective mechanisms for maintenance of structure and cellular function. The study highlight particular proteins being of interest as heart failure biomarkers in both ventricles which seem to reflect the severity of the disease. Further comparative studies between different HF aetiologies have to evaluate those proteins as markers specific for DCM.

[Update Myocarditis]

Myocarditis is a heterogenous disease regarding aetiology, clinical presentation and course. A defined diagnostic procedure is needed to reliably detect myocarditis. While findings from medical laboratory parameters, electrocardiography and echocardiography are rather unspecific, endomyocardial biopsies supply dependable data regarding inflammatory and viral status. Analysis of cardiac MR is constantly being improved in order to increase sensitivity regarding myocarditis detection. Incidence, clinical presentation as well as disease progression and prognosis show considerable gender differences. Adamant implementation of defined diagnostic procedures is needed in order not to overlook myocarditis in women while the understanding of the pathomechanisms behind the gender differences might lead the way to new therapeutic options. Currently, treatment of myocarditis symptoms and heart failure is in the focus of clinical care. In addition, cardiac involvement in systemic inflammatory diseases should be stringently treated via immunosuppression. Avoidance of physical exercise has to be observed in order to reduce cardiac strain and consequently the number of adverse events.

Clinical Predictors and Prognostic Impact of Recovery of Wall Motion Abnormalities in Takotsubo Syndrome: Results From the International Takotsubo Registry

Background

Left ventricular (LV) recovery in takotsubo syndrome (TTS) occurs over a wide‐ranging interval, varying from hours to weeks. We sought to investigate the clinical predictors and prognostic impact of recovery time for TTS patients.

Methods and Results

TTS patients from the International Takotsubo Registry were included in this study. Cut‐off for early LV recovery was determined to be 10 days after the acute event. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with the absence of early recovery. In‐hospital outcomes and 1‐year mortality were compared for patients with versus without early recovery. We analyzed 406 patients with comprehensive and serial imaging data regarding time to recovery. Of these, 191 (47.0%) had early LV recovery and 215 (53.0%) demonstrated late LV improvement. Patients without early recovery were more often male (12.6% versus 5.2%; P=0.011) and presented more frequently with typical TTS (76.3% versus 67.0%, P=0.040). Cardiac and inflammatory markers were higher in patients without early recovery than in those with early recovery. Patients without early recovery showed unfavorable 1‐year outcome compared with patients with early recovery (P=0.003). On multiple logistic regression, male sex, LV ejection fraction <45%, and acute neurologic disorders were associated with the absence of early recovery.

Conclusions

TTS patients without early LV recovery have different clinical characteristics and less favorable 1‐year outcome compared with patients with early recovery. The factors associated with the absence of early recovery included male sex, reduced LV ejection fraction, and acute neurologic events.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01947621.

Correlation of gene expression and clinical parameters identifies a set of genes reflecting LV systolic dysfunction and morphological alterations

To gain new insights into the complex pathophysiology of dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) we performed a quantitative approach to identify genes with expression patterns that linearly correlate with parameters of cardiac morphology (left ventricular end-diastolic diameter indexed by body surface are (LVEDDI), systolic function [LV ejection fraction (LVEF)], and serum levels of cardiac peptide hormone NH2-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in human endomyocardial biopsies of 47 DCM patients and eight individuals with normal LVEF. A set of genes was identified as common heart failure markers characterized by correlation of their expression with cardiac morphology, systolic function, and NT-proBNP. Among them are already known genes encoding e.g., the natriuretic peptide hormones NPPA and NPPB and its converting enzyme corin, but also potential new heart failure markers like EP300 antisense RNA1 and dimethylarginine dimethylaminohydrolase 1 (DDAH1) along with other genes with so far unknown relation to heart function. In contrast, the expression of other genes including the Ca2+ flux regulating genes phospholamban (PLN), sarcoplasmic/endoplasmic reticulum calcium ATPase 2 (SERCA), and extracellular matrix proteins showed significant correlation with LVEF and LVEDDI only. Those genes seem to reflect more specifically pathological alterations of systolic function and morphology in DCM hearts.

Takayasu's arteritis: a case with relapse after urgent coronary revascularization

Background

Vasculitides are commonly unrecognized causes of coronary stenosis and myocardial ischemia. We report on a 24-year old patient with Takayasu’s arteritis who underwent urgent percutaneous coronary intervention, suffered from symptomatic restenosis of the left main coronary artery during standard immunosuppressive therapy.

Case presentation

A 24-year old woman was referred for coronary angiography because of typical progressive angina pectoris. On bicycle ergometry, there were both reproducible symptoms and deep ST segment depressions on precordial leads. Semi-selective angiography of the left coronary artery revealed high-grade ostial stenosis. Because of persistent angina pectoris and electrocardiographic signs of acute myocardial ischemia, immediate percutaneous coronary angioplasty with subsequent implantation of an everolimus-eluting stent was performed. This intervention was performed with excellent angiographic results. Because of several concomitant criteria including hypoechogenicity on postprocedural intravascular ultrasonography, the diagnosis of Takayasu’s disease was made. The patient was treated with prednisolone and cyclophosphamide for 5 months. Because of recurrent angina pectoris, another coronary angiography was performed, which revealed high-grade in-stent-restenosis. Immunomodulatory therapy was switched to high-dose prednisolone and the anti-IL-6 receptor antagonist tocilizumab. The high-grade in-stent-restenosis persisted, and aortocoronary bypass graft surgery was performed with two saphenous vein grafts to the left anterior descending and circumflex artery. Since then, the patient has been doing well for 2 years.

Conclusion

In cases of treatment refractoriness during standard immunosuppressive therapy, more recently developed biological compounds may offer an alternative strategy.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13104-017-2628-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Changes of myocardial gene expression and protein composition in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy after immunoadsorption with subsequent immunoglobulin substitution

Immunoadsorption with subsequent immunoglobulin substitution (IA/IgG) represents a therapeutic approach for patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Here, we studied which molecular cardiac alterations are initiated after this treatment. Transcription profiling of endomyocardial biopsies with Affymetrix whole genome arrays was performed on 33 paired samples of DCM patients collected before and 6 months after IA/IgG. Therapy-related effects on myocardial protein levels were analysed by label-free proteome profiling for a subset of 23 DCM patients. Data were analysed regarding therapy-associated differences in gene expression and protein levels by comparing responders (defined by improvement of left ventricular ejection fraction ≥20 % relative and ≥5 % absolute) and non-responders. Responders to IA/IgG showed a decrease in serum N-terminal proBNP levels in comparison with baseline which was accompanied by a decreased expression of heart failure markers, such as angiotensin converting enzyme 2 or periostin. However, despite clinical improvement even in responders, IA/IgG did not trigger general inversion of DCM-associated molecular alterations in myocardial tissue. Transcriptome profiling revealed reduced gene expression for connective tissue growth factor, fibronectin, and collagen type I in responders. In contrast, in non-responders after IA/IgG, fibrosis-associated genes and proteins showed elevated levels, whereas values were reduced or maintained in responders. Thus, improvement of LV function after IA/IgG seems to be related to a reduced gene expression of heart failure markers and pro-fibrotic molecules as well as reduced fibrosis progression.

[From myxomas of the skin to LVAD implantation : A 28-year-old female patient with Carney complex]

Multiple skin lesions, endocrine dysfunction and cardiac myxomas are characteristic symptoms of Carney complex. This case report gives an overview about the major and minor criteria of Carney complex and presents the course of a female patient who developed severe cardiac insufficiency with multiple organ failure because of recurring heart operations leading to implantation of a left ventricular assist device (LVAD).

Non-thrombotic fatal pulmonary embolism with a 'rule-out' CT scan

We report on a 36‐year‐old woman suffering from metastasized breast cancer and severe dyspnoea owing to right heart failure. Symptoms and findings were highly suggestive of pulmonary embolism. In rare cases, pulmonary embolism is caused not by migration of venous thrombi but by emboli of other origin. Patients with cancer can suffer from non‐thrombotic pulmonary embolism, either by (macroscopic) embolization of tumour mass or by microembolism also known as microscopic tumour microangiopathy. In patients with cancer with clinical presentation highly suggestive of pulmonary embolism, with echocardiographic findings confirming right ventricular dysfunction, and with negative CT angiography, pulmonary tumour microembolism should be considered as possible diagnosis.

Immunoadsorption therapy in dilated cardiomyopathy

Dilated cardiomyopathy is a common myocardial disease characterized by ventricular chamber enlargement and systolic dysfunction that result in heart failure. In addition to genetic predisposition, viral infection and myocardial inflammation play a causal role in the disease process of dilated cardiomyopathy. Experimental and clinical studies suggest that activation of the humoral immune system, with production of circulating cardiac autoantibodies, plays an important functional role in the development and progression of cardiac dysfunction in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. Small open-controlled studies showed that removal of circulating antibodies by immunoadsorption results in improvement of cardiac function and decrease in myocardial inflammation. At present, immunoadsorption is an experimental treatment option for improvement of cardiac function - therapy that calls for confirmation by a placebo-controlled multicenter study.

Effects of antibodies obtained from patients with dilated cardiomyopathy on the function of isolated rat hearts

BACKGROUND

Cardiac autoantibodies may play a pathophysiological role in cardiac dysfunction of patients suffering from dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Immunoadsorption (IA), which removes antibodies from patients' plasma, may consequently improve cardiac function in DCM. The functional effects of DCM antibodies are only partly understood.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

DCM patients (n = 10) were treated with IA by application of antibody columns directed against human immunoglobulin (Ig). IA was also performed with plasma taken from 10 healthy donors (controls). The antibodies eliminated and purified by IA were collected and dialysed. Rat hearts were isolated and perfused retrogradely via the aorta in Langendorff mode. During constant-pressure and constant-volume perfusion of the hearts, the influence of diluted antibodies on contractility, relaxation, and on coronary perfusion was analysed.

RESULTS

Antibodies obtained from controls had no effect on contractility and relaxation of isolated perfused hearts during constant-pressure and constant-volume perfusion. In contrast, during constant-pressure perfusion, collected DCM antibodies caused immediate and dose-related reduction of contractility (dLVP/dtmax: dilution -1:32 = -7.1 +/- 1.1%; dilution -1:2 = -20.1 +/- 2.1%; P < 0.001) and diastolic relaxation (dLVP/dtmin: dilution -1:32 = -11.1 +/- 1.5%; dilution -1:2 = -23.9 +/- 2.2%; P < 0.001). The heart rate did not change significantly in either group. The effects of DCM antibodies on contractility and relaxation remained detectable during constant-volume perfusion. The observed reduction of contractility and diastolic relaxation was accompanied by impairment of coronary perfusion.

CONCLUSION

In the rat heart, antibodies obtained from DCM patients may impair contractility and relaxation, and thereby probably also coronary perfusion.