Neoadjuvant atezolizumab plus chemotherapy in gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: the phase 2 PANDA trial

Gastric and gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ) cancers carry a poor prognosis, and despite recent advancements, most patients die of their disease. Although immune checkpoint blockade became part of the standard-of-care for patients with metastatic G/GEJ cancers, its efficacy and impact on the tumor microenvironment (TME) in early disease remain largely unknown. We hypothesized higher efficacy of neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemotherapy in patients with nonmetastatic G/GEJ cancer. In the phase 2 PANDA trial, patients with previously untreated resectable G/GEJ tumors (n = 21) received neoadjuvant treatment with one cycle of atezolizumab monotherapy followed by four cycles of atezolizumab plus docetaxel, oxaliplatin and capecitabine. Treatment was well tolerated. There were grade 3 immune-related adverse events in two of 20 patients (10%) but no grade 4 or 5 immune-related adverse events, and all patients underwent resection without treatment-related delays, meeting the primary endpoint of safety and feasibility. Tissue was obtained at multiple time points, allowing analysis of the effects of single-agent anti-programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) and the subsequent combination with chemotherapy on the TME. Twenty of 21 patients underwent surgery and were evaluable for secondary pathologic response and survival endpoints, and 19 were evaluable for exploratory translational analyses. A major pathologic response (≤10% residual viable tumor) was observed in 14 of 20 (70%, 95% confidence interval 46-88%) patients, including 9 (45%, 95% confidence interval 23-68%) pathologic complete responses. At a median follow-up of 47 months, 13 of 14 responders were alive and disease-free, and five of six nonresponders had died as a result of recurrence. Notably, baseline anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1)+CD8+ T cell infiltration was significantly higher in responders versus nonresponders, and comparison of TME alterations following anti-PD-L1 monotherapy versus the subsequent combination with chemotherapy showed an increased immune activation on single-agent PD-1/L1 axis blockade. On the basis of these data, monotherapy anti-PD-L1 before its combination with chemotherapy warrants further exploration and validation in a larger cohort of patients with nonmetastatic G/GEJ cancer. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT03448835 .

Metastatic site patterns by intrinsic subtype and HER2DX in early HER2-positive breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Even with contemporary treatment strategies, more than 10% of HER2-positive early stage breast cancer patients may experience distant metastasis as first event during follow-up. Tools for predicting unique patterns of metastatic spread are needed to plan personalized surveillance. We evaluated how molecular heterogeneity affects the pattern of distant relapse in HER2-positive breast cancer.

METHODS

A total of 677 HER2-positive stage I-III breast cancer patients from ShortHER trial, Cher-LOB trial, and 2 institutional cohorts were included. PAM50 molecular subtypes and research-based HER2DX scores were evaluated. The cumulative incidence of distant relapse as the first event (any site and site specific) was evaluated using competing risk analysis. Median follow-up was 8.4 years. Tests of statistical significance are 2-sided.

RESULTS

Stage III and high HER2DX risk score identified patients at the highest risk of distant relapse as first event (10-year incidence 24.5% and 19.7%, respectively). Intrinsic molecular subtypes were associated with specific patterns of metastatic spread: compared with other subtypes, HER2-enriched tumors were more prone to develop brain metastases (10-year incidence 3.8% vs 0.6%, P = .005), basal-like tumors were associated with an increased risk of lung metastases (10-year incidence 11.1% vs 2.6%, P = .001), and luminal tumors developed more frequently bone-only metastases (10-year incidence 5.1% vs 2.0%, P = .042). When added to stage or HER2DX risk score in competing risk regression models, intrinsic subtype maintained an independent association with site-specific metastases.

CONCLUSIONS

The integration of intrinsic molecular subtypes with stage or HER2DX risk score predicts site-specific metastatic risk in HER2-positive breast cancer, with potential implications for personalized surveillance and clinical trials aimed at preventing site-specific recurrence.

Healthcare outcomes assessed with observational study designs compared with those assessed in randomized trials: a meta-epidemiological study

BACKGROUND

Researchers and decision-makers often use evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) to determine the efficacy or effectiveness of a treatment or intervention. Studies with observational designs are often used to measure the effectiveness of an intervention in 'real world' scenarios. Numerous study designs and their modifications (including both randomised and observational designs) are used for comparative effectiveness research in an attempt to give an unbiased estimate of whether one treatment is more effective or safer than another for a particular population. An up-to-date systematic analysis is needed to identify differences in effect estimates from RCTs and observational studies. This updated review summarises the results of methodological reviews that compared the effect estimates of observational studies with RCTs from evidence syntheses that addressed the same health research question.

OBJECTIVES

To assess and compare synthesised effect estimates by study type, contrasting RCTs with observational studies. To explore factors that might explain differences in synthesised effect estimates from RCTs versus observational studies (e.g. heterogeneity, type of observational study design, type of intervention, and use of propensity score adjustment). To identify gaps in the existing research comparing effect estimates across different study types.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Web of Science databases, and Epistemonikos to May 2022. We checked references, conducted citation searches, and contacted review authors to identify additional reviews.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included systematic methodological reviews that compared quantitative effect estimates measuring the efficacy or effectiveness of interventions tested in RCTs versus in observational studies. The included reviews compared RCTs to observational studies (including retrospective and prospective cohort, case-control and cross-sectional designs). Reviews were not eligible if they compared RCTs with studies that had used some form of concurrent allocation.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Using results from observational studies as the reference group, we examined the relative summary effect estimates (risk ratios (RRs), odds ratios (ORs), hazard ratios (HRs), mean differences (MDs), and standardised mean differences (SMDs)) to evaluate whether there was a relatively larger or smaller effect in the ratio of odds ratios (ROR) or ratio of risk ratios (RRR), ratio of hazard ratios (RHR), and difference in (standardised) mean differences (D(S)MD). If an included review did not provide an estimate comparing results from RCTs with observational studies, we generated one by pooling the estimates for observational studies and RCTs, respectively. Across all reviews, we synthesised these ratios to produce a pooled ratio of ratios comparing effect estimates from RCTs with those from observational studies. In overviews of reviews, we estimated the ROR or RRR for each overview using observational studies as the reference category. We appraised the risk of bias in the included reviews (using nine criteria in total). To receive an overall low risk of bias rating, an included review needed: explicit criteria for study selection, a complete sample of studies, and to have controlled for study methodological differences and study heterogeneity. We assessed reviews/overviews not meeting these four criteria as having an overall high risk of bias. We assessed the certainty of the evidence, consisting of multiple evidence syntheses, with the GRADE approach.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 39 systematic reviews and eight overviews of reviews, for a total of 47. Thirty-four of these contributed data to our primary analysis. Based on the available data, we found that the reviews/overviews included 2869 RCTs involving 3,882,115 participants, and 3924 observational studies with 19,499,970 participants. We rated 11 reviews/overviews as having an overall low risk of bias, and 36 as having an unclear or high risk of bias. Our main concerns with the included reviews/overviews were that some did not assess the quality of their included studies, and some failed to account appropriately for differences between study designs - for example, they conducted aggregate analyses of all observational studies rather than separate analyses of cohort and case-control studies. When pooling RORs and RRRs, the ratio of ratios indicated no difference or a very small difference between the effect estimates from RCTs versus from observational studies (ratio of ratios 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01 to 1.15). We rated the certainty of the evidence as low. Twenty-three of 34 reviews reported effect estimates of RCTs and observational studies that were on average in agreement. In a number of subgroup analyses, small differences in the effect estimates were detected: - pharmaceutical interventions only (ratio of ratios 1.12, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.21); - RCTs and observational studies with substantial or high heterogeneity; that is, I2 ≥ 50% (ratio of ratios 1.11, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.18); - no use (ratio of ratios 1.07, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.11) or unclear use (ratio of ratios 1.13, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.25) of propensity score adjustment in observational studies; and - observational studies without further specification of the study design (ratio of ratios 1.06, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.18). We detected no clear difference in other subgroup analyses.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

We found no difference or a very small difference between effect estimates from RCTs and observational studies. These findings are largely consistent with findings from recently published research. Factors other than study design need to be considered when exploring reasons for a lack of agreement between results of RCTs and observational studies, such as differences in the population, intervention, comparator, and outcomes investigated in the respective studies. Our results underscore that it is important for review authors to consider not only study design, but the level of heterogeneity in meta-analyses of RCTs or observational studies. A better understanding is needed of how these factors might yield estimates reflective of true effectiveness.

Nine-Week Versus One-Year Trastuzumab for Early Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Positive Breast Cancer: 10-Year Update of the ShortHER Phase III Randomized Trial

Clinical trials frequently include multiple end points that mature at different times. The initial report, typically based on the primary end point, may be published when key planned coprimary or secondary analyses are not yet available. Clinical trial updates provide an opportunity to disseminate additional results from studies, published in JCO or elsewhere, for which the primary end point has already been reported.We present the final analysis of the phase III noninferiority, randomized ShortHER trial comparing 9 weeks versus 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab with chemotherapy in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive (HER2+) early breast cancer (BC). Women with HER2+ BC were randomly assigned to anthracycline-taxane combinations plus 1-year trastuzumab (arm A, long) or 9-week trastuzumab (arm B, short). Here, we report the second coprimary end point overall survival (OS), updated disease-free survival (DFS), and outcomes according to hormone receptor status, age, and nodal status. At a median follow-up of 9 years, 10-year DFS is 77% versus 78% in the long versus short arm, respectively. Ten-year OS is 89% versus 88% in the long versus short arm, respectively. 10-year DFS rates in the long versus short arm according to nodal status are N0 81% versus 85%; N1-3 77% versus 79%; and N4+ 63% versus 53%. Ten-year OS rates in long versus short arm according to nodal status are N0 89% versus 95%%; N1-3 92% versus 89%; and N4+ 84% versus 64%. The updated analysis of the ShortHER trial shows that 1-year trastuzumab is the standard treatment for patients with HER2+ early BC as noninferiority cannot be claimed. However, numerically, the differences for the patients at low or intermediate risk (N0/N1-3) is negligible, while patients with N4+ have a clear benefit with 1-year trastuzumab.

Pediatric Bilateral Vocal Cord Immobility: New Treatment With Preservation of Voice

OBJECTIVES

Pediatric bilateral vocal cord immobility (BVCI) represents a severe life-threatening condition that often causes severe dyspnea. Endoscopic arytenoid lateral abduction (EALA) is a relatively new, secure, minimal-invasive surgical technique. The present prospective observational study aims to evaluate the effects of EALA in terms of respiratory function, voice quality, and swallowing capabilities.

METHODS

Twenty-one pediatric patients with BVCI underwent EALA. Eleven out of 21 patients had tracheostomy at the time of surgery. Pre and postoperative functional assessments included endoscopic evaluation, maximum phonation time, pediatric Voice Handicap Index (pVHI), GIRBAS Scale criteria, and Montreal Children's Hospital Feeding scale (MCH-Feeding scale). peak tidal inspiratory flow or peak inspiratory flow (PIF) and number of desaturations/hour (ODI/h) were evaluated in patients without tracheostomy.

RESULTS

Postoperative endoscopy showed glottic airway improvement in all patients. Average time for decannulation was 4.6 weeks. One patient has not yet been decannulated. No major complications occurred. In patients without tracheostomy, we observed a significant improvement of ODI/h and PIF after surgery (p < 0.05) as expected. PVHI, MCH-Feeding scale, and GIRBAS score significantly worsened 1 month after surgical intervention (p < 0.05). One year after surgery, however, all values, except for B and A parameters of the GIRBAS score, returned to levels comparable to those preoperative.

CONCLUSIONS

EALA represents a simple, safe and effective solution in pediatric patients with BVCI, avoiding tracheostomy, allowing early decannulation, preserving swallowing function, and maintaining good quality voice.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 133:2325-2332, 2023.

Induction therapy with ipilimumab and nivolumab followed by consolidative chemoradiation as organ-sparing treatment in urothelial bladder cancer: study protocol of the INDIBLADE trial

Introduction

Studies that assessed the efficacy of pre-operative immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) in locally advanced urothelial cancer of the bladder showed encouraging pathological complete response rates, suggesting that a bladder-sparing approach may be a viable option in a subset of patients. Chemoradiation is an alternative for radical cystectomy with similar oncological outcomes, but is still mainly used in selected patients with organ-confined tumors or patients ineligible to undergo radical cystectomy. We propose to sequentially administer ICB and chemoradiation to patients with (locally advanced) muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Methods

The INDIBLADE trial is an investigator-initiated, single-arm, multicenter phase 2 trial. Fifty patients with cT2-4aN0-2M0 urothelial bladder cancer will be treated with ipilimumab 3 mg/kg on day 1, ipilimumab 3 mg/kg plus nivolumab 1 mg/kg on day 22, and nivolumab 3 mg/kg on day 43 followed by chemoradiation. The primary endpoint is the bladder-intact event-free survival (BI-EFS). Events include: local or distant recurrence, salvage cystectomy, death and switch to platinum-based chemotherapy. We will also evaluate the potential of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging of the bladder to identify non-responders, and we will assess the clearance of circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker for ICB treatment response.

Discussion

This is the first trial in which the efficacy of induction combination ICB followed by chemoradiation is being evaluated to provide bladder-preservation in patients with (locally advanced) urothelial bladder cancer.

Clinical Trial Registration

The INDIBLADE trial was registered on clinicaltrials.gov on January 21, 2022 (NCT05200988).

Unleashing NK- and CD8 T cells by combining monalizumab and trastuzumab for metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer: Results of the MIMOSA trial

The large majority of patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) will eventually develop resistance to anti-HER2 therapy and die of this disease. Despite, relatively high levels of stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs), PD1-blockade has only shown modest responses. Monalizumab targets the inhibitory immune checkpoint NKG2A, thereby unleashing NK- and CD8 T cells. We hypothesized that monalizumab synergizes with trastuzumab by promoting antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity. In the phase II MIMOSA-trial, HER2-positive MBC patients were treated with trastuzumab and 750 mg monalizumab every two weeks. Following a Simon's two-stage design, 11 patients were included in stage I of the trial. Treatment was well tolerated with no dose-limiting toxicities. No objective responses were observed. Therefore, the MIMOSA-trial did not meet its primary endpoint. In summary, despite the strong preclinical rationale, the novel combination of monalizumab and trastuzumab does not induce objective responses in heavily pre-treated HER2-positive MBC patients.

Immune landscape of breast tumors with low and intermediate estrogen receptor expression

Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) is currently approved for patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC), whereas responses to ICB are also observed in a small subgroup of Estrogen Receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer. The cut-off for ER-positivity (≥1%) is based on likelihood of endocrine treatment response, but ER-positive breast cancer represents a very heterogeneous group. This raises the question whether selection based on ER-negativity should be revisited to select patients for ICB treatment in the context of clinical trials. Stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) and other immune parameters are higher in TNBC compared to ER-positive breast cancer, but it is unknown whether lower ER levels are associated with more inflamed tumor microenvironments (TME). We collected a consecutive series of primary tumors from 173 HER2-negative breast cancer patients, enriched for tumors with ER expression between 1 and 99% and found levels of stromal TILs, CD8 + T cells, and PD-L1 positivity in breast tumors with ER 1-9% and ER 10-50% to be comparable to tumors with ER 0%. Expression of immune-related gene signatures in tumors with ER 1-9% and ER 10-50% was comparable to ER 0%, and higher than in tumors with ER 51-99% and ER 100%. Our results suggest that the immune landscape of ER low tumors (1-9%) and ER intermediate tumors (10-50%) mimic that of primary TNBC.

PD-L1 blockade in combination with carboplatin as immune induction in metastatic lobular breast cancer: the GELATO trial

Invasive lobular breast cancer (ILC) is the second most common histological breast cancer subtype, but ILC-specific trials are lacking. Translational research revealed an immune-related ILC subset, and in mouse ILC models, synergy between immune checkpoint blockade and platinum was observed. In the phase II GELATO trial ( NCT03147040 ), patients with metastatic ILC were treated with weekly carboplatin (area under the curve 1.5 mg ml-1 min-1) as immune induction for 12 weeks and atezolizumab (PD-L1 blockade; triweekly) from the third week until progression. Four of 23 evaluable patients had a partial response (17%), and 2 had stable disease, resulting in a clinical benefit rate of 26%. From these six patients, four had triple-negative ILC (TN-ILC). We observed higher CD8+ T cell infiltration, immune checkpoint expression and exhausted T cells after treatment. With this GELATO trial, we show that ILC-specific clinical trials are feasible and demonstrate promising antitumor activity of atezolizumab with carboplatin, particularly for TN-ILC, and provide insights for the design of highly needed ILC-specific trials.

Abstract P2-11-12: Pattern of distant relapse according to intrinsic molecular subtype in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer: a combined analysis of ShortHER, CherLOB, and two institutional cohorts

Background: All intrinsic molecular subtypes are represented among HER2-positive breast cancer, with implications on clinical outcome and treatment sensitivity. The impact of molecular subtypes on the pattern and site of relapse is largely unexplored.

Methods: 677 patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer from the Shorther trial (n=437), the CherLOB trial (n=84) and two Institutional cohorts (Istituto Oncologico Veneto IRCCS Padova n=39 and Hospital Clinic Barcelona n=117) were included. Only patients with available PAM50 intrinsic molecular subtyping were considered. We analyzed the incidence of distant relapse (at any site and at specific sites) as the first event. Cumulative incidence was estimated according to competing risk analysis (Fine and Gray’s method). Competing risk regression was used to calculate the subdistribution Hazard Ratios (subHR) and their 95% Confidence Interval (CI).

Results: The distribution of molecular subtypes was: 130 LumA (19%), 75 LumB (11%), 347 HER2-e (51%), 46 Basal (7%), 79 Normal (12%). Median follow up was 8.4 years (95%CI 8.2-8.6). The 10-yr cumulative incidence rates of distant relapse as first event were: LumA 7.9%, LumB 14.8%, HER2-e 14.7%, Basal 15.5%, Normal 10.4% (HER2-e vs LumA: SubHR 2.21, 95%CI 1.05-4.64, p=0.037). Table 1 shows the 5-yr and 10-yr cumulative incidence rates of distant metastases at specific sites (as first event) according to intrinsic subtype. HER2-e enriched and Basal tumors were more prone as compared to other subtypes to develop brain and lung metastasis as first event, respectively. Isolated brain metastases without extracranial disease occurred only in patients with HER2-e tumors. All brain metastases as first event occurred within 5 years from diagnosis. Bone-only disease as first event was less frequent in HER2-e and Basal subtype (subHR HER2-e vs LumA: 0.32, 95%CI 0.10-10.4. p=0.058). Next, we analyzed the frequency of site-specific first metastasis among patients who experienced a distant metastasis as first event (n=77). Lung metastases were more frequent in Basal tumors (LumA 25.0%, LumB 20.0%, HER2-e 24.4%, Basal 71.4%, Normal 0.0%, p=0.037) and bone metastases were more frequent in Luminal tumors (LumA 100.0%, LumB 60.0%, HER2-e 31.1%, Basal 42.9%, Normal 57.1%, p=0.006). Among 45 HER2-e patients with a first distant relapse, 25.6% were diagnosed with a brain metastasis and 15.6% had brain-only disease. Conclusions: Molecular subtypes influence the metastatic behaviour of clinically HER2-positive breast cancer. These results, if further validated, may have implication in planning personalized monitoring strategies.

Table 1. 5-yr and 10-yr cumulative incidence rates of distant metastasis at specific sites (as first event) according to intrinsic subtype.

Citation Format: Maria Vittoria Dieci, Giancarlo Bisagni, Stefania Bartolini, Antonio Frassoldati, Daniele Giulio Generali, Federico Piacentini, Gaia Griguolo, Enrico Tagliafico, Fara Brasó-Maristany, Nuria Chic, Francesca Porra, Roberto Vicini, Roberto D’Amico, Sara Balduzzi, Aleix Prat, PierFranco Conte, Valentina Guarneri. Pattern of distant relapse according to intrinsic molecular subtype in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer: a combined analysis of ShortHER, CherLOB, and two institutional cohorts. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-11-12.

Radiotherapy, atezolizumab, and bevacizumab in rectal cancers with the aim of organ preservation: The TARZAN study

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Background: Rectal cancer is traditionally treated with total mesorectal excision (TME), with/without neoadjuvant radiotherapy (RT) and chemotherapy. This approach often leads to temporary or permanent colostomies and other long-term morbidity such as urinary and sexual dysfunction in over 60% of patients. Organ preservation is increasingly being pursued in patients with a clinical complete response (cCR) following neoadjuvant treatment, thereby aiming to avoid TME-surgery. Based on preclinical data suggesting immunomodulatory effects of RT, and the synergy of combined PD-L1/VEGF blockade in several tumor types, the TARZAN study (NCT04017455) combines these treatments aiming to increase chances of organ preservation in patients with mainly MMR proficient (pMMR) rectal cancer without the need for chemotherapy. Methods: Patients with clinical stage ≤T3ab N0-1 distal-mid rectal tumors without mesorectal fascia involvement underwent 5x5 Gy RT followed by 3 cycles of atezolizumab and bevacizumab. Response was evaluated by MRI and endoscopy. The primary endpoint was clinical complete and near-complete response (CR) rate at 12 weeks after RT. Secondary endpoints included safety, organ preservation, pathologic (near) CR in case of surgery, and relapse free survival. According to a Simon’s 2-stage design, ≥3 responders were needed in stage I (18 patients) to continue accrual into stage II. Here we report data from stage I. Results: Eighteen patients (14 male, median age 63), all with pMMR tumors, were treated. Six tumors were cN1 on MRI, 10/18 tumors were ≥4cm and for 10/18 patients abdominoperineal resection (APR) appeared necessary due to distal tumor location. At the time of response evaluation, (near-)CR was achieved in 10/18 (56%) patients according to the primary endpoint. With a median follow-up of 20 months, 9/18 (50%) patients remain without TME surgery. Of these 9 patients, 5 underwent local excision to achieve organ preservation and in 5 patients no additional intervention was needed (cCR). The remaining 9 patients underwent TME surgery (4 APR), and pathologic assessment revealed near-CR in two patients, and a pCR in one patient. Three patients developed distant recurrences, one in the organ-sparing group. Neoadjuvant treatment was well-tolerated with grade 3 study drug-related adverse events (AEs) in 1 (5%) patient. Grade 3 surgery-related AEs occurred in 5/9 (55%) patients, including 4 anastomotic leaks and 1 abscess. Conclusions: Neoadjuvant RT followed by atezolizumab and bevacizumab resulted in a promising rate of clinical (near-)CRs in 56% of patients without the need for chemotherapy, reaching the primary endpoint. Accrual is ongoing in stage II, in which an additional 20 patients will be treated. Clinical trial information: NCT04017455 .

Single agent Talimogene Laherparepvec for stage IIIB-IVM1c melanoma patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Single-agent Talimogene Laherparepvec (T-VEC) was developed for treatment of unresectable and injectable stage III-IV melanoma. Since its approval and reimbursement, studies have reported varying response rates. The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate the efficacy and safety of T-VEC. Of 341 publications that were identified, eight studies with a total of 642 patients were included. In patients with stage IIIB-IVM1a, the pooled complete- and overall response rate (CRR and ORR) were 41% and 64%, respectively. In patients with stage IIIB-IVM1c, the pooled CRR and ORR were 30% and 44%, respectively. In patients with stage IVM1b and IVM1c, the pooled CRR and ORR were 4% and 9%, respectively. Adverse events (AEs) were seen in 41-100% of all patients and 0-11% of AEs were severe. In conclusion, single agent T-VEC achieves the highest response rates in patients with early metastatic melanoma and is well-tolerated with generally only mild toxicities.

Type of endocrine therapy and DFS in patients with early HER2+/HR+ BC: Analysis from the phase III randomized ShortHER trial

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Background: Optimal adjuvant endocrine therapy for HER2+/HR+ patients treated with chemotherapy and trastuzumab is still unclear. We evaluated the impact of the type of endocrine therapy on DFS in patients with HER2+/HR+ breast cancer enrolled in the phase III ShortHER trial. Methods: The Short-HER study randomized 1254 patients with HER2+ early breast cancer to receive 9 weeks vs 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab combined with anthracycline-taxane chemotherapy. The type of adjuvant endocrine was collected every 6 months during the first 5 years of follow-up and was classified as: aromatase inhibitor (AI), tamoxifen and aromatase inhibitor (TAM-AI, in case of both drugs were administered for at least 1 year each), or tamoxifen (TAM). For premenopausal patients, the use of GnRH analogue was also collected. DFS was calculated from randomization to disease recurrence (locoregional or metastatic), second primary invasive cancer, or death. Results: 853 patients with HR+ BC (ER and/or PgR >10%) were included: 60% postmenopausal, 40% premenopausal. The pattern of endocrine therapy was: 55% AI, 22% TAM, 15% TAM-AI (8% missing data). Among premenopausal patients, 51% received GnRH. At a median follow up of 8.7 years (IQR 7.6-9.0), patients who received AI had a significantly better DFS as compared to patients who received TAM or TAM-AI: 7-yr DFS 87.3% vs 81.7%, log-rank P=0.017 (HR 1.46, 95%CI 1.05-2.03). In multivariate analysis including menopausal status, stage, and treatment arm, the type of endocrine therapy maintained a significant association with DFS (Table). In the subgroup of premenopausal patients, the use of GnRH was associated with numerically improved DFS: 86.6% vs 81.6%, log-rank P=0.168 (HR=0.70, 95%CI 0.43-1.16). Conclusions: In this post-hoc analysis of the ShortHER trial, adjuvant treatment with aromatase inhibitor was independently associated with improved DFS. Subgroup analysis in premenopausal patients suggests potential benefit with ovarian suppression. Clinical trial information: NCT00629278. [Table: see text]

Neoadjuvant atezolizumab plus docetaxel/oxaliplatin/capecitabine in non-metastatic gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma: The PANDA trial

4059

Background: Immune checkpoint blockade improves clinical outcomes for patients with gastric and gastro-esophageal junction (GEJ) cancers, but its efficacy and impact on the tumor microenvironment in non-metastatic, resectable disease remains largely unknown. Peri-operative FLOT, the current standard-of-care, leads to pathologic complete responses (pCR) and major pathologic responses (MPR) in 16% and 37% of patients, respectively. An important open question is whether PDL-1 blockade monotherapy can prime the tumor microenvironment in a favorable manner, prior to combination with chemotherapy. Methods: We report results from the phase 2 PANDA trial (NCT03448835) of neoadjuvant atezolizumab (anti-PDL-1) plus docetaxel, oxaliplatin, and capecitabine (DOC) in patients with resectable gastric or GEJ adenocarcinoma. Patients received a single cycle of atezolizumab monotherapy, followed by 4 cycles of atezolizumab+DOC. Tumor tissue was collected at baseline, after atezolizumab monotherapy, the first atezolizumab+DOC, and at resection. The primary endpoints were safety and feasibility in 20 patients, and secondary endpoints included MPR (<10% viable tumor rest) and disease-free survival. Results: Twenty patients, of which 18 with mismatch repair (MMR) proficient and two with MMR-deficient tumors, were evaluable for safety and efficacy analyses. MPR was observed in 14/20 patients (70%; 95% CI 46–88%), including 9 pCR (45%; 95% CI 23-68%). Among patients with intestinal type adenocarcinoma, 12/15 (80%; 95% CI 52-96%) had an MPR, with 9/15 (60%; 95% CI 32-84%) pCR. Treatment was well tolerated, with two patients (10%) experiencing a grade 3 immune adverse event. At a median follow-up of 29 months (IQR 16-34), 15 patients (75%) were alive and disease-free. None of the patients with an MPR recurred. All patients underwent resections without treatment-related delays and no unexpected surgical complications were documented. Translational analyses, including baseline PDL-1 CPS score and whole exome sequencing (WES), plus CD8 T-cell infiltration and RNA sequencing at 4 timepoints will be presented at the meeting. Conclusions: Our data show that the addition of atezolizumab to neoadjuvant chemotherapy leads to promising pathologic responses in gastric/GEJ adenocarcinoma, which appears to be higher than in historical controls, with no recurrences in responders. These data should be validated in a large randomized controlled trial. Clinical trial information: NCT03448835.

AB0224 JAK-INHIBITORS ATTAIN A RAPID AND PERSISTENT EFFECTIVENESS ON SEVERAL PATIENT-REPORTED OUTCOMES IN LONG-STANDING RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS

Background

Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKi) are efficacious drugs for the control of disease activity in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The effect on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) has been shown in randomized clinical trials, but is still largely unknown in real-life scenarios.

Objectives

To assess the time to onset and magnitude of improvement across a number of different PROs in patients with RA treated with JAKi.

Methods

Patients were selected from centres involved in the LORHEN Registry. Patients with a diagnosis of RA initiating a JAKi (Baricitinib or Tofacitinib) between May 2019 and February 2020 were clinically assessed at baseline, 8 weeks and 16 weeks with DAS28 and SDAI. PROs were collected at baseline, 2 weeks, 4 weeks, 8 weeks and 16 weeks from JAKi initiation. The PROs assessed at each timepoint were: Patient Global Assessment (PGA), General Health (GH), 0-100 mm visual analogue scale (VAS)-pain, VAS-fatigue, Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), The Clinical Arthritis Activity (PRO-CLARA) questionnaire.

Results

Thirty-eight patients (female 76%, mean age 57±15) were enrolled for a total of 152 visits for PROs assessments. Patients had received a median of 2 (IQR 1;3) previous conventional synthetic DMARDs (csDMARD) and a median of 2 (0;3) biological DMARDs. Mean disease duration at time of JAKi initiation was 10±9.5 years. JAKi was prescribed as combination therapy with a csDMARD in 20 (53%), concomitant glucocorticoids (GC) in 28 (73%) patients, at a mean dose of 6±2 mg/day. Twenty-one (55) patients were on regular analgesics. DAS28-ESR reduced from 4.5±0.9 at baseline to 2.6±0.9 at 8 weeks (p<0.001). DAS28-ESR remained stable between 8 and 16 weeks (mean values 2.3±0.1; p=0.17). Similarly, DAS28-CRP reduced from 4.1±0.8 to 2.1±0.6 at 8 weeks (p<0.0001). Between 8 and 16 weeks there was a further significant reduction of DAS28-CRP under the effect of JAKi treatment to a mean value of 1.4±0.5 (p<0.0001). SDAI reduced over the period of observation from 19±8 to 6±5 at 8 weeks (p<0.0001), and to 4±3 at 16 weeks (0.03). By week 8 the intake of concomitant GC reduced to 28% of patients (p=0.0001), and of analgesics to 2% of patients (p<0.0001).

By two weeks, all PROs had a significant reduction compared to baseline (Figure 1). For PGA, VAS-pain, VAS-fatigue a further significant reduction was observed by week 4 to then stabilize between week 8 and 16. GH and HAQ had a significant reduction by week 2 and remained stable thereafter. All PROs were significantly lower during all time-points compared to baseline. The PRO-CLARA Road score to assess physical function significantly improved starting from week 2 from a score of 4±2 to 2±2 at the end of follow-up. The PRO-CLARA self-administered tender joint count was stable at week 2 (mean score 4±2) but recorded an improvement from week 4 onwards (p<0.03).

Figure 1.

Improvement of patient-reported outcomes over the period of observation

Conclusion

Treatment with JAKi ensures a very rapid and persistent improvement of several PROs, including pain, fatigue and physical function, as early as 2 weeks treatment even in patients with long-standing RA treated with several lines of previous DMARDs.

Disclosure of Interests

None declared

Evaluating agreement between bodies of evidence from randomized controlled trials and cohort studies in medical research: a meta-epidemiological study

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies are the most common study design types used to assess the treatment effects of medical interventions. To evaluate the agreement of effect estimates between bodies of evidence (BoE) from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies and to identify factors associated with disagreement.

METHODS

Systematic reviews were published in the 13 medical journals with the highest impact factor identified through a MEDLINE search. BoE-pairs from RCTs and cohort studies with the same medical research question were included. We rated the similarity of PI/ECO (Population, Intervention/Exposure, Comparison, Outcome) between BoE from RCTs and cohort studies. The agreement of effect estimates across BoE was analyzed by pooling ratio of ratios (RoR) for binary outcomes and difference of mean differences for continuous outcomes. We performed subgroup analyses to explore factors associated with disagreements.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-nine BoE pairs from 64 systematic reviews were included. PI/ECO-similarity degree was moderate: two BoE pairs were rated as "more or less identical"; 90 were rated as "similar but not identical" and 37 as only "broadly similar". For binary outcomes, the pooled RoR was 1.04 (95% CI 0.97-1.11) with considerable statistical heterogeneity. For continuous outcomes, differences were small. In subgroup analyses, degree of PI/ECO-similarity, type of intervention, and type of outcome, the pooled RoR indicated that on average, differences between both BoE were small. Subgroup analysis by degree of PI/ECO-similarity revealed high statistical heterogeneity and wide prediction intervals across PI/ECO-dissimilar BoE pairs.

CONCLUSIONS

On average, the pooled effect estimates between RCTs and cohort studies did not differ. Statistical heterogeneity and wide prediction intervals were mainly driven by PI/ECO-dissimilarities (i.e., clinical heterogeneity) and cohort studies. The potential influence of risk of bias and certainty of the evidence on differences of effect estimates between RCTs and cohort studies needs to be explored in upcoming meta-epidemiological studies.

Evaluating agreement between bodies of evidence from randomised controlled trials and cohort studies in nutrition research: meta-epidemiological study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the agreement between diet-disease effect estimates of bodies of evidence from randomised controlled trials and those from cohort studies in nutrition research, and to investigate potential factors for disagreement.

DESIGN

Meta-epidemiological study.

DATA SOURCES

Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Medline.

REVIEW METHODS

Population, intervention or exposure, comparator, outcome (PI/ECO) elements from a body of evidence from cohort studies (BoE(CS)) were matched with corresponding elements of a body of evidence from randomised controlled trials (BoE(RCT)). Pooled ratio of risk ratios or difference of mean differences across all diet-disease outcome pairs were calculated. Subgroup analyses were conducted to explore factors for disagreement. Heterogeneity was assessed through I2 and τ2. Prediction intervals were calculated to assess the range of possible values for the difference in the results between evidence from randomised controlled trials and evidence from cohort studies in future comparisons.

RESULTS

97 diet-disease outcome pairs (that is, matched BoE(RCT) and BoE(CS)) were identified overall. For binary outcomes, the pooled ratio of risk ratios comparing estimates from BoE(RCT) with BoE(CS) was 1.09 (95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.14; I2=68%; τ2=0.021; 95% prediction interval 0.81 to 1.46). The prediction interval indicated that the difference could be much more substantial, in either direction. We further explored heterogeneity and found that PI/ECO dissimilarities, especially for the comparisons of dietary supplements in randomised controlled trials and nutrient status in cohort studies, explained most of the differences. When the type of intake or exposure between both types of evidence was identical, the estimates were similar. For continuous outcomes, small differences were observed between randomised controlled trials and cohort studies.

CONCLUSION

On average, the difference in pooled results between estimates from BoE(RCT) and BoE(CS) was small. But wide prediction intervals and some substantial statistical heterogeneity in cohort studies indicate that important differences or potential bias in individual comparisons or studies cannot be excluded. Observed differences were mainly driven by dissimilarities in population, intervention or exposure, comparator, and outcome. These findings could help researchers further understand the integration of such evidence into prospective nutrition evidence syntheses and improve evidence based dietary guidelines.

Evaluating Concordance of Bodies of Evidence from Randomized Controlled Trials, Dietary Intake, and Biomarkers of Intake in Cohort Studies: A Meta-Epidemiological Study

We aimed to identify and compare empirical data to determine the concordance of diet-disease effect estimates of bodies of evidence (BoE) from randomized controlled trials (RCTs), dietary intake, and biomarkers of dietary intake in cohort studies (CSs). The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and MEDLINE were searched for systematic reviews (SRs) of RCTs and SRs of CSs that investigated both dietary intake and biomarkers of intake published between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2019. For matched diet-disease associations, the concordance between results from the 3 different BoE was analyzed using 2 definitions: qualitative (e.g., 95% CI within a predefined range) and quantitative (test hypothesis on the z score). Moreover, the differences in the results coming from BoERCTs, BoECSs dietary intake, and BoECSs biomarkers were synthesized to get a pooled ratio of risk ratio (RRR) across all eligible diet-disease associations, so as to compare the 3 BoE. Overall, 49 diet-disease associations derived from 41 SRs were identified and included in the analysis. Twenty-four percent, 10%, and 39% of the diet-disease associations were qualitatively concordant comparing BoERCTs with BoECSs dietary intake, BoERCTs with BoECSs biomarkers, and comparing both BoE from CSs, respectively; 88%, 69%, and 90% of the diet-disease associations were quantitatively concordant comparing BoERCTs with BoECSs dietary intake, BoERCTs with BoECSs biomarkers, and comparing both BoE from CSs, respectively. The pooled RRRs comparing effects from BoERCTs with effects from BoECSs dietary intake were 1.09 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.13) and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.10, 1.25) compared with BoECSs biomarkers. Comparing both BoE from CSs, the difference in the results was also small (RRR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.88, 0.96). Our findings suggest that BoE from RCTs and CSs are often quantitatively concordant. Prospective SRs in nutrition research should include, whenever possible, BoE from RCTs and CSs on dietary intake and biomarkers of intake to provide the whole picture for an investigated diet-disease association.

AB0462 BEHCET’S DISEASE: CLINICAL FEATURES AND OFF-LABEL BIOLOGIC TREATMENT STRATEGIES

Background:

The treatment of Behçet’s disease (BD) is still mainly based on the evidence derived from case reports, case series, retrospective analyses, and few clinical trials suggesting the safety and potential efficacy of off-label use of biologic agents in refractory cases.1

Objectives:

To describe clinical manifestations and their management, with particular focus on treatment indications, outcomes and safety of biologic therapy, in a cohort of patients with BD.

Methods:

Patients with a diagnosis of BD who visited our outpatient clinic until December 2019 were included in the study. Clinical data were recorded since diagnosis until the latest follow-up visit, analyzing clinical features, flares and therapeutic strategies adopted.

Results:

A total of 95 patients were included in the study with a medium follow-up of 108.54 ± 169.59 months. 20 of them (21. 05%) were treated with biologic agents. Patients treated with biologic therapy compared to those on conventional non-biologic therapies had a higher proportion of musculoskeletal (80% vs 46.67%, p = 0.008), neurological (30% vs 10.67%, p = 0.031), intestinal involvement (40% vs 12%, p = 0.004), and they were treated with a higher dose of glucocorticoids at diagnosis (16.84 mg ±14.01 vs 8.89 mg ± 11.76, p = 0.012). The most frequent indications for biologic step-up therapy were musculoskeletal involvement (40%), eye involvement (25%), neurological involvement (15%) and intestinal involvement (10%). Most patients initiated a biologic treatment within the first year of follow-up. TNF-inhibitor (TNFi) were more frequently prescribed (95%) and one patient was treated with 8 therapeutic cycles of Rituximab (500 mg/weekly for 4 infusions to be repeated after at least 6 months) because of recurrent pancytopenia. All patients experienced non-biologic therapy before starting a TNFi. The preferred first-line TNFi was infliximab (50%), followed by adalimumab (40%) and etanercept (5%). As second line treatment were also prescribed certolizumab (10%) and golimumab (5%). 10 patients switched to a second line treatment because of inefficacy of the first biologic agent, mainly because of refractory arthritis, intestinal and mucocutaneous involvement. One patient switched from infliximab to certolizumab during pregnancy with subsequent worsening of arthritis.

85% of patients treated with biologic agents reached a clinical remission by the time of the latest follow up visit without any safety or tolerability issues.

Conclusion:

A relevant proportion of patients in our BD cohort were treated with biologic therapy, because of severe or refractory manifestations. The most frequent indications were musculoskeletal, neurological or intestinal involvement. Biologic agents were a generally effective and safe therapeutic approach.

References:

[1]F. Alibaz-Oner, M. H. Sawalha, H. Direskeneli. Management of Behçet disease, Curr. Opin. Rheumatol, 2018

Table 1.

General characteristics and disease involvement at diagnosis

Biologic therapyNo biologic therapyp value20 (21.05%)75 (78.95%)General characteristicsMediaSDMediaSDAge at disease onset(years ± SD)34.5± 10.4938.64± 13.18p = 0.1976Diagnostic delay(months ± SD)45.28± 67.4828.09± 48.42p = 0.1996Glucocorticoids at diagnosis (mg prednisone ± SD)16.84± 14.018.89± 11.76p = 0.0115Glucocorticoids at latest follow up visit (mg prednisone ± SD)6.38± 7.763.83± 4.81p = 0.0707N%N%F / M12 / 860 / 4054 / 4172 / 28p = 0.3030Disease involvement at diagnosisOral ulcers2010075100Genital ulcers11553749,33p = 0.6540Cutaneous lesions15755066,67p = 0.4787Eye involvement6302736p = 0.6184Musculoskeletal involvement16803546,67p = 0.0082Neurological involvement630810,67p = 0.0311Intestinal involvement840912p = 0.0039Thrombosis2101824p = 0.1747

Disclosure of Interests:

None declared

FRI0273 EFFECTIVENESS AND RETENTION RATE OF SECUKINUMAB FOR PSORIATIC ARTHRITIS AND AXIAL SPONDYLOARTHRITIS: REAL-LIFE DATA FROM THE ITALIAN LORHEN REGISTRY

Background:

Observational data on the use of secukinumab for the treatment of spondyloarthritides are still lacking. Large population-based registries that allow long-term follow-up have been increasingly used to investigate the performance of biologic drugs in a real life setting.

Objectives:

The aim of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness and the retention rate of secukinumab in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) patients in a real-life setting over a 3-year follow-up period.

Methods:

Data of all PsA and axSpA patients (diagnosed according to CASPAR and ASAS criteria, respectively) treated with secukinumab were prospectively collected in the Italian multicentric LORHEN registry. Effectiveness was measured as the mean change from baseline of Disease Activity in PSoriatic Arthritis score (DAPSA) in PsA and Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS) in axSpA patients. Rates of DAPSA remission and ASDAS inactive disease were also computed. The 3-year retention rate was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared between PsA and axSpA by a log-rank test. A descriptive analysis of reasons for discontinuation was performed.

Results:

The study population included 195 PsA (55.4% females, mean age 50.7 [±11.8] years, mean disease duration 10 [±7.8] years, mean baseline DAPSA 23.12 [±12.3]) and 94 axSpA (61.7% males, mean age 49.1 [±12.7] years, mean disease duration 10.4 [±9.4] years, mean baseline ASDAS 3.41 [±1.1]) patients who received secukinumab as first (26.5 and 33%, respectively) or subsequent biologic agent. Compared with baseline, the 3-, 6- and 12-month mean values of both DAPSA (12.6 [±9], 11.2 [±10.5] and 9.3 [±7.5], respectively) and ASDAS (2.23 [±0.9], 2.15 [±0.9], and 1.84 [±0.9], respectively) were significantly decreased (p<0.001 for all the timepoints). The 3-, 6-, and 12-month rates of remission/inactive disease were 15.5, 25.4, and 30.5% in PsA and 18, 23.7, and 28.6% in axSpA group, respectively. One- and 3-year retention rate (figure 1) were respectively 79.4% and 66.6% in PsA and 72.3% and 70.1% in axSpA patients, with no significant difference between the two groups (p=0.517). The most frequent reason for withdrawal was inefficacy in both PsA (n=41) and axSpA (n=20), whereas only 8 PsA and 6 axSpA patients discontinued secukinumab because of adverse events.

Conclusion:

Our data confirmed in a real-life setting the 1-year clinical efficacy and the 3-year survival of secukinumab in both PsA and axSpA. The safety profile of secukinumab was very favorable for both the indications. No significant differences were observed in the performance of secukinumab between ax-SpA and PsA.

References:

[1]Deodhar A, et al. Arthritis Research & Therapy; 2019.

[2]Mease PJ, et al. RMD Open. BMJ Specialist Journals; 2018;4(2):e000723.

[3]Baraliakos X, et al. Clin Exp Rheumatol. 2018 Jan;36(1):50–5.

Disclosure of Interests:

Ennio Giulio Favalli Consultant of: Consultant and/or speaker for BMS, Eli-Lilly, MSD, UCB, Pfizer, Sanofi-Genzyme, Novartis, and Abbvie, Speakers bureau: Consultant and/or speaker for BMS, Eli-Lilly, MSD, UCB, Pfizer, Sanofi-Genzyme, Novartis, and Abbvie, Antonio Marchesoni Speakers bureau: Abbvie, Pfizer, UCB, Novartis, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Silvia Balduzzi: None declared, Carlomaurizio Montecucco: None declared, Claudia Lomater Consultant of: Advisory board for Sanofi, Novartis, Abbvie, Gloria Crepaldi Consultant of: Advisory board for Sanofi and Celgene, Speakers bureau: BMS, MSD, Silvia Talamini: None declared, Chiara Bazzani: None declared, Enrico Fusaro: None declared, Marta Priora: None declared, Aurora Iannello: None declared, Giuseppe Paolazzi: None declared, Roberto Caporali Consultant of: AbbVie; Gilead Sciences, Inc.; Lilly; Merck Sharp & Dohme; Celgene; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Pfizer; UCB, Speakers bureau: Abbvie; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Celgene; Lilly; Gilead Sciences, Inc; MSD; Pfizer; Roche; UCB

Association of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes with distant disease-free survival in the ShortHER randomized adjuvant trial for patients with early HER2+ breast cancer

BACKGROUND

There is the need to identify new prognostic markers to refine risk stratification for HER2-positive early breast cancer patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) with distant disease-free survival (DDFS) in patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer enrolled in the ShortHER adjuvant trial which compared 9 weeks versus 1-year trastuzumab in addition to chemotherapy, and to test the interaction between TILs and treatment arm.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Stromal TILs were assessed for 866 cases on centralized hematoxylin and eosin-stained tumor slides. The association of TILs as 10% increments with DDFS was assessed with Cox models. Kaplan-Meier curves were estimated for patients with TILs ≥20% and TILs <20%. Median follow-up was 6.1 years.

RESULTS

Median TILs was 5% (Q1-Q3 1%-15%). Increased TILs were independently associated with better DDFS in multivariable model [hazard ratio (HR) 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.59-0.89, P = 0.006, for each 10% TILs increment]. Five years DDFS rates were 91.1% for patients with TILs <20% and 95.7% for patients with TILs ≥20% (P = 0.025). The association between 10% TILs increments and DDFS was significant for patients randomized to 9 weeks of trastuzumab (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.41-0.88) but not for patients treated with 1 year of trastuzumab (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.71-1.12; test for interaction P = 0.088). For patients with TILs <20%, the HR for the comparison between the short versus the long arm was 1.75 (95% CI 1.09-2.80, P=0.021); whereas, for patients with TILs ≥20% the HR for the comparison of short versus long arm was 0.23 (95% CI 0.05-1.09, P = 0.064), resulting in a significant interaction (P = 0.015).

CONCLUSIONS

TILs are an independent prognostic factor for HER2-positive early breast cancer patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy and trastuzumab and may refine the ability to identify patients at low risk of relapse eligible for de-escalated adjuvant therapy.

Patient values and preferences regarding VTE disease: a systematic review to inform American Society of Hematology guidelines

Values and preferences relate to the importance that patients place on health outcomes (eg, bleeding, having a deep venous thrombosis) and are essential when weighing benefits and harms in guideline recommendations. To inform the American Society of Hematology guidelines for management of venous thromboembolism (VTE) disease, we conducted a systematic review of patients' values and preferences related to VTE. We searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, PsycINFO, and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature from inception to April of 2018 (PROSPERO-CRD42018094003). We included quantitative and qualitative studies. We followed Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) guidance for rating the certainty and presenting findings for quantitative research about the relative importance of health outcomes and a grounded theory approach for qualitative thematic synthesis. We identified 14 quantitative studies (2465 participants) describing the relative importance of VTE-related health states in a widely diverse population of patients, showing overall small to important impact on patients' lives (certainty of the evidence from low to moderate). Additionally, evidence from 34 quantitative studies (6424 participants) and 15 qualitative studies (570 participants) revealed that patients put higher value on VTE risk reduction than on the potential harms of the treatment (certainty of evidence from low to moderate). Studies also suggested a clear preference for oral medication over subcutaneous medication (moderate certainty). The observed variability in health state values may be a result of differences in the approaches used to elicit them and the diversity of included populations rather than true variability in values. This finding highlights the necessity to explore the variability induced by different approaches to ascertain values.

American Society of Hematology 2019 guidelines for management of venous thromboembolism: prevention of venous thromboembolism in surgical hospitalized patients

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a common source of perioperative morbidity and mortality.

OBJECTIVE

These evidence-based guidelines from the American Society of Hematology (ASH) intend to support decision making about preventing VTE in patients undergoing surgery.

METHODS

ASH formed a multidisciplinary guideline panel balanced to minimize bias from conflicts of interest. The McMaster University GRADE Centre supported the guideline-development process, including performing systematic reviews. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach was used to assess evidence and make recommendations, which were subject to public comment.

RESULTS

The panel agreed on 30 recommendations, including for major surgery in general (n = 8), orthopedic surgery (n = 7), major general surgery (n = 3), major neurosurgical procedures (n = 2), urological surgery (n = 4), cardiac surgery and major vascular surgery (n = 2), major trauma (n = 2), and major gynecological surgery (n = 2).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients undergoing major surgery in general, the panel made conditional recommendations for mechanical prophylaxis over no prophylaxis, for pneumatic compression prophylaxis over graduated compression stockings, and against inferior vena cava filters. In patients undergoing total hip or total knee arthroplasty, conditional recommendations included using either aspirin or anticoagulants, as well as for a direct oral anticoagulant over low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH). For major general surgery, the panel suggested pharmacological prophylaxis over no prophylaxis, using LMWH or unfractionated heparin. For major neurosurgery, transurethral resection of the prostate, or radical prostatectomy, the panel suggested against pharmacological prophylaxis. For major trauma surgery or major gynecological surgery, the panel suggested pharmacological prophylaxis over no prophylaxis.

Formula feeding increases the risk of antibiotic prescriptions in children up to 2 years: results from a cohort study

Association between the use of infant formula and risks for infants' health is seldom studied in western countries. We set up a historical cohort based on record linkage analysis, combining the data from administrative databases providing individual data. Infants receiving the second dose of pediatric immunization between 2015 and 2017 were included. The main outcome measure was antibiotic prescriptions from enrolment up to 24 months of age, by infant feeding category at enrolment. The extended Cox regression technique was used to account for recurrent events. The infants' cohort included 40,258 5-month-old infants; during the study period, 60,932 antibiotic prescriptions were filled. Compared with infants fully breastfed, children fed with both maternal milk and formula received 106 more antibiotic prescriptions per 1000 children/year, whereas infants receiving formula only had 138 excess prescriptions per 1000 children/year. The association with infant feeding was statistically significant and remained unchanged after adjustment for common confounders (adjusted hazard ratio, HR, for complementary feeding vs full breastfeeding 1.09; 95%CI 1.05 to 1.12; formula only versus full breastfeeding adj. HR 1.12; 95%CI 1.08 to 1.16).Conclusion: In our cohort, we observed a positive association between infant formula use considered a proxy of infections antibiotic prescription rate, considered a proxy of infections. The association followed a gradient.What is Known:• Formula feeding is associated with increased morbidity and mortality even in western countries, but still, it is common.• Information on formula are seldom unbiased; thus, public perception of risks is distorted.What is New:• In a large Italian cohort of infants, formula feeding at 5 months of age results to be associated with an increased rate of antibiotic prescription (considered to be a proxy of infection) up to 24 months of age: the association follows a dose-response relationship.• Record linkage analysis using administrative databases provides useful information at a limited cost.

Nine weeks versus 1 year adjuvant trastuzumab in combination with chemotherapy: final results of the phase III randomized Short-HER study‡

Background

Chemotherapy plus 1-year trastuzumab is the standard adjuvant treatment of HER2-positive breast cancer. The efficacy of less extended trastuzumab exposure is under investigation. The short-HER study was aimed to assess the non-inferiority of 9 weeks versus 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy.

Patients and methods

HER2-positive breast cancer patients with node-positive or, if node negative, with at least one risk factor (pT>2 cm, G3, lympho-vascular invasion, Ki-67 > 20%, age ≤35 years, or hormone receptor negativity) were randomly assigned to receive sequential anthracycline-taxane combinations plus 1-year trastuzumab (arm A, long) or plus 9 weeks trastuzumab (arm B, short). This study was designed as a non-inferiority trial with disease-free survival (DFS) as primary end point. A DFS hazard ratio (HR) <1.29 was chosen as the non-inferiority margin. Analyses according to the frequentist and Bayesian approach were planned. Secondary end points included 2-year failure rate and cardiac safety.

Results

A total of 1254 patients from 82 centers were randomized (arm A, long: n = 627; arm B, short: n = 626). Five-year DFS is 88% in the long and 85% in the short arm. The HR is 1.13 (90% CI 0.89-1.42), with the upper limit of the CI crossing the non-inferiority margin. According to the Bayesian analysis, the probability that the short arm is non-inferior to the long one is 80%. The 5-year overall survival (OS) is 95.2% in the long and 95.0% in the short arm (HR 1.07, 90% CI 0.74-1.56). Cardiac events are significantly lower in the short arm (risk-ratio 0.33, 95% CI 0.22-0.50, P < 0.0001).

Conclusions

This study failed to show the non-inferiority of a shorter trastuzumab administration. One-year trastuzumab remains the standard. However, a 9-week administration decreases the risk of severe cardiac toxicity and can be an option for patients with cardiac events during treatment and for those with a low risk of relapse.

Trial Registration

EUDRACT number: 2007-004326-25; NCI ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00629278.

Validation of the AJCC prognostic stage for HER2-positive breast cancer in the ShortHER trial

BACKGROUND

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging has introduced prognostic stage based on anatomic stage combined with biologic factors. We aimed to validate the prognostic stage in HER2-positive breast cancer patients enrolled in the ShortHER trial.

METHODS

The ShortHER trial randomized 1253 HER2-positive patients to 9 weeks or 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy. Patients were classified according to the anatomic and the prognostic stage. Distant disease-free survival (DDFS) was calculated from randomization to distant relapse or death.

RESULTS

A total of 1244 patients were included. Compared to anatomic stage, the prognostic stage downstaged 41.6% (n = 517) of patients to a more favorable stage category. Five-year DDFS based on anatomic stage was as follows: IA 96.6%, IB 94.1%, IIA 92.4%, IIB 87.3%, IIIA 81.3%, IIIC 70.5% (P < 0.001). Five-year DDFS according to prognostic stage was as follows: IA 95.7%, IB 91.4%, IIA 86.9%, IIB 85.0%, IIIA 77.6%, IIIC 67.7% (P < 0.001). The C index was similar (0.69209 and 0.69249, P = 0.975). Within anatomic stage I, the outcome was similar for patients treated with 9 weeks or 1 year trastuzumab (5-year DDFS 96.2% and 96.6%, P = 0.856). Within prognostic stage I, the outcome was numerically worse for patients treated with 9 weeks trastuzumab (5-year DDFS 93.7% and 96.3%, P = 0.080).

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic stage downstaged 41.6% of patients, while maintaining a similar prognostic performance as the anatomic stage. The prognostic stage is valuable in counseling patients and may serve as reference for a clinical trial design. Our data do not support prognostic stage as guidance to de-escalate treatment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

EUDRACT number: 2007-004326-25; NCI ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT00629278.

Predictive Role Of Body Composition Parameters In Operable Breast Cancer Patients Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

Background

Fat tissue is strongly involved in BC tumorigenesis inducing insulin resistance, chronic inflammation and hormonal changes. Computed tomography (CT) imaging instead of body mass index (BMI) gives a reliable measure of skeletal muscle mass and body fat distribution. The impact of body composition parameters (BCPs) on chemosensitivity is still debated. We examined the associations between BCPs and tumor response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NC) in patients treated for operable breast cancer (BC).

Methods

A retrospective review of BC patients treated with NC in Modena Cancer Center between 2005 and 2017 was performed. BCPs, such as subcutaneous fat area (SFA), visceral fat area (VFA), lumbar skeletal muscle index (LSMI) and liver-to-spleen (L/S) ratio were calculated by Advance workstation (General Electric), software ADW server 3.2 or 4.7. BMI and BCPs were correlated with pathological complete response (pCR) and survival outcomes.

Results

407 patients were included in the study: 55% with BMI < 25 and 45% with BMI ≥ 25. 137 of them had pre-treatment CT scan imagines. Overweight was significantly associated with postmenopausal status and older age. Hormonal receptor positive BC was more frequent in overweight patients (p<0.05). Postmenopausal women had higher VFA, fatty liver disease and obesity compared to premenopausal patients. No association between BMI classes and tumor response was detected. High VFA and liver steatosis were negative predictive factors for pCR (pCR rate: 36% normal VFA vs 20% high VFA, p= 0.048; no steatosis 32% vs steatosis 13%, p=0.056). Neither BMI classes nor BCPs significantly influenced overall survival and relapse-free survival.

Conclusion

Visceral adiposity as well as steatosis were closely involved in chemosensitivity in BC patients treated with NC. Their measures from clinically acquired CT scans provide significant predictive information that outperform BMI value. More research is required to evaluate the relationship among adiposity site and survival outcomes.

How to perform a meta-analysis with R: a practical tutorial

OBJECTIVE

Meta-analysis is of fundamental importance to obtain an unbiased assessment of the available evidence. In general, the use of meta-analysis has been increasing over the last three decades with mental health as a major research topic. It is then essential to well understand its methodology and interpret its results. In this publication, we describe how to perform a meta-analysis with the freely available statistical software environment R, using a working example taken from the field of mental health.

METHODS

R package meta is used to conduct standard meta-analysis. Sensitivity analyses for missing binary outcome data and potential selection bias are conducted with R package metasens. All essential R commands are provided and clearly described to conduct and report analyses.

RESULTS

The working example considers a binary outcome: we show how to conduct a fixed effect and random effects meta-analysis and subgroup analysis, produce a forest and funnel plot and to test and adjust for funnel plot asymmetry. All these steps work similar for other outcome types.

CONCLUSIONS

R represents a powerful and flexible tool to conduct meta-analyses. This publication gives a brief glimpse into the topic and provides directions to more advanced meta-analysis methods available in R.

PAM50 HER2-enriched subtype as an independent prognostic factor in early-stage HER2+ breast cancer following adjuvant chemotherapy plus trastuzumab in the ShortHER trial

544

Background: We investigated the prognostic role of the PAM50 HER2-enriched (HER2-E) subtype in HER2+ early breast cancer enrolled in the randomized Phase III ShortHER trial. Methods: The ShortHER study randomized 1254 HER2+ early breast cancer patients to receive 9 weeks vs 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy. Gene expression measured using nCounter platform was available for 438 surgical samples. Intrinsic subtyping was determined using the research-based PAM50 predictor. Metastasis-free survival (MFS) was calculated from randomization to distant disease recurrence or death (median follow up 72 months). Uni- and multi-variable analysis were performed using Cox models. Results: PAM50 subtype distribution was: HER2-E 53% (N = 233), Luminal A 20% (N = 87), Luminal B 10% (N = 43), Normal-like 11% (N = 48) and Basal-like 6% (N = 27). HER2-E subtype was associated with hormone receptor-negative status (p < 0.001) and TILs ≥20% (p < 0.001), but not with stage and age ( < or ≥60 yrs). HER2-E subtype was associated with worse MFS vs other PAM50 subtypes overall (HR 2.78, p = 0.001), in the short (HR 2.24, p = 0.046), and in the long arm (HR 4.04, p = 0.011). Multivariable Cox model confirmed the independent prognostic value of HER2-E subtype (Table). HER2-E subtype added significant prognostic value on top of clinicopathological variables (Likelihood ratio test p < 0.001). Conclusions: HER2-E intrinsic subtype is an independent prognostic factor for HER2+ early breast cancer patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy and trastuzumab. Integration of PAM50 subtype in prognostic algorithms can help refine risk stratification. These findings warrant independent validation. Clinical trial information: NCT00629278. [Table: see text]

American Society of Hematology 2018 guidelines for management of venous thromboembolism: prophylaxis for hospitalized and nonhospitalized medical patients

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the third most common vascular disease. Medical inpatients, long-term care residents, persons with minor injuries, and long-distance travelers are at increased risk.

OBJECTIVE

These evidence-based guidelines from the American Society of Hematology (ASH) intend to support patients, clinicians, and others in decisions about preventing VTE in these groups.

METHODS

ASH formed a multidisciplinary guideline panel balanced to minimize potential bias from conflicts of interest. The McMaster University GRADE Centre supported the guideline-development process, including updating or performing systematic evidence reviews. The panel prioritized clinical questions and outcomes according to their importance for clinicians and adult patients. The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach was used to assess evidence and make recommendations, which were subject to public comment.

RESULTS

The panel agreed on 19 recommendations for acutely ill and critically ill medical inpatients, people in long-term care facilities, outpatients with minor injuries, and long-distance travelers.

CONCLUSIONS

Strong recommendations included provision of pharmacological VTE prophylaxis in acutely or critically ill inpatients at acceptable bleeding risk, use of mechanical prophylaxis when bleeding risk is unacceptable, against the use of direct oral anticoagulants during hospitalization, and against extending pharmacological prophylaxis after hospital discharge. Conditional recommendations included not to use VTE prophylaxis routinely in long-term care patients or outpatients with minor VTE risk factors. The panel conditionally recommended use of graduated compression stockings or low-molecular-weight heparin in long-distance travelers only if they are at high risk for VTE.

Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy as an Alternative to Lobectomy in Patients With Medically Operable Stage I NSCLC: A Retrospective, Multicenter Analysis

BACKGROUND

Stereotactic ablative body radiation therapy (SBRT) has evolved as the standard treatment for patients with inoperable stage I non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We report the results of a retrospective analysis conducted on a large, well-controlled cohort of patients with stage I to II NSCLC who underwent lobectomy (LOB) or SBRT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred eighty-seven patients with clinical-stage T1a-T2bNoMO NSCLC were treated in 2 academic hospitals between August 2008 and May 2015. Patients underwent LOB or SBRT; those undergoing SBRT were sub-classified as surgical candidates and nonsurgical candidates, according to the presence of surgical contraindications or comorbidities.

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, no significant difference was found in local control between patients who underwent SBRT and LOB, with a trend in favor of surgery (hazard ratio [HR], 0.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.07-1.01; P < .053). Univariate analysis showed that overall survival (OS) was significantly better in patients who underwent LOB (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.23-0.85) with a 3-year OS of 73.4% versus 65.2% for surgery and radiation therapy patients, respectively (P < .01). However, no difference in OS was observed between operable patients undergoing SBRT and patients who underwent LOB (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 0.72-3.90). Progression-free survival was comparable between patients who underwent LOB and SBRT (HR, 0.61; P = .09).

CONCLUSION

SBRT is a valid therapeutic approach in early-stage NSCLC. Furthermore, SBRT seems to be very well-tolerated and might lead to the same optimal locoregional control provided by surgery for patients with either operable or inoperable early-stage NSCLC.

Outpatient parents' views on shared-decision-making at an Italian children's hospital

Information is lacking on what parents in southern European countries know and how they view clinical shared-decision-making (SDM) for their children. This survey assesses general parental views on SDM and patient-physician SDM relationships in an Italian paediatric outpatients' clinic. In a 3-month cross-sectional survey, we enrolled 458 consecutive native and foreign Italian-speaking parents bringing their children to our public hospital for various reasons. Parents completed an anonymous questionnaire exploring their general views on SDM, including what doctor-patient relationship predominates today, and what approach reassures them most. Multivariate logistic regression analysed outcome data from parental questionnaire answers. Results are reported as percentages, odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Multivariate logistic regression showed that 440 parents (96.1%) appreciated SDM, 245 (53.5%) preferred SDM for choosing children's treatment, 126 (27.5%) answered that SDM is the predominant relationship today, and most parents 275 (60.0%) felt reassured by SDM. More native than foreign Italian-speaking parents preferred SDM (97.0 vs 89.7%, OR = 3.8; 95% CI = 1.4-10.8). Highly-educated parents preferred SDM for choosing their child's therapy (57.9 vs 34.1%, OR = 2.7; 95% CI = 1.6-4.4) and this approach reassured them (64.3 vs 41.2%, OR = 2.5; 95% CI = 1.6-4.1). In conclusion, parents bringing children to an Italian outpatient clinic, especially highly-educated parents, wish to be offered SDM and find it reassuring. These findings should encourage paediatricians working in a challenging multicultural environment to change their physician-centred approach and engage parents in tailored SDM strategies.

Abstract P1-13-02: Withdrawn

This abstract was withdrawn by the authors.

Effectiveness of support groups to improve the quality of life of people with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis a pre-post test pilot study

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE WORK

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis (IPF) is an interstitial lung disease, which progressively leads to severe disability and death. The average survival expectancy, ranges from 3 to 5 years from diagnosis, and the available medicines do not lead to healing. The progression of IPF lead to a decline in forced vital capacity (FVC), dyspnea, cough, continuous sleep interruptions, resulting in increased fatigue and deteriorating quality of life (QOL), progressive limitation of daily life activities and social life, with repercussions on psychological and emotional well-being, aggravated by anxiety, loss of sense of self-confidence and depression. The aim of the study was to evaluate how the support groups influence the psychological well-being of people with IPF and their family members.

METHODS

A pre-post test pilot study with a single group was conducted in a university hospital in Northern Italy, a centre for diagnosis and treatment of IPF. A support group was conducted by a nurse and entirely dedicated to people with IPF and their family members. Eighteen participants were enrolled in the support group. To measure the changes in psychological well-being was chosen the Psychological General Well-Being Index (PGWBI), which was administered at the time of enrolment to the group and after six months of attendance.

RESULTS

Even if the effect is not statistically significant, the paired t-test showed that the participation in a support group conducted by a nurse, could increase psychological well-being in all of its dimensions: anxiety, depression, positivity, self-control, overall health, and vitality.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the null association, the increase of psychological well-being, closely related to the quality of life, indicates the need to further studies. In the absence of effective pharmacological treatments for healing, the support groups represent an opportunity for the wellbeing of the IPF patients and their caregivers.

Indicators of Complex Care During the Consultation-Liaison Psychiatry Activity at the Transplant Center of the Policlinico Hospital, Modena

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to identify possible biopsychosocial predictors of organizational complexity in patients referred to the consultant psychiatrist for assessment before liver transplantation.

METHODS

This was a case-control study. All psychiatric consultations performed before and after liver transplantation from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2013 were included. Complexity was operationalized as "undergoing two or more psychiatric consultations". Controls were defined as patients who were assessed only once by the consultant. Cases were represented by patients who underwent two or more consultations. Statistical analysis was performed with STATA 13.1, using logistic regressions.

RESULTS

In this study, 515 consultations were requested for 309 patients potentially eligible for liver transplantation. Controls were 209 (67.6%); cases were 100 (32.4%). Positive psychiatric history (odds ratio [OR] = 2.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.43-4.16), viral or toxic (alcohol- or drug-related) liver disease (OR = 1.93; 95% CI, 1.09-3.42), use of psychotropic medications at the baseline (OR = 2.15; 95% CI, 1.14-4.07), and female gender (OR = 1.77; 95% CI, 1.01-3.11) were significantly associated with an increased probability of being cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Positive psychiatric history, viral or toxic liver disease, use of psychotropic medications at the index referral, and female gender are possible biopsychosocial predictors of complexity in patients eligible for liver transplantation.

Tests for detecting strabismus in children aged 1 to 6 years in the community

BACKGROUND

Strabismus (misalignment of the eyes) is a risk factor for impaired visual development both of visual acuity and of stereopsis. Detection of strabismus in the community by non-expert examiners may be performed using a number of different index tests that include direct measures of misalignment (corneal or fundus reflex tests), or indirect measures such as stereopsis and visual acuity. The reference test to detect strabismus by trained professionals is the cover‒uncover test.

OBJECTIVES

To assess and compare the accuracy of tests, alone or in combination, for detection of strabismus in children aged 1 to 6 years, in a community setting by non-expert screeners or primary care professionals to inform healthcare commissioners setting up childhood screening programmes.Secondary objectives were to investigate sources of heterogeneity of diagnostic accuracy.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL; 2016, Issue 12) (which contains the Cochrane Eyes and Vision Trials Register) in the Cochrane Library, the Health Technology Assessment Database (HTAD) in the Cochrane Library (2016, Issue 4), MEDLINE Ovid (1946 to 5 January 2017), Embase Ovid (1947 to 5 January 2017), CINAHL (January 1937 to 5 January 2017), Web of Science Conference Proceedings Citation Index-Science (CPCI-S) (January 1990 to 5 January 2017), BIOSIS Previews (January 1969 to 5 January 2017), MEDION (to 18 August 2014), the Aggressive Research Intelligence Facility database (ARIF) (to 5 January 2017), the ISRCTN registry (www.isrctn.com/editAdvancedSearch); searched 5 January 2017, ClinicalTrials.gov (www.clinicaltrials.gov); searched 5 January 2017 and the World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) (www.who.int/ictrp/search/en); searched 5 January 2017. We did not use any date or language restrictions in the electronic searches for trials. In addition, orthoptic journals and conference proceedings without electronic listings were searched.

SELECTION CRITERIA

All prospective or retrospective population-based test accuracy studies of consecutive participants were included. Studies compared a single or combination of index tests with the reference test. Only those studies with sufficient data for analysis were included specifically to calculate sensitivity and specificity and determine diagnostic accuracy.Participants were aged 1 to 6 years. Studies reporting participants outside this range were included if subgroup data were available.Permitted settings included population-based vision screening programmes or opportunistic screening programmes, such as those performed in schools.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We used standard methodological procedures expected by Cochrane. In brief, two review authors independently assessed titles and abstracts for eligibility and extracted the data, with a third senior author resolving any disagreement. We analysed data primarily for specificity and sensitivity.

MAIN RESULTS

One study from a total of 1236 papers, abstracts and trials was eligible for inclusion with a total number of participants of 335 of which 271 completed both the screening test and the gold standard test. The screening test using an automated photoscreener had a sensitivity of 0.46 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.19 to 0.75) and specificity of 0.97 (CI 0.94 to 0.99). The overall number affected by strabismus was low at 13 (4.8%).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

There is very limited data in the literature to ascertain the accuracy of tests for detecting strabismus in the community as performed by non-expert screeners. A large prospective study to compare methods would be required to determine which tests have the greatest accuracy.

Systematic review of maternal voice interventions demonstrates increased stability in preterm infants

We systematically reviewed how effectively maternal voice interventions supported the clinical outcomes and development of preterm infants. A total of 512 preterm infants were included in 15 studies with different designs, from January 2000 to July 2015. Live and recorded maternal voice interventions were associated with the physiologic and behavioural stabilisation of preterm infants, with fewer cardiorespiratory events, but the evidence was insufficient to evaluate the long-term effects. Well-defined determinants and clear setting conditions are needed for such interventions.

CONCLUSION

Further research that investigates the long-term efficacy and effects of live maternal voices on preterm infant development is needed.

9 weeks vs 1 year adjuvant trastuzumab in combination with chemotherapy: Results of the phase III multicentric Italian study Short-HER

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Background: 1-year trastuzumab with chemotherapy is the standard adjuvant treatment for HER2+ breast cancer patients (pts). The efficacy of less extended trastuzumab exposure is still under investigation. The Short-HER study is an independent, non-profit study aimed to test the non-inferiority of 9 weeks vs 1 year of adjuvant trastuzumab. Methods: This is a phase III, multicenter, Italian trial where pts with HER2+ breast cancer were randomly assigned to: Arm A (Long) AC or ECx4 followed by 4 courses of 3-weekly docetaxel in combination with trastuzumab, followed by 14 additional courses of 3-weekly trastuzumab; or Arm B (Short) 3 courses of 3-weekly docetaxel plus weekly trastuzumab for 9 doses followed by FEC x3. When indicated, radiation therapy was administered after the completion of chemotherapy. Hormonal therapy started at the completion of chemotherapy for pts with hormone receptor positive tumors. This is a non-inferiority trial with disease-free survival (DFS) as primary end-point.Overall survival (OS) is evaluated as second primary analysis outcome. The sample size of 1250 pts has been estimated based on a hazard ratio <1.29 for the short arm to be non-inferior. The definitive analysis will take place after 198 DFS events. Secondary aims include 2-yrs failure rate, cardiac toxicity, correlative biomarkers analyses. Hazard ratio for DFS and OS (90% CI) will be estimated according to the Cox model. Data will also be analyzed by the Bayesian approach. Results: from Dec-2007 to Oct-2013, 1254 pts from 82 centers have been randomized. Pts characteristics are the following: median age 55 yrs (25-78), stage I 37.3%, IIA 40%, IIB 20.6%, III 2.1%. 30% of the pts had 1-3 positive nodes, 16% >=4. Sixty-eight% of the pts had ER+ tumors. Characteristics were balanced between the two arms. At the time of this writing, 95% of the planned DFS events have been reported. 105 Grade ≥2 cardiac events have been reported, 78 in arm A (long) and 27 in arm B (short). Grade 3-4 cardiac events were 20 in arm A and 11 in arm B. Conclusions: Shorter trastuzumab administration almost halves the rate of severe cardiac toxicity. Final DFS data will be available at the time of the meeting. Clinical trial information: NCT00629278.

Accuracy of serum procalcitonin for the diagnosis of sepsis in neonates and children with systemic inflammatory syndrome: a meta-analysis

Background

A number of biomarkers have been studied for the diagnosis of sepsis in paediatrics, but no gold standard has been identified. Procalcitonin (PCT) was demonstrated to be an accurate biomarker for the diagnosis of sepsis in adults and showed to be promising in paediatrics. Our study reviewed the diagnostic accuracy of PCT as an early biomarker of sepsis in neonates and children with suspected sepsis.

Methods

A comprehensive literature search was carried out in Medline/Pubmed, Embase, ISI Web of Science, CINAHL and Cochrane Library, for studies assessing PCT accuracy in the diagnosis of sepsis in children and neonates with suspected sepsis. Studies in which the presence of infection had been confirmed microbiologically or classified as “probable” by chart review were included. Studies comparing patients to healthy subjects were excluded. We analysed data on neonates and children separately.

Our primary outcome was the diagnostic accuracy of PCT at the cut-off of 2-2.5 ng/ml, while as secondary outcomes we analysed PCT cut-offs <2 ng/ml and >2.5 ng/ml. Pooled sensitivities and specificities were calculated by a bivariate meta-analysis and heterogeneity was graphically evaluated.

Results

We included 17 studies, with a total of 1408 patients (1086 neonates and 322 children). Studies on neonates with early onset sepsis (EOS) and late onset sepsis (LOS) were grouped together. In the neonatal group, we calculated a sensitivity of 0.85, confidence interval (CI) (0.76; 0.90) and specificity of 0.54, CI (0.38; 0.70) at the PCT cut-off of 2.0-2.5 ng/ml. In the paediatric group it was not possible to undertake a pooled analysis at the PCT cut-off of 2.0-2.5 ng/ml, due to the paucity of the studies.

Conclusions

PCT shows a moderate accuracy for the diagnosis of sepsis in neonates with suspected sepsis at the cut-off of 2.0-2.5 ng/ml. More studies with high methodological quality are warranted, particularly in neonates, studies considering EOS and LOS separately are needed to improve specificity.

Trial registration

PROSPERO Identifier: CRD42016033809. Registered 30 Jan 2016.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-017-2396-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Estimate of false-positive breast cancer diagnoses from accuracy studies: a systematic review

Background

False-positive histological diagnoses have the same consequences of overdiagnosis in terms of unnecessary treatment. The aim of this systematic review is to assess their frequency at needle core biopsy (CB) and/or surgical excision of the breast.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library were systematically searched up to 30 October 2015. Eligibility criteria: cross-sectional studies assessing diagnostic accuracy of CB compared with surgical excision; studies assessing reproducibility of pathologists reading the same slides. Outcomes: false-positive rates; Misclassification of Benign as Malignant (MBM) histological diagnosis; K statistic. Independent reviewers extracted data and assessed quality using an adapted QUADAS-2 tool.

Results

Sixteen studies assessed CB false-positive rates. In 10 studies (41 989 screen-detected lesions), the range of false-positive rates was 0%–7.1%. Twenty-seven studies assessed pathologists' reproducibility. Studies with consecutive, random or stratified samples of all the specimens: at CB the MBM range was 0.25%–2.4% (K values 0.83–0.98); at surgical excision, it was 0.67%–1.2% (K values 0.86–0.94). Studies with enriched samples: the MBM range was 1.4%–6.2% (K values 0.57–0.86). Studies of cases selected for second opinion: the MBM range was 0.29%–12.2% (K values 0.48 and 0.50).

Conclusions

High heterogeneity of the included studies precluded formal pooling estimates. When considering studies of higher sample size or methodological quality, false-positive rates and MBM are around 1%. The impact of false-positive histological diagnoses of breast cancer on unnecessary treatment, as well as that of overdiagnosis, is not negligible and is of importance in clinical practice.

Impact of time to surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in operable breast cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The optimal time interval between the end of neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NST) and breast surgery is still unclear. It is not known if a delay in surgery might influence the benefit of primary chemotherapy. The aim of this study is to evaluate the relationship between time to surgery (TTS) and survival outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

According to TTS, women with diagnosis of BC treated with NST were divided into two cohorts: group A = 21 days or fewer and group B = longer than 21 days. OS and RFS were estimated and compared according to TTS and known prognostic factors.

RESULTS

A total of 319 patients were included in the study: 61 in group A and 258 in group B. Median TTS was 34 days. No association between clinical stage, nuclear grade, type of chemotherapy, type of surgery and TTS was detected. OS and RFS were significantly worse for group B compared with group A, with a hazard ratio of 3.1 (95% CI, 1.1-8.6 p = 0.03) and 3.1 (95% CI, 1.3-7.1 p = 0.008) respectively. Multivariate analysis confirmed that TTS was an independent prognostic factor in term of OS (p = 0.03) and RFS (p = 0.01). Even in the subgroup of patients with pCR, TTS continued to be an independent prognostic factor for both OS and RFS (p = 0.05 and p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

TTS after NST seems to influence survival outcomes. BC patients underwent surgery within 21 days experienced maximal benefit from previous treatment: this advantage is consistent and maintained over time.