Chronic kidney disease and risk of bloodstream infections and sepsis: a 17-year follow-up of the population-based Trøndelag Health Study in Norway

PURPOSE

Bloodstream infections (BSI) and sepsis are important causes of hospitalization, loss of health, and death globally. Targetable risk factors need to be identified to improve prevention and treatment. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the association of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and risk of and mortality from BSI and sepsis in the general population during a 22-year period.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study among participants in the population-based Norwegian HUNT Study, where 68,438 participated. The median follow-up time was 17.4 years. The exposures were estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) in urine. The outcomes were hazard ratios (HR) of hospital admission or death due to BSI or sepsis. The associations were adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, obesity, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, and cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

Participants with eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.732 had HR 3.35 for BSI (95% confidence intervals (CI) 2.12-5.3) and HR 2.94 for sepsis (95% CI 1.82-4.8) compared to normal eGFR (≥ 90 ml/min/1.732). HRs of death from BSI and sepsis were 4.2 (95% CI 1.71-10.4) and 4.1 (95% CI 1.88-8.9), respectively. Participants with severely increased albuminuria (ACR > 30 mg/mmol) had HR 3.60 for BSI (95% CI 2.30-5.6) and 3.14 for sepsis (95% CI 1.94-5.1) compared to normal albumin excretion (ACR < 3 mg/mmol). HRs of death were 2.67 (95% CI 0.82-8.7) and 2.16 (95% CI 0.78-6.0), respectively.

CONCLUSION

In this large population-based cohort study, CKD was clearly associated with an increased risk of BSI and sepsis and related death.

Birth weight influences cardiac structure, function, and disease risk: evidence of a causal association

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Low birth weight is a common pregnancy complication, which has been associated with higher risk of cardiometabolic disease in later life. Prior Mendelian randomization (MR) studies exploring this question do not distinguish the mechanistic contributions of variants that directly influence birth weight through the foetal genome (direct foetal effects), vs. variants influencing birth weight indirectly by causing an adverse intrauterine environment (indirect maternal effects). In this study, MR was used to assess whether birth weight, independent of intrauterine influences, is associated with cardiovascular disease risk and measures of adverse cardiac structure and function.

METHODS

Uncorrelated (r2 < .001), genome-wide significant (P < 5 × 10-8) single nucleotide polymorphisms were extracted from genome-wide association studies summary statistics for birth weight overall, and after isolating direct foetal effects only. Inverse-variance weighted MR was utilized for analyses on outcomes of atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, heart failure, ischaemic stroke, and 16 measures of cardiac structure and function. Multiple comparisons were accounted for by Benjamini-Hochberg correction.

RESULTS

Lower genetically-predicted birth weight, isolating direct foetal effects only, was associated with an increased risk of coronary artery disease (odds ratio 1.21, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.37; P = .031), smaller chamber volumes, and lower stroke volume, but higher contractility.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study support a causal role of low birth weight in cardiovascular disease, even after accounting for the influence of the intrauterine environment. This suggests that individuals with a low birth weight may benefit from early targeted cardiovascular disease prevention strategies, independent of whether this was linked to an adverse intrauterine environment during gestation.

Autoimmune diseases and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma: A Mendelian randomisation study

Objective

To examine whether genetically predicted susceptibility to ten autoimmune diseases (Behçet's disease, coeliac disease, dermatitis herpetiformis, lupus, psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, sarcoidosis, Sjögren's syndrome, systemic sclerosis, and type 1 diabetes) is associated with risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL).

Design

Two sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study.

Setting

Genome wide association studies (GWASs) of ten autoimmune diseases, NHL, and four NHL subtypes (i.e., follicular lymphoma, mature T/natural killer-cell lymphomas, non-follicular lymphoma, and other and unspecified types of NHL).

Analysis

We used data from the largest publicly available GWASs of European ancestry for each autoimmune disease, NHL, and NHL subtypes. For each autoimmune disease, we extracted single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) strongly associated (P < 5×10-8) with that disease and that were independent of one another (R2 < 1×10-3) as genetic instruments. SNPs within the human leukocyte antigen region were not considered due to potential pleiotropy. Our primary MR analysis was the inverse-variance weighted analysis. Additionally, we conducted MR-Egger, weighted mode, and weighted median regression to address potential bias due to pleiotropy, and robust adjusted profile scores to address weak instrument bias. We carried out sensitivity analysis limited to the non-immune pathway for nominally significant findings. To account for multiple testing, we set the thresholds for statistical significance at P < 5×10-3.

Participants

The number of cases and controls identified in the relevant GWASs were 437 and 3,325 for Behçet's disease, 4,918 and 5,684 for coeliac disease, 435 and 341,188 for dermatitis herpetiformis, 4,576 and 8,039 for lupus, 11,988 and 275,335 for psoriasis, 22,350 and 74,823 for rheumatoid arthritis, 3,597 and 337,121 for sarcoidosis, 2,735 and 332,115 for Sjögren's syndrome, 9,095 and 17,584 for systemic sclerosis, 18,942 and 501,638 for type 1 diabetes, 2,400 and 410,350 for NHL; and 296 to 2,340 cases and 271,463 controls for NHL subtypes.

Exposures

Genetic variants predicting ten autoimmune diseases: Behçet's disease, coeliac disease, dermatitis herpetiformis, lupus, psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, sarcoidosis, Sjögren's syndrome, systemic sclerosis, and type 1 diabetes.

Main outcome measures

Estimated associations between genetically predicted susceptibility to ten autoimmune diseases and the risk of NHL.

Results

The variance of each autoimmune disease explained by the SNPs ranged from 0.3% to 3.1%. Negative associations between type 1 diabetes and sarcoidosis and the risk of NHL were observed (odds ratio [OR] 0.95, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.92 to 0.98, P = 5×10-3, and OR 0.92, 95% CI: 0.85 to 0.99, P = 2.8×10-2, respectively). These findings were supported by the sensitivity analyses accounting for potential pleiotropy and weak instrument bias. No significant associations were found between the other eight autoimmune diseases and NHL risk. Of the NHL subtypes, type 1 diabetes was most strongly associated with follicular lymphoma (OR 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86 to 0.96, P = 1×10-3), while sarcoidosis was most strongly associated with other and unspecified NHL (OR 0.86, 95% CI: 0.75 to 0.97, P = 1.8×10-2).

Conclusions

These findings suggest that genetically predicted susceptibility to type 1 diabetes, and to some extent sarcoidosis, might reduce the risk of NHL. However, future studies with different datasets, approaches, and populations are warranted to further examine the potential associations between these autoimmune diseases and the risk of NHL.

Mediating Factors in the Association of Maternal Educational Level With Pregnancy Outcomes: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Importance

Lower educational attainment is associated with increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, but it is unclear which pathways mediate this association.

Objective

To investigate the association between educational attainment and pregnancy outcomes and the proportion of this association that is mediated through modifiable cardiometabolic risk factors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this 2-sample mendelian randomization (MR) cohort study, uncorrelated (R2 < 0.01) single-nucleotide variants (formerly single-nucleotide polymorphisms) associated with the exposure (P < 5 × 10-8) and mediators and genetic associations with the pregnancy outcomes from genome-wide association studies were extracted. All participants were of European ancestry and were largely from Finland, Iceland, the United Kingdom, or the US. The inverse variance-weighted method was used in the main analysis, and the weighted median, weighted mode, and MR Egger regression were used in sensitivity analyses. In mediation analyses, the direct effect of educational attainment estimated in multivariable MR was compared with the total effect estimated in the main univariable MR analysis. Data were extracted between December 1, 2022, and April 30, 2023.

Exposure

Genetically estimated educational attainment. The mediators considered were genetically estimated type 2 diabetes, body mass index, smoking, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, and systolic blood pressure.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Ectopic pregnancy, hyperemesis gravidarum, gestational diabetes, preeclampsia, preterm birth, and offspring birth weight.

Results

The analyses included 3 037 499 individuals with data on educational attainment, and those included in studies on pregnancy outcomes ranged from 141 014 for ectopic pregnancy to 270 002 with data on offspring birth weight. Each SD increase in genetically estimated educational attainment (ie, 3.4 years) was associated with an increased birth weight of 42 (95% CI, 28-56) g and an odds ratio ranging from 0.53 (95% CI, 0.46-0.60) for ectopic pregnancy to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.71-0.93) for preeclampsia. The combined proportion of the association that was mediated by the 5 cardiometabolic risk factors ranged from -17% (95% CI, -46% to 26%) for hyperemesis gravidarum to 78% (95% CI, 10%-208%) for preeclampsia. Sensitivity analyses accounting for pleiotropy were consistent with the main analyses.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this MR cohort study, intervening for type 2 diabetes, body mass index, smoking, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, and systolic blood pressure may lead to reductions in several adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with lower levels of education. Such public health interventions would serve to reduce health disparities attributable to social inequalities.

Pharmacologic and Genetic Downregulation of Proprotein Convertase Subtilisin/Kexin Type 9 and Survival From Sepsis

OBJECTIVES

Treatments that prevent sepsis complications are needed. Circulating lipid and protein assemblies-lipoproteins play critical roles in clearing pathogens from the bloodstream. We investigated whether early inhibition of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) may accelerate bloodstream clearance of immunogenic bacterial lipids and improve sepsis outcomes.

DESIGN

Genetic and clinical epidemiology, and experimental models.

SETTING

Human genetics cohorts, secondary analysis of a phase 3 randomized clinical trial enrolling patients with cardiovascular disease (Evaluation of Cardiovascular Outcomes After an Acute Coronary Syndrome During Treatment With Alirocumab [ODYSSEY OUTCOMES]; NCT01663402), and experimental murine models of sepsis.

PATIENTS OR SUBJECTS

Nine human cohorts with sepsis (total n = 12,514) were assessed for an association between sepsis mortality and PCSK9 loss-of-function (LOF) variants. Incident or fatal sepsis rates were evaluated among 18,884 participants in a post hoc analysis of ODYSSEY OUTCOMES. C57BI/6J mice were used in Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia sepsis models, and in lipopolysaccharide-induced animal models.

INTERVENTIONS

Observational human cohort studies used genetic PCSK9 LOF variants as instrumental variables. ODYSSEY OUTCOMES participants were randomized to alirocumab or placebo. Mice were administered alirocumab, a PCSK9 inhibitor, at 5 mg/kg or 25 mg/kg subcutaneously, or isotype-matched control, 48 hours prior to the induction of bacterial sepsis. Mice did not receive other treatments for sepsis.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Across human cohort studies, the effect estimate for 28-day mortality after sepsis diagnosis associated with genetic PCSK9 LOF was odds ratio = 0.86 (95% CI, 0.67-1.10; p = 0.24). A significant association was present in antibiotic-treated patients. In ODYSSEY OUTCOMES, sepsis frequency and mortality were infrequent and did not significantly differ by group, although both were numerically lower with alirocumab vs. placebo (relative risk of death from sepsis for alirocumab vs. placebo, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.32-1.20; p = 0.15). Mice treated with alirocumab had lower endotoxin levels and improved survival.

CONCLUSIONS

PCSK9 inhibition may improve clinical outcomes in sepsis in preventive, pretreatment settings.

Association of Genetically Predicted Insomnia With Risk of Sepsis: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Importance

Insomnia has been associated with altered inflammatory response as well as increased risk of infections and sepsis in observational studies. However, these studies are prone to bias, such as residual confounding. To further understand the potential causal association between insomnia and sepsis risk, a 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approach should be explored.

Objective

To evaluate whether genetically predicted insomnia is associated with risk of sepsis.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Two-sample MR was performed to estimate the association between genetically predicted insomnia and sepsis risk. Data were obtained from a genome-wide association study identifying 555 independent genetic variants (R2 < 0.01) strongly associated with insomnia (P < 5 × 10-8). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address bias due to pleiotropy and sample overlap, along with mediation analyses and sex-stratified analyses. The insomnia data set included 2.4 million individuals of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and 23andMe. For sepsis, 462 918 individuals of European ancestry from the UK Biobank were included. Data were extracted between February and December 2022 and analyzed between March 2022 and March 2023.

Exposure

Genetically predicted insomnia.

Main Outcome and Measure

Sepsis.

Results

There were 593 724 individuals with insomnia and 10 154 cases of sepsis. A doubling in the population prevalence of genetically predicted insomnia was associated with an odds ratio of 1.37 (95% CI, 1.19-1.57; P = 7.6 × 10-6) for sepsis. Sensitivity analyses supported this observation. One-third of the association between genetically predicted insomnia and risk of sepsis was mediated through a combination of cardiometabolic risk factors for sepsis (body mass index, type 2 diabetes, smoking, or cardiovascular disease; overall proportion, 35.2%; 95% CI, 5.1-76.9). The association between insomnia and sepsis was more pronounced among women compared with men (women: odds ratio, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.24-1.68; men: OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.86-1.40).

Conclusions and Relevance

The concordance between these findings and previous observational studies supports that insomnia is potentially causally associated with the risk of sepsis. Thus, insomnia is a potential preventable risk factor of sepsis that should be further investigated, also in non-European populations.

Role of fungal burden in risk stratification of HIV-negative patients with Pneumocystis pneumonia: A 12-year, retrospective, observational, multicenter cohort

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the role of fungal burden in risk stratification of patients without HIV-negative patients with Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP).

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of the characteristics associated with 30-day mortality in patients who were positive for P. jirovecii using polymerase chain reaction in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid between 2006 and 2017 in a multicenter cohort from Central Norway. The fungal burden was indicated by the cycle threshold (CT) values from semiquantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction targeting the β-tubulin gene.

RESULTS

We included 170 patients with proven or probable PCP. The all-cause 30-day mortality was 18.2%. After adjusting for host characteristics and premorbid corticosteroid use, a higher fungal burden was associated with a higher risk of dying: adjusted odds ratio 1.42 (95% confidence interval 0.48-4.25) for a CT value 31-36, increasing to odds ratio 5.43 (95% confidence interval 1.48-19.9) for a CT value ≤30 compared with patients with a CT value ≥37. The Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) improved the risk stratification: patients with a CT value ≥37 and CCI ≤2 had a 9% mortality risk compared with 70% among those with a CT value ≤30 and CCI ≥6. Comorbid cardiovascular disease, solid tumors, immunological disorders, premorbid corticosteroids, hypoxemia, abnormal leukocyte counts, low serum albumin, and C-reactive protein ≥100 were also independently associated with 30-day mortality. The sensitivity analyses did not suggest selection bias.

CONCLUSION

Fungal burden may improve the risk stratification of patients without HIV-negative patients with PCP.

Gestational age at birth and hospitalisations for infections among individuals aged 0-50 years in Norway: a longitudinal, register-based, cohort study

Background

Preterm birth is associated with increased risk of childhood infections. Whether this risk persists into adulthood is unknown and limited information is available on risk patterns across the full range of gestational ages.

Methods

In this longitudinal, register-based, cohort study, we linked individual-level data on all individuals born in Norway (January 01, 1967-December 31, 2016) to nationwide hospital data (January 01, 2008-December 31, 2017). Gestational age was categorised as 23-27, 28-31, 32-33, 34-36, 37-38, 39-41, and 42-44 completed weeks. The analyses were stratified by age at follow-up: 0-11 months and 1-5, 6-14, 15-29, and 30-50 years. The primary outcome was hospitalisation due to any infectious disease, with major infectious disease groups as secondary outcomes. Adjusted hospitalisation rate ratios (RRs) for any infection and infectious disease groups were estimated using negative binomial regression. Models were adjusted for year of birth, maternal age at birth, parity, and sex, and included an offset parameter adjusted for person-time at risk.

Findings

Among 2,695,830 individuals with 313,940 hospitalisations for infections, we found a pattern of higher hospitalisation risk in lower gestational age groups, which was the strongest in childhood but still evident in adulthood. Comparing those born very preterm (28-31) and late preterm (34-36) to full-term (39-41 weeks), RRs (95% confidence interval) for hospitalisation for any infectious disease at ages 1-5 were 3.3 (3.0-3.7) and 1.7 (1.6-1.8), respectively. At 30-50 years, the corresponding estimates were 1.4 (1.2-1.7) and 1.2 (1.1-1.3). The patterns were similar for the infectious disease groups, including bacterial and viral infections, respiratory tract infections (RTIs), and infections not attributable to RTIs.

Interpretation

Increasing risk of hospitalisations for infections in lower gestational age groups was most prominent in children but still evident in adolescents and adults. Possible mechanisms and groups that could benefit from vaccinations and other prevention strategies should be investigated.

Funding

St. Olav's University Hospital and Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norwegian Research Council, Liaison Committee for education, research and innovation in Central Norway, European Commission, Academy of Finland, Sigrid Jusélius Foundation, Foundation for Pediatric Research, and Signe and Ane Gyllenberg Foundation.

High Ambient Temperature in Pregnancy and Risk of Childhood Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

Background

High ambient temperature is increasingly common due to climate change and is associated with risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) is the most common malignancy in children, the incidence is increasing, and in the United States it disproportionately affects Latino children. We aimed to investigate the potential association between high ambient temperature in pregnancy and risk of childhood ALL.

Methods

We used data from California birth records (1982-2015) and California Cancer Registry (1988-2015) to identify ALL cases diagnosed <14 years and 50 times as many controls matched by sex, race/ethnicity, and date of last menstrual period. Ambient temperatures were estimated on a 1-km grid. Association between ambient temperature and ALL was evaluated per gestational week, restricted to May-September, adjusting for confounders. Bayesian meta-regression was applied to identify critical exposure windows. For sensitivity analyses, we evaluated a 90-day pre-pregnancy period (assuming no direct effect before pregnancy) and constructed an alternatively matched dataset for exposure contrast by seasonality.

Findings

Our study included 6,258 ALL cases and 307,579 controls. The peak association between ambient temperature and risk of ALL was observed in gestational week 8, where a 5 °C increase was associated with an odds ratio of 1.09 (95% confidence interval 1.04-1.14) and 1.05 (95% confidence interval 1.00-1.11) among Latino and non-Latino White children, respectively. The sensitivity analyses supported this.

Interpretation

Our findings suggest an association between high ambient temperature in early pregnancy and risk of childhood ALL. Further replication and investigation of mechanistic pathways may inform mitigation strategies.

Circulating levels of micronutrients and risk of infections: a Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Micronutrients play an essential role at every stage of the immune response, and deficiencies can therefore lead to increased susceptibility to infections. Previous observational studies and randomized controlled trials of micronutrients and infections are limited. We performed Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to evaluate the effect of blood levels of eight micronutrients (copper, iron, selenium, zinc, beta-carotene, vitamin B12, vitamin C, and vitamin D) on the risk of three infections (gastrointestinal infections, pneumonia, and urinary tract infections).

METHODS

Two-sample MR was conducted using publicly available summary statistics from independent cohorts of European ancestry. For the three infections, we used data from UK Biobank and FinnGen. Inverse variance-weighted MR analyses were performed, together with a range of sensitivity analyses. The threshold for statistical significance was set at P < 2.08E-03.

RESULTS

We found a significant association between circulating levels of copper and risk of gastrointestinal infections, where a one standard deviation increase in blood levels of copper was associated with an odds ratio of gastrointestinal infections of 0.91 (95% confidence interval 0.87 to 0.97, P = 1.38E-03). This finding was robust in extensive sensitivity analyses. There was no clear association between the other micronutrients and the risk of infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results strongly support a role of copper in the susceptibility to gastrointestinal infections.

Dyslipidemia and Risk of Preeclampsia: A Multiancestry Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

Preeclampsia is a leading cause of maternal morbidity, and dyslipidemia has been associated with preeclampsia in observational studies. We use Mendelian randomization analyses to estimate the association between lipid levels, their pharmacological targets, and the risk of preeclampsia in 4 ancestry groups.

METHODS

We extracted uncorrelated (R²<0.001) single-nucleotide polymorphisms strongly associated (P<5×10^-8) with LDL-C (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol), HDL-C (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol), and triglycerides from genome-wide association studies of European, admixed African, Latino, and East Asian ancestry participants. Genetic associations with risk of preeclampsia were extracted from studies of the same ancestry groups. Inverse-variance weighted analyses were performed separately for each ancestry group before they were meta-analyzed. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate bias due to genetic pleiotropy, demography, and indirect genetic effects.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis across 4 ancestry groups included 1.5 million subjects with lipid measurements, 7425 subjects with preeclampsia, and 239 290 without preeclampsia. Increasing HDL-C was associated with reduced risk of preeclampsia (odds ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.74-0.94]; P=0.004; per SD increase in HDL-C), which was consistent across sensitivity analyses. We also observed cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibition-a drug target that increases HDL-C-may have a protective effect. We observed no consistent effect of LDL-C or triglycerides on the risk of preeclampsia.

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a protective effect of elevated HDL-C on risk of preeclampsia. Our findings align with the lack of effect in trials of LDL-C modifying drugs but suggest that HDL-C may be a new target for screening and intervention.

Sex-Specific Reproductive Factors Augment Cardiovascular Disease Risk in Women: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Background Observational studies suggest that reproductive factors are associated with cardiovascular disease, but these are liable to influence by residual confounding. This study explores the causal relevance of reproductive factors on cardiovascular disease in women using Mendelian randomization. Methods and Results Uncorrelated (r²<0.001), genome-wide significant (P<5×10^-8) single-nucleotide polymorphisms were extracted from sex-specific genome-wide association studies of age at first birth, number of live births, age at menarche, and age at menopause. Inverse-variance weighted Mendelian randomization was used for primary analyses on outcomes of atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and stroke. Earlier genetically predicted age at first birth increased risk of coronary artery disease (odds ratio [OR] per year, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.28-1.74], P=3.72×10^-7) heart failure (OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.06-1.53], P=0.009), and stroke (OR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.00-1.56], P=0.048), with partial mediation through body mass index, type 2 diabetes, blood pressure, and cholesterol traits. Higher genetically predicted number of live births increased risk of atrial fibrillation (OR for <2, versus 2, versus >2 live births, 2.91 [95% CI, 1.16-7.29], P=0.023), heart failure (OR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.28-2.82], P=0.001), ischemic stroke (OR, 1.86 [95% CI, 1.03-3.37], P=0.039), and stroke (OR, 2.07 [95% CI, 1.22-3.52], P=0.007). Earlier genetically predicted age at menarche increased risk of coronary artery disease (OR per year, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.06-1.14], P=1.68×10^-6) and heart failure (OR, 1.12 [95% CI, 1.07-1.17], P=5.06×10^-7); both associations were at least partly mediated by body mass index. Conclusions These results support a causal role of a number of reproductive factors on cardiovascular disease in women and identify multiple modifiable mediators amenable to clinical intervention.

Insomnia symptoms and risk of bloodstream infections: prospective data from the prospective population-based Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), Norway

Previous research suggests decreased immune function and increased risk of infections in individuals with insomnia. We examined the effect of insomnia symptoms on risk of bloodstream infections (BSIs) and BSI-related mortality in a population-based prospective study. A total of 53,536 participants in the second Norwegian Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT2) (1995-97) were linked to prospective data on clinically relevant BSIs until 2011. In Cox regression, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for a first-time BSI and for BSI-related mortality (BSI registered ≤30 days prior to death) associated with insomnia symptoms. Compared with participants who reported "no symptoms", participants reporting having "difficulty initiating sleep" (DIS) often/almost every night had a HR for a first-time BSI of 1.14 (95% CI 0.96-1.34). Participants reporting "difficulties maintaining sleep" (DMS) often/almost every night had a HR of 1.19 (95% CI 1.01-1.40), whereas those having a feeling of "non-restorative sleep" once a week or more had a HR of 1.23 (95% CI 1.04-1.46). Participants frequently experiencing all three of the above symptoms had a HR of 1.39 (1.04-1.87), whilst those who had both DIS and DMS had a HR of 1.15 (0.93-1.41) and being troubled by insomnia symptoms to a degree that affected work performance was associated with a HR of 1.41 (95% CI 1.08-1.84). The HRs for BSI-related mortality suggest an increased risk with increasing insomnia symptoms, but the CIs are wide and inconclusive. We found that frequent insomnia symptoms and insomnia symptoms that affected work performance were associated with a weak positive increased risk of BSI.

Outdoor artificial light at night, air pollution, and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia in the California Linkage Study of Early-Onset Cancers

Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) is the most common type of cancer in children (age 0-14 years); however, the etiology remains incompletely understood. Several environmental exposures have been linked to risk of childhood ALL, including air pollution. Closely related to air pollution and human development is artificial light at night (ALAN), which is believed to disrupt circadian rhythm and impact health. We sought to evaluate outdoor ALAN and air pollution on risk of childhood ALL. The California Linkage Study of Early-Onset Cancers is a large population-based case-control in California that identifies and links cancer diagnoses from the California Cancer Registry to birth records. For each case, 50 controls with the same year of birth were obtained from birth records. A total of 2,782 ALL cases and 139,100 controls were identified during 2000-2015. ALAN was assessed with the New World Atlas of Artificial Night Sky Brightness and air pollution with an ensemble-based air pollution model of particulate matter smaller than 2.5 microns (PM2.5). After adjusting for known and suspected risk factors, the highest tertile of ALAN was associated with an increased risk of ALL in Hispanic children (odds ratio [OR] = 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.32). There also appeared to be a borderline association between PM2.5 level and risk of ALL among non-Hispanic White children (OR per 10 µg/m3 = 1.24, 95% CI 0.98-1.56). We observed elevated risk of ALL in Hispanic children residing in areas of greater ALAN. Further work is needed to understand the role of ALAN and air pollution in the etiology of childhood ALL in different racial/ethnic groups.

Impact of reproductive factors on major cardiovascular disease risk in women: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in women. Multiple observational studies have explored the role of female reproductive history on the risk of cardiovascular disease and suggested that factors such as high parity and early menarche are associated with higher rates of cardiovascular disease later in life. However, effect estimates derived from observational studies are liable to influence by residual confounding and bias in study design. We utilise Mendelian randomisation to explore causal pathways underlying this association by leveraging genetic variability in reproductive factors using instrumental variable analysis.

Methods

Uncorrelated single nucleotide polymorphisms (r2&lt;0.001) were extracted from summary statistics of published sex-specific genome wide association studies (GWAS) for the exposures of age at first birth (n=131,987, unit = years), number of live births (n=193,953, coded into three categories of &lt;2, 2 or &gt;2 live births), age at menarche (n=329,345, unit = years) and age at menopause (n=106,048, unit = years). Genetic association estimates for the outcomes of coronary artery disease, ischaemic stroke, stroke of any type, heart failure and atrial fibrillation were extracted from GWAS analyses on respectively 122,733 cases, 34,217 cases, 40,585 cases, 47,309 cases and 60,620 cases. All GWAS studies were on populations of predominantly European ancestry. Inverse-variance weighted MR was utilised for primary analyses; sensitivity analyses using MR-Egger and weighted median MR were carried out.

Results

Earlier age at first birth was associated with increased risk of coronary artery disease (OR per 1-year lower age = 1.49, 95% CI 1.28–1.74, p&lt;0.001). Lower age at menarche was also associated with increased risk of coronary artery disease (OR per 1-year lower age = 1.10, 95% CI 1.06–1.14, p&lt;0.001) and increased risk of heart failure (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07–1.17, p&lt;0.001). Finally, higher number of live births was associated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation (OR per increase in category of &lt;2, 2 or &gt;2 live births = 2.91, 95% CI 1.16–7.29, p=0.023), increased risk of heart failure (OR 1.90, 95% CI 1.28–2.82, p=0.001), increased risk of ischaemic stroke (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.22–3.52, p=0.007) and of stroke of any type (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.03–3.37, p=0.039).

Conclusion

The results of this study support the emerging evidence of female-specific risk factors for cardiovascular disease, by demonstrating that that earlier age at first birth, higher number of live births, and earlier menarche are all associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity in women. The results notably highlight parity as a major sex-specific risk factor of likely causal relevance. These findings support the inclusion of reproductive history in the routine evaluation of cardiovascular risk in females and identify key markers of risk that may be used to target primary prevention measures.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): European Research Council GEPSI 946647 for EAWSBritish Heart Foundation RG/16/3/32175 for FSN

Iron status and the risk of sepsis and severe COVID-19: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Observational studies have indicated an association between iron status and risk of sepsis and COVID-19. We estimated the effect of genetically-predicted iron biomarkers on risk of sepsis and risk of being hospitalized with COVID-19, performing a two-sample Mendelian randomization study. For risk of sepsis, one standard deviation increase in genetically-predicted serum iron was associated with odds ratio (OR) of 1.14 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.29, P = 0.031). The findings were supported in the analyses for transferrin saturation and total iron binding capacity, while the estimate for ferritin was inconclusive. We found a tendency of higher risk of hospitalization with COVID-19 for serum iron; OR 1.29 (CI 0.97-1.72, P = 0.08), whereas sex-stratified analyses showed OR 1.63 (CI 0.94-2.86, P = 0.09) for women and OR 1.21 (CI 0.92-1.62, P = 0.17) for men. Sensitivity analyses supported the main findings and did not suggest bias due to pleiotropy. Our findings suggest a causal effect of genetically-predicted higher iron status and risk of hospitalization due to sepsis and indications of an increased risk of being hospitalized with COVID-19. These findings warrant further studies to assess iron status in relation to severe infections, including the potential of improved management.

Incidence, recurring admissions and mortality of severe bacterial infections and sepsis over a 22-year period in the population-based HUNT study

Purpose

Severe bacterial infections are important causes of hospitalization and loss of health worldwide. In this study we aim to characterize the total burden, recurrence and severity of bacterial infections in the general population during a 22-year period.

Methods

We investigated hospitalizations due to bacterial infection from eight different foci in the prospective population-based Trøndelag Health Study (the HUNT Study), where all inhabitants aged ≥ 20 in a Norwegian county were invited to participate. Enrollment was between 1995 and 1997, and between 2006 and 2008, and follow-up ended in February 2017. All hospitalizations, positive blood cultures, emigrations and deaths in the follow-up period were captured through registry linkage.

Results

A total of 79,393 (69.5% and 54.1% of the invited population) people were included, of which 42,237 (53%) were women and mean age was 48.5 years. There were 37,298 hospitalizations due to infection, affecting 15,496 (22% of all included) individuals. The median time of follow-up was 20 years (25^th percentile 9.5–75^th percentile 20.8). Pneumonia and urinary tract infections were the two dominating foci with incidence rates of 639 and 550 per 100,000 per year, respectively, and with increasing incidence with age. The proportion of recurring admissions ranged from 10.0% (central nervous system) to 30.0% (pneumonia), whilst the proportion with a positive blood culture ranged from 4.7% (skin- and soft tissue infection) to 40.9% (central nervous system). The 30-day mortality varied between 3.2% (skin- and soft tissue infection) and 20.8% (endocarditis).

Conclusions

In this population-based cohort, we observed a great variation in the incidence, positive blood culture rate, recurrence and mortality between common infectious diseases. These results may help guide policy to reduce the infectious disease burden in the population.

Smoking and infertility: multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization analyses in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between smoking and infertility.

DESIGN

Prospective study.

SETTING

Nationwide cohort.

PATIENTS

28,606 women and 27,096 men with questionnaire and genotype information from the Norwegian Mother, Father, and Child Cohort Study.

INTERVENTION

Self-reported information on smoking (having ever smoked [both sexes], age at initiation [women only], cessation [women only], and cigarettes/week in current smokers [both sexes]) was gathered. Genetically predetermined levels or likelihood of presenting these traits were estimated for Mendelian randomization.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Infertility (time-to-pregnancy ≥12 months).

RESULTS

Having ever smoked was unrelated to infertility in women or men. Higher smoking intensity in women was associated with greater infertility odds (+1 standard deviation [SD, 48 cigarettes/week]: odds ratio [OR]crude, 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.28; ORadjusted 1.12; 95% CI, 1.03-1.21), also after adjusting for the partner's tobacco use. Later smoking initiation (+1 SD [3.2 years]: ORcrude, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88-0.99; ORadjusted 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84-0.95) and smoking cessation (vs. not quitting: ORcrude, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.91; ORadjusted, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.93) were linked to decreased infertility in women. Nevertheless, Mendelian randomization results were not directionally consistent for smoking intensity and cessation and were estimated imprecisely in the 2-sample approach. In men, greater smoking intensity was not robustly associated with infertility in multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization.

CONCLUSIONS

We did not find robust evidence of an effect of smoking on infertility. This may be due to a true lack of effect, weak genetic instruments, or other kinds of confounding.

Explaining sex differences in risk of bloodstream infections using mediation analysis in the population-based HUNT study in Norway

Previous studies indicate sex differences in incidence and severity of bloodstream infections (BSI). We examined the effect of sex on risk of BSI, BSI mortality, and BSI caused by the most common infecting bacteria. Using causal mediation analyses, we assessed if this effect is mediated by health behaviours (smoking, alcohol consumption), education, cardiovascular risk factors (systolic blood pressure, non-HDL cholesterol, body mass index) and selected comorbidities. This prospective study included 64,040 participants (46.8% men) in the population-based HUNT2 Survey (1995-1997) linked with hospital records in incident BSI. During median follow-up of 15.2 years, 1840 (2.9%) participants (51.3% men) experienced a BSI and 396 (0.6%) died (56.6% men). Men had 41% higher risk of first-time BSI (95% confidence interval (CI), 28-54%) than women. Together, health behaviours, education, cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities mediated 34% of the excess risk of BSI observed in men. The HR of BSI mortality was 1.87 (95% CI 1.53-2.28), for BSI due to S. aureus 2.09 (1.28-2.54), S. pneumoniae 1.36 (1.05-1.76), E. coli 0.97 (0.84-1.13) in men vs women. This study shows that men have higher risk of BSI and BSI mortality than women. One-third of this effect was mediated by potential modifiable risk factors for incident BSI.

Risk of lower respiratory tract infections: a genome-wide association study with Mendelian randomization analysis in three independent European populations

OBJECTIVE

Lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Few studies have previously investigated genetic susceptibility and potential risk factors for LRTI.

METHODS

We used data from the UK Biobank, Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), and FinnGen to conduct a genome-wide association study (GWAS). Cases were subjects hospitalized with LRTI, and controls were subjects with no such hospitalization. We conducted stratification and interaction analyses to evaluate whether the genetic effect of LRTI differed by sex or smoking. Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were conducted to identify the unconfounded relationship between cardiometabolic risk factors and LRTI.

RESULTS

A total of 25 320 cases and 575 294 controls were included. The 15q25.1 locus reached genome-wide significance in the meta-analysis (rs10519203: OR 0.94, p 3.87e-11). The protective effect of effect allele of rs10519203 was present among smokers (OR 0.90, 95%CI 0.87-0.92, p 1.38e-15) but not among never-smokers (OR 1.01, 95%CI 0.97-1.06, p 5.20e-01). In MR analyses, we found that increasing body mass index (OR 1.31, 95%CI 1.24-1.40, p 3.78e-18), lifetime smoking (OR 2.83, 95%CI 2.34-3.42, p 6.56e-27), and systolic blood pressure robustly increased the risk of LRTIs (OR 1.11, 95%CI 1.02-1.22, p 1.48e-02).

CONCLUSION

A region in 15q25.1 was strongly associated with LRTI susceptibility. Reduction in the prevalence of smoking, overweight, obesity, and hypertension may reduce the disease burden of LRTIs.

Body mass index and subfertility: multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization analyses in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study

STUDY QUESTION

What is the association between BMI and subfertility?

SUMMARY ANSWER

We observed a J-shaped relationship between BMI and subfertility in both sexes, when using both a standard multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

High BMI in both women and men is associated with subfertility in observational studies and this relationship is further substantiated by a few small randomized controlled trials of weight reduction and success of assisted reproduction. Women with low BMI also have lower conception rates with assisted reproduction technologies.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

Cohort study (the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study), 28 341 women and 26 252 men, recruited from all over Norway between 1999 and 2008.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Women (average age 30, average BMI 23.1 kg/m2) and men (average age 33, average BMI 25.5 kg/m2) had available genotype data and provided self-reported information on time-to-pregnancy and BMI. A total of 10% of couples were subfertile (time-to-pregnancy ≥12 months).

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Our findings support a J-shaped association between BMI and subfertility in both sexes using multivariable logistic regression models. Non-linear MR validated this relationship. A 1 kg/m2 greater genetically predicted BMI was linked to 18% greater odds of subfertility (95% CI 5% to 31%) in obese women (≥30.0 kg/m2) and 15% lower odds of subfertility (-24% to -2%) in women with BMI <20.0 kg/m2. A 1 kg/m2 higher genetically predicted BMI was linked to 26% greater odds of subfertility (8-48%) among obese men. Low genetically predicted BMI values were also related to greater subfertility risk in men at the lower end of the BMI distribution. A genetically predicted BMI of 23 and 25 kg/m2 was linked to the lowest subfertility risk in women and men, respectively.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

The main limitations of our study were that we did not know whether the subfertility was driven by the women, men or both; the exclusive consideration of individuals of northern European ancestry; and the limited amount of participants with obesity or BMI values <20.0 kg/m2.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Our results support a causal effect of obesity on subfertility in women and men. Our findings also expand the current evidence by indicating that individuals with BMI values <20 kg/m2 may have an increased risk of subfertility. These results suggest that BMI values between 20 and 25 kg/m2 are optimal for a minimal risk of subfertility.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

The MoBa Cohort Study is supported by the Norwegian Ministry of Health and Care Services and the Norwegian Ministry of Education and Research. This project received funding from the European Research Council under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement No 947684). It was also partly supported by the Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence funding scheme, project number 262700. Open Access funding was provided by the Folkehelseinstituttet/Norwegian Institute of Public Health. D.A.L. is a UK National Institute for Health Research Senior Investigator (NF-SI-0611-10196) and is supported by the US National Institutes of Health (R01 DK10324) and a European Research Council Advanced Grant (DevelopObese; 669545). The funders had no role in the collection, analysis and interpretation of data; in the writing of the report; or in the decision to submit the article for publication. D.A.L. receives (or has received in the last 10 years) research support from National and International government and charitable bodies, Roche Diagnostics and Medtronic for research unrelated to the current work. The rest of the authors declare that no competing interests exist.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Semiquantitative Real-Time PCR to Distinguish Pneumocystis Pneumonia from Colonization in a Heterogeneous Population of HIV-Negative Immunocompromised Patients

Pneumocystis jirovecii is a threat to iatrogenically immunosuppressed individuals, a heterogeneous population at rapid growth. We assessed the ability of an in-house semiquantitative real-time PCR assay to discriminate Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) from colonization and identified risk factors for infection in these patients. Retrospectively, 242 PCR-positive patients were compared according to PCP status, including strata by immunosuppressive conditions, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection excluded. Associations between host characteristics and cycle threshold (CT) values, semiquantitative real-time PCR correlates of fungal loads in lower respiratory tract specimens, were investigated. CT values differed significantly according to PCP status. Overall, a CT value of 36 allowed differentiation between PCP and colonization with sensitivity and specificity of 71.3% and 77.1%, respectively. A CT value of less than 31 confirmed PCP, whereas no CT value permitted exclusion. A considerable diversity was uncovered; solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients had significantly higher fungal loads than patients with hematological malignancies. In SOT recipients, a CT cutoff value of 36 resulted in sensitivity and specificity of 95.0% and 83.3%, respectively. In patients with hematological malignancies, a higher CT cutoff value of 37 improved sensitivity to 88.5% but reduced specificity to 66.7%. For other conditions, assay validity appeared inferior. Corticosteroid usage was an independent predictor of PCP in a multivariable analysis and was associated with higher fungal loads at PCP expression. Semiquantitative real-time PCR improves differentiation between PCP and colonization in immunocompromised HIV-negative individuals with acute respiratory syndromes. However, heterogeneity in disease evolution requires separate cutoff values across intrinsic and iatrogenic predisposition for predicting non-HIV PCP. IMPORTANCE Pneumocystis jirovecii is potentially life threatening to an increasing number of individuals with compromised immune systems. This microorganism can cause severe pneumonia in susceptible hosts, including patients with cancer and autoimmune diseases and people undergoing solid organ transplantation. Together, these patients constitute an ever-diverse population. In this paper, we demonstrate that the heterogeneity herein has important implications for how we diagnose and assess the risk of Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP). Specifically, low loads of microorganisms are sufficient to cause infection in patients with blood cancer compared to those in solid organ recipients. With this new insight into host versus P. jirovecii biology, clinicians can manage patients at risk of PCP more accurately. As a result, we take a significant step toward offering precision medicine to a vulnerable patient population. One the one hand, these patients have propensity for adverse effects from antimicrobial treatment. On the other hand, this population is susceptible to life-threatening infections, including PCP.

The Role of FER rs4957796 in the Risk of Developing and Dying from a Bloodstream Infection: A 23-Year Follow-up of the Population-based Nord-Trøndelag Health Study

BACKGROUND

Bloodstream infection and sepsis are major causes of health loss worldwide, and it is important to identify patients at risk of developing and dying from these conditions. The single-nucleotide polymorphism most strongly associated with sepsis mortality is FER rs4957796. However, it is not known how this variant is associated with bloodstream infection incidence and mortality.

METHODS

We used prospective data from 1995-2017 from the population-based HUNT Study. Genotypes were ascertained from blood samples, and additional genotypes were imputed. Information on bloodstream infection and diagnosis codes at hospitalization were collected through record linkage with all hospitals in the area.

RESULTS

A total of 69 294 patients were included. Patients with the rs4957796 CC genotype had an increased risk of developing a bloodstream infection compared with the TT genotype (hazard ratio [HR], 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.43). However, there was a protective additive effect of the C allele in terms of mortality in the total study population (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, .64-.92 per copy of the C allele) and among bloodstream infection patients (odds ratio, 0.70; 95% CI, .58-.85 per copy of the C allele). The results did not appear to be affected by selection bias.

CONCLUSIONS

The rs4957796 CC genotype was associated with an increased risk of contracting a bloodstream infection but with a reduced risk of dying from one. The latter finding is in line with studies of sepsis case fatality, while the former expands our understanding of the immunoregulatory role of this polymorphism.

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of immunocompromised patients infected with Pneumocystis jirovecii in a twelve-year retrospective study from Norway

Background

Pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) severely menaces modern chemotherapy and immunosuppression. Detailed description of the epidemiology of Pneumocystis jirovecii today is needed to identify candidates for PCP-prophylaxis.

Methods

We performed a 12-year retrospective study of patients with P. jirovecii detected by polymerase chain reaction in Central Norway. In total, 297 patients were included. Comprehensive biological, clinical and epidemiological data were abstracted from patients’ medical records. Regional incidence rates and testing trends were also assessed.

Results

From 2007 to 2017 we found a 3.3-fold increase in testing for P. jirovecii accompanied by a 1.8-fold increase in positive results. Simultaneously, regional incidence rates doubled from 5.0 cases per 100,000 person years to 10.8. A majority of the study population had predisposing conditions other than human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Hematological (36.0%) and solid cancers (25.3%) dominated. Preceding corticosteroids were a common denominator for 72.1%. Most patients (74.4%) presented with at least two cardinal symptoms; cough, dyspnea or fever. Main clinical findings were hypoxia, cytopenias and radiological features consistent with PCP. A total of 88 (29.6%) patients required intensive care and 121 (40.7%) suffered at least one complication. In-hospital mortality was 21.5%. Three patients (1.0%) had received prophylaxis.

Conclusions

P. jirovecii is re-emerging; likely due to increasing immunosuppressants use. This opportunistic pathogen threatens the life of heterogenous non-HIV immunosuppressed populations currently at growth. Corticosteroids seem to be a major risk factor. A strategy to increase prophylaxis is called for.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-021-06144-1.

Relationship Between Blood Pressure and Incident Cardiovascular Disease: Linear and Nonlinear Mendelian Randomization Analyses

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Observational studies exploring whether there is a nonlinear effect of blood pressure on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk are hindered by confounding. This limitation can be overcome by leveraging randomly allocated genetic variants in nonlinear Mendelian randomization analyses. Based on their association with blood pressure traits in a genome-wide association study of 299 024 European ancestry individuals, we selected 253 genetic variants to proxy the effect of modifying systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Considering the outcomes of incident coronary artery disease, stroke and the combined outcome of CVD, linear and nonlinear Mendelian randomization analyses were performed on 255 714 European ancestry participants without a history of CVD or antihypertensive medication use. There was no evidence favoring nonlinear relationships of genetically proxied systolic and diastolic blood pressure with the cardiovascular outcomes over linear relationships. For every 10-mm Hg increase in genetically proxied systolic blood pressure, risk of incident CVD increased by 49% (hazard ratio, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.38–1.61]), with similar estimates obtained for coronary artery disease (hazard ratio, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.38–1.63]) and stroke (hazard ratio, 1.44 [95% CI, 1.22–1.70]). Genetically proxied blood pressure had a similar relationship with CVD in men and women. These findings provide evidence to support that even for individuals who do not have elevated blood pressure, public health interventions achieving persistent blood pressure reduction will be of considerable benefit in the primary prevention of CVD.

Body mass index and risk of dying from a bloodstream infection: A Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

In observational studies of the general population, higher body mass index (BMI) has been associated with increased incidence of and mortality from bloodstream infection (BSI) and sepsis. On the other hand, higher BMI has been observed to be apparently protective among patients with infection and sepsis. We aimed to evaluate the causal association of BMI with risk of and mortality from BSI.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We used a population-based cohort in Norway followed from 1995 to 2017 (the Trøndelag Health Study [HUNT]), and carried out linear and nonlinear Mendelian randomization analyses. Among 55,908 participants, the mean age at enrollment was 48.3 years, 26,324 (47.1%) were men, and mean BMI was 26.3 kg/m2. During a median 21 years of follow-up, 2,547 (4.6%) participants experienced a BSI, and 451 (0.8%) died from BSI. Compared with a genetically predicted BMI of 25 kg/m2, a genetically predicted BMI of 30 kg/m2 was associated with a hazard ratio for BSI incidence of 1.78 (95% CI: 1.40 to 2.27; p < 0.001) and for BSI mortality of 2.56 (95% CI: 1.31 to 4.99; p = 0.006) in the general population, and a hazard ratio for BSI mortality of 2.34 (95% CI: 1.11 to 4.94; p = 0.025) in an inverse-probability-weighted analysis of patients with BSI. Limitations of this study include a risk of pleiotropic effects that may affect causal inference, and that only participants of European ancestry were considered.

CONCLUSIONS

Supportive of a causal relationship, genetically predicted BMI was positively associated with BSI incidence and mortality in this cohort. Our findings contradict the "obesity paradox," where previous traditional epidemiological studies have found increased BMI to be apparently protective in terms of mortality for patients with BSI or sepsis.

Pediatric Patients in a Local Nepali Emergency Department: Presenting Complaints, Triage and Post-Discharge Mortality

Background. In low-income countries, pediatric emergency care is largely underdeveloped although child mortality in emergency care is more than twice that of adults, and mortality after discharge is high. Aim. We aimed at describing characteristics, triage categories, and post-discharge mortality in a pediatric emergency population in Nepal. Methods. We prospectively assessed characteristics and triage categories of pediatric patients who entered the emergency department (ED) in a local hospital. Patient households were followed-up by telephone interviews at 90 days. Results. The majority of pediatric emergency patients presented with injuries and infections (~40% each). Girls attended ED less frequent than boys. High triage priority categories (orange and red) were strong indicators for intensive care need and for mortality after discharge. Conclusion. The study supports the use and development of a pediatric triage systems in a low-resource general ED setting. We identify a need for interventions that can reduce mortality after pediatric emergency care. Interventions to reduce pediatric emergency disease burden in this setting should emphasize prevention and effective treatment of infections and injuries.

The promise and pitfalls of composite endpoints in sepsis and COVID-19 clinical trials

Composite endpoints reveal the tendency for statistical convention to arise locally within subfields. Composites are familiar in cardiovascular trials, yet almost unknown in sepsis. However, the VITAMINS trial in patients with septic shock adopted a composite of mortality and vasopressor-free days, and an ordinal scale describing patient status rapidly became standard in COVID studies. Aware that recent use could incite interest in such endpoints, we are motivated to flag their potential value and pitfalls for sepsis research and COVID studies.

Presenting complaints and mortality in a cohort of 22 000 adult emergency patients at a local hospital in Nepal

Background

There is a need to develop sustainable emergency health care systems in low-resource settings, but data that analyses emergency health care needs in these settings are scarce. We aimed at assessing presenting complaints (PCs) and post-discharge mortality in a large emergency department population in Nepal.

Methods

Characteristics of adult patients who entered the emergency department (ED) in a hospital in Nepal were prospectively recorded in the local emergency registry from September 2013 until December 2016. To assess post-ED mortality, patient households were followed-up by telephone interviews at 90 days.

Results

In 21892 included adults, the major PC categories were injuries (29%), abdominal complaints (23%), and infections (16%). Median age was 40 years and sex distribution was balanced. Among 3793 patients followed at 90 days, 8% had died. For respiratory and cardiovascular PCs, 90-day mortality were 25% and 23%. The highest mortality was in individuals with known chronic lung disease, in this group 32% had died by 90 days of ED discharge, regardless of PC. In women, illiteracy compared to literacy (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 7.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.1-23.6) and being both exposed to tobacco-smoking and traditional cooking stove compared to no smoke (aOR = 2.8, 95% CI = 1.6-4.9) were associated with mortality. The mortality was much higher among family-initiated discharged patients (17%, aOR = 5.4, 95% CI = 3.3-8.9) compared to doctor-initiated discharged (3%).

Conclusions

Our report suggests that nearly one in ten patients seeking emergency health care died within 90 days. This finding is alarming and novel. Post-discharge studies need to be replicated and appropriate follow-up programs in low-resource settings where primary health care is underdeveloped are urgently needed.

Rate of avoidable deaths in a Norwegian hospital trust as judged by retrospective chart review

BACKGROUND

The proportion of avoidable hospital deaths is challenging to estimate, but has great implications for quality improvement and health policy. Many studies and monitoring tools are based on selected high-risk populations, which may overestimate the proportion. Mandatory reporting systems, however, under-report. We hypothesise that a review of an unselected sample of hospital deaths will provide an estimate of avoidability in-between the estimates from these methods.

METHODS

A retrospective case record review of an unselected population of 1000 consecutive non-psychiatric hospital deaths in a Norwegian hospital trust was conducted. Reviewers evaluated to what degree each death could have been avoided, and identified problems in care.

RESULTS

We found 42 (4.2%) of deaths to be at least probably avoidable (more than 50% chance of avoidability). Life expectancy was shortened by at least 1 year among 34 of the 42 patients with an avoidable death. Patients whose death was found to be avoidable were less functionally dependent compared with patients in the non-avoidable death group. The surgical department had the greatest proportion of such deaths. Very few of the avoidable deaths were reported to the hospital's report system.

CONCLUSIONS

Avoidable hospital deaths occur less frequently than estimated by the national monitoring tool, but much more frequently than reported through mandatory reporting systems. Regular reviews of an unselected sample of hospital deaths are likely to provide a better estimate of the proportion of avoidable deaths than the current methods.

Associations of Maternal Vitamin B12 Concentration in Pregnancy With the Risks of Preterm Birth and Low Birth Weight: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Individual Participant Data

Vitamin B12 (hereafter referred to as B12) deficiency in pregnancy is prevalent and has been associated with both lower birth weight (birth weight <2,500 g) and preterm birth (length of gestation <37 weeks). Nevertheless, current evidence is contradictory. We performed a systematic review and a meta-analysis of individual participant data to evaluate the associations of maternal serum or plasma B12 concentrations in pregnancy with offspring birth weight and length of gestation. Twenty-two eligible studies were identified (11,993 observations). Eighteen studies were included in the meta-analysis (11,216 observations). No linear association was observed between maternal B12 levels in pregnancy and birth weight, but B12 deficiency (<148 pmol/L) was associated with a higher risk of low birth weight in newborns (adjusted risk ratio = 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01, 1.31). There was a linear association between maternal levels of B12 and preterm birth (per each 1-standard-deviation increase in B12, adjusted risk ratio = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.82, 0.97). Accordingly, B12 deficiency was associated with a higher risk of preterm birth (adjusted risk ratio = 1.21, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.49). This finding supports the need for randomized controlled trials of vitamin B12 supplementation in pregnancy.

Association between low blood glucose increase during glucose tolerance tests in pregnancy and impaired fetal growth

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate how different levels of increase in maternal blood glucose from a fasting state to 2 h after an oral glucose challenge in late pregnancy are associated with fetal growth, with special emphasis on those with a low increase.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SUBJECTS

We followed 855 women, of whom 70% had an increased risk for carrying lighter babies.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Ultrasound was used to estimate fetal growth in gestational weeks 25, 33 and 37. In week 37 the women had a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test, and fasting and 2-h capillary glucose values were recorded with the difference between these two called delta (∆) glucose. Three groups were constructed from the ∆ glucose distribution: Low below the 10th centile; Medium between the 10th and 90th centiles; and High above the 90th centile. Missing data were imputed. Linear and Poisson regression models were applied.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Estimated fetal weight, percent deviation from expected fetal weight and anthropometric measures at birth.

RESULTS

The Low group carried the lightest fetuses and the High group the heaviest. The fetal growth in the Low group deviated increasingly more in a negative direction from week 25 to 37 than in the other groups.

CONCLUSION

In a high-risk population, a positive relation between ∆ glucose and fetal growth was found. The Low group demonstrated impaired growth. More attention should be paid to pregnant women with an insufficient increase in glucose after a glucose challenge. Future studies should challenge our findings in high-risk and low-risk populations.

Search for a therapeutic range for serum zuclopenthixol concentrations in schizophrenic patients

The aim of our study was to find a therapeutic range for the serum concentration of zuclopenthixol (S-Zu) in chronic schizophrenic patients. S-Zu was measured in 17 patients and dosage reduction was suggested by the laboratory if S-Zu exceeded 15 nmol/L. The clinical symptoms and side effects were evaluated blindly using the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale (BPRS) and the UKU rating scale, respectively. S-Zu and ratings were repeated 6, 12, and 24 weeks after the final dosage adjustments. In 7 of 10 patients with S-Zu > 15 nmol/L the dosage was reduced by 20-67%. After dosage reduction the S-Zu was below 15 nmol/L in 10 of the 17 patients. The mean BPRS score and the side effects, evaluated by the UKU scale, were reduced in patients in whom the dosage was reduced. It is suggested that S-Zu in the range 5-15 nmol/L may serve as a preliminary therapeutic range for S-Zu.

Somatization in patients newly admitted to a neurological department

The incidence of somatization and sociodemographic, clinical and mental factors in 100 consecutive patients newly admitted to a neurological department was investigated. Forty percent of the neurological inpatients were somatizers; they reported higher levels of distress and hypochondriacal concerns and were more often considered as having significant mental disorders by the neurologists. The somatizers were similar to patients with organic symptoms with respect to sociodemographic factors, duration of and number of symptoms, mode of admission and earlier consultations of and number of symptoms, mode of admission and earlier consultations of psychiatric or other specialists. Most of the patients with somatization only believed that psychological factors influenced their somatic symptoms. No sex differences were found except that female somatizers had shorter duration of admission.