Non-fatal self-harm and suicide following postpartum psychiatric emergency department visits: A population-based retrospective cohort study

In a population-based cohort of postpartum individuals in Ontario, Canada, this study aimed to determine the risk of non-fatal self-harm and suicide within one year of an initial postpartum psychiatric emergency department (ED) visit (2008-2020), and the key associated factors. Of 16,475 postpartum individuals with psychiatric ED visits, 714 (4.3 %) had non-fatal self-harm within one year, and 23 (0.15 %) died by suicide. Risk was substantially higher for those with self-harm at the initial presentation. Further efforts to connect individuals with postpartum psychiatric ED visits with needed inpatient care and outpatient follow-up are required to reduce non-fatal self-harm and suicide risk.

Mental Illness in the 2 Years Prior to Pregnancy in a Population With Traumatic Brain Injury: A Cross-Sectional Study: La maladie mentale dans les deux ans précédant une grossesse dans une population souffrant de lésion cérébrale traumatique : une étude transversale

OBJECTIVE

Existing studies, in mostly male samples such as veterans and athletes, show a strong association between traumatic brain injury (TBI) and mental illness. Yet, while an understanding of mental health before pregnancy is critical for informing preconception and perinatal supports, there are no data on the prevalence of active mental illness before pregnancy in females with TBI. We examined the prevalence of active mental illness ≤2 years before pregnancy (1) in a population with TBI, and (2) in subgroups defined by sociodemographic, health, and injury-related characteristics, all compared to those without TBI.

METHOD

This population-based cross-sectional study was completed in Ontario, Canada, from 2012 to 2020. Modified Poisson regression generated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) of active mental illness ≤2 years before pregnancy in 15,585 females with TBI versus 846,686 without TBI. We then used latent class analysis to identify subgroups with TBI according to sociodemographic, health, and injury-related characteristics and subsequently compared them to females without TBI on their outcome prevalence.

RESULTS

Females with TBI had a higher prevalence of active mental illness ≤2 years before pregnancy than those without TBI (44.1% vs. 25.9%; aPR 1.46, 95% confidence interval, 1.43 to 1.49). There were 3 TBI subgroups, with Class 1 (low-income, past assault, recent TBI described as intentional and due to being struck by/against) having the highest outcome prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

Females with TBI, and especially those with a recent intentional TBI, have a high prevalence of mental illness before pregnancy. They may benefit from mental health screening and support in the post-injury, preconception, and perinatal periods.

PLAIN LANGUAGE TITLE

Mental illness in the 2 years before pregnancy in a population with traumatic brain injury.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

Research has shown a strong association between traumatic brain injury (TBI) and mental illness. Most previous studies have been conducted in primarily male samples, like veterans and professional athletes. Understanding mental health before pregnancy is important for deciding what supports people need before and during pregnancy. However, there are no studies on the frequency of mental illness in females with TBI before a pregnancy. We examined the frequency of mental illness 2 years before pregnancy in a population with TBI, and in subgroups defined by different social, health, and injury-related characteristics, compared to those without TBI. We undertook a population-wide study of all females with and without TBI in Ontario, Canada, with a birth in 2012-2020. We used statistical models to compare these groups on the presence of mental illness in the 2 years before pregnancy, before and after accounting for social and health characteristics. We also identified subgroups with TBI according to their social (e.g., poverty), health (e.g., chronic conditions), and injury-related characteristics (e.g., cause of injury) and subsequently compared them to females without TBI on their frequency of mental illness in the 2 years before pregnancy. Forty-four percent of females with TBI had mental illness in the 2 years before pregnancy compared to 25% of those without TBI. There were 3 TBI subgroups. Females with low-income, past assault, and injuries that were described as being intentional had the highest frequency of mental illness in the 2 years before pregnancy. Females with TBI may benefit from mental health screening and support post-injury and around the time of pregnancy.

Risk of Repeat Psychiatric Emergency Department Visits in the Postpartum Period: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Approximately 1 in 100 postpartum individuals visit an emergency department (ED) for a psychiatric reason. Repeat visits can signify problems with the quality of care received during or after the initial visit; this study aimed to understand risk for repeat postpartum psychiatric ED visits.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study used Ontario, Canada health administrative data available through ICES (formerly the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences) to identify all individuals discharged from postpartum psychiatric ED visits (2008 to 2021) and measured the proportion with one or more repeat psychiatric ED visit within 30 days. Using modified Poisson regression, we calculated the association between one or more repeat visits and sociodemographic, medical, obstetric, infant, continuity of care, past service use, and index ED visit characteristics both overall and stratified by psychiatric diagnosis.

RESULTS

Of 14,100 individuals, 11.7% had one or more repeat psychiatric ED visits within 30 days. Repeat visit risk was highest for those with schizophrenia-spectrum disorders (28.2%, adjusted risk ratio 2.41; 95% confidence interval 1.88 to 3.08, versus 9.5% anxiety referent). Low (versus no) psychiatric care continuity, prior psychiatric ED visits and admissions, and initial visits within 90 days postpartum were also associated with increased risk, whereas intentional self-injury was associated with reduced risk. In diagnosis-stratified analyses, the factors most consistently associated with repeat ED visits were past psychiatric ED visits and admissions, and initial visits within 90 days postpartum.

CONCLUSIONS

Over 1 in 10 postpartum psychiatric ED visits are followed by a repeat visit within 30 days. Targeted approaches are needed across clinical populations to reduce repeat ED visits in this population with young infants.

Association between dermatology follow-up and melanoma survival: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommend that patients with melanoma undergo dermatologic examination at least annually. Adherence to follow-up and its impact on survival are unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the level of adherence to annual dermatologic follow-up in patients with primary cutaneous melanoma, identify predictors for better adherence, and evaluate whether adherence was associated with melanoma-related mortality.

METHODS

Retrospective inception cohort analysis of adults with primary invasive melanoma in Ontario, Canada from 2010 to 2013 with follow-up until December 31, 2018.

RESULTS

Adherence to dermatologic follow-up was variable with only 28.0% of patients seeing a dermatologist at least annually (median follow-up 5.0 years). Younger age, female sex, higher income, greater access to dermatology care, stage 2/3 melanoma, prior keratinocyte carcinoma, fewer comorbidities, and any outpatient visit in the 12 months prior to melanoma diagnosis were predictors for adherence. Greater adherence to annual dermatology visits was associated with reduced melanoma-specific mortality compared with lower levels of adherence (adjusted hazard ratio 0.64, 95% CI 0.52-0.78).

LIMITATIONS

Observational study design and inability to identify skin examinations performed by non-dermatologists.

CONCLUSION

Adherence to annual dermatology visits after melanoma diagnosis was low. Greater adherence may promote better patient survival but warrants confirmation in further research including randomized trials.

Patterns of multiple chronic conditions in pregnancy: Population-based study using latent class analysis

BACKGROUND

Adults with multiple chronic conditions (MCC) are a heterogeneous population with elevated risk of future adverse health outcomes. Yet, despite the increasing prevalence of MCC globally, data about MCC in pregnancy are scarce.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the population prevalence of MCC in pregnancy and determine whether certain types of chronic conditions cluster together among pregnant women with MCC.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, of all 15-55-year-old women with a recognised pregnancy, from 2007 to 2020. MCC was assessed from a list of 22 conditions, identified using validated algorithms. We estimated the prevalence of MCC. Next, we used latent class analysis to identify classes of co-occurring chronic conditions in women with MCC, with model selection based on parsimony, clinical interpretability and statistical fit.

RESULTS

Among 2,014,508 pregnancies, 324,735 had MCC (161.2 per 1000, 95% confidence interval [CI] 160.6, 161.8). Latent class analysis resulted in a five-class solution. In four classes, mood and anxiety disorders were prominent and clustered with one additional condition, as follows: Class 1 (22.4% of women with MCC), osteoarthritis; Class 2 (23.7%), obesity; Class 3 (15.8%), substance use disorders; and Class 4 (22.1%), asthma. In Class 5 (16.1%), four physical conditions clustered together: obesity, asthma, chronic hypertension and diabetes mellitus.

CONCLUSIONS

MCC is common in pregnancy, with sub-types dominated by co-occurring mental and physical health conditions. These data show the importance of preconception and perinatal interventions, particularly integrated care strategies, to optimise treatment and stabilisation of chronic conditions in women with MCC.

Pediatric Patients Hospitalized With Eating Disorders in Ontario, Canada, Over Time

Importance

Understanding the evolving characteristics of pediatric patients hospitalized for eating disorders is important to ensure that services and treatments align with patient needs.

Objective

To examine temporal trends in the rates of hospitalizations for pediatric eating disorders by clinical and demographic characteristics in Ontario, Canada, over a 17-year period.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based, repeated, cross-sectional study used linked health administrative and demographic databases in Ontario, Canada, to identify individuals aged 5 to 17 years hospitalized with eating disorder diagnoses from April 1, 2002, to March 31, 2020. Data analyses were performed from May 2021 to June 2023.

Exposure

Fiscal year (April 1-March 31) of eating disorder hospitalization.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcomes of interest were absolute and relative changes in pediatric eating disorder hospitalization rates overall and stratified by patient sex, age groups, and eating disorder diagnostic groups.

Results

Over the study period, there were 11 654 pediatric eating disorder hospitalizations, of which 5268 (45.2%) were for anorexia nervosa and 1374 (11.8%) were for bulimia nervosa. There were a total of 10 648 hospitalizations (91.4%) among female patients, and the median (IQR) age was 15.0 (14-0-16.0) years. Hospitalization rates increased 139% from 2002 to 2019, from 2.0 per 10 000 population to 4.8 per 10 000 population. The largest relative changes were observed among male patients (416%; from 0.2 per 10 000 population to 1.1 per 10 000 population), individuals aged 12 to 14 years (196%; from 2.2 per 10 000 population to 6.6 per 10 000 population), and individuals with eating disorders other than anorexia or bulimia nervosa (255%; from 0.6 per 10 000 population to 2.1 per 10 000 population). Male patients, younger adolescents, and individuals with other eating disorders also represented larger proportions of hospitalizations by fiscal 2019.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study of eating disorder hospitalizations, pediatric hospitalizations increased over time, particularly among populations traditionally considered atypical. Existing eating disorder programs must adapt to accommodate changing patient presentations and increased volumes to ensure effective care delivery.

Population-Based Repeated Cross-Sectional Study of Hospitalizations for Comorbid Physical and Psychiatric Disorders in Young Adults in Ontario, Canada

PURPOSE

To measure trends in the rates and costs of hospitalizations over a 15-year period among young adults with physical and/or psychiatric disorders.

METHODS

This population-based, repeated cross-sectional study identified all 18- to 26- year-olds hospitalized in Ontario, Canada from April 1, 2003 and March 31, 2018 (fiscal years 2003-2017). Using discharge diagnoses, we assigned hospitalizations to one of four categories: 1) psychiatric disorder only; 2) primary psychiatric disorder with comorbid physical illness; 3) primary physical with comorbid psychiatric disorder; and 4) physical illness only. We compared health service utilization and changes in rates of hospitalizations over time using restricted cubic spline regression. Secondary outcome measures included change in hospital costs for each hospitalization category over the study period.

RESULTS

Of 1,076,951 hospitalizations in young adults (73.7% female), 195,726 (18.2%) had a psychiatric disorder (either primary or comorbid). There were 129,676 hospitalizations (12.0%) with psychiatric disorders only, 36,287 (3.4%) with primary psychiatric and comorbid physical disorders, 29,763 (2.8%) with primary physical and comorbid psychiatric disorders, and 881,225 (81.8%) with physical disorders only. Rates of hospitalization for psychiatric disorders only increased 81% from 4.32 to 7.84/1,000 population, and those with physical health disorders with comorbid psychiatric disorders increased 172% from 0.47 to 1.28/1,000 population. Substance-related disorders were the most common comorbid psychiatric disorders among youth hospitalized for physical illness and increased 260% from 0.9 to 3.3/1,000 population.

DISCUSSION

Hospitalizations among young adults with primary and comorbid psychiatric disorders have increased significantly over the past 15 years. Health system resources should be adequately directed to meet the shifting and complex needs of hospitalized young adults.

Disparities in Suicide-Related Behaviors Across Sexual Orientations by Gender: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Linked Health Administrative Data

OBJECTIVE

The authors used a population-representative sample and health administrative data to quantify suicide-related behavior leading to acute care or deaths across self-identified heterosexual, gay/lesbian, and bisexual individuals.

METHODS

Data from a population-based survey (N=123,995) were linked to health administrative data (2002-2019), and differences in time to suicide-related behavior events across sexual orientations were examined using Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

The crude incidence rates of suicide-related behavior events per 100,000 person-years were 224.7 for heterosexuals, 664.7 for gay/lesbian individuals, and 5,911.9 for bisexual individuals. In fully adjusted (gender-combined) models, bisexual individuals were 2.98 times (95% CI=2.08-4.27) more likely to have an event, and gay men and lesbians 2.10 times (95% CI=1.18-3.71) more likely, compared with heterosexual individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large population-based sample of Ontario residents, using clinically relevant outcomes, the study found gay/lesbian and bisexual individuals to be at elevated risk of suicide-related behavior events. Increased education among psychiatric professionals is needed to improve awareness of and sensitivity to the elevated risk of suicide-related behavior among sexual minority individuals, and further research on interventions is needed to reduce such behaviors.

Mental Illness Following Physical Assault Among Children

Importance

Physical assault during childhood is common and can lead to lasting mental health problems. Yet, there are few studies on the patterns of mental illness (ie, timing of onset, type, and acuity) in survivors of physical assault.

Objective

To determine the risk of incident health record diagnoses of mental illness among children who experienced assault compared with children who did not.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based matched cohort study used linked health administrative data sets in Ontario, Canada. Children aged 0 to 13 years who experienced an incident physical assault between 2006 and 2014 were age-matched (1:4) to children who had not experienced assault and followed up for a minimum of 5 years. Data were analyzed from January 2020 to March 2022.

Exposure

Physical assault resulting in hospitalization or an emergency department (ED) visit between the ages of 0 and 13 years.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was incident health record diagnosis of mental illness measured as any physician or hospital mental health care use or completed suicide. Secondary outcome measures included the acuity of incident mental illness and mental illness diagnostic category. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis generated hazard ratios (HR) for incident mental illness.

Results

A total of 21 948 children unexposed to assault and 5487 exposed to assault were included in the study with a mean (SD) age of 7.0 (4.6) years. There were more boys in the group that experienced assault (3006 individuals [54.8%]) compared with the group who did not (9909 individuals [45.1%]). Compared with children unexposed to assault, those exposed were more likely to be in the highest deprivation index quintile (standardized difference, 0.21) and live in rural areas (standardized difference, 0.48). Their mothers more often had active mental illness (standardized difference, 0.35). More than one-third of the exposed children had a health record diagnosis of mental illness (2219 children [38.6%]; incidence rate (IR), 53.3 per 1000 person-years) compared with 23.4% (5130 children; IR, 32.2 per 1000 person-years) of unexposed children, with an overall adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.96 (95% CI, 1.85-2.08). The greatest risk was observed in the first year following the assault (aHR, 3.08; 95% CI, 2.68-3.54). In both groups, nonpsychotic disorders were the most common type of mental illness. Initial mental illness diagnoses occurred in an acute care setting for 14.0% of exposed children (769 children) vs 2.8% of unexposed children (609 children).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this population-based matched cohort study, children who experienced assault had, on average, a 2 times higher risk of receiving a mental illness diagnosis and were more likely than children who had not experienced assault to present to acute care for mental illness. Early intervention to support mental health of assaulted children is warranted, particularly in the first year following assault.

Comparison of Emergency Department Use Between Pregnant People With and Without Disabilities in Ontario, Canada

Importance

Emergency department (ED) use in pregnancy is common and occurs for a variety of reasons, including obstetrical complications, exacerbated underlying conditions, and inadequate outpatient health care access. People with disabilities have elevated rates of certain medical, psychiatric, and obstetrical conditions as well as inadequate access to prenatal care; their risk of ED use in pregnancy is not known, however.

Objective

To compare the risk of ED use in pregnancy among people with physical, sensory, and intellectual or developmental disabilities with those without disabilities.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Population-based cohort study leveraging linked administrative health data sets in Ontario, Canada, April 2003 to March 2019. Analysis included all recognized pregnancies to people with a preexisting physical, sensory, intellectual or developmental, or 2 or more (multiple) disabilities, and those without a disability. Data were analyzed from May 2022 to January 2023.

Exposure

Disability was ascertained using algorithms applied to 2 or more outpatient physician visits or 1 or more ED visits or hospitalizations before conception.

Main outcomes and measures

Modified Poisson regression-generated adjusted relative risks (aRR) and 95% CIs for any ED visit in pregnancy, from the estimated conception date up to the end of the pregnancy, adjusted for age, parity, income quintile, rurality, immigrant status, and preexisting chronic conditions, mental illness, and substance use disorders.

Results

The cohort included 2 659 895 pregnant people with physical (221 739 participants; mean [SD] age, 29.8 [6.1] years), sensory (71 891 participants; mean [SD] age, 29.1 [6.4] years), intellectual or developmental (3877 participants; mean [SD] age, 26.1 [6.7] years), and multiple disabilities (14 359 participants; mean [SD] age, 29.5 [6.5] years), and pregnant people without a disability (2 348 023 participants; mean [SD] age, 29.4 [5.9] years). The rate of ED visits in pregnancy was 25.4% in people without a disability (596 771 visits). Relative to these individuals, the aRR for ED use was elevated in people with physical (aRR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.25-1.27), sensory (aRR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.14-1.17), intellectual or developmental (aRR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.28-1.38), and multiple disabilities (aRR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.40-1.46).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this population-based study, people with disabilities were at elevated risk of ED use in pregnancy. This finding underscores the need for research on the benefits of proactive strategies to manage preexisting conditions in these individuals, improve their access to outpatient obstetrical and medical care, and prepare them for when ED visits occur.

Physical disability and venous thromboembolism during pregnancy and the postpartum period: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pregnancy and the postpartum period are a high-risk time for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Decreased mobility is also a major risk factor. However, the risk of peripregnancy VTE among individuals with physical disabilities is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the risk of peripregnancy VTE between people with a physical disability and those without a physical disability.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study comprised all births in Ontario, Canada, from 2007 to 2018. Physical disability was defined as a condition diagnosed before conception that was likely to result in restricted mobility. Modified Poisson regression was used to compare the risk of VTE during pregnancy and up to 6 weeks postpartum between people with a physical disability and those without a physical disability. Adjusted relative risks (aRRs) were calculated, controlling for demographics, history of VTE, thrombophilia, and other comorbidities. An additional analysis was used to evaluate the risk of peripregnancy VTE among people with physical disabilities who used a mobility aid.

RESULTS

Of 1 220 822 eligible people, 13 791 (1.1%) had a physical disability. VTE occurred during pregnancy or up to 6 weeks of the postpartum period in 0.85% of the individuals with a physical disability and 0.47% of those without a physical disability (aRR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.26-1.83). The rate of VTE was notably higher in those with a physical disability requiring a mobility aid (3.0%), generating an aRR of 3.05 (95% CI, 1.45-6.41), than in those without a physical disability.

CONCLUSION

Pregnant people with a physical disability, especially those using a mobility aid, are at an increased risk of VTE. Anticoagulant prophylaxis could be considered in this group, especially in the presence of additional risk factors.

Risk of hospital admission after discharge from postpartum psychiatric emergency department visits: A focus on the social determinants of health

OBJECTIVE

Of those with postpartum psychiatric emergency department (ED) visits, a minority of receive hospital admission at their initial visit. Among those discharged, we aimed to determine subsequent risk of psychiatric admission, and understand how social determinants of health (SDOH) - individually and collectively - impact this risk.

METHOD

From all postpartum individuals discharged from psychiatric ED visits in Ontario, Canada (2008-2020)(n = 13,130), we generated adjusted relative risks (aRR) for psychiatric inpatient admission within 365 days post-ED visit by four SDOH (age, neighbourhood income, community size, immigration) and other clinical factors. Using latent class analysis (LCA) to identify subgroups based on clustering of SDOH, we then compared adjusted risk across subgroups.

RESULTS

Psychiatric admission occurred for 9.5% (n = 1242) within 365 days. Across SDOH, risk was lower among adolescents (vs. ≥35 years aRR 0.80, 95%CI 0.65-0.97) and immigrants (<5 years in Canada vs. Canadian-born/long-term residents 0.70, 0.51-0.96; ≥5 years in Canada 0.79, 0.65-0.95). Among four identified subgroups, compared to the "older/urban/high-income" subgroup (11.1% admission), the "urban/immigrant/low-income" (7.6%; 0.68, 0.55-0.82) and "young/rural/low-income" subgroups (9.7%; 0.78, 0.63-0.96), but not the "semi-urban/middle-income" subgroup (9.5%; 0.86, 0.73-1.01), were at lower admission risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Future research is needed to explore reasons for SDOH-based differences in admission risk, and inform equitable postpartum services.

Sex differences in pre-incarceration mental illness, substance use, injury and sexually transmitted infections and health service utilization: a longitudinal linkage study of people serving federal sentences in Ontario

BACKGROUND

People who experience incarceration have poorer health than the general population. Yet, we know little about the health and health service utilization of people during the critical period prior to their incarceration, relative to during incarceration and post-release. In this study, we conducted a longitudinal cohort study of 39,498 adults in Ontario, Canada between January 1, 2002, and December 31, 2011 using linked administrative health and correctional data to describe mental illness, substance use, injury, sexually transmitted infections and health service utilization of men and women in federal prisons in the 3 years prior to their incarceration, compared to a matched group.

RESULTS

We found that, in the 3-year period prior to their incarceration, men (n = 6,134) and women (n = 449) experiencing their first federal sentence had poorer health across all indicators examined (e.g., psychosis, drug/alcohol use, and self-harm) and higher outpatient psychiatric and emergency department visits, compared with the matched group. Women in the pre-incarceration group exhibited a higher prevalence of self-harm and substance use, relative to women in the matched comparison group and higher relative prevalence to that of men in the pre-incarceration group, compared to their matched counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

Disparities in health and health service utilization are gendered and exist prior to incarceration. The gendered nature of these findings, specifically the significantly higher prevalence of poor health among women across several indicators, necessitates a focus on the social and systemic factors that contribute to these disparities. Gender-responsive and trauma-informed primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention strategies, alongside transformative approaches to justice should be considered in addressing the health needs of men and women who experience incarceration.

Disability and in-hospital breastfeeding practices and supports in Ontario, Canada: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Breastfeeding provides infants with nutrients required for optimal growth and development. We aimed to examine breastfeeding practices and supports that promote exclusive breastfeeding during the birth hospital stay among birthing parents with physical disabilities, sensory disabilities, intellectual or developmental disabilities, and multiple disabilities compared with those without a disability.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study was done in Ontario, Canada. We accessed and analysed health administrative data from ICES and the Better Outcomes Registry & Network. We included all birthing parents aged 15-49 years who had a singleton livebirth between April 1, 2012, and March 31, 2018. The study outcomes were breastfeeding practices and supports that promoted exclusive breastfeeding during the birth hospital stay, conceptualised based on WHO-UNICEF Baby Friendly Hospital Initiative guidelines. Individuals with a physical disability, sensory disability, intellectual or developmental disability, or two or more (multiple) disabilities, identified using diagnostic algorithms, were compared with individuals without disabilities on the opportunity to initiate breastfeeding, in-hospital breastfeeding, exclusive breastfeeding at hospital discharge, skin-to-skin contact, and provision of breastfeeding assistance. Relative risks (RRs) were estimated using modified Poisson regression.

FINDINGS

Our cohort included 634 111 birthing parents, of whom 54 476 (8·6%) had a physical disability, 19 227 (3·0%) had a sensory disability, 1048 (0·2%) had an intellectual or developmental disability, 4050 (0·6%) had multiple disabilities, and 555 310 (87·6%) had no disability. Individuals with intellectual or developmental disabilities were less likely than those without a disability to have an opportunity to initiate breastfeeding (adjusted RR 0·82, 95% CI 0·76-0·88), any in-hospital breastfeeding (0·85, 0·81-0·88), exclusive breastfeeding at hospital discharge (0·73, 0·67-0·79), skin-to-skin contact (0·90, 0·87-0·94), and breastfeeding assistance (0·85, 0·79-0·91). Those with multiple disabilities were less likely to have an opportunity to initiate breastfeeding (0·93, 0·91-0·96), any in-hospital breastfeeding (0·93, 0·92-0·95), exclusive breastfeeding at hospital discharge (0·90, 0·87-0·93), skin-to-skin contact (0·93, 0·91-0·95), and breastfeeding assistance (0·95, 0·92-0·98). Differences for individuals with a physical or sensory disability only were mostly non-significant.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings show disparities in breastfeeding outcomes between individuals without a disability and individuals with intellectual or developmental disabilities or multiple disabilities, but not individuals with physical or sensory disabilities. There is a need for further research on the factors that contribute to breastfeeding intentions, practices, and supports in people with intellectual or developmental disabilities and multiple disabilities, especially factors that affect breastfeeding decision making.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health and the Canada Research Chairs Program.

Disability and Interpersonal Violence in the Perinatal Period

OBJECTIVE

To compare the risk of interpersonal violence experienced by pregnant and postpartum individuals with physical disabilities, sensory disabilities, or intellectual or developmental disabilities with those without disabilities, and to examine whether a prepregnancy history of interpersonal violence puts individuals with disabilities, at excess risk of interpersonal violence in the perinatal period.

METHOD

This population-based study included all individuals aged 15-49 years with births in Ontario, Canada, from 2004 to 2019. Individuals with physical (n=147,414), sensory (n=47,459), intellectual or developmental (n=2,557), or multiple disabilities (n=9,598) were compared with 1,594,441 individuals without disabilities. The outcome was any emergency department visit, hospital admission, or death related to physical, sexual, or psychological violence between fertilization and 365 days postpartum. Relative risks (RRs) were adjusted for baseline social and health characteristics. Relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) was estimated from the joint effects of disability and prepregnancy violence history; RERI>0 indicated positive interaction.

RESULTS

Individuals with physical (0.8%), sensory (0.7%), intellectual or developmental (5.3%), or multiple disabilities (1.8%) were more likely than those without disabilities (0.5%) to experience perinatal interpersonal violence. The adjusted RR was 1.40 (95% CI 1.31-1.50) in those with physical disabilities, 2.39 (95% CI 1.98-2.88) in those with intellectual or developmental disabilities, and 1.96 (95% CI 1.66-2.30) in those with multiple disabilities. Having both a disability and any violence history produced a positive interaction for perinatal interpersonal violence (adjusted RERI 0.87; 95% CI 0.47-1.29).

CONCLUSION

The perinatal period is a time of relative high risk for interpersonal violence among individuals with pre-existing disabilities, especially those with a history of interpersonal violence.

Perinatal mental illness among women with disabilities: a population-based cohort study

PURPOSE

To examine the risk of perinatal mental illness, including new-onset disorders and recurrent or ongoing use of mental health care, comparing women with physical, sensory, intellectual/developmental, and multiple disabilities to those without a disability.

METHODS

From all women aged 15-49 years with a singleton birth in Ontario, Canada (2003-2018), those with physical (n = 144,972), sensory (n = 45,249), intellectual/developmental (n = 2,227), and ≥ 2 of these disabilities ("multiple disabilities"; n = 8,883), were compared to 1,601,363 without a disability on risk of healthcare system contact for mental illness from conception to 365 days postpartum. The cohort was stratified into: (1) no pre-pregnancy mental illness (to identify new-onset illness), (2) distal mental illness (> 2 years pre-pregnancy, to identify recurrent illness), and (3) recent mental illness (0-2 years pre-pregnancy, to identify ongoing contact). Modified Poisson regression generated relative risks (aRR), adjusted for age, parity, income quintile, and rural residence.

RESULTS

About 14.7, 26.5, and 56.6% of women with no disabilities had new-onset, recurrent, and ongoing contact for mental illness, respectively, perinatally. Risks were elevated across disability groups for new-onset (physical: aRR 1.18, 95% CI 1.16-1.20; sensory: 1.11, 1.08-1.15; intellectual/developmental: 1.38, 1.17-1.62; multiple: 1.24, 1.15-1.33), recurrent (physical: 1.10, 1.08-1.12; sensory 1.06, 1.02-1.09; intellectual/developmental: 1.24, 1.11-1.37; multiple: 1.16, 1.09-1.23), and ongoing contact (physical: 1.09, 1.08-1.10; sensory: 1.08, 1.06-1.10; intellectual/developmental: 1.31, 1.26-1.37; multiple: 1.20, 1.16-1.23).

CONCLUSION

The heightened use of new, recurrent, and ongoing mental health care across disability groups in the perinatal period suggests that adapted screening and intervention approaches are critical to optimize perinatal mental health in this population.

Annotation and quality assessment of left ventricular filling and relaxation pattern using one-dimensional convolutional neural network

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Institute For Health Research (NIHR), UK

Introduction

Aberrations in left ventricular (LV) filling or relaxation – known as diastolic dysfunction – occur in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. CMR is the reference modality for the assessment of ventricular systolic function, however, its role in evaluation of diastolic function is limited at present. One promising technique to assess diastolic function by CMR is the derivation of LV filling and emptying rates from the volume-time curves of cine images.

Purpose

To automatically assess the quality of LV filling-rate curves and annotate the peak emptying and filling rates.

Methods

A previously-described deep-learning network was used to automatically segment the entire cardiac cycle captured by short-axis SSFP cine images from the UK Biobank1. The LV filling-rate curves derived from the volume-time data were smoothed with Savitzky–Golay filter. The peak emptying rate (PER), early peak filling rate (PFR-E) and late peak filling rate (PFR-A) were first annotated by a simple peak finding algorithm from Python Scipy signal module. The preliminary annotated curves were reviewed by five human experts (i) to check for peak-annotation errors and (ii) to provide the curve quality score ranging from 1 to 3 for each peak (score 1 denotes good quality, score 2 represents moderate quality and score 3 indicates poor quality). Higher total score (minimum = 3, maximum = 9), therefore, represents poorer overall curve quality. This expert-annotated dataset was used to train two separate one-dimensional convolutional neural networks (1D-CNN) (Figure 1) for peak annotation and curve quality assessment (QA) using Tensorflow library in Python.

Results

The data from 6,328 LV filling-rate curves were split into the training and testing sets (80:20). The fine-tuned 1D-CNN comprising six hidden layers with two residual connections annotated the PER, PFR-E and PFR-A with the test-set accuracy of 95%, 95% and 98%, respectively. A second trained 1D-CNN for QA based on similar architecture predicted the overall curve quality score with a small error rate (mean absolute error: 0.46, mean squared error: 0.68). These two networks were used to quality check and label 19,409 UK Biobank CMR studies (See Figure 2 for exemplary results). After removing data from poor-quality curves (quality score ≥ 5), 18,735 studies remained. The mean±standard deviation of PER, PFR-E and PFR-A are 461±110 ml/s, 359±117 ml/s and 336±120 ml/s, respectively. Ageing is associated with lower PFR-E (−58.4 ml/s, 95% confidence interval [CI]: −56.1 to −60.7 ml/s per decade increment) and higher PFR-A (18.3 ml/s, 95% CI: 15.8 to 20.8 ml/s per decade increment).

Conclusion

The 1D-CNN models can be used to automatically grade the quality of LV filling rate curves and label important diastolic parameters with a high level of accuracy. The derived data recapitulate impaired LV relaxation pattern associated with ageing and can be used as surrogate indices of diastology by CMR. Figure 1Figure 2

Follow-up after post-partum psychiatric emergency department visits: an equity-focused population-based study in Canada

BACKGROUND

Emergency department visits for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period represent an acute need for mental health care at a crucial time, but little is known about the extent of timely outpatient follow-up after these visits or how individual and intersecting social determinants of health influence this outcome. This study aimed to examine outpatient mental health care follow-up by a physician in the 30 days after an individual attended the emergency department for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period and understand how social determinants of health affect who receives follow-up care.

METHODS

In this population-based cohort study, routinely collected health data from Ontario, Canada were accessed through ICES to identify all post-partum individuals whose sex was listed as female on their health card and who had attended an emergency department in Ontario before the COVID-19 pandemic for a psychiatric reason. Individuals admitted to hospital at the time of the emergency department visit, who died during the visit, or who left without being seen were excluded from the study. Ethnicity data for individuals were not collected. The primary outcome was the proportion of individuals with any outpatient physician (psychiatrist or family physician) visit for a mental health reason within 30 days of the index emergency department visit. Family physician mental health visits were identified using a validated algorithm for Ontario Health Insurance Plan-billed visits and mental health diagnostic codes for community health centre visits. We examined the associations between social determinants of health (age, neighbourhood income, community size, immigration, neighbourhood ethnic diversity) and who received an outpatient mental health visit. We used modified Poisson regression adjusting for the other social determinants of health, clinical, and health services characteristics to examine independent associations with follow-up, and conditional inference trees to explore how social determinants of health intersect with each other and with clinical and health services characteristics in relation to follow-up.

FINDINGS

We analysed data collected between April 1, 2008, and March 10, 2020, after exclusions we identified 12 158 people who had attended the emergency department for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period (mean age 26·9 years [SD 6·2]; range 13-47); 9848 individuals lived in an urban area, among these 1518 (15·5%) were immigrants and 2587 (26·3%) lived in areas with high ethnic diversity. 5442 (44·8%) of 12 158 individuals received 30-day follow-up. In modified Poisson regression models, younger age, lower neighbourhood income, smaller community size, and being an immigrant were associated with a lower likelihood of follow-up. In the CTREE, similar variables were important, with several intersections between social determinants of health and between social determinants of health and other variables.

INTERPRETATION

Fewer than half of emergency department visits for a psychiatric reason in the post-partum period were followed by timely outpatient care, with social-determinants-of-health-based disparities in access to care. Improvements in equitable access to post-emergency department mental health care are urgently needed in this high-risk post-partum population.

FUNDING

Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto; Canadian Institutes of Health Research.

Association of daily coffee consumption with cardiovascular health – results from the UK Biobank

Background

There are conflicting reports on the association of coffee consumption with cardiovascular (CV) health. The UK Biobank is a prospective cohort study including data for half a million middle-aged individuals.

Purpose

We studied the association of daily coffee consumption with all-cause and CV mortality, and incidence of the major CV diseases in the UK Biobank. In a subgroup of participants who underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), we evaluated the association between regular coffee intake and cardiac structure and function parameters.

Methods

UK Biobank cohort of participants without clinically manifested heart disease at the time of recruitment were included. Regular coffee intake was categorized into 3 groups: zero, light-to-moderate (0.5–3 cups/day) and high (&gt;3 cups/day) coffee drinkers. We estimated association of daily coffee consumption with incident outcomes using multivariable Cox-regression models (median follow-up of 11 years) and, in the subset with CMR data, with left and right ventricular (LV, RV) end-systolic and end-diastolic volumes, LV mass, and LV/RV stroke volume using multivariable linear regression. Models were adjusted for potential confounders and mediators, including: age, sex, non-European ethnicities, body mass index, smoking, physical activity, Townsend deprivation index, alcohol, meat, fruit and vegetable intake, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and cholesterol level.

Results

We included 468,629 individuals (mean age 56.2±8.1 years, 44.2% male). Among them, 22.1% did not consume coffee on a regular basis, 58.4% had 0.5–3 cups per day and 19.5% had &gt;3 cups per day. After adjustment for potential confounders and mediators, compared to non-coffee drinkers, light-to-moderate coffee drinking was associated with lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR=0.88, p&lt;0.001), CV mortality (HR=0.83, p=0.006), and incident stroke (HR=0.79; p=0.037). CMR data were available in 30,650 participants. In multivariable analysis, compared to non-coffee drinkers, both the light-to-moderate and high coffee consuming categories, were associated with significantly increased LV and RV ventricular end-systolic (β=0.91 and 1.64 for LV and 1.10 and 1.72 for RV), end-diastolic (β=2.21 and 3.28 for LV and 2.24 and 3.35 for RV) and stroke volumes (β=1.31 and 1.64 for LV and 1.15 and 1.63 for RV), as well as greater LV mass (β=0.78 and 1.64; all p&lt;0.001).

Conclusion

In this large study of the UK Biobank population, regular coffee consumption of up to 3 cups per day was associated with favorable cardiovascular outcomes, in particular, decreased all-cause and CV mortality and stroke incidence. Regular coffee consumption was also associated with a pattern of CMR metrics in keeping with the reverse of age-related cardiac alterations.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Incidence and mortality rates of keratinocyte carcinoma from 1998-2017: a population-based study of sex differences in Ontario, Canada

Background:

Keratinocyte carcinoma is the most common malignant disease, but it is not captured in major registries. We aimed to describe differences by sex in the incidence and mortality rates of keratinocyte carcinoma in Ontario, Canada.

Methods:

We conducted a population-based retrospective study of adults residing in Ontario between Jan. 1, 1998, and Dec. 31, 2017, using linked health administrative databases. We identified the first diagnosis of keratinocyte carcinoma using a validated algorithm of health insurance claims, and deaths related to keratinocyte carcinoma from death certificates. We calculated the incidence and mortality rates of keratinocyte carcinoma, stratified by sex, age and income quintile. We evaluated trends using the average annual percentage change (AAPC) based on joinpoint regression.

Results:

After decreasing from 1998 to 2003, the incidence rate of keratinocyte carcinoma increased by 30% to 369 per 100 000 males and 345 per 100 000 females in 2017 (AAPC 1.9%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.7 to 2.1 from 2003 to 2017). The incidence rate was higher in females younger than 55 years, but higher in males aged 55 years or older. Between 2008 and 2017, the incidence rate rose faster in females than males aged 45–54 years (AAPC 1.2% v. 0.5%, p = 0.01) and 55–64 years (1.2% v. 0.1%, p < 0.01). The incidence was higher in males than females in the higher income quintiles. Between 1998 and 2017, the mortality rate of keratinocyte carcinoma was 1.8 times higher in males than females, on average, and rose 4.8-fold overall (AAPC 8.9%, 95% CI 6.4 to 11.4 in males; 8.0%, 95% CI 5.3–10.8 in females).

Interpretation:

The population burden of keratinocyte carcinoma is growing, and the incidence and mortality rates rose disproportionately among certain sex- and age-specific groups. This warrants further investigation into causal factors and renewed preventive public health measures.

Acute mental health service use following onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario, Canada: a trend analysis

BACKGROUND

The extent to which heightened distress during the COVID-19 pandemic translated to increases in severe mental health outcomes is unknown. We examined trends in psychiatric presentations to acute care settings in the first 12 months after onset of the pandemic.

METHODS

This was a trends analysis of administrative population data in Ontario, Canada. We examined rates of hospitalizations and emergency department visits for mental health diagnoses overall and stratified by sex, age and diagnostic grouping (e.g., mood disorders, anxiety disorders, psychotic disorders), as well as visits for intentional self-injury for people aged 10 to 105 years, from January 2019 to March 2021. We used Joinpoint regression to identify significant inflection points after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020.

RESULTS

Among the 12 968 100 people included in our analysis, rates of mental health-related hospitalizations and emergency department visits declined immediately after the onset of the pandemic (peak overall decline of 30% [hospitalizations] and 37% [emergency department visits] compared to April 2019) and returned to near prepandemic levels by March 2021. Compared to April 2019, visits for intentional self-injury declined by 33% and remained below prepandemic levels until March 2021. We observed the largest declines in service use among adolescents aged 14 to 17 years (55% decline in hospitalizations, 58% decline in emergency department visits) and 10 to 13 years (56% decline in self-injury), and for those with substance-related disorders (33% decline in emergency department visits) and anxiety disorders (61% decline in hospitalizations).

INTERPRETATION

Contrary to expectations, the abrupt decline in acute mental health service use immediately after the onset of the pandemic and the return to near prepandemic levels that we observed suggest that changes and stressors in the first 12 months of the pandemic did not translate to increased service use. Continued surveillance of acute mental health service use is warranted.

Automated myocardial segmentation in native t1-mapping cardiovascular magnetic resonance images based on machine learning: a validation study in the UK biobank"s covid-19 subset

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Innovate UK

Background

 Regional assessment of septal native T1 values with cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) is used to characterise diffuse myocardial diseases. Previous studies suggest its potential role in detecting early pathological alterations, which may help identify high-risk subjects at early disease stages. Automated analysis of myocardial native T1 images may enable faster CMR analysis and reduce inter-observer variability of manual analysis. However, the technical performance of such methodologies has not been previously reported.

Purpose

 We tested, in a subset of UK Biobank participants, the degree of agreement between CMR septal myocardial T1 values obtained from our machine learning (ML) algorithm and septal native T1 values computed from manual segmentations.

Methods

 We analysed the first 292 participants who were tested for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and had CMR imaging (1.5 Tesla, Siemens MAGNETOM Aera). T1 mapping was performed in a single mid-ventricular short axis (SAX) slice using ShMOLLI (WIP780B) sequences. Three experienced CMR readers independently measured native T1 values by manually placing a single region of interest (ROI) covering half of the anteroseptal and half of the inferoseptal wall using cvi42 post-processing software (version 5.11). A mean T1 value for each participant was then calculated. A ML algorithm developed by Circle Cardiovascular Imaging Inc. was then applied to the same images to derive the myocardium T1 values automatically. The algorithm was previously trained to segment myocardium from SAX T1 and non-T1 mapping images on two external CMR datasets. We compared the mean septal ROI T1 values to the mean myocardium T1 values predicted by the ML algorithm.

Results

 Two studies were excluded after quality control. The ML-derived and the manually calculated mean T1 values were significantly correlated (r = 0.82, p < 0.001). The Bland-Altman analysis between the two methods showed a mean bias of 3.64 ms, with 95% limits of agreement of −38.88 to 53.46 ms, indicating good agreement (figure 1).

Conclusions

 We demonstrated strong correlation and good agreement between native T1 values obtained from our automated analysis method and manual T1 septal analysis in a subset of UK Biobank participants. This algorithm may represent a valuable tool for clinicians allowing for fast and potentially less operator-dependent myocardial tissue characterisation. However, validation of more extensive datasets and quality control processes are needed.

Postpartum mental illness during the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based, repeated cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND:

It is unclear whether the clinical burden of postpartum mental illness has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. We sought to compare physician visit rates for postpartum mental illness in Ontario, Canada, during the pandemic with rates expected based on prepandemic patterns.

METHODS:

In this population-based, repeated cross-sectional study using linked health administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, we used negative binomial regression to model expected visit rates per 1000 postpartum people for March–November 2020 based on prepandemic data (January 2016–February 2020). We compared observed visit rates to expected visit rates for each month of the pandemic period, generating absolute rate differences, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The primary outcome was a visit to a primary care physician or a psychiatrist for any mental disorder. We stratified analyses by maternal sociodemographic characteristics.

RESULTS:

In March 2020, the visit rate was 43.5/1000, with a rate difference of 3.11/1000 (95% CI 1.25–4.89) and an IRR of 1.08 (95% CI 1.03–1.13) compared with the expected rate. In April, the rate difference (10.9/1000, 95% CI 9.14–12.6) and IRR (1.30, 95% CI 1.24–1.36) were higher; this level was generally sustained through November 2020. From April–November, we observed elevated visit rates across provider types and for diagnoses of anxiety, depressive and alcohol or substance use disorders. Observed increases from expected visit rates were greater for people 0–90 days postpartum compared with 91–365 days postpartum; increases were small among people living in low-income neighbourhoods. Public health units in the northern areas of the province did not see sustained elevations in visit rates after July; southern health units had elevated rates through to November.

INTERPRETATION:

Increased visits for mental health conditions among postpartum people during the first 9 months of the COVID-19 pandemic suggest an increased need for effective and accessible mental health care for this population as the pandemic progresses.

Deconstructing The Rise In Mental Health-Related ED Visits Among Children And Youth In Ontario, Canada

Mental illness is a leading cause of disability among youth. In Ontario, Canada, rates of mental health or addiction-related emergency department (ED) visits continue to rise in children and youth; however, it is unclear what is driving this change. We deconstructed this trend by sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, using linked health administrative data sets. Mental health or addiction-related ED visit rates increased by 89.1 percent between 2006 and 2017, with the greatest rise observed for those ages 14-21, high-acuity cases, and anxiety and mood disorders. We observed a significantly sharp increase after 2009, when several socioenvironmental changes occurred, including the emergence of social media and the Great Recession. Our findings of greater numbers of teenagers and young adults experiencing mental health problems and a shift in acuity and diagnoses have important implications for both ED staffing and outpatient mental illness prevention efforts. Further research is needed to examine whether better case management, care coordination, and after-hours services will help reverse these trends.

Health Status of Females Who Experience Incarceration: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: People who experience incarceration have poor health across a variety of indicators, but we lack population-level data on the health of females in particular. We examined the health status of females released from provincial prison, and compared their data with data for males released from provincial prison and females in the general population in Ontario, Canada in 2010. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked correctional and health administrative data. We compared sociodemographic data, morbidity, mortality, and use of health care for (1) females released from provincial prison in 2010, (2) males released from provincial prison in 2010, and (3) age-matched females in the general population. Results: Females in the incarceration group (N = 6,107) were more likely to have higher morbidity and specific psychiatric conditions compared with the male incarceration group (N = 42,754) and the female general population group (N = 24,428). Their mortality rate postrelease was several times higher than that for the female general population group. They used primary care more often than both comparator groups across all time periods, and they used emergency departments more often compared with the female general population group and in most periods postrelease compared with the male incarceration group. They also tended to have higher rates of medical-surgical and psychiatric hospitalization. Conclusion: Females who experience incarceration have worse health overall than males who experience incarceration and females in the general population. Efforts should be made to reform programs and policies in the criminal justice and health care systems to support and promote health for females who experience incarceration.

Application of a machine learning contouring tool for the evaluation of left ventricular strain in clinical practice

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): AK has been funded by the Egyptian cultural centre and educational bureau of the Egyptian embassy in London and the Ministry of higher education in Egypt. SEP acknowledges support from the “SmartHeart” EPSRC programme grant (www.nihr.ac.uk; EP/P001009/1) and the London Medical Imaging and AI Centre for Value-Based Healthcare. This new centre is one of the UK Centres supported by a £50m investment from the Data to Early Diagnosis and Precision Medicine strand of the government’s Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund, managed and delivered by UK Research and Innovation (UKRI). SEP acknowledges support from the CAP-AI programme, London’s first AI enabling programme focused on stimulating growth in the capital’s AI Sector. CAP-AI is led by Capital Enterprise in partnership with Barts Health NHS Trust and Digital Catapult and is funded by the European Regional Development Fund and Barts Charity. SEP also acts as a paid consultant to Circle Cardiovascular Imaging Inc., Calgary, Canada and Servier

onbehalf

Barts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew’s Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, West Smithfield, London, UK

Background

Manual contouring of cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) cine images remains common practice and the reference standard for left ventricular (LV) volumes and mass evaluation. However, it is time-consuming and machine learning (ML) may significantly reduce the time required for contouring. Accurate LV contours are the basis for reliable LV strain analysis using tissue tracking.

Purpose

To assess the impact of a ML contouring tool alone versus expert adjusted contours on LV strain.

Methods

We retrospectively selected 402 CMR studies with diagnoses of myocardial infarction (n = 108), myocarditis (n = 130) and healthy controls (n = 164) from the Barts BioResource between January 2015 to June 2018. CMR examinations were obtained using 1.5T and 3T scanners (Siemens Healthineers, Germany). We excluded 32 cases due to phase inconsistency between short (SAX) and long axes (LAX) cine images or suboptimal cine image quality. For the remaining 370 cases, steady state free precession cine images for LAX and SAX were analysed by the ML contouring tool (using CVI42 research prototype software 5.11). Manual expert adjustment for the contours was done for each case if considered suboptimal for strain analysis in the reference end-diastolic phase. Strain results from ML and expert adjusted ML methods were compared for strain agreement. Times taken by these methods were recorded and compared against the time taken for standard manual contouring.

Results

SAX and LAX derived strains by ML and expert adjusted ML methods showed good agreement by Bland-Altman analysis (Figure 1) with excellent coefficient of concordance using Kendall W which is 0.98 for global SAX, radial and circumferential strains (mean difference(MD) = -1.7% (lower and upper limits of agreement (UL,LL) -6.6,3.2), MD = 0.5% (-1.0,2.1)) and is 0.95 for global LAX derived strain (radial and longitudinal, MD = 0.7% (UL,LL -8.7 ,7.4),MD= 0.2% (-1.9,2.5), respectively). Time taken for adjustment of ML contours was significantly shorter than manual contouring (1.35 minutes vs 8.0 minutes, around 590% time saving in ML adjusted method).

Conclusions

ML contouring compared to expert manual adjustment has a clinically reasonable agreement when used for measuring LV strain. Also, using the ML tool with expert adjustment shows significant time saving for analysis and reporting time compared to entirely manual analysis, favouring its application in routine clinical practice.

Abstract Figure.

Assessing automated CMR contouring algorithms using systematic contour quality scoring analysis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): SmartHeart EPSRC programme grant (www.nihr.ac.uk), London Medical Imaging and AI Centre for Value-Based Healthcare

Background

Quality measures for machine learning algorithms include clinical measures such as end-diastolic (ED) and end-systolic (ES) volume, volumetric overlaps such as Dice similarity coefficient and surface distances such as Hausdorff distance. These measures capture differences between manually drawn and automated contours but fail to capture the trust of a clinician to an automatically generated contour.

Purpose

We propose to directly capture clinicians’ trust in a systematic way. We display manual and automated contours sequentially in random order and ask the clinicians to score the contour quality. We then perform statistical analysis for both sources of contours and stratify results based on contour type.

Data

The data selected for this experiment came from the National Health Center Singapore. It constitutes CMR scans from 313 patients with diverse pathologies including: healthy, dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), hypertension (HTN), hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), ischemic heart disease (IHD), left ventricular non-compaction (LVNC), and myocarditis. Each study contains a short axis (SAX) stack, with ED and ES phases manually annotated. Automated contours are generated for each SAX image for which manual annotation is available. For this, a machine learning algorithm trained at Circle Cardiovascular Imaging Inc. is applied and the resulting predictions are saved to be displayed in the contour quality scoring (CQS) application.

Methods: The CQS application displays manual and automated contours in a random order and presents the user an option to assign a contour quality score

1: Unacceptable, 2: Bad, 3: Fair, 4: Good. The UK Biobank standard operating procedure is used for assessing the quality of the contoured images. Quality scores are assigned based on how the contour affects clinical outcomes. However, as images are presented independent of spatiotemporal context, contour quality is assessed based on how well the area of the delineated structure is approximated. Consequently, small contours and small deviations are rarely assigned a quality score of less than 2, as they are not clinically relevant. Special attention is given to the RV-endo contours as often, mostly in basal images, two separate contours appear. In such cases, a score of 3 is given if the two disjoint contours sufficiently encompass the underlying anatomy; otherwise they are scored as 2 or 1.

Results

A total of 50991 quality scores (24208 manual and 26783 automated) are generated by five expert raters. The mean score for all manual and automated contours are 3.77 ± 0.48 and 3.77 ± 0.52, respectively. The breakdown of mean quality scores by contour type is included in Fig. 1a while the distribution of quality scores for various raters are shown in Fig. 1b.

Conclusion

We proposed a method of comparing the quality of manual versus automated contouring methods. Results suggest similar statistics in quality scores for both sources of contours.

Abstract Figure 1

Identifying Prenatal Opioid Exposure in Health Administrative Data for Public Health Surveillance and Epidemiologic Research

IntroductionAccurate estimation of prenatal opioid exposure (POE) is needed for population-based surveillance & research but can be challenging with health administrative data due to varying definitions & methods. Prior research has relied primarily on infant records with a diagnosis of neonatal abstinence syndrome (NAS). Objectives and Approach1) Evaluate the impact of using different definitions of maternal opioid use in the estimation of POE; 2) Investigate whether maternal characteristics vary by the type of definition used. Population-based cross-sectional study of all hospital births (N= 454,746) from 2014-2017 in Ontario, Canada. Multiple linked population-based health administrative databases were used to identify opioid-related pre- & perinatal Emergency Department visits & hospitalizations & opioid prescriptions. We examined how pre-conception & in-pregnancy maternal characteristics varied by using different approaches to ascertain POE. ResultsThere were 9624 live/still births with POE. Ascertainment of POE was highest using maternal prescription drug data (79%) & infant hospital records with NAS (45%). Maternal characteristics varied by data source used for POE ascertainment. Opioid-related health care during pregnancy identified a high-risk phenotype, contrasted with those ascertained through prescription data, with respective rates of 64% vs. 54% for social assistance, 37% vs. 12% for polydrug use, 23% vs. 6% for alcohol use, 26% vs. 19% for 3+ live births, 13% vs. 5% for victim of violence, 12% vs. 6% for involvement in criminal justice system & 64% vs. 17% for mental health & addictions hospital care. Conclusion / ImplicationsPOE ascertainment differs by health administrative data source & ability to link both across maternal records and with infant. Prescription drug data identified the highest number of opioid-exposed births and, with linked healthcare records, is useful to identify illicit opioid use & additional risk factors. Clinically meaningful differences in maternal characteristics of opioid users exist by POE ascertainment method.

Development and validation of a multivariable prediction model for major adverse cardiovascular events after early stage breast cancer: a population-based cohort study

AIMS

Develop a score to predict the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after early stage breast cancer (EBC) to facilitate personalized decision-making about potentially cardiotoxic treatments and interventions to reduce cardiovascular risk.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using administrative databases, we assembled a cohort of women diagnosed with EBC in Ontario between 2003 and 2014, with follow-up through 2015. Two-thirds of the cohort were used for risk score derivation; the remainder were reserved for its validation. The outcome was a composite of hospitalizations for acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, transient ischaemic attack, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, heart failure (HF), or cardiovascular death. We developed the score by regressing MACE incidence against candidate predictors in the derivation sample using a Fine-Gray model. Discrimination was assessed in the validation sample using Wolber's c-index for prognostic models with competing risks, while calibration was assessed by comparing predicted and observed MACE incidence. The risk score was derived in 60 294 women and validated in 29 810 women. Age, hypertension, diabetes, ischaemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation, HF, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and chronic kidney disease were significantly associated with MACE incidence and incorporated into the score. Ten-year MACE incidence was >40-fold higher for patients in the highest score decile compared to the lowest. The c-index was 81.9% (95% confidence interval 80.9-82.9%) at 5 years and 79.8% (78.8-80.8%) at 10 years in the validation cohort, with good agreement between predicted and observed MACE incidence.

CONCLUSION

Cardiovascular prognosis after EBC can be estimated using patients' pre-treatment characteristics.

Delay in diagnosis of patients with head-and-neck cancer in Canada: impact of patient and provider delay

Background

Head-and-neck cancers (hncs) often present at an advanced stage, leading to poor outcomes. Late presentation might be attributable to patient delays (reluctance to seek treatment, for instance) or provider delays (misdiagnosis, prolonged wait time for consultation, for example). The objective of the present study was to examine the length and cause of such delays in a Canadian universal health care setting.

Methods

Patients presenting for the first time to the hnc multidisciplinary team (mdt) with a biopsy-proven hnc were recruited to this study. Patients completed a survey querying initial symptom presentation, their previous medical appointments, and length of time between appointments. Clinical and demographic data were collected for all patients.

Results

The average time for patients to have their first appointment at the mdt clinic was 15.1 months, consisting of 3.9 months for patients to see a health care provider (hcp) for the first time since symptom onset and 10.7 months from first hcp appointment to the mdt clinic. Patients saw an average of 3 hcps before the mdt clinic visit (range: 1-7). No significant differences in time to presentation were found based on stage at presentation or anatomic site.

Conclusions

At our tertiary care cancer centre, a patient's clinical pathway to being seen at the mdt clinic shows significant delays, particularly in the time from the first hcp visit to mdt referral. Possible methods to mitigate delay include education about hnc for patients and providers alike, and a more streamlined referral system.

Health service utilization in immigrants with multiple sclerosis

Background

Access to neurology specialty care can influence outcomes in individuals with multiple sclerosis (MS), but may vary based on patient sociodemographic characteristics, including immigration status.

Objective

To compare health services utilization in the year of MS diagnosis, one year before diagnosis and two years after diagnosis in immigrants versus long-term residents in Ontario, Canada.

Methods

We identified incident cases of MS among adults aged 20–65 years by applying a validated algorithm to health administrative data in Ontario, Canada, a region with universal health insurance and comprehensive coverage. We separately assessed hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits, outpatient neurology visits, other outpatient specialty visits, and primary care visits. We compared rates of health service use in immigrants versus long-term residents using negative binomial regression models with generalized estimating equations adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, urban/rural residence, MS diagnosis calendar year, and comorbidity burden.

Results

From 2003 to 2014, there were 13,028 incident MS cases in Ontario, of whom 1,070 (8.2%) were immigrants. As compared to long-term residents, rates of hospitalization were similar (Adjusted rate ratio (ARR) 0.86; 95% CI: 0.73–1.01) in immigrants the year before MS diagnosis, but outpatient neurology visits (ARR 0.93; 95% CI: 0.87–0.99) were slightly less frequent. However, immigrants had higher rates of hospitalization during the diagnosis year (ARR 1.20, 95% CI: 1.04–1.39), and had greater use of outpatient neurology (ARR 1.17, 95% CI: 1.12–1.23) but fewer ED visits (ARR 0.86; 95% CI: 0.78–0.96). In the first post-diagnosis year, immigrants continued to have greater numbers of outpatient neurology visits (ARR 1.16; 95% CI: 1.10–1.23), but had fewer hospitalizations (ARR 0.79; 95% CI: 0.67–0.94).

Conclusions

Overall, our findings were reassuring concerning health services access for immigrants with MS in Ontario, a publicly funded health care system. However, immigrants were more likely to be hospitalized despite greater use of outpatient neurology care in the year of MS diagnosis. Reasons for this may include more severe disease presentation or lack of social support among immigrants and warrant further investigation.

Health Care Use and Costs of Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults With Somatic Symptom and Related Disorders

IMPORTANCE

Somatic symptom and related disorders are highly prevalent mental health disorders among young people. Presentation can be varied, and patients often face long delays and see multiple practitioners to receive a diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the health care use and costs in a population-based sample of children and young people with somatic symptom and related disorders in Ontario, Canada.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study used linked health and administrative databases in Ontario, Canada, where health services are funded through a universal single-payer health insurance plan. Participants included children aged 4 to 12 years, adolescents aged 13 to 17 years, and young adults aged 18 to 24 years residing in Ontario, Canada, during the period of April 1, 2008, to March 31, 2015. Included participants had a first health record diagnosis of somatic symptom and related disorders and were grouped based on the setting of their index somatic symptom and related disorders contact: outpatient, emergency department, or inpatient. Data were analyzed from August 1, 2017, to February 1, 2018.

EXPOSURES

One year before and 1 year after diagnosis of somatic symptom and related disorders.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Outcome measures included overall and mental health-specific ambulatory and acute care visits and overall health system costs and sector-specific costs.

RESULTS

A total of 33 272 patients (median [interquartile range {IQR}] age, 20 [16-22] years; 17 387 female [52.3%]) were included in the analysis. Among these patients, 3875 (11.6%) were aged 4 to 12 years, 7273 (21.9%) were aged 13 to 17 years, and 22 124 (66.5%) were aged 18 to 24 years. A total of 17 893 (53.8%) had their index visit as outpatients, whereas 13 310 (40.0%) and 2069 (6.2%) were diagnosed in the emergency department and inpatient settings, respectively. Ambulatory physician visits were frequent and persisted 1 year after diagnosis within each setting (before vs after 1 year, median [IQR] visits, inpatient setting: 7 [3-13] vs 7 [3-13]; emergency department setting: 4 [2-8] vs 4 [2-9]; outpatient setting: 3 [1-7] vs 4 [2-7]; P < .001). After diagnosis, many did not receive physician-delivered mental health care (35.3% [730 of 2069] in an inpatient setting, 59.1% [7866 of 13 310] in an emergency department setting, 58.5% [10 467 of 17 893] in an outpatient setting; P < .001). Acute care use was frequent and remained so after diagnosis across settings. Of those hospitalized as inpatients at diagnosis, 37.7% (779 of 2069) were readmitted within 1 year. Mean (SD) 2-year patient costs were CAD$9845 ($39 725) (median [IQR], $2401 [$960-$7019]). Hospitalized patients had a 2-year mean (SD) cost of $51 424 ($100 416) (median [IQR], $21 997 [$12 510-$45 841]) per-patient expenditure.

CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE

This study found that children and young people with somatic symptom and related disorders frequently used the health system with substantial health system costs before and after diagnosis. Many of these patients did not receive physician-delivered mental health care. These findings suggest that this population may be under-recognized, and initiatives for early recognition and engagement with mental health support may be warranted.

The Risk of Heart Failure and Other Cardiovascular Hospitalizations After Early Stage Breast Cancer: A Matched Cohort Study

Background

Data are limited regarding the risk of heart failure (HF) requiring hospital-based care after early stage breast cancer (EBC) and its relationship to other types of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

Methods

We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of EBC patients (diagnosed April 1, 2005–March 31, 2015) matched 1:3 on birth-year to cancer-free control subjects. We identified hospitalizations and emergency department visits for CVD through March 31, 2017. We used cumulative incidence function curves to estimate CVD incidence and cause-specific regression models to compare CVD rates between cohorts. All statistical tests were two-sided.

Results

We identified 78 318 EBC patients and 234 954 control subjects. The 10-year incidence of CVD hospitalization was 10.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 10.5% to 11.1%) after EBC and 9.1% (95% CI = 8.9% to 9.2%) in control subjects. Ischemic heart disease was the most common reason for CVD hospitalization after EBC. After regression adjustment, the relative rates compared with control subjects remained statistically significantly elevated for HF (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.14 to 1.29, P < .001), arrhythmias (HR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.23 to 1.39, P < .001), and cerebrovascular disease (HR 1.10, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.17, P = .002) hospitalizations. It was rare for HF hospital presentations (2.9% of cases) to occur in EBC patients without recognized risk factors (age >60 years, hypertension, diabetes, prior CVD). Anthracycline and/or trastuzumab were used in 28 950 EBC patients; they were younger than the overall cohort with lower absolute rates of CVD, hypertension, and diabetes. However, they had higher relative rates of CVD in comparison with age-matched control subjects.

Conclusions

Atherosclerotic diagnoses, rather than HF, were the most common reasons for CVD hospitalization after EBC. HF hospital presentations were often preceded by risk factors other than chemotherapy, suggesting potential opportunities for prevention.

Maternal schizophrenia and adverse birth outcomes: what mediates the risk?

PURPOSE

Maternal schizophrenia is associated with adverse birth outcomes, but the reasons for this remain unclear. In a population-based cohort of infants born to women with schizophrenia, we determined the occurrence of key perinatal outcomes and explored whether factors identifiable in our datasets explained any elevated risk.

METHODS

Using population-level health administrative data linked to clinical birth-registry data in Ontario, Canada (2006-2011), we examined the relative risk (RR) of preterm birth (< 37 weeks), small for gestational age (SGA), and Apgar scores < 8 in infants of women with schizophrenia (n = 4279) versus infants of unaffected women (n = 286,147). Generalized estimating equations determined whether reproductive history, maternal health conditions, pregnancy exposures, and complications explained elevated RRs.

RESULTS

Among infants of women with schizophrenia, risk was higher for prematurity (11.4% vs. 6.9%, aRR 1.64, 95% CI 1.51-1.79), SGA (3.5% vs. 2.5%, aRR 1.40, 95% CI 1.20-1.64), and Apgar score < 8 at 1 (19.0% vs. 12.8%, aRR 1.49, 95% CI 1.40-1.59) and 5 min (5.6% vs. 3.0%, aRR 1.90, 95% CI 1.68-2.16). Smoking, fourfold more common among women with schizophrenia, was the variable that explained the greatest proportion of the elevated aRR for prematurity (9.9%), SGA (28.7%), and Apgar < 8 at 1 and 5 min (9.8%, 5.6%). Illicit substance use, certain reproductive history variables, and pregnancy complications also contributed to the elevated aRR for preterm birth.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated risks of preterm birth, SGA, and low Apgar scores in infants of women with schizophrenia are partly explained by potentially modifiable factors such as smoking and illicit drug use, suggesting opportunities for targeted intervention.

Effect of Academic Detailing on Promoting Appropriate Prescribing of Antipsychotic Medication in Nursing Homes: A Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Strategies to reduce the inappropriate prescription of antipsychotics have been the focus of recent attention but have shown considerable variation in their effectiveness.

Objective

To evaluate the effectiveness of academic detailing in nursing homes targeting appropriate prescribing of antipsychotics.

Design, Setting, and Participants

We conducted a pragmatic, cluster randomized clinical trial comparing the effect of academic detailing vs usual care on prescribing antipsychotics in 40 nursing homes with 5363 residents in Ontario, Canada. Data were collected from October 2015 to March 2016 and analyzed from April to August 2018. Primary analyses were conducted using intention to treat.

Intervention

Academic detailing delivered by health professionals (eg, nurses or pharmacists) who arranged meetings (with administrators, physicians, pharmacists, nurses, and support workers), presentations, group visits (with 2-6 clinicians), and 1-on-1 visits (traditional academic detailing visits). Academic detailers had direct and ongoing contact with the nursing homes from the time of launch.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome, defined at the level of the resident, was whether continuous antipsychotics were dispensed in the past week. Secondary outcomes included prescribing of other psychotropic medications and clinical outcomes and scores. Prescribing outcomes were assessed at baseline and at 3, 6, and 12 months, and clinical outcomes and scores were assessed at baseline and 3 and 6 months.

Results

A total of 40 nursing homes with 5363 residents were randomized, with 18 intervention homes (45.0%; 2303 [42.9%] residents) and 22 control homes (55.0%; 3060 [57.1%] residents). Participants in the intervention and control groups had similar median (interquartile range) age (86 [79-91] years vs 85 [78-90] years) and sex (674 [29.3%] men vs 970 [31.7%] men). At 12 months, there was no statistically significant difference in the frequency of daily antipsychotic use (intervention: 569 patients [25.2%]; control: 769 [25.6%]; odds ratio, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.93-1.20; P = .49). There were no significant differences in the rates of health care utilization, but the intervention group did experience a statistically significant reduction in pain compared with the control group (mean [SD] pain score, 0.30 [0.59] vs 0.38 [0.66]; P < .001) and depression (mean [SD] Depression Rating Scale score, 2.18 [2.37] vs 2.81 [2.65]; P < .001) at 6 months.

Conclusions and Relevance

The intervention did not further reduce antipsychotic prescribing in nursing homes beyond system-level secular trends occurring alongside usual care. Our findings highlight the need for a more targeted approach to quality improvement strategies, including academic detailing, that account for the timing and topic of interventions.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02604056.

Recommendations from the CSO-HNS taskforce on performance of tracheotomy during the COVID-19 pandemic

INTRODUCTION

The performance of tracheotomy is a common procedural request by critical care departments to the surgical services of general surgery, thoracic surgery and otolaryngology - head & neck surgery. A Canadian Society of Otolaryngology - Head & Neck Surgery (CSO-HNS) task force was convened with multi-specialty involvement from otolaryngology-head & neck surgery, general surgery, critical care and anesthesiology to develop a set of recommendations for the performance of tracheotomies during the COVID-19 pandemic.

MAIN BODY

The tracheotomy procedure is highly aerosol generating and directly exposes the entire surgical team to the viral aerosol plume and secretions, thereby increasing the risk of transmission to healthcare providers. As such, we believe extended endotracheal intubation should be the standard of care for the entire duration of ventilation in the vast majority of patients. Pre-operative COVID-19 testing is highly recommended for any non-emergent procedure.

CONCLUSION

The set of recommendations in this document highlight the importance of avoiding tracheotomy procedures in patients who are COVID-19 positive if at all possible. Recommendations for appropriate PPE and environment are made for COVID-19 positive, negative and unknown patients requiring consideration of tracheotomy. The safety of healthcare professionals who care for ill patients and who keep critical infrastructure operating is paramount.

Association between traumatic brain injury and prison charges: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) is a serious hidden health issue disproportionately affecting people who experience incarceration.

OBJECTIVE

We examined the association between TBI and serious disciplinary charges among men and women sentenced by the courts to terms of two or more years.

METHODS

The study originated in Ontario, Canada and used linked administrative health and correctional data. The cohort included adults experiencing their first federal sentence between 1998 and 2011 (N = 12,038). We examined disciplinary charges incurred 2 years post-sentence commencement. TBI was defined using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9 and ICD-10) diagnostic codes. Robust Poisson regression was conducted to assess the association between TBI and disciplinary charges.

FINDINGS

The prevalence of TBI for the full sample was 13.2%. One-third of adults with a recent TBI had a serious disciplinary charge. The unadjusted risk of incurring a serious charge for those with a history of TBI was 39% higher than those with no history of TBI (CI: 1.29-1.49). The adjusted risk was 1.14 (CI: 1.06-1.22).

CONCLUSIONS

TBI is a serious health concern that makes it difficult for incarcerants to adjust to prison. Additional support/resources are needed to support those with histories of TBI.

Melanoma incidence, stage, and survival after solid organ transplant: A population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada

BACKGROUND

Risk of melanoma is increased with potentially worse outcomes after solid organ transplant.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the incidence, stage, and survival in transplant recipients with melanoma.

METHODS

Population-based, retrospective, observational study using linked administrative databases. Adults receiving their first solid organ transplant from 1991 through 2012 were followed to December 2013.

RESULTS

We identified 51 transplant recipients with melanoma, 11 369 recipients without melanoma, and 255 matched patients with melanoma from the nontransplant population. Transplant recipients were at increased risk of melanoma (standardized incidence ratio, 2.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.07-2.49) and more likely to be diagnosed at stages II through IV (adjusted odds ratio, 4.29; 95% CI, 2.04-9.00) compared with the nontransplant population. Melanoma-specific mortality was increased in transplant recipients compared with the nontransplant population (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.03-3.63). Among transplant recipients, all-cause mortality was increased after melanoma compared with those without melanoma (stage T1/T2: adjusted hazard ratio, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.13-4.21; T3/T4: adjusted hazard ratio, 4.07; 95% CI, 2.36-7.04; III/IV: adjusted hazard ratio, 7.92; 95% CI, 3.76-16.70).

LIMITATIONS

The databases did not contain data on immunosuppressive drugs; ascertainment of melanoma metastasis relied on pathology reports.

CONCLUSION

Melanoma after solid organ transplant is more often diagnosed at a later stage and leads to increased mortality, even for early-stage tumors.

MS risk in immigrants in the McDonald era: A population-based study in Ontario, Canada

OBJECTIVE

To determine risk factors for multiple sclerosis (MS) in immigrants and to compare MS risk in immigrants and long-term residents in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

We applied a validated algorithm to linked, population-based immigration and health claims data to identify incident cases of MS in immigrants and long-term residents between 1994 and 2016. We conducted 2 multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses: 1 analysis limited to the immigrant cohort assessing potential risk factors for developing MS, and 1 analysis comparing MS risk between immigrants and matched long-term residents (1:3 match).

RESULTS

We identified 2,304,302 immigrants for the immigrant-only analysis, of whom 1,526 (0.066%) developed MS. Risk was greatest in those <15 years old at landing (referent <15 years; 16-30 years: hazard ratio [HR] 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.85; 31-45 years: HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.47-0.64). Immigrants from the Middle East (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06-1.40) were at greater MS risk than immigrants from Western nations; all other regions had lower risk (p < 0.0001). The matched analysis included 2,207,751 immigrants and 6,362,169 long-term residents. Immigrants were less likely to develop MS than long-term residents (p < 0.0001), although this lower risk was attenuated with longer residence in Canada.

CONCLUSIONS

MS incidence in immigrants to Ontario, Canada, varied widely by region of origin, with greatest risk seen in those from the Middle East. Longer residence in Canada was associated with increased risk, even with migration in adulthood, suggesting that environmental exposures into adulthood contribute to MS risk.

Care setting and 30-day hospital readmissions among older adults: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Despite the fact that many older adults receive home or long-term care services, the effect of these care settings on hospital readmission is often overlooked. Efforts to reduce hospital readmissions, including capacity planning and targeting of interventions, require clear data on the frequency of and risk factors for readmission among different populations of older adults.

METHODS

We identified all adults older than 65 years discharged from an unplanned medical hospital stay in Ontario between April 2008 and December 2015. We defined 2 preadmission care settings (community, long-term care) and 3 discharge care settings (community, home care, long-term care) and used multinomial regression to estimate associations with 30-day readmission (and death as a competing risk).

RESULTS

We identified 701 527 individuals (mean age 78.4 yr), of whom 414 302 (59.1%) started in and returned to the community. Overall, 88 305 in dividuals (12.6%) were re admitted within 30 days, but this proportion varied by care setting combination. Relative to individuals returning to the community, those discharged to the community with home care (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.39-1.46) and those returning to long-term care (adjusted OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.27-1.43) had a greater risk of readmission, whereas those newly admitted to long-term care had a lower risk of readmission (adjusted OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.63-0.72).

INTERPRETATION

In Ontario, about 40% of older people were discharged from hospital to either home care or long-term care. These discharge settings, as well as whether an individual was admitted to hospital from long-term care, have important implications for understanding 30-day readmission rates. System planning and efforts to reduce readmission among older adults should take into account care settings at both admission and discharge.

Association of Early-Stage Breast Cancer and Subsequent Chemotherapy With Risk of Atrial Fibrillation

IMPORTANCE

Several types of cancer have been linked to a higher risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF). Fewer data exist regarding early-stage breast cancer (EBC), for which cardio-oncology concerns are more pertinent.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of EBC and subsequent chemotherapy with the risk of developing AF.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This was a population-based, retrospective, matched cohort study conducted in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, of 68 113 women diagnosed with EBC between April 2007 and December 2016 who were matched 1:3 to a cancer-free control group based on birth year and receipt of breast imaging. Prevalence of AF before the index date (date of EBC diagnosis) was compared between the cohorts using the McNemar test. Cumulative incidence function curves were used to describe the AF incidence. To study preexisting AF, participants were matched before exclusion for prior AF. For the remaining analyses, we excluded women with prior AF before matching. An analysis was conducted beginning 1 year after the index date (ie, excluding AF diagnoses in year 1), which we stratified by chemotherapy exposure. Multivariable cause-specific regression was used to determine the hazard ratio (HR) associated with EBC relative to the controls and the association of chemotherapy with AF in patients with EBC.

EXPOSURES

Breast cancer and chemotherapy.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Incidence of AF.

RESULTS

A total of 68 113 women with EBC and 204 330 cancer-free controls were included in the study; both groups had a mean (SD) age of 60 (13) years. Of the women with EBC, 44.3% were diagnosed as having stage I breast cancer; 38.7%, stage II; and 13.4%, stage III; cancer stage information was missing for 3.6% of the patients. No difference was observed in preexisting AF prevalence (5.3% in the EBC cohort vs 5.2% in controls; P = .21). At 10 years after the index date, the AF incidence was 7.4% (95% CI, 7.1%-7.7%) for women with EBC and 6.8% (95% CI, 6.7%-7.0%) for the controls (P < .001). The adjusted cause-specific HR was significantly elevated at year 1 (HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.94-2.41) and after year 5 (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.11-1.30) but not during years 2 through 5. Analyses beginning 1 year after diagnosis showed attenuated differences that remained statistically significant: the cumulative incidence of AF at 9-year follow-up was 7.0% (95% CI, 6.7%-7.3%) for patients with EBC and 6.5% (95% CI, 6.3%-6.7%) for the cancer-free controls. The rate of AF was higher in women who received chemotherapy (adjusted HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.13-1.35) but was not associated with exposure to anthracyclines or trastuzumab.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study's findings suggest that patients with EBC may not have a higher prevalence of AF before cancer diagnosis. A higher rate of AF was observed in the first year and after 5 years following the EBC diagnosis. The rate of AF was higher in patients who received chemotherapy but appeared to not be associated with specific cardiotoxic agents. These findings suggest that the early and late periods of increased AF risk in EBC survivors warrant focused research to better understand the underlying causes and subsequent implications.

Incidence and Risk Factors of Keratinocyte Carcinoma After First Solid Organ Transplant in Ontario, Canada

Importance

Keratinocyte carcinoma (KC), also known as nonmelanoma skin cancer, is the most common malignancy after solid organ transplant. Epidemiologic data on posttransplant KC in North America are limited by a lack of KC capture in cancer and transplant registries.

Objective

To estimate the incidence and identify risk factors for posttransplant KC.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based inception cohort study in Ontario, Canada, used linked administrative databases and a health insurance claims-based algorithm. Participants were adult recipients of a first kidney, liver, heart, or lung transplant from January 1, 1994, to December 31, 2012. The cohort (n = 10 198) was followed up to December 31, 2013. Data were analyzed from May 31, 2016, to April 21, 2017.

Exposures

Solid organ transplant with functioning graft.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Age- and sex-adjusted standardized incidence ratio for KC in the transplant cohort was compared with that in the general population. Cumulative incidence of posttransplant KC was estimated using cumulative incidence functions, accounting for the competing risks of death or kidney graft loss. The association between KC and patient-, transplant-, and health services-related factors was evaluated with a multivariable cause-specific hazards model.

Results

A total of 10 198 transplant recipients were included in the study. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) age at transplant was 51 (41-59) years, with most recipients being male (6608 [64.8%]) and white (5964 [58.5%]). Posttransplant KC was diagnosed in 1690 patients (16.6%) after a median (IQR) of 3.96 (1.94-7.09) years, with an incidence rate of 2.63 per 100 patient-years (95% CI, 2.51-2.76). The rate of KC was significantly higher after transplant compared with the general population (standardized incidence ratio, 6.61; 95% CI, 6.31-6.93). The highest 10-year cumulative incidence was in the subsets of patients with a history of pretransplant skin cancer (66.5%), older than 50 years at transplant (27.5% for 51-65 years; 40.5% for >65 years), and of the white race (24.1%). The strongest independent risk factors for KC included older age at transplant (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 9.27; 95% CI, 7.08-12.14 for >65 years vs 18-35 years), white vs black race (aHR, 8.50; 95% CI, 4.03-17.91), pretransplant invasive skin cancer (aHR, 4.30; 95% CI, 3.72-4.98), and posttransplant precancerous skin lesions (aHR, 4.32; 95% CI, 3.77-4.95).

Conclusions and Relevance

The incidence of KC appeared to be substantially increased after transplant, particularly in patients who were older at transplant, were white, and had a history of cancerous or precancerous skin tumors; intensified skin cancer screening, education, and early use of chemopreventive interventions may be warranted for these high-risk patient subsets.

Sex-Specific Differences in End-of-Life Burdensome Interventions and Antibiotic Therapy in Nursing Home Residents With Advanced Dementia

IMPORTANCE

Nursing home residents with advanced dementia have limited life expectancies yet are commonly subjected to burdensome interventions at the very end of life. Whether sex-specific differences in the receipt of these interventions exist and what levels of physical restraints and antibiotics are used in this terminal setting are unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the population-based frequency, factors, and sex differences in burdensome interventions and antibiotic therapy among nursing home residents with advanced dementia.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study from Ontario, Canada, used linked administrative databases held at ICES, including the Continuing Care Resident Reporting System Long-Term Care database, which contains data from the Resident Assessment Instrument Minimum Data Set, version 2.0. Nursing home residents (n = 27 243) with advanced dementia who died between June 1, 2010, and March 31, 2015, at 66 years or older were included in the analysis. Initial statistical analysis was completed in May 2017, and analytical revisions were conducted from November 2018 to January 2019.

EXPOSURE

Sex of the nursing home resident.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Burdensome interventions (transitions of care, invasive procedures, and physical restraints) and antibiotic therapy in the last 30 days of life.

RESULTS

The final cohort included 27 243 nursing home residents with advanced dementia (19 363 [71.1%] women) who died between June 1, 2010, and March 31, 2015, at the median (interquartile range) age of 88 (83-92) years. In the last 30 days of life, burdensome interventions were common, especially among men: 5940 (21.8%) residents were hospitalized (3661 women [18.9%] vs 2279 men [28.9%]; P < .001), 2433 (8.9%) had an emergency department visit (1579 women [8.2%] vs 854 men [10.8%]; P < .001), and 3701 (13.6%) died in an acute care facility (2276 women [11.8%] vs 1425 men [18.1%]; P < .001). Invasive procedures were also common; 2673 residents (9.8%) were attended for life-threatening critical care (1672 women [8.6%] vs 1001 men [12.7%]; P < .001), and 210 (0.8%) received mechanical ventilation (113 women [0.6%] vs 97 men [1.2%]; P < .001). Among the 9844 residents (36.1%) who had a Resident Assessment Instrument Minimum Data Set, version 2.0, completed in the last 30 days of life, 2842 (28.9%) were physically restrained (2002 women [28.3%] vs 840 men [30.4%]; P = .005). More than one-third (9873 [36.2%]) of all residents received an antibiotic (6599 women [34.1%] vs 3264 men [41.4%]; P < .001). In multivariable models, men were more likely to have a transition of care (adjusted odds ratio, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.33-1.49; P < .001) and receive antibiotics (adjusted odds ratio, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.26-1.41; P < .001). Only 3309 residents (12.1%; 2382 women [12.3%] vs 927 men [11.8%]) saw a palliative care physician in the year before death, but those who did experienced greater than 50% lower odds of an end-of-life transition of care (adjusted odds ratio, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.43-0.54); P < .001) and greater than 25% lower odds of receiving antibiotics (adjusted odds ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.68-0.81; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this study, many nursing home residents with advanced dementia, especially men, received burdensome interventions and antibiotics in their final days of life. These findings appear to emphasize the need for sex-specific analysis in dementia research as well as the expansion of palliative care and end-of-life antimicrobial stewardship in nursing homes.