Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in coastal Kenya: a longitudinal open cohort study

The mortality impact of COVID-19 in Africa remains controversial because most countries lack vital registration. We analysed excess mortality in Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System, Kenya, using 9 years of baseline data. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence studies suggest most adults here were infected before May 2022. During 5 waves of COVID-19 (April 2020-May 2022) an overall excess mortality of 4.8% (95% PI 1.2%, 9.4%) concealed a significant excess (11.6%, 95% PI 5.9%, 18.9%) among older adults ( ≥ 65 years) and a deficit among children aged 1-14 years (-7.7%, 95% PI -20.9%, 6.9%). The excess mortality rate for January 2020-December 2021, age-standardised to the Kenyan population, was 27.4/100,000 person-years (95% CI 23.2-31.6). In Coastal Kenya, excess mortality during the pandemic was substantially lower than in most high-income countries but the significant excess mortality in older adults emphasizes the value of achieving high vaccine coverage in this risk group.

Randomised controlled trial of oxygen therapy and high-flow nasal therapy in African children with pneumonia

Purpose

The life-saving role of oxygen therapy in African children with severe pneumonia is not yet established.

Methods

The open-label fractional-factorial COAST trial randomised eligible Ugandan and Kenyan children aged > 28 days with severe pneumonia and severe hypoxaemia stratum (SpO₂ < 80%) to high-flow nasal therapy (HFNT) or low-flow oxygen (LFO: standard care) and hypoxaemia stratum (SpO₂ 80–91%) to HFNT or LFO (liberal strategies) or permissive hypoxaemia (ratio 1:1:2). Children with cyanotic heart disease, chronic lung disease or > 3 h receipt of oxygen were excluded. The primary endpoint was 48 h mortality; secondary endpoints included mortality or neurocognitive sequelae at 28 days.

Results

The trial was stopped early after enrolling 1852/4200 children, including 388 in the severe hypoxaemia stratum (median 7 months; median SpO₂ 75%) randomised to HFNT (n = 194) or LFO (n = 194) and 1454 in the hypoxaemia stratum (median 9 months; median SpO₂ 88%) randomised to HFNT (n = 363) vs LFO (n = 364) vs permissive hypoxaemia (n = 727). Per-protocol 15% of patients in the permissive hypoxaemia group received oxygen (when SpO₂ < 80%). In the severe hypoxaemia stratum, 48-h mortality was 9.3% for HFNT vs. 13.4% for LFO groups. In the hypoxaemia stratum, 48-h mortality was 1.1% for HFNT vs. 2.5% LFO and 1.4% for permissive hypoxaemia. In the hypoxaemia stratum, adjusted odds ratio for 48-h mortality in liberal vs permissive comparison was 1.16 (0.49–2.74; p = 0.73); HFNT vs LFO comparison was 0.60 (0.33–1.06; p = 0.08). Strata-specific 28 day mortality rates were, respectively: 18.6, 23.4 and 3.3, 4.1, 3.9%. Neurocognitive sequelae were rare.

Conclusions

Respiratory support with HFNT showing potential benefit should prompt further trials.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00134-021-06385-3.

No Evidence that Knops Blood Group Polymorphisms Affect Complement Receptor 1 Clustering on Erythrocytes

Clustering of Complement Receptor 1 (CR1) in the erythrocyte membrane is important for immune-complex transfer and clearance. CR1 contains the Knops blood group antigens, including the antithetical pairs Swain-Langley 1 and 2 (Sl1 and Sl2) and McCoy a and b (McC^a and McC^b), whose functional effects are unknown. We tested the hypothesis that the Sl and McC polymorphisms might influence CR1 clustering on erythrocyte membranes. Blood samples from 125 healthy Kenyan children were analysed by immunofluorescence and confocal microscopy to determine CR1 cluster number and volume. In agreement with previous reports, CR1 cluster number and volume were positively associated with CR1 copy number (mean number of CR1 molecules per erythrocyte). Individuals with the McC^b/McC^b genotype had more clusters per cell than McC^a/McC^a individuals. However, this association was lost when the strong effect of CR1 copy number was included in the model. No association was observed between Sl genotype, sickle cell genotype, α+thalassaemia genotype, gender or age and CR1 cluster number or volume. Therefore, after correction for CR1 copy number, the Sl and McCoy polymorphisms did not influence erythrocyte CR1 clustering, and the effects of the Knops polymorphisms on CR1 function remains unknown.

Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

BACKGROUND

The Millennium Declaration in 2000 brought special global attention to HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria through the formulation of Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 6. The Global Burden of Disease 2013 study provides a consistent and comprehensive approach to disease estimation for between 1990 and 2013, and an opportunity to assess whether accelerated progress has occured since the Millennium Declaration.

METHODS

To estimate incidence and mortality for HIV, we used the UNAIDS Spectrum model appropriately modified based on a systematic review of available studies of mortality with and without antiretroviral therapy (ART). For concentrated epidemics, we calibrated Spectrum models to fit vital registration data corrected for misclassification of HIV deaths. In generalised epidemics, we minimised a loss function to select epidemic curves most consistent with prevalence data and demographic data for all-cause mortality. We analysed counterfactual scenarios for HIV to assess years of life saved through prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) and ART. For tuberculosis, we analysed vital registration and verbal autopsy data to estimate mortality using cause of death ensemble modelling. We analysed data for corrected case-notifications, expert opinions on the case-detection rate, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality using Bayesian meta-regression to generate consistent trends in all parameters. We analysed malaria mortality and incidence using an updated cause of death database, a systematic analysis of verbal autopsy validation studies for malaria, and recent studies (2010-13) of incidence, drug resistance, and coverage of insecticide-treated bednets.

FINDINGS

Globally in 2013, there were 1·8 million new HIV infections (95% uncertainty interval 1·7 million to 2·1 million), 29·2 million prevalent HIV cases (28·1 to 31·7), and 1·3 million HIV deaths (1·3 to 1·5). At the peak of the epidemic in 2005, HIV caused 1·7 million deaths (1·6 million to 1·9 million). Concentrated epidemics in Latin America and eastern Europe are substantially smaller than previously estimated. Through interventions including PMTCT and ART, 19·1 million life-years (16·6 million to 21·5 million) have been saved, 70·3% (65·4 to 76·1) in developing countries. From 2000 to 2011, the ratio of development assistance for health for HIV to years of life saved through intervention was US$4498 in developing countries. Including in HIV-positive individuals, all-form tuberculosis incidence was 7·5 million (7·4 million to 7·7 million), prevalence was 11·9 million (11·6 million to 12·2 million), and number of deaths was 1·4 million (1·3 million to 1·5 million) in 2013. In the same year and in only individuals who were HIV-negative, all-form tuberculosis incidence was 7·1 million (6·9 million to 7·3 million), prevalence was 11·2 million (10·8 million to 11·6 million), and number of deaths was 1·3 million (1·2 million to 1·4 million). Annualised rates of change (ARC) for incidence, prevalence, and death became negative after 2000. Tuberculosis in HIV-negative individuals disproportionately occurs in men and boys (versus women and girls); 64·0% of cases (63·6 to 64·3) and 64·7% of deaths (60·8 to 70·3). Globally, malaria cases and deaths grew rapidly from 1990 reaching a peak of 232 million cases (143 million to 387 million) in 2003 and 1·2 million deaths (1·1 million to 1·4 million) in 2004. Since 2004, child deaths from malaria in sub-Saharan Africa have decreased by 31·5% (15·7 to 44·1). Outside of Africa, malaria mortality has been steadily decreasing since 1990.

INTERPRETATION

Our estimates of the number of people living with HIV are 18·7% smaller than UNAIDS's estimates in 2012. The number of people living with malaria is larger than estimated by WHO. The number of people living with HIV, tuberculosis, or malaria have all decreased since 2000. At the global level, upward trends for malaria and HIV deaths have been reversed and declines in tuberculosis deaths have accelerated. 101 countries (74 of which are developing) still have increasing HIV incidence. Substantial progress since the Millennium Declaration is an encouraging sign of the effect of global action.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

NFKBIZ polymorphisms and susceptibility to pneumococcal disease in European and African populations

The proinflammatory transcription factor nuclear factor-kappaB (NF-kappaB) has a central role in host defence against pneumococcal disease. Both rare mutations and common polymorphisms in the NFKBIA gene encoding the NF-kappaB inhibitor, IkappaB-alpha, associate with susceptibility to bacterial disease, but the possible role of polymorphisms within the related IkappaB-zeta gene NFKBIZ in the development of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) has not been reported previously. To investigate this further, we examined the frequencies of 22 single-nucleotide polymorphisms spanning NFKBIZ in two case-control studies, comprising UK Caucasian (n=1008) and Kenyan (n=723) individuals. Nine polymorphisms within a single UK linkage disequilibrium (LD) block and all four polymorphisms within the equivalent, shorter Kenyan LD block displayed either a significant association with IPD or a trend towards association. For each polymorphism, heterozygosity was associated with protection from IPD when compared with the combined homozygous states (for example, for rs600718, Mantel-Haenszel 2 x 2 chi(2)=7.576, P=0.006, odds ratio (OR)=0.67, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for OR: 0.51-0.88; for rs616597, Mantel-Haenszel 2 x 2 chi(2)=8.715, P=0.003, OR=0.65, 95% CI: 0.49-0.86). We conclude that multiple NFKBIZ polymorphisms associate with susceptibility to IPD in humans. The study of multiple populations may aid in fine mapping of associations within extensive regions of strong LD ('transethnic mapping').

Variation in the ICAM1 gene is not associated with severe malaria phenotypes

Evidence from autopsy and in vitro binding studies suggests that adhesion of erythrocytes infected with Plasmodium falciparum to the human host intercellular adhesion molecule (ICAM)-1 receptor is important in the pathogenesis of severe malaria. Previous association studies between polymorphisms in the ICAM1 gene and susceptibility to severe malarial phenotypes have been inconclusive and often contradictory. We performed genetic association studies with 15 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) around the ICAM1 locus. All SNPs were screened in a family study of 1071 trios from The Gambia, Malawi and Kenya. Two key non-synonymous SNPs with previously reported associations, rs5491 (K56M or 'ICAM-1(Kilifi)') and rs5498 (K469E), were tested in an additional 708 Gambian trios and a case-control study of 4058 individuals. None of the polymorphisms were associated with severe malaria phenotypes. Pooled results across our studies for ICAM-1(Kilifi) were, in severe malaria, odds ratio (OR) 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.96-1.09, P=0.54, and cerebral malaria OR 1.07, CI 0.97-1.17, P=0.17. We assess the available epidemiological, population genetic and functional evidence that links ICAM-1(Kilifi) to severe malaria susceptibility.

Evidence for over-dispersion in the distribution of clinical malaria episodes in children

BACKGROUND

It may be assumed that patterns of clinical malaria in children of similar age under the same level of exposure would follow a Poisson distribution with no over-dispersion. Longitudinal studies that have been conducted over many years suggest that some children may experience more episodes of clinical malaria than would be expected. The aim of this study was to identify this group of children and investigate possible causes for this increased susceptibility.

METHODOLOGY AND PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Using Poisson regression, we chose a group of children whom we designated as 'more susceptible' to malaria from 373 children under 10 years of age who were followed up for between 3 to 5 years from 1998-2003. About 21% of the children were categorized as 'more susceptible' and although they contributed only 23% of the person-time of follow-up, they experienced 55% of total clinical malaria episodes. Children that were parasite negative at all cross-sectional survey were less likely to belong to this group [AOR = 0.09, (95% CI: 0.14-0.61), p = 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE

The pattern of clinical malaria episodes follows a negative binomial distribution. Use of lack of a clinical malaria episode in a certain time period as endpoints for intervention or immunological studies may not adequately distinguish groups who are more or less immune. It may be useful in such studies, in addition to the usual endpoint of the time to first episode, to include end points which take into account the total number of clinical episodes experienced per child.

Failure to respond to the surface of Plasmodium falciparum infected erythrocytes predicts susceptibility to clinical malaria amongst African children

Following infection with Plasmodium falciparum malaria, children in endemic areas develop antibodies specific to antigens on the parasite-infected red cell surface of the infecting isolate, antibodies associated with protection against subsequent infection with that isolate. In some circumstances induction of antibodies to heterologous parasite isolates also occurs and this has been suggested as evidence for cross-reactivity of responses against the erythrocyte surface. The role of these relatively cross-reactive antibodies in protection from clinical malaria is currently unknown. We studied the incidence of clinical malaria amongst children living on the coast of Kenya through one high transmission season. By categorising individuals according to their pre-season parasite status and antibody response to the surface of erythrocytes infected with four parasite isolates we were able to identify a group of children, those who failed to make a concomitant antibody response in the presence of an asymptomatic parasitaemia, at increased susceptibility to clinical malaria in the subsequent 6 months. The fact that this susceptible group was identified regardless of the parasite isolate tested infers a cross-reactive or conserved target is present on the surface of infected erythrocytes. Identification of this target will significantly aid understanding of naturally acquired immunity to clinical malaria amongst children in endemic areas.

Positive replication and linkage disequilibrium mapping of the chromosome 21q22.1 malaria susceptibility locus

Four cytokine receptor genes are located on Chr21q22.11, encoding the alpha and beta subunits of the interferon-alpha receptor (IFNAR1 and IFNAR2), the beta subunit of the interleukin 10 receptor (IL10RB) and the second subunit of the interferon-gamma receptor (IFNGR2). We previously reported that two variants in IFNAR1 were associated with susceptibility to malaria in Gambians. We now present an extensive fine-scale mapping of the associated region utilizing 45 additional genetic markers obtained from public databases and by sequencing a 44 kb region in and around the IFNAR1 gene in 24 Gambian children (12 cases/12 controls). Within the IFNAR1 gene, a newly studied C --> G single-nucleotide polymorphism (IFNAR1 272354c-g) at position -576 relative to the transcription start was found to be more strongly associated with susceptibility to severe malaria. Association was observed in three populations: in Gambian (P=0.002), Kenyan (P=0.022) and Vietnamese (P=0.005) case-control studies. When all three studies were combined, using the Mantel-Haenszel test, the presence of IFNAR1 -576G was associated with a substantially elevated risk of severe malaria (N=2444, OR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.17-1.64; P=1.7 x 10(-4)). This study builds on previous work to further highlight the importance of the type-I interferon pathway in malaria susceptibility and illustrates the utility of typing SNPs within regions of high linkage disequilibrium in multiple populations to confirm initial positive associations.

Sickle cell disease in Africa: burden and research priorities

Sickle cell disease (SCD) has recently been recognised as a problem of major public-health significance by the World Health Organization. Despite the fact that >70% of sufferers live in Africa, expenditure on the related care and research in the continent is negligible, and most advances in the understanding and management of this condition have been based on research conducted in the North. In order to target limited resources, African countries need to focus research and interventions on areas that will lead to the maximum impact. This review details the epidemiological and clinical background of SCD, with an emphasis on Africa, before identifying the research priorities that will provide the necessary evidence base for improving the management of African patients. Malaria, bacterial and viral infections and cerebrovascular accidents are areas in which further research may lead to a significant improvement in SCD-related morbidity and mortality. As patients with high concentrations of foetal haemoglobin (HbF) appear to be protected from all but mild SCD, the various factors and pharmacological agents that might increase HbF levels need to be assessed in Africa, as options for interventions that would improve quality of life and reduce mortality.

Cytokine mRNA expression and iron status in children living in a malaria endemic area

Iron deficiency has been reported to affect both malaria pathogenesis and cell-mediated immune responses; however, it is unclear whether the protection afforded by iron deficiency is mediated through direct effects on the parasite, through immune effector functions or through both. We have determined cytokine mRNA expression levels in 59 children living in a malaria endemic area on the coast of Kenya who we selected on the basis of their biochemical iron status. Real-time quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction analysis of cytokine mRNA levels of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) obtained from these children showed an association between interleukin-4 (IL-4) mRNA levels and all the biochemical indices of iron that we measured. Furthermore, IL-10 mRNA was higher in parasite blood smear-positive children than in blood smear-negative children irrespective of their iron status. This study suggests that IL-4 expression by PBMC may be affected by iron status.

HLA class-I and class-II allele frequencies and two-locus haplotypes in Melanesians of Vanuatu and New Caledonia

HLA class-I and class-II allele frequencies and two-locus haplotypes were examined in 367 unrelated Melanesians living on the islands of Vanuatu and New Caledonia. Diversity at all HLA class-I and class-II loci was relatively limited. In class-I loci, three HLA-A allelic groups (HLA-A*24, HLA-A*34 and HLA-A*11), seven HLA-B alleles or allelic groups (HLA-B*1506, HLA-B*5602, HLA-B*13, HLA-B*5601, HLA-B*4001, HLA-B*4002 and HLA-B*2704) and four HLA-C alleles or allelic groups (HLA-Cw*04, HLA-Cw*01, HLA-Cw*0702 and HLA-Cw*15) constituted more than 90% of the alleles observed. In the class-II loci, four HLA-DRB1 alleles (HLA-DRB1*15, HLA-DRB1*11, HLA-DRB1*04 and HLA-DRB1*16), three HLA-DRB3-5 alleles (HLA-DRB3*02, HLA-DRB4*01 and HLA-DRB5*01/02) and five HLA-DQB1 alleles (HLA-DQB1*0301, HLA-DQB1*04, HLA-DQB1*05, HLA-DQB1*0601 and HLA-DQB1*0602) constituted over 93, 97 and 98% of the alleles observed, respectively. Homozygosity showed significant departures from expected levels for neutrality based on allele frequency (i.e. excess diversity) at the HLA-B, HLA-Cw, HLA-DQB1 and HLA-DRB3/5 loci on some islands. The locus with the strongest departure from neutrality was HLA-DQB1, homozygosity being significantly lower than expected on all islands except New Caledonia. No consistent pattern was demonstrated for any HLA locus in relation to malaria endemicity.

Reevaluation of flow cytometry for investigating antibody binding to the surface of Plasmodium falciparum trophozoite-infected red blood cells

BACKGROUND

The acquisition of antibodies directed toward variant surface antigens (VSAs) expressed on the surface of the trophozoite-infected red blood cell is an important determinant of natural immunity to Plasmodium falciparum malaria. In recent years, flow cytometry has been used increasingly to investigate these responses, but few systematic assessments of this method are available in the published literature.

METHODS

We developed a highly standardized experimental protocol and used parasites of the A4 laboratory clone, a monoclonal antibody to the VSA expressed by this clone (monoclonal antibody BC6), and a single pool of hyperimmune plasma to explore the parameters responsible for variations in VSA antibody responses measured by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Despite strenuous efforts to standardize our flow cytometric assay, we found marked variability in our assay readout, even between repeat experiments using identical antibody and parasite combinations. We found no remediable cause for much of this variability. However, we identified three major factors that we considered important contributors: antibody concentration, nonspecific antibody binding to uninfected red blood cells, and parasite agglutination.

CONCLUSIONS

A number of potential pitfalls should be considered when designing and interpreting studies using this technique. In particular, we suggest that comparisons between assays conducted on different occasions can be made only through reference to carefully selected standards. We anticipate that a better appreciation of the factors that lead to assay variation will assist the design of improved experimental protocols.

The membrane characteristics of Plasmodium falciparum-infected and -uninfected heterozygous alpha(0)thalassaemic erythrocytes

The alpha thalassaemias are the commonest known human genetic disorders. Although they have almost certainly risen to their current frequencies through natural selection by malaria, the precise mechanism of malaria protection remains unknown. We have investigated the characteristics of red blood cells (RBCs) from individuals heterozygous for alpha(0)thalassaemia (-/alphaalpha) from a range of perspectives. On the basis of the hypothesis that defects in membrane transport could be relevant to the mechanism of malaria protection, we investigated sodium and potassium transport and the activity of the Plamodium falciparum-induced choline channel but found no significant differences in -/alphaalpha RBCs. Using flow cytometry, we found that thalassaemic P. falciparum-infected RBCs (IRBCs) bound 44% more antibody from immune plasma than control IRBCs. This excess binding was abrogated by predigestion of IRBCs with trypsin but was not directed at the variant surface molecule PfEMP1. Furthermore, we found no evidence for altered cytoadhesion of alpha-thalassaemic IRBCs to the endothelial receptors intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1), CD36 or thrombospondin. We hypothesize that altered red-cell membrane band 3 protein may be a target for enhanced antibody binding to alpha-thalassaemic IRBCs and could be involved in the mechanism of malaria protection.

Genetic restriction of Plasmodium falciparum in an area of stable transmission: an example of island evolution?

To date, a high degree of polymorphism has been demonstrated at both the MSP1 and MSP2 loci in parasites from areas of stable malaria transmission. As a consequence, in such areas it is rare to find parasites of the same 2-locus genotype in more than 1 subject. We have studied MSP1 and MSP2 diversity in parasites collected from subjects with both symptomatic (n = 86) and asymptomatic (34) malaria living on the island of Santo, Vanuatu, an area of stable malaria transmission. Polymorphism at the MSP1 and MSP2 loci was considerably less than previously reported: only 5 MSP1 and 5 MSP2 alleles were detected and these showed no size variation within alleles. Santo is unique amongst the areas studied so far in that it is a small island at the limit of the malaria belt in the South Pacific. Thus, the evolution of the parasite population may have been affected by the small size and isolation of this island population. Moreover, limited parasite diversity may explain the unusually mild nature of Plasmodium falciparum disease on Santo. Islands have fascinated biologists for centuries and fuelled the advancement of evolutionary theory, since they are natural laboratories for the study of evolution. The simplicity of the Vanuatu P. falciparum population may facilitate the use and interpretation of sequence level analyses to address the mechanisms by which genetic diversity is generated and maintained in natural populations.

Reduced soluble transferrin receptor concentrations in acute malaria in Vanuatu

Soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) concentration is a sensitive index of iron deficiency when used in conjunction with ferritin measurements in adults. One advantage of this assay is that unlike ferritin it does not appear to be affected by a range of infectious and inflammatory conditions or by pregnancy, rendering it a promising adjunct to the diagnosis of iron deficiency in tropical populations. We have measured plasma sTfR concentrations in a group of malaria patients (n = 21) and asymptomatic (18) and aparasitemic (76) controls in Vanuatu. Plasma sTfR concentration was significantly reduced in individuals with acute malaria (P = 0.003). While this observation provides evidence that erythropoeitic suppression may be an important etiologic component in malarial anemia, it also suggests that malaria may be a confounding factor when interpreting sTfR concentrations in such populations. The role of sTfR in the diagnosis of iron deficiency in tropical populations remains to be established.

Alpha thalassaemia is associated with increased soluble transferrin receptor levels

Although alpha+ thalassaemia is the commonest haemoglobinopathy in the world, it is not known if it is associated with significant ineffective erythropoiesis, a fact of importance in interpreting its complex interaction with malaria. To study this problem, we have measured the concentrations of soluble transferrin receptor (sTIR) and ferritin in 181 children from Vanuatu with heterozygous (68) and homozygous (46) alpha+ thalassaemia, and normal controls (67). sTfR concentrations were significantly higher in both homozygotes (mean 3.1 mg/l, range 2.8-3.4) and heterozygotes (2.86 mg/l, 2.6-3.2) compared to the normal controls (2.48 mg/l, 2.3-2.7), suggesting that although globin chain imbalance is minimal, there is ineffective erythropoiesis in both these conditions. Age was also shown to significantly affect sTfR, with peak levels occurring in the 5-9 years age group. Ferritin concentrations showed a similar trend, being higher in the thalassaemic groups, although this did not reach statistical significance. No individuals had low ferritin concentrations, although two had significantly elevated sTfR levels. These observations suggest that the alpha+ thalassaemia phenotype includes an expansion of the erythron, and may suggest possible mechanisms for the increased susceptibility in babies with alpha thalassaemia to both P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria.

Plasmodium vivax: a cause of malnutrition in young children

We studied the aetiology of malnutrition in a cohort of 1511 children < 10 years old in Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu. Malnutrition was categorized using standard anthropometric criteria as: underweight [weight-for-age (WA) Z score < -2], wasting [weight-for-height (WH) Z < -2], or stunting [height-for-age (HA) Z < -2]. On multiple logistic regression analysis, the only factors significantly associated with wasting were age < 5 years [OR (95% CI) 1.8 (1.2-2.9), p = 0.01] and having suffered one or more episodes of clinical P. vivax malaria in the 6 months preceding nutritional assessment [OR 2.4 (1.3-4.4), p = 0.006]. The incidence of P. vivax infection was significantly higher during the 6 months preceding assessment in underweight vs. non-underweight children [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 2.6 (1.5-4.4), p < or = 0.0001). These groups had similar incidences of clinical P. falciparum infection during the same period [IRR 1.1 (0.57-2.1) p = 0.8] and of either species during the 6 months following assessment [IRR P. vivax 1.3 (0.9-2.0) p = 0.2; IRR P. falciparum 1.3 (0.9-1.9) p = 0.2]. In these children, P. vivax malaria was a major predictor of acute malnutrition; P. falciparum was not. Wasting neither predisposed to nor protected against malaria of either species. Although P. vivax malaria is generally regarded as benign, it may produce considerable global mortality through malnutrition.

Plasma chloroquine concentrations in young and older malaria patients treated with chloroquine

Plasma chloroquine (CQ) concentrations were measured by bioassay in young (0-4 years, n = 9) and older (5-60 years, n = 21) patients from Vanuatu infected with malaria following treatment with 25 mg/kg CQ over 3 days. CQ concentrations in young children tended to be lower than in older patients at days 2, 3, 4 and 7 after onset of treatment, with no drug present in two young children on day 3 and in one child on day 7. The greater difficulty experienced by young children to ingest all of their prescribed medication could have contributed to the lower CQ concentrations observed in the younger age group. The possibility that sub-therapeutic CQ concentrations are responsible for treatment failures in young children should be considered in areas where a high degree of CQ resistance has not yet been established. In such areas, the presence or prevalence of CQ-resistant infections should not be based on treatment failures observed in young children unless it can be confirmed that adequate blood CQ concentrations were achieved after treatment.

Absence of malaria-specific mortality in children in an area of hyperendemic malaria

We conducted a prospective community-based malaria surveillance study on a cohort of children < 10 years old living in an area of hyperendemic malaria (spleen rates > 50% in children aged 2-9 years) in Vanuatu, Melanesia, supported by a concurrent prospective descriptive study of malaria admissions to the local hospital. The incidence of clinical malaria in children < 10 years old was 1.9 episodes/year. The annual incidence of severe malaria (severe malarial anaemia and cerebral malaria) was only 2/1000 in children aged < 5 years. The only manifestation of severe malaria seen in indigenous children was anaemia. No death could be attributed to malaria. While the incidence of uncomplicated clinical malaria in this population was comparable to that in many parts of Africa, the incidence of severe forms of the disease was significantly lower. This could not be attributed to differing rates of malaria transmission, chloroquine resistance, or to host protective or behavioural factors. These findings suggest that studies which compare disease patterns in geographically disparate populations may be instrumental in developing a better understanding of the determinants of clinical outcome in Plasmodium falciparum malaria and that such regional differences must be considered when planning or interpreting the effects of malaria interventions.

Plasmodium vevax and P. falciparum: Biological interactions and the possibility of cross-species immunity

The question of whether infection of humans with one species of malaria parasite alters the course of infection with another has been largely ignored because no such interaction was found during studies of induced malaria in patients with neurosyphilis. However, in animal model systems some degree of cross-species interaction is the rule rather than the exception. Furthermore, recent epidemiological observations in Vanuatu in the South Pacific have suggested a biological interaction between the dominant species, Plasmodium vivax, and P. falciparum. Kathryn Maitland, Tom Williams and Chris Newbold here speculate on the basis of these observations and other published findings that infection with P. vivax may result in the development of immunity sufficient to ameliorate the clinical course of subsequent infections with the potentially lethal parasite P. falciparum.

Red blood cell phenotypes in the alpha + thalassaemias from early childhood to maturity

The alpha+ thalassaemias are the most common single gene disorders of humans, yet little is known about their haematological characteristics in childhood. Blood samples have been collected randomly from more than 2000 individuals in village communities in Vanuatu in the South West Pacific and analysed for alpha thalassaemia and associated haematological changes. Here we describe the haematological effects of the alpha+ thalassaemias from early childhood through to maturity in this population. Mean cell volume (MCV) and mean cell haemoglobin (MCH) levels in individuals of normal, heterozygous and homozygous genotype differed significantly from one another throughout the entire age range (2P < 0.05). In contrast, haemoglobin levels in heterozygous and homozygous individuals were well maintained throughout development. Adults of normal genotype attain Hb levels which are indistinguishable from Caucasian reference values, a finding made all the more remarkable given the high frequency of clinical malaria in this population. It is clear from these findings that haematological data are valuable in screening for carriers of alpha+ thalassaemia in this population. MCH is clearly the most sensitive discriminator. None of the homozygous adults tested had an MCH of > 27 pg, whereas < 10% of normals had a value of < 27 pg. These data provide reference values for areas in which the alpha+ thalassaemias are common and often confused with iron-deficiency anaemia.

The interaction between Plasmodium falciparum and P. vivax in children on Espiritu Santo island, Vanuatu

Studies of the prevalence and incidence of malaria were conducted in children < 10 years old living in 10 rural villages on the island of Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu, south-west Pacific. Malaria prevalence remained stable at 30% throughout the year but the relative contributions of the 2 major species were highly dependent on season. Plasmodium falciparum predominated in the long wet season (November-May) and P. vivax in the dry season (June-October). Case definitions for malaria, derived using a multiple logistic regression method, showed that parasite densities associated with clinical disease were low; case definitions for P. falciparum (> 1000 parasites/microL in children > 1 year old and > 500 microL in infants) and P. vivax (> 500 parasites/microL at all ages) were both associated with a specificity and sensitivity of > 90%. Like prevalence data, malaria morbidity was highly seasonal; 80% of clinical P. falciparum infections occurred in the wet season and 66% of clinical P. vivax in the dry season. Mixed infections were rare. Malaria was important cause of morbidity with children < 5 years old experiencing 1.3-3.0 episodes of clinical malaria per year and 23% of fevers being attributable to malaria in this age group. Children aged 5-9 years continued to suffer one episode of clinical malaria per year. The peak incidence of P. vivax malaria occurred earlier in life than the peak incidence of P. falciparum malaria. The possible interactions between these 2 parasite species are discussed.

High incidence of malaria in alpha-thalassaemic children

The alpha+-thalassaemias are the commonest known human genetic disorders, affecting up to 80 per cent of some populations. Although there is good evidence from both epidemiological and clinical studies that these gene frequencies reflect selection by, and protection from, malaria, the mechanism is unknown. We have studied the epidemiology of malaria in childhood on the southwestern Pacific island of Espiritu Santo in Vanuatu and here we report that, paradoxically, both the incidence of uncomplicated malaria and the prevalence of splenomegaly, an index of malaria infection, are significantly higher in young children with alpha+-thalassaemia than in normal children. Furthermore, this effect is most marked in the youngest children and for the non-lethal parasite Plasmodium vivax. The alpha+-thalassaemias may have been selected for their ability beneficially to increase susceptibility to P. vivax, which, by acting as a natural vaccine in this community, induces limited cross-species protection against subsequent severe P. falciparum malaria.

A survey for the rare blood group antigen variants, En(a-), Gerbich negative and Duffy negative on Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu in the South Pacific

The people of Vanuatu exhibit several different genetic red cell polymorphisms. Some of these, such as alpha thalassaemia, are thought to have reached a high frequency as a result of selection pressure by malaria. In this study three rare blood group antigen variants, En(a-), Gerbich negative and Duffy negative, which are thought to confer a protective effect against malaria were sought in a sample of 214 (187 in the case of Duffy) from Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu. No individuals bearing these rare variants were found. The original settlers in Vanuatu are thought to have migrated from Papua New Guinea some 5,000 years ago, so it is of interest to note that no individuals were found to be Gerbich negative despite a high frequency in Melanesians living on some coastal parts of Papua New Guinea.

Thalassaemia in Vanuatu, south-west Pacific: frequency and haematological phenotypes of young children

The archipelago of Vanuatu situated in the South-West Pacific has a high frequency of alpha + thalassaemia and additionally on some of the islands there is a high frequency of beta thalassaemia. As part of a large cohort study to investigate the clinical effect of thalassaemia on malaria on the islands of Espiritu Santo and Maewo in Vanuatu, the gene frequencies of the thalassaemias were determined and blood counts were performed on a cohort of infants from birth to 3 years. The haematological phenotypes of the different thalassaemic genotypes are compared, providing a detailed description of the clinical manifestations of alpha + thalassaemia during early development. In addition, cross-sectional surveys of the population of the two islands were performed to establish the frequency of thalassaemia and other red cell polymorphisms and their geographical distribution.

A study of hepatitis B and C prevalence and liver function in multiply transfused thalassemic and their parents

A series of clinics were conducted in Delhi, India, in January, 1990. Of 54 patients with beta thalassemia major (mean age 7.6 years), 11.1% (6 out of 54) tested positive for antibodies to hepatitis C virus (anti HCV antibodies) and 66.6% (36 out of 54) showed evidence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Only 7.4% (4 out of 54) were hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive. Of their parents, 2.2% (2 out of 90) tested positive for anti HCV antibodies, 28.9% (26 out of 90) showed evidence of previous HBV infection and 11.1% (10 out of 90) were HBsAg positive. We argue that HCV constitutes a greater long term threat than HBV in these patients due to the higher incidence of chronic liver disease. We would advocate the introduction of HCV screening of donated blood as well as reinforcing the importance of HBV screening and immunization.

Difunisal in general practice

A large-scale, double-blind comparative study was carried out in general practice to assess the relative efficacy and tolerance of difunisal and aspirin in patients suffering from acute painful conditions such as sprains and trains, osteoarthritis, etc. Patients received either 250 mg or 500 mg difunisal twice daily, or 600 mg aspirin 4-times daily for 5 days. The results of subjective assessments of pain relief from the daily records of 1902 patients (967 on diflunisal, 935 on aspirin), and the overall assessment of response by both doctors and patients, showed that diflunisal was significantly better than aspirin. Gastric side-effects were more common and more severe in patients receiving aspirin, and more often led to withdrawal of treatment.