Differential Effects of Genetic Polymorphism on Comorbid Disease in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

PNPLA3 rs738409, TM6SF2 rs58542926, and HSD17B13 rs72613567 have been associated with an increased risk of liver-related events (LREs) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). In this study, we investigated the combined effects of these variants on LREs.

METHODS

The longitudinal multicenter cohort study enrolled 1178 patients with biopsy-proven MASLD. We calculated the genetic risk of hepatic fibrosis and LRE according to the impact of these variants.

RESULTS

Patients with genetic fibrosis scores of 2, 3, and 4 or 5 were at greater risk than patients with scores of 0 or 1, with odds ratios of 2.45 (95% CI, 1.27-4.74), 2.14 (95% CI, 1.17-3.94), and 2.54 (95% CI, 1.35-4.77), respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that PNPLA3 and TM6SF2, but not HSD17B13, were associated significantly with LRE development. The hazard ratio of the genetic high-risk group for LRE was 1.91 (95% CI, 1.20-3.04). The higher risk of LRE development in the genetic high-risk group also was seen in patients with F ≥ 3 or Fibrosis-4 index > 2.67. The hazard ratios of the genetic high-risk group for LRE were greater in patients without obesity, without diabetes, and of younger age compared with patients with obesity, with diabetes, or of older age, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This combination of MASLD-related genetic variants is useful for predicting LREs in Japanese patients with MASLD. The genetic risk according to these variants is useful for LRE risk assessment, especially in patients without metabolic risk factors or in younger patients in Japan.

Diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests to screen for at-risk MASH-An individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is a need to reduce the screen failure rate (SFR) in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) clinical trials (MASH+F2-3; MASH+F4) and identify people with high-risk MASH (MASH+F2-4) in clinical practice. We aimed to evaluate non-invasive tests (NITs) screening approaches for these target conditions.

METHODS

This was an individual participant data meta-analysis for the performance of NITs against liver biopsy for MASH+F2-4, MASH+F2-3 and MASH+F4. Index tests were the FibroScan-AST (FAST) score, liver stiffness measured using vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE), the fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4) and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). Area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) and thresholds including those that achieved 34% SFR were reported.

RESULTS

We included 2281 unique cases. The prevalence of MASH+F2-4, MASH+F2-3 and MASH+F4 was 31%, 24% and 7%, respectively. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for MASH+F2-4 were .78, .75, .68 and .57 for FAST, LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for MASH+F2-3 were .73, .67, .60, .58 for FAST, LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS. Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for MASH+F4 were .79, .84, .81, .76 for FAST, LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS. The sequential combination of FIB-4 and LSM-VCTE for the detection of MASH+F2-3 with threshold of .7 and 3.48, and 5.9 and 20 kPa achieved SFR of 67% and sensitivity of 60%, detecting 15 true positive cases from a theoretical group of 100 participants at the prevalence of 24%.

CONCLUSIONS

Sequential combinations of NITs do not compromise diagnostic performance and may reduce resource utilisation through the need of fewer LSM-VCTE examinations.

Accuracy of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Its Clinical Implications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The diagnostic performance of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) is poor in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We determined the usefulness of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test in patients with T2DM.

METHODS

A total of 1228 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled. The diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in participants with or without T2DM was evaluated in comparison with the FIB-4 index and NFS.

RESULTS

Overall, the area under the curve of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis was greater (0.828) than that of the FIB-4 index (0.727) and NFS (0.733). The diagnostic performance of the ELF test (area under the curve, 0.820) was also superior to that of the FIB-4 index (0.698) and NFS (0.700) in patients with T2DM. With the low cutoff values for each noninvasive test, the ELF test provided an acceptable false negative rate (cutoff value 9.8, 6.7%) in this population, unlike the FIB-4 index (1.30, 14.5%) and NFS (-1.455, 12.4%). After propensity score matching to avoid selection bias including age, sex, body mass index, and the prevalence of advanced fibrosis, the ELF test with a low cutoff value showed a high sensitivity (≥91.4%) and a high negative predictive value (≥96.8%), irrespective of the presence or absence of T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

The high diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in individuals with or without T2DM could address an unmet medical need for accurate assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with diabetes and NAFLD.

Artificial intelligence/neural network system that accurately diagnoses hepatocellular carcinoma in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim of this study was to develop a novel noninvasive test using an artificial intelligence/neural network system (called HCC-Scope) to diagnose early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on the background of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

METHODS

In total, 175 patients with histologically proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and 55 patients with NASH-HCC were enrolled for training and validation studies. Of the 55 patients with NASH-HCC, 27 (49.1%) had very early-stage HCC, and six (10.9%) had early-stage HCC based on the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system. Diagnosis with HCC-Scope was performed based on 12 items: age, sex, height, weight, AST level, ALT level, gamma-glutamyl transferase level, cholesterol level, triglyceride level, platelet count, diabetes status, and IgM-free apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage level. The FMVWG2U47 hardware (Fujitsu Co. Ltd, Tokyo, Japan) and the originally developed software were used.

RESULTS

HCC-Scope had sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% for the differential diagnosis between non-HCC and HCC in a training study with gray zone analysis. It was also excellent in the validation study (95.0% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV, and 97.1% NPV with gray zone analysis and 95.2% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV, and 97.1% NPV without gray zone analysis). HCC-Scope had a significantly higher sensitivity (85.3%) and specificity (85.1%) than alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, AFP-L3 level, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) level, and the gender-age-AFP-L3-AFP-DCP (GALAD) score.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC-Scope can accurately differentially diagnose between non-HCC NASH and NASH-HCC, including very early-stage NASH-HCC.

Impact of fibrosis on liver-related event incidence in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A multicenter observational study

AIM

There are few reports on the prognosis of liver-related events in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We undertook an observational study to compare the prognosis between fibrotic and nonfibrotic groups in Japanese NAFLD patients.

METHODS

Prognosis in 393 NAFLD patients who underwent liver biopsy between April 2013 and April 2015 at multiple centers were investigated. The time to onset of liver-related events, cardiovascular events, development of extrahepatic cancers, and death were compared between the pathologically fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) group and nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) + nonfibrotic NASH group. A similar analysis was carried out based on the fibrotic classification diagnosed using four noninvasive fibrosis prediction models.

RESULTS

The mean age and body mass index at the time of liver biopsy was 55.7 years old and 28.04 kg/m2 , respectively The cumulative incidence of liver-related events at 1080 days after liver biopsy was 5.79% in the pathologically fibrotic NASH group and 0% in the NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group, with a significant difference (p = 0.0334). The cumulative incidence of liver-related events was significantly higher in the positive group for the prediction model than in the negative group in all four models (all p values were <0.0001). There was no significant difference between the pathologically fibrotic NASH group and NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group in terms of cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events, development of extrahepatic cancers, and death.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of liver-related events was significantly higher in the fibrotic NASH group than that of the NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group in Japanese NAFLD patients.

The greater impact of PNPLA3 polymorphism on liver-related events in Japanese non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients: A multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

PNPLA3 rs738409 has been associated with an increased risk of liver-related events in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In this study, we investigated the epidemiology of NAFLD and the impact of PNPLA3 on prognosis in Japan.

METHODS

A longitudinal multicentre cohort study, the JAGUAR study, includes 1550 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in Japan. We performed genetic testing and evaluated outcomes from this cohort. Liver-related events were defined as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated liver cirrhosis events.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median [range], 7.1 [1.0-24.0] years), 80 patients developed HCC, 104 developed liver-related events, and 59 died of any cause. The 5-year rate of liver-related events for each single-nucleotide polymorphism was 0.5% for CC, 3.8% for CG, and 5.8% for GG. Liver-related deaths were the most common (n = 28); only three deaths were due to cardiovascular disease. Multivariate analysis identified carriage of PNPLA3 CG/GG (hazard ratio [HR] 16.04, p = .006) and FIB-4 index >2.67 (HR 10.70, p < .01) as predictors of liver-related event development. No HCC or liver-related death was found among patients with PNPLA3 CC. There was a significantly increased risk of HCC, liver-related events, and mortality for CG/GG versus CC, but no difference between the CG and GG genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese individuals, the main cause of death from NAFLD is liver-related death. The greater risk of liver-related events incurred by PNPLA3 G allele was shown in Japan. Risk stratification for NAFLD in Japan is best accomplished by integrating PNPLA3 with the FIB-4 index.

Impact of a Novel Digital Therapeutics System on Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis: The NASH App Clinical Trial

INTRODUCTION

Management of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a currently unmet clinical need. Digital therapeutics (DTx) is an emerging class of medicine that delivers evidence-based therapeutic interventions. This study was aimed at investigating the efficacy of DTx in patients with NASH.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter, single-arm, 48-week trial in 19 patients with biopsy-confirmed NASH. All patients received a DTx intervention with a newly developed smartphone application. The primary endpoint was change in the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score (NAS) without worsening of liver fibrosis. The secondary endpoints included improvement of the NAS by ≥2 points without worsening of liver fibrosis, change in the body weight, and regression of fibrosis.

RESULTS

After the 48-week DTx intervention, improvement of the NAS was observed in 68.4% (13/19) of patients. The mean change in the NAS from baseline to the end of the intervention was -2.05 ± 1.96 ( P < 0.001 when compared with the threshold of -0.7). A decrease in the NAS by ≥ 2 points was achieved in 11 (57.9%). The average weight loss at the end of the intervention was 8.3% ( P < 0.001). Reduction of the fibrosis stage was observed in 58.3% when the analysis was limited to patients with stage F2/3 fibrosis. There were no serious adverse events that could be considered as being related to the DTx intervention.

DISCUSSION

DTx for NASH was found to be highly efficacious and well-tolerated. Further evaluation of the DTx intervention for NASH in a phase 3 trial is warranted.

Performance of non-invasive tests and histology for the prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Histologically assessed liver fibrosis stage has prognostic significance in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and is accepted as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials for non-cirrhotic NAFLD. Our aim was to compare the prognostic performance of non-invasive tests with liver histology in patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

This was an individual participant data meta-analysis of the prognostic performance of histologically assessed fibrosis stage (F0-4), liver stiffness measured by vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE), fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) in patients with NAFLD. The literature was searched for a previously published systematic review on the diagnostic accuracy of imaging and simple non-invasive tests and updated to Jan 12, 2022 for this study. Studies were identified through PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL, and authors were contacted for individual participant data, including outcome data, with a minimum of 12 months of follow-up. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or cirrhosis complications (ie, ascites, variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, or progression to a MELD score ≥15). We calculated aggregated survival curves for trichotomised groups and compared them using stratified log-rank tests (histology: F0-2 vs F3 vs F4; LSM: <10 vs 10 to <20 vs ≥20 kPa; FIB-4: <1·3 vs 1·3 to ≤2·67 vs >2·67; NFS: <-1·455 vs -1·455 to ≤0·676 vs >0·676), calculated areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (tAUC), and performed Cox proportional-hazards regression to adjust for confounding. This study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42022312226.

FINDINGS

Of 65 eligible studies, we included data on 2518 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD from 25 studies (1126 [44·7%] were female, median age was 54 years [IQR 44-63), and 1161 [46·1%] had type 2 diabetes). After a median follow-up of 57 months [IQR 33-91], the composite endpoint was observed in 145 (5·8%) patients. Stratified log-rank tests showed significant differences between the trichotomised patient groups (p<0·0001 for all comparisons). The tAUC at 5 years were 0·72 (95% CI 0·62-0·81) for histology, 0·76 (0·70-0·83) for LSM-VCTE, 0·74 (0·64-0·82) for FIB-4, and 0·70 (0·63-0·80) for NFS. All index tests were significant predictors of the primary outcome after adjustment for confounders in the Cox regression.

INTERPRETATION

Simple non-invasive tests performed as well as histologically assessed fibrosis in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD and could be considered as alternatives to liver biopsy in some cases.

FUNDING

Innovative Medicines Initiative 2.

Validation of the utility of Agile scores to identify advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

AIM

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores, based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography and clinical parameters, were recently reported to be effective in identifying advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study aimed to validate the utility of these scores in Japanese patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

Six hundred forty-one patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were analyzed. The severity of liver fibrosis was pathologically evaluated by one expert pathologist. The LSM, age, sex, diabetes status, platelet count, and aspartate aminotransferase and alanine aminotransferase levels were used to calculate Agile 3+ scores, and the parameters above excluding age were used for Agile 4 scores. The diagnostic performance of the two scores was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the original low cut-off (for rule-out) value and high cut-off (for rule-in) value were tested.

RESULTS

For diagnosis of fibrosis stage ≥3, the area under the ROC (AUROC) was 0.886, and the sensitivity of the low cut-off value and the specificity of the high cut-off value were 95.3% and 73.4%, respectively. For diagnosis of fibrosis stage 4, AUROC, the sensitivity of the low cut-off value, and the specificity of the high cut-off value were 0.930, 100%, and 86.5%, respectively. Both scores had higher diagnostic performance than the FIB-4 index and the enhanced liver fibrosis score.

CONCLUSIONS

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are reliable noninvasive tests to identify advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in Japanese NAFLD patients with adequate diagnostic performance.

Diagnostic accuracy of enhanced liver fibrosis test for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related fibrosis: Multicenter study

AIM

The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test is a noninvasive method for diagnosing hepatic fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This multicenter cohort study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the ELF test and compare it with other noninvasive tests in Japan.

METHODS

We analyzed 371 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We constructed area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROC) to determine the diagnostic accuracies of the ELF test, the Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi), the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and combinations of these indices.

RESULTS

In patients with F0/F1/F2/F3/F4 fibrosis, the median values of the ELF test were 8.98/9.56/10.39/10.92/11.41, respectively. The AUROCs of the ELF test for patients with F0 versus F1-4, F0-1 versus F2-4, F0-2 versus F3-4, and F0-3 versus F4 fibrosis were 0.825/0.817/0.802/0.812, respectively. The AUROCs of the ELF test were greater than those of the FIB-4 index and M2BPGi at each fibrosis stage. Respective low and high cut-off values yielded sensitivities and specificities for predicting advanced fibrosis (≥F3) of 91.1% and 50.8%, and 38.5% and 92.8%, respectively. For F3 or F4 fibrosis, the combined values from the ELF test and FIB-4 index showed a sensitivity of 98.5%, and the combined values from the ELF test and M2BPGi assay showed a specificity of 97.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japan, the ELF test predicts NAFLD-related fibrosis from its early stages. The diagnostic ability of the ELF test was not inferior to that of other indices, and the combined values of ELF plus other indices were more accurate.

Serum levels of immunoglobulin M-free inhibitors of macrophage/CD5L as a predictive and early diagnostic marker for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage (AIM) is usually associated with the immunoglobulin M (IgM) pentamer in the blood and is dissociated from IgM in various diseases, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). We aimed to elucidate whether IgM-free AIM (fAIM) is useful for detecting latent HCC in NASH.

METHODS

This research consisted of two cohort studies. The levels of serum fAIM, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and des-gamma carboxy prothrombin (DCP) of 18 NASH patients who developed HCC were measured during the follow-up period before HCC diagnosis (median, 4.7 years). In total, 199 patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were included in the HCC survey. The serum fAIM levels were analyzed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays.

RESULTS

In the cohort of 18 patients with HCC, 12 had high fAIM at the time of the initial blood sample, three had normal fAIM levels throughout the follow-up period, and three had fAIM elevated from normal to positive. The positive ratio of fAIM prior to HCC diagnosis remained significantly higher than that of AFP and DCP, and the fAIM ratio gradually increased. In a survey of 199 non-HCC NAFLD patients, a Cox regression analysis using independent variables, such as AFP, fAIM, age, albumin, bilirubin, and fibrosis stage, revealed that fAIM and AFP were significantly associated with the incidence of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

During the development of NASH-HCC, AIM activation in blood appears to start even before HCC is diagnostically detectable. Thus, the serum IgM-free AIM levels could be a new, sensitive biomarker for latent NASH-HCC.

Comparison of thrombocytopenia between patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and those with hepatitis C virus-related chronic liver disease

AIM

Thrombocytopenia is widely recognized as a simple surrogate marker of liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Thrombocytopenia of NAFLD has not been compared with that of hepatitis C virus-related chronic liver disease (CLD-C). Here, we examined whether there is any difference in the platelet counts between patients with NAFLD and CLD-C and investigated the underlying mechanisms.

METHODS

A total of 760 biopsy-confirmed NAFLD and 1171 CLD-C patients were enrolled. After stratification according to the liver fibrosis stage, platelet counts between NAFLD and CLD-C patients were compared. The platelet count, spleen size, serum albumin level, serum thrombopoietin level, and immature platelet fraction (IPF) value were also compared after covariate adjustment using propensity score (PS) matching.

RESULTS

The median platelet counts (×10⁴ /μL) of NAFLD and CLD-C patients were 20.2 and 18.7 (p = 2.4 × 10^-5 ) in F1; 20.0 and 14.5 (p = 2.1 × 10^-12 ) in F2; 16.9 and 12.3 (p = 8.1 × 10^-10 ) in F3; and 11.1 and 8.1 (p = 0.02) in F4, respectively. In the F3 group, NAFLD patients had a significantly higher platelet count and significantly smaller spleen volume than CLD-C patients. Although the serum thrombopoietin levels were comparable between NAFLD and CLD-C patients, the IPF value of NAFLD patients was significantly higher than that of CLD-C patients.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD patients had a significantly higher platelet count than CLD-C patients following stratification according to the liver fibrosis stage. The milder hypersplenism and higher platelet production in NAFLD than CLD-C may have contributed to this difference.

Misunderstanding of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection status by non-specialized medical doctors in patients who achieved sustained virologic response to anti-HCV therapy

INTRODUCTION

With the increase in the number of patients with sustained virologic response (SVR) in whom hepatitis C virus (HCV) was eradicated by the anti-HCV therapy, there are now many individuals in whom serum HCV RNA is absent despite positive serum HCV antibodies. However, in general clinical practice, HCV infection remains usually screened by measurement of serum HCV antibodies and patients with SVR can be misunderstood regarding HCV infection status.

METHODS

In the multicenter study, we conducted interviews with administered questionnaires to SVR individuals who had regular hospital visits after SVR. The prevalence of experiencing an incorrect diagnosis of HCV infection after SVR was assessed. Individuals who experienced this misunderstanding were further asked where they experienced it and how it made them feel.

RESULTS

In a survey of 2,246 SVR individuals, 197 individuals (8.8%) were misunderstood as having persistent HCV infection by medical doctors due to positive HCV antibody, despite the absence of HCV viremia. These misunderstandings occurred most prevalently at a private clinic (55.3%). More than half (53.3%) of these individuals felt anxious about their HCV infection with becoming unsure about their HCV eradication status.

CONCLUSIONS

Misunderstanding HCV status is commonly occurred in SVR individuals. Specialists in hepatology and infectious diseases should broadly emphasize the fact that most patients with HCV antibodies are now HCV-free because of the use of anti-HCV therapy.

Diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests for advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD: an individual patient data meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Liver biopsy is still needed for fibrosis staging in many patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. The aims of this study were to evaluate the individual diagnostic performance of liver stiffness measurement by vibration controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE), Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) and NAFLD (non-alcoholic fatty liver disease) Fibrosis Score (NFS) and to derive diagnostic strategies that could reduce the need for liver biopsies.

DESIGN

Individual patient data meta-analysis of studies evaluating LSM-VCTE against liver histology was conducted. FIB-4 and NFS were computed where possible. Sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) were calculated. Biomarkers were assessed individually and in sequential combinations.

RESULTS

Data were included from 37 primary studies (n=5735; 45% women; median age: 54 years; median body mass index: 30 kg/m²; 33% had type 2 diabetes; 30% had advanced fibrosis). AUROCs of individual LSM-VCTE, FIB-4 and NFS for advanced fibrosis were 0.85, 0.76 and 0.73. Sequential combination of FIB-4 cut-offs (<1.3; ≥2.67) followed by LSM-VCTE cut-offs (<8.0; ≥10.0 kPa) to rule-in or rule-out advanced fibrosis had sensitivity and specificity (95% CI) of 66% (63-68) and 86% (84-87) with 33% needing a biopsy to establish a final diagnosis. FIB-4 cut-offs (<1.3; ≥3.48) followed by LSM cut-offs (<8.0; ≥20.0 kPa) to rule out advanced fibrosis or rule in cirrhosis had a sensitivity of 38% (37-39) and specificity of 90% (89-91) with 19% needing biopsy.

CONCLUSION

Sequential combinations of markers with a lower cut-off to rule-out advanced fibrosis and a higher cut-off to rule-in cirrhosis can reduce the need for liver biopsies.

Time-course changes in liver functional reserve after successful sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are currently available even for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Reportedly, hepatic functional reserve improved in the short term after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). We aimed to clarify the outcomes after achievement of SVR in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were treated by DAAs in real-world clinical practice.

METHODS

A prospective, multicenter study of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir was conducted in 86 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, who were evaluated for 48 weeks post-treatment.

RESULTS

The cohort included 8 patients with Child-Pugh class A, 56 with B, and 22 with C. The proportion of Child-Pugh class A patients increased from 9.1% at baseline to 44.1% at 48 weeks post-treatment, while that of class B and C patients decreased from 66.2% to 35.1% and from 24.7% to 14.3%, respectively. Among the patients with Child-Pugh class B and C, univariate analysis identified low total bilirubin, Child-Pugh score, Child-Pugh class B, ALBI score, and high serum albumin as factors associated with improvement to Child-Pugh class A. The optimal cut-off value of the factors for predicting improvement to Child-Pugh class A were 1.4 mg/dl for total bilirubin, 2.9 g/dl for serum albumin, 8 points for Child-Pugh score, and -1.88 for ALBI score.

CONCLUSION

Achievement of SVR with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir improved the liver functional reserve at 12 weeks post-treatment and maintained the stable effects until 48 weeks post-treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Specifically, the patients with less advanced conditions had the likelihood of improving to Child-Pugh class A at 48 weeks post-treatment.

Characteristics of gut microbiome, organic acid profiles and viral antibody indexes of healthy Japanese with live Lacticaseibacillus detected in stool

To estimate the health-promoting effects of Lacticaseibacillus paracasei (previously Lactobacillus casei) strain Shirota (LcS) that reached the lower gastrointestinal tract alive, we investigated the characteristics of gut microbiome, organic acid profiles, defecatory symptoms and serum viral antibody indexes of healthy Japanese adults between the group in whom live LcS was detected or not from stool. The β-diversity index of the gut microbiome constituted a significant difference between the live-LcS-detected-group (LLD) and the live-LcS-not-detected-group (LLnD). In the LLD, the Bifidobacteriaceae, Lactobacillaceae, and Coriobacteriaceae counts were significantly higher, and the succinate concentration was significantly lower than that in the LLnD. The serum herpes simplex virus (HSV) immunoglobulin (Ig)M antibody index in the LLD tended to be lower than that of the LLnD in HSV IgG-positive subjects. Of the LLD, those in the fermented milk products containing LcS (FML)-high-frequency-group (FML-HF) and those in the FML-low-frequency-group (FML-LF) had different gut microbiome and organic acid profiles. However, the pattern of differences between FML-HF and FML-LF was dissimilar those between LLD and LLnD. In contrast, among subjects with FML-LF, those in the group with LLD in stool (LF-LLD) and those in the LLnD in stool (LF-LLnD) showed a similar pattern of differences in their gut microbiome and organic acid profiles as those in the LLnD and LLD. The LLD and LF-LLD commonly had lower caloric and carbohydrate intakes from the diet than their respective control groups. In this study, we found that the presence of live LcS in stool is associated with a healthy gut environment and inhibition of the reactivation of latently infected viruses in the host. However, these health-promoting effects on the host were not related to the frequency of FML intake. Furthermore, dysbiosis of the gut microbiome and diet including caloric intake was related to the viability of ingested LcS in the gut.

Honokiol Acts as a Potent Anti-Fibrotic Agent in the Liver through Inhibition of TGF-β1/SMAD Signaling and Autophagy in Hepatic Stellate Cells

Chronic liver injury may result in hepatic fibrosis, which can progress to cirrhosis and eventually liver failure. There are no drugs that are specifically approved for treating hepatic fibrosis. The natural product honokiol (HNK), a bioactive compound extracted from Magnolia grandiflora, represents a potential tool in the management of hepatic fibrosis. Though HNK has been reported to exhibit suppressive effects in a rat fibrosis model, the mechanisms accounting for this suppression remain unclear. In the present study, the anti-fibrotic effects of HNK on the liver were evaluated in vivo and in vitro. In vivo studies utilized a murine liver fibrosis model, in which fibrosis is induced by treatment with carbon tetrachloride (CCl₄). For in vitro studies, LX-2 human hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) were treated with HNK, and expression of markers of fibrosis, cell viability, the transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β1)/SMAD signaling pathway, and autophagy were analyzed. HNK was well tolerated and significantly attenuated CCl₄-induced liver fibrosis in vivo. Moreover, HNK decreased HSC activation and collagen expression by downregulating the TGF-β1/SMAD signaling pathway and autophagy. These results suggest that HNK is a new potential candidate for the treatment of hepatic fibrosis through suppressing both TGF-β1/SMAD signaling and autophagy in HSCs.

Enhanced Antitumor Effect in Liver Cancer by Amino Acid Depletion-Induced Oxidative Stress

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer. HCC cells consume large amounts of glutamine to survive, but can adapt to glutamine depletion in the presence of an exogenous asparagine. L-asparaginase (ASNase) converts glutamine and asparagine to glutamate and aspartate, respectively, and has been used to treat leukemia. Here we examined the effects of ASNase treatment on HCC cells and explored the potential impact of combining ASNase with the tyrosine kinase inhibitor lenvatinib (Len) for HCC treatment. Cell viability and death of HCC cell lines treated with either Len or ASNase alone or with Len and ASNase combined were determined. We assessed mRNA and protein expression levels of glutamine synthetase (GS) and asparagine synthetase (ASNS) by real-time quantitative PCR and immunoblotting. The antitumor effect of the combination therapy relative to Len or ASNase monotherapy was also evaluated in a xenograft tumor mouse model. ASNase treatment inhibited growth of SNU387 and SNU398 HCC cells, which have low GS and high ASNS expression levels, respectively, but did not clearly inhibit growth of the other cell lines. Len plus ASNase combination therapy synergistically inhibited proliferation and induced oxidative stress leading to cell death of some HCC cells lines. However, cell death of Huh7 cells, which express ASCT2, an important glutamine transporter for cancer cells, was not affected by the combination treatment. In a xenograft model, Len combined with ASNase significantly attenuated tumor development relative to mice treated with Len or ASNase alone. ASNase-mediated targeting of two amino acids, glutamine and asparagine, which are indispensable for HCC survival, induces oxidative stress and can be a novel cancer treatment option that exerts a synergistic effect when used in combination with Len.

Novel artificial intelligent/neural network system for staging of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

AIM

To develop a novel noninvasive test using an artificial intelligence (AI)/neural network (NN) system (named Fibro-Scope) to determine the fibrosis stage in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

METHODS

Three hundred twenty-four and 110 patients with histologically diagnosed nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were enrolled for training and validation studies, respectively. Two independent pathologists histologically diagnosed patients with NAFLD for the validation study. Fibro-Scope was undertaken using 12 items: age, sex, height, weight, waist circumference, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, γ-glutamyl transferase, cholesterol, triglyceride, platelet count, and type 4 collagen 7s.

RESULTS

Differentiation of F0 versus F1-4 using the Fibro-Scope revealed 99.5% sensitivity, 90.9% specificity, 97.4% positive predictive value, and 98.0% negative predictive value in a training study with gray zone analysis, which was also effective in the analysis without gray zone. Discrimination was also excellent when comparing F0-1 versus F2-4 and F0-2 versus F3-4. In a validation study with gray zone analysis, differentiation of F0 from F1-4 using Fibro-Scope was also excellent. The discrimination of F0-1 from F2-4 using Fibro-Scope with gray zone analysis showed over 80% sensitivity and specificity in the histological diagnosis of both pathologists, but was lower without the gray zone analysis. The discrimination of F0-2 from F3-4 was effective in the analysis with gray zone; however, their sensitivity and specificity were slightly inferior in the analysis without gray zone.

CONCLUSIONS

Artificial intelligence/neural network algorithms termed Fibro-Scope are easy to use and can accurately differentially diagnose minimal, moderate, and advanced fibrosis. Fibro-Scope will promote rapid NASH diagnosis and facilitate diagnosing the fibrosis stage in NASH.

Artificial intelligence/neural network system for the screening of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

AIM

We aimed to develop a novel noninvasive test using an artificial intelligence (AI)/neural network (NN) system (named nonalcoholic steatohepatitis [NASH]-Scope) to screen nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and NASH.

METHODS

We enrolled 324 and 74 patients histologically diagnosed with NAFLD for training and validation studies, respectively. Two independent pathologists histologically diagnosed patients with NAFLD for validation study. Additionally, 48 subjects who underwent a medical health checkup and did not show fatty liver ultrasonographically and had normal serum aminotransferase levels were categorized as the non-NAFLD group. NASH-Scope was based on 11 clinical values: age, sex, height, weight, waist circumference, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, γ-glutamyl transferase, cholesterol, triglyceride, and platelet count.

RESULTS

The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of NASH-Scope for distinguishing NAFLD from non-NAFLD in the training study and validation study were 99.7% versus 97.2%, 97.8% versus 97.8%, 99.7% versus 98.6%, 97.8% versus 95.7%, and 0.999 versus 0.950, respectively. Those for distinguishing NASH with fibrosis from NAFLD without fibrosis were 99.5% versus 90.7%, 84.3% versus 93.3%, 94.2% versus 98.0%, 98.6% versus 73.7%, and 0.960 versus 0.950. These results were excellent, even when the output data were divided into two categories without any gray zone.

CONCLUSIONS

The AI/NN system, termed as NASH-Scope, is practical and can accurately differentially diagnose between NAFLD and non-NAFLD and between NAFLD without fibrosis and NASH with fibrosis. Thus, NASH-Scope is useful for screening nonalcoholic fatty liver and NASH.

Type IV Collagen 7S Is the Most Accurate Test For Identifying Advanced Fibrosis in NAFLD With Type 2 Diabetes

This study aimed to examine whether the diagnostic accuracy of four noninvasive tests (NITs) for detecting advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is maintained or is inferior to with or without the presence of type 2 diabetes. Overall, 874 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled. After propensity-score matching by age, sex, and the prevalence of dyslipidemia, 311 patients were enrolled in each group of with or without diabetes. To evaluate the effect of diabetes, we compared the diagnostic accuracy of the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and type IV collagen 7S (COL4-7S) in patients with NAFLD with and without diabetes. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for identifying advanced fibrosis in patients without diabetes were 0.879 for the FIB-4 index, 0.851 for the NFS, 0.862 for the APRI, and 0.883 for COL4-7S. The AUROCs in patients with diabetes were 0.790 for the FIB-4 index, 0.784 for the NFS, 0.771 for the APRI, and 0.872 for COL4-7S. The AUROC of COL4-7S was significantly larger than that of the other NITs in patients with NAFLD with diabetes than in those without diabetes. The optimal high and low cutoff points of COL4-7S were 5.9 ng/mL and 4.8 ng/mL, respectively. At the low cutoff point, the accuracy of COL4-7S was better than that of the other NITs, especially in patients with diabetes. Conclusion: COL4-7S measurement might be the best NIT for identifying advanced fibrosis in NAFLD, especially in NAFLD with diabetes.

Honokiol Prevents Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis-Induced Liver Cancer via EGFR Degradation through the Glucocorticoid Receptor-MIG6 Axis

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has become a serious public health problem associated with metabolic syndrome. The mechanisms by which NASH induces hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unknown. There are no approved drugs for treating NASH or preventing NASH-induced HCC. We used a genetic mouse model in which HCC was induced via high-fat diet feeding. This mouse model strongly resembles human NASH-induced HCC. The natural product honokiol (HNK) was tested for its preventative effects against NASH progression to HCC. Then, to clarify the mechanisms underlying HCC development, human HCC cells were treated with HNK. Human clinical specimens were also analyzed to explore this study's clinical relevance. We found that epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) signaling was hyperactivated in the livers of mice with NASH and human HCC specimens. Inhibition of EGFR signaling by HNK drastically attenuated HCC development in the mouse model. Mechanistically, HNK accelerated the nuclear translocation of glucocorticoid receptor (GR) and promoted mitogen-inducible gene 6 (MIG6)/ERBB receptor feedback inhibitor 1 (ERRFI1) expression, leading to EGFR degradation and thereby resulting in robust tumor suppression. In human samples, EGFR-positive HCC tissues and their corresponding non-tumor tissues exhibited decreased ERRFI1 mRNA expression. Additionally, GR-positive non-tumor liver tissues displayed lower EGFR expression. Livers from patients with advanced NASH exhibited decreased ERRFI1 expression. EGFR degradation or inactivation represents a novel approach for NASH-HCC treatment and prevention, and the GR-MIG6 axis is a newly defined target that can be activated by HNK and related compounds.

Garcin Syndrome Due to Meningeal Carcinomatosis from Gastric Cancer

A 58-year-old woman presented to our hospital with complaints of dysphagia. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy showed an esophagogastric junction tumor with multiple duodenal intramural metastases, and computed tomography showed peritoneal metastasis. In the middle of her fourth cycle of chemotherapy, she displayed symptoms of a left-sided multi-cranial nerve palsy. She was diagnosed with Garcin syndrome caused by meningeal carcinomatosis from gastric cancer based on the results of gadolinium-enhanced brain magnetic resonance imaging and cytology of the cerebrospinal fluid. It is important not to overlook meningeal irritation symptoms or paralysis of cranial nerves and to consider the possibility of Garcin syndrome caused by meningeal carcinomatosis.

Hepatocellular carcinoma development in diabetic patients: a nationwide survey in Japan

BACKGROUND

Although type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a known risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development, the annual incidence in diabetes patients is far below the threshold of efficient surveillance. This study aimed to elucidate the risk factors for HCC in diabetic patients and to determine the best criteria to identify surveillance candidates.

METHODS

The study included 239 patients with T2DM who were diagnosed with non-viral HCC between 2010 and 2015, with ≥ 5 years of follow-up at diabetes clinics of 81 teaching hospitals in Japan before HCC diagnosis, and 3277 non-HCC T2DM patients from a prospective cohort study, as controls. Clinical data at the time of and 5 years before HCC diagnosis were collected.

RESULTS

The mean patient age at HCC diagnosis was approximately 73 years, and 80% of the patients were male. The proportion of patients with insulin use increased, whereas the body mass index (BMI), proportion of patients with fatty liver, fasting glucose levels, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels decreased significantly in 5 years. In the cohort study, 18 patients developed HCC during the mean follow-up period of 4.7 years with an annual incidence of 0.11%. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that the FIB-4 index was an outstanding predictor of HCC development along with male sex, presence of hypertension, lower HbA1c and albumin levels, and higher BMI and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels. Receiver-operating characteristic analyses showed that a FIB-4 cut-off value of 3.61 could help identify high-risk patients, with a corresponding annual HCC incidence rate of 1.1%.

CONCLUSION

A simple calculation of the FIB-4 index in diabetes clinics can be the first step toward surveillance of HCC with a non-viral etiology.

A novel rapid immunoassay of serum type IV collagen 7S for the diagnosis of fibrosis stage of nonalcoholic fatty liver diseases

AIM

Type IV collagen 7S (T4C7S) is a valuable biomarker for detecting liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The conventional T4C7S measurement via radioimmunoassay (T4C7S RIA) has shortcomings of radioisotope usage and longer assay periods. We compared T4C7S RIA with a newly developed, fast T4C7S chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassay (T4C7S CLEIA) and examined the diagnostic accuracies of and correlation between the two techniques.

METHODS

We evaluated 170 biopsy-confirmed patients with NAFLD. T4C7S was measured via both T4C7S RIA and T4C7S CLEIA. The correlation between T4C7S RIA and T4C7S CLEIA was analyzed in 305 total serum samples via exploratory research and 47 validation samples. The diagnostic accuracies of T4C7S CLEIA and T4C7S RIA were compared in the sera of patients with NAFLD and test samples.

RESULTS

Sera T4C7S levels of T4C7S CLEIA and T4C7S RIA significantly correlated in patients' samples via exploratory (r = 0.914, P = 0.000) and validation (r = 0.929, P = 0.000) research. At a 10% coefficient, T4C7S CLEIA concentration was 0.26 ng/ml in the serum samples, indicating high accuracy at even low concentrations. T4C7S CLEIA revealed distinct changes between each stage and high sensitivity in detecting the F2 stage, indicating a higher sensitivity in detecting low fibrosis stages than T4C7S RIA in patients with NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

The T4C7S CLEIA correlated well with the T4C7S RIA. Favorably, the T4C7S CLEIA has a higher sensitivity and rapid measurement time and requires a small sample volume; thus, it is a promising and popular biomarker for fibrosis stage diagnosis in NAFLD.

Marked heterogeneity in the diagnosis of compensated cirrhosis of patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection in a real-world setting: A large, multicenter study from Japan

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The presence of cirrhosis is an important factor for the management of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and it determines the duration of treatment for HCV with the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimen of glecaprevir (GLE) and pibrentasvir (PIB), that is, 8 or 12 weeks, if patients do not have a history of DAA failure. However, in real-world settings, determination of cirrhosis depends on the discretion of the attending hepatologists, and it is unclear whether compensated cirrhosis was homogenously diagnosed or not. In this study, we investigated the real-world diagnosis of cirrhosis by characterizing DAA-naïve patients who underwent a 12-week GLE/PIB regimen in whom cirrhosis was diagnosed, comparing their characteristics with those of patients who underwent an 8-week regimen in whom cirrhosis was absent.

METHODS

In a large, multicenter cohort study, we compared background characteristics and treatment outcomes among DAA-naïve patients who underwent an 8-week versus a 12-week GLE/PIB regimen.

RESULTS

Among 977 patients enrolled, 296 (30.3%) were determined to have cirrhosis and underwent a 12-week regimen. Some patient characteristics largely overlapped between the two groups, including liver fibrosis indices. Sustained viral response rates were similar between groups after adjusting liver fibrosis index with propensity score matching.

CONCLUSION

Although adequately diagnosed, the determination of cirrhosis varied widely among institutions or by hepatologists in real-world settings, and the severity of liver fibrosis overlapped significantly between patients in whom compensated cirrhosis was determined to be present and patients in whom cirrhosis was absent. Virologic efficacy was similar after adjusting for the degree of liver fibrosis.

Epidemiology: Pathogenesis, and Diagnostic Strategy of Diabetic Liver Disease in Japan

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is closely associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a severe form of NAFLD, can lead to cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and hepatic decompensation. Patients with T2D have twice the risk of HCC incidence compared with those without T2D. Because the hepatic fibrosis grade is the main determinant of mortality in patients with NAFLD, identifying patients with advanced fibrosis using non-invasive tests (NITs) or imaging modalities is crucial. Globally, the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4 index), NAFLD fibrosis score, and enhanced liver fibrosis test have been established to evaluate hepatic fibrosis. Two-step algorithms using FIB-4 index as first triaging tool are globally accepted. It remains unknown which kinds of NITs or elastography are best as the second step tool. In Japan, type IV collagen 7s or the CA-fibrosis index (comprising type IV collagen 7s and aspartate aminotransferase (AST)) is believed to precisely predict advanced fibrosis in NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD who have high non-invasive test results should be screened for HCC or esophageal varices. Risk factors of rapid fibrosis progression in NAFLD includes age, severe obesity, presence of T2D, menopause in women, and a patatin-like phospholipase domain containing the 3 GG genotype. Patients with NAFLD who have these risk factors should be intensively treated with lifestyle modification or pharmacotherapies for preventing liver-related mortality.

Real-world experience of 12-week direct-acting antiviral regimen of glecaprevir and pibrentasvir in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection

BACKGROUND

In clinical trials, a pangenotype direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimen consisting of glecaprevir (GLE) and pibrentasvir (PIB) exhibited high virologic efficacy and tolerability in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study sought to confirm these findings in real-world settings, focusing on patients with cirrhosis, history of DAA failure, or HCV genotype 3 who were treated with a 12-week regimen in a large multicenter study from Japan.

METHODS

In a nationwide multicenter prospective cohort study, we analyzed background characteristics, tolerability, and treatment outcome of patients who underwent a 12-week GLE/PIB regimen.

RESULTS

Of 1190 patients, 509 (42.8%) underwent the 12-week regimen, and the remaining patients underwent an 8-week regimen. The rate of sustained virologic response (SVR) of patients treated with the 12-week regimen was 99.0%, comparable with that of patients treated with the 8-week regimen. The adverse events were observed in 29.1% of patients. The main adverse event was pruritus, which was observed in 14.7%. Ten patients (2.0%) discontinued therapy during treatment period.

CONCLUSION

The 12-week GLE/PIB regimen was well-tolerated with high virologic efficacy in patients with cirrhosis, experience of DAA, or HCV genotype 3; tolerability and SVR rate were comparable with those of DAA-naïve, non-cirrhotic, non-genotype 3 patients who underwent 8-week regimen.

Early Tumor Shrinkage as a Predictive Factor for Outcomes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Lenvatinib: A Multicenter Analysis

We investigated the association between early tumor shrinkage (ETS) and treatment outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib (LEN). A retrospective analysis was performed in 104 patients. ETS was defined as tumor shrinkage at the first evaluation in the sum of target lesions’ longest diameters from baseline according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST). The median overall survival (OS) was not reached, whereas the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5.0 months. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in differentiating long-term responders (PFS ≥ 5.0 months) from short-term responders (PFS < 5.0 months) revealed an ETS cut-off value of 10%. ETS ≥ 10% was significantly correlated with better PFS and OS compared with ETS < 10%. Additionally, ETS ≥ 10% showed a better discrimination ability on prognosis compared with modified RECIST-based objective response at the first evaluation. Multivariate analysis confirmed ETS ≥ 10% as an independent predictor of better OS, as well as a Child–Pugh score of 5 and macrovascular invasion. In conclusion, ETS ≥ 10% was strongly associated with outcome in patients treated with LEN. This biomarker could allow earlier assessment of the treatment response and guide treatment decision-making for HCC.

The effectiveness and safety of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir in chronic hepatitis C patients with refractory factors in the real world: a comprehensive analysis of a prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Direct-acting anti-virals (DAAs) have markedly improved the effectiveness of anti-viral therapy for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients. In a phase III trial in Japan, treatment with the NS3/4A protease inhibitor glecaprevir and the NS5A inhibitor pibrentasvir (G/P) resulted in a small number of patients with refractory factors. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of G/P, especially among patients with these refractory factors, and the influence of these factors on treatment.

METHODS

In a prospective, multicenter study involving 33 medical institutions, 1439 patients were treated with G/P, and their efficacy, safety, and most frequent adverse effects (AEs) were analyzed.

RESULTS

Overall SVR12 rates were 99.1% (1397/1410) in the per-protocol-analysis, and genotype sustained virologic response SVR12 rates were: genotype 1, 99.4% (707/711); genotype 2, 99.4% (670/674); genotype 3, 80.0% (16/20). DAA-naïve patients (p = 0.008) with HCV genotype except 3 (genotype 1 vs. 3, p = 2.68 × 10^-5; genotype 2 vs. 3, p = 3.28 × 10^-5) had significantly higher SVR12 rates. No significant difference was observed between CKD stage 1-3 (99.1% [1209/1220]) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4-5 (98.9% [188/190]) patients, or between cirrhotic (99.0% [398/402]) and non-cirrhotic (99.1% [999/1008]) patients. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that genotype 3 [OR 33.404, 95% CI (7.512-148.550), p value (p = 4.06 × 10^-5)] and past experience of IFN-free DAAs [OR 3.977, 95% CI (1.153-13.725), p value (p = 0.029)] were both significantly independent predictors of non-SVR12. AEs were reported in 28.2% of patients, and 1.6% discontinued treatment owing to drug-related AEs. AEs were significantly higher in CKD stage 4-5 (41.6% [79/190]) than CKD stage 1-3 (26.1% [319/1220]) patients (p = 2.00 × 10^-5). AEs were also significantly higher in cirrhotic (38.6% [155/402]) than in non-cirrhotic (24.1% [243/1008]) (p = 2.91 × 10^-18) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

G/P regimen is highly effective and safe to treat CHC patients even with refractory factors such as CKD and advanced liver fibrosis. However, patients with past experience of IFN-free DAA treatment and genotype 3, CKD stage 4 or 5, and advanced liver fibrosis should be more closely observed.

Evaluation of non-Gaussian model-based diffusion-weighted imaging in oral squamous cell carcinoma: comparison with tumour functional information derived from positron-emission tomography

AIM

To evaluate and compare diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) parameters derived from a non-Gaussian fitting model and positron-emission tomography (PET) parameters derived from ¹⁸F-fluoromisonidazole-PET (FMISO-PET) in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Primary sites were evaluated prospectively in 18 patients. DWI was performed using six b-values (0-2,500). Diffusion-related parameters of kurtosis value (K), the kurtosis-corrected diffusion coefficient (D_K), diffusion heterogeneity (α), distributed diffusion coefficient (DDC), the slow diffusion coefficient (D_slow), and the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) were calculated from four diffusion-fitting models. Maximal standardised uptake values (SUV_max), mean standardised uptake values (SUV_mean), and the tumour-to-muscle ration (TMR) of the SUV value were calculated for FMISO-PET. Spearman's correlation coefficient was used to evaluate the correlation between each non-Gaussian diffusion model parameters and PET parameter.

RESULTS

There was moderate correlation between FMISO-PET SUV_max and D_slow (ρ=-0.45, p=0.06). In addition, there was good correlation between TMR_max and five non-Gaussian diffusion model parameters (K: ρ=0.65, p=0.004, D_K: ρ=-0.72, p=0.0008, DDC: ρ=-0.75, p=0.0003, ADC: ρ=-0.74, p=0.0005, and D_slow: ρ= -0.65, p=0.003), and between TMR_mean and five non-Gaussian model parameters (K: ρ=0.64, p=0.005, D_K: ρ=-0.61, p=0.007, DDC: ρ=-0.63, p=0.005, ADC: ρ=-0.61, p=0.007, and D_slow: ρ=-0.56, p=0.015).

CONCLUSION

Non-Gaussian diffusion model parameters can be related to tumour hypoxia.

Diagnostic accuracy of combined biomarker measurements and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) for predicting fibrosis stage of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Numerous biomarkers have been developed for assessing the presence and severity of liver fibrosis associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Fibrosis can be assessed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE). Here we examined whether diagnostic accuracy and applicability can be further improved by combining various biomarker measurements with LSM.

METHODS

A total of 278 patients with biopsy-confirmed Japanese NAFLD patients were enrolled. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) was evaluated for obtaining the optimum interpretation criteria for LSM by VCTE and comparing various biomarkers alone and in combination with LSM.

RESULTS

Liver stiffness measurements including cases with interquartile range (IQR)/median (M) < 30% or LSM ≤ 7.1 kPa demonstrated high applicability (90% of patients with NAFLD) and accuracy (AUROC: 0.891) for predicting stage ≥ 3 fibrosis. For all biomarkers tested, the AUROC values for predicting stage ≥ 3 fibrosis were increased when combined with LSM [platelet count, 0.734 vs. 0.912; type-4 collagen 7s (T4C7s), 0.894 vs. 0.921; aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT), 0.774 vs. 0.906; AST to platelet ratio index, 0.789 vs. 0.902; FIB-4 index, 0.828 vs. 0.922; NAFLD fibrosis score, 0.800 vs. 0.906; CA index-fibrosis, 0.884 vs. 0.913; FM-fibro index, 0.920 vs. 0.943; FIB-4 index + T4C7s, 0.901 vs. 0.930], demonstrating the advantage of concurrent LSM.

CONCLUSIONS

While VCTE has slightly limited applicability (90%) for patients with NAFLD, concurrent measurement with certain biomarkers (especially FM-fibro, T4C7s, and FIB-4) greatly improves the diagnostic accuracy.

Association of life habits and fermented milk intake with stool frequency, defecatory symptoms and intestinal microbiota in healthy Japanese adults

Few studies have examined the effects of smoking habit, the frequency of alcohol drinking, exercise, and fermented milk consumption on defecatory symptoms and gut microbiota composition, and particularly their interactive effects. We examined the effect of these lifestyle factors on bowel movements and gut microbiota composition in 366 healthy Japanese adults by analysis of covariance. Smoking did not affect defecatory symptoms but was negatively correlated with total bacteria and Enterococcus counts. Drinking frequency was significantly positively correlated with a feeling of incomplete evacuation and counts of the Bacteroides fragilis group and Acidaminococcus groups. Exercise frequency tended to be negatively correlated with the Bristol Stool Form Scale score and was significantly negatively correlated with the counts of Enterobacteriaceae and positively correlated with the Prevotella counts in the faeces. The frequency of fermented milk consumption was not significant but tended to be positively correlated with stool frequency. The frequency of fermented milk consumption was significantly positively correlated with the counts of the Atopobium cluster, Eubacterium cylindroides group, Acidaminococcus group, Clostridium ramosum subgroup, and Lactobacillus in the faeces. The frequency of consumption of probiotic Lactobacillus casei-containing fermented milk was significantly positively correlated with stool frequency. The counts of probiotic Lactobacillus casei in the stool was positively correlated with the counts of Bifidobacterium and total Lactobacillus. These results suggest that smoking, alcohol drinking, exercise, and consumption of fermented milk, particularly containing probiotic L. casei, differently affect bowel movements and gut microbiota composition in healthy Japanese adults.

Impact of Relative Dose Intensity of Early-phase Lenvatinib Treatment on Therapeutic Response in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Factors associated with response to lenvatinib have not been clarified in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 50 patients treated with lenvatinib as first-line therapy between March 2018 and March 2019. Patients were divided into two groups by the Modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (mRECIST) (responders and non-responders, whose best overall responses were complete (CR)/partial response (PR) and stable (SD)/progressive disease (PD), respectively). Factors associated with response were assessed, including the relative dose intensity 8 weeks after lenvatinib induction (8W-RDI).

RESULTS

The best overall responses were 0/22/14/14 of CR/PR/SD/PD. Multivariate analysis revealed that only 8W-RDI was significantly associated with response. The receiver operating characteristic curve for 8W-RDI in differentiating responders from non-responders revealed a cut-off value of 75%. Patients with 8W-RDI ≥75% experienced a higher response rate and longer progression-free survival than patients with 8W-RDI <75%.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that maintaining an RDI ≥75% during the initial 8 weeks of lenvatinib treatment has a favorable impact on response.

Experimental study of fast-neutron production and moderation for accelerator-based BNCT system

This work aims to study the fast-neutron production and moderation for the development of a compact accelerator-based multi-port Boron Neutron Capture Therapy (AB-mBNCT) system. An initial energy distribution and the efficiency of a test moderator assembly (TMA) for fast neutrons from a tungsten (W) target bombarded with a 53 MeV proton beam were measured using organic scintillators. The experimental results were reproduced with reasonable accuracy by simulations using the PHITS code. This paper will discuss about the experimental outcome and the related benchmark calculations by PHITS code.

The efficacy and safety of glecaprevir plus pibrentasvir in 141 patients with severe renal impairment: a prospective, multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic hepatitis C are often complicated by chronic kidney disease (CKD).

AIM

To evaluate the efficacy, safety and pharmacokinetics of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir in patients with severe renal impairment.

METHODS

In a prospective, multicentre study involving 35 medical institutions, 832 genotype 1-3 patients were treated with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir. The efficacy and safety of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir were analysed for patients with CKD stage 4 or 5. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify the factors associated with the most frequently observed adverse event. In patients undergoing haemodialysis, a pharmacokinetic study was conducted to investigate the dialysability of the drugs: plasma samples were obtained from the arterial and venous sides of a dialyser to serially measure drug concentrations.

RESULTS

The subjects comprised 141 patients (32 with CKD stage 4 and 109 with CKD stage 5), of whom 100 were undergoing haemodialysis. All but one stage 5 CKD patients undergoing haemodialysis achieved sustained virologic response (99.3%). Adverse events were observed in 39.7% of subjects: pruritus was the most frequent (30.5%), and was significantly associated with haemodialysis. In the pharmacokinetic study, no arterial-venous differences in the plasma concentrations of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir were detected during the haemodialysis sessions.

CONCLUSIONS

Glecaprevir/pibrentasvir was highly effective and safe in chronic hepatitis C patients with severe renal impairment. Haemodialysis was associated with increased incidence of pruritus, which was the most frequent adverse event, but had little or no influence on the drug concentrations, which indicated that their dialysability is very low and that no dose modification is required in patients undergoing haemodialysis. (UMIN registration no. 000032073).

[The impact of direct-acting antiviral therapy on the diagnosis of hepatitis-C virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma]

Since the introduction of direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-based combination therapies in September 2014 for patients with chronic hepatitis-C (CH-C), numerous patients have been diagnosed with hepatitis-C virus (HCV)-associated hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) during the screening performed prior to DAA therapy. The present study was conducted on the antiviral therapy for CH-C in two phases:i) the interferon (IFN) phase between January 2011 and August 2014 and ii) the DAA phase between September 2014 and September 2016. During the DAA phase, HCCs were detected in eight patients who were referred to our hospital for anti-HCV therapy. In contrast, HCCs were detected in only two patients during the IFN phase. The number of patients with newly detected HCC in the DAA phase (20.5%) who were referred for the anti-HCV therapy was significantly higher than that in the IFN phase (1.7%). Owing to the high efficacy and safety of the DAA therapy, the number of patients referred to our hospital for anti-HCV therapy increased from 40.5 persons/year in the IFN phase to 80.3 persons/year in the DAA phase. The average ages of patients in the DAA and IFN phases were 68 and 61 years, respectively. The increase in the number of patients with newly detected HCC referred for the anti-HCV therapy in the DAA phase could be attributed to the increase in the number of referred patients for anti-HCV therapy and the aging of these patients in the DAA phase. All the eight patients with newly detected HCC who were referred for anti-HCV therapy in the DAA phase received curative treatments. The median age, rate of liver cirrhosis, and median tumor size of the patients were 69 years, 13%, and 16mm. Therefore, the findings of this study indicate that DAA therapies not only eradicate HCV infection but also contribute to the early diagnosis of HCC by encouraging the HCV-infected patients to visit hospitals and by promoting active network between hepatologists and family physicians.

Trends and Efficacy of Interferon-Free Anti-hepatitis C Virus Therapy in the Region of High Prevalence of Elderly Patients, Cirrhosis, and Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Real-World, Nationwide, Multicenter Study of 10 688 Patients in Japan

Background

We investigated changes in patient characteristics, rate of sustained virologic response (SVR), and factors associated with SVR after anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) regimens in real-world practice in Japan, where patients with HCV are characterized by older age and high prevalence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Changes in patient characteristics and SVR rates were evaluated from medical records among 10 688 patients who started interferon (IFN)-free DAA therapy between September 2014 and June 2018 in a nationwide, multicenter study. Factors associated with failure of SVR were analyzed. In particular, effects of cirrhosis or history of HCC on SVR were assessed by exact matching.

Results

Patient age was becoming younger and baseline liver fibrosis was becoming milder over time. Overall SVR rate was 95.4%. The SVR rates increased over time in patients without a history of IFN-free DAA therapy. Multivariate analysis revealed that cirrhosis was unfavorably associated with achievement of SVR in both patients with genotype 1 (odds ratio, 1.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27–2.21) and genotype 2 (odds ratio, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.01–2.78). Comparisons after exact matching showed that the SVR rate was significantly lower in patients with cirrhosis than without it, whereas patients with and without a history of HCC had similar SVR rates.

Conclusions

Background characteristics of patients who undergo IFN-free DAA therapy are changing in Japan. Patients without a history of IFN-free DAA therapy have high SVR rates. Exact matching confirmed that cirrhosis significantly influences the achievement of SVR in real-world settings.

Evaluation of the compliance with antiemetic guidelines for prevention of chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting in patients with hematologic malignancy

To assess compliance with the Japanese antiemetic guidelines for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV), the frequencies of CINV occurrence and use of antiemetic rescue medications were examined in patients with hematological malignancy. A total of 40 patients with hematologic malignancy were eligible in this study. This study was performed in the Department of Hematology, Kyushu University Hospital, as a subgroup analysis from a nationwide, multicenter prospective cohort study conducted by the CINV Study Group of Japan. In the patients with hematological malignancy, the guideline compliance rate was 45 %. Five patients (22.7 %) experienced vomiting during the observation period after receiving non-guideline-consistent antiemetic prophylaxis, whereas no patient experienced vomiting after receiving guideline-consistent antiemetic prophylaxis. The study was not sufficiently powered to reach a statistical significance in its frequency of occurrence between the compliance and non-compliance groups. In the entire study period, 8 out of 40 patients required rescue medication, but there was no association between the status of compliance and the antiemetic guidelines. A total of 22 (55.0 %) patients achieved complete response, which was defined as no vomiting and no use of antiemetic rescue medication, during the study period. The rate of compliance with the prophylactic antiemetic treatment guidelines seemed to be low in patients with hematological malignancy, although the status of the guideline compliance did not always influence the antiemetic effects.

Hepatocellular carcinoma as a leading cause of cancer-related deaths in Japanese type 2 diabetes mellitus patients

BACKGROUND

We reported a cross-sectional study on causes of liver injury in Japanese type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) patients (JG 2013). We assessed overall and cause-specific mortality risk during follow-up of patients enrolled in JG 2013.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal, multicenter cohort study. Of the 5642 Japanese T2D patients who visited T2D clinics of nine hospitals in the original study, 3,999 patients were followed up for an average of 4.5 years. Expected deaths in T2D patients were estimated using age-specific mortality rates in the general population (GP) of Japan. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated to compare mortality between T2D patients and GP.

RESULTS

All-cancer mortality was significantly higher in T2D patients than in the GP [SMR 1.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-1.87]. Among malignancies, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) conferred the highest mortality risk in T2D patients (SMR 3.57, 95% CI 2.41-5.10). HCC-associated mortality risk in T2D patients remained significantly high (SMR 2.56, 95% CI 1.64-3.97) after adjusting for high positivity rates of hepatitis B surface antigen (1.7%) and anti-hepatitis C virus (5.3%). In T2D patients with platelet counts < 200 × 10³/μl, SMR of HCC increased from 3.57 to 6.58 (95% CI 4.34-9.58). T2D patients with platelet count > 200 × 10³/μl showed no increase in mortality risk (SMR 0.68) of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC-associated mortality risk was the highest among all cancers in Japanese T2D patients. Regular follow-up may be important for T2D patients with platelet counts < 200 × 10³/μl for early detection of HCC.

Accuracy of non-invasive scoring systems for diagnosing non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related fibrosis: Multicenter validation study

AIM

Hepatic fibrosis is the most important factor for estimating the prognosis of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A novel non-invasive scoring system, the FM-fibro index, showed high accuracy in a pilot study. The purpose of this study was to validate the efficacy of the FM-fibro index in a multicenter cohort.

METHODS

Among 18 institutions, we analyzed 400 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We evaluated the accuracies of the FM-fibro index, CA-fibro index, and European Liver Fibrosis (ELF) panel by area under the receiver operator characteristics curves (AUROC). The FM-fibro index includes three formulas for type IV collagen 7S, hyaluronic acid, and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1.

RESULTS

Among 400 patients, 205 were women, and the median age was 56 years. The histological distribution of Matteoni types 1, 2, 3, and 4 was 11, 40, 15, and 334, and the distribution of hepatic fibrosis stages 0 to 4 was 67, 183, 55, 63, and 32, respectively. The AUROCs of the FM-fibro index, CA-fibro index, and ELF panel for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related fibrosis were 0.7178/0.7095/0.7065, 0.7093, and 0.7245, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the FM-fibro index for predicting NASH-related fibrosis was 0.5359/0.5210/0.4641 and 0.8333/0.8182/0.8788, respectively. The accuracy of the FM-fibro index was not significantly different from that of the CA-fibro index or the ELF panel.

CONCLUSIONS

The FM-fibro index can predict NASH-related fibrosis with sufficient accuracy compared with previous scoring systems. Further analyses that verify the accuracy of the FM-fibro index to distinguish significant or advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD are awaited. (UMIN-CTR: UMIN000018158).

The novel cutoff points for the FIB4 index categorized by age increase the diagnostic accuracy in NAFLD: a multi-center study

BACKGROUND

The FIB4 index is clinically useful, but because its formula includes age, the appropriate cutoff point may differ by age group. Here, new FIB4 index cutoff points were validated using cohort data from 14 hepatology centers in Japan.

METHODS

The FIB4 index was determined in biopsy-confirmed NAFLD patients (n = 1050) who were divided into four groups: ≤ 49, 50-59, 60-69, and ≥ 70 years. ROC analysis predicted advanced fibrosis in each age group; low and high cutoff points were defined by a sensitivity and specificity of 90%. The new and conventional cutoffs were compared for detecting advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

The modified low and high cutoff points were 1.05 and 1.21 in ≤ 49 years, 1.24 and 1.96 in 50-59 years, 1.88 and 3.24 in 60-69 years, and 1.95 and 4.56 in ≥ 70 years. In ≥ 60 years, the false-negative rate was increased using the modified high cutoff point, and the high cutoff point was better with the conventional cutoff point. The new proposed low and high cutoff points are 1.05 and 1.21 in ≤ 49 years, 1.24 and 1.96 in 50-59 years, 1.88 and 2.67 in 60-69 years, and 1.95 and 2.67 in ≥ 70 years; these cutoff points improved the accuracy of advanced fibrosis diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

FIB4 index cutoff points for predicting advanced fibrosis in NAFLD increased with age. Cutoff points modified by age improved the diagnostic accuracy of estimations of advanced liver fibrosis using the FIB4 index.

Correction to: The novel cutoff points for the FIB4 index categorized by age increase the diagnostic accuracy in NAFLD: a multi-center study

The coauthor Masashi Yoneda's affiliation has been incorrectly published in the original publication of the article. The correct affiliation is provided in this correction.

Activation of apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage is a sensitive diagnostic marker for NASH-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

A diagnostic marker is needed enabling early and specific diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) associated with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Our recent findings have indicated that circulating apoptosis inhibitor of macrophage (AIM), which usually associates with IgM pentamer in the blood, is activated by its dissociation from IgM. We investigated the serum levels of IgM-free AIM for AIM activation and its possible relationship with development of HCC in NASH.

METHODS

Serum levels of IgM-associated and IgM-free AIM were evaluated in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver, NASH, and NASH-HCC using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays and immunoblots. Liver biopsy specimens were graded and staged using Brunt's classification.

RESULTS

Forty-two patients with fatty liver, 141 with NASH, and 26 with NASH-HCC were evaluated. Patients with stage 4 or grade 3 NASH (with or without HCC) exhibited significantly higher levels of both IgM-free and total AIM than those with fatty liver, whereas the ratio of IgM-free-to-total AIM was equivalent in these groups. Among patients with the same fibrosis stage of NASH, those with HCC had significantly higher IgM-free but not total AIM levels, resulting in a proportional increase in the IgM-free/total AIM ratio. Analysis of the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves indicated the high sensitivity of the IgM-free AIM for NASH-HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Our observations suggest the activation of AIM in blood in the presence of NASH-HCC, with a significant increase in IgM-free AIM levels. IgM-free AIM serum levels appear to be a sensitive diagnostic marker for NASH-HCC.

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein predicts the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

AIM

As it is not practical to perform regular screening for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in all patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), there is a need to identify NAFLD patients who are at high risk for HCC. Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (WFA⁺ -M2BP) has been shown to be a surrogate marker for predicting HCC as well as a liver fibrosis marker in patients with chronic hepatitis B and C. The aim of this study was to investigate whether WFA⁺ -M2BP predicts HCC development in NAFLD patients.

METHODS

Serum WFA⁺ -M2BP was retrospectively measured in 331 patients with histologically proven NAFLD, 51 of whom developed HCC. The association of WFA⁺ -M2BP and HCC development in NAFLD patients was investigated.

RESULTS

The WFA⁺ -M2BP values were significantly greater in NAFLD patients with HCC than in those without HCC among patients with liver fibrosis ≥stage 3. Multivariate analysis identified WFA⁺ -M2BP as one of the predictive factors for HCC development (odds ratio, 1.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.083-2.265; P = 0.017). The optimal cut-off index of WFA⁺ -M2BP for predicting HCC was 1.255 with specificity of 78.4% and sensitivity of 70.4%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve value for the prediction of HCC development was 0.806. The cumulative incidence rate of HCC was significantly greater in patients with WFA⁺ -M2BP ≥ 1.255 (n = 61) than in those with WFA⁺ -M2BP < 1.255 (n = 137) among patients who were followed up for more than 2 years after the diagnosis of NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein predicts HCC development and is a useful surrogate marker for identifying NAFLD patients who are at a high risk for HCC.