Gestational diabetes mellitus and risk of long-term all-cause and cardiac mortality: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) without subsequent overt diabetes and long-term all-cause and cardiac mortality.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 10,327 women (weighted population: 132,332,187) with a pregnancy history from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007 to 2018). Participants were divided into three groups (GDM alone, overt diabetes, and no diabetes). Mortality data was linked from the National Death Index up to December 31, 2019. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to examine the association between GDM alone and overt diabetes with all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality. Data analysis was performed from October 2022 to April 2023.

RESULTS

Among the participants, 510 (weighted 5.3%) had GDM alone and 1862 (weighted 14.1%) had overt diabetes. Over a median follow-up period of 6.7 years (69,063 person-years), there were 758 deaths. The GDM group did not show an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.67; 95% CI, 0.25-1.84), while the overt diabetes group had a significantly higher risk (HR 1.95; 95% CI, 1.62-2.35). Similarly, the GDM group did not exhibit an elevated risk of cardiac mortality (HR 1.48; 95% CI, 0.50-4.39), whereas the overt diabetes group had a significantly higher risk (HR 2.37; 95% CI, 1.69-3.32). Furthermore, sensitivity analysis focusing on women aged 50 or above showed that the HR of GDM history for all-cause mortality was 1.14 (95% CI, 0.33-3.95) and the HR for cardiac mortality was 1.74 (95% CI, 0.49-6.20).

CONCLUSIONS

GDM alone was not associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiac mortality, while overt diabetes was significantly associated with both types of mortality.

A comprehensive analysis of cardiovascular mortality trends in Peru from 2017 to 2022: Insights from 183,386 deaths of the national death registry

Background/objectives

Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of global mortality. Systematic studies on cardiovascular-related mortality at national and subnational levels in Peru are lacking. We aimed to describe the trends in cardiovascular-related mortality between 2017 and 2022 in Peru at national and subnational levels and by socioeconomic indicators.

Subjects/methods

We used data from the Peruvian death registry 2017-2022. Using ICD-10 codes, mortality was categorized into: hypertensive-, coronary-, and cerebrovascular- related deaths. We estimated age-standardized cardiovascular-related mortality rates by sex at national and regional levels, and by natural regions (Coast, Highlands, Amazon). We estimated the change in mortality rates between 2017-2019 and 2020-2022 and explored factors that contributed to such a change. We explored ecological relationships between mortality rates and socioeconomic indicators.

Findings

Overall 183,386 cardiovascular-related deaths were identified. Coronary-related deaths (37.2 %) were followed by hypertensive-related (25.1 %) and cerebrovascular-related deaths (22.6 %). Peru showed a marked increasing trend in cardiovascular-related mortality in 2020-2022 (77.8 %). The increase clustered in the Coast and Highlands, with the highest change observed in Lima (132.1 %). Mortality was highest in subjects with lower education and subjects with public health insurance. Gini coefficient was associated with lower mortality rates while unemployment was associated with higher mortality rates.

Interpretation

There was a notable rise in cardiovascular-related mortality in Peru, particularly during the Covid-19 pandemic with a slight decrease in 2022. Gaining a comprehensive understanding of the factors that contribute to the increase in cardiovascular deaths in Peru will facilitate the development of precise interventions at both the national and regional levels.

Prognostic Impact of Target Lesion Revascularization on Long-Term Cardiac Mortality After Current-Generation Drug-Eluting Stent Implantation for Left Main Distal Bifurcation: the Milan and New-Tokyo (MITO) Registry

BACKGROUND

There are scarce data about the incidence and impact on clinical outcomes of target lesion revascularization (TLR) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for unprotected left main distal bifurcation lesions (ULMD) in current generation drug eluting stent (cDES) era.

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated the incidence and impact on clinical outcomes of TLR after PCI using cDES for ULMD.

METHODS

We identified 720 patients treated with cDES for ULMD at New Tokyo Hospital (Matsudo, Japan), San Raffaele Scientific Institute and EMO-GVM Centro Cuore Columbus (Milan, Italy) between January 2005 and December 2015. We divided those patients in 2 groups; TLR group (n = 107), no TLR group (n = 613). The TLR group was comprised patients undergoing a repeat revascularization by PCI or coronary artery bypass grafting of the target lesion. Analysis using propensity score adjustment was also performed. The primary endpoint was cardiac mortality. Additionally, we analyzed the impact of TLR for each main branch (MB) or side branch on cardiac mortality using multivariate Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Cardiac mortality was significantly higher in TLR group than in no TLR group (adjusted HR 1.96; 95 % CI, 1.50-3.62; p = 0.032). Cardiac mortality was also significantly higher in TLR group after propensity score adjustment. TLR for MB was identified as an independent predictor of cardiac death on multivariate Cox regression analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The TLR, especially the TLR for MB, after PCI even with cDES for ULMD, was strongly associated with worse cardiac mortality.

Luteolin intake is negatively associated with all-cause and cardiac mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Luteolin, a common flavonoid in our daily diet, has potent anti-diabetic effects. However, its prognostic impact on type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is still uncertain. This study aimed to clarify this association.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 2,461 patients with T2DM were included from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Dietary luteolin intake was estimated by the type and amount of food consumed in a 24-hour dietary recall. All-cause and cardiac mortality were ascertained by National Death Index Mortality data (as of December 31, 2019). The association of luteolin intake with mortality risk was estimated by Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The median (interquartile range) luteolin intake was 0.355 (0.130, 0.835) mg/day. During the follow-up (median, 8.4 years), 561 all-cause deaths (including 136 cardiac deaths) were documented. Per-unit increment of luteolin intake (natural logarithm transformed) was found to reduce all-cause mortality by 7.0% (P = 0.024) and cardiac mortality by 22.6% (P = 0.001) in patients with T2DM. An inverse dose-response association was identified between luteolin intake (range: 0.005-9.870 mg/day) and mortality risk. The consistent result was also shown when stratified by age, gender, race, body mass index, HbA1c level, and T2DM duration. Moreover, luteolin intake increment was also shown to be associated with a lower C-reactive protein level at baseline (β =-0.332; 95% CI =-0.541, -0.122).

CONCLUSION

The current study confirmed that the dietary luteolin intake increment reduced all-cause mortality (especially cardiac mortality) in patients with T2DM, which may be attributed to the anti-inflammatory property of luteolin.

Internet access and cardiovascular death in the United States

As high-speed internet becomes increasingly important as a resource for cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention and management services, gaps in digital infrastructure may have detrimental impact on health outcomes. Using national census and CDC data from 2018 we evaluated state-level rates of household internet access and age-adjusted cardiac mortality. After adjusting for state level demographic variables, and rates of education, income, and health insurance, internet access rates were inversely associated with age adjusted CVD mortality, showing that the potential for internet access to affect CVD management deserves further study.

Cardiac late effects after modern 3D-conformal radiotherapy in breast cancer patients: a retrospective cohort study in Germany (ESCaRa)

Purpose

Radiotherapy (RT) was identified as a risk factor for long-term cardiac effects in breast cancer patients treated until the 1990s. However, modern techniques reduce radiation exposure of the heart, but some exposure remains unavoidable. In a retrospective cohort study, we investigated cardiac mortality and morbidity of breast cancer survivors treated with recent RT in Germany.

Methods

A total of 11,982 breast cancer patients treated between 1998 and 2008 were included. A mortality follow-up was conducted until 06/2018. In order to assess cardiac morbidity occurring after breast cancer treatment, a questionnaire was sent out in 2014 and 2019. The effect of breast cancer laterality on cardiac mortality and morbidity was investigated as a proxy for radiation exposure. We used Cox Proportional Hazards regression analysis, taking potential confounders into account.

Results

After a median follow-up time of 11.1 years, there was no significant association of tumor laterality with cardiac mortality in irradiated patients (hazard ratio (HR) for left-sided versus right-sided tumor 1.09; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.85–1.41). Furthermore, tumor laterality was not identified as a significant risk factor for cardiac morbidity (HR = 1.05; 95%CI 0.88–1.25).

Conclusions

Even though RT for left-sided breast cancer on average incurs higher radiation dose to the heart than RT for right-sided tumors, we found no evidence that laterality is a strong risk factor for cardiac disease after contemporary RT. However, larger sample sizes, longer follow-up, detailed information on individual risk factors and heart dose are needed to assess clinically manifest late effects of current cancer therapy.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10549-021-06412-3.

The risk of cardiac mortality in patients with status epilepticus: A 10-year study using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

OBJECTIVE

To explore whether status epilepticus affected cardiac mortality.

METHODS

We used the 2008-2017 multicause mortality data of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research. The status epilepticus group included patients whose death certificates mentioned status epilepticus as contributing to death. The non-status epilepticus group included patients whose death certificates mentioned epilepsy, other and unspecified convulsions, febrile convulsions, or post-traumatic seizures, as contributing to death. The outcomes for evaluation were death certificates that indicated that myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, heart failure, or cardiac arrest (CA) was the immediate cause of death. The numbers of deaths and population sizes by categorical demographics were recorded and subjected to multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 14,487 death certificates in status epilepticus group; 3080 patients (21.3%) died of CA. When clinical records were compared to autopsy data, females were at a lower risk of myocardial infarction (odds ratio [OR]: 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.51-0.61). Patients aged 45-65 years and older than 65 years were at a higher risk of developing all four cardiac complications. Status epilepticus was associated with higher risks of arrhythmia (OR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.11-2.15) and CA (OR: 4.34, 95% CI: 3.49-5.39) but a reduced risk of myocardial infarction (OR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.30-0.57) as the cause of immediate death.

CONCLUSION

The frequency of CA in patients with status epilepticus increased between 2008 and 2017. Male and elderly patients were at a higher risk of cardiogenic mortality.

Fragmented QRS on surface electrocardiography as a predictor of cardiac mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection

Aims

Although severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is mainly a respiratory system disease, recent studies reported that cardiac injury is associated with poor outcomes in this population. There are few studies which assessed standard electrocardiogram (ECG) as a prognostic tool during the course of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The aim of this study is to identify the relationship between of ECG parameters and prognosis of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2.

Method and results

A total of 114 consecutive patients with a confirmed diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection between March 2020 and May 2020 were included in the study. Standard 12‑lead surface ECG was reviewed for presence of fragmented QRS (fQRS), abnormal Q wave, T wave inversion, and duration of QRS. fQRS was observed in 36.8% (n = 42) of the patients who had SARS-CoV-2. Patient groups with and without fQRS did not differ in terms of age, gender, the presence of comorbid diseases and medical treatment. Hospitalization duration, intensive care unit(ICU) requirement, all-cause mortality, and cardiac mortality were found to be higher in patients with fQRS (all p values <0.05). There was a positive correlation between QRS duration and duration of hospital stay (p < 0.001, r = 0.421). QRS duration was also found to be associated with intensive care need, all-cause mortality, and cardiac mortality.

Conclusion

Our data shows that QRS duration and the presence of fQRS on standard ECG can help to identify patients with worse clinical outcome admitted for SARS-CoV-2 infection.

A common variation in HCN1 is associated with heart rate variability in schizophrenia

BACKGROUND

There is growing evidence for a shared genetic basis between schizophrenia risk and cardiovascular disease. Reduced efferent vagal activity, indexed by reduced heart rate variability (HRV), has been consistently described in patients with schizophrenia and may potentially contribute to the increased cardiovascular risk in these patients. In this study, we tested the hypothesis whether the established schizophrenia risk variant HCN1 rs16902086 (A > G) is associated with reduced HRV.

METHODS

We analyzed the risk status of HCN1 rs16902086 (AG/GG vs. AA genotype) in 83 unmedicated patients with schizophrenia and 96 healthy controls and investigated genotype-related impacts on various HRV parameters.

RESULTS

We observed significantly increased resting heart rates and a marked decrease of vagal modulation in our patient cohort. Strikingly, HCN1 rs16902086 (A > G) was associated with reduced HRV parameters in patients only. A trend towards more pronounced HRV deviations was observed in homozygous (GG) compared to heterozygous patients (AG).

CONCLUSION

We present first evidence for a genetic risk factor that is associated with decreased vagal modulation in unmedicated patients with schizophrenia. Moreover, our findings suggest that HCN1 might be involved in reduced vagal modulation and possibly in increased cardiac mortality in schizophrenia patients. Thus, our data indicate that reduced vagal modulation might be an endophenotype of schizophrenia.

Malnutrition is independently associated with an increased risk of major cardiovascular events in adult patients with congenital heart disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Malnutrition is found frequently during chronic diseases, and its prevalence and relation to disease outcome in adult patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) remains unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A cohort of 393 consecutive stable congenital heart disease (CHD) patients was followed up in a single dedicated clinical unit. Demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters, along with a nutritional risk index (NRI), were studied, as well as major acute cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as arterial thrombotic events, heart failure requiring hospitalization or cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality. The median age of the patients was 23 years (17-35) and 225 (57%) were males. Median plasma albumin concentration was 4.5 (4.2-4.7) g/dL, the body mass index was 23 (21-27) kg/m², the NRI was 112 (106-118), and 33 (8%) patients showed malnutrition (NIR<100). A worse NYHA functional class (II and III), total cholesterol and serum glucose levels were significant risk factors associated with malnutrition (NRI<100) in CHD patients. During a median follow-up of 8 (5-10) years, 39 (10%) CHD patients suffered a MACE. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that older patients (years) [HR 1.06 (1.04-1.09), p < 0.001], CHD patients with great anatomical complexity [HR 4.24 (2.17-8.27), p < 0.001] and those with a lower NRI [HR 0.95 (0.93-0.98), p = 0.001] had a significant worse MACE-free survival, being the NRI a better predictor of MACE than albumin concentration.

CONCLUSIONS

A low NRI is independently associated with a significant increased risk of MACE in CHD patients.

Cardiac mortality, diabetes mellitus, and multivessel disease in ST elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

In patients with diabetes mellitus presenting with ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) the degree to which cardiac death rates may be attributed to an increased burden of coronary artery disease is not clear.

METHODS

This prospective observational study examines rates of cardiac death between those with and without diabetes at long term follow up, stratified by presence of multivessel disease (MVD), in consecutive STEMI patients from 5 Australian hospitals.

RESULTS

Amongst 2083 patients, 393 patients had diabetes (18.8%), and 810 (38.8%) had MVD. Patients with diabetes were more likely to have MVD 48.6% (191/393) than patients without diabetes 36.6% (619/1690; p < .001). At final follow up (median 3.6 years [IQR 2.4-5.4]) cardiac death occurred in 37/393 diabetic patients and 92/1690 nondiabetic patients (adjusted HR1.67, 95% CI 1.10-2.52). In those with MVD cardiac death occurred in 27/191 diabetic patients, and 54/619 non-diabetic patients (adjusted HR 1.94; 95% CI 1.17-3.23). In single vessel disease (SVD) cardiac death occurred in 10/202 diabetic patients, and 38/1071 non-diabetic patients (adjusted HR 1.37; 95% CI 0.65-2.89). Both diabetes and MVD were independently associated with cardiac death.

CONCLUSIONS

STEMI patients with diabetes are more likely to have MVD, with an absolute difference in MVD rates of 12%, and higher rates of cardiac death. Randomized trials studying these high risk patients are needed to reduce cardiac mortality in patients with diabetes, MVD and STEMI.

The prognostic value of elevated matrix metalloproteinase-9 in patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-elevation myocardial infarction: A two-year prospective study

INTRODUCTION

Increased matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) levels in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are well established; however, existing data on MMP-9 values as a prognostic marker after STEMI are limited and have been conflicting.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the clinical significance of MMP-9 in predicting two-year adverse cardiovascular events in patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) after STEMI.

METHODS

In this prospective study, 204 patients with STEMI undergoing PCI were included. Participants were classified as high MMP-9 (n=102) or low MMP-9 (n=102) based on a cutoff of 12.92 ng/ml. Both groups were assessed at one and two years after STEMI.

RESULTS

Higher cardiovascular mortality at one year was observed in the high MMP-9 group (13.7% vs. 4.9% in the low MMP-9 group, p=0.03). When the follow-up period was extended to two years, the difference in cardiovascular mortality between the groups was more significant (17.6% vs. 4.9%, p=0.004). There was no significant difference at one-year follow-up in rates of advanced heart failure, however at the end of the second year, advanced heart failure was more prevalent in the high MMP-9 group (16.7% vs. 5.9%, p=0.015). After adjustment for potential confounders, a high MMP-9 value had 3.5-fold higher odds for cardiovascular mortality at two-year follow-up than low MMP-9.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that high MMP-9 levels are a strong predictor of cardiovascular mortality and advanced heart failure at two-year follow-up in STEMI patients.

[Long-term prognostic value of mean platelet volume in patients with stable coronary artery disease undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention]

Objective: To evaluate the relationship between admission mean platelet volume (MPV) and 2-year cardiac mortality in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and explored the consistence of this relationship in diabetes mellitus (DM) and non-DM subgroups. Method: A total of 4 293 patients who underwent PCI in Fuwai Hospital in 2013 were enrolled and divided into two groups according to MPV as follows: lower MPV (n=2 219, MPV≤10.5fL) and higher MPV (n=2 074, MPV>10.5fL). Result: Patients with high MPV had a higher rate of DM (30.4%(674/2 219) vs 34.5%(715/2 074)), smoking (53.3%(1 183/2219) vs 57.0%(1 182/2 074)), and previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (4.0%(88/2 219) vs 5.4%(112/2 074)), while left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (64±7 vs 63±7), and glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (92±14 vs 91±15) were lower compared with patients in the low MPV group (all P<0.05). In the laboratory examination, patients with high MPV had higher glycosylated hemoglobin, and lower platelet count (all P<0.05). In coronary angiography, there was no significant difference in SYNTAX scores, left main/three-vessel lesions, stent type, success rate of operation, and total stent length (all P>0.05). Compared with low MPV group, patients with high MPV had ahigher cardiac mortality [18 (0.9%) vs 5 (0.2%), P=0.004]. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that compared to low MPV group, cardiac mortality in high MPV group was significantly higher (Log-rank P=0.004). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high MPV was independently associated with 2-year cardiac mortality (HR 4.127, 95%CI 1.373 to 12.405, P=0.012). Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis also showed that MPV had a good diagnostic value in predicting 2-year cardiac mortality (area under the curve=0.624, 95%CI: 0.511-0.738, P=0.04). Subgroup analysis showed that in patients with DM (HR 2.090, 95%CI 1.217-3.589, P=0.008) and male (HR 1.561, 95%CI 1.007-2.421, P=0.047), MPV was significantly related with cardiac mortality. Conclusion: In patients with stable CAD who underwent elective PCI, high MPV was independently associated with an increase in 2-year cardiac mortality, especially in patients with DM and male gender.

Does pre-angiography Total ST-segment resolution reliably predict spontaneous reperfusion of the infarct-related artery in patients with acute myocardial infarction?

BACKGROUND

ST resolution (STR) after AMI is a non-invasive indicator of IRA reperfusion. We investigated whether pre-angiography STR predicted spontaneous IRA reperfusion in STEMI patients.

METHOD

Patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI were recruited. Standard 12-lead ECG tracings were recorded at first medical contact, immediately prior to arterial puncture and 60 min after PCI. STR was classified as total (≥70%; group I), partial (≥30 and < 70%; group II) or none (< 30%; group III). Patients were followed up for 1-year.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 349 patients (n = 77, 160 and 112 for groups I, II and III, respectively). Compared with groups I/II, pre-procedural TIMI flow in group III was less frequently grades 2 or 3 (P < 0.001). Pre-PCI STR ≥70% was an independent predictor of pre-PCI TIMI-3 flow (OR: 2.8; P < 0.001). Pre-PCI STR < 30% was independently associated with pre-PCI TIMI flow 0-2 (OR: 3.1; P < 0.001). STR = 35.55% seems to be an optimal cut off for pre-procedural TIMI-3 flow prediction with sensitivity 0.943, specificity 0.456, Youden index 0.399, P = 0.027. STR prior to PCI was inversely correlated with 1-year combined CV events rate. STR > 70% may predict a better clinical outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Assessment of STR could potentially be used to stratify risk in patients with STEMI before PCI.

Influence of atrial fibrillation on cardiac prognosis in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), a known risk factor for the development of congestive heart failure (CHF), was recently shown to predict the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF). Here, we explore the influence of AF on cardiac prognosis in COPD patients.

Methods

A total of 339 consecutive patients who underwent spirometry from 2010 to 2013 for various reasons were retrospectively examined. Based on the diagnostic criteria, patients were stratified into COPD and non-COPD groups, which were both further divided into those with AF (chronic AF or paroxysmal AF) or sinus rhythm (SR) based on previous electrocardiography results. Significances of differences in cardiac events were assessed by the chi-square test. Multivariate logistic regression analyses and Cox proportional hazard models were applied to evaluate the influence of AF on cardiac events.

Results

Of the 339 patients, 190 were diagnosed with COPD, with 42 of these were having AF. During the mean follow-up period of 7.4 ± 0.8 years, CHF developed more frequently in COPD patients with AF than in COPD patients without AF [50% vs 7%; odds ratio (OR) 12.4, 95% confidence interval (CI): 5.25–29.49, p < 0.05]. AF was an independent predictor of CHF development (OR 20.4, 95% CI: 6.55–79.80, p < 0.05) and cardiac mortality (OR 2.8, 95% CI: 1.79–4.72, p < 0.05). Moreover, positive correlations were found between the severity of pulmonary obstruction with AF and CHF development (R = 0.69, p < 0.05), as well as cardiac mortality (R = 0.78.p < 0.05).

Conclusions

These results suggest that AF may be strongly associated with cardiac mortality and CHF in COPD patients.

Type D Personality as a Risk Factor in Coronary Heart Disease: a Review of Current Evidence

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

This review article synthesizes recent research findings on the psychological context of Type D personality and the mechanisms through which Type D affects disease progression and prognosis among patients with coronary heart disease (CHD).

RECENT FINDINGS

One in four patients with CHD has a Distressed (Type D) personality, which is characterized by two stable traits: social inhibition and negative affectivity. Type D personality predicts increased mortality and morbidity burden, and poorer health-related quality of life. Type D is part of a family of psychosocial risk factors that affect CHD prognosis. The pattern of co-occurrence of these psychosocial factors and intra-individual differences in psychosocial profiles may affect risk prediction accuracy. Multiple biological and behavioral processes have been associated with Type D personality. Identifying pathways explaining the observed associations between Type D personality and CHD is important to improve etiological and pathophysiological knowledge and to design personalized interventions, and targeting specific risk-associated pathways.

Chronotropic incompetence of the heart is associated with exercise intolerance in patients with schizophrenia

The elevated cardiovascular risk of patients with schizophrenia contributes to a reduced life expectancy of 15-20years. This study investigated whether cardiac autonomic dysfunction (CADF) in schizophrenia is related to chronotropic incompetence, an established cardiovascular risk marker. We investigated thirty-two patients suffering from paranoid schizophrenia and thirty-two control subjects matched for age, sex, body mass index and fat free mass. A cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) was performed to study heart rate responses to exercise as well as submaximal (ventilatory threshold 1, VT₁) and maximal endurance capacities (peak oxygen consumption, VO_2peak; peak power output, P_peak). In addition, epinephrine and norepinephrine levels were assessed in a subset of patients. Fitness parameters were significantly reduced in all patients. Most investigated physiological parameters were significantly different at rest as well as during peak exercise being in line with previously described CADF in schizophrenia. In particular, 14 out of 32 patients were classified as chronotropically incompetent whereas no control subject was below the cut-off value. In addition, a positive correlation of a slope reflecting chronotropic incompetence with peak oxygen uptake (p<0.001) was observed in patients only indicating a close correlation to the lack of physical fitness. The catecholamine increase was reduced in patients after exercise. This study identified a novel cardiac risk factor in patients with schizophrenia. Moreover, it seems to be associated with reduced physical fitness and indicates targets for exercise intervention studies. Future studies are warranted to elucidate pathophysiological mechanisms of this cardiac condition.

Cardiac mortality in limited-stage small cell lung cancer

INTRODUCTION

Life expectancy of patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) continues to rise; thus, characterization of long-term toxicities is essential. Although there are emerging data linking cardiac irradiation doses with survival for non-small cell lung cancer, there are currently minimal data on cardiac-specific mortality (CSM) in LS-SCLC. The goal of this investigation was to evaluate CSM between left- and right-sided cases.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was queried for stage I-III primary SCLC patients receiving radiotherapy; CSM was compared between left- and right-sided diseases. Accounting for mortality from other causes, Gray's test compared cumulative incidences of CSM between both groups. Multiple multivariate models examined the independent effect of laterality on CSM, including the Fine and Gray competing risk model and the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Of 19,692 patients, 7991 (41%) were left-sided and 11,701 (59%) were right-sided. Left-sided patients experienced significantly higher CSM overall (3.3% vs. 2.6%, p = 0.004). Laterality was an independent predictor of CSM in the overall population in the Fine and Gray competing risk model (p = 0.006) as well as the Cox proportional hazards model (p = 0.007). The overall hazard ratio for CSM by disease laterality was 1.27 (95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.50). Laterality had no statistical association with non-cardiac mortality in the Fine and Gray competing risk model (p = 0.130).

CONCLUSIONS

Although causation between radiotherapy and CSM in LS-SCLC cannot be stated based on these data, we encourage clinical attentiveness to cardiac-sparing radiotherapy for LS-SCLC, along with further investigation evaluating dosimetric correlates for cardiotoxicity.

Cardiac Versus Non-Cardiac Related Mortality Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients with Insulin-Treated Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Cardiovascular mortality is a major concern for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Insulin therapy significantly contributes to a high rate of death in these patients. We have performed a meta-analysis comparing cardiac and non-cardiac-related mortality following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in a sample of patients with insulin-treated type 2 diabetes mellitus (ITDM).

METHODS

Studies were included in the meta-analysis if: (1) they were trials or cohort studies involving patients with T2DM post-PCI; (2) the outcomes in ITDM were separately reported; and (3) they reported cardiac death and non-cardiac death among their clinical endpoints. ITDM patients with any degree of coronary artery disease were included. The analysis was carried out using RevMan version 5.3 software, and data were reported with odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) as the main parameters.

RESULTS

A total of 4072 participants with ITDM were included, of whom 1658 participants and 2414 participants were extracted from randomized controlled trials and observational cohorts, respectively. Analysis of all data showed that death due to cardiac causes was significantly higher in patients with ITDM (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.79-2.59; P = 0.00001). At 1 year of follow-up, cardiac death was still significantly higher compared to non-cardiac death (OR 2.39, 95% CI 1.47-3.88; P = 0.0004), and this result did not change with a longer follow-up period (3-5 years) (OR 2.09, 95% CI 1.70-2.56; P = 0.00001). Death due to cardiac causes was still significantly higher in the subpopulations of patients with everolimus-eluting stents (OR 2.31, 95% CI 1.26-4.26; P = 0.007), paclitaxel-eluting stents (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.63-3.39; P = 0.00001), sirolimus-eluting stents (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.67-2.67; P = 0.00001), and zotarolimus-eluting stents (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.11-4.05; P = 0.02), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality due to cardiac causes was significantly higher than that due to non-cardiac causes in patients with ITDM who had undergone PCI. The same conclusion could be drawn from analyses focused on different follow-up periods, types of coronary stents, and type of study data used.

Low 1,5-anhydroglucitol levels are associated with long-term cardiac mortality in acute coronary syndrome patients with hemoglobin A1c levels less than 7.0

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus is considered an important risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. High hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels, which indicate poor glycemic control, have been associated with occurrence of cardiovascular diseases. There are few parameters which can predict cardiovascular risk in patients with well-controlled diabetes. Low 1,5-anhydroglucitol (1,5-AG) levels are considered a clinical marker of postprandial hyperglycemia. We hypothesized that low 1,5-AG levels could predict long-term mortality in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with relatively low HbA1c levels.

METHODS

The present study followed a retrospective observational study design. We enrolled 388 consecutive patients with ACS admitted to the cardiac intensive care unit at the Juntendo University Hospital from January 2011 to December 2013. Levels of 1,5-AG were measured immediately before emergency coronary angiography. Patients with early stent thrombosis, no significant coronary artery stenosis, malignancy, liver cirrhosis, a history of gastrectomy, current steroid treatment, moderately to severely reduced kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate < 45 ml/min/1.73 m2; chronic kidney disease stage 3B, 4, and 5), HbA1c levels ≥ 7.0%, and those who received sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitor therapy were excluded.

RESULTS

During the 46.9-month mean follow-up period, nine patients (4.5%) died of cardiovascular disease. The 1,5-AG level was significantly lower in the cardiac death group compared with that in the survivor group (12.3 ± 5.3 vs. 19.2 ± 7.7 µg/ml, p < 0.01). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that low 1,5-AG levels were associated with cardiac mortality (p = 0.02). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that 1,5-AG levels were an independent predictor of cardiac mortality (hazard ratio 0.76; 95% confidence interval 0.41-0.98; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Low 1,5-AG levels, which indicate postprandial hyperglycemia, predict long-term cardiac mortality even in ACS patients with HbA1c levels < 7.0%.

Dutch outcome in implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy (DO-IT): registry design and baseline characteristics of a prospective observational cohort study to predict appropriate indication for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator

BACKGROUND

Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) are widely used for the prevention of sudden cardiac death. At present, both clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy in primary prevention patients are topics of discussion, as only a minority of these patients will eventually receive appropriate ICD therapy.

METHODS/DESIGN

The DO-IT Registry is a nationwide prospective cohort with a target enrolment of 1,500 primary prevention ICD patients with reduced left ventricular function in a setting of structural heart disease. The primary outcome measures are death and appropriate ICD therapy for ventricular tachyarrhythmias. Secondary outcome measures are inappropriate ICD therapy, death of any cause, hospitalisation for ICD related complications and for cardiovascular reasons. As of December 2016, data on demographic, clinical, and ICD characteristics of 1,468 patients have been collected. Follow-up will continue up to 24 months after inclusion of the last patient. During follow-up, clinical and ICD data are collected based on the normal follow-up of these patients, assuming ICD interrogations take place every six months and clinical follow-up is once a year. At baseline, the mean age was 66 (standard deviation [SD] 10) years and 27% were women.

CONCLUSION

The DO-IT Registry represents a real-world nationwide cohort of patients receiving ICDs for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death with reduced left ventricular function in a setting of structural heart disease. The registry investigates the efficacy of the current practice and aims to develop prediction rules to identify subgroups who will not (sufficiently) benefit from ICD implantation and to provide results regarding costs and budget impact of targeted supply of primary preventions ICDs.

Impact of target vessel on long-term cardiac mortality after successful chronic total occlusion percutaneous coronary intervention: Insights from a Japanese multicenter registry

BACKGROUND

The impact of successful chronic total occlusion (S-CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on cardiac mortality may differ depending on target CTO vessel; however, to date this has not yet been adequately evaluated. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of target vessel on cardiac mortality after S-CTO PCI.

METHODS

From January 2004 to December 2011, 1517 CTO PCIs were performed in 4 Japanese centers and enrolled in a multicenter registry. Cases were retrospectively analyzed and divided per target vessel treated. The primary endpoint was cardiac mortality during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

During the study period, 1424 CTOs with 1 main vessel CTO per patient were analyzed (left anterior descending artery [LAD]: 487, right coronary artery [RCA]: 599, left circumflex [LCx]: 338). 92.3% (n=1314) of cases were S-CTO PCIs. The median follow-up period was 1677 (interquartile range; 811-2463) days. In LAD and RCA CTOs, S-CTO PCI was associated with a lower cardiac mortality rate at 5-year follow-up when compared with unsuccessful CTO (U-CTO) (2.6% vs 9.7%, p=0.01, 2.6% vs 27.3%, p<0.01, respectively). This finding was not present with LCx CTO PCI (2.2% vs 0.0%, p=0.53). Cox regression analysis demonstrated that LAD and RCA S-CTO PCI were independent predictors of a lower cardiac mortality rate (LAD; HR: 0.18, 95% CI: 0.06-0.56; p<0.01; RCA; HR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.09-0.65; p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

S-CTO LAD and RCA PCI were associated with a lower long-term cardiac mortality after CTO PCI. This finding was not observed with LCx CTO PCI.

Decreased cardiac mortality with nicorandil in patients with ischemic heart failure

BACKGROUND

Effective treatments in heart failure (HF) patients with ischemic etiology have not been fully established. Nicorandil, combination of nitrate component and sarcolemmal adenosine triphosphate-sensitive potassium channel opener, is a potent vasodilator of coronary and peripheral vessels and has been used as an antianginal agent. Therefore, we examined impacts of nicorandil on cardiac mortality in ischemic HF patients.

METHODS

Consecutive 334 HF patients with ischemic etiology were retrospectively registered and divided into 2 groups based on oral administration of nicorandil: nicorandil group (n = 116) and non-nicorandil group (n = 218). We retrospectively examined cardiac mortality.

RESULTS

In the Kaplan-Meier analysis (mean follow-up period 963 days), cardiac mortality was significantly lower in the nicorandil group than in the non-nicorandil group (11.2% vs. 19.7%, P = 0.032). In the Cox proportional hazard analysis, usage of nicorandil was a suppressor of cardiac mortality (hazard ratio 0.512, 95% confidence interval 0.275-0.953, P = 0.035), and this result was consistent in several subgroup analyses, such as left ventricular ejection fraction, percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass graft, diabetes, β-blockers, and statins.

CONCLUSION

Nicorandil is potentially effective for reducing mortality in patients with ischemic heart failure.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This was a retrospective study.

Role of Optimal Medication Given to Patients with Hypertension and Ischemic Heart Disease Prior to an Acute Coronary Syndrome

Introduction

Administering optimal cardiovascular medication (OCM) to patients with hypertension (HBP) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) lowers cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.

The main objective of this study was to compare in-hospital cardiac mortality among patients with HBP and/or IHD, treated or untreated with OCM, who developed a first episode of acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

Methods

The study was carried out retrospectively and included patients admitted with a first episode of ACS between 2013 and 2016. The patients were divided into three groups: those with HBP, IHD, and a history of HBP + IHD. Patients were then divided into two subgroups: subgroup A consisted of patients undergoing optimal anti-ischemic and/or antihypertensive therapy, while subgroup B consisted of patients without OCM.

Results

This analysis comprised 1096 patients. Mean age was 64.3 ± 18 years. There were 581 patients in subgroup A – 53%, and 515 patients in subgroup B – 47%. Total cardiac mortality was 9.98%, different depending on the groups and subgroups studied: HBP group total – 7%, subgroup A – 5.1%, significantly lower compared to subgroup B – 9.4% (p = 0.05); IHD group total – 12.2%, subgroup A – 9.07%, significantly lower compared to subgroup B – 15.8% (p = 0.05); HBP + IHD group total – 14.35%, subgroup A – 9.9%, significantly lower compared to subgroup B – 18.8% (p = 0.05).

Conclusions

The lack of OCM in patients with HBP and/or IHD is correlated to a significant increase in in-hospital cardiac mortality among patients who develop a first-episode ACS.

Trends in cardiac mortality in women with ductal carcinoma in situ

PURPOSE

In certain ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) subpopulations, there is no consensus regarding whether to postoperatively irradiate; decisions are often made based on potential risk of cardiac toxicities. Given the utility of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data for studying cardiac mortality in invasive disease, this is the first such study specific for DCIS patients, evaluating trends in cardiac mortality after left-sided radiotherapy (RT).

METHODS

The SEER database was queried for patients with DCIS that received RT and had known unilaterality. The central design of this study was to compare cardiac-specific mortality (CSM) between left- and right-sided DCIS patients as stratifying for "older" RT (1973-1982) versus more "modern" RT (1983-1992 or 1993-2002). Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier methodology and multivariate Cox regression modeling for factors associated with overall survival (OS) and CSS.

RESULTS

Left- and right-sided patients were demographically balanced. CSM was worse for left-sided patients with DCIS diagnosed in 1973-1982 [hazard ratio (HR) 1.295; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.182-1.420], but not in 1983-1992 (HR 1.022; 95% CI 0.949-1.100) or in 1993-2002 (HR 0.989; 95% CI 0.935-1.046)]. On multivariate analysis, laterality was not associated with OS in either decade. However, left-sided laterality was independently associated with CSM during the 1973-1982 time period, but not the more recent time periods. Examining temporal patterns in the 1973-1982 cohort, cardiac mortality was significantly increased during 10-19 and ≥20 years after diagnosis, but there was no significant increase in cardiac mortality for patients diagnosed up to 10 years after diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In the largest such DCIS series to date, left-sided RT was an independent risk factor for increased cardiac mortality from 1973 to 1982, but not after 1983. Using modern RT techniques and maintaining low heart doses, RT may not induce excess CSM in the DCIS population.

3D conformal radiotherapy is not associated with the long-term cardiac mortality in breast cancer patients: a retrospective cohort study in Germany (PASSOS-Heart Study)

PURPOSE

In breast cancer patients treated in the 1970s and 1980s, radiation therapy (RT) for left-sided tumors has been associated with an elevated risk of cardiac mortality. In recent years, improved RT techniques have reduced radiation exposure of the heart and major coronary vessels, but some exposure remains unavoidable. In a retrospective cohort study, we investigated the long-term cardiac mortality risk of breast cancer survivors treated with modern RT in Germany.

METHODS

A total of 11,982 women were included who were treated for breast cancer between 1998 and 2008. A systematic mortality follow-up was conducted until December 2012. The effect of breast cancer laterality on cardiac mortality and on overall mortality was investigated as a surrogate measure of exposure. Using Cox regression, we analyzed survival time as the primary outcome measure, taking potential confounding factors into account.

RESULTS

We found no evidence for an effect of tumor laterality on mortality in irradiated patients (N = 9058). For cardiac mortality, the hazard ratio was 0.94 (95% CI 0.64-1.38) for left-sided versus right-sided tumors. For all causes of death, the hazard ratio was 0.95 (95% CI 0.85-1.05). A diagnosis of cardiac illness prior to breast cancer treatment increased both cardiac mortality risk and overall mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Contemporary RT seems not to be associated with an increased risk of cardiac mortality or overall mortality for left-sided breast cancer relative to right-sided RT. However, an extended follow-up period and exact dosimetry might be necessary to confirm this observation.

The Relation Between Variability of Intact Parathyroid Hormone, Calcium, and Cardiac Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients

Chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder (CKD-BMD) is a condition known to be associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. The relation between calcium (Ca), phosphorus (P), and intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH) variability in HD patients and cardiac mortality is unknown. The purpose of this study was to assess the relation between variability in these parameters and cardiac mortality. Baseline demographic and biochemical parameters of 218 HD patients together with Ca values corrected with albumin and P values measured on a monthly basis and iPTH levels measured at 3-monthly intervals were recorded over 2 years. Standard deviation (SD) and smoothness index (SI) for each parameter were calculated to assess Ca, P, and iPTH variability. The relations between all parameters and cardiac mortality were then analyzed. Cardiac mortality was observed in 38 patients in the 2-year study period. Nonsurviving patients' ages, systolic and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (HsCRP) levels, mean iPTH, and SD iPTH were significantly higher than those of surviving patients, while albumin levels, SI iPTH and SI Ca were significantly lower. Age, low albumin, high DBP, SI iPTH, and SI Ca were identified as independent predictors of cardiac mortality at multivariate analysis. Our study shows that Ca and iPTH variability affect cardiac mortality independently of mean and baseline values. When supported by further studies, the relation between Ca and iPTH variability and cardiac mortality in HD patients can lead to a new perspective in terms of prognosis and treatment planning.

Diverse autonomic regulation of pupillary function and the cardiovascular system during alcohol withdrawal

BACKGROUND

Previous research indicated the complexity of autonomic dysfunction during acute alcohol withdrawal. This study aimed to investigate the pupillary light reflex as an indicator of midbrain and brainstem regulatory systems in relation to cardiovascular autonomic function.

METHODS

Thirty male patients were included in the study. They were investigated during acute alcohol withdrawal syndrome and 24h later during clomethiazole treatment and compared to healthy controls. Parameters of pupillary light reflex of both eyes as well as heart rate variability, blood pressure variability and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) were studied.

RESULTS

We observed significantly reduced sympathetic (small diameter, e.g., left eye: 5.00 in patients vs. 5.91 mm in controls) and vagal modulation (e.g., prolonged latencies, left eye: 0.28 vs. 0.26 ms) regarding both pupils during acute alcohol withdrawal syndrome. Cardiovascular parameters showed reduced vagal modulation (e.g., b-slope of BRS: 7. 57 vs. 13.59 ms/mm Hg) and mixed results for sympathetic influence. After 24h, autonomic dysfunction improved significantly, both for the pupils (e.g., left diameter: 5.38 mm) and the heart (e.g., b-slope of BRS: 9.34 ms/mm Hg). While parameters obtained from the pupil correlated with cardiac autonomic function (e.g, BRS and left diameter: r=0.564) in healthy controls, no such pattern was observed in patients.

CONCLUSION

Results obtained from the pupil during acute alcohol withdrawal do not simply mirror autonomic dysfunction regarding the heart. Pupillary and cardiovascular changes after 24h indicate state dependencies of the results. The findings are discussed with respect to autonomic mechanisms and potentially involved brain regions.

A comparative study on the risks of radiogenic second cancers and cardiac mortality in a set of pediatric medulloblastoma patients treated with photon or proton craniospinal irradiation

PURPOSE

To compare the risks of radiogenic second cancers and cardiac mortality in 17 pediatric medulloblastoma patients treated with passively scattered proton or field-in-field photon craniospinal irradiation (CSI).

MATERIAL/METHODS

Standard of care photon or proton CSI treatment plans were created for all 17 patients in a commercial treatment planning system (TPS) (Eclipse version 8.9; Varian Medical Systems, Palo Alto, CA) and prescription dose was 23.4 or 23.4 Gy (RBE) to the age specific target volume at 1.8 Gy/fraction. The therapeutic doses from proton and photon CSI plans were estimated from TPS. Stray radiation doses were determined from Monte Carlo simulations for proton CSI and from measurements and TPS for photon CSI. The Biological Effects of Ionization Radiation VII report and a linear model based on childhood cancer survivor data were used for risk predictions of second cancer and cardiac mortality, respectively.

RESULTS

The ratios of lifetime attributable risk (RLARs) (proton/photon) ranged from 0.10 to 0.22 for second cancer incidence and ranged from 0.20 to 0.53 for second cancer mortality, respectively. The ratio of relative risk (RRR) (proton/photon) of cardiac mortality ranged from 0.12 to 0.24. The RLARs of both cancer incidence and mortality decreased with patient's age at exposure (e), while the RRRs of cardiac mortality increased with e. Girls had a significantly higher RLAR of cancer mortality than boys.

CONCLUSION

Passively scattered proton CSI provides superior predicted outcomes by conferring lower predicted risks of second cancer and cardiac mortality than field-in-field photon CSI for all medulloblastoma patients in a large clinically representative sample in the United States, but the magnitude of superiority depends strongly on the patients' anatomical development status.

Relation of serum uric acid and body mass index to mortality in high-risk patients with established coronary artery disease: a report from the ET-CHD registry, 1997-2006

BACKGROUND

Hyperuricemia is associated with a higher risk of death in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). In contrast, overweight or obesity was associated with survival benefits in this population. However, the relation of body mass index (BMI) and serum uric acid (SUA) to mortality has not been clarified in this population.

METHODS

We studied a cohort of 1202 patients with angiographic CAD from the ET-CHD registry during 1997-2003 in Taiwan. To evaluate the relation of BMI and SUA on mortality, the subjects were categorized into 4 groups by BMI >/= 25 kg/m(2) (overweight or obesity) or BMI<25 kg/m(2) (normal- or under-weight), and SUA levels higher or lower than the median of 6.6 mg/dl. At a median follow-up of 5.4 years, cardiac and all-cause deaths were the primary end points.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses demonstrated that high SUA group had a significantly higher cardiac mortality [hazard ratio (HR): 1.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14-2.82, p=0.023] and overall mortality (HR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.19-2.36, p=0.003) than low SUA group only in overweight or obese patients. Additionally, high BMI was associated with a significantly lower cardiac mortality (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.38-0.99, p=0.023) and overall mortality (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.41-0.82, p=0.003) than low BMI in patients with low SUA levels. Furthermore, normal-low weight and underweight patients (BMI<21 kg/m(2)) were found to have a higher risk of mortality regardless of SUA levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with established CAD, SUA may be a potent predictor to mortality in overweight or obese patients. Moreover, the obesity-mortality paradox phenomenon was mainly driven by higher mortality risk in underweight patients and lower mortality risk in overweight and obese patients with low SUA.

Microvolt T-wave alternans for risk stratification of cardiac events in ischemic cardiomyopathy: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The ability of microvolt T-wave alternans (MTWA) for risk stratification of cardiac events in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) has not been well established.

METHODS

The authors systematically reviewed current literature and carried out a meta-analysis to determine the ability of MTWA to predict the outcome severity after ICM. Major endpoints include composite endpoint of cardiac mortality and severe arrhythmic events in primary prevention of patients with ICM, as well as all-cause mortality (cardiac death, and/or non-cardiac death).

RESULTS

Seven trials were included by using MTWA for risk stratification of cardiac events in 3385 patients with ICM. All patients were distributed into two groups according to the results of MTWA tests: non-negative group included positive and indeterminate, and negative group. Compared with the negative group, non-negative group showed increased rates of cardiac mortality or severe arrhythmic events (RR=1.65, 95%CrI=1.32, 2.071), sudden cardiac death (SCD) (RR=2.04 95%CrI=1.11, 3.75), and all-cause mortality (RR=2.11, 95%CrI=1.60, 2.79). The funnel plot revealed that there might be bias within current publications. The fail-safe number of composite endpoint and all-cause mortality was 14.42 and 18.93, respectively (when P=0.01). The fail-safe number of SCD was 1.07 (when P=0.05), which may be caused by the small case number of included studies and some patients with ICD included.

CONCLUSIONS

The non-negative group of MTWA had a nearly double risk of severe outcomes compared with the negative group. Therefore, MTWA represents a potential useful tool for judging the severity of ICM.