Survival of Colorectal Cancer Patients With Diabetes Mellitus: A Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an elevated risk of various cancers, including colorectal cancer (CRC). Similarly, pre-existing DM may also influence prognosis among patients with CRC. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the association between DM and risk of death and relapse after a diagnosis of CRC.

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library and Embase were searched from inception until July 2019 for studies reporting prognosis of patients with DM and CRC. The primary outcome of the study refers to overall mortality in patients with vs without diabetes. Secondary endpoints were cancer-specific mortality and progression or relapse-free survival. The risk of death and relapse are reported as hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI), and an HR >1 was associated with worst outcome in patients with diabetes compared to those without diabetes.

RESULTS

Mortality and relapse associated with DM in patients with CRC were evaluated among 5,267,980 participants (total of 82 studies). Overall, concomitant diagnosis of CRC and DM were associated with an independent increased risk of overall mortality (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.25; p<0.01) and CSM (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.17; p<0.01). Patients were also at increased risk of relapse (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.16; p<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

In CRC patients with DM, diabetes decreased survival and increased the risk of relapse. Adequate control of lifestyle choices, more intensive follow ups, use of some oral antidiabetics, dietary restrictions, physical activity and monitoring of diabetes-associated complications are measures for reducing mortality in this setting.

Risk factors for mortality in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Bolivia: An analysis of the first 107 confirmed cases

The present study is aimed to assess the risk factors for mortality in the first 107 rRT-PCR confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Bolivia. For this observational, retrospective and cross-sectional study, the epidemiological data records were collected from the Hospitals and the Ministry of Health of Bolivia, obtaining the clinical and epidemiological data of the COVID-19 cases that were laboratory-diagnosed during March 2-29, 2020. Samples were tested by rRT-PCR to SARS-CoV-2 at the Laboratory of the National Center of Tropical Diseases (CENETROP), following the protocol Charite, Berlin, Germany. The odds ratio (OR) with respective 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for mortality as dependent variable was calculated. When we comparatively analyzed survivors and non-survivors in this first group of 107 cases in Bolivia, we found that at bivariate analyses, age (±60 years old), hypertension, chronic heart failure, diabetes, and obesity, as well as the requirement of ICU, were significantly exposure variables associated with death. At the multivariate analysis (logistic regression), two variables remained significantly associated, age, ±60 years-old (OR=9.4, 95%CI 1.8-104.1) and hypertension (OR=3.3, 95%CI 1.3-6.3). As expected, age and comorbidities, particularly hypertension, were independent risk factors for mortality in Bolivia in the first 107 cases group. More further studies are required to better define risk factors and preventive measures related to COVID-19 in this and other Latin American countries.

Risk stratification in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure in Asian population

BACKGROUND

The AHEAD (A: atrial fibrillation; H: hemoglobin; E: elderly; A: abnormal renal parameters; D: diabetes mellitus) score may be suboptimal in predicting long-term mortality in Asian patients with acute heart failure (AHF). We aimed to propose and validate a risk score incorporating easily available echocardiographic parameters to improve risk stratification in Asian patients with AHF.

METHODS

A total of 3537 patients hospitalized for AHF were enrolled and divided into generation and validation cohorts. Independent predictors of all-cause mortality were identified by Cox regression analysis and scored by hazard ratios to constitute the model. Model performance was validated and evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

In the generation cohort of 1775 patients (74.3±13.0 years, 69.9% men), there were 870 deaths (49.0%) during a mean follow-up of 24.7±13.8 months. Age, anemia, estimated glomerular filtration rate <50 ml/min/1.73 m, hyperuricemia, left ventricular ejection fraction <50% and right ventricular systolic pressure (RVSP) >40 mmHg were independently related to mortality, which constituted "UR-HEARt" (U: uric acid, R: renal function, H: hemoglobin, E: ejection fraction of left ventricle, A: age, Rt: RVSP) score. Model performance was evaluated in the validation cohort (n = 1762), which outperformed AHEAD score by comparison of ROC curves in predicting all-cause mortality (area under curve [AUC] of UR-HEARt vs. AHEAD: 0.66 [95% CI 0.62-0.70] vs. 0.58 [95% CI 0.54-0.62]; p < 0.001), with NRI by 10.9% for all-cause mortality (p < 0.001) and 18.4% for cardiovascular death (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

UR-HEARt score, an easily accessible racial-specific risk score with integration of echocardiographic indices, improved risk stratification in Asian patients hospitalized for AHF.

Performance of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin Assays to Reflect Comorbidity Burden and Improve Mortality Risk Stratification in Older Adults With Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Incorporation of comorbidity burden to inform diabetes management in older adults remains challenging. High-sensitivity cardiac troponins are objective, quantifiable biomarkers that may improve risk monitoring in older adults. We assessed the associations of elevations in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and T (hs-cTnT) with comorbidities and improvements in mortality risk stratification.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used logistic regression to examine associations of comorbidities with elevations in either troponin (≥85th percentile) among 1,835 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study with diabetes (ages 67-89 years, 43% male, 31% black) at visit 5 (2011-2013). We used Cox models to compare associations of high cardiac troponins with mortality across comorbidity levels.

RESULTS

Elevations in either troponin (≥9.4 ng/L for hs-cTnI, ≥25 ng/L for hs-cTnT) were associated with prevalent coronary heart disease, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, pulmonary disease, hypoglycemia, hypertension, dementia, and frailty. Over a median follow-up of 6.2 years (418 deaths), both high hs-cTnI and high hs-cTnT further stratified mortality risk beyond comorbidity levels; those with a high hs-cTnI or hs-cTnT and high comorbidity were at highest mortality risk. Even among those with low comorbidity, a high hs-cTnI (hazard ratio 3.0 [95% CI 1.7, 5.4]) or hs-cTnT (hazard ratio 3.3 [95% CI 1.8, 6.2]) was associated with elevated mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Many comorbidities were reflected by both hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT; elevations in either of the troponins were associated with higher mortality risk beyond comorbidity burden. High-sensitivity cardiac troponins may identify older adults at high mortality risk and be useful in guiding clinical care of older adults with diabetes.

The Risk of Diabetes on Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

To determine the role of diabetes mellitus (DM) in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), we explored the clinical characteristics of patients with DM and compared risk factors such as age, glycemic control, and medications to those without DM.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of 117 confirmed patients with COVID-19 which conducted at a tertiary hospital in Daegu, South Korea. The primary outcome was defined as the severe and critical outcome (SCO), of which the composite outcomes of acute respiratory distress syndrome, septic shock, intensive care unit care, and 28-day mortality. We analyzed what clinical features and glycemic control-related factors affect the prognosis of COVID-19 in the DM group.

RESULTS

After exclusion, 110 participants were finally included. DM patients (n=29) was older, and showed higher blood pressure compared to non-DM patients. DM group showed higher levels of inflammation-related biomarkers and severity score, and highly progressed to SCO. After adjustment with other risk factors, DM increased the risk of SCO (odds ratio [OR], 10.771; P<0.001). Among the DM patients, SCO was more prevalent in elderly patients of ≥70 years old and age was an independent risk factor for SCO in patients with DM (OR, 1.175; P=0.014), while glycemic control was not. The use of medication did not affect the SCO, but the renin-angiotensin system inhibitors showed protective effects against acute cardiac injury (OR, 0.048; P=0.045).

CONCLUSION

The COVID-19 patients with DM had higher severity and resulted in SCO. Intensive and aggressive monitoring of COVID-19 clinical outcomes in DM group, especially in elderly patients is warranted.

Characteristics and outcome of spontaneous bacterial meningitis in patients with diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Studies on bacterial meningitis in diabetics patients versus non-diabetics are scarce. In patients with diabetes, bacterial meningitis may have a different presentation, etiology and course. We analyzed and compared the characteristics and outcome of spontaneous BM in adult patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

We performed a single-center, prospective observational cohort study, conducted between 1982 and 2017, in a tertiary university hospital in Barcelona (Spain). The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

We evaluated 715 episodes of bacterial meningitis; 106 patients (15%) had diabetes mellitus. Patients with diabetes were older (median 67 [IQR 17] vs 49 [IQR 40] years, p <  0.001) and more often had a Charlson comorbidity score of ≥3 (40% vs 15%, p <  0.001). Neck stiffness (56% vs 75%, p <  0.001), headache (41% vs 78%) p <  0.001), nausea and/or vomiting (32% vs 56% p < 0.001), and rash (12% vs 26%, p = 0.007) were less frequent in diabetics, whereas altered mental status was more common. Streptococcus pneumoniae and Listeria meningitis were the most common etiologic agents (24 and 18%, respectively). Listeria was more frequent (18% vs. 10%, p = 0.033), whereas meningococcal meningitis was less frequent (10% vs 32%, p < 0.001). Overall mortality was higher in patients with diabetes (26% vs 16%, p = 0.025) concerning non-diabetics.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with bacterial meningitis and diabetes mellitus are older, have more comorbidities, and higher mortality. S. pneumoniae and L. monocytogenes are the predominant pathogens, Listeria being more common, whereas Neisseria meningitidis is significantly less frequent than in non-diabetics.

Cardiovascular risk in mild to moderately decreased glomerular filtration rate, diabetes and coronary heart disease in a southern European region

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Individuals with mild to moderately decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR=30-59 mL/min/1.73 m²) are considered at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). No studies have compared this risk in eGFR=30-59, diabetes mellitus (DM), and coronary heart disease (CHD) in regions with a low incidence of CHD.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of 122 443 individuals aged 60-84 years from a region with a low CHD incidence with creatinine measured between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2011. We identified hospital admissions due to CHD (myocardial infarction, angina) or CVD (CHD, stroke, or transient ischemic attack) from electronic medical records up to December 31, 2013. We estimated incidence rates and Cox regression adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) including competing risks in patients with eGFR=30-59, DM and CHD, or combinations, compared with individuals without these diseases.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 38.3 [IQR, 33.8-42.7] months. Adjusted sHR for CHD in individuals with eGFR=30-59, DM, eGFR=30-59 plus DM, previous CHD, CHD plus DM, and CHD plus eGFR=30-59 plus DM, were 1.34 (95%CI, 1.04-1.74), 1.61 (95%CI, 1.36-1.90), 1.96 (95%CI, 1.42-2.70), 4.33 (95%CI, 3.58-5.25), 7.05 (5.80-8.58) and 7.72 (5.72-10.41), respectively. The corresponding sHR for CVD were 1.25 (95%CI, 1.06-1.46), 1.56 (95%CI, 1.41-1.74), 1.83 (95%CI, 1.50-2.23), 2.86 (95%CI, 2.48-3.29), 4.54 (95%CI, 3.93-5.24), and 5.33 (95%CI, 4.31-6.60).

CONCLUSIONS

In 60- to 84-year-olds with eGFR=30-59, similarly to DM, the likelihood of being admitted to hospital for CHD and CVD was about half that of individuals with established CHD. Thus, eGFR=30-59 does not appear to be a coronary-risk equivalent. Individuals with CHD and DM, or eGFR=30-59 plus DM, should be prioritized for more intensive risk management.

Levels of ankle-brachial index and the risk of diabetes mellitus complications

OBJECTIVE

We sought to compare the association of categorized ankle-brachial index (ABI) with mortality and complications of diabetes in persons with no symptoms of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and in primary cardiovascular disease prevention.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of persons with type 2 diabetes aged 35-85 years, from 2006 to 2011. Data were obtained from the Sistema d'Informació per al Desenvolupament de la Investigació en Atenció Primària (SIDIAP^Q). Participants had an ABI measurement that was classified into six categories. For each category of ABI, we assessed the incidence of mortality; macrovascular complications of diabetes: acute myocardial infarction (AMI), ischemic stroke, and a composite of these two; and microvascular complications of this metabolic condition: nephropathy, retinopathy, and neuropathy. We also estimated the HRs for these outcomes by ABI category using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Data from 34 689 persons with type 2 diabetes were included. The mean age was 66.2; 51.5% were men; and the median follow-up was 6.0 years. The outcome with the highest incidence was nephropathy, with 24.4 cases per 1000 person-years in the reference category of 1.1≤ABI≤1.3. The incidences in this category for mortality and AMI were 15.4 and 4.1, respectively. In the Cox models, low ABI was associated with increased risk and was significant from ABI lower than 0.9; below this level, the risk kept increasing steeply. High ABI (over 1.3) was also associated with significant increased risk for most outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The studied categories of ABI were associated with different risks of type 2 diabetes complications in persons asymptomatic for PAD, who were in primary cardiovascular prevention. These findings could be useful to optimize preventive interventions according to the ABI category in this population.

Clinical Characteristics of Diabetic Patients with COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Since December 2019, novel coronavirus- (SARS-CoV-2) infected pneumonia (COVID-19) has rapidly spread throughout China. This study is aimed at describing the characteristics of COVID-19 patients in Wuhan.

METHODS

199 COVID-19 patients were admitted to Wuhan Red Cross Hospital in China from January 24th to March 15th. The cases were divided into diabetic and nondiabetic groups according to the history of taking antidiabetic drugs or by plasma fasting blood glucose level at admission, and the difference between groups were compared.

RESULTS

Among 199 COVID-19 patients, 76 were diabetic and 123 were nondiabetic. Compared with nondiabetics, patients with diabetes had an older age, high levels of fasting plasma glucose (FPG), D-dimer, white blood cell, blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and total bilirubin (TBIL), lower levels of lymphocyte, albumin and oxygen saturation (SaO₂), and higher mortality (P < 0.05). The two groups showed no difference in clinical symptoms. Diabetes, higher level of D-dimer at admission, and lymphocyte count less than 0.6 × 10⁹/L at admission were associated with increasing odds of death. Antidiabetic drugs were associated with decreasing odds of death. Treatment with low molecular weight heparin was not related to odds of death.

CONCLUSION

The mortality rate of COVID-19 patients with diabetes was significantly higher than those without diabetes. Diabetes, higher level of D-dimer, and lymphocyte count less than 0.6 × 10⁹/L at admission were the risk factors associated with in-hospital death.

Reducing the Burden of Mortality in Older People With Diabetes: A Review of Current Research

This review considers the burden of mortality observed in the older population of people with diabetes and identifies the risk factors associated with mortality hazard in this population. The mortality gap between older people with and without diabetes is enduring, with excess mortality being 10% greater than in the general population. While early mortality in men with diabetes is significantly greater than females with diabetes, the relative mortality risk in females is much higher compared to women without diabetes. Older people who have developed diabetes in middle age have significantly higher mortality hazard compared to those who develop it in old age, emphasizing the continued importance of optimizing diabetes care in all ages. To minimize mortality hazard in older age it is important to address some of the factors that convey risk, these include: comorbidity; polypharmacy; physical and mental frailty; safe glycemic targets for older people; hypoglycemia; glycemic targets; and the hypoglycemic agents. While the data to determine optimal management approaches are limited, the overall need is for a more diligent approach in assessing the needs of older people with diabetes to inform individualized care strategies and therapy goals that minimize potential hazards.

Impaired Fasting Glucose and Diabetes Are Related to Higher Risks of Complications and Mortality Among Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019

Background: Diabetes correlates with poor prognosis in patients with COVID-19, but very few studies have evaluated whether impaired fasting glucose (IFG) is also a risk factor for the poor outcomes of patients with COVID-19. Here we aimed to examine the associations between IFG and diabetes at admission with risks of complications and mortality among patients with COVID-19. Methods: In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, we enrolled 312 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from 5 hospitals in Wuhan from Jan 1 to Mar 17, 2020. Clinical information, laboratory findings, complications, treatment regimens, and mortality status were collected. The associations between hyperglycemia and diabetes status at admission with primary composite end-point events (including mechanical ventilation, admission to intensive care unit, or death) were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: The median age of the patients was 57 years (interquartile range 38-66), and 172 (55%) were women. At the time of hospital admission, 84 (27%) had diabetes (and 36 were new-diagnosed), 62 (20%) had IFG, and 166 (53%) had normal fasting glucose (NFG) levels. Compared to patients with NFG, patients with IFG and diabetes developed more primary composite end-point events (9 [5%], 11 [18%], 26 [31%]), including receiving mechanical ventilation (5 [3%], 6 [10%], 21 [25%]), and death (4 [2%], 9 [15%], 20 [24%]). Multivariable Cox regression analyses showed diabetes was associated increased risks of primary composite end-point events (hazard ratio 3.53; 95% confidence interval 1.48-8.40) and mortality (6.25; 1.91-20.45), and IFG was associated with an increased risk of mortality (4.11; 1.15-14.74), after adjusting for age, sex, hospitals and comorbidities. Conclusion: IFG and diabetes at admission were associated with higher risks of adverse outcomes among patients with COVID-19.

Analysis of National Health and Insurance Registers for All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Heart Failure with and without Diabetes Mellitus in Poland in 2012

BACKGROUND This retrospective study aimed to analyze all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure with and without diabetes mellitus in 2012 in Poland using data from the National Health Fund [Narodowy Fundusz Zdrowia] (NFZ), the Central Register of the Insured [Centralna Baza Ubezpieczonych] (CBU), and the Polish Universal Electronic System for Registration of the Population (PESEL). MATERIAL AND METHODS Between 1st January 2012 and 31st December 2012, data were analyzed from the NFZ, CBU, and PESEL to include all patients with a primary diagnosis of heart failure, with and without diabetes mellitus and all-cause mortality data. Structured Query Language (SQL) was used to retrieve and manage data from NFZ, CBU, and PESEL. RESULTS In Poland, 32.58% of 201,586 patients with a primary diagnosis of heart failure who died in 2012 also had a diagnosis of diabetes mellitus. The overall mortality rate in men with heart failure and diabetes was eight times higher than for men with heart failure without diabetes. The overall mortality rate in women with diabetes and heart failure was 5.5 times higher compared with women with heart failure without diabetes. More than 90% of deaths in female patients with heart failure, with or without diabetes, occurred in women >60 years. For male patients with heart failure with or without diabetes, 70% of deaths occurred in men >60 years. CONCLUSIONS These findings support the need for continued prevention programs, early diagnosis, and treatment of diabetes, and highlight the increase in mortality for patients with heart failure and diabetes.

Changes in HbA1c during the first six years after the diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes mellitus predict long-term microvascular outcomes

To analyze the association between change in HbA_1c during the first 6 years after diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (Type 2 DM) and incident micro- and macrovascular morbidity and mortality during 13 years thereafter. This is an observational study of the participants in the intervention arm of the randomized controlled trial Diabetes Care in General Practice (DCGP) in Denmark. 494 newly diagnosed persons with Type 2 DM aged 40 years and over with three or more measurements of HbA_1c during six years of intervention were included in the analyses. Based on a regression line, fitted through the HbA_1c-measurements from 1 to 6 years after diabetes diagnosis, glycaemic control was characterized by the one-year level of HbA_1c after diagnosis, and the slope of the regression line. Outcomes were incident diabetes-related morbidity and mortality from 6 to 19 years after diabetes diagnosis. The association between change in HbA_1c (the slope of the regression line) and clinical outcomes were assessed in adjusted Cox regression models. The median HbA_1c level at year one was 60 (IQR: 52–71) mmol/mol or (7.65 (IQR: 6.91–8.62) %). Higher HbA_1c levels one year after diagnosis were associated with a higher risk of later diabetes-related morbidity and mortality. An increase in HbA_1c during the first 6 years after diabetes diagnosis was associated with later microvascular complications (HR per 1.1 mmol/mol or 0.1% point increase in HbA_1c per year; 95% CI) = 1.14; 1.05–1.24). Change in HbA_1c did not predict the aggregate outcome ‘any diabetes-related endpoint, all-cause mortality, diabetes-related mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral vascular diseases. We conclude that suboptimal development of glycaemic control during the first 6 years after diabetes diagnosis was an independent risk factor for microvascular complications during the succeeding 13-year follow-up, but not for mortality or macrovascular complications.

High mortality within 90 days of diagnosis in patients with Cushing's syndrome: results from the ERCUSYN registry

OBJECTIVE

Patients with Cushing's syndrome (CS) have increased mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the causes and time of death in a large cohort of patients with CS and to establish factors associated with increased mortality.

METHODS

In this cohort study, we analyzed 1564 patients included in the European Registry on CS (ERCUSYN); 1045 (67%) had pituitary-dependent CS, 385 (25%) adrenal-dependent CS, 89 (5%) had an ectopic source and 45 (3%) other causes. The median (IQR) overall follow-up time in ERCUSYN was 2.7 (1.2-5.5) years.

RESULTS

Forty-nine patients had died at the time of the analysis; 23 (47%) with pituitary-dependent CS, 6 (12%) with adrenal-dependent CS, 18 (37%) with ectopic CS and two (4%) with CS due to other causes. Of 42 patients whose cause of death was known, 15 (36%) died due to progression of the underlying disease, 13 (31%) due to infections, 7 (17%) due to cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease and 2 due to pulmonary embolism. The commonest cause of death in patients with pituitary-dependent CS and adrenal-dependent CS were infectious diseases (n = 8) and progression of the underlying tumor (n = 10) in patients with ectopic CS. Patients who had died were older and more often males, and had more frequently muscle weakness, diabetes mellitus and ectopic CS, compared to survivors. Of 49 deceased patients, 22 (45%) died within 90 days from start of treatment and 5 (10%) before any treatment was given. The commonest cause of deaths in these 27 patients were infections (n = 10; 37%). In a regression analysis, age, ectopic CS and active disease were independently associated with overall death before and within 90 days from the start of treatment.

CONCLUSION

Mortality rate was highest in patients with ectopic CS. Infectious diseases were the commonest cause of death soon after diagnosis, emphasizing the need for careful clinical vigilance at that time, especially in patients presenting with concomitant diabetes mellitus.

Renal hyperfiltration defined by high estimated glomerular filtration rate: A risk factor for cardiovascular disease and mortality

Renal hyperfiltration, defined as an increased glomerular filtration rate above normal values, is associated with early phases of kidney disease in the setting of various conditions such as obesity and diabetes. Although it is recognized that glomerular hyperfiltration, that is, increased filtration per nephron unit (usually studied at low glomerular filtration levels and often referred to as single nephron hyperfiltration), is a risk factor for the progression of chronic kidney disease, the implications of having renal hyperfiltration for cardiovascular disease and mortality risk are incompletely understood. Recent evidence from diverse populations, including healthy individuals and patients with diabetes or established cardiovascular disease, suggests that renal hyperfiltration is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. In this review, we critically summarize the existing studies, discuss possible mechanisms, and describe the remaining gaps in our knowledge regarding the association of renal hyperfiltration with cardiovascular disease and mortality risk.

The effect of hypoglycaemia during hospital admission on health-related outcomes for people with diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

To assess the health-related outcomes of hypoglycaemia for people with diabetes admitted to hospital; specifically, hospital length of stay and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies relating to hypoglycaemia (< 4 mmol/l) for hospitalized adults (≥ 16 years) with diabetes reporting the primary outcomes of interest, hospital length of stay or mortality. Final papers for inclusion were reviewed in duplicate and the adjusted results of each were pooled, using a random effects model then undergoing further prespecified subgroup analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 15 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled mean difference in length of stay for ward-based inpatients exposed to hypoglycaemia was 4.1 days longer [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.36 to 5.79; I² = 99%] compared with those without hypoglycaemia. This association remained robust across the pre-specified subgroup analyses. The pooled relative risk (RR) of in-hospital mortality was greater for those exposed to hypoglycaemia (RR 2.09, 95% CI 1.64 to 2.67; I² = 94%, n = 7 studies) but not in intensive care unit mortality (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.49 to 1.16; I² =0%, n = 2 studies).

CONCLUSION

There is an association between inpatient hypoglycaemia and longer length of stay and greater in-hospital mortality. Studies examining this association were heterogenous in terms of both clinical populations and effect size, but the overall direction of the association was consistent. Therefore, glucose concentration should be considered a potential tool to aid the identification of inpatients at risk of poor health-related outcomes.

Comorbidities and Survival in Patients With Lipodystrophy: An International Chart Review Study

CONTEXT

Limited natural history data are available in patients with non-HIV-related lipodystrophy syndromes who never received disease-specific therapies, making interpretation of benefits of therapies in lipodystrophy syndromes challenging.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the natural history of non-HIV-related generalized lipodystrophy (GL) and partial lipodystrophy (PL) in patients who have never received leptin or other lipodystrophy-specific therapies.

DESIGN/SETTING/PATIENTS

We conducted an international chart review of 230 patients with confirmed GL or PL at five treatment centers who never received leptin or other lipodystrophy-specific therapies. Patients were observed from birth to loss to follow-up, death, or date of chart abstraction.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Lifetime prevalence of diabetes/insulin resistance and select organ abnormalities, time to diabetes/insulin resistance, first organ abnormality, disease progression, and mortality were described.

RESULTS

Diabetes/insulin resistance was identified in 58.3% of patients. Liver abnormalities were the most common organ abnormality (71.7%), followed by kidney (40.4%), heart (30.4%), and pancreatitis (13.0%). Kaplan-Meier estimates of mean (SE) time to first organ abnormality were 7.7 years (0.9) in GL and 16.1 years (1.5) in PL (P < 0.001). Mean time to diabetes/insulin resistance was 12.7 years (1.2) in GL and 19.1 years (1.7) in PL (P = 0.131). Mean time to disease progression was 7.6 years (0.8) and comparable between GL and PL subgroups (P = 0.393). Mean time to death was 51.2 years (3.5) in GL and 66.6 years (1.0) in PL (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This large-scale study provides comprehensive, long-term data across multiple countries on the natural history of non-HIV-related lipodystrophy.

Canagliflozin and Stroke in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Background and Purpose- This study reports the detailed effects of canagliflozin on stroke, stroke subtypes, and vascular outcomes in participants with and without cerebrovascular disease (stroke or transient ischemic attack) at baseline from the CANVAS (Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study) Program. Methods- The CANVAS Program, comprising 2 similarly designed and conducted clinical trials, randomly assigned 10 142 participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus and high cardiovascular risk to canagliflozin or placebo. Its primary outcome was a composite of major adverse cardiovascular events. The main outcome of interest for this report was fatal or nonfatal stroke. Additional exploratory outcomes were stroke subtypes and other vascular outcomes defined according to standard criteria. Results- There were 1 958 (19%) participants with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack at baseline. These individuals were older, more frequently women, and had higher rates of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and microvascular disease (all P<0.001) compared with those without such a history. There were 309 participants with stroke events during follow-up (123 had prior stroke or transient ischemic attack at baseline and 186 did not), at a rate of 7.93/1000 patient-years among those assigned canagliflozin and 9.62/1000 patient-years among placebo (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.69-1.09). Analysis of stroke subtypes found no effect on ischemic stroke (n=253, hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.74-1.22), a significant reduction for hemorrhagic stroke (n=30, hazard ratio, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.20-0.89) and no effect on undetermined stroke (n=29, hazard ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.48-2.22). Effects on other cardiovascular outcomes were comparable among participants with and without stroke or transient ischemic attack at baseline. Conclusions- There were too few events in the CANVAS Program to separately define the effects of canagliflozin on stroke, but benefit is more likely than harm. The observed possible protective effect for hemorrhagic stroke was based on small numbers but warrants further investigation. Clinical Trial Registration- URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifiers: NCT01032629 and NCT01989754.

Serum uric acid as a risk factor of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events among type 2 diabetes population: Meta-analysis of correlational evidence

AIMS

To explore the association between serum uric acid (SUA) level and the risk of cardiovascular complications and all-cause mortality rates among individuals with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Web of Science and PubMed database were searched for studies reported associations between SUA level and cardiovascular complications and all-cause mortality among individuals with type 2 diabetes. Hazard ratios (HRs) were independently extracted by two investigators and synthesized through meta-analysis across selected studies.

RESULTS

6 (n = 11,750 patients), 4 (n = 3044 patients) and 2 studies (n = 7792 patients) were identified reporting associations between SUA level and all-cause mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke respectively. HR for all-cause mortality, CHD, and stroke per 59 μmol/l increase was 1.06 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.09), 1.09 (95% CI: 0.94, 1.26) and 1.19 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.31), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the SUA level was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and stroke. We found no significant association between SUA level and CHD among type 2 diabetes population.

The effects of hypoglycaemia and dementia on cardiovascular events, falls and fractures and all-cause mortality in older individuals: A retrospective cohort study

AIMS

Older individuals with diabetes are susceptible to harm as the result of hypoglycaemia; however, the consequences of hypoglycaemia in older individuals with dementia are not known. We aimed to test the association between hypoglycaemia and serious adverse events in older patients with diabetes and dementia, and whether the consequences of hypoglycaemia were affected by the presence of dementia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a cohort study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England (1997-2016). We selected participants, intervention (exposure) and follow-up to mirror two hypothetical target randomized controlled trials. The exposure of target trial 1 was hypoglycaemia in patients with dementia. Target trial 2 examined adverse effects of hypoglycaemia according to dementia status. We used Cox proportional hazard regression to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for falls, fractures, cardiovascular events and mortality.

RESULTS

In target trial 1, hypoglycaemia was associated with increased risk during a 12-month follow-up period for falls and fractures (aHR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.67-2.24]), for cardiovascular events (aHR, 2.00 [95% CI, 1.61-2.48]) and for mortality (aHR, 2.36 [95% CI, 2.09-2.67]). In target trial 2, the presence of dementia was associated with increased risk of adverse events, following hypoglycaemia, during a 12-month follow-up period for falls and factures (aHR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.51-1.96]) and for mortality (aHR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.15-1.41]), but dementia had no effect on cardiovascular events (aHR, 1.14 [95% CI, 0.95 to 1.36]).

CONCLUSIONS

Hypoglycaemia is associated with early increased risk of serious adverse events in older individuals with diabetes and dementia.

Prediction model for cardiovascular events or all-cause mortality in incident dialysis patients

Some variables including age, comorbidity of diabetes, and so on at dialysis initiation are associated with patient prognosis. Cardiovascular (CV) events are a major cause of death, and adequate models that predict prognosis in dialysis patients are warranted. Therefore, we created models using some variables at dialysis initiation. We used a database of 1,520 consecutive dialysis patients (median age, 70 years; 492 women [32.4%]) from a multicenter prospective cohort study. We established the primary endpoint as a composite of the incidence of first CV events or all-cause death. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to construct a model. We considered a complex and a simple model. We used area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) to assess and compare the predictive performances of the prediction models and evaluated the improvement in discrimination using the complex model versus the simple model using net reclassification improvement (NRI). We then assessed integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) to evaluate improvements in average sensitivity and specificity. Of 392 deaths, 152 were CV-related. Totally, 506 CV events occurred during the follow-up period (median 1,285 days). Finally, 692 patients reached the primary endpoint. Baseline data were set at dialysis initiation. AUROC for the primary endpoint was 0.737 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.712–0.761) in the simple model and 0.765 (95% CI, 0.741–0.788) in the complex model. There were significant intergroup differences in NRI (0.44; 95% CI, 0.34–0.53; p < 0.001) and IDI (0.02; 95% CI, 0.02–0.03; p < 0.001). We prepared a Shiny R application for each model to automatically calculate the predicted occurrence probability (https://statacademy.shinyapps.io/App_inaguma_20190717/). The complex model made more accurate predictions than the simple model. However, the intergroup difference was not significant. Hence, the simple model was more useful than the complex model. The tool was useful in a real-world clinical setting because it required only routinely available variables. Moreover, we emphasized that the tool could predict the incidence of CV events or all-cause mortality for individual patients. In the future, we must confirm its external validity in other prospective cohorts.

Coronary risk equivalence of diabetes assessed by SPECT-MPI

BACKGROUND

Several publications and guidelines designate diabetes mellitus (DM) as a coronary artery disease (CAD) risk equivalent. The aim of this investigation was to examine DM cardiac risk equivalence from the perspective of stress SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We examined cardiovascular outcomes (cardiac death or nonfatal MI) of 17,499 patients referred for stress SPECT-MPI. Patients were stratified into four categories: non-DM without CAD, non-DM with CAD, DM without CAD, and DM with CAD, and normal or abnormal perfusion. Cardiac events occurred in 872 (5%), with event-free survival best among non-DM without CAD, worst in DM with CAD, and intermediate in DM without CAD, and non-DM with CAD. After multivariate adjustment, risk remained comparable between DM without CAD and non-DM with CAD [AHR 1.0 (95% CI 0.84-1.28), P =0.74]. Annualized event rates for normal subjects were 1.4% and 1.6% for non-DM with CAD and DM without CAD, respectively (P = 0.48) and 3.5% (P = 0.95) for both abnormal groups. After multivariate adjustment, outcomes were comparable within normal [AHR 1.4 (95% CI 0.98-1.96) P = 0.06] and abnormal [AHR 1.1 (95% CI 0.83-1.50) P = 0.49] MPI.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetic patients without CAD have comparable risk of cardiovascular events as non-diabetic patients with CAD after stratification by MPI results. These findings support diabetes as a CAD equivalent and suggest that MPI provides additional prognostic information in such patients.

Estimating the real burden of cardiovascular mortality in diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To compare different methods assessing the burden of cardiovascular mortality in diabetes mellitus, which is usually underestimated by standard mortality statistics based on the underlying cause of death.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All residents in the Veneto Region (Italy) aged 30-89 years with co-payment exemption for diabetes in January 2010 (n=185,341) were identified and linked with mortality records (2010-2015). The underlying causes of death, as well as all the diseases mentioned in the death certificate (multiple causes), were extracted. The standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were computed with regional rates as a reference.

RESULTS

After grouping diabetes and circulatory diseases as the underlying cause of death, the mortality rates were highly increased, especially among patients aged 30-54 years: SMR 4.24 (95% confidence interval 3.57-5.00) and 9.84 (7.47-12.72) in males and females, respectively. After re-assignment of the underlying cause in deaths from diabetes, the percentage of overall mortality caused by circulatory diseases increased from 33.8% to 41.7%. Based on multiple causes, the risk of death was increased for several cardiovascular diseases, including causes rarely emerging from standard mortality statistics such as atrial fibrillation/flutter.

CONCLUSIONS

The re-assignment of the underlying cause and the analyses of the multiple causes of death allowed to estimate the whole burden of mortality associated with cardiovascular diseases.

Moderate weight change following diabetes diagnosis and 10 year incidence of cardiovascular disease and mortality

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Adults with type 2 diabetes are at high risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD). Evidence of the impact of weight loss on incidence of CVD events among adults with diabetes is sparse and conflicting. We assessed weight change in the year following diabetes diagnosis and estimated associations with 10 year incidence of CVD events and all-cause mortality.

METHODS

In a cohort analysis among 725 adults with screen-detected diabetes enrolled in the Anglo-Danish-Dutch Study of Intensive Treatment in People with Screen-Detected Diabetes in Primary Care (ADDITION)-Cambridge trial, we estimated HRs for weight change in the year following diabetes diagnosis and 10 year incidence of CVD (n = 99) and all-cause mortality (n = 95) using Cox proportional hazards regression. We used linear regression to estimate associations between weight loss and CVD risk factors. Models were adjusted for age, sex, baseline BMI, smoking, occupational socioeconomic status, cardio-protective medication use and treatment group.

RESULTS

Loss of ≥5% body weight in the year following diabetes diagnosis was associated with improvements in HbA_1c and blood lipids and a lower hazard of CVD at 10 years compared with maintaining weight (HR 0.52 [95% CI 0.32, 0.86]). The associations between weight gain vs weight maintenance and CVD (HR 0.41 [95% CI 0.15, 1.11]) and mortality (HR 1.63 [95% CI 0.83, 3.19]) were less clear.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Among adults with screen-detected diabetes, loss of ≥5% body weight during the year after diagnosis was associated with a lower hazard of CVD events compared with maintaining weight. These results support the hypothesis that moderate weight loss may yield substantial long-term CVD reduction, and may be an achievable target outside of specialist-led behavioural treatment programmes.

Ethnicity and Type 2 diabetes in the UK

Type 2 diabetes is a major UK public health priority. Among minority ethnic communities, the prevalence is alarmingly high, approximately three to five times higher than in the white British population. Particularly striking is the earlier onset of Type 2 diabetes, which occurs some 10-12 years younger, with a significant proportion of cases being diagnosed before the age of 40 years. This review focuses on the UK context and Type 2 diabetes in adult populations, exploring the available evidence regarding the complex interplay of biological, lifestyle, social, clinical and healthcare system factors that are known to drive these disparities.

Diabetes and kidney cancer survival in patients undergoing nephrectomy: A Canadian multi-center, propensity score analysis

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes has been associated with worse survival outcomes in various malignancies; however, there are conflicting data in kidney cancer. Determining whether diabetes is associated with survival in kidney cancer may help guide treatment in a comorbid patient population.

METHODS

We used the Canadian Kidney Cancer information system database to identify patients undergoing partial or radical nephrectomy between 1989 and 2017 for localized renal cell carcinoma at 16 institutions across Canada. We derived inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW) from a propensity score model based on various clinical, surgical, and pathological characteristics. We used Cox proportional hazard models to evaluate the association between diabetes and cancer-specific and overall survival, in the sample weighted by the IPTW.

RESULTS

4828 patients met inclusion criteria, of whom 948 (19.6%) were diabetic. Median follow-up in those without death was 26.6 months (interquartile range 9.7-53.8). Among the entire cohort, 901 deaths were from any cause, and 299 deaths from kidney cancer. Before propensity score methods, diabetics were older, more likely to have comorbidities and clear cell histopathology. After propensity score adjustment, all characteristics were balanced between groups (standardized difference <0.10). IPTW-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models demonstrated no significant association between diabetes and cancer-specific (hazard ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval 0.78-1.62), or overall survival (hazard ratio 1.14, 95% confidence interval 0.94-1.38).

CONCLUSIONS

Our multi-centre study found that diabetes and nondiabetics have similar survival following nephrectomy for kidney cancer.

Dementia complicating type 2 diabetes and the influence of premature mortality: the Fremantle Diabetes Study

AIMS

To investigate risk factors for, and the influence of premature mortality on, dementia complicating type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Participants with type 2 diabetes in the community-based observational Fremantle Diabetes Study Phase 1 (n = 1291, mean age 64.0 years) were followed from 1993 to 1996 to end-June 2012. Incident dementia was identified from validated health databases. Dementia risk was assessed using Cox proportional hazards modelling supplemented by competing risk regression modelling in the total cohort and sub-groups defined by age of diabetes onset as mid-life (< 65 years) or late-life (≥ 65 years).

RESULTS

During mean ± SD follow-up of 12.7 ± 5.9 years, 717 participants (55.5%) died and 180 (13.9%) developed dementia. Overall, few risk factors predicted incident dementia and most predicted time to death. In mid-life diabetes, incident dementia was predicted by diabetes duration, cerebrovascular disease, schizophrenia, antipsychotic medication and the APOE ε4 allele. In late-life diabetes, risk factors were peripheral neuropathy, lack of exercise, lower fasting serum glucose, no antihypertensive therapy and the APOE ε4 allele. Competing risk analysis showed age to be a positive predictor compared with the inverse association in Cox models that suggested survivor bias in an older community-based cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Dementia in type 2 diabetes is multifactorial. An association with diabetes duration, independent of most possible confounders, suggests that one or more unmeasured processes specific to diabetes may be implicated in the pathogenesis. The risk factors for dementia were also associated with an increased risk of death. This suggests that recently reported improvements in mortality in type 2 diabetes may be accompanied by reductions in dementia incidence.

Diabetes-related symptoms, acute complications and management of diabetes mellitus of patients who are receiving palliative care: a protocol for a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Worldwide, an estimated 40 million people are in need of palliative care each year, but only 14% receive it. The incidence of diabetes mellitus (DM) in patients receiving palliative care is higher than in the general population. This association is intended to grow as a result of the rising burden of DM worldwide, ageing populations and the improved overall survival time of several diseases over the last few decades. Recommendations for DM management in the context of palliative care are mainly based on expert opinion as there is a lack of suitable evidence base and randomised clinical trials in palliative care are scarce. The aim of our systematic review is to identify the best DM management practices in order to reduce important DM-related symptoms and acute complications in patients receiving palliative care.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The authors will study the DM treatment and management literature, surveying the different approaches employed to treat adult palliative patients. Core health bibliographic databases will be searched from January 1990 to May 2019. Data sources will include Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, Web of Sciences, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Scopus, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature and grey literature. Details regarding diet, oral and injectable glucose-lowering medicines, insulin regimens and blood glucose monitoring strategies will be evaluated. We defined the primary outcomes to compare between DM management approaches as the presence of symptoms (polyuria, polydipsia and polyphagia) and acute complications of DM (hypoglycaemia, hyperglycaemic hyperosmolar state and diabetic ketoacidosis), and secondary outcomes as hospital admissions and deaths due to DM-related complications, health-related quality of life and glycaemic control.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The systematic review methodology does not require ethics approval due to the nature of the study design. The results of the systematic review will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and will be publicly available.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018115772.

Diabetes Mellitus and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

To investigate whether diabetes contributes to mortality for major types of diseases.

METHODS

Six National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data cycles (1999 to 2000, 2001 to 2002, 2003 to 2004, 2005 to 2006, 2007 to 2008, and 2009 to 2010) and their linked mortality files were used. A population of 15,513 participants was included according to the availability of diabetes and mortality status.

RESULTS

Participants with diabetes tended to have higher all-cause mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic lower respiratory diseases, cerebrovascular disease, influenza and pneumonia, and kidney disease. Confounder-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models showed that both diagnosed diabetes category (yes or no) and diabetes status (diabetes, prediabetes, or no diabetes) were associated with all-cause mortality and with mortality due to cardiovascular disease, chronic lower respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia, and kidney disease. No associations were found for cancer-, accidents-, or Alzheimer's disease-related mortality.

CONCLUSION

The current study's findings provide epidemiological evidence that diagnosed diabetes at the baseline is associated with increased mortality risk due to cardiovascular disease, chronic lower respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia, and kidney disease, but not with cancer or Alzheimer's disease.

Gas in the kidney in asymptomatic Escherichia coli urinary tract infections in a patient with severe vesicoureteral reflex

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a common disease in Oman as in rest of Gulf Cooperation Council where metabolic syndrome is of high prevalence. DM is a foremost risk factor for urinary tract infections (UTIs). It is also linked to more complicated infections such as emphysematous pyelonephritis (EPN), emphysematous pyelitis (EP), renal/perirenal abscess, emphysematous cystitis, xanthogranulomatous pyelonephritis, and renal papillary necrosis. The diagnosis of these cases is frequently delayed because the clinical manifestations are generic and not different from the typical triad of upper UTI, which include fever, flank pain, and pyuria. A middle-aged female with DM and chronic kidney disease stage IV was admitted with recurrent UTI with extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli. At presentation, she was afebrile, clinically stable, had no flank pain and there was no leukocytosis. Laboratory test for C- reactive protein done twice and was only mildly elevated at 7 and 11 mg/dL. A computed tomography scan of kidney-ureter-bladder (CT-KUB) was recommended and reported as "no KUB stone but small atrophic left kidney with dilatation of the pelvicalycial system and ureter and the presence of air in the collecting system suggestive of EP." Thus, commonly associated with DM, especially in females, debilitated immune-deficient individuals, and patients harboring obstructed urinary system with infective nidus. Air in the kidney is not always due to EPN. UTI with a gas-producing organism can ascend to the kidney in the presence of vesicoureteral reflux.

Exploring the association between BMI and mortality in Australian women and men with and without diabetes: the AusDiab study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

There is conflicting evidence about the obesity paradox-the counterintuitive survival advantage of obesity among certain subpopulations of individuals with chronic conditions. It is believed that results supporting the obesity paradox are due to methodological flaws, such as collider bias. The aim of this study was to examine the association between obesity and mortality in Australian men and women. In addition, we explored whether obesity would appear to be protective if the analysis was restricted to a subpopulation with disease, and to discuss the potential role of collider bias in producing such a result.

METHODS

The examined cohort included 10,575 Australian adults (4844 men and 5731 women) aged 25-91 years who were recruited for the AusDiab baseline survey in 1999 and followed-up through 2014. The main predictor variable was BMI categorised as normal weight (18.5 to <25 kg/m²), overweight (25 to <30 kg/m²) and obese (≥30 kg/m²), and the outcome of interest was all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios were estimated from Cox proportional hazards regression models in the entire cohort and then in subpopulations with and without diabetes.

RESULTS

A total of 1477 deaths occurred during 145,384 person-years (median 14.6 years) of follow-up. Mortality was higher in obese than in normal-weight individuals for the full population (HR 1.18; 95% CI 1.05, 1.32). When an interaction between diabetes status and BMI category was added to the model, there was no evidence of an interaction between BMI and diabetes status (p = 0.92). When participants with and without diabetes were analysed separately, there was no evidence of an association between obesity and mortality in those with diabetes (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.62, 1.33).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

In the entire AusDiab cohort, we found a significantly higher mortality among obese participants as compared with their normal-weight counterparts. We found no difference in the obesity-mortality association between individuals with and without diabetes.

The effect of diabetes on the risk and mortality of acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The role of pre-existing diabetes in acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome (ALI/ARDS) is still controversial. This systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies aimed to evaluate the effect of diabetes on the risk and mortality of ALI/ARDS.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed in PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trails and Web of Science for their inception to September 2018. Summary risk estimates were calculated with a DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model. Heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochran chi-square test and the I statistic.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 14 studies with a total of 6613 ALI/ARDS cases were included. The risk of ALI/ARDS was not significantly reduced in diabetes patients (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.57-1.18, P = .283), with obvious heterogeneity across studies (I = 72.5%, P < .001). Further analyses in the meta-analysis also showed no statistically significant associations between pre-existing diabetes and in-hospital mortality (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.51-1.21, P = .282) or 60-day mortality of ALI/ARDS (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.75-1.11, P = .352).

CONCLUSION

This systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies indicates that pre-existing diabetes have no effect on the risk and mortality of ALI/ARDS.

The Combined Effect of Cancer and Cardiometabolic Conditions on the Mortality Burden in Older Adults

BACKGROUND

The number of older people living with cancer and cardiometabolic conditions is increasing, but little is known about how specific combinations of these conditions impact mortality.

METHODS

A total of 22,692 participants aged 65 years and older from four international cohorts were followed-up for mortality for an average of 10 years (8,596 deaths). Data were harmonized across cohorts and mutually exclusive groups of disease combinations were created for cancer, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and diabetes at baseline. Cox proportional hazards models for all-cause mortality were used to estimate the age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio and rate advancement period (RAP) (in years).

RESULTS

At baseline, 23.6% (n = 5,116) of participants reported having one condition and 4.2% (n = 955) had two or more conditions. Data from all studies combined showed that the RAP increased with each additional condition. Diabetes advanced the rate of dying by the most years (5.26 years; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.53-6.00), but the effect of any single condition was smaller than the effect of disease combinations. Some combinations had a significantly greater impact on the period by which the rate of death was advanced than others with the same number of conditions, for example, 10.9 years (95% CI, 9.4-12.6) for MI and diabetes versus 6.4 years (95% CI, 4.3-8.5) for cancer and diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Combinations of cancer and cardiometabolic conditions accelerate mortality rates in older adults differently. Although most studies investigating mortality associated with multimorbidity used disease counts, these provide little guidance for managing complex patients as they age.

Performance of the adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index translated to ICD-10

OBJECTIVES

To assess the performance of the adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index (aDCSI) translated to International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) in predicting hospitalizations, mortality, and healthcare-associated costs.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective closed cohort study based on secondary data analysis.

METHODS

We translated the aDCSI to ICD-10 and calculated aDCSI scores based on health insurance claims data. To assess predictive performance, we used multivariate regression models to calculate risk ratios (RRs) of hospitalizations and mortality and linear predictors of cost.

RESULTS

We analyzed a sample of 157,115 patients with diabetes mellitus. RRs of hospitalizations (total and cause specific) rose with increasing aDCSI scores. Predicting total hospitalizations over a 4-year period, unadjusted RRs were 1.22 for an aDCSI score of 1 (compared with a score of 0), 1.55 for a score of 2, 1.77 for a score of 3, 2.11 for a score of 4, and 2.72 for scores of 5 and higher. Cause-specific hospitalizations and mortality showed similar results. Costs clearly increased in each successive score category.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supports the validity of the aDCSI as a severity measure for complications of diabetes, as it correlates to and predicts total and cause-specific hospitalizations, mortality, and costs. The aDCSI's performance in ICD-10-coded data is comparable with that in International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision-coded data.

Methylglyoxal, a potent inducer of AGEs, connects between diabetes and cancer

Diabetes is one of the most frequent diseases throughout the world and its incidence is predicted to exponentially progress in the future. This metabolic disorder is associated with major complications such as neuropathy, retinopathy, atherosclerosis, and diabetic nephropathy, the severity of which correlates with hyperglycemia, suggesting that they are triggered by high glucose condition. Reducing sugars and reactive carbonyl species such as methylglyoxal (MGO) lead to glycation of proteins, lipids and DNA and the gradual accumulation of advanced glycation end products (AGEs) in cells and tissues. While AGEs are clearly implicated in the pathogenesis of diabetes complications, their potential involvement during malignant tumor development, progression and resistance to therapy is an emerging concept. Meta-analysis studies established that patients with diabetes are at higher risk of developing cancer and show a higher mortality rate than cancer patients free of diabetes. In this review, we highlight the potential connection between hyperglycemia-associated AGEs formation on the one hand and the recent evidence of pro-tumoral effects of MGO stress on the other hand. We also discuss the marked interest in anti-glycation compounds in view of their strategic use to treat diabetic complications but also to protect against augmented cancer risk in patients with diabetes.

Mortality risk in adults according to categories of impaired glucose metabolism after 18 years of follow-up in the North of Spain: The Asturias Study

People who develop type 2 diabetes (T2D) are known to have a higher mortality risk. We estimated all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality-risks in our patient cohort according to categories of impaired glucose metabolism. This 18-year retrospective analysis included a region-wide, representative sample of a population aged 30-75 years. Age- and sex-stratified hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for 48 participants with diagnosed T2D, 83 with undiagnosed T2D (HbA1c ≥6.5%, fasting glycemia ≥126 mg/dL, or glycemia after 75 g glucose load ≥200 mg/dL); 296 with prediabetes (HbA1c 5.7%-6.4%, fasting glycemia 100-125 mg/dL, or glycemia after 75 g glucose load 140-199 mg/dL), and 607 with normoglycemia. Over 18,612 person-years, 32 individuals with undiagnosed T2D, 30 with diagnosed T2D, 62 with prediabetes, and 80 with normoglycemia died. Total sample crude mortality rate (MR) was 10.96 deaths per 1,000 person-years of follow-up. MR of the diagnosed T2D group was more than 3-times higher and that of newly diagnosed T2D was 2-times higher (34.72 and 21.42, respectively) than total sample MR. Adjusted HR for all-cause mortality was 2.02 (95% confidence interval 1.29-3.16) and 1.57 (95% CI 1.00-2.28) in the diagnosed T2D group and the newly diagnosed T2D group, respectively. Adjusted HR for cardiovascular mortality in the T2D group was 2.79 (95% CI 1.35-5.75); this risk was greatly increased in women with T2D: 6.72 (95% CI 2.50-18.07). In Asturias, age- and sex-standardized all-cause mortality is more than 2-times higher for adults with T2D than for adults without T2D. The HR for cardiovascular mortality is considerably higher in T2D women than in normoglycemic women.

Development and validation of a risk score to predict mortality during TB treatment in patients with TB-diabetes comorbidity

BACKGROUND

Making an accurate prognosis for mortality during tuberculosis (TB) treatment in TB-diabetes (TB-DM) comorbid patients remains a challenge for health professionals, especially in low TB prevalent populations, due to the lack of a standardized prognostic model.

METHODS

Using de-identified data from TB-DM patients from Texas, who received TB treatment had a treatment outcome of completed treatment or died before completion, reported to the National TB Surveillance System from January 2010-December 2016, we developed and internally validated a mortality scoring system, based on the regression coefficients.

RESULTS

Of 1227 included TB-DM patients, 112 (9.1%) died during treatment. The score used nine characteristics routinely collected by most TB programs. Patients were divided into three groups based on their score: low-risk (< 12 points), medium-risk (12-21 points) and high-risk (≥22 points). The model had good performance (with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.83 in development and 0.82 in validation), and good calibration. A practical mobile calculator app was also created ( https://oaa.app.link/Isqia5rN6K ).

CONCLUSION

Using demographic and clinical characteristics which are available from most TB programs at the patient's initial visits, our simple scoring system had good performance and may be a practical clinical tool for TB health professionals in identifying TB-DM comorbid patients with a high mortality risk.

The impact of glycemic variability on length of stay and mortality in diabetic patients admitted with community-acquired pneumonia or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

AIM

To investigate the influence of glycemic variability (GV) on length of stay and in-hospital mortality in non-critical diabetic patients.

METHODS

A observation retrospective study was performed. Diabetic patients admitted between January and June 2016 with the diagnosis of community-acquire pneumonia (CAP) and/or acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) were enrolled and glycemic control (persistent hyperglycemia, hypoglycemia, mean glucose level (MGL) and respective standard deviation (SD) and coefficient of variation (CV)) were evaluated. Primary outcomes were length of stay and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

Data from 242 patients were analyzed. Fifty-eight percent of the patients were male, with a median age of 77 years (min-max, 29-98). Patients had on average 2.1 glucose readings-day and the MGL was 193.3 mg/dl (min-max, 84.3-436.6). Hypoglycemia was documented in 13.4% of the patients and 55.4% had persistent hyperglycemia. The median length of hospital stay was 10 days (min-max, 1-66) and in-hospital mortality was 7.4%. We found a significant higher in-hospital mortality in older patients, with history of cancer and with nosocomial infections. We did not find any correlation between MGL, SD, CV, hypoglycemia or persist hyperglycemia and in-hospital mortality. A longer length of stay was observed in patients with heavy alcohol consumption and nosocomial infections. The length of stay was negatively correlated with the mean glucose level (r²-0.147; p < 0.05) and positively correlated with the coefficient of variation (p 0.162; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

This study confirmed the negative impact of the glycemic variability in the outcomes of diabetic patients admitted with CAP or acute exacerbation of COPD.

Antibodies in Melioidosis: The Role of the Indirect Hemagglutination Assay in Evaluating Patients and Exposed Populations

Melioidosis is a major neglected tropical disease with high mortality, caused by the Gram-negative bacterium Burkholderia pseudomallei (Bp). Microbiological culture remains the gold standard for diagnosis, but a simpler and more readily available test such as an antibody assay is highly desirable. In this study, we conducted a serological survey of blood donors (n = 1,060) and adult melioidosis patients (n = 200) in northeast Thailand to measure the antibody response to Bp using the indirect hemagglutination assay (IHA). We found that 38% of healthy adults (aged 17-59 years) have seropositivity (IHA titer ≥ 1:80). The seropositivity in healthy blood donors was associated with having a declared occupation of rice farmer and with residence in a nonurban area, but not with gender or age. In the melioidosis cohort, the seropositivity rate was higher in adult patients aged between 18 and 45 years (90%, 37/41) compared with those aged ≥ 45 years (68%, 108/159, P = 0.004). The seropositivity rate was significantly higher in people with diabetes (P = 0.008). Seropositivity was associated with decreased mortality on univariable analysis (P = 0.005), but not on multivariable analysis when adjusted for age, diabetes status, preexisting renal disease, and neutrophil count. This study confirms the presence of high background antibodies in an endemic region and demonstrates the limitations of using IHA during acute melioidosis in this population.

Changes in the US Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease From 2002 to 2016: An Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study

INTRODUCTION

Over the past 15 years, changes in demographic, social, and epidemiologic trends occurred in the United States. These changes likely contributed to changes in chronic kidney disease (CKD) epidemiology.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the change in burden of CKD at the US state level from 2002 to 2016.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This systematic analysis used data and methodologies from the 2016 Global Burden of Disease study in the United States. Data on CKD from 2002 to 2016 were examined at the state level.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and death due to CKD.

RESULTS

In this analysis of data from individuals in the United States, from 2002 to 2016, CKD DALYs increased by 52.6%, from 1 269 049 DALYs (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 1 154 521-1 387 008) to 1 935 954 DALYs (95% UI, 1 747 356-2 124 795). Death due to CKD increased by 58.3%, from 52 127 deaths (95% UI, 51 082-53 076) to 82 539 deaths (95% UI, 80 298-84 652). All states exhibited increases in CKD burden, but the rate of change (2002-2016) and the burden in 2016 varied by state. States in the southern United States (including Mississippi and Louisiana) exhibited more than twice the burden seen in other states (eg, the age-standardized CKD DALY rate in Vermont was 321 [95% UI, 281-363] per 100 000 population, whereas the rate in Mississippi was 697 [95% UI, 620-779] per 100 000 population). In the United States, the increase in CKD DALYs was attributable to increased risk exposure (40.3%), aging (32.3%), and population growth (27.4%). Age-standardized CKD DALY rates increased by 18.6% where increases in metabolic, and to a lesser extent dietary, risk factors contributed 93.8% and 5.3% of this change, respectively. Chronic kidney disease due to diabetes was the primary contributor for the 26.8% increased probability of death due to CKD among the population aged 20 to 54 years; among the population aged 55 to 89 years, the probability of death due to CKD increased by 25.6% and was driven by CKD due to diabetes and decreased probability of death from causes other than CKD. Improvement in sociodemographic development was coupled with an increase in age-standardized CKD DALY rates that occurred at a faster pace than that of other noncommunicable diseases in the United States.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Our findings revealed that between 2002 and 2016, the burden of CKD in the United States appeared to be increasing and variable among states. These changes may be associated with increased risk exposure and demographic expansion leading to increased probability of death due to CKD, especially among young adults. The findings suggest that an effort to target the reduction of CKD through greater attention to metabolic and dietary risks, especially among younger adults, is necessary.

Body mass index and the risk of mortality among Chinese adults with Type 2 diabetes

AIMS

To examine the associations between BMI and the risks of all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD)-specific and cancer-specific mortality among people with Type 2 diabetes, and thus provide recommendations for weight management in the population.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted among 52 763 people with newly diagnosed Type 2 diabetes between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2014 in Shanghai, China. All cases of death were identified by linking to the Shanghai Vital Statistics. Some 52 488 people were included in the analysis. Survival curves for people with different BMI categories were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard models within or without restricted cubic spline functions were applied to examine the potential non-linear or linear relationship between BMI and the risk of mortalities respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 4777 deaths were identified during an average of 6-year follow-up. An L-shaped association was observed between BMI and all-cause mortality in men (P for overall association < 0.001 and P for non-linearity < 0.001) while a U-shaped association was found in women (P for overall association < 0.001 and P for non-linearity< 0.001). In men, no significant association was observed for BMI with cancer-specific and CVD-specific mortality. In women, an increased risk of cancer-specific mortality was observed with increasing BMI, whereas decreasing BMI was associated with the increased CVD-specific mortality rate.

CONCLUSION

The increased all-cause mortality in men with low BMI and in women with either low or high BMI indicate the importance of keeping BMI in a normal range for Chinese adults with Type 2 diabetes.

Ten-year risk prediction models of complications and mortality of Chinese patients with diabetes mellitus in primary care in Hong Kong: a study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a major disease burden worldwide because it is associated with disabling and lethal complications. DM complication risk assessment and stratification is key to cost-effective management and tertiary prevention for patients with diabetes in primary care. Existing risk prediction functions were found to be inaccurate in Chinese patients with diabetes in primary care. This study aims to develop 10-year risk prediction models for total cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and all-cause mortality among Chinese patients with DM in primary care.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A 10-year cohort study on a population-based primary care cohort of Chinese patients with diabetes, who were receiving care in the Hospital Authority General Outpatient Clinic on or before 1 January 2008, were identified from the clinical management system database of the Hospital Authority. All patients with complete baseline risk factors will be included and followed from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2017 for the development and validation of prediction models. The analyses will be carried out separately for men and women. Two-thirds of subjects will be randomly selected as the training sample for model development. Cox regressions will be used to develop 10-year risk prediction models of total CVD and all-cause mortality. The validity of models will be tested on the remaining one-third of subjects by Harrell's C-statistics and calibration plot. Risk prediction models for diabetic complications specific to Chinese patients in primary care will enable accurate risk stratification, prioritisation of resources and more cost-effective interventions for patients with DM in primary care.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Hong Kong-the Hospital Authority Hong Kong West Cluster (reference number: UW 15-258).

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03299010; Pre-results.

Outcomes of hyperglycemia in patients with and without diabetes hospitalized for infectious diseases

OBJECTIVE

To examine the prognostic implications of diabetes mellitus (DM) and the importance of glycemic control during hospitalization for infectious diseases.

METHODS

Historical prospectively collected data of patients hospitalized between 2011 and 2013. Infection-related hospitalizations were classified according to site of infection. Median follow-up was 4.5 years. Outcome measures included in-hospital and end-of-follow-up mortality.

RESULTS

The cohort included 8051 patients (50% female, mean age ± SD, 68 ± 20 years) with a primary diagnosis of an infectious disease. Of these, 2363 patients (29%) had type 2 DM. The most common infectious sites included respiratory tract (n = 3285), genitourinary tract (n = 1804), skin and soft tissue (n = 934) and gastrointestinal tract (n = 571). There was no difference in admission rates of patients with and without DM according to the site of infection, except for skin and soft tissue infection which were more common among patients with DM (16% vs 10%). In-hospital mortality risk was greater in patients with DM (aOR = 1.3, 95% CI = 1.1-1.7). In the entire cohort, adjusted mortality risk (aHR, 95% CI) at the end-of-follow-up was greater among patients with DM (1.2, 1.1-1.4), with increased mortality risk following hospitalization for respiratory (1.1, 1.0-1.4) and skin and soft tissue infections (1.7, 1.3-2.3). In-hospital and end-of-follow-up mortality risk were highest among patients with and without DM with median glucose >180 mg/dL during hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients hospitalized for infectious diseases, DM is associated with increased long-term mortality risk, specifically following hospitalization for respiratory and skin and soft tissue infections. Poor glycemic control during hospitalization is associated with increased long-term mortality.

Increased mortality among patients with diabetes following first-ever transfemoral amputation

AIMS

Transfemoral amputation (TFA) is associated with a high postoperative mortality though it is unclear whether diabetes is associated with an increased mortality or not. The aim was to examine mortality at 1 week and 1 year after first-ever TFA with special reference to diabetes.

METHODS

We included 162 first-ever TFAs from 1996 to 2012. Mortality data were collected with the use of the Swedish personal identification number.

RESULTS

The median age was 85 years. Diabetes mellitus were present in 19% (n = 30) of the patients and 67% (n = 109) had cardiovascular disease. Mortality was significantly higher for patients with diabetes compared to patients without diabetes at 1 week (30% vs. 8%, p = 0.001) and at 1 year (80% vs. 57%, p = 0.02). This difference was significant in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that postoperative mortality was high. The high mortality rate emphasizes the need for early and adequate evaluation of every patient́s overall condition and whether amputation is beneficial or not. Although further studies are needed to analyze the specific causes of early death in amputees and we suggest close monitoring of blood-sugar in patients with diabetes and early treatment of infections and cardiac events in all patients.

Excess mortality and cardiovascular disease in young adults with type 1 diabetes in relation to age at onset: a nationwide, register-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

People with type 1 diabetes are at elevated risk of mortality and cardiovascular disease, yet current guidelines do not consider age of onset as an important risk stratifier. We aimed to examine how age at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes relates to excess mortality and cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

We did a nationwide, register-based cohort study of individuals with type 1 diabetes in the Swedish National Diabetes Register and matched controls from the general population. We included patients with at least one registration between Jan 1, 1998, and Dec 31, 2012. Using Cox regression, and with adjustment for diabetes duration, we estimated the excess risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, non-cardiovascular mortality, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular disease (a composite of acute myocardial infarction and stroke), coronary heart disease, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Individuals with type 1 diabetes were categorised into five groups, according to age at diagnosis: 0-10 years, 11-15 years, 16-20 years, 21-25 years, and 26-30 years.

FINDINGS

27 195 individuals with type 1 diabetes and 135 178 matched controls were selected for this study. 959 individuals with type 1 diabetes and 1501 controls died during follow-up (median follow-up was 10 years). Patients who developed type 1 diabetes at 0-10 years of age had hazard ratios of 4·11 (95% CI 3·24-5·22) for all-cause mortality, 7·38 (3·65-14·94) for cardiovascular mortality, 3·96 (3·06-5·11) for non-cardiovascular mortality, 11·44 (7·95-16·44) for cardiovascular disease, 30·50 (19·98-46·57) for coronary heart disease, 30·95 (17·59-54·45) for acute myocardial infarction, 6·45 (4·04-10·31) for stroke, 12·90 (7·39-22·51) for heart failure, and 1·17 (0·62-2·20) for atrial fibrillation. Corresponding hazard ratios for individuals who developed type 1 diabetes aged 26-30 years were 2·83 (95% CI 2·38-3·37) for all-cause mortality, 3·64 (2·34-5·66) for cardiovascular mortality, 2·78 (2·29-3·38) for non-cardiovascular mortality, 3·85 (3·05-4·87) for cardiovascular disease, 6·08 (4·71-7·84) for coronary heart disease, 5·77 (4·08-8·16) for acute myocardial infarction, 3·22 (2·35-4·42) for stroke, 5·07 (3·55-7·22) for heart failure, and 1·18 (0·79-1·77) for atrial fibrillation; hence the excess risk differed by up to five times across the diagnosis age groups. The highest overall incidence rate, noted for all-cause mortality, was 1·9 (95% CI 1·71-2·11) per 100 000 person-years for people with type 1 diabetes. Development of type 1 diabetes before 10 years of age resulted in a loss of 17·7 life-years (95% CI 14·5-20·4) for women and 14·2 life-years (12·1-18·2) for men.

INTERPRETATION

Age at onset of type 1 diabetes is an important determinant of survival, as well as all cardiovascular outcomes, with highest excess risk in women. Greater focus on cardioprotection might be warranted in people with early-onset type 1 diabetes.

FUNDING

Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation.

Recent diabetes-related mortality trends in Romania

AIMS

As there are no published articles on country-level diabetes-related mortality in Romania, we aimed to investigate this aspect for the 1998-2015 period.

METHODS

Anonymized demographic and diabetes-related mortality data (underlying or first secondary cause of death) were retrospectively obtained from the National Institute of Statistics/Eurostat microdata. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and their annual percentage change (APC) were analysed.

RESULTS

During 1998-2015, 4,567,899 persons died in Romania, among whom, diabetes was responsible for 168,854 cases. The ASMR for diabetes was 39.34 per 100,000 person-years (p-y) (95% CI 39.32-39.35). There was an increase in ASMR from 27.10 per 100,000 p-y (95% CI 27.01-27.19) in women and 30.88 per 100,000 p-y (95% CI 30.77-30.99) in men in 1998 to 35.42 per 100,000 p-y (95% CI 35.34-35.51) in women and 48.41 per 100,000 p-y (95% CI 48.29-48.52) in men, in 2015. The mean APC in women was 3.8% per year (95% CI 3.5-4.0, p < 0.001) during 1998-2010 and - 1.9% per year (95% CI - 2.7 to - 1.1, p < 0.001) during 2010-2015. The mean APC in men was 5.3% per year (95% CI 5.0-5.5, p < 0.001) during 1998-2010 and - 1.5% per year (95% CI - 2.2 to - 0.8, p < 0.001) during 2010-2015. Diabetes-related mortality rates increased with age, with men experiencing higher mortality rates than women for most age groups and calendar years.

CONCLUSIONS

Diabetes-related mortality rates increased significantly in Romania during 1998-2010, followed by a steady decline during 2010-2015.

Perspectives on diabetes mortality as the result of residual confounding and reverse causality by common disease

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with major global health burdens, including 2 to 4 times increased rates of morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular disease. However, T2D remains an exclusion diagnosis in individuals with arbitrarily elevated blood-glucose levels. While it is well-established that diabetes is associated with an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease and cancer, it has recently been shown that heart failure and cancer may precede, and even contribute to, the development of T2D. In the present review, we have summarized these findings and discuss their potential implications for our understanding of the T2D disease entity, including its treatment and associated increased mortality. We suggest that the existence of a hitherto unrecognized distinct T2D subtype, secondary to heart failure and/or cancer, may substantially contribute to the excess mortality reported in T2D patients with mild disease. Treatment and clinical care of this subtype needs to be defined separately from the general T2D phenotype.

Temporal and external validation of a prediction model for adverse outcomes among inpatients with diabetes

AIM

To temporally and externally validate our previously developed prediction model, which used data from University Hospitals Birmingham to identify inpatients with diabetes at high risk of adverse outcome (mortality or excessive length of stay), in order to demonstrate its applicability to other hospital populations within the UK.

METHODS

Temporal validation was performed using data from University Hospitals Birmingham and external validation was performed using data from both the Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust and Ipswich Hospital. All adult inpatients with diabetes were included. Variables included in the model were age, gender, ethnicity, admission type, intensive therapy unit admission, insulin therapy, albumin, sodium, potassium, haemoglobin, C-reactive protein, estimated GFR and neutrophil count. Adverse outcome was defined as excessive length of stay or death.

RESULTS

Model discrimination in the temporal and external validation datasets was good. In temporal validation using data from University Hospitals Birmingham, the area under the curve was 0.797 (95% CI 0.785-0.810), sensitivity was 70% (95% CI 67-72) and specificity was 75% (95% CI 74-76). In external validation using data from Heart of England NHS Foundation Trust, the area under the curve was 0.758 (95% CI 0.747-0.768), sensitivity was 73% (95% CI 71-74) and specificity was 66% (95% CI 65-67). In external validation using data from Ipswich, the area under the curve was 0.736 (95% CI 0.711-0.761), sensitivity was 63% (95% CI 59-68) and specificity was 69% (95% CI 67-72). These results were similar to those for the internally validated model derived from University Hospitals Birmingham.

CONCLUSIONS

The prediction model to identify patients with diabetes at high risk of developing an adverse event while in hospital performed well in temporal and external validation. The externally validated prediction model is a novel tool that can be used to improve care pathways for inpatients with diabetes. Further research to assess clinical utility is needed.

Moderate to Severe Renal Insufficiency Is Associated With High Mortality After Hip and Knee Replacement

BACKGROUND

In patients having elective hip or knee replacements, many comorbid conditions, including diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and congestive heart failure, are associated with postoperative mortality. Renal failure and a history of renal transplantation also increase mortality. However, the effect of different stages of chronic kidney disease on patients' prognoses is unclear.

QUESTIONS/PURPOSES

(1) What is the risk of postoperative mortality in different stages of chronic kidney disease after elective hip or knee replacement and does the risk increase with mild renal insufficiency? (2) How severe is the risk of death in patients with chronic kidney disease compared with other major medical comorbidities such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and congestive heart failure? (3) Are there risk factor combinations associated with especially poor survival?

METHODS

Using longitudinally maintained databases, the records of 18,575 patients (median age 69 years, 63% female, median body mass index 29 kg/m) undergoing elective hip and knee replacements from a single center between 2002 and 2011 were analyzed in this retrospective study. A total of 6519 (35%) patients had Stage I, 9917 (53%) Stage II, 2023 (11%) Stage III, 81 (0.4%) Stage IV, and 35 (0.2%) Stage V chronic kidney disease. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to analyze mortality at different stages of the disease. Cox regression analysis was performed to compare the risk of death associated with the comorbid conditions of interest. Comorbid conditions with greatest risk for death (diabetes, coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure) were combined separately with chronic kidney disease using logistic regression. According to data from the Finnish Population Register Centre, a total of 4055 deaths occurred in our patient cohort during the followup period. The median followup was 7.8 years (range, 0-14 years; interquartile range, 5.8-10.0 years).

RESULTS

The mean survival time was 13 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 12.5-12.7 years) in Stage I, 11 years (95% CI, 11.3-11.5 years) in Stage II, 9 years (95% CI, 9.2-9.7 years) in Stage III, 7 years (95% CI, 5.6-7.5 years) in Stage IV, and 6 years (95% CI, 4.9-8.0 years) in Stage V (p < 0.001). Compared with Stage I chronic kidney disease, the risk of death increased with every step of the disease (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.9 [95% CI, 1.76-2.10]; HR, 3.8 [95% CI, 3.39-4.19]; and HR, 8.1 [95% CI, 6.33-10.31] in Stages II, III, and IV-V, respectively). Compared with congestive heart failure (HR, 2.11 [95% CI, 1.81-2.45], p < 0.001), coronary disease (HR, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.40-1.69], p < 0.001), diabetes (HR, 1.71 [95% CI, 1.54-1.90], p < 0.001), and hypertension (HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.26-1.45], p < 0.001), Stage III and Stage IV to V chronic kidney disease are associated with poorer survival. The combination of chronic kidney disease and diabetes (odds ratio [OR], 8.15 [95% CI, 4.9-13.51]) had a synergistic effect on the risk of death compared with chronic kidney disease (OR, 2.36 [95% CI, 1.70-3.28]) or diabetes alone (OR, 1.19 [95% CI, 0.70-2.03]) during the first postoperative year.

CONCLUSIONS

All stages of chronic kidney disease have a harmful effect on long-term life expectancy in joint replacement recipients. The risk becomes clinically meaningful in the most severe forms of the disease, but also in moderate chronic kidney disease when it is accompanied by diabetes, coronary disease, or congestive heart failure. It should be recognized that these patients achieve fewer quality-adjusted life-years even if clinical outcomes were similar. The effect of chronic kidney disease on cost-effectiveness of hip and knee replacements should be investigated in future studies.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, therapeutic study.