Real-world data reveal a diagnostic gap in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Prevalence, Incidence, and Risk of Progression of Asymptomatic Pancreatic Cysts in Large Sample Real-world Data

OBJECTIVES

Using large-sample, real-world administrative claims data, we evaluated the prevalence of putatively asymptomatic pancreatic cysts, the historical growth in their incident diagnosis, and their risk of malignant progression.

METHODS

Data were sourced from IBM MarketScan administrative claims databases of more than 200 million patients. Period prevalence was assessed using 700,000 individuals without conditions that predispose to pancreatic cyst. The standardized cumulative incidence was compared with the cross-sectional abdominal imaging rate from 2010-2017. The risk of progression to pancreatic cancer for 14,279 newly diagnosed patients with a cyst was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Standardized prevalence increased exponentially with age and was 1.84% (95% confidence interval, 1.80%-1.87%) for patients older than 45. Standardized incidence nearly doubled from 2010-2017 (6.3 to 11.4 per 10,000), whereas the imaging rate changed from only 8.0% to 9.4%. The cumulative risk of pancreatic cancer at 7 years was 3.0% (95% confidence interval, 2.4%-3.5%), increasing linearly (R2 = 0.991) with an annual progression risk of 0.47%.

CONCLUSIONS

Using large-sample data, we show a significant burden of asymptomatic pancreatic cysts, with an annual risk of progression to cancer of 0.47% for 7 years. Rapid growth in cyst diagnosis over the last decade far outpaced increases in the imaging rate.

Defining comprehensive models of care for NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is now the leading cause of chronic liver disease globally. Despite the increased demand placed on health-care systems, little attention has been given to the design and implementation of efficient and effective models of care for patients with NAFLD. In many health-care settings, no formal pathways exist and, where pathways are in place, they are often not standardized according to good practices. We systematically searched the peer-reviewed literature with the aim of identifying published examples of comprehensive models of care that answered four key questions: what services are provided? Where are they provided? Who is offering them? How are they coordinated and integrated within health-care systems? We identified seven models of care and synthesized the findings into eight recommendations nested within the 'what, where, who and how' of care models. These recommendations, aimed at policy-makers and practitioners designing and implementing models of care, can help to address the increasing need for the provision of good practice care for patients with NAFLD.

A Twitter discourse analysis of negative feelings and stigma related to NAFLD, NASH and obesity

BACKGROUND

People with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are stigmatized, partly since 'non-alcoholic' is in the name, but also because of obesity, which is a common condition in this group. Stigma is pervasive in social media and can contribute to poorer health outcomes. We examine how stigma and negative feelings concerning NAFLD/NASH and obesity manifest on Twitter.

METHODS

Using a self-developed search terms index, we collected NAFLD/NASH tweets from May to October 2019 (Phase I). Because stigmatizing NAFLD/NASH tweets were limited, Phase II focused on obesity (November-December 2019). Via sentiment analysis, >5000 tweets were annotated as positive, neutral or negative and used to train machine learning-based Natural Language Processing software, applied to 193 747 randomly sampled tweets. All tweets collected were analysed.

RESULTS

In Phase I, 16 835 tweets for NAFLD and 2376 for NASH were retrieved. Of the annotated NAFLD/NASH tweets, 97/1130 (8.6%) and 63/535 (11.8%), respectively, related to obesity and 13/1130 (1.2%) and 5/535 (0.9%), to stigma; they primarily focused on scientific discourse and unverified information. Of the 193 747 non-annotated obesity tweets (Phase II), the algorithm classified 40.0% as related to obesity, of which 85.2% were negative, 1.0% positive and 13.7% neutral.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD/NASH tweets mostly indicated an unmet information need and showed no clear signs of stigma. However, the negative content of obesity tweets was recurrent. As obesity-related stigma is associated with reduced care engagement and lifestyle modification, the main NAFLD/NASH treatment, stigma-reducing interventions in social media should be included in the liver health agenda.

In-Hospital Outcomes of Patients With Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Who Underwent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Nationwide Inpatient Sample Analysis

Background Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is prevalent in almost 25% of the Western population and is predicted to become one of the leading causes of end-stage liver disease. There is increasing evidence that NAFLD is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease, specifically for coronary artery disease, via disruption of the metabolism of glucose and lipids in the body, leading to a state of systemic inflammation that promotes atherosclerosis. This study aims to explore outcomes in patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with or without placement of drug-eluting stents (DES) to determine whether the concurrent diagnosis of NAFLD led to worse in-hospital outcomes. Methods We used the National Inpatient Sample, Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 2016 to conduct a cross-sectional study that included all adult patients who underwent PCI with or without placement of DES during hospital admission. Patients with NAFLD were identified and compared to patients without NAFLD. Patients were selected by using ICD-10-CM and ICD-10-PCS codes. Outcomes included mortality, length of stay and total hospital charges, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Data on patient demographics, inpatient statistics, and comorbidities were obtained and analyzed using cross-tabulation, Pearson χ² test, and independent samples t-test. Data were adjusted for confounders using logistic and linear regression. Results Among 429,855 patients who underwent PCI with or without placement of DES, 2,560 patients (0.6%) had a diagnosis of NAFLD. There was no significant difference with regard to mortality and MACE. The NAFLD group had a higher proportion of females, a longer average length of hospital stay, and patients presented at a younger average age. Regarding comorbidities, more patients in the NAFLD group had diabetes mellitus type II, obesity, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and peripheral vascular disease (PVD). Conclusion NAFLD is emerging as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Increasing evidence suggests that the disease contributes to systemic atherosclerosis and thus coronary artery disease. We found that among patients who underwent PCI in 2016, those with NAFLD had a longer length of stay, were admitted at a younger age, and had significantly more cardiovascular comorbidities than those without NAFLD. Increasing evidence has shown that advanced liver disease due to NAFLD will continue to place a significant burden on the healthcare system and is, therefore, an area that the medical community should continue to focus on, especially, regarding preventative and therapeutic efforts.

The Chinese Society of Hepatology position statement on the redefinition of fatty liver disease

Fatty liver disease associated with metabolic dysfunction is of increasing concern in mainland China, the world's most populous country. The incidence of fatty liver disease is highest in China, surpassing the incidence in European countries and the USA. An international consensus panel recently published an influential report recommending a novel definition of fatty liver disease associated with metabolic dysfunction. This recommendation includes a switch in name from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to metabolic (dysfunction)-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and adoption of a set of positive criteria for disease diagnosis that are independent of alcohol intake or other liver diseases. Given the unique importance of this proposal, the Chinese Society of Hepatology (CSH) invited leading hepatologists and gastroenterologists representing their respective provinces and cities to reach consensus on alternative definitions for fatty liver disease from a national perspective. The CSH endorses the proposed change from NAFLD to MAFLD (supported by 95.45% of participants). We expect that the new definition will result in substantial improvements in health care for patients and advance disease awareness, public health policy, and political, scientific and funding outcomes for MAFLD in China.

Administrative Coding in Electronic Health Care Record-Based Research of NAFLD: An Expert Panel Consensus Statement

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Electronic health record (EHR)-based research allows the capture of large amounts of data, which is necessary in NAFLD, where the risk of clinical liver outcomes is generally low. The lack of consensus on which International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes should be used as exposures and outcomes limits comparability and generalizability of results across studies. We aimed to establish consensus among a panel of experts on ICD codes that could become the reference standard and provide guidance around common methodological issues.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Researchers with an interest in EHR-based NAFLD research were invited to collectively define which administrative codes are most appropriate for documenting exposures and outcomes. We used a modified Delphi approach to reach consensus on several commonly encountered methodological challenges in the field. After two rounds of revision, a high level of agreement (>67%) was reached on all items considered. Full consensus was achieved on a comprehensive list of administrative codes to be considered for inclusion and exclusion criteria in defining exposures and outcomes in EHR-based NAFLD research. We also provide suggestions on how to approach commonly encountered methodological issues and identify areas for future research.

CONCLUSIONS

This expert panel consensus statement can help harmonize and improve generalizability of EHR-based NAFLD research.

Cross-sectional pilot study to assess primary healthcare workers' knowledge of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in a marginalized community in Mexico

The registered incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in primary healthcare centers is lower than expected, suggesting a lack of awareness by primary care healthcare professionals. The implementation of educational tools for healthcare workers has been found to increase timely referral and treatment of patients. We aimed to determine healthcare workers' knowledge of NAFLD to identify their educational needs in one marginalized region. We performed a cross-sectional survey of 261 healthcare professionals in Tlapa de Comonfort, Guerrero, Mexico from October 2019 to December 2019. We created a questionnaire that assessed domains most relevant to NAFLD knowledge. Two hundred and forty-six questionnaires were completed. Of the respondents, 38.3% were nurses and 63.4% were women. Most nurses identified NAFLD as a prevalent (89%) and preventable (93%) disease. Hypertension (33%) and obesity (84%) were recognized as risk factors. The associations between NAFLD and cancer, cirrhosis and cardiovascular disease were identified by 53%, 67% and 72% of respondents, respectively. The largest gaps were found in diagnostic workup, therapeutic approach and the current treatments. We identify modifiable knowledge gaps in NAFLD. Educational strategies for primary care workers could enhance the identification of patients with NAFLD and prevent complications.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has a global prevalence of 25% and is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. NAFLD encompasses a disease continuum from steatosis with or without mild inflammation (non-alcoholic fatty liver), to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), which is characterised by necroinflammation and faster fibrosis progression than non-alcoholic fatty liver. NAFLD has a bidirectional association with components of the metabolic syndrome, and type 2 diabetes increases the risk of cirrhosis and related complications. Although the leading causes of death in people with NAFLD are cardiovascular disease and extrahepatic malignancy, advanced liver fibrosis is a key prognostic marker for liver-related outcomes and overall mortality, and can be assessed with combinations of non-invasive tests. Patients with cirrhosis should be screened for hepatocellular carcinoma and oesophageal varices. There is currently no approved therapy for NAFLD, although several drugs are in advanced stages of development. Because of the complex pathophysiology and substantial heterogeneity of disease phenotypes, combination treatment is likely to be required for many patients with NAFLD. Healthy lifestyle and weight reduction remain crucial to the prevention and treatment of NAFLD.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. NAFLD is defined by excess fat in the liver and has a multidirectional relationship with metabolic syndrome. The prevalence of NAFLD has risen rapidly in recent years in line with the obesity epidemic and associated increases in type 2 diabetes, hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia. Patients with NAFLD are at risk of cardiovascular disease and cancer, and in a proportion of individuals, NAFLD is associated with liver damage. This article summarises the epidemiology of NAFLD, the clinical approach to risk-assessing patients and briefly outlines current and future management options.

Effect of type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes on the risk of venous thromboembolism

AIMS

Whether diabetes increases venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unclear. Any greater risk may relate to insulin resistance, but many studies did not differentiate between type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes for VTE risk.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of the Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre, comprising over 530 primary care practices. We determined whether type 1 diabetes and/or type 2 diabetes are independent risk factors for VTE. The index date was 1 January 2009, individuals were followed to 31 December 2018, or censoring. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the risk of VTE in people with type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes relative to no diabetes. The primary outcome was occurrence of VTE. The model was adjusted for potential confounders for VTE.

RESULTS

There were 7086 people with type 1 diabetes and 95,566 with type 2 diabetes, diagnosed before 1 January 2009. The non-diabetes group consisted of 1,407,699 people. In the unadjusted analysis, there was no increased risk of VTE with type 1 diabetes (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.76-1.33) but there was for type 2 diabetes (HR 2.70, 95% CI 2.57-2.84). In the fully adjusted model, VTE risk was increased in type 1 diabetes (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.11-1.92), but not with type 2 diabetes (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.98-1.14).

CONCLUSIONS

Type 1 diabetes was associated with a greater risk for VTE while type 2 diabetes was not. Further work is needed to determine the reason(s) for this.

Embedding assessment of liver fibrosis into routine diabetic review in primary care

Background & Aims

Individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) are at high risk of developing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. Screening patients with T2DM and normal liver enzymes for NAFLD in primary care remains contentious. Our aim was to develop and assess a primary care pathway integrating two-tier (Fib-4 then transient elastography [TE]) liver fibrosis assessment, irrespective of aetiology, into routine annual review of all patients with T2DM.

Methods

All patients aged >35 years with T2DM attending annual review at 2 primary care practices in North East England between April 2018 and September 2019 (n = 467) had Fib-4 requested via the electronic patient record. Those with a Fib-4 score above the ‘high-sensitivity’ threshold (>1.3 for ≤65 years and >2.0 for >65 years) underwent TE and were reviewed in secondary care if the liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was >8 kPa. The number of patients identified with advanced disease, service uptake, and predictors of advanced disease were assessed.

Results

A total of 85/467 (18.5%) patients had raised Fib-4; 27/467(5.8%) were excluded as a result of frailty or known cirrhosis. A total of 58/467 (12.2%) were referred for TE. Twenty-five of 58 (43.1%) had an LSM of >8 kPa and 13/58 (22.4%) had an LSM >15 kPa; 4/58 (6.7%) did not attend and 5/58 (9.3%) had an invalid reading. Twenty of 440 (4.5%) patients were found to have advanced liver disease following specialist review, compared to 3 patients previously identified through standard care (odds ratio [OR] 6.71 [2.0–22.7] p = 0.0022). Alcohol (OR 1.05 [1.02–1.08] p = 0.001) and BMI (OR 1.09 [1.01–1.17] p = 0.021) were predictors of advanced disease, particularly drinking >14/21 units/week (p <0.0001)

Conclusions

Incorporating 2-tier assessment of liver fibrosis into routine annual diabetes review in primary care significantly improves identification of advanced liver disease in patients with T2DM.

Lay summary

People with type 2 diabetes are at increased risk of developing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and developing more significant complications. This study looks at introducing screening for advanced liver disease into the annual diabetes reviews performed routinely in primary care; we found that significantly more people were identified as having significant liver disease through this pathway than with current standard care.

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People with type 2 diabetes are at increased risk of advanced liver fibrosis, exacerbated by excess alcohol consumption.

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Incorporating a 2-step fibrosis assessment into primary care diabetes review increased advanced fibrosis detection 7-fold.

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Fib-4 scores automatically calculated at diabetic review in primary care and results displayed with advisory comments.

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Almost half the patients identified with advanced liver disease had alanine transferase below the laboratory cut-off.

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This pathway could improve detection of advanced liver disease in individuals with type 2 diabetes in primary care.

Clinical and economic burden of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis in Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Kuwait

Background and aims

The Middle East (ME) has a high prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), driven by obesity and type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Studies in Saudi Arabia (KSA) and United Arab Emirates (UAE) predict an escalating impact of NAFLD/NASH, particularly advanced fibrosis due to NASH (AF-NASH), increasing cases of cirrhosis, liver cancer and death. The scale of this burden in other ME countries is unknown with no reports of NAFLD/NASH healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) or costs. We estimated the clinical and economic burden of NAFLD/NASH in KSA, UAE and Kuwait.

Methods

Markov models populated with country-specific obesity and T2DM prevalence data estimated numbers and progression of NAFLD/NASH patients from 2018 to 2030. Model inputs, assumptions and outputs were collected from literature, national statistics, and expert consensus.

Results

Over 13 years, the KSA model estimated cases increasing as follows: patients with fibrosis F0–3 doubled to 2.5 m, compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma trebled to 212,000; liver failure or transplant patients increased four-fold to 4,086 and liver-related death escalated from < 10,000 to > 200,000. Similar trends occurred in UAE and Kuwait. Discounted lifetime costs of NASH standard-care increased totaling USD40.41 bn, 1.59 bn and 6.36 bn in KSA, UAE (Emiratis only) and Kuwait, respectively. NASH-related costs in 2019 comprised, respectively, 5.83%, 5.80% and 7.66% of national healthcare spending.

Conclusions

NASH, especially AF-NASH, should be considered a higher priority in ME Public Health policy. Our analyses should inform health policy makers to mitigate the enormity of this escalating regional burden.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12072-021-10182-x.

Global epidemiology of NAFLD-related HCC: trends, predictions, risk factors and prevention

One quarter of the global population is estimated to have nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The incidence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is projected to increase by up to 56% in the next 10 years. NAFLD is already the fastest growing cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the USA, France and the UK. Globally, the prevalence of NAFLD-related HCC is likely to increase concomitantly with the growing obesity epidemic. The estimated annual incidence of HCC ranges from 0.5% to 2.6% among patients with NASH cirrhosis. The incidence of HCC among patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD is lower, approximately 0.1 to 1.3 per 1,000 patient-years. Although the incidence of NAFLD-related HCC is lower than that of HCC of other aetiologies such as hepatitis C, more people have NAFLD than other liver diseases. Urgent measures that increase global awareness and tackle the metabolic risk factors are necessary to reduce the impending burden of NAFLD-related HCC. Emerging evidence indicates that reduced immune surveillance, increased gut inflammation and gut dysbiosis are potential key steps in tumorigenesis. In this Review, we discuss the global epidemiology, projections and risk factors for NAFLD-related HCC, and propose preventive strategies to tackle this growing problem.

Fibrosis assessment in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: Adherence to proposed algorithms and barriers to complying with them

INTRODUCTION AND AIMS

Fibrosis staging in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is carried out through the application of stepwise algorithms but there is little real-world data on their use. Our aim was to calculate the number of patients with NAFLD and indeterminate or high risk for fibrosis, assessed through noninvasive scores, that consequently underwent further staging evaluation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A cross-sectional multicenter cohort study was conducted on patients with NAFLD evaluated by hepatologists within the time frame of June 1 and July 31, 2018. The FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis scores were calculated in all the patients, and if at least one of the scores suggested indeterminate or high risk for fibrosis, we believed the patient should have undergone additional fibrosis staging assessment.

RESULTS

The study included 238 patients. The median time interval from NAFLD diagnosis and inclusion in the analysis was 12.2months (IQR 3.0-36.5). A total of 128 (54%) patients had at least one noninvasive score that suggested indeterminate or high risk for fibrosis but studies to confirm the fibrosis grade (elastography, biopsy, etc.) were performed on only 72 (56%). The main barriers encountered by the physicians for applying the staging algorithms were related to health insurance coverage and imaging study costs.

CONCLUSIONS

A high percentage of patients with NAFLD were at indeterminate or high risk for fibrosis, according to noninvasive scores, but additional studies were carried out on only half of them, showing low adherence to current recommendations.

Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Is the Most Rapidly Increasing Indication for Liver Transplantation in the United States

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The profile of chronic liver disease (CLD) in the United States has changed due to obesity trends and advances in treatment of viral hepatitis. We assessed liver transplant listing trends by CLD etiology.

METHODS

Adult candidates for liver transplantation were selected from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (2002 through 2019). We calculated proportion trends for common CLD etiologies at time of placement on the wait list, including chronic infection with hepatitis B virus, chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH, including cryptogenic cirrhosis), alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) without or with chronic HCV infection, autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cholangitis, and primary sclerosing cholangitis, in patients with and without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

From the 168,441 patients with known etiology and non-acute liver failure on the liver transplant waitlist, 27,799 patients (16.5%) had HCC. In 2002, the most common etiologies in patients without HCC were chronic HCV infection (37%) and ALD (16%), whereas only 5% had NASH. Among patients with HCC, 58% had chronic HCV infection and 10% had ALD and only 1% had NASH. In 2019, among patients without HCC, NASH was the second leading indication for liver transplantation (28% of patients), after ALD (38% of patients). Among patients with HCC, chronic HCV infection remained the leading indication (40% of patients) but NASH (24% of patients) surpassed ALD (16% of patients) to become the second leading indication. NASH was the leading indication in women without HCC (34%), in patients older than 54 years (36%), and in patients on Medicare (41%). In trend analysis, NASH was the most rapidly increasing indication for liver transplantation in patients without HCC (Kendall tau=0.97; P < .001) and in patients with HCC (tau=0.94; P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In an analysis of data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (2002 through 2019), we found NASH to be the second most common indication for liver transplant in 2019, and the fastest increasing indication. In 2019, NASH was the leading indication for liver transplantation among women without HCC.

Comorbidities and healthcare costs and resource use of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in the Japan medical data vision database

BACKGROUND

This study examined demographics, comorbidities and healthcare resource use (HCRU) and costs among Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

METHODS

We conducted a repeated cross-sectional analysis of the Medical Data Vision (MDV) claims database, from January 2011 to March 2018. Demographics were described at index date and by calendar year; a "NASH" subpopulation included patients with ≥ 1 claim for NASH at any time. Prevalence of pre-specified comorbidities of interest and data-emergent top comorbidities were estimated. All-cause HCRU and costs were quantified by calendar year. Outcomes were compared between 2011 and 2017 using partially overlapping t tests.

RESULTS

58,958 patients (mean age 61.6 years; 55.5% male) were included. 1139 patients (2%) were in the NASH subpopulation. At baseline, comorbid cardiovascular disease (69.4%), diabetes (62.1%) and hyperlipidaemia (54.4%) were most prevalent; comorbidity prevalence increased with age. Mean outpatient visits decreased from 9.36 per patient in 2011 to 7.80 in 2017; mean inpatient admissions increased (both p < 0.001 for 2011 vs 2017). Mean total all-cause healthcare costs ranged from ¥322,206 to ¥340,399 per patient per year between 2011 and 2017. Although total all-cause healthcare costs did not change significantly (p = 0.552), cost burden shifted from the outpatient to inpatient setting between 2011 and 2017. All-cause healthcare resource use/costs were generally higher for the NASH subgroup compared with the overall population.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a high burden of disease among Japanese NAFLD/NASH patients, including a high prevalence of comorbidities which generally increase with age. Accordingly, substantial all-cause HCRU and costs were incurred.

Natural Progression of Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis to Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a chronic and progressive form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Its global incidence is increasing which makes NASH an epidemic and a public health threat. Due to repeated insults to the liver, patients are at risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The progression of NASH to HCC was initially defined according to a two-hit model which involved the development of steatosis, followed by lipid peroxidation and inflammation. However, current research defines a “multi-hit” or “multi-parallel hit” model which synthesizes several contributing pathways involved in progressive fibrosis and oncogenesis. This perspective considers the effects of cellular, genetic, immunologic, metabolic, and endocrine pathways leading up to HCC which underscores the complexity of this condition. This article will provide an updated review of the pathogenic mechanisms leading from NASH to HCC as well as an exploration of the role of biomarkers and screening.

Detecting non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk factors in health databases: accuracy and limitations of the ICD-10-AM

OBJECTIVE

The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) cirrhosis is often underestimated in healthcare and administrative databases that define disease burden using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes. This retrospective audit was conducted to explore the accuracy and limitations of the ICD, Tenth Revision, Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) to detect NAFLD, metabolic risk factors (obesity and diabetes) and other aetiologies of chronic liver disease.

DESIGN/METHOD

ICD-10-AM codes in 308 admitted patient encounters at two major Australian tertiary hospitals were compared with data abstracted from patients' electronic medical records. Accuracy of individual codes and grouped combinations was determined by calculating sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and Cohen's kappa coefficient (κ).

RESULTS

The presence of an ICD-10-AM code accurately predicted the presence of NAFLD/NASH (PPV 91.2%) and obesity (PPV 91.6%) in most instances. However, codes underestimated the prevalence of NAFLD/NASH and obesity by 42.9% and 45.3%, respectively. Overall concordance between clinical documentation and 'grouped alcohol' codes (κ 0.75) and hepatitis C codes (κ 0.88) was high. Hepatitis B codes detected false-positive cases in patients with previous exposure (PPV 55.6%). Accuracy of codes to detect diabetes was excellent (sensitivity 95.8%; specificity 97.6%; PPV 94.9%; NPV 98.1%) with almost perfect concordance between codes and documentation in medical records (κ 0.93).

CONCLUSION

Recognition of the utility and limitations of ICD-10-AM codes to study the burden of NAFLD/NASH cirrhosis is imperative to inform public health strategies and appropriate investment of resources to manage this burgeoning chronic disease.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Recent Guideline Updates

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Hepatic Fibrosis Associates With Multiple Cardiometabolic Disease Risk Factors: The Framingham Heart Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

NAFLD is increasing in prevalence and will soon be the most common chronic liver disease. Liver stiffness, as assessed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), correlates with hepatic fibrosis, an important predictor of liver-related and all-cause mortality. Although liver fat is associated with cardiovascular risk factors, the association between hepatic fibrosis and cardiovascular risk factors is less clear.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We performed VCTE, assessing controlled attenuation parameter (CAP; measure of steatosis) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in 3,276 Framingham Heart Study adult participants (53.9% women, mean age 54.3 ± 9.1 years) presenting for a routine study visit. We performed multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models to determine the association between LSM and obesity-related, vascular-related, glucose-related, and cholesterol-related cardiovascular risk factors. The prevalence of hepatic steatosis (CAP ≥ 290 dB/m) was 28.8%, and 8.8% had hepatic fibrosis (LSM ≥ 8.2 kPa). Hepatic fibrosis was associated with multiple cardiovascular risk factors, including increased odds of obesity (OR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.35-2.47), metabolic syndrome (OR, 1.49; 95% CI 1.10-2.01), diabetes (OR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.21-3.75), hypertension (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.15-1.99), and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.09-1.98), after adjustment for age, sex, smoking status, alcohol drinks/week, physical activity index, aminotransferases, and CAP.

CONCLUSIONS

In our community-based cohort, VCTE-defined hepatic fibrosis was associated with multiple cardiovascular risk factors, including obesity, metabolic syndrome, diabetes, hypertension, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, even after accounting for covariates and CAP. Additional longitudinal studies are needed to determine if hepatic fibrosis contributes to incident cardiovascular disease risk factors or events.

Prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in mental disorder inpatients in China: an observational study

Background and Purpose

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is becoming the most common liver disease in China. However, the understanding of NAFLD prevalence among Chinese mental disorder inpatients remains insufficient. We aim to investigate the prevalence of NAFLD among mental disorder inpatients in Beijing, China.

Methods

In this observational study, we included 66,273 mental disorder inpatients between 2014 and 2018, including inpatients with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, depressive disorder and other mental disorders. Data were obtained from electronic health records of 19 specialized psychiatric hospitals in Beijing. NAFLD was defined by ICD-10 code, excluding other causes of liver disease. We calculated the overall and annual prevalence rates of NAFLD from 2014 to 2018, and compared NAFLD prevalence between sexes, age groups, mental disorders types, antipsychotics use, and comorbidities. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine risk factors associated with NAFLD. Subgroup analysis was performed in different mental disorder types.

Results

The prevalence of NAFLD was 17.63% (95% CI 17.34–17.92%) in mental disorder inpatients, increasing from 16.88% in 2014 to 19.07% in 2018. The NAFLD prevalence in participants with schizophrenia (22.44%) was higher than that in participants with bipolar disorder (17.89%), depressive disorder (12.62%), and other mental disorders (12.99%). Women had similar or even higher NAFLD prevalence than men after 50 years. Men, 50–59 years (aOR = 1.71), schizophrenia (aOR = 1.56), bipolar disorder (aOR = 1.47), antipsychotics use (aOR = 1.46), hypertension (aOR = 1.50), diabetes (aOR = 1.83), dyslipidemia (aOR = 2.50) were risk factors for NAFLD in mental disorder inpatients.

Conclusion

NAFLD was common among Chinese mental disorder inpatients, and increased over years. The prevalence of NAFLD was higher among men, old women, inpatients with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, antipsychotics, hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia. Fatty liver disease among mental disorder population warrants the attention of psychiatric specialists and health policy-makers.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12072-020-10132-z.

Adolescent Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Type 2 Diabetes in Young Adulthood

CONTEXT

The long-term risk of type 2 diabetes in adolescents with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To assess type 2 diabetes risk among adolescents with NAFLD.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A nationwide, population-based study of Israeli adolescents who were examined before military service during 1997-2011 and were followed until December 31, 2016.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1 025 796 normoglycemic adolescents were included.

INTERVENTIONS

Biopsy or radiographic tests were prerequisite for NAFLD diagnosis. Data were linked to the Israeli National Diabetes Registry.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Type 2 diabetes incidence.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, 12 of 633 adolescents with NAFLD (1.9%; all with high body mass index [BMI] at baseline) were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes compared with 2917 (0.3%) adolescents without NAFLD. The hazard ratio (HR) for type 2 diabetes was 2.59 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-4.58) for the NAFLD vs. the non-NAFLD group after adjustment for BMI and sociodemographic confounders. The elevated risk persisted in several sensitivity analyses. These included an analysis of persons without other metabolic comorbidities (adjusted HR, 2.75 [95% CI, 1.48-5.14]) and of persons with high BMI; and an analysis whose outcome was type 2 diabetes by age 30 years (adjusted HR, 2.14 [95% CI, 1.02-4.52]). The results remained significant when a sex-, birth year-, and BMI-matched control group was the reference (adjusted HR, 2.98 [95% CI, 1.54-5.74]).

CONCLUSIONS

Among normoglycemic adolescents, NAFLD was associated with an increased adjusted risk for type 2 diabetes, which may be apparent before age 30 years.

Links between gut microbiome composition and fatty liver disease in a large population sample

Fatty liver disease is the most common liver disease in the world. Its connection with the gut microbiome has been known for at least 80 y, but this association remains mostly unstudied in the general population because of underdiagnosis and small sample sizes. To address this knowledge gap, we studied the link between the Fatty Liver Index (FLI), a well-established proxy for fatty liver disease, and gut microbiome composition in a representative, ethnically homogeneous population sample of 6,269 Finnish participants. We based our models on biometric covariates and gut microbiome compositions from shallow metagenome sequencing. Our classification models could discriminate between individuals with a high FLI (≥60, indicates likely liver steatosis) and low FLI (<60) in internal cross-region validation, consisting of 30% of the data not used in model training, with an average AUC of 0.75 and AUPRC of 0.56 (baseline at 0.30). In addition to age and sex, our models included differences in 11 microbial groups from class Clostridia, mostly belonging to orders Lachnospirales and Oscillospirales. Our models were also predictive of the high FLI group in a different Finnish cohort, consisting of 258 participants, with an average AUC of 0.77 and AUPRC of 0.51 (baseline at 0.21). Pathway analysis of representative genomes of the positively FLI-associated taxa in (NCBI) Clostridium subclusters IV and XIVa indicated the presence of, e.g., ethanol fermentation pathways. These results support several findings from smaller case-control studies, such as the role of endogenous ethanol producers in the development of the fatty liver.

Renal hyperfiltration, fatty liver index, and the hazards of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in Finnish men

OBJECTIVES

Renal hyperfiltration (RHF) and fatty liver are separately associated with adverse health outcomes. In this study, we investigated the mortality hazard of coexisting RHF and fatty liver.

METHODS

Middle-aged men from the Kuopio Ischaemic Disease Risk Factor Study (n=1,552) were followed up for a median of 29 years. Associations among RHF, fatty liver index (FLI) score, age, body mass index, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and hypertension status were assessed using logistic regression. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality with respect to RHF and fatty liver.

RESULTS

Of the men, 5% had RHF (n=73), whereas a majority had fatty liver (n=848). RHF was associated specifically with smoking, and fatty liver was associated specifically with overweight. The all-cause mortality hazard was highest (HR, 1.96; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27 to 3.01) among men with RHF and fatty liver (n=33). Among men with RHF but normal FLI (n=40), the HR of all-cause mortality was 1.67 (95% CI, 1.15 to 2.42). Among men with fatty liver but a normal estimated glomerular filtration rate (n=527), the HR of all-cause mortality was 1.35 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.66). CVD mortality hazard was associated with RHF, but not fatty liver. We detected no interaction effect between RHF and fatty liver for all-cause (synergy index, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.21 to 2.67) or CVD (synergy index, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.34 to 2.60) mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

RHF and fatty liver are independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality

Readiness for the epidemic: The adult nonalcoholic fatty liver disease toolkit for primary care nurse practitioners

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) prevalence has reached epidemic proportions, and the severe form, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, can result in cirrhosis and liver failure. The growing prevalence requires primary care (PC) providers to be adept at recognition and management; however, they experience significant knowledge gaps that can result in delayed access to interventions that could improve outcomes. This study's aim was to develop and evaluate a toolkit to improve knowledge gaps and support evidence-based practice (EBP) among PC nurse practitioners caring for patients with NAFLD in a midwestern state.

METHODS AND INTERVENTION

The Adult NAFLD Toolkit was designed using the Knowledge to Action framework and guidelines from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality. The success of the toolkit was evaluated by administering the NAFLD survey for general practitioners in a pre-post evaluation design.

RESULTS

Pre-post survey scores (N = 11) were compared for statistically significant change using the Wilcoxon signed rank test for matched pairs and showed improvement in overall knowledge (p = .011), perceived preparedness to care for NAFLD (p = .007), intention to recommend weight loss for management (p = .008), and intention to use the NAFLD fibrosis score for patient monitoring (p = .008).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this pilot study demonstrate successful implementation and positive outcomes of an EBP toolkit and support its expanded use. Continued evaluation on a larger scale is needed. Health care providers can use the process described in this article to develop and implement toolkits to support EBP of other PC issues.

Case-finding strategies in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Among the large population of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), identifying those with advanced disease remains challenging. Many patients are diagnosed late, following the development of liver-related complications, leading to poor clinical outcomes. Accumulating evidence suggests that using non-invasive tests for liver fibrosis in patients with metabolic risk factors improves the detection of patients in need of specialised management and is cost-effective. Because of the vast number of patients requiring evaluation, the active participation of general practitioners and physicians who manage patients with metabolic disorders, such as diabetologists, is crucial; this calls for the increased awareness of NAFLD beyond liver clinics. Non-invasive case-finding strategies will need to be further validated and generalised for upcoming drug therapies to have the required impact on the worldwide burden of NAFLD.

A New, Non-Invasive Scale for Steatosis Developed Using Real-World Data From Russian Outpatients to Aid in the Diagnosis of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Introduction

The current non-invasive tools for the diagnosis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have methodological limitations. We aimed to develop a non-invasive scale to assist in the diagnosis of NAFLD. To achieve our aim, we conducted a secondary analysis of data from a large observational study conducted in Russia.

Methods

This retrospective analysis assessed the frequency of NAFLD in the population of patients in the DIREG_L_06725 study, an epidemiological, observational, cross-sectional, multicenter study performed in 50,145 outpatients from 16 Russian cities. Among the cohort of patients diagnosed with NAFLD, we identified factors associated with the risk of NAFLD. To develop a non-invasive tool for diagnosing NAFLD, we also determined the frequency of steatohepatitis.

Results

Our analysis included 48,297 patients; NAFLD was present in 20,281 patients (42.0%). The majority (64.1%) were women (80.3% post-menopause), and 87% had a body mass index (BMI) > 27.0 kg/m². We developed a fully non-invasive scale (St-index) that showed a specificity of 91.4% for ruling in steatosis, and a sensitivity of 93.8% for ruling out steatosis. Multivariate regression analyses conducted in the subgroups of patients aged ≥ 12 and < 18 years and those with BMI < 25.0 kg/m² produced area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve values of 0.8243 and 0.7054, respectively. The factors most strongly associated with the development of NAFLD were age > 35 years, presence of type 2 diabetes mellitus, and a waist circumference/height ratio > 0.54.

Conclusion

Our non-invasive steatosis scale, St-index, can help physicians diagnose NAFLD in high-risk patients in the absence of ultrasound data.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: Conceptual changes for clinicians, researchers and patients

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is now the most common etiology of chronic liver disease threatening global public health. However, the name "NAFLD" is no longer appropriate with the change of time. Recently, a new term, "metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease" has been proposed by an international panel of experts, which implies profound conceptual changes in terms of its metabolism-related etiology and disease heterogeneity. In this article we discuss the specific conceptual changes that clinicians, researchers and patients must absorb.

Vitamin D and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD): An Update

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the first cause of chronic liver disease worldwide; it ranges from simple steatosis to steatohepatitis (NASH) and, potentially, cirrhosis and hepatocarcinoma. NAFLD is also an independent risk factor for type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and mortality. As it is largely associated with insulin resistance and related disorders, NAFLD has been recently re-named as Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD). At present, there are no approved pharmacological treatments for this condition. Vitamin D is a molecule with extensive anti-fibrotic, anti-inflammatory, and insulin-sensitizing properties, which have been proven also in hepatic cells and is involved in immune-metabolic pathways within the gut–adipose tissue–liver axis. Epidemiological data support a relationship hypovitaminosis D and the presence of NAFLD and steatohepatitis (NASH); however, results from vitamin D supplementation trials on liver outcomes are controversial. This narrative review provides an overview of the latest evidence on pathophysiological pathways connecting vitamin D to NAFLD, with emphasis on the effects of vitamin D treatment in MAFLD by a nonsystematic literature review of PubMed published clinical trials. This article conforms to the Scale for Assessment of Narrative Review Articles (SANRA) guidelines. Evidence so far available supports the hypothesis of potential benefits of vitamin D supplementation in selected populations of NAFLD patients, as those with shorter disease duration and mild to moderate liver damage.

Drug development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: challenges in research, regulatory pathways, and study endpoints

INTRODUCTION

The growing prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and its association with obesity as a metabolic disease contributes to harmful outcomes and healthcare resource burden worldwide. For this reason, there is an urgent need to develop new therapies. Identification of treatment targets, research design, endpoints definitions and assessments, and supportive regulatory pathways for drug approval all play prominent roles in shaping efforts in drug discovery, investigation, and approval.

AREAS COVERED

In this perspective, the authors enumerate key challenges of NAFLD clinical research and offer a conceptual framework to address these issues which arise during clinical trials.

EXPERT OPINION

With the anticipated significant healthcare and costs burden that NAFLD will impose throughout the world, the diagnostics and drug development processes need to be accelerated. Important measures to improve clinical trial research include standardization of case definitions, comprehensive and granular covariate data collection, quality study development incorporating novel trial designs, and quality data reporting. The authors believe that these actions will accelerate understanding, development, and ultimately approval of efficacious treatments.

Redefining fatty liver disease: an international patient perspective

Despite its increased recognition as a major health threat, fatty liver disease associated with metabolic dysfunction remains largely underdiagnosed and undertreated. An international consensus panel has called for the disease to be renamed from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and has suggested how the disease should be diagnosed. This Viewpoint explores the call from the perspective of patient advocacy groups. Patients are well aware of the negative consequences of the NAFLD acronym. This advocacy group enthusiastically endorses the call to reframe the disease, which we believe will ultimately have a positive effect on patient care and quality of life and, through this effect, will reduce the burden on health-care systems. For patients, policy makers, health planners, donors, and non-hepatologists, the new acronym MAFLD is clear, squarely placing the disease as a manifestation of metabolic dysfunction and improving understanding at a public health and patient level. The authors from representative patient groups are supportive of this change, particularly as the new acronym is meaningful to all citizens as well as governments and policy makers, and, above all, is devoid of any stigma.

Patterns and predictors of mortality and disease progression among patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Factors associated with mortality and disease progression in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are poorly understood.

AIMS

To assess the impact of liver disease severity, demographics and comorbidities on all-cause mortality and liver disease progression in a large, real-world cohort of NAFLD patients.

METHODS

Claims data from the German Institut für angewandte Gesundheitsforschung database between 2011 and 2016 were analyzed retrospectively. Adult patients diagnosed with NAFLD and/or NASH were categorised as NAFLD, NAFLD non-progressors, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplant or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The longitudinal probability of mortality and incidence of progression were calculated for disease severity cohorts and multivariable analyses performed for adjusted mortality.

RESULTS

Among 4 580 434 patients in the database, prevalence of NAFLD was 4.7% (n = 215 655). Of those, 36.8% were non-progressors, 0.2% compensated cirrhosis, 9.6% decompensated cirrhosis, 0.0005% liver transplant and 0.2% HCC. Comorbidity rates were significantly higher in compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and HCC compared with non-progressors. The longitudinal probability of mortality for non-progressors, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and HCC was 3.6%, 18.7%, 28.8% and 68%, respectively. Independent predictors of mortality included cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obesity and renal impairment. The cumulative incidence of progression in NAFLD and compensated cirrhosis patients was 10.7% and 16.7%, respectively, over 5 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSION

NAFLD patients were severely under-diagnosed and had a high probability of mortality that increased with disease progression. Early identification and effective management to halt or reverse fibrosis are essential to prevent progression.

The diagnostic conundrum in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become the most common liver alteration worldwide. It encompasses a spectrum of disorders that range from simple steatosis to a progressive form, defined non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), that can lead to advanced fibrosis and eventually cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. On liver histology, NASH is characterized by the concomitant presence of significant fat accumulation and inflammatory reaction with hepatocellular injury. Until now, liver biopsy is still required to differentiate simple steatosis from NASH and evaluate the degree of liver fibrosis. Unfortunately, this technique has well-known limitations, including invasiveness and expensiveness. Moreover, it may be biased by sampling error and intra- or inter-observed variability. Furthermore, due to the increasing prevalence of NAFLD worldwide, to program a systematic screening with liver biopsy is not imaginable. In recent years, different techniques were developed and validated with the aim of non-invasively identifying NASH and assess liver fibrosis degrees. The non-invasive tests range from simple blood-tests analyses to composite scores and complex imaging techniques. Nevertheless, even if they could represent cost-effective strategies for diagnosing NASH, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, their accuracy and consequent usefulness are to be discussed. With this aim, in this review the authors summarize the current state of non-invasive assessment of NAFLD. In particular, in addition to the well-established tests, the authors describe the future perspectives in this field, reporting the latest tests based on OMICS, gut-miocrobioma and micro-RNAs. Finally, the authors provide an accurate assessment of how these non-invasive tools perform in clinical practice depending on the clinical context, with the aim of giving the clinicians a useful tool to try to resolve the diagnostic conundrum of NAFLD.

Dallas Steatosis Index Identifies Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Tools have been developed to determine risk for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) based on imaging, which does not always detect early-grade hepatic steatosis. We aimed to develop a tool to identify patients with NAFLD using ¹H MR spectroscopy (MRS).

METHODS

We collected data from the Dallas Heart Study-a multiethnic, population-based, probability study of adults (18-65 y) that comprised an in-home medical survey; collection of fasting blood samples; MRS images to measure cardiac mass/function, abdominal subcutaneous/visceral adiposity; and quantification of hepatic triglyceride concentration, from 2000 through 2009. NAFLD were defined as 5.5% or more liver fat and we excluded patients with more than moderate alcohol use; 737 patients were included in the final analysis. We performed binary multivariable logistic regression analysis to develop a tool to identify patients with NAFLD and evaluate interactions among variables. We performed an internal validation analysis using 10-fold cross validation.

RESULTS

We developed the Dallas Steatosis Index (DSI) to identify patients with NAFLD based on level of alanine aminotransferase, body mass index, age, sex, levels of triglycerides and glucose, diabetes, hypertension, and ethnicity. The DSI discriminated between patients with vs without NAFLD with a C-statistic of 0.824. The DSI outperformed 4 risk analysis tools, based on net reclassification improvement and decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed an index, called the DSI, which accurately identifies patients with NAFLD based on MRS data. The DSI requires external validation, but might be used in development NAFLD screening programs, in monitoring progression of hepatic steatosis, and in epidemiology studies.

(-)-Epicatechin and the comorbidities of obesity

Obesity has major adverse consequences on human health contributing to the development of, among others, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, altered behavior and cognition, and cancer. Changes in dietary habits and lifestyle could contribute to mitigate the development and/or progression of these pathologies. This review will discuss current evidence on the beneficial actions of the flavan-3-ol (-)-epicatechin (EC) on obesity-associated comorbidities. These benefits can be in part explained through EC's capacity to mitigate several common events underlying the development of these pathologies, including: i) high circulating levels of glucose, lipids and endotoxins; ii) chronic systemic inflammation; iii) tissue endoplasmic reticulum and oxidative stress; iv) insulin resistance; v) mitochondria dysfunction and vi) dysbiosis. The currently known underlying mechanisms and cellular targets of EC's beneficial effects are discussed. While, there is limited evidence from human studies supplementing with pure EC, other studies involving cocoa supplementation in humans, pure EC in rodents and in vitro studies, support a potential beneficial action of EC on obesity-associated comorbidities. This evidence also stresses the need of further research in the field, which would contribute to the development of human dietary strategies to mitigate the adverse consequences of obesity.

Management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the Middle East

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the Middle East is increasing in parallel to an increase in the prevalence of associated risk factors such as obesity, metabolic syndrome, and type 2 diabetes mellitus. About 20% to 30% of the patients progress to develop nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), a histological subtype of NAFLD, with features of hepatocyte injury such as hepatocyte ballooning. NASH can progress to fibrosis, cirrhosis, and even hepatocellular carcinoma. NAFLD thus causes a substantial burden on healthcare systems and it is imperative that appropriate strategies are discussed at a regional level to facilitate effective management tailored to the needs of the region. To fulfil this unmet need, expert gastroenterologists, hepatologists, and endocrinologists from the region came together in three advisory board meetings that were conducted in Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait, to discuss current local challenges in NAFLD screening and diagnosis, and the different available management options. The experts discussed the disease burden of NAFLD/NASH in the Middle East; screening, diagnosis, and referral patterns in NAFLD; and available treatment options for NAFLD and NASH. This paper summarizes the discussions and opinion of the expert panel on the management of NAFLD/NASH and also presents an extensive literature review on the topic.

Type 2 Diabetes: A Risk Factor for Hospital Readmissions and Mortality in Australian Patients With Cirrhosis

Although there is evidence that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) impacts adversely on liver‐related mortality, its influence on hospital readmissions and development of complications in patients with cirrhosis, particularly in alcohol‐related cirrhosis (the most common etiological factor among Australian hospital admissions for cirrhosis) has not been well studied. This study aimed to investigate the association between T2D and liver cirrhosis in a population‐based cohort of patients admitted for cirrhosis in the state of Queensland, Australia. A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using data from the Queensland Hospital Admitted Patient Data Collection, which contains information on all hospital episodes of care for patients with liver cirrhosis, and the Death Registry during 2008‐2017. We used demographic, clinical data, and socioeconomic characteristics. A total of 8,631 patients were analyzed. A higher proportion of patients with T2D had cryptogenic cirrhosis (42.4% vs. 27.3%, respectively; P < 0.001) or nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (13.8% vs. 3.4%, respectively; P < 0.001) and an admission for hepatocellular carcinoma (18.0% vs. 12.2%, respectively; P < 0.001) compared to patients without T2D. Patients with liver cirrhosis with T2D compared to those without T2D had a significantly increased median length of hospital stay (6 [range, 1‐11] vs. 5 [range, 1‐11] days, respectively; P < 0.001), double the rate of noncirrhosis‐related admissions (incidence rate ratios [IRR], 2.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.98‐2.07), a 1.35‐fold increased rate of cirrhosis‐related admissions (IRR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.30‐1.41), and significantly lower survival (P < 0.001). Conclusion: Among hospitalized patients with cirrhosis, the cohort with T2D is at higher risk and may benefit from attention to comorbidities and additional support to reduce readmissions.

Liver macrophages mediate effects of downhill running and caloric restriction on nonalcoholic fatty liver disease of high fat diet-fed mice

AIMS

The mechanism of physical activity and calorie restriction remedying non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains elusive. The purpose of this study is to explore the effects of eccentric exercise and dietary regulation allied or alone on high-fat diet (HFD) induced NAFLD and its potential mechanism.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Mice were fed with HFD for 12 weeks and subsequently treated with chronic downhill running and caloric restriction for 8 weeks. Related biochemical index were examined both before and during intervention to evaluate the liver injury and dyslipidemia. Levels of MCP1, TNFα, IL-1β, IL-6 and IL-10 were detected by ELISA. Liver morphology was observed by H&E and oil red O staining. Protein contents of iNOS, Arg-1, IL-1β and IL-10 were determined by Western blot. CD86 and CD206 fluorescence were determined by Immunofluorescence. KEY FINDING: (1) 12 weeks' HFD induced hyperlipemia and hepatic steatosis by activating M1 macrophages phenotype and inhibiting M2 macrophages. (2) Chronic downhill running and caloric restriction promoted liver M2 macrophages phenotype, and inhibited M1 macrophages, to attenuate chronic inflammation and ameliorate hepatic steatosis. (3) The effects of downhill running and dietary regulation allied were more effective on improving NAFLD compared with downhill running or caloric restriction alone.

SIGNIFICANCE

Eccentric exercise accompanied by caloric restriction attenuates HFD-related NAFLD by promoting M2 macrophages phenotype and inhibiting M1 macrophages in liver. These findings may be help to designing better non-pharmacological intervention programs for NAFLD patients.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and type 2 diabetes: where do Diabetologists stand?

Background

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. The increasing prevalence of NAFLD mirrors that of obesity and type 2 diabetes over the last two decades.

Main

In a two-way pathophysiologic relationship, NAFLD increases the risk of developing type 2 diabetes, while the latter promotes the progression of simple fatty liver to a more advanced form called nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). NASH increases the risk of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which may require liver transplantation. With the absence of FDA-approved medications for NAFLD treatment, lifestyle intervention remains the only therapy. Lately, extensive research efforts have been aimed at modifying NASH fibrosis and developing noninvasive screening methods.

Conclusion

We highlight the pathophysiologic relationships between NAFLD and type 2 diabetes, discuss disease recognition, models of care, and current and emerging therapies for NASH treatment.

What's in a name? Renaming 'NAFLD' to 'MAFLD'

In medicine, language matters and the words used to name and describe a disease can have a profound impact on patients and their families. Over the last two decades, many criticisms have been voiced about the nomenclature and definition of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in regards not only to the prominent role that alcohol plays in the definition but also on the negative impacts of the nomenclature including trivialization, stigmatization and less consideration of the disease in health policy. Recently, a consensus of international experts proposed that the disease acronym be changed from NAFLD to metabolic (dysfunction) associated fatty liver disease or 'MAFLD'. This change goes far beyond a mere semantic revision and may be the first step that catalyses the process to better conceptualize the disease for health promotion, patient orientation, case identification, ongoing clinical trials and for health services delivery. Here we review the history of, and definitions of MAFLD in the context of advancing our understanding of the pathogenesis of the disease. We also address the reasons, signals, promises, challenges and the way going forward from the name change from various stakeholder perspectives.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: An Important Consideration for Primary Care Providers in Hawai'i

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. NAFLD is a broad term for both non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL), which describes simple fatty liver without inflammation, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), the more severe phenotype with hepatocellular inflammation. The population of Hawai'i is particularly vulnerable to the NAFLD and obesity epidemics due to its large proportions of high-risk ethnic minorities exposed to varying degrees of westernization. Unfortunately, primary care providers (PCPs) often face a lack of awareness on the diagnosis and disease spectrum of NAFLD. Early initiation of treatment for NAFLD is crucial to slow its progression and prevent liver-related morbidity and mortality. This review aims to raise awareness for NAFLD among PCPs in Hawai'i by summarizing the disease's epidemiology, diagnosis, and treatment. The diagnostic workup of NAFLD in the primary care setting involves exclusion of other liver disease etiologies and staging assessment of fibrosis and steatosis through non-invasive means such as serum biomarkers or elastography. Patients with overt signs and symptoms of cirrhosis or a high likelihood of advanced hepatic fibrosis should be referred to liver disease specialists. The role of PCPs in NAFLD management involves facilitating weight loss through therapeutic lifestyle modifications and treatment of comorbid cardiovascular conditions. Evidence-based pharmacologic therapies for NAFLD are available, such as vitamin E and pioglitazone, with more currently in development.

The European medical information framework: A novel ecosystem for sharing healthcare data across Europe

INTRODUCTION

The European medical information framework (EMIF) was an Innovative Medicines Initiative project jointly supported by the European Union and the European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations, that generated a common technology and governance framework to identify, assess and (re)use healthcare data, to facilitate real-world data research. The objectives of EMIF included providing a unified platform to support a wide range of studies within two verification programmes-Alzheimer's disease (EMIF-AD), and metabolic consequences of obesity (EMIF-MET).

METHODS

The EMIF platform was built around two main data-types: electronic health record data and research cohort data, and the platform architecture composed of a set of tools designed to enable data discovery and characterisation. This included the EMIF catalogue, which allowed users to find relevant data sources, including the data-types collected. Data harmonisation via a common data model were central to the project especially for population data sources. EMIF also developed an ethical code of practice to ensure data protection, patient confidentiality and compliance with the European Data Protection Directive, and GDPR.

RESULTS

Currently 18 population-based disease agnostic and 60 cohort-based Alzheimer's data partners from across 14 countries are contained within the catalogue, and this will continue to expand. The work conducted in EMIF-AD and EMIF-MET includes standardizing cohorts, summarising baseline characteristics of patients, developing diagnostic algorithms, epidemiological studies, identifying and validating novel biomarkers and selecting potential patient samples for pharmacological intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

EMIF was designed to provide a sustainable model as demonstrated by the sustainability plans for EMIF-AD. Although network-wide studies using EMIF were not conducted during this project to evaluate its sustainability, learning from EMIF will be used in the follow-on IMI-2 project, European Health Data and Evidence Network (EHDEN). Furthermore, EMIF has facilitated collaborations between partners and continues to promote a wider adoption of principles, technology and architecture through some of its continued work.

Effectiveness of phosphatidylcholine as adjunctive therapy in improving liver function tests in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and metabolic comorbidities: real-life observational study from Russia

Objective

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of abnormal results of liver function tests. Earlier research showed that polyenylphosphatidylcholine (PPC) has hepatoprotective effects and thus can be used for the treatment of NAFLD and the prevention of its progression. Accordingly, the aim of this observational study was to evaluate if PPC administered as adjunctive therapy in routine clinical practice can effectively improve liver function tests of NAFLD in Russian patients with associated metabolic comorbidities.

Design

A total of 2843 adult patients with newly diagnosed NAFLD, who had a least one of four comorbidities, namely, overweight/obesity, hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and hypercholesterolaemia, and who were prescribed 1.8 g/day of PPC as an adjunctive treatment to standard care, were enrolled during 2015-2016. Laboratory data were collected at baseline and 12 and 24 weeks of the study, and included liver function tests (aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT)), fasting plasma glucose, and lipid profile.

Results

Overall, 2263 patients (79.6%) had at least two metabolic comorbidities associated with NAFLD, and overweight/obesity was the most common comorbidity reported in 2298 (80.8%) patients. At 24 weeks, there was a significant decrease in liver enzyme levels (all p<0.001 compared with baseline). Across the four comorbidity subgroups, there was a mean drop of ALT levels ranging from 19.7 to 22.0 U/L, AST from 16.9 to 18.4 U/L, and GGT from 17.2 to 18.7 U/L. Similar findings were reported in subgroups with either one, two, three, or four comorbidities, with a significant decrease in liver enzyme levels ranging from 18.4 to 22.4 U/L for ALT, 14.8 to 18.7 U/L for AST, and 15.5 to 19.5 U/L for GGT.

Conclusions

Adjuvant treatment with PPC resulted in consistent improvements in liver enzymes in patients with newly diagnosed NAFLD and associated metabolic comorbidities.

Trial registration number

NCT00063622.

Patatin-Like Phospholipase Domain-Containing Protein 3 I148M and Liver Fat and Fibrosis Scores Predict Liver Disease Mortality in the U.S. Population

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Fatty liver causes premature death worldwide and requires long-term health care. We examined relationships of liver disease markers, including patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3) I148M, with mortality in the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988-1994, with 27 years of linked mortality data.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We studied 13,298 viral hepatitis negative adults who fasted at least 4 hours using the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) liver fat score and NAFLD fibrosis score. PNPLA3 I148M was genotyped in a subgroup of participants from 1991 to 1994 (n = 5,640). Participants were passively followed for mortality, identified by death certificate underlying or contributing causes, by linkage to the National Death Index through 2015. During follow-up (median, 23.2 years), cumulative mortality was 33.2% overall and 1.1% with liver disease, including primary liver cancer. Increased liver disease mortality was associated with PNPLA3 I148M (hazard ratio [HR], 2.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9-9.8) and 148M genotypes (HR, 18.2; 95% CI, 3.5-93.8), an intermediate (HR, 3.8; 95% CI, 1.3-10.7) or high (HR, 12.6; 95% CI, 4.3-36.3) NAFLD liver fat score, and a high NAFLD fibrosis score (HR, 12.2; 95% CI, 1.9-80.6) adjusted for risk factors. Survival curves suggest that increased mortality risk with two 148M alleles was greatest beginning in the second decade of follow-up. Overall, but not cardiovascular disease, mortality was associated with the PNPLA3 148M allele, and both mortality outcomes were associated with higher fat and fibrosis scores.

CONCLUSIONS

In the U.S. population, PNPLA3 I148M and higher NAFLD liver fat and fibrosis scores were associated with increased liver disease mortality. Genetic variant PNPLA3 I148M may complement other liver disease markers for NAFLD surveillance.

A cross-sectional study of the public health response to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in Europe

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a growing public health problem worldwide and has become an important field of biomedical inquiry. We aimed to determine whether European countries have mounted an adequate public health response to NAFLD and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

METHODS

In 2018 and 2019, NAFLD experts in 29 European countries completed an English-language survey on policies, guidelines, awareness, monitoring, diagnosis and clinical assessment in their country. The data were compiled, quality checked against existing official documents and reported descriptively.

RESULTS

None of the 29 participating countries had written strategies or action plans for NAFLD. Two countries (7%) had mentions of NAFLD or NASH in related existing strategies (obesity and alcohol). Ten (34%) reported having national clinical guidelines specifically addressing NAFLD and, upon diagnosis, all included recommendations for the assessment of diabetes and liver cirrhosis. Eleven countries (38%) recommended screening for NAFLD in all patients with either diabetes, obesity and/or metabolic syndrome. Five countries (17%) had referral algorithms for follow-up and specialist referral in primary care, and 7 (24%) reported structured lifestyle programmes aimed at NAFLD. Seven (24%) had funded awareness campaigns that specifically included prevention of liver disease. Four countries (14%) reported having civil society groups which address NAFLD and 3 countries (10%) had national registries that include NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that a comprehensive public health response to NAFLD is lacking in the surveyed European countries. This includes policy in the form of a strategy, clinical guidelines, awareness campaigns, civil society involvement, and health systems organisation, including registries.

LAY SUMMARY

We conducted a survey on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease with experts in European countries, coupled with data extracted from official documents on policies, clinical guidelines, awareness, and monitoring. We found a general lack of national policies, awareness campaigns and civil society involvement, and few epidemiological registries.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of incident acute myocardial infarction and stroke: findings from matched cohort study of 18 million European adults

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or stroke in adults with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

DESIGN

Matched cohort study.

SETTING

Population based, electronic primary healthcare databases before 31 December 2015 from four European countries: Italy (n=1 542 672), Netherlands (n=2 225 925), Spain (n=5 488 397), and UK (n=12 695 046).

PARTICIPANTS

120 795 adults with a recorded diagnosis of NAFLD or NASH and no other liver diseases, matched at time of NAFLD diagnosis (index date) by age, sex, practice site, and visit, recorded at six months before or after the date of diagnosis, with up to 100 patients without NAFLD or NASH in the same database.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome was incident fatal or non-fatal AMI and ischaemic or unspecified stroke. Hazard ratios were estimated using Cox models and pooled across databases by random effect meta-analyses.

RESULTS

120 795 patients with recorded NAFLD or NASH diagnoses were identified with mean follow-up 2.1-5.5 years. After adjustment for age and smoking the pooled hazard ratio for AMI was 1.17 (95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.30; 1035 events in participants with NAFLD or NASH, 67 823 in matched controls). In a group with more complete data on risk factors (86 098 NAFLD and 4 664 988 matched controls), the hazard ratio for AMI after adjustment for systolic blood pressure, type 2 diabetes, total cholesterol level, statin use, and hypertension was 1.01 (0.91 to 1.12; 747 events in participants with NAFLD or NASH, 37 462 in matched controls). After adjustment for age and smoking status the pooled hazard ratio for stroke was 1.18 (1.11 to 1.24; 2187 events in participants with NAFLD or NASH, 134 001 in matched controls). In the group with more complete data on risk factors, the hazard ratio for stroke was 1.04 (0.99 to 1.09; 1666 events in participants with NAFLD, 83 882 in matched controls) after further adjustment for type 2 diabetes, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol level, statin use, and hypertension.

CONCLUSIONS

The diagnosis of NAFLD in current routine care of 17.7 million patient appears not to be associated with AMI or stroke risk after adjustment for established cardiovascular risk factors. Cardiovascular risk assessment in adults with a diagnosis of NAFLD is important but should be done in the same way as for the general population.