Risk of Progression to Diabetes Among Older Adults With Prediabetes

From Stability to Variability: Classification of Healthy Individuals, Prediabetes, and Type 2 Diabetes Using Glycemic Variability Indices from Continuous Glucose Monitoring Data

Objective: This study aims to investigate the continuum of glucose control from normoglycemia to dysglycemia (HbA1c ≥ 5.7%/39 mmol/mol) using metrics derived from continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). In addition, we aim to develop a machine learning-based classification model to classify dysglycemia based on observed patterns. Methods: Data from five distinct studies, each featuring at least two days of CGM, were pooled. Participants included individuals classified as healthy, with prediabetes, or with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Various CGM indices were extracted and compared across groups. The data set was split 70/30 for training and testing two classification models (XGBoost/Logistic Regression) to differentiate between prediabetes or dysglycemia and the healthy group. Results: The analysis included 836 participants (healthy: n = 282; prediabetes: n = 133; T2DM: n = 432). Across all CGM indices, a progressive shift was observed from the healthy group to those with diabetes (P < 0.001). Statistically significant differences (P < 0.01) were noted in mean glucose, time below range, time above 140 mg/dl, mobility, multiscale complexity index, and glycemic risk index when transitioning from health to prediabetes. The XGBoost models achieved the highest receiver operating characteristic area under the curve values on the test data set ranging from 0.91 [confidence interval (CI): 0.87-0.95] (prediabetes identification) to 0.97 [CI: 0.95-0.98] (dysglycemia identification). Conclusion: Our findings demonstrate a gradual deterioration of glucose homeostasis and increased glycemic variability across the spectrum from normo- to dysglycemia, as evidenced by CGM metrics. The performance of CGM-based indices in classifying healthy individuals and those with prediabetes and diabetes is promising.

Liraglutide's Effect on Weight Management in Subjects With Pre-diabetes: A Systematic Review & Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Despite the growing literature, the effectiveness of liraglutide in weight management among individuals with prediabetes and in preventing the disease remains controversial. This study aims to critically evaluate the extent of liraglutide's impact on weight management in this population and assess the heterogeneity among extant studies.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted across MEDLINE, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the reference list of retrieved studies to identify eligible English language randomized controlled trials evaluating liraglutide's effect on weight in individuals with pre-diabetes. Non-randomized studies, studies not reporting relevant outcomes, and those conducted on patients with type 2 diabetes were excluded from this review. Outcomes included a change from baseline in absolute body weight in kg, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Additional safety outcomes were also reported. Data were analyzed using R statistical software version 4.3.1. A fixed-effect model was used when pooling crude numbers for study outcomes. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis using random-effect model was performed and heterogeneity was assessed using I2 statistics.

RESULTS

Five eligible studies were included, with a total of 1604 subjects in the liraglutide arm and 859 subjects in the control arm. Participants exposed to liraglutide showed a decrease in body weight (mean difference [MD] = -4.95 kg; 95% CI -5.16, -4.73; I2 = 93%), BMI (MD = -2.06 kg/m2; 95%CI -2.22, -1.89; I2 = 97%), waist circumference (MD = -4.61 cm; 95% CI -4.79, -4.43; I2 = 82%), HbA1c (MD = -0.33%; 95%CI -0.34, -0.31; I2 = 100%), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (MD = -0.36 mmol/L; 95% CI -0.39, -0.33; I2 = 99%). The overall effect size remained similar when using a random-effects model for all outcomes. In addition, the rate of adverse events was higher with liraglutide when compared to the control; however, the dropout rates were relatively lower in the former arm.

CONCLUSION

While our meta-analysis suggests that liraglutide can reduce body weight, BMI, waist circumference, and HbA1c levels in individuals with pre-diabetes, the findings should be interpreted cautiously due to limitations such as the small number of trials and their short duration, and variability in dosages. Further randomized controlled trials examining long-term outcomes are essential to validate these findings and address the high heterogeneity among the studies included in this analysis.

Cerebellar gray matter and white matter damage among older adults with prediabetes

AIMS

To investigate alterations in cerebrum and cerebellum in prediabetes. Cerebellar injury in diabetes is traceable, but it has not been systematically studied, and whether cerebellar injury occurs and the degree of damage in prediabetes are not known.

METHODS

The current study investigated cerebral and cerebellar gray matter volume, white matter volume, white matter microstructure and white matter hyperintensity on T1-weighted, T2-weighted fluid-attenuated inversion recovery and diffusion tensor imaging scans in 78 individuals with normal glucose metabolism, 92 with prediabetes, and 108 with type 2 diabetes.

RESULTS

Participants with prediabetes showed significant gray matter and white matter atrophy, microstructural damage in the cerebellar and cerebral regions. Additionally, widespread structural alterations were observed in the diabetic stage. The function of the damaged brain area was further decoded in Neurosynth, and the damaged cerebellar area with prediabetic lesions was closely related to motor function, while the area affected by diabetes was related to complex cognitive function in addition to motor function.

CONCLUSIONS

Cerebellar injury had already appeared in the prediabetic stage, and cerebellar injury was aggravated in the diabetic stage; therefore, the cerebellum is a key area that is damaged early in the development of diabetes.

The role of statin therapy in older adults: best practices and unmet challenges

INTRODUCTION

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is associated with significant morbidity, functional decline, and mortality in older adults. The role of statins for primary CVD prevention in older adults remains unclear, largely due to systematic exclusion of these individuals in trials that inform current practice guidelines, leading to conflicting national and international practice recommendations for statin use for primary prevention of CVD in adults aged 75 and older.

AREAS COVERED

In this narrative review, we performed a literature review utilizing PubMed, and ultimately focus on seven major national and international guidelines of lipid lowering therapy. Through the lens of two clinical cases, we review physiologic changes in lipid metabolism with aging, discuss the relationship between cholesterol and cardiovascular events in older adults, examine the national and international guidelines and the available evidence informing these guidelines for statin use in primary prevention of CVD in older adults. Finally we review practical clinical considerations for drug monitoring and deprescribing in this population.

EXPERT OPINION

Guidelines for the use of statins for primary CVD prevention in older adults is conflicting. Collectively, evidence to date suggests statin therapy may be beneficial for primary CVD prevention in older adults free of life-limiting comorbidities. Randomized controlled trials are currently underway to address current evidence gaps.

Prediabetes Increases the Risk of Frailty in Prefrail Older Adults With Hypertension: Beneficial Effects of Metformin

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes has garnered increasing attention due to its association with cardiovascular conditions, especially hypertension, which heightens the risk of prefrailty and frailty among older individuals.

METHODS

We screened elders with prefrail hypertension from March 2021 to January 2023. We assessed the correlation linking cognitive dysfunction (Montreal Cognitive Assessment score), insulin resistance (triglyceride-to-glucose index), and physical impairment (5-meter gait speed). Then, we measured the risk of developing frailty after a 1-year follow-up period, adjusting the outcome using multivariable Cox regression analysis. We also investigated the impact of administering 500 mg of metformin once daily to a subset of frail subjects for an additional 6 months.

RESULTS

We assessed the relationship between the triglyceride-to-glucose index and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment score, observing a significant correlation (r, 0.880; P<0.0001). Similarly, we analyzed the association between the triglyceride-to-glucose index and 5-meter gait speed, uncovering a significant link between insulin resistance and physical impairment (r, 0.809; P<0.0001). Prediabetes was found to significantly (P<0.0001) elevate the risk of frailty development compared with individuals without prediabetes by the end of the 1-year follow-up, a finding confirmed via multivariable analysis with Cox regression. Furthermore, among the subgroup of subjects who developed frailty, those who received metformin exhibited a significant decrease in frailty levels (P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Insulin resistance and prediabetes play substantial roles in the development of cognitive and physical impairments, highlighting their importance in managing hypertension, even before the onset of frank diabetes. Metformin, a well-established drug for the treatment of diabetes, has shown favorable effects in mitigating frailty.

Prediabetes Progression and Reversion: Social Factors and Racial/Ethnic Differences

OBJECTIVE

Racial and ethnic minorities are disproportionately affected by diabetes. Social characteristics, such as family structure, social support, and loneliness, may contribute to these health disparities. In a nationally representative sample of diverse older adults, we evaluated longitudinal rates of both progression from prediabetes to diabetes and reversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using the longitudinal Health and Retirement Study (2006-2014), our sample included 2625 follow-up intervals with a prediabetes baseline (provided by 2229 individuals). We analyzed 4-year progression and reversion rates using HbA1c and reported presence or absence of physician-diagnosed diabetes. We utilized chi-square and logistic regression models to determine how race/ethnicity and social variables influenced progression or reversion controlling for comorbidities and demographics.

RESULTS

Overall, progression to diabetes was less common than reversion (17% vs. 36%). Compared to Whites, Hispanic/Latino respondents had higher odds of progression to diabetes from prediabetes while Black respondents had lower odds of reversion, adjusting for physical health and demographics. For social variables, Hispanics/Latinos had the highest reliance on and openness with family and the lowest rates of loneliness. The inclusion of social variables in regression models reduced the odds of progression for Hispanics/Latinos but did not alter Black's lower rate of reversion.

CONCLUSIONS

Hispanic/Latinos and Blacks not only had different transition pathways leading to diabetes, but also had different social profiles, affecting Hispanic/Latino progression, but not Black reversion. These differences in the influence of social variables on diabetes risk may inform the design of culturally-specific efforts to reduce disparities in diabetes burden.

Association of Lipoprotein and Apolipoprotein Ratios With Glycemic Levels in Individuals With Prediabetes: A Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND

 Prediabetes is defined as a hyperglycemic state between normal glucose metabolism and diabetes mellitus. It is also recognized as a predisposing factor for cardiovascular disease. Apolipoprotein is a constituent of lipoproteins, and its ratio levels (ApoB/ApoA1 ratio) are considered an independent risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. This study aimed to evaluate the apolipoprotein ratio (ApoB/ApoA1 ratio) and lipoprotein ratio (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C/HDL-C) ratio) in prediabetes in relation to glycemic levels and establish the association between apolipoprotein and lipoprotein ratios in prediabetic individuals and their glycemic levels.

METHODOLOGY

 A case-control study was conducted among 150 participants, 75 with prediabetes and 75 apparently healthy individuals (with no prediabetes or diabetes), from January 1, 2023 to December 30, 2023. The parameters involved are fasting serum glucose, insulin, blood HbA1c%, HDL-C, LDL-C, apolipoprotein A, apolipoprotein B, and lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)), measured using different principles.

RESULTS

Prediabetes was more predominant in males (58.7%), particularly those aged over 40 years (74.7%). The mean Lp(a) (46.18±11.66 mg/dl), LDL-C/HDL-C ratio (1.74±0.96), and ApoB/ApoA ratio (1.10±0.62) were significantly higher among prediabetic individuals. Moreover, these ratios were insignificantly higher in prediabetic individuals with HbA1c level (5.8-6.4%) and fasting glucose level (100-125 mg/dl) than those with lower levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Prediabetic individuals exhibited a notably elevated average level of Lp(a), as well as increased mean ApoB/ApoA1 ratio and mean LDL-C/HDL-C ratio compared to individuals who were apparently healthy.

Association of Glutathione Peroxidase 3 (GPx3) and miR-196a with Carbohydrate Metabolism Disorders in the Elderly

The escalating prevalence of carbohydrate metabolism disorders (CMDs) prompts the need for early diagnosis and effective markers for their prediction. Hyperglycemia, the primary indicator of CMDs including prediabetes and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), leads to overproduction of reactive oxygen species (ROS) and oxidative stress (OxS). This condition, resulting from chronic hyperglycemia and insufficient antioxidant defense, causes damage to biomolecules, triggering diabetes complications. Additionally, aging itself can serve as a source of OxS due to the weakening of antioxidant defense mechanisms. Notably, previous research indicates that miR-196a, by downregulating glutathione peroxidase 3 (GPx3), contributes to insulin resistance (IR). Additionally, a GPx3 decrease is observed in overweight/obese and insulin-resistant individuals and in the elderly population. This study investigates plasma GPx3 levels and miR-196a expression as potential CMD risk indicators. We used ELISA to measure GPx3 and qRT-PCR for miR-196a expression, supplemented by multivariate linear regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Our findings included a significant GPx3 reduction in the CMD patients (n = 126), especially in the T2DM patients (n = 51), and a decreasing trend in the prediabetes group (n = 37). miR-196a expression, although higher in the CMD and T2DM groups than in the controls, was not statistically significant, potentially due to the small sample size. In the individuals with CMD, GPx3 levels exhibited a negative correlation with the mass of adipose tissue, muscle, and total body water, while miR-196a positively correlated with fat mass. In the CMD group, the analysis revealed a weak negative correlation between glucose and GPx3 levels. ROC analysis indicated a 5.2-fold increased CMD risk with GPx3 below 419.501 ng/mL. Logistic regression suggested that each 100 ng/mL GPx3 increase corresponded to a roughly 20% lower CMD risk (OR = 0.998; 95% CI: 0.996-0.999; p = 0.031). These results support the potential of GPx3 as a biomarker for CMD, particularly in T2DM, and the lack of a significant decline in GPx3 levels in prediabetic individuals suggests that it may not serve reliably as an early indicator of CMDs, warranting further large-scale validation.

Clinical attachment loss is cross-sectionally associated with elevated glucose among adults without diabetes

AIM

We investigated whether periodontal measures are cross-sectionally associated with prediabetes and cardiometabolic biomarkers among non-diabetic younger adults.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One thousand seventy-one participants (mean age = 32.2 years [SE = 0.3]; 73% female) from the Oral Infections, Glucose Intolerance and Insulin Resistance Study were enrolled. Full-mouth clinical attachment loss (fm-CAL), probing depth (fm-PD) and bleeding on probing were ascertained. Interproximal CAL (i-CAL) and probing depths (i-PD) served as our primary exposures. Glucose, HbA1c, insulin and insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) outcomes were assessed from fasting blood. Prediabetes was defined per American Diabetes Association guidelines. Prediabetes prevalence ratios (PR [95% CI]) and mean [SE] cardiometabolic biomarkers were regressed on periodontal variables via multivariable robust variance Poisson regression or multivariable linear regression.

RESULTS

Prevalence of prediabetes was 12.5%. Fully adjusted prediabetes PR in Tertiles 3 versus 1 of mean i-CAL was 2.42 (1.77, 3.08). Fully adjusted fasting glucose estimates across i-CAL tertiles were 83.29 [0.43], 84.31 [0.37], 86.48 [0.46]; p for trend <.01. Greater percent of sites with i-PD ≥3 mm showed elevated natural-log-HOMA-IR after adjustment (0%-12% of sites = 0.33 [0.03], 13%-26% of sites = 0.39 [0.03], ≥27% of sites = 0.42 [0.03]; p for trend = .04).

CONCLUSIONS

i-CAL (vs. fm-CAL) was associated with elevated fasting glucose and prediabetes, whereas i-PD (vs. fm-PD) was associated with insulin resistance. Future studies are needed to examine periodontal disease and incident prediabetes.

Test and Treat for Prediabetes: A Review of the Health Effects of Prediabetes and the Role of Screening and Prevention

The term prediabetes describes blood glucose levels above the normal range but below the threshold to diagnose type 2 diabetes. Several population health initiatives encourage a test and treat approach for prediabetes. In this approach, screening and identification of individuals with prediabetes should be followed by prompt referral to structured lifestyle modification programs or pharmacologic interventions that have been shown to prevent or delay the progression to type 2 diabetes in clinical trials. Here we provide a critical review of evidence for this test and treat approach by examining health outcomes associated with prediabetes and the availability and effectiveness of lifestyle modification approaches that target prediabetes. We also describe current limitations to the reach and uptake of evidence-based treatment options for prediabetes. Finally, we highlight lessons learned from identifying and labeling other preconditions to consider challenges and opportunities that may arise with increasing awareness of prediabetes as part of routine preventive care.

Prediabetes as a risk factor for all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective analysis of 115,919 adults without diabetes in Mexico City

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes has been associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. However, no large-scale studies have been conducted in Mexico or Latin America examining these associations.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 115,919 adults without diabetes (diagnosed or undiagnosed) aged 35-84 years who participated in the Mexico City Prospective Study between 1998 and 2004. Participants were followed until January 1 st , 2021 for cause-specific mortality. We defined prediabetes according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA, HbA 1c 5.7% to 6.4%) and the International Expert Committee (IEC, HbA 1c 6.0-6.4%) definitions. Cox regression adjusted for confounders was used to estimate all-cause and cause-specific mortality rate ratios (RR) at ages 35-74 years associated with prediabetes.

FINDINGS

During 2,085,392 person-years of follow-up (median in survivors 19 years), there were 6,810 deaths at ages 35-74, including 1,742 from cardiovascular disease, 892 from renal disease and 108 from acute diabetic crises. Of 110,405 participants aged 35-74 years at recruitment, 28,852 (26%) had ADA-defined prediabetes and 7,203 (7%) had IEC-defined prediabetes. Compared with those without prediabetes, individuals with prediabetes had higher risk of all-cause mortality at ages 35-74 years (RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.07-1.19 for ADA-defined prediabetes and RR 1.28, 1.18-1.39 for IEC-defined prediabetes), as well as increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (RR 1.22 [1.10-1.35] and 1.42 [1.22-1.65], respectively), renal mortality (RR 1.35 [1.08-1.68] and 1.69 [1.24-2.31], respectively), and death from an acute diabetic crisis (RR 2.63 [1.76-3.94] and 3.43 [2.09-5.62], respectively). RRs were larger at younger than at older ages, and similar for men compared to women. The absolute excess risk associated with ADA and IEC-defined prediabetes at ages 35-74 accounted for6% and 3% of cardiovascular deaths respectively, 10% and 5% of renal deaths respectively, and 31% and 14% of acute diabetic deaths respectively.

INTERPRETATION

Prediabetes is a significant risk factor for all-cause, cardiovascular, renal, and acute diabetic deaths in Mexican adults. Identification and timely management of individuals with prediabetes for targeted risk reduction could contribute to reducing premature mortality from cardiometabolic causes in this population.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, the Mexican Health Ministry, the National Council of Science and Technology for Mexico, Cancer Research UK, British Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council. Instituto Nacional de Geriatría (Mexico City).

RESEARCH IN CONTEXT

Evidence before this study: We conducted a literature search in PubMed to identify articles published in English before February 27 th , 2024 that reported on prospective studies examining the association between prediabetes with all-cause or cause-specific mortality or progression to diabetes in a Mexican or Latin American population, using the terms ("prediabetes" OR "impaired fasting glucose" OR "impaired glucose tolerance") AND ("mortality" OR "death") AND ("Mexico" OR "Mexican" OR "Latin America" OR "Latin American"). There were no studies examining risk associated with prediabetes definitions and mortality among adults in Mexico. We identified one study from Peru that included 988 participants and investigated only all-cause mortality for impaired fasting glucose and HbA 1c -based definitions of prediabetes from ADA and IEC; this study reported increased mortality risk related to ADA-defined prediabetes based on HbA 1c measures. Generalizability of these findings to other Latin American countries and regions with distinct cardiometabolic profiles in unclear. Added value of this study: Our study included 115,919 participants without diabetes from Mexico City, of whom (26%) had ADA-defined prediabetes and 7,203 (7%) had IEC-defined prediabetes. We found that prediabetes is associated with higher risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality (cardiovascular, renal, and acute diabetic causes) than among participants without prediabetes. We found RRs to be larger at younger than at older ages, and largely similar for men compared to women. Among those without previously diagnosed diabetes, we found that the excess risk associated with ADA- and IEC-defined prediabetes at ages 35-74 years accounted for 6% and 3% of cardiovascular deaths, 10% and 5% of renal deaths, and 31% and 14% of acute diabetic deaths, respectively. .Implications of all the available evidence: Our results show that prediabetes is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular, kidney, and acute diabetic deaths among Mexican adults and accounts for a notable fraction of such deaths. Identification of individuals with prediabetes should be prioritized for optimized management to improve cardiometabolic outcomes in Mexican adults.

Heterogeneity in elevated glucose and A1C as predictors of the prediabetes to diabetes transition: Framingham Heart Study, Multi-Ethnic Study on Atherosclerosis, Jackson Heart Study, and Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities

Introduction

There are a number of glycemic definitions for prediabetes; however, the heterogeneity in diabetes transition rates from prediabetes across different glycemic definitions in major US cohorts has been unexplored. We estimate the variability in risk and relative risk of adiposity based on diagnostic criteria like fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1C% (HA1C%).

Research Design and Methods

We estimated transition rate from prediabetes, as defined by fasting glucose between 100-125 and/or 110-125 mg/dL, and HA1C% between 5.7-6.5% in participant data from the Framingham Heart Study, Multi-Ethnic Study on Atherosclerosis, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities, and the Jackson Heart Study. We estimated the heterogeneity and prediction interval across cohorts, stratifying by age, sex, and body mass index. For individuals who were prediabetic, we estimated the relative risk for obesity, blood pressure, education, age, and sex for diabetes.

Results

There is substantial heterogeneity in diabetes transition rates across cohorts and prediabetes definitions with large prediction intervals. We observed the highest range of rates in individuals with fasting glucose of 110-125 mg/dL ranging from 2-18 per 100 person-years. Across different cohorts, the association obesity or hypertension in the progression to diabetes was consistent, yet it varied in magnitude. We provide a database of transition rates across subgroups and cohorts for comparison in future studies.

Conclusion

The absolute transition rate from prediabetes to diabetes significantly depends on cohort and prediabetes definitions.

Pros and cons of live kidney donation in prediabetics: A critical review and way forward

There is shortage of organs, including kidneys, worldwide. Along with deceased kidney transplantation, there is a significant rise in live kidney donation. The prevalence of prediabetes (PD), including impaired fasting glucose and impaired glucose tolerance, is on the rise across the globe. Transplant teams frequently come across prediabetic kidney donors for evaluation. Prediabetics are at risk of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular events, stroke, neuropathy, retinopathy, dementia, depression and nonalcoholic liver disease along with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Unfortunately, most of the studies done in prediabetic kidney donors are retrospective in nature and have a short follow up period. There is lack of prospective long-term studies to know about the real risk of complications after donation. Furthermore, there are variations in recommendations from various guidelines across the globe for donations in prediabetics, leading to more confusion among clinicians. This increases the responsibility of transplant teams to take appropriate decisions in the best interest of both donors and recipients. This review focuses on pathophysiological changes of PD in kidneys, potential complications of PD, other risk factors for development of type 2 diabetes, a review of guidelines for kidney donation, the potential role of diabetes risk score and calculator in kidney donors and the way forward for the evaluation and selection of prediabetic kidney donors.

The Role of Pro-Opiomelanocortin Derivatives in the Development of Type 2 Diabetes-Associated Myocardial Infarction: Possible Links with Prediabetes

Myocardial infarction is a major contributor to CVD-related mortality. T2DM is a risk factor for MI. Stress activates the HPA axis, SNS, and endogenous OPS. These POMC derivatives increase the blood glucose and cardiovascular response by inhibiting the PI3K/AkT insulin signaling pathway and increasing cardiac contraction. Opioids regulate the effect of the HPA axis and SNS and they are cardioprotective. The chronic activation of the stress response may lead to insulin resistance, cardiac dysfunction, and MI. Stress and T2DM, therefore, increase the risk of MI. T2DM is preceded by prediabetes. Studies have shown that prediabetes is associated with an increased risk of MI because of inflammation, hyperlipidemia, endothelial dysfunction, and hypertension. The HPA axis is reported to be dysregulated in prediabetes. However, the SNS and the OPS have not been explored during prediabetes. The effect of prediabetes on POMC derivatives has yet to be fully explored and understood. The impact of stress and prediabetes on the cardiovascular response needs to be investigated. This study sought to review the potential impact of prediabetes on the POMC derivatives and pathways that could lead to MI.

3. Prevention or Delay of Diabetes and Associated Comorbidities: Standards of Care in Diabetes-2024

The American Diabetes Association (ADA) "Standards of Care in Diabetes" includes the ADA's current clinical practice recommendations and is intended to provide the components of diabetes care, general treatment goals and guidelines, and tools to evaluate quality of care. Members of the ADA Professional Practice Committee, an interprofessional expert committee, are responsible for updating the Standards of Care annually, or more frequently as warranted. For a detailed description of ADA standards, statements, and reports, as well as the evidence-grading system for ADA's clinical practice recommendations and a full list of Professional Practice Committee members, please refer to Introduction and Methodology. Readers who wish to comment on the Standards of Care are invited to do so at professional.diabetes.org/SOC.

Prediabetes increases the risk of major limb and cardiovascular events

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes, an intermediate stage between normal blood sugar levels and a diabetes mellitus diagnosis, is increasing in prevalence. Severe prediabetes is associated with a similar risk of complications as diabetes, but its relationship with peripheral arterial disease remains underexplored.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 36,950 adult patients, utilizing electronic medical records from the National Taiwan University Hospital between 2014 and 2019. We employed multivariable Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test to analyze major adverse limb events (MALE) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in relation to normal glucose regulation (NGR) and prediabetes.

RESULTS

During the 131,783 person-years follow-up, 17,754 cases of prediabetes and 19,196 individuals with normal glucose regulation (NGR) were identified. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed an increased incidence of both MALE and MACE in individuals with prediabetes. (log-rank p = 0.024 and < 0.001). Prediabetes exhibited a significant association with an elevated risk of MALE (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.26 [95% CI 1.10-1.46], p = 0.001) and MACE (aHR 1.46 [1.27-1.67], p < 0.001). Furthermore, in individuals with prediabetes, the elevation in the risk of MALE commenced before HbA1c levels surpassed 5.0% (for HbA1c 5.0-5.5%: aHR 1.78 (1.04-3.04), p = 0.036; HbA1c 5.5-6.0%: aHR 1.29 [1.06-1.58], p = 0.012; aHbA1c 6.0-6.5%: aHR 1.39 [1.14-1.70], p < 0.001). Similarly, the onset of increased MACE risk was observed when HbA1c levels exceeded 5.5% (for HbA1c 5.5-6.0%: aHR 1.67 [1.39-2.01], p < 0.001; HbA1c 6.0-6.5%: HR 2.10 [1.76-2.51], p < 0.001). Factors associated with both MALE and MACE in prediabetes include advanced age, male gender, higher body mass index, and a history of heart failure or atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated higher susceptibility to MALE and MACE in prediabetes compared to normoglycemic counterparts, notwithstanding lower HbA1c levels. Complications may manifest at an earlier prediabetes trajectory. Intensive lifestyle modification may improve the prognosis of severe prediabetes.

Enhancing access and impact of the Medicare Diabetes Prevention Program using telehealth: a narrative review

Background and Objective

Over 26 million older adults in the United States (US) have prediabetes, which is often a precursor to type 2 diabetes. The Medicare Diabetes Prevention Program (MDPP) is an evidence-based, lifestyle program for older-adult Medicare beneficiaries to prevent progression to diabetes. However, the MDPP has been drastically underutilized. Telehealth delivery may be a promising strategy to increase the reach and impact of the MDPP, including for underserved populations. The objective of this narrative review is to explore the role of telehealth on the accessibility and effectiveness of diabetes prevention programs (DPPs) for older adults.

Methods

We searched the online databases of MEDLINE, APA PsycInfo, CINAHL, and Academic Search Elite for studies that used telehealth to deliver DPPs to older adults through distance learning, i.e., live program delivery where participants join via phone- or video-conferencing. Relevant information from policy documents and related publications was also included.

Key Content and Findings

Three themes emerged from the literature on telehealth delivery of DPPs for older adults (I) clinical effectiveness for weight loss, (II) feasibility and acceptability of this format; and (III) policy considerations to support greater public health impact. There is a growing body of recent evidence to suggest that older adults achieve a clinically meaningful amount of weight loss from participation in telehealth DPPs. The literature suggests that telehealth program delivery is feasible, and older adults find it acceptable, with some specific accommodations. Effectiveness and acceptability of telehealth interventions were also noted for older adults from rural, ethnically-diverse, and low-income groups. Policy considerations include adjustments in rulemaking by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) to allow MDPP delivery via telehealth using distance learning, along with sufficient reimbursement rates.

Conclusions

The evidence indicates that delivery of the MDPP via telehealth is beneficial for increasing program reach and impact, including among underserved groups, as well as providing social support for older participants. Scalable delivery of the MDPP via telehealth is essential to make a national, population-level impact for older adults with prediabetes who receive Medicare benefits.

Risk factors associated with glycated hemoglobin A1c trajectories progressing to type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The notion of prediabetes, defined by the ADA as glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) of 5.7-6.4%, implies increased vascular inflammatory and immunologic processes and higher risk for developing diabetes mellitus and major cardiovascular events. We aimed to determine the risk factors associated with rapid progression of normal and prediabetes patients to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study in a single 8-hospital health system in southeast Michigan, between 2006 and 2020. All patients with HbA1c <6.5% at baseline and at least 2 other HbA1c measurements were clustered in five trajectories encompassing more than 95% of the study population. Multivariate linear regression analysis was performed to examine the association of demographic and comorbidities with HbA1c trajectories progressing to diabetes.

RESULTS

A total of 5,347 prediabetic patients were clustered based on their HbA1c progression (C1: 4,853, C2: 253, C66: 102, C12: 85, C68: 54). The largest cluster (C1) had a baseline median HbA1c value of 6.0% and exhibited stable HbA1c levels in prediabetic range across all subsequent years. The smallest cluster (C68) had the lowest median baseline HbA1c value and also remained stable across subsequent years. The proportion of normal HbA1c in each of the pre-diabetic trajectories ranged from 0 to 12.7%, whereas 81.5% of the reference cluster (C68) were normal HbA1c at baseline. The C2 (steady rising) trajectory was significantly associated with BMI (adj OR 1.10, 95%CI 1.03-1.17), and family history of DM (adj OR 2.75, 95%CI 1.32-5.74). With respect to the late rising trajectories, baseline BMI was significantly associated with both C66 and C12 trajectory (adj OR 1.10, 95%CI 1.03-1.18) and (adj OR 1.13, 95%CI 1.05-1.23) respectively, whereas, the C12 trajectory was also significantly associated with age (adj OR 1.62, 95%CI 1.04-2.53) and history of MACE (adj OR 3.20, 95%CI 1.14-8.93).

CONCLUSIONS

We suggest that perhaps a more aggressive preventative approach should be considered in patients with a family history of T2DM who have high BMI and year-to-year increase in HbA1c, whether they have normal hemoglobin A1c or they have prediabetes.KEY MESSAGESProgression to diabetes from normal or prediabetic hemoglobin A1c within four years is associated with baseline BMI.A steady rise in HbA1c during a four-year period is associated with age and family history of T2DM, whereas age and personal history of MACE are associated with a rapid rise in HbA1c.A more aggressive preventative approach should be considered in patients with a family history of T2DM who have high BMI and year-to-year increase in HbA1c.

Fatty Liver Change in Older Adults as an Important Risk Factor for Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between changes in fatty liver disease (FLD) over time and the risk of type 2 diabetes in elderly individuals with prediabetes.

METHODS

A total of 156,984 elderly individuals with prediabetes who underwent national health screening in 2009 and 2011 were followed up through December 31, 2019. The FLD status was defined as a change in the fatty liver index. Prediabetes was defined as impaired fasting glucose levels at baseline. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate the hazard ratio and CIs for type 2 diabetes according to the changes in FLD.

RESULTS

During a median of 8.35 years of follow-up, type 2 diabetes developed in 29,422 (18.7%) elderly individuals with prediabetes. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratio of type 2 diabetes according to FLD change was 2.22 (95% CI, 2.11 to 2.34) in individuals with persistent FLD compared with those who have never had FLD. Although overall weight loss of 5% or more was associated with a 7% lower risk of type 2 diabetes in total participants, fatty liver status was important. Even with weight loss, those with a history of fatty liver-resolved FLD, new FLD, or persistent FLD-had an increased risk of type 2 diabetes. The risk of type 2 diabetes did not increase in individuals with sustained FLD-free status, regardless of weight change.

CONCLUSION

The presence and change of FLD are important factors for the development of type 2 diabetes in elderly individuals with prediabetes.

Prevalence of prediabetes in Mexico: a retrospective analysis of nationally representative surveys spanning 2016-2022

Background

Characterizing prediabetes phenotypes may be useful in guiding diabetes prevention efforts; however, heterogeneous criteria to define prediabetes have led to inconsistent prevalence estimates, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Here, we estimated trends in prediabetes prevalence in Mexico across different prediabetes definitions and their association with prevalent cardiometabolic conditions.

Methods

We conducted a serial cross-sectional analysis of National Health and Nutrition Surveys in Mexico (2016-2022), totalling 22 081 Mexican adults. After excluding individuals with diagnosed or undiagnosed diabetes, we defined prediabetes using ADA (impaired fasting glucose [IFG] 100-125 mg/dL and/or HbA1c 5.7-6.4%), WHO (IFG 110-125 mg/dL), and IEC criteria (HbA1c 6.0-6.4%). Prevalence trends of prediabetes over time were evaluated using weighted Poisson regression and its association with prevalent cardiometabolic conditions with weighted logistic regression.

Findings

The prevalence of prediabetes (either IFG or high HbA1c [ADA]) in Mexico was 20.9% in 2022. Despite an overall downward trend in prediabetes (RR 0.973, 95% CI 0.957-0.988), this was primarily driven by decreases in prediabetes by ADA-IFG (RR 0.898, 95% CI 0.880-0.917) and WHO-IFG criteria (RR 0.919, 95% CI 0.886-0.953), while prediabetes by ADA-HbA1c (RR 1.055, 95% CI 1.033-1.077) and IEC-HbA1C criteria (RR 1.085, 95% CI 1.045-1.126) increased over time. Prediabetes prevalence increased over time in adults >40 years, with central obesity, self-identified as indigenous or living in urban areas. For all definitions, prediabetes was associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic conditions.

Interpretation

Prediabetes rates in Mexico from 2016 to 2022 varied based on defining criteria but consistently increased for HbA1c-based definitions and high-risk subgroups.

Funding

This research was supported by Instituto Nacional de Geriatría in Mexico. JAS was supported by NIH/NIDDK Grant# K23DK135798.

Cumulative BMI and incident prediabetes over 30 years of follow-up: The CARDIA study

OBJECTIVE

This study examined how cumulative BMI (cBMI) is associated with incident prediabetes in a biracial observational cohort study followed from young adulthood to middle age.

METHODS

Black and White men and women (n = 4190) from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, ages 18 to 30 years in 1985 to 1986 and free of prediabetes or diabetes at baseline, were followed for 30 years. Cox regression was used to determine how cBMI was associated with incident prediabetes after controlling for traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

RESULTS

Over 30 years of follow-up, 46.2% of the sample developed prediabetes. Mean cBMI was 801.4 BMI-years for those with prediabetes and 658.3 BMI-years for those without (p < 0.0001). After multivariable adjustment, the hazard rate ratio for the highest cBMI quartile was 2.064 (95% CI: 1.793-2.377) relative to the lowest quartile. The second and third quartiles did not differ from the first quartile, consistent with a nonlinear trend.

CONCLUSIONS

The cumulative burden of higher weight and longer duration was associated with incident prediabetes, but this association was statistically significant only after a higher threshold was reached. Strategies for prevention of prediabetes in middle age may focus on avoiding overweight in young adulthood to limit duration.

Prediabetes Progression and Regression on Objectively- Measured Physical Function: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGRUOUND

Prediabetes leads to declines in physical function in older adults, but the impact of prediabetes progression or regression on physical function is unknown. This study assessed this longitudinal association, with physical function objectivelymeasured by grip strength, walking speed, and standing balance, based on the Health and Retirement Study enrolling United States adults aged >50 years.

METHODS

Participants with prediabetes were followed-up for 4-year to ascertain prediabetes status alteration (maintained, regressed, or progressed), and another 4-year to assess their impacts on physical function. Weak grip strength was defined as <26 kg for men and <16 kg for women, slow walking speed was as <0.8 m/sec, and poor standing balance was as an uncompleted fulltandem standing testing. Logistic and linear regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Of the included 1,511 participants with prediabetes, 700 maintained as prediabetes, 306 progressed to diabetes, and 505 regressed to normoglycemia over 4 years. Grip strength and walking speed were declined from baseline during the 4-year followup, regardless of prediabetes status alteration. Compared with prediabetes maintenance, prediabetes progression increased the odds of developing weak grip strength by 89% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.04 to 2.44) and exhibited larger declines in grip strength by 0.85 kg (95% CI, -1.65 to -0.04). However, prediabetes progression was not related to impairments in walking speed or standing balance. Prediabetes regression also did not affect any measures of physical function.

CONCLUSION

Prediabetes progression accelerates grip strength decline in aging population, while prediabetes regression may not prevent physical function decline due to aging.

Waist circumference and glycaemia are strong predictors of progression to diabetes in individuals with prediabetes in sub-Saharan Africa: 4-year prospective cohort study in Malawi

Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to have the highest increase in the number of people with diabetes worldwide. However, the drivers of diabetes in this region have not been clearly elucidated. The aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence of diabetes and the predictors of progression in a population-based cohort with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) in Malawi. We used data from an extensive rural and urban non-communicable disease survey. One hundred seventy-five, of 389 individuals with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) at baseline, age 48 ±15 years and body mass index 27.5 ±5.9 kg/m2 were followed up for a median of 4.2 years (714 person-years). Incidence rates were calculated, and predictors of progression to diabetes were analysed using multivariable logistic regression models, with overall performance determined using receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curves. The median follow-up was 4.2 (IQR 3.4-4.7) years. Forty-five out of 175 (26%) progressed to diabetes. Incidence rates of diabetes were 62.9 per 1000 person-years 95% CI, 47.0-84.3. The predictors of progression were higher; age (odds ratio [OR] 1.48, P = 0.046), BMI (OR 1.98, P = 0.001), waist circumference (OR 2.50,P<0.001), waist-hip ratio (OR 1.40, P = 0.03), systolic blood pressure (OR 1.56, P = 0.01), fasting plasma glucose (OR 1.53, P = 0.01), cholesterol (OR 1.44, P = 0.05) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR 1.80, P = 0.002). A simple model combining fasting plasma glucose and waist circumference was predictive of progression to diabetes (ROC area under the curve = 0.79). The incidence of diabetes in people with IFG is high in Malawi and predictors of progression are like those seen in other populations. Our data also suggests that a simple chart with probabilities of progression to diabetes based on waist circumference and fasting plasma glucose could be used to identify those at risk of progression in clinical settings in sub-Saharan Africa.

Associations of updated cardiovascular health metrics, including sleep health, with incident diabetes and cardiovascular events in older adults with prediabetes: A nationwide population-based cohort study

AIMS

To investigate the association of updated cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics, including sleep health, with the risk of diabetes and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in older adults with prediabetes.

METHODS

A total of 7,948 older adults with prediabetes aged ≥ 65 years were included in this study. CVH was assessed using seven baseline metrics according to the modified American Heart Association recommendations.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 11.9 years, 2,405 (30.3%) cases of diabetes and 2,039 (25.6%) MACE were recorded. Compared with the poor composite CVH metrics group, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) in the intermediate and ideal composite CVH metrics groups were respectively 0.87 (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 0.78-0.96) and 0.72 (95% CI = 0.65-0.79) for diabetes events and 0.99 (95% CI = 0.88-1.11) and 0.88 (95% CI = 0.79-0.97) for MACE. The ideal composite CVH metrics group had a lower risk of diabetes and MACE in older adults aged 65-74 years, but not in those aged ≥ 75 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Ideal composite CVH metrics in older adults with prediabetes were associated with a lower risk of diabetes and MACE.

Effect of onset of type 2 diabetes on risks of cardiovascular disease and heart failure among new Zealanders with impaired glucose tolerance over 25 years: tapered-matched landmark analysis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to examine the association between the incident onset of T2DM and 5- and 10-year risks of CVD and HF in people with IGT identified in primary care in South and West Auckland, New Zealand (NZ) between 1994 and 2019.

METHODS

We compared CVD and HF risks in patients with IGT and with/without T2D newly diagnosed within the exposure window (1-5 years). Tapered matching and landmark analysis (to account for immortal bias) were used to control for potential effects of known confounders.

RESULTS

Among 26,794 patients enrolled with IGT, 845 had T2D newly diagnosed within 5 years from enrolment (landmark date) and 15,452 did not have T2D diagnosed. Patients progressing to T2D (vs. those not progressing) had a similar 5-year risk for CVD (hazard ratio 1.19; 95% CI 0.61-2.32) but significantly higher 10-year risk of CVD (2.45(1.40-4.29)), 5-year risk of HF (1.94(1.20-3.12)) and 10-year risk of HF (2.84(1.83-4.39). The association between the onset of T2D and risk of 10-year risk of CVD, 5-year and 10-year risk of HF was more likely among men, the socioeconomically deprived, those currently smoking, patients with higher metabolic measures and/or those with lower renal function. Patients of NZ European ethnicity had a lower 10-year risk of CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

The study suggests that the diagnosis of T2D mediates the risk of CVD and HF in people with IGT. The development of risk scores to identify and better manage individuals with IGT at high risk of T2D is warranted.

Predicting and preventing heart failure in type 2 diabetes

The burden of heart failure among people with type 2 diabetes is increasing globally. People with comorbid type 2 diabetes and heart failure often have worse outcomes than those with only one of these conditions-eg, higher hospitalisation and mortality rates. Therefore, it is essential to implement optimal heart failure prevention strategies for people with type 2 diabetes. A detailed understanding of the pathophysiology underlying the occurrence of heart failure in type 2 diabetes can aid clinicians in identifying relevant risk factors and lead to early interventions that can help prevent heart failure. In this Review, we discuss the pathophysiology and risk factors of heart failure in type 2 diabetes. We also review the risk assessment tools for predicting heart failure incidence in people with type 2 diabetes as well as the data from clinical trials that have assessed the efficacy of lifestyle and pharmacological interventions. Finally, we discuss the potential challenges in implementing new management approaches and offer pragmatic recommendations to help overcome these challenges.

Screening for Prediabetes and Diabetes: Clinical Performance and Implications for Health Equity

INTRODUCTION

In 2021, the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommended prediabetes and diabetes screening for asymptomatic adults aged 35-70 years with overweight/obesity, lowering the age from 40 years in its 2015 recommendation. The USPSTF suggested considering earlier screening in racial and ethnic groups with high diabetes risk at younger ages or lower BMI. This study examined the clinical performance of these USPSTF screening recommendations as well as alternative age and BMI cutoffs in the U.S. adult population overall, and separately by race and ethnicity.

METHODS

Nationally representative data were collected from 3,243 nonpregnant adults without diagnosed diabetes in January 2017-March 2020 and analyzed from 2021 to 2022. Screening eligibility was based on age and measured BMI. Collectively, prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes were defined by fasting plasma glucose ≥100 mg/dL or hemoglobin A1c ≥5.7%. The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of alternate screening criteria were examined overall, and by race and ethnicity.

RESULTS

The 2021 criteria exhibited marginally higher sensitivity (58.6%, 95% CI=55.5, 61.6 vs 52.9%, 95% CI=49.7, 56.0) and lower specificity (69.3%, 95% CI=65.7, 72.2 vs 76.4%, 95% CI=73.3, 79.2) than the 2015 criteria overall, and within each racial and ethnic group. Screening at lower age and BMI thresholds resulted in even greater sensitivity and lower specificity, especially among Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and Asian adults. Screening all adults aged 35-70 years regardless of BMI yielded the most equitable performance across all racial and ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2021 USPSTF screening criteria will identify more adults with prediabetes and diabetes in all racial and ethnic groups than the 2015 criteria. Screening all adults aged 35-70 years exhibited even higher sensitivity and performed most similarly by race and ethnicity, which may further improve early detection of prediabetes and diabetes in diverse populations.

Perspectives on Prediabetes and Aging

Diabetes prevention programs (DPPs) have been shown to effectively delay, and sometimes prevent, the progression from prediabetes to diabetes; however, labeling someone with prediabetes comes with potential negative psychological, financial, and self-perception consequences. Many older adults with prediabetes nowadays have a relatively "low-risk" form of prediabetes that rarely progresses to diabetes and may regress to normoglycemia. In this article, we review the impact of aging on glucose metabolism and provide a holistic approach to cases of prediabetes in older adults that maximizes the benefit-risk balance of interventions aimed at addressing prediabetes.

Associations Between Frailty and the Increased Risk of Adverse Outcomes Among 38,950 UK Biobank Participants With Prediabetes: Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Compared with adults with normal glucose metabolism, those with prediabetes tend to be frail. However, it remains poorly understood whether frailty could identify adults who are most at risk of adverse outcomes related to prediabetes.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to systematically evaluate the associations between frailty, a simple health indicator, and risks of multiple adverse outcomes including incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), diabetes-related microvascular disease, cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD), eye disease, dementia, depression, and all-cause mortality in late life among middle-aged adults with prediabetes.

METHODS

We evaluated 38,950 adults aged 40 years to 64 years with prediabetes using the baseline survey from the UK Biobank. Frailty was assessed using the frailty phenotype (FP; range 0-5), and participants were grouped into nonfrail (FP=0), prefrail (1≤FP≤2), and frail (FP≥3). Multiple adverse outcomes (ie, T2DM, diabetes-related microvascular disease, CVD, CKD, eye disease, dementia, depression, and all-cause mortality) were ascertained during a median follow-up of 12 years. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the associations. Several sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

At baseline, 49.1% (19,122/38,950) and 5.9% (2289/38,950) of adults with prediabetes were identified as prefrail and frail, respectively. Both prefrailty and frailty were associated with higher risks of multiple adverse outcomes in adults with prediabetes (P for trend <.001). For instance, compared with their nonfrail counterparts, frail participants with prediabetes had a significantly higher risk (P<.001) of T2DM (hazard ratio [HR]=1.73, 95% CI 1.55-1.92), diabetes-related microvascular disease (HR=1.89, 95% CI 1.64-2.18), CVD (HR=1.66, 95% CI 1.44-1.91), CKD (HR=1.76, 95% CI 1.45-2.13), eye disease (HR=1.31, 95% CI 1.14-1.51), dementia (HR=2.03, 95% CI 1.33-3.09), depression (HR=3.01, 95% CI 2.47-3.67), and all-cause mortality (HR=1.81, 95% CI 1.51-2.16) in the multivariable-adjusted models. Furthermore, with each 1-point increase in FP score, the risk of these adverse outcomes increased by 10% to 42%. Robust results were generally observed in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

In UK Biobank participants with prediabetes, both prefrailty and frailty are significantly associated with higher risks of multiple adverse outcomes, including T2DM, diabetes-related diseases, and all-cause mortality. Our findings suggest that frailty assessment should be incorporated into routine care for middle-aged adults with prediabetes, to improve the allocation of health care resources and reduce diabetes-related burden.

Associations of baseline glycemic status and its transitions with cognitive and physical functioning decline

OBJECTIVE

Evidence about the decline of cognition and physical function across glycemic status (normoglycemia, prediabetes, and diabetes) is inconsistent. We evaluated longitudinal changes in cognition and physical function according to glycemic status and also different glycemic transitions.

STUDY DESIGN

Population-based cohort study.

METHODS

9307 participants (mean age 59.7 years, 53.7 % women) were included from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011-2018). Global cognition (assessed by orientation, memory, and executive function) and physical function (calculated as the sum of impaired basic and instrumental activities of daily living) were assessed in each wave. The glycemic status was assessed in waves 2011 and 2015. Diabetes was defined as fasting blood glucose ≥7.0 mmol/L, HbA1c ≥6.5 %, self-reported diabetes, or glucose-lowering medication use. Prediabetes was defined as fasting blood glucose 5.6-6.9 mmol/L or an HbA1c of 5.7-6.4 %.

RESULTS

Compared with normoglycemia, baseline diabetes was associated with a faster decline in orientation (-0.018 SD/year, 95%CI -0.032, -0.004) and a faster increase in physical function score (0.082 /year, 95%CI 0.038, 0.126). We did not observe any effect of prediabetes on the changing rate of cognition and physical function. Progression from normoglycemia to diabetes between waves 2011 and 2015 was associated with a significantly faster decline in global cognition, memory, executive function, and physical function compared with stable normoglycemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline diabetes was associated with accelerated decline of cognition and physical function. Associations with prediabetes were not observed, suggesting an important short diagnostic window when diabetes presents de novo.

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists to expand the healthy lifespan: Current and future potentials

To help ensure an expanded healthy lifespan for as many people as possible worldwide, there is a need to prevent or manage a number of prevalent chronic diseases directly and indirectly closely related to aging, including diabetes and obesity. Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have proven beneficial in type 2 diabetes, are amongst the few medicines approved for weight management, and are also licensed for focused cardiovascular risk reduction. In addition, strong evidence suggests several other beneficial effects of the pleiotropic peptide hormone, including anti-inflammation. Consequently, GLP-1 RAs are now in advanced clinical development for the treatment of chronic kidney disease, broader cardiovascular risk reduction, metabolic liver disease and Alzheimer's disease. In sum, GLP-1 RAs are positioned as one of the pharmacotherapeutic options that can contribute to addressing the high unmet medical need characterising several prevalent aging-related diseases, potentially helping more people enjoy a prolonged healthy lifespan.

Performance of a prediabetes risk prediction model: A systematic review

Backgrounds

The prediabetes population is large and easily overlooked because of the lack of obvious symptoms, which can progress to diabetes. Early screening and targeted interventions can substantially reduce the rate of conversion of prediabetes to diabetes. Therefore, this study systematically reviewed prediabetes risk prediction models, performed a summary and quality evaluation, and aimed to recommend the optimal model.

Methods

We systematically searched five databases (Cochrane, PubMed, Embase, Web Of Science, and CNKI) for published literature related to prediabetes risk prediction models and excluded preprints, duplicate publications, reviews, editorials, and other studies, with a search time frame of March 01, 2023. Data were categorized and summarized using a standardized data extraction form that extracted data including author; publication date; study design; country; demographic characteristics; assessment tool name; sample size; study type; and model-related indicators. The PROBAST tool was used to assess the risk of bias profile of included studies.

Findings

14 studies with a total of 15 models were eventually included in the systematic review. We found that the most common predictors of models were age, family history of diabetes, gender, history of hypertension, and BMI. Most of the studies (83.3%) had a high risk of bias, mainly related to under-reporting of outcome information and poor methodological design during the development and validation of models. Due to the low quality of included studies, the evidence for predictive validity of the available models is unclear.

Interpretation

We should pay attention to the early screening of prediabetes patients and give timely pharmacological and lifestyle interventions. The predictive performance of the existing model is not satisfactory, and the model building process can be standardized and external validation can be added to improve the accuracy of the model in the future.

Diagnosis and Management of Prediabetes: A Review

Importance

Prediabetes, an intermediate stage between normal glucose regulation and diabetes, affects 1 in 3 adults in the US and approximately 720 million individuals worldwide.

Observations

Prediabetes is defined by a fasting glucose level of 100 to 125 mg/dL, a glucose level of 140 to 199 mg/dL measured 2 hours after a 75-g oral glucose load, or glycated hemoglobin level (HbA1C) of 5.7% to 6.4% or 6.0% to 6.4%. In the US, approximately 10% of people with prediabetes progress to having diabetes each year. A meta-analysis found that prediabetes at baseline was associated with increased mortality and increased cardiovascular event rates (excess absolute risk, 7.36 per 10 000 person-years for mortality and 8.75 per 10 000 person-years for cardiovascular disease during 6.6 years). Intensive lifestyle modification, consisting of calorie restriction, increased physical activity (≥150 min/wk), self-monitoring, and motivational support, decreased the incidence of diabetes by 6.2 cases per 100 person-years during a 3-year period. Metformin decreased the risk of diabetes among individuals with prediabetes by 3.2 cases per 100 person-years during 3 years. Metformin is most effective for women with prior gestational diabetes and for individuals younger than 60 years with body mass index of 35 or greater, fasting plasma glucose level of 110 mg/dL or higher, or HbA1c level of 6.0% or higher.

Conclusions and Relevance

Prediabetes is associated with increased risk of diabetes, cardiovascular events, and mortality. First-line therapy for prediabetes is lifestyle modification that includes weight loss and exercise or metformin. Lifestyle modification is associated with a larger benefit than metformin.

Appropriate screening interval to detect the development of chronic metabolic diseases

AIMS

We conducted a cohort study to determine the screening intervals of metabolic disorders.

METHOD

Participants without diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension (HTN), dyslipidemia, and abdominal obesity who underwent health examinations (2005-2019) in Korea were included. Participants were grouped according to baseline fasting glucose, LDL-C level, blood pressure (BP), and waist circumference (WC). The time to develop metabolic disorders and the percentile of survival time was assessed in each group.

RESULT

The median follow-up duration was 4.94 years (n = 222,413;mean age 37.13 ± 7.49 years). After 8.32(95 %CI 8.22-8.41), 3.01(2.89-3.31), and 1.11(1.03-1.25) years, 10 % of participants developed DM in fasting glucose levels of 100-110, 110-120, and 120-125 mg/dL, respectively. After 8.40(8.33-8.45), 6.33(6.20-6.47), and 1.99(1.97-2.00) years, 10 % developed HTN in BP 120/70, 120/70-130/80, and 130/80-140/90 mmHg, respectively. After 5.99(5.94-6.04), 2.84(2.77-2.90), and 1.36(1.30-1.44) years, 10 % developed dyslipidemia in LDL-C 100-120, 120-140, and 140-160 mg/dL, respectively. After 4.62(4.41-4.80) and 1.67(1.64-1.69) years, 10 % developed abdominal obesity in baseline WC < 80(Women;W)/85(Men;M) and < 85(W)/90(M) cm, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In adults aged 30-40, the screening interval of metabolic disorders should be individualized based on the baseline metabolic derangement. An individual with borderline values may need an annual screening.

Prediabetes, diabetes and loss of disability-free survival in a community-based older cohort: a post-hoc analysis of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly trial

BACKGROUND

Evidence for the prognostic implications of hyperglycaemia in older adults is inconsistent.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate disability-free survival (DFS) in older individuals by glycaemic status.

METHODS

This analysis used data from a randomised trial recruiting 19,114 community-based participants aged ≥70 years, who had no prior cardiovascular events, dementia and physical disability. Participants with sufficient information to ascertain their baseline diabetes status were categorised as having normoglycaemia (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] < 5.6 mmol/l, 64%), prediabetes (FPG 5.6 to <7.0 mmol/l, 26%) and diabetes (self-report or FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/l or use of glucose-lowering agents, 11%). The primary outcome was loss of disability-free survival (DFS), a composite of all-cause mortality, persistent physical disability or dementia. Other outcomes included the three individual components of the DFS loss, as well as cognitive impairment-no dementia (CIND), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and any cardiovascular event. Cox models were used for outcome analyses, with covariate adjustment using inverse-probability weighting.

RESULTS

We included 18,816 participants (median follow-up: 6.9 years). Compared to normoglycaemia, participants with diabetes had greater risks of DFS loss (weighted HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.21-1.60), all-cause mortality (1.45, 1.23-1.72), persistent physical disability (1.73, 1.35-2.22), CIND (1.22, 1.08-1.38), MACE (1.30, 1.04-1.63) and cardiovascular events (1.25, 1.02-1.54) but not dementia (1.13, 0.87-1.47). The prediabetes group did not have an excess risk for DFS loss (1.02, 0.93-1.12) or other outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Among older people, diabetes was associated with reduced DFS, and higher risk of CIND and cardiovascular outcomes, whereas prediabetes was not. The impact of preventing or treating diabetes in this age group deserves closer attention.

Patterns of diabetes testing for older adults without diabetes in Ontario's nursing homes: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Asymptomatic diabetes testing may be of limited value for older nursing home residents, but most diabetes guidelines lack upper-age cutoffs for screening cessation. We evaluated patterns of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and serum blood glucose (SBG) testing among older residents without diabetes in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

This population-based retrospective cohort study used provincial health administrative data from ICES to identify older nursing home residents in Ontario without diabetes between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2018. We examined HbA1c and glucose testing rates overall, by age, sex, and near end-of-life. The number of tests needed to identify one case of diabetes (using HbA1c thresholds of 6.5% and 8.0%) were also calculated.

RESULTS

Among 102,923 older nursing home residents (70.3% women; average age 85.6 ± SD 7.7 years), 46.1% of residents received ≥1 HbA1c test over an average follow-up period of 2.15 (± SD 1.49) years, and 18.2% of these tested residents received ≥4 HbA1c tests. The crude HbA1c testing rate was 52.6 tests/100 person-years (95% CI 52.3-52.9). Testing rates among residents aged ≥80 years was 50.7 HbA1c tests/100 person-years (95% CI 50.4-51.0), and 47.8 tests/100 person-years (95% CI 46.5-49.0) among residents near end-of-life. The number of tests to identify a case of diabetes (HbA1c ≥ 6.5%) was 44, while the number of tests to identify a case of actionable diabetes (HbA1c ≥ 8%) was 310. Less than 1% of residents with an HbA1c test met criteria for actionable diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Nursing home residents without diabetes receive frequent diabetes testing, with high testing rates even in residents over 80 years old and residents near end-of-life. The high number of tests needed to identify a case of actionable diabetes highlights the urgent need to re-evaluate diabetes testing practices in nursing homes.

Lower-than-normal glycemic levels to achieve optimal reduction of diabetes risk among individuals with prediabetes: A prospective cohort study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

To determine whether lower than currently accepted glycemic levels could lead to optimal risk reduction of incident diabetes among individuals with prediabetes.

METHODS

We enrolled 9903 individuals with prediabetes and 16,902 individuals with normoglycemia from a prospective cohort participating health check-ups between 2006 and 2017. While classifying fasting glucose into <5.0, 5.0-5.5, and 5.6-6.9 mmol/L and postprandial glucose into <6.7, 6.7-7.7, and 7.8-11.0 mmol/L, we grouped fasting/postprandial glucose into five categories (<5.0/<6.7, <5.0/6.7-7.7, 5.0-5.5/<6.7, 5.0-5.5/6.7-7.7 mmol/L, 5.6-6.9/7.8-11.0 mmol/L). The primary outcome was incident diabetes.

RESULTS

In individuals with prediabetes, the presence of a baseline fasting glucose <5.0 mmol/L or a postprandial glucose <6.7 mmol/L led to a greater risk reduction of incident diabetes with hazard ratios of 0.34 (95% confidence interval, 0.27-0.42) and 0.47 (0.41-0.54), respectively, relative to a fasting glucose 5.6-6.9 mmol/L and a postprandial glucose 7.8-11.0 mmol/L. For individuals with prediabetes having fasting/postprandial glucose <5.0/<6.7 mmol/L, the incidence of 6.4 (4.7-8.8) per 1000 person-years corresponded to that of 5.8 (4.2-8.0) per 1000 person-years for individuals with normoglycemia having 5.0-5.5/6.7-7.7 mmol/L.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Given that lower-than-normal glycemic levels were plausible for optimal risk reduction of diabetes, stringent glycemic management could be beneficial for diabetes prevention among individuals with prediabetes.

Associations Between Modifiable Risk Factors and Changes in Glycemic Status Among Individuals With Prediabetes

OBJECTIVE

To examine the associations between modifiable risk factors and glycemic status changes in individuals with prediabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 10,358 individuals with prediabetes defined by their fasting blood glucose and HbA1c levels from the Health Examinees-Gem study were included in the present study. Modifiable factors, including BMI, abdominal obesity, smoking status, physical activity, alcohol consumption, diet quality, hypertension, and dyslipidemia, were examined to determine their associations with changes in glycemic status during follow-up. In addition, modifiable-factor scores were calculated, and their association with changes in glycemic status was also analyzed.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time for this study was 4 years (range, 1-7 years). BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.71 [95% CI 0.63-0.79]), abdominal obesity (OR 0.76 [95% CI 0.68-0.86]), heavy drinking (OR 0.74 [95% CI 0.60-0.91]), hypertension (OR 0.71 [95% CI 0.64-0.79]), and dyslipidemia (OR 0.78 [95% CI 0.70-0.85]) were associated with a lower possibility of normoglycemia reversion. BMI ≥25 kg/m2 (OR 1.58 [95% CI 1.29-1.94]), abdominal obesity (OR 1.31 [95% CI 1.11-1.55]), current smoking (OR 1.43 [95% CI 1.07-1.91]), and hypertension (OR 1.26 [95% CI 1.07-1.49]) were associated with a higher probability of type 2 diabetes progression. Having more favorable modifiable factors was also associated with normoglycemia reversion (OR 1.46 [95% CI 1.30-1.64]) and type 2 diabetes progression (OR 0.62 [95% CI 0.49-0.77]).

CONCLUSIONS

More favorable modifiable factors were related to a higher probability of returning to normoglycemia and a lower probability of progression to type 2 diabetes.

Predictive Efficiency of Prediabetes for Diabetes Among Chinese Middle-Aged and Older Populations: a 5-Year National Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Limited studies have explored the predictive efficiency of prediabetes based on two definitions for diabetes among Chinese middle-aged and older populations with prediabetes.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictive efficiency of prediabetes based on two definitions for diabetes and the clinical and public health benefit in Chinese middle-aged and older populations.

DESIGN

A 5-year cohort study from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 5208 participants who had blood sample data at baseline in 2011.

MAIN MEASURES

The exposure was prediabetes based on American Diabetes Association (ADA) and World Health Organization (WHO) definition. The main outcome was incident diabetes. The ability of prediabetes for predicting diabetes was assessed by sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to explore the associations between prediabetes and the 5-year risk of diabetes and all-cause mortality.

KEY RESULTS

Among those with prediabetes according to the ADA definition, only 426 (15.45%) with baseline prediabetes progressed to total diabetes, while according to the WHO definition, 208 (21.89%) progressed to total diabetes. In terms of the ability of predicting the incident total diabetes in 5 years, the ADA definition has a higher sensitivity than the WHO definition (70.76% versus 34.55%, P < 0.001), while the WHO definition has a higher specificity than the ADA definition (84.09% versus 49.35%, P < 0.001). Positive predictive values based on the two definitions were low (< 24%); negative predictive values were high (> 90%).

CONCLUSIONS

Neither definition of prediabetes is robust for predicting diabetes development in Chineses middle-aged and older populations.

Baseline Glucocorticoid-Related Toxicity Scores in Giant Cell Arteritis: A Post Hoc Analysis of the GiACTA Trial

OBJECTIVE

Giant cell arteritis (GCA) requires treatment with high-dose, long-term glucocorticoids (GCs). A score assessing and quantifying patients' baseline GC-related toxicity may be important to risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making in patients initiating immunosuppression.

METHODS

We analyzed patients with GCA enrolled in the Tocilizumab in Giant Cell Arteritis (GiACTA) trial. Baseline GC-related toxicity scores for 12 domains were derived from the Glucocorticoid Toxicity Index using baseline medications, medical history, vital signs, and laboratory values. The 12 domains examined were body mass index, glucose tolerance, blood pressure, lipid metabolism, bone and/or tendon, GC myopathy, skin toxicity, neuropsychiatric effects, infection, ocular toxicity, gastrointestinal injury, and adrenal function. Potential scores ranged from 0 to 538. We compared differences between those with newly diagnosed versus relapsing disease at baseline.

RESULTS

A total of 250 patients were included (75% female, mean age 69 years). The mean ± SD baseline GC-related toxicity score among all patients was 111.3 ± 53.2. The domains that contributed most to the overall scores were blood pressure (24.0% of the overall score), followed by glucose tolerance (22.6%) and neuropsychiatric effects (15.9%). Baseline GC-related toxicity scores were higher in patients with relapsing disease compared with those with newly diagnosed disease (mean of 122.5 vs. 98.9; P < 0.001). The body mass index and neuropsychiatric domain scores were significantly higher in patients with relapsing disease.

CONCLUSION

This approach to the assessment of baseline GC-related toxicity distinguished patients with relapsing GCA from those with newly diagnosed disease. Baseline GC-related toxicity scores may be useful in therapeutic decision-making for patients beginning immunosuppressive treatment.

3. Prevention or Delay of Type 2 Diabetes and Associated Comorbidities: Standards of Care in Diabetes-2023

The American Diabetes Association (ADA) "Standards of Care in Diabetes" includes the ADA's current clinical practice recommendations and is intended to provide the components of diabetes care, general treatment goals and guidelines, and tools to evaluate quality of care. Members of the ADA Professional Practice Committee, a multidisciplinary expert committee, are responsible for updating the Standards of Care annually, or more frequently as warranted. For a detailed description of ADA standards, statements, and reports, as well as the evidence-grading system for ADA's clinical practice recommendations and a full list of Professional Practice Committee members, please refer to Introduction and Methodology. Readers who wish to comment on the Standards of Care are invited to do so at professional.diabetes.org/SOC.

Cardiometabolic-based chronic disease: adiposity and dysglycemia drivers of heart failure

Heart failure (HF) is a complex clinical syndrome, associated with high rates of mortality, hospitalization, and impairment of quality of life. Obesity and type 2 diabetes are major cardiometabolic drivers, represented as distinct stages of adiposity- and dysglycemia-based chronic disease (ABCD, DBCD), respectively, and leading to cardiometabolic-based chronic disease (CMBCD). This review focuses on one aspect of the CMBCD model: how ABCD and DBCD influence genesis and progression of HF phenotypes. Specifically, the relationships of ABCD and DBCD stages with structural and functional heart disease, HF risk, and outcomes in overt HF are detailed. Also, evidence-based lifestyle, pharmacological, and procedural interventions that promote or reverse cardiac remodeling and outcomes in individuals at risk or with HF are discussed. In summary, driver-based chronic disease models for individuals at risk or with HF can expose prevention targets for more comprehensive interventions to improve clinical outcomes. Future randomized trials that investigate structured lifestyle, pharmacological, and procedural therapies specifically tailored for the CMBCD model are needed to develop personalized care plans to decrease HF susceptibility and improve outcomes.

Diabetes screening in South Korea: a new estimate of the number needed to screen to detect diabetes

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The Korean Diabetes Association (KDA) guidelines recommend adults aged ≥ 40 years and adults aged ≥ 30 years with diabetes risk factors for diabetes screening. This study aimed to determine the age threshold for diabetes screening in Korean adults.

METHODS

This study was based on the analyses of Korean adults aged ≥ 20 years using the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) and the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC). To evaluate screening effectiveness, we calculated the number needed to screen (NNS).

RESULTS

NNS to detect diabetes decreased from 63 to 34 in the KNHANES and from 71 to 42 in the NHIS-NSC between the ages of 30-34 and 35-39. When universal screening was applied to adults aged ≥ 35, the NNS was similar to that of adults aged ≥ 40. Compared to the KDA guidelines, the rate of missed screening positive in adults aged ≥ 20 decreased from 4.0% to 0.2% when the newly suggested screening criteria were applied.

CONCLUSION

Universal screening for adults aged ≥ 35 and selective screening for adults aged 20 to 34, considering diabetes risk factors, may be appropriate for detecting prediabetes and diabetes in South Korea.

It is time for a more targeted approach to prediabetes in primary care in Aotearoa New Zealand

Type 2 diabetes (T2DM), its related morbidities and entrenched diabetes-related inequities pose significant challenges for health care delivery systems in Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ). Primary care services undertake the majority of diabetes prevention work by initially detecting and managing those with prediabetes. In this viewpoint, we present available NZ data to highlight NZ trends in prediabetes and consider the current NZ clinical guidelines and the prediabetes care pathway. Multiple areas for improvement are identified to optimise diabetes prevention, potentially reduce T2DM inequities, and sustain more effective prediabetes management in primary care in NZ.

Determinants of the progression to type 2 diabetes and regression to normoglycemia in people with pre-diabetes: A population-based cohort study over ten years

AIMS

To determine the rates and predictors of the regression to normoglycemia and progression to diabetes among subjects with pre-diabetes.

METHODS

A 10-year longitudinal population-based study was conducted among 1329 participants with pre-diabetes in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Pre-diabetes was divided into isolated IFG (iIFG), isolated IGT (iIGT), and combined IFG/IGT. Univariate and stepwise multivariable Cox regression was used to evaluate predictors of glycemic conversions.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidences of normoglycemia and diabetes were 43.7% (95%CI 40.9-46.4) and 40.1% (37.3-42.7), respectively. Isolated IGT returned to normoglycemia more than iIFG (HR:1.26, 1.05-1.51), but there was no difference in how quickly they progressed to diabetes. Regression to normoglycemia was associated with younger age, female sex, lower BMI, no familial history of diabetes, higher HDL-C, and ex-smoking. Older age, higher BMI, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, lower HDL-C, and familial history for diabetes were associated with progression to diabetes. The influence of BMI on glycemic status conversions diminished with age. At approximately above 60 years old, the hazards of BMI for any conversions faded out.

CONCLUSIONS

The modifiable predictors of regression to normoglycemia and progression to diabetes are roughly the same. The importance of BMI attenuates in elderly subjects.

Macular and peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer thinning in eyes with prediabetes in the elderly population: OTASSHA study

PURPOSE

To investigate retinal thickness parameters in the elderly with prediabetes mellitus (preDM) and type 2 DM without retinopathy (non-diabetic retinopathy [NDR]).

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included a total of 1273 eyes without retinal pathologies of 699 volunteers aged ≥ 65 years were included. The eyes were categorized into non-DM (606 eyes), preDM (480 eyes), and NDR (187 eyes) groups according to their HbA1c levels. Fundus photography, swept-source optical coherence tomography, and comprehensive systemic examination were conducted. The thicknesses of the retinal nerve fiber layer in the macula (mRNFL) and peripapillary (pRNFL), ganglion cell complex (GCC), and ganglion cell inner plexiform layer (GCIPL), as well as central subfield thickness (CST) and central foveal thickness (CFT) were investigated for their association with DM stage using linear mixed model.

RESULTS

A statistically significant thinning of mRNFL was observed in preDM vs. non-DM and in NDR vs. preDM in 3/6 sectors. A significant thinning of pRNFL was observed in preDM vs. non-DM and in NDR vs. preDM in 2/12 sectors. Such DM stage-dependent thinning of RNFL was observed mainly in the temporal and superior sectors. GCIPL and GCC were less sensitive to reflect DM-dependent inner retinal thinning. CST and CFT were not significantly associated with different DM stages.

CONCLUSION

The thinning of mRNFL in the temporal and superior sectors might be a sensitive parameter associated with early neurodegeneration in preDM and NDR.

Frailty is associated with the progression of prediabetes to diabetes and elevated risks of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in individuals with prediabetes and diabetes: Evidence from two prospective cohorts

AIMS

To investigate the impacts of frailty on the progression of prediabetes to diabetes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in individuals with prediabetes and diabetes.

METHODS

7,933 subjects with prediabetes and diabetes were included from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). Frailty status was assessed by frailty index and classified as robust, pre-frail, and frail. Logistic regression was used to calculate risks of progression to diabetes. Cox regression was used to calculate risks of CVD and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In prediabetes, frail subjects had significantly increased risks of progression to diabetes (CHARLS, OR = 1.55, 95 %CI: 1.09-2.20; ELSA, OR = 1.86, 95 %CI: 1.02-3.37) compared with robust subjects. Frail subjects with prediabetes also presented significantly increased risks of CVD (CHARLS: HR = 1.90, 95 %CI: 1.45-2.48; ELSA: HR = 1.94, 95 %CI: 1.31-2.88) and all-cause mortality (CHARLS: HR = 2.45, 95 %CI: 1.79-3.36; ELSA: HR = 2.13, 95 %CI: 1.46-3.10) than robust subjects with prediabetes. In diabetes, frailty still increased risks of CVD (CHARLS, HR = 2.72, 95 %CI: 1.97-3.77; ELSA, HR = 2.41, 95 %CI: 1.43-4.06) and all-cause mortality (CHARLS, HR = 2.28, 95 %CI: 1.56-3.33; ELSA, HR = 2.28, 95 %CI: 1.47-3.53).

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is associated with the progression of prediabetes to diabetes and elevated risks of CVD and all-cause mortality in individuals with prediabetes and diabetes.