Reduction in incidence of type 2 diabetes by lifestyle intervention in a middle eastern community

Bibliometric overview of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) publications from 2000 to 2022

Aim

The present study was conducted to analyze the publications of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) and assess its scientific productions during the last 23 years.

Methods

The required data were retrieved from the Scopus database. The advanced search was chosen, and the search query included terms related to the TLGS. Search and retrieval of data were conducted on August 30, 2022. Bibliometric indicators have been used at three levels in this research including the level of documents, journals, and authors. Also, the knowledge structure of this set was analyzed at the level of social structure and the level of conceptual structure. Data analysis and visualizations was performed using Bibliometrix and VOSviewer software.

Results

A total of 870 documents related to the TLGS have been indexed in the Scopus from 2000 to 2022, and 1148 authors have participated in the relevant studies. 66.4% of the TLGS documents were published in journals with Q1 subject area quartiles. There was an annual growth rate of 20% and average citations per document of 16.5. There was a co-authorship per document of 5.6 and an international co-authorship of 8.7%. According to the co-occurrence network for keywords, the most common areas in the TLGS published documents were nutrition, epidemiologic issues, cardiometabolic-related biomarkers, diabetes, hypertension, lifestyle variables and genetic studies.

Conclusion

Over the past 23 years, the TLGS has successfully addressed a wide range of inquiries pertaining to cardiometabolic and nutritional issues in Iran. The remarkable achievements of the TLGS act as a catalyst, advocating for the planning and implementation of additional cohort studies that specifically focus on non-communicable diseases within the Iranian population.

Impact of individual and environmental factors on dietary or lifestyle interventions to prevent type 2 diabetes development: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The variability in the effectiveness of type 2 diabetes (T2D) preventive interventions highlights the potential to identify the factors that determine treatment responses and those that would benefit the most from a given intervention. We conducted a systematic review to synthesize the evidence to support whether sociodemographic, clinical, behavioral, and molecular factors modify the efficacy of dietary or lifestyle interventions to prevent T2D.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane databases for studies reporting on the effect of a lifestyle, dietary pattern, or dietary supplement interventions on the incidence of T2D and reporting the results stratified by any effect modifier. We extracted relevant statistical findings and qualitatively synthesized the evidence for each modifier based on the direction of findings reported in available studies. We used the Diabetes Canada Clinical Practice Scale to assess the certainty of the evidence for a given effect modifier.

RESULTS

The 81 publications that met our criteria for inclusion are from 33 unique trials. The evidence is low to very low to attribute variability in intervention effectiveness to individual characteristics such as age, sex, BMI, race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status, baseline behavioral factors, or genetic predisposition.

CONCLUSIONS

We report evidence, albeit low certainty, that those with poorer health status, particularly those with prediabetes at baseline, tend to benefit more from T2D prevention strategies compared to healthier counterparts. Our synthesis highlights the need for purposefully designed clinical trials to inform whether individual factors influence the success of T2D prevention strategies.

Role of sociodemographic, clinical, behavioral, and molecular factors in precision prevention of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review

The variability in the effectiveness of type 2 diabetes (T2D) preventive interventions highlights the potential to identify the factors that determine treatment responses and those that would benefit the most from a given intervention. We conducted a systematic review to synthesize the evidence to support whether sociodemographic, clinical, behavioral, and molecular characteristics modify the efficacy of dietary or lifestyle interventions to prevent T2D. Among the 80 publications that met our criteria for inclusion, the evidence was low to very low to attribute variability in intervention effectiveness to individual characteristics such as age, sex, BMI, race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status, baseline behavioral factors, or genetic predisposition. We found evidence, albeit low certainty, to support conclusions that those with poorer health status, particularly those with prediabetes at baseline, tend to benefit more from T2D prevention strategies compared to healthier counterparts. Our synthesis highlights the need for purposefully designed clinical trials to inform whether individual factors influence the success of T2D prevention strategies.

Intermittent fasting with ketogenic diet: A combination approach for management of chronic diseases

Intermittent Fasting (IF) is the consumption of food and drinks within a defined time, while the ketogenic diet (KD) switches the metabolism from glucose to fats. Continuation of intermittent fasting leads to the generation of ketones, the exact mechanism for a ketogenic diet. This article discusses the types of IF and KD, the monitoring required, and the mechanisms underlying IF and KD, followed by disorders in which the combination strategy could be applied. The strategies for successfully applying combination therapy are included, along with recommendations for the primary care physicians (PCP) which could serve as a handy guide for patient management. This opinion article could serve as the baseline for future clinical studies since there is an utmost need for developing new wholesome strategies for managing chronic disorders.

Active and Passive Smoking in Adults Undergoing a Long-Term Multi-Setting Healthy Lifestyle Education: Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

We aimed to investigate the effects of a multi-setting lifestyle education on men's cigarette, hookah, and passive smoking, and women's passive smoking, in Iran. Data of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) were used. TLGS started in 1999 with every-3-year follow-ups. Multi-stage cluster random sampling was used to recruit participants under the coverage of three health centers. One health center implemented multi-setting lifestyle education at school, family, and community setting. Our analytic sample for generalized estimating equation was restricted to 1322 and 3593 adults (respectively as intervention and control) who were followed for 15.8 years. Intervention reduced the odds of men's cigarette smoking by 27%. The estimated mean cigarettes/day was 1.58 lower in intervention men. The intervention reduced the odds of men's hookah use by 42% in short term. Intervention women had 33% lower odds of passive smoking. Lifestyle education with community outreach can help achieve pragmatic tobacco control goals.

Transcultural Lifestyle Medicine in Type 2 Diabetes Care: Narrative Review of the Literature

Disparities in type 2 diabetes (T2D) care is a global problem across diverse cultures. The Dysglycemia-Based Chronic Disease (DBCD) model promotes early and sustainable interventions along the insulin resistance (stage 1), prediabetes (stage 2), T2D (stage 3), and complications (stage 4) spectrum. In this model, lifestyle medicine is the cornerstone of preventive care to reduce DBCD progression and the socioeconomic/biological burden of disease. A comprehensive literature review, spanning 2000 to 2021, was performed and 55 studies were included examining the effects of lifestyle medicine and their cultural adaptions with different prevention modalities. In stage 1, primordial prevention targets modifiable primary drivers (behavior and environment), unhealthy lifestyles, abnormal adiposity, and insulin resistance with educational and motivational health promotion activities at individual, group, community, and population-based scales. Primary, secondary, and tertiary prevention targets individuals with mild hyperglycemia, severe hyperglycemia, and complications, respectively, using programs that incorporate structured lifestyle interventions. Culturally adapted lifestyle change in primary and secondary prevention improved quality of life and biomarkers, but with a limited impact of tertiary prevention on cardiovascular events. In conclusion, lifestyle medicine with cultural adaptations is an integral part of preventive care in patients with T2D. However, considerable research gaps exist, especially for tertiary prevention.

Community-based cardiovascular disease prevention programmes and cardiovascular risk factors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to summarise the effect of community-based intervention programmes on the prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) by reducing cardiometabolic risk factors.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search in the PubMed database and screening of reference lists aimed to identify community-based CVD prevention programmes from inception up to April 2020. The mean differences and standard deviations for CVD risk factors, including blood pressure, lipid profile, blood glucose and body weight indices, were extracted and pooled using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Screening of 11,889 titles/abstracts and full texts resulted in 48 studies being included in this review. The meta-analysis showed that community-based programmes have led to considerable decreases in systolic blood pressure (weighted mean difference [WMD] = -2.90 mm Hg, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: -3.63, -2.16), diastolic blood pressure (WMD = -2.21 mm Hg, 95% CI: -3.12, -1.29), serum levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C; WMD = -8.88 mg/dl, 95% CI: -12.84, -4.92), triglycerides (WMD = -8.40 mg/dl, 95% CI: -12.10, -4.70), total cholesterol (WMD = -2.96 mg/dl, 95% CI: -3.10, -2.81) and fasting blood glucose (WMD = -2.06 mg/dl, 95% CI: -3.02, -1.10). A moderate decrease in body weight was also found with community-based CVD prevention programmes. However, community-based CVD prevention programmes were not associated with any significant changes in serum levels of high-density lipoprotein.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study indicates that community-based strategies have successfully led to an improvement in CVD risk factors, particularly by reducing blood pressure, serum levels of LDL-C and triglycerides, obesity indices and blood glucose. The impact of these programmes on CVD is modified by the type of intervention and by different cultural and physical environments.

Dynamic behavior of metabolic syndrome progression: a comprehensive systematic review on recent discoveries

BACKGROUND

The assessment of the natural history of metabolic syndrome (MetS) has an important role in clarifying the pathways of this disorder.

OBJECTIVE

This study purposed to provide a rational statistical view of MetS progression pathway.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review in accordance with the PRISMA Statement until September 2019 in the Medline/PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science and Google Scholar databases. From the 68 found studies, 12 studies were eligible for review finally.

RESULTS

The selected studies were divided in 2 groups with Markovian and non-Markovian approach. With the Markov approach, the most important trigger for the MetS chain was dyslipidemia with overweight/obesity in the under-50 and with hypertension in the over-50 age group, where overweight/obesity was more important in women and hypertension in men. In non-Markov approach, the most common trigger was hypertension. Transition probability (TP) from no component to MetS were higher in all Markovian studies in men than in women. In the Markovians the combination of dyslipidemia with overweight/obesity and in non-Markovians, hyperglycemia with overweight/obesity were the most common combinations. Finally, the most important components, which predict the MetS, were 2-component states and hyperglycemia in Markovian approach and overweight/obesity in non-Markovians.

CONCLUSIONS

Among the components of the MetS, dyslipidemia and hypertension seems to be the main developer components in natural history of the MetS. Also, in this chain, the most likely combination over time that determines the future status of people seems to be the combination of dyslipidemia with obesity or hyperglycemia. However, more research is needed.

Community-based educational interventions for prevention of type II diabetes: a global systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Our objective was to estimate the change in community-based education interventions throughout the world that may effectuate in risk parameters of type II diabetes (T2D), including the diabetes incidence rate, fasting blood glucose, hemoglobin A1C, body mass index, waist circumference, and systolic and diastolic blood pressure.

METHODS

A comprehensive search for globally eligible studies was conducted on PubMed, Embase, ProQuest, CINAHL nursing & allied health source, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, conference proceedings, and reference lists. Data were extracted using JBI standardized data extraction tool. The primary outcome variables were diabetes incidence rate, fasting blood sugar (FBS), hemoglobin A1c (HbAlc), body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), systolic/diastolic blood pressure (s/d BP). Random-effects meta-analysis and sub-group analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

Nineteen interventional studies were included in the review, and ten studies were pooled in the meta-analysis (n = 16,106, mean age = 41.5 years). The incidence rate of T2D was reported in three trials, within which the risk of developing T2D was reduced by 54.0% in favor of community-based educational interventions, (RR = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.38-0.75; p < 0.001). In eleven (n = 11,587) and six (n = 6416) studies, the pooled mean differences were - 0.33 (95% CI: - 0.45 to - 0.20, p < 0.0001) and - 0.15 (95% CI: - 0.28 to - 0.03, p < 0.0001) for FBS and HbA1c levels, respectively. Positive significant effects were observed on reducing BMI [pooled mean difference = - 0.47 (95% CI: - 0.66 to - 0.28), I² = 95.7%, p < 0.0001] and WC [pooled mean difference = - 0.66 (95% CI: - 0.89 to - 0.43), I² = 97.3%, p < 0.0001]. The use of theoretical frameworks was found to provide a 48.0% change in fasting blood sugar.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on a comprehensive data collection of about 16,106 participants and reasonable analyses, we conclude that educational interventions may reduce diabetes incidence by 54.0%, particularly through reductions in fasting blood glucose, body mass index, and waist circumference. The diabetes risk parameters may favorably improve irrespective of the duration of intervention, at as low as 6 months. The application of theoretical frameworks while designing educational interventions is also encouraged.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42018115877.

Long-term effectiveness of a lifestyle intervention on the prevention of type 2 diabetes in a middle-income country

This study aims to assess the effects of a community-based lifestyle intervention program on the incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D). For this purpose, three communities in Tehran were chosen; one community received a face-to-face educational session embedded in a long-term community-wide lifestyle intervention aimed at supporting lifestyle changes. We followed up 9,204 participants (control: 5,739, intervention: 3,465) triennially from 1999 to 2015 (Waves 1-5). After a median follow-up of 3.5 years (wave 2), the risk of T2D was 30% lower in the intervention community as compared with two control communities by (Hazard-ratio: 0.70 [95% CI 0.53; 0.91]); however, the difference was not statistically significant in the following waves. After a median follow-up of 11.9 years (wave 5), there was a non-significant 6% reduction in the incidence of T2D in the intervention group as compared to the control group (Hazard-ratio: 0.94 [0.81, 1.08]). Moreover, after 11.9 years of follow-up, the intervention significantly improved the diet quality measured by the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension concordance (DASH) score. Mean difference in DASH score in the intervention group versus control group was 0.2 [95% CI 0.1; 0.3]. In conclusion, the intervention prevented T2D by 30% in the short-term (3.5 years) but not long-term; however, effects on improvement of the diet maintained in the long-term.Registration: This study is registered at IRCT, a WHO primary registry ( https://irct.ir ). The registration date 39 is 2008-10-29 and the IRCT registration number is IRCT138705301058N1.

Trends in cardiovascular risk factors in diabetic patients in comparison to general population in Iran: findings from National Surveys 2007-2016

To determine levels of change in risk factors for cardiovascular disease among people with and without a previous diagnosis of diabetes from 2007 to 2016 in Iran. Data were obtained from five rounds of the World Health Organization STEPwise approach to Surveillance (STEPS) cross-sectional surveys. Participants were 7665 and 93,733 adults with and without known diabetes, respectively, aged 25–65 years. We used logistic and linear regressions to assess the trends of risk factors. Individuals with known diabetes compared to those without the condition, experienced greater reductions in mean levels of systolic blood pressure (3.0 vs. 0.5 mmHg among women and 3.9 vs. 1.6 mmHg among men), diastolic blood pressure (6.4 vs. 5.11 mmHg in women and 3.3 vs. 1.8 mmHg in men), and non-HDL cholesterol (42.4 vs. 27.2 mg/dL among women and 30.3 vs. 21.0 mg/dL among men) throughout these years. Men with diabetes also showed a greater reduction in the prevalence of daily cigarette smoking compared to their non-diabetic counterparts (7.3% vs. 2.3%). Fasting plasma glucose decreased among subjects with diabetes but increased among those without diabetes. Significant increases were observed in proportions who met goals for blood pressure, triglycerides, non-HDL cholesterol and LDL cholesterol in both groups; however, almost half of diabetic subjects did not achieve risk factor goals in 2016. Secondary prevention in diabetic patients was more effective than primary prevention in the general population; however, the rate of diabetic patients who met the designated goals for each risk factor was still suboptimal.

Study protocol for a nationwide Knowledge, Attitudes and Practices (KAP) survey on diabetes in Singapore's general population

INTRODUCTION

This study aims to establish the Knowledge, Attitudes and Practices (KAP) of the general population (people with and without diabetes) towards diabetes. The study will examine (a) recognition and understanding of causes, prevention and treatment strategies of diabetes; (b) identify the knowledge gaps and behavioural patterns that may hamper diabetes prevention and control; (c) stigma towards and stigma perceived by people with diabetes and (d) awareness of anti-diabetes campaigns.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The study is a nationwide, cross-sectional study of Singapore's general population aged 18 years and above (n=3000), comprising Chinese, Malay, Indian and other ethnic groups, who can understand English, Chinese, Malay or Tamil language. The sample was derived using a disproportionate stratified sampling using age and ethnicity. The proportion of respondents in each ethnic group (Chinese, Malay and Indian) was set to approximately 30%, while the proportion of respondents in each age group was set around 20% in order to ensure a sufficient sample size. The respondents will be administered questionnaires on diabetes KAP, stigma towards diabetes, lifestyle, diet and awareness of local anti-diabetes campaigns. The analysis will include descriptive statistics and multiple logistic and linear regression analyses to determine the socio-demographic correlates of correct recognition of diabetes, help-seeking preferences, as well as overall knowledge and attitudes among those with and without diabetes. We will consider a p value ≤0.05 as significant.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study protocol has been reviewed by the Institutional Research Review Committee and the National Healthcare Group Domain Specific Review Board (NHG DSRB Ref 2018/00430). The results of the study will be shared with policymakers and other stakeholders. There will be a local mass media briefing to disseminate the findings online, in print and on television and radio. The results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented in scientific meetings.

Community-based interventions for prevention of Type 2 diabetes in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review

Type 2 diabetes is an increasing burden in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Knowledge of effective prevention programs in LMICs is thus important. The aim of this review was to establish an overview of studies evaluating the effectiveness of community-based interventions for prevention of Type 2 diabetes in LMICs. A literature review with searches in the databases using MEDLINE in Ovid (Ovid MEDLINE® In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, Ovid MEDLINE(R) Daily, Ovid MEDLINE and Version (R); Embase; PsycINFO; Global Health; and Google Scholar) between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2015 was conducted. Only 10 studies that met our selection criteria were included; 3 were randomized controlled trials, 2 non-randomized controlled trials and 5 were pre-and post-intervention studies. About 9 of 10 studies reported significant reduction in both the glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels as a result of the intervention. A majority of the studies included multicomponent interventions such as education and behavioral encompassing both individual and group work, and included health education, nutrition education, nutrition counseling, exercise and promoting physical activity, psychosocial approaches and lifestyle modification. The interventions were delivered by community health workers, volunteers, social workers, community nutritionists and community nurses. Comparisons between studies, however, was not possible due to substantial heterogeneity in study design. This review contributes to the current literature on community-based interventions for prevention of Type 2 diabetes in LMICs, acknowledging the community-based approach can be effective in prevention and control of Type 2 diabetes. Due to the heterogeneity across study designs, outcomes and in terms of variation and duration of interventions, only limited conclusions can be drawn about the effectiveness of interventions. More evidence from randomized controlled trials on culturally tailored, community-based interventions is needed to compare findings and test implementation in practice.

Long-Term Effectiveness of a Lifestyle Intervention: A Pragmatic Community Trial to Prevent Metabolic Syndrome

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the long-term effectiveness of a community-based lifestyle education on primary prevention of metabolic syndrome in a middle-income country.

STUDY DESIGN

This study followed 3,180 individuals free of metabolic syndrome who were under the coverage of three health centers in Tehran from 1999 until 2015. They were undergoing triennial examinations resulting in four re-exams. People in one of three areas received interventions consisting of family-, school-, and community-based educational programs, including a face-to-face educational session at baseline. Data were analyzed considering the incidence of metabolic syndrome at each re-exam and also repeated-measure analysis including all re-exams together. Weighting was considered to correct selection bias because of loss to follow-up. Data were analyzed in 2017.

RESULTS

After 3 years, 149 of 852 participants in the intervention and 471 of 2,328 people in control area developed metabolic syndrome at first re-exam resulting in a RR of 0.78 (95% CI=0.67, 0.92). The difference between groups remained unchanged up to the 6-year follow-up (RR=0.79, 95% CI=0.66, 0.93, at second re-exam), but disappeared during the third and fourth re-exams (RR=1.04, 95% CI=0.91, 1.18 and RR=1.03, 95% CI=0.91, 1.16, respectively). Marginal models for longitudinal data showed a significant interaction between intervention and time of re-exams. Further analyses showed that the effect of the intervention might have been rooted in improvement of lipid profile and glucose level.

CONCLUSIONS

In a middle-income country, face-to-face educational sessions followed by a long-term maintenance community-level educational program could reduce the risk of metabolic syndrome for up to 6 years. A booster face-to-face session is recommended to retain this preventive effect.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study is registered at Iran Registry for Clinical Trials (http://irct.ir) IRCT138705301058N1.

Reducing chronic disease through changes in food aid: A microsimulation of nutrition and cardiometabolic disease among Palestinian refugees in the Middle East

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease and have become leading causes of morbidity and mortality among Palestinian refugees in the Middle East, many of whom live in long-term settlements and receive grain-based food aid. The objective of this study was to estimate changes in type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality attributable to a transition from traditional food aid to either (i) a debit card restricted to food purchases, (ii) cash, or (iii) an alternative food parcel with less grain and more fruits and vegetables, each valued at $30/person/month.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

An individual-level microsimulation was created to estimate relationships between food aid delivery method, food consumption, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality using demographic data from the United Nations (UN; 2017) on 5,340,443 registered Palestinian refugees in Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, Gaza, and the West Bank, food consumption data (2011-2017) from households receiving traditional food parcel delivery of food aid (n = 1,507 households) and electronic debit card delivery of food aid (n = 1,047 households), and health data from a random 10% sample of refugees receiving medical care through the UN (2012-2015; n = 516,386). Outcome metrics included incidence per 1,000 person-years of hypertension, type 2 diabetes, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, microvascular events (end-stage renal disease, diabetic neuropathy, and proliferative diabetic retinopathy), and all-cause mortality. The model estimated changes in total calories, sodium and potassium intake, fatty acid intake, and overall dietary quality (Mediterranean Dietary Score [MDS]) as mediators to each outcome metric. We did not observe that a change from food parcel to electronic debit card delivery of food aid or to cash aid led to a meaningful change in consumption, biomarkers, or disease outcomes. By contrast, a shift to an alternative food parcel with less grain and more fruits and vegetables was estimated to produce a 0.08 per 1,000 person-years decrease in the incidence of hypertension (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.05-0.11), 0.18 per 1,000 person-years decrease in the incidence of type 2 diabetes (95% CI 0.14-0.22), 0.18 per 1,000 person-years decrease in the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events (95% CI 0.17-0.19), and 0.02 decrease per 1,000 person-years all-cause mortality (95% CI 0.01 decrease to 0.04 increase) among those receiving aid. The benefits of this shift, however, could be neutralized by a small (2%) increase in compensatory (out-of-pocket) increases in consumption of refined grains, fats and oils, or confectionaries. A larger alternative parcel requiring an increase in total food aid expenditure by 27% would be more likely to have a clinically meaningful improvement on type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease incidence.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to the supposition in the literature, our findings do not robustly support the theory that transitioning from traditional food aid to either debit card or cash delivery alone would necessarily reduce chronic disease outcomes. Rather, an alternative food parcel would be more effective, even after matching current budget ceilings. But compensatory increases in consumption of less healthy foods may neutralize the improvements from an alternative food parcel unless total aid funding were increased substantially. Our analysis is limited by uncertainty in estimates of modeling long-term outcomes from shorter-term trials, focusing on diabetes and cardiovascular outcomes for which validated equations are available instead of all nutrition-associated health outcomes, and using data from food frequency questionnaires in the absence of 24-hour dietary recall data.

Diabetes Mellitus: Findings from 20 Years of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

CONTEXT

We summarized findings from Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS) about different aspects of type 2 diabetes (T2D) over the span of nearly 2 decades.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A review was undertaken to retrieve papers related to all aspects of T2D from the earliest date available up to January 30, 2018.

RESULTS

An annual crude incidence rate of 10 per 1000 person-years of follow-up was found for T2D in adult participants. Overall incidence rate of pre-diabetes/T2D was 36.3 per 1000 person-years or about 1% each year among youth. Diabetes was associated with increased risk of CVD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.86, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.57 - 2.27] and mortality [HR: 2.56; 95% CI: 2.08 - 3.16] in the total population. Compared with non-diabetic men and women, their diabetic counterparts survived 1.4 and 0.7 years shorter, respectively, during 15 years of follow-up. Wrist circumference, hyperinsulinaemia, 25-hydroxy vitamin D and increase in alanin aminotranferase provided incremental prognostic information beyond the traditional risk factors for incident T2D in adults. Using decision tree algorithms, a number of high risk groups were found for incident T2D. A probability of 84% was found for incidence of T2D among a group of men with fasting plasma glucose (FPG) > 5.3 mmol/L and waist to height ratio (WHtR) > 0.56, and women with FPG > 5.2 mmol/L and WHtR > 0.56.

CONCLUSIONS

Original TLGS studies have contributed greatly to clarify important evidence regarding the epidemiology and risk factors for T2D among Iranian population.

Tobacco Smoking: Findings from 20 Years of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

CONTEXT

Smoking is a global public health priority and accurate data of the local population is essential to improve the health policies against its use. Hence, this study aimed to summarize the important findings available on the prevalence of smoking and its association with non-communicable diseases, documented by one of the largest prospective community-based studies of Iran.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

All articles derived from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) in the last two decades, from the earliest publications until 30 January 2018 were reviewed for their findings on tobacco smoking.

RESULTS

The prevalence of smoking in non-diabetic adults ≥ 20 years increased between baseline (phase I, 1999 - 2001) and follow-up (phase V, 2008 - 2011) from 25.5% to 35.4% among men and from 3.4% to 6.8% among women. In TLGS adolescents (10 - 18 years) water pipe use increased between 2003 and 2005 from 35.5% to 40.9% among boys and from 19.7% to 26.1% among girls. Regarding health hazards, smoking in men was associated with increased risk of combined impaired fasting glucose/impaired glucose tolerance [hazard ratio (HR) 1.69; confidence interval (CI) 95% 1.15 - 2.48] and hypertension (HR 1.26; CI 95% 0.98 - 1.63). Moreover, men, even smoking less than 10 cigarettes per day, were at increased risk for cardiovascular diseases by HR 2.12 (CI 95% 1.14 - 3.95). For women, the risk of chronic kidney disease dramatically increased 5.74-fold (CI 95% 2.71 - 12.15) among smokers. In the whole population, smoking contributed to 7.7% of all-cause mortality with HR 1.75 (CI 95% 1.38 - 2.22). Other health aspects of tobacco smoke, including its impact on metabolic status, thyroid function, female reproductive system and life style have also been reviewed.

CONCLUSION

Considering hazards of smoking, there is the urgency for more effective preventive measures in Iran; emphasizing the need for further local studies on the hazards of smoking with special attention to women and adolescents and the independent hazards of water pipe use.

Contributions and Implications of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), an epidemiological study of non-communicable disease with 20 years follow up in a developing country in nutrition transition is a unique study in 15000 family based individuals, 3 - 75 years of age in a part of large city of Tehran. The success rate of recruitment for 20 years, intervention for lifestyle change, and thyroid, reproduction and cardiometabolic genetic studies derived from TLGS have paved suitable path towards precision medicine. In this review, baseline findings and changes of risk factors for the development of NCD including body weight, nutrition, physical activity, blood pressure, tobacco smoking, serum glucose and serum lipids as well as metabolic syndrome, chronic kidney disease, quality of life and biochemical findings in TLGS cohort have been summarized. The results of community based intervention for lifestyle change caused decreases in the prevalence of metabolic syndrome and the incidence of diabetes. It is concluded that TLGS has served as a model for other cohort studies in Iran and the region; it has helped to mobilize scientists in developing countries; it has established locally needed definitions of NCD variables; has served as a model for cohort studies in developing countries in nutrition transition with all socioeconomic constraints and has helped manpower education and development of local CVD risk scores for implementation of NCD management.

Outcomes of a Longitudinal Population-based Cohort Study and Pragmatic Community Trial: Findings from 20 Years of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

CONTEXT

The Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS) is one of the oldest population-based longitudinal cohort studies, providing knowledge about the incidence and risk factors of some non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in West Asia which hitherto was relatively scarce. We reviewed the methods and results related to the outcome measurements of this study.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We reviewed all the TLGS papers which reported the incidence of NCDs.

RESULTS

The TLGS was initiated in 1999 - 2001 on a population in district no. 13 of Tehran with the same age distribution of the overall Tehran population and with a middle socioeconomic status. Totally, 15005 individuals, aged ≥ 3 years, participated in the first examination; reexaminations were conducted in a triennial manner and 3550 individuals were added in the second examination. All participants were also followed up annually and asked about any medical event leading to hospitalization or death. A part of participants was assigned to an educational program for lifestyle modification. High incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), premature CVD, diabetes and hypertension (around 19, 6, 10 and 31 in men and 11, 5, 11 and 29 in women per 1000 person-year, respectively) besides the high incidence of pre-diabetes and pre-hypertension (around 46 and 76 in men and 37 and 49 in women per 1000 person-year, respectively) showed a worrying situation. Fortunately, the results of the community interventions were promising with around 20% reduction in the risk of metabolic syndrome up to six years.

CONCLUSIONS

These precise detections of different outcomes in the TLGS provided valuable evidences for prediction and prevention of NCDs in Iran with some novelties in the middle-income countries in the world. The Tehran thyroid study (TTS) and the Tehran cardiometabolic genetic study (TCGS), conducted in the framework of the TLGS, are among few studies aiming to determine the natural course of thyroid function and to identify patterns of genetic polymorphisms related to cardiometabolic outcomes, respectively.

UDAY: A comprehensive diabetes and hypertension prevention and management program in India

INTRODUCTION

Diabetes and hypertension are two leading non-communicable conditions, which are suboptimally managed in India. Thus, innovative comprehensive approaches that can concomitantly improve their detection, prevention and control are warranted.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

UDAY, a 5-year initiative, aims to reduce the risk of diabetes and hypertension and improve management by implementing a comprehensive intervention programme in the two selected study sites, Sonipat and Visakhapatnam (Vizag). It has a pre-post evaluation design with representative cross-sectional surveys before and after intervention. Within these two sites, urban and rural subsites each with a total population of approximately 100 000 people each were selected and a baseline and postintervention assessment was conducted deploying five surveys [among general population (including body measurements or biosamples), patients, healthcare providers including physicians and pharmacists, health facilities], which will determine the knowledge levels about diabetes and hypertension, the proportion treated and controlled; the patient knowledge and self-management skills; healthcare providers' management practices; the level of access and barriers to obtaining care.The interventions will include: tailored health promotion for improving public knowledge; screening of adults aged ≥ 30 years for identifying those at high risk of diabetes and/or hypertension for linkage to the healthcare system; patient education using technology enabled community health workers, geographic information system (GIS) based mapping of the communities, healthcare provider training on management guidelines, community based diabetes registry and; advocacy to improve access to healthcare. The baseline surveys have been completed, the study areas mapped using GIS and the interventions are being implemented. UDAY is expected to increase over baseline the levels of: public knowledge about diabetes and hypertension; those treated and controlled; patient self-management skills; the use of guideline based management by providers and; access to healthcare, leading to improved health outcomes and inform development of a India relevant chronic care model.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical clearance for conduct of the study was obtained from the Institutional Ethics Committee (IEC) of the Public Health Foundation of India. The findings will be targeted primarily at public health policymakers and advocates, but will be disseminated widely through other mechanisms including conference presentations and peer-reviewed publications, as well as to the participating communities.

Lifestyle precision medicine: the next generation in type 2 diabetes prevention?

The driving force behind the current global type 2 diabetes epidemic is insulin resistance in overweight and obese individuals. Dietary factors, physical inactivity, and sedentary behaviors are the major modifiable risk factors for obesity. Nevertheless, many overweight/obese people do not develop diabetes and lifestyle interventions focused on weight loss and diabetes prevention are often ineffective. Traditionally, chronically elevated blood glucose concentrations have been the hallmark of diabetes; however, many individuals will either remain 'prediabetic' or regress to normoglycemia. Thus, there is a growing need for innovative strategies to tackle diabetes at scale. The emergence of biomarker technologies has allowed more targeted therapeutic strategies for diabetes prevention (precision medicine), though largely confined to pharmacotherapy. Unlike most drugs, lifestyle interventions often have systemic health-enhancing effects. Thus, the pursuance of lifestyle precision medicine in diabetes seems rational. Herein, we review the literature on lifestyle interventions and diabetes prevention, describing the biological systems that can be characterized at scale in human populations, linking them to lifestyle in diabetes, and consider some of the challenges impeding the clinical translation of lifestyle precision medicine.

Effects of a culturally adapted lifestyle intervention on cardio-metabolic outcomes: a randomized controlled trial in Iraqi immigrants to Sweden at high risk for Type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Middle-Eastern immigrants constitute a growing proportion of the Swedish population and are at high risk for Type 2 diabetes. This calls for a more proactive preventive approach for dealing with diabetes risk in this target group. The aim was to test the effect of a culturally adapted lifestyle intervention programme on changes in lifestyle habits and cardio-metabolic outcomes comparing an intervention group with a control group receiving usual care.

METHODS

Citizens of Malmö, Sweden born in Iraq and at high risk for Type 2 diabetes (n=636) were invited. Participation rate was 15.1%. In all, 96 participants were randomized to the intervention group (n=50) or to the control group (n=46). The intervention group was offered seven group sessions addressing healthy diet and physical activity including one cooking class. Changes in body weight, physical activity levels and cardio-metabolic outcomes were evaluated using linear mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up time was 3.9 and 3.5months in the intervention and control groups, respectively. The drop-out rate from baseline to the last visit was 30.0% in the intervention group (n=15) and 30.4% in the control group (n=14). The mean insulin sensitivity index increased significantly at follow-up in the intervention group compared to the control group (10.9% per month, p=0.005). The intervention group also reached a significant reduction in body weight (0.4% per month, p=0.004), body mass index (0.4% per month, p=0.004) and LDL-cholesterol (2.1% per month, p=0.036) compared to the control group. In total, 14.3% in the intervention group reached the goal to lose ≥5% of body weight versus none in the control group.

CONCLUSIONS

This culturally adapted lifestyle intervention programme shows a beneficial effect on insulin action, body weight reduction, as well as LDL-cholesterol reduction, in Middle-Eastern immigrants. The programme adapted to resources in primary health care provides tools for improved primary prevention and reduced cardio-metabolic risk in this high-risk group for Type 2 diabetes.

Pre-diabetes tsunami: incidence rates and risk factors of pre-diabetes and its different phenotypes over 9 years of follow-up

AIMS

To investigate the incidence of pre-diabetes and its different phenotypes and the related risk factors during 9 years of follow-up.

METHODS

A total of 5879 people (2597 men and 3282 women) aged ≥ 20 years, free of diabetes and pre-diabetes, took part in the study. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all potential risk factors.

RESULTS

Overall, 853 men and 902 women developed pre-diabetes. Incidence rates of pre-diabetes were 46.1 per 1000 person-years in men and 36.8 per 1000 person-years in women, while isolated impaired fasting glucose had the highest incidence rate among all pre-diabetes phenotypes. In both sexes, age, family history of diabetes, fasting plasma glucose and 2-hour post-challenge plasma glucose were related to incident pre-diabetes. Among women, waist-to-height ratio [HR: 1.02 (1.00-1.03)] and being divorced/widowed compared with married [HR: 0.67 (0.52-0.87)] were significant predictors of pre-diabetes; whereas among men, community-based intervention [HR: 0.79 (0.68-0.90)], higher level of education and being single [HR: 0.77 (0.6-0.97)] were protective against progression to pre-diabetes. Moreover, hip circumference among women [HR: 0.95 (0.93-0.98)] and current smoking among men [HR: 1.69 (1.15-2.48)] were related to incident combined impaired fasting glucose and impaired glucose tolerance.

CONCLUSION

More than 4% of the Iranian population develop pre-diabetes each year, emphasizing the important role of socio-economic factors (marital status, education and smoking habits) and community-based intervention in progression to impaired glucose regulations. Thus, emergent intervention is necessary to halt the tsunami of pre-diabetes among the Iranian population.

Lifestyle Behaviors, Subjective Health, and Quality of Life Among Chinese Men Living With Type 2 Diabetes

The aim of the present study was to investigate the association between self-reported health (SRH) and quality of life (QoL) with five lifestyle-related behaviors including tobacco smoking, drinking alcohol, physical activity status, consumption of fruits, and consumption of vegetables among men diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. Participants were 786 Chinese men older than 40 years and living in urban households. Cross-sectional data on self-rated health, associated sociodemographics, and health-related behaviors were collected from the Study on Global AGEing and Health (Wave 1) of World Health Organization. Results of multivariable regression reported significant association with adherence to healthy lifestyle behavior and SRH but not QoL. According to the results, percentage of men who reported being in good SRH was overwhelmingly high (95.9%) compared with good QoL (5%). Adherence to healthy behavior was strongly associated with SRH in both bivariate and multivariate analysis, adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of good SRH for nonsmokers: 1.276 [1.055, 2.773], nondrinkers:1.351 [1.066, 3.923], taking physical exercise: 1.267 [1.117, 3.109], consuming at least five servings of fruits: 1.238 [1.034, 6.552], and vegetables: 1.365 [1.032, 3.885]. The current findings suggest that abstention from tobacco and alcohol, optimum consumption of fruits and vegetables, regular physical exercise could have marked impact on the health status of diabetic men.

Prevalence of physical inactivity in Iran: a systematic review

Introduction: Physical inactivity is one of the most important risk factors for chronic diseases, including cardiovascular disease, cancer, and stroke. We aim to conduct a systematic review of the prevalence of physical inactivity in Iran.

Methods: We searched international databases; ISI, PubMed/Medline, Scopus, and national databases Irandoc, Barakat knowledge network system, and Scientific Information Database (SID). We collected data for outcome measures of prevalence of physical inactivity by sex, age, province, and year. Quality assessment and data extraction has been conducted independently by two independent research experts. There were no limitations for time and language.

Results: We analyzed data for prevalence of physical inactivity in Iranian population. According to our search strategy we found 254 records; of them 185 were from international databases and the remaining 69 were obtained from national databases after refining the data, 34 articles that met eligible criteria remained for data extraction. From them respectively; 9, 20, 2 and 3 studies were at national, provincial, regional and local levels. The estimates for inactivity ranged from approximately 30% to almost 70% and had considerable variation between sexes and studied sub-groups.

Conclusion: In Iran, most of studies reported high prevalence of physical inactivity. Our findings reveal a heterogeneity of reported values, often from differences in study design, measurement tools and methods, different target groups and sub-population sampling. These data do not provide the possibility of aggregation of data for a comprehensive inference.

Evidence based review of type 2 diabetes prevention and management in low and middle income countries

AIM: To identify the newest approaches to type 2 diabetes (T2DM) prevention and control in the developing world context.

METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of published studies of diabetes prevention and control programs in low and middle-income countries, as defined by the World Bank. We searched PubMed using Medical Subject Headings terms. Studies needed to satisfy four criteria: (1) Must be experimental; (2) Must include patients with T2DM or focusing on prevention of T2DM; (3) Must have a lifestyle intervention component; (4) Must be written in English; and (5) Must have measurable outcomes related to diabetes.

RESULTS: A total of 66 studies from 20 developing countries were gathered with publication dates through September 2014. India contributed the largest number of trials (11/66). Of the total 66 studies reviewed, all but 3 studies reported evidence of favorable outcomes in the prevention and control of type 2 diabetes. The overwhelming majority of studies reported on diabetes management (56/66), and among these more than half were structured lifestyle education programs. The evidence suggests that lifestyle education led by allied health professionals (nurses, pharmacists) were as effective as those led by physicians or a team of clinicians. The remaining diabetes management interventions focused on diet or exercise, but the evidence to recommend one approach over another was weak.

CONCLUSION: Large experimental diabetes prevention/control studies of dietary and exercise interventions are lacking particularly those that consider quality rather than quantity of carbohydrates and alternative exercise.

Long-Term Effectiveness of a Lifestyle Intervention for the Primary Prevention of Type 2 Diabetes in a Low Socio-Economic Community--An Intervention Follow-Up Study on Reunion Island

In type 2 diabetes (T2D) prevention research, evidence for maintenance of risk factor reduction after three years of follow-up is needed. The objective of this study was to evaluate the long-term effectiveness of a combined lifestyle intervention aiming at controlling body weight (BW) and waist circumference (WC) in non-diabetic, overweight/obese adults living in a low socio-economic community. On Reunion Island, 445 adults living in deprived areas, aged 18–40 and at high-risk for T2D, were included in an intervention versus control trial for primary prevention (2001–2002). The intervention promoted a healthy diet and moderate regular physical activity, through actions strengthening individuals or community and improving living conditions. The control group received a one-shot medical information and nutritional advices. After the end of the trial (2003), 259 of the subjects participated in a follow-up study (2010–2011). The outcomes were the nine-year changes from baseline in BW, body mass index (BMI) and WC measurements, separately. Statistical analyses were performed on an intention-to-treat basis, using available and imputed datasets. At inclusion, T2D risk factors were prevalent: family history of diabetes in first-degree relatives (42%), women with a personal history of gestational diabetes (11%), total obesity (43%, median BMI 29.1 kg/m²) and central obesity (71%). At follow-up, the adjusted effect on imputed dataset was significant for WC -2.4 cm (95% confidence interval: -4.7 to -0.0 cm, p = 0.046), non-significant for BW -2.2 kg (-4.6 to +0.2 kg, p = 0.073) and BMI -0.81 kg/m² (-1.69 to +0.08 kg/m², p = 0.074). A specific long-term effect was the increased likelihood of reduction in adiposity: BW loss, BMI reduction, and WC reduction were more frequent in the intervention group. In the context of low socio-economic communities, our data support the assumption of long-term effect of lifestyle interventions targeting total obesity and central obesity two major drivers of T2D.

Structural equation model for estimating risk factors in type 2 diabetes mellitus in a Middle Eastern setting: evidence from the STEPS Qatar

AIMS

Understanding type 2 diabetes mellitus is critical for designing effective diabetes prevention policies in Qatar and the Middle East.

METHODS

Using the Qatar 2012 WHO STEPwise approach to surveillance survey, a subsample of 1224 Qatari participants aged 18-64 years was selected. Subjects had their fasting blood glucose levels tested, had not been diagnosed with or treated for diabetes, had a fasting time >12 hours and were not pregnant. We applied a hypothesized structural equation model (SEM) to assess sociodemographic, behavioral, anthropometric and metabolic variables affecting persons with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

RESULTS

There is a direct effect of triglyceride levels (0.336) and body mass index (BMI) (0.164) on diabetes status. We also found that physical activity levels negatively affect BMI (-0.148) and positively affect high-density lipoprotein (HDL) (0.106); sociodemographic background negatively affects diet (-0.522) and BMI (-0.352); HDL positively affects total cholesterol (0.230) and has a negative effect on BMI (-0.108), triglycerides (-0.128) and waist circumference (-0.104). Diet has a positive effect on triglycerides (0.281) while family history of diabetes negatively affects total cholesterol (-0.104). BMI has a positive effect on waist circumference (0.788) and mediates the effects of physical activity over diabetes status (-0.028). BMI also mediates the effects that sociodemographic factors (-0.058) and physical activity (-0.024) have on diabetes status. BMI and HDL (-0.002) together mediate the effect of physical activity on diabetes status and similarly HDL and tryglycerides (-0.005) also mediate the effect of physical activity on diabetes status. Finally diet and tryglycerides mediate the effects that sociodemographic factors have on diabetes status (-0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

This study's main finding is that triglyceride levels and BMI are the main variables directly affecting diabetes status in the Qatari population.

Apolipoprotein E ε-4 as a genetic determinant of Alzheimer's disease heterogeneity

Alzheimer's disease (AD) displays a high degree of heterogeneity in terms of its etiology, presentation, prognosis, and treatment response. This can partly be explained by high-penetrance mutations in the amyloid precursor protein, presenilin 1 and presenilin 2 genes causing amyloid beta aggregation, which is a major pathogenic mechanism in the development of early-onset AD in a small subgroup of patients. Late-onset AD is considered a polygenic disorder in which cumulative risk resulting from interaction with modifiable environmental risk factors may be responsible for the majority of cases. The ε-4 allele of the apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene has emerged as the most significant genetic risk factor for late-onset AD, influencing nearly every pathogenic domain affected in AD. It is a major risk factor for cerebral amyloid angiopathy, recognized as a common pathological finding in an AD subtype associated with white matter dysfunction. The APOE ε-4 allele is also a known risk factor for ischemic stroke, which can result in vascular dementia or contribute to subcortical vascular dysfunction. In this review, we evaluate the clinical relevance of APOE genotyping in relation to cholesterol metabolism and available evidence on risk reduction strategies applicable to AD.

CVD-predictive performances of "a body shape index" versus simple anthropometric measures: Tehran lipid and glucose study

PURPOSE

To examine whether a body shape index (ABSI) calculated by using waist circumference (WC) adjusted for height and weight could improve the predictive performances for cardiovascular disease (CVD) of the Framingham's general CVD algorithm and to compare its predictive performances with other anthropometric measures.

METHODS

We analyzed data on a 10-year population-based follow-up of 8,248 (4,471 women) individuals aged ≥30 years, free of CVD at baseline. CVD risk was estimated for a 1 SD increment in ABSI, body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHpR) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), by incorporating them, one at a time, into multivariate accelerated failure time models.

RESULTS

ABSI was associated with multivariate-adjusted increased risk of incident CVD among both men (1.26, 95% CI 1.09-1.46) and women (1.17, 1.03-1.32). Among men, for a one-SD increment, ABSI conferred a greater increase in the hazard of CVD [1.26 (1.09-1.46)] than did BMI [1.06 (0.94-1.20)], WC [1.15(1.03-1.28)], WHpR [1.02 (1.01-1.03)] and WHtR [1.16 (1.02-1.31)], and the corresponding figures among women were 1.17 (1.03-1.32), 1.02 (0.90-1.16), 1.11 (0.98-1.27), 1.03 (1.01-1.05) and 1.14 (0.99-1.03), respectively. ABSI as well as other anthropometric measures failed to add to the predictive ability of the Framingham general CVD algorithm either.

CONCLUSIONS

Although ABSI could not improve the predictability of the Framingham algorithm, it provides more information than other traditional anthropometric measures in settings where information on traditional CVD risk factors are not available, and it can be used as a practical criterion to predict adiposity-related health risks in clinical assessments.

Changes in body mass index, waist and hip circumferences, waist to hip ratio and risk of all-cause mortality in men

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of data about the impact of changes in anthropometric measurements on the risk of mortality events, especially in men.

METHODS

The study sample consists of 1805 Iranian men, aged ⩾ 30 years, free from cardiovascular disease at baseline; they had undergone health examinations in both phases I (1999-2001) and II (2001-2003) and were followed up until March 2010. Participants were categorized by changes in anthropometric measurements into four groups: Group 1, change percentage<-5%; Group 2, -5% ⩽ change percentages<+5%; Group 3, 5% ⩽ change percentage<10%; and Group 4, change percentage ⩾ 10%. Cox proportional hazard regression was performed to assess the hazard ratios (HRs) of the anthropometric changes for all-cause mortality, given group 2 as the reference.

RESULTS

During 6.6 years of follow-up, 88 cases of mortality events occurred. The confounder-adjusted multivariate HRs for the first, third and fourth groups of hip circumference (HC) changes were 3.13(1.28-7.64), 0.75(0.43-1.31) and 0.82(0.23-2.99); the corresponding values for waist to hip ratio (WHR) change were 1.80(0.75-4.33), 1.21(0.70-2.1) and 2.32(1.25-4.3). After further adjustment for mediator covariates, results did not change. The equivalent values for body mass index and waist circumference did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

In Middle Eastern Caucasian men, increase in WHR was associated with incident mortality, which was more prominent in those with ⩾ 10% increase in the ratio. Moreover, decrease in HC was highly associated with excess risk of mortality.

Exercício físico como fator de proteção para a saúde em servidores públicos

INTRODUÇÃO: A atividade física é reconhecida como fator de proteção para a saúde, sendo seus benefícios associados à redução de doenças crônicas e à diminuição do risco de morte prematura por doenças cardiovasculares. Embora a atividade física seja um importante recurso para políticas de promoção de saúde, o baixo nível e a inatividade física são preocupantes em todo o mundo. Em uma sociedade cada vez mais urbanizada e industrializada, exercícios físicos praticados regularmente são importantes recursos para manter o nível de atividade física recomendado, contudo, é preciso identificar as práticas mais adequadas às necessidades preconizadas como efeito protetor do exercício físico para a saúde.OBJETIVO: Analisar a prevalência de atividade física, fatores sociodemográficos, frequência, modalidades e motivos para a prática de exercício físico em servidores públicos de uma universidade.MÉTODOS: Estudo transversal, amostra aleatória (280 indivíduos) nível de confiança 95%, erro amostral 5%. Para avaliar o nível de atividade física foi utilizado o instrumento IPAQ (International Physical Activity Questionnaire), versão curta, na forma de entrevista. Foi aplicado um questionário sociodemográfico e questionado se os indivíduos praticavam exercício físico regularmente, a modalidade e frequência semanal, bem como os motivos para a prática. Os dados foram analisados utilizando-se o software estatístico SPSS - 14.0.RESULTADOS: A prevalência de inativos e insuficientemente ativos foi de 43,9%. Entre os que fazem exercício físico, 92,5% o fazem para a saúde (p<0,005), porém 29% são inativos ou insuficientemente ativos. Das modalidades mais praticadas, ao contrário do esperado, a caminhada não foi significativa.CONCLUSÕES: Houve diferenças no nível de atividade física quanto à idade, sexo, estado civil e ocupação, bem como nos motivos, na escolha e diversidade de modalidades praticadas. Além de encorajar e monitorar a atividade física, é preciso criar estratégias institucionais a fim de que se possam obter benefícios de melhor qualidade para a saúde.

Evidence Gap on the Prevalence of Non-conventional Risk Factors for Type 2 Diabetes in Iran

OBJECTIVES

Robust scientific evidence exists about the role of non-conventional risk factors in type 2 diabetes worldwide. The current epidemiological pattern of the disease in Iran suggests a precipitating role for these non-conventional risk factors. This review was performed to examine the research evidence suggesting a higher prevalence of non-conventional type 2 diabetes risk factors in Iran.

METHODS

MeSH keywords were applied to search several databases, including PUBMED, MEDLINE, AMED, EMBASE, Iran DOC, and the Scientific Information Database without a time limit from inception to September 2011. The quality of the non-interventional and population-based studies on Iranians included in these databases was assessed by the authors and any disagreement was resolved with consensus.

RESULTS

The literature search yielded 1847 publications, of which 62 were included in this study after eliminating non-relevant and overlapping papers. No study was found that verified a higher prevalence of the non-conventional type 2 diabetes risk factors in the Iranian population.

CONCLUSION

The identified evidence gap about the role of prominent non-conventional risk factors of type 2 diabetes in the Iranian population could be a major caveat in the application of an evidence-based approach to endorse or reject existing hypothesis about these risk factors. Studies on the prevalence of non-conventional biomarkers of type 2 diabetes among Iranians could be a promising area of research.

Distribution of ideal cardiovascular health in a community-based cohort of Middle East population

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

To improve cardiovascular (CV) health of American population, the American Heart Association (AHA) developed definitions of ideal, intermediate, and poor CV health based on 7 accessible health metrics. The applicability of this construct and the distribution of its components in the community-based populations in the Middle East region have not been reported.

DESIGN AND SETTINGS

A prospective population-based cohort study conducted from 1999 to 2011.

METHODS

We used data from phase 4 of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (2009-2011) (2861 women and 2004 men, aged >= 20 years) to estimate the frequency of CV health levels (ideal, intermediate, and poor) in adults of both genders, and the frequency of each metric at each level of CV health. The median or mean of each CV health metric was also estimated in the whole spectrum of CV health in all subgroups.

RESULTS

Only 1 adult participant met all 7 ideal CV health metrics; 25.01% of women and 26% of men had intermediate CV health; 74.8% of women and 74% of men exhibited poor CV health. Only 19.7% of women and 10.3% of men had 5 or more ideal CV health metrics. Nonsmoking was the most frequent ideal health behavior. A total of 89.6% of participants had 1 or 2 ideal CV health behaviors. Ideal smoking and fasting plasma glucose had the highest frequency of CV health factors among others.

CONCLUSION

The frequency of ideal CV health was extremely low in this cohort of adults. The frequency of intermediate CV health was also low, and it may be significantly lower in the general population.

Gender Difference in Blood pressure, Blood Sugar, and Cholesterol in Young Adults with Comparable Routine Physical Exertion

Context:

Gender differences in the risk of developing non-communicable diseases (NCD) are a matter of debate. The susceptibility of a woman to NCD should be evaluated taking into consideration the social factors that limit the physical activity among women. It will be interesting to note what will happen if women are allowed to take part in physical exercise to the extent of men.

Aims:

To find out the gender difference in the pattern of the clinical and biochemical indices related to NCD in young adults with comparable daily physical activity.

Settings and Design:

This is an institution-based cross-sectional study and the setting was Lekshmibhai National College for Physical Education (LNCPE), Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India.

Materials and Methods:

The study participants were students who were regularly involved in more than three hours of physical exercise daily at least for the previous one year. The information on socio-demography, anthropometry, and blood pressure was recorded. Blood samples were taken for laboratory examination.

Results:

Out of 150 students registered, 126 (84%) in the age group of 17 to 25 years who fulfilled the eligibility criteria were studied. Fifty-five (43.7%) of them were women. Systolic blood pressure, fasting blood sugar, and low-density lipoprotein were found significantly lower in women. No significant difference was noted in the case of diastolic blood pressure and total cholesterol.

Conclusion:

Gender differences exist for NCD risk factors among young adults with comparable physical activity and physical exertion seems to be more protective for females.

Dietary factors and type 2 diabetes in the Middle East: what is the evidence for an association?--a systematic review

This review aims to search and summarise the available evidence on the association between dietary factors and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Middle Eastern populations, where diabetes prevalence is among the highest in the world. Electronic databases were searched; authors, libraries, and research centres in the Middle East were contacted for further studies and unpublished literature. Included studies assessed potential dietary factors for T2DM in Middle Eastern adults. Two reviewers assessed studies independently. Extensive searching yielded 17 studies which met the inclusion criteria for this review. The findings showed that whole-grain intake reduces the risk of T2DM, and potato consumption was positively correlated with T2DM. Vegetables and vegetable oil may play a protective role against T2DM. Dietary patterns that are associated with diabetes were identified, such as Fast Food and Refined Grains patterns. Two studies demonstrated that lifestyle interventions decreased the risk of T2DM. In summary, the identified studies support an association between some dietary factors and T2DM; however, many of the included studies were of poor methodological quality so the findings should be interpreted with caution. The review draws attention to major gaps in current evidence and the need for well-designed studies in this area.

Health behavior after a multiprofessional intervention and training for ongoing volunteer-based community health programme intervention in the North-East of Thailand: what changed and what not?

This qualitative research within the project entitled "Multiprofessional Intervention and training for Ongoing Volunteer-based Community Health Programs in the Northeast of Thailand (MITV-NET) " was aimed at explaining changes of health behavior of community people in the Northeast after the intervention. The participants comprised 15 community volunteers and 27 villagers. Data were collected by indepth interview, focus group discussion, participation and non-participation observation, and note taking. Analyses were conducted in parallel with data collection, through content and comparative analysis. It was found that the health behavior fell into 2 categories: easy-to-change and difficult-to-change. The former involved fun activities joined by community people that improved their health or made them recover from illnesses after a short period without becoming addicted. These activities could be done by themselves, for example, exercising and cooking. The difficult-to- change health behavior is habitual, for example, chewing betel nuts or eating uncooked food. The following factors were found affecting behavioral changes: 1) underlying disease; 2) enjoyment in doing activities; 3) habitual behaviour; 4) improved health in a short period; 5) ability of community leaders and volunteers; and 6) community health-supporting resources. It is suggested that improving people's health requires cooperation of community people through fun activities and some initial external support. People who persist in bad habits should be encouraged to stop by showing them health deteriorating effects.

Effects of obesity on the impact of short-term changes in anthropometric measurements on coronary heart disease in women

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of short-term changes in body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), hip circumference (HC), and waist-to-hip ratio on the risk of future coronary heart disease (CHD) among women.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

The study sample consisted of 2468 women aged 30 years or older without cardiovascular disease at baseline who underwent 2 consecutive examinations, the first between January 31, 1999, and August 21, 2001, and second between October 20, 2001, and September 22, 2005, and were followed up until March 31, 2010. Cox proportional hazard regression was performed to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) of the anthropometric measures for CHD events.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 6.6 years, CHD occurred in 127 of the study participants (5.1%). There were significant interactions between a BMI of 30 kg/m(2) or greater and anthropometric changes in prediction of CHD events (all P<.04). Among nonobese individuals, a 1-SD increase in HC changes, independent of WC and BMI changes, was inversely associated with risk of CHD events (HR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.44-0.83]). Among obese individuals, a 1-SD increase in WC, independent of other changes, increased the risk of CHD. Conversely, a 1-SD increase in BMI decreased the risk of CHD by 35% (HR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.45-0.94]).

CONCLUSION

In this study, the impact of changes in anthropometric measures on CHD was modified by obesity at baseline. Among nonobese women, increases in HC could significantly reduce the risk of CHD events. Among obese individuals, although increases in WC were associated with a higher risk of CHD, increases in BMI decreased the risk.

Transportability of the updated diabetes prediction model from Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study to a Middle Eastern adult population: community-based cohort study

We validated the transportability of the updated diabetes prediction model from Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, to a Middle Eastern population. We investigated 3,721 participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) aged ≥20 years, free of diabetes at baseline. They underwent a standard 75gr 2-h post-challenge plasma glucose test that was repeated every 3 years using the same protocol. All the models were tested with respect to discrimination and calibration. We confirm the findings of Kahn et al. (Ann Intern Med 150(11):741-751, 2009) in a middle-aged, Middle Eastern population. We obtained the same predictive discrimination for the ARIC model (C statistic: men 0.790 and women 0.829) as for the TLGS' own model (men 0.824 and women 0.847) and validated a good calibration for the updated ARIC diabetes prediction model in the TLGS sample. Among men, optimal cut-point was set to the score of 31 where the maximum value of sensitivity (71.6%) plus specificity (75.3%) was achieved. Among women, the optimal point was set to the score of 38 with sensitivity of 67.1% and specificity of 85.0%. The updated ARIC model predicted the individual diabetes risk with a high level of sensitivity and specificity in the TLGS population, which was comparable with that of original sample. More parsimonious model incorporating age, family history of diabetes, waist circumference, pulse rate, and fasting plasma glucose, which were significantly associated with the risk of incident diabetes in the TLGS population, could be equally effective in predicting diabetes.

Diabetic population mortality and cardiovascular risk attributable to hypertension: a decade follow-up from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

To determine the extent to which burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes among diabetic population is attributable to hypertension. Nine-year follow-up data were secured for 7068 participants aged ≥ 20 years old, free from CVD at baseline. Cox proportional hazards regression was implemented to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of hypertension. Population-attributable hazard fraction (PAHF) was used to assess proportion of diabetic population hazard of CVD events and mortality attributable to hypertension. In the whole population, irrespective of diabetes or hypertension status, incidence rate (95% CI) of CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), as well as CVD and all-cause mortality per 1000 person-year were 8.3 (7.6-9.0), 7.1 (6.5-7.8), 1.8 (1.5-2.1) and 3.9 (3.5-4.5), respectively. Among diabetes participants, hypertension was a risk factor for CHD (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.15-2.03), CVD (HR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.50-2.41), CVD mortality (HR = 1.65, 95% CI 0.87-3.12) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.53, 95% CI 0.97-2.42). HRs, however, were not statistically significant for all-cause or CVD mortality. PAHFs (%) of hypertension was 27.5 (95% CI 8.3-42.6) for CHD, 29.6 (95% CI 10.6-44.4) for CVD, 27.9 (95% CI - 17.2 to 55.7) for CVD mortality and 22.6 (95% CI - 5.9 to 43.4) for all-cause mortality. Our study shows that there is an excess risk of CVD in hypertensive patients with diabetes related to inadequate control of blood pressure.

Review of community-based interventions for prevention of cardiovascular diseases in low- and middle-income countries

BACKGROUND

An increasing burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) as a result of urbanisation and globalisation. Low rates of awareness and treatment of risk factors worsen the prognosis in these settings. Prevention of CVD is proven to be cost effective and should be the main intervention. Insight into prevention programmes in LMIC is important in addressing the rising levels of these diseases.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effectiveness of the community-based interventions for CVD prevention programmes in LMIC.

DESIGN

A literature review with searches in the databases of PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, LILACS, African Index Medicus and Google Scholar between 1990 and May 2012.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies involving population-based and high-risk interventions have been included in this review. The content of the population intervention was mainly health promotion through media and health education, and the high-risk approach focused often on education of patients, training of health care providers and implementing treatment guidelines. A few studies had a single intervention on exercising or salt reduction. Most studies showed a significant reduction of cardiovascular risk ranging from lifestyle changes on diet, smoking and alcohol to biomedical outcomes like blood pressure, glucose levels or weight. Some studies showed improved management of risk factors like increased control of hypertension or adherence to medication.

CONCLUSION

There have been effective community-based programmes aimed at reducing cardiovascular risk factors in LMIC but these have generally been limited to the urban poor. Health education with a focus on diet and salt, training of health care providers and implementing treatment guidelines form key elements in successful programmes.

Beta-cell age calculator, a translational yardstick to communicate diabetes risk with patients: tehran lipid and glucose study

Aims. To provide a yardstick for physicians/patients to efficiently communicate/measure incident diabetes risk. Methods. We included data on 5,960 (3,438 women) diabetes-free adults, aged ≥20 years at baseline who either developed diabetes during two consecutive examinations or completed the followup. Age, systolic blood pressure, family history of diabetes, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDLD-C), and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) were introduced into an accelerated failure time regression model. Results. Annual diabetes incidence rate was 0.85/1000-person (95% CIs 0.77–0.94). Point-score-system incorporated age (1 point for >65 years), family history of diabetes (4 points), systolic blood pressure (−1 to 3 points), WHtR (−4 to 6 points), TG/HDL-C (1 point for ≥1.5), and FPG (0 to 27 points). Harrell's C statistic = 0.830 (95% CIs 0.808–0.852) and Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² = 9.7 (P for lack of fitness = 0.462) indicated good discrimination and calibration. We defined beta-cell age as chronological age of a person with the same predicted risk but all risk factors at the normal levels (i.e., WHtR 0.50, no family history of diabetes, Ln (TG/HDL-C) = 0.531, and FPG = 4.9 (mmol·L⁻¹)). Conclusion. Hereby, we have made it also possible to estimate wide ranges of “beta-cell age” for most chronological ages to assist clinician with risk communication.

Risk factors for ischemic stroke; results from 9 years of follow-up in a population based cohort of Iran

Background

Data about the risk factors of stroke are sparse in the Middle East populations. We aimed to determine the potential risk factors and their population attributable fraction (PAF) for stroke in an Iranian population.

Methods

A cohort Study consisted of 1089 men and 1289 women, with mean (SD) ages of 61.1(7.6) and 59.0(6.7) years, respectively. Cox regression was implemented to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of each risk factor for stroke events in a stepwise method. We calculated a multivariate adjusted population attributable fraction (PAF) for any risk factors remained in the model.

Results

During 9.3 years of follow-up, 69 events of stroke occurred with incidence rates of 4.5 (95% CI: 3.3-6.0) and 2.5 (1.7-3.6) in 1000 person-years for men and women respectively. Among potential risk factors, only age ≥ 65 years (HR: 2.03, CI: 1.24-3.31), male gender (HR: 2.00, CI: 1.16-3.43), hypertension (HR: 3.03, CI: 1.76-5.22), diabetes mellitus (HR: 2.18, CI: 1.34-3.56), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) (HR: 2.01, CI: 1.22-3.33), were independently associated with increased risk of stroke events in the total population. A paired homogeneity test showed that the hazard ratio of CKD did not differ from other independent risk factors. The PAFs were 29.7% and 25% for male gender and age ≥ 65 as non-modifiable and 48.6%, 29.1% and 22.0% for hypertension, CKD and diabetes as modifiable risk factors respectively.

Conclusion

Following this population based study of Iranians, we demonstrated that among modifiable risk factors, CKD as well as hypertension and diabetes are the strongest independent predictors of stroke.

Fasting glucose cutoff point: where does the risk terminate? Tehran lipid and glucose study

The aim of this study is to determine safe fasting plasma glucose (FPG) levels. We included data on 5,960 individuals aged ≥20 years at baseline with at least one follow-up examination. Diabetes was ascertained in accordance with American Diabetes Association criteria, using standard 2-h post-challenge plasma glucose test. Multivariate restricted cubic splines Weibull regression was implemented for interval-censored survival data on incident diabetes. We used Harrell's C statistic for discrimination, Nam-D'Agostino χ(2) for calibration, and Royston's R(2) for variations in the outcome explained by models. During a 6-year median follow-up, 369 incident cases of diabetes were ascertained. Family history of diabetes, systolic blood pressure, waist-to-height ratio, and triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, independent of FPG and each other remained associated with incident diabetes. The cubic splines model achieved good calibration (χ(2) = 12.1) and discrimination (C = 0.828) and explained 75% of variation in the time until incident diabetes. A J-shaped FPG-diabetes relationship was observed. Descending arm of the dose-response relationship curve corresponded to increasing FPG levels up to 4.0 mmol l(-1), where it started increasing. The risk of incident diabetes decreased with decreasing levels of FPG down to 4.0 mmol l(-1), where the risk stopped decreasing. Multivariate-adjusted risk of incident diabetes was zero at FPG = 5.05 mmol l(-1). Although currently there is no firm evidence to show that early intervention among individuals with the elevated FPG levels could prevent or delay onset of diabetes, individuals with FPG levels below 5.05 mmol l(-1) could be safely reassured about their near-term risk of developing incident diabetes and screened on a less frequent basis.

Shadow of diabetes over cardiovascular disease: comparative quantification of population-attributable all-cause and cardiovascular mortality

BACKGROUND

We contrasted impacts on all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality of diabetes vs. CVD.

METHODS

Among participants the Tehran lipid and glucose study aged ≥ 30 years (n = 9752), we selected those who participated in the follow-up study until 20 March 2009 (n = 8795). Complete data on covariate were available for 8, 469 participants, contributing to a 67935 person-year follow up. In the analysis of outcomes (all-cause and CVD mortality), diabetes and CVD were assessed using Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusting for established CVD risk factors. We used population attributable hazard fraction (PAHF) and rate advancement period (RAP) that expresses how much sooner a given mortality rate is reached among exposed than among unexposed individuals.

RESULTS

Ten percent of the participants self-reported to have pervious CVD, and diabetes was ascertained in 17% of participants at baseline examination. During a median follow-up of 9 years 386 participants died of which 184 were due to CVD. All-cause and CVD mortality rate (95% CIs) were 5.5 (5.0-6.1) and 2.6 (2.3-3.0) per 1000 person-year, respectively. The PAHF of all-cause mortality for diabetes 9.2 (7.3-11.1) was greater than the one for CVD 3.5 (1.1-5.5). RAP estimates for all-cause mortality associated with diabetes ranged from 7.4 to 8.6 years whereas the RAP estimates for all-cause mortality associated with CVD ranged from 3.1 to 4.3 years. The PAHF of CVD mortality for diabetes 9.4 (6.8-12.0) was greater than the one for CVD 4.5 (1.8-7.0). RAP estimates for CVD mortality associated with diabetes ranged from 8.2 to 9.8 years whereas the RAP estimates for CVD mortality associated with CVD ranged from 4.7 to 6.7 years.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that diabetes, which was shown to be keeping pace with prevalent CVD in terms of conferring excess risk of incident CVD, is currently causing more deaths in the population than does CVD.

On age-specific variations in income-related inequalities in diabetes, hypertension and obesity

OBJECTIVE

This article examines whether the social health gradients in diabetes, hypertension and obesity for men and women vary significantly across different age groups.

METHODS

We use a pooled sample of German survey data from the years 2002 and 2006 with a total of 87,601 observations. We employ a varying Wagstaff index derived from the class of Gini-type concentration indices to estimate age-specific income-related health inequalities.

RESULTS

We find significant health disadvantages among poor women in mid-age, but no significant age-specific income-related health inequalities among men. Some leveling of inequalities in diabetes is observed.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that variations in age-specific inequalities are unlikely to be a purely artificial result of health-related selection into retirement or mortality.