Chronic kidney disease measures and the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm

Development and validation of a machine-learning prediction model to improve abdominal aortic aneurysm screening

OBJECTIVE

Despite recommendations by the United States Preventive Services Task Force and the Society for Vascular Surgery, adoption of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) remains low. One challenge is the low prevalence of AAAs in the unscreened population, and therefore a low detection rate for AAA screenings. We sought to use machine learning to identify factors associated with the presence of AAAs and create a model to identify individuals at highest risk for AAAs, with the aim of increasing the detection rate of AAA screenings.

METHODS

A machine-learning model was trained using longitudinal medical records containing lab results, medications, and other data from our institutional database. A retrospective cohort study was performed identifying current or past smoking in patients aged 65 to 75 years and stratifying the patients by sex and smoking status as well as determining which patients had a confirmed diagnosis of AAA. The model was then adjusted to maximize fairness between sexes without significantly reducing precision and validated using six-fold cross validation.

RESULTS

Validation of the algorithm on the single-center institutional data utilized 18,660 selected patients over 2 years and identified 314 AAAs. There were 41 factors identified in the medical record included in the machine-learning algorithm, with several factors never having been previously identified to be associated with AAAs. With an estimated 100 screening ultrasounds completed monthly, detection of AAAs is increased with a lift of 200% using the algorithm as compared with screening based on guidelines. The increased detection of AAAs in the model-selected individuals is statistically significant across all cutoff points.

CONCLUSIONS

By utilizing a machine-learning model, we created a novel algorithm to detect patients who are at high risk for AAAs. By selecting individuals at greatest risk for targeted screening, this algorithm resulted in a 200% lift in the detection of AAAs when compared with standard screening guidelines. Using machine learning, we also identified several new factors associated with the presence of AAAs. This automated process has been integrated into our current workflows to improve screening rates and yield of high-risk individuals for AAAs.

Risk factors and mortality in dialysis patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm: A retrospective cohort study

In the general population, abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is synonymous with vascular disease and associated with increased mortality. Vascular disease is common in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on dialysis, but there is limited information on AAA in this population. To address this issue, we queried the United States Renal Data System for risk factors associated with a diagnosis of AAA as well as the impact of AAA on ESRD patient survival. Incident dialysis patients from 2005 to 2014 with AAA and other clinical comorbidities were identified using ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. Time to death was defined using the time from the start of dialysis to the date of death or to December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards (CPH) modeling was used to determine the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for death. From a total cohort of 820,826, we identified 21,631 subjects with a diagnosis of AAA. When compared to patients without AAA, AAA patients were older and more likely to be of white race and male gender, have a higher mean Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), have hypertension as the ESRD etiology, and use tobacco. Although a bivariate CPH model showed that AAA patients had an increased mortality risk compared to patients without the diagnosis, in the final CPH model, AAA patients had a decreased risk of mortality (aHR = 0.83, 95% CI 0.81-0.84) due to confounding with age. These results suggest that AAA is not associated with increased risk of death in ESRD patients after controlling for various demographic and clinical risk factors.

Chronic Kidney Disease Associated with Ischemic Heart Disease: To What Extent Do Biomarkers Help?

Chronic kidney disease represents a complex and multifaceted pathology characterized by the presence of structural or functional renal anomalies associated with a persistent reduction in renal function. As the disease progresses, complications arise due to the chronic inflammatory syndrome, hydro-electrolytic disorders, and toxicity secondary to the uremic environment. Cardiovascular complications are the leading cause of death for these patients. Ischemic cardiac pathology can be both a consequence and complication of chronic kidney disease, highlighting the need to identify specific cardiorenal dysfunction biomarkers targeting pathophysiological mechanisms common to both conditions. This identification is crucial for establishing accurate diagnoses, prognoses, and risk stratifications for patients. This work is intended to elucidate the intricate relationship between chronic kidney disease and ischemic heart disease and to investigate the roles of cardiorenal biomarkers, including cardiac troponin, natriuretic peptides, galectin-3, copeptin, fibroblast growth factor 23 and its co-receptor Klotho, soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2, and plasma growth differentiation factor 15.

Cardiovascular outcomes and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors in chronic kidney disease patients

Background

Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors provide cardiovascular protection for patients with heart failure (HF) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, there is little evidence of their application in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Furthermore, there are inconsistent results from studies on their uses. Therefore, to explore the cardiovascular protective effect of SGLT2 inhibitors in the CKD patient population, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the cardiovascular effectiveness and safety of SGLT2 inhibitors in this patient population.

Method

We searched the PubMed® (National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, MD, USA) and Web of Science™ (Clarivate™, Philadelphia, PA, USA) databases for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of SGLT2 inhibitors in CKD patients and built the database starting in January 2023. In accordance with our inclusion and exclusion criteria, the literature was screened, the quality of the literature was evaluated, and the data were extracted. RevMan 5.3 (The Nordic Cochrane Centre, The Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, Denmark) and Stata® 17.0 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX, USA) were used for the statistical analyses. Hazard ratios (HRs), odds ratios (ORs), and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used for the analysis of the outcome indicators.

Results

Thirteen RCTs were included. In CKD patients, SGLT2 inhibitors reduced the risk of cardiovascular death (CVD) or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) by 28%, CVD by 16%. and HHF by 35%. They also reduced the risk of all-cause death by 14% without increasing the risk of serious adverse effects (SAEs) and urinary tract infections (UTIs). However, they increased the risk of reproductive tract infections (RTIs).

Conclusion

SGLT2 inhibitors have a cardiovascular protective effect on patients with CKD, which in turn can significantly reduce the risk of CVD, HHF, and all-cause death without increasing the risk of SAEs and UTIs but increasing the risk of RTIs.

[Albuminuria as a marker of atherosclerosis burden and a possible predictor of adverse events in patients with polyvascular disease]

BACKGROUND

The role of albuminuria as a marker of the atherosclerosis burden and a predictor of prognosis in patients with polyvascular disease (PD) has been little studied.

AIM

To evaluate the prevalence, association with atherosclerosis burden, and prognostic value of albuminuria in relation to cardiovascular and bleeding complications in patients with PD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data was obtained from the prospective registry REGATA-1 (NCT04347200). Seventy four patients (75.7% males, median age 67 [61-69] years) with PD (CAD and peripheral arterial disease) were enrolled. All patients received aspirin and rivaroxaban 2.5 mg. The albumin-creatinine ratio in a single morning urine sample, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and von Willebrand factor levels were determined.

RESULTS

Mild albuminuria (10-29 mg/g) was detected in 45.9% of patients, moderate and severe (≥30 mg/g) - in 29.7%; eGFR<60 ml/min - in 21.7%, chronic kidney disease (CKD) according to the full KDIGO criteria (eGFR and/or albuminuria ≥30 mg/g) - twice as often (39.2%). The frequency of nephroprotective therapy prescription was insufficient. The level of albuminuria did not correlate with von Willebrand factor (endothelial dysfunction marker), but was associated with affecting of 4-5 vascular beds (ROC AUC 0.775; p=0.011). During the follow-up (12 [8-18] months) 3 patients developed MACE, 11 - BARC 2-3 bleedings. Neither albuminuria nor eGFR were predictors of MACE, bleeding, or net clinical benefit. CKD (KDIGO) was also not associated with bleedings. CKD (KDIGO) was independent predictor of MACE (in significant multiple regression model beta - coefficient for CKD was 0.097; p=0.042), however, the small number of end points allows us to speak only of a hypothesis-generating trend. The implementation of CKD (KDIGO) has increased the predictive value of the REACH score.

CONCLUSION

Albuminuria is highly prevalent in patients with PD. It is a marker of atherosclerosis burden. CKD, diagnosed taking into account the level of albuminuria, can be used in a comprehensive assessment of cardiovascular risk in this category of patients.

Cardiovascular complications in chronic kidney disease: a review from the European Renal and Cardiovascular Medicine Working Group of the European Renal Association

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is classified into five stages with kidney failure being the most severe stage (stage G5). CKD conveys a high risk for coronary artery disease, heart failure, arrhythmias, and sudden cardiac death. Cardiovascular complications are the most common causes of death in patients with kidney failure (stage G5) who are maintained on regular dialysis treatment. Because of the high death rate attributable to cardiovascular (CV) disease, most patients with progressive CKD die before reaching kidney failure. Classical risk factors implicated in CV disease are involved in the early stages of CKD. In intermediate and late stages, non-traditional risk factors, including iso-osmotic and non-osmotic sodium retention, volume expansion, anaemia, inflammation, malnutrition, sympathetic overactivity, mineral bone disorders, accumulation of a class of endogenous compounds called 'uremic toxins', and a variety of hormonal disorders are the main factors that accelerate the progression of CV disease in these patients. Arterial disease in CKD patients is characterized by an almost unique propensity to calcification and vascular stiffness. Left ventricular hypertrophy, a major risk factor for heart failure, occurs early in CKD and reaches a prevalence of 70-80% in patients with kidney failure. Recent clinical trials have shown the potential benefits of hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors, especially as an oral agent in CKD patients. Likewise, the value of proactively administered intravenous iron for safely treating anaemia in dialysis patients has been shown. Sodium/glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors are now fully emerged as a class of drugs that substantially reduces the risk for CV complications in patients who are already being treated with adequate doses of inhibitors of the renin-angiotensin system. Concerted efforts are being made by major scientific societies to advance basic and clinical research on CV disease in patients with CKD, a research area that remains insufficiently explored.

Oral fluoroquinolones and risk of aortic aneurysm or dissection: A nationwide population-based propensity score-matched cohort study

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To investigate risk of aortic aneurysm or dissection in patients using oral fluoroquinolones compared to those using macrolides in real-world clinical practice among a large US general population.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study design.

DATA SOURCE

MarketScan commercial and Medicare supplemental databases.

PATIENTS

Adults patients with at least one prescription fill for fluoroquinolone or macrolide antibiotics.

INTERVENTION

Fluoroquinolone or macrolide antibiotics.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was estimated incidence of aortic aneurysm or dissection associated with the use of fluoroquinolones compared with macrolides during a 60-day follow-up period in a 1:1 propensity score-matched cohort. We identified 3,174,620 patients (1,587,310 in each group) after 1:1 propensity score matching. Crude incidence of aortic aneurysm or dissection was 1.9 cases per 1000 person-years among fluoroquinolone users and 1.2 cases per 1000 person-years among macrolide users. In multivariable Cox regression, compared with macrolides, the use of fluoroquinolones was associated with an increased risk of aortic aneurysm or dissection (aHR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.17-1.54). The association was primarily driven by a high incidence of aortic aneurysm cases (95.8%). Results of sensitivity (e.g., fluoroquinolone exposure ranging from 7 to 14 days (aHR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.26-1.71)) and subgroup analyses (e.g., ciprofloxacin (aHR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.07-1.49) and levofloxacin (aHR: 1.44; 95% CI: 1.19-1.52)) remained consistent with main findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Fluoroquinolone use was associated with a 34% increased risk of aortic aneurysm or dissection compared with macrolide use among a general US population.

Impact of Bifidobacterium adolescentis in patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm: a cross-sectional study

The relationships between various diseases and the human gut microbiota (GM) have been revealed. However, the relationships between the human abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and GM remains unknown. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to clarify the association between the human AAA and GM. Stool samples from 30 consecutive patients with AAA before aneurysm repair and those of 30 controls without vascular diseases were analyzed by 16S rRNA gene (V3-4) sequencing using an Illumina MiSeq system and QIIME 2. There was no significant difference in age (75 vs. 75 years) or gender (80% vs. 87% males) between the groups. No significant difference in GM composition was observed in principal coordinate analysis between the two groups, whereas the AAA group showed a significantly lower abundance of Bifidobacterium adolescentis (p<0.01) at the species level than the controls. This study demonstrated that the abundance of B. adolescentis decreased in patients with AAA. This is the first study to show the characteristics of the GM in patients with AAA. Studies are needed to reveal if causal relationships exists between the human AAA and GM.

One-year sac regression is associated with freedom from fatal adverse events after endovascular aneurysm repair

OBJECTIVE

Although the predictors of long-term prognosis after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) have been investigated, several reports have suggested that early sac shrinkage (ESS) is associated with superior long-term prognosis. However, it was not clear whether ESS was associated with aneurysm-related mortality. The aim of this study was to define fatal adverse events and to examine their association with ESS.

METHODS

All consecutive patients who underwent EVAR for an abdominal aortic aneurysm at Nagoya University Hospital between June 2007 and August 2018 were identified. We defined ESS as an aneurysm diameter decrease of 10 mm or more at 1 year after EVAR, and we defined fatal adverse events as aneurysm-related death, aneurysm sac rupture, open conversion, secondary type Ia endoleak, or secondary type IIIa/b endoleak. Then, we evaluated the association between ESS and fatal adverse events and identified predictors of ESS.

RESULTS

During the study period, 553 patients were identified and included. Fatal adverse events occurred in 42 patients (7.6%), and the details of the fatal adverse events were as follows: 13 aneurysm-related deaths, 17 aneurysm sac ruptures, 14 open conversions, 13 type Ia endoleaks, and 6 type III endoleaks. ESS occurred in 146 patients (26.4%). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the ESS group had a significantly lower incidence of fatal adverse events (P < .001). Multivariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in terms of 5 or more preoperatively patent lumbar arteries (odds ratio [OR], 0.67; P = .049; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45-1.00), chronic kidney disease (OR, 0.49; P < .01; 95% CI, 0.29-0.84), and Zenith endograft use (OR, 1.76; P < .01; 95% CI, 1.16-2.67). Furthermore, the percentage of cases that achieved an aneurysm diameter of less than 40 mm was significantly higher in the ESS group (76.0% vs 15.5%; P < .01). The use of Zenith endografts showed a significantly higher rate of aneurysm disappearance than the use of Endurant endografts (P < .01) and Excluder endografts (P < .01). In addition, it was found that ESS was more likely to occur with the use of Zenith endografts, even when propensity score matching was performed for the neck morphology.

CONCLUSIONS

ESS was associated with a lower rate of life-threatening adverse events after EVAR. The use of Zenith endografts was a predictor of ESS and was associated with increased rates of long-term sac shrinkage and aneurysm disappearance compared with the Endurant and Excluder endografts. Using the predictors of ESS identified in this study, we may be able to expand the indications for EVAR to patients with a longer life expectancy.

Hypertriglyceridemia and Other Risk Factors of Chronic Kidney Disease in Type 2 Diabetes: A Hospital-Based Clinic Population in Greece

Aims/Introduction: Several reports indicate an increasing prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Hyperglycemia and hypertension are the main risk factors for CKD development and progression. However, despite the achievement of recommended targets for blood glucose and blood pressure (BP), the residual risk of diabetic chronic kidney disease (DCKD) remains relatively high. The aim of this study is to examine dyslipidemia and other major risk factors to provide support for the prevention and treatment of DCKD. Materials and Methods: Participants are from the Redit-2-Diag study that examines 1759 subjects within a period of 6 months. DCKD severity is staged according to KDIGO criteria. Results: An increase in hemoglobin A_1c (1 unit) and systolic blood pressure (1 mm Hg) increases the probability of being classified into a higher CKD stage by 14% and 26%, respectively. Moreover, an increase of triglycerides by 88.5 mg/dL increases the risk of classification to a worse CKD stage by 24%. Conclusions: Elevated triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, and poor glycemic control increase the risk of CKD in T2DM and should be addressed in the treatment strategies.

Guidelines on the management of abdominal aortic aneurysms: updates from the Italian Society of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery (SICVE)

The objective of these Guidelines was to revise and update the previous 2016 Italian Guidelines on Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Disease, in accordance with the National Guidelines System (SNLG), to guide every practitioner toward the most correct management pathway for this pathology. The methodology applied in this update was the GRADE-SIGN version methodology, following the instructions of the AGREE quality of reporting checklist as well. The first methodological step was the formulation of clinical questions structured according to the PICO (Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome) model according to which the Recommendations were issued. Then, systematic reviews of the Literature were carried out for each PICO question or for homogeneous groups of questions, followed by the selection of the articles and the assessment of the methodological quality for each of them using qualitative checklists. Finally, a Considered Judgment form was filled in for each clinical question, in which the features of the evidence as a whole are assessed to establish the transition from the level of evidence to the direction and strength of the recommendations. These guidelines outline the correct management of patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm in terms of screening and surveillance. Medical management and indication for surgery are discussed, as well as preoperative assessment regarding patients' background and surgical risk evaluation. Once the indication for surgery has been established, the options for traditional open and endovascular surgery are described and compared, focusing specifically on patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms as well. Finally, indications for early and late postoperative follow-up are explained. The most recent evidence in the Literature has been able to confirm and possibly modify the previous recommendations updating them, likewise to propose new recommendations on prospectively relevant topics.

One-Year Change in Diastolic Blood Pressure and Aortic Disease-Related Mortality in a Japanese General Population Aged 50-75 Years

BACKGROUND

Aortic diseases (ADs), including aortic dissection, aortic aneurysm, and aortic rupture, are fatal diseases with extremely high mortality rates. Hypertension has been reported to be associated with AD development; however, it remains unclear whether a 1-year change in diastolic blood pressure (DBP) is a risk factor for AD-related mortality in the general population.Methods and Results:This study used a nationwide database of 235,076 individuals (aged 50-75 years) who participated in the annual "Specific Health Check and Guidance in Japan" for 2 consecutive years between 2008 and 2010. There were 55 AD-related deaths during the follow-up period of 1,770 days. All subjects were divided into 4 groups based on the baseline DBP and change in DBP at 1 year: persistent high DBP, increasing DBP, decreasing DBP, and normal DBP. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that the persistent high DBP group had the greatest risk among the 4 groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis demonstrated that both DBP and 1-year change in DBP were significantly associated with AD-related deaths. The prediction capacity was significantly improved by the addition of 1-year change in DBP to confounding risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated for the first time that a 1-year change in DBP was associated with AD-related deaths in the general population. Monitoring changes in DBP are of critical importance in the primary prevention of AD-related deaths in apparently healthy subjects aged 50-75 years.

Prevalence of abdominal aortic aneurysms in patients with lung cancer

OBJECTIVE

Concomitance of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and primary lung cancer (LC) is not uncommon due to several shared risk factors. To evaluate the incidence of this association, analysis of the National Inpatient Sample database was utilized.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the National Inpatient Sample database between 2014 and 2018 for all patients diagnosed with primary LC was performed. The differences in the reported findings between the LC and control groups were assessed using the Pearson χ², Fisher exact, Student t, and/or Mann-Whitney U tests where appropriate. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine independent predictors of the presence of documented AAA.

RESULTS

A total of 158,904 patients were identified. Of these, 2430 patients (1.53%) were diagnosed with AAA and 156,474 (98.47%) without AAA. In the multivariable model, LC patients had higher odds of AAA compared with the general population (odds ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.35-1.51). In all age groups, female smokers had a higher rate of AAA compared with female nonsmokers (age <60 years, 0.13% vs 0.04%; 60-69 years, 0.77% vs 0.34%; 70-79 years, 1.65% vs 0.69%; and >80 years, 2.63% vs 1.31%; all P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

LC and AAA share similar risk factors, which may explain the higher AAA prevalence among patients with LC. Given the higher prevalence of AAA in smokers compared with nonsmokers across all age groups in both male and female patients with LC, further sex-based studies investigating the overall mortality and morbidity benefits of AAA screening among patients with LC are highly warranted. This consideration would potentially address the sex disparity in outcomes for AAA management.

Chronic kidney disease measures for cardiovascular risk prediction

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects 15-20% of adults globally and causes various complications, one of the most important being cardiovascular disease (CVD). CKD has been associated with many CVD subtypes, especially severe ones like heart failure, independent of potential confounders such as diabetes and hypertension. There is no consensus in major clinical guidelines as to how to incorporate the two key measures of CKD (glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria) for CVD risk prediction. This is a critical missed opportunity to appropriately refine predicted risk and personalize prevention therapies according to CKD status, particularly since these measures are often already evaluated in clinical care. In this review, we provide an overview of CKD definition and staging, the subtypes of CVD most associated with CKD, major pathophysiological mechanisms, and the current state of CKD as a predictor of CVD in major clinical guidelines. We will introduce the novel concept of a "CKD Add-on", which allows the incorporation of CKD measures in existing risk prediction models, and the implications of taking into account CKD in the management of CVD risk.

Recent Advances in ROS-Sensitive Nano-Formulations for Atherosclerosis Applications

Over the past decade, ROS-sensitive formulations have been widely used in atherosclerosis applications such as ROS scavenging, drug delivery, gene delivery, and imaging. The intensified interest in ROS-sensitive formulations is attributed to their unique self-adaptive properties, involving the main molecular mechanisms of solubility switch and degradation under the pathological ROS differences in atherosclerosis. This review outlines the advances in the use of ROS-sensitive formulations in atherosclerosis applications during the past decade, especially highlighting the general design requirements in relation to biomedical functional performance.

Diseases of the Aorta and Kidney Disease: Conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), as well as for cardiovascular and renal events and all-cause mortality following surgery for AAA or thoracic aortic dissection. In addition, the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) after any aortic surgery is particularly high, and this AKI per se is independently associated with future cardiovascular events and mortality. On the other hand, both development of AKI after surgery and the long-term evolution of kidney function differ significantly depending on the type of AAA intervention (open surgery vs. the various subtypes of endovascular repair). Current knowledge regarding AAA in the general population may not be always applicable to CKD patients, as they have a high prevalence of co-morbid conditions and an elevated risk for periprocedural complications. This summary of a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Controversies Conference group discussion reviews the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and treatment of Diseases of the Aorta in CKD and identifies knowledge gaps, areas of controversy, and priorities for future research.

Risk Analysis of Aneurysm Sac Enlargement Caused by Type II Endoleak after Endovascular Aortic Repair

BACKGROUND

Although the preoperative risk factors associated with the occurrence of type II endoleak (ETII) after endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) have gradually become more evident, the preoperative risk factors associated with aneurysm sac enlargement caused by ETII remain unclear. This study aimed to determine the preoperative risk factors associated with aneurysm sac enlargement caused by ETII after EVAR.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study reviewed 519 EVARs performed for true abdominal aortic aneurysm between January 2006 and December 2018 at our institution. EVARs using commercially available bifurcated devices with no type I or III endoleaks during follow-up and with ≥12 months follow-up were included. A total of 320 patients were enrolled in the study. To identify the preoperative risk factors of sac enlargement after EVAR, Cox regression analysis was used to assess preoperative data.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 60.8 months. Overall, 135 of 320 patients (42%) had ETII during follow-up, and 47 of 135 patients (35%) developed aneurysm sac enlargement. Multivariate analysis revealed that chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage ≥4 (hazard ratio [HR], 4.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.13-10.15; P = 0.001), patent inferior mesenteric artery (IMA) (HR, 17.85; 95% CI, 2.46-129.73; P< 0.001), and number of patent lumbar arteries (LAs) (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.13-1.68; P= 0.002) were risk factors of aneurysm sac enlargement caused by ETII.

CONCLUSIONS

CKD stage ≥4, patent IMA, and number of patent LAs were independent risk factors for aneurysm sac enlargement after EVAR. In particular, patent IMA had the highest HR and seemed to have the greatest impact on long-term aneurysm sac enlargement. Hence, taking preoperative measures to address a patent IMA appears to be important in reducing the incidence of sac enlargement.

Derivation and Validation of a 10-Year Risk Score for Symptomatic Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: Cohort Study of Nearly 500 000 Individuals

BACKGROUND

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) can occur in patients who are ineligible for routine ultrasound screening. A simple AAA risk score was derived and compared with current guidelines used for ultrasound screening of AAA.

METHODS

United Kingdom Biobank participants without previous AAA were split into a derivation cohort (n=401 820, 54.6% women, mean age 56.4 years, 95.5% White race) and validation cohort (n=83 816). Incident AAA was defined as first hospital inpatient diagnosis of AAA, death from AAA, or an AAA-related surgical procedure. A multivariable Cox model was developed in the derivation cohort into an AAA risk score that did not require blood biomarkers. To illustrate the sensitivity and specificity of the risk score for AAA, a theoretical threshold to refer patients for ultrasound at 0.25% 10-year risk was modeled. Discrimination of the risk score was compared with a model of US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) AAA screening guidelines.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, there were 1570 (0.40%) cases of AAA over a median 11.3 years of follow-up. Components of the AAA risk score were age (stratified by smoking status), weight (stratified by smoking status), antihypertensive and cholesterol-lowering medication use, height, diastolic blood pressure, baseline cardiovascular disease, and diabetes. In the validation cohort, over 10 years of follow-up, the C-index for the model of the USPSTF guidelines was 0.705 (95% CI, 0.678-0.733). The C-index of the risk score as a continuous variable was 0.856 (95% CI, 0.837-0.878). In the validation cohort, the USPSTF model yielded sensitivity 63.9% and specificity 71.3%. At the 0.25% 10-year risk threshold, the risk score yielded sensitivity 82.1% and specificity 70.7% while also improving the net reclassification index compared with the USPSTF model +0.176 (95% CI, 0.120-0.232). A combined model, whereby risk scoring was combined with the USPSTF model, also improved prediction compared with USPSTF alone (net reclassification index +0.101 [95% CI, 0.055-0.147]).

CONCLUSIONS

In an asymptomatic general population, a risk score based on patient age, height, weight, and medical history may improve identification of asymptomatic patients at risk for clinical events from AAA. Further development and validation of risk scores to detect asymptomatic AAA are needed.

Central and peripheral arterial diseases in chronic kidney disease: conclusions from a Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Controversies Conference

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects about 10% of all populations worldwide, with about 2 million people requiring dialysis. Although patients with CKD are at high risk of cardiovascular disease and events, they are often underrepresented or excluded in clinical trials, leading to important knowledge gaps about how to treat these patients. KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) convened the fourth clinical Controversies Conference on the heart, kidney and vasculature in Dublin, Ireland, in February 2020, entitled Central and Peripheral Arterial Diseases in Chronic Kidney Disease. A global panel of multidisciplinary experts from the fields of nephrology, cardiology, neurology, surgery, radiology, vascular biology, epidemiology, and health economics attended. The objective was to identify key issues related to the optimal detection, management, and treatment of cerebrovascular diseases, central aortic disease, renovascular disease, and peripheral artery disease in the setting of CKD. This report outlines the common pathophysiology of these vascular processes in the setting of CKD, describes best practices for their diagnosis and management, summarizes areas of uncertainty, addresses ongoing controversial issues, and proposes a research agenda to address key gaps in knowledge that, when addressed, could improve patient care and outcomes.

Kidney-Specific Klotho Gene Deletion Causes Aortic Aneurysm via Hyperphosphatemia

[Figure: see text].

Cardiovascular Disease in Chronic Kidney Disease: Pathophysiological Insights and Therapeutic Options

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) exhibit an elevated cardiovascular risk manifesting as coronary artery disease, heart failure, arrhythmias, and sudden cardiac death. Although the incidence and prevalence of cardiovascular events is already significantly higher in patients with early CKD stages (CKD stages 1-3) compared with the general population, patients with advanced CKD stages (CKD stages 4-5) exhibit a markedly elevated risk. Cardiovascular rather than end-stage kidney disease (CKD stage 5) is the leading cause of death in this high-risk population. CKD causes a systemic, chronic proinflammatory state contributing to vascular and myocardial remodeling processes resulting in atherosclerotic lesions, vascular calcification, and vascular senescence as well as myocardial fibrosis and calcification of cardiac valves. In this respect, CKD mimics an accelerated aging of the cardiovascular system. This overview article summarizes the current understanding and clinical consequences of cardiovascular disease in CKD.

An association between rs7635818 polymorphism located on chromosome 3p12.3 and the presence of abdominal aortic aneurysm

The association between gene variant rs7635818 located on chromosome 3p12.3 and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) was not unambiguously determined by the results of genome-wide association studies. The aim of our study was to examine this possible association in the Slovak population, with respect to the presence and severity of AAA.A cross-sectional study was conducted between August 2016 and March 2020. The study included 329 participans, 166 AAA patients and a control group of 163 subjects without confirmed AAA with comparable distribution of genders. The anteroposterior diameter of the abdominal aorta was determined by duplex ultrasonography. AAA was defined as subrenal aortic diameter ≥ 30 mm. DNA samples were genotyped using real-time polymerase chain reaction and subsequent high-resolution melting analysis in presence of unlabelled probe. Genetic models studying the possible association were adjusted to age, sex, smoking, arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, creatinine and body mass index (BMI) in multivariate analysis. In the additive model, presence of each C-allele of rs7635818 polymorphism was associated with an almost 50 % increase in probability of developing AAA (OR 1.49; 95 % CI 1.06-2.08; p=0.020). Compared to GG homozygotes, CC homozygotes had more than two times higher risk of developing AAA (OR 2.23; 95 % CI 1.14-4.39; p=0.020). The risk of AAA was also in the recessive model higher for CC homozygotes compared to G-allele carriers (GC/GG) (OR 1.79; 95 % CI 1.01-3.19; p=0.047).The abdominal aortic diameter in CC homozygotes of the rs7635818 polymorphism was 7.66 mm greater compared to GG homozygotes (42.5±22.0 mm vs 34.8±21.3 mm; p=0.022) and 5.88 mm greater compared to G-allele carriers (GC/GG) (42.5±22.0 mm vs 36.6±21.0 mm; p=0.04) in univariate analysis. C-allele variant in rs7635818 G>C polymorphism is associated with a higher probability of developing AAA in the Slovak population.

Aortic Aneurysms, Chronic Kidney Disease and Metalloproteinases

Metalloproteinases (MPs) are proteolytic enzymes involved in extracellular matrix deposition, regulation of cellular signals of inflammation, proliferation, and apoptosis. Metalloproteinases are classified into three families: Matrix-MPs (MMPs), A-Disintegrin-and-Metalloprotease (ADAMs), and the A-Disintegrin-and-Metalloproteinase-with-Thrombospondin-1-like-Domains (ADAMTS). Previous studies showed that MPs are involved in the development of aortic aneurysms (AA) and, concomitantly, in the onset of chronic kidney disease (CKD). CKD has been, per se, associated with an increased risk for AA. The aim of this review is to examine the pathways that may associate MPs with CKD and AA. Several MMPs, such as MMP-2, -8, -9, and TIMP-1 have been shown to damage the AA wall and to have a toxic effect on renal tubular cells, leading to fibrosis. Similarly, ADAM10 and 17 have been shown to degrade collagen in the AA wall and to worsen kidney function via pro-inflammatory stimuli, the impairment of the Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System, and the degradation of structural proteins. Moreover, MMP-2 and -9 inhibitors reduced aneurysm growth and albuminuria in experimental and human studies. It would be important, in the future, to expand research on MPs from both a prognostic, namely, to refine risk stratification in CKD patients, and a predictive perspective, likely to improve prognosis in response to targeted treatments.

Impact of Chronic Kidney Disease on Aortic Disease-related Mortality: A Four-year Community-Based Cohort Study

Objective Despite advances in medicine, aortic diseases (ADs), such as aneurysm rupture and aortic dissection, remain fatal and carry extremely high mortality rates. Due to its low frequency, the risk of developing AD has not yet been fully elucidated. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an established risk factor for cardiovascular disease and mortality. The aim of the present study was to examine whether or not CKD is a risk for AD-related mortality in the general population. Methods We used a nationwide database of 554,442 subjects (40-75 years old) who participated in the annual "Specific Health Check and Guidance in Japan" checkup between 2008 and 2013. Results There were 131 aortic aneurysm and dissection deaths during the follow-up period of 2,123,512 person-years. A Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that subjects with CKD had a higher rate of AD-related deaths than those without it. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis demonstrated that CKD was an independent risk factor for AD-related death in the general population after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. The addition of CKD to cardiovascular risk factors significantly improved the C, net reclassification, and integrated discrimination indexes. Conclusion CKD is an additional risk for AD-related death, suggesting that CKD may be a target for the prevention and early identification of subjects at high risk for AD-related death in the general population.

Lipoprotein(a) levels and risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Women's Health Initiative

OBJECTIVE

Few studies have prospectively examined the associations of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels with the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), especially in women. Accounting for commonly recognized risk factors, we investigated the baseline Lp(a) levels and the risk of AAA among postmenopausal women participating in the ongoing national Women's Health Initiative.

METHODS

Women's Health Initiative participants with baseline Lp(a) levels available who were beneficiaries of Medicare parts A and B fee-for-service at study enrollment or who had aged into Medicare at any point were included. Participants with missing covariate data or known AAA at baseline were excluded. Thoracic aneurysms were excluded owing to the different pathophysiology. The AAA cases and interventions were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th revision, codes and Current Procedural Terminology codes from claims data. Hazard ratios were computed using Cox proportional hazard models according to the quintiles of Lp(a).

RESULTS

The mean age of the 6615 participants included in the analysis was 65.3 years. Of the 6615 participants, 66.6% were non-Hispanic white, 18.9% were black, 7% were Hispanic and 4.7% were Asian/Pacific Islander. Compared with the participants in the lowest Lp(a) quintile, those in higher quintiles were more likely to be overweight, black, and former or current smokers, to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and a history of cardiovascular disease, and to use menopausal hormone therapy and statins. During 65,476 person-years of follow-up, with a median of 10.4 years, 415 women had been diagnosed with an AAA and 36 had required intervention. More than one half had required intervention for a ruptured AAA. We failed to find a statistically significant association between Lp(a) levels and incident AAA. Additional sensitivity analyses stratified by race, with exclusion of statin users and alternative categorizations of Lp(a) using log-transformed levels, tertiles, and a cutoff of >50 mg/dL, were conducted, which did not reveal any significant associations.

CONCLUSIONS

We found no statistically significant association between Lp(a) levels and the risk of AAA in a large and well-phenotyped sample of postmenopausal women. Women with high Lp(a) levels were more likely to be overweight, black, and former or current smokers, and to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and a history of cardiovascular disease, or to use hormone therapy and statins compared with those with lower Lp(a) levels. These findings differ from previous prospective, case-control, and meta-analysis studies that had supported a significant relationship between higher Lp(a) levels and an increased risk of AAA. Differences in the association could have resulted from study limitations or sex differences.

The effect of Endovascular Aneurysm Repair on Renal Function in Patients Treated for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

Aim:

The effect of endovascular aneurysm repair in patients treated for abdominal aortic aneurysm has not been clearly defined. The objective of the present article was to provide a contemporary literature review and perform an analysis to determine the effect of EVAR on renal function in the early post-operative period and during follow-up.

Methods:

A systematic review of the literature was undertaken to identify all studies reporting the effect of EVAR on renal function. Outcome data were pooled and combined overall effect sizes were calculated using fixed or random-effects models.

Results:

Thirty-two studies reporting on 24846 patients were included. Acute renal failure after EVAR occurred with an estimated frequency of 9% (95%CI: 5-16%; I2=97%). Median follow-up period was 19.5 months (range 1-60 months). The estimated frequency of chronic renal failure during follow-up was 7% (95%CI: 3-17%; I2=98%). Hemodialysis was required in 2% (1-3%; I2=97%) of the cases.

Conclusion:

High-level evidence demonstrating the effect of EVAR on the incidence of acute and chronic renal failure is lacking. Based on the current available data, nearly 10% of patients undergoing EVAR for AAA have an increased risk for renal dysfunction after the procedure. Whether this deterioration may lead to a worse outcome has not been adequately proved.