Clinical Outcomes in Biopsy-Proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients: A Multicenter Registry-based Cohort Study

Modifiable Risk Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The increasing incidence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has led to a gradual increase in MASLD-related hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC). In this context, we aimed to investigate the association between modifiable factors and the risk of incident HCC in patients with MASLD.

METHODS

Two authors independently searched electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library) from their inception to April 1, 2023. Observational studies reporting an association between modifiable risk factors and MASLD-related HCC were eligible for inclusion. The effect size on the study outcomes was calculated using a random-effects model and was presented as a risk ratio with 95% confidence interval.

RESULTS

A total of 31 studies covering 1.02 million individuals were included. Regarding lifestyle factors, smoking and alcohol consumption were associated with 30% (1.30 [1.08-1.57]) and 140% (2.41 [1.03-5.65]) risk increase of MASLD-related HCC. Regarding metabolic risk factors, patients with MASLD who were overweight or obese (1.31 [1.13-1.52]), had diabetes (2.08 [1.71-2.53]) and hypertension (1.42 [1.12-1.80]) had a higher risk of developing HCC, while dyslipidemia was negatively associated with MASLD-HCC (0.78 [0.65-0.93]). The use of metformin, statin, and aspirin was associated with 18% (0.82 [0.68-0.98]), 55% (0.45 [0.36-0.56]), and 36% (0.64 [0.44-0.92]) risk reduction in incident HCC, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis showed statistically significant increases in the risk of incident HCC inpatients with MASLD due to smoking, alcohol use, obesity, diabetes, and hypertension, whereas metformin, statin, and aspirin therapy might modify disease progression.

Beneficial effect of oral semaglutide for type 2 diabetes mellitus in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: A prospective, multicentre, observational study

AIMS

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of oral semaglutide for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a single-arm, multicentre, prospective study. Among 80 consecutive patients with MASLD and T2DM who newly received oral semaglutide, 70 completed 48-week oral semaglutide treatment as scheduled and were included in an efficacy analysis. Dose adjustments of oral semaglutide were determined by each physician while monitoring efficacy and adverse events.

RESULTS

Significant improvements in body weight, liver enzymes, lipid profile, and glycaemic control were found at 48 weeks compared with baseline values (all p < 0.01). Controlled attenuation parameter values significantly decreased from baseline to 48 weeks (p < 0.01). Changes in alanine aminotransferase concentrations (r = 0.37, p < 0.01) and controlled attenuation parameter values (r = 0.44, p < 0.01) were significantly correlated with changes in body weight. Liver fibrosis markers, such as type IV collagen 7S, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2-binding protein, fibrosis-4 index, and liver stiffness measurement, significantly decreased from baseline to 48 weeks (all p < 0.01). The most common adverse events were Grades 1-2 transient gastrointestinal symptoms, such as nausea (23 patients, 28.8%), dyspepsia (12, 15.0%) and appetite loss (4, 5.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Oral semaglutide treatment for T2DM in patients with MASLD leads to an improvement in liver steatosis and injury, surrogate markers of fibrosis, diabetic status, and lipid profile, and reduces body weight.

Liver magnetic resonance imaging, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and metabolic syndrome risk in pre-pubertal Mexican boys

Rising global pediatric obesity rates, increase non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic syndrome (MetS) prevalence, with MetS being a NAFLD risk factor. NAFLD can be asymptomatic, with liver function tests insensitive to mild disease, and liver biopsy, risking complications. Thus, we investigated multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) metrics of liver fat (proton density fat fraction, PDFF) and disease activity (fibro-inflammation; iron-corrected T1, cT1), in a Hispanic pre-pubertal pediatric cohort, with increased risk of NAFLD. Pre-pubertal boys (n = 81) of varying Body-Mass Index (BMI) were recruited in Mexico City. Most children (81%) had normal liver transaminase levels, 38% had high BMI, and 14% had ≥ 3 MetS risk factors. Applying mpMRI thresholds, 12%, 7% and 4% of the cohort had NAFLD, NASH and high-risk NASH respectively. Participants with ≥ 3 MetS risk factors had higher cT1 (834 ms vs. 737 ms, p = 0.004) and PDFF (8.7% vs. 2.2%, p < 0.001) compared to those without risk factors. Those with elevated cT1 tended to have high BMI and high insulin (p = 0.005), HOMA-IR (p = 0.005) and leptin (p < 0.001). The significant association of increased risk of MetS with abnormal mpMRI, particularly cT1, proposes the potential of using mpMRI for routine pediatric NAFLD screening of high-risk (high BMI, high MetS risk score) populations.

Effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on the onset of esophageal varices and extrahepatic cancer in type 2 diabetic patients with suspected MASLD: a nationwide database study in Japan

BACKGROUND & AIM

SGLT2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) improve hepatic steatosis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and MASLD. We aimed to investigate the impact of SGLT2i on the incidence of liver-related events and extrahepatic cancer compared to DPP4 inhibitors (DPP4i) in patients with T2DM and suspected MASLD using a medical claims database in Japan.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study using a Japanese medical claims database. Among patients with T2DM who were prescribed SGLT2i or DPP4i (n = 1,628,656), patients with suspected MASLD were classified into SGLT2i (n = 4204) and DPP4i (n = 4204) groups. Effects of SGLT2i on the following outcomes were compared to DPP4i: (1) changes in HbA1c and ALT levels after 6 months, (2) changes in hepatic fibrosis index, and (3) the incidence of liver-related events/extrahepatic cancer over 12 months.

RESULTS

After 6 months, DPP4i significantly decreased HbA1c levels compared to SGLT2i. In contrast, SGLT2i significantly decreased ALT levels compared to DPP4i. SGLT2i significantly decreased FIB-4 index compared to DPP4i over 12 months. Although no significant difference was observed in the incidence of overall liver-related events between the two groups, SGLT2i significantly reduced the incidence of esophageal varices (HR 0.12, 95%CI 0.01-0.95, P = 0.044). Moreover, SGLT2i significantly suppressed the incidence of extrahepatic cancer (HR 0.50, 95%CI 0.30-0.84, P = 0.009) compared to DPP4i.

CONCLUSION

SGLT2i was more beneficial than DPP4i in improving the hepatic inflammation and fibrosis indices. Moreover, SGLT2i suppressed the incidence of esophageal varices and extrahepatic cancer compared to DPP4i. SGLT2i may suppress life-threatening events in patients with T2DM and suspected MASLD.

Validation study of age-independent fibrosis score (Fibrosis-3 index) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Because the accuracy of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index for predicting liver fibrosis changes with age, the need for different cut-offs in various age groups has frequently been discussed. We developed the age-independent score, the Fibrosis-3 (FIB-3) index, and have shown its usefulness in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). This study aimed to validate the diagnostic ability of the FIB-3 index to predict fibrosis progression using a large new patient cohort.

METHODS

The ability of the FIB-3 index to predict liver fibrosis was analyzed by comparing it with that of the FIB-4 index using data from 1398 patients with MASLD enrolled in the Asia-based clinical outcome NAFLD study.

RESULTS

The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for predicting fibrosis stage F3 or higher were not different between the FIB-3 and FIB-4 indices in the entire cohort. Using the single ideal cut-offs of the indices (3.41 for FIB-3 index and 2.01 for FIB-4 index), the predictive accuracy of the FIB-3 index was not significantly different from that of the FIB-4 index among patients aged <60 years; however, the accuracy of the FIB-3 index was significantly higher than that of the FIB-4 index in those aged ≥60 years (0.645 and 0.529, respectively; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The high ability of the FIB-3 index with a single cut-off to predict liver fibrosis in patients with MASLD was confirmed. The FIB-3 index could serve as a useful tool for assessing liver fibrosis regardless of age.

Serum growth differentiation factor 15 is a novel biomarker with high predictive capability for liver cancer occurrence in patients with MASLD regardless of liver fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients with a Fib-4 index >1.3 are recommended for fibrosis evaluation via elastography or biopsy, a more convenient method identifying high-risk populations requiring follow-up is needed. We explored the utility of serum levels of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15), a cell stress-responsive cytokine related to metabolic syndrome, for stratifying the risk of clinical events in MASLD patients.

METHODS

Serum GDF15 levels were measured in 518 biopsy-performed MASLD patients, 216 MASLD patients for validation, and 361 health checkup recipients with MASLD.

RESULTS

In the biopsy-MASLD cohort, multivariate analysis indicated that the serum GDF15 level was a risk factor for liver cancer, independent of the fibrosis stage or Fib-4 index. Using a GDF15 cutoff of 1.75 ng/mL based on the Youden index, high-GDF15 patients, regardless of fibrosis status, had a higher liver cancer incidence rate. While patients with a Fib-4 index <1.3 or low-GDF15 rarely developed liver cancer, high-GDF15 patients with a Fib-4 index >1.3 developed liver cancer and decompensated liver events at significantly higher rates and had poorer prognoses. In the validation cohort, high-GDF15 patients had significantly higher incidences of liver cancer and decompensated liver events and poorer prognoses than low-GDF15 patients, whether limited to high-Fib-4 patients. Among health checkup recipients with MASLD, 23.0% had a Fib-4 index >1.3, 2.7% had a Fib-4 index >1.3 and >1.75 ng/mL GDF15.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum GDF15 is a biomarker for liver cancer with high predictive capability and is useful for identifying MASLD patients requiring regular surveillance.

Concordance between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

AIM

A multisociety consensus group proposed a new nomenclature for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). Although patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are expected to be reclassified as patients with MASLD under the new nomenclature, the concordance between MASLD and NAFLD remains unclear. Moreover, waist circumference could be adjusted by ethnicity for diagnosing MASLD; however, there are limited data on the optimal waist circumference in the Japanese population.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted on 3709 Japanese patients with NAFLD. The primary endpoint was the prevalence of MASLD in patients with NAFLD. The difference between the original waist circumference criteria (>94 cm for men and >80 cm for women) and the Japanese metabolic syndrome criteria (≥85 cm for men and ≥90 cm for women) for concordance between NAFLD and MASLD was also investigated.

RESULTS

According to the original criteria, the prevalence of MASLD in patients with NAFLD was 96.7%. Similarly, according to the Japanese waist circumference criteria, 96.2% of patients with NAFLD could be reclassified as those with MASLD. The concordance rate was significantly higher in the original criteria than in the Japanese criteria (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD could be considered MASLD using the original MASLD criteria in the Japanese population, and insights from NAFLD research could be applied to MASLD.

Hepatic inflammation and fibrosis are profiles related to mid-term mortality in biopsy-proven MASLD: A multicenter study in Japan

AIMS

A multi-stakeholder consensus has proposed MASLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease). We aimed to investigate the pathological findings related to the mid-term mortality of patients with biopsy-proven MASLD in Japan.

METHODS

We enrolled 1349 patients with biopsy-proven MASLD. The observational period was 8010 person years. We evaluated independent factors associated with mortality in patients with MASLD by Cox regression analysis. We also investigated pathological profiles related to mortality in patients with MASLD using data-mining analysis.

RESULTS

The prevalence of MASH and stage 3/4 fibrosis was observed in 65.6% and 17.4%, respectively. Forty-five patients with MASLD died. Of these, liver-related events were the most common cause at 40% (n = 18), followed by extrahepatic malignancies at 26.7% (n = 12). Grade 2/3 lobular inflammation and stage 3/4 fibrosis had a 1.9-fold and 1.8-fold risk of mortality, respectively. In the decision-tree analysis, the profiles with the worst prognosis were characterised by Grade 2/3 hepatic inflammation, along with advanced ballooning (grade 1/2) and fibrosis (stage 3/4). This profile showed a mortality at 8.3%. Furthermore, the random forest analysis identified that hepatic fibrosis and inflammation were the first and second responsible factors for the mid-term prognosis of patients with MASLD.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with biopsy-proven MASLD, the prevalence of MASH and advanced fibrosis was approximately 65% and 20%, respectively. The leading cause of mortality was liver-related events. Hepatic inflammation and fibrosis were significant factors influencing mid-term mortality. These findings highlight the importance of targeting inflammation and fibrosis in the management of patients with MASLD.

Long-Term pemafibrate treatment exhibits limited impact on body fat mass in patients with hypertriglyceridemia accompanying NAFLD

Aim

Short-term use of pemafibrate (PEM), a selective modulator of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha, has been reported to improve abnormal liver function in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with hypertriglyceridemia (HTG-NAFLD). This study aimed to clarify the effects and predictive factors of long-term 72-week PEM administration on body composition, and laboratory tests in HTG-NAFLD patients.

Methods

Fifty-three HTG-NAFLD patients receiving a 72-week PEM regimen were retrospectively enrolled. Routine blood and body composition results were analyzed immediately before and at the end of the study period.

Results

PEM treatment significantly improved liver enzyme levels such as aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase, and gamma-glutamyl transferase, along with lipid profiles including triglyceride, total cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. PEM did not have any detectable impact on body composition parameters. The factors of female, higher AST (≥ 46 U/L) and fat mass (≥ 31.9%), as well as lower soft lean mass (< 61.6%), skeletal muscle mass (< 36%), and skeletal muscle mass index (< 6.9 kg/m2) were significantly associated with the treatment response status of a > 30% decrease in ALT. All patients completed the treatment without any adverse effects.

Conclusions

Long-term PEM treatment had a positive impact on liver enzymes and lipid profiles, but it did not result in significant changes in body composition among HTG-NAFLD patients. In predicting the response to PEM treatment, the evaluation of AST and body composition may be useful.

Low ankle-brachial index is associated with higher cardiovascular mortality in individuals with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Ankle brachial index (ABI) is a risk factor for cardiovascular mortality, but it is unclear whether ABI is associated with cardiovascular mortality in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The current study aimed to evaluate the association between ABI with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed a cohort study using the data of the1999-2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data of adults. Mortality data were followed up to December 2015. NAFLD was defined by the hepatic steatosis index or the US fatty liver index. ABI was classified into three groups: ABI ≤ 0.9 (low value); 0.9 < ABI ≤ 1.1 (borderline value); ABI greater than 1.1 (normal value).

RESULTS

We found that low ABI was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients with NAFLD (HR: 2.42, 95% CI 1.10-5.33 for low value ABI vs normal value ABI, P for trend = 0.04), and the relationship was linearly and negatively correlated in the range of ABI < 1.4. However, low ABI was not associated with all-cause mortality in patients with NAFLD. Stratified by cardiovascular disease, ABI remains inversely correlated with cardiovascular mortality in NAFLD patients without cardiovascular disease. Stratified by diabetes, ABI is inversely correlated with cardiovascular mortality in NAFLD patients regardless of diabetes status.

CONCLUSIONS

Low ABI is independently associated with higher cardiovascular mortality in NAFLD cases. This correlation remains significant even in the absence of pre-existing cardiovascular disease or diabetes.

Combined effect of histological findings and diabetes mellitus on liver-related events in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

AIM

Advanced fibrosis has a strong influence on the occurrence of liver-related events in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), while diabetes mellitus (DM), which is often complicated by MASLD, is associated with the progression of MASLD. We stratified patients with MASLD according to the severity of liver pathological findings and the presence of DM, aiming to examine whether these indices could be used to accurately assess the risk of developing liver-related events.

METHODS

A total of 282 patients with liver biopsy-proven MASLD were included. Liver-related events were defined as the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and complications of liver cirrhosis, such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, Child-Pugh class B and C, as well as treatment-eligible esophageal and gastric varices.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, creatinine, hemoglobin A1c, smoking habits, dyslipidemia, hypertension, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score (NAS), or fibrosis stage showed that advanced fibrosis with or without DM was a risk factor for liver-related events. The combined effect of DM and advanced fibrosis increased the risk of HCC onset. However, DM alone or in combination with NAS did not affect the development of liver-related events, including the occurrence of HCC and complications of liver cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

While the assessment of fibrosis in patients with MASLD is important for evaluating the risk of developing liver-related events, combining the assessment of DM may be possible to stratify groups at higher risk of developing HCC.

Serum autotaxin is a prognostic indicator of liver-related events in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Circulating autotaxin (ATX) levels have been reported to correlate with liver inflammation activity and liver fibrosis severity in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The objective of this study is to investigate whether serum ATX could predict liver-related events (LRE) in NAFLD patients.

METHODS

This retrospective investigation includes 309 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients registered at Shinshu University Hospital. All patients are followed for at least 1 year, during which time the prevalence of LRE, including newly developing hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatic encephalopathy, ascites, and esophagogastric varices, is investigated in relation to ATX levels at the time of liver biopsy.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 7.0 years, LRE are observed in 20 patients (6.5%). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and cut-off value of serum ATX for predicting LRE are 0.81 and 1.227 mg/l, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models for LRE determine ATX and advanced fibrosis as independently associated factors. Furthermore, in a competing risk analysis that considered non-liver-related death as a competing event, ATX (HR 2.29, 95% CI 1.22-4.30, p = 0.010) is identified as an independent factor associated with LRE, along with advanced fibrosis (HR 8.01, 95% CI 2.10-30.60, p = 0.002). The predictive utility of ATX for LRE is validated in an independent cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum ATX may serve as a predictive marker for LRE in patients with NAFLD.

Prognosis of biopsy-confirmed metabolic dysfunction- associated steatotic liver disease: A sub-analysis of the CLIONE study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was recently proposed as an alternative disease concept to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to investigate the prognosis of patients with biopsy-confirmed MASLD using data from a multicenter study.

METHODS

This was a sub-analysis of the Clinical Outcome Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (CLIONE) study that included 1,398 patients with NAFLD. Liver biopsy specimens were pathologically diagnosed and histologically scored using the NASH Clinical Research Network system, the FLIP algorithm, and the SAF score. Patients who met at least one cardiometabolic criterion were diagnosed with MASLD.

RESULTS

Approximately 99% of cases (n=1,381) were classified as MASLD. Patients with no cardiometabolic risk (n=17) had a significantly lower BMI than patients with MASLD (20.9 kg/m2 vs. 28.0 kg/m2, P<0.001), in addition to significantly lower levels of inflammation, ballooning, NAFLD activity score, and fibrosis stage based on liver histology. These 17 patients had a median follow-up of 5.9 years, equivalent to 115 person-years, with no deaths, liver-related events, cardiovascular events, or extrahepatic cancers. The results showed that the prognosis for pure MASLD was similar to that for the original CLIONE cohort, with 47 deaths and one patient who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation. The leading cause of death was extrahepatic cancer (n=10), while the leading causes of liver-related death were liver failure (n=9), hepatocellular carcinoma (n=8), and cholangiocarcinoma (n=4).

CONCLUSION

Approximately 99% of NAFLD cases were considered MASLD based on the 2023 liver disease nomenclature. The NAFLD-only group, which is not encompassed by MASLD, had a relatively mild histopathologic severity and a favorable prognosis. Consequently, the prognosis of MASLD is similar to that previously reported for NAFLD.

Accuracy of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Its Clinical Implications

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The diagnostic performance of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS) is poor in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We determined the usefulness of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test in patients with T2DM.

METHODS

A total of 1228 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were enrolled. The diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in participants with or without T2DM was evaluated in comparison with the FIB-4 index and NFS.

RESULTS

Overall, the area under the curve of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis was greater (0.828) than that of the FIB-4 index (0.727) and NFS (0.733). The diagnostic performance of the ELF test (area under the curve, 0.820) was also superior to that of the FIB-4 index (0.698) and NFS (0.700) in patients with T2DM. With the low cutoff values for each noninvasive test, the ELF test provided an acceptable false negative rate (cutoff value 9.8, 6.7%) in this population, unlike the FIB-4 index (1.30, 14.5%) and NFS (-1.455, 12.4%). After propensity score matching to avoid selection bias including age, sex, body mass index, and the prevalence of advanced fibrosis, the ELF test with a low cutoff value showed a high sensitivity (≥91.4%) and a high negative predictive value (≥96.8%), irrespective of the presence or absence of T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

The high diagnostic performance of the ELF test for predicting advanced fibrosis in individuals with or without T2DM could address an unmet medical need for accurate assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with diabetes and NAFLD.

Object detection: A novel AI technology for the diagnosis of hepatocyte ballooning

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has reached epidemic proportions worldwide and is the most frequent cause of chronic liver disease in developed countries. Within the spectrum of liver disease in MAFLD, steatohepatitis is a progressive form of liver disease and hepatocyte ballooning (HB) is a cardinal pathological feature of steatohepatitis. The accurate and reproducible diagnosis of HB is therefore critical for the early detection and treatment of steatohepatitis. Currently, a diagnosis of HB relies on pathological examination by expert pathologists, which may be a time-consuming and subjective process. Hence, there has been interest in developing automated methods for diagnosing HB. This narrative review briefly discusses the development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology for diagnosing fatty liver disease pathology over the last 30 years and provides an overview of the current research status of AI algorithms for the identification of HB, including published articles on traditional machine learning algorithms and deep learning algorithms. This narrative review also provides a summary of object detection algorithms, including the principles, historical developments, and applications in the medical image analysis. The potential benefits of object detection algorithms for HB diagnosis (specifically those combined with a transformer architecture) are discussed, along with the future directions of object detection algorithms in HB diagnosis and the potential applications of generative AI on transformer architecture in this field. In conclusion, object detection algorithms have huge potential for the identification of HB and could make the diagnosis of MAFLD more accurate and efficient in the near future.

Prediction of outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease based on initial measurements and subsequent changes in magnetic resonance elastography

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is strongly associated with liver fibrosis. We aimed to investigate whether liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and changes in LSM (ΔLSM) on magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) can predict clinical events in patients with MASLD.

METHODS

We included 405 patients with MASLD who underwent at least two MREs. The patients were divided into five groups corresponding to fibrosis stages (0-4) based on initial LSM and classified as progressors (ΔLSM ≥ 19%) or non-progressors (ΔLSM < 19%) based on the difference between the first and last LSM.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up period was 72.6 months, and the mean interval between MREs was 23.5 months. There were 52 (12.8%) progressors and 353 (87.2%) non-progressors. The initial LSM was significantly associated with the cumulative probabilities of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver-related events, extrahepatic malignancies, and overall mortality but not with cardiovascular disease. Progressors had significantly higher hazard ratios (HRs) for decompensated cirrhosis, HCC, and liver-related events but not for extrahepatic malignancies, cardiovascular disease, or overall mortality. Among patients without cirrhosis, the HR for developing cirrhosis among progressors was 60.15. Progressors had a significantly higher risk of liver-related events, even in the low initial LSM (fibrosis stage 0-2) subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Both initial LSM and ΔLSM can predict liver-related events in patients with MASLD, even for low initial LSM. This integrated assessment can allow more detailed risk stratification compared with single LSM assessments and identify high-risk patients with MASLD among those previously considered as low risk.

Impact of fibrosis on liver-related event incidence in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A multicenter observational study

AIM

There are few reports on the prognosis of liver-related events in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We undertook an observational study to compare the prognosis between fibrotic and nonfibrotic groups in Japanese NAFLD patients.

METHODS

Prognosis in 393 NAFLD patients who underwent liver biopsy between April 2013 and April 2015 at multiple centers were investigated. The time to onset of liver-related events, cardiovascular events, development of extrahepatic cancers, and death were compared between the pathologically fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) group and nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) + nonfibrotic NASH group. A similar analysis was carried out based on the fibrotic classification diagnosed using four noninvasive fibrosis prediction models.

RESULTS

The mean age and body mass index at the time of liver biopsy was 55.7 years old and 28.04 kg/m2 , respectively The cumulative incidence of liver-related events at 1080 days after liver biopsy was 5.79% in the pathologically fibrotic NASH group and 0% in the NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group, with a significant difference (p = 0.0334). The cumulative incidence of liver-related events was significantly higher in the positive group for the prediction model than in the negative group in all four models (all p values were <0.0001). There was no significant difference between the pathologically fibrotic NASH group and NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group in terms of cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events, development of extrahepatic cancers, and death.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of liver-related events was significantly higher in the fibrotic NASH group than that of the NAFL + nonfibrotic NASH group in Japanese NAFLD patients.

Prevalence and associated metabolic factors of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the general population from 2014 to 2018 in Japan: A large-scale multicenter retrospective study

AIM

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing worldwide. The aim of this study was to determine the recent prevalence and clinical characteristics of NAFLD in Japan.

METHODS

This study initially included 410 061 retrospectively enrolled adults from the medical health checkup registry for metabolic syndrome, chronic kidney disease, and fatty liver in Japan (MIRACLE-J; UMIN-CTR no. UMIN000049419), who were evaluated between 2014 and 2018 at 13 health centers in Japan. Individuals consuming >20 g of alcohol/day or with chronic liver disease were excluded. Fatty liver was diagnosed by ultrasonography. The probability of NAFLD with advanced fibrosis was estimated based on the fibrosis-4 index and NAFLD fibrosis score.

RESULTS

A total of 71 254 participants were included in the final analysis. The overall prevalence of NAFLD was 25.8%. There was a significant, twofold difference in NAFLD prevalence between men (37.4%) and women (18.1%). Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease prevalence increased linearly with body mass index, triglycerides, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol regardless of threshold values, even in the absence of obesity. Among patients with NAFLD, 14% had diabetes mellitus, 31% had hypertension, and 48% had dyslipidemia. The estimated prevalence of NAFLD with advanced fibrosis was 1.7% and 1.0% according to the fibrosis-4 index and NAFLD fibrosis score, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of NAFLD was approximately one-quarter of the general population in Japan. There was a linear relationship between NAFLD prevalence and various metabolic parameters, even in nonobese participants. The prevalence of NAFLD with advanced fibrosis was estimated to be 1%-2%.

Identification of clinical phenotypes associated with poor prognosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via unsupervised machine learning

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both fibrosis status and body weight are important for assessing prognosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to identify population clusters for specific clinical outcomes based on fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and body mass index (BMI) using an unsupervised machine learning method.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter study of 1335 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from Japan. Using the Gaussian mixture model to divide the cohort into clusters based on FIB-4 index and BMI, we investigated prognosis for these clusters.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 223 cases (16.0%) with advanced fibrosis (F3-4) as assessed from liver biopsy. Median values of BMI and FIB-4 index were 27.3 kg/m2 and 1.67. The patients were divided into four clusters by Bayesian information criterion, and all-cause mortality was highest in cluster d, followed by cluster b (P = 0.001). Regarding the characteristics of each cluster, clusters d and b presented a high FIB-4 index (median 5.23 and 2.23), cluster a presented the lowest FIB-4 index (median 0.78), and cluster c was associated with moderate FIB-4 level (median 1.30) and highest BMI (median 34.3 kg/m2 ). Clusters a and c had lower mortality rates than clusters b and d. However, all-cause of death in clusters a and c was unrelated to liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our clustering approach found that the FIB-4 index is an important predictor of mortality in NAFLD patients regardless of BMI. Additionally, non-liver-related diseases were identified as the causes of death in NAFLD patients with low FIB-4 index.

The greater impact of PNPLA3 polymorphism on liver-related events in Japanese non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients: A multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

PNPLA3 rs738409 has been associated with an increased risk of liver-related events in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In this study, we investigated the epidemiology of NAFLD and the impact of PNPLA3 on prognosis in Japan.

METHODS

A longitudinal multicentre cohort study, the JAGUAR study, includes 1550 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in Japan. We performed genetic testing and evaluated outcomes from this cohort. Liver-related events were defined as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated liver cirrhosis events.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median [range], 7.1 [1.0-24.0] years), 80 patients developed HCC, 104 developed liver-related events, and 59 died of any cause. The 5-year rate of liver-related events for each single-nucleotide polymorphism was 0.5% for CC, 3.8% for CG, and 5.8% for GG. Liver-related deaths were the most common (n = 28); only three deaths were due to cardiovascular disease. Multivariate analysis identified carriage of PNPLA3 CG/GG (hazard ratio [HR] 16.04, p = .006) and FIB-4 index >2.67 (HR 10.70, p < .01) as predictors of liver-related event development. No HCC or liver-related death was found among patients with PNPLA3 CC. There was a significantly increased risk of HCC, liver-related events, and mortality for CG/GG versus CC, but no difference between the CG and GG genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japanese individuals, the main cause of death from NAFLD is liver-related death. The greater risk of liver-related events incurred by PNPLA3 G allele was shown in Japan. Risk stratification for NAFLD in Japan is best accomplished by integrating PNPLA3 with the FIB-4 index.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors improve FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase scores in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease complicated by type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a chronic liver disease caused by excessive lipid accumulation in the liver, and its global incidence is increasing. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) are oral antidiabetes drugs that promote glucose excretion into the urine and have been reported to exert therapeutic effects in NAFLD, but liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) determined by transient elastography are inconsistent. In addition, the effects of SGLT2is on the FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) scores have not been reported. We evaluated the effect of SGLT2is on patients with NAFLD complicated by type 2 diabetes using biochemical tests, transient elastography, and FAST scores.

METHODS

Fifty-two patients with type 2 diabetes complicated by NAFLD who started SGLT2i treatment between 2014 and 2020 at our hospital were selected from the database. Pre- and post-treatment serum parameters, transient elastography, and FAST scores were compared.

RESULTS

After 48 weeks of SGLT2i treatment, body weight, fasting blood glucose, hemoglobin A1c, AST, alanine aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyltransferase, uric acid, fibrosis-4 index, and AST to platelet ratio index improved. Median LSM decreased from 7.0 kPa to 6.2 kPa ( P  = 0.023) and the median controlled attenuation parameter decreased from 304 dB/m to 283 dB/m ( P  = 0.022). Median FAST score decreased from 0.40 to 0.22 ( P  < 0.001), and the number of cases with a cutoff value of ≥0.35 decreased from 15 to 6 ( P  = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

SGLT2i use not only improves weight loss and blood glucose levels but also improves hepatic fibrosis by ameliorating hepatic steatosis and inflammation.

Validation of Noninvasive Markers for HCC Risk Stratification in 1389 Patients With Biopsy-proven NAFLD

Background and Aims

Nonalcoholic fatty liver diseases (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) can cause hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We examined histological features and reported noninvasive markers/models for stratifying the risk of HCC development in patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD or NASH.

Methods

A total of 1389 patients who had a histological diagnosis of NAFLD or NASH based on liver biopsy and underwent regular surveillance for HCC were included. The ability to predict HCC development was compared between histological features including liver fibrosis and NAFLD activity score, and noninvasive markers/models including aMAP (age, male, albumin-bilirubin, and platelet) score, FIB-4 (Fibrosis-4) index, and ALBI (albumin-bilirubin) score calculated at the time of biopsy.

Results

The C index of aMAP score was 0.887, which was consistent with the original report, comparable to FIB-4 index (0.878), and higher than those of ALBI score (0.789), histological liver fibrosis (0.723), and NAFLD activity score (0.589). The hazard ratios for HCC development in the aMAP intermediate and high-risk groups were 21.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.6-402.0) and 110.3 (95% CI, 16.3-2251.4), respectively, in comparison to the aMAP score low-risk group. Those in the FIB-4 index moderate- and high-fibrosis groups were 10.3 (95% CI, 1.7-199.8) and 93.1 (95% CI, 16.3-1773.8), respectively, in comparison to the FIB-4 index mild-fibrosis group. No patients in the aMAP score low-risk group developed HCC during the study period.

Conclusion

For stratifying the risk of HCC development in patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD or NASH, both aMAP score and FIB-4 index showed high discriminative ability as noninvasive markers, which were superior histological features.

Change in Liver Fibrosis Associates with Progress of Diabetic Nephropathy in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is a major complication of diabetes. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common in diabetes, and liver fibrosis is a prognostic risk factor for NAFLD. The interaction between DN and liver fibrosis in NAFLD remains unclear. In 189 patients with DN and NAFLD who received an education course about diabetic nephropathy, liver fibrosis was evaluated using the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index. The association between the outcome of DN and changes in liver fibrosis was examined. The FIB-4 index was maintained at the baseline level in patients with improved DN, while it was increased in other patients. The ΔFIB-4 index was positively correlated with changes in albuminuria and proteinuria (ρ = 0.22, p = 0.004). In a multivariate analysis, changes in albuminuria and proteinuria were associated with the ΔFIB-4 index (p = 0.002). Patients with a progressive FIB-4 index category from baseline to 5 years showed a lower event-free survival rate after 5 years than patients with an improved FIB-4 index category (p = 0.037). The outcome of DN is associated with changes in liver fibrosis in patients with diabetes, NAFLD and DN. Developing a preventive and therapeutic approach for these conditions is required.

Prediction of Liver-Related Events With a Combination of Liver Stiffness Measurements and Controlled Attenuation Parameters in Japanese Patients With Biopsy-Proven Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

OBJECTIVE

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) and controlled attenuation parameters (CAPs) obtained using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) are recognized non-invasive methods of assessing liver histology. The usefulness of CAP for predicting liver-related events (LREs: hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation, bleeding varices) is not well understood worldwide. Our aim was to re-evaluate the cutoff values of LSM/CAP in Japan and to examine whether LSM/CAP can predict LRE.

METHODS

Japanese NAFLD patients (n = 403) who underwent both liver biopsy and VCTE were enrolled. We determined optimal cutoff values of LSM/CAP diagnoses for fibrosis stage and steatosis grade and investigated their clinical outcome based on LSM/CAP values.

RESULTS

The LSM cutoff values for F1 to F4 are 7.1, 7.9, 10.0 and 20.2 kPa, and the CAP cutoff values for S1 to S3 are 230, 282 and 320 dB/m. During a median follow-up of 2.7 y (range: 0.0-12.5 y), 11 patients developed LREs. The incidence of LREs in the LSM Hi (≥8.7) group was significantly higher than that in the LSM Lo (<8.7) group (p = 0.003), and the incidence in the CAP Lo (<295) group was higher than that in CAP Hi (≥295) group (p = 0.018). Considering LSM and CAP together, the risk of LRE was higher in the LSM Hi CAP Lo group than in the LSM Hi CAP Hi group (p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

We set LSM/CAP cutoff values to diagnose liver fibrosis and steatosis in Japan. Our study determined that NAFLD patients with high LSM and low CAP values are at high risk for LREs.

Outcomes of fatty liver disease with and without metabolic comorbidities and risk factors for mortality

Background and Aim

As the clinical course of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is unclear, we compared the clinical courses of MAFLD and non-alcoholic FLD (NAFLD).

Methods

Asian FLD patients (n = 987) from 1991 to 2021 (biopsy-proven in 939) were enrolled. The patients were divided into NAFLD (N-alone, n = 92), both MAFLD and N (M&N, n = 785), and M-alone (n = 90) groups. Clinical features, complications, and survival rates were compared among the three groups. Risk factors of mortality were subjected to Cox regression analysis.

Results

The N-alone group patients were significantly younger (N alone, M&N, and M alone: 50, 53, and 57 years, respectively), more frequently male (54.3%, 52.6%, and 37.8%), and had a low body mass index (BMI, 23.1, 27.1, and 26.7 kg/m²) and FIB-4 index (1.20, 1.46, and 2.10). Hypopituitarism (5.4%) and hypothyroidism (7.6%) were significantly observed in the N-alone group. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in 0.0%, 4.2%, and 3.5% of the cases, and extrahepatic malignancies in 6.8%, 8.4%, and 4.7% of the cases, respectively, with no significant differences. The cardiovascular event rate was significantly higher in the M-alone group (1, 37, and 11 cases, P < 0.01). Survival rates were similar among the three groups. Risk factors for mortality were age and BMI in the N-alone group; age, HCC, alanine transaminase, and FIB-4 in the M&N group; and FIB-4 in the M-alone group.

Conclusion

Different risk factors for mortality may exist among the FLD groups.

Association of Serum Albumin Levels and Long-Term Prognosis in Patients with Biopsy-Confirmed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

The relationship between baseline serum albumin level and long-term prognosis of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains unknown. This is a sub-analysis of the CLIONE (Clinical Outcome Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease) study. The main outcomes were: death or orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), liver-related death, and liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], decompensated cirrhosis, and gastroesophageal varices/bleeding). 1383 Japanese patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD were analyzed. They were divided into 3 groups based on serum albumin: high (>4.0 g/dL), intermediate (3.5-4.0 g/dL), and low (<3.5 g/dL). Unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] of the intermediate albumin group, compared with the high albumin group, were 3.6 for death or OLT, 11.2 for liver-related death, 4.6 for HCC, 8.2 for decompensated cirrhosis, and 6.2 for gastroesophageal varices (all risks were statistically significant). After adjusting confounding factors, albumin remained significantly associated with death or OLT (intermediate vs. high albumin group: HR 3.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.59-5.91, p < 0.001; low vs. high albumin group: HR 22.9, 95% CI 8.21-63.9, p < 0.001). Among biopsy-confirmed NAFLD patients, those with intermediate or low serum albumin had a significantly higher risk of death or OLT than those with high serum albumin.

NAFLD and NASH biomarker qualification in the LITMUS consortium - Lessons learned

Biomarkers have the potential to accelerate drug development, as early indicators of improved clinical response, to improve patient safety, and for personalised medicine. However, few have been approved through the biomarker qualification pathways of the regulatory agencies. This paper outlines how biomarkers can accelerate drug development, and reviews the lessons learned by the EU IMI2-funded LITMUS consortium, which has had several interactions with regulatory agencies in both the US and EU regarding biomarker qualification in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. Sharing knowledge of such interactions with the scientific community is of paramount importance to increase the chances of qualification of relevant biomarkers that may accelerate drug development, and thereby help patients, across disease indications. A qualified biomarker enables a decision to be made that all understand and support in a common framework.

Severity of Liver Fibrosis Is Associated with the Japanese Diet Pattern and Skeletal Muscle Mass in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

It is not fully clear as to which dietary patterns are associated with the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in Asia. We conducted a cross-sectional study of 136 consecutively recruited patients with NAFLD (49% female, median age 60 years). Severity of liver fibrosis was assessed using the Agile 3+ score, a recently proposed system based on vibration-controlled transient elastography. Dietary status was assessed using the 12-component modified Japanese diet pattern index (mJDI12). Skeletal muscle mass was assessed by bioelectrical impedance. Factors associated with intermediate-high-risk Agile 3+ scores and skeletal muscle mass (75th percentile or higher) were analyzed by multivariable logistic regression. After adjustment for confounders, such as age and sex, the mJDI12 (OR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.61, 0.99) and skeletal muscle mass (75th percentile or higher) (OR: 0.23; 95% CI: 0.07, 0.77) were significantly associated with intermediate-high-risk Agile 3+ scores. Soybeans and soybean foods were significantly associated with skeletal muscle mass (75th percentile or higher) (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.04). In conclusion, the Japanese diet pattern was associated with the severity of liver fibrosis in Japanese patients with NAFLD. Skeletal muscle mass was also associated with the severity of liver fibrosis, and intake of soybeans and soybean foods.

Age and the relative importance of liver-related deaths in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

It is unclear if the leading causes of death in patients with NAFLD differ by age. We aimed to investigate if the relative importance of liver-related deaths is lower and overshadowed by cardiovascular and cancer-related deaths in the elderly population.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We conducted a territory-wide retrospective cohort study of adult patients with NAFLD between 2000 and 2021 in Hong Kong. The outcomes of interest were all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Age groups at death were studied at 10-year intervals. During 662,471 person-years of follow-up of 30,943 patients with NAFLD, there were 2097 deaths. The top three causes of death were pneumonia, extrahepatic cancer, and cardiovascular diseases. Liver disease was the sixth leading cause of death in patients aged 70-79 and 80-89 years, accounting for 5.1% and 5.9% of deaths, respectively, but only accounted for 3% or fewer of the deaths in the other age groups. Nonetheless, liver disease was the leading cause of death in patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis, accounting for 36.8% of all deaths. The incidence of liver-related death was higher in men younger than age 70 but higher in women afterwards. The incidence of liver-related death in women increased from 0.62 to 7.14 per 10,000 person-years from age 60-69 to 70-79 years.

CONCLUSION

The relative importance of liver-related death increases with age in patients with NAFLD, especially among women. In patients with cirrhosis, liver disease is the leading cause of death.

Perspectives on the Underlying Etiology of HCC and Its Effects on Treatment Outcomes

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to be a serious medical problem with poor prognosis worldwide. The distribution of the major etiologies of HCC is changing due to the progress of anti-viral treatments, including hepatitis B virus (HBV) suppression by nucleoside/nucleotide analogues (NAs) and increased sustained virologic response (SVR) rates by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV), as well as the rising trend of nonviral liver disease. Although viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of HCC, non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) with metabolic syndrome and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) are increasing. Effective and well-tolerated NAs treatment can slow the disease progression of chronic HBV infection to cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease, and reduce HCC risk. Treatment with NAs is also associated with significant improvement in the long-term survival of patients with HBV infection who already have HCC. DAAs have achieved viral elimination in almost all patients with HCV without significant adverse events, even in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and HCC. Similarly, DAA therapy can reduce disease progression, liver and non-liver complications, and improve the long-term survival of patients with chronic HCV infection with or without HCC. Meanwhile, NAFLD is a rapidly increasing cause of HCC along with the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes globally. NAFLD-related HCC can occur in patients without cirrhosis and is known to have a lower survival rate than viral hepatitis-related HCC. Since there is currently no specific pharmacotherapy effective for NAFLD, lifestyle modification and prevention of complications are important to improve prognosis. Additionally, ALD is the second fastest-growing cause of HCC-related deaths, especially with an accelerated trend since the COVID-19 pandemic. This review provides an overview of the epidemiologic trends in the etiologies of HCC, and the progress of treatments for each etiology and the impact on outcome in the patients with HCC.

The FIB-4 Index Predicts the Development of Liver-Related Events, Extrahepatic Cancers, and Coronary Vascular Disease in Patients with NAFLD

The prognosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients depends on liver-related events (LREs), extrahepatic cancers, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is one of the most reliable and useful predictors of the degree of liver fibrosis. Recent studies have reported that the FIB-4 index is also useful for predicting LREs and MACEs in NAFLD patients. In the present study, we investigated the prognostic value of the FIB-4 index in NAFLD patients. A total of 506 biopsy-confirmed NAFLD patients from six hepatology centers in Japan from 2002 to 2013 were enrolled in this study. Of these NAFLD patients, 353 were available for more than 100 days of follow-up and did not exhibit events (LREs, extrahepatic cancers, MACEs) at the time of entry. The mean follow-up duration of all the subjects was 2716 ± 1621 days (102-7483 days). New LREs (hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (n = 8), decompensation (n = 11), bleeding varices (n = 8)) developed in 18 patients. Twenty-four and twelve patients developed extrahepatic cancers and MACEs, respectively. The median FIB-4 index was 1.255; we divided our cohort into two groups according to this (FIB4 Low, FIB4 Hi). The incidence of HCC tended to be higher in FIB4 Hi (n = 7) than in FIB4 Low (n = 1). The incidence of LREs was significantly higher in FIB4 Hi (n = 17) than in FIB4 Low (n = 1). The incidence of extrahepatic cancers was significantly higher in FIB4 Hi (n = 20) than in FIB4 Low (n = 4); the incidence of MACEs was also significantly higher in FIB4 Hi (n = 10) than in FIB4 Low (n = 2). The FIB-4 index is a useful biomarker for predicting not only LREs but also extrahepatic cancers and MACEs.

The additive effect of genetic and metabolic factors in the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Both genetic and metabolic factors influence the pathology of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the impact of these factors at each stage of disease. We analysed the impact of obesity, diabetes mellitus and genetic risk factors (alleles of PNPLA3 or HSD17B13) on nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), significant fibrosis (stage ≥ 2) and advanced fibrosis (stage ≥ 3) in 346 patients. Genetic high risk was defined as having at least 2 risk alleles. The median age was 59 years, median body mass index was 27.1 kg/m², and 46.8% had diabetes mellitus. Obesity was a risk factor for NASH, significant fibrosis, and advanced fibrosis. Diabetes mellitus increased the risk of NASH. Genetic risk increased the risk of significant and advanced fibrosis. Odds ratios for NASH, significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis increased with the number of genetic and metabolic risk factors. The patients with both metabolic and genetic risks had an odds ratio of 12.30 for NASH, 5.50 for significant fibrosis, and 6.25 for advanced fibrosis. Factors strongly impact on the pathology of NAFLD differed according to the fibrosis stages. Synergistic effects were observed between genetic and metabolic factors at all stages.

HSPA8 Single-Nucleotide Polymorphism Is Associated with Serum HSC70 Concentration and Carotid Artery Atherosclerosis in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

There is an association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and atherosclerosis, but the genetic risk of atherosclerosis in NAFLD remains unclear. Here, a single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) of the heat shock 70 kDa protein 8 (HSPA8) gene was analyzed in 123 NAFLD patients who had been diagnosed using a liver biopsy, and the NAFLD phenotype including the maximum intima–media thickness (Max-IMT) of the carotid artery was investigated. Patients with the minor allele (A/G or G/G) of rs2236659 showed a lower serum heat shock cognate 71 kDa protein concentration than those with the major A/A allele. Compared with the patients with the major allele, those with the minor allele showed a higher prevalence of hypertension and higher Max-IMT in men. No significant associations between the HSPA8 genotype and hepatic pathological findings were identified. In decision-tree analysis, age, sex, liver fibrosis, and HSPA8 genotype were individually associated with severe carotid artery atherosclerosis (Max-IMT ≥ 1.5 mm). Noncirrhotic men aged ≥ 65 years were most significantly affected by the minor allele of HSPA8. To predict the risk of atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease, HSPA8 SNP genotyping might be useful, particularly for older male NAFLD patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Due to Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Current Concepts and Future Challenges

Obesity has been labeled as the global pandemic of the 21st century, resulting from a sedentary lifestyle and caloric excess. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), characterized by excessive hepatic steatosis, is strongly associated with obesity and metabolic syndrome and is estimated to be present in one-quarter of the world population, making it the most common cause of the chronic liver disease (CLD). NAFLD spectrum varies from simple steatosis to nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and cirrhosis. The burden of NAFLD has been predicted to increase in the coming decades resulting in increased rates of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related deaths. In the current review, we describe the pathophysiology of NAFLD and NASH, risk factors associated with disease progression, related complications, and mortality. Later, we have discussed the changing epidemiology of HCC, with NAFLD emerging as the most common cause of CLD and HCC. We have also addressed the risk factors of HCC development in the NAFLD population (including demographic, metabolic, genetic, dietary, and lifestyle factors), presentation of NAFLD-associated HCC, its prognosis, and the issue of HCC development in non-cirrhotic NAFLD. Lastly, the problems related to HCC screening in the NAFLD population, the remaining challenges, and future directions, especially the need to identify the high-risk individuals, will be discussed. We will conclude the review by summarizing the clinical evidence for treating fibrosis and preventing HCC in those at risk with NAFLD-associated HCC.

Favorable impact of long-term SGLT2 inhibitor for NAFLD complicated by diabetes mellitus: A 5-year follow-up study

The aim of this study was to determine the impact at 5 years of sodium‐glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on liver histopathology and clinical features. In this retrospective study, the histological impacts at 5 years after the start of SGLT2i in NAFLD with T2DM were investigated. Six patients with NAFLD and T2DM were treated for the long term with canagliflozin of SGLT2i, and liver biopsies were obtained at the points of the pretreatment, 24 weeks, 3 years, and 5 years after the start of treatment. The primary outcome was liver histopathological changes at 5 years (defined as decrease in NAFLD activity score of one point or more without worsening in fibrosis stage, compared with the pretreatment). The additional treatment of glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP‐1RA) was performed in 2 patients after the point of 3 years, and evaluated as histological worsening. As the primary outcome, histological improvement, no change, and worsening were 50%, 17%, and 33% at 5 years, respectively. Overall, the scores of steatosis, lobular inflammation, ballooning, and fibrosis stage decreased at 5 years in 67%, 33%, 0%, and 33%, respectively. As the secondary outcomes, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance and serum ferritin decreased significantly at 5 years. None developed 3‐point major adverse cardiovascular events. Two patients with the addition of GLP‐1RA on SGLT2i did not show the worsening of steatosis, ballooning, and fibrosis stage at 5 years compared with 3 years. Conclusion: A 5‐year follow‐up study with SGLT2i indicated the favorable histological impact on NAFLD with T2DM.