Factors associated with asthma exacerbations during a long-term clinical trial of controller medications in children

Prediction of Asthma Exacerbations in Children

Asthma exacerbations are common in asthmatic children, even among those with good disease control. Asthma attacks result in the children and their parents missing school and work days; limit the patient's social and physical activities; and lead to emergency department visits, hospital admissions, or even fatal events. Thus, the prompt identification of asthmatic children at risk for exacerbation is crucial, as it may allow for proactive measures that could prevent these episodes. Children prone to asthma exacerbation are a heterogeneous group; various demographic factors such as younger age, ethnic group, low family income, clinical parameters (history of an exacerbation in the past 12 months, poor asthma control, poor adherence to treatment, comorbidities), Th2 inflammation, and environmental exposures (pollutants, stress, viral and bacterial pathogens) determine the risk of a future exacerbation and should be carefully considered. This paper aims to review the existing evidence regarding the predictors of asthma exacerbations in children and offer practical monitoring guidance for promptly recognizing patients at risk.

Identifying asthma-related risks during hospitalization using the child asthma risk assessment tool

Objective: The Child Asthma Risk Assessment Tool (CARAT) identifies risk factors for asthma morbidity. We hypothesized that CARAT-identified risk factors (using a CARAT adapted for inpatient use) would be associated with future healthcare utilization and would identify areas for intervention.Methods: We reviewed CARAT data collected during pediatric asthma admissions from 2010-2015, assessing for risk factors in environmental, medical, and social domains and providing prompts for inpatient (specialist consultation or social services engagement) and post-discharge interventions (home care visit or home environmental assessment). Confirmatory factor analysis identified groups of CARAT-identified risk factors with similar effects on healthcare utilization (latent factors). Structural equation models then evaluated relationships between latent factors and future utilization.Results: There were 2731 unique patients admitted for asthma exacerbations; 1015 (37%) had complete CARAT assessments and were included in analyses. Those with incomplete CARAT assessments were more often younger and privately-insured. CARAT-identified risk factors across domains were common in children hospitalized for exacerbations. Risks in the environmental domain were most common. Inpatient asthma consults by pulmonologists or allergists and home care referrals were the most frequent interventions indicated (62%, 628/1015, and 50%, 510/1015, respectively). Two latent factors were positively associated with healthcare utilization in the year after index stay - social stressors and known/suspected allergies (both p < 0.05). Stratified analyses analyzing data just from those children with prior healthcare utilization also indicated known/suspected allergies to be positively associated with future utilization.Conclusions: Inpatient interventions to address social stressors and allergic profiles may be warranted to reduce subsequent asthma morbidity.

Predictors of asthma control differ from predictors of asthma attacks in children: The Swiss Paediatric Airway Cohort

BACKGROUND

It is unclear if predictors of asthma attacks are the same as those of asthma symptom control in children.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated predictors for these two outcomes in a clinical cohort study.

METHODS

The Swiss Paediatric Airway Cohort (SPAC) is a multicentre prospective clinical cohort of children referred to paediatric pulmonologists. This analysis included 516 children (5-16 years old) diagnosed with asthma. At baseline, we collected sociodemographic information, symptoms, personal and family history and environmental exposures from a parental baseline questionnaire, and treatment and test results from hospital records. Outcomes were assessed 1 year later by parental questionnaire: asthma control in the last 4 weeks as defined by GINA guidelines, and asthma attacks defined as any unscheduled visit for asthma in the past year. We used logistic regression to identify and compare predictors for suboptimal asthma control and asthma attacks.

RESULTS

At follow-up, 114/516 children (22%), reported suboptimal asthma control, and 114 (22%) an incident asthma attack. Only 37 (7%) reported both. Suboptimal asthma control was associated with poor symptom control at baseline (e.g. ≥1 night wheeze/week OR: 3.2; 95% CI: 1.7-6), wheeze triggered by allergens (2.2; 1.4-3.3), colds (2.3; 1.4-3.6) and exercise (3.2; 2-5), a more intense treatment at baseline (2.4; 1.3-4.4 for Step 3 vs. 1), history of preschool (2.6; 1.5-4.4) and persistent wheeze (2; 1.4-3.2), and exposure to tobacco smoke (1.7; 1-2.6). Incident asthma attacks were associated with previous episodes of severe wheeze (2; 1.2-3.3) and asthma attacks (2.8; 1.6-5 for emergency care visits), younger age (0.8; 0.8-0.9 per 1 year) and non-Swiss origin (0.3; 0.2-0.5 for Swiss origin). Lung function, exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) and allergic sensitization at baseline were not associated with control or attacks.

CONCLUSION

Children at risk of long-term suboptimal asthma control differ from those at risk of attacks. Prediction tools and preventive efforts should differentiate these two asthma outcomes.

Novel genetic variants associated with inhaled corticosteroid treatment response in older adults with asthma

INTRODUCTION

Older adults have the greatest burden of asthma and poorest outcomes. The pharmacogenetics of inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) treatment response is not well studied in older adults.

METHODS

A genome-wide association study of ICS response was performed in asthmatics of European ancestry in Genetic Epidemiology Research on Adult Health and Aging (GERA) by fitting Cox proportional hazards regression models, followed by validation in the Mass General Brigham (MGB) Biobank and Rotterdam Study. ICS response was measured using two definitions in asthmatics on ICS treatment: (1) absence of oral corticosteroid (OCS) bursts using prescription records and (2) absence of asthma-related exacerbations using diagnosis codes. A fixed-effect meta-analysis was performed for each outcome. The validated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were functionally annotated to standard databases.

RESULTS

In 5710 subjects in GERA, 676 subjects in MGB Biobank, and 465 subjects in the Rotterdam Study, four novel SNPs on chromosome six near PTCHD4 validated across all cohorts and met genome-wide significance on meta-analysis for the OCS burst outcome. In 4541 subjects in GERA and 505 subjects in MGB Biobank, 152 SNPs with p<5 × 10-5 were validated across these two cohorts for the asthma-related exacerbation outcome. The validated SNPs included methylation and expression quantitative trait loci for CPED1, CRADD and DST for the OCS burst outcome and GM2A, SNW1, CACNA1C, DPH1, and RPS10 for the asthma-related exacerbation outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple novel SNPs associated with ICS response were identified in older adult asthmatics. Several SNPs annotated to genes previously associated with asthma and other airway or allergic diseases, including PTCHD4.

Loss of control in preschoolers with asthma is a risk factor for disease persistency

AIM

To describe the relationship between loss of control events in preschoolers with asthma and persistence of disease.

METHODS

We reviewed medical records of children <6 years diagnosed with asthma in 2018 to assess loss of control events during three years of follow-up. Asthma persistency was defined by redeem of short-acting β2-agonist or asthma controllers within one year after the end of follow-up. Logistic regression models were applied to analyse the association between loss of control events and persistence of asthma.

RESULTS

We included 172 patients (median age 1.8 years), whereof 126 (73.3%) experienced a loss of control event and 87 (50.6%) had asthma one year after the end of follow-up. Any loss of control event was associated with persistence of asthma adjusted for controller treatment at inclusion, prior exacerbations, atopic comorbidity and caesarean section: aOR, 10.9 (95% CI, 3.9-34.6), p < 0.001. This was also significant restricted to events in the first year of follow-up: 3.52 (1.50-8.67), p < 0.01 and among children only experiencing one event: 6.4 (1.7-27.3), p = 0.01.

CONCLUSION

Loss of control events during a 3-year period among preschoolers with asthma are closely related to disease persistency, which may aid clinicians to assess risk of persistent asthma in young children.

Environmental and clinical data utility in pediatric asthma exacerbation risk prediction models

BACKGROUND

Asthma exacerbations are triggered by a variety of clinical and environmental factors, but their relative impacts on exacerbation risk are unclear. There is a critical need to develop methods to identify children at high-risk for future exacerbation to allow targeted prevention measures. We sought to evaluate the utility of models using spatiotemporally resolved climatic data and individual electronic health records (EHR) in predicting pediatric asthma exacerbations.

METHODS

We extracted retrospective EHR data for 5982 children with asthma who had an encounter within the Duke University Health System between January 1, 2014 and December 31, 2019. EHR data were linked to spatially resolved environmental data, and temporally resolved climate, pollution, allergen, and influenza case data. We used xgBoost to build predictive models of asthma exacerbation over 30-180 day time horizons, and evaluated the contributions of different data types to model performance.

RESULTS

Models using readily available EHR data performed moderately well, as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC 0.730-0.742) over all three time horizons. Inclusion of spatial and temporal data did not significantly improve model performance. Generating a decision rule with a sensitivity of 70% produced a positive predictive value of 13.8% for 180 day outcomes but only 2.9% for 30 day outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

EHR data-based models perform moderately wellover a 30-180 day time horizon to identify children who would benefit from asthma exacerbation prevention measures. Due to the low rate of exacerbations, longer-term models are likely to be most clinically useful.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

Longitudinal asthma exacerbation phenotypes in the Korean childhood asthma study cohort

BACKGROUND

Asthma exacerbation (AE) leads to social and economic costs and long-term adverse outcomes. We aimed to predict exacerbation-prone asthma (EPA) in children.

METHODS

The Korean childhood Asthma Study (KAS) is a prospective nationwide pediatric asthma cohort of children aged 5-15 years followed every 6 months. Patients with AE during the 6 months prior to all three visits, with AE prior to one or two visits, and without AE prior to any visit were defined as having EPA, exacerbation-intermittent asthma (EIA), and exacerbation-resistant asthma (ERA), respectively. Risk factors and prediction models of EPA were explored.

RESULTS

Of the 497 patients who completed three visits, 42%, 18%, and 15% had exacerbations prior to visits 1, 2, and 3 and 5%, 47%, and 48% had EPA, EIA, and ERA, respectively. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression revealed forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) z-score, forced vital capacity (FVC) z-score, white blood cell (WBC) count, and asthma control test (ACT) score as relevant EPA risk factors. The EPA prediction model comprised FVC z-score, WBC count, ACT score, sex, and parental education level (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] 0.841 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.728-0.954]).

CONCLUSION

With appropriate management, AE decreases over time, but persistent AEs may occur. Apart from asthma control level, baseline lung function and WBC count predicted EPA.

Inhaled corticosteroids for the prevention of asthma exacerbations

OBJECTIVE

To provide an overview of the risk factors and mechanisms underlying asthma exacerbations and the role of inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) in preventing exacerbations.

DATA SOURCES

Queries for asthma exacerbations and ICSs were conducted using PubMed, searching for primary articles and reviews.

STUDY SELECTIONS

Studies written in English, with a focus on well-designed randomized controlled clinical trials.

RESULTS

Asthma exacerbations remain a major source of morbidity, with future exacerbations most likely among patients with previous exacerbations and among those with peripheral blood eosinophilia. Exacerbations are often triggered by viral respiratory tract infections, but recent evidence supports nonviral triggers as well. In terms of exacerbation prevention, several approaches to ICS therapy have been found to be effective, including intermittent high-dose ICS without use of background controller in preschool children with recurrent episodic wheezing, intermittent high-dose ICS without use of background controller in adults with mild asthma, and as-needed ICS dosing whenever rescue treatment is needed among children, adolescents, and adults with mild asthma not receiving daily controller therapy.

CONCLUSION

ICSs are highly effective in preventing exacerbations of asthma. Multiple dosing strategies have been found to reduce exacerbation risk, allowing for a personalization of approaches based on individual patient phenotypes and preferences.

Hospital admission rate in children and adolescents with mild persistent asthma

INTRODUCTION

The health and financial burden of mild-persistent asthma has been poorly investigated.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to compare the rate of hospital admissions that have occurred during the preceding year between children and adolescents with current mild-persistent (MP) and moderate-severe (MS) asthma.

METHODS

We screened children and adolescents with asthma at eight outpatient clinics. The inclusion criteria were asthma diagnosis, age from 6 to 18 years and follow-up with a physician during the preceding 6 months. Subjects answered standardized questionnaires and underwent spirometry.

RESULTS

We enrolled 220 MP and 102 MS asthmatic subjects. The proportion of subjects with HA during the preceding year was similar between MP and MS asthma groups (7% vs. 7%; p = .89). Symptoms score and the financial values spent by the family in the care of asthma were lower in MP asthma as compared with MS asthma group (asthma control questionnaire score 0.7 [0.3-1.0) vs. 2.0 [1.1-2.5]; p < .01) (asthma expenses in USD 13 [2-43] vs. 28 [10-83]; p < .01). The frequency of subjects using inhaled corticosteroids maintenance therapy was lower in the MP asthma group as compared with the MS asthma group (54% vs. 100%; p < .01).

CONCLUSION

We conclude that the frequency of hospital admissions that have occurred during the preceding year was similar between subjects with current MP and MS asthma. Symptoms score and the financial values spent by the family in the care of asthma were lower in the MP asthma group.

The predictive value of impulse oscillometry for asthma exacerbations in childhood: A systematic review and meta-analyses

OBJECTIVE

Several studies have explored the predictive value of impulse oscillometry (IOS) for asthma exacerbations in childhood, but its specific parameters are still unclear. Therefore, we designed this meta-analysis to determine the related indicators of acute asthma attacks.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed on July 9, 2020 based on PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science database. Weighted mean differences (WMDs) were calculated using fixed- or random-effects models.

RESULTS

A total of 615 patients from six trials were included in this analysis. IOS may be a useful tool to predict asthma exacerbations. And the results showed that R5 (WMD = -1.21, 95% CI: -1.55 to -0.87, p < .001), Fres (WMD = -1.34, 95% CI: -2.03 to -0.65, p = .018), and AX (WMD = -7.35, 95% CI: -9.94 to -4.76, p < .001) had significant correlation with asthma exacerbations. In addition, X5 may also predict the acute attack of asthma (WMD = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.56 to 1.01, p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

R5, AX, Fres, and X5 may be able to identify the risk of an acute attack of asthma. Besides, our research further demonstrated that peripheral airway injury may play an important role in the acute attack of asthma.

Evaluation of efficiency and safety of oral corticosteroid therapy in children patients with exacerbations of asthma: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Asthma is the most frequently occurring obstructive airway disease, it inflicts the highest morbidity among children. Among the paediatric populace, severe exacerbations of asthma are a common reason behind patient consultations and hospitalizations. Oral corticosteroids are a primary component in the treatment of asthma exacerbations; however, there is controversy regarding how corticosteroids functions.

METHODS

The present review will conduct a search on MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Chinese BioMedical Literature. The search will cover the databases from their beginning to May 2021. The search aims to identify all the randomized controlled studies on oral corticosteroids in treating children with asthma exacerbations. Two independent authors will choose studies, perform data extraction, and use an appropriate tool to assess the bias risk in the selected articles. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis will be performed to assess the robustness of the results. The RevMan (version 5.3) software will be employed to perform data synthesis and statistical analysis.

RESULTS

This study will examine the efficiency and safeness of oral corticosteroid therapy to treat children with asthma exacerbations by pooling the results of individual studies.

CONCLUSION

The findings of this study will provide vigorous evidence to judge whether oral corticosteroid therapy is an efficiency strategy to treat patients with asthmatic exacerbations.

OSF REGISTRATION NUMBER

May 20, 2021.osf.io/3ghjt. (https://osf.io/3ghjt/).

Predicting Severe Asthma Exacerbations in Children: Blueprint for Today and Tomorrow

Severe asthma exacerbations are the primary cause of morbidity and mortality in children with asthma. Accurate prediction of children at risk for severe exacerbations, defined as those requiring systemic corticosteroids, emergency department visit, and/or hospitalization, would considerably reduce health care utilization and improve symptoms and quality of life. Substantial progress has been made in identifying high-risk exacerbation-prone children. Known risk factors for exacerbations include demographic characteristics (ie, low income, minority race/ethnicity), poor asthma control, environmental exposures (ie, aeroallergen exposure/sensitization, concomitant viral infection), inflammatory biomarkers, genetic polymorphisms, and markers from other "omic" technologies. The strongest risk factor for a future severe exacerbation remains having had one in the previous year. Combining risk factors into composite scores and use of advanced predictive analytic techniques such as machine learning are recent methods used to achieve stronger prediction of severe exacerbations. However, these methods are limited in prediction efficiency and are currently unable to predict children at risk for impending (within days) severe exacerbations. Thus, we provide a commentary on strategies that have potential to allow for accurate and reliable prediction of children at risk for impending exacerbations. These approaches include implementation of passive, real-time monitoring of impending exacerbation predictors, use of population health strategies, prediction of severe exacerbation responders versus nonresponders to conventional exacerbation management, and considerations for preschool-age children who can be especially high risk. Rigorous prediction and prevention of severe asthma exacerbations is needed to advance asthma management and improve the associated morbidity and mortality.

Pharmacogenetics of inhaled corticosteroids and exacerbation risk in adults with asthma

BACKGROUND

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) are a cornerstone of asthma treatment. However, their efficacy is characterized by wide variability in individual responses.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the association between genetic variants and risk of exacerbations in adults with asthma and how this association is affected by ICS treatment.

METHODS

We investigated the pharmacogenetic effect of 10 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) selected from the literature, including SNPs previously associated with response to ICS (assessed by change in lung function or exacerbations) and novel asthma risk alleles involved in inflammatory pathways, within all adults with asthma from the Dutch population-based Rotterdam study with replication in the American GERA cohort. The interaction effects of the SNPs with ICS on the incidence of asthma exacerbations were assessed using hurdle models adjusting for age, sex, BMI, smoking and treatment step according to the GINA guidelines. Haplotype analyses were also conducted for the SNPs located on the same chromosome.

RESULTS

rs242941 (CRHR1) homozygotes for the minor allele (A) showed a significant, replicated increased risk for frequent exacerbations (RR = 6.11, P < 0.005). In contrast, rs1134481 T allele within TBXT (chromosome 6, member of a family associated with embryonic lung development) showed better response with ICS. rs37973 G allele (GLCCI1) showed a significantly poorer response on ICS within the discovery cohort, which was also significant but in the opposite direction in the replication cohort.

CONCLUSION

rs242941 in CRHR1 was associated with poor ICS response. Conversely, TBXT variants were associated with improved ICS response. These associations may reveal specific endotypes, potentially allowing prediction of exacerbation risk and ICS response.

Indoor endotoxin, proximity to a major roadway, and severe asthma exacerbations among children in Puerto Rico

BACKGROUND

Few studies have examined concurrent exposure to household endotoxin and traffic-related air pollution in relation to childhood asthma, yet both factors are associated with asthma outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether proximity to a major roadway (a traffic-related air pollution proxy) modifies the estimated effects of indoor endotoxin on asthma outcomes in children.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study of 200 children with asthma (ages, 6-14 years) living in Puerto Rico. Residential distance to a major roadway was calculated as the distance from the participant's residential US census block centroid to the nearest major road. The outcomes of interest were severe asthma exacerbations, missed school days for asthma, atopy, lung function, and bronchodilator response (BDR). Logistic, linear, or negative binomial regression was used for the multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

In the multivariable analysis, there was an interaction between indoor endotoxin and residential distance to a roadway on severe asthma exacerbations (P = .02) and BDR (P = .07). In an analysis stratified by distance to a roadway, each log₁₀-unit increase in endotoxin was associated with 4.21 times increased odds of severe asthma exacerbations among children living within 499 m (the lower 3 quartiles of residential distance) to a road (95% confidence interval, 1.5-12.0). Among subjects living further than 499 m away from a roadway, each log₁₀-unit increase in endotoxin was associated with reduced odds of severe asthma exacerbations (odds ratio, 0.03; 95% confidence interval, 0.001-0.67). Similar but less substantial findings were observed for BDR.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that residential proximity to a major road modifies the estimated effect of endotoxin on severe asthma exacerbations in children.

Asthma attacks in children are always preceded by poor asthma control: myth or maxim?

Some, but not all, asthma exacerbations in children are preceded by poor asthma control https://bit.ly/3muIy6h.

Effect of Vitamin D3 Supplementation on Severe Asthma Exacerbations in Children With Asthma and Low Vitamin D Levels: The VDKA Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Severe asthma exacerbations cause significant morbidity and costs. Whether vitamin D3 supplementation reduces severe childhood asthma exacerbations is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether vitamin D3 supplementation improves the time to a severe exacerbation in children with asthma and low vitamin D levels.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The Vitamin D to Prevent Severe Asthma Exacerbations (VDKA) Study was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of vitamin D3 supplementation to improve the time to severe exacerbations in high-risk children with asthma aged 6 to 16 years taking low-dose inhaled corticosteroids and with serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels less than 30 ng/mL. Participants were recruited from 7 US centers. Enrollment started in February 2016, with a goal of 400 participants; the trial was terminated early (March 2019) due to futility, and follow-up ended in September 2019.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants were randomized to vitamin D3, 4000 IU/d (n = 96), or placebo (n = 96) for 48 weeks and maintained with fluticasone propionate, 176 μg/d (6-11 years old), or 220 μg/d (12-16 years old).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was the time to a severe asthma exacerbation. Secondary outcomes included the time to a viral-induced severe exacerbation, the proportion of participants in whom the dose of inhaled corticosteroid was reduced halfway through the trial, and the cumulative fluticasone dose during the trial.

RESULTS

Among 192 randomized participants (mean age, 9.8 years; 77 girls [40%]), 180 (93.8%) completed the trial. A total of 36 participants (37.5%) in the vitamin D3 group and 33 (34.4%) in the placebo group had 1 or more severe exacerbations. Compared with placebo, vitamin D3 supplementation did not significantly improve the time to a severe exacerbation: the mean time to exacerbation was 240 days in the vitamin D3 group vs 253 days in the placebo group (mean group difference, -13.1 days [95% CI, -42.6 to 16.4]; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.13 [95% CI, 0.69 to 1.85]; P = .63). Vitamin D3 supplementation, compared with placebo, likewise did not significantly improve the time to a viral-induced severe exacerbation, the proportion of participants whose dose of inhaled corticosteroid was reduced, or the cumulative fluticasone dose during the trial. Serious adverse events were similar in both groups (vitamin D3 group, n = 11; placebo group, n = 9).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among children with persistent asthma and low vitamin D levels, vitamin D3 supplementation, compared with placebo, did not significantly improve the time to a severe asthma exacerbation. The findings do not support the use of vitamin D3 supplementation to prevent severe asthma exacerbations in this group of patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02687815.

Theoretical asthma self-management program for Taiwanese adolescents with self-efficacy, outcome-expectancy, health behaviour, and asthma symptoms: A randomized controlled trial

Background

The asthma prevalence of Taiwanese adolescents continued to rise. With physical and psychological changes in adolescents, managing asthma can be quite challenges and affect social, emotional and physical wellbeing. Adolescents with high self-efficacy levels are more likely to be involved in prevention and management activities. The aim of this study was to develop an effective asthma self-management program taking account for adolescents' developmental stages and based on Bandura's self-efficacy model.

Methods

A two-arm, parallel group, randomized controlled trial was used. The outcomes were self-efficacy, outcome-expectancy, asthma prevention and self-management behaviour, and controlling asthma symptoms. Translation and back-translation process were used for original tools in English. Good consistent reliabilities of Chinese versions tools were identified. A t-test or Mann-Whiney U test was employed to determine any mean differences of outcome variables between groups overtime.

Results

A sample of 83 patients completed the study. The mean age was 14.2 years (SD = 1.8). Approximately 56.6% of the participants were males. 73% of participants (n = 61) had a mild to intermittent level of asthma severity. Significant improvements were found on self-efficacy, t = −2.8; outcome-expectancy, U = 646, prevention behaviours, t = −3.5, and management behaviours, t = −3.2, but non-significant results for the outcome of asthma control, U = 716.

Conclusions

The results provided evidence to support the efficacy of the asthma self-management program. The findings indicated the program improved adolescents’ self-confidence in managing their asthma symptoms. Future clinical practice should consider delivering an educational program using multifaceted and interactive learning strategies.

Predictive factors of response to inhaled corticosteroids in newly diagnosed asthma: A real-world observational study

BACKGROUND

Asthma is characterized by chronic airway inflammation, and inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) have been recommended as first-line treatment. However, response to ICS treatment is various, and the prediction of response to ICSs is still difficult, especially in individuals with newly diagnosed asthma.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the clinical factors and biomarkers associated with response to ICSs in newly diagnosed asthma.

METHODS

A total of 150 ICS-naive patients with newly diagnosed asthma in the allergy clinic of a single tertiary hospital in Korea from January 2014 to January 2019 were included in this study. All patients initially received moderate-dose ICSs and were treated for more than 1 year. We compared the clinical characteristics and parameters between patients with and without acute exacerbation (AE) during the study period.

RESULTS

In this study, 99 patients had no AE (stable asthma group), and 51 patients presented with more than 1 AE (unstable asthma group). The mean (SD) blood eosinophil count (635.7 [780.3] × 10³/μL vs 373.4 [266.8] × 10³/μL, P = .003) and sputum eosinophil count (15.2% [23.9%] vs 8.3% [15.4%], P = .051) were higher and the sputum neutrophil count (42.9% [35.1%] vs 61.3% [35.1%], P = .057) was lower in the stable asthma group than in the unstable asthma group.

CONCLUSION

High blood and sputum eosinophil counts can predict a good response to ICS treatment in terms of prevention of AE in individuals with newly diagnosed asthma. The sputum neutrophil count may be an effective predictor of response to ICSs, even though additional studies must be conducted.

Asthma: A Loss of Post-natal Homeostatic Control of Airways Smooth Muscle With Regression Toward a Pre-natal State

The defining feature of asthma is loss of normal post-natal homeostatic control of airways smooth muscle (ASM). This is the key feature that distinguishes asthma from all other forms of respiratory disease. Failure to focus on impaired ASM homeostasis largely explains our failure to find a cure and contributes to the widespread excessive morbidity associated with the condition despite the presence of effective therapies. The mechanisms responsible for destabilizing the normal tight control of ASM and hence airways caliber in post-natal life are unknown but it is clear that atopic inflammation is neither necessary nor sufficient. Loss of homeostasis results in excessive ASM contraction which, in those with poor control, is manifest by variations in airflow resistance over short periods of time. During viral exacerbations, the ability to respond to bronchodilators is partially or almost completely lost, resulting in ASM being "locked down" in a contracted state. Corticosteroids appear to restore normal or near normal homeostasis in those with poor control and restore bronchodilator responsiveness during exacerbations. The mechanism of action of corticosteroids is unknown and the assumption that their action is solely due to "anti-inflammatory" effects needs to be challenged. ASM, in evolutionary terms, dates to the earliest land dwelling creatures that required muscle to empty primitive lungs. ASM appears very early in embryonic development and active peristalsis is essential for the formation of the lungs. However, in post-natal life its only role appears to be to maintain airways in a configuration that minimizes resistance to airflow and dead space. In health, significant constriction is actively prevented, presumably through classic negative feedback loops. Disruption of this robust homeostatic control can develop at any age and results in asthma. In order to develop a cure, we need to move from our current focus on immunology and inflammatory pathways to work that will lead to an understanding of the mechanisms that contribute to ASM stability in health and how this is disrupted to cause asthma. This requires a radical change in the focus of most of "asthma research."

Disease Burden and Long-Term Risk of Persistent Very Poorly Controlled Asthma: TENOR II

BACKGROUND

Severe/difficult-to-treat disease occurs in 5% to 10% of patients with asthma, but accounts for more than 50% of related economic costs. Understanding factors associated with persistent very poorly controlled (VPC) asthma may improve outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize persistent VPC asthma after more than 10 years of standard of care.

METHODS

The Epidemiology and Natural history of asthma: Outcomes and treatment Regimens (TENOR) II (N = 341) was a multicenter, observational study of patients with severe/difficult-to-treat asthma with a single, cross-sectional visit more than 10 years after TENOR I. Persistent VPC asthma was defined as VPC asthma at TENOR I and TENOR II enrollment; without VPC asthma was defined as well- or not well-controlled asthma at either or both visits. Multivariable logistic regression assessed long-term predictors of persistent VPC asthma using TENOR I baseline variables.

RESULTS

Of 327 patients, nearly half (48.0%, n = 157) had persistent VPC asthma. Comorbidities and asthma triggers were more frequent in patients with persistent VPC asthma than in patients without VPC asthma. Total geometric mean IgE was higher in patients with persistent VPC asthma (89.3 IU/mL vs 55.7 IU/mL); there was no difference in eosinophil levels. Lung function was lower in patients with persistent VPC asthma (mean % predicted pre- and postbronchodilator FEV₁, 63.0% vs 82.8% and 69.6% vs 87.2%, respectively). Exacerbations in the previous year were more likely in patients with persistent VPC asthma (29.7% vs 9.0%, respectively). Predictors of persistent VPC asthma were black versus white race/ethnicity, allergic trigger count (4 vs 0), systemic corticosteroid use, and postbronchodilator FEV₁ (per 10% decrease).

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of persistent VPC asthma is high in severe/difficult-to-treat disease; management of modifiable risk factors, maximization of lung function, and trigger avoidance may improve outcomes.

Test for respiratory and asthma control in preschool kids in the emergency department as a predictor of wheezing exacerbations

OBJECTIVE

The test for respiratory and asthma control in kids (TRACK score) is a standardized questionnaire tool validated to identify poor symptom control in children with stable preschool wheeze. This study determined if TRACK score measured within 5 days of an Emergency Department (ED) visit for acute wheezing predicts a subsequent wheezing exacerbation requiring an ED visit and/or treatment with systemic corticosteroids within 3 months.

METHODS

This was a single-center prospective cohort study of children aged 36 to 71 months who presented to the ED with an acute episode of wheezing and had TRACK score measured at a clinic visit within 5 days of the index ED encounter, focused on information about symptoms occurring before the onset of the current acute episode. The outcomes were the independent association of a repeat wheezing exacerbation with the overall TRACK score (primary) and with mutually uncorrelated TRACK items (secondary), adjusted for sex and atopy.

RESULTS

We enrolled 102 children; median age 52.3 (44.1, 59.9) months, 59% males. Of these, 33 (32.4%) had further wheezing exacerbations. For each 10 unit decrease in TRACK, the odds of a future exacerbation was 1.38 (95% CI, 1.10-1.75); male sex demonstrated OR, 5.13 (1.84-14.33). A model that included TRACK items reflecting more than equal to 1 awakenings for wheezing in the past 4 weeks, receipt of more than equal to 2 courses of corticosteroids in the last year and male sex was predictive of wheezing exacerbations: OR, 6.43 (2.18-19.00).

CONCLUSION

In preschoolers with acute wheezing episodes in the ED, we have identified the TRACK score components which, together with male sex, can be used to identify children at risk of future exacerbations requiring referral for specialized care. These results need to be confirmed and validated in other populations enrolled at multiple sites before they can be implemented in practice.

Strategies to prevent exacerbations of childhood asthma

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The goal of this review is to discuss strategies to prevent asthma exacerbations in children, focusing on recent advances in knowledge and understanding.

RECENT FINDINGS

Asthma exacerbations are common, and their prevention is an important goal to avoid detrimental impacts such as loss of disease control and lung function and significant healthcare costs. A number of strategies have been studied as tools for prevention of asthma exacerbations. Daily inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) are effective for many children with asthma. However, alternative strategies such as intermittent ICS therapy, antileukotrienes, and biologics have been studied as means to lessen corticosteroid exposure. Further, recent studies have examined add-on strategies for children not controlled with ICS alone. Finally, personalizing therapy with targeted approaches has provided significant benefit to those with moderate-severe disease.

SUMMARY

Recent research highlights many potentially effective treatment strategies to prevent asthma exacerbations in children. We have reviewed and summarized the data on treatment approaches to help provide a better understanding of the methods that can be utilized. An individualized approach with careful monitoring is essential to identify the most effective strategies to prevent asthma exacerbations in each child.

Predictors of severe asthma attack re-attendance in Ecuadorian children: a cohort study

Asthma is a common cause of emergency care attendance in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). While few prospective studies of predictors for emergency care attendance have been undertaken in high-income countries, none have been performed in a LMIC.We followed a cohort of 5-15-year-old children treated for asthma attacks in emergency rooms of public health facilities in Esmeraldas City, Ecuador. We collected blood and nasal wash samples, and performed spirometry and exhaled nitric oxide fraction measurements. We explored potential predictors for recurrence of severe asthma attacks requiring emergency care over 6 months' follow-up.We recruited 283 children of whom 264 (93%) were followed-up for ≥6 months or until their next asthma attack. Almost half (46%) had a subsequent severe asthma attack requiring emergency care. Predictors of recurrence in adjusted analyses were (adjusted OR, 95% CI) younger age (0.87, 0.79-0.96 per year), previous asthma diagnosis (2.2, 1.2-3.9), number of parenteral corticosteroid courses in previous year (1.3, 1.1-1.5), food triggers (2.0, 1.1-3.6) and eczema diagnosis (4.2, 1.02-17.6). A parsimonious Cox regression model included the first three predictors plus urban residence as a protective factor (adjusted hazard ratio 0.69, 95% CI 0.50-0.95). Laboratory and lung function tests did not predict recurrence.Factors independently associated with recurrent emergency attendance for asthma attacks were identified in a low-resource LMIC setting. This study suggests that a simple risk-assessment tool could potentially be created for emergency rooms in similar settings to identify higher-risk children on whom limited resources might be better focused.

Bronchodilator Dose Responsiveness in Children and Adolescents: Clinical Features and Association with Future Asthma Exacerbations

BACKGROUND

Bronchodilator reversibility measures are often associated with poor asthma outcomes in children. Whether bronchodilator dose responsiveness is similarly useful in children is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that children and adolescents requiring higher doses of bronchodilator to achieve maximal bronchodilation would have unique risk factors and increased risk of future exacerbation.

METHODS

Children (6-11 years, N = 299) and adolescents (12-21 years, N = 331) with confirmed asthma underwent clinical phenotyping procedures and a test of maximal bronchodilation with escalating doses of albuterol sulfate up to 720 mcg. Outcome measures were assessed at 12 months and included exacerbations treated with systemic corticosteroids, emergency department (ED) visits, and hospitalizations for asthma.

RESULTS

A total of 6.7% of children and 9.3% of adolescents had poor bronchodilator dose responsiveness, defined as attainment of maximal forced expiratory volume in 1 second with 720 mcg albuterol. Risk factors included type 2 inflammation, prior exacerbations, and greater asthma severity; historical pneumonia and tobacco exposure were also risk factors in children. Children and adolescents with poor bronchodilator dose responsiveness did not have increased current symptoms or impaired quality of life, but had approximately 2-fold increased odds of exacerbation or ED visit and approximately 3-fold increased odds of hospitalization by 12 months, independent of airflow obstruction.

CONCLUSIONS

Bronchodilator dose responsiveness may be useful for phenotyping and may be of utility in practice and future studies focused on asthma outcomes or quantification of treatment responses. In children and adolescents, this phenotype of poor bronchodilator responsiveness may be associated with periods of relatively stable disease yet marked airway constriction in response to triggers, including tobacco smoke, respiratory infections/pneumonia, and aeroallergens.

Acute Severe Asthma in Adolescent and Adult Patients: Current Perspectives on Assessment and Management

Asthma is a chronic airway inflammatory disease that is associated with variable expiratory flow, variable respiratory symptoms, and exacerbations which sometimes require hospitalization or may be fatal. It is not only patients with severe and poorly controlled asthma that are at risk for an acute severe exacerbation, but this has also been observed in patients with otherwise mild or moderate asthma. This review discusses current aspects on the pathogenesis and pathophysiology of acute severe asthma exacerbations and provides the current perspectives on the management of acute severe asthma attacks in the emergency department and the intensive care unit.

Treatment strategies for the yellow zone

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate relevant studies and documents that address treatment strategies for acute loss of asthma control (yellow zone).

DATA SOURCES

Publications available on various treatment strategies for the yellow zone, Global Initiative for Asthma, and FDA Drug Safety Communication.

STUDY SELECTIONS

Studies that assessed the effectiveness of specific therapies as yellow zone strategies were included in this review.

RESULTS

Multiple yellow zone strategies exist, but only a few have been shown consistently effective. No specific evidence suggests that scheduled SABA can prevent exacerbation. Results for intermittent leukotriene receptor antagonist use have been mixed. Strong evidence supports intermittent inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) dosing for preschool-aged children with intermittent viral-induced wheeze, but data regarding this strategy for older children and adults are limited. As for short-term increase in scheduled ICS controller, doubling the dose seems to be ineffective, whereas results for a more substantial increase in ICS dose (quadrupling and quintupling) have been mixed. Dynamic dosing appears most promising, because symptom-driven ICS in tandem with rescue beta agonist use (whether short- or long-acting) is the strategy with the most robust data demonstrating reduction in exacerbations while minimizing ICS exposure.

CONCLUSION

Varying study designs and the heterogeneity of asthma itself likely account for the difference in outcomes seen with the various yellow zone intervention strategies studied. More studies are needed to determine the right yellow zone therapies for the right patients, but this is likely to be most effective through a personalized approach.

Exploring the Utility of Noninvasive Type 2 Inflammatory Markers for Prediction of Severe Asthma Exacerbations in Children and Adolescents

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive markers of type 2 inflammation are needed to identify children and adolescents who might benefit from personalized biologic therapy.

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that blood eosinophil counts would predict 1 or more acute visits for asthma and that prediction could be improved with the addition of a second, noninvasive type 2 inflammatory biomarker.

METHODS

Children and adolescents 5 to 21 years (N = 589) with an asthma exacerbation necessitating systemic corticosteroid treatment in the previous year completed a characterization visit and telephone calls at 6 and 12 months. The primary outcome was an acute visit for asthma with receipt of systemic corticosteroids. Acute visits were verified by medical record review. Exploratory outcomes included time to first acute visit and hospitalization.

RESULTS

Acute visits occurred in 106 (35.5%) children and 72 (24.8%) adolescents. Elevated blood eosinophils were associated with increased odds and shorter time to first acute visit, but optimal cut-points differed by age (≥150 vs ≥300 cells/μL for children vs adolescents, respectively). The addition of a second marker of type 2 inflammation did not improve prediction in children, but increased the odds and hazard of an acute visit up to 16.2% and 11.9%, respectively, in adolescents. Similar trends were noted for hospitalizations.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood eosinophils and other noninvasive markers of type 2 inflammation may be useful in the clinical assessment of children and adolescents with asthma. However, features of type 2 inflammation vary by age. Whether children and adolescents also respond differently to management of type 2 inflammation is unclear and warrants further evaluation.

Asthma exacerbation prediction: recent insights

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Asthma attacks are frequent in children with asthma and can lead to significant adverse outcomes including time off school, hospital admission and death. Identifying children at risk of an asthma attack affords the opportunity to prevent attacks and improve outcomes.

RECENT FINDINGS

Clinical features, patient behaviours and characteristics, physiological factors, environmental data and biomarkers are all associated with asthma attacks and can be used in asthma exacerbation prediction models. Recent studies have better characterized children at risk of an attack: history of a severe exacerbation in the previous 12 months, poor adherence and current poor control are important features which should alert healthcare professionals to the need for remedial action. There is increasing interest in the use of biomarkers. A number of novel biomarkers, including patterns of volatile organic compounds in exhaled breath, show promise. Biomarkers are likely to be of greatest utility if measured frequently and combined with other measures. To date, most prediction models are based on epidemiological data and population-based risk. The use of digital technology affords the opportunity to collect large amounts of real-time data, including clinical and physiological measurements and combine these with environmental data to develop personal risk scores. These developments need to be matched by changes in clinical guidelines away from a focus on current asthma control and stepwise escalation in drug therapy towards inclusion of personal risk scores and tailored management strategies including nonpharmacological approaches.

SUMMARY

There have been significant steps towards personalized prediction models of asthma attacks. The utility of such models needs to be tested in the ability not only to predict attacks but also to reduce them.

Understanding the importance of key risk factors in predicting chronic bronchitic symptoms using a machine learning approach

BACKGROUND

Chronic respiratory symptoms involving bronchitis, cough and phlegm in children are underappreciated but pose a significant public health burden. Efforts for prevention and management could be supported by an understanding of the relative importance of determinants, including environmental exposures. Thus, we aim to develop a prediction model for bronchitic symptoms.

METHODS

Schoolchildren from the population-based southern California Children's Health Study were visited annually from 2003 to 2012. Bronchitic symptoms over the prior 12 months were assessed by questionnaire. A gradient boosting model was fit using groups of risk factors (including traffic/air pollution exposures) for all children and by asthma status. Training data consisted of one observation per participant in a random study year (for 50% of participants). Validation data consisted of: (1) a random (later) year in the same participants (within-participant); (2) a random year in participants excluded from the training data (across-participant).

RESULTS

At baseline, 13.2% of children had asthma and 18.1% reported bronchitic symptoms. Models performed similarly within- and across-participant. Previous year symptoms/medication use provided much of the predictive ability (across-participant area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 0.76 vs 0.78 for all risk factors, in all participants). Traffic/air pollution exposures added modestly to prediction as did body mass index percentile, age and parent stress.

CONCLUSIONS

Regardless of asthma status, previous symptoms were the most important predictors of current symptoms. Traffic/air pollution variables contribute modest predictive information, but impact large populations. Methods proposed here could be generalized to personalized exacerbation predictions in future longitudinal studies to support targeted prevention efforts.

Asthma Across Age: Insights From Primary Care

Asthma is a heterogeneous disease comprising of multiple phenotypes and affects patients from childhood up to old age. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge on the similarities and differences in asthma across different age-groups, with emphasis on the perspective from primary care. Despite the similar disease presentation, phenotyping studies showed that there are differences in the distribution of phenotypes of asthma presenting in childhood compared to that in adulthood. Whereas, asthma with early age of onset tends to be of the atopic phenotype, the disease shifts toward the non-atopic phenotypes at later ages. Studies within primary care patients aiming to elucidate risk factors for future asthma exacerbation have shown pediatric and elderly patients to be at higher risk for future asthma attacks compared to other adult patients. Regardless, both pediatric and adult studies demonstrated previous asthma episodes and severity, along with high blood eosinophil to predict subsequent asthma attacks. Differences in childhood and adult asthma are not limited to the underlying phenotypes but also extends to the challenges in the diagnosis, treatment, and management of the disease. Diagnosis of asthma is complicated by age-specific differential diagnoses such as infectious wheezing and nasal obstruction in children, and aging-related problems such as heart disease and obesity in the elderly. There are also age-related issues leading to decreased disease control such as non-adherence, tobacco use, difficulty in using inhalers and corticosteroid-related side effects which hinder asthma control at different patient age-groups. Several clinical guidelines are available to guide the diagnosis and drug prescription of asthma in pediatric patients. However, there are conflicting recommendations for the diagnostic tools and treatment for pediatric patients, posing additional challenges for primary care physicians in working with multiple guidelines. While tools such as spirometry and peak flow variability are often available in primary care, their usage in preschool patients is not consistently recommended. FeNO measurement may be a valuable non-invasive tool which can be adopted by primary physicians to assist asthma diagnosis in preschool-age patients.

Use of Symptoms Scores, Spirometry, and Other Pulmonary Function Testing for Asthma Monitoring

Asthma is a global problem affecting millions of people all over the world. Monitoring of asthma both in children and in adulthood is an indispensable tool for the optimal disease management and for the maintenance of clinical stability. To date, several resources are available to assess the asthma control, first is the monitoring of symptoms, both through periodic follow-up visits and through specific quality of life measures addressed to the patient in first person or to parents. Clinical monitoring is not always sufficient to predict the risk of future exacerbations, which is why further instrumental examinations are available including lung function tests, the assessment of bronchial hyper-reactivity and bronchial inflammation. All these tools may help in quantifying the future risk for each patient and therefore they potentially may change the natural history of asthmatic disease. The monitoring of asthma in children as in adults is certainly linked by many aspects, however the asthmatic child is a future asthmatic adult and it is precisely during childhood and adolescence that we should implement all the efforts and strategies to prevent the progression of the disease and the subsequent impairment of lung function. For these reasons, asthma monitoring plays a crucial role and must be particularly close and careful. In this paper, we evaluate several tools currently available for asthma monitoring, focusing on current recommendations emerging from various guidelines and especially on the differences between the monitoring in pediatric age and adulthood.

Predictors of repeated acute hospital attendance for asthma in children: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Asthma attacks are common and have significant physical, psychological, and financial consequences. Improving the assessment of a child's risk of subsequent asthma attacks could support front-line clinicians' decisions on augmenting chronic treatment or specialist referral. We aimed to identify predictors for emergency department (ED) or hospital readmission for asthma from the published literature.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, AMED, PsycINFO, and CINAHL with no language, location, or time restrictions. We retrieved observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCT) assessing factors (personal and family history, and biomarkers) associated with the risk of ED re-attendance or hospital readmission for acute childhood asthma.

RESULTS

Three RCTs and 33 observational studies were included, 31 from Anglophone countries and none from Asia or Africa. There was an unclear or high risk of bias in 14 of the studies, including 2 of the RCTs. Previous history of emergency or hospital admissions for asthma, younger age, African-American ethnicity, and low socioeconomic status increased risk of subsequent ED and hospital readmissions for acute asthma. Female sex and concomitant allergic diseases also predicted hospital readmission.

CONCLUSION

Despite the global importance of this issue, there are relatively few high quality studies or studies from outside North America. Factors other than symptoms are associated with the risk of emergency re-attendance for acute asthma among children. Further research is required to better quantify the risk of future attacks and to assess the role of commonly used biomarkers.

Passive Nocturnal Physiologic Monitoring Enables Early Detection of Exacerbations in Children with Asthma. A Proof-of-Concept Study

RATIONALE

Asthma management depends on prompt identification of symptoms, which challenges both patients and providers. In asthma, a misapprehension of health between exacerbations can compromise compliance. Thus, there is a need for a tool that permits objective longitudinal monitoring without increasing the burden of patient compliance.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to determine whether changes in nocturnal physiology are associated with asthma symptoms in pediatric patients.

METHODS

Using a contactless bed sensor, nocturnal heart rate (HR), respiratory rate, relative stroke volume, and movement in children with asthma 5-18 years of age (n = 16) were recorded. Asthma symptoms and asthma control test (ACT) score were reported every 2 weeks. Random forest model was used to identify physiologic parameters associated with asthma symptoms. Elastic net regression was used to identify variables associated with ACT score.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The model on the full cohort performed with sensitivity of 47.2%, specificity of 96.3%, and accuracy of 87.4%; HR and respiratory parameters were the most important variables in this model. The model predicted asthma symptoms 35% of the time on the day before perception of symptoms, and 100% of the time for a select subject for which the model performed with greater sensitivity. Multivariable and bivariable analyses demonstrated significant association between HR and respiratory rate parameters and ACT score.

CONCLUSIONS

Nocturnal physiologic changes correlate with asthma symptoms, supporting the notion that nocturnal physiologic monitoring represents an objective diagnostic tool capable of longitudinally assessing disease control and predicting asthma exacerbations in children with asthma at home.

Evaluation of Bayesian classifiers in asthma exacerbation prediction after medication discontinuation

Objective

The achievement of the optimal control of the disease is of cardinal importance in asthma treatment. As the control of the disease is sustained the medication should be gradually reduced and then stopped. Nevertheless, the discontinuation of asthma medication may lead to loss of disease control and eventually to an exacerbation of the disease. The goal of this paper is to examine the performance of Bayesian network classifiers in predicting asthma exacerbation based on several patient’s parameters such as objective measurements and medical history data.

Results

In this study several Bayesian network classifiers are presented and evaluated. It is shown that the proposed semi-naive network classifier with the use of Backward Sequential Elimination and Joining algorithm is able to predict if a patient will have an exacerbation of the disease after his last assessment with 93.84% accuracy and 90.9% sensitivity. In addition, the resulting structure and the conditional probability tables give a clear view of the probabilistic relationships between the used factors. This network may help the clinicians to identify the patients who are at high risk of having an exacerbation after stopping the medication and to confirm which factors are the most important.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13104-018-3621-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Applying UK real-world primary care data to predict asthma attacks in 3776 well-characterised children: a retrospective cohort study

Current understanding of risk factors for asthma attacks in children is based on studies of small but well-characterised populations or pharmaco-epidemiology studies of large but poorly characterised populations. We describe an observational study of factors linked to future asthma attacks in large number of well-characterised children. From two UK primary care databases (Clinical Practice Research Datalink and Optimum Patient Care research Database), a cohort of children was identified with asthma aged 5–12 years and where data were available for ≥2 consecutive years. In the “baseline” year, predictors included treatment step, number of attacks, blood eosinophil count, peak flow and obesity. In the “outcome” year the number of attacks was determined and related to predictors. There were 3776 children, of whom 525 (14%) had ≥1 attack in the outcome year. The odds ratio (OR) for one attack was 3.7 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.9, 4.8) for children with 1 attack in the baseline year and increased to 7.7 (95% CI 5.6, 10.7) for those with ≥2 attacks, relative to no attacks. Higher treatment step, younger age, lower respiratory tract infections, reduced peak flow and eosinophil count >400/μL were also associated with small increases in OR for an asthma attack during the outcome year. In this large population, several factors were associated with a future asthma attack, but a past history of attacks was most strongly associated with future attacks. Interventions aimed at reducing the risk for asthma attacks could use primary care records to identify children at risk for asthma attacks.

A past history of asthma attacks in young children is a strong predictor for future attacks and should be factored into treatment regimes. Childhood asthma attacks take considerable toll on sufferers and their carers, yet risk factors for future attacks are unclear. David Price at the Observational and Pragmatic Research Institute in Singapore and co-workers searched UK primary care databases to find at least two years’ worth of consecutive data on children with asthma aged 5 to 12. The team analyzed data from 3,776 children. Their results showed that past attacks are the strongest predictor for future attacks; of 638 patients who experienced more than one asthma attack during the first year, 240 (38%) had attacks in the second year. Other risk factors included reduced peak flow, lower respiratory tract infections and younger age.

At-risk children with asthma (ARC): a systematic review

Introduction

Asthma attacks are responsible for considerable morbidity and may be fatal. We aimed to identify and weight risk factors for asthma attacks in children (5–12 years) in order to inform and prioritise care.

Methods

We systematically searched six databases (May 2016; updated with forward citations January 2017) with no language/date restrictions. Two reviewers independently selected studies for inclusion, assessed study quality and extracted data. Heterogeneity precluded meta-analysis. Weighting was undertaken by an Expert Panel who independently assessed each variable for degree of risk and confidence in the assessment (based on study quality and size, effect sizes, biological plausibility and consistency of results) and then achieved consensus by discussion. Assessments were finally presented, discussed and agreed at a multidisciplinary workshop.

Results

From 16 109 records, we included 68 papers (28 cohort; 4 case-control; 36 cross-sectional studies). Previous asthma attacks were associated with greatly increased risk of attack (ORs between 2.0 and 4.1). Persistent symptoms (ORs between 1.4 and 7.8) and poor access to care (ORs between 1.2 and 2.3) were associated with moderately/greatly increased risk. A moderately increased risk was associated with suboptimal drug regimen, comorbid atopic/allergic disease, African-American ethnicity (USA), poverty and vitamin D deficiency. Environmental tobacco smoke exposure, younger age, obesity and low parental education were associated with slightly increased risk.

Discussion

Assessment of the clinical and demographic features identified in this review may help clinicians to focus risk reduction management on the high-risk child. Population level factors may be used by health service planners and policymakers to target healthcare initiatives.

Trial registration number

CRD42016037464.

Mechanical bacterial lysate administration prevents exacerbation in allergic asthmatic children-The EOLIA study

BACKGROUND

Despite progress in asthma management, prevention of asthma exacerbation remains challenging in school-aged children with allergic asthma. New therapeutic approaches are needed. Previously, a chemical bacterial lysate has been successfully used in preschool children to reduce wheezing attacks. We assessed the effect of Polyvalent Mechanical Bacterial Lysate (PMBL^® ) Tablet on asthma clinical course and control in 6- to 16-year-old children with partly controlled or uncontrolled allergic asthma.

METHODS

A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group study was performed in 152 patients exhibiting allergic asthma assigned to receive Placebo or PMBL^® . Eligible patients underwent four visits during the 9-month study. Asthma control level was assessed by ACT/C-ACT score.

RESULTS

The main criterion was not achieved as ACT/C-ACT changes were similar in both groups at the end of the 3-month treatment period. However, the mean number (±SD) of asthma exacerbations was significantly lower with PMBL^® Tablet than with Placebo at Week 12 (0.3 ± 0.6 vs 0.8 ± 1.1, P = .009) and over the total study period (1.1 ± 1.3 vs 1.9 ± 2.0, P = .01). Consistently, the mean number of days with exacerbation per patient was significantly lower with PMBL^® Tablet (13.3 ± 11.2 vs 19.8 ± 15.7 over the whole study, P = .009). Treatment with PMBL^® Tablet prolonged the time to second exacerbation by 55% (Hazard Ratio [HR]=0.45; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.27 to 0.77, P = .002) and to third exacerbation by 74% (HR=0.26; 95% CI 0.12 to 0.58, P < .001). No serious adverse event related to PMBL^® Tablet administration was recorded.

CONCLUSION

Administration of PMBL^® Tablet represents a safe and effective means for significantly reducing the rate of exacerbations in school-aged allergic asthmatic children. (EudraCT 2013-000737-12 and NCT02541331).

Asthma Exacerbations: Pathogenesis, Prevention, and Treatment

Guideline-based management of asthma focuses on disease severity and choosing the appropriate medical therapy to control symptoms and reduce the risk of exacerbations. However, irrespective of asthma severity and often despite optimal medical therapy, patients may experience acute exacerbations of symptoms and a loss of disease control. Asthma exacerbations are most commonly triggered by viral respiratory infections, particularly with human rhinovirus. Given the importance of these events to asthma morbidity and health care costs, we will review common inciting factors for asthma exacerbations and approaches to prevent and treat these events.

Severe Asthma in Children

Severe asthma in children is associated with significant morbidity and is a highly heterogeneous disorder with multiple clinical phenotypes. Cluster analyses have been performed in several groups to explain some of the heterogeneity of pediatric severe asthma, which is reviewed in this article. The evaluation of a child with severe asthma includes a detailed diagnostic assessment and excluding other possible diagnoses and addressing poor control due to comorbidities, lack of adherence to asthma controller medications, poor technique, and other psychological and environmental factors. Children with severe asthma require significant resources including regular follow-up appointments with asthma education, written asthma action plan, and care by a multidisciplinary team. Management of pediatric severe asthma now includes emerging phenotypic-directed therapies; however, continued research is still needed to further study the long-term outcomes of pediatric severe asthma and its treatment.

Efficacy and safety of fluticasone propionate/formoterol fumarate in pediatric asthma patients: a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety of fluticasone propionate/formoterol fumarate pressurized metered-dose inhaler (pMDI) (fluticasone/formoterol; Flutiform®; 100/10 µg b.i.d.) was compared with fluticasone propionate (Flixotide® Evohaler® pMDI; 100 µg b.i.d.) and fluticasone/salmeterol (Seretide® Evohaler® pMDI; 100/50 µg b.i.d.) in a pediatric asthma population (EudraCT number: 2010-024635-16).

METHODS

A double-blind, double-dummy, parallel group, multicenter study. Patients, aged 5-<12 years with persistent asthma ⩾ 6 months and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) ⩽ 90% predicted were randomized 1:1:1 to 12 weeks' treatment. The study objectives were to demonstrate superiority of fluticasone/formoterol to fluticasone and non-inferiority to fluticasone/salmeterol.

RESULTS

A total of 512 patients were randomized: fluticasone/formoterol, 169; fluticasone, 173; fluticasone/salmeterol, 170. Fluticasone/formoterol was superior to fluticasone for the primary endpoint: change from predose FEV1 at baseline to 2 h postdose FEV1 over 12 weeks [least squares (LS) mean difference 0.07 l; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.03, 0.11; p < 0.001] and the first key secondary endpoint, FEV1 area under the curve over 4 hours (AUC0-4 h) at week 12 (LS mean difference 0.09 l; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.13; p < 0.001). Per a prespecified non-inferiority margin of -0.1 l, fluticasone/formoterol was non-inferior to fluticasone/salmeterol for the primary endpoint (LS mean difference 0.00 l; 95% CI -0.04, 0.04; p < 0.001) and first key secondary endpoint (LS mean difference 0.01; 95% CI -0.03, 0.06; p < 0.001). Fluticasone/formoterol was non-inferior to fluticasone/salmeterol for the second key secondary endpoint, change from predose FEV1 over 12 weeks (treatment difference -0.02 l; 95% CI -0.06, 0.02; p < 0.001), but was not superior to fluticasone for this endpoint (LS mean difference 0.03 l; 95% CI -0.01, 0.07; p = 0.091). All treatments elicited large improvements from baseline to week 12 for the Pediatric Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire (LS mean change 0.76 to 0.85 units) and Asthma Control Questionnaire (LS mean change -1.03 to -1.13 units). Few severe exacerbations were seen (fluticasone/formoterol: two; fluticasone/salmeterol: two). All treatments were well tolerated.

CONCLUSIONS

This study supports the efficacy and safety of fluticasone/formoterol in a pediatric asthma population and its superiority to fluticasone.

Can we predict fall asthma exacerbations? Validation of the seasonal asthma exacerbation index

BACKGROUND

A Seasonal Asthma Exacerbation Predictive Index (saEPI) was previously reported based on 2 prior National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Inner City Asthma Consortium trials.

OBJECTIVE

This study sought to validate the saEPI in a separate trial designed to prevent fall exacerbations with omalizumab therapy.

METHODS

The saEPI and its components were analyzed to characterize those who had an asthma exacerbation during the Preventative Omalizumab or Step-Up Therapy for Fall Exacerbations (PROSE) study. We characterized those inner-city children with and without asthma exacerbations in the fall period treated with guidelines-based therapy (GBT) in the absence and presence of omalizumab.

RESULTS

A higher saEPI was associated with an exacerbation in both the GBT alone (P < .001; area under the curve, 0.76) and the GBT + omalizumab group (P < .01; area under the curve, 0.65). In the GBT group, younger age at recruitment, higher total IgE, higher blood eosinophil percentage and number, and higher treatment step were associated with those who had an exacerbation compared with those who did not. In the GBT + omalizumab group, younger age at recruitment, increased eosinophil number, recent exacerbation, and higher treatment step were also associated with those who had an exacerbation. The saEPI was associated with a high negative predictive value in both groups.

CONCLUSIONS

An exacerbation in children treated with GBT with or without omalizumab was associated with a higher saEPI along with higher markers of allergic inflammation, treatment step, and a recent exacerbation. Those that exacerbated on omalizumab had similar features with the exception of some markers of allergic sensitization, indicating a need to develop better markers to predict poor response to omalizumab therapy and alternative treatment strategies for children with these risk factors. The saEPI was able to reliably predict those children unlikely to have an asthma exacerbation in both groups.

[Digital action plan for asthma exacerbations (PANAME)]

BACKGROUND

A written action plan (WAP) reduces emergency visits for asthma exacerbations. However, a WAP is underused and often focused on asthma control. The innovation is an AppWeb that includes an expert software aimed at diagnosing the level of severity of asthma exacerbations and delivering a personalized digital action plan (DAP) when patients are in urgent need of medical advice. Symptoms describing the level of severity of asthma exacerbations and the consequent treatments have been established by working groups of the French Respiratory Societies (SPLF and SP2A for adults and children, respectively). The main objective of the study is to evaluate the effect of the DAP on the frequency of urgent medical attendance. Secondary objectives are to evaluate adherence to the DAP compared to a WAP and the qualitative satisfaction of patients using the DAP.

METHODOLOGY

A randomized, prospective, comparative, multicenter study on two parallel groups, conducted in private practice and in hospitals. In both arms, asthmatic patients (240 children aged 6 to 12 years and 270 adults aged 18 to 50 years) with severe asthma exacerbation(s) during the previous year and an Internet connection via a smartphone or a tablet computer, will have at their disposal a WAP and one arm will have, in addition, the DAP. Included patients will be followed up every three months for one year.

EXPECTED RESULTS

A decrease in the number of urgent medical attendances and better adherence in the WAP+DAP group compared to the WAP group.

Pivotal efficacy trials of inhaled corticosteroids in asthma

BACKGROUND

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) are the mainstay of daily controller treatment for persistent and uncontrolled asthma. However, many clinicians are wary of ICSs because of safety concerns. Clinicians need to know the underlying efficacy data that support the use of ICSs to weigh efficacy against safety.

OBJECTIVE

To discuss efficacy data from pivotal trials to aid clinicians in their decisions to use ICSs.

METHODS

Key efficacy studies were selected to augment discussion.

RESULTS

Clinical studies have revealed that ICSs are effective in reducing the risk of exacerbations in both children and adults. ICSs also reduce the risk of hospitalization and asthma-related death, improve asthma symptoms, and improve quality of life. In addition, ICSs improve lung function and airway responsiveness and reduce airway inflammation and remodeling. In young children, ICSs improve daytime and nighttime symptoms, improve lung function, reduce the risk of exacerbations, and reduce the need for rescue medications. To date, evidence is conflicting about whether intermittent ICS treatment is as effective as daily ICS treatment. The possibility of lower efficacy of intermittent therapy needs to be weighed against a reduced risk of slowed growth in children.

CONCLUSION

ICSs effectively reduce the risk of exacerbations, hospitalizations, and asthma-related death and improve asthma symptoms, quality of life, lung function, and airway responsiveness. ICSs also reduce airway inflammation and remodeling. Intermittent therapy may not be as effective as daily therapy, and clinicians should weigh reduced efficacy against reduced risk of adverse effects, particularly slowed growth in children.