First and second COVID-19 waves in Japan: A comparison of disease severity and characteristics

Different clinical characteristics and outcomes of adult hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia patients complicated by cardiovascular events during the first, delta and omicron waves of COVID-19

Background

The effects of SARS-CoV-2 have varied between significant waves of hospitalization.

Research question

Are cardiovascular complications different among the first, delta and omicron waves of hospitalized COVID-19 pneumonia patients?

Study design and methods

This was a multi-centre retrospective study of patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia: 632 were hospitalized during the first wave (March-July 2020), 1013 during the delta wave (September 2020-March 2021), and 323 during the omicron wave (January 2022-July 2022). Patients were stratified by wave and occurrence of cardiovascular events.

Results

Among all hospitalized patients with cardiovascular events, patients in the omicron wave were younger (62.4 ± 14 years) than patients in the first wave (67.4 ± 7.8 years) and the delta wave (66.9 ± 12.6 years) and had a higher proportion of non-Hispanic White people than in the first wave (78.6% vs. 61.7%). For COVID-19 patients who suffered from cardiovascular events, the omicron wave patients had significantly higher neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, white blood cell and platelet counts when compared to the first wave. Omicron wave patients had significantly lower albumin and B-type natriuretic peptide levels (only 5.8% of the first wave and 14.6% of the delta wave) when compared to either the first wave or delta wave patients. In COVID-19 patients who suffered cardiovascular events during hospitalization, mortality rate in the omicron wave (26.8%) was significantly lower than the first wave (48.3%), time to mortality for non-survivors of COVID-19 patients who suffered cardiovascular events was significantly longer in the omicron wave (median 16 days) than in the first wave (median 10 days).

Conclusions

Younger and white patients were affected with cardiovascular complications more often by the omicron variant. Despite higher neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and WBC counts, the omicron patients with cardiovascular events showed lower heart injuries, lower mortality and longer time to mortality for non-survivors when compared to the first and delta waves.

Integration of individualized and population-level molecular epidemiology data to model COVID-19 outcomes

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants with enhanced transmissibility and immune escape have emerged periodically throughout the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, but the impact of these variants on disease severity has remained unclear. In this single-center, retrospective cohort study, we examined the association between SARS-CoV-2 clade and patient outcome over a two-year period in Chicago, Illinois. Between March 2020 and March 2022, 14,252 residual diagnostic specimens were collected from SARS-CoV-2-positive inpatients and outpatients alongside linked clinical and demographic metadata, of which 2,114 were processed for viral whole-genome sequencing. When controlling for patient demographics and vaccination status, several viral clades were associated with risk for hospitalization, but this association was negated by the inclusion of population-level confounders, including case count, sampling bias, and shifting standards of care. These data highlight the importance of integrating non-virological factors into disease severity and outcome models for the accurate assessment of patient risk.

Changes in lifestyle and physical and mental health related to long-confinement due COVID-19: a study during the first and second pandemic waves in Mexico and Chile

We investigate changes in lifestyle, physical, and mental health during the confinement period of the first and second waves of COVID-19, as well as their relation to sociodemographic parameters and confinement status. Sociodemographic data and information regarding changes in their lifestyle behavior and changes in body weight and physical activity (PA) were collected. The SF-36 questionnaire was implemented for measuring the domains related to physical health (PH) and mental health (MH). The growth frequency of weight gain in the Mexican (4.8%) and Chilean (10.9%) populations was observed during the second wave. The MH component decreased in the Mexican and the Chilean population (p < 0.05). Moreover, the MH decreased significantly according to the degree of confinement (p < 0.01). Although some sociodemographic factors were related to the presence of a very low score (<50 scores) for the MH component during the first wave, it is perceived as a higher relative risk during the second wave in both populations. The long confinement due to COVID-19 is associated to negative changes in nutritional and physical lifestyle behavior, affecting mainly the MH component.

Differences in COVID-19 treatment across Japan: Analysis of the COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP)

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the differences between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 using data from the nationwide COVID-19 Registry Japan (COVIREGI-JP).

METHODS

Data of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 during waves 2-4 (June 1, 2020-June 30, 2021) treated in one of the 800 medical institutions participating in the Registry were extracted. Treatment and treatment outcomes were evaluated in inpatients with moderate 2 and severe disease using propensity score matching performed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas.

RESULTS

A total of 32797 patients were identified during epidemic waves 2-4. After matching (wave 2, n = 307; wave 3, n = 913; wave 4, n = 479), the population comprised mostly elderly patients with a median age of ≥65 years (IQR: 52-81 years) and median SpO2 of 93/94 (IQR: 91%-96%), and the proportion of patients with moderate 2 (SpO2≤93%/require oxygenation) vs severe disease (ICU admission) ranged from 82.7% to 89.8% vs 10.2% to 17.3% in metropolitan areas vs non-metropolitan areas, respectively, across all epidemic waves. Noninvasive mechanical ventilation was used significantly more in waves 2 and 3 and invasive mechanical ventilation in wave 4 in metropolitan vs non-metropolitan areas, compared with other waves. In wave 2, death as an outcome was significantly higher in metropolitan vs non-metropolitan areas compared with patient discharge to home/transfer.

CONCLUSION

During the COVID-19 epidemic, starting from wave 2 up until and through wave 4, no clear differences in mortality rates and no regional differences in treatment provision patterns were observed between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Japan.

Critically ill patients with COVID-19-associated acute kidney injury treated with kidney replacement therapy: Comparison between the first and second pandemic waves in São Paulo, Brazil

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to compare the characteristics and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19-associated acute kidney injury (AKI) who were treated with kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in the first and second waves of the pandemic in the megalopolis of Sao Paulo, Brazil.

METHODS

A multicenter retrospective study was conducted in 10 intensive care units (ICUs). Patients aged ≥18 years, and treated with KRT due to COVID-19-associated AKI were included. We compared demographic, laboratory and clinical data, KRT parameters and patient outcomes in the first and second COVID-19 waves.

RESULTS

We assessed 656 patients (327 in the first wave and 329 in the second one). Second-wave patients were admitted later (7.1±5.0 vs. 5.6±3.9 days after the onset of symptoms, p<0.001), were younger (61.4±13.7 vs. 63.8±13.6 years, p = 0.023), had a lower frequency of diabetes (37.1% vs. 47.1%, p = 0.009) and obesity (29.5% vs. 40.0%, p = 0.007), had a greater need for vasopressors (93.3% vs. 84.6%, p<0.001) and mechanical ventilation (95.7% vs. 87.8%, p<0.001), and had higher lethality (84.8% vs. 72.7%, p<0.001) than first-wave patients. KRT quality markers were independently associated with a reduction in the OR for death in both pandemic waves.

CONCLUSIONS

In the Sao Paulo megalopolis, the lethality of critically ill patients with COVID-19-associated AKI treated with KRT was higher in the second wave of the pandemic, despite these patients being younger and having fewer comorbidities. Potential factors related to this poor outcome were difficulties in health care access, lack of intra-hospital resources, delay vaccination and virus variants.

Data-driven models for the risk of infection and hospitalization during a pandemic: Case study on COVID-19 in Nepal

The newly emerging pandemic disease often poses unexpected troubles and hazards to the global health system, particularly in low and middle-income countries like Nepal. In this study, we developed mathematical models to estimate the risk of infection and the risk of hospitalization during a pandemic which are critical for allocating resources and planning health policies. We used our models in Nepal's unique data set to explore national and provincial-level risks of infection and risk of hospitalization during the Delta and Omicron surges. Furthermore, we used our model to identify the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to mitigate COVID-19 in various groups of people in Nepal. Our analysis shows no significant difference in reproduction numbers in provinces between the Delta and Omicron surge periods, but noticeable inter-provincial disparities in the risk of infection (for example, during Delta (Omicron) surges, the risk of infection of Bagmati province is: ∼ 98.94 (89.62); Madhesh province: ∼ 12.16 (5.1); Karnali province ∼31.16 (3) per hundred thousands). Our estimates show a significantly low level of hospitalization risk during the Omicron surge compared to the Delta surge (hospitalization risk is: ∼10% in Delta and ∼2.5% in Omicron). We also found significant inter-provincial disparities in the hospitalization rate (for example, ∼ 6% in Madhesh province and ∼ 21% in Sudur Paschim) during the Delta surge. Moreover, our results show that closing only schools, colleges, and workplaces reduces the risk of infection by one-third, while a complete lockdown reduces the infections by two-thirds. Our study provides a framework for the computation of the risk of infection and the risk of hospitalization and offers helpful information for controlling the pandemic.

International Pediatric COVID-19 Severity Over the Course of the Pandemic

Importance

Multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants have emerged over the COVID-19 pandemic. The implications for COVID-19 severity in children worldwide are unclear.

Objective

To determine whether the dominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) were associated with differences in COVID-19 severity among hospitalized children.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Clinical data from hospitalized children and adolescents (younger than 18 years) who were SARS-CoV-2 positive were obtained from 9 countries (Australia, Brazil, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Switzerland, Thailand, UK, and the US) during 3 different time frames. Time frames 1 (T1), 2 (T2), and 3 (T3) were defined to represent periods of dominance by the ancestral virus, pre-Omicron VOCs, and Omicron, respectively. Age groups for analysis were younger than 6 months, 6 months to younger than 5 years, and 5 to younger than 18 years. Children with an incidental positive test result for SARS-CoV-2 were excluded.

Exposures

SARS-CoV-2 hospitalization during the stipulated time frame.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The severity of disease was assessed by admission to intensive care unit (ICU), the need for ventilatory support, or oxygen therapy.

Results

Among 31 785 hospitalized children and adolescents, the median age was 4 (IQR 1-12) years and 16 639 were male (52.3%). In children younger than 5 years, across successive SARS-CoV-2 waves, there was a reduction in ICU admission (T3 vs T1: risk ratio [RR], 0.56; 95% CI, 0.42-0.75 [younger than 6 months]; RR, 0.61, 95% CI; 0.47-0.79 [6 months to younger than 5 years]), but not ventilatory support or oxygen therapy. In contrast, ICU admission (T3 vs T1: RR, 0.39, 95% CI, 0.32-0.48), ventilatory support (T3 vs T1: RR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.27-0.51), and oxygen therapy (T3 vs T1: RR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.32-0.70) decreased across SARS-CoV-2 waves in children 5 years to younger than 18 years old. The results were consistent when data were restricted to unvaccinated children.

Conclusions and Relevance

This study provides valuable insights into the impact of SARS-CoV-2 VOCs on the severity of COVID-19 in hospitalized children across different age groups and countries, suggesting that while ICU admissions decreased across the pandemic in all age groups, ventilatory and oxygen support generally did not decrease over time in children aged younger than 5 years. These findings highlight the importance of considering different pediatric age groups when assessing disease severity in COVID-19.

Impact of first and second/third wave of COVID-19 pandemic on post-acute cardiovascular outcomes in Lombardy

Background

COVID-19 has been associated with a higher risk of post-acute complications. Our aim was to analyze and compare post-acute cardiovascular complications of COVID-19 survivors of the first and second/third pandemic waves in Lombardy, in both hospitalized and non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Methods and results

We included adults aged ≥40 years infected during the first and second/third waves of COVID-19 pandemic. The follow-up initiated 30 days after COVID-19 diagnosis and continued up to 9 months. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the post-acute cardiovascular outcomes were calculated against an inverse probability treatment weighted control group. Subgroup analysis were performed by age classes, sex, previous cardiovascular disease and stratified by COVID-19 hospitalization status to explore the impact of COVID-19 severity on outcomes. Compared to the control group, COVID-19 patients had an increased risk of hospitalization for any cardiovascular complications (HR 1st wave 1.53 95% CI: 1.38-1.69; HR 2nd/3rd wave 1.25 95% CI: 1.19-1.31) and for individual cardiovascular outcomes, although HRs were higher in COVID-19 group from the 1st pandemic wave. The results were confirmed in the subgroup analyses. Of note, the risk for any cardiovascular disease was also evident even among individuals who were not hospitalized during the acute phase of the infection.

Conclusion

Our results provide evidence that COVID-19 is a risk factor for post-acute cardiovascular complications among different pandemic waves regardless of COVID-19 severity, age, sex and a history of cardiovascular diseases. Care strategies of people with COVID-19 should include cardiac monitoring.

Characteristics and in-hospital mortality of patients with COVID-19 from the first to fifth waves of the pandemic in 2020 and 2021 in the Japanese Medical Data Vision database

Objectives

We aimed to describe patient characteristics, healthcare utilization, and in-hospital mortality among patients with COVID-19 in Japan across waves.

Methods

Using a large-scale hospital-based database, we identified patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in the first (January-June 2020), second (June-October 2020), third (October 2020-February 2021), fourth (March-June 2021), and fifth (June-December 2021) waves. We summarized patient characteristics, healthcare utilization, and in-hospital mortality during each wave and performed multivariable logistic regression analyses for in-hospital mortality.

Results

From the first to fifth waves, the number of patients (mean age ± standard deviation, years) was 2958 (61.2 ± 22.8), 7981 (55.6 ± 25.3), 18,788 (63.6 ± 22.9), 17,729 (60.6 ± 22.6), and 23,656 (51.2 ± 22.3), respectively. There were 190 (6.4%), 363 (4.5%), 1261 (6.7%), 1081 (6.1%), and 762 (3.2%) in-hospital deaths, respectively. The adjusted odds ratios for in-hospital deaths (95% confidence interval) were 0.78 (0.65-0.95), 0.94 (0.79-1.12), 0.99 (0.84-1.18), 0.77 (0.65-0.92), in the second to fifth waves, respectively, compared with the first wave.

Conclusions

In-hospital COVID-19 mortality improved from the first to the second wave; however, during the third and fourth waves, mortality was as serious as in the first wave. Although in-hospital mortality during the fifth wave improved, careful monitoring is needed for upcoming waves, considering changing patient and viral characteristics.

Mortality in Two Waves of COVID-19: A Comparative Analysis of a Tertiary Care Hospital in India

Background COVID-19 has spread as two distinct surges of cases in many countries. Several countries have reported differences in disease severity and mortality in the two waves. Objective Compare the in-hospital mortality in the two COVID-19 waves at a tertiary care hospital in India. Methods We conducted a retrospective data collection. Distinct periods of surges in cases and admissions were defined as the first wave spanning from March 2020 to December 2020 and the second wave from April 2021 to June 21, 2021. The primary outcome of this study was to compare mortality rates in terms of total hospital mortality rate (TMR) and case fatality rate (CFR). Results Mortality rates of wave 2 were approximately 10 times that of wave 1 (TMR of 20.3% in wave 2 versus 2.4% in wave 1 and CFR of 1.5% versus 17.7% in wave 1 and 2, respectively). Mortalities in wave 2 had a larger proportion of severe disease at presentation, faster progression of symptoms to death, and more patients without any chronic comorbid condition dying due to the direct effect of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Conclusion Our data matches the worldwide reported pooled hospital mortality figures and shows the comparative difference in disease severity between the two waves.

Cross-sectional study evaluating the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on Long COVID outcomes in UK hospital survivors

OBJECTIVES

COVID-19 studies report on hospital admission outcomes across SARS-CoV-2 waves of infection but knowledge of the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on the development of Long COVID in hospital survivors is limited. We sought to investigate Long COVID outcomes, aiming to compare outcomes in adult hospitalised survivors with known variants of concern during our first and second UK COVID-19 waves, prior to widespread vaccination.

DESIGN

Prospective observational cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Secondary care tertiary hospital in the UK.

PARTICIPANTS

This study investigated Long COVID in 673 adults with laboratory-positive SARS-CoV-2 infection or clinically suspected COVID-19, 6 weeks after hospital discharge. We compared adults with wave 1 (wildtype variant, admitted from February to April 2020) and wave 2 patients (confirmed Alpha variant on viral sequencing (B.1.1.7), admitted from December 2020 to February 2021).

OUTCOME MEASURES

Associations of Long COVID presence (one or more of 14 symptoms) and total number of Long COVID symptoms with SARS-CoV-2 variant were analysed using multiple logistic and Poisson regression, respectively.

RESULTS

322/400 (wave 1) and 248/273 (wave 2) patients completed follow-up. Predictors of increased total number of Long COVID symptoms included: pre-existing lung disease (adjusted count ratio (aCR)=1.26, 95% CI 1.07, 1.48) and more COVID-19 admission symptoms (aCR=1.07, 95% CI 1.02, 1.12). Weaker associations included increased length of inpatient stay (aCR=1.02, 95% CI 1.00, 1.03) and later review after discharge (aCR=1.00, 95% CI 1.00, 1.01). SARS-CoV-2 variant was not associated with Long COVID presence (OR=0.99, 95% CI 0.24, 4.20) or total number of symptoms (aCR=1.09, 95% CI 0.82, 1.44).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with chronic lung disease or greater COVID-19 admission symptoms have higher Long COVID risk. SARS-CoV-2 variant was not predictive of Long COVID though in wave 2 we identified fewer admission symptoms, improved clinical trajectory and outcomes. Addressing modifiable factors such as length of stay and timepoint of clinical review following discharge may enable clinicians to move from Long COVID risk stratification towards improving its outcome.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with COVID-19 admitted to the intensive care unit during the first and second waves of the pandemic in Brazil: a single-center retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To describe and compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to intensive care units during the first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

In this retrospective single-center cohort study, data were retrieved from the Epimed Monitor System; all adult patients admitted to the intensive care unit between March 4, 2020, and October 1, 2021, were included in the study. We compared the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to the intensive care unit of a quaternary private hospital in São Paulo, Brazil, during the first (May 1, 2020, to August 31, 2020) and second (March 1, 2021, to June 30, 2021) waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.

RESULTS

In total, 1,427 patients with COVID-19 were admitted to the intensive care unit during the first (421 patients) and second (1,006 patients) waves. Compared with the first wave group [median (IQR)], the second wave group was younger [57 (46-70) versus 67 (52-80) years; p<0.001], had a lower SAPS 3 Score [45 (42-52) versus 49 (43-57); p<0.001], lower SOFA Score on intensive care unit admission [3 (1-6) versus 4 (2-6); p=0.018], lower Charlson Comorbidity Index [0 (0-1) versus 1 (0-2); p<0.001], and were less frequently frail (10.4% versus 18.1%; p<0.001). The second wave group used more noninvasive ventilation (81.3% versus 53.4%; p<0.001) and high-flow nasal cannula (63.2% versus 23.0%; p<0.001) during their intensive care unit stay. The intensive care unit (11.3% versus 10.5%; p=0.696) and in-hospital mortality (12.3% versus 12.1%; p=0.998) rates did not differ between both waves.

CONCLUSION

In the first and second waves, patients with severe COVID-19 exhibited similar mortality rates and need for invasive organ support, despite the second wave group being younger and less severely ill at the time of intensive care unit admission.

Differences in Ventilation Management and Outcomes between the Two First Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic-A Comparison between Two Nationwide Observational Studies in The Netherlands

The aim of this analysis was to compare ventilation management and outcomes in invasively ventilated patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) between the first and second wave in the Netherlands. This is a post hoc analysis of two nationwide observational COVID-19 studies conducted in quick succession. The primary endpoint was ventilation management. Secondary endpoints were tracheostomy use, duration of ventilation, intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital length of stay (LOS), and mortality. We used propensity score matching to control for observed confounding factors. This analysis included 1122 patients from the first and 568 patients from the second wave. Patients in the second wave were sicker, had more comorbidities, and had worse oxygenation parameters. They were ventilated with lower positive end-expiratory pressure and higher fraction inspired oxygen, had a lower oxygen saturation, received neuromuscular blockade more often, and were less often tracheostomized. Duration of ventilation was shorter, but mortality rates were similar. After matching, the fraction of inspired oxygen was lower in the second wave. In patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure due to COVID-19, aspects of respiratory care and outcomes rapidly changed over the successive waves.

Elucidation of infection asperity of CT scan images of COVID-19 positive cases: A Machine Learning perspective

Owing to the profoundly irresistible nature of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, an enormous number of individuals halt in the line for Computed Tomography (CT) scan assessment, which overburdens the medical practitioners, radiologists, and adversely influences the patient's remedy, diagnosis, as well as restraint the epidemic. Medical facilities like intensive care systems and mechanical ventilators are restrained due to highly infectious diseases. It turns out to be very imperative to characterize the patients as per their asperity levels. This article exhibited a novel execution of a threshold-based image segmentation technique and random forest classifier for COVID-19 contamination asperity identification. With the help of the image segmentation model and machine learning classifier, we can identify and classify COVID-19 individuals into three asperity classes such as early, progressive, and advanced, with an accuracy of 95.5% using chest CT scan image database. Experimental outcomes on an adequately enormous number of CT scan images exhibit the adequacy of the machine learning mechanism developed and recommended to identify coronavirus severity.

Spatial variations of the third and fourth COVID-19 waves in Hong Kong: A comparative study using built environment and socio-demographic characteristics

Since the first confirmed case was reported in January 2020, Hong Kong has experienced multiple waves of COVID-19 outbreaks. Recent literature has explored the spatial patterns of disease incidence and their relationships with the built environment and demographic characteristics. Nonetheless, few studies aim at the comparative patterns of different epidemic waves occurring in the same spatial context. This study analyses spatial patterns of the third and fourth COVID-19 epidemic waves and then evaluates the spatial relationship between case incidence and built environment and socio-demographic characteristics. By collecting local-related cases, this study incorporates a two-fold analytical strategy: (1) Using rank-size distribution and log-odd ratio to depict the spatial pattern of COVID-19 incidence rates; (2) through global and local regression models, investigating incidence's associations with the urban built environment and socio-demographic characteristics. The results reveal that the two different epidemic waves have far distinct spatial tendencies to their infection risk factors, reflecting location-specific associations with the built environments and socio-demographics. Collectively, we discover that the third and fourth COVID-19 waves are likely associated with residential context and urban activities, respectively. Practical implications are discussed that would be of interest to policymakers and health professionals.

Comparative Study of the Myocardium of Patients from Four COVID-19 Waves

BACKGROUND

Few studies have compared COVID-19 patients from different waves. This study aims to conduct a clinical and morphological analysis of patients who died from COVID-19 during four waves.

METHODS

The study involved 276 patients who died from COVID-19 during four waves, including 77 patients in the first wave, 119 patients in the second wave, and 78 patients in the third wave. We performed a histological examination of myocardium samples from autopsies and additionally analyzed the samples by PCR. We conducted immunohistochemistry of the myocardium for 21 samples using antibodies against CD3, CD45, CD8, CD68, CD34, Ang1, VWF, VEGF, HLA-DR, MHC1, C1q, enteroviral VP1, and SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. We also did immunofluorescent staining of three myocardial specimens using VP1/SARS-CoV-2 antibody cocktails. Further, we ran RT-ddPCR analysis for 14 RNA samples extracted from paraffin-embedded myocardium. Electron microscopic studies of the myocardium were also performed for two samples from the fourth wave.

RESULTS

Among the 276 cases, active myocarditis was diagnosed in 5% (15/276). Of these cases, 86% of samples expressed VP1, and individual cells contained SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in 22%. Immunofluorescence confirmed the co-localization of VP1 and SARS-CoV-2 spike proteins. ddPCR did not confidently detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the myocardium in any myocarditis cases. However, the myocardium sample from wave IV detected a sub-threshold signal of SARS-CoV-2 by qPCR, but myocarditis in this patient was not confirmed. Electron microscopy showed several single particles similar to SARS-CoV-2 virions on the surface of the endothelium of myocardial vessels. A comparison of the cardiovascular complication incidence between three waves revealed that the incidence of hemorrhage (48 vs. 24 vs. 17%), myocardial necrosis (18 vs. 11 vs. 4%), blood clots in the intramural arteries (12 vs. 7 vs. 0%), and myocarditis (19 vs. 1 vs. 6%) decreased over time, and CD8-T-killers appeared. Immunohistochemistry confirmed the presence of endotheliitis in all 21 studied cases.

CONCLUSIONS

This study compared myocardial damage in patients who died during three COVID-19 waves and showed a decrease in the incidence of endotheliitis complications (thrombosis, hemorrhage, necrosis) and myocarditis over time. However, the connection between myocarditis and SARS-CoV-2 infection remains unproven.

Comparison of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests during the COVID-19 pandemic with those before the pandemic: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

The coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, directly and indirectly, affected the emergency medical care system and resulted in worse out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) outcomes and epidemiological features compared with those before the pandemic. This review compares the regional and temporal features of OHCA prognosis and epidemiological characteristics. Various databases were searched to compare the OHCA outcomes and epidemiological characteristics during the COVID-19 pandemic with before the pandemic. During the COVID-19 pandemic, survival and favorable neurological outcome rates were significantly lower than before. Survival to hospitalization, return of spontaneous circulation, endotracheal intubation, and use of an automated external defibrillator (AED) decreased significantly, whereas the use of a supraglottic airway device, the incidence of cardiac arrest at home, and response time of emergency medical service (EMS) increased significantly. Bystander CPR, unwitnessed cardiac arrest, EMS transfer time, use of mechanical CPR, and in-hospital target temperature management did not differ significantly. A subgroup analysis of the studies that included only the first wave with those that included the subsequent waves revealed the overall outcomes in which the epidemiological features of OHCA exhibited similar patterns. No significant regional differences between the OHCA survival rates in Asia before and during the pandemic were observed, although other variables varied by region. The COVID-19 pandemic altered the epidemiologic characteristics, survival rates, and neurological prognosis of OHCA patients. Review registration: PROSPERO (CRD42022339435).

Burden of disease in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 during the first and second pandemic wave in Switzerland: a nationwide cohort study

AIM OF THE STUDY

The first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a tremendous burden of disease and influenced several policy directives, prevention and treatment strategies as well as lifestyle and social behaviours. We aimed to describe trends of hospitalisations with COVID-19 and hospital-associated outcomes in these patients during the first two pandemic waves in Switzerland.

METHODS

In this nationwide retrospective cohort study, we used in-hospital claims data of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in Switzerland between January 1st and December 31st, 2020. First, stratified by wave (first wave: January to May, second wave: June to December), we estimated incidence rates (IR) and rate differences (RD) per 10,000 person-years of COVID-19-related hospitalisations across different age groups (0-9, 10-19, 20-49, 50-69, and ≥70 years). IR was calculated by counting the number of COVID-19 hospitalisations for each patient age stratum paired with the number of persons living in Switzerland during the specific wave period. Second, adjusted odds ratios (aOR) of outcomes among COVID-19 hospitalisations were calculated to assess the association between COVID-19 wave and outcomes, adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Of 36,517 hospitalisations with COVID-19, 8,862 (24.3%) were identified during the first and 27,655 (75.7%) during the second wave. IR for hospitalisations with COVID-19 was highest during the second wave and among patients above 50 years (50-69 years: first wave: 31.49 per 10,000 person-years; second wave: 62.81 per 10,000 person-years; RD 31.32 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 29.56 to 33.08] per 10,000 person-years; IRR 1.99 [95% CI: 1.91 to 2.08]; ≥70 years: first wave: 88.59 per 10,000 person-years; second wave: 228.41 per 10,000 person-years; RD 139.83 [95% CI: 135.42 to 144.23] per 10,000 person-years; IRR 2.58 [95% CI: 2.49 to 2.67]). While there was no difference in hospital readmission, when compared with the first wave, patients hospitalised during the second wave had a lower probability of death (aOR 0.88 [95% CI: 0.81 to 0.95], ARDS (aOR 0.56 [95% CI: 0.51 to 0.61]), ICU admission (aOR 0.66 [95% CI: 0.61 to 0.70]), and need for ECMO (aOR 0.60 [95% CI: 0.38 to 0.92]). LOS was -16.1 % (95% CI: -17.8 to -14.2) shorter during the second wave.

CONCLUSION

In this nationwide cohort study, rates of hospitalisations with COVID-19 were highest among adults older than 50 years and during the second wave. Except for hospital readmission, the likelihood of adverse outcomes was lower during the second pandemic wave, which may be explained by advances in the understanding of the disease and improved treatment options.

Combined effect of early diagnosis and treatment on the case fatality risk of COVID-19 in Japan, 2020

Japanese government initially enforced restrictions on outpatient attendances among febrile individuals suspected of having COVID-19, asking everyone to remain at home for at least 4 days from the onset of fever. This restriction was cancelled on 8 May 2020, and a new antiviral, remdesivir, was approved from 7 May 2020. To investigate how this policy change influenced the prognosis of people with COVID-19, we estimated the case fatality risk as a function of the date of illness onset from April to June 2020. We used an interrupted time-series analysis model with an intervention date of 8 May 2020, and estimated time-dependent case fatality risk by age group. The case fatality risk showed a decreasing trend in all groups, and models were favored accounting for an abrupt causal effect, i.e., immediate decline in fatality risk. The trend was estimated at - 1.1% (95% CI [confidence interval]: - 3.9, 3.0) among people aged 60-69 years, - 7.2% (95% CI - 11.2, - 2.4) among those aged 70-79 years, - 7.4% (95% CI - 14.2, 0.2) among those aged 80-89 years, and - 10.3% (95% CI - 21.1, 2.7) among those aged 90 and over. Early diagnosis and treatment greatly contributed to reducing the case fatality risk.

Patients with COPD hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Spain: a comparison between the first and second wave

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to compare the characteristics, progress, and prognosis of patients with COPD hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Spain in the first wave with those of the second wave.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is an observational study of patients hospitalized in Spain with a diagnosis of COPD included in the SEMI-COVID-19 registry. The medical history, symptoms, analytical and radiological results, treatment, and progress of patients with COPD hospitalized in the first wave (from March to June 2020) versus those hospitalized in the second wave (from July to December 2020) were compared. Factors associated with poor prognosis, defined as all-cause mortality and a composite endpoint that included mortality, high-flow oxygen therapy, mechanical ventilation, and ICU admission, were analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 21,642 patients in the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, 6.9% were diagnosed with COPD: 1,128 (6.8%) in WAVE1 and 374 (7.7%) in WAVE2 (p = 0.04). WAVE2 patients presented less dry cough, fever and dyspnea, hypoxemia (43% vs 36%, p < 0.05), and radiological condensation (46% vs 31%, p < 0.05) than WAVE1 patients. Mortality was lower in WAVE2 (35% vs 28.6%, p = 0.01). In the total sample, mortality and the composite outcome of poor prognosis were lower among patients who received inhalation therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with COPD admitted to the hospital due to COVID-19 in the second wave had less respiratory failure and less radiological involvement as well as a better prognosis. These patients should receive bronchodilator treatment if there is no contraindication for it.

Mortality-associated Risk Factors in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in Japan: Findings of the CLOT-COVID Study

BACKGROUND

Reports of mortality-associated risk factors in patients with the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are limited.

METHODS

We evaluated the clinical features that were associated with mortality among patients who died during hospitalization (n = 158) and those who were alive at discharge (n = 2,736) from the large-scale, multicenter, retrospective, observational cohort CLOT-COVID study, which enrolled consecutively hospitalized COVID-19 patients from 16 centers in Japan from April to September 2021. Data from 2,894 hospitalized COVID-19 participants of the CLOT-COVID study were analyzed in this study.

RESULTS

Patients who died were older (71.1 years vs 51.6 years, P < 0.001), had higher median D-dimer values on admission (1.7 µg/mL vs 0.8 µg/mL, P < 0.001), and had more comorbidities. On admission, the patients who died had more severe COVID-19 than did those who survived (mild: 16% vs 63%, moderate: 47% vs 31%, and severe: 37% vs 6.2%, P < 0.001). In patients who died, the incidence of thrombosis and major bleeding during hospitalization was significantly higher than that in those who survived (thrombosis: 8.2% vs 1.5%, P < 0.001; major bleeding: 12.7% vs 1.4%, P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that age >70 years, high D-dimer values on admission, heart disease, active cancer, higher COVID-19 severity on admission, and development of major bleeding during hospitalization were independently associated with a higher mortality risk.

CONCLUSION

This large-scale observational study in Japan identified several independent risk factors for mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 that could facilitate appropriate risk stratification of patients with COVID-19.

Comparison of patients admitted to an inner-city intensive care unit across 3 COVID-19 waves

To expand our limited knowledge of COVID-19-related outcomes in patients admitted to inner-city intensive care unit (ICU across multiple infection waves. This retrospective study compared patients admitted to the ICU in Bronx, NY, during 3 COVID-19 waves (March 2020 to February 2022). Outcomes included in hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), use of mechanical ventilation, and discharge disposition. The study included 716 patients (343, 276, and 97 in the first, second, and third COVID-19 waves, respectively). The number of days on mechanical ventilation and LOS were lower in the first wave. Of the 345 discharged patients, 37% went home directly, whereas 11% were discharged to a skill nursing facility. More patients went home during the second and third waves. Mortality decreased from the first to the third waves (57%-37%; P < .001). Predictors of mortality included age, male gender, COPD, shock, acute kidney injury (AKI), dialysis requirement, and mechanical ventilation. The decreased mortality and better discharge disposition of these inner-city patients during the second and third waves is encouraging, as this population historically had a high COVID-19-related mortality risk.

Clinical Profile of COVID-19 Patients Admitted at a Private Hospital During Three Surges in Mandalay, Myanmar

Introduction During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, private hospitals in Mandalay started to manage COVID-19 infections according to national treatment guidelines since February 2021. Variations of clinical characteristics and their outcomes in different surges could be evaluated in the private hospital. This study aimed to assess the clinical profile and outcomes of COVID-19 patients admitted at a private hospital during three surges in Mandalay. Methods This study is a retrospective record review of the case series of COVID-19 patients admitted at City Hospital, Mandalay. The study was conducted from January to December 2022. All of the hospital records of COVID-19 patients admitted during the second wave from February 2020 to 26 May 2021, the third wave from 27 May 2021 to 27 January 2022, and the fourth wave from 28 January to April 2022 were included in the study. Results A total of 1606 admitted cases were included in the study. The mean with standard deviation (SD) of age was 55.7±18.5, and males were 778 (48.4%). The mean duration of hospital stay in days was 10.8±5.94, 10.6±6.11, and 7.3±2.88 in second, third, and fourth waves, respectively. The mean duration of hospital stay was shortened in the fourth wave. Comorbid conditions with hypertension and/or diabetes diseases were mostly observed in three waves of COVID-19 infection. Fever was the most presented symptom in three waves. Cough, sore throat, and rhinorrhea were observed more in the fourth wave compared with previous waves. Complication with pneumonia (71.3%), liver dysfunction (21.0%), acute respiratory distress syndrome (10.0%), thrombocytopenia (6.2%), acute kidney injury (5.5%), bleeding (3.9%), and pulmonary embolism (2.9%) were investigated. Antiviral treatment such as remdesivir or molnupiravir was used more in the patients of third and fourth waves than those of the second wave. Oxygen therapy (59.9%), prone position (35.5%), non-invasive ventilation (9.5%), invasive ventilation (0.5%), inotropes (4.6%), and renal replacement therapy (1.1%) were recorded in serious cases. Only 7.9% and 9.4% died in the hospital in second and third waves. No mortality was observed in the fourth wave. Conclusions The study recommended that COVID-19 patients with comorbid conditions of hypertension or diabetes and ages 65 and older should be taken with intensive care support at the hospital. This study also concluded that a private hospital in Mandalay could tackle with COVID-19 severe cases in line with national treatment guidelines since the second wave and could provide better management in the fourth wave. Antiviral treatment should be used in severe COVID-19 cases for further emergency management. In conclusion, private hospital involvement in the COVID-19 pandemic is supportive of the healthcare provision in Myanmar in an emergency situation.

Different cytokine and chemokine profiles in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 during the first and second outbreaks from Argentina show no association with clinical comorbidities

Background

COVID-19 severity has been linked to an increased production of inflammatory mediators called "cytokine storm". Available data is mainly restricted to the first international outbreak and reports highly variable results. This study compares demographic and clinical features of patients with COVID-19 from Córdoba, Argentina, during the first two waves of the pandemic and analyzes association between comorbidities and disease outcome with the "cytokine storm", offering added value to the field.

Methods

We investigated serum concentration of thirteen soluble mediators, including cytokines and chemokines, in hospitalized patients with moderate and severe COVID-19, without previous rheumatic and autoimmune diseases, from the central region of Argentina during the first and second infection waves. Samples from healthy controls were also assayed. Clinical and biochemical parameters were collected.

Results

Comparison between the two first COVID-19 waves in Argentina highlighted that patients recruited during the second wave were younger and showed less concurrent comorbidities than those from the first outbreak. We also recognized particularities in the signatures of systemic cytokines and chemokines in patients from both infection waves. We determined that concurrent pre-existing comorbidities did not have contribution to serum concentration of systemic cytokines and chemokines in COVID-19 patients. We also identified immunological and biochemical parameters associated to inflammation which can be used as prognostic markers. Thus, IL-6 concentration, C reactive protein level and platelet count allowed to discriminate between death and discharge in patients hospitalized with severe COVID-19 only during the first but not the second wave.

Conclusions

Our data provide information that deepens our understanding of COVID-19 pathogenesis linking demographic features of a COVID-19 cohort with cytokines and chemokines systemic concentration, presence of comorbidities and different disease outcomes. Altogether, our findings provide information not only at local level by delineating inflammatory/anti-inflammatory response of patients but also at international level addressing the impact of comorbidities and the infection wave in the variability of cytokine and chemokine production upon SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Clinical characteristics and courses of 200 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 during the second and third waves at Fujita Health University Okazaki Medical Center in Japan

Objectives

There are few reports about patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in Japan. We investigated 200 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 over a 6-month period with the aim of elucidating their clinical characteristics and clinical courses.

Methods

The study cohort comprised 200 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 during a 6-month period. We examined baseline characteristics, source of transmission, preadmission course, initial symptoms, concomitant symptoms, comorbidities, treatments, and prognosis.

Results

The number of inpatients from outside our region increased from 9 in the second wave to 53 in the third wave. The initial manifestations were cold-like and gastroenteritis-like symptoms, gustatory and olfactory dysfunction being frequently occurring concomitant symptoms. On admission 32 patients had mild disease, 108 moderate I, 54 moderate II, and 6 severe. We divided the 200 patients into second and third wave groups and compared their baseline characteristics. The third wave group was older and had more severe disease. The main treatments implemented were dexamethasone and remdesivir. Three patients (1.5%) required ventilation and 12 (6.0%) died in hospital.

Conclusions

We investigated 200 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 over a period of 6 months. The patients in the second wave were relatively young and most had mild disease. In contrast, the patients in the third wave were older and had more severe disease and higher in-hospital mortality.

[Анализ влияния коморбидной сердечно-сосудистой патологии на течение и исходы COVID-19 у госпитализированных пациентов в первую и вторую волну пандемии в Евразийском регионе]

Цель:  Изучение особенностей клинического течения новой коронавирусной инфекции и  влияния сопутствующих заболеваний на исход заболевания у госпитализированных больных с инфекцией SARS-CoV-2 в первую и вторую волны пандемии.Методы и результаты.  Для оценки особенностей течения COVID-19 в Евразийском регионе были созданы международные регистры АКТИВ 1 и во время второй волны пандемии АКТИВ 2. Набор больных в регистр АКТИВ 1 проводили с 29.06.20 по 29.10.20, набрано 5 397 пациентов. Прием пациентов на учет в АКТИВ 2 проводили с 01.11.20 до 30.03.21, набрано 2 665 больных.Результаты. Госпитальная летальность снизилась в  период второй волны пандемии и  составила 4,8 % против 7,6 % в  период первой волны. В  период второй волны пациенты были старше, имели больше сопутствующих заболеваний и поступали в стационар в более тяжелом состоянии, пациенты имели более высокий уровень полиморбидности. В период второй волны пандемии увеличилась заболеваемость бактериальной пневмонией и сепсисом, но реже встречались тромбозы глубоких вен и «цитокиновый шторм». Наиболее неблагоприятными для прогноза смертности, как в первую, так и во вторую волны эпидемии были сочетания сопутствующих заболеваний: артериальная гипертензия (АГ) + хроническая сердечная недостаточность (ХСН) + сахарный диабет (СД) + ожирение, АГ + ишемическая болезнь сердца (ИБС) + ХСН + СД, АГ + ИБС + ХСН + ожирение.Заключение. У пациентов во вторую волну пандемии наблюдалось более обширное поражение ткани легких, чаще возникала фебрильная лихорадка, были выше уровни С-реактивного белка и  тропонина, ниже уровни гемоглобина и лимфоцитов. Это, вероятно, связано с различной тактикой госпитализации пациентов в первую и вторую волны пандемии в странах, принявших участие в формировании регистров АКТИВ 1 и АКТИВ 2.

Relevance of prediction scores derived from the SARS-CoV-2 first wave, in the evolving UK COVID-19 second wave, for safe early discharge and mortality: a PREDICT COVID-19 UK prospective observational cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Prospectively validate prognostication scores, SOARS and 4C Mortality Score, derived from the COVID-19 first wave, for mortality and safe early discharge in the evolving pandemic with SARS-CoV-2 variants (B.1.1.7 replacing D614) and healthcare responses altering patient demographic and mortality.

DESIGN

Protocol-based prospective observational cohort study.

SETTING

Single site PREDICT and multisite ISARIC (International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium) cohorts in UK COVID-19 second wave, October 2020 to January 2021.

PARTICIPANTS

1383 PREDICT and 20 595 ISARIC SARS-CoV-2 patients.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Relevance of SOARS and 4C Mortality Score determining in-hospital mortality and safe early discharge in the evolving UK COVID-19 second wave.

RESULTS

1383 (median age 67 years, IQR 52-82; mortality 24.7%) PREDICT and 20 595 (mortality 19.4%) ISARIC patient cohorts showed SOARS had area under the curve (AUC) of 0.8 and 0.74, while 4C Mortality Score had AUC of 0.83 and 0.91 for hospital mortality, in the PREDICT and ISARIC cohorts respectively, therefore, effective in evaluating safe discharge and in-hospital mortality. 19.3% (231/1195, PREDICT cohort) and 16.7% (2550/14992, ISARIC cohort) with SOARS of 0-1 were candidates for safe discharge to a virtual hospital (VH) model. SOARS implementation in the VH pathway resulted in low readmission, 11.8% (27/229) and low mortality, 0.9% (2/229). Use to prevent admission is still suboptimal, as 8.1% in the PREDICT cohort and 9.5% in the ISARIC cohort were admitted despite SOARS score of 0-1.

CONCLUSIONS

SOARS and 4C Mortality Score remains valid, transforming complex clinical presentations into tangible numbers, aiding objective decision making, despite SARS-CoV-2 variants and healthcare responses altering patient demographic and mortality. Both scores, easily implemented within urgent care pathways for safe early discharge, allocate hospital resources appropriately to the pandemic's needs while enabling normal healthcare services resumption.

Interventions and outcomes of COVID-19 patients in a community hospital-A single center study comparing the first and second waves

BACKGROUND

We have had 3 coronavirus-related pandemics in the last two decades. Each has brought significant toll and with each case there was no cure. Even as vaccines have been developed for the current strain of the virus thereby increasing the prospects of bringing transmissions in communities to a minimum, lessons from this pandemic should be explored in preparation for future pandemics. Other studies have looked at differences in characteristics of patients and mortality rates between the first two waves. In our study we not only identify the differences in outcomes but also explore differences in hospital specific interventions that were implemented at Jersey City Medical Center, NJ, a community-based hospital.

AIM

The aim of this study is to assess the differences between the first two waves of the COVID -19 pandemic in terms of management and outcomes to help identify any key lessons in the handling of future pandemics. We compared the population demographics, interventions and outcomes used during the first two waves of COVID-19 in a community-based hospital.

METHODS

This is a retrospective single-center cross-sectional study including Laboratory confirmed COVID-19 patients requiring oxygen supplementation admitted at Jersey City Medical Center during the first wave (April 1 to June 30, 2020) and the second wave between (October 1, 2020, and January 1, 2021). The Chi-squared test was used to assess the relationship between categorical variables and the T- test for continuous variables. A Logistic regression model was built comparing the second to the first wave while accounting for important covariates.

RESULTS

There was a combined total of 473 patients from both waves. Patients in the first wave were older (66.17 years vs 60.38 years, p <0.01), had more comorbidities (2.75 vs 2.29, p 0.003), had more severe disease (50% vs 38.78% p of 0.002), had a longer length of stay (14.18 days vs 8.77 days, p <0.001) and were more likely to be intubated (32.49% vs 21.9 4%, p 0.01). In the univariate model, the odds of mortality in the second wave compared to the first wave was 0.63 (CI, 0.41-0.96) and 1.73 (CI, 0.65-4.66) in the fully adjusted model.

CONCLUSION

Overall, there was no statistically significant difference in mortality between the two waves. Interventions that were noted to be significantly different between the two waves were, increased likelihood of mechanical intubation in the first wave and increased use of steroids in the second wave compared to the first.

Insight into Delta variant dominated second wave of COVID-19 in Nepal

OBJECTIVE

To study the spreading nature of Delta variant (B.1.617.2) dominated COVID-19 in Nepal to help the policymakers assess and manage health care facilities and vaccination programs.

METHODS

Deterministic mathematical models in the form of systems of ordinary differential equations were developed to describe the COVID-19 transmission in the high- and the low-risk regions of Nepal. The models were validated using the multiple data sets containing daily new cases in the whole country, the high-risk region, the low-risk region, and cases needing medical care, ICU, and ventilator.

RESULTS

We found the reproduction number of R_t=4.2 at the beginning of the second wave, larger than the first wave (∼1.8 estimated previously), indicating that the transmissibility of Delta variant is higher than the wild-type circulated during the first wave. Model predicts that ∼5% of the COVID-19 cases were reported in Nepal, estimating the seroprevalence of ∼63.9% as of July 2021, consistent with the survey conducted by the Government of Nepal. The seroprevalence was expected to reach 94.46% by April 2022, among which ∼46% would have both infection and vaccination. The expected cases from September 2021 to April 2022 is 111,300, among which 11,890 people might need medical care, 3590 need ICU, and 953 need ventilators. The COVID-19 cases and medical care needs could be significantly reduced with proper implementation of vaccination and social distancing.

CONCLUSIONS

The data-driven mathematical models are useful to assess control programs in resource-limited countries. The appropriate combination of vaccination and social distancing are necessary to keep the pandemic under-control and manage the medical care facilities in Nepal.

Assessment of drugs administered in the Middle East as part of the COVID-19 management protocols

The pandemic spread of coronavirus (COVID-19) has been reported first at the end of 2019. It continues disturbing various human aspects with multiple pandemic waves showing more fatal novel variants. Now Egypt faces the sixth wave of the pandemic with controlled governmental measures. COVID-19 is an infectious respiratory disease-causing mild to moderate illness that can be progressed into life-threatening complications based on patients- and variant type-related factors. The symptoms vary from dry cough, fever to difficulty in breathing that required urgent hospitalization. Most countries have authorized their national protocols for managing manifested symptoms and thus lowering the rate of patients' hospitalization and boosting the healthcare systems. These protocols are still in use even with the development and approval of several vaccines. These protocols were instructed to aid home isolation, bed rest, dietary supplements, and additionally the administration of antipyretic, steroids, and antiviral drugs. The current review aimed to highlight the administered protocols in the Middle East, namely in Egypt and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia demonstrating how these protocols have shown potential effectiveness in treating patients and saving many soles.

Comparison of COVID-19 Pandemic Waves in 10 Countries in Southern Africa, 2020-2021

We used publicly available data to describe epidemiology, genomic surveillance, and public health and social measures from the first 3 COVID-19 pandemic waves in southern Africa during April 6, 2020-September 19, 2021. South Africa detected regional waves on average 7.2 weeks before other countries. Average testing volume 244 tests/million/day) increased across waves and was highest in upper-middle-income countries. Across the 3 waves, average reported regional incidence increased (17.4, 51.9, 123.3 cases/1 million population/day), as did positivity of diagnostic tests (8.8%, 12.2%, 14.5%); mortality (0.3, 1.5, 2.7 deaths/1 million populaiton/day); and case-fatality ratios (1.9%, 2.1%, 2.5%). Beta variant (B.1.351) drove the second wave and Delta (B.1.617.2) the third. Stringent implementation of safety measures declined across waves. As of September 19, 2021, completed vaccination coverage remained low (8.1% of total population). Our findings highlight opportunities for strengthening surveillance, health systems, and access to realistically available therapeutics, and scaling up risk-based vaccination.

Retrospective study of comparison of clinical severity and outcome of hospitalised COVID-19 patients during the first and second waves of the pandemic in India

OBJECTIVES

To compare the clinical severity and outcome of hospitalised patients during the two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in India.

SETTING

A tertiary care referral hospital in South India.

PARTICIPANTS

Symptomatic SARS CoV-2 reverse transcriptase PCR positive patients presenting to the emergency department during the two waves were recruited. The first wave spanned between April and December 2020 and the second wave between April and May 2021.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome of interest was mortality. Secondary outcomes included illness severity at presentation, need for oxygen therapy, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and hospital or intensive care unit admission.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) age of the 4971 hospitalised patients in the first wave was similar to the 2293 patients in the second wave (52.5±15.4 vs 52.1±15.1 years, p=0.37). When compared with the first wave, during the second wave, a higher proportion of patients presented with critical illness (11% vs 1.1%, p<0.001) and needed supplemental oxygen therapy (n=2092: 42.1% vs n=1459: 63.6%; p<0.001), NIV (n=643; 12.9% vs n=709; 30.9%; p<0.001) or inotropes/vasoactive drugs (n=108; 2.2% vs n=77: 3.4%; p=0.004). Mortality was higher during the second wave (19.2% vs 9.3%; p<0.001). On multivariable regression analysis, age >60 years (risk ratio, RR 2.80; 95% CI 2.12 to 3.70), D-dimer >1000 ng/mL (RR 1.34; 95% CI 1.15 to 1.55), treatment with supplemental oxygen (RR 14.6; 95% CI 8.98 to 23.6) and presentation during the second wave (RR 1.40; 95% CI 1.21 to 1.62) were independently associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

The second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in India appeared to be associated with more severe presentation and higher mortality when compared with the first wave. Increasing age, elevated D-dimer levels and treatment with supplemental oxygen were independent predictors of mortality.

Epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 during the first three waves in Scotland: a national record linkage study

BACKGROUND

The early COVID-19 pandemic in Scotland-defined as the era before widespread access to vaccination and monoclonal antibody treatment-can be characterised into three distinct waves: March-July 2020, July 2020-April 2021 and May-August 2021. Each wave was met with various societal restrictions in an effort to reduce disease transmission and associated morbidity and mortality. Understanding the epidemiology of infections during these waves can provide valuable insights into future pandemic planning.

METHODS

Scottish RT-PCR testing data reported up until 8 August 2021, the day prior to most restrictions being lifted in Scotland, were included. Demographic characteristics including age, sex and social deprivation associated with transmission, morbidity and mortality were compared across waves. A case-control analysis for each wave was then modelled to further compare risk factors associated with death over time.

RESULTS

Of the 349 904 reported cases, there were 18 099, 197 251 and 134 554 in waves 1, 2 and 3, respectively. Hospitalisations, intensive care unit admissions and deaths appeared highest in wave 2, though risk factors associated with COVID-19 death remained similar across the waves. Higher deprivation and certain comorbidities were associated with higher deaths in all waves.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the higher number of cases reported in waves 2 and 3, case fatality rates were lower: likely a combination of improved detection of infections in younger age groups, introduction of social measures and vaccination. Higher social deprivation and comorbidities resulted in higher deaths for all waves.

Changing trends of patient characteristics and treatment pathways during the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional analysis of 72,459 inpatient cases from the German Helios database

Background

This study compared patient profiles and clinical courses of SARS-CoV-2 infected inpatients over different pandemic periods.

Methods

In a retrospective cross-sectional analysis, we examined administrative data of German Helios hospitals using ICD-10-codes at discharge. Inpatient cases with SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted between 03/04/2020 and 07/19/2022 were included irrespective of the reason for hospitalization. All endpoints were timely assigned to admission date for trend analysis. The first pandemic wave was defined by change points in time-series of incident daily infections and compared with different later pandemic phases according to virus type predominance.

Results

We included 72,459 inpatient cases. Patients hospitalized during the first pandemic wave (03/04/2020-05/05/2020; n = 1,803) were older (68.5 ± 17.2 vs. 64.4 ± 22.6 years, p < 0.01) and severe acute respiratory infections were more prevalent (85.2 vs. 53.3%, p < 0.01). No differences were observed with respect to distribution of sex, but comorbidity burden was higher in the first pandemic wave. The risk of receiving intensive care therapy was reduced in all later pandemic phases as was in-hospital mortality when compared to the first pandemic wave. Trend analysis revealed declines of mean age and Elixhauser comorbidity index over time as well as a decline of the utilization of intensive care therapy, mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion

Characteristics and outcomes of inpatients with SARS-CoV-2 infection changed throughout the observational period. An ongoing evaluation of trends and care pathways will allow for the assessment of future demands.

The Impact of Demographic, Clinical Characteristics and the Various COVID-19 Variant Types on All-Cause Mortality: A Case-Series Retrospective Study

(1) Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has rapidly evolved into a pandemic affecting virtually every country in the world. We evaluated the demographic, clinical, laboratory, and all-cause mortality of moderate and severe COVID-19 patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Oman during the different COVID-19 waves and variant types. (2) Methods: A case-series retrospective study was carried out between 12 March 2020 and 30 June 2022. All adults over the age of 18 with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were enrolled. Analyses were performed using univariate and multivariate statistics. (3) Results: A total of 1462 confirmed cases enrolled with the mean age of the cohort was 55 ± 17 years with significant differences among the groups (p = 0.006). A total of 63% and 80% of the patients were males and citizens of Oman, respectively. Patients infected with the Alpha COVID-19 variant type were more likely to have acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (p < 0.001), stay longer in the hospital (p < 0.001), and get admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) (p < 0.001). At the same time, those who had the Omicron COVID-19 type were more likely to have renal impairment (p < 0.001) and less likely to be associated with non-invasive ventilation (NIV) (p = 0.001) compared with other COVID-19 variant types. The Delta (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22−2.66; p = 0.003) and Omicron (aOR, 1.88; 95% CI: 1.09−3.22; p = 0.022) COVID-19 variant types were associated with higher all-cause mortality when compared to the initial COVID-19 variant. Old age (aOR, 1.05; 95% CI: 1.04−1.06; p < 0.001), the presence of respiratory disease (aOR, 1.58; 95% CI: 1.02−2.44; p = 0.04), ICU admission (aOR, 3.41; 95% CI: 2.16−5.39; p < 0.001), lower eGFR (aOR, 1.61; 95% CI: 1.17−2.23; p = 0.004), and ARDS (aOR, 5.75; 95% CI: 3.69−8.98; p < 0.001) were also associated with higher mortality while NIV requirements were associated with lower odds of dying (aOR, 0.65; 95% CI: 0.46−0.91; p = 0.012). (4) Conclusions: Alpha and Delta variants were associated with a longer hospital stay, need for intensive care, mechanical ventilation, and increased mortality. Old age, cardiac renal dysfunction were commonly associated with Omicron variants. Large-scale national studies to further assess the risk factors for mortality related to COVID-19 waves are warranted.

Acute and chronic kidney disease and risk of hospital mortality during COVID-19 pandemic waves in the pre-vaccination era

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a risk factor for death from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), and COVID-19 may cause acute kidney injury (AKI) which also influences outcomes. There is little information on the independent contribution of CKD and AKI to the risk of death in COVID-19 on different waves, as CKD is a key risk factor for AKI.

Methods

We have studied the epidemiology of CKD and AKI in 2878 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 and their independent association with in-hospital mortality in the two largest pre-vaccination COVID-19 waves in Madrid, Spain. Hospitalized COVID-19 patients were grouped into four mutually exclusive categories: previous-CKD, community-acquired AKI (CA-AKI), hospital-acquired AKI (HA-AKI) and normal renal function throughout hospitalization.

Results

Pre-existent or acquired kidney involvement was observed in 35.5% and 36.8% of COVID-19 patients in the 1st and 3rd waves, respectively. Overall, 13.9% of patients with normal kidney function on arrival developed HA-AKI. In the 3rd wave, CA-AKI was more common than in the 1st wave. Overall, 9%-20% of CKD cases and 22%-40% of AKI cases remained undiagnosed in the discharge report. CKD, CA-AKI and HA-AKI were independently associated with risk of death in multivariate analysis, with HA-AKI, which was usually mild, being the most relevant independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality. A model including kidney involvement category, age, Charlson index, admission lactate dehydrogenase and lymphocytes predicted death with a receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of 0.898.

Conclusion

In conclusion, CKD and AKI were common in pre-vaccination waves among hospitalized COVID-19 patients and were independent risk factors for death, even when AKI was mild to moderate, and despite improvements in treatment.

Characteristics of hospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection during successive waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in a reference hospital in Spain

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic and until September 2021, Spain suffered five waves of infection, the latter being related to the expansion of the Delta variant and with a high incidence. A vaccination campaign began in December 2020 and by the end of the fifth wave 77.3% of people had been fully vaccinated. Examining the changing dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on outcomes among those hospitalized is essential. Our objective was to ascertain any differences in the characteristics and outcomes of hospitalized patients during that period compared to previous waves. We prospectively enrolled 200 consecutively admitted hospital patients from each wave and collected their clinical and demographic data from the medical records, including symptoms, comorbidities, deaths and whether they needed to be admitted to the Intensive Care Unit to receive assisted ventilation. We found that patients in the fifth wave were considerably younger than before, and the mortality rate fell from 22.5 to 2.0%. Admissions to the Intensive Care Unit decreased from 10 to 2%. Patients in the fifth wave had fewer comorbidities, and the age of the patients who died was higher than those who survived. Our results show a marked improvement in patient outcomes in the fifth wave, suggesting success of the vaccination campaign despite the explosion in cases due to the Delta variant.

The Chaotic Behavior of the Spread of Infection during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Japan

In December 2019, China reported a new virus identified as SARS-CoV-2, causing COVID-19, which soon spread to other countries and led to a global pandemic. Although many countries imposed strict actions to control the spread of the virus, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in unprecedented economic and social consequences in 2020 and early 2021. To understand the dynamics of the spread of the virus, we evaluated its chaotic behavior in Japan. A 0-1 test was applied to the time-series data of daily COVID-19 cases from January 26, 2020 to August 5, 2021 (3 days before the end of the Tokyo Olympic Games). Additionally, the influence of hosting the Olympic Games in Tokyo was assessed in data including the post-Olympic period until October 8, 2021. Even with these extended time period data, although the time-series data for the daily infections across Japan were not found to be chaotic, more than 76.6% and 55.3% of the prefectures in Japan showed chaotic behavior in the pre- and post-Olympic Games periods, respectively. Notably, Tokyo and Kanagawa, the two most populous cities in Japan, did not show chaotic behavior in their time-series data of daily COVID-19 confirmed cases. Overall, the prefectures with the largest population centers showed non-chaotic behavior, whereas the prefectures with smaller populations showed chaotic behavior. This phenomenon was observed in both of the analyzed time periods (pre- and post-Olympic Games); therefore, more attention should be paid to prefectures with smaller populations, in which controlling and preventing the current pandemic is more difficult.

Clinical-epidemiologic variation in patients treated in the first and second wave of COVID-19 in Lambayeque, Peru: A cluster analysis

OBJECTIVES

To identify differences in the clinical and epidemiologic characteristics of patients during the first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic at the EsSalud Lambayeque health care network, Peru.

METHODS

An analytical cross-sectional study of 53,912 patients enrolled during the first and second waves of COVID-19 was conducted. Cluster analysis based on clustering large applications (CLARA) was applied to clinical-epidemiologic data presented at the time of care. The two pandemic waves were compared using clinical-epidemiologic data from epidemiologic surveillance.

RESULTS

Cluster analysis identified four COVID-19 groups with a characteristic pattern. Cluster 1 included the largest number of participants in both waves, and the participants were predominantly female. Cluster 2 included patients with gastrointestinal, respiratory, and systemic symptoms. Cluster 3 was the "severe" cluster, characterized by older adults and patients with dyspnea or comorbidities (cardiovascular, diabetes, obesity). Cluster 4 included asymptomatic, pregnant, and less severe patients. We found differences in all clinical-epidemiologic characteristics according to the cluster to which they belonged.

CONCLUSION

Using cluster analysis, we identified characteristic patterns in each group. Respiratory, gastrointestinal, dyspnea, anosmia, and ageusia symptoms were higher in the second COVID-19 wave than the first COVID-19 wave.

EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England

The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic put considerable strain on healthcare systems worldwide. In order to predict the effect of the local epidemic on hospital capacity in England, we used a variety of data streams to inform the construction and parameterisation of a hospital progression model, EpiBeds, which was coupled to a model of the generalised epidemic. In this model, individuals progress through different pathways (e.g. may recover, die, or progress to intensive care and recover or die) and data from a partially complete patient-pathway line-list was used to provide initial estimates of the mean duration that individuals spend in the different hospital compartments. We then fitted EpiBeds using complete data on hospital occupancy and hospital deaths, enabling estimation of the proportion of individuals that follow the different clinical pathways, the reproduction number of the generalised epidemic, and to make short-term predictions of hospital bed demand. The construction of EpiBeds makes it straightforward to adapt to different patient pathways and settings beyond England. As part of the UK response to the pandemic, EpiBeds provided weekly forecasts to the NHS for hospital bed occupancy and admissions in England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland at national and regional scales.

COVID-19, the disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, leads to a high proportion of cases requiring admission to hospital. Coupled with the high burden of infections worldwide, this put substantial pressure on healthcare systems. To enable public health systems to cope with the high levels of demand, forecasting models are vital. These models enable public health managers to plan their workloads accordingly. Here, we developed EpiBeds, which combines an epidemic model with a model for patient flow through hospitals. By fitting this model to data from England, EpiBeds has been used to provide short-term forecasts of hospital admissions and bed demand weekly throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we describe the motivation behind the structure of EpiBeds, how the model is fitted to data, and report the estimates of the key parameters throughout the pandemic. We then evaluate the performance of EpiBeds by comparing generated forecasts to future data points, finding good agreement between the forecasts and data.

Myocardial function in COVID-19 patients after hospital discharge: a descriptive study comparing the first and second 'wave' patients

In hospitalized COVID-19 patients, myocardial injury and echocardiographic abnormalities have been described. The present study investigates cardiac function in COVID-19 patients 6 weeks post-discharge and evaluates its relation to New York Heart Association (NYHA) class. Furthermore cardiac function post-discharge between the first and second wave COVID-19 patients was compared. We evaluated 146 patients at the outpatient clinic of the Leiden University Medical Centre. NYHA class of II or higher was reported by 53% of patients. Transthoracic echocardiography was used to assess cardiac function. Overall, in 27% of patients reduced left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction was observed and in 29% of patients LV global longitudinal strain was impaired (> - 16%). However no differences were observed in these parameters reflecting LV function between the first and second wave patients. Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction as assessed by tricuspid annular systolic planar excursion (< 17 mm) was present in 14% of patients, this was also not different between the first and second wave patients (15% vs. 12%; p = 0.63); similar results were found for RV fraction area change and RV strain. Reduced LV and RV function were not associated with NYHA class. In COVID-19 patients at 6 weeks post-discharge, mild abnormalities in cardiac function were found. However these were not related to NYHA class and there was no difference in cardiac function between the first and second wave patients. Long term symptoms post-COVID might therefore not be explained by mildly abnormal cardiac function.

Clinical and demographic characteristics of COVID-19 cases in Brunei Darussalam: comparison between the first and second waves, 2020 and 2021

Objective

Differences in clinical manifestations between strains of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have been reported. This retrospective descriptive study compares the clinical and demographic characteristics of all confirmed coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases admitted to the National Isolation Centre (NIC) in the first wave and at the beginning of the second wave of the pandemic in Brunei Darussalam.

Methods

All COVID-19 cases admitted to the NIC between 9 March and 6 May 2020 (first wave) and 7-17 August 2021 (second wave) were included. Data were obtained from NIC databases and case characteristics compared using Student's t-tests and χ² tests, as appropriate.

Results

Cases from the first wave were significantly older than those from the second wave (mean 37.2 vs 29.7 years, P < 0.001), and a higher proportion reported comorbidities (30.5% vs 20.3%, P = 0.019). Cases from the second wave were more likely to be symptomatic at admission (77.7% vs 63.1%, P < 0.001), with a higher proportion reporting cough, anosmia, sore throat and ageusia/dysgeusia; however, myalgia and nausea/vomiting were more common among symptomatic first wave cases (all P < 0.05). There was no difference in the mean number of reported symptoms (2.6 vs 2.4, P = 0.890).

Discussion

Our study showed clear differences in the profile of COVID-19 cases in Brunei Darussalam between the first and second waves, reflecting a shift in the predominating SARS-CoV-2 strain. Awareness of changes in COVID-19 disease manifestation can help guide adjustments to management policies such as duration of isolation, testing strategies, and criteria for admission and treatment.

Epidemiological Comparison of Four COVID-19 Waves in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, March 2020-January 2022

PURPOSE

Nationwide analyses are required to optimise and tailor activities to control future COVID-19 waves of resurgence continent-wide. We compared epidemiological and clinical outcomes of the four COVID-19 waves in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).

METHODS

This retrospective descriptive epidemiological analysis included data from the national line list of confirmed COVID-19 cases in all provinces for all waves between 9 March 2020 and 2 January 2022. Descriptive statistical measures (frequencies, percentages, case fatality rates [CFR], test positivity rates [TPR], and characteristics) were compared using chi-squared or the Fisher-Irwin test.

RESULTS

During the study period, 72,108/445,084 (16.2%) tests were positive, with 9,641/56,637 (17.0%), 16,643/66,560 (25.0%), 24,172/157,945 (15.3%), and 21,652/163,942 (13.2%) cases during the first, second, third, and fourth waves, respectively. TPR significantly decreased from 17.0% in the first wave to 13.2% in the fourth wave as did infection of frontline health workers (5.2% vs. 0.9%). CFR decreased from 5.1 to 0.9% from the first to fourth wave. No sex- or age-related differences in distributions across different waves were observed. The majority of cases were asymptomatic in the first (73.1%) and second (86.6%) waves, in contrast to that in the third (11.1%) and fourth (31.3%) waves.

CONCLUSION

Despite fewer reported cases, the primary waves (first and second) of the COVID-19 pandemic in the DRC were more severe than the third and fourth waves, with each wave being associated with a new SARS-CoV-2 variant. Tailored public health and social measures, and resurgence monitoring are needed to control future waves of COVID-19.

Improvements throughout the Three Waves of COVID-19 Pandemic: Results from 4 Million Inhabitants of North-West Italy

At the very beginning of the European spread of SARS-CoV-2, Piedmont was one of the most affected regions in Italy, with a strong impact on healthcare organizations. In this study, we evaluated the characteristics and outcomes of the COVID-19 patients in an entire region during the first three pandemic waves, identifying similarities and differences in the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic’s timeline. We collected the health-administrative data of all the Piedmont COVID-19 patients infected during the first three pandemic waves (1 March 2020–15 April 2020; 15 October 2020–15 December 2020; 1 March 2021–15 April 2021, respectively). We compared differences among the waves in subjects positive for SARS-CoV-2 and in patients admitted to ICU. Overall, 18.621 subjects tested positive during the first wave (405 patients/day), 144.350 (2366.4 patients/day) in the second, and 81.823 (1778.8 patients/day) in the third. In the second and third waves, we observed a reduction in median age, comorbidity burden, mortality in outpatients, inpatients, and patients admitted to ICU, in intubation, invasive ventilation and tracheostomy, and a parallel increase in the use of CPAP. Our study confirmed a trend towards younger and healthier patients over time but also showed an independent effect of the period on mortality and ICU admission. The appearance of new viral variants, the starting of vaccination, and organizational improvements in tracking, outpatients and inpatients management could have influenced these trends.

Sleep of Healthcare Workers During the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Role of Atypical Work Schedules: A Scoping Review

The COVID-19 pandemic has negatively impacted the well-being of healthcare workers (HCWs). HCWs are highly exposed to shift work and their work schedules have been subject to increasing unpredictability since the start of the pandemic. This review aims to: (1) map the studies providing information about factors associated with sleep characteristics in HCWs working in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic during the first and second waves and (2) examine the state of the evidence base in terms of the availability of information on the influence of atypical work schedules. A literature search was performed in PubMed. Studies containing information about factors (demographic; psychological; occupational; COVID-19-specific; work schedule; lifestyle; medical; or other) associated with various sleep characteristics among HCWs working in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic were included. Particular attention was paid to the availability of information on the role of atypical work schedules on HCW sleep. Fifty-seven articles met the inclusion criteria. Most studies were reports of quantitative cross-sectional surveys using self-report measures. Associations between female sex, frontline HCW status, psychological factors, and poorer sleep were observed. Six studies included a measure of shift work in their analyses, 5 of which reported an association between shift work status and sleep. A wide range of factors were investigated, with female sex, frontline HCW status, and psychological factors repeatedly demonstrating associations with poorer sleep. Sleep was predominantly measured in terms of self-reported sleep quality or insomnia symptoms. Few studies investigated the influence of atypical work schedules on HCW sleep in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Research on this topic is lacking in terms of reliable and consistent measurements of sleep outcomes, longitudinal data, and knowledge about the influence of covariates such atypical work schedules, comorbidity, and medical history on HCW sleep.

Temporal trends in clinical characteristics and in-hospital mortality among patients with COVID-19 in Japan for waves 1, 2, and 3: A retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Little information is available on the temporal trends in the clinical epidemiology and in-hospital mortality of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Japan for waves 1, 2, and 3.

METHODS

A national claims database was used to analyze the time trends in admission, medical procedure, and in-hospital mortality characteristics among patients with COVID-19. Patients who were ≥18 years and discharged from January 1, 2020 to February 28, 2021 were included.

RESULTS

A multilevel logistic regression analysis of 51,252 patients revealed a decline in mortality in waves 2 and 3 (risk-adjusted mortality range = 2.17-4.07%; relative risk reduction = 23-59%; reference month of April 2020 = 5.32%). In the subgroup analysis, a decline in mortality was also observed in patients requiring oxygen support but not mechanical ventilation (risk-adjusted mortality range = 5.98-11.68%; relative risk reduction = 22-60%; reference month of April 2020 = 15.06%). Further adjustments for medical procedure changes in the entire study population revealed a decrease in mortality in waves 2 and 3 (risk-adjusted mortality range = 2.66-4.05%; relative risk reduction = 24-50%).

CONCLUSIONS

A decline in in-hospital mortality was observed in waves 2 and 3 after adjusting for patient/hospital-level characteristics and medical treatments. The reasons for this decline warrant further research to improve the outcomes of hospitalized patients.

Comparison of demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics between first and second COVID-19 waves in a secondary care hospital in Qatar: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

To compare the patient profile and outcomes in Qatar during the first and second waves of the COVID-19 pandemic.

SETTING

A retrospective observational study was conducted comparing the demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients with COVID-19 infection admitted to a secondary care hospital, during the first and second waves of the pandemic.

PARTICIPANTS

1039 patients from the first wave and 991 from the second wave who had pneumonia on chest X-ray and had a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection by a real-time PCR test of a nasopharyngeal swab were included. Patients with a normal chest X-ray and those who had a negative PCR test despite a positive COVID-19 antigen test were excluded.

OUTCOME

Length of stay, need for mechanical ventilation, final disposition and mortality were the key outcomes studied RESULTS: Influenza like symptoms (18.5% in the first wave vs 36.1% in the second wave, p 0.001), cough (79.2% vs 87%, p<0.001) and dyspnoea (27.5% vs 38% p<0.001) were more common in the second wave. Second wave patients had significantly higher respiratory rate, lower peripheral oxygen saturation, needed more supplemental oxygen and had higher incidence of pulmonary embolism. More patients received hydroxychloroquine and antibiotics during the first wave and more received steroids, antivirals and interleukin-1 antagonist during the second wave. The second wave had a shorter length of stay (14.58±7.75 vs 12.61±6.16, p<0.001) and more patients were discharged home (22% vs 10%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who presented during the second wave of COVID-19 pandemic appeared to be more ill clinically and based on their laboratory parameters. They required shorter hospitalisation and were more likely to be discharged home. This could represent greater expertise in handling such patients that was acquired during the first wave as well as use of more appropriate and combination therapies during the second wave.