New-Onset Diabetes After Acute and Critical Illness: A Systematic Review

Metabolic Sequelae: The Pancreatitis Zeitgeist of the 21st Century

Holistic management of pancreatitis means that gastroenterologists in the 21st Century should think beyond improving in-hospital outcomes of pancreatitis alone. In particular, there is considerable room for optimizing the management of new-onset diabetes, exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and other metabolic sequelae of pancreatitis. The present article provides state-of-the-art information on classification, terminology, and burden of the common sequelae of pancreatitis. A high-risk group of patients with pancreatitis is identified, which is positioned to benefit the most from the metabolic sequelae surveillance program introduced in this article. The program involves continuous follow-up after pancreatitis diagnosis, with the focus on early identification of new-onset diabetes after pancreatitis and exocrine pancreatic insufficiency. The metabolic sequelae surveillance program is scalable and has the potential to reduce the burden of pancreatitis through tertiary prevention in the decades to come.

New-Onset Diabetes After COVID-19

There is evidence suggesting that infection with SARS-CoV-2 can lead to several long-term sequelae including diabetes. This mini-review examines the rapidly evolving and conflicting literature on new-onset diabetes after COVID-19, which we term NODAC. We searched PubMed, MEDLINE, and medRxiv from inception until December 1, 2022, using Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms and free text words including "COVID-19," "SARS-CoV-2," "diabetes," "hyperglycemia," "insulin resistance," and "pancreatic β-cell." We also supplemented searches by examining reference lists from retrieved articles. Current evidence suggests that COVID-19 increases the risk of developing diabetes, but the attributable risk is uncertain because of limitations of study designs and the evolving nature of the pandemic, including new variants, widespread population exposure to the virus, diagnostic options for COVID-19, and vaccination status. The etiology of diabetes after COVID-19 is likely multifactorial and includes factors associated with host characteristics (eg, age), social determinants of health (eg, deprivation index), and pandemic-related effects both at the personal (eg, psychosocial stress) and the societal-community level (eg, containment measures). COVID-19 may have direct and indirect effects on pancreatic β-cell function and insulin sensitivity related to the acute infection and its treatment (eg, glucocorticoids); autoimmunity; persistent viral residency in multiple organs including adipose tissue; endothelial dysfunction; and hyperinflammatory state. While our understanding of NODAC continues to evolve, consideration should be given for diabetes to be classified as a post-COVID syndrome, in addition to traditional classifications of diabetes (eg, type 1 or type 2), so that the pathophysiology, natural history, and optimal management can be studied.

Incidence and risk factors of fasting hyperglycaemia following first-attack acute pancreatitis before discharge: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic endocrine insufficiency is more likely to occur after acute pancreatitis (AP), but the risk factors affecting pancreatic endocrine function remain controversial. Therefore, exploring the incidence and risk factors of fasting hyperglycaemia following first-attack AP is important.

METHODS

Data were collected from 311 individuals with first-attack AP without previous diabetes mellitus (DM) or impaired fasting glucose (IFG) history treated in the Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University. Relevant statistical tests were performed. A two-sided p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The incidence of fasting hyperglycaemia in individuals with first-attack AP was 45.3%. Univariate analysis showed that age (χ² = 6.27, P = 0.012), aetiology (χ² = 11.184, P = 0.004), serum total cholesterol (TC) (χ² = 14.622, P < 0.001), and serum triglyceride (TG) (χ² = 15.006, P < 0.001) were significantly different between the hyperglycaemia and non-hyperglycaemia groups (P < 0.05). The serum calcium concentration (Z=-2.480, P = 0.013) was significantly different between the two groups (P < 0.05). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that age- ≥60 years (P < 0.001, OR = 2.631, 95%Cl = 1.529-4.527) and TG ≥ 5.65 mmol/L (P < 0.001, OR = 3.964, 95%Cl = 1.990-7.895) were independent risk factors for fasting hyperglycaemia in individuals with first-attack AP (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Old age, serum triglycerides, serum total cholesterol, hypocalcaemia, and aetiology are associated with fasting hyperglycaemia following first-attack AP. Age ≥ 60 years and TG ≥ 5.65 mmol/L are independent risk factors for fasting hyperglycaemia following first-attack AP.

Pulmonary recovery from COVID-19 in patients with metabolic diseases: a longitudinal prospective cohort study

The severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is related to the presence of comorbidities including metabolic diseases. We herein present data from the longitudinal prospective CovILD trial, and investigate the recovery from COVID-19 in individuals with dysglycemia and dyslipidemia. A total of 145 COVID-19 patients were prospectively followed and a comprehensive clinical, laboratory and imaging assessment was performed at 60, 100, 180, and 360 days after the onset of COVID-19. The severity of acute COVID-19 and outcome at early post-acute follow-up were significantly related to the presence of dysglycemia and dyslipidemia. Still, at long-term follow-up, metabolic disorders were not associated with an adverse pulmonary outcome, as reflected by a good recovery of structural lung abnormalities in both, patients with and without metabolic diseases. To conclude, dyslipidemia and dysglycemia are associated with a more severe course of acute COVID-19 as well as delayed early recovery but do not impair long-term pulmonary recovery.

Exploring the Implications of New-Onset Diabetes in COVID-19: A Narrative Review

Post-viral new-onset diabetes has been an important feature of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is not always clear if new-onset diabetes is the unmasking of a previously undiagnosed condition, the acceleration of prediabetes, or new-onset diabetes that would not have otherwise occurred. Even asymptomatic cases of COVID-19 have been associated with new-onset diabetes. Diabetes that emerges during acute COVID-19 infection tends to have an atypical presentation, characterized by hyperglycemia and potentially life-threatening diabetic ketoacidosis. It is not always clear if new-onset diabetes is type 1 or type 2 diabetes mellitus. Many cases of COVID-associated diabetes appear to be type 1 diabetes, which is actually an autoimmune disorder. The clinical course varies temporally and with respect to outcomes; in some cases, diabetes resolves completely or improves incrementally after recovery from COVID-19. Disruptions in macrophagy caused by COVID-19 infection along with an exaggerated inflammatory response that can occur in COVID-19 also play a role. Those who survive COVID-19 remain at a 40% elevated risk for diabetes in the first year, even if their case of COVID-19 was not particularly severe. A subsequent post-pandemic wave of new diabetes patients may be expected.

American Association of Clinical Endocrinology Clinical Practice Guideline: Developing a Diabetes Mellitus Comprehensive Care Plan-2022 Update

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this clinical practice guideline is to provide updated and new evidence-based recommendations for the comprehensive care of persons with diabetes mellitus to clinicians, diabetes-care teams, other health care professionals and stakeholders, and individuals with diabetes and their caregivers.

METHODS

The American Association of Clinical Endocrinology selected a task force of medical experts and staff who updated and assessed clinical questions and recommendations from the prior 2015 version of this guideline and conducted literature searches for relevant scientific papers published from January 1, 2015, through May 15, 2022. Selected studies from results of literature searches composed the evidence base to update 2015 recommendations as well as to develop new recommendations based on review of clinical evidence, current practice, expertise, and consensus, according to established American Association of Clinical Endocrinology protocol for guideline development.

RESULTS

This guideline includes 170 updated and new evidence-based clinical practice recommendations for the comprehensive care of persons with diabetes. Recommendations are divided into four sections: (1) screening, diagnosis, glycemic targets, and glycemic monitoring; (2) comorbidities and complications, including obesity and management with lifestyle, nutrition, and bariatric surgery, hypertension, dyslipidemia, retinopathy, neuropathy, diabetic kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease; (3) management of prediabetes, type 2 diabetes with antihyperglycemic pharmacotherapy and glycemic targets, type 1 diabetes with insulin therapy, hypoglycemia, hospitalized persons, and women with diabetes in pregnancy; (4) education and new topics regarding diabetes and infertility, nutritional supplements, secondary diabetes, social determinants of health, and virtual care, as well as updated recommendations on cancer risk, nonpharmacologic components of pediatric care plans, depression, education and team approach, occupational risk, role of sleep medicine, and vaccinations in persons with diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

This updated clinical practice guideline provides evidence-based recommendations to assist with person-centered, team-based clinical decision-making to improve the care of persons with diabetes mellitus.

COVID-19 associated diabetes mellitus: A review

A significantly higher rate of new-onset diabetes in many coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients is a frequently observed phenomenon. The resultant hyperglycemia is known to influence the clinical outcome, thereby increasing the cost of treatment and stay in hospital. This will also affect the post-hospitalization recuperation. It has been observed that new-onset diabetes in COVID-19 patients is associated with considerable increase in morbidity and may be associated with increased mortality in some cases. This mini-review focuses on the possible causes to understand how COVID-19-related diabetes develops, various associated risk factors, and possible mechanism to understand the natural history of the disease process, clinical outcome, associated morbidities and various treatment options in the mana-gement of post COVID-19 diabetes. A literature search was performed in PubMed and other online database using appropriate keywords. A total of 80 articles were found, among which, 53 of the most relevant were evaluated/ analyzed and relevant data were included. The studies show that patients who have had severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection leading to development of COVID-19 may manifest not only with new-onset diabetes but also worsening of pre-existing diabetes. Cytopathic effect and autoimmune destruction of insulin-secreting pancreatic beta cells, cytokine storm during the active phase of infection causing impaired insulin secretion and resistance, drug-induced hyperglycemia, undetected pre-existing hyperglycemia/diabetic condition, and stress-induced impairment of glucose metabolism are some of the possible potential mechanisms of COVID-19-associated new-onset diabetes mellitus. Many studies published in recent times have found a significantly higher rate of new-onset diabetes mellitus in many COVID-19 patients. Whether it is an inflammatory or immune-mediated response, direct effect of virus or combination of these is unclear. The resultant hyperglycemia is known to influence the clinical outcome and has been associated with considerable increase in morbidity and increased mortality in some cases.

COVID-19 induced Diabetes: A novel presentation

INTRODUCTION

The COVID-19 pandemic disproportionately affected patients who had comorbid diabetes mellitus. COVID-19 patients with diabetes experience significantly higher rates of complications and mortality. COVID-induced diabetes is a novel phenomenon observed in critically ill patients. The aims of this review were to explore the literature about COVID-induced diabetes and the pathophysiological mechanisms that could lead to this novel presentation.

METHODS

A literature search was performed using PUBMED, Google Scholar, MEDLINE and Embase for original studies (meta-analyses, cross-sectional studies, case series, case reports) about new-onset diabetes following COVID infection, and the proposed biochemical pathways behind this presentation. It was assumed that the authors of the studies used the current diagnostic criteria for diagnosis of type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

RESULTS

COVID-19 causes dysregulation of glucose homeostasis leading to new-onset diabetes and hyperglycaemia. This is also seen in patients with no previous risk factors for diabetes mellitus. The atypical glycaemic parameters and increased rates of DKA suggest that COVID-induced diabetes is a novel form of diabetes. A spectrum of COVID-induced diabetes has also been noted. COVID-induced diabetes is associated with remarkably higher mortality rates and worse outcomes compared to COVID-19 patients with pre-existing diabetes. The novel presentation of COVID-induced diabetes could be due to beta cell damage and insulin resistance caused by SARS-CoV-2.

CONCLUSION

COVID-induced diabetes is essential to detect early, owing to its implications on prognosis. Further studies must include follow-up of these patients to better understand the trajectory of COVID-induced diabetes and the best management plan. It is also important to assess the beta cell function and insulin resistance of COVID-induced diabetes patients over time to better understand the underlying biochemical mechanisms.

Limited extent and consequences of pancreatic SARS-CoV-2 infection

Concerns that infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the etiological agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), may cause new-onset diabetes persist in an evolving research landscape, and precise risk assessment is hampered by, at times, conflicting evidence. Here, leveraging comprehensive single-cell analyses of in vitro SARS-CoV-2-infected human pancreatic islets, we demonstrate that productive infection is strictly dependent on the SARS-CoV-2 entry receptor ACE2 and targets practically all pancreatic cell types. Importantly, the infection remains highly circumscribed and largely non-cytopathic and, despite a high viral burden in infected subsets, promotes only modest cellular perturbations and inflammatory responses. Similar experimental outcomes are also observed after islet infection with endemic coronaviruses. Thus, the limits of pancreatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, even under in vitro conditions of enhanced virus exposure, challenge the proposition that in vivo targeting of β cells by SARS-CoV-2 precipitates new-onset diabetes. Whether restricted pancreatic damage and immunological alterations accrued by COVID-19 increase cumulative diabetes risk, however, remains to be evaluated.

Glucose variability during the early course of acute pancreatitis predicts two‐year probability of new‐onset diabetes: A prospective longitudinal cohort study

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the largest contributor to diabetes of the exocrine pancreas. However, there is no accurate predictor at the time of hospitalisation for AP to identify individuals at high risk for new‐onset diabetes.

Objective

To investigate the accuracy of indices of glucose variability (GV) during the early course of AP in predicting the glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) trajectories during follow‐up.

Methods

This was a prospective longitudinal cohort study of patients without diabetes at the time of hospitalisation for AP. Fasting blood glucose was regularly measured over the first 72 h of hospital admission. The study endpoint was the HbA1c trajectories ‐ high‐increasing, moderate‐stable, normal‐stable ‐ over two years of follow‐up. Multinomial logistic regression analyses were conducted to investigate the associations between several common GV indices and the HbA1c trajectories, adjusting for covariates (age, sex, and body mass index). A sensitivity analysis constrained to patients with non‐necrotising AP was conducted.

Results

A total of 120 consecutive patients were studied. All patients in the high‐increasing HbA1c trajectory group had new‐onset diabetes at 18 and 24 months of follow‐up. Glycaemic lability index had the strongest significant direct association (adjusted odds ratio = 13.69; p = 0.040) with the high‐increasing HbA1c trajectory. High admission blood glucose, standard deviation of blood glucose, and average real variability significantly increased the patients' odds of taking the high‐increasing HbA1c trajectory by at least two‐times. Admission blood glucose, but not the other GV indices, had a significant direct association (adjusted odds ratio = 1.46; p = 0.034) with the moderate‐stable HbA1c trajectory. The above findings did not change materially in patients with non‐necrotising AP alone.

Conclusions

High GV during the early course of AP gives a prescient warning of worsening HbA1c pattern and new‐onset diabetes after hospital discharge. Determining GV during hospitalisation could be a relatively straightforward approach to early identification of individuals at high risk for new‐onset diabetes after AP.

GP73 links SARS-CoV-2 infection with dysglycaemia

Severe COVID-19 is often associated with detrimental elevations in blood glucose, but the mechanisms are poorly understood. In this issue of Nature Metabolism, Wan et al. identify GP73 as a SARS-CoV-2-induced secreted factor that enhances hepatic glucose production and is necessary for SARS-CoV-2-associated glucose abnormalities.

COVID-19, Hyperglycemia, and New-Onset Diabetes

Certain chronic comorbidities, including diabetes, are highly prevalent in people with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and are associated with an increased risk of severe COVID-19 and mortality. Mild glucose elevations are also common in COVID-19 patients and associated with worse outcomes even in people without diabetes. Several studies have recently reported new-onset diabetes associated with COVID-19. The phenomenon of new-onset diabetes following admission to the hospital has been observed previously with other viral infections and acute illnesses. The precise mechanisms for new-onset diabetes in people with COVID-19 are not known, but it is likely that a number of complex interrelated processes are involved, including previously undiagnosed diabetes, stress hyperglycemia, steroid-induced hyperglycemia, and direct or indirect effects of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) on the β-cell. There is an urgent need for research to help guide management pathways for these patients. In view of increased mortality in people with new-onset diabetes, hospital protocols should include efforts to recognize and manage acute hyperglycemia, including diabetic ketoacidosis, in people admitted to the hospital. Whether new-onset diabetes is likely to remain permanent is not known, as the long-term follow-up of these patients is limited. Prospective studies of metabolism in the setting of postacute COVID-19 will be required to understand the etiology, prognosis, and treatment opportunities.

Cytokine signature for predicting new-onset prediabetes after acute pancreatitis: A prospective longitudinal cohort study

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Acute inflammation of the pancreas often leads to metabolic sequelae, the most common of which is new-onset prediabetes (and, ultimately, diabetes). However, there is a lack of studies on predictors of this sequela. The aim was to investigate whether cytokines/chemokines measured at baseline are predictive of new-onset prediabetes after acute pancreatitis (NOPAP).

METHODS

This was a prospective longitudinal cohort study (as part of the LACERTA project) that included 68 individuals with non-necrotising acute pancreatitis who had no diabetes mellitus. Of them, 17 individuals had prediabetes at baseline and during follow-up, 37 individuals had normoglycaemia at baseline and during follow-up, and 14 individuals had normoglycaemia at baseline and developed NOPAP during follow-up. A commercially available human cytokine/chemokine multiplex kit was used to measure a total of 28 analytes at baseline. Multinomial regression analyses were conducted to investigate the associations between the cytokines/chemokines and the three study groups.

RESULTS

Interleukin-1β and interferon γ significantly predicted progression to NOPAP with an odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 1.097 (1.002, 1.201) and 1.094 (1.003, 1.192), respectively (after accounting for age, sex, body mass index, and aetiology of acute pancreatitis). None of the studied cytokines/chemokines showed statistically significant associations with the antecedent prediabetes group (after accounting for the above covariates).

CONCLUSION

Elevated levels of interleukin-1β and interferon γ in acute pancreatitis individuals with normoglycaemia at baseline may predict progression to NOPAP during follow-up.

Acute pancreatitis-induced islet dysfunction in ferrets

BACKGROUND

/Objectives: The pathogenesis of hyperglycemia during acute pancreatitis (AP) remains unknown due to inaccessibility of human tissues and lack of animal models. We aimed to develop an animal model to study the mechanisms of hyperglycemia and impaired glucose tolerance in AP.

METHODS

We injected ferrets with intraperitoneal cerulein (50 μg/kg, 9 hourly injections) or saline. Blood samples were collected for glucose (0, 4, 8, 12, 24h); TNF-α, IL-6 (6h); amylase, lipase, insulin, glucagon, pancreatic polypeptide (PP), glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1), and gastric inhibitory polypeptide (GIP) (24h). Animals underwent oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), mixed meal tolerance test (MMTT) at 24h or 3 months, followed by harvesting pancreas for histopathology and immunostaining.

RESULTS

Cerulein-injected ferrets exhibited mild pancreatic edema, neutrophil infiltration, and elevations in serum amylase, lipase, TNF-α, IL-6, consistent with AP. Plasma glucose was significantly higher in ferrets with AP at all time points. Plasma glucagon, GLP-1 and PP were significantly higher in cerulein-injected animals, while plasma insulin was significantly lower compared to controls. OGTT and MMTT showed abnormal glycemic responses with higher area under the curve. The hypoglycemic response to insulin injection was completely lost, suggestive of insulin resistance. OGTT showed low plasma insulin; MMTT confirmed low insulin and GIP; abnormal OGTT and MMTT responses returned to normal 3 months after cerulein injection.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute cerulein injection causes mild acute pancreatitis in ferrets and hyperglycemia related to transient islet cell dysfunction and insulin resistance. The ferret cerulein model may contribute to the understanding of hyperglycemia in acute pancreatitis.

Pancreatic and gut hormones as predictors of new-onset prediabetes after non-necrotising acute pancreatitis: a prospective longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Early identification of individuals at high risk for metabolic derangements after an attack of acute pancreatitis (AP) is critical with a view to tertiary preventing of this disease. The aim was to investigate whether fasting pancreatic and gut hormones at baseline were predictive of future risk of new-onset prediabetes after acute pancreatitis (NOPAP) in individuals with non-necrotising AP.

METHODS

This was a prospective longitudinal cohort study that included 69 consecutive non-diabetic participants with AP, of whom 55% (n = 38) had normoglycaemia both at baseline and during follow-up, 25% (n = 17) had prediabetes both at baseline and during follow-up, and 20% (n = 14) were normoglycaemic at baseline but developed NOPAP during follow-up. The associations between the study groups and circulating fasting levels of pancreatic and gut hormones (insulin, glucagon, C-peptide, amylin, glucose-dependent insulinotropic peptide, glucagon-like peptide-1, pancreatic polypeptide, and peptide YY) were studied using multinomial regression in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses.

RESULTS

Elevated plasma insulin and glucagon at baseline were significantly associated with NOPAP (adjusted odds ratio 1.99, 95% CI 1.01 to 3.92 and adjusted odds ratio 3.44, 95% CI 1.06 to 11.19, respectively). The same hormones had no significant association with antecedent prediabetes in AP. The other studied hormones were not significantly associated with the study groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Normoglycaemic AP individuals with elevated fasting levels of insulin and glucagon at baseline constitute a high-risk group for future NOPAP.

Association of hyperglycaemia with hospital mortality in nondiabetic COVID-19 patients: A cohort study

Objective

Diabetes is a known risk factor for mortality in Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients. Our objective was to identify prevalence of hyperglycaemia in COVID-19 patients with and without prior diabetes and quantify its association with COVID-19 disease course.

Research design and methods

This observational cohort study included all consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to John H Stroger Jr. Hospital, Chicago, IL from March 15, 2020 to May 3, 2020 and followed till May 15, 2020. The primary outcome was hospital mortality, and the studied predictor was hyperglycaemia [any blood glucose ≥7.78 mmol/L (140 mg/dL) during hospitalization].

Results

Of the 403 COVID-19 patients studied, 51 (12.7%) died; 335 (83.1%) were discharged while 17 (4%) were still in hospital. Hyperglycaemia occurred in 228 (56.6%) patients; 83 of these hyperglycaemic patients (36.4%) had no prior history of diabetes. Compared to the reference group no-diabetes/no-hyperglycaemia patients the no-diabetes/hyperglycaemia patients showed higher mortality [1.8% versus 20.5%, adjusted odds ratio 21.94 (95% confidence interval 4.04–119.0), P < 0.001]; improved prediction of death (P = 0.01) and faster progression to death (P < 0.01). Hyperglycaemia within the first 24 and 48 h was also significantly associated with mortality (odds ratio 2.15 and 3.31, respectively).

Conclusions

Hyperglycaemia without prior diabetes was common (20.6% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients) and was associated with an increased risk of and faster progression to death. Development of hyperglycaemia in COVID-19 patients who do not have diabetes is an early indicator of progressive disease.

Pathophysiological Clues to How the Emergent SARS-CoV-2 Can Potentially Increase the Susceptibility to Neurodegeneration

Along with emergence of the novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in late 2019, a myriad of neurologic symptoms, associated with structural brain changes, were reported. In this paper, we provide evidence to critically discuss the claim that the survived patients could possibly be at increased risk for neurodegenerative diseases via various mechanisms. This virus can directly invade the brain through olfactory bulb, retrograde axonal transport from peripheral nerve endings, or via hematogenous or lymphatic routes. Infection of the neurons along with peripheral leukocytes activation results in pro-inflammatory cytokine increment, rendering the brain to neurodegenerative changes. Also, occupation of the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2) with the virus may lead to a decline in ACE-2 activity, which acts as a neuroprotective factor. Furthermore, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and septicemia induce hypoxemia and hypoperfusion, which are locally exacerbated due to the hypercoagulable state and micro-thrombosis in brain vessels, leading to oxidative stress and neurodegeneration. Common risk factors for COVID-19 and neurodegenerative diseases, such as metabolic risk factors, genetic predispositions, and even gut microbiota dysbiosis, can contribute to higher occurrence of neurodegenerative diseases in COVID-19 survivors. However, it should be considered that severity of the infection, the extent of neurologic symptoms, and the persistence of viral infection consequences are major determinants of this association. Importantly, whether this pandemic will increase the overall incidence of neurodegeneration is not clear, as a high percentage of patients with severe form of COVID-19 might probably not survive enough to develop neurodegenerative diseases.

Panorama of mediators in postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To provide an overview of mediators involved in the pathogenesis of postacute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus.

RECENT FINDINGS

The 'holistic prevention of pancreatitis' framework has brought to the fore the sequelae of not only end-stage chronic pancreatitis and extensive pancreatic necrosis but also mild acute pancreatitis. Insights from the DORADO project have provided a wealth of information on the signalling molecules that do and do not affect glucose metabolism in individuals after mild acute pancreatitis and have challenged conventional views of the pathogenesis of postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus.

SUMMARY

Growing evidence compels a reconsideration of the dogma that mechanical β-cell destruction (and the resulting insulin deficiency) is the only underlying mechanism of postpancreatitis diabetes mellitus. Chronic low-grade inflammation, β-cell compensation, lipolysis, altered secretion of gut hormones, and changes in iron metabolism characterize postacute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus. Some of these are druggable targets that offer novel opportunities to reduce the burden of pancreatitis through tertiary prevention.

Trajectories of glycaemia following acute pancreatitis: a prospective longitudinal cohort study with 24 months follow-up

BACKGROUND

New-onset diabetes is the most common sequela of acute pancreatitis (AP). Yet, prospective changes in glycaemia over time have never been investigated comprehensively in this study population. The primary aim was to determine the cumulative incidence of new-onset prediabetes and new-onset diabetes after AP over 24 months of follow-up in a prospective cohort study. The secondary aim was to identify trajectories of glycaemia during follow-up and their predictors at the time of hospitalisation.

METHODS

Patients with a prospective diagnosis of AP and no diabetes based on the American Diabetes Association criteria were followed up every 6 months up to 24 months after hospital discharge. Incidence of new-onset prediabetes/diabetes over each follow-up period was calculated. Group-based trajectory modelling was used to identify common changes in glycaemia. Multinomial regression analyses were conducted to investigate the associations between a wide array of routinely available demographic, anthropometric, laboratory, imaging, and clinical factors and membership in the trajectory groups.

RESULTS

A total of 152 patients without diabetes were followed up. The cumulative incidence of new-onset prediabetes and diabetes was 20% at 6 months after hospitalisation and 43% over 24 months of follow-up (p trend < 0.001). Three discrete trajectories of glycaemia were identified: normal-stable glycaemia (32%), moderate-stable glycaemia (60%), and high-increasing glycaemia (8%). Waist circumference was a significant predictor of moderate-stable glycaemia. None of the studied predictors were significantly associated with high-increasing glycaemia.

CONCLUSIONS

This first prospective cohort study of changes in glycaemia (determined at structured time points in unselected AP patients) showed that at least one out of five patients develops new-onset prediabetes or diabetes at 6 months of follow-up and more than four out of ten-in the first 2 years. Changes in glycaemia after AP follow three discrete trajectories. This may inform prevention or early detection of critical changes in blood glucose metabolism following an attack of AP and, hence, reduce the burden of new-onset diabetes after acute pancreatitis.

A metabolic handbook for the COVID-19 pandemic

For infectious-disease outbreaks, clinical solutions typically focus on efficient pathogen destruction. However, the COVID-19 pandemic provides a reminder that infectious diseases are complex, multisystem conditions, and a holistic understanding will be necessary to maximize survival. For COVID-19 and all other infectious diseases, metabolic processes are intimately connected to the mechanisms of disease pathogenesis and the resulting pathology and pathophysiology, as well as the host defence response to the infection. Here, I examine the relationship between metabolism and COVID-19. I discuss why preexisting metabolic abnormalities, such as type 2 diabetes and hypertension, may be important risk factors for severe and critical cases of infection, highlighting parallels between the pathophysiology of these metabolic abnormalities and the disease course of COVID-19. I also discuss how metabolism at the cellular, tissue and organ levels might be harnessed to promote defence against the infection, with a focus on disease-tolerance mechanisms, and speculate on the long-term metabolic consequences for survivors of COVID-19.

Pancreatic Hormone Responses to Mixed Meal Test in New-onset Prediabetes/Diabetes After Non-necrotizing Acute Pancreatitis

AIM

To investigate the pancreatic hormone responses to mixed meal test, in particular changes in insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity, and their interrelationship, in individuals with new-onset prediabetes or diabetes after non-necrotizing acute pancreatitis (NODAP) compared with healthy controls.

METHODS

Twenty-nine individuals with NODAP and 29 age-and sex-matched healthy controls were recruited. All participants (after fasting for at least 8 h) were given 12 oz. of BOOST drink and blood samples were collected before and after stimulation to measure insulin, C-peptide, glucagon, and pancreatic polypeptide. Indices of insulin sensitivity (HOMA-IS, 1/fasting insulin, Raynaud, and Matsuda) and insulin secretion (HOMA-β, Stumvoll, insulinogenic index 30' and 60') were calculated. Repeated measures analyses were conducted in the unadjusted and adjusted models.

RESULTS

Insulin and C-peptide levels were significantly higher in individuals with NODAP compared with controls during mixed meal test in both the unadjusted (P=0.001 for both) and adjusted (P=0.004 and P=0.006, respectively) models. HOMA-IS (P=0.005), 1/fasting insulin (P=0.018), Raynaud index (P=0.018), and Matsuda index (P=0.021) were significantly lower in individuals with NODAP, whereas HOMA-β (P=0.028) and Stumvoll index (P=0.013) were significantly higher. Glucagon and pancreatic polypeptide levels did not differ significantly between NODAP and controls during mixed meal test in both the unadjusted (P=0.345 and P=0.206, respectively) and adjusted (P=0.359 and P=0.158, respectively) models.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreased insulin sensitivity, β-cell compensation, and no significant change in postprandial levels of glucagon and pancreatic polypeptide characterize NODAP. The above findings may help develop an evidence-based protocol with a view to optimize control of glucose homeostasis in NODAP.

Surgical Stress Hyperglycemia Associated With New-Onset Diabetes in Living Kidney Donors

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to investigate the frequency and risk factors of new-onset diabetes after donation in kidney donors without diabetes.

METHODS

Living donors of kidney transplants between 1998 and 2016 were evaluated. To detect the blood glucose profile of the donors, preoperative fasting glucose (pro-G), nephrectomy evening glucose (nG), and postoperative day 1 fasting glucose (post-G) values were measured.

RESULTS

A total of 195 cases were included in the study. The mean follow-up time in months ± SD (range) was 56 ± 45 (12-215). Of these, 28 (14.3%) donors developed diabetes. The pro-G (103 ± 7.6 vs 93 ± 9.0), nG (208 ± 122 vs 163 ± 67) and post-G (121 ± 25 vs 111 ± 21) values of the donors with new-onset diabetes were higher. Nineteen donors (9.7%) had normal pro-G, nG, and post-G values (group A). However, there were 153 (78.5%) cases with at least 1 abnormal value (group B) and 25 (12.8%) cases that had abnormal values in all (pro-G, nG, and post-G) measurements (group C). The incidence of new-onset diabetes was 0 (0%) in group A, 11% in group B, and 48% in group C (P < .001). In multiple regression analysis, pro-G (Exp[B], 1.08; 95% CI, 1.04-1.13; P < .001) and basal glomerular filtration rate (Exp[B], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99; P < .01) independently associated with new-onset diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

In kidney donors without a history of diabetes, the development of diabetes after donor nephrectomy is an important problem. Pre- and postoperative blood glucose levels provide important information to predict these cases.

Glucose Counter-regulation After Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Persistent hyperglycemia is a common sequela of acute pancreatitis (AP). The role of counter-regulatory hormones in maintaining glucose homeostasis has been largely studied during the course of AP, but not after clinical resolution of the disease. The objectives of this study were to investigate the associations between circulating levels of glucagon, cortisol, and human growth hormone and glucose homeostasis after AP as well as their associations with a comprehensive panel of pancreatic hormones, gut peptides, and proinflammatory cytokines.

METHODS

Participants with no history of pre-existing prediabetes or diabetes were categorized into hyperglycemia and normoglycemia after AP groups. Binary logistic regression and linear regression analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

Eighty-three individuals were included, of whom 19 had hyperglycemia. Glucagon, cortisol, and human growth hormone did not differ significantly between the groups. Glucagon explained up to 86% of the variance in glucagon-like peptide 1, whereas cortisol explained up to 89% of the variance in interleukin 6 in hyperglycemia after AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Counter-regulatory hormones do not appear to play a direct role in the mechanisms underlying hyperglycemia after AP. However, significant associations between glucagon and glucagon-like peptide 1, as well as between cortisol and interleukin 6, suggest that that these hormones may be involved indirectly in the pathophysiology of hyperglycemia after AP.

Global epidemiology and holistic prevention of pancreatitis

Knowledge of pancreatitis in the 20th century was shaped predominantly by animal data and clinical trials. Several large general population-based cohort studies and comprehensive systematic literature reviews in the 21st century have had a major effect on our understanding of pancreatitis and its sequelae. This Review provides precise and up-to-date data on the burden of acute pancreatitis, chronic pancreatitis and post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus. Exocrine pancreatic insufficiency and altered bone metabolism following pancreatitis are also discussed. Furthermore, the article introduces a framework for the holistic prevention of pancreatitis with a view to providing guidance on strategies and intervention objectives at primary, secondary and tertiary levels. Concerted efforts by not only gastroenterologists and surgeons but also primary care physicians, endocrinologists, radiologists, pain specialists, dietitians, epidemiologists and public health specialists will be required to reduce meaningfully the burden of pancreatitis and its sequelae over the ensuing decades.

African-Americans and Indigenous Peoples Have Increased Burden of Diseases of the Exocrine Pancreas: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Ethnic health disparity is a well-acknowledged issue in many disease settings, but not diseases of the exocrine pancreas. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to explore the race- and ethnicity-specific burden of diseases of the exocrine pancreas. Studies that compared health-related endpoints between two or more ethnicities were eligible for inclusion. Proportion meta-analyses were conducted to compare burden between groups. A total of 42 studies (24 on pancreatic cancer, 17 on pancreatitis, and one on pancreatic cyst) were included in the systematic review, of which 19 studies were suitable for meta-analyses. The incidence of pancreatic cancer was 1.4-fold higher among African-Americans, while the incidence of acute pancreatitis was 4.8-fold higher among an indigenous population (New Zealand Māori) compared with Caucasians. The prevalence of post-pancreatitis diabetes mellitus was up to 3.0-fold higher among certain ethnicities, including Asians, Pacific Islanders, and indigenous populations compared with Caucasians. The burden of diseases of the exocrine pancreas differs between ethnicities, with African-Americans and certain indigenous populations being at the greatest risk of developing these diseases. Development of race- and ethnicity-specific screening as well as protocols for lifestyle modifications may need to be considered with a view to reducing the disparities in burden of diseases of the exocrine pancreas.

The rise of genetically engineered mouse models of pancreatitis: A review of literature

Pancreatitis is increasingly recognized as not merely a local inflammation of the pancreas but also a disease with high frequency of systemic sequelae. Current understanding of the cellular mechanisms that trigger it and affect the development of sequelae are limited. Genetically engineered mouse models can be a useful tool to study the pathophysiology of pancreatitis. This article gives an overview of the genetically engineered mouse models that spontaneously develop pancreatitis and discusses those that most closely replicate different pancreatitis hallmarks observed in humans.

New-Onset Diabetes After Acute Kidney Injury Requiring Dialysis

OBJECTIVE

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is related to a high prevalence of insulin resistance. However, information is lacking on the sequelae of further metabolic change among AKI requiring dialysis in patients who could be weaned off dialysis (acute kidney disease [AKD]).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using the National Health Insurance Research Database from 2000 to 2010, with the exclusion of those with diabetes at the start, we identified 3,307 subjects with AKD and 9,921 matched control subjects from 963,037 hospitalized patients for the comparison of the outcomes, including new-onset diabetes and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Within the median follow-up period of 5.99 years, AKD patients had a higher incidence of new-onset diabetes than the matched control patients (5.16% vs. 4.17% per person-year, P = 0.001). AKD patients were at higher risk of mortality than control patients (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.27 [95% CI 1.18-1.36], P < 0.001). With mortality as a competing risk, a Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that AKD patients had a higher risk of subsequent diabetes (subhazard ratio [sHR] 1.18 [95% CI 1.07-1.30], P < 0.001) compared with the matched control patients. Subgroup analysis showed that patients with baseline hypertension (aHR 1.15 [95% CI 1.04-1.28]), hyperlipidemia (aHR 1.23 [95% CI 1.02-1.48]), and gout (aHR 1.23 [95% CI 1.03-1.46]) had increased odds of developing new-onset diabetes during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who experienced AKI had a higher incidence of developing new-onset diabetes and mortality. This observation adds evidence regarding potential metabolic dysregulation after AKI.

Pancreas volume in health and disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The pancreas plays a central role in metabolism and is involved in the pathogenesis of several diseases. Pancreas volume is a holistic quantitative measure of pancreas size but the clinical relevance of pancreas volumetry is poorly understood. Areas covered: The aim was to systematically review studies in adults that used computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging to measure pancreas volume in health and disease, to determine normal pancreas volume range, and to quantify changes in pancreas volume that are associated with disease. Expert commentary: The normal pancreas volume range in adults is 71-83 cm³, with no statistically significant difference between men and women. Type 2 diabetes and type 1 diabetes are associated with a progressively reduced pancreas volume. Overweight and obesity are associated with a progressively increased pancreas volume. There is a paucity of studies on pancreas volume in the setting of diseases of the exocrine pancreas, which should become a research priority in the future.

Profile of Gut Hormones, Pancreatic Hormones and Pro-inflammatory Cytokines in New Zealand Maori

Background

Maori, indigenous people of New Zealand, have at least two times higher prevalence of obesity and diabetes in comparison with the general population in the country. Gut and pancreatic hormone profile differences as well as pro-inflammatory milieu may contribute to this disparity. The aim was to investigate the differences in gut hormones, pancreatic hormones and pro-inflammatory cytokines between Maori and non-Maori individuals.

Methods

This was a cross-sectional study. Fasting blood samples were collected to measure cholecystokinin, ghrelin, gastric inhibitory peptide, glicentin, glucagon-like peptide-1 and -2, oxyntomodulin, secretin, amylin, C-peptide, glucagon, insulin, pancreatic polypeptide, somatostatin, interleukin-6, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 and tumour necrosis factor-α. Binary logistic regression analysis was conducted in one unadjusted and four adjusted statistical models adjusting for patient-, metabolic- and pancreatitis-related factors.

Results

A total of 8 Maori and 85 non-Maori individuals were included. Circulating levels of ghrelin, pancreatic polypeptide and interleukin-6 levels were significantly higher in Maori (P = 0.005, P = 0.003 and P = 0.011, respectively) in both unadjusted and all the four adjusted analyses. Other signaling molecules did not show consistently significant associations with ethnicity.

Conclusion

Profile of gut hormones, pancreatic hormones and pro-inflammatory cytokines appears to differ between Maori and non-Maori individuals, independent of obesity, diabetes and other covariates. This may go some way to explain the increased propensity to obesity and diabetes in the Maori population.

Ectopic fat accumulation in the pancreas and its biomarkers: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Presence of fat in the pancreas increases the risk of metabolic co-morbidities. Detection and quantification of pancreatic fat is not a routine clinical practice, at least in part because of need to use expensive imaging techniques. We aimed to systematically review common markers of pancreatic fat in blood and to investigate differences in these markers associated with fatty pancreas. The search was conducted in 3 databases (EMBASE, Scopus, and MEDLINE). Studies in humans were eligible for inclusion if they reported on biological markers and percentage of pancreatic fat or fatty pancreas prevalence. Data were pooled for correlation and effect size meta-analysis. A total of 17 studies including 11 967 individuals were eligible for meta-analysis. Markers of lipid metabolism, including circulating triglycerides (r = 0.38 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.31, 0.46]) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (r = -0.33 [95% CI -0.35, -0.31]), and markers of glucose metabolism, including glycated haemoglobin (r = 0.39 [95% CI 0.30, 0.48], insulin (r = 0.38 [95% CI 0.33, 0.43]), and homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (r = 0.37 [95% CI 0.30, 0.44], yielded the best correlations with percentage of pancreatic fat. Further, effect size analysis showed large and medium effects for the above markers of lipid and glucose metabolism. Circulating levels of triglycerides and glycated haemoglobin appear to be the best currently available markers of pancreatic fat. The approach of non-invasive and accurate detection of pancreatic fat by blood analysis should be further explored in the future, by investigating other potential biological markers of pancreatic fat.

Derivation and validation of the prediabetes self-assessment screening score after acute pancreatitis (PERSEUS)

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Approximately 40% of patients develop abnormal glucose metabolism after a single episode of acute pancreatitis. This study aimed to develop and validate a prediabetes self-assessment screening score for patients after acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Data from non-overlapping training (n=82) and validation (n=80) cohorts were analysed. Univariate logistic and linear regression identified variables associated with prediabetes after acute pancreatitis. Multivariate logistic regression developed the score, ranging from 0 to 215. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistic, and calibration plots were used to assess model discrimination and calibration. The developed score was validated using data from the validation cohort.

RESULTS

The score had an AUROC of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80-0.97) and Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistic of 5.75 (p=0.676). Patients with a score of ≥75 had a 94.1% probability of having prediabetes, and were 29 times more likely to have prediabetes than those with a score of <75. The AUROC in the validation cohort was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70-0.92) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow χ² statistic was 5.50 (p=0.599). Model calibration of the score showed good calibration in both cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The developed and validated score, called PERSEUS, is the first instrument to identify individuals who are at high risk of developing abnormal glucose metabolism following an episode of acute pancreatitis.

Effect of Intravenous Fluids and Analgesia on Dysmotility in Patients With Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Analgesia and intravenous fluid resuscitation are cornerstones of initial patient management in acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim was to investigate the effect of intravenous fluids and analgesia on gastrointestinal motility in the early course of AP.

METHODS

Gastrointestinal dysmotility was assessed using the Gastroparesis Cardinal Symptom Index (GCSI). One-way analysis of variance and analysis of covariance were conducted, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, severity of AP, preexisting diabetes mellitus, and time from first symptom onset to hospital admission.

RESULTS

A total of 108 patients with AP were prospectively enrolled. Opioid analgesia, when compared with nonopioid analgesia, was significantly associated with increase in total GCSI score in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. There was no significant difference between aggressive and nonaggressive fluid resuscitation in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. A combination of opioids and any intravenous fluids was associated with a significantly increased total GCSI score compared with opioids and no intravenous fluids in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses. Duration of symptoms was the confounder that significantly affected 6 of 9 studied associations.

CONCLUSIONS

Intravenous fluids and analgesia significantly affect motility independent of severity and other covariates. Guidelines on prudent use of opioids and fluids in AP need to be developed, particularly taking into account duration of symptoms from onset to hospitalization.

Diabetes of the exocrine pancreas: American Diabetes Association-compliant lexicon

Multidisciplinary teams, including gastroenterologists, endocrinologists, surgeons, dietitians, primary care physicians, and other health professionals, are involved in management of individuals with diabetes of the exocrine pancreas (DEP). This necessitates introduction of a uniform terminology to ensure proper communication and reporting. Because DEP is a form of secondary diabetes mellitus, it makes sense to align the evolving DEP lexicon with nomenclature and diagnostic standards advocated by a world leading professional body in the field of diabetes such as the American Diabetes Association. This Editorial offers a historical excursus on the terms used and proposes a new concise nomenclature and diagnostic criteria. This new taxonomy of DEP, compliant with the American Diabetes Association standards of diagnosis and care for patients with diabetes mellitus, will ensure standardisation of reporting in future clinical studies on DEP and enable a dynamic incorporation of glucose dysregulation mechanisms related specifically to diseases of the exocrine pancreas as new evidence emerges.

Glucose Variability Measures as Predictors of Oral Feeding Intolerance in Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Pilot Study

BACKGROUND

Oral feeding intolerance (OFI) is a common complication in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Variations in blood glucose are associated with impaired gastrointestinal function but, to date, measures of glucose variability have not been investigated to predict OFI in patients with AP.

AIM

To investigate the usefulness of several glucose variability measures in predicting the occurrence of OFI early in the course of AP.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, six measures of glucose variability were calculated prior to the occurrence of OFI. Multivariate binary logistic regression analyses were conducted, and the diagnostic performance and accuracy of glucose variability measures were assessed.

RESULTS

Of the 95 prospectively enrolled patients, 21 (22%) developed OFI. After adjusting for confounders, admission blood glucose concentration and mean blood glucose concentration were significantly associated with OFI [odds ratio 1.49 (95% confidence interval 1.01-2.20) and odds ratio 1.67 (95% confidence interval 1.07-2.61), respectively]. Both admission blood glucose and mean blood glucose had an area under the curve of 0.83 and positive likelihood ratios of 6.45 and 10.19, respectively. Blood glucose concentration before refeeding, standard deviation of blood glucose concentration, coefficient of variation, and mean amplitude of glycemic excursions were not significantly associated with OFI.

CONCLUSION

In-hospital blood glucose concentrations are associated with subsequent development of OFI in patients with AP. In particular, admission blood glucose and mean blood glucose could be useful predictors of OFI in this setting.