Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Global, regional, and national burden of ovarian cancer among young women during 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

Ovarian cancer, the most devastating tumor in women globally, significantly impacts young women, compromising their daily lives and overall well-being. Ovarian cancer represents a significant public health concern due to its extensive physical and psychological consequences.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Data from the Global Burden of Disease were used to assess the global, regional, and national burden of ovarian cancer in young women aged 20-39 from 1990 to 2019. This analysis focused on trends measured by the estimated annual percentage change and explored the socioeconomic impacts via the socio-demographic index (SDI).

RESULTS

During 1990-2019, the incidence and prevalence of ovarian cancer among young women increased globally, with annual rates of 0.74% and 0.89%, respectively. The mortality rate and disability-adjusted life years also rose annually by 0.20% and 0.23%, respectively. A significant burden shift was observed toward regions with lower SDI, with high fasting plasma glucose, BMI, and asbestos exposure identified as prominent risk factors, particularly in lower SDI regions.

CONCLUSION

Our findings underscore ovarian cancer in young women as an escalating global health challenge, with the burden increasingly shifting toward lower socioeconomic areas. This underscores the necessity for targeted prevention and control strategies for ovarian cancer, focusing on reducing the identified risk factors and ensuring equitable health resource distribution.

Educational programmes for improving medication adherence among older adults with coronary artery disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death worldwide. Adhering to coronary artery disease medications is the priority of its treatment. Medication adherence is suboptimal among older adults with coronary artery disease. Educational programmes are used and recommended in improving medication adherence among older adults with coronary artery disease. The evidence about the effects of educational programmes on medication adherence among older adults with coronary artery disease is, however, limited.

AIM

To evaluate the effects of educational programmes designed for improving medication adherence among older adults with coronary artery disease.

METHODS

12 English databases and five Chinese databases were searched from database inception to January 2024. Randomised controlled trials examining the effects of educational programmes for improving medication adherence among older adults (aged 60 years old or above) with coronary artery disease (including myocardial infarction, stable or unstable angina, undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention, or undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting) were included. The quality of the included studies was assessed by the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool v2. Meta-analysis was conducted using random-effect models with Review Manager 5.3. Narrative synthesis was conducted if the results of the included studies were not appropriate or possible for meta-analysis. The Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach was used to assess the certainty of evidence.

RESULTS

5607 records were retrieved, and 5600 records were excluded. Six randomised controlled trials were included. The results showed that educational programmes could significantly improve medication adherence at two to six months post-intervention (standardised mean difference (SMD): 1.13, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.33 to 1.94, P = 0.006, Moderate certainty of evidence), but there was no significant evidence to support their effect on medication adherence within one-month post-intervention (SMD: 2.18, 95 % CI: -1.22, 5.58, P = 0.21, Low certainty of evidence). Narrative synthesis found that the educational programmes potentially improved medication adherence over six months post-intervention, understanding of coronary artery disease and related medications, and medication management capacity.

CONCLUSIONS

Educational programmes could significantly improve medication adherence among older adults with coronary artery disease at two to six months post-intervention, and potentially improve medication adherence over six months post-intervention. The effect on medication adherence within one-month post-intervention was inconclusive. Designing the educational programmes with theoretical frameworks and refined components helps address their complex health needs. More rigorous evaluation of the effects of educational programmes on medication adherence of the older adults with coronary artery disease is warranted.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (Registration Number: CRD42024472344; Registration name: Educational programmes for improving medication adherence among older adults with coronary artery disease: A systematic review).

Physical activity and exercise health benefits: cancer prevention, interception, and survival

Physical activity (PA) has an established role in the promotion of health and fitness and the prevention of disease. Expected overall benefits include reduction of all-cause morbidity and death, weight control, improved quality of life, improved bone health and decreased falls of elderly subjects, , deeper cognition, and reduced risk of depression, anxiety, and sleeplessness. Currently, PA is a mainstay in the management of cardiovascular diseases, metabolic syndrome, diabetes, and bone health. Recently, the perception of its role in primary and secondary prevention, interception, and treatment of cancer, however, is also gaining importance. Regular walking, the simplest type of PA, is associated with reduced all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality, and a role in cancer prevention is of increasing interest. Furthermore, PA improves the quality of life of cancer patients, attenuating side effects of chemotherapy, decreasing sarcopenia, increasing fitness, and inhibiting the recurrence and progression of some cancer types. It promotes emotional and psychological benefits in patients, inducing positive changes. While mechanisms, effective levels and useful amount of PA practice are well established in cardiology, they are yet to be fully determined in oncology. Nevertheless, PA is recommended to reduce cancer risk in the general population, and it has been introduced in programs for the prevention of second cancers. In perspective, it will help as integrative therapy in cancer patients and for cancer survivors. The number of beneficial effects in the cancer continuum is highlighted in this review.

Significant association between three atherosclerosis indexes and stroke risk

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the associations of three atherosclerosis indexes with stroke in a population aged 65 years and older.

METHODS

A sample was obtained from wave 2011 to wave 2015 of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for stroke in the quartiles of three atherosclerosis indexes, and restricted cubic splines were constructed.

RESULTS

Four hundred and fifty-four of the 21,913 eligible participants had stroke. After multivariate adjustments and with respect to the lowest quartiles, the ORs (95% CIs) of stroke in the highest quartiles of the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), the Castelli risk index I (CRI-I), and the Castelli risk index II (CRI-II) were 1.35 (0.99-1.83), 1.52 (1.13-2.06), and 1.40 (1.05-1.86), respectively. When assessed as a continuous exposure, per-unit increases in the AIP, CRI-I, and CRI-II were independently associated with a 49% (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.07-2.08), 6% (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11), and 14% (OR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.03-1.27) increase in the risk of stroke, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The three atherosclerosis indexes studied-the AIP, CRI-I, and CRI-II-were found to be predictors of stroke in a Chinese population.

Prevalence and risk factors of headache in Chinese with stroke: a cross-sectional study based on CHARLS

BACKGROUND

Stroke ranks as the second leading cause of death worldwide. Meanwhile, headaches are considered the second leading cause of disability, and they often occur as a stroke complication. However, insufficient attention has been given to the treatment and rehabilitation of headaches among stroke patients, and the research on the epidemiology and risk factors of headaches in stroke patients in China is limited. Therefore, in this study, China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) data were utilized for a cross-sectional analysis to estimate the prevalence of headaches in stroke patients and identify the associated risk factors.

METHOD

This study utilized data, which included those of participants aged 45 and above from 28 provinces across China, from the nationally representative CHARLS 2018 database. A total of 876 stroke patients and 17,469 nonstroke patients were considered in this work. Stroke diagnosis and headache status were determined based on self-reported questionnaire responses. Cross-sectional analysis determined the prevalence of headaches in patients with strokes and those without through quantification of individuals diagnosed with headaches. Categorical variables were presented as percentages and counts, and univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to calculate the odds ratios (OR) for the risk factors associated with headaches in stroke patients.

RESULTS

In the 2018 data, 328 individuals with stroke-related headaches were screened and compared with 4,249 individuals without the condition. Overall, a cross-sectional survey revealed that the headache prevalence among stroke patients reached 37.44% (95% confidence interval (CI): 34.23%-40.74%), which was higher than the overall headache prevalence among nonstroke patients 24.32% (95% CI: 23.69%-24.97%). Headaches were considerably more common in women (45.95%; 95% CI: 41.31%-50.58%) than in men (26.70%; 95% CI: 24.44%-32.97%; gender difference, p < 0.001). According to multifactorial logistic regression analysis, the risk factors for stroke-related headaches included being female (OR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.02-2.07), residency in Central (2.50, 1.37-4.54), Eastern (1.87, 1.07-3.27), and Northwest China (2.49, 1.06-5.84), Very poor self-health (4.06, 1.90-8.68), diabetes (1.85, 1.11-3.07), shoulder pain (4.01, 2.77-5.81), back pain (2.01, 1.32-3.05), and chest pain (2.51, 1.55-4.06).

CONCLUSION

Enhancement of self-awareness of health, effective management of diabetes, and minimization of the physical discomfort in the shoulders, back, and chest may contribute to the decreased occurrence of headaches. Therefore, targeted prevention and treatment of headaches are necessary.

The effect of age on the relationship between negative life events and current and new depressive episodes: results from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil)

BACKGROUND

There is scarce data concerning the relationship between negative life events (NLEs)* and current and new depressive episodes by age.

METHODS

Cross-sectional (baseline) and prospective analyses (4-year/8-year follow-ups) were performed in 15,105 civil servants in 6 cities in Brazil classified according to age strata at baseline: 1st(35-44), 2nd(45-54), 3rd(55-64), and 4th(65-74) years. The independent variable was NLEs in the last year (robbery, hospitalization, death of a relative, financial hardship, and rupture of a love relationship) collected at baseline. The dependent variable was depressive episodes assessed at baseline (current), and 4-year/8-year follow-ups (new). We built logistic (Odds Ratio[OR];95 % Confidence Interval[CI]) in the cross-sectional analysis and Poisson regression models (Relative Risk[RR], [CI]) in the prospective analysis.

RESULTS

Robbery, hospitalization, financial hardship, rupture of a relationship were associated with current depressive episodes concentrated in the 35-44 age range, while for new depressive episodes, the association of hospitalization, death of a relative, and financial hardship were concentrated in the 45-54 age stratum. Financial hardship was associated with current depressive episodes in all age-strata: 1st: OR, 2.77(CI, 1.83-4.19); 2nd: OR, 1.71(CI, 1.26-2.34); 3rd: OR, 1.68(CI,1.15-2.46); 4th, OR, 4.07(CI, 1.24-13.34), and new depressive episodes: 1st: RR, 1.45(CI, 1.09-1.93); 2nd RR, 1.46(CI: 1.15-1.84); 3rd: RR, 1.97(CI, 1.38-2.82). Rupture of a relationship was associated only with current depressive episode, while death of a relative only with new depressive episode.

LIMITATION

We cannot rule out the possibility of recall bias, since NLEs` information was self-reported.

CONCLUSION

The association between NLEs with depressive episodes was concentrated in youngers.

Sarcopenia in trauma patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Sarcopenia is associated with poor prognosis and mortality following injury. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to analyze diagnostic criteria for sarcopenia, as well as to assess its prevalence and impact on health outcomes among trauma patients. We conducted a literature search on MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from inception to June 2023. A total of 27 studies were included, involving 8692 individuals (55.5 % men) with a mean age ranging from 42.2 to 80.5 years. The pooled prevalence of sarcopenia in trauma patients was 36.0 % [95 % confidence interval (CI): 29.1-43.0 %, I2 = 97.8 %], with a 39.3 % prevalence (95 % CI: 31.0-48.5 %, I2 = 96.8 %) in men and a 39.0 % prevalence (95 % CI: 31.4-46.2 %, I2 = 94.4 %) in women. Trauma patients with sarcopenia were more prone to complications [risk ratio (RR): 1.16, 95 % CI: 1.03-1.31, I2 = 45.8 %] and less able to discharge independently (RR: 0.74, 95 % CI: 0.63-0.86, I2 = 33.3 %). The risk of death in trauma patients with sarcopenia was higher than in non-sarcopenic patients [hazard ratio (HR): 1.64, 95 % CI: 1.31-2.04]. Sarcopenia is commonly present in trauma patients and has a negative impact on prognosis. Early assessment and interventions for sarcopenia should be conducted in trauma patients.

The burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors by state in the USA, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

BACKGROUND

The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides a comprehensive assessment of health and risk factor trends at global, regional, national, and subnational levels. This study aims to examine the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors in the USA and highlight the disparities in health outcomes across different states.

METHODS

GBD 2021 analysed trends in mortality, morbidity, and disability for 371 diseases and injuries and 88 risk factors in the USA between 1990 and 2021. We used several metrics to report sources of health and health loss related to specific diseases, injuries, and risk factors. GBD 2021 methods accounted for differences in data sources and biases. The analysis of levels and trends for causes and risk factors within the same computational framework enabled comparisons across states, years, age groups, and sex. GBD 2021 estimated years lived with disability (YLDs) and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; the sum of years of life lost to premature mortality and YLDs) for 371 diseases and injuries, years of life lost (YLLs) and mortality for 288 causes of death, and life expectancy and healthy life expectancy (HALE). We provided estimates for 88 risk factors in relation to 155 health outcomes for 631 risk-outcome pairs and produced risk-specific estimates of summary exposure value, relative health risk, population attributable fraction, and risk-attributable burden measured in DALYs and deaths. Estimates were produced by sex (male and female), age (25 age groups from birth to ≥95 years), and year (annually between 1990 and 2021). 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for all final estimates as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles values of 500 draws (ie, 500 random samples from the estimate's distribution). Uncertainty was propagated at each step of the estimation process.

FINDINGS

We found disparities in health outcomes and risk factors across US states. Our analysis of GBD 2021 highlighted the relative decline in life expectancy and HALE compared with other countries, as well as the impact of COVID-19 during the first 2 years of the pandemic. We found a decline in the USA's ranking of life expectancy from 1990 to 2021: in 1990, the USA ranked 35th of 204 countries and territories for males and 19th for females, but dropped to 46th for males and 47th for females in 2021. When comparing life expectancy in the best-performing and worst-performing US states against all 203 other countries and territories (excluding the USA as a whole), Hawaii (the best-ranked state in 1990 and 2021) dropped from sixth-highest life expectancy in the world for males and fourth for females in 1990 to 28th for males and 22nd for females in 2021. The worst-ranked state in 2021 ranked 107th for males (Mississippi) and 99th for females (West Virginia). 14 US states lost life expectancy over the study period, with West Virginia experiencing the greatest loss (2·7 years between 1990 and 2021). HALE ranking declines were even greater; in 1990, the USA was ranked 42nd for males and 32nd for females but dropped to 69th for males and 76th for females in 2021. When comparing HALE in the best-performing and worst-performing US states against all 203 other countries and territories, Hawaii ranked 14th highest HALE for males and fifth for females in 1990, dropping to 39th for males and 34th for females in 2021. In 2021, West Virginia-the lowest-ranked state that year-ranked 141st for males and 137th for females. Nationally, age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1990 and 2021 for many leading causes of death, most notably for ischaemic heart disease (56·1% [95% UI 55·1-57·2] decline), lung cancer (41·9% [39·7-44·6]), and breast cancer (40·9% [38·7-43·7]). Over the same period, age-standardised mortality rates increased for other causes, particularly drug use disorders (878·0% [770·1-1015·5]), chronic kidney disease (158·3% [149·6-167·9]), and falls (89·7% [79·8-95·8]). We found substantial variation in mortality rates between states, with Hawaii having the lowest age-standardised mortality rate (433·2 per 100 000 [380·6-493·4]) in 2021 and Mississippi having the highest (867·5 per 100 000 [772·6-975·7]). Hawaii had the lowest age-standardised mortality rates throughout the study period, whereas Washington, DC, experienced the most improvement (a 40·7% decline [33·2-47·3]). Only six countries had age-standardised rates of YLDs higher than the USA in 2021: Afghanistan, Lesotho, Liberia, Mozambique, South Africa, and the Central African Republic, largely because the impact of musculoskeletal disorders, mental disorders, and substance use disorders on age-standardised disability rates in the USA is so large. At the state level, eight US states had higher age-standardised YLD rates than any country in the world: West Virginia, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Ohio, Tennessee, and Arizona. Low back pain was the leading cause of YLDs in the USA in 1990 and 2021, although the age-standardised rate declined by 7·9% (1·8-13·0) from 1990. Depressive disorders (56·0% increase [48·2-64·3]) and drug use disorders (287·6% [247·9-329·8]) were the second-leading and third-leading causes of age-standardised YLDs in 2021. For females, mental health disorders had the highest age-standardised YLD rate, with an increase of 59·8% (50·6-68·5) between 1990 and 2021. Hawaii had the lowest age-standardised rates of YLDs for all sexes combined (12 085·3 per 100 000 [9090·8-15 557·1]), whereas West Virginia had the highest (14 832·9 per 100 000 [11 226·9-18 882·5]). At the national level, the leading GBD Level 2 risk factors for death for all sexes combined in 2021 were high systolic blood pressure, high fasting plasma glucose, and tobacco use. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardised mortality rates attributable to high systolic blood pressure decreased by 47·8% (43·4-52·5) and for tobacco use by 5·1% (48·3%-54·1%), but rates increased for high fasting plasma glucose by 9·3% (0·4-18·7). The burden attributable to risk factors varied by age and sex. For example, for ages 15-49 years, the leading risk factors for death were drug use, high alcohol use, and dietary risks. By comparison, for ages 50-69 years, tobacco was the leading risk factor for death, followed by dietary risks and high BMI.

INTERPRETATION

GBD 2021 provides valuable information for policy makers, health-care professionals, and researchers in the USA at the national and state levels to prioritise interventions, allocate resources effectively, and assess the effects of health policies and programmes. By addressing socioeconomic determinants, risk behaviours, environmental influences, and health disparities among minority populations, the USA can work towards improving health outcomes so that people can live longer and healthier lives.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Metabolomic profiles of infants classified as sudden infant death syndrome: a case-control analysis

BACKGROUND

Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS) is a leading cause of postneonatal mortality. The absence of specific biomarkers of SIDS diagnosis and risk leaves a significant gap in understanding SIDS pathophysiology. Metabolomics offers an avenue to better understand SIDS biology and identifying potential biomarkers.

METHODS

Using Metabolon Inc., global discovery panel, we analysed 828 metabolites from post-mortem serum samples of infants from the Chicago Infant Mortality Study (CIMS) and the NIH NeuroBioBank (NBB). In total, 300 infants (195 SIDS; 105 non-SIDS) across multiple race/ethnicities (70% Black, 13% White, and 16% Hispanic) were included. Metabolite associations with SIDS were performed using Welch's t-tests, linear and logistic regression, and network-cluster analyses.

FINDINGS

We identified thirty-five significant metabolite predictors of SIDS after adjustment for age, sex, race and ethnicity, and post-mortem interval, including ornithine (OR 21.98; p-value 6.44e-7), 5-hydroxylysine (OR 19.48; p-value 6.78e-7), 1-stearoyl-2-linoleoyl-GPC (18:0/18:2) (OR 16.80; p-value 3.4e-7), ribitol (OR 8.19; p-value 4.2e-8), and arabitol/xylitol. Using Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA), ten metabolite clusters were identified. Four exhibited significant associations with SIDS. The two most correlated clusters were enriched for metabolites in the tyrosine metabolism pathway and lipid (sphingomyelins) pathways.

INTERPRETATION

We identified metabolite biomarkers within key biological pathways and processes (e.g., nitrogen metabolism, lipid and fatty acid metabolism, stress response, nerve cell communication, hormone regulation, oxidative stress) with potential implications in SIDS pathology. Further research is needed to validate these biomarkers in additional SIDS cohorts.

FUNDING

The Chicago Infant Mortality Study was funded by Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development and the National Institute on Deafness and Other Communication Disorders under contract number NO1-HD-3-3188, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Association of Teachers of Preventive Medicine under cooperative agreement number U50/CCU300860-06, and the Playmates in Heaven Foundation. The current analyses were funded by Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development under 5R01HD101518-04.

Exploring sex-specific genetic architecture of coronary artery disease in Tehran: a cardiometabolic genetic study

BACKGROUND

The development of coronary artery disease (CAD) is influenced by sex and genetic factors. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have linked genetic loci to CAD, mostly in European populations. The study aims to find sex-related genetic differences in the Iranian population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a sex-stratified GWAS with 4519 subjects (1832 males and 2687 females) in the discovery group and 922 subjects (495 males and 427 females) in the confirmation group of an Iranian cohort. We analyzed 9,141,124 variants using a genome-wide complex trait analysis (GCTA) tool.

RESULTS

We detected distinct genetic variants associated with CAD in males: rs34952209 [OR = 1.79; p = 5.216E-8], rs1432687863 [OR = 1.95; p = 8.477E-8], and in females, rs7314741 [OR = 1.67; p = 7.142-8E] positively influenced CAD risk. The CAD-associated SNPs that were obtained have been confirmed using independent samples. Rs3495229 May impact histone mark and Pou2f2 motifs, while rs7314741 in the LEM Domain Containing 3 (LEMD3) promoter may affect a regulatory motif for the STAT transcription factor. According to Roadmap and ENCODE data, Rs1432687863 is a new variant affecting CAD in males, potentially through H3K9me3 in the heart.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlight the role of sex-specific genetic differences in CAD development, providing novel insights into disease pathways which is not appropriate using a sex-combined strategy. [Figure: see text].

PTEN regulation in virus-associated cancers

Despite advancements in science, researchers still face challenges in curing patients with malignancies. This health issue is linked to various risk factors, including alcohol consumption, age, sex, and infectious diseases. Among these, viral agents play a significant role in cancer-related health problems and are currently a subject of ongoing research. In this review, we summarize how several viruses-such as herpesviruses, human papillomavirus, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, and adenovirus-impact cancer signaling pathways through their effects on the tumor suppressor PTEN.

High Gastric Cancer Mortality and Years of Life Lost in Nicaragua: A Population-Based Study 1997 to 2012

BACKGROUND

Gastric adenocarcinoma is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality and leading infection-associated cancer. Gastric adenocarcinoma has striking geographic variability, with high incidence in East Asia and mountainous Latin America. Reliable cancer data and population-based cancer registries are lacking for the majority of low- and middle-income countries, including the Central American Four region (CA-4, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala).

METHODS

Mortality data for Nicaragua were obtained from the highly rated Ministry of Health death registry. All the patients were diagnosed with gastric cancer between 1997 and 2012 (ICD-10 codes, C16.0-C16.9) and death due to any cause were included in the study. Data on variables such as sex, age (stratified by 5-year age groups), municipality, urban/rural, altitude, and year of death were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 3,886 stomach cancer deaths were reported in Nicaragua between 1997 and 2012, of which 2,214 (56.9%) were male. The age-standardized mortality rates were 13.1 and 8.7 per 100,000 habitants for males and females, respectively, and without significant change during the study period (annual percentage change = -0.7, P = 0.2). An average of 17.9 years were lost per death, accounting for 67,964 years of life lost (YLL).

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of gastric cancer mortality is high in Nicaragua with a significantly elevated age-standardized mortality rate, YYL, and average YLL.

IMPACT

The projected increase in mortality portends the double cancer burden in northern Central America, with persistent infection-associated cancers and growing transition cancers (e.g., breast and colon cancers), which has implications for cancer control in Mesoamerica and US Latino populations. See related commentary by Riquelme and Abnet, p. 1550.

Population-Based Study of Gastric Cancer Survival and Associations in Rural Western Honduras

BACKGROUND

Two-thirds of global cancers occur in low/middle income countries (LMIC). Northern Central America is the largest LMIC region in the Western Hemisphere and lack cancer registries to guide cancer control. We conducted a gastric cancer survival study in rural Western Honduras, characterized as having among the highest gastric cancer incidence rates in Latin America.

METHODS

The cohort of incident gastric cancer diagnosed between 2002 and 2015 was studied with active follow-up with household visits. The regional gastric cancer registry was primary for case identification, with completeness examination with hospital data and national death certificates. Cox regression models were used for survival calculations.

RESULTS

Survival follow-up was achieved in 741/774 patients (95.7%). Household interviews were conducted in 74.1% (n = 549); 65.7% were male, median age at diagnosis was 64 years, 24.5% were <55 years; 43.9% of tumors had pyloric obstruction; 45.2%, 43.2%, and 7.3% of histology was intestinal, diffuse, and mixed, respectively. A total of 24.7% patients received treatment. The 5-year survival rates were 9.9% for both males and females, 7.7% for age <45, and 7.9% for diffuse gastric cancer. Median survival time was 4.8 months [95% confidence interval (CI), 4.2-5.6]. In the final Cox regression model including age, sex, Lauren subtype, and poverty index, only treatment was significantly associated with survival (hazard ratio = 2.43, 95% CI, 1.8-3.2).

CONCLUSIONS

Markedly low gastric cancer 5-year survival rates are observed in rural Central America. The majority of patients present with advanced disease and a minority have access to therapy.

IMPACT

The findings have implications for cancer control in the Central America LMICs and for US Latino populations. See related commentary by Riquelme and Abnet, p. 1550.

Risk Factors for Multiple Suicide Attempts in Adolescents From 10 Years Suicide Repository

BACKGROUND

While there are many studies on adolescents' suicide attempts in the western countries, studies on adolescent suicide in South Korea are relatively scarce. We compared demographical and clinical variables between the first and multiple suicide attempters and examined potential risk factors predicting multiple suicide attempts.

METHODS

Two hundred forty-eight suicide attempters aged from 11 to 19 years old who visited emergency department of Uijeongbu St. Mary's Hospital, South Korea were recruited and divided into two groups: first attempter (n = 139, 56%) and multiple attempter (n = 109, 44%). A psychiatric interview with the Brief Emergency Room Suicide Risk Assessment were administered to all participants, and univariate analyses to compare characteristics of the two group and a multivariable logistic regression analysis to predict multiple suicidal attempts were performed.

RESULTS

Our results showed multiple suicide attempters were mostly female (78%), more severe in psychopathology (e.g., higher rate of psychiatric family history, diagnosis of axis I history, history of major depressive disorder, higher feeling of hopelessness/helplessness) and suicidality (e.g., repetitive/severe/continuous suicide ideation, lower regret for suicide attempt). Moreover, multiple suicide attempters were lower in psychiatric resources, such as lower personal achievement, lower ability to control emotion, and less insight. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that suicide ideation severity (odds ratio [OR], 2.30; P = 0.004), past history of axis I diagnosis (especially major depressive disorder; OR, 2.55; P = 0.002), and the use of "cutting" (OR, 2.85; P = 0.001) predicted multiple suicide attempts.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggests that multiple suicide attempters tend to have more severe clinical profiles than the first suicide attempters. Intervention for depression and self-mutilation behavior of suicide attempters may be important in preventing multiple suicide attempts of adolescents.

The global, regional, and national burden of urolithiasis in 204 countries and territories, 2000-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Background

Urolithiasis is a common urological problem that is associated with high morbidity. A comprehensive assessment of the non-fatal and fatal health trends of urolithiasis by age, sex, and geography over time is necessary to inform policy to control this surgically managed non-communicable disease.

Methods

This study was conducted using the standard GBD methodology and analytic tools. Cause-specific mortality rate (CSMR) was estimated using vital registration and verbal autopsy data and the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) modelling tool. CSMR estimates and incidence data from medical insurance claims and hospital discharges were analysed using a Bayesian meta-regression modelling tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, to estimate age-, sex-, and location-specific incidence of urolithiasis between 2000 and 2021. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were the sum of years of life lost (YLL) and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs due to urolithiasis were calculated by multiplying the estimated number of deaths by the standard life expectancy at the age of death. YLDs were estimated by multiplying the disability weight by the symptomatic proportion of urolithiasis cases. The Global Burden of Diseases study used de-identified data, approved by the University of Washington IRB (Study Number 9060).

Findings

There were 106 million (95% UI 88.3-129.0) incident cases of urolithiasis in 2021, of which 67% were in men (71.1 million [59.4-86.2)]). The global number of incident cases, deaths, and DALYs increased by 26.7% (23.8-29.8), 60.3% (41.5-84.7), and 34.5% (24.6-47.3), respectively, between 2000 and 2021. The global age-standardised incidence rate of urolithiasis experienced a significant decrease of 17.5% (14.7-20.0), while the age-standardised DALYs rate saw a reduction of 15.1% (6.8-21.3). Twelve GBD regions showed declining trends in the age-standardised incidence rate of urolithiasis between 2000 and 2021, and the remaining nine GBD regions had an increasing trend of age-standardised rates of urolithiasis. A significant increase in the age-standardised incidence rate of urolithiasis was observed in Central America, Tropical Latin America, and the Caribbean regions, whereas notable decline was observed in east Asia, eastern Europe, central Europe, and high-income North America. It was observed that the global age-standardised death rate was less than 0.5 per 100,000 across all GBD regions and less than 1 per 100,000 across all SDI quintiles, with fairly stable global age-standardised death rates of urolithiasis between 2000 and 2021. The age-standardised incidence rate of urolithiasis was 837 (688-1034) in low SDI regions and 1443 (12,108-1734) in high-middle SDI regions. Furthermore, the age-standardised DALY rate showed a decreasing trend across all SDI quintiles over the same period: high-middle SDI (-28.9% [-34.4 to -23.0]), middle SDI (-22.6% [-30.5 to -10.9]), and low-middle SDI (-2.9% [-15.8 to 12.9]).

Interpretation

Global urolithiasis incidence and DALY rates have decreased, while the death rate has stabilised worldwide, showing significant variability among regions, SDI levels, and countries. This could be due to effective preventive measures c on urolithiasis risk factors, effective public health education, lifestyle changes, and early interventions and improved health care access at the global level. This analysis offers relevant insights into global, regional, and country-specific urolithiasis trends.

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Spatiotemporal trends in the burden of colorectal cancer incidence and risk factors at country level from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Worldwide, the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) continues to rise and remains a major public health concern. This study aimed to analyze the temporal and spatial trends in CRC incidence and related risk factors at the country level.

METHODS

Data on CRC and related risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 study. Temporal trends were evaluated using estimated annual percentage change while spatial trends were analyzed using spatial autocorrelation and autoregression. Additionally, linear mixed-effects models were employed to identify risk factors linked to CRC incidence.

RESULTS

Globally, from 1990 to 2019, the incidence cases of CRC increased by 157.23%. At the national level, the incidence of CRC increased in most countries, with the highest increases of age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) in Equatorial Guinea, Vietnam, and China. In both 1990 and 2019, global spatial clustering of CRC ASIR highlighted hotspots in Europe, characterized by elevated CRC ASIR levels. A comparative analysis of risk factors between hotspot countries and others indicated that gender and alcohol use exerted greater influence in hotspots than elsewhere.

CONCLUSION

Although from 1990 to 2019, the highest growth in ASIR of CRC has been observed in African, Asian, and Latin American countries, the hotspots are still concentrated in Europe. In the identified hotspots, gender and alcohol use exert a more significant impact on CRC incidence compared with other countries. Thus, we should pay attention to countries where the CRC incidence is increasing and these risk factors.

A Study on the Association between Cough Sensitivity and Acute Exacerbations in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between cough sensitivity and acute exacerbation in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients.

METHODS

Stable COPD patients who visited our department from July 2022 to June 2023 were included. They were subjected to cough sensitivity test, spirometry, induced sputum cytology examination, questionnaire assessment such as cough symptom score, etc. They were followed up for 12 months, and were divided into the acute exacerbation (AE) group and the stable group according to whether acute exacerbation occurred during the follow-up period. We compared the differences in cough sensitivity, pulmonary function, and questionnaires between the two groups, analyzed the relationship between cough sensitivity and acute exacerbation, and screened the risk factors for AECOPD.

RESULTS

A total of 145 patients with stable COPD were included. AE group (n = 94) had lower FEV1/FVC (50.08 ± 11.11 versus 54.28 ± 11.58, p = 0.03) and cough sensitivity lgC5 [-0.01(0.90) versus 0.59(0.90), p < 0.01] than those in the stable group (n = 51) patients, the daytime cough symptom score [2(2) versus 1(2), p = 0.02] and VAS score [50(40) versus 30(50), p < 0.01] were higher than stable group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed lgC5 (OR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.16-0.71, p < 0.01) was an independent risk factor for AECOPD. When lgC5 was used to predict acute exacerbation in stable COPD patients, the AUC was 0.69, the sensitivity was 59.57%, and the specificity was 72.55%.

CONCLUSION

Although causality is not necessarily demonstrated, baseline cough sensitivity lgC5 in stable COPD patients is an independent risk factor for AECOPD, and it has some predictive value for future acute exacerbations.

Anticancer activity features of imidazole-based ionic liquids and lysosomotropic detergents: in silico and in vitro studies

Long-chain imidazole-based ionic liquids (compounds 2, 4, 9) and lysosomotropic detergents (compounds 7, 3, 8) with potent anticancer activity were synthesized. Their inhibitory activities against neuroblastoma and leukaemia cell lines were predicted by the new in silico QSAR models. The cytotoxic activities of the synthesized imidazole derivatives were investigated on the SK-N-DZ (human neuroblastoma) and K-562 (human chronic myeloid leukaemia) cell lines. Compounds 2 and 7 showed the highest in vitro cytotoxic effect on both cancer cell lines. The docking procedure of compounds 2 and 7 into the NAD+ coenzyme binding site of deacetylase Sirtuin-1 (SIRT-1) showed the formation of protein-ligand complexes with calculated binding energies of - 8.0 and - 8.1 kcal/mol, respectively. The interaction of SIRT1 with compounds 2, 7 and 9 and the interaction of Bromodomain-containing protein 4 (BRD4) with compounds 7 and 9 were also demonstrated by thermal shift assay. Compounds 2, 4, 7 and 9 inhibited SIRT1 deacetylase activity in the SIRT-Glo assay. Compounds 7 and 9 showed a moderate inhibitory activity against Aurora kinase A. In addition, compounds 3, 4, 8 and 9 inhibited the Janus kinase 2 activity. The results obtained showed that long-chain imidazole derivatives exhibited cytotoxic activities on K562 leukaemia and SK-N-DZ neuroblastoma cell lines. Furthermore, these compounds inhibited a panel of molecular targets involved in leukaemia and neuroblastoma tumorigenesis. All these results suggest that both long-chain imidazole-based ionic liquids and lysosomotropic detergents may be an effective alternative for the treatment of neuroblastoma and chronic myeloid leukemia and merit further investigation.

Methodological assessment for efficient collection of Schistosoma mansoni environmental DNA and improved schistosomiasis surveillance in tropical wetlands

Schistosomiasis, caused by trematodes of genus Schistosoma, is among the most seriously neglected tropical diseases. Although rapid surveillance of risk areas for Schistosoma transmission is vital to control schistosomiasis, the habitat and infection status of this parasite are difficult to assess. Environmental DNA (eDNA) analysis, involving the detection of extra-organismal DNA in water samples, facilitates cost-efficient and sensitive biomonitoring of aquatic environments and is a promising tool to identify Schistosoma habitat and infection risk areas. However, in tropical wetlands, highly turbid water causes filter clogging, thereby decreasing the filtration volume and increasing the risk of false negatives. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to conduct laboratory experiments and field surveys in Lake Victoria, Mbita, to determine the appropriate filter pore size for S. mansoni eDNA collection in terms of particle size and filtration volume. In the laboratory experiment, aquarium water was sequentially filtered using different pore size filters. Targeting >3 µm size fraction was found to be sufficient to capture S. mansoni eDNA particles, regardless of their life cycle stage (egg, miracidia, and cercaria). In the field surveys, GF/D (2.7 µm nominal pore size) filter yielded 2.5-times the filtration volume obtained with a smaller pore size filter and pre-filtration methods under the same time constraints. Moreover, a site-occupancy model was applied to the field detection results to estimate S. mansoni eDNA occurrence and detection probabilities and assess the number of water samples and PCR replicates necessary for efficient eDNA detection. Overall, this study reveals an effective method for S. mansoni eDNA detection in turbid water, facilitating the rapid and sensitive monitoring of its distribution and cost-effective identification of schistosomiasis transmission risk areas.

Modeling severe uncontrolled asthma: Transitioning away from health states

Background

Models developed to date to simulate long-term outcomes of asthma have been criticized for lacking granularity and ignoring disease heterogeneity.

Objective

To propose an alternative approach to modeling asthma and apply it to model long-term outcomes in a population with moderate-to-severe type 2 asthma (patients with raised fractional exhaled nitric oxide or eosinophils) and treated with conventional therapy.

Methods

A discretely integrated condition event (DICE) approach was adopted, simulating individual profiles with asthma over patients' lifetime in terms of exacerbations, asthma-related death, and death unrelated to asthma. The timing of these events is dependent on profile characteristics including lung function, asthma control, exacerbation history, and other baseline characteristics or contextual factors. Predictive equations were derived from a clinical trial to model time to exacerbation, change in asthma control, lung function, and utility. Real-world studies were used to supplement data gaps. Outcomes evaluated included life expectancy, quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), number of exacerbations, and lung function over time.

Results

Average annual rates of severe and moderate exacerbations were 1.82 and 3.08 respectively, with rates increasing over time. Lung function declined at a higher rate compared with the general population. Average life expectancy was 75.2 years, compared with 82.4 years in a matched general population. The majority of life-years were spent with uncontrolled asthma and impaired lung function.

Conclusion

Patients with moderate-to-severe type 2 asthma and a history of exacerbations suffer from frequent exacerbations and reduced lung function and life expectancy. Capturing multiple conditions to simulate long-term outcomes in patients with asthma may provide more realistic projections of exacerbation rates.

Emerging concepts in mucosal immunity and oral microecological control of respiratory virus infection-related inflammatory diseases

Oral microecological imbalance is closely linked to oral mucosal inflammation and is implicated in the development of both local and systemic diseases, including those caused by viral infections. This review examines the critical role of the interleukin (IL)-17/helper T cell 17 (Th17) axis in regulating immune responses within the oral mucosa, focusing on both its protective and pathogenic roles during inflammation. We specifically highlight how the IL-17/Th17 pathway contributes to dysregulated inflammation in the context of respiratory viral infections. Furthermore, this review explores the potential interactions between respiratory viruses and the oral microbiota, emphasizing how alterations in the oral microbiome and increased production of proinflammatory factors may serve as early, non-invasive biomarkers for predicting the severity of respiratory viral infections. These findings provide insights into novel diagnostic approaches and therapeutic strategies aimed at mitigating respiratory disease severity through monitoring and modulating the oral microbiome.

Advances in the pathogenesis and treatment of pneumococcal meningitis

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a common pathogen associated with community-acquired bacterial meningitis, characterized by high morbidity and mortality rates. While vaccination reduces the incidence of meningitis, many survivors experience severe brain damage and corresponding sequelae. The pathogenesis of pneumococcal meningitis has not been fully elucidated. Currently, meningitis requires bacterial disruption of the blood - brain barrier, a process that involves the interaction of bacterial surface components with host cells and various inflammatory responses. This review delineates the global prevalence, pathogenesis, and treatment strategies of pneumococcal meningitis. The objective is to enhance the thorough comprehension of the clinical manifestations and biological mechanisms of the disease, thereby enabling more efficient prevention, diagnosis, and therapeutic interventions.

Potential Mechanism and Perspectives of Mesenchymal Stem Cell Therapy for Ischemic Stroke: A Review

Mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs), as a stem cell type with multiple differentiation potentials and immune regulatory abilities, have shown broad prospects in the treatment of ischemic stroke in recent years. The main characteristics of MSCs include their self-renewal ability, differentiation potential for different types of cells, and the ability to secrete various bioactive factors such as cytokines, chemokines, and growth factors, which play a key role in tissue repair and regeneration. In the treatment of ischemic stroke, MSCs exert therapeutic effects through various mechanisms, including promoting vascular regeneration of damaged brain tissue, reducing inflammatory responses, and protecting neurons from damage caused by apoptosis. Research have shown that MSCs can promote the repair of ischemic areas by releasing neurotrophic factors and angiogenic factors, while inhibiting immune responses triggered by ischemia, thereby improving neurological function. With the in-depth study of its biological mechanism, MSCs have gradually shown good safety and effectiveness in clinical applications. Therefore, fully exploring and utilizing the potential of MSCs in the treatment of ischemic stroke may provide new ideas and solutions for future neural repair and regenerative medicine.

Co-occurring Intimate Partner Violence, Mental Health, Human Immunodeficiency Virus, and Parenting Among Women: A Scoping Review

Little research exists on the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-intimate partner violence (IPV)-mental health (MH) syndemic impact on parenting. The objective of this scoping review is to identify and summarize the available evidence regarding the syndemic relationship between HIV or Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS), IPV, and poor MH among mothers and caregivers who identify as women. We conducted the review according to the Joanna Briggs Institute and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and meta-analyses extension for scoping reviews guidelines, a comprehensive search was conducted from 2001 to September 2023. The inclusion criteria targeted studies examining at least two of the HIV, IPV, or MH epidemics among participants and their syndemic impact on parenting. Both qualitative and quantitative studies were included. Covidence software was used to screen and extract data. Twenty-three studies were included in the analysis. Most of the studies were conducted in the United States. Furthermore, all the studies used quantitative research designs, with most being longitudinal. Most of the research was concentrated on the IPV-MH syndemic with no research found on the HIV-IPV syndemic impact on parenting. Research on the HIV-IPV-MH syndemic found that an HIV diagnosis exacerbated the negative impacts of IPV-MH on parenting. Research on IPV-MH showed that this syndemic significantly influences parenting, leading to less nurturing and more punitive behaviors. Studies did not find a direct association between IPV and harsh parenting practices, the relationship was mediated by poor MH. Studies examining the HIV-MH syndemic found that anxiety and maternal depression were the most frequent MH disorders. The review revealed that living with the different syndemics, (IPV-MH-HIV, HIV-MH, and IPV-MH) adversely affects parenting practices, resulting in harsher parenting.

A systematic review of the studies testing the integrated motivational-volitional model of suicidal behaviour

Despite the influence of the integrated motivational-volitional (IMV)1 model on research and practice, the supporting literature has not been systematically synthesised. This systematic review aims to synthesise the literature testing the IMV model of suicidal behaviour. Using citation and database searching, PsycINFO, EMBASE, PubMed, Web of Science, and Google Scholar were searched for studies referencing the IMV model (last searched on 28th March 2023). Included studies empirically tested the hypotheses of the model. Quality assessment was conducted using the National Institute of Health tool. Findings from 98 records (100 studies, 138,365 participants) were narratively synthesised. Results from studies directly testing the hypothesised pathways of the model supported the defeat-entrapment-suicidal ideation pathway of the IMV model. Case-control studies comparing differences between control, ideation, and enactment groups were consistent with hypotheses in univariate and cross-sectional analyses. However, support for the model was mixed for case-control multivariate and prospective studies. Due to low overlap in variables studied, the role of specific pre-motivational phase variables and stage-specific moderators was inconclusive. The studies received overall good quality ratings. The IMV model presents a promising framework for understanding and preventing suicide. Defeat, entrapment, and key variables may be useful in informing suicide prevention measures.

Development and validation of risk prediction model for adverse outcomes in trauma patients

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of trauma patients is highly dependent on early medical diagnosis. By constructing a nomogram model, the risk of adverse outcomes can be displayed intuitively and individually, which has important clinical implications for medical diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and evaluate models for predicting patients with adverse outcomes of trauma that can be used in different data availability settings in China.

METHODS

This was a retrospective prognostic study using data from 8 public tertiary hospitals in China from 2018. The data were randomly divided into a development set and a validation set. Simple, improved and extended models predicting adverse outcomes were developed, with adverse outcomes defined as in-hospital death or ICU transfer, and patient clinical characteristics, vital signs, diagnoses, and laboratory test values as predictors. The results of the models were presented in the form of nomograms, and performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC), precision-recall (PR) curves (PR-AUC), Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Our final dataset consisted of 18,629 patients (40.2% female, mean age of 52.3), 1,089 (5.85%) of whom resulted in adverse outcomes. In the external validation set, three models achieved ROC-AUC of 0.872, 0.881, and 0.903, and a PR-AUC of 0.339, 0.337, and 0.403, respectively. In terms of the calibration curves and DCA, the models also performed well.

CONCLUSIONS

This prognostic study found that three prediction models and nomograms including the patient clinical characteristics, vital signs, diagnoses, and laboratory test values can support clinicians in more accurately identifying patients who are at risk of adverse outcomes in different settings based on data availability.

Burden of biliary tract carcinoma in China (1990-2021): Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Biliary tract carcinoma (BTC) is a group of malignant tumors that originate in the digestive system and occurs with a high incidence in China. Few consistent and comparable assessments of BTC disease burden have been conducted at national or subnational levels, and little is known about the demographic, temporal, and geographic patterns of epidemiological characteristics and disease burden of BTC in China. The incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs) due to premature death and years lived with disability (YLDs) of BTC were comprehensively examined by age, sex, and calendar year in the Chinese population, using the methodological framework and analytical strategies used for the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study. All-age incidence increased from 17,077 to 51,720 between 1990 and 2021, and the age-standardized incidence rate rose by 13.62%; all-age deaths increased from 17,251 to 37,833, but the age-standardized mortality rate fell by nearly one-fifth. The DALYs rose by 89.57% while the age-standardized DALY rate fell by 23.24%. Variations of the tendencies in BTC burden were found between sexes and age groups. Data for each provincial region indicate that coastal eastern provincial regions have higher incidence and YLD levels, whereas northern provincial regions have higher mortality, DALY, and YLL levels. The proportions of DALYs attributable to high body mass index (BMI) illustrate the growing attribution obesity has made, and high BMI usually puts more burden on northern provincial regions. These results provide evidence to support precise, targeted, and customed public health strategies aimed at enhancing biliary tract health among the Chinese population.

Correlation between triglyceride-glucose index and early neurological deterioration in patients with acute mild ischemic stroke

Objective

The Triglyceride-glucose Index (TyG) index is a dependable metric for assessing the degree of insulin resistance, serving as a standalone predictor of ischemic stroke risk, but its precise relationship with early neurological deterioration (END) remains incompletely expounded within the context of acute mild ischemic stroke patients. This research is to examine the correlation of the TyG index with END among patients experiencing acute mild ischemic stroke in China.

Methods

This retrospective analysis was conducted to systematically gather data regarding patients experiencing their maiden episode of acute mild ischemic stroke and hospitalized at the Neurology Department of Nanjing Meishan Hospital, located in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China, over the period extending from January 2020 to December 2022. The severity of stroke was determined through the utilization of the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores upon their admission. Demographic characteristics were collected, and measurements of fasting blood glucose, blood lipids, and glycosylated hemoglobin Alc levels were taken. END was defined as a one-point rise in the motor item function score on the NIHSS or a two-point increase in the overall score during the initial 72 h of hospitalization. For evaluating the correlation of the TyG index with END, a multivariate logistic regression analysis was carried out. To investigate whether there is a nonlinear relationship between the TyG index and END, smoothed curves were utilized.

Results

The study included 402 patients diagnosed with acute mild ischemic stroke, with a mean age of 66.15 ± 10.04 years. Within this population, 205 were males (51.00%) and 197 were females (49.00%). Among these patients, 107 (26.62%) experienced END within 72 h of admission. Patients who developed END showed higher levels of the TyG index in comparison to those who remained stable (9.18 ± 0.46 vs. 8.87 ± 0.46, p < 0.001). In a comprehensive multivariate logistic regression analysis, the TyG index positively correlates with END (OR = 3.63, 95% CI: 1.75-7.54, p = 0.001). Furthermore, individuals in the fourth TyG index quartile exhibited a 2.36-fold heightened risk of END compared to those in the first quartile (95% CI: 1.38-8.19, p = 0.008). TyG index has a linear correlation with END in the generalized additive model (Log likelihood ratio test, p = 0.525).

Conclusion

Our findings demonstrate that TyG index has a significant, independent, and positive correlation with END in Chinese individuals diagnosed with acute mild ischemic stroke. This underscores the TyG index's potential usefulness as a valuable risk stratification tool for stroke patients.

Outcomes of intraperitoneal chemotherapy for the treatment of gastric cancer with peritoneal metastasis: A comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Peritoneal metastasis is common in gastric cancer and linked to poor survival. Treatment of peritoneal metastasis with intraperitoneal chemotherapy has become an accepted practice in some centres. This systematic review and meta-analysis intends to provide a comprehensive evaluation of published evidence for the use of intraperitoneal chemotherapy is gastric cancer patients with peritoneal metastasis.

METHODS

A systematic literature search for studies reporting the use of intraperitoneal chemotherapy for the treatment gastric cancer with macroscopic peritoneal metastasis was performed up until June 2024. Studies were not eligible for inclusion if they described the use of intraperitoneal chemotherapy solely as an adjunct to gastrectomy or cytoreductive surgery. Pooled- and meta-analysis was used to summarise study outcomes.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies reporting the outcomes of 2446 gastric cancer patients who received intraperitoneal chemotherapy for the treatment of peritoneal metastasis, were included. Three principal methods of intraperitoneal chemotherapy administration were described: catheter based (normothermic) intraperitoneal chemotherapy (n = 28); pressurised intraperitoneal aerosolised chemotherapy (n = 14), and; hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (n = 11). The proportion of patients with complete peritoneal disease regression after receiving intraperitoneal chemotherapy was 27 % (95%CI, 14-41). Median overall survival determined was 16.4 months (95%CI, 14.4-18.4). Meta-analysis of data from eight studies comparing combined intraperitoneal and systemic chemotherapy with systemic chemotherapy alone identified a survival benefit for patients receiving intraperitoneal chemotherapy (Hazard ratio 0.57 [95%CI, 0.48-0.67],P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Despite variation in published treatment approaches and a lack of evidence from well-designed clinical trials, intraperitoneal chemotherapy may be considered safe and in selected circumstances efficacious.

The clinical effectiveness and safety of low/moderate-intensity statins & ezetimibe combination therapy vs. high-intensity statin monotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Despite widespread use of high-intensity statin monotherapy, achieving target LDL-C levels and reducing cardiovascular events in patients with or at high risk of developing ASCVD remains challenging. Our study measured the effects of low/moderate-intensity statins and ezetimibe combination therapy compared to high-dose statin monotherapy on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and coronary atherosclerotic plaque reduction.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane CENTRAL register of trials for studies comparing the combination therapy to high-intensity statin monotherapy in terms of MACEs and coronary atherosclerotic plaque reduction. The primary outcome was a composite of cardiovascular death or major cardiovascular events (MI, HF, Revascularization, or non-fatal stroke). Other outcomes included other MACEs, lipid-lowering efficacy, and safety outcomes. A protocol was registered to PROSPERO under registration number [CRD42024545807].

RESULTS

15 studies encompassing 251,450 participants were included in our meta-analysis. In our pooled analysis of observational studies, combination therapy was associated with lower rates of the primary composite outcome (HR = 0.76, CI 95% [0.73, 0.80]), cardiovascular death (HR = 0.80, CI 95% [0.74, 0.88]), all-cause death (HR = 0.84, CI 95% [0.78, 0.91]), and non-fatal stroke (HR = 0.81, CI 95% [0.75, 0.87]). However, the pooled analysis of RCTs did not demonstrate a statistically significant difference between both arms concerning clinical endpoints. Combination therapy had a higher number of patients with LDL-C < 70 mg/dL (RR = 1.27, CI 95% [1.21, 1.34]), significantly lowered LDL-C (MD = -7.95, CI 95% [-10.02, -5.89]) and TC (MD = -26.77, CI 95% [-27.64, -25.89]) in the pooled analysis of RCTs. In terms of safety, the combination therapy lowered muscle-related adverse events (RR = 0.52, CI 95% [0.32, 0.85]) and number of patients with liver enzyme elevation (RR = 0.51, CI 95% [0.29, 0.89]) in the pooled analysis of RCTs and was associated with lower rates of new-onset diabetes (HR = 0.80, CI 95% [0.74, 0.87]) in the pooled analysis of observational studies.

CONCLUSION

Evidence from RCTs indicates that low/moderate statin therapy in combination with ezetimibe has a superior lipid-lowering effect and reduces side effects compared to high-dose statins. Observational studies suggest improved clinical outcomes but need to be corroborated by large, outcomes-powered RCTs over longer follow-up periods.

Health matters: a statistical approach to understand childhood illnesses in the North-East States of India, 2019-2021

The present study explores the prevalence and socio-economic demographic factors affecting childhood illnesses. Diarrhoea, fever and ARI among under-five children in the North -East states of India using NFHS-5 data Kids file. Results showed that diarrhoea, ARI, and fever among the northeastern states were highest in Meghalaya.For diarrhoea Sikkim has the highest prevalence for children within 6 months while Meghalaya has the highest prevalence in the age groups 6- 12 months and 1- 2 years old children and Arunachal Pradesh has the highest rate in the age group 2- 5 years old children. Meghalaya stands out with the highest prevalence of fever and ARI in all age groups. Compared to Sikkim, the state of Meghalaya had more diarrhoea, ARI and fever, and it was statistically highly significant. However, Tripura and Assam had significantly higher odds of having fever and ARI than Sikkim. There is an association between diarrhoea, fever, and ARI and factors such as the age of the child and caregiver, the wealth status of the household, the quality of sanitation facilities, methods of stool disposal, and the caregiver's educational level.

Bacterial profile and antimicrobial susceptibility patterns of common neonatal sepsis pathogens in Gulf Cooperation Council countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Neonatal sepsis (NS) is a major healthcare burden in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, with a prevalence higher than the global average. Microbial drug resistance has major implications for mortality and morbidity from NS.

Objective

To synthesize data regarding the patterns of causative bacteria of NS in the GCC and their antimicrobial susceptibility profiles.

Methods

Following the exploration of four electronic databases, i.e., EBSCOhost, ProQuest, PubMed/MEDLINE, and ScienceDirect, eligible studies were identified (i.e., published between 2013 and 2023 and reported bacterial profile and/or antimicrobial susceptibility patterns). The outcomes included the pooled prevalence of bacteria and their susceptibility patterns. Proportion meta-analysis was performed for each outcome of interest.

Results

Fifteen studies were eligible (total positive cases = 2,473). Coagulase-negative Staphylococci (CoNS) (28.1%) were the most common gram-positive causative pathogen, followed by group B Streptococcus (GBS) (16.2%) and Staphylococcus aureus (9.9%); for gram-negative, Escherichia coli (12.7%) and Klebsiella species (11.4%) were most common. The susceptibility rates of these bacteria to first-line antibiotics were high; gram-positive bacteria had the highest susceptibility to ampicillin (72.8-98%), and gram-negative bacteria was most susceptible to amikacin (94.6-98%). Additionally, both gram-positive (67-77%) and negative (87-93%) bacteria exhibited high susceptibility to gentamicin.

Conclusion

The most common pathogens among NS patients were gram-positive. The pathogens, irrespective of stain test, were susceptible to the current antibiotic therapy. We recommend the judicious use of empirical antibiotic therapy to prevent the growing risk of antimicrobial resistance.

Determining the Acceptability of Targeted Apps for High-Risk Alcohol Consumption in Nurses: A Qualitative Study

AIM

To determine the acceptability of targeted apps and provide recommendations for the implementation of and app addressing high risk alcohol use to nurses.

DESIGN

A qualitative descriptive study design, using the Behavioural Change Wheel implementation framework.

METHODS

Semi-structured interviews with 42 Australian nurses were subject to structural coding using the Capability, Opportunity, and Motivation (COM-B) model linked to the Behaviour Change Wheel. Qualitative data has been reported using the COREQ framework.

RESULTS

Most participants agreed that targeted apps would appeal to nurses, provided specific design considerations were included. These considerations related to privacy and confidentiality, strategies to target the app to nurses across wide age and experience ranges and identified the need for a considered campaign to both launch the app and position it with existing interventions for high-risk alcohol use.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that a targeted app to reduce high-risk alcohol consumption could be acceptable to nurses, however the needs to include specific components suitable for nurses. We recommend further research into specific components of a targeted app, leading to a co-design process where nurses can determine app components and function. Summary of relevanceHigh-risk alcohol consumption has been shown to be an issue amongst nurses.Targeted apps have been shown to have an effect in addressing high-risk alcohol consumption among specific groups.However, consideration for privacy of data provided to the app must be considered, especially given the link between disciplinary action, loss of role identity, and nurse suicide.This paper indicates that nurses would accept a targeted app, subject to specific design considerations, particularly related to confidentiality.

Non-fermented and fermented milk intake in relation to risk of ischemic heart disease and to circulating cardiometabolic proteins in swedish women and men: Two prospective longitudinal cohort studies with 100,775 participants

BACKGROUND

The effect of milk on the risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and acute myocardial infarction (MI) is unclear. We aimed to examine the association between non-fermented and fermented milk consumption on these endpoints and investigate the relationship between milk intake and cardiometabolic-related proteins in plasma.

METHODS

Our study is based on two Swedish prospective cohort studies that included 59,998 women and 40,777 men without IHD or cancer at baseline who provided repeated measures of diet and lifestyle factors and plasma proteomics data in two subcohorts. Through registry linkage, 17,896 cases with IHD were documented during up to 33 years of follow-up, including 10,714 with MI. We used time-updated multivariable Cox regression analysis to examine non-fermented or fermented milk intake with time to IHD or MI. Using high-throughput multiplex immunoassays, 276 cardiometabolic plasma proteins were measured in two subcohorts. We applied multivariable-adjusted regression models using a discovery-replication design to examine protein associations with increasing consumption of non-fermented or fermented milk.

RESULTS

The results for non-fermented milk differed by sex (p-value for interaction = 0.01). In women, we found a pattern of successively greater risk of IHD and MI at non-fermented milk intake levels higher than 1.5 glasses/day. Compared with an intake of 0.5 glass/day (100 mL/day), non-fermented milk intake of 2 glasses/day in women conferred a multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.05 (95% CI 1.01-1.08) for IHD, an intake of 3 glasses/day an HR of 1.12 (95% CI 1.06-1.19), and an intake of 4 glasses/day an HR of 1.21 (95% CI 1.10-1.32). Findings were similar for whole, medium-fat, and low-fat milk. We did not detect higher risks of IHD with increasing milk intakes in men. Fermented milk intake was unrelated to the risk of IHD or MI in either sex. Increasing non-fermented milk intake in women was robustly associated with a higher concentration of plasma ACE2 and a lower concentration of FGF21.

CONCLUSIONS

We show a positive association between high amounts of non-fermented milk intake and IHD in women but not men. We suggest metabolic pathways related to ACE2 and FGF21 potentially underlie the association.

Racial disparity in mortality from tuberculosis in the US between states with and without a history of Jim-Crow laws: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) and risk factors study, 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

While TB-related mortality in the US declined four-fold from 1990 to 2019, country-level estimates of TB burden obscure within-state racial heterogeneity and changes in TB burden over time. In sixteen US Southern States and Washington DC, the effects of health inequities engendered by Jim-Crow laws enacted from the late 1800s to the 1960s have not been evaluated for TB-related mortality. We, therefore, sought to compare TB mortality rates and annualized rate of change (AROC) between 1990 and 2019 in former Jim-Crow vs. non-Jim-Crow states to help guide response efforts and inform resource prioritization to improve racial equity.

METHODS

We evaluated whether TB-related mortality varied over time, from 1990 to 2019, between states that have a history of enacting Jim-Crow laws vs. states with no such history using estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019). TB mortality per 100,000 population and bootstrap 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were modeled using the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) framework with varying combinations of predictive covariates. For changes over time, we present age-standardized AROC as the percent difference in the natural logarithm of the rate in 1990 and 2019 divided by 30 (i.e., 100*[ln(2019 Rate/1990 Rate)/(30)) and the corresponding 95% UIs.

RESULTS

TB-related mortality in all US states declined between 1990 and 2019. From 1990 to 2019, most former Jim-Crow states had higher mortality rates than states that did not enact Jim-Crow laws. The most significant decline in TB mortality was in Washington DC, with a six-fold decline from 2.69 (2.46-2.96) per 100,000 population in 1990 to 0.45(0.37-0.55) in 2019, corresponding to an AROC of -0.83% (-0.86;-0.79). The lowest decline was in Iowa, from 0.30 (0.27-0.33) to 0.09 (0.07-0.11) (AROC: -0.70% (-0.76; -0.63)). Eleven of the 16 states and Washington DC in the third tertile of TB mortality rate in 1990 (range 0.81-2.69) had a history of Jim-Crow laws, whereas none of the 17 states in the first tertile (range 0.30-0.51) had such history. Conversely, mortality decreased relatively slowly in former Jim-Crow states than in non-Jim-Crow states.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though the 1964 Civil Rights Act dismantled Jim-Crow statutes, racial inequities in TB burden experienced by past generations may still be felt in subsequent generations. Understanding the role of structural racism at the intersection of science and medicine shows the complex ways historical laws, such as Jim-Crow laws, continue to negatively impact health outcomes and warn of future dangers, such as COVID-19, to avoid.

Economic burden of cardiovascular diseases among elderly patients in Iran: a case from a developing country

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide, particularly among the aging population. This study aims to evaluate the economic burden of CVDs among Iranians aged 60 years and older.

METHODS

A cost-of-illness study was conducted using a prevalence-based approach from a societal perspective. Cost analysis employed the bottom-up micro-costing method to assess direct medical and non-medical costs, while indirect costs were calculated using the human capital approach. Data were sourced from medical records of individuals aged 60 and older with CVDs registered in the hospital information systems of public and private hospitals in southeastern Iran. Additionally, structured face-to-face interviews were conducted with 160 caregivers or relatives serving as companions of elderly patients, using a structured questionnaire to gather data on healthcare utilization. Sensitivity analyses were performed, along with projections of the future economic burden of CVDs.

RESULTS

The annual total cost of CVDs among people aged 60 years and above in Iran was estimated at US$ 1,885,091,171.7 (about 1.88 billion), equivalent to 1.27% of the Iran's GDP in 2021. Direct medical costs accounted for 90.62% of the total, with 54.72% attributed to ambulatory care. The average cost of CVDs per patient was US$ 446.2. The results of two-way sensitivity analysis provided an estimated cost range between US$ 1.2 billion and US$ 2.7 billion. By 2030, the total cost of CVDs is projected to reach US$ 21 billion.

CONCLUSIONS

The elderly population with CVDs imposes a growing economic burden on Iran's healthcare system and society. This underscores the urgent need for effective and cost-effective interventions to prevent and manage CVDs in Iran.

Harnessing Wearables and Digital Technologies to Decode the Cardiovascular Exposome

The cardiovascular exposome encompasses the array of external and internal factors affecting cardiovascular health throughout life, inviting comprehensive monitoring and analysis to enhance prevention, diagnosis, and treatment strategies. Wearable and digital technologies have emerged as promising tools in this domain, offering longitudinal, real-time data on physiological parameters such as heart rate, heart rhythm, physical activity, and sleep patterns. This review explores the advancements in wearable sensor technology, the methodologies for data collection and analysis, and the integration of these technologies into clinical practice and research. Primary findings indicate significant improvements in device accuracy and functionality, facilitated by enhanced sensor technology, artificial intelligence, and data connectivity. These advancements enable precise monitoring, early detection of cardiovascular anomalies, and personalized healthcare interventions. Ultimately, wearables and digital health technologies have the potential to facilitate a deeper understanding of cardiovascular disease and behavior and bridge gaps in traditional healthcare models to help usher in more efficient, personalized, patient-centered care.

E-dengue System Insights: Exploring the Factors Influencing Dengue-related Deaths in an Urbanized State in a Low-Middle Income Country (LMIC)

BACKGROUND

Dengue has emerged as a rapidly escalating health issue in low- and middle-income countries, with its burden and geographic spread increasing over the years. Malaysia, in particular, has witnessed a significant rise in dengue cases, accompanied by a spike in mortality rates. Several studies have identified various factors, primarily focusing on the 27 clinical aspects of severe dengue infection and the development of dengue-related fatalities. Expanding on this focus, this study aims to identify the demographic, clinical, and environmental factors contributing to dengue mortality, providing a more comprehensive understanding of the variables influencing dengue-related fatalities.

METHODS

This study utilized a 1:2 case-control design, analyzing data from the E-dengue system database and medical records from January 2015 to December 2022, involving 219 participants (73 dengue fatalities as cases and 146 recovered patients as controls). Dengue deaths were confirmed by the Penang State Mortality Review Committee, and controls were randomly selected from laboratory-confirmed dengue cases. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software, including descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of dengue mortality, with variables included in the multivariable model if p < 0.05.

RESULTS

Several significant predictors of dengue-related mortality, including clinical and environmental factors were identified. Key predictors were a platelet count below 50,000/µL (OR 15.70; 95% CI: 5.65-43.53), presence of one comorbid condition (OR 2.90; 95% CI: 1.22-6.90), more than two comorbid conditions (OR 10.15; 95% CI: 3.53-29.23), bronchial asthma (OR 12.00; 95% CI: 1.08-132.13), and outbreak locality status (OR 2.3; 95% CI: 1.11-4.79). An interaction was also found between locality status and platelet levels.

CONCLUSION

The study emphasizes the need for developing risk profiles for dengue patients by integrating factors such as platelet levels, comorbidities, and locality status to improve clinical care. Nuanced protocols are needed to address the specific challenges of single-case and outbreak areas. In single-case localities, patients with low platelet counts (below 100,000/µL) should be prioritized for rapid intervention to mitigate severe outcomes. In outbreak areas, healthcare systems should bolster resources and apply comprehensive triage approaches considering platelet levels and other risk factors. Implementing predictive models that account for geographical factors can enhance resource allocation and preparedness for dengue outbreaks. These recommendations aim to empower public health personnel, healthcare providers, and communities to collectively reduce dengue-related mortality rates.

Zip Code Health Disparities: Mapping Cardiovascular Inequities at the Neighborhood Level

This review examines the multifaceted impact of neighborhood-level social determinants of health (SDOH) on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and outlines strategic interventions for mitigating cardiovascular health inequities. Research highlights that environmental and socioeconomic factors within a neighborhood-including education, unemployment, healthcare access, racial segregation, systemic inequities, air quality, housing quality, and other SDOH-influence CVD outcomes. Addressing CVD disparities necessitates a comprehensive strategy that integrates policy reform, enhanced community infrastructure, improved healthcare access, and community empowerment and leverages innovative technology to create equitable health outcomes across diverse populations.

Physical activity for people with chronic conditions: a systematic review of toolkits to promote adherence

PURPOSE

The World Health Organisation (WHO) recommends that health professionals develop and implement "adherence counselling toolkits" to promote adherence to long-term therapies in people with chronic conditions. This prospectively registered review aimed to systematically identify and evaluate existing toolkits developed to promote adherence to physical activity in people with chronic conditions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Grey literature and six e-databases were searched for studies investigating the use of "toolkits" to promote adherence to physical activity or exercise recommendations in people with chronic conditions (Medline, PsycInfo, EmCare, Cochrane, CINAHL Plus, Pedro). A two-stage screening process was completed by two independent reviewers.

RESULTS

Five studies describing five toolkits were included. Three toolkits displayed all WHO recommended features, including information on adherence, a clinically useful way of using this information, and behavioural tools for maintaining habits. The included toolkits featured "adherence" to the intervention; however, this was not their primary aim. There were trends towards improved physical activity with some of the included toolkits.

CONCLUSIONS

There are a lack of rigorously developed toolkits that focus on adherence to physical activity in people with chronic conditions. Toolkits should be developed, tested, and implemented to improve adherence and outcomes for people with chronic conditions.

Epidemiology of Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease Including Increasing Burden in Young Adults and Females Especially Since Covid-19 Pandemic

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) was already on the rise globally when the advent of coronavirus disease 2019 further accelerated this trend. ALD has emerged as the leading cause for liver transplantation in the United States. The pandemic has not only intensified the prevalence of ALD but has also highlighted significant disparities in its impact, particularly, among young adults and women. This review aims to dissect the complex landscape of ALD, focusing on gender, race, and emerging risk factors in the context of the current global health crisis.

Sex bias in prospective follow-up observational studies with drugs carried out in a southern region of Europe

Introduction

The impact of sex bias in medical research is a matter of significant relevance and importance especially in the modern age. Despite notable improvements in sex equity across various societal fields, disparities in sex representation persist within clinical and pharmacological research. The objective of this article is to investigate the sex bias within Prospective Follow-up Observational Studies with Drugs authorized by the Advisory Commission on Post-Authorization Studies with Medicines in Catalonia, a southern European region.

Methods

A retrospective study that analyses data from final reports of Prospective Follow-up Observational Studies with Drugs authorized by the Advisory Commission on Post-Authorization Studies with Medicines in Catalonia from 2015 to 2021. Disease categories and specific diseases, obtained from the Global Data Exchange, were evaluated for sex bias, comparing female participation to female prevalence.

Results

There were 1,06,399 participants, including 43,778 female participants (42.5%). A significant underrepresentation of females was observed across various disease categories. Notably, in 12 out of 19 categories (63.2%), a pronounced female underrepresentation (sex bias ≤ 0.05) was evident, particularly in the categories of HIV/AIDS and sexually transmitted infections (sex bias = -0.5659). Furthermore, 11 categories (57.9%) also demonstrated significant female underrepresentation, with the same notable categories, HIV/AIDS and sexually transmitted infections (sex bias = -0.4439). When examining specific diseases, significant female underrepresentation was observed in 13 out of 29 diseases (46.4%), especially in HIV (sex bias = -0.4781). The overall findings indicate that the degree of sex bias was notably less favorable for females in numerous disease categories and specific conditions.

Conclusion

Our study has demonstrated a significant sex bias within observational studies, mirroring patterns observed in clinical trials. Importantly, our findings highlight a pervasive underrepresentation of women across various disease categories and specific conditions. Despite efforts to promote both sexes inclusivity, our results emphasize the persistent challenges in achieving balanced sex representation in study populations. Furthermore, the absence of categorization of diseases based on male and female prevalence poses a significant challenge in accessing pertinent data, particularly concerning the sex distribution of specific diseases.

Health Data Sciences and Cardiovascular Disease in Africa: Needs and the Way Forward

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The rising burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Africa is of great concern. Health data sciences is a rapidly developing field which has the potential to improve health outcomes, especially in low-middle income countries with burdened healthcare systems. We aim to explore the current CVD landscape in Africa, highlighting the importance of health data sciences in the region and identifying potential opportunities for application and growth by leveraging health data sciences to improve CVD outcomes.

RECENT FINDINGS

While there have been a number of initiatives aimed at developing health data sciences in Africa over the recent decades, the progress and growth are still in their early stages. Its maximum potential can be leveraged through adequate funding, advanced training programs, focused resource allocation, encouraging bidirectional international partnerships, instituting best ethical practices, and prioritizing data science health research in the region. The findings of this review explore the current landscape of CVD and highlight the potential benefits and utility of health data sciences to address CVD challenges in Africa. By understanding and overcoming the barriers associated with health data sciences training, research, and application in the region, focused initiatives can be developed to promote research and development. These efforts will allow policymakers to form informed, evidence-based frameworks for the prevention and management of CVDs, and ultimately result in improved CVD outcomes in the region.

Preparation and in vitro evaluation of tissue plasminogen activator-loaded nanoliposomes with anticoagulant coating

The clinical efficacy of tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) is limited by its lack of specific delivery, requiring large therapeutic doses that increase the risk of intracerebral hemorrhage, bleeding at the surgical site, and patient mortality after angioplasty. To address these limitations, this study aimed to develop a chitosan polysulfate (CsPs)-coated liposomal formulation for the sustained release of tPA. The CsPs-coated liposomes containing tPA (Liposome-tPA/CsPs) were fabricated using the thin-film hydration technique and their properties were compared to tPA-encapsulated nanoliposomes without a coating layer (Liposome-tPA). Liposome-tPA/CsPs showed a quasi-spherical morphology with a hydrodynamic diameter of 110 nm, while Liposome-tPA had a diameter of 80 nm. The thermal analysis showed that the degradation temperature and glass transition temperature (Tg) of Liposome-tPA/CsPs were higher than that of tPA alone, indicating improved temperature stability. The in vitro release study demonstrated a slow and sustained release of tPA from the Liposome-tPA/CsPs, with a concentration of 0.02 mg/ml at 1 h and 0.23 mg/ml at 180 h. The CsPs coating layer enhanced the antibacterial and antioxidant activity of the nanoliposomes. Liposome-tPA/CsPs exhibited higher cell viability compared to Liposome-tPA. It also achieved a higher percentage of thrombolysis, with complete clot dissolution observed after 3 h of treatment. These findings suggest that the Liposome-tPA/CsPs can be a promising approach to overcome the limitations associated with the systemic administration of tPA, potentially enhancing its clinical efficacy while reducing the risk of adverse events.

Identifying cardiovascular disease risk in the U.S. population using environmental volatile organic compounds exposure: A machine learning predictive model based on the SHAP methodology

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains a leading cause of mortality globally. Environmental pollutants, specifically volatile organic compounds (VOCs), have been identified as significant risk factors. This study aims to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict CVD risk based on VOC exposure and demographic data using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) for interpretability.

METHODS

We utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2011 to 2018, comprising 5098 participants. VOC exposure was assessed through 15 urinary metabolite metrics. The dataset was split into a training set (70 %) and a test set (30 %). Six ML models were developed, including Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Decision Tree (DT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), and Support Vector Machines (SVM). Model performance was evaluated using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROC), accuracy, balanced accuracy, F1 score, J-index, kappa, Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity (sens), specificity (spec) and SHAP was applied to interpret the best-performing model.

RESULTS

The RF model exhibited the highest predictive performance with an ROC of 0.8143. SHAP analysis identified age and ATCA as the most significant predictors, with ATCA showing a protective effect against CVD, particularly in older adults and those with hypertension. The study found a significant interaction between ATCA levels and age, indicating that the protective effect of ATCA is more pronounced in older individuals due to increased oxidative stress and inflammatory responses associated with aging. E-values analysis suggested robustness to unmeasured confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first to utilize VOC exposure data to construct an ML model for predicting CVD risk. The findings highlight the potential of combining environmental exposure data with demographic information to enhance CVD risk prediction, supporting the development of personalized prevention and intervention strategies.

Rice Protein Peptides Alleviate Alcoholic Liver Disease via the PPARγ Signaling Pathway: Through Liver Metabolomics and Gut Microbiota Analysis

Alcoholic liver disease (ALD) is the predominant type of liver disease worldwide, resulting in significant mortality and a high disease burden. ALD damages multiple organs, including the liver, gut, and brain, causing inflammation, oxidative stress, and fat deposition. In this study, we investigated the effects of rice protein peptides (RPP) on ALD in mice with a primary focus on the gut microbiota and liver metabolites. The results showed that administration of RPP significantly alleviated the symptoms of ALD in mice including adiposity, oxidative stress, and inflammation. The KEGG pathway shows that RPP downregulates the liver metabolite of capric acid and the metabolism of fatty acid biosynthesis compared with the MOD group. Mechanistically, RPP downregulated the PPARγ signaling pathway and suppressed the expression of fatty acid biosynthesis genes (FASN, ACC1, ACSL1, and ACSL3). Furthermore, two active peptides (YLPTKQ and PKLPR) with potential therapeutic functions for ALD were screened by Caco-2 cell modeling and molecular docking techniques. In addition, RPP treatment alleviates gut microbiota dysbiosis by reversing the F/B ratio, increasing the relative abundance of Alloprevotella and Alistipes, and upregulating the level of short-chain fatty acids. In conclusion, RPP alleviates ALD steatosis through the PPARγ signaling pathway by YLPTKQ and PKLPR and regulates gut microbiota.

Estimating causes of maternal death in data-sparse contexts

Understanding the underlying causes of maternal death across all regions of the world is essential to inform policies and resource allocation to reduce the mortality burden. However, in many countries there exists very little data on the causes of maternal death, and data that do exist do not capture the entire population at risk. In this article, we present a Bayesian hierarchical multinomial model to estimate maternal cause of death distributions globally, regionally, and for all countries worldwide. The framework combines data from various sources to inform estimates, including data from civil registration and vital systems, smaller-scale surveys and studies, and high-quality data from confidential enquiries and surveillance systems. The framework accounts for varying data quality and coverage, and allows for situations where one or more causes of death are missing. We illustrate the results of the model on three case-study countries that have different data availability situations.

Integrative genomic analysis of RNA-modification-single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with kidney function

Introduction

Increasing evidence suggests that RNA modification plays a significant role in the kidney and may be an ideal target for the treatment of kidney diseases. However, the specific mechanisms underlying RNA modifications in the pathogenesis of kidney disease remain unclear. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified numerous genetic loci involved in kidney function and RNA modifications. The identification and exploration of RNA modification-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms (RNAm-SNPs) associated with kidney function can help us to comprehensively understand the underlying mechanism of kidney disease and identify potential therapeutic targets.

Methods

First, we examined the association of RNAm-SNPs with eGFR. Second, we performed expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) and protein quantitative trait locus (pQTL) analyses to explore the functions of the identified RNAm-SNPs. Finally, we evaluated the causality between RNAm-SNP-associated gene expression and circulating proteins and kidney function using a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

Results

A total of 252 RNA m-SNPs related to m6A, m1A, A-to-I, m5C, m7G, and m5U were identified. All these factors were significantly associated with the eGFR. A total of 119(47.22 %) RNAm-SNPs showed cis-eQTL effects in blood cells, whereas 72 (28.57 %) RNAm-SNPs showed cis-pQTL effects in plasma. 47 (18.65 %) RNAm-SNPs exhibited cis-eQTL and cis-pQTL effects. In addition, we demonstrated a causal association between RNAm-SNP-associated gene expression, circulating protein levels, and eGFR decline. Some of the identified genes and proteins have been reported to be associated with kidney diseases, such as CDK10 and SDCCAG8.

Conclusions

This study reveals an association between RNAm-SNPs and kidney function. These SNPs regulate gene expression and protein levels through RNA modifications, eventually leading to kidney dysfunction. Our study provides novel insights that connect the genetic risk of kidney disease to RNA modification and suggests potential therapeutic targets for the prevention and treatment of kidney disease.

Global burden of drug use disorders by region and country, 1990-2021

Background

This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database to systematically assess the magnitude of drug use disorders (DUD) burden between 1990 and 2021.

Methods

This study used GBD data to analyze the trends in ASIR, DALYs and other DUD indicators from 1990 to 2021, and compared them among different regions and countries. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) and its 95% Confidence Interval (CI) were calculated to assess the temporal and geographical disparities. ASIR and DALYs were used to evaluate the burden of DUDs, and socio-demographic index (SDI) was used to measure the socio-economic development level of each country.

Results

The global ASIR of DUDs showed a slight downward trend (EAPC = -0.26). The age-standardized DALY rate (per 100,000) significantly declined from 1990 to 2021 (EAPC = -1.44). Among the regions, the high SDI region exhibited the most substantial increase in ASIR (EAPC = 0.65). On a regional level, the high-income North America region had the highest EAPC for both age-standardized DALYs and ASIR (EAPC = 4.82, 1.02, respectively). Nationally, the United States of America reported the largest increase in age-standardized DALY rates and EAPC for ASIR (EAPC of 4.88, 1.05, respectively), while South Africa had the most significant decrease in EAPC (EAPC of -3.62, -1.52, respectively). In 2021, the highest ASIR was observed in high-income North America at 520.07; Central Asia had the highest age-standardized DALY rate. Globally, age-standardized DALYs and ASIR for DUDs were generally higher in men than in women, and the burden of DUDs decreased with age.

Conclusion

The global burden of DUDs has shown complex and changing trends over the last decades, with large differences in burden between regions and countries. This highlights the need for targeted public health policies and interventions in High income North America region and Eastern Europe.

Prevalence and Antimicrobial Susceptibility of Foodborne Pathogens from Raw Livestock Meat in China, 2021

The rising prevalence of pathogenic bacteria in livestock meat poses a growing public health concern in China. The determination of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is critical for the clinical management of foodborne infections stemming from livestock meat consumption. This study aimed to assess the prevalence of pathogenic bacteria in livestock meat (pork, beef, and mutton) sampled in China in 2021 and to identify the most common AMR patterns among the isolated pathogens. A total of 2515 raw livestock meat samples were collected across 15 provinces in China during 2021. Pathogen detection, including Listeria monocytogenes, Salmonella, and diarrheagenic Escherichia coli (DEC), followed China's national food safety standards. All Salmonella isolates underwent serotyping via slide agglutination. Antimicrobial susceptibility of Salmonella and DEC isolates was assessed using the broth dilution method. The detection rates for L. monocytogenes, Salmonella, and DEC in raw livestock meat were 9.06% (228/2, 515), 10.54% (265/2, 515), and 6.16% (155/2, 515), respectively. Pork showed the highest contamination rates for Salmonella and DEC, with prevalence rates of 17.60% (214/1, 216, χ2 = 124.62, p < 0.05) and 7.89% (96/1, 216, χ2 = 14.466, p < 0.05), respectively. L. monocytogenes contamination was notably higher in chilled (14.43%, 84/582) and frozen (12.39%, 55/444) meat than in fresh meat (χ2 = 43.510, p < 0.05). In contrast, Salmonella (12.09%, 180/1489, χ2 = 15.173, p < 0.05) and DEC (7.25%, 108/1489, χ2 = 12.275, p < 0.05) were more prevalent in fresh meat than in chilled or frozen samples. The predominant Salmonella serotypes identified were Salmonella enterica subsp. enterica serovar Typhimurium, followed by Salmonella enterica serovar Derby, Salmonella enterica serovar Rissen, Salmonella enterica serovar London, and Salmonella enterica serotype Enteritidis. Enteroaggregative E. coli was the most frequent pathotype among DEC (84.7%, 133/157), followed by enteropathogenic E. coli (8.3%, 13/157) and enterohemorrhagic E. coli (5.1%, 8/157). Among the 14 tested antimicrobial agents, Salmonella isolates demonstrated an overall resistance rate of 87.50%, while DEC exhibited a resistance rate of 84.70%. Ampicillin and tetracycline showed the highest resistance rates in both pathogens. Multi-drug resistance (MDR) was observed in 67.53% of Salmonella isolates (183 isolates) and 57.96% of DEC isolates (91 isolates). This study highlights the significant contamination of retail raw livestock meat in China by L. monocytogenes, Salmonella, and DEC. The high resistance of MDR in both pathogens poses serious public health risks. Chinese food safety and veterinary authorities should implement stricter measures to control pathogen contamination and regulate the use of antimicrobials in livestock to mitigate these risks.