Burden of childhood tuberculosis in 22 high-burden countries: a mathematical modelling study

Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

BACKGROUND

Global evaluations of the progress towards the WHO End TB Strategy 2020 interim milestones on mortality (35% reduction) and incidence (20% reduction) have not been age specific. We aimed to assess global, regional, and national-level burdens of and trends in tuberculosis and its risk factors across five separate age groups, from 1990 to 2021, and to report on age-specific progress between 2015 and 2020.

METHODS

We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD 2021) analytical framework to compute age-specific tuberculosis mortality and incidence estimates for 204 countries and territories (1990-2021 inclusive). We quantified tuberculosis mortality among individuals without HIV co-infection using 22 603 site-years of vital registration data, 1718 site-years of verbal autopsy data, 825 site-years of sample-based vital registration data, 680 site-years of mortality surveillance data, and 9 site-years of minimally invasive tissue sample (MITS) diagnoses data as inputs into the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling platform. Age-specific HIV and tuberculosis deaths were established with a population attributable fraction approach. We analysed all available population-based data sources, including prevalence surveys, annual case notifications, tuberculin surveys, and tuberculosis mortality, in DisMod-MR 2.1 to produce internally consistent age-specific estimates of tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality. We also estimated age-specific tuberculosis mortality without HIV co-infection that is attributable to the independent and combined effects of three risk factors (smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes). As a secondary analysis, we examined the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis mortality without HIV co-infection by comparing expected tuberculosis deaths, modelled with trends in tuberculosis deaths from 2015 to 2019 in vital registration data, with observed tuberculosis deaths in 2020 and 2021 for countries with available cause-specific mortality data.

FINDINGS

We estimated 9·40 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 8·36 to 10·5) tuberculosis incident cases and 1·35 million (1·23 to 1·52) deaths due to tuberculosis in 2021. At the global level, the all-age tuberculosis incidence rate declined by 6·26% (5·27 to 7·25) between 2015 and 2020 (the WHO End TB strategy evaluation period). 15 of 204 countries achieved a 20% decrease in all-age tuberculosis incidence between 2015 and 2020, eight of which were in western sub-Saharan Africa. When stratified by age, global tuberculosis incidence rates decreased by 16·5% (14·8 to 18·4) in children younger than 5 years, 16·2% (14·2 to 17·9) in those aged 5-14 years, 6·29% (5·05 to 7·70) in those aged 15-49 years, 5·72% (4·02 to 7·39) in those aged 50-69 years, and 8·48% (6·74 to 10·4) in those aged 70 years and older, from 2015 to 2020. Global tuberculosis deaths decreased by 11·9% (5·77 to 17·0) from 2015 to 2020. 17 countries attained a 35% reduction in deaths due to tuberculosis between 2015 and 2020, most of which were in eastern Europe (six countries) and central Europe (four countries). There was variable progress by age: a 35·3% (26·7 to 41·7) decrease in tuberculosis deaths in children younger than 5 years, a 29·5% (25·5 to 34·1) decrease in those aged 5-14 years, a 15·2% (10·0 to 20·2) decrease in those aged 15-49 years, a 7·97% (0·472 to 14·1) decrease in those aged 50-69 years, and a 3·29% (-5·56 to 9·07) decrease in those aged 70 years and older. Removing the combined effects of the three attributable risk factors would have reduced the number of all-age tuberculosis deaths from 1·39 million (1·28 to 1·54) to 1·00 million (0·703 to 1·23) in 2020, representing a 36·5% (21·5 to 54·8) reduction in tuberculosis deaths compared to those observed in 2015. 41 countries were included in our analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tuberculosis deaths without HIV co-infection in 2020, and 20 countries were included in the analysis for 2021. In 2020, 50 900 (95% CI 49 700 to 52 400) deaths were expected across all ages, compared to an observed 45 500 deaths, corresponding to 5340 (4070 to 6920) fewer deaths; in 2021, 39 600 (38 300 to 41 100) deaths were expected across all ages compared to an observed 39 000 deaths, corresponding to 657 (-713 to 2180) fewer deaths.

INTERPRETATION

Despite accelerated progress in reducing the global burden of tuberculosis in the past decade, the world did not attain the first interim milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy in 2020. The pace of decline has been unequal with respect to age, with older adults (ie, those aged >50 years) having the slowest progress. As countries refine their national tuberculosis programmes and recalibrate for achieving the 2035 targets, they could consider learning from the strategies of countries that achieved the 2020 milestones, as well as consider targeted interventions to improve outcomes in older age groups.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Pediatric Tuberculosis: A Review of Evidence-Based Best Practices for Clinicians and Health Care Providers

Advances in pediatric TB care are promising, the result of decades of advocacy, operational and clinical trials research, and political will by national and local TB programs in high-burden countries. However, implementation challenges remain in linking policy to practice and scaling up innovations for prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of TB in children, especially in resource-limited settings. There is both need and opportunity to strengthen clinician confidence in making a TB diagnosis and managing the various manifestations of TB in children, which can facilitate the translation of evidence to action and expand access to new tools and strategies to address TB in this population. This review aims to summarize existing guidance and best practices for clinicians and health care providers in low-resource, TB-endemic settings and identify resources with more detailed and actionable information for decision-making along the clinical cascade to prevent, find, and cure TB in children.

An 11-month-old boy with tuberculous meningitis presenting as progressive limb weakness, fever, developmental retardation, and loss of consciousness: a case report

BACKGROUND

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) accounts for about 1% of all tuberculosis cases and about 5% of extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases. However, it poses major importance because approximately half of those affected die or become severely disabled. Herein, the successful treatment of an 11-month-old boy with progressive limb weakness, fever, developmental retardation, and loss of consciousness due to tuberculosis, was reported.

CASE PRESENTATION

An 11-month-old (Iranian Turk) boy was referred to Loghman Hakim hospital for progressive limb weakness and loss of previously attained developmental milestones for the past 2 months. He also had persistent fever and loss of consciousness for about 14 to 21 days. Before being referred to our center, the patient had been diagnosed with hydrocephalus at another center due to possible acute bacterial meningitis based on a CT scan and MRI imaging. On physical examination, anterior fontanel bulging and neck stiffness were observed on the admission. His body temperature and heart rate were 38.1 C and 86 beats per minute (bpm), respectively. He had left 6 cranial nerve palsy and spastic quadriparesis with a power of grade 3/5. Other systemic examinations were normal. Endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) (and leptomeningeal biopsy) revealed diffuse thickening of the floor and lateral walls of the 3rd ventricle and also a cobblestone appearance in the form of multiple white patchy lesions was detected on the floor of the 3rd ventricle. CSF analysis and polymerase chain reaction confirmed the TB meningitis. During hospitalization, a temporary EVD (external ventricular drain) was initially inserted. Eventually, defervescence was denoted 5-6 days after initiation of anti-TB medications, and a permanent ventriculoperitoneal shunt was inserted due to hydrocephalus. Gradually his truncal and limb tone and motor function improved, as did his emotional responses to his parents and ability to eat. The patient can walk without help in the 15th month following the operation and resolved hydrocephalus demonstrated on follow-up imaging.

CONCLUSION

Over half of treated TB meningitis patients die or suffer severe neurological sequelae, mainly due to late diagnosis. Hence, early diagnosis and prompt initiation of TB treatment offer the best chance of a good neurological outcome.

Maternal HIV Status and Risk of Infant Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection as Measured by Tuberculin Skin Test

BACKGROUND

The effect of maternal HIV on infant Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection risk is not well-characterized.

METHODS

Pregnant women with/without HIV and their infants were enrolled in a longitudinal cohort in Kenya. Mothers had interferon gamma-release assays (QFT-Plus) and tuberculin skin tests (TST) at enrollment in pregnancy; children underwent TST at 12 and 24 months of age. We estimated the incidence and correlates of infant TST-positivity using Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Among 322 infants, 170 (53%) were HIV-exposed and 152 (47%) were HIV-unexposed. Median enrollment age was 6.6 weeks [interquartile range (IQR): 6.1-10.0]; most received Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (320, 99%). Thirty-nine (12%) mothers were TST-positive; 102 (32%) were QFT-Plus-positive. Among HIV-exposed infants, 154 (95%) received antiretrovirals for HIV prevention and 141 (83%) of their mothers ever received isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT). Cumulative 24-month infant Mtb infection incidence was 3.6/100 person-years (PY) [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.4-5.5/100 PY]; 5.4/100 PY in HIV-exposed infants (10%, 17/170) versus 1.7/100 PY in HIV-unexposed infants (3.3%, 5/152) [hazard ratio (HR): 3.1 (95% CI: 1.2-8.5)]. More TST conversions occurred in the first versus second year of life [5.8 vs. 2.0/100 PY; HR: 2.9 (95% CI: 1.0-10.1)]. Infant TST-positivity was associated with maternal TST-positivity [HR: 2.9 (95% CI: 1.1-7.4)], but not QFT-Plus-positivity. Among HIV-exposed children, Mtb infection incidence was similar regardless of maternal IPT.

CONCLUSIONS

Mtb infection incidence (by TST) by 24 months of age was ~3-fold higher among HIV-exposed children, despite high maternal IPT uptake. Overall, more TST conversions occurred in the first 12 months compared to 12-24 months of age, similar in both HIV-exposed and HIV-unexposed children.

Effectiveness of a community-based approach for the investigation and management of children with household tuberculosis contact in Cameroon and Uganda: a cluster-randomised trial

BACKGROUND

Globally, the uptake of tuberculosis-preventive treatment (TPT) among children with household tuberculosis contact remains low, partly due to the necessity of bringing children to health facilities for investigations. This study aimed to evaluate the effect on TPT initiation and completion of community-based approaches to tuberculosis contact investigations in Cameroon and Uganda.

METHODS

We did a parallel, cluster-randomised, controlled trial across 20 clusters (consisting of 25 district hospitals and primary health centres) in Cameroon and Uganda, which were randomised (1:1) to receive a community-based approach (intervention group) or standard-of-care facility-based approach to contact screening and management (control group). The community-based approach consisted of symptom-based tuberculosis screening of all household contacts by community health workers at the household, with referral of symptomatic contacts to local facilities for investigations. Initiation of TPT (3-month course of rifampicin-isoniazid) was done by a nurse in the household, and home visits for TPT follow-up were done by community health workers. Index patients were people aged 15 years or older with bacteriologically confirmed, drug-susceptible, pulmonary tuberculosis diagnosed less than 1 month before inclusion and who declared at least one child or young adolescent (aged 0-14 years) household contact. The primary endpoint was the proportion of declared child contacts in the TPT target group (those aged <5 years irrespective of HIV status, and children aged 5-14 years living with HIV) who commenced and completed TPT, assessed in the modified intention-to-treat population (excluding enrolled index patients and their contacts who did not fit the eligibility criteria). Descriptive cascade of care assessment and generalised linear mixed modelling were used for comparison. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03832023).

FINDINGS

The study included nine clusters in the intervention group (after excluding one cluster that did not enrol any index patients for >2 months) and ten in the control group. Between Oct 14, 2019 and Jan 13, 2022, 2894 child contacts were declared by 899 index patients with bacteriologically confirmed tuberculosis. Among all child contacts declared, 1548 (81·9%) of 1889 in the intervention group and 475 (47·3%) of 1005 in the control group were screened for tuberculosis. 1400 (48·4%) child contacts were considered to be in the TPT target group: 941 (49·8%) of 1889 in the intervention group and 459 (45·7%) of 1005 in the control group. In the TPT target group, TPT was commenced and completed in 752 (79·9%) of 941 child contacts in the intervention group and 283 (61·7%) of 459 in the control group (odds ratio 3·06 [95% CI 1·24-7·53]).

INTERPRETATION

A community-based approach using community health workers can significantly increase contact investigation coverage and TPT completion among eligible child contacts in a tuberculosis-endemic setting.

FUNDING

Unitaid.

TRANSLATION

For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Interventional bronchoscopy in pediatric pulmonary tuberculosis

INTRODUCTION

Lymphobronchial tuberculosis (TB) is common in children with primary TB and enlarged lymph nodes can cause airway compression of the large airways. If not treated correctly, airway compression can result in persistent and permanent parenchymal pathology, as well as irreversible lung destruction. Bronchoscopy was originally used to collect diagnostic samples; however, its role has evolved, and it is now used as an interventional tool in the diagnosis and management of complicated airway disease. Endoscopic treatment guidelines for children with TB are scarce.

AREAS COVERED

The role of interventional bronchoscopy in the diagnosis and management of complicated pulmonary TB will be discussed. This review will provide practical insights into how and when to perform interventional procedures in children with complicated TB for both diagnostic and therapeutic purposes. This discussion incorporates current scientific evidence and refers to adult literature, as some of the interventions have only been done in adults but may have a role in children. Limitations and future perspectives will be examined.

EXPERT OPINION

Pediatric pulmonary TB lends itself to endoscopic interventions as it is a disease with a good outcome if treated correctly. However, interventions must be limited to safeguard the parenchyma and prevent permanent damage.

Analysis of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis in Children in Shenyang, China, 2017-2021

Objective

Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) in children seriously threatens TB control. Information on the epidemiology and characteristics of DR-TB in children in China is limited. We studied data in Shenyang Tenth People's Hospital to understand the DR-TB epidemiology in children in Shenyang.

Design or Methods

We retrospectively analyzed drug resistance testing data of pediatric TB patients between 2017 and 2021, and included 2976 clinically-diagnosed pediatric TB patients. We described the epidemiology of DR-TB and analyzed the trends of DR-TB incidence. The Kappa value was calculated to assess the agreement between MGIT 960 DST and Xpert MTB/RIF for detecting rifampicin resistance. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the risk factors for DR-TB in pediatric patients.

Results

Of the 2976 TB patients, 1076 were confirmed by MGIT 960 culture and/or Xpert MTB/RIF. Among the 806 patients identified by MGIT 960 culture, 232 cases (28.78%) were DR-TB. Resistance to the six drugs was in the following order: streptomycin (21.09%), isoniazid (9.35%), rifampin (15.01%), levofloxacin (6.20%), ethambutol (4.22%), and amikacin (3.23%). Alarmingly, 12.90% were MDR-TB (104/806), including 28 (3.47%) pre-XDR-TB. Of the 1076 pediatric TB patients, 295 (27.4%) developed DR-TB to any one drug (including 69 rifampicin-resistant cases identified by Xpert MTB/RIF only). No difference was found in the incidence of pediatric DR-TB between 2017 and 2021. Among 376 patients who were positive for both methods, using the MGIT 960 DST results as the gold standard, Xpert MTB/RIF's sensitivity for detecting rifampicin resistance was 91.38% and its specificity was 94.65%.

Conclusion

Between 2017 and 2021, the DR-TB incidence in children remained unchanged in Shenyang. RR-TB, MDR-TB, and even Pre-XDR-TB require attention in children with drug-resistant TB. Xpert MTB/RIF helped to detect more rifampicin-resistant pediatric patients; thus Xpert MTB/RIF should be widely used as an important complementary tool to detect rifampicin-resistant TB in children.

Development of clinical-based scoring system to diagnose tuberculous meningitis in children

OBJECTIVE

Diagnosing tuberculous meningitis (TBM) in children is challenging due to the low sensitivity with time delay of bacterial culture techniques and the lack of brain imaging facilities in many low- and middle-income settings. This study aims to establish and test a scoring system consisting of clinical manifestations on history and examination for diagnosing TBM in children.

DESIGN

A retrospective study was conducted using a diagnostic multivariable prediction model.

PARTICIPANTS

167 children diagnosed with meningitis (tuberculous, bacterial, viral and others) aged 3 months to 18 years who were hospitalised from July 2011 until November 2021 in a national tertiary hospital in Indonesia.

RESULTS

Eight out of the 10 statistically significant clinical characteristics were used to develop a predictive model. These resulted in good discrimination and calibration variables, which divided into systemic features with a cut-off score of ≥3 (sensitivity 78.8%; specificity 86.6%; the area under the curve (AUC) value 0.89 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.95; p<0.001)) and neurological features with a cut-off score of ≥2 (sensitivity 61.2%; specificity 75.2%; the AUC value 0.73 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.81; p<0.001)). Combined together, this scoring system predicted the diagnosis of TBM with a sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value of 47.1%, 95.1% and 90.9%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The clinical scoring system consisting of systemic and neurological features can be used to predict the diagnosis of TBM in children with limited resource setting. The scoring system should be assessed in a prospective cohort.

Pulmonary Tuberculosis and Rifampicin Resistant Mycobacterium Tuberculosis in Children and Adolescents using Gene Xpert MTB/RIF Assay in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a global health problem. While childhood TB contributes 10% to the global TB burden, the paucibacillary nature of TB disease in children and the absence of reliable diagnostic methods have made MTB diagnosis in children to be a great challenge. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of MTB and rifampicin-resistant MTB (RR-MTB) among children using Gene Xpert MTB/RIF Assay in Tigray, Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective database study was conducted among children in ten governmental hospitals in the Tigray region. Gene Xpert MTB/RIF results of sputum/gastric lavage samples from children with presumptive TB from January 2016 to December 2019 were extracted using a data extraction sheet. Data were collected and analyzed using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences version 21.

Results

The prevalence of bacteriologically confirmed MTB by Gene-Xpert in children with presumptive TB was 7.3% (95% CI: 6.7%-7.9%) and the proportion of those that were Gene-Xpert MTB positive who also have rifampicin resistance was 10.9% (95% CI: 8.2-13.6%). Older children aged 11-15 years [AOR = 1.76; 95% CI = 1.33-2.33, p < 0.001] and adolescents 16-17 years [AOR = 2.18; 95% CI = 1.63-2.92, p < 0.001] were more likely to be MTB positive. Relapse cases [AOR = 1.66; 95% CI = 1.09-2.51, p = 0.017] and lost/failure cases [AOR = 8.82; 95% CI = 3.94-19.76, p < 0.001] were more likely to have MTB compared to the new cases.

Conclusion

The proportion of MTB-positive among the TB presumptive patients was 7.3%. The proportion of rifampicin-resistant TB to all positive patients was 10.9%. Female participants had more MTB than males (or younger children). The result highlights the need for due attention in children because it is very helpful in determining the future control of the disease.

Pulmonary tuberculosis case notification and burden of drug resistance among children under 15 years of age in Ethiopia: sub-analysis from third-round drug resistance tuberculosis survey

INTRODUCTION

Data on the burden of bacteriologically confirmed childhood Tuberculosis (PTB) and drug-resistant TB in Ethiopia is limited due to difficulties related to its diagnosis in this population. Therefore, this study aimed to assess bacteriologically confirmed childhood PTB Case Notification Rates (CNRs) and the burden of Drug Resistant-Tuberculosis among children in Ethiopia.

METHOD

Retrospective secondary clinical and laboratory data were obtained from 3rd round national DR-TB survey which was conducted between August 2017 and January 2019. We used IBM SPSS 24 for sub-analysis of 3rd round Drug Resistant-Tuberculosis data. Descriptive statistics were used in computing the association between the sociodemographic characteristics and PTB CNRs, and the strength of the associations was determined using binary logistic regression with Odds ratios (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULT

Overall, 102 bacteriologically confirmed childhood PTB cases were identified with a median age of 12 (range 1-14) years. Of these, 54 (52.9%) were females and 81 (79.4%) lived in rural areas. HIV-TB co-infection cases were 5/102 (4.3%) and the majority (98%) of cases were newly diagnosed children. Nationally, the incidence of bacteriologically confirmed childhood PTB was calculated to be 5.1 per 100,000 children. The burden of Drug Resistant-Tuberculosis to at least one of the five first-line anti-TB drugs tested was five (6.5%) cases and one (1.3%) was found to be a Multi-drug resistant tuberculosis case. Drug-resistant tuberculosis was significantly associated with the age group 10-14 years (P = 0.002; [AOR] 29.76; [95% CI, 3.51-252.64]) and children living in urban areas (P = 0.027; [AOR] 5.76; 95% CI, 1.22-27.09).

CONCLUSION

Bacteriologically confirmed childhood PTB cases increased as the age of the children increased. Most of the bacteriologically confirmed childhood PTB and the identified drug Resistant-Tuberculosis cases were new cases. Also, rural children were more affected by TB than their urban, counterparts Drug Resistant-Tuberculosis was higher in urban resident children.

The burden of tuberculosis among adolescents and young adults in five Asian countries from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have shown that the risk of tuberculosis (TB) increases dramatically during adolescence. The objective of this article was to analyze the burdens and trends of TB incidence and mortality rates in Asian adolescents and young adults.

METHODS

Time series ecological study of TB incidence and mortality rates of adolescents and young adults aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2019, using data extracted from the Global Burden of Disease website for 5 Asian countries. The annual percentage change was calculated by joinpoint regression analysis to estimate the trends in the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR).

RESULTS

The highest ASIR per 100,000 person-years in 2019 was in Mongolia [74 (95% uncertainty interval (UI), 51 to 105)], while the lowest was in Japan [4 (95% UI, 2 to 6)]. The highest ASDR per 100,000 person-years was in Mongolia [2 (95% UI, 1 to 3)], while the lowest was in Japan [0.009 (95% UI, 0.008 to 0.010)]. As the absolute number of cases and deaths decreased from 1990 to 2019, the ASIRs and ASDRs in all five countries also decreased.

CONCLUSIONS

Our finding revealed that although all five countries in Asia experienced descending TB incidence and mortality trend in past three decades, the trends were especially significant in developed countries and varied across geographic regions. This study may be crucial in helping policymakers make decisions and allocate appropriate resources to adolescent TB control strategies.

Genetic diversity and drug sensitivity profile of Mycobacterium tuberculosis among children in Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Worldwide, tuberculosis (TB) affects about one million children every year. The burden of the disease is higher in developing countries. However, there is limited information on the lineages and drug sensitivity patterns of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M. tuberculosis) infecting children in these countries, including Ethiopia. Thus, this study aimed to characterize the different lineages of the M. tuberculosis complex causing childhood pulmonary tuberculosis and evaluate the drug-sensitivity patterns to the first-line anti-TB drugs.

METHOD

A total of 54 stored cultures were used in this study. The region of difference 9 (RD9) based polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and spoligotyping were employed for the identification of the isolates at the species and lineages level respectively. Lineage identification was done by using the pre-existing database. Identification of clustering of the spoligotype patterns was by using the SPOLIDB3-based model. The result was retrieved by the most probable family format. Furthermore, the phenotypic, and genotypic drug-sensitivity test (DST) was performed using Mycobacterium Growth Indicator Tube (MGIT™ 960) and GenoTypeMTBDRplus assay respectively. Data analysis was done using SPSS version 27 software.

RESULT

Spoligotyping produced 39 interpretable results for M. tuberculosis. The majority (74.4%) of them were clustered into 7 groups, while the rest (25.6%) were single. The Euro-American (EA) lineage was the predominant lineage (64.1%) followed by the East-African Indian (EAI) (30.8%) and M. Africanum (5.1%) lineages. The most predominant subtypes were SIT37 (15.4%), SIT149 (12.8%), SIT25 (7.7%), and SIT53 (7.7%). Furthermore, of the identified SITs, T1 and CAS families consisted of 38.5% and 28.2% of the lineages respectively. Drug susceptibility was 91.9% by phenotypic method and 97.4% by molecular assay. The overall prevalence of any resistance was 7.8% and there was a single MDR-TB.

CONCLUSION

Many of the isolates belong to the modern lineages (Euro American) representing the most common circulating strains in the country. More importantly, despites the tiny isolates tested, drug resistance is low. To fully describe the molecular epidemiology of MTBC lineages in children, we recommend a prospective large-scale study.

Strategies to increase childhood tuberculosis case detection at the primary health care level: Lessons from an active case finding study in Zambia

INTRODUCTION

In high TB burden settings, it is estimated that 10-20% of total notifications should be children, however, currently only 6-8% of the total TB notifications in Zambia are children. We assessed whether the implementation of a multicomponent strategy, at primary healthcare facilities, that systematically targets barriers at each step of the childhood TB diagnostic cascade can increase childhood TB case detection.

METHODS

We conducted a controlled, interrupted time series analysis to compare childhood TB case notifications before (January 2018-December 2019), and during implementation (January 2020-September 2021) in two intervention and two control Level 1 hospitals in Lusaka, Zambia. At each of the intervention facilities, we implemented a multicomponent strategy constituting: (1) capacity development on childhood TB and interpretation of chest x-ray, (2) TB awareness-raising and demand creation activities, (3) setting up fast track TB services, (4) strengthening of household contact tracing, and (5) improving access to digital chest X-ray for TB screening and Xpert MTB/Rif Ultra for TB diagnosis, through strengthening sample collection in children.

FINDINGS

Among 5,150 children < 15 years screened at the two intervention facilities during the study period, 503 (9.8% yield) were diagnosed with TB. Of these, 433 (86.1%) were identified through facility-based activities (10.5% yield) and 70 (13.9%) were identified through household contact tracing (6.9% yield). Overall, 446 children (88.7%) children with TB were clinically diagnosed. Following implementation of the multicomponent strategy, the proportion children contributed to total TB notifications immediately changed by +1.5% (95%CI: -3.5, 6.6) and -4.4% (95%CI: -7.5, 1.4) at the intervention and control sites, respectively (difference 6.0% [95%CI: -0.7, 12.7]), p = 0.08); the proportion of childhood notifications increased 0.9% (95%CI: -0.7, 2.5%) each quarter at the intervention sites relative to pre-implementation trends, while declining 1.2% (-95%CI: -1.8, -0.6) at the control sites (difference 2.1% [95%CI: 0.1, 4.2] per quarter between, p = 0.046); this translated into 352 additional and 85 fewer childhood TB notifications at the intervention and control sites, respectively, compared to the pre-implementation period.

CONCLUSION

A standardized package of strategies to improve childhood TB detection at primary healthcare facilities was feasible to implement and was associated with a sustained improvement in childhood TB notifications.

Under-Reporting of Tuberculosis Disease among Children and Adolescents in Low and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review

Under-reporting of tuberculosis (TB) disease in children and adolescents is a significant global concern, as many children are missing from TB notification data. A systematic literature review was conducted to understand the global reporting gap of child and adolescent TB as well as current interventions to close this gap in Low- and Middle- Income Countries (LMIC). Our study found large and variable gaps in child and adolescent TB reporting, due to various factors. Interventions to close this gap exist but are limited. Future studies are necessary to improve global surveillance systems to improve TB care delivery for children and adolescents.

Performance of two interferon-gamma release assays for tuberculosis infection screening in Kawasaki children before immunosuppressive therapy

Objective

We aimed to compare QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT-GIT) and X.DOT-TB for screening latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) in kawasaki patients, and to identify the risk factors associated with indeterminate IGRA results.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study on children with KD, who were screened for mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) infection by either ELISA-based QFT-GIT or ELISPOT-based X.DOT-TB tests, admitted in Department of Cardiology, Beijing Children's Hospital from July 2019 to April 2022.

Results

A total of 1327 cases were included. Among them, 932 cases were tested by QFT-GIT and 395 cases by X.DOT-TB. The positive rate of children was 0.1% and 0.2%, and the indeterminate rate was 68.2% and 6.1% for QFT-GIT and X.DOT-TB, respectively. Patients with hypoproteinemia had a higher risk of indeterminate X.DOT-TB result. Female, critical ill, shock or hypoproteinemia presented statistically significant associations with an increased risk of indeterminate QFT-GIT result. High-dose of IVIG inhibited the release of IFN-γ by more than 90%, which might account for the high indeterminate incidence.

Conclusion

It is recommended to perform X.DOT-TB rather than QFT-GIT to screen LTBI in patients with high level of the mitogen that can inhibit IFN-γ release. For KD children with positive IGRA results, it has a higher risk of activation TB infection when treated with immunosuppressive therapy in the future. Children with KD aged <5 years old had higher frequency of indeterminate IGRA results.

Clinicoepidemiological Profile and Prognostic Factors in Neurotuberculosis in Children

Purpose: This study aimed to determine the clinicoepidemiological profile and prognostic factors in children with neurotuberculosis.Methods: An observational study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital on 50 children diagnosed with neurotuberculosis. The demographic profile, clinical details, and all investigations were recorded on a predetermined form and datasheet for analysis, and disability severity was graded using the modified Rankin Scale.Results: Fifty patients were enrolled (male-to-female ratio, 1.08:1). Younger children (1 to 3 years) were more commonly affected. Most patients were malnourished, and only 58% had been immunized with the Bacillus Calmette-Guerin vaccine. Fever was the most common symptom (96%) followed by headache, altered consciousness, vomiting, seizures, and abnormal posture. On cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analysis, 87% of patients showed pleocytosis with lymphocytic predominance. More than 80% of patients had CSF protein levels >100 mg/dL and CSF glucose levels <60 mg/dL. Common findings on neuroimaging were hydrocephalus (76%), basal meningeal enhancement (60%), basal exudates (52%), and parenchymal infarcts (32%). We noted a mortality rate of 40%, of whom 87.5% had modified British Medical Research Council (BMRC) stage 3 tubercular meningitis (TBM). All patients who survived stage 3 TBM had a severe disability, and over 50% of patients with stage 2 TBM had moderate to severe disabilities.Conclusion: Young age, lower socioeconomic status, BMRC stages 2 and 3, abnormal posture, hydrocephalus, and the presence of basal exudates were associated with poor outcomes. High suspicion is needed for early diagnosis and prevention of disability and mortality.

Intrathoracic tuberculosis: Role of interventional bronchoscopy in diagnosis

Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death from a single infectious agent globally. Mortality is related to the delay in diagnosis and starting treatment. According to new guidelines it is very important to classify pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) as severe or not severe disease due to the difference in treatment duration. Bronchoscopy is the gold standard for assessing the degree of airway compression and obstruction in paediatric PTB. Paediatric bronchoscopy has evolved from a primarily diagnostic procedure to include interventional bronchoscopy for diagnostic purposes. Endobronchial ultrasound (EBUS) has increased the potential of sampling mediastinal lymph nodes both for histological diagnosis and microbiological confirmation.

Contribution of Reinfection to Annual Rate of Tuberculosis Infection (ARI) and Incidence of Tuberculosis Disease

BACKGROUND

Modeling studies have concluded that 60-80% of tuberculosis (TB) infections result from reinfection of previously infected persons. The annual rate of infection (ARI), a standard measure of the risk of TB infection in a community, may not accurately reflect the true risk of infection among previously infected persons. We constructed a model of infection and reinfection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis to explore the predictive accuracy of ARI and its effect on disease incidence.

METHODS

We created a deterministic simulation of the progression from TB infection to disease and simulated the prevalence of TB infection at the beginning and end of a theoretical year of infection. We considered 10 disease prevalence scenarios ranging from 100/100 000 to 1000/100 000 in simulations where TB exposure probability was homogeneous across the whole simulated population or heterogeneously stratified into high-risk and low-risk groups. ARI values, rates of progression from infection to disease, and the effect of multiple reinfections were obtained from published studies.

RESULTS

With homogeneous exposure risk, observed ARI values produced expected numbers of infections. However, when heterogeneous risk was introduced, observed ARI was seen to underestimate true ARI by 25-58%. Of the cases of TB disease that occurred, 36% were among previously infected persons when prevalence was 100/100 000, increasing to 79% of cases when prevalence was 1000/100 000.

CONCLUSIONS

Measured ARI underestimates true ARI as a result of heterogeneous population mixing. The true force of infection in a community may be greater than previously appreciated. Hyperendemic communities likely contribute disproportionally to the global TB disease burden.

Cumulative Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection Incidence (Measured Primarily by Tuberculin Skin Test) Among Infants With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Exposure: Observational Follow-up of an Isoniazid Prophylaxis Trial

Cumulative 24-month Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection incidence (measured primarily by tuberculin skin test [TST]) was high among human immunodeficiency virus exposed but uninfected infants (8.7 [95% confidence interval, 6.3-11.9] per 100 person-years). Trend for decreased TST positivity among infants at trial end (12 months postenrollment) randomized to isoniazid at 6 weeks of age was not sustained through observational follow-up to 24 months of age.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT02613169.

Tuberculosis Infection in Children and Adolescents

The burden of tuberculosis (TB) in children and adolescents remains very significant. Several million children and adolescents are infected with TB each year worldwide following exposure to an infectious TB case and the risk of progression from TB infection to tuberculosis disease is higher in this group compared to adults. This review describes the risk factors for TB infection in children and adolescents. Following TB exposure, the risk of TB infection is determined by a combination of index case characteristics, contact features, and environmental determinants. We also present the recently recommended approaches to diagnose and treat TB infection as well as novel tests for infection. The tests for TB infection have limitations and diagnosis still relies on an indirect immunological assessment of cellular immune response to Mycobacterium tuberculosis antigens using immunodiagnostic testing. It is recommended that TB exposed children and adolescents and those living with HIV receive TB preventive treatment (TPT) to reduce the risk of progression to TB disease. Several TPT regimens of similar effectiveness and safety are now available and recommended by the World Health Organisation.

Indoor Urban Environment and Conventional Risk Factors for Pediatric Tuberculosis Among 1-12 Years Old Children in a Megacity in Pakistan: A Matched Case-Control Study

Background: Estimated 1.1 million children developed tuberculosis (TB) globally in 2020. Household air pollution has been associated with increased respiratory tract infections among children. Nonetheless, there are scarce data regarding the association of indoor environment with pediatric TB. Objectives: To determine the association of indoor urban environment and conventional risk factors for pulmonary TB among children 1-12 years and to discern the differences of these factors among younger (1-5 years) and older children (6-12 years). Materials and Methods: We conducted an age-matched case-control study among children in 2 hospitals (tertiary and secondary care) in megacity, Karachi, Pakistan. A total of 143 pulmonary TB cases, diagnosed on Pakistan Paediatric Association Scoring Chart for Diagnosis of Tuberculosis (PPASCT), were compared with 286 age-matched controls (ratio 1:2). Indoor urban environment and other conventional risk factors were ascertained through a questionnaire and analyzed by conditional logistic regression. Results: Overall, being a female child [matched odds ratio (mOR): 2.03, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.16-3.53], having household TB contact (mOR: 8.64, 95% CI: 4.82-15.49), open kitchen for cooking in household (mOR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.59-5.66), and poorly ventilated house (mOR: 2.37, 95% CI: 1.09-3.65) increased the risk of TB among children (1-12 years). Open kitchen was a risk factor for younger children (1-5 years), whereas poorly ventilated house and being female child was a risk factor for older children (6-12 years), respectively. Conclusions: This study strengthens the evidence that a poor indoor environment increases the risk for childhood TB. Concerted efforts are needed to improve the indoor air environment in urban areas for prevention of TB in addition to addressing the conventional risk factors.

Detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance by Xpert® MTB/RIF assay among presumptive tuberculosis patients in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia from 2014 to 2021

Objective

This study aimed to determine the frequencies and trends of Mycobacterium tuberculosis and rifampicin resistance among presumptive tuberculosis patients in Ethiopia, who were tested using the Xpert MTB/RIF assay between 2014 and 2021.

Methods

Data were collected retrospectively from patient registries. Laboratory-based data were extracted from the national tuberculosis (TB) referral laboratory database. All patients referred to the National Tuberculosis Reference Laboratory (NTRL) for TB diagnosis from all over the country between March 1, 2014 and September 30, 2021, and tested using the Xpert MTB/RIF assay, were included. The extracted data were entered into a Microsoft Excel sheet and analyzed by Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 23.

Results

Among a total of 13 772 individuals tested using the Xpert MTB/RIF assay, the majority (8223; 59.7%) were males, and 48.5% (6678) of the individuals were aged between 15 and 39 years. Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) was detected in 17.0% (2347) of the examined individuals. Of the detected MTB cases, nearly 9.9% (233) were rifampicin resistant (RR-TB), while 24 (1.0%) were RR-intermediate. Among all RR-TB cases, more than half (125; 53.6%) were detected in males, and 105 were new TB cases. Extrapulmonary (EPTB) patients had a greater rate of rifampicin resistance (11.0%) than pulmonary (PTB) patients (9.6%).

Conclusion

The frequency of TB and RR-TB remains high in the study setting. RR-TB was found to have a statistically significant association with previous anti-TB medication treatment. As a result, improving treatment adherence in recognized instances could assist in preventing MTB and RR-TB cases.

Social Determinants of Adherence to Treatment for Tuberculosis Infection and Disease Among Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults: A Narrative Review

Global efforts to eliminate tuberculosis (TB) must address the unique barriers that children (ages 0 through 9 years) and adolescents/young adults (AYA; ages 10 through 24 years) face in adhering to treatment for TB infection and disease. We conducted a narrative review to summarize current knowledge on the social determinants of treatment adherence among these age groups to guide efforts and policy to address their unique needs. Our findings revealed that research on TB treatment adherence among children and AYA is still in its nascent stage. The current literature revealed structural/community-, health system-, household-, and individual-level factors that influence treatment adherence and varied with developmental stage. There is a need to develop multilevel interventions to address the unique challenges that children and AYA face in adhering to TB treatment.

Tuberculous bronchial stenosis: Diagnosis and role of interventional bronchoscopy

The reported prevalence of tuberculous bronchial stenosis in children is unknown and rarely reported in English-speaking literature. In adult patients with pulmonary tuberculosis, it varies from 40% in an autopsied series in the preantibiotic era to 10% in patients who have undergone routine bronchofibroscopy in modern times. We describe our experience of four cases of confirmed bronchial stenosis due to MTB collected between January 2000 and June 2021 in this case series descriptive study. The diagnosis of bronchial stenosis due to TB was made on flexible bronchoscopy. A TB diagnosis was made if MTB was cultured from respiratory secretions, when Ziehl-Neelsen smear or GeneXpert MTB/RIF test was positive, or if a chest radiograph revealed radiographic features typical of MTB. Bronchial stenosis due to TB is rare even if airway compression is frequently seen. Although an early diagnosis of bronchial stenosis due to TB is difficult on chest X-rays, all children in this series demonstrated parenchymal changes distal to the stenosis ranging from hyperinflation and lobar collaps to bronchiectasis. If bronchial stenosis resulting from TB disease is diagnosed early, balloon dilatation as described in this report, may be an effective and safe intervention, preventing long-term complications such as irreversible lung destruction, that may require pneumonectomy.

Accuracy of Xpert Ultra for the diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis in a low TB burden country: a prospective multicentre study

Introduction

Childhood pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) remains a diagnostic challenge. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of Xpert Ultra for the diagnosis of pulmonary TB in children in a low TB prevalence setting.

Methods

Prospective, multicentre, diagnostic accuracy study. Children with clinical or radiological suspicion of pulmonary TB were recruited at 11 paediatric units in Spain. Up to three gastric or sputum specimens were taken on 3 consecutive days, and analysed by Xpert MTB/RIF, Xpert Ultra and culture in parallel.

Results

86 children were included (median age 4.9 years, IQR 2.0–10.0; 51.2% male). The final diagnosis was pulmonary TB in 75 patients (87.2%); 33 (44.0%) were microbiologically confirmed. A total of 219 specimens, comprising gastric aspirates (n=194; 88.6%) and sputum specimens (n=25; 11.4%), were analysed. Using culture as reference standard and comparing individual specimens, the sensitivity was 37.8% (14/37) for Xpert MTB/RIF and 81.1% (30/37) for Xpert Ultra (p<0.001); specificity was 98.4% (179/182) and 93.4% (170/182), respectively (p=0.02). In the per-patient analysis, considering positive results on any specimen, the sensitivity was 42.9% (9/21) for Xpert MTB/RIF and 81.0% for Xpert Ultra (17/21, p=0.01); specificity was 96.9% (63/65) and 87.7% (57/65, p=0.07), respectively.

Conclusions

In children with pulmonary TB in a low burden setting, Xpert Ultra has significantly higher sensitivity than the previous generation of Xpert assay and only marginally lower specificity. Therefore, in children undergoing evaluation for suspected pulmonary TB, Xpert Ultra should be used in preference to Xpert MTB/RIF whenever possible.

Pediatric Tuberculosis Management: A Global Challenge or Breakthrough?

Managing pediatric tuberculosis (TB) remains a public health problem requiring urgent and long-lasting solutions as TB is one of the top ten causes of ill health and death in children as well as adolescents universally. Minors are particularly susceptible to this severe illness that can be fatal post-infection or even serve as reservoirs for future disease outbreaks. However, pediatric TB is the least prioritized in most health programs and optimal infection/disease control has been quite neglected for this specialized patient category, as most scientific and clinical research efforts focus on developing novel management strategies for adults. Moreover, the ongoing coronavirus pandemic has meaningfully hindered the gains and progress achieved with TB prophylaxis, therapy, diagnosis, and global eradication goals for all affected persons of varying age bands. Thus, the opening of novel research activities and opportunities that can provide more insight and create new knowledge specifically geared towards managing TB disease in this specialized group will significantly improve their well-being and longevity.

Impact of Xpert MTB/RIF in the Diagnosis of Childhood Tuberculosis in Rural Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

This study assesses the impact of the Xpert MTB/RIF in the diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis (TB) in a rural hospital in a resource-constrained setting.

METHODS

Retrospective cross-sectional study in children evaluated for presumptive TB from 1 June 2016 to 31 May 2017 at the Gambo General Hospital in rural Southern Ethiopia. Children were evaluated according to a defined protocol based on national guidelines. Samples were submitted for Xpert MTB/RIF assay to the nearest reference laboratory.

RESULTS

Of the 201 children assessed for presumptive TB, 46.3% (93/201) were diagnosed with TB. Of these, 49.5% (46/93) were microbiologically confirmed, mostly by Xpert MTB/RIF (only one patient was diagnosed by smear alone). The rest were clinically diagnosed. Microbiologically confirmed patients had a higher mean age, longer duration of fever and cough and lymphadenopathy more frequently than those clinically diagnosed. Gastric aspirates were Xpert MTB/RIF-positive in 18.2% of the samples (26/143); none were smear-positive (0/140). Sputum samples were Xpert MTB/RIF-positive in 27.1% (13/35) of the samples and smear-positive in 8.6% (3/35). There were no HIV-positive patients and just one case of rifampicin-resistant TB. A long delay (median 15 days) was detected in returning the results.

CONCLUSION

Xpert MTB/RIF serves as an important adjunctive test for diagnosing childhood TB in rural settings, with microbiological confirmation in up to half the TB cases. Processes need to be optimized to achieve an early diagnosis. The diagnosis of childhood TB in high-burden countries such as Ethiopia still relies largely upon diagnostic algorithms and the clinician's skills.Lay summaryWorld Health Organization recommends the use of Xpert MTB/RIF to improve the microbiological diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis (TB) since 2014, but the impact of this test under real conditions in rural areas of low-income countries is not clear. We conducted a cross-sectional study in children evaluated for presumptive TB from 1 June 2016 to 31 May 2017 at the Gambo General Hospital in rural Southern Ethiopia. Children were evaluated according to a clinical protocol based on national guidelines and samples were submitted for Xpert MTB/RIF assay to the nearest reference laboratory.Of the 201 children assessed, 46.3% (93/201) were diagnosed with tuberculosis. Of these, 48.4% (45/93) were microbiologically confirmed by Xpert MTB/RIF [smear microscopy only diagnosed the 5.4% (5/93)]. Patients with microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis had a higher mean age, longer duration of fever and cough and had lymphadenopathy more frequently than those clinically diagnosed. A long delay in returning the results (median 15 days) was detected. Xpert MTB/RIF serves as an important test for diagnosing childhood TB in rural settings, with microbiological confirmation in up to half the cases. Processes need to be optimized to achieve an early diagnosis. The diagnosis of childhood TB in high-burden countries still relies largely upon diagnostic algorithms and the clinician's skills.

Oral Swab Specimens Tested With Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra Assay for Diagnosis of Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Children: A Diagnostic Accuracy Study

BACKGROUND

Microbiologic diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis may be difficult. Oral swab specimens are a potential noninvasive alternative to sputum specimens for diagnosis.

METHODS

This was a prospective diagnostic accuracy study of oral swab specimens (buccal and tongue) for pulmonary tuberculosis diagnosis in children (aged ≤ 15 years) in 2 South African hospital sites. Children with cough of any duration as well as a positive tuberculin skin test result, tuberculosis contact, loss of weight, or chest radiograph suggestive of pulmonary tuberculosis were enrolled. Two induced sputum specimens were tested with Xpert MTB/RIF (or Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra) assay and liquid culture. Oral swab specimens were obtained before sputum specimens, frozen, and later tested with Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra. Children were classified as microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis, unconfirmed tuberculosis (receipt of tuberculosis treatment), or unlikely tuberculosis according to National Institutes of Health consensus definitions based on sputum microbiologic results.

RESULTS

Among 291 participants (median age [interquartile range], 32 [14-73] months), 57 (20%) had human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and 87 (30%) were malnourished; 90 (31%) had confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (rifampicin resistant in 6 [7%] ), 157 (54%), unconfirmed pulmonary tuberculosis, and 44 (15%), unlikely tuberculosis. A single oral swab specimen was obtained from 126 (43%) of the participants (tongue in 96 and buccal in 30) and 2 swab specimens from 165 (57%) (tongue in 110 and buccal in 55). Sensitivity was low (22% [95% confidence interval, 15%-32%]) for all swab specimens combined (with confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis as reference), but specificity was high (100% [91%-100%]). The highest sensitivity was 33% (95% confidence interval, 15%-58%) among participants with HIV. The overall yield was 6.9% with 1 oral swab specimen and 7.2% with 2.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of the Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay with oral swab specimens provides poor yield for microbiologic pulmonary tuberculosis confirmation in children.

Facilitators and Barriers to Implementation of a Childhood Tuberculosis Control Program in Bangladesh: A Mixed-Methods Study from BRAC Urban DOTS Centres in Dhaka

The case detection rate of childhood tuberculosis in Bangladesh is 4%, far below the World Health Organization predicted rate of 10–15% for a country with a high burden of tuberculosis. A concurrent triangulation mixed-methods study was carried out in eight urban DOTS (Directly Observed Treatment, Short-course) centres to investigate the factors contributing to the diagnosis and treatment of childhood tuberculosis. Front-line health care workers (Shasthya Shebika) (n = 111) were surveyed to understand knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) of the diagnosis and treatment of childhood tuberculosis. In-depth interviews were conducted with field workers (n = 32) and mothers of TB cases (n = 4). Stakeholders involved in implementing the tuberculosis program (n = 9) participated in the key informant interviews. Knowledge of Shasthya Shebika was associated with the components addressed during refresher training (p = 0.02). Government stewardship, presence of specific guidelines, knowledge and capacity building of front-line health workers were identified as the key facilitators. Frequent turnover of key managerial positions in the government, stigma, delays in seeking care, lack of diagnostic facilities, and poor engagement of private practitioners were identified as major constraints. It was identified that the government should focus on improving diagnostic capacities, conduct research on childhood tuberculosis, and produce awareness materials.

Are we underestimating the annual risk of infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis in high-burden settings?

The annual risk of infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis determines a population's exposure level and thus the fraction of incident tuberculosis resulting from recent infection (often considered as having occurred within the past 2 years). Contemporary annual risk of infection estimates centre around 1% in most high-burden countries. We present three arguments why these estimates-primarily derived from cross-sectional tuberculin surveys in young school children (aged 5-12 years)-might underrepresent the true annual risk of infection. First, young children are expected to have lower risk of infection than older adolescents and adults (ie, those aged 15 years and older). Second, exposure might not lead to a positive test result in some individuals. Third, cross-sectional surveys might overlook transient immune responses. Accounting for these biases, the true annual risk of infection among adults in high-burden settings is probably closer to 5-10%. Consequently, most tuberculosis in those settings should reflect infection within the past 2 years rather than remote infection occurring many years ago. Under this reframing, major reductions in tuberculosis incidence could be achievable by focusing on the minority of people who have been recently infected.

Evidence to Action: Translating Innovations in Management of Child and Adolescent TB into Routine Practice in High-Burden Countries

Child and adolescent tuberculosis (TB) has been long neglected by TB programs but there have been substantive strides in prioritizing TB among these populations in the past two decades. Yet, gaps remain in translating evidence and policy to action at the primary care level, ensuring access to novel tools and approaches to diagnosis, treatment, and prevention for children and adolescents at risk of TB disease. This article describes the progress that has been made and the gaps that remain in addressing TB among children and adolescents while also highlighting pragmatic approaches and the role of multisectoral partnerships in facilitating integration of innovations into routine program practice.

Analysis of the impact of badger culling on bovine tuberculosis in cattle in the high-risk area of England, 2009-2020

BACKGROUND

Since 2013, badger culling has been part of the UK Government's strategy for controlling bovine tuberculosis (bTB) within a high-risk area (HRA) in England. Government surveillance data now enables an examination of bTB herd incidence and prevalence, its headline indicators, within and outside cull areas over the period 2009-2020.

METHODS

Analysis compared herd incidence and prevalence data from within and outside badger culling areas. A range of models (GLMs, GLMMs, GAMs and GAMMs) were used to analyse incidence and prevalence in culled and unculled areas using frequentist and Bayesian approaches. Change in incidence across ten county areas within the HRA for the period 2010-2020 was also compared.

RESULTS

Analyses based on Defra published data using a variety of statistical methodologies did not suggest that badger culling affected herd bTB incidence or prevalence over the study period. In 9 of 10 counties, bTB incidence peaked and began to fall before badger culling commenced.

LIMITATIONS

There are limitations around the data available on culling location, temporal information and other confounding factors. As such, further analysis of any future datasets that may be released on bTB levels in areas where badger culling has been implemented is warranted.

CONCLUSION

This examination of government data obtained over a wide area and a long time period failed to identify a meaningful effect of badger culling on bTB in English cattle herds. These findings may have implications for the use of badger culling in current and future bTB control policy.

Addressing the Data Gaps on Child and Adolescent Tuberculosis

The burden of tuberculosis (TB) among children and young adolescents (<15 years old) is estimated at 1.1 million; however, only 400,000 are treated for TB, indicating a large gap between the number who are cared for and the number estimated to have TB. Accurate data on the burden of pediatric TB is essential to guide action. Despite several improvements in estimating the burden of pediatric TB in the last decade, as well as enhanced data collection efforts, several data gaps remain, both at the global level, but also at the national level where surveillance systems and collaborative research are critical. In this article, we describe recent advances in data collection and burden estimates for TB among children and adolescents, and the remaining gaps. While data collection continues to improve, burden estimates must evolve in parallel, both in terms of their frequency and the methods used. Currently, at the global level, there is a focus on age-disaggregation of TB notifications, the collection of data on TB-HIV, multi-drug resistant (MDR)-TB and treatment outcomes, as well as estimates of the disease burden. Additional data from national surveillance systems or research projects on TB meningitis, as well as other forms of extra-pulmonary TB, would be useful. We must capitalize on the current momentum in child and adolescent TB to close the remaining data gaps for these age groups to better understand the epidemic and further reduce morbidity and mortality due to TB.

Age-specific effectiveness of a tuberculosis screening intervention in children

Objective

To apply a cascade-of-care framework to evaluate the effectiveness—by age of the child—of an intensified tuberculosis patient-finding intervention.

Design

From a prospective screening program at four hospitals in Pakistan (2014–2016) we constructed a care cascade comprising six steps: screened, positive screen, evaluated, diagnosed, started treatment, and successful outcome. We evaluated the cascade by each year of age from 0 to 14 and report the age-specific mean proportion and standard deviation.

Results

On average across all ages, only 12.5% (standard deviation: 2.0%) of children with a positive screen were not evaluated. Among children who had a complete evaluation, the highest percentages of children diagnosed with tuberculosis were observed in children 0–4 (mean: 31.9%; standard deviation: 4.8%), followed by lower percentages in children 5–9 (mean: 22.4%; standard deviation: 2.2%), and 10–14 (mean: 26.0%; standard deviation:5.4%). Nearly all children diagnosed with tuberculosis initiated treatment, and an average of 93.3% (standard deviation: 3.3%) across all ages had successful treatment outcomes.

Conclusions

This intervention was highly effective across ages 0–14 years. Our study illustrates the utility of applying operational analyses of age-stratified cascades to identify age-specific gaps in pediatric tuberculosis care that can guide future, novel interventions to close these gaps.

C. B, Sharma S, Utarini A. Implementation fidelity of tuberculosis preventive therapy for under five children exposed to sputum smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis in Kaski district, Nepal: An implementation research

Introduction

In line with the WHO recommendation, Nepal has started implementing Tuberculosis prevention therapy (TBPT) for under five children exposed to Sputum Smear Positive Pulmonary Tuberculosis, as one of the strategies for prevention, care and control of TB. Implementation fidelity study is important to assess on what extent preventive program is being implemented. The objective of the study measured the implementation fidelity of TBPT program Kaski district, Nepal.

Methods

We used a mixed-method explanatory sequential design study. Quantitative data were collected through retrospective review of records from April 2018 to May 2019 and level of adherence was established. Moderating factors influencing the implementation of TBPT were TBPT were assessed qualitatively. Sixteen in-depth interviews and a focus group discussion was conducted purposively with responsible stakeholders. The study was guided by the Conceptual Framework for Implementation Fidelity (CFIR) developed by Carroll.

Results

The majority of the components of the TBPT program were found to be implemented with a moderate level of fidelity. The proportion of under five years children initiate and complete the full course of TBPT was 72.5% and 75.86% respectively. The proportion of index cases traced for household contact, contact tracing within two months and timely initiation of therapy within two months were 54.19%, 82.73% and 86.20%. Moderating factors identified in the implementation of the program were contact tracing and enrollment, partnership and ownership, training resources, medication, awareness and information dissemination.

Conclusion

The TBPT program is being moderately implemented in Kaski districts. Addressing the key challenges identified in contact tracing, partnership/ownership, incentives, training and knowledge of health workers results in more identification of children eligible for TBPT.

Diagnostic Value of Interferon-Gamma Release Assays for Tuberculosis in the Immunocompromised Population

Interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs) are widely used in the diagnosis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M. tuberculosis) infection by detecting interferon-γ released by previously sensitized T-cells in-vitro. Currently, there are two assays based on either enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) or enzyme-linked immunospot (ELISPOT) technology, with several generations of products available. The diagnostic value of IGRAs in the immunocompromised population is significantly different from that in the immunocompetent population because their results are strongly affected by the host immune function. Both physiological and pathological factors can lead to an immunocompromised situation. We summarized the diagnostic value and clinical recommendations of IGRAs for different immunocompromised populations, including peoplewith physiological factors (pregnant and puerperal women, children, and older people), as well as people with pathological factors (solid organ transplantation recipients, combination with human immunodeficiency virus infection, diabetes mellitus, end-stage renal disease, end-stage liver disease, and chronic immune-mediated inflammatory diseases). Though the performance of IGRAs is not perfect and often requires a combination with other diagnostic strategies, it still has some value in the immunocompromised population. Hopefully, the newly developed IGRAs could better target this population.

Global estimates of paediatric tuberculosis incidence in 2013-19: a mathematical modelling analysis

BACKGROUND

Many children who develop tuberculosis are thought to be missed by diagnostic and reporting systems. We aimed to estimate paediatric tuberculosis incidence and underreporting between 2013 and 2019 in countries representing more than 99% of the global tuberculosis burden.

METHODS

We developed a mathematical model of paediatric tuberculosis natural history, accounting for key mechanisms and risk factors for infectious exposure (HIV, malnutrition, and BCG non-vaccination), the probability of infection given exposure, and progression to disease among infected individuals. We extracted paediatric population estimates from UN Population Division data, and we used WHO estimates for adult tuberculosis incidence rates. We parameterised this model for 185 countries and calibrated it using data from countries with stronger case detection and reporting systems. Using this model, we estimated trends in paediatric incidence, and the proportion of these cases that are diagnosed and reported (case detection ratio [CDR]) for each country, age group, and year.

FINDINGS

For 2019, we estimated 997 500 (95% credible interval [CrI] 868 700-1 163 100) incident tuberculosis cases among children, with 481 000 cases (398 400-587 400) among those aged 0-4 years and 516 500 cases (442 900-608 000) among those aged 5-14 years. The paediatric CDR was estimated to be lower in children aged 0-4 years (41%, 95% CrI 34-50) than in those aged 5-14 years (63%, 53-75) and varied widely between countries. Estimated CDRs increased substantially over the study period, from 18% (15-20) in 2013 to 53% (45-60) in 2019, with improvements concentrated in the Eastern Mediterranean, South-East Asia, and Western Pacific regions. Over the study period, global incidence was estimated to have declined slowly at an average annual rate of 1·52% (1·42-1·66).

INTERPRETATION

Paediatric tuberculosis causes substantial morbidity and mortality, and these data indicate that cases (and, thus, probably associated mortality) are currently substantially underreported. These findings reinforce the need to ensure prompt diagnosis and care for children developing tuberculosis, strengthen reporting systems, and invest in research to develop more accurate and easy-to-use diagnostics for paediatric tuberculosis in high-burden settings.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health.

The diagnostic challenge of atypical tuberculous meningitis in children from rural area

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is a severe form of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection, while its diagnosis is still a challenge in children. Here, six children with atypical TBM were retrospectively reviewed and the main findings were displayed as follows. The enrolled cases exhibited non-specific symptoms on admission, mainly including fever ( n = 5), headache ( n = 3), vomiting ( n = 5), and drowsiness ( n = 3), but no typical symptoms of TB infection. Two of them exhibited progressive symptoms under routine treatment. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) examinations revealed increased white blood cells and proteins, as well as decreased glucose and chloride in all cases. Chest imaging identified the possibly of pulmonary tuberculous in 2 cases. Cranial CT and MRI revealed neuroimaging abnormality in 1 and 3 cases, respectively. In addition, next-generation sequencing directly supported the diagnosis of TBM in case 5. To sum up, TBM should be highly suspected in children with central nervous system infection, when there are no improvements under routine treatment and/or the presence of progressive symptoms. Timely rechecking of CSF combined with cranial imaging is feasible and valuable for the diagnosis of TBM.

Estimating the population at high risk for tuberculosis through household exposure in high-incidence countries: a model-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Household contacts of people with pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) have greater risk of developing TB. Recent guidelines conditionally recommended TB preventive treatment (TPT) for household contacts of any age living in TB high-incidence countries, expanding earlier guidance to provide TPT to household contacts under five. The all-age population of household contacts has not been estimated.

METHODS

Our model-based estimation included 20 countries with >80% of incident TB globally in 2019. We developed country-specific distributions of household composition by age and sex using bootstrap resampling from health surveys and census data. We incorporated age-, sex-, year-, and location-specific estimates of pulmonary TB incidence from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 to estimate the population in each country sharing a household with someone with incident pulmonary TB, and quantified uncertainty using a Monte Carlo approach.

FINDINGS

We estimate that 38 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 33- 43 million] individuals lived in a household with someone with incident pulmonary TB in 2019 in these 20 countries. Children under five made up 12% of the population with household exposure, while adults were 65%. Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Zambia, and Pakistan had the highest proportion of the population with household exposure, while India had the highest number of contacts (11·4 million, 95% UI 9·7-13·4 million).

INTERPRETATION

Expanding TPT evaluation to household contacts of all ages in high-incidence countries could include a population more than 7-times larger than the under-5 contacts previously prioritized. This would substantially increase the impact of household contact investigation on reducing TB morbidity and mortality.

FUNDING

JMR is supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (K01 AI138620). This research was funded in part by a 2020 developmental grant from the University of Washington / Fred Hutch Center for AIDS Research, an NIH funded program under award number AI027757 which is supported by the following NIH Institutes and Centers: NIAID, NCI, NIMH, NIDA, NICHD, NHLBI, NIA, NIGMS, NIDDK. This work was funded in part by the National Science Foundation (DMS-1839116).

Cytomegalovirus acquisition in infancy and the risk of tuberculosis disease in childhood: a longitudinal birth cohort study in Cape Town, South Africa

BACKGROUND

The risk of tuberculosis disease after recent exposure is greatest before age 5 years; however, the mechanisms explaining this increased risk are not well elucidated. Acquisition of viral infections, such as cytomegalovirus, in early life might modulate the immune system. We aimed to evaluate the acquisition of cytomegalovirus infection in infancy and the development of tuberculosis disease in children.

METHODS

In this prospective, birth cohort study we enrolled pregnant women who were between 20 and 28 weeks of gestation attending antenatal care in Paarl, a periurban setting outside of Cape Town, South Africa. Participants were recruited from two clinics (TC Newman and Mbekweni). Infants were given Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination at birth as per national policy. Nasopharyngeal swabs for cytomegalovirus detection using qPCR were done for infants at birth, age 3 and 6 weeks, and age 3, 6, 12, and 24 months. Children were prospectively followed up for tuberculosis disease until age 9 years using tuberculin skin testing, radiographic examinations, GeneXpert, and sputum testing. Tuberculin skin tests were done at the 6-month visit and then at age 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months, and at the time of lower respiratory tract infection. We compared tuberculosis disease incidence after age 1 year or after age 6 months in children with and without cytomegalovirus infection using Cox regression and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs.

FINDINGS

Between March 5, 2012, and March 31, 2015, 1225 pregnant women were recruited and enrolled in the birth cohort. 88 (7%) women were excluded because of loss to antenatal follow-up or pregnancy losses. Of 1143 livebirths, 68 (6%) mother-infant pairs were excluded. In total, 963 children were serially tested for cytomegalovirus (7186 cytomegalovirus measurements taken; median six tests per child, IQR 2-11). The prevalence of congenital cytomegalovirus at age younger than 3 weeks was 2% (18 of 816). Cytomegalovirus positivity increased continuously with age from 3% (27 of 825) by age 6 weeks to 21% (183 of 882) by 3 months, 35% (315 of 909) by 6 months, and 42% (390 of 933) by 12 months. Mother-infant pairs were followed up for a median of 6·9 years (IQR 6·0-7·8). The risk of tuberculosis disease in children after age 1 year was higher in those with cytomegalovirus infection by age 6 weeks (adjusted HR 4·1, 95% CI 1·2-13·8; p=0·022), 3 months (2·8, 1·4-5·8; p=0·0040), 6 months (3·6, 1·7-7·3; p<0·0001), 12 months (3·2, 1·6-6·4; p=0·0010), and 24 months (4·2, 2·0-8·8; p<0·0001). The risk of microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis disease was also higher among children acquiring cytomegalovirus infection before age 3 months (adjusted HR 3·2, 95% CI 1·0-10·6; p=0·048), 6 months (3·9, 1·2-13·0; p=0·027), 12 months (4·4, 1·2-16·3; p=0·027), and 24 months (6·1, 1·3-27·9; p=0·020). In children older than 1 year, the risk of tuberculosis disease was consistently greater in those with high cytomegalovirus loads than in those with low cytomegalovirus loads that were acquired before age 3 months (adjusted HR 2·0 vs 3·7; ptrend=0·0020; both groups compared with cytomegalovirus negative reference) and before age 12 months (2·7 vs 3·7; ptrend=0·0009).

INTERPRETATION

Infants that acquire cytomegalovirus in the first year of life are at high risk of subsequently developing tuberculosis disease. Efforts to prevent tuberculosis in early childhood in high-burden countries might need to deter or delay acquisition of cytomegalovirus perinatally or in the first months of life.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, MRC South Africa, National Research Foundation South Africa, and Wellcome Trust.

Prediction Tool to Identify Children at Highest Risk of Tuberculosis Disease Progression Among Those Exposed at Home

BACKGROUND

There is a dearth of research to understand which children, among those who are exposed at home to tuberculosis (TB), are at the highest risk of TB disease, to tailor care. We sought to identify predictors of TB progression in children.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study of children living with adults with pulmonary TB in Lima, Peru (2009-2012). We applied classification and regression tree analysis to examine potential predictors of incident TB disease during 12 months in 3 age groups (0-4, 5-9, and 10-14 years). We calculated the relative risk (RR) for top predictors in each age group.

RESULTS

Among 4545 children 0-14 years old, 156 (3.4%) were diagnosed with TB within 1 year of household exposure to TB (3.4%, 2.3%, and 4.7% in children 0-4, 5-9, and 10-14 years old, respectively). The most important predictor of TB was having a positive tuberculin skin test (TST) result, with RRs of 6.6 (95% CI, 4.0-10.7), 6.6 (95% CI, 3.2-13.6), and 5.2 (95% CI, 3.0-9.0) in the age groups 0-4, 5-9, and 10-14 years, respectively. In young children with a positive TST, not using isoniazid preventive treatment further increased risk of disease (RR, 12.2 [95% CI, 3.8-39.2]).

CONCLUSIONS

We present a tool that identifies child household contacts at high risk of TB disease progression based on data collected during contact tracing. In addition to the use of TB preventive therapy for all children exposed at home to TB, those children at highest risk of progressing to TB disease may benefit from more frequent follow-up.

Paediatric tuberculosis diagnosis using Mycobacterium tuberculosis real-time polymerase chain reaction assay: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Rapid and accurate diagnosis of paediatric tuberculosis (TB) is key to manage the disease and to control and prevent its transmission. Collection of quality sputum samples without invasion methods from paediatrics (age < 16 years) with presumptive pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) remains a challenge. Thus, the aim of this meta-analysis was to assess the overall accuracy of a real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)-based assay, for routine diagnosis of MTB in different samples from paediatrics with active pulmonary and extra-pulmonary tuberculosis using mycobacterial culture as the gold standard in clinical microbiology laboratories.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the diagnostic test accuracy of RT-PCR based assay for the detection of MTB in paediatric clinical samples. A systematic literature search was performed for publications in any language. MEDLINE via PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science were among 9 bibliographic databases searched from August 2019 until November 2020. Bivariate random-effects model of meta-analysis were performed to generate pooled summary estimates (95% CIs) for overall accuracy of RT-PCR based assay compared to mycobacterial culture as the reference standard.

RESULTS

Of the 1592 candidate studies, twenty-one eligible studies met our inclusion criteria. In total, the review and meta-analysis included 5536 (3209 PTB and 2327 EPTB). Summary estimates for pulmonary TB (11 studies) were as follows: sensitivity 56 (95% CI 51-62), specificity 97 (95% CI 96-98) and summary estimates for extra-pulmonary TB (10 studies) were as follows: sensitivity 87 (95% CI 82-91)) specificity 100 (95% CI 99-100). There was significant heterogeneity in sensitivity and specificity among the enrolled studies (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggested that the RT-PCR based assay could be a useful test for the diagnosis of paediatrics TB with high sensitivity and specificity in low-income/high-burden and upper medium income/low-burden settings. From the study, RT-PCR assay demonstrated a high degree of sensitivity for extra-pulmonary TB and good sensitivity for pulmonary TB which is an important factor in achieving effective global control and for patient management in terms of initiating early and appropriate anti-tubercular therapy.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42018104052.

Vitamin D concentrations in infancy and the risk of tuberculosis in childhood: A prospective birth cohort in Cape Town, South Africa

INTRODUCTION

Low vitamin D may increase the risk of tuberculosis; however, previous observational cohort studies have had variable results. We investigated the relationship between vitamin D levels in infancy and subsequent development of tuberculosis throughout childhood.

METHODS

We enrolled pregnant women between 20-28 weeks' gestation attending antenatal care in a peri-urban South African setting in the Drakenstein Child Health Study. Serum 25(OH)D concentrations were measured in newborn infants between 6-10 weeks of age. Children were followed prospectively for tuberculosis infection and disease using annual tuberculin skin testing, radiographic examinations, and microbiological diagnosis with GeneXpert, culture, and smear testing. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression was performed and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Children were followed for tuberculosis for a median of 7.2 years (IQR, 6.2-7.9). Among 744 children (< 1% living with HIV, 21% HIV-exposed living without HIV), those who were vitamin D deficient in early infancy were not at increased risk of developing tuberculosis (AHR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.4-1.6). Infants in the lowest vitamin D concentration tertile were at similar risk of tuberculosis compared to the highest tertile (AHR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.4-1.4). Vitamin D deficiency was associated with tuberculin conversion ≤2 years of age at a <30nmol/l (AOR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.2), but not <50nmol/l (AOR, 1.5; 95% CI, 0.8-2.9), cutoff.

CONCLUSION

In a setting with hyperendemic tuberculosis, vitamin D levels in infancy did not predict tuberculosis at any point in childhood. However, very low vitamin D levels were associated with tuberculin conversion in young children.

Xpert Ultra Assay on Stool to Diagnose Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Children

Background

The World Health Organization recommends the Xpert MTB/RIF Ultra assay for diagnosing pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in children. Though stool is a potential alternative to respiratory specimens among children, the diagnostic performance of Xpert Ultra on stool is unknown. Thus, we assessed the diagnostic performance of Xpert Ultra on stool to diagnose PTB in children.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study among consecutively recruited children (< 15 years of age) with presumptive PTB admitted in 4 tertiary care hospitals in Dhaka, Bangladesh, between January 2018 and April 2019. Single induced sputum and stool specimens were subjected to culture, Xpert, and Xpert Ultra. We considered children as bacteriologically confirmed on induced sputum if any test performed on induced sputum was positive for Mycobacterium tuberculosis and bacteriologically confirmed if M. tuberculosis was detected on either induced sputum or stool.

Results

Of 447 children, 29 (6.5%) were bacteriologically confirmed on induced sputum and 72 (16.1%) were bacteriologically confirmed. With “bacteriologically confirmed on induced sputum” as a reference, the sensitivity and specificity of Xpert Ultra on stool were 58.6% and 88.1%, respectively. Xpert on stool had sensitivity and specificity of 37.9% and 100.0%, respectively. Among bacteriologically confirmed children, Xpert Ultra on stool was positive in 60 (83.3%), of whom 48 (80.0%) had “trace call.”

Conclusions

In children, Xpert Ultra on stool has better sensitivity but lesser specificity than Xpert. A high proportion of Xpert Ultra assays positive on stool had trace call. Future longitudinal studies on clinical evolution are required to provide insight on the management of children with trace call.

Methods for estimating tuberculosis incidence and mortality by age and sex

Aims

To develop methods to disaggregate World Health Orgagnization estimates of tuberculosis (TB) incidence and mortality for each country by sex and age.

Methods

For countries where incidence estimates derived from a factor adjustment of notifications and case detection ratio over 0.85, or with <1000 reported TB cases, we disaggregated incidence proportional to notifications. For each other country, a prior was constructed using a hierarchical model of age-stratified prevalence survey data, meta-analysis of sex ratios, and mathematical modelling for children under 15 years. Samples from this prior were used to disaggregate incidence and accepted if incidence exceeded notifications in each age/sex category. Results were inspected and, if implausible, incidence was disaggregated proportional to notifications. Mortality was disaggregated proportional to patterns in vital registration (VR) data in countries with VR data. Where VR data were lacking, a case-fatality ratio (CFR) approach was applied to estimated incidence, with separate CFRs by HIV/ART status, child/adult age groups, and anti-TB treatment status. Uncertainty in all disaggregated country estimates was constructed to be consistent with corresponding overall uncertainty.

Results

We generated disaggregated results for 216 countries. For 125 countries, incidence disaggregation was based on notifications. Of the rest, accepted samples from the prior were considered implausible in 4 countries. For 72 countries, mortality disaggregation was based on VR data; the rest were based on the CFR approach.

Conclusions

While multi-stage, this approach is comparatively simple in overall logic. Disaggregated estimates have relatively larger uncertainty and should be used with caution.

Diagnostic utility of bronchoalveolar lavage in children with complicated intrathoracic tuberculosis

INTRODUCTION

Bronchoscopy can be a useful tool in children with pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) with severe disease potentially requiring intervention or in the face of diagnostic dilemmas. The aim of this study was to determine the value of Xpert MTB/RIF assay (Xpert) on bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) samples in children with complicated PTB.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of children with clinically diagnosed PTB, who underwent routine bronchoscopy over a 5-year period at a large referral hospital. BAL and other respiratory samples were tested by microscopy, culture, and Xpert. We explored whether clinical, radiographic and bronchoscopy findings, and duration of antituberculosis treatment were associated with bacteriological confirmation.

RESULTS

One hundred and twelve out of one hundred and forty-six (76.7%) children (median age 16 months) were on antituberculosis treatment for a median of 10 days at the time of bronchoscopy. Overall, bacteriological confirmation was achieved in 115 (78.7%), with 101 (69.2%) detected on BAL. Of those bacteriologically confirmed on BAL, 61.4% were positive by both Xpert and culture, 34.7% only by Xpert, and 3.9% only by culture. Sensitivity and specificity of Xpert compared with culture on BAL samples for children not on antituberculosis treatment were 94.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 71.3, 99.8) and 68.7% (95% CI: 41.3, 89.0), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In children undergoing bronchoscopy for complicated PTB, Xpert testing of BAL had a high diagnostic yield in children already on antituberculosis treatment. Bronchoscopy should be considered if noninvasive respiratory specimens fail to confirm complicated TB.

Tuberculosis in Internationally Displaced Children Resettling in Harris County, Texas, USA, 2010-20151

US guidelines have recommended testing children emigrating from high tuberculosis-incidence countries with interferon-gamma release assays (IGRAs) or tuberculin skin tests (TSTs). We describe the Harris County (Texas) Public Health Refugee Health Screening Program's testing results during 2010-2015 for children <18 years of age: 5,990 were evaluated, and 5,870 (98%) were tested. Overall, 364 (6.2%) children had >1 positive test: 143/1,842 (7.8%) were tested with TST alone, 129/3,730 (3.5%) with IGRA alone, and 92/298 (30.9%) with both TST and IGRA. Region of origin and younger age were associated with positive TST or IGRA results. All children were more likely to have positive results for TST than for IGRA (OR 2.92, 95% CI 2.37-3.59). Discordant test results were common (20%) and most often were TST+/IGRA- (95.0%), likely because of bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination. Finding fewer false positives supports the 2018 change in US immigration guidelines that recommends using IGRAs for recently immigrated children.