Big data analytics to improve cardiovascular care: promise and challenges

Evolving Concepts of Pain Management in Elderly Patients

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The elderly population typically suffer from a variety of diseases that mostly reflect the degenerative changes linked with the aging process. These diseases may be exacerbated by acute pain or by an abrupt aggravation of previously stable chronic pain.

RECENT FINDINGS

Physical and psychological changes associated with aging may influence one's experience of pain and, as a result, the severity of pain. Pain treatment in the elderly can be complex and is often a budgetary burden on the nation's health care system. These difficulties arise, in part, because of unanticipated pharmacodynamics, changed pharmacokinetics, and polypharmacy interactions. Therefore, it is critical to integrate a multidisciplinary team to develop a management strategy that incorporates medical, psychological, and surgical methods to control persistent pain conditions. It is in this critical process that pain prediction models can be of great use. The purpose of pain prediction models for the elderly is the use of mathematical models to predict the occurrence and intensity of pain and pain-related conditions. These mathematical models employ a vast quantity of data to ascertain the many risk factors for the development of pain problems in the elderly, whether said risks are adjustable or not. These models will pave the way for more informed medical decision making that are based on the findings of thousands of patients who have previously experienced the same illness and related pain conditions. However, future additional research needs to be undertaken to build prediction models that are not constrained by substantial legal or methodological limitations.

Artificial intelligence for cardiovascular disease risk assessment in personalised framework: a scoping review

Background

The field of precision medicine endeavors to transform the healthcare industry by advancing individualised strategies for diagnosis, treatment modalities, and predictive assessments. This is achieved by utilizing extensive multidimensional biological datasets encompassing diverse components, such as an individual's genetic makeup, functional attributes, and environmental influences. Artificial intelligence (AI) systems, namely machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL), have exhibited remarkable efficacy in predicting the potential occurrence of specific cancers and cardiovascular diseases (CVD).

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive scoping review guided by the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) framework. Our search strategy involved combining key terms related to CVD and AI using the Boolean operator AND. In August 2023, we conducted an extensive search across reputable scholarly databases including Google Scholar, PubMed, IEEE Xplore, ScienceDirect, Web of Science, and arXiv to gather relevant academic literature on personalised medicine for CVD. Subsequently, in January 2024, we extended our search to include internet search engines such as Google and various CVD websites. These searches were further updated in March 2024. Additionally, we reviewed the reference lists of the final selected research articles to identify any additional relevant literature.

Findings

A total of 2307 records were identified during the process of conducting the study, consisting of 564 entries from external sites like arXiv and 1743 records found through database searching. After 430 duplicate articles were eliminated, 1877 items that remained were screened for relevancy. In this stage, 1241 articles remained for additional review after 158 irrelevant articles and 478 articles with insufficient data were removed. 355 articles were eliminated for being inaccessible, 726 for being written in a language other than English, and 281 for not having undergone peer review. Consequently, 121 studies were deemed suitable for inclusion in the qualitative synthesis. At the intersection of CVD, AI, and precision medicine, we found important scientific findings in our scoping review. Intricate pattern extraction from large, complicated genetic datasets is a skill that AI algorithms excel at, allowing for accurate disease diagnosis and CVD risk prediction. Furthermore, these investigations have uncovered unique genetic biomarkers linked to CVD, providing insight into the workings of the disease and possible treatment avenues. The construction of more precise predictive models and personalised treatment plans based on the genetic profiles of individual patients has been made possible by the revolutionary advancement of CVD risk assessment through the integration of AI and genomics.

Interpretation

The systematic methodology employed ensured the thorough examination of available literature and the inclusion of relevant studies, contributing to the robustness and reliability of the study's findings. Our analysis stresses a crucial point in terms of the adaptability and versatility of AI solutions. AI algorithms designed in non-CVD domains such as in oncology, often include ideas and tactics that might be modified to address cardiovascular problems.

Funding

No funding received.

Houston Methodist cardiovascular learning health system (CVD-LHS) registry: Methods for development and implementation of an automated electronic medical record-based registry using an informatics framework approach

Objectives

To investigate the potential value and feasibility of creating a listing system-wide registry of patients with at-risk and established Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) within a large healthcare system using automated data extraction methods to systematically identify burden, determinants, and the spectrum of at-risk patients to inform population health management. Additionally, the Houston Methodist Cardiovascular Disease Learning Health System (HM CVD-LHS) registry intends to create high-quality data-driven analytical insights to assess, track, and promote cardiovascular research and care.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective multi-center, cohort analysis of adult patients who were seen in the outpatient settings of a large healthcare system between June 2016 - December 2022 to create an EMR-based registry. A common framework was developed to automatically extract clinical data from the EMR and then integrate it with the social determinants of health information retrieved from external sources. Microsoft's SQL Server Management Studio was used for creating multiple Extract-Transform-Load scripts and stored procedures for collecting, cleaning, storing, monitoring, reviewing, auto-updating, validating, and reporting the data based on the registry goals.

Results

A real-time, programmatically deidentified, auto-updated EMR-based HM CVD-LHS registry was developed with ∼450 variables stored in multiple tables each containing information related to patient's demographics, encounters, diagnoses, vitals, labs, medication use, and comorbidities. Out of 1,171,768 adult individuals in the registry, 113,022 (9.6%) ASCVD patients were identified between June 2016 and December 2022 (mean age was 69.2 ± 12.2 years, with 55% Men and 15% Black individuals). Further, multi-level groupings of patients with laboratory test results and medication use have been analyzed for evaluating the outcomes of interest.

Conclusions

HM CVD-LHS registry database was developed successfully providing the listing registry of patients with established ASCVD and those at risk. This approach empowers knowledge inference and provides support for efforts to move away from manual patient chart abstraction by suggesting that a common registry framework with a concurrent design of data collection tools and reporting rapidly extracting useful structured clinical data from EMRs for creating patient or specialty population registries.

Machine learning models with time-series clinical features to predict radiographic progression in patients with ankylosing spondylitis

Objective

Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is chronic inflammatory arthritis causing structural damage and radiographic progression to the spine due to repeated and continuous inflammation over a long period. This study establishes the application of machine learning models to predict radiographic progression in AS patients using time-series data from electronic medical records (EMRs).

Methods

EMR data, including baseline characteristics, laboratory findings, drug administration, and modified Stoke AS Spine Score (mSASSS), were collected from 1,123 AS patients between January 2001 and December 2018 at a single center at the time of first (T1), second (T2), and third (T3) visits. The radiographic progression of the (n+1)th visit (Pn+1=(mSASSSn+1-mSASSSn)/(Tn+1-Tn)≥1 unit per year) was predicted using follow-up visit datasets from T1 to Tn. We used three machine learning methods (logistic regression with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting algorithms) with three-fold cross-validation.

Results

The random forest model using the T1 EMR dataset best predicted the radiographic progression P2 among the machine learning models tested with a mean accuracy and area under the curves of 73.73% and 0.79, respectively. Among the T1 variables, the most important variables for predicting radiographic progression were in the order of total mSASSS, age, and alkaline phosphatase.

Conclusion

Prognosis predictive models using time-series data showed reasonable performance with clinical features of the first visit dataset when predicting radiographic progression.

Chinese experts' consensus on the application of intensive care big data

The development of intensive care medicine is inseparable from the diversified monitoring data. Intensive care medicine has been closely integrated with data since its birth. Critical care research requires an integrative approach that embraces the complexity of critical illness and the computational technology and algorithms that can make it possible. Considering the need of standardization of application of big data in intensive care, Intensive Care Medicine Branch of China Health Information and Health Care Big Data Society, Standard Committee has convened expert group, secretary group and the external audit expert group to formulate Chinese Experts' Consensus on the Application of Intensive Care Big Data (2022). This consensus makes 29 recommendations on the following five parts: Concept of intensive care big data, Important scientific issues, Standards and principles of database, Methodology in solving big data problems, Clinical application and safety consideration of intensive care big data. The consensus group believes this consensus is the starting step of application big data in the field of intensive care. More explorations and big data based retrospective research should be carried out in order to enhance safety and reliability of big data based models of critical care field.

Challenges and best practices for digital unstructured data enrichment in health research: A systematic narrative review

Digital data play an increasingly important role in advancing health research and care. However, most digital data in healthcare are in an unstructured and often not readily accessible format for research. Unstructured data are often found in a format that lacks standardization and needs significant preprocessing and feature extraction efforts. This poses challenges when combining such data with other data sources to enhance the existing knowledge base, which we refer to as digital unstructured data enrichment. Overcoming these methodological challenges requires significant resources and may limit the ability to fully leverage their potential for advancing health research and, ultimately, prevention, and patient care delivery. While prevalent challenges associated with unstructured data use in health research are widely reported across literature, a comprehensive interdisciplinary summary of such challenges and possible solutions to facilitate their use in combination with structured data sources is missing. In this study, we report findings from a systematic narrative review on the seven most prevalent challenge areas connected with the digital unstructured data enrichment in the fields of cardiology, neurology and mental health, along with possible solutions to address these challenges. Based on these findings, we developed a checklist that follows the standard data flow in health research studies. This checklist aims to provide initial systematic guidance to inform early planning and feasibility assessments for health research studies aiming combining unstructured data with existing data sources. Overall, the generality of reported unstructured data enrichment methods in the studies included in this review call for more systematic reporting of such methods to achieve greater reproducibility in future studies.

Digital Determinants of Health: Health data poverty amplifies existing health disparities-A scoping review

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have an immense potential to transform healthcare as already demonstrated in various medical specialties. This scoping review focuses on the factors that influence health data poverty, by conducting a literature review, analysis, and appraisal of results. Health data poverty is often an unseen factor which leads to perpetuating or exacerbating health disparities. Improvements or failures in addressing health data poverty will directly impact the effectiveness of AI/ML systems. The potential causes are complex and may enter anywhere along the development process. The initial results highlighted studies with common themes of health disparities (72%), AL/ML bias (28%) and biases in input data (18%). To properly evaluate disparities that exist we recommend a strengthened effort to generate unbiased equitable data, improved understanding of the limitations of AI/ML tools, and rigorous regulation with continuous monitoring of the clinical outcomes of deployed tools.

Use of Big Data and Ethical Issues for Populations With Substance Use Disorder

With expanding data availability and computing power, health research is increasingly relying on big data from a variety of sources. We describe a state-level effort to address aspects of the opioid epidemic through public health research, which has resulted in an expansive data resource combining dozens of administrative data sources in Massachusetts. The Massachusetts Public Health Data Warehouse is a public health innovation that serves as an example of how to address the complexities of balancing data privacy and access to data for public health and health services research. We discuss issues of data protection and data access, and provide recommendations for ethical data governance. Keeping these issues in mind, the use of this data resource has the potential to allow for transformative research on critical public health issues.

Big Data Analytics to Reduce Preventable Hospitalizations-Using Real-World Data to Predict Ambulatory Care-Sensitive Conditions

The purpose of this study was to develop a prediction model to identify individuals and populations with a high risk of being hospitalized due to an ambulatory care-sensitive condition who might benefit from preventative actions or tailored treatment options to avoid subsequent hospital admission. A rate of 4.8% of all individuals observed had an ambulatory care-sensitive hospitalization in 2019 and 6389.3 hospital cases per 100,000 individuals could be observed. Based on real-world claims data, the predictive performance was compared between a machine learning model (Random Forest) and a statistical logistic regression model. One result was that both models achieve a generally comparable performance with c-values above 0.75, whereas the Random Forest model reached slightly higher c-values. The prediction models developed in this study reached c-values comparable to existing study results of prediction models for (avoidable) hospitalization from the literature. The prediction models were designed in such a way that they can support integrated care or public and population health interventions with little effort with an additional risk assessment tool in the case of availability of claims data. For the regions analyzed, the logistic regression revealed that switching to a higher age class or to a higher level of long-term care and unit from prior hospitalizations (all-cause and due to an ambulatory care-sensitive condition) increases the odds of having an ambulatory care-sensitive hospitalization in the upcoming year. This is also true for patients with prior diagnoses from the diagnosis groups of maternal disorders related to pregnancy, mental disorders due to alcohol/opioids, alcoholic liver disease and certain diseases of the circulatory system. Further model refinement activities and the integration of additional data, such as behavioral, social or environmental data would improve both model performance and the individual risk scores. The implementation of risk scores identifying populations potentially benefitting from public health and population health activities would be the next step to enable an evaluation of whether ambulatory care-sensitive hospitalizations can be prevented.

Current status of real-world big data research in the cardiovascular field in Japan

Real-world data (RWD) are observational data obtained by collecting, structuring, and accumulating patient information among the medical big data. RWD are derived from a variety of patient medical care and health information outside of conventional research data, and include electronic health records, claims data, registry data of disease, drug and device, health check-up data, and more recently, patient information data from wearable devices. They are currently being utilized in various forms for optimal medical care and real-world evidence (RWE) is constructed through a process of hypothesis generation and verification based on the RWD research. Together with classic clinical research and pragmatic trials, RWE shapes the learning healthcare system and contributes to the improvement of medical care. In the cardiovascular medical care of the current super-aged society, the need for a variety of RWE and the research is increasing, since the guidelines established over time and the medical care based on it cannot necessarily be the best in accordance with the current medical situation. In this review, we focus on the RWD and RWE studies in the cardiovascular medical field and outlines their current status in Japan. Furthermore, we discuss the potential for extending the studies and issues related to the use of medical big data and RWD.

Artificial intelligence to enhance clinical value across the spectrum of cardiovascular healthcare

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly being utilized in healthcare. This article provides clinicians and researchers with a step-wise foundation for high-value AI that can be applied to a variety of different data modalities. The aim is to improve the transparency and application of AI methods, with the potential to benefit patients in routine cardiovascular care. Following a clear research hypothesis, an AI-based workflow begins with data selection and pre-processing prior to analysis, with the type of data (structured, semi-structured, or unstructured) determining what type of pre-processing steps and machine-learning algorithms are required. Algorithmic and data validation should be performed to ensure the robustness of the chosen methodology, followed by an objective evaluation of performance. Seven case studies are provided to highlight the wide variety of data modalities and clinical questions that can benefit from modern AI techniques, with a focus on applying them to cardiovascular disease management. Despite the growing use of AI, further education for healthcare workers, researchers, and the public are needed to aid understanding of how AI works and to close the existing gap in knowledge. In addition, issues regarding data access, sharing, and security must be addressed to ensure full engagement by patients and the public. The application of AI within healthcare provides an opportunity for clinicians to deliver a more personalized approach to medical care by accounting for confounders, interactions, and the rising prevalence of multi-morbidity.

Use of big data from health insurance for assessment of cardiovascular outcomes

Outcome research that supports guideline recommendations for primary and secondary preventions largely depends on the data obtained from clinical trials or selected hospital populations. The exponentially growing amount of real-world medical data could enable fundamental improvements in cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction, prevention, and care. In this review we summarize how data from health insurance claims (HIC) may improve our understanding of current health provision and identify challenges of patient care by implementing the perspective of patients (providing data and contributing to society), physicians (identifying at-risk patients, optimizing diagnosis and therapy), health insurers (preventive education and economic aspects), and policy makers (data-driven legislation). HIC data has the potential to inform relevant aspects of the healthcare systems. Although HIC data inherit limitations, large sample sizes and long-term follow-up provides enormous predictive power. Herein, we highlight the benefits and limitations of HIC data and provide examples from the cardiovascular field, i.e. how HIC data is supporting healthcare, focusing on the demographical and epidemiological differences, pharmacotherapy, healthcare utilization, cost-effectiveness and outcomes of different treatments. As an outlook we discuss the potential of using HIC-based big data and modern artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to guide patient education and care, which could lead to the development of a learning healthcare system and support a medically relevant legislation in the future.

How do firms create business value and dynamic capabilities by leveraging big data analytics management capability?

Despite researchers having averred that big data analytics (BDA) transforms firms' ways of doing business, knowledge about operationalizing these technologies in organizations to achieve strategic objectives is lacking. Moreover, organizations' great appetite for big data and limited empirical proof of whether BDA impacts organizations' transformational capacity poses a need for further empirical investigation. Therefore, this study explores the association between big data analytics management capabilities (BDAMC) and innovation performance via dynamic capabilities (DC), by applying the PLS-SEM technique to analyzing the feedback of 149 firms. Consequently, we ground our arguments on dynamic capability and social capital theory rather than a resource-based view that does not provide suitable explanations for the deployment of resources to adapt to change. Accordingly, we advance this research stream by finding that BDAMC significantly enhances innovation performance through DC. We also extend the literature by disclosing how BDAMC strengthens DC via strategic alignment and social capital.

Effectively Predicting the Presence of Coronary Heart Disease Using Machine Learning Classifiers

Coronary heart disease is one of the major causes of deaths around the globe. Predicating a heart disease is one of the most challenging tasks in the field of clinical data analysis. Machine learning (ML) is useful in diagnostic assistance in terms of decision making and prediction on the basis of the data produced by healthcare sector globally. We have also perceived ML techniques employed in the medical field of disease prediction. In this regard, numerous research studies have been shown on heart disease prediction using an ML classifier. In this paper, we used eleven ML classifiers to identify key features, which improved the predictability of heart disease. To introduce the prediction model, various feature combinations and well-known classification algorithms were used. We achieved 95% accuracy with gradient boosted trees and multilayer perceptron in the heart disease prediction model. The Random Forest gives a better performance level in heart disease prediction, with an accuracy level of 96%.

The Relationship Between Nursing Informatics Competency and Clinical Decision-Making Among Nurses in West Bank, Palestine

This study aimed to examine the relationship between nursing informatics competencies and clinical decision-making by taking into account nurses' individual characteristics and job-related characteristics. A cross-sectional design was used. The cluster random sampling method was adopted to select 14 governmental hospitals in West Bank, Palestine, in which all nurses in these hospitals were invited to participate in this study. Results found that the total mean (SD) score for the nursing informatics competency scale was 2.6 (0.88), which indicates that the nurses had lower nursing informatics competency, and the informatics skills subscale had the lowest mean score (mean [SD], 2.4 [1.00]). Concerning clinical decision-making, the total mean (SD) score was 2.59 (0.38), which indicates that the nurses had lower clinical decision-making. Regarding clinical decision-making subscales, searching for information and unbiased assimilation of new information had the highest mean score (mean [SD], 2.64 [0.39]); on the contrary, the canvassing of objectives and values subscale had the lowest mean score (mean [SD], 2.53 [0.38]). Nursing informatics competency had a positive relationship with clinical decision-making. Thus, it is necessary to enhance nurses' informatics competency, especially informatics skills and clinical decision-making, by developing training programs about this technology directed to nurses.

Towards the Use of Big Data in Healthcare: A Literature Review

The interest in new and more advanced technological solutions is paving the way for the diffusion of innovative and revolutionary applications in healthcare organizations. The application of an artificial intelligence system to medical research has the potential to move toward highly advanced e-Health. This analysis aims to explore the main areas of application of big data in healthcare, as well as the restructuring of the technological infrastructure and the integration of traditional data analytical tools and techniques with an elaborate computational technology that is able to enhance and extract useful information for decision-making. We conducted a literature review using the Scopus database over the period 2010–2020. The article selection process involved five steps: the planning and identification of studies, the evaluation of articles, the extraction of results, the summary, and the dissemination of the audit results. We included 93 documents. Our results suggest that effective and patient-centered care cannot disregard the acquisition, management, and analysis of a huge volume and variety of health data. In this way, an immediate and more effective diagnosis could be possible while maximizing healthcare resources. Deriving the benefits associated with digitization and technological innovation, however, requires the restructuring of traditional operational and strategic processes, and the acquisition of new skills.

"Beyond MELD" - Emerging strategies and technologies for improving mortality prediction, organ allocation and outcomes in liver transplantation

In this review article, we discuss the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and its dual purpose in general and transplant hepatology. As the landscape of liver disease and transplantation has evolved considerably since the advent of the MELD score, we summarise emerging concepts, methodologies, and technologies that may improve mortality prognostication in the future. Finally, we explore how these novel concepts and technologies may be incorporated into clinical practice.

Translating Data Analytics Into Improved Spine Surgery Outcomes: A Roadmap for Biomedical Informatics Research in 2021

STUDY DESIGN

Narrative review.

OBJECTIVES

There is growing interest in the use of biomedical informatics and data analytics tools in spine surgery. Yet despite the rapid growth in research on these topics, few analytic tools have been implemented in routine spine practice. The purpose of this review is to provide a health information technology (HIT) roadmap to help translate data assets and analytics tools into measurable advances in spine surgical care.

METHODS

We conducted a narrative review of PubMed and Google Scholar to identify publications discussing data assets, analytical approaches, and implementation strategies relevant to spine surgery practice.

RESULTS

A variety of data assets are available for spine research, ranging from commonly used datasets, such as administrative billing data, to emerging resources, such as mobile health and biobanks. Both regression and machine learning techniques are valuable for analyzing these assets, and researchers should recognize the particular strengths and weaknesses of each approach. Few studies have focused on the implementation of HIT, and a variety of methods exist to help translate analytic tools into clinically useful interventions. Finally, a number of HIT-related challenges must be recognized and addressed, including stakeholder acceptance, regulatory oversight, and ethical considerations.

CONCLUSIONS

Biomedical informatics has the potential to support the development of new HIT that can improve spine surgery quality and outcomes. By understanding the development life-cycle that includes identifying an appropriate data asset, selecting an analytic approach, and leveraging an effective implementation strategy, spine researchers can translate this potential into measurable advances in patient care.

Public Views About Involvement in Decision-Making on Health Data Sharing, Access, Use and Reuse: The Importance of Trust in Science and Other Institutions

Background

Data-intensive and needs-driven research can deliver substantial health benefits. However, concerns with privacy loss, undisclosed surveillance, and discrimination are on the rise due to mounting data breaches. This can undermine the trustworthiness of data processing institutions and reduce people's willingness to share their data. Involving the public in health data governance can help to address this problem by imbuing data processing frameworks with societal values. This study assesses public views about involvement in individual-level decisions concerned with health data and their association with trust in science and other institutions.

Methods

Cross-sectional study with 162 patients and 489 informal carers followed at two reference centers for rare diseases in an academic hospital in Portugal (June 2019–March 2020). Participants rated the importance of involvement in decision-making concerning health data sharing, access, use, and reuse from “not important” to “very important”. Its association with sociodemographic characteristics, interpersonal trust, trust in national and international institutions, and the importance of trust in research teams and host institutions was tested.

Results

Most participants perceived involvement in decision-making about data sharing (85.1%), access (87.1%), use (85%) and reuse (79.9%) to be important or very important. Participants who ascribed a high degree of importance to trust in research host institutions were significantly more likely to value involvement in such decisions. A similar position was expressed by participants who valued trust in research teams for data sharing, access, and use. Participants with low levels of trust in national and international institutions and with lower levels of education attributed less importance to being involved in decisions about data use.

Conclusion

The high value attributed by participants to involvement in individual-level data governance stresses the need to broaden opportunities for public participation in health data decision-making, namely by introducing a meta consent approach. The important role played by trust in science and in other institutions in shaping participants' views about involvement highlights the relevance of pairing such a meta consent approach with the provision of transparent information about the implications of data sharing, the resources needed to make informed choices and the development of harm mitigation tools and redress.

The pursuit of health equity in digital transformation, health informatics, and the cardiovascular learning healthcare system

African Americans have a higher rate of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality and a lower rate of specialty consultation and treatment than Caucasians. These disparities also exist in the care and treatment of chemotherapy-related cardiovascular complications. African Americans suffer from cardiotoxicity at a higher rate than Caucasians and are underrepresented in clinical trials aimed at preventing cardiovascular injury associated with cancer therapies. To eliminate racial and ethnic disparities in the prevention of cardiotoxicity, an interdisciplinary and innovative approach will be required. Diverse forms of digital transformation leveraging health informatics have the potential to contribute to health equity if they are implemented carefully and thoughtfully in collaboration with minority communities. A learning healthcare system can serve as a model for developing, deploying, and disseminating interventions to minimize health inequities and maximize beneficial impact.

How can Big Data Analytics Support People-Centred and Integrated Health Services: A Scoping Review

Introduction:

Health systems in high-income countries face a variety of challenges calling for a systemic approach to improve quality and efficiency. Putting people in the centre is the main idea of the WHO model of people-centred and integrated health services. Integrating health services is fuelled by an integration of health data with great potentials for decision support based on big data analytics. The research question of this paper is “How can big data analytics support people-centred and integrated health services?”

Methods:

A scoping review following the recommendations of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses – Scoping Review (PRISMA-ScR) statement was conducted to gather information on how big data analytics can support people-centred and integrated health services. The results were summarized in a role model of a people-centred and integrated health services platform illustrating which data sources might be integrated and which types of analytics might be applied to support the strategies of the people-centred and integrated health services framework to become more integrated across the continuum of care. Additional rapid literature reviews were conducted to generate frequency distributions of the most often used data types and analytical methods in the medical literature. Finally, the main challenges connected with big data analytics were worked out based on a content analysis of the results from the scoping literature review.

Results:

Based on the results from the rapid literature reviews the most often used data sources for big data analytics (BDA) in healthcare were biomarkers (39.3%) and medical images (30.9%). The most often used analytical models were support vector machines (27.3%) and neural networks (20.4%). The people-centred and integrated health services framework defines different strategic interventions for health services to become more integrated. To support all aspects of these interventions a comparably integrated platform of health-related data would be needed, so that a role model labelled as people-centred health platform was developed. Based on integrated data the results of the scoping review (n = 72) indicate, that big data analytics could for example support the strategic intervention of tailoring personalized health plans (43.1%), e.g. by predicting individual risk factors for different therapy options. Also BDA might enhance clinical decision support tools (31.9%), e.g. by calculating risk factors for disease uptake or progression. BDA might also assist in designing population-based services (26.4% by clustering comparable individuals in manageable risk groups e.g. mentored by specifically trained, non-medical professionals. The main challenges of big data analytics in healthcare were categorized in regulatory, (information-) technological, methodological, and cultural issues, whereas methodological challenges were mentioned most often (55.0%), followed by regulatory challenges (43.7%).

Discussion:

The BDA applications presented in this literature review are based on findings which have already been published. For some important components of the framework on people-centred care like enhancing the role of community care or establishing intersectoral partnerships between health and social care institutions only few examples of enabling big data analytical tools were found in the literature. Quite the opposite does this mean that these strategies have less potential value, but rather that the source systems in these fields need to be further developed to be suitable for big data analytics.

Conclusions:

Big data analytics can support people-centred and integrated health services e.g. by patient similarity stratifications or predictions of individual risk factors. But BDA fails to unfold its full potential until data source systems are still disconnected and actions towards a comprehensive and people-centred health-related data platform are politically insufficiently incentivized. This work highlighted the potential of big data analysis in the context of the model of people-centred and integrated health services, whereby the role model of the person-centered health platform can be used as a blueprint to support strategies to improve person-centered health care. Likely because health data is extremely sensitive and complex, there are only few practical examples of platforms to some extent already capable of merging and processing people-centred big data, but the integration of health data can be expected to further proceed so that analytical opportunities might also become reality in the near future.

Big Data in Cardiology: State-of-Art and Future Prospects

Cardiological disorders contribute to a significant portion of the global burden of disease. Cardiology can benefit from Big Data, which are generated and released by different sources and channels, like epidemiological surveys, national registries, electronic clinical records, claims-based databases (epidemiological Big Data), wet-lab, and next-generation sequencing (molecular Big Data), smartphones, smartwatches, and other mobile devices, sensors and wearable technologies, imaging techniques (computational Big Data), non-conventional data streams such as social networks, and web queries (digital Big Data), among others. Big Data is increasingly having a more and more relevant role, being highly ubiquitous and pervasive in contemporary society and paving the way for new, unprecedented perspectives in biomedicine, including cardiology. Big Data can be a real paradigm shift that revolutionizes cardiological practice and clinical research. However, some methodological issues should be properly addressed (like recording and association biases) and some ethical issues should be considered (such as privacy). Therefore, further research in the field is warranted.

Guideline-directed device therapies in heart failure: A clinical practice-based analysis using electronic health record data

Background

Guideline-directed device therapies (GDDT) improve outcomes for eligible patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Utilization rates of device therapies in HFrEF after the 2012 ACCF/AHA/HRS Focused Update for Device-based Therapies of Cardiac Rhythm Abnormalities have not been well studied.

Objective

Characterize the use of GDDT in newly indicated HFrEF patients from 2012 to 2019 using aggregated electronic health record (EHR) data.

Methods

Computable phenotyping algorithms for implantable cardioverter defibrillator/cardiac resynchronization therapy-defibrillator (ICD/CRT-D) indications from the GuideLine Indications Detected in EHR for Heart Failure program (GLIDE-HF) used diagnoses, procedures, measures, prescriptions, and the output of natural language processed provider notes from de-identified Optum® EHR data. Patients had a diagnosis of HF, dilated cardiomyopathy, or prior infarct, and were included if they had HFrEF with >1 year of records prior to a new Class 1 or Class 2a indication for an ICD or cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillator (CRT-D) from 2012 to 2019.

Results

Records showed 137,476 HFrEF patients were newly indicated for an ICD or CRT-D. GDDT was used in 14,892 of 36,358 (41.0%) CRT-D indicated patients and in 14,904 of 101,118 (14.7%) ICD-indicated patients. While GDDT use was low, 95.7% had echocardiography and 92.1% had prescriptions for beta-blockers or angiotensin-converting enzyme/angiotensin-receptor blockers medications.

Conclusions

In this modern cohort of HF patients, a large proportion of eligible patients did not receive ICDs or CRT-Ds, while frequently receiving other indicated cardiovascular interventions and treatments.

Predicting Parkinson’s Disease Progression: Evaluation of Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning

Parkinson’s disease (PD) is a complex neurodegenerative disease. Accurate diagnosis of this disease in the early stages is crucial for its initial treatment. This paper aims to present a comparative study on the methods developed by machine learning techniques in PD diagnosis. We rely on clustering and prediction learning approaches to perform the comparative study. Specifically, we use different clustering techniques for PD data clustering and support vector regression ensembles to predict Motor-UPDRS and Total-UPDRS. The results are then compared with the other prediction learning approaches, multiple linear regression, neurofuzzy, and support vector regression techniques. The comparative study is performed on a real-world PD dataset. The prediction results of data analysis on a PD real-world dataset revealed that expectation-maximization with the aid of SVR ensembles can provide better prediction accuracy in relation to decision trees, deep belief network, neurofuzzy, and support vector regression combined with other clustering techniques in the prediction of Motor-UPDRS and Total-UPDRS.

Different Scales of Medical Data Classification Based on Machine Learning Techniques: A Comparative Study

In recent years, medical data have vastly increased due to the continuous generation of digital data. The different forms of medical data, such as reports, textual, numerical, monitoring, and laboratory data generate the so-called medical big data. This paper aims to find the best algorithm which predicts new medical data with high accuracy, since good prediction accuracy is essential in medical fields. To achieve the study’s goal, the best accuracy algorithm and least processing time algorithm are defined through an experiment and comparison of seven different algorithms, including Naïve bayes, linear model, regression, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosted tree, and J48. The conducted experiments have allowed the prediction of new medical big data that reach the algorithm with the best accuracy and processing time. Here, we find that the best accuracy classification algorithm is the random forest with accuracy values of 97.58%, 83.59%, and 90% for heart disease, M-health, and diabetes datasets, respectively. The Naïve bayes has the lowest processing time with values of 0.078, 7.683, and 22.374 s for heart disease, M-health, and diabetes datasets, respectively. In addition, the best result of the experiment is obtained by the combination of the CFS feature selection algorithm with the Random Forest classification algorithm. The results of applying RF with the combination of CFS on the heart disease dataset are as follows: Accuracy of 90%, precision of 83.3%, sensitivity of 100, and consuming time of 3 s. Moreover, the results of applying this combination on the M-health dataset are as follows: Accuracy of 83.59%, precision of 74.3%, sensitivity of 93.1, and consuming time of 13.481 s. Furthermore, the results on the diabetes dataset are as follows: Accuracy of 97.58%, precision of 86.39%, sensitivity of 97.14, and consuming time of 56.508 s.

The use of Big Data Analytics in healthcare

The introduction of Big Data Analytics (BDA) in healthcare will allow to use new technologies both in treatment of patients and health management. The paper aims at analyzing the possibilities of using Big Data Analytics in healthcare. The research is based on a critical analysis of the literature, as well as the presentation of selected results of direct research on the use of Big Data Analytics in medical facilities. The direct research was carried out based on research questionnaire and conducted on a sample of 217 medical facilities in Poland. Literature studies have shown that the use of Big Data Analytics can bring many benefits to medical facilities, while direct research has shown that medical facilities in Poland are moving towards data-based healthcare because they use structured and unstructured data, reach for analytics in the administrative, business and clinical area. The research positively confirmed that medical facilities are working on both structural data and unstructured data. The following kinds and sources of data can be distinguished: from databases, transaction data, unstructured content of emails and documents, data from devices and sensors. However, the use of data from social media is lower as in their activity they reach for analytics, not only in the administrative and business but also in the clinical area. It clearly shows that the decisions made in medical facilities are highly data-driven. The results of the study confirm what has been analyzed in the literature that medical facilities are moving towards data-based healthcare, together with its benefits.

Challenges in the development of digital public health interventions and mapped solutions: Findings from a scoping review

Background

“Digital public health” has emerged from an interest in integrating digital technologies into public health. However, significant challenges which limit the scale and extent of this digital integration in various public health domains have been described. We summarized the literature about these challenges and identified strategies to overcome them.

Methods

We adopted Arksey and O’Malley's framework (2005) integrating adaptations by Levac et al. (2010). OVID Medline, Embase, Google Scholar, and 14 government and intergovernmental agency websites were searched using terms related to “digital” and “public health.” We included conceptual and explicit descriptions of digital technologies in public health published in English between 2000 and June 2020. We excluded primary research articles about digital health interventions. Data were extracted using a codebook created using the European Public Health Association's conceptual framework for digital public health.

Results and analysis

Overall, 163 publications were included from 6953 retrieved articles with the majority (64%, n = 105) published between 2015 and June 2020. Nontechnical challenges to digital integration in public health concerned ethics, policy and governance, health equity, resource gaps, and quality of evidence. Technical challenges included fragmented and unsustainable systems, lack of clear standards, unreliability of available data, infrastructure gaps, and workforce capacity gaps. Identified strategies included securing political commitment, intersectoral collaboration, economic investments, standardized ethical, legal, and regulatory frameworks, adaptive research and evaluation, health workforce capacity building, and transparent communication and public engagement.

Conclusion

Developing and implementing digital public health interventions requires efforts that leverage identified strategies to overcome diverse challenges encountered in integrating digital technologies in public health.

Conceptual design of the dual X-ray absorptiometry health informatics prediction system for osteoporosis care

Osteoporotic fractures are a major and growing public health problem, which is strongly associated with other illnesses and multi-morbidity. Big data analytics has the potential to improve care for osteoporotic fractures and other non-communicable diseases (NCDs), reduces healthcare costs and improves healthcare decision-making for patients with multi-disorders. However, robust and comprehensive utilization of healthcare big data in osteoporosis care practice remains unsatisfactory. In this paper, we present a conceptual design of an intelligent analytics system, namely, the dual X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) health informatics prediction (HIP) system, for healthcare big data research and development. Comprising data source, extraction, transformation, loading, modelling and application, the DXA HIP system was applied in an osteoporosis healthcare context for fracture risk prediction and the investigation of multi-morbidity risk. Data was sourced from four DXA machines located in three healthcare centres in Ireland. The DXA HIP system is novel within the Irish context as it enables the study of fracture-related issues in a larger and more representative Irish population than previous studies. We propose this system is applicable to investigate other NCDs which have the potential to improve the overall quality of patient care and substantially reduce the burden and cost of all NCDs.

Medicine-Based Evidence in Congenital Heart Disease: How Artificial Intelligence Can Guide Treatment Decisions for Individual Patients

Built on the foundation of the randomized controlled trial (RCT), Evidence Based Medicine (EBM) is at its best when optimizing outcomes for homogeneous cohorts of patients like those participating in an RCT. Its weakness is a failure to resolve a clinical quandary: patients appear for care individually, each may differ in important ways from an RCT cohort, and the physician will wonder each time if following EBM will provide best guidance for this unique patient. In an effort to overcome this weakness, and promote higher quality care through a more personalized approach, a new framework has been proposed: Medicine-Based Evidence (MBE). In this approach, big data and deep learning techniques are embraced to interrogate treatment responses among patients in real-world clinical practice. Such statistical models are then integrated with mechanistic disease models to construct a “digital twin,” which serves as the real-time digital counterpart of a patient. MBE is thereby capable of dynamically modeling the effects of various treatment decisions in the context of an individual's specific characteristics. In this article, we discuss how MBE could benefit patients with congenital heart disease, a field where RCTs are difficult to conduct and often fail to provide definitive solutions because of a small number of subjects, their clinical complexity, and heterogeneity. We will also highlight the challenges that must be addressed before MBE can be embraced in clinical practice and its full potential can be realized.

How can we discover the most valuable types of big data and artificial intelligence-based solutions? A methodology for the efficient development of the underlying analytics that improve care

BACKGROUND

Much has been invested in big data and artificial intelligence-based solutions for healthcare. However, few applications have been implemented in clinical practice. Early economic evaluations can help to improve decision-making by developers of analytics underlying these solutions aiming to increase the likelihood of successful implementation, but recommendations about their use are lacking. The aim of this study was to develop and apply a framework that positions best practice methods for economic evaluations alongside development of analytics, thereby enabling developers to identify barriers to success and to select analytics worth further investments.

METHODS

The framework was developed using literature, recommendations for economic evaluations and by applying the framework to use cases (chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL), intensive care, diabetes). First, the feasibility of developing clinically relevant analytics was assessed and critical barriers to successful development and implementation identified. Economic evaluations were then used to determine critical thresholds and guide investment decisions.

RESULTS

When using the framework to assist decision-making of developers of analytics, continuing development was not always feasible or worthwhile. Developing analytics for progressive CLL and diabetes was clinically relevant but not feasible with the data available. Alternatively, developing analytics for newly diagnosed CLL patients was feasible but continuing development was not considered worthwhile because the high drug costs made it economically unattractive for potential users. Alternatively, in the intensive care unit, analytics reduced mortality and per-patient costs when used to identify infections (- 0.5%, - €886) and to improve patient-ventilator interaction (- 3%, - €264). Both analytics have the potential to save money but the potential benefits of analytics that identify infections strongly depend on infection rate; a higher rate implies greater cost-savings.

CONCLUSIONS

We present a framework that stimulates efficiency of development of analytics for big data and artificial intelligence-based solutions by selecting those applications of analytics for which development is feasible and worthwhile. For these applications, results from early economic evaluations can be used to guide investment decisions and identify critical requirements.

Coding Variation and Adherence to Methodological Standards in Cardiac Research Using the National Inpatient Sample

Background: Code selection is crucial to the accuracy and reproducibility of studies using administrative data, however a comprehensive assessment of coding trends for major cardiac diagnoses and procedures is lacking. We aimed to evaluate trends in administrative code utilization for major cardiac diagnoses and procedures, and adherence to required methodological practices in cardiac research using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS).

Methods: In this observational study of 445 articles, ICD-9-CM codes corresponding to acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure, atrial fibrillation, percutaneous coronary intervention, and coronary artery bypass grafting were collected and analyzed. The NIS was used to compare the number of hospitalizations between the most frequently encountered AMI case definitions. Key elements were abstracted from each article to evaluate adherence to required methodological practices.

Results: Variation in code utilization was observed for each diagnosis and procedure assessed, and the number of unique case definitions published per year increased throughout the study period (P < 0.001), driven largely by the significant increase in articles per year (P < 0.001). Off-target codes were observed in 39 (8.8%) studies. Upon reintroduction into the NIS for 2008–2012, the most commonly encountered case definitions for AMI were found to yield significantly different estimates of AMI hospitalizations and hospitalization trends over time. Three hundred and ninety-nine articles (84%) did not adhere to one or more required research practices. Overall adherence was superior for publications in higher-impact journals (P = 0.002).

Conclusions: Substantial variation in code selection exists for major cardiac diagnoses and procedures, and non-adherence to methodological standards is widespread. These data have important implications for the accuracy and generalizability of analyses using the NIS.

Intelligent health system for the investigation of consenting COVID-19 patients and precision medicine

Advancing frontiers of clinical research, we discuss the need for intelligent health systems to support a deeper investigation of COVID-19. We hypothesize that the convergence of the healthcare data and staggering developments in artificial intelligence have the potential to elevate the recovery process with diagnostic and predictive analysis to identify major causes of mortality, modifiable risk factors and actionable information that supports the early detection and prevention of COVID-19. However, current constraints include the recruitment of COVID-19 patients for research; translational integration of electronic health records and diversified public datasets; and the development of artificial intelligence systems for data-intensive computational modeling to assist clinical decision making. We propose a novel nexus of machine learning algorithms to examine COVID-19 data granularity from population studies to subgroups stratification and ensure best modeling strategies within the data continuum.

Challenges and opportunities in the application of artificial intelligence in gastroenterology and hepatology

Artificial intelligence (AI) is an umbrella term used to describe a cluster of interrelated fields. Machine learning (ML) refers to a model that learns from past data to predict future data. Medicine and particularly gastroenterology and hepatology, are data-rich fields with extensive data repositories, and therefore fruitful ground for AI/ML-based software applications. In this study, we comprehensively review the current applications of AI/ML-based models in these fields and the opportunities that arise from their application. Specifically, we refer to the applications of AI/ML-based models in prevention, diagnosis, management, and prognosis of gastrointestinal bleeding, inflammatory bowel diseases, gastrointestinal premalignant and malignant lesions, other nonmalignant gastrointestinal lesions and diseases, hepatitis B and C infection, chronic liver diseases, hepatocellular carcinoma, cholangiocarcinoma, and primary sclerosing cholangitis. At the same time, we identify the major challenges that restrain the widespread use of these models in healthcare in an effort to explore ways to overcome them. Notably, we elaborate on the concerns regarding intrinsic biases, data protection, cybersecurity, intellectual property, liability, ethical challenges, and transparency. Even at a slower pace than anticipated, AI is infiltrating the healthcare industry. AI in healthcare will become a reality, and every physician will have to engage with it by necessity.

Deep learning-based prediction of early cerebrovascular events after transcatheter aortic valve replacement

Cerebrovascular events (CVE) are among the most feared complications of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). CVE appear difficult to predict due to their multifactorial origin incompletely explained by clinical predictors. We aimed to build a deep learning-based predictive tool for TAVR-related CVE. Integrated clinical and imaging characteristics from consecutive patients enrolled into a prospective TAVR registry were analysed. CVE comprised any strokes and transient ischemic attacks. Predictive variables were selected by recursive feature reduction to train an autoencoder predictive model. Area under the curve (AUC) represented the model’s performance to predict 30-day CVE. Among 2279 patients included between 2007 and 2019, both clinical and imaging data were available in 1492 patients. Median age was 83 years and STS score was 4.6%. Acute (< 24 h) and subacute (day 2–30) CVE occurred in 19 (1.3%) and 36 (2.4%) patients, respectively. The occurrence of CVE was associated with an increased risk of death (HR [95% CI] 2.62 [1.82–3.78]). The constructed predictive model uses less than 107 clinical and imaging variables and has an AUC of 0.79 (0.65–0.93). TAVR-related CVE can be predicted using a deep learning-based predictive algorithm. The model is implemented online for broad usage.

Policy and Payment Challenges in the Postpandemic Treatment of Heart Failure: Value-Based Care and Telehealth

Increasing patient and therapeutic complexity have created both challenges and opportunities for heart failure care. Within this background, the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic has disrupted care as usual, accelerating the need for transition from volume-based to value-based care, and demanding a rapid expansion of telehealth and remote care for heart failure. Patients, clinicians, health systems, and payors have by necessity become more invested in these issues. Herein we review recent changes in health care policy related to the movement from volume to value-based payment and from in-person to remote care delivery.

Understanding treatment-subgroup effect in primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease: An exploration using meta-analyses of individual patient data

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recommendations for preventing cardiovascular (CV) disease are currently separated into primary and secondary prevention. We hypothesize that relative effects of interventions for CV prevention are not different across primary and secondary prevention cohorts. Our aim was to test for differences in relative effects on CV events in common preventive CV interventions across primary and secondary prevention cohorts.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic search was performed to identify individual patient data (IPD) meta-analyses that included both primary and secondary prevention populations. Eligibility assessment, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment were conducted independently and in duplicate. We extracted relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of the interventions over patient-important outcomes and estimated the ratio of RR for primary and secondary prevention populations. We identified five eligible IPDs representing 524,570 participants. Quality assessment resulted in overall low-to-moderate methodological quality. We found no subgroup effect across prevention categories in any of the outcomes assessed.

CONCLUSION

In the absence of significant treatment-subgroup interactions between primary and secondary CV prevention cohorts for common preventive interventions, clinical practice guidelines could offer recommendations tailored to individual estimates of CV risk without regard to membership to primary and secondary prevention cohorts. This would require the development of reliable ASCVD risk estimators that apply across both cohorts.

Impact of train/test sample regimen on performance estimate stability of machine learning in cardiovascular imaging

As machine learning research in the field of cardiovascular imaging continues to grow, obtaining reliable model performance estimates is critical to develop reliable baselines and compare different algorithms. While the machine learning community has generally accepted methods such as k-fold stratified cross-validation (CV) to be more rigorous than single split validation, the standard research practice in medical fields is the use of single split validation techniques. This is especially concerning given the relatively small sample sizes of datasets used for cardiovascular imaging. We aim to examine how train-test split variation impacts the stability of machine learning (ML) model performance estimates in several validation techniques on two real-world cardiovascular imaging datasets: stratified split-sample validation (70/30 and 50/50 train-test splits), tenfold stratified CV, 10 × repeated tenfold stratified CV, bootstrapping (500 × repeated), and leave one out (LOO) validation. We demonstrate that split validation methods lead to the highest range in AUC and statistically significant differences in ROC curves, unlike the other aforementioned approaches. When building predictive models on relatively small data sets as is often the case in medical imaging, split-sample validation techniques can produce instability in performance estimates with variations in range over 0.15 in the AUC values, and thus any of the alternate validation methods are recommended.

Evidence of a Blood Pressure Reduction During the COVID-19 Pandemic and Associated Lockdown Period: Insights from e-Health Data

Background: Despite widespread investigation into the incidence of acute myocardial infarction during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and associated lockdown, no study has examined the situation's impact on blood pressure (BP) levels. Methods: Measurements of BP and heart rate (HR) were obtained from persons living in the Paris urban area using connected home BP monitors (accessible to patients and health providers through a secured server). Three time periods of e-health recordings were compared: during the pandemic before the lockdown, during the lockdown, and the same time period in 2019. Results: A total of 297,089 BP recordings from 2,273 participants (age 56.3 ± 12.8 years, 81.1% male) were made. During confinement, systolic BP gradually decreased by 3 mmHg (-2.4 to -3.9), and diastolic BP by 1.5 mmHg (-1.4 to -2.2) (all p < 0.001); this decrease was greater for participants with higher BP (p < 0.0001 each). No significant variation in HR was noted. Conclusion: Among a very large cohort, we observed a significant decrease in home BP measured with e-health devices during the first lockdown period. This study emphasizes the research potential of e-health during the COVID-19 crisis.

Electrocardiographic biomarkers to predict atrial fibrillation in sinus rhythm electrocardiograms

OBJECTIVE

Early prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) development would improve patient outcomes. We propose a simple and cheap ECG based score to predict AF development.

METHODS

A cohort of 16 316 patients was analysed. ECG measures provided by the computer-assisted ECG software were used to identify patients. A first group included patients in sinus rhythm who showed an ECG with AF at any time later (n=505). A second group included patients with all their ECGs in sinus rhythm (n=15 811). By using a training set (75% of the cohort) the initial sinus rhythm ECGs of both groups were analysed and a predictive risk score based on a multivariate logistic model was constructed.

RESULTS

A multivariate regression model was constructed with 32 variables showing a predictive value characterised by an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.776 (95% CI: 0.738 to 0.814). The subsequent risk score included the following variables: age, duration of P-wave in aVF, V4 and V5; duration of T-wave in V3, mean QT interval adjusted for heart rate, transverse P-wave clockwise rotation, transverse P-wave terminal angle and transverse QRS complex terminal vector magnitude. Risk score values ranged from 0 (no risk) to 5 (high risk). The predictive validity of the score reached an AUC of 0.764 (95% CI: 0.722 to 0.806) with a global specificity of 61% and a sensitivity of 55%.

CONCLUSIONS

The automatic assessment of ECG biomarkers from ECGs in sinus rhythm is able to predict the risk for AF providing a low-cost screening strategy for early detection of this pathology.

A Deep Learning-Based Unsupervised Method to Impute Missing Values in Patient Records for Improved Management of Cardiovascular Patients

Physicians increasingly depend on electronic health records (EHRs) to manage their patients. However, many patient records have substantial missing values that pose a fundamental challenge to their clinical use. To address this prevailing challenge, we propose an unsupervised deep learning-based method that can facilitate physicians' use of EHRs to improve their management of cardiovascular patients. By building on the deep autoencoder framework, we develop a novel method to impute missing values in patient records. To demonstrate its clinical applicability and values, we use data from cardiovascular patients and evaluate the proposed method's imputation effectiveness and predictive efficacy, in comparison with six prevalent benchmark techniques. The proposed method can impute missing values and predict important patient outcomes more effectively than all the benchmark techniques. This study reinforces the importance of adequately addressing missing values in patient records. It further illustrates how effective imputations can enable greater predictive efficacy with regard to important patient outcomes, which are crucial to the use of EHRs and health analytics for improved patient management. Supported by the complete data imputed by the proposed method, physicians can make timely patient outcome estimations (predictions) and therapeutic treatment assessments.

Routine use of natriuretic peptides: Lessons from a big data analysis

BACKGROUND

Natriuretic peptides have broad indications during heart failure and the detection of left ventricular dysfunction in high-risk patients. They can also be used for the diagnosis/management of other cardiac diseases. However, very little is known regarding their use in routine practice.

METHODS

We examined all biological tests performed from February 2010 to August 2015 in two districts from the French Brittany, covering 13,653 km² and including 22,265 physicians. We report the settings and conditions of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) measurements (the only locally natriuretic peptide available).

RESULTS

From a total of 3,606,432 tests requested in 557,650 adult (older than 20 years) patients, only 56,653 (1.6%) included at least one NT-proBNP measurement. NT-proBNP measurements gradually increased, from 9188 in 2011 to 12,938 in 2014 (P < 0.001). Most NT-proBNP tests were measured in urban laboratories (72.7%) and in private (62.9%) non-hospital/clinics laboratories; they were mostly ordered by general practitioners (66% compared with 11% by cardiologists). The number of NT-proBNP measurements increased with age up to 80-90 years, and 70.3% of tests were measured in ≥75 years patients. Creatinine and electrolytes were not associated with NT-proBNP in 15.8% and 19.7% of tests, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Among a very large cohort, we observed that natriuretic peptides remain largely undermeasured. NT-proBNP is mostly measured in elderly patients, and its interpretation may be hazardous in up to 16% of all individuals because no measurement of creatinine was associated to NT-proBNP.

Artificial intelligence in personalized cardiovascular medicine and cardiovascular imaging

The collection of large, heterogeneous electronic datasets and imaging from patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) has lent itself to the use of sophisticated analysis using artificial intelligence (AI). AI techniques such as machine learning (ML) are able to identify relationships between data points by linking input to output variables using a combination of different functions, such as neural networks. In cardiovascular medicine, this is especially pertinent for classification, diagnosis, risk prediction and treatment guidance. Common cardiovascular data sources from patients include genomic data, cardiovascular imaging, wearable sensors and electronic health records (EHR). Leveraging AI in analysing such data points: (I) for clinicians: more accurate and streamlined image interpretation and diagnosis; (II) for health systems: improved workflow and reductions in medical errors; (III) for patients: promoting health with further education and promoting primary and secondary cardiovascular health prevention. This review addresses the need for AI in cardiovascular medicine by reviewing recent literature in different cardiovascular imaging modalities: electrocardiography, echocardiography, cardiac computed tomography, cardiac nuclear imaging, and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging as well as the role of EHR. This review aims to conceptulise these studies in relation to their clinical applications, potential limitations and future opportunities and directions.

Calcification prevalence in different vascular zones and its association with demographics, risk factors, and morphometry

Vascular calcification is associated with a higher incidence of cardiovascular events, but its prevalence in different vascular zones and the influence of demographics, risk factors, and morphometry remain insufficiently understood. Computerized tomography angiography scans from 211 subjects 5-93 yr old (mean age 47 ± 24 yr, 127 M/84 F) were used to build 3D vascular reconstructions and measure arterial diameters, tortuosity, and calcification volumes in six vascular zones spanning from the ascending thoracic aorta to the pelvic arteries. A machine learning random forest algorithm was used to determine the associations between calcification in each zone with demographics, risk factors, and vascular morphometry. Calcification appeared during the fourth decade of life and was present in all subjects after 65 yr. The abdominal aorta and the iliofemoral segment were the first to develop calcification, whereas the ascending thoracic aorta was the last. Demographics and risk factors explained 33-59% of the variation in calcification. Age, creatinine level, body mass index, coronary artery disease, and hypertension were the strongest contributors, whereas the effects of sex, race, tobacco use, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and alcohol and substance use disorders on calcification were small. Vascular morphometry did not directly and independently affect calcium burden. Vascular zones develop calcification asynchronously, with distal segments calcifying first. Understanding the influence of demographics and risk factors on calcium prevalence can help better understand the disease pathophysiology and may help with the early identification of patients that are at higher risk of cardiovascular events.NEW & NOTEWORTHY We investigated the prevalence of vascular calcification in different zones of the aorta and pelvic arteries using computerized tomography angiography reconstructions and have applied machine learning to determine how calcification is affected by demographics, risk factors, and morphometry. The presented data can help identify patients at higher risk of developing vascular calcification that may lead to cardiovascular events.

Machine Learning-Driven Models to Predict Prognostic Outcomes in Patients Hospitalized With Heart Failure Using Electronic Health Records: Retrospective Study

Background

With the prevalence of cardiovascular diseases increasing worldwide, early prediction and accurate assessment of heart failure (HF) risk are crucial to meet the clinical demand.

Objective

Our study objective was to develop machine learning (ML) models based on real-world electronic health records to predict 1-year in-hospital mortality, use of positive inotropic agents, and 1-year all-cause readmission rate.

Methods

For this single-center study, we recruited patients with newly diagnosed HF hospitalized between December 2010 and August 2018 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University (Liaoning Province, China). The models were constructed for a population set (90:10 split of data set into training and test sets) using 79 variables during the first hospitalization. Logistic regression, support vector machine, artificial neural network, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting models were investigated for outcome predictions.

Results

Of the 13,602 patients with HF enrolled in the study, 537 (3.95%) died within 1 year and 2779 patients (20.43%) had a history of use of positive inotropic agents. ML algorithms improved the performance of predictive models for 1-year in-hospital mortality (areas under the curve [AUCs] 0.92-1.00), use of positive inotropic medication (AUCs 0.85-0.96), and 1-year readmission rates (AUCs 0.63-0.96). A decision tree of mortality risk was created and stratified by single variables at levels of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (<0.068 μg/L), followed by percentage of lymphocytes (<14.688%) and neutrophil count (4.870×10⁹/L).

Conclusions

ML techniques based on a large scale of clinical variables can improve outcome predictions for patients with HF. The mortality decision tree may contribute to guiding better clinical risk assessment and decision making.

Impact of Big Data Analytics on People's Health: Overview of Systematic Reviews and Recommendations for Future Studies

Background

Although the potential of big data analytics for health care is well recognized, evidence is lacking on its effects on public health.

Objective

The aim of this study was to assess the impact of the use of big data analytics on people’s health based on the health indicators and core priorities in the World Health Organization (WHO) General Programme of Work 2019/2023 and the European Programme of Work (EPW), approved and adopted by its Member States, in addition to SARS-CoV-2–related studies. Furthermore, we sought to identify the most relevant challenges and opportunities of these tools with respect to people’s health.

Methods

Six databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews via Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus, and Epistemonikos) were searched from the inception date to September 21, 2020. Systematic reviews assessing the effects of big data analytics on health indicators were included. Two authors independently performed screening, selection, data extraction, and quality assessment using the AMSTAR-2 (A Measurement Tool to Assess Systematic Reviews 2) checklist.

Results

The literature search initially yielded 185 records, 35 of which met the inclusion criteria, involving more than 5,000,000 patients. Most of the included studies used patient data collected from electronic health records, hospital information systems, private patient databases, and imaging datasets, and involved the use of big data analytics for noncommunicable diseases. “Probability of dying from any of cardiovascular, cancer, diabetes or chronic renal disease” and “suicide mortality rate” were the most commonly assessed health indicators and core priorities within the WHO General Programme of Work 2019/2023 and the EPW 2020/2025. Big data analytics have shown moderate to high accuracy for the diagnosis and prediction of complications of diabetes mellitus as well as for the diagnosis and classification of mental disorders; prediction of suicide attempts and behaviors; and the diagnosis, treatment, and prediction of important clinical outcomes of several chronic diseases. Confidence in the results was rated as “critically low” for 25 reviews, as “low” for 7 reviews, and as “moderate” for 3 reviews. The most frequently identified challenges were establishment of a well-designed and structured data source, and a secure, transparent, and standardized database for patient data.

Conclusions

Although the overall quality of included studies was limited, big data analytics has shown moderate to high accuracy for the diagnosis of certain diseases, improvement in managing chronic diseases, and support for prompt and real-time analyses of large sets of varied input data to diagnose and predict disease outcomes.

Trial Registration

International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) CRD42020214048; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=214048

Economic evaluations of big data analytics for clinical decision-making: a scoping review

OBJECTIVE

Much has been invested in big data analytics to improve health and reduce costs. However, it is unknown whether these investments have achieved the desired goals. We performed a scoping review to determine the health and economic impact of big data analytics for clinical decision-making.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched Medline, Embase, Web of Science and the National Health Services Economic Evaluations Database for relevant articles. We included peer-reviewed papers that report the health economic impact of analytics that assist clinical decision-making. We extracted the economic methods and estimated impact and also assessed the quality of the methods used. In addition, we estimated how many studies assessed "big data analytics" based on a broad definition of this term.

RESULTS

The search yielded 12 133 papers but only 71 studies fulfilled all eligibility criteria. Only a few papers were full economic evaluations; many were performed during development. Papers frequently reported savings for healthcare payers but only 20% also included costs of analytics. Twenty studies examined "big data analytics" and only 7 reported both cost-savings and better outcomes.

DISCUSSION

The promised potential of big data is not yet reflected in the literature, partly since only a few full and properly performed economic evaluations have been published. This and the lack of a clear definition of "big data" limit policy makers and healthcare professionals from determining which big data initiatives are worth implementing.