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Nance N, Petersen ML, van der Laan M, Balzer LB. The Causal Roadmap and Simulations to Improve the Rigor and Reproducibility of Real-data Applications. Epidemiology 2024; 35:791-800. [PMID: 39087681 PMCID: PMC11444352 DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000001773] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2024] [Accepted: 07/19/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024]
Abstract
The Causal Roadmap outlines a systematic approach to asking and answering questions of cause and effect: define the quantity of interest, evaluate needed assumptions, conduct statistical estimation, and carefully interpret results. To protect research integrity, it is essential that the algorithm for statistical estimation and inference be prespecified prior to conducting any effectiveness analyses. However, it is often unclear which algorithm will perform optimally for the real-data application. Instead, there is a temptation to simply implement one's favorite algorithm, recycling prior code or relying on the default settings of a computing package. Here, we call for the use of simulations that realistically reflect the application, including key characteristics such as strong confounding and dependent or missing outcomes, to objectively compare candidate estimators and facilitate full specification of the statistical analysis plan. Such simulations are informed by the Causal Roadmap and conducted after data collection but prior to effect estimation. We illustrate with two worked examples. First, in an observational longitudinal study, we use outcome-blind simulations to inform nuisance parameter estimation and variance estimation for longitudinal targeted minimum loss-based estimation. Second, in a cluster randomized trial with missing outcomes, we use treatment-blind simulations to examine type-I error control in two-stage targeted minimum loss-based estimation. In both examples, realistic simulations empower us to prespecify an estimation approach with strong expected finite sample performance, and also produce quality-controlled computing code for the actual analysis. Together, this process helps to improve the rigor and reproducibility of our research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nerissa Nance
- From the University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA
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Chandran A, Feng X, Coburn SB, Kasaie P, Malone J, Horberg MA, Hogan B, Rebeiro PF, Gill MJ, McGinnis KA, Silverberg MJ, Karris MY, Napravnik S, Konkle-Parker D, Lee J, Freeman AM, Ghidey R, Garza V, Marconi VC, Kirk GD, Thorne J, Crane HM, Lang R, Kitahata MM, Moore RD, Althoff KN. The Contribution of Socioeconomic Factors to HIV RNA Suppression in Persons With HIV Engaged in Care in the NA-ACCORD. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2024; 97:232-241. [PMID: 39431507 PMCID: PMC11494146 DOI: 10.1097/qai.0000000000003486] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2024] [Accepted: 06/03/2024] [Indexed: 10/22/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Socioeconomic status (SES) influences well-being among people living with HIV (people with HIV [PWH]); when individual-level SES information is not available, area-level SES indicators may be a suitable alternative. We hypothesized that (1) select ZIP code-level SES indicators would be associated with viral suppression and (2) accounting for ZIP code-level SES would attenuate racial disparities in viral suppression among PWH. SETTING The NA-ACCORD, a collaboration of clinical and interval cohorts of PWH, was used. METHODS Participants with ≥1 viral load measurement and ≥1 US residential 5-digit ZIP code(s) between 2010 and 2018 were included. In this serial cross-sectional analysis, multivariable logistic regression models were used to quantify the annual association of race and ethnicity with viral suppression, in the presence of SES indicators and sex, hepatitis C status, and age. RESULTS We observed a dose-response relationship between SES factors and viral suppression. Lower income and education were associated with 0.5-0.7-fold annual decreases in odds of viral suppression. We observed racial disparities of approximately 40% decreased odds of viral suppression among non-Hispanic Black compared with non-Hispanic White participants. The disparity persisted but narrowed by 3%-4% when including SES in the models. CONCLUSIONS ZIP code-based SES was associated with viral suppression, and accounting for SES narrowed racial disparities in viral suppression among PWH in the NA-ACCORD. Inclusion of ZIP code-level indicators of SES as surrogates for individual-level SES should be considered to improve our understanding of the impact of social determinants of health and racial disparities on key outcomes among PWH in North America.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aruna Chandran
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Xinyi Feng
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Sally B. Coburn
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Parastu Kasaie
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | - Michael A. Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Brenna Hogan
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Peter F. Rebeiro
- Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - M. John Gill
- Southern Alberta HIV Program, Calgary, AB, Canada
| | - Kathleen A. McGinnis
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, US Department of Veterans Affairs, West Haven, CT, USA
| | | | - Maile Young Karris
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Sonia Napravnik
- University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | | | - Jennifer Lee
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Aimee M. Freeman
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Ronel Ghidey
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Venezia Garza
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Vincent C. Marconi
- Emory University School of Medicine and Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Gregory D. Kirk
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Jennifer Thorne
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Heidi M. Crane
- Center for AIDS Research, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Raynell Lang
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
| | - Mari M. Kitahata
- Center for AIDS Research, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Richard D. Moore
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
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Chen PJ. Challenges for hepatitis B control in Asia-Pacific areas: Consolidating vaccination and rolling-out antiviral therapies. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 39:1033-1039. [PMID: 38413195 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.16528] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2024] [Accepted: 02/07/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024]
Abstract
Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) was, and still is, a prevalent liver disease in the world, especially high in the Asia-Pacific areas. With the advent of preventive vaccines and effective viral suppression drugs and active implementations, CHB has gradually become under control. The world-wide prevalence reduces from 4.2% in 1980 to 3.2% in 2020 study. CHB patients receiving long-term antiviral therapies significantly improve the clinical outcomes, saving from end-stage liver diseases. Despite of these impressive progresses, to meet the WHO sustained development goals (SDG) for CHB control, a 90% reduction of incidence and a 65% reduction of mortality in year 2030, there is still a long way to go. In this review, four ongoing approaches have been proposed: (i) A continuous monitoring of long-term vaccine efficacy in vaccinated populations; (ii) consolidating the hepatitis B virus vaccination program against vaccine hesitancy and limited resources; (iii) rolling-out current oral antivirals to more CHB patients not only for diseases treatment but also for infection preventions; and (iv) development of curative therapies, both friendly-to-dispense and affordable. A coherent and persevere efforts by the society may succeed and achieve the SDG for CHB in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pei-Jer Chen
- Hepatitis Research Center, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- National Taiwan University College of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
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Krentz HB, Lang R, McMillan J, Ody M, Gill MJ. The changing landscape of both causes and locations of death in a regional HIV population 2010-2021. HIV Med 2024; 25:608-613. [PMID: 38243621 DOI: 10.1111/hiv.13610] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2023] [Accepted: 12/21/2023] [Indexed: 01/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although HIV-related deaths among people with HIV have dramatically decreased, deaths from other medical conditions and non-medical events have increased. The location of death among people with HIV remains underreported. OBJECTIVES We reviewed the deaths, causes of death, and reported location of death (i.e. within or outside of medical settings) of all people with HIV with the Southern Alberta Cohort, Calgary, Canada, between 1 January 2010 and 1 January 2022. METHODS This was a retrospective longitudinal cohort study reviewing all deaths within a comprehensive geographically defined HIV cohort over 11 years. RESULTS Deaths from HIV-related causes decreased from 52% of all deaths in 2010 to 14% in 2021. In 2021, non-HIV medical deaths increased from 38% to 44%, and non-medical deaths (e.g. violence, suicide, drug overdose) increased from 0.5% to 39%. Of non-medical deaths, 67% resulted from substance use/overdose. Overall, deaths in any medical setting decreased from 91% in 2010 to 39% in 2021; 61% of all deaths occurred in a medical setting (e.g. hospital/emergency department or supported/long-term/hospice care), 27% in a residence, and 9% in the community. CONCLUSION The shifting causes of death (i.e. fewer HIV-related deaths, more overdose deaths) and location of death (i.e. fewer in medical settings, more at home/in the community) requires close monitoring so future resources can be matched to predicted patient needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hartmut B Krentz
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Southern Alberta Clinic, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Raynell Lang
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Southern Alberta Clinic, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Jacqueline McMillan
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Southern Alberta Clinic, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Meagan Ody
- Southern Alberta Clinic, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - M John Gill
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Southern Alberta Clinic, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology & Infectious Diseases, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
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McGinnis KA, Justice AC, Marconi VC, Rodriguez-Barradas MC, Hauser RG, Oursler KK, Brown ST, Bryant KJ, Tate JP. Combining Charlson comorbidity and VACS indices improves prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality for patients with and without HIV in the Veterans Health Administration. Front Med (Lausanne) 2024; 10:1342466. [PMID: 38356736 PMCID: PMC10864663 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1342466] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2023] [Accepted: 12/31/2023] [Indexed: 02/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction As people age with HIV (PWH), many comorbid diseases are more common than among age matched comparators without HIV (PWoH). While the Veterans Aging Cohort (VACS) Index 2.0 accurately predicts mortality in PWH using age and clinical biomarkers, the only included comorbidity is hepatitis C. We asked whether adding comorbid disease groupings from the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) improves the accuracy of VACS Index. Methods To maximize our ability to model mortality among older age groups, we began with PWoH in Veterans Health Administration (VA) from 2007-2017, divided into development and validation samples. Baseline predictors included age, and components of CCI and VACS Index (excluding CD4 count and HIV RNA). Patients were followed until December 31, 2021. We used Cox models to develop the VACS-CCI score and estimated mortality using a parametric (gamma) survival model. We compared accuracy using C-statistics and calibration curves in validation overall and within subgroups (gender, age ≥65 years, race/ethnicity, and CCI score). We then applied VACS-CCI in PWH and compared its accuracy to age, VACS Index 2.0, CCI and VACS-CCI with CD4 and HIV RNA added. Results The analytic sample consisted of 6,588,688 PWoH and 30,539 PWH. Among PWoH/PWH, median age was 65/55 years; 6%/3% were women; 15%/48% were Black and 5%/7% Hispanic. VACS-CCI provided the best discrimination (C-statistic = 0.81) with excellent calibration (predicted and observed mortality largely overlapped) overall and within subgroups. When VACS-CCI was applied to PWH it demonstrated similar discrimination as VACS Index 2.0 (C-statistic = 0.77 for both) but superior calibration among those with CD4 < 200. Discrimination was improved when CD4 and HIV RNA were added VACS-CCI (C-statistic = 0.79). Liver and kidney disease, congestive heart failure, malignancy, and dementia were negatively associated with CD4 (p-trends all <0.0001). Discussion Among PWH and PWoH in VA care, age alone weakly discriminates risk of mortality. VACS Index 2.0, CCI, and VACS-CCI all provide better discrimination, but VACS-CCI is more consistently calibrated. The association of comorbid diseases with lower CD4 underscores the likely role of HIV in non-AIDS conditions. Future work will include adding CD4 and HIV RNA to VACS-CCI and validating it in independent data.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Amy C. Justice
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States
- Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States
| | - Vincent C. Marconi
- The Atlanta Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Emory University School of Medicine and Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA, United States
- VA Medical Center, Decatur, GA, United States
| | - Maria C. Rodriguez-Barradas
- Infectious Diseases Section, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, TX, United States
- Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States
| | - Ronald G. Hauser
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States
| | - Krisann K. Oursler
- Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Tech Carilion School of Medicine, Roanoke, VA, United States
- VA Salem Healthcare System, Salem, VA, United States
| | | | - Kendall J. Bryant
- National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, Bethesda, MD, United States
| | - Janet P. Tate
- VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, United States
- Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States
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Smith WP. Negative Lifestyle Factors Specific to Aging Persons Living with HIV and Multimorbidity. J Int Assoc Provid AIDS Care 2024; 23:23259582241245228. [PMID: 39051608 PMCID: PMC11273731 DOI: 10.1177/23259582241245228] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2023] [Revised: 02/28/2024] [Accepted: 03/18/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024] Open
Abstract
The primary goal of medical care during the pre-antiretroviral therapy (ART) era was to keep persons living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) alive, whereas since the advent of ART, the treatment objective has shifted to decreasing viral loads and infectiousness while increasing CD4+ T-cell counts and longevity. The health crisis, however, is in preventing and managing multimorbidity (ie, type 2 diabetes), which develops at a more accelerated or accentuated pace among aging persons living with HIV. Relative to the general population and age-matched uninfected adults, it may be more difficult for aging HIV-positive persons who also suffer from multimorbidity to improve negative lifestyle factors to the extent that their behaviors could support the prevention and management of diseases. With recommendations and a viable solution, this article explores the impact of negative lifestyle factors (ie, poor mental health, suboptimal nutrition, physical inactivity, alcohol use) on the health of aging individuals living with HIV.
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Davy-Mendez T, Sarovar V, Levine-Hall T, Lea AN, Leibowitz AS, Luu MN, Flamm JA, Hare CB, Dumoit Smith J, Iturralde E, Dilley J, Silverberg MJ, Satre DD. Racial, ethnic, and age disparities in the association of mental health symptoms and polysubstance use among persons in HIV care. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0294483. [PMID: 38015975 PMCID: PMC10684077 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0294483] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2023] [Accepted: 10/31/2023] [Indexed: 11/30/2023] Open
Abstract
We characterized polysubstance use burden and associations with mental health problems across demographic subgroups of PWH. In 2018-2020, as part of a primary care-based intervention study, PWH in care at three medical centers in Kaiser Permanente Northern California were screened for depression (PHQ-9≥10), anxiety (GAD-2≥3), and substance use (Tobacco, Alcohol, Prescription medication, and other Substance use [TAPS]≥1 per substance). We used Poisson regression to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) comparing polysubstance use prevalence (TAPS≥1 for ≥2 substances) between PWH with positive screens for depression or anxiety vs. neither, among all PWH, and stratified by race/ethnicity and age (restricted to men), adjusting for sociodemographics, CD4, and HIV load. Screened PWH (N = 2865) included 92% men, 56% White, 19% Black, and 15% Hispanic PWH, with a median age of 55 years. Overall, polysubstance use prevalence was 26.4% (95% CI 24.9%-28.1%). PWH with depression or anxiety (n = 515) had an adjusted polysubstance use PR of 1.26 (1.09-1.46) vs. PWH with neither (n = 2350). Adjusted PRs were 1.47 (1.11-1.96), 1.07 (0.74-1.54), and 1.10 (0.85-1.41) among Black, Hispanic, and White men, respectively. Adjusted PRs did not differ by age group. Interventions should consider jointly addressing mental health and substance use problems and potential drivers, e.g. stigma or socioeconomic factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thibaut Davy-Mendez
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, United States of America
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Varada Sarovar
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Tory Levine-Hall
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Alexandra N. Lea
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Amy S. Leibowitz
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Mitchell N. Luu
- Oakland Medical Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Jason A. Flamm
- Sacramento Medical Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Sacramento, CA, United States of America
| | - C. Bradley Hare
- San Francisco Medical Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, San Francisco, CA, United States of America
| | - Jaime Dumoit Smith
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, United States of America
| | - Esti Iturralde
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - James Dilley
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, United States of America
| | - Michael J. Silverberg
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
| | - Derek D. Satre
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, United States of America
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, United States of America
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Kasaie P, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace L, Hyle EP, Zalla LC, Rebeiro PF, Silverberg MJ, Rubtsova AA, Rich AJ, Gebo K, Lesko CR, Fojo AT, Lang R, Edwards JK, Althoff KN. Impact of subgroup-specific heterogeneities and dynamic changes in mortality rates on forecasted population size, deaths, and age distribution of persons receiving antiretroviral treatment in the United States: a computer simulation study. Ann Epidemiol 2023; 87:S1047-2797(23)00171-0. [PMID: 37741499 PMCID: PMC10841391 DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2023.09.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2023] [Revised: 09/06/2023] [Accepted: 09/14/2023] [Indexed: 09/25/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Model-based forecasts of population size, deaths, and age distribution of people with HIV (PWH) are helpful for public health and clinical services planning but are influenced by subgroup-specific heterogeneities and changes in mortality rates. METHODS Using an agent-based simulation of PWH in the United States, we examined the impact of distinct approaches to parametrizing mortality rates on forecasted epidemiology of PWH on antiretroviral treatment (ART). We first estimated mortality rates among (1) all PWH, (2) sex-specific, (3) sex-and-race/ethnicity-specific, and (4) sex-race/ethnicity-and-HIV-acquisition-risk-specific subgroups. We then assessed each scenario by (1) allowing unrestricted reductions in age-specific mortality rates over time and (2) restricting the mortality rates among PWH to subgroup-specific mortality thresholds from the general population. RESULTS Among the eight scenarios examined, those lacking subgroup-specific heterogeneities and those allowing unrestricted reductions in future mortality rates forecasted the lowest number of deaths among all PWH and 9 of the 15 subgroups through 2030. The forecasted overall number and age distribution of people with a history of injection drug use were sensitive to inclusion of subgroup-specific mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS Our results underscore the potential risk of underestimating future deaths by models lacking subgroup-specific heterogeneities in mortality rates, and those allowing unrestricted reductions in future mortality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Parastu Kasaie
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
| | - Cameron Stewart
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Elizabeth Humes
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Lucas Gerace
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Emily P Hyle
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital; Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston; Harvard Medical School, Boston
| | - Lauren C Zalla
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Peter F Rebeiro
- Department of Medicine & Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN
| | | | - Anna A Rubtsova
- Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Department of Behavioral, Social, and Health Education Sciences, Atlanta, GA
| | - Ashleigh J Rich
- Department of Social Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill
| | - Kelly Gebo
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
| | - Catherine R Lesko
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
| | - Anthony T Fojo
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD
| | - Raynell Lang
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Jessie K Edwards
- Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill
| | - Keri N Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD
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Asravor RK. Uncovering the forgotten story of the impact of Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome on economic growth in Ghana: A gender analysis. Int J Health Plann Manage 2023; 38:1495-1509. [PMID: 37353922 DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3675] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2022] [Revised: 05/10/2023] [Accepted: 06/11/2023] [Indexed: 06/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Aside from being a health issue, Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS) has an economic impact on Africa and Ghana in particular. Despite this, fewer empirical studies have examined the effect of the disease on economic growth from a gender point of view. This study aims to investigate the impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on economic growth in Ghana. The paper uses time series data spanning 1990-2018 to estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS from a gender perspective. The Cobb-Douglas aggregate function and the Granger Causality test were used to examine the determinant of growth and the direction of causality, respectively. The study's finding shows a unidirectional feedback causality running from HIV/AIDS to economic growth. Controlling for varieties of factors, the study found that HIV/AIDS has a negative significant impact on economic growth in both the short and long-run periods in Ghana. From the gender perspective, the impact of HIV/AIDS on growth was higher in the case of males when compared to females.
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Izquierdo R, Rava M, Moreno-García E, Blanco JR, Asensi V, Cervero M, Curran A, Rubio R, Iribarren JA, Jarrín I. HIV medical care interruption among people living with HIV in Spain, 2004-2020. AIDS 2023; 37:1277-1284. [PMID: 36939068 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000003552] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/21/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We estimated the incidence rate of HIV medical care interruption (MCI) and its evolution over a 16-year-period, and identified associated risk factors among HIV-positive individuals from the Cohort of the Spanish AIDS Research Network in 2004-2020. DESIGN We included antiretroviral-naive individuals aged at least 18 years at enrolment, recruited between January 1, 2004, and August 30, 2019, and followed-up until November 30, 2020. METHODS Individuals with any time interval of at least 15 months between two visits were defined as having a MCI. We calculated the incidence rate (IR) of having at least one MCI and used multivariable Poisson regression models to identify associated risk factors. RESULTS Of 15 274 individuals, 5481 (35.9%) had at least one MCI. Of those, 2536 (46.3%) returned to HIV care after MCI and 3753 (68.5%) were lost to follow-up at the end of the study period. The incidence rate (IR) of MCI was 7.2/100 person-years (py) [95% confidence interval (CI): 7.0-7.4]. The annual IR gradually decreased from 20.5/100 py (95% CI: 16.4-25.6) in 2004 to 4.9/100 py (95% CI: 4.4-5.5) in 2014, a slight increase was observed between 2015 and 2018, reaching 9.3/100 py (95% CI: 8.6-10.2) in 2019. Risk factors for MCI included younger age, lower educational level, having contracted HIV infection through injecting drug use or heterosexual intercourse, having been born outside of Spain, and CD4 + cell count >200 cell/μl, viral load <100 000 and co-infection with hepatitis C virus at enrolment. CONCLUSIONS Around a third of individuals had at least one MCI during the follow-up. Identified predictors of MCI can help health workers to target and support most vulnerable individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rebeca Izquierdo
- National Center for Epidemiology, Instituto de Salud Carlos III
- Centre of Biomedical Research for Infectious Diseases (CIBERINFEC), Madrid
| | - Marta Rava
- National Center for Epidemiology, Instituto de Salud Carlos III
- Centre of Biomedical Research for Infectious Diseases (CIBERINFEC), Madrid
| | | | | | - Víctor Asensi
- Infectious Diseases - HIV Unit, Internal Medicine, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, Oviedo University School of Medicine, Translational Research in Infective Pathology Lab, ISPA-FINBA
| | - Miguel Cervero
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario Severo Ochoa, Leganés
| | - Adrian Curran
- Infectious Diseases Department, Vall d'Hebron University Hospital, Vall d'Hebron Research Institute, Barcelona
| | - Rafael Rubio
- HIV Unit, Internal Medicine Department, Biomedical Research Institute Imas12, Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre. Medicine Department. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid
| | - José Antonio Iribarren
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Donostia University Hospital, IIS Biodonostia, San Sebastián, Spain
| | - Inmaculada Jarrín
- National Center for Epidemiology, Instituto de Salud Carlos III
- Centre of Biomedical Research for Infectious Diseases (CIBERINFEC), Madrid
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11
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Davy-Mendez T, Sarovar V, Levine-Hall T, Lea AN, Sterling SA, Chi FW, Palzes VA, Luu MN, Flamm JA, Hare CB, Williams EC, Bryant KJ, Weisner CM, Silverberg MJ, Satre DD. Characterizing Unhealthy Alcohol Use Patterns and Their Association with Alcohol Use Reduction and Alcohol Use Disorder During Follow-Up in HIV Care. AIDS Behav 2023; 27:1380-1391. [PMID: 36169779 PMCID: PMC10043049 DOI: 10.1007/s10461-022-03873-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Outcomes of PWH with unhealthy alcohol use, such as alcohol use reduction or progression to AUD, are not well-known and may differ by baseline patterns of unhealthy alcohol use. Among 1299 PWH screening positive for NIAAA-defined unhealthy alcohol use in Kaiser Permanente Northern California, 2013-2017, we compared 2-year probabilities of reduction to low-risk/no alcohol use and rates of new AUD diagnoses by baseline use patterns, categorized as exceeding: only daily limits (72% of included PWH), only weekly limits (17%), or both (11%), based on NIAAA recommendations. Overall, 73.2% (95% CI 70.5-75.9%) of re-screened PWH reduced to low-risk/no alcohol use over 2 years, and there were 3.1 (95% CI 2.5-3.8%) new AUD diagnoses per 100 person-years. Compared with PWH only exceeding daily limits at baseline, those only exceeding weekly limits and those exceeding both limits were less likely to reduce and likelier to be diagnosed with AUD during follow-up. PWH exceeding weekly drinking limits, with or without exceeding daily limits, may have a potential need for targeted interventions to address unhealthy alcohol use.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thibaut Davy-Mendez
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA.
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 130 Mason Farm Rd., CB #7030, Chapel Hill, NC, 27599, USA.
| | - Varada Sarovar
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Tory Levine-Hall
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Alexandra N Lea
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Stacy A Sterling
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Felicia W Chi
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Vanessa A Palzes
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Mitchell N Luu
- Oakland Medical Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | - Jason A Flamm
- Sacramento Medical Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Sacramento, CA, USA
| | - C Bradley Hare
- San Francisco Medical Center, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Emily C Williams
- Center of Innovation for Veteran Centered and Value-Driven Care, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound, Seattle, WA, USA
- Department of Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Kendall J Bryant
- National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism HIV/AIDS Program, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Constance M Weisner
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
| | | | - Derek D Satre
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, CA, USA
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12
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Klein MB. Living longer with HIV: gains for some but not for all. Lancet HIV 2023; 10:e275-e276. [PMID: 36958366 DOI: 10.1016/s2352-3018(23)00060-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2023] [Accepted: 03/08/2023] [Indexed: 03/25/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Marina B Klein
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Chronic Viral Illness Service, Department of Medicine, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal H4A 3J1, Canada.
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13
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Enogela EM, Jones R, Buford TW, Vance DE, Fazeli PL. Cardiometabolic Diseases and Quality-of-Life Outcomes in Adults With HIV in the Deep South: A Cross-sectional Study. J Assoc Nurses AIDS Care 2023; 34:171-181. [PMID: 36576513 DOI: 10.1097/jnc.0000000000000387] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2022] [Accepted: 11/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
ABSTRACT The role of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) on physical health-related quality of life (P-HRQoL) and quality of sleep was examined among 261 PLWH ≥40 years, recruited from a university-affiliated HIV clinic in the Deep U.S. South. Using a cross-sectional study design, participants completed the Medical Outcomes Study HIV Health Survey (MOS-HIV; P-HRQoL) and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index. The overall prevalence of self-reporting ≥1 CMD was 64.4%. P-HRQoL scores were lower in PLWH with ≥1 CMD compared with those with no CMDs (45.53 ± 11.54 vs. 49.67 ± 10.77, p <.01). Poor sleep quality was higher among participants with ≥1 CMD compared with those with no CMDs (9.28 ± 4.42 vs. 7.26 ± 4.17, p <.01). Each additional CMD resulted in a 1.83-point decrease in P-HRQoL and 0.74-point increase in poor sleep quality scores. Interventions that focus on targeting these quality-of-life domains in PLWH with CMDs are needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ene M Enogela
- Ene M. Enogela, MPH, is an Epidemiology PhD Student, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA. Raymond Jones, PhD, is an Assistant Professor, Department of Medicine, Division of Gerontology, Geriatrics, and Palliative Care, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA. Thomas W. Buford, PhD, is a Professor, Department of Medicine, Division of Gerontology, Geriatrics, and Palliative Care, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA, and is also affiliated with the Birmingham/Atlanta Geriatric Research, Education, and Clinical Center, Birmingham VA Medical Center, Birmingham, Alabama, USA. David E. Vance, PhD, is a Professor, School of Nursing, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA. Pariya L. Fazeli, PhD, is an Associate Professor, School of Nursing, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
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14
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Ren N, Li Y, Wan Z, Wang R, Zhang W, Dzakah EE, Zhang J, Li A, Fan S. Patterns of HIV or AIDS Mortality Among Older People From 1990 to 2019 in China: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2022; 8:e35785. [PMID: 36394944 PMCID: PMC9716424 DOI: 10.2196/35785] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2021] [Revised: 05/29/2022] [Accepted: 10/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND With the increasing effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy and shifting demographics, the problem of older people with HIV or AIDS is increasingly grim in China, and neglecting infection among them may cause more serious social problems, exacerbate the difficulty of controlling HIV or AIDS transmission, and increase the risk of death. OBJECTIVE We investigated the variations in the trends of Chinese mortality by age, period, and cohort, from 1990 to 2019, to reveal the relationship between age, period, cohort, and HIV burden, as well as providing guidance for resource allocation to prevent HIV-related deaths in vulnerable target populations. METHODS We extracted the HIV or AIDS mortality data from the Global Burden of Disease. The joinpoint regression model was applied to detect changes in HIV or AIDS trends. The age-period-cohort model was used to explore the age, period, and cohort effects. RESULTS The trends in age-standardized mortality rates in HIV or AIDS were increased in both genders, from 0.50 to 4.54/105 individuals for males, and from 0.19 to 1.43/105 individuals for females. Joinpoint regression model showed the average annual percentage change of age-standardized mortality rates was 7.0 for male and 6.4 for female individuals, showing an increasing trend. The age effect of male HIV or AIDS mortality showed a net increase of 0.59 (-0.21 to 0.38) from the ages 50-79 years. There is a gradual upward trend in the change in risk of death from HIV or AIDS for the period effect among the older population, lowest at ages 50-54 years (-0.80 for male and -0.78 for female individuals) and highest at ages 75-79 years (0.86 for male and 0.69 for female individuals). The variation of cohort effects was complex, but both genders had a nearly consistent tendency; people born in 1920-1929 had the lowest cohort effect, and those born in 1950-1954 had the highest values. CONCLUSIONS Our study showed a marked rise in HIV mortality for both genders in China from 1990 to 2019. Aging is an important issue in current HIV prevention and control. There is an urgent need to promote HIV testing and health education. Our findings will help predict future HIV or AIDS mortality changes and identify age-specific priority populations for intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ningjun Ren
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Yuansheng Li
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Zhengwei Wan
- Department of Health Management Center & Institute of Health Management, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China
| | - Ruolan Wang
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Wenxin Zhang
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Emmanuel Enoch Dzakah
- Department of Molecular Biology and Biotechnology, School of Biological Sciences, College of Agriculture and Natural Sciences, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana
| | - Junhui Zhang
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Ailing Li
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Song Fan
- School of Public Health, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
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15
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McGinnis KA, Justice AC, Moore RD, Silverberg MJ, Althoff KN, Karris M, Lima VD, Crane HM, Horberg MA, Klein MB, Gange SJ, Gebo KA, Mayor A, Tate JP. Discrimination and Calibration of the Veterans Aging Cohort Study Index 2.0 for Predicting Mortality Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus in North America. Clin Infect Dis 2022; 75:297-304. [PMID: 34609485 PMCID: PMC9410720 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciab883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The updated Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) Index 2.0 combines general and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-specific biomarkers to generate a continuous score that accurately discriminates risk of mortality in diverse cohorts of persons with HIV (PWH), but a score alone is difficult to interpret. Using data from the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration (NA-ACCORD), we translate VACS Index 2.0 scores into validated probability estimates of mortality. METHODS Because complete mortality ascertainment is essential for accurate calibration, we restricted analyses to cohorts with mortality from the National Death Index or equivalent sources. VACS Index 2.0 components were ascertained from October 1999 to April 2018. Mortality was observed up to March 2019. Calibration curves compared predicted (estimated by fitting a gamma model to the score) to observed mortality overall and within subgroups: cohort (VACS/NA-ACCORD subset), sex, age <50 or ≥50 years, race/ethnicity, HIV-1 RNA ≤500 or >500 copies/mL, CD4 count <350 or ≥350 cells/µL, and years 1999-2009 or 2010-2018. Because mortality rates have decreased over time, the final model was limited to 2010-2018. RESULTS Among 37230 PWH in VACS and 8061 PWH in the NA-ACCORD subset, median age was 53 and 44 years; 3% and 19% were women; and 48% and 39% were black. Discrimination in NA-ACCORD (C-statistic = 0.842 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .830-.854]) was better than in VACS (C-statistic = 0.813 [95% CI, .809-.817]). Predicted and observed mortality largely overlapped in VACS and the NA-ACCORD subset, overall and within subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Based on this validation, VACS Index 2.0 can reliably estimate probability of all-cause mortality, at various follow-up times, among PWH in North America.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathleen A McGinnis
- Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Amy C Justice
- Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Yale Schools of Medicine and Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | | | | | | | - Maile Karris
- University of California, San Diego, San Diego, California, USA
| | | | | | - Michael A Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, Maryland, USA
| | | | | | - Kelly A Gebo
- Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Angel Mayor
- Universidad Central del Caribe, Bayamon, Puerto Rico, USA
| | - Janet P Tate
- Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
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16
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Castilho JL, Bian A, Jenkins CA, Shepherd BE, Sigel K, Gill MJ, Kitahata MM, Silverberg MJ, Mayor AM, Coburn SB, Wiley D, Achenbach CJ, Marconi VC, Bosch RJ, Horberg MA, Rabkin CS, Napravnik S, Novak RM, Mathews WC, Thorne JE, Sun J, Althoff KN, Moore RD, Sterling TR, Sudenga SL. CD4/CD8 Ratio and Cancer Risk Among Adults With HIV. J Natl Cancer Inst 2022; 114:854-862. [PMID: 35292820 PMCID: PMC9194634 DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djac053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2021] [Revised: 12/10/2021] [Accepted: 03/07/2022] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Independent of CD4 cell count, a low CD4/CD8 ratio in people with HIV (PWH) is associated with deleterious immune senescence, activation, and inflammation, which may contribute to carcinogenesis and excess cancer risk. We examined whether low CD4/CD8 ratios predicted cancer among PWH in the United States and Canada. METHODS We examined all cancer-free PWH with 1 or more CD4/CD8 values from North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design observational cohorts with validated cancer diagnoses between 1998 and 2016. We evaluated the association between time-lagged CD4/CD8 ratio and risk of specific cancers in multivariable, time-updated Cox proportional hazard models using restricted cubic spines. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, hepatitis C virus, and time-updated CD4 cell count, HIV RNA, and history of AIDS-defining illness. RESULTS Among 83 893 PWH, there were 5628 incident cancers, including lung cancer (n = 755), Kaposi sarcoma (n = 501), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (n = 497), and anal cancer (n = 439). The median age at cohort entry was 43 years. The overall median 6-month lagged CD4/CD8 ratio was 0.52 (interquartile range = 0.30-0.82). Compared with a 6-month lagged CD4/CD8 of 0.80, a CD4/CD8 of 0.30 was associated with increased risk of any incident cancer (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.24 [95% confidence interval = 1.14 to 1.35]). The CD4/CD8 ratio was also inversely associated with non-Hodgkin lymphoma, Kaposi sarcoma, lung cancer, anal cancer, and colorectal cancer in adjusted analyses (all 2-sided P < .05). Results were similar using 12-, 18-, and 24-month lagged CD4/CD8 values. CONCLUSIONS A low CD4/CD8 ratio up to 24 months before cancer diagnosis was independently associated with increased cancer risk in PWH and may serve as a clinical biomarker.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessica L Castilho
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Aihua Bian
- Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Cathy A Jenkins
- Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Bryan E Shepherd
- Department of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Keith Sigel
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - M John Gill
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
| | - Mari M Kitahata
- Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | | | - Angel M Mayor
- Retrovirus Research Center, Internal Medicine Department, Universidad Central del Caribe School of Medicine, Bayamón, PR, USA
| | - Sally B Coburn
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Dorothy Wiley
- School of Nursing, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Chad J Achenbach
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Northwestern Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - Vincent C Marconi
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine and Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Ronald J Bosch
- Department of Biostatistics, T.H. Chan Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Michael A Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Medical Group and Research Institute, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Charles S Rabkin
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, Infections and Immunoepidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Sonia Napravnik
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
| | - Richard M Novak
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Illinois Chicago School of Medicine, Chicago, IL, USA
| | - W Christopher Mathews
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Jennifer E Thorne
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
- Department of Ophthalmology, Wilmer Eye Institute, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Jing Sun
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Keri N Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Richard D Moore
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Timothy R Sterling
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Staci L Sudenga
- Division of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
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17
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Papp KA, Beecker J, Cooper C, Kirchhof MG, Pozniak AL, Rockstroh JK, Dutz JP, Gooderham MJ, Gniadecki R, Hong CH, Lynde CW, Maari C, Poulin Y, Vender RB, Walmsley SL. Use of Systemic Therapies for Treatment of Psoriasis in People Living with Controlled HIV: Inference-Based Guidance from a Multidisciplinary Expert Panel. Dermatol Ther (Heidelb) 2022; 12:1073-1089. [PMID: 35445963 PMCID: PMC9110627 DOI: 10.1007/s13555-022-00722-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2022] [Accepted: 03/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Background People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) have a similar prevalence of psoriasis as the general population, though incidence and severity correlate with HIV viral load. Adequately treating HIV early renders the infection a chronic medical condition and allows PLHIV with a suppressed viral load (PLHIV-s) to live normal lives. Despite this, safety concerns and a lack of high-level data have hindered the use of systemic psoriasis therapies in PLHIV-s. Objectives We aim to provide a structured framework that supports healthcare professionals and patients discussing the risks and benefits of systemic psoriasis therapy in PLHIV-s. Our goal was to address the primary question, are responses to systemic therapies for the treatment of psoriasis in PLHIV-s similar to those in the non-HIV population? Methods We implemented an inference-based approach relying on indirect evidence when direct clinical trial data were absent. In this instance, we reviewed indirect evidence supporting inferences on the status of immune function in PLHIV. Recommendations on systemic treatment for psoriasis in PLHIV were derived using an inferential heuristic. Results We identified seven indirect indicators of immune function informed by largely independent bodies of evidence: (1) functional assays, (2) vaccine response, (3) life expectancy, (4) psoriasis manifestations, (5) rate of infections, (6) rate of malignancies, and (7) organ transplant outcomes. Conclusions Drug-related benefits and risks when treating a patient with systemic psoriasis therapies are similar for non-HIV patients and PLHIV with a suppressed viral load and normalized CD4 counts. Prior to initiating psoriasis treatment in PLHIV, HIV replication should be addressed by an HIV specialist. Exercise additional caution for patients with a suppressed viral load and discordant CD4 responses on antiretroviral therapy. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13555-022-00722-0. People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) develop psoriasis as often as everyone else. We asked: what are effective and safe treatments when PLHIV need systemic therapy (pills or injections) for their psoriasis? HIV infection attacks the immune system. When HIV is not treated, the immune system declines. A less effective immune system makes it harder for the body to fight infections and certain cancers. Psoriasis is a skin condition caused by overactive immune cells. Effective psoriasis treatments reduce immune-cell activity. There are some concerns that treatments for psoriasis may not work and could worsen infections or cancers. To answer the question, we gathered 11 dermatologists and 4 HIV specialists. We reviewed the international scientific literature on PLHIV and psoriasis. The absence of direct evidence and volume of information to review made the process challenging. The end results were worthwhile. We concluded that people who are diagnosed early and take antiretroviral therapy to control their HIV infection (PLHIV-c) can live long, healthy lives. Accordingly, we determined that PLHIV-c can likely expect the same safety and efficacy for systemic psoriasis treatments as the general population. Treatment decisions should be made on a case-by-case basis through consultation with the patient and treating physician(s). Pillars of modern medicine are evidence-based care and collaborative decision-making. Too often, neither care provider nor patient are adequately informed. We have tried to fill one information gap for PLHIV and psoriasis. This process may help answer questions in other disease populations where direct evidence is scarce or absent.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kim A Papp
- Probity Medical Research Inc., Waterloo, ON, Canada. .,K Papp Clinical Research, Waterloo, ON, Canada.
| | - Jennifer Beecker
- Probity Medical Research Inc., Waterloo, ON, Canada.,University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.,Division of Dermatology, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, ON, Canada.,Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Curtis Cooper
- University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.,Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada.,The Ottawa Hospital and Regional Hepatitis Program, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Mark G Kirchhof
- University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.,Division of Dermatology, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Anton L Pozniak
- Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | | | - Jan P Dutz
- Skin Care Center, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Department of Dermatology and Skin Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,BC Children's Hospital Research Institute, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Melinda J Gooderham
- Probity Medical Research Inc., Waterloo, ON, Canada.,SKiN Centre for Dermatology, Peterborough, ON, Canada
| | - Robert Gniadecki
- Division of Dermatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | - Chih-Ho Hong
- Probity Medical Research Inc., Waterloo, ON, Canada.,Department of Dermatology and Skin Science, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.,Dr. Chih-Ho Hong Medical Inc., Surrey, BC, Canada
| | - Charles W Lynde
- Probity Medical Research Inc., Waterloo, ON, Canada.,Lynde Institute for Dermatology, Markham, ON, Canada
| | | | - Yves Poulin
- Centre de Recherche Dermatologique du Québec Métropolitain, Quebec, QC, Canada
| | - Ronald B Vender
- Dermatrials Research Inc., Hamilton, ON, Canada.,Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
| | - Sharon L Walmsley
- Toronto General Hospital Research Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada.,University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.,Department of Medicine, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
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18
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Althoff KN, Stewart CN, Humes E, Zhang J, Gerace L, Boyd CM, Wong C, Justice AC, Gebo KA, Thorne JE, Rubtsova AA, Horberg MA, Silverberg MJ, Leng SX, Rebeiro PF, Moore RD, Buchacz K, Kasaie P. The shifting age distribution of people with HIV using antiretroviral therapy in the United States. AIDS 2022; 36:459-471. [PMID: 34750289 PMCID: PMC8795488 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000003128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To project the future age distribution of people with HIV using antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the United States, under expected trends in HIV diagnosis and survival (baseline scenario) and achieving the ending the HIV epidemic (EHE) goals of a 75% reduction in HIV diagnoses from 2020 to 2025 and sustaining levels to 2030 (EHE75% scenario). DESIGN An agent-based simulation model with mathematical functions estimated from North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design data and parameters from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's annual HIV surveillance reports. METHODS The PEARL (ProjEcting Age, MultimoRbidity, and PoLypharmacy in adults with HIV) model simulated individuals in 15 subgroups of sex-and-HIV acquisition risk and race/ethnicity. Simulation outcomes from the baseline scenario are compared with outcomes from the EHE75% scenario. RESULTS Under the baseline scenario, PEARL projects a substantial increase in number of ART-users over time, reaching a population of 909 638 [95% uncertainty range (UR): 878 449-946 513] by 2030. The overall median age increased from 50 years in 2020 to 52 years in 2030, with 23% of ART-users age ≥65 years in 2030. Under the EHE75% scenario, the projected number of ART-users was 718 348 [703 044-737 817] (median age = 56 years) in 2030, with a 70% relative reduction in ART-users <30 years and a 4% relative reduction in ART-users age ≥65 years compared to baseline, and persistent heterogeneities in projected numbers by sex-and-HIV acquisition risk group and race/ethnicity. CONCLUSIONS It is critical to prepare healthcare systems to meet the impending demand of the US population aging with HIV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keri N Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
| | - Cameron N Stewart
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
| | - Elizabeth Humes
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
| | - Jinbing Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
| | - Lucas Gerace
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
| | - Cynthia M Boyd
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Cherise Wong
- Worldwide Medical and Safety, Pfizer Inc., New York, New York
| | - Amy C Justice
- Yale Schools of Medicine and Public Health and the VA Connecticut Healthcare System, New Haven, Connecticut
| | - Kelly A Gebo
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Jennifer E Thorne
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Anna A Rubtsova
- Department of Behavioral, Social, and Health Education Sciences, Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Michael A Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, Maryland
| | - Michael J Silverberg
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California
| | - Sean X Leng
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Peter F Rebeiro
- Department of Medicine, Divisions of Infectious Diseases & Epidemiology; Department of Biostatistics; Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee
| | - Richard D Moore
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
| | - Kate Buchacz
- Division of HIV Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Parastu Kasaie
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
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19
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Coburn SB, Dionne-Odom J, Alcaide ML, Moran CA, Rahangdale L, Golub ET, Massad LS, Seidman D, Michel KG, Minkoff H, Murphy K, Brown TT, Visvanathan K, Lau B, Althoff KN. The Association Between HIV Status, Estradiol, and Sex Hormone Binding Globulin Among Premenopausal Women in the Women's Interagency HIV Study. J Womens Health (Larchmt) 2022; 31:183-193. [PMID: 35041528 PMCID: PMC8864429 DOI: 10.1089/jwh.2021.0276] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Characterizing estradiol among women with HIV may have implications for breast cancer and cardiovascular disease risk but has not been adequately explored. We quantified differences in total (E2), free (FE2) estradiol, and sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG) by HIV and viral suppression status. Methods: Women from a substudy (2003-2006) within the Women's Interagency HIV Study (IRB approved at each participating site) were included if they reported: a period in the last six months, were not pregnant/breastfeeding, no oophorectomy, and no exogenous hormone use in the prior year. Serum was collected on days 2-4 of the menstrual cycle. We assessed differences in biomarkers at 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles by HIV and viral suppression status using weighted quantile regression. Results: Among 643 women (68% with HIV) median age was 37 years. All E2 percentiles were significantly (p < 0.05) lower in women with suppressed viral load versus women without HIV (4-10 pg/mL). The 25th and 50th percentile of E2 were 4-5 pg/mL lower in women with unsuppressed viral load compared to women without HIV (p < 0.05). The 25th and 50th percentile of SHBG was significantly higher in women with unsuppressed viral load compared to women without HIV (10 and 12 nmol/L, respectively). There were no consistent differences in estradiol or SHBG by suppression status. Conclusions: There were no differences in FE2 but significantly lower E2 and higher SHBG among women with HIV versus without HIV. Further research is merited in a large contemporary sample to clarify the clinical implications of these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sally B. Coburn
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.,Address correspondence to: Sally B. Coburn, PhD, MPH, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, 615 N Wolfe Street, No. E7008, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
| | - Jodie Dionne-Odom
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
| | - Maria L. Alcaide
- Department of Medicine, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, USA
| | - Caitlin A. Moran
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Lisa Rahangdale
- Division of General Obstetrics and Gynecology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Elizabeth T. Golub
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Leslie Stewart Massad
- Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Dominika Seidman
- Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Katherine G. Michel
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Georgetown University Medical Center, Georgetown University, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
| | - Howard Minkoff
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maimonides Medical Center and SUNY Downstate, Brooklyn, New York, USA
| | - Kerry Murphy
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine/Montefiore Medical Center, New York, New York, USA
| | - Todd T. Brown
- Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Kala Visvanathan
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Bryan Lau
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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20
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Lu H, Cole SR, Westreich D, Hudgens MG, Adimora AA, Althoff KN, Silverberg MJ, Buchacz K, Li J, Edwards JK, Rebeiro PF, Lima VD, Marconi VC, Sterling TR, Horberg MA, Gill MJ, Kitahata MM, Eron JJ, Moore RD. Virologic outcomes among adults with HIV using integrase inhibitor-based antiretroviral therapy. AIDS 2022; 36:277-286. [PMID: 34934020 PMCID: PMC9048218 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000003069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Integrase strand transfer inhibitor (InSTI)-based regimens have been recommended as first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) for adults with HIV. But data on long-term effects of InSTI-based regimens on virologic outcomes remain limited. Here we examined whether InSTI improved long-term virologic outcomes compared with efavirenz (EFV). METHODS We included adults from the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design who initiated their first ART regimen containing either InSTI or EFV between 2009 and 2016. We estimated differences in the proportion virologically suppressed up to 7 years of follow-up in observational intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses. RESULTS Of 15 318 participants, 5519 (36%) initiated an InSTI-based regimen and 9799 (64%) initiated the EFV-based regimen. In observational intention-to-treat analysis, 81.3% of patients in the InSTI group and 67.3% in the EFV group experienced virologic suppression at 3 months after ART initiation, corresponding to a difference of 14.0% (95% CI 12.4-15.6). At 1 year after ART initiation, the proportion virologically suppressed was 89.5% in the InSTI group and 90.2% in the EFV group, corresponding to a difference of -0.7% (95% CI -2.1 to 0.8). At 7 years, the proportion virologically suppressed was 94.5% in the InSTI group and 92.5% in the EFV group, corresponding to a difference of 2.0% (95% CI -7.3 to 11.3). The observational per-protocol results were similar to intention-to-treat analyses. CONCLUSIONS Although InSTI-based initial ART regimens had more rapid virologic response than EFV-based regimens, the long-term virologic effect was similar. Our findings may inform guidelines regarding preferred initial regimens for HIV treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haidong Lu
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Connecticut
| | | | | | | | - Adaora A. Adimora
- Department of Epidemiology
- Division of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, North Carolina
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
| | | | - Kate Buchacz
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Jun Li
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | | | | | - Viviane D. Lima
- Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Vincent C. Marconi
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta
- Department of Global Health, Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | | | - Michael A. Horberg
- Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville, Maryland, USA
| | - M. John Gill
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Mari M. Kitahata
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
| | - Joseph J. Eron
- Department of Epidemiology
- Division of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, North Carolina
| | - Richard D. Moore
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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21
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Qian Y, Moore RD, Coburn SB, Davy-Mendez T, Akgün KM, McGinnis KA, Silverberg MJ, Colasanti JA, Cachay ER, Horberg MA, Rabkin CS, Jacobson JM, Gill MJ, Mayor AM, Kirk GD, Gebo KA, Nijhawan AE, Althoff KN. Association of the VACS Index With Hospitalization Among People With HIV in the NA-ACCORD. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2022; 89:9-18. [PMID: 34878432 PMCID: PMC8665227 DOI: 10.1097/qai.0000000000002812] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2021] [Accepted: 09/08/2021] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND People with HIV (PWH) have a higher hospitalization rate than the general population. The Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) Index at study entry well predicts hospitalization in PWH, but it is unknown if the time-updated parameter improves hospitalization prediction. We assessed the association of parameterizations of the VACS Index 2.0 with the 5-year risk of hospitalization. SETTING PWH ≥30 years old with at least 12 months of antiretroviral therapy (ART) use and contributing hospitalization data from 2000 to 2016 in North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) were included. Three parameterizations of the VACS Index 2.0 were assessed and categorized by quartile: (1) "baseline" measurement at study entry; (2) time-updated measurements; and (3) cumulative scores calculated using the trapezoidal rule. METHODS Discrete-time proportional hazard models estimated the crude and adjusted associations (and 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of the VACS Index parameterizations and all-cause hospitalizations. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) assessed the model fit with each of the VACS Index parameters. RESULTS Among 7289 patients, 1537 were hospitalized. Time-updated VACS Index fitted hospitalization best with a more distinct dose-response relationship [score <43: reference; score 43-55: aHR = 1.93 (95% CI: 1.66 to 2.23); score 55-68: aHR = 3.63 (95% CI: 3.12 to 4.23); score ≥68: aHR = 9.98 (95% CI: 8.52 to 11.69)] than study entry and cumulative VACS Index after adjusting for known risk factors. CONCLUSIONS Time-updated VACS Index 2.0 had the strongest association with hospitalization and best fit to the data. Health care providers should consider using it when assessing hospitalization risk among PWH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuhang Qian
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Richard D. Moore
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Sally B. Coburn
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Thibaut Davy-Mendez
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC, USA
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Kathleen M. Akgün
- Department of Internal Medicine and General Internal Medicine, VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, USA
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
| | | | | | | | - Edward R. Cachay
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California at San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Michael A. Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Charles S. Rabkin
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Jeffrey M. Jacobson
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, OH, USA
| | - M John Gill
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, S Alberta HIV Clinic, 3330 Hospital Drive NW, Calgary, AB, T2N4N1, Canada
| | - Angel M. Mayor
- Department of Medicine, Universidad Central del Caribe at Bayamón, Puerto Rico
| | - Gregory D. Kirk
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Kelly A. Gebo
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Ank E. Nijhawan
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, 5323 Harry Hines Boulevard, Dallas, TX 75390, USA
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
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22
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Kasaie P, Stewart C, Humes E, Gerace L, Zhang J, Silverberg MJ, Horberg MA, Rebeiro PF, Hyle EP, Lima VD, Wong C, Gill MJ, Gebo K, Moore R, Kitahata MM, Althoff KN. Projecting the age-distribution of men who have sex with men receiving HIV treatment in the United States. Ann Epidemiol 2022; 65:46-55. [PMID: 34627998 PMCID: PMC8859821 DOI: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2021.08.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2021] [Revised: 08/06/2021] [Accepted: 08/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The age-distribution of men who have sex with men (MSM) continues to change in the 'Treat-All' era as effective test-and-treat programs target key-populations. However, the nature of these changes and potential racial heterogeneities remain uncertain. METHODS The PEARL model is an agent-based simulation of MSM in HIV care in the US, calibrated to data from the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD). RESULTS PEARL projects a gradual decrease in median age of MSM at ART initiation from 36 to 31 years during 2010-2030, accompanied by changes in mortality among Black, White, and Hispanic MSM on ART by -8.4%, 42.4% and -19.6%. The median age of all MSM on ART is projected to increase from 45 to 47 years from 2010-2030, with the proportion of ART-users age ≥60y increasing from 6.7% to 28.0%. Almost half (49.7%) of White MSM ART-users are projected to age ≥60y by 2030, compared to 19.5% of Black and 17.2% of Hispanic MSM. CONCLUSIONS The overall age of US MSM in HIV care is expected to increase over the next decade, and differentially by race/ethnicity. As this population age, HIV programs should expand care for age-related causes of morbidity and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Parastu Kasaie
- Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
| | - Cameron Stewart
- Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Elizabeth Humes
- Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Lucas Gerace
- Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Jinbing Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | | | - Michael A Horberg
- Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville, MD, USA
| | - Peter F Rebeiro
- Department of Medicine, Divisions of Infectious Diseases & Epidemiology; Department of Biostatistics; Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Emily P Hyle
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University Center for AIDS Research, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Viviane D Lima
- Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Cherise Wong
- Global Patient Safety, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc, Tarrytown, NY, USA
| | - M John Gill
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Infectious Diseases, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
| | - Kelly Gebo
- Department of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Richard Moore
- Department of Medicine, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Mari M Kitahata
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Keri N Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
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23
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Fraser H, Borquez A, Stone J, Abramovitz D, Brouwer KC, Goodman-Meza D, Hickman M, Patterson TL, Silverman J, Smith L, Strathdee SA, Martin NK, Vickerman P. Overlapping Key Populations and HIV Transmission in Tijuana, Mexico: A Modelling Analysis of Epidemic Drivers. AIDS Behav 2021; 25:3814-3827. [PMID: 34216285 PMCID: PMC8560668 DOI: 10.1007/s10461-021-03361-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
Tijuana, Mexico, has a concentrated HIV epidemic among overlapping key populations (KPs) including people who inject drugs (PWID), female sex workers (FSW), their male clients, and men who have sex with men (MSM). We developed a dynamic HIV transmission model among these KPs to determine the extent to which their unmet prevention and treatment needs is driving HIV transmission. Over 2020-2029 we estimated the proportion of new infections acquired in each KP, and the proportion due to their unprotected risk behaviours. We estimate that 43.7% and 55.3% of new infections are among MSM and PWID, respectively, with FSW and their clients making-up < 10% of new infections. Projections suggest 93.8% of new infections over 2020-2029 will be due to unprotected sex between MSM or unsafe injecting drug use. Prioritizing interventions addressing sexual and injecting risks among MSM and PWID are critical to controlling HIV in Tijuana.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Fraser
- Oakfield House, Population Health Sciences - Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
| | - Annick Borquez
- School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, USA
| | - Jack Stone
- Oakfield House, Population Health Sciences - Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK
| | | | | | - David Goodman-Meza
- David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Matthew Hickman
- Oakfield House, Population Health Sciences - Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK
| | | | - Jay Silverman
- School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, USA
| | - Laramie Smith
- School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, USA
| | | | - Natasha K Martin
- Oakfield House, Population Health Sciences - Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK
- School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, USA
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Oakfield House, Population Health Sciences - Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 2BN, UK.
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24
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Lu H, Cole SR, Westreich D, Hudgens MG, Adimora AA, Althoff KN, Silverberg MJ, Buchacz K, Li J, Edwards JK, Rebeiro PF, Lima VD, Marconi VC, Sterling TR, Horberg MA, Gill MJ, Kitahata MM, Eron JJ, Moore RD. Clinical Effectiveness of Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitor-Based Antiretroviral Regimens Among Adults With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: A Collaboration of Cohort Studies in the United States and Canada. Clin Infect Dis 2021; 73:e1408-e1414. [PMID: 32780095 PMCID: PMC8492356 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1037] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2020] [Accepted: 07/17/2020] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Integrase strand transfer inhibitor (InSTI)-based regimens are now recommended as first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) for adults with human immunodeficiency virus, but evidence on long-term clinical effectiveness of InSTI-based regimens remains limited. We examined whether InSTI-based regimens improved longer-term clinical outcomes. METHODS We included participants from clinical cohorts in the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design who initiated their first ART regimen, containing either InSTI (ie, raltegravir, dolutegravir, and elvitegravir-cobicistat) or efavirenz (EFV) as an active comparator, between 2009 and 2016. We estimated observational analogs of 6-year intention-to-treat and per-protocol risks, risk differences (RDs), and hazard ratios (HRs) for the composite outcome of AIDS, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, end-stage renal disease, end-stage liver disease, or death. RESULTS Of 15 993 participants, 5824 (36%) initiated an InSTI-based and 10 169 (64%) initiated an EFV-based regimen. During the 6-year follow-up, 440 in the InSTI group and 1097 in the EFV group incurred the composite outcome. The estimated 6-year intention-to-treat risks were 14.6% and 14.3% for the InSTI and EFV groups, respectively, corresponding to a RD of 0.3% (95% confidence interval, -2.7% to 3.3%) and a HR of 1.08 (.97-1.19); the estimated 6-year per-protocol risks were 12.2% for the InSTI group and 11.9% for the EFV group, corresponding to a RD of 0.3% (-3.0% to 3.7%) and a HR of 1.09 (.96-1.25). CONCLUSIONS InSTI- and EFV-based initial ART regimens had similar 6-year composite clinical outcomes. The risk of adverse clinical outcomes remains substantial even when initiating modern ART.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haidong Lu
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Stephen R Cole
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Daniel Westreich
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Michael G Hudgens
- Department of Biostatistics, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Adaora A Adimora
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- Division of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Keri N Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Michael J Silverberg
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA
| | - Kate Buchacz
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Jun Li
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Jessie K Edwards
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Peter F Rebeiro
- Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
| | - Viviane D Lima
- Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Vincent C Marconi
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Department of Global Health, Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | | | - Michael A Horberg
- Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville, Maryland, USA
| | - M John Gill
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Mari M Kitahata
- Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Joseph J Eron
- Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- Division of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Richard D Moore
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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25
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Rubin LH, Severson J, Marcotte TD, Savin MJ, Best A, Johnson S, Cosman J, Merickel M, Buchholz A, Del Bene VA, Eldred L, Sacktor NC, Fuchs JB, Althoff KN, Moore RD. Tablet-Based Cognitive Impairment Screening for Adults With HIV Seeking Clinical Care: Observational Study. JMIR Ment Health 2021; 8:e25660. [PMID: 34499048 PMCID: PMC8461534 DOI: 10.2196/25660] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2020] [Revised: 05/15/2021] [Accepted: 05/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Neurological complications including cognitive impairment persist among people with HIV on antiretrovirals; however, cognitive screening is not routinely conducted in HIV clinics. OBJECTIVE Our objective for this study was 3-fold: (1) to determine the feasibility of implementing an iPad-based cognitive impairment screener among adults seeking HIV care, (2) to examine the psychometric properties of the tool, and (3) to examine predictors of cognitive impairment using the tool. METHODS A convenience sample of participants completed Brain Baseline Assessment of Cognition and Everyday Functioning (BRACE), which included (1) Trail Making Test Part A, measuring psychomotor speed; (2) Trail Making Test Part B, measuring set-shifting; (3) Stroop Color, measuring processing speed; and (4) the Visual-Spatial Learning Test. Global neuropsychological function was estimated as mean T score performance on the 4 outcomes. Impairment on each test or for the global mean was defined as a T score ≤40. Subgroups of participants repeated the tests 4 weeks or >6 months after completing the first test to evaluate intraperson test-retest reliability and practice effects (improvements in performance due to repeated test exposure). An additional subgroup completed a lengthier cognitive battery concurrently to assess validity. Relevant factors were abstracted from electronic medical records to examine predictors of global neuropsychological function. RESULTS The study population consisted of 404 people with HIV (age: mean 53.6 years; race: 332/404, 82% Black; 34/404, 8% White, 10/404, 2% American Indian/Alaskan Native; 28/404, 7% other and 230/404, 58% male; 174/404, 42% female) of whom 99% (402/404) were on antiretroviral therapy. Participants completed BRACE in a mean of 12 minutes (SD 3.2), and impairment was demonstrated by 34% (136/404) on Trail Making Test A, 44% (177/404) on Trail Making Test B, 40% (161/404) on Stroop Color, and 17% (67/404) on Visual-Spatial Learning Test. Global impairment was demonstrated by 103 out of 404 (25%). Test-retest reliability for the subset of participants (n=26) repeating the measure at 4 weeks was 0.81 and for the subset of participants (n=67) repeating the measure almost 1 year later (days: median 294, IQR 50) was 0.63. There were no significant practice effects at either time point (P=.20 and P=.68, respectively). With respect for validity, the correlation between global impairment on the lengthier cognitive battery and BRACE was 0.63 (n=61; P<.001), with 84% sensitivity and 94% specificity to impairment on the lengthier cognitive battery. CONCLUSIONS We were able to successfully implement BRACE and estimate cognitive impairment burden in the context of routine clinic care. BRACE was also shown to have good psychometric properties. This easy-to-use tool in clinical settings may facilitate the care needs of people with HIV as cognitive impairment continues to remain a concern in people with HIV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leah H Rubin
- Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | | | | | | | - Allen Best
- Digital Artefacts LLC, Iowa City, IA, United States
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Lois Eldred
- Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Ned C Sacktor
- Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
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26
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Edwards JK, Cole SR, Breger TL, Rudolph JE, Filiatreau LM, Buchacz K, Humes E, Rebeiro PF, D'Souza G, Gill MJ, Silverberg MJ, Mathews WC, Horberg MA, Thorne J, Hall HI, Justice A, Marconi VC, Lima VD, Bosch RJ, Sterling TR, Althoff KN, Moore RD, Saag M, Eron JJ. Mortality Among Persons Entering HIV Care Compared With the General U.S. Population : An Observational Study. Ann Intern Med 2021; 174:1197-1206. [PMID: 34224262 PMCID: PMC8453103 DOI: 10.7326/m21-0065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Understanding advances in the care and treatment of adults with HIV as well as remaining gaps requires comparing differences in mortality between persons entering care for HIV and the general population. OBJECTIVE To assess the extent to which mortality among persons entering HIV care in the United States is elevated over mortality among matched persons in the general U.S. population and trends in this difference over time. DESIGN Observational cohort study. SETTING Thirteen sites from the U.S. North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design. PARTICIPANTS 82 766 adults entering HIV clinical care between 1999 and 2017 and a subset of the U.S. population matched on calendar time, age, sex, race/ethnicity, and county using U.S. mortality and population data compiled by the National Center for Health Statistics. MEASUREMENTS Five-year all-cause mortality, estimated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator of the survival function. RESULTS Overall 5-year mortality among persons entering HIV care was 10.6%, and mortality among the matched U.S. population was 2.9%, for a difference of 7.7 (95% CI, 7.4 to 7.9) percentage points. This difference decreased over time, from 11.1 percentage points among those entering care between 1999 and 2004 to 2.7 percentage points among those entering care between 2011 and 2017. LIMITATION Matching on available covariates may have failed to account for differences in mortality that were due to sociodemographic factors rather than consequences of HIV infection and other modifiable factors. CONCLUSION Mortality among persons entering HIV care decreased dramatically between 1999 and 2017, although those entering care remained at modestly higher risk for death in the years after starting care than comparable persons in the general U.S. population. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE National Institutes of Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessie K Edwards
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (J.K.E., S.R.C., T.L.B., L.M.F., J.J.E.)
| | - Stephen R Cole
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (J.K.E., S.R.C., T.L.B., L.M.F., J.J.E.)
| | - Tiffany L Breger
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (J.K.E., S.R.C., T.L.B., L.M.F., J.J.E.)
| | | | - Lindsey M Filiatreau
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (J.K.E., S.R.C., T.L.B., L.M.F., J.J.E.)
| | - Kate Buchacz
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia (K.B., H.I.H.)
| | - Elizabeth Humes
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland (E.H., G.D., K.N.A.)
| | - Peter F Rebeiro
- Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee (P.F.R.)
| | - Gypsyamber D'Souza
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland (E.H., G.D., K.N.A.)
| | - M John Gill
- University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada (M.J.G.)
| | | | | | - Michael A Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, Maryland (M.A.H.)
| | - Jennifer Thorne
- Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (J.T., R.D.M.)
| | - H Irene Hall
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia (K.B., H.I.H.)
| | - Amy Justice
- Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, and Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, Connecticut (A.J.)
| | | | - Viviane D Lima
- University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (V.D.L.)
| | - Ronald J Bosch
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts (R.J.B.)
| | | | - Keri N Althoff
- Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland (E.H., G.D., K.N.A.)
| | - Richard D Moore
- Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (J.T., R.D.M.)
| | - Michael Saag
- University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama (M.S.)
| | - Joseph J Eron
- University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (J.K.E., S.R.C., T.L.B., L.M.F., J.J.E.)
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27
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Aksak-Wąs BJ, Parczewski M, Urbańska A, Hackiewicz M, Kowalska JD. Influence of HLA-B*5701 on 20 year survival rate among patients living with HIV. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0255834. [PMID: 34370780 PMCID: PMC8351921 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0255834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2021] [Accepted: 07/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The life expectancy of people living with HIV (PLWH) remains shorter than that of the general population, despite significant improvement in the recent years. Mortality in HIV-infected individuals may be associated with a higher viral load at of diagnosis, a lower CD4 count, or clinical variables such as sex or route of transmission. This article investigated the role of the HLA-B*5701 varian on mortality among PLWH. METHODS Material for the analysis consist of the data of 2,393 patients for whom the HLA-B*57 variant was known. Those patients were followed under the care of the Infectious Diseases Hospital in Warsaw (n = 1555) and the Clinic of Acquired Immunodeficiency of the Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin (n = 838). Factors such as age, gender, date of HIV diagnosis, route of transmission, date of death, baseline HIV viral load and baseline CD4 counts, were collected, and end-point cross-sectional analyses were marked at 60, 120, 180 and 240 month of observation. RESULTS HLA-B*5701 allele was found in 133 (5.5%) analyzed cases. Median age was notably higher for HLA-B*5701 positive patients [32.7 (28.3-41.3) vs. 31.6 (26.8-38.3)years p = 0.02]. HLA-B*5701 was associated with lower baseline viral load [4.21 (3.5-4.8) vs. 4.79 (4.2-5.3)log copies/ml p<0.001] and higher CD4count [448 (294.5-662) vs. 352 (176-514) cells/μl p<0.001]. There were no association between HLA-B*5701 and survival for any given end-point. Higher mortality was associated to male gender, intravenous drug users, lower CD4 count at baseline and higher baseline viral load. CONCLUSIONS In our study, the presence of HLA-B*5701 allel was not associated with mortality rate of HIV infected patients, irrespective of being associated with both higher baseline CD4 + cell count and lower baseline HIV viral load.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bogusz Jan Aksak-Wąs
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Immune Deficiency, Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland
| | - Miłosz Parczewski
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Immune Deficiency, Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland
| | - Anna Urbańska
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Immune Deficiency, Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland
| | - Małgorzata Hackiewicz
- Department of Adults’ Infectious Diseases, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Justyna D. Kowalska
- Department of Adults’ Infectious Diseases, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
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28
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Davy-Mendez T, Napravnik S, Eron JJ, Cole SR, Van Duin D, Wohl DA, Gebo KA, Moore RD, Althoff KN, Poteat T, Gill MJ, Horberg MA, Silverberg MJ, Nanditha NGA, Thorne JE, Berry SA. Racial, ethnic, and gender disparities in hospitalizations among persons with HIV in the United States and Canada, 2005-2015. AIDS 2021; 35:1229-1239. [PMID: 33710020 PMCID: PMC8172437 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000002876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine recent trends and differences in all-cause and cause-specific hospitalization rates by race, ethnicity, and gender among persons with HIV (PWH) in the United States and Canada. DESIGN HIV clinical cohort consortium. METHODS We followed PWH at least 18 years old in care 2005-2015 in six clinical cohorts. We used modified Clinical Classifications Software to categorize hospital discharge diagnoses. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) were estimated using Poisson regression with robust variances to compare racial and ethnic groups, stratified by gender, adjusted for cohort, calendar year, injection drug use history, and annually updated age, CD4+, and HIV viral load. RESULTS Among 27 085 patients (122 566 person-years), 80% were cisgender men, 1% transgender, 43% White, 33% Black, 17% Hispanic of any race, and 1% Indigenous. Unadjusted all-cause hospitalization rates were higher for Black [IRR 1.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-1.61] and Indigenous (1.99, 1.44-2.74) versus White cisgender men, and for Indigenous versus White cisgender women (2.55, 1.68-3.89). Unadjusted AIDS-related hospitalization rates were also higher for Black, Hispanic, and Indigenous versus White cisgender men (all P < 0.05). Transgender patients had 1.50 times (1.05-2.14) and cisgender women 1.37 times (1.26-1.48) the unadjusted hospitalization rate of cisgender men. In adjusted analyses, among both cisgender men and women, Black patients had higher rates of cardiovascular and renal/genitourinary hospitalizations compared to Whites (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSION Black, Hispanic, Indigenous, women, and transgender PWH in the United States and Canada experienced substantially higher hospitalization rates than White patients and cisgender men, respectively. Disparities likely have several causes, including differences in virologic suppression and chronic conditions such as diabetes and renal disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thibaut Davy-Mendez
- Gillings School of Global Public Health
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Sonia Napravnik
- Gillings School of Global Public Health
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Joseph J Eron
- Gillings School of Global Public Health
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | | | - David Van Duin
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - David A Wohl
- Gillings School of Global Public Health
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - Kelly A Gebo
- Bloomberg School of Public Health
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Richard D Moore
- Bloomberg School of Public Health
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Keri N Althoff
- Bloomberg School of Public Health
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
| | - Tonia Poteat
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC
| | - M John Gill
- Southern Alberta HIV Clinic, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Michael A Horberg
- Kaiser Permanente Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Rockville, MD
| | | | - Ni Gusti Ayu Nanditha
- Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | | | - Stephen A Berry
- School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
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29
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Chandran A, Xu C, Gross J, Leifheit KM, Phelan-Emrick D, Helleringer S, Althoff KN. A Web-Based Tool for Quantification of Potential Gains in Life Expectancy by Preventing Cause-Specific Mortality. Front Public Health 2021; 9:663825. [PMID: 34277538 PMCID: PMC8280746 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.663825] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2021] [Accepted: 06/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Local health departments are currently limited in their ability to use life expectancy (LE) as a benchmark for improving community health. In collaboration with the Baltimore City Health Department, our aim was to develop a web-based tool to estimate the potential lives saved and gains in LE in specific neighborhoods following interventions targeting achievable reductions in preventable deaths. Methods: The PROLONGER (ImPROved LONGEvity through Reductions in Cause-Specific Deaths) tool utilizes a novel Lives Saved Simulation model to estimate neighborhood-level potential change in LE after specified reduction in cause-specific mortality. This analysis uses 2012-2016 deaths in Baltimore City residents; a 20% reduction in heart disease mortality is shown as a case study. Results: According to PROLONGER, if heart disease deaths could be reduced by 20% in a given neighborhood in Baltimore City, there could be up to a 2.3-year increase in neighborhood LE. The neighborhoods with highest expected LE increase are not the same as those with highest heart disease mortality burden or lowest overall life expectancies. Discussion: PROLONGER is a practical resource for local health officials in prioritizing scarce resources to improve health outcomes. Focusing programs based on potential LE impact at the neighborhood level could lend new information for targeting of place-based public health interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aruna Chandran
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Churong Xu
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Jonathan Gross
- Baltimore City Health Department, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Kathryn M. Leifheit
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Fielding School of Public Health, Los Angeles, CA, United States
| | - Darcy Phelan-Emrick
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
- Baltimore City Health Department, Baltimore, MD, United States
| | - Stephane Helleringer
- Department of Social Research and Public Policy, New York University, New York, NY, United States
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, United States
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30
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Coburn SB, Shiels MS, Silverberg MJ, Horberg MA, Gill MJ, Brown TT, Visvanathan K, Connor AE, Napravnik S, Marcus JL, Moore RD, Mathews WC, Mayor AM, Sterling TR, Li J, Rabkin CS, D’Souza G, Lau B, Althoff KN. Secular Trends in Breast Cancer Risk Among Women With HIV Initiating ART in North America. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2021; 87:663-670. [PMID: 33492023 PMCID: PMC8026587 DOI: 10.1097/qai.0000000000002627] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2020] [Accepted: 12/30/2020] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Studies suggest lower risk of breast cancer in women with HIV versus without HIV. These estimates may be biased by lower life expectancy and younger age distribution of women with HIV. Our analysis evaluated this bias and characterized secular trends in breast cancer among women with HIV initiating antiretroviral therapy. We hypothesized breast cancer risk would increase over time as mortality decreased. SETTING Women with HIV prescribed antiretroviral therapy in the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD) from 1997 through 2016. METHODS We estimated breast cancer hazard (cause-specific hazard ratios) and cumulative incidence accounting for competing risks (subdistribution hazard ratios) to assess changes in breast cancer risk over time. This was assessed overall (1997-2016) and within/across calendar periods. Analyses were adjusted for race/ethnicity and inverse probability weighted for cohort. Cumulative incidence was graphically assessed by calendar period and race/ethnicity. RESULTS We observed 11,587 women during 1997-2016, contributing 63 incident breast cancer diagnoses and 1,353 deaths [73,445 person-years (median follow-up = 4.5 years)]. Breast cancer cumulative incidence was 3.2% for 1997-2016. We observed no secular trends in breast cancer hazard or cumulative incidence. There were annual declines in the hazard and cumulative incidence of death (cause-specific hazard ratios and subdistribution hazard ratios: 0.89, 95% confidence interval: 0.87 to 0.91) which remained within and across calendar periods. CONCLUSIONS These findings contradict the hypothesis of increasing breast cancer risk with declining mortality over time among women with HIV, suggesting limited impact of changing mortality on breast cancer risk. Additional inquiry is merited as survival improves among women with HIV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sally B. Coburn
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Meredith S. Shiels
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, Infections
and Immunoepidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Rockville, Maryland,
USA
| | - Michael J. Silverberg
- Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern
California, Oakland, California, USA
| | - Michael A. Horberg
- Mid-Atlantic Permanente Research Institute, Kaiser
Permanente Mid-Atlantic States, Rockville, Maryland, USA
| | - M. John Gill
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary,
Alberta, Canada
| | - Todd T. Brown
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Kala Visvanathan
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Avonne E. Connor
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Sonia Napravnik
- Department of Medicine, University of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Julia L. Marcus
- Department of Population Medicine, Harvard University,
Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Richard D. Moore
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - W. Chris Mathews
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego,
San Diego, California, USA
| | - Angel Mauricio Mayor
- Department of Medicine, Universidad Central del Caribe,
Bayamón, Puerto Rico, USA
| | - Timothy R. Sterling
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases,
Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
| | - Jun Li
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, National Center for
HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Charles S. Rabkin
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, Infections
and Immunoepidemiology Branch, National Cancer Institute, NIH, Rockville, Maryland,
USA
| | - Gyspyamber D’Souza
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Bryan Lau
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University,
Baltimore, Maryland, USA
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31
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Shiau S, Bender AA, O'Halloran JA, Sundermann E, Aggarwal J, Althoff KN, Baker JV, Deeks S, Fried LP, Karpiak S, Karris MY, Marcotte TD, Nachega JB, Margolick JB, Erlandson KM, Moore DJ. The Current State of HIV and Aging: Findings Presented at the 10th International Workshop on HIV and Aging. AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses 2020; 36:973-981. [PMID: 32847368 PMCID: PMC7703090 DOI: 10.1089/aid.2020.0128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
With increasing effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy, people with HIV (PWH) are living longer and the prevalence of older PWH continues to increase. Accordingly, PWH are experiencing an increased burden of age-related comorbidities. With this shifting demographics, clinicians and researchers face additional challenges in how to identify, address, and manage the complex intersections of HIV- and aging-related conditions. Established in 2009, the International Workshop on HIV and Aging brings together clinicians and researchers in cross-disciplinary fields along with community advocates and PWH to address the multidisciplinary nature of HIV and aging. This article summarizes plenary talks from the 10th Annual International Workshop on HIV and Aging, which took place in New York City on October 10 and 11, 2019. Presentation topics included the following: the burdens of HIV-associated comorbidities, aging phenotypes, community engagement, and loneliness; these issues are especially important for older PWH, considering the current COVID-19 pandemic. We also discuss broad questions and potential directions for future research necessary to better understand the interaction between HIV and aging.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephanie Shiau
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Rutgers School of Public Health, Piscataway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Alexis A. Bender
- Division of General Medicine and Geriatrics, Department of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Jane A. O'Halloran
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA
| | - Erin Sundermann
- Department of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Juhi Aggarwal
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Rutgers School of Public Health, Piscataway, New Jersey, USA
| | - Keri N. Althoff
- Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Jason V. Baker
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Hennepin Health Care, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA
| | - Steven Deeks
- Department of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Linda P. Fried
- Department of Epidemiology and Robert N. Butler Columbia Aging Center, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Stephen Karpiak
- ACRIA Center on HIV & Aging at Gay Men's Health Crisis (GMHC) and College of Nursing, New York University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Maile Y. Karris
- Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Thomas D. Marcotte
- Department of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
| | - Jean B. Nachega
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Joseph B. Margolick
- Department of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Kristine M. Erlandson
- Department of Medicine, University of Colorado-Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, USA
| | - David J. Moore
- Department of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA
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