Guideline-indicated treatments and diagnostics, GRACE risk score, and survival for non-ST elevation myocardial infarction

Unstable Angina Risk Stratification Using High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin and Coronary Angiography

Patients formerly diagnosed with unstable angina (UA) are being reclassified as non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction with the widespread adoption of high-sensitivity troponin (hsTn) assays, leading to significant changes in the incidence and prognosis of UA. This study aimed to evaluate the value of hsTn and the presence of significant obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in the risk stratification of patients with UA. We conducted a retrospective, single-center study of 742 patients hospitalized for UA between 2016 and 2021. The primary end point of this study was all-cause mortality. The secondary outcome (major adverse cardiac events [MACEs]) was defined as a composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), hospitalization for heart failure (hHF), and repeated coronary angiography because of recurring UA (rUA) after the index event. The outcomes were assessed within 1 month, 1 year, and up to 5 years of follow-up. The average follow-up duration was 45 ± 24 months, and 37.2% (n = 276) of patients completed a 5-year follow-up. No in-hospital death was observed, and 6.9% of patients died during follow-up, which was more commonly a late event (>12 months). The composite secondary end point (MI+hHF+rUA) was observed in 16.7% of the patients. There were 3.2% nonfatal MI, 2.3% hHF, and 11.6% rUA during follow-up. We developed a risk model (UA mortality risk) using variables with the highest discriminatory power: age, hsTn, and ST-segment deviation. Our model performed well against the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction risk scores in predicting death during follow-up. Obstructive CAD on coronary angiography was the only independent predictor of MACEs during follow-up. In conclusion, a contemporary cohort of patients with UA presented with favorable prognosis, particularly, within the first year after the index event. Nonsignificant increases in hsTn levels add to the risk stratification of patients with UA, and the presence of obstructive CAD was the only independent predictor of MACEs, highlighting the potential importance of assessing coronary anatomy.

Identification of Potential Crucial Biomarkers in STEMI Through Integrated Bioinformatic Analysis

BACKGROUND

ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is one of the leading causes of fatal cardiovascular diseases, which have been the prime cause of mortality worldwide. Diagnosis in the early phase would benefit clinical intervention and prognosis, but the exploration of the biomarkers of STEMI is still lacking.

OBJECTIVES

In this study, we conducted a bioinformatics analysis to identify potential crucial biomarkers in the progress of STEMI.

METHODS

We obtained GSE59867 for STEMI and stable coronary artery disease (SCAD) patients. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened with the threshold of |log2fold change| > 0.5 and p <0.05. Based on these genes, we conducted enrichment analysis to explore the potential relevance between genes and to screen hub genes. Subsequently, hub genes were analyzed to detect related miRNAs and DAVID to detect transcription factors for further analysis. Finally, GSE62646 was utilized to assess DEGs specificity, with genes demonstrating AUC results exceeding 75%, indicating their potential as candidate biomarkers.

RESULTS

133 DEGs between SCAD and STEMI were obtained. Then, the PPI network of DEGs was constructed using String and Cytoscape, and further analysis determined hub genes and 6 molecular complexes. Functional enrichment analysis of the DEGs suggests that pathways related to inflammation, metabolism, and immunity play a pivotal role in the progression from SCAD to STEMI. Besides, related-miRNAs were predicted, has-miR-124, has-miR-130a/b, and has-miR-301a/b regulated the expression of the largest number of genes. Meanwhile, Transcription factors analysis indicate that EVI1, AML1, GATA1, and PPARG are the most enriched gene. Finally, ROC curves demonstrate that MS4A3, KLRC4, KLRD1, AQP9, and CD14 exhibit both high sensitivity and specificity in predicting STEMI.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that immunity, metabolism, and inflammation are involved in the development of STEMI derived from SCAD, and 6 genes, including MS4A3, KLRC4, KLRD1, AQP9, CD14, and CCR1, could be employed as candidate biomarkers to STEMI.

Sex-specific presentation, care, and clinical events in individuals admitted with NSTEMI: the ACVC-EAPCI EORP NSTEMI registry of the European Society of Cardiology

AIMS

Women have historically been disadvantaged in terms of care and outcomes for non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). We describe patterns of presentation, care, and outcomes for NSTEMI by sex in a contemporary and geographically diverse cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective cohort study including 2947 patients (907 women, 2040 men) with Type I NSTEMI from 287 centres in 59 countries, stratified by sex. Quality of care was evaluated based on 12 guideline-recommended care interventions. The all-or-none scoring composite performance measure was used to define receipt of optimal care. Outcomes included acute heart failure, cardiogenic shock, repeat myocardial infarction, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, BARC Type ≥3 bleeding, or death in-hospital, as well as 30-day mortality. Women admitted with NSTEMI were older, more comorbid, and more frequently categorized as at higher ischaemic (GRACE >140, 54.0% vs. 41.7%, P < 0.001) and bleeding (CRUSADE >40, 51.7% vs. 17.6%, P < 0.001) risk than men. Women less frequently received invasive coronary angiography (ICA; 83.0% vs. 89.5%, P < 0.001), smoking cessation advice (46.4% vs. 69.5%, P < 0.001), and P2Y12 inhibitor prescription at discharge (81.9% vs. 90.0%, P < 0.001). Non-receipt of ICA was more often due to frailty for women than men (16.7% vs. 7.8%, P = 0.010). At ICA, more women than men had non-obstructive coronary artery disease or angiographically normal arteries (15.8% vs. 6.3%, P < 0.001). Rates of in-hospital adverse outcomes and 30-day mortality were low and did not differ by sex.

CONCLUSION

In contemporary practice, women presenting with NSTEMI, compared with men, less frequently receive antiplatelet prescription, smoking cessation advice, or are considered eligible for ICA.

Time to coronary catheterization in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome and high Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score

AIMS

Current guidelines recommend an early (<24 h) invasive coronary angiography (ICA) strategy in non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients with Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score over 140. Evidence for this recommendation is based on older trials.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Between 1 February 2016 and 31 July 2021, 1767 patients with a primary diagnosis of NSTE-ACS without indication for urgent ICA underwent ICA during index hospitalization. Six hundred and fifty-five patients underwent early invasive ICA (within 24 h) and 1112 underwent late ICA (between 24 h and 1 week). One hundred and seven patients had a GRACE risk score of 140 or above and 1660 had a GRACE risk score under 140. The primary composite outcome was all-cause mortality, stroke, and recurrent myocardial infarction (MI). Median time from admission to ICA was 13.3 h (IQR 6.0-20.6) for the early group and 59.9 h for the late group (IQR 23.5-96.3). There was no difference between the early and late ICA groups in the primary composite outcome [late catheterization >24 h hazard ratio 1.196, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.969-1.475, P -value 0.096]. A multivariable Cox regression model for the composite outcome revealed no difference between the early and late ICA groups (late catheterization >24 h hazard ratio 1.0735, 95% CI 0.862-1.327, P -value 0.512) with no effect for performing early ICA in patients with GRACE score over 140 (hazard ratio 1.291, 95% CI 0.910-1.831, P -value 0.151).

CONCLUSION

An early ICA strategy in patients with NSTE-ACS patients and GRACE risk score over 140, compared with late ICA, was not associated with improved composite outcome of death, myocardial infarction, and stroke at 1 year.

Unstable Angina: Risk Stratification for Significant Coronary Artery Disease in The Era of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin

Introduction

High-sensitivity troponin (hsTn) has a very high diagnostic accuracy for myocardial infarction (MI), and patients who were formerly diagnosed with unstable angina (UA) are being reclassified as having NSTEMI in the era of hsTn. This paradigm shift has changed the clinical features of UA, which remain poorly characterized, specifically the occurrence of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) and the need for myocardial revascularization. The main purpose of this study was to clinically characterize contemporary UA patients, assess predictors of obstructive CAD, and develop a risk model to predict significant CAD in this population.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 742 patients admitted to the hospital with UA. All patients underwent coronary angiography. The endpoint of the study was the presence of obstructive CAD on angiography. The cohort was divided into two groups: patients with significant coronary artery disease (CAD+) and those without CAD (CAD-). We developed a score (UA CAD Risk) based on the multivariate model and compared it with the GRACE, ESC, and TIMI risk scores using ROC analysis.

Results

Obstructive CAD was observed on angiography in 53% of the patients. Age, dyslipidemia, troponin level, male sex, ST-segment depression, and wall motion abnormalities on echocardiography were independent predictors of obstructive CAD. hsTn levels (undetectable vs. nonsignificant detection) had a negative predictive value of 81% to exclude obstructive CAD. We developed a prediction model with obstructive CAD as the outcome (AUC: 0.60).

Conclusions

In a contemporary UA cohort, approximately 50% of the patients did not have obstructive CAD on angiography. Commonly available cardiac tests at hospital admission show limited discrimination power in identifying patients at risk of obstructive CAD. A revised diagnostic and etiology algorithm for patients with UA is warranted.

Presentation, care, and outcomes of patients with NSTEMI according to World Bank country income classification: the ACVC-EAPCI EORP NSTEMI Registry of the European Society of Cardiology

BACKGROUND

The majority of NSTEMI burden resides outside high-income countries (HICs). We describe presentation, care, and outcomes of NSTEMI by country income classification.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective cohort study including 2947 patients with NSTEMI from 287 centres in 59 countries, stratified by World Bank country income classification. Quality of care was evaluated based on 12 guideline-recommended care interventions. The all-or-none scoring composite performance measure was used to define receipt of optimal care. Outcomes included in-hospital acute heart failure, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, and death, and 30-day mortality. Patients admitted with NSTEMI in low to lower-middle-income countries (LLMICs), compared with patients in HICs, were younger, more commonly diabetic, and current smokers, but with a lower burden of other comorbidities, and 76.7% met very high risk criteria for an immediate invasive strategy. Invasive coronary angiography use increased with ascending income classification (LLMICs, 79.2%; upper middle income countries [UMICs], 83.7%; HICs, 91.0%), but overall care quality did not (≥80% of eligible interventions achieved: LLMICS, 64.8%; UMICs 69.6%; HICs 55.1%). Rates of acute heart failure (LLMICS, 21.3%; UMICs, 12.1%; HICs, 6.8%; P < 0.001), stroke/transient ischaemic attack (LLMICS: 2.5%; UMICs: 1.5%; HICs: 0.9%; P = 0.04), in-hospital mortality (LLMICS, 3.6%; UMICs: 2.8%; HICs: 1.0%; P < 0.001) and 30-day mortality (LLMICs, 4.9%; UMICs, 3.9%; HICs, 1.5%; P < 0.001) exhibited an inverse economic gradient.

CONCLUSION

Patients with NSTEMI in LLMICs present with fewer comorbidities but a more advanced stage of acute disease, and have worse outcomes compared with HICs. A cardiovascular health narrative is needed to address this inequity across economic boundaries.

Identification of Low- versus High-Risk Acute Coronary Syndrome for a Selective ECG Monitoring Strategy

BACKGROUND

While admission of patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in cardiology intensive care unit (CICU) is usual, in-hospital major outcomes in lower risk patients may be evaluated after early coronary angiography according to the European guidelines.

METHODS

Consecutive ACS patients were prospectively included after coronary angiography evaluation within 24 h and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), when required. Patients were classified as high- or low-risk according to hemodynamics, rhythmic state, ischemic and bleeding risks. Major in-hospital outcomes were assessed.

RESULTS

From January to June 2021, 277 patients were enrolled (62.8% with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) (n = 174); 37.2% with non-NSTEMI (NSTEMI) (n = 103). PCI was required for 260 patients (93.9%). Seventy-four patients (26.7%) were classified as low-risk (n = 47 NSTEMI; n= 27 STEMI) and 203 patients (73.3%) as high-risk of events. All patients were monitored in CICU. While 38 patients (18.7%) from the high-risk group reached the primary endpoint, mainly related to rhythmic or conduction disorder (n = 24, 11.8%) or unstable hemodynamics (n = 17; 8.4%), only 1 patient (1.3%) in the low-risk group had one major outcome (no fatal bleeding); p < 0.01. The negative predictive value of our patient stratification for the absence of major in-hospital outcome was 100% (CI95%: 100-100%) for STEMI and 97.9% [CI95%: 93.2-100%] for NSTEMI patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Stratification of ACS patients after early coronary angiography and most of the time PCI, identify a population with very low risk of in-hospital events (1/4 of all ACS and 1/2 of NSTEMI) who may probably not require ECG monitoring and/or CICU admission. (NCT04378504).

Contemporary Use of Ticagrelor vs Clopidogrel in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A GRACE Risk Score Stratification-Based Analysis in a Large-Scale, Real-World Study From China

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate potential gains in outcomes from ticagrelor-based strategy according to risk stratification by Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score.

METHODS

A total of 19,704 patients discharged alive post-acute coronary syndrome who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention and received ticagrelor or clopidogrel between March 2016 and March 2019 were included in the study. The primary endpoint was ischemic events at 12 months, composed of cardiac death, myocardial infarction, and/or stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 2 to 5 and 3 to 5 bleeding.

RESULTS

The ticagrelor group comprised 6432 (32.6%) patients and the clopidogrel group comprised 13,272 (67.4%) patients. During the follow-up period, there was a significant reduction in the incidence of ischemic events in patients treated using ticagrelor who had excessive risk of bleeding. According to the GRACE score, among low-risk patients, ticagrelor use compared with clopidogrel was not associated with decreased ischemic events (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.57 to 1.17; P=.27) with excessive risk of Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3 to 5 bleeding (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.16 to 2.17; P=.004). The risk of ischemic events (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.89; P=.01) were lower in the intermediate- to high-risk patients treated with ticagrelor without significant difference in BARC type 3 to 5 bleeding risk (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.75 to 1.65; P=.61).

CONCLUSION

There was still a gap between guideline-indicated therapy and the clinical practice in a sizable subset of patients with acute coronary syndrome who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention. The GRACE risk score could identify patients who would derive benefit from the ticagrelor-based antiplatelet strategy.

Effectiveness of GRACE risk score in patients admitted to hospital with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (UKGRIS): parallel group cluster randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effectiveness of risk stratification using the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score (GRS) for patients presenting to hospital with suspected non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome.

DESIGN

Parallel group cluster randomised controlled trial.

SETTING

Patients presenting with suspected non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome to 42 hospitals in England between 9 March 2017 and 30 December 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged ≥18 years with a minimum follow-up of 12 months.

INTERVENTION

Hospitals were randomised (1:1) to patient management by standard care or according to the GRS and associated guidelines.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome measures were use of guideline recommended management and time to the composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, new onset heart failure hospital admission, and readmission for cardiovascular event. Secondary measures included the duration of hospital stay, EQ-5D-5L (five domain, five level version of the EuroQoL index), and the composite endpoint components.

RESULTS

3050 participants (1440 GRS, 1610 standard care) were recruited in 38 UK clusters (20 GRS, 18 standard care). The mean age was 65.7 years (standard deviation 12), 69% were male, and the mean baseline GRACE scores were 119.5 (standard deviation 31.4) and 125.7 (34.4) for GRS and standard care, respectively. The uptake of guideline recommended processes was 77.3% for GRS and 75.3% for standard care (odds ratio 1.16, 95% confidence interval 0.70 to 1.92, P=0.56). The time to the first composite cardiac event was not significantly improved by the GRS (hazard ratio 0.89, 95% confidence interval 0.68 to 1.16, P=0.37). Baseline adjusted EQ-5D-5L utility at 12 months (difference -0.01, 95% confidence interval -0.06 to 0.04) and the duration of hospital admission within 12 months (mean 11.2 days, standard deviation 18 days v 11.8 days, 19 days) were similar for GRS and standard care.

CONCLUSIONS

In adults presenting to hospital with suspected non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome, the GRS did not improve adherence to guideline recommended management or reduce cardiovascular events at 12 months.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN 29731761.

Role and relevance of risk stratification models in the modern-day management of non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes

We summarise the international guidelines surrounding risk stratification as well as discuss new emerging data for future development of a new risk model in the management of patients with non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). NSTE-ACS accounts for the bulk of acute coronary syndrome presentations in the UK, but management strategies in this group of patients have remained a subject of debate for decades. Patients with NSTE-ACS represent a heterogeneous population with a wide variation in short-term and long-term clinical outcomes, which makes a uniform, standardised treatment approach ineffective and inappropriate. Studies in the modern era have provided some guidance in treating this subset of patients: the provision of early, more potent therapies has been shown to improve outcomes in patients at a particularly elevated risk of adverse outcomes. International guidelines recommend adopting an individualised treatment approach through the use of validated risk prediction models to identify such patients at high risk of adverse outcomes. The present available evidence, however, is based on dated demographics, different diagnostic thresholds and outdated therapies. In particular, the evidence has limited applicability to female patients and older people with frailty. Moreover, the current risk models do not capture key prognostic variables, leading to an inaccurate estimation of patients' baseline risk and subsequent mistreatment. Therefore, the current risk models are no longer fit for purpose and there is a need for risk prediction scores that account for different population demographics, higher sensitivity troponin assays and contemporary treatment options.

Care of patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction: an international analysis of quality indicators in the acute coronary syndrome STEMI Registry of the EURObservational Research Programme and ACVC and EAPCI Associations of the European Society of Cardiology in 11 462 patients

AIMS

To use quality indicators to study the management of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in different regions.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective cohort study of STEMI within 24 h of symptom onset (11 462 patients, 196 centres, 26 European Society of Cardiology members, and 3 affiliated countries). The median delay between arrival at a percutaneous cardiovascular intervention (PCI) centre and primary PCI was 40 min (interquartile range 20-74) with 65.8% receiving PCI within guideline recommendation of 60 min. A third of patients (33.2%) required transfer from their initial hospital to one that could perform emergency PCI for whom only 27.2% were treated within the quality indicator recommendation of 120 min. Radial access was used in 56.6% of all primary PCI, but with large geographic variation, from 76.4 to 9.1%. Statins were prescribed at discharge to 98.7% of patients, with little geographic variation. Of patients with a history of heart failure or a documented left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%, 84.0% were discharged on an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker and 88.7% were discharged on beta-blockers.

CONCLUSION

Care for STEMI shows wide geographic variation in the receipt of timely primary PCI, and is in contrast with the more uniform delivery of guideline-recommended pharmacotherapies at time of hospital discharge.

Usefulness of the Quick-Sepsis Organ Failure Assessment Score in Cardiovascular Intensive Care Unit to Predict Prognosis in Acute Coronary Syndrome

Triage of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) at high risk of in-hospital complications is essential. In this study, we evaluated the quick sepsis organ failure assessment (qSOFA) score as a tool for predicting the prognosis of 964 patients admitted to the cardiovascular intensive care unit (CICU) with ACS over a 4-year period. In total, out of 964 patients included, with a percentage of 4.6% for 30-day mortality. The risk of 30-day mortality was independently associated with qSOFA ≥ 2 at admission (hazard ratio = 2.76, 95% CI 1.32-5.74, p = 0.007). For MACEs, qSOFA ≥ 2 at admission was a predictive factor with (odds ratio = 2.42, 95% CI 1.37-4.36, p = .002). A qSOFA ≥ 2 on admission had an AUC of 0.729 (95% CI [0.694, 0.762]), with a good specificity of 91.6%. For 30-day mortality, an AUC of 0.759 (95%CI [0.726, 0.792]) for cardiogenic shock with specificity of 92.5%. For MACEs, an AUC of 0.702 (95% CI [0.64, 0.700] with a specificity of 95%. Concerning the different scores tested, we found no significant difference between the Zwolle score and the qSOFA score for predicting prognosis, whereas the CADILLAC score was better than qSOFA for predicting 30-day mortality (AUC = 0.829 and De long test = 0.03). However, there was no difference between qSOFA and CADILLAC scores for predicting cardiogenic shock (De Long test at 0.08). This is the first study to evaluate qSOFA as a predictive score for 30-day mortality and MACEs, and the results are very encouraging, particularly for cardiogenic shock.

Evaluation of risk stratification program based on trajectories of functional capacity in patients with acute coronary syndrome: The REACP study

Background

As a validated assessment tool for functional disability (activities of daily living), the Barthel index (BI) assessed initially at admission has the potential to stratify patients with high-risk acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Dynamic trajectory evaluation of functional capacity in hospitals may provide more prognostic information. We aimed to establish a novel dynamic BI-based risk stratification program (DBRP) during hospitalization to predict outcomes among ACS patients.

Methods

A total of 2,837 ACS patients were included from the Retrospective Multicenter Study for Early Evaluation of Acute Chest Pain. The DBRP rating (low, medium, and high-risk categories) was calculated from dynamic BI at admission and discharge. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was cardiac mortality.

Results

Of all the included patients, 312 (11%) died during a median follow-up period of 18.0 months. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the cumulative mortality was significantly higher in patients in the higher risk category according to the DBRP. Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that, compared to the low-risk category, the higher risk category in the DBRP was an independent strong predictor of all-cause mortality after adjusting for confounding factors (medium-risk category: hazard ratio [HR]: 1.756, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.214-2.540; P = 0.003; high-risk category: HR: 5.052, 95% CI: 3.744-6.817; P < 0.001), and the same result was found for cardiac mortality.

Conclusion

The DBRP was a useful risk stratification tool for the early dynamic assessment of patients with ACS.

Clinical trial registration

[http://www.chictr.org.cn], identifier [ChiCTR1900024657].

Hospital- and Patient-Level Analysis of Quality Indicators in Acute Coronary Syndrome Care: A Nationwide Database Study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to clarify the variations in the quality of care provided to patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and to investigate the association between quality of care and mortality at both hospital and patient levels with the use of a nationwide database.

METHODS

Patients with ACS who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) from April 2014 to March 2018 were included from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan. Twelve quality indicators (QIs) available from administrative data and the association of the QIs with all-cause mortality were investigated.

RESULTS

From the analysis of 216,436 patients from 1215 hospitals, adherence to PCI on admission day, aspirin use on arrival, P2Y12 inhibitor use, and left ventricular function assessment were high (median proportion > 90%), and adherence to outpatient cardiac rehabilitation was low (median proportion < 10%). At the hospital level, acute-phase composite QI score was associated with reduced risk-adjusted 30-day mortality (β = -0.92 [95% confidence interval -1.19 to -0.65]; P < 0.001). At the patient level, all acute-phase and subacute-phase QIs were inversely associated with 30-day and 2-year mortalities, respectively (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Substantial variations in ACS care were observed in the current nationwide database. High adherence to the QI sets was associated with significant survival gains at both hospital and patient levels. Multilevel approach in QI assessment may be effective for improvement of survival in this population.

Comparison of the T-MACS score with the TIMI score in patients presenting to the emergency department with chest pain

OBJECTIVES

Guidelines recommend the use of risk scoring in patients with chest pain. In this study, we aimed to compare the thrombolysis in myocardial infarction risk index (TIMI) score with the Troponin Only Manchester Acute Coronary Syndrome Score (T-MACS) score and to investigate the usability of the T-MACS score in the emergency department.

METHODS

In our study; The TIMI and T-MACS scores of 310 patients with suspected NSTEMI who applied to the emergency department with chest pain and met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were prospectively evaluated. The primary outcome was MACE at 30 days including acute coronary syndromes, need for revascularization and deaths. Descriptive data and TIMI and T-MACS scores for predicting MACE and ACS was evaluated by calculating sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis was also performed to determine TIMI and T-MACS risk class.

RESULTS

In our study, the mean age of the patients was 49.7 ± 19.4 years, the 1-month mortality rate was 1.3%, majör adverse cardiac event (MACE) rate was 6.5%, and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) rate was 5.5%. T-MACS risk class for predicting MACE sensitivity 100%, selectivity 51.72, PPV 12.5% (for very low risk), NPV was calculated as 100%; sensitivity for TIMI risk class low risk 35%, selectivity 88.97%, PPV was calculated as 17.9%, NPV was calculated as 95.2%. T-MACS high risk class for predicting MACE; sensitivity was 60%, selectivity 99.66%, PPV 92.3% and NPV was 97.3%; TIMI high risk class for predicting MACE; sensitivity was 10%, selectivity was 97.93%, PPV was 25% and NPV was 94%.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings obtained in this study suggest that the T-MACS score is more successful than the TIMI score in determining the low risk (very low risk for T-MACS score), high risk, and estimated 1-month MACE risk in cases who presented to the emergency department with chest pain.

Efficacy and Safety of Shenqisuxin Granule for Non-ST-segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome: Study Protocol for a Randomized, Double-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Trial

Introduction

The Chinese herbal compound formula, Shenqisuxin granule (SQSX), promotes neovascularization and prevents in-stent restenosis in modern pharmaceutical studies and is expected to provide an effective strategy for non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEACS). Thus, this study aims to examine the efficacy and safety of SQSX for NSTEACS and initially reveal its mechanism.

Methods/Design

The study is a randomized, double-blinded and placebo-controlled trial. A total of 66 participants will be randomly allocated to one of the following two groups. Participants in the SQSX group will receive conventional treatment plus SQSX, while the placebo group will receive conventional treatment plus placebo, both for 14 days. The primary outcome, hs-CRP, and secondary outcome the Seattle Angina Questionnaire (SAQ) will be assessed at baseline, 7 ± 3 days and 14 ± 3 days. At all visit windows, other indicators including creatine kinase (CK), creatine kinase-myocardial band (CK-MB), cardiac troponins I (cTnI), 12-lead electrocardiograph and the syndrome scores of Qi deficiency and blood stasis will be tested and metagenomic sequencing for intestinal flora will be performed. Echocardiography and safety assessment will be performed at baseline and 14 ± 3 days. Adverse events will be monitored during the trial.

Discussion

The purpose of the study is to examine the efficacy and safety of SQSX to improve NSTEACS and initially reveal its mechanism.

Trial Registration

China Clinical Trial Registry, ChiCTR2000029226. Registered on January 19, 2020.

Very early invasive angiography versus standard of care in higher-risk non-ST elevation myocardial infarction: study protocol for the prospective multicentre randomised controlled RAPID N-STEMI trial

BACKGROUND

There are a paucity of randomised data on the optimal timing of invasive coronary angiography (ICA) in higher-risk patients with non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (N-STEMI). International guideline recommendations for early ICA are primarily based on retrospective subgroup analyses of neutral trials.

AIMS

The RAPID N-STEMI trial aims to determine whether very early percutaneous revascularisation improves clinical outcomes as compared with a standard of care strategy in higher-risk N-STEMI patients.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

RAPID N-STEMI is a prospective, multicentre, open-label, randomised-controlled, pragmatic strategy trial. Higher-risk N-STEMI patients, as defined by Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events 2.0 score ≥118, or >90 with at least one additional high-risk feature, were randomised to either: very early ICA±revascularisation or standard of care timing of ICA±revascularisation. The primary outcome is the proportion of participants with at least one of the following events (all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction and hospital admission for heart failure) at 12 months. Key secondary outcomes include major bleeding and stroke. A hypothesis generating cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) substudy will provide mechanistic data on infarct size, myocardial salvage and residual ischaemia post percutaneous coronary intervention. On 7 April 2021, the sponsor discontinued enrolment due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and lower than expected event rates. 425 patients were enrolled, and 61 patients underwent CMR.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The trial has been reviewed and approved by the East of England Cambridge East Research Ethics Committee (18/EE/0222). The study results will be submitted for publication within 6 months of completion.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03707314; Pre-results.

External validation of the GRACE risk score and the risk-treatment paradox in patients with acute coronary syndrome

Objectives

To validate the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score and examine the extent and impact of the risk–treatment paradox in contemporary patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

Methods

Data from 5015 patients with ACS enrolled in the FORCE-ACS registry between January 2015 and December 2019 were used for model validation. The performance of the GRACE risk score for predicting in-hospital and 1-year mortality was evaluated based on indices of model discrimination and calibration. Differences in the delivery of guideline-recommended care among patients who survived hospitalisation (n=4911) per GRACE risk stratum were assessed and the association with postdischarge mortality was examined.

Results

Discriminative power of the GRACE risk score was good for predicting in-hospital (c-statistic: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.83 to 0.90) and 1-year mortality (c-statistic: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.79 to 0.84). However, the GRACE risk score overestimated the absolute in-hospital and 1-year mortality risk (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test p<0.01). Intermediate-risk and high-risk patients were 12% and 29% less likely to receive optimal guideline-recommended care compared with low-risk patients, respectively. Optimal guideline-recommended care was associated with lower mortality in intermediate- and high-risk patients.

Conclusions

The GRACE risk score identified patients at higher risk for in-hospital and 1-year mortality, but overestimated absolute risk levels in contemporary patients. Optimal guideline-recommended care was associated with lower mortality in intermediate-risk and high-risk patients, but was less likely to be delivered with increasing mortality risk.

Use of Lipid-, Blood Pressure-, and Glucose-Lowering Pharmacotherapy in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

IMPORTANCE

Based on contemporary estimates in the US, evidence-based therapies for cardiovascular risk reduction are generally underused among patients with type 2 diabetes and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the use of evidence-based cardiovascular preventive therapies in a broad US population with diabetes and ASCVD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This multicenter cohort study used health system-level aggregated data within the National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network, including 12 health systems. Participants included patients with diabetes and established ASCVD (ie, coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, and peripheral artery disease) between January 1 and December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from September 2020 until January 2021.

EXPOSURES

One or more health care encounters in 2018.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Patient characteristics by prescription of any of the following key evidence-based therapies: high-intensity statin, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin-receptor blocker (ARB) and sodium glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2I) or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA).

RESULTS

The overall cohort included 324 706 patients, with a mean (SD) age of 68.1 (12.2) years and 144 169 (44.4%) women and 180 537 (55.6%) men. A total of 59 124 patients (18.2% ) were Black, and 41 470 patients (12.8%) were Latinx. Among 205 885 patients with specialized visit data from the prior year, 17 971 patients (8.7%) visited an endocrinologist, 54 330 patients (26.4%) visited a cardiologist, and 154 078 patients (74.8%) visited a primary care physician. Overall, 190 277 patients (58.6%) were prescribed a statin, but only 88 426 patients (26.8%) were prescribed a high-intensity statin; 147 762 patients (45.5%) were prescribed an ACEI or ARB, 12 724 patients (3.9%) were prescribed a GLP-1RA, and 8989 patients (2.8%) were prescribed an SGLT2I. Overall, 14 918 patients (4.6%) were prescribed all 3 classes of therapies, and 138 173 patients (42.6%) were prescribed none. Patients who were prescribed a high-intensity statin were more likely to be men (59.9% [95% CI, 59.6%-60.3%] of patients vs 55.6% [95% CI, 55.4%-55.8%] of patients), have coronary atherosclerotic disease (79.9% [95% CI, 79.7%-80.2%] of patients vs 73.0% [95% CI, 72.8%-73.3%] of patients) and more likely to have seen a cardiologist (40.0% [95% CI, 39.6%-40.4%] of patients vs 26.4% [95% CI, 26.2%-26.6%] of patients).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this large cohort of US patients with diabetes and ASCVD, fewer than 1 in 20 patients were prescribed all 3 evidence-based therapies, defined as a high-intensity statin, either an ACEI or ARB, and either an SGLT2I and/or a GLP-1RA. These findings suggest that multifaceted interventions are needed to overcome barriers to the implementation of evidence-based therapies and facilitate their optimal use.

Age-adjusted interpretation of biomarkers of renal function and homeostasis, inflammation, and circulation in Emergency Department patients

Appropriate interpretation of blood tests is important for risk stratification and guidelines used in the Emergency Department (ED) (such as SIRS or CURB-65). The impact of abnormal blood test values on mortality may change with increasing age due to (patho)-physiologic changes. The aim of this study was therefore to assess the effect of age on the case-mix adjusted association between biomarkers of renal function and homeostasis, inflammation and circulation and in-hospital mortality. This observational multi-center cohort study has used the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED), including all consecutive ED patients ≥ 18 years of three hospitals. A generalized additive logistic regression model was used to visualize the association between in-hospital mortality, age and five blood tests (creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, C-reactive Protein, and hemoglobin). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between the number of abnormal blood test values and mortality per age category (18-50; 51-65; 66-80; > 80 years). Of the 94,974 included patients, 2550 (2.7%) patients died in-hospital. Mortality increased gradually for C-reactive Protein (CRP), and had a U-shaped association for creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, and hemoglobin. Age significantly affected the associations of all studied blood tests except in leukocytes. In addition, with increasing age categories, case-mix adjusted mortality increased with the number of abnormal blood tests. In summary, the association between blood tests and (adjusted) mortality depends on age. Mortality increases gradually or in a U-shaped manner with increasing blood test values. Age-adjusted numerical scores may improve risk stratification. Our results have implications for interpretation of blood tests and their use in risk stratification tools and acute care guidelines.Trial registration number Netherlands Trial Register (NTR) NL8422, 03/2020.

A Novel Multiple Risk Score Model for Prediction of Long-Term Ischemic Risk in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Insights From the I-LOVE-IT 2 Trial

Backgrounds: A plug-and-play standardized algorithm to identify the ischemic risk in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) could play a valuable step to help a wide spectrum of clinic workers. This study intended to investigate the ability to use the accumulation of multiple clinical routine risk scores to predict long-term ischemic events in patients with CAD undergoing PCI.

Methods: This was a secondary analysis of the I-LOVE-IT 2 (Evaluate Safety and Effectiveness of the Tivoli drug-eluting stent (DES) and the Firebird DES for Treatment of Coronary Revascularization) trial, which was a prospective, multicenter, and randomized study. The Global Registry for Acute Coronary Events (GRACE), baseline Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX), residual SYNTAX, and age, creatinine, and ejection fraction (ACEF) score were calculated in all patients. Risk stratification was based on the number of these four scores that met the established thresholds for the ischemic risk. The primary end point was ischemic events at 48 months, defined as the composite of cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, or definite/probable stent thrombosis (ST).

Results: The 48-month ischemic events had a significant trend for higher event rates (from 6.61 to 16.93%) with an incremental number of risk scores presenting the higher ischemic risk from 0 to ≥3 (p trend &lt; 0.001). In addition, the categories were associated with increased risk for all components of ischemic events, including cardiac death (from 1.36 to 3.15%), myocardial infarction (MI) (from 3.31 to 9.84%), stroke (3.31 to 6.10%), definite/probable ST (from 0.58 to 1.97%), and all-cause mortality (from 2.14 to 6.30%) (all p trend &lt; 0.05). The net reclassification index after combined with four risk scores was 12.5% (5.3–20.0%), 9.4% (2.0–16.8%), 12.1% (4.5–19.7%), and 10.7% (3.3–18.1%), which offered statistically significant improvement in the performance, compared with SYNTAX, residual SYNTAX, ACEF, and GRACE score, respectively.

Conclusion: The novel multiple risk score model was significantly associated with the risk of long-term ischemic events in these patients with an increment of scores. A meaningful improvement to predict adverse outcomes when multiple risk scores were applied to risk stratification.

Comparison of GRACE and TIMI risk scores in the prediction of in-hospital and long-term outcomes among East Asian non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction patients

Background

Risk stratification in non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) determines the intervention time. Limited study compared two risk scores, the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk scores in the current East Asian NSTEMI patients.

Methods

This retrospective observational study consecutively collected patients in a large academic hospital between 01/01 and 11/01/2017 and followed for 4 years. Patients were scored by TIMI and GRACE scores on hospital admission. In-hospital endpoints were defined as the in-hospital composite event, including mortality, re-infarction, heart failure, stroke, cardiac shock, or resuscitation. Long-term outcomes were all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality in 4-year follow-up.

Results

A total of 232 patients were included (female 29.7%, median age 67 years), with a median follow-up of 3.7 years. GRACE score grouped most patients (45.7%) into high risk, while TIMI grouped the majority (61.2%) into medium risk. Further subgrouping the TIMI medium group showed that half (53.5%) of the TIMI medium risk population was GRACE high risk (≥ 140). Compared to TIMI medium group + GRACE < 140 subgroup, the TIMI medium + GRACE high-risk (≥ 140) subgroup had a significantly higher in-hospital events (39.5% vs. 9.1%, p < 0.05), long-term all-cause mortality (22.2% vs. 0% p < 0.001) and cardiac death (11.1% vs. 0% p = 0.045) in 4-year follow-up. GRACE risk scores showed a better predictive ability than TIMI risk scores both for in-hospital and long-term outcomes. (AUC of GRACE vs. TIMI, In-hospital: 0.82 vs. 0.62; long-term mortality: 0.89 vs. 0.68; long-term cardiac mortality: 0.91 vs. 0.67, all p < 0.05). Combined use of the two risk scores reserved both the convenience of scoring and the predictive accuracy.

Conclusion

GRACE showed better predictive accuracy than TIMI in East Asian NSTEMI patients in both in-hospital and long-term outcomes. The sequential use of TIMI and GRACE scores provide an easy and promising discriminative tool in predicting outcomes in NSTEMI East Asian patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-021-02311-z.

Development and validation of a novel risk score to predict 5-year mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction in China: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The disease burden from ischaemic heart disease remains heavy in the Chinese population. Traditional risk scores for estimating long-term mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have been developed without sufficiently considering advances in interventional procedures and medication. The goal of this study was to develop a risk score comprising clinical parameters and intervention advances at hospital admission to assess 5-year mortality in AMI patients in a Chinese population.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective observational study on 2,722 AMI patients between January 2013 and December 2017. Of these patients, 1,471 patients from Changsha city, Hunan Province, China were assigned to the development cohort, and 1,251 patients from Xiangtan city, Hunan Province, China, were assigned to the validation cohort. Forty-five candidate variables assessed at admission were screened using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, stepwise backward regression, and Cox regression methods to construct the C2ABS2-GLPK score, which was graded and stratified using a nomogram and X-tile. The score was internally and externally validated. The C-statistic and Hosmer-Lemeshow test were used to assess discrimination and calibration, respectively.

RESULTS

From the 45 candidate variables obtained at admission, 10 potential predictors, namely, including Creatinine, experience of Cardiac arrest, Age, N-terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide, a history of Stroke, Statins therapy, fasting blood Glucose, Left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, Percutaneous coronary intervention and Killip classification were identified as having a close association with 5-year mortality in patients with AMI and collectively termed the C2ABS2-GLPK score. The score had good discrimination (C-statistic = 0.811, 95% confidence intervals (CI) [0.786-0.836]) and calibration (calibration slope = 0.988) in the development cohort. In the external validation cohort, the score performed well in both discrimination (C-statistic = 0.787, 95% CI [0.756-0.818]) and calibration (calibration slope = 0.976). The patients were stratified into low- (≤148), medium- (149 to 218) and high-risk (≥219) categories according to the C2ABS2-GLPK score. The predictive performance of the score was also validated in all subpopulations of both cohorts.

CONCLUSION

The C2ABS2-GLPK score is a Chinese population-based risk assessment tool to predict 5-year mortality in AMI patients based on 10 variables that are routinely assessed at admission. This score can assist physicians in stratifying high-risk patients and optimizing emergency medical interventions to improve long-term survival in patients with AMI.

Risk-associated management disparities in acute myocardial infarction

Despite improvements in the treatment of myocardial infarction (MI), risk-associated management disparities may exist. We investigated this issue including temporal trends in a large MI cohort (n = 179,291) registered 2005–2017 in SWEDEHEART. Multivariable models were used to study the associations between risk categories according to the GRACE 2.0 score and coronary procedures (timely reperfusion, invasive assessment ≤ 3 days, in-hospital coronary revascularization), pharmacological treatments (P2Y12-blockers, betablockers, renin–angiotensin–aldosterone-system [RAAS]-inhibitors, statins), structured follow-up and secondary prevention (smoking cessation, physical exercise training). High-risk patients (n = 76,295 [42.6%]) experienced less frequent medical interventions compared to low/intermediate-risk patients apart from betablocker treatment. Overall, intervention rates increased over time with more pronounced increases seen in high-risk patients compared to lower-risk patients for in-hospital coronary revascularization (+ 23.6% vs. + 12.5% in patients < 80 years) and medication with P2Y12-blockers (+ 22.2% vs. + 7.8%). However, less pronounced temporal increases were noted in high-risk patients for medication with RAAS-blockers (+ 8.5% vs. + 13.0%) and structured follow-up (+ 31.6% vs. + 36.3%); p_interaction < 0.001 for all. In conclusion, management of high-risk patients with MI is improving. However, the lower rates of follow-up and of RAAS-inhibitor prescription are a concern. Our data emphasize the need of continuous quality improvement initiatives.

Predictors and Outcomes of Secondary Prevention Medication in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Background:

Aims:

Design:

Methods:

Results:

Conclusions:

Development and validation of an artificial neural network algorithm to predict mortality and admission to hospital for heart failure after myocardial infarction: a nationwide population-based study

BACKGROUND

Patients have an estimated mortality of 15-20% within the first year following myocardial infarction and one in four patients who survive myocardial infarction will develop heart failure, severely reducing quality of life and increasing the risk of long-term mortality. We aimed to establish the accuracy of an artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm in predicting 1-year mortality and admission to hospital for heart failure after myocardial infarction.

METHODS

In this nationwide population-based study, we used data for all patients admitted to hospital for myocardial infarction and discharged alive from a coronary care unit in Sweden (n=139 288) between Jan 1, 2008, and April 1, 2017, from the Swedish Web system for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-based care in Heart disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies (SWEDEHEART) nationwide registry; these patients were randomly divided into training (80%) and testing (20%) datasets. We developed an ANN using 21 variables (including age, sex, medical history, previous medications, in-hospital characteristics, and discharge medications) associated with the outcomes of interest with a back-propagation algorithm in the training dataset and tested it in the testing dataset. The ANN algorithm was then validated in patients with incident myocardial infarction enrolled in the Western Denmark Heart Registry (external validation cohort) between Jan 1, 2008, and Dec 31, 2016. The predictive ability of the model was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Youden's index was established as a means of identifying an empirical dichotomous cutoff, allowing further evaluation of model performance.

FINDINGS

139 288 patients who were admitted to hospital for myocardial infarction in the SWEDEHEART registry were randomly divided into a training dataset of 111 558 (80%) patients and a testing dataset of 27 730 (20%) patients. 30 971 patients with myocardial infarction who were enrolled in the Western Denmark Heart Registry were included in the external validation cohort. A first event, either all-cause mortality or admission to hospital for heart failure 1 year after myocardial infarction, occurred in 32 308 (23·2%) patients in the testing and training cohorts only. For 1-year all-cause mortality, the ANN had an AUROC of 0·85 (95% CI 0·84-0·85) in the testing dataset and 0·84 (0·83-0·84) in the external validation cohort. The AUROC for admission to hospital for heart failure within 1 year was 0·82 (0·81-0·82) in the testing dataset and 0·78 (0·77-0·79) in the external validation dataset. With an empirical cutoff the ANN algorithm correctly classified 73·6% of patients with regard to all-cause mortality and 61·5% of patients with regard to admission to hospital for heart failure in the external validation cohort, ruling out adverse outcomes with 97·1-98·7% probability in the external validation cohort.

INTERPRETATION

Identifying patients at a high risk of developing heart failure or death after myocardial infarction could result in tailored therapies and monitoring by the allocation of resources to those at greatest risk.

FUNDING

The Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, Swedish Scientific Research Council, Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research, Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, ALF Agreement on Medical Education and Research, Skane University Hospital, The Bundy Academy, the Märta Winkler Foundation, the Anna-Lisa and Sven-Eric Lundgren Foundation for Medical Research.

Guideline-Directed Medical Therapy in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease Undergoing Peripheral Vascular Intervention

INTRODUCTION

Guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) is imperative to improve cardiovascular and limb outcomes for patients with critical limb ischemia (CLI), especially amongst those at highest risk for poor outcomes, including those with comorbid chronic kidney disease (CKD). Our objective was to examine GDMT prescription rates and their variation across individual sites for patients with CLI undergoing peripheral vascular interventions (PVIs), by their comorbid CKD status.

METHODS

Patients with CLI who underwent PVI (October 2016-April 2019) were included from the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) database. CKD was defined as GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. GDMT included the composite use of antiplatelet therapy and a statin, as well as an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker if hypertension was present. The use of GDMT before and after the index procedure was summarized in those with and without CKD. Adjusted median odds ratios (MORs) for site variability were calculated.

RESULTS

The study included 28,652 patients, with a mean age of 69.4 ± 11.7 years, and 40.8% were females. A total of 47.5% had CKD. Patients with CKD versus those without CKD had lower prescription rates both before (31.7% vs. 38.9%) and after (36.5% vs. 48.8%) PVI (p < 0.0001). Significant site variability was observed in the delivery of GDMT in both the non-CKD and CKD groups before and after PVI (adjusted MORs: 1.31-1.41).

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION

In patients with CLI undergoing PVI, patients with comorbid CKD were less likely to receive GDMT. Significant variability of GDMT was observed across sites. These findings indicate that significant improvements must be made in the medical management of patients with CLI, particularly in patients at high risk for poor clinical outcomes.

The additive value of copeptin for early diagnosis and prognosis of acute coronary syndromes

BACKGROUND

One promising biomarker that has received substantial interest for the evaluation of suspected acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is copeptin. Therefore, our goal was to assess the additive value of copeptin for early diagnosis and prognosis of Non-ST segment acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS).

METHODS

The study included ninety patients with suspected ACS. Patients with typical ischemic chest pain within six hours of symptom onset and without ST-segment elevation on electrocardiograph (ECG) were included. In addition to cardiac troponin I (cTnI), copeptin was assayed from venous blood samples obtained on admission, followed by serial troponin measurements six and twelve hours later. One year follow-up was performed for any major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) including cardiac death, re-infarction, re- hospitalization for ischemic events, heart failure, stroke and target lesion revascularization (TLR).

RESULTS

Of seventy nine patients included in the final analysis, Forty (50.6%) were diagnosed as unstable angina (UA), while thirty nine (49.4%) had a non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). Copeptin level on admission was significantly higher among NSTEMI patients than those with UA. With regard to the correlation analyses, copeptin was positively correlated with each of, Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE), Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) and synergy between percutaneous coronary intervention with taxus and cardiac surgery (SYNTAX) scores. The sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) of the combination of admission copeptin and cTn-I were 100% and 100%, respectively, versus 57% and 70%, respectively, with admission of cTn-I alone. The area under curve (AUC) of the combination of copeptin and cTn-I was (0.975, p < 0.001) and was significantly higher than the AUC of cTn-I alone (0.888, p < 0.001). Admission copeptin was an independent predictor for MACEs by multiple regression analysis (OR: 0.01, 95% CI: 0.0-0.8, P = 0.04). High values of copeptin had the highest rate of MACEs and coronary revascularization during one year of follow up.

CONCLUSION

The combination of copeptin and conventional troponin I aids in early rule out of NSTEMI virtually independent of chest pain onset (CPO) with high NPV in patients presenting within three hours from chest pain onset with excellent prognostic value for risk stratification and prediction of MACEs.

Application of Modern Clinical Risk Scores in the Global Assessment of Risks Related to the Diagnosis and Treatment of Acute Coronary Syndromes in Everyday Medical Practice

This article presents an overview of contemporary risk assessment systems used in patients with myocardial infarction. The full range of risk scales, both recommended by the European Society of Cardiology and others published in recent years, is presented. Scales for assessing the risk of ischemia/death as well as for assessing the risk of bleeding are presented. A separate section is devoted to systems assessing the integrated risk associated with both ischemia and bleeding. In the first part of the work, each of the risk scales is described in detail, including the clinical trials/registers on the basis of which they were created, the statistical methods used to develop them, as well as the specification of their individual parameters. The next chapter presents the practical application of a given scale in the patient risk assessment process, the timing of its application on the timeline of myocardial infarction, as well as a critical assessment of its potential advantages and limitations. The last part of the work is devoted to the presentation of potential directions for the development of risk assessment systems in the future.

Ethical Challenges of Nonreading Older Adult Women's Autonomy in Receiving Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Under Familial Paternalism in Taiwan

In the context of familial paternalism in Taiwan, nonreading older adult women (NOAWs) may passively disengage from treatment and submit to the decisions of their families. The purposes of this case study were to examine the ethical conflicts regarding the autonomy of hospitalized NOAWs receiving percutaneous coronary intervention in a cultural environment of familial paternalism and to propose a theoretical framework based on a literature review to resolve the ethical challenges specific to this cultural context. The proposed framework "Nursing advocacy model for engaging NOAWs with their medical treatment" was established on the basis of relational ethics, nursing advocacy, and shared decision making. Our argument does not question traditional Chinese cultural values. Instead, we advocate for NOAWs to engage with their treatment, express their preferences, and communicate with their families in a decision-making process that incorporates mutual respect and understanding within the context of Chinese culture.

Early invasive versus non-invasive assessment in patients with suspected non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome

Non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) comprises a broad spectrum of disease ranging from unstable angina to myocardial infarction. International guidelines recommend a routine invasive strategy for managing patients with NSTE-ACS at high to very high-risk, supported by evidence of improved composite ischaemic outcomes as compared with a selective invasive strategy. However, accurate diagnosis of NSTE-ACS in the acute setting is challenging due to the spectrum of non-coronary disease that can manifest with similar symptoms. Heterogeneous clinical presentations and limited uptake of risk prediction tools can confound physician decision-making regarding the use and timing of invasive coronary angiography (ICA). Large proportions of patients with suspected NSTE-ACS do not require revascularisation but may unnecessarily undergo ICA with its attendant risks and associated costs. Advances in coronary CT angiography and cardiac MRI have prompted evaluation of whether non-invasive strategies may improve patient selection, or whether tailored approaches are better suited to specific subgroups. Future directions include (1) better understanding of risk stratification as a guide to investigation and therapy in suspected NSTE-ACS, (2) randomised clinical trials of non-invasive imaging versus standard of care approaches prior to ICA and (3) defining the optimal timing of very early ICA in high-risk NSTE-ACS.

The year in cardiology: acute coronary syndromes

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Chronic kidney disease in acute coronary syndromes: real world data of long-term outcomes

Aim: Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at increased cardiovascular risk. Methods: Patients with acute coronary syndrome were retrospectively allocated to three groups (stage 3A, stage 3B or stage 4) based on the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes classification formulas: the CKD Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI; N = 401) and the modification of diet in renal disease (n = 355). The primary end point was all-cause mortality (median follow-up time, 32 months [15-70]). Results: Study results showed decreased median survival was associated with poor renal function for both the CKD-EPI (78 vs 61 vs 40 months, p = 0.014) and modification of diet in renal disease groups (68 vs 57 vs 32 months, p = 0.006). After adjustment, age (OR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.01-1.14) and pulmonary artery systolic pressure (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.03-1.14), but not estimated glomerular filtration rate, were associated with decreased survival. Conclusion: Study results suggest that poor outcomes after an acute coronary syndrome were associated with comorbidities rather than estimated glomerular filtration rate level.

Prognostic value of GRACE score for in-hospital and 6 months outcomes after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome

Background

The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score for predicting in-hospital and 6 months mortality after non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).

Results

In this observational study, 300 patients with NSTE-ACS of age more than 30 years were included; 16 patients died during the hospital stay (5.3%). Of 284 patients at 6 months assessment, 10 patients died (3.5%), 240 survived (84.5%), and 34 were lost to follow-up (12%) respectively. In high risk category, 10.5% of the patients died within hospital stay and 11.8% died within 6 months (p = 0.001 and p = 0.013). In univariate analysis, gender, diabetes mellitus, family history, smoking, and GRACE score were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality whereas age, obesity, dyslipidemia, and GRACE were significantly associated with 6 months mortality. After adjustment, diabetes mellitus, family history, and GRACE score remained significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (p ≤ 0.05) and age remained significantly associated with 6 months mortality.

Conclusion

GRACE risk score has good predictive value for the prediction of in-hospital mortality and 6 months mortality among patients with NSTE-ACS.

Objective Risk Assessment vs Standard Care for Acute Coronary Syndromes: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Although international guidelines recommend use of the Global Registries of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score (GRS) to guide acute coronary syndrome (ACS) treatment decisions, the prospective utility of the GRS in improving care and outcomes is unproven.

Objective

To assess the effect of routine GRS implementation on guideline-indicated treatments and clinical outcomes of hospitalized patients with ACS.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Prospective cluster (hospital-level) randomized open-label blinded end point (PROBE) clinical trial using a multicenter ACS registry of acute care cardiology services. Fixed sampling of the first 10 patients within calendar month, with either ST-segment elevation or non-ST-segment elevation ACS. The study enrolled patients from June 2014 to March 2018, and data were analyzed between February 2020 and April 2020.

Interventions

Implementation of routine risk stratification using the GRS and guideline recommendations.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was a performance score based on receipt of early invasive treatment, discharge prescription of 4 of 5 guideline-recommended pharmacotherapies, and cardiac rehabilitation referral. Clinical outcomes included a composite of all-cause death and/or myocardial infarction (MI) within 1 year.

Results

This study enrolled 2318 patients from 24 hospitals and was stopped prematurely owing to futility. Of the patients enrolled, median age was 65 years (interquartile range, 56-74 years), 29.5% were women (n = 684), and 62.9% were considered high risk (n = 1433). Provision of all 3 measures among high-risk patients did not differ between the randomized arms (GRS: 424 of 717 [59.9%] vs control: 376 of 681 [55.2%]; odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% CI, 0.63-1.71; P = .88). The provision of early invasive treatment was increased compared with the control arm (GRS: 1042 of 1135 [91.8%] vs control: 989 of 1183 [83.6%]; OR, 2.26; 95% CI, 1.30-3.96; P = .004). Prescription of 4 of 5 guideline-recommended pharmacotherapies (GRS: 864 of 1135 [76.7%] vs control: 893 of 1183 [77.5%]; OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.68-1.38) and cardiac rehabilitation (GRS: 855 of 1135 [75.1%] vs control: 861 of 1183 [72.8%]; OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.32-1.44) were not different. By 12 months, GRS intervention was not associated with a significant reduction in death or MI compared with the control group (GRS: 96 of 1044 [9.2%] vs control: 146 of 1087 [13.4%]; OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.38-1.14).

Conclusions and Relevance

Routine GRS implementation in cardiology services with high levels of clinical care was associated with an increase in early invasive treatment but not other aspects of care. Low event rates and premature study discontinuation indicates the need for further, larger scale randomized studies.

Trial Registration

anzctr.org.au Identifier: ACTRN12614000550606.

Assessment of quality indicators for acute myocardial infarction management in 28 countries and use of composite quality indicators for benchmarking

Background:

The European Society of Cardiology established a set of quality indicators for the management of acute myocardial infarction. Our aim was to evaluate their degree of attainment, prognostic value and potential use for centre benchmarking in a large international cohort.

Methods:

Quality indicators were extracted from the long-tErm follow-uP of antithrombotic management patterns In acute CORonary syndrome patients (EPICOR) (555 hospitals, 20 countries in Europe and Latin America, 2010–2011) and EPICOR Asia (218 hospitals, eight countries, 2011–2012) registries, including non-ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (n=6558) and ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction (n=11,559) hospital survivors. The association between implementation rates for each quality indicator and two-year adjusted mortality was evaluated using adjusted Cox models. Composite quality indicators were categorized for benchmarking assessment at different levels.

Results:

The degree of attainment of the 17 evaluated quality indicators ranged from 13% to 100%. Attainment of most individual quality indicators was associated with two-year survival. A higher compliance with composite quality indicators was associated with lower mortality at centre-, country- and region-level. Moreover, the higher the risk for two-year mortality, the lower the compliance with composite quality indicators.

Conclusions:

When EPICOR and EPICOR Asia were conducted, the European Society of Cardiology quality indicators would have been attained to a limited extent, suggesting wide room for improvement in the management of acute myocardial infarction patients. After adjustment for confounding, most quality indicators were associated with reduced two-year mortality and their prognostic value should receive further attention. The two composite quality indicators can be used as a tool for benchmarking either at centre-, country- or world region-level.

A Novel ABC Score Predicts Mortality in Non-ST-Segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients Who underwent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

OBJECTIVE

 In the present study, we aimed to establish a novel score to predict long-term mortality of non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

 A total of 2,174 NSTE-ACS patients from the CORFCHD-ZZ study were enrolled as the derivation cohort. The validation cohort including 1,808 NSTE-ACS patients were from the CORFCHD-PCI study. Receiver operating characteristic analysis and area under the curve (AUC) evaluation were used to select the candidate variables. The model performance was validated internally and externally. The primary outcome was cardiac mortality (CM). We also explored the model performance for all-cause mortality (ACM).

RESULTS

 Initially, 28 risk factors were selected and ranked according to their AUC values. Finally, we selected age, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and creatinine to develop a novel prediction model named "ABC" model. The ABC model had a high discriminatory ability for both CM (C-index: 0.774, p < 0.001) and ACM (C-index: 0.758, p < 0.001) in the derivation cohort. In the validation cohort, the C-index of CM was 0.802 (p < 0.001) and that of ACM was 0.797 (p < 0.001), which suggested good discrimination. In addition, this model had adequate calibration in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Furthermore, the ABC score outperformed the GRACE score to predict mortality in NSTE-ACS patients who underwent PCI.

CONCLUSION

 In the present study, we developed and validated a novel model to predict mortality in patients with NSTE-ACS who underwent PCI. This model can be used as a credible tool for risk assessment and management of NSTE-ACS after PCI.

Prescription Rates for Antiplatelet Therapy (APT) in Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) - What Benchmark are We Aiming at in Continuing Medical Education (CME)?

Physicians always aim to improve their patients' health. CME should be designed not only to provide knowledge transfer, but also to influence clinical decision-making and to close performance gaps. In aretrospective study we analysed prescription rates for APT in 254,932 CAD patients (male: 64.4%), treated in atotal of 3,405 practices in 2019 in aDMP in the region of North Rhine, Germany. Analyses were run for the whole study population stratified by sex as well as for subgroups of patients suffering from myocardial infarction/acute coronary syndrome, or who have been treated with percutaneous coronary intervention or bypass surgery. Patients mean age was 72.7 ± 11.2 years (mean ± 1SD), mean duration of DMP participation was 7.2 ± 4.7 years, and mean cumulative number of DMP visits was 27 ± 17. APT prescription rates were 85.0% in male and 78.8% in female CAD patients. In subgroups of male CAD patients APT prescription rates were between 89.7% and 92.8%, in the same subgroups of female CAD patients the corresponding rates were between 87.8% and 92.0%. Rates for amissing APT prescription per practice were between .0044% and .0062% for male and female CAD patients, respectively. Rates for amissing APT prescription per practice and DMP visit were .0002% for both sexes. These results suggest that a DMP can achieve high attainment rates for APT in CAD. To further improve attainment rates, consideration of absolute numbers of eligible patients per practice or physician is probably more appropriate than expression of performance as percentage values. This is especially true if attainment rates show substantial variations between subgroups, if subgroups show substantial variation in size, if attainment rates are already in the magnitude of 80% or higher, and if there are disparities in the evidence base underlying treatment recommendations related to subgroups.

Early invasive strategy for non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome: a meta-analysis of randomized, controlled trials

OBJECTIVE

Patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) benefit from coronary intervention, but the optimal timing for an invasive strategy is not well defined. This study aimed to determine whether an early invasive strategy (<12 hours) is superior to a delayed invasive strategy.

METHODS

Twelve studies of nine randomized, controlled trials of 8586 patients were included.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in all-cause death (risk ratio [95% confidence interval]) (0.90, [0.77-1.06), re-myocardial infarction (re-MI) (0.95 [0.70-1.29]), major bleeding (0.97 [0.77-1.23]), and refractory ischemia (0.74 [0.53-1.05]) when we compared use of early and delayed invasive strategies. Furthermore, analysis of the effect of the chosen strategy on high-risk patients showed that the rate of composite death or re-MI was significantly decreased in patients with either a Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score >140 or with elevated troponin levels (risk ratio 0.82 [0.72-0.92]; risk ratio 0.84 [0.76-0.93], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis shows that an early angiographic strategy does not improve clinical outcome in patients with NSTE-ACS. An early invasive strategy might reduce the rate of composite death or re-MI in high-risk patients with GRACE risk scores >140 or elevated cardiac markers.

Non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction in the Netherlands: room for improvement!

Aim

To analyse non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) care in the Netherlands and to identify modifiable factors to improve NSTEMI healthcare.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study analysed hospital and pharmacy claims data of all NSTEMI patients in the Netherlands in 2015. The effect of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) during hospitalisation on 1‑year mortality was investigated in the subcohort alive 4 days after NSTEMI. The effect of medical treatment on 1‑year mortality was assessed in the subcohort alive 30 days after NSTEMI. The effect of age, gender and co-morbidities was evaluated. PCI during hospitalisation was defined as PCI within 72 h after NSTEMI and optimal medical treatment was defined as the combined use of an aspirin species, P2Y₁₂ inhibitor, statin, beta-blocker and angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin II receptor blocker, started within 30 days after NSTEMI.

Results

Data from 17,997 NSTEMI patients (age 69.6 (SD = 12.8) years, 64% male) were analysed. Of the patients alive 4 days after NSTEMI, 43% had a PCI during hospitalisation and 1‑year mortality was 10%. In the subcohort alive 30 days after NSTEMI, 47% of patients were receiving optimal medical treatment at 30 days and 1‑year mortality was 7%. PCI during hospitalisation (odds ratio (OR) 0.42; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37–0.48) and optimal medical treatment (OR 0.59; 95% CI 0.51–0.67) were associated with a lower 1‑year mortality.

Conclusion

In Dutch NSTEMI patients, use of PCI during hospitalisation and prescription of optimal medical treatment are modest. As both are independently associated with a lower 1‑year mortality, this study provides direction on how to improve the quality of NSTEMI healthcare in the Netherlands.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s12471-020-01433-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Early risk stratification of acute myocardial infarction using a simple physiological prognostic scoring system: insights from the REACP study

BACKGROUND

A more accurate and simpler scoring systems for early risk stratification of acute myocardial infarction at admission can accelerate and improve decision-making.

AIM

To develop and validate a simple physiological prognostic scoring system for early risk stratification in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

METHODS

Easily accessible physiological vital signs and demographic characteristics of patients with acute myocardial infarction at the time of presentation in the multicentre Retrospective Evaluation of Acute Chest Pain study were used to develop a multivariate logistic regression model predicting 12 and 24-month mortality. The study population consisted of 2619 patients from seven hospitals and was divided into a 70% sample for model derivation and a 30% sample for model validation. A nomogram was created to enable prospective risk stratification for clinical care.

RESULTS

The simple physiological prognostic scoring system consisted of age, heart rate, body mass index and Killip class. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the simple physiological prognostic scoring system was superior to that of several risk scoring systems in clinical use. Net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement and decision curve analysis of the derivation set also revealed superior performance to the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated good calibration for predicting mortality in patient with acute myocardial infarction in the validation set (P = 0.612).

CONCLUSION

This simple physiological prognostic scoring system may be a useful risk stratification tool for early assessment of patients with acute myocardial infarction.

National clinical audit for hospitalised exacerbations of COPD

Introduction

Exacerbations of COPD requiring hospital admission are burdensome to patients and health services. Audit enables benchmarking performance between units and against national standards, and supports quality improvement. We summarise 23 years of UK audit for hospitalised COPD exacerbations to better understand which features of audit design have had most impact.

Method

Pilot audits were performed in 1997 and 2001, with national cross-sectional audits in 2003, 2008 and 2014. Continuous audit commenced in 2017. Overall, 96% of eligible units took part in cross-sectional audit, 86% in the most recent round of continuous audit. We synthesised data from eight rounds of national COPD audit.

Results

Clinical outcomes were observed to change at the same time as changes in delivery of care: length of stay halved from 8 to 4 days between 1997 and 2014, alongside wider availability of integrated care. Process indicators did not generally improve with sequential cross-sectional audit. Under continuous audit with quality improvement support, process indicators linked to financial incentives (early specialist review (55–66%) and provision of a discharge bundle (53–74%)) improved more rapidly than those not linked (availability of spirometry (40–46%) and timely noninvasive ventilation (21–24%)).

Conclusion

Careful piloting and engagement can result in successful roll-out of cross-sectional national audit in a high-burden disease. Audit outcome measures and process indicators may be affected by changes in care pathways. Sequential cross-sectional national audit alone was not generally accompanied by improvements in care. However, improvements in process indicators were seen when continuous audit was combined with quality improvement support and, in particular, financial incentives.

National audit in COPD is feasible and can improve process indicators, particularly when continuous audit is associated with quality improvement initiatives and financial incentiveshttps://bit.ly/3eiOvOY

A Practical Risk Score to Predict 24-Month Post-Discharge Mortality Risk in Patients With Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification of patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is important in terms of treatment strategy selection. Current efforts have focused on short-term risk prediction after discharge, but we aimed to establish a risk score to predict the 24-month mortality risk in survivors of NSTEMI.Methods and Results:A total of 5,509 patients diagnosed with NSTEMI between January 2013 and September 2014 were included. Primary endpoint was all-cause death at 24 months. A multivariable Cox regression model was used to establish a practical risk score based on independent risk factors of death. The risk score included 9 variables: age, body mass index, left ventricular ejection fraction, reperfusion therapy during hospitalization, Killip classification, prescription of diuretics at discharge, heart rate, and hemoglobin and creatinine levels. The C-statistics for the risk model were 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.81-0.85) and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.79-0.86) in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Mortality risk increased significantly across groups: 1.34% in the low-risk group (score: 0-58), 5.40% in intermediate group (score: 59-93), and 23.87% in high-risk group (score: ≥94).

CONCLUSIONS

The current study established and validated a practical risk score based on 9 variables to predict 24-month mortality risk in patients who survive NSTEMI. This score could help identify patients who are at high risk for future adverse events who may benefit from good adherence to guideline-recommended secondary prevention treatment.

Comparison of the CAMI-NSTEMI and GRACE Risk Model for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Chinese Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients

Introduction

The ability of risk models to predict in-hospital mortality and the influence on downstream therapeutic strategy has not been fully investigated in Chinese Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients. Thus, we sought to validate and compare the performance of the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events risk model (GRM) and China Acute Myocardial Infarction risk model (CRM) and investigate impacts of the two models on the selection of downstream therapeutic strategies among these patients.

Methods

We identified 2587 consecutive patients with NSTEMI. The primary endpoint was in-hospital death. For each patient, the predicted mortality was calculated according to GRM and CRM, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Hosmer–Lemeshow (H–L) test, and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used to assess the performance of models.

Results

In-hospital death occurred in 4.89% (126/2587) patients. Compared to GRM, CRM demonstrated a larger AUC (0.809 versus 0.752, p < 0.0001), less discrepancy between observed and predicted mortality (H–L χ²: 22.71 for GRM, p=0.0038 and 10.25 for CRM, p=0.2479), and positive NRI (0.3311, p < 0.0001), resulting in a significant change of downstream therapeutic strategy.

Conclusion

In Chinese NSTEMI patients, the CRM provided a more accurate estimation for in-hospital mortality, and application of the CRM instead of the GRM changes the downstream therapeutic strategy remarkably.

Association between Adherence to Guideline-Recommended Preventive Medications and In-Hospital Mortality among Non-Reperfused ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients Admitted to a Tertiary Care Academic Center in a Developing Country

Background and aims:

Acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is a potentially fatal presentation of coronary artery disease (CAD). Evidence of the impact of acute pharmacological interventions in non-reperfused STEMI patients on subsequent events is limited. We aimed to assess the association between adherence to guideline-recommended preventive medications and in-hospital mortality among this high-risk patient population.

Methods:

We conducted a cohort study using data obtained from the Jakarta Acute Coronary Syndrome (JAC) Registry database from a tertiary care academic hospital in Indonesia. We included 1132 of 2694 patients with STEMI recorded between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2016 who did not undergo acute reperfusion therapy. Adherence to guideline-recommended preventive medications was defined as the combined administration of aspirin, clopidogrel, anticoagulants and statins after hospital admission. The main outcome measure was in-hospital mortality.

Results:

Overall, 778 of 1132 patients (69%) received the combination of preventive medications. The guideline non-adherent group had significantly more patients with earlier onset of STEMI, higher Killip class and thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) score. After adjustments for measured characteristics using logistic regression modeling, exposure to the combination of preventive therapies was associated with a statistically significant lower risk for in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio: 0.46, 95% confidence interval: 0.30–0.70).

Conclusions:

Adherence to guideline-recommended preventive medications was associated with lower risk of in-hospital mortality in non-reperfused STEMI patients. The predictors of not receiving these medications need to be confirmed in future research.

Impact of extended dual antiplatelet therapy on clinical prognosis in acute coronary syndrome patients with intermediate or high ischemic risk defined by the GRACE score

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the impact of extended dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) beyond 12 months in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with intermediate-risk to high-risk of developing ischemia according to the Global Acute Coronary Event Registration (GRACE) score.

BACKGROUND

The duration of optimal DAPT remains controversial in patients at higher risk of developing ischemia.

METHODS

Overall, 9,309 ACS patients in the Optimal antiPlatelet Therapy for Chinese patients with Coronary Artery Disease (OPT-CAD) study were stratified as low-risk ( n = 5,112) or intermediate-risk to high-risk (n = 4,197) according to the GRACE score on hospital discharge. Clinical outcomes at 12-24 months in patients with intermediate-to-high risk who completed 1-year DAPT without any adverse events were analyzed. The primary endpoint was 24-month net adverse clinical events (NACEs).

RESULTS

Patients at intermediate-to-high-risk had significantly higher incidence of NACE (10.2 vs. 4.9%, p < .01) and ischemic events (8.3 vs. 3.8%, p < .01) than low-risk patients at 24 months. For patients at intermediate-to-high-risk, extended DAPT beyond 12 months was associated with lower risk of NACE (3.0 vs. 5.1%, p = .012), all-cause death (1.1 vs. 2.6%, p = .01), and cardiac death (0.6 vs. 1.8%, p = .01), without excessive risk of major bleeding events (0.3 vs. 0.5%, p = .47). Clinical outcomes in the propensity-matched cohort were consistent.

CONCLUSIONS

ACS patients with intermediate-risk or high-ischemic risk may benefit from extended DAPT beyond 1 year, an outcome than requires further confirmation in large-scale randomized trials.

Dual-pathway inhibition for secondary and tertiary antithrombotic prevention in cardiovascular disease

Advances in antiplatelet therapies for patients with cardiovascular disease have improved patient outcomes over time, but the challenge of balancing the risks of ischaemia and bleeding remains substantial. Moreover, many patients with cardiovascular disease have a residual risk of ischaemic events despite receiving antiplatelet therapy. Therefore, novel strategies are needed to prevent clinical events through mechanisms beyond platelet inhibition and with an acceptable associated risk of bleeding. The advent of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants, which attenuate fibrin formation by selective inhibition of factor Xa or thrombin, has renewed the interest in dual-pathway inhibition strategies that combine an antiplatelet agent with an anticoagulant drug. In this Review, we highlight the emerging pharmacological rationale and clinical development of dual-pathway inhibition strategies for the prevention of atherothrombotic events in patients with different manifestations of cardiovascular disease, such as coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease and peripheral artery disease.