The NORwegian atrial fibrillation self-SCREENing (NORSCREEN) trial: rationale and design of a randomized controlled trial

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia, and many cases of AF may be undiagnosed. Whether screening for AF and subsequent treatment if AF is detected can improve long-term outcome remains an unsettled question. The primary aim of the NORwegian atrial fibrillation self-SCREENing (NORSCREEN) trial is to assess whether self-screening for AF with continuous electrocardiogram (ECG) for 3-7 days in individuals aged 65 years or older with at least one additional risk factor for stroke, and initiation of guideline-recommended therapy in patients with detected AF, will reduce the occurrence of stroke.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study is a nationwide open, siteless, randomized, controlled trial. Individuals ≥65 years of age are randomly identified from the National Population Register of Norway and are invited to take a digital inclusion/exclusion test. Individuals passing the inclusion/exclusion test are randomized to either the intervention group or the control group. A total of 35 000 participants will be enrolled. In the intervention group, self-screening is performed continuously over 3-7 days at home with a patch ECG device (ECG247) at inclusion and after 12-18 months. If AF is detected, guideline-recommended therapy will be initiated. Patients will be followed up for 5 years through national health registries. The primary outcome is time to a first stroke (ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke). The first participant in the NORSCREEN trial was enrolled on 1 September 2023.

CONCLUSION

The results from the NORSCREEN trial will provide new insights regarding the efficacy of digital siteless self-screening for AF with respect to stroke prevention in individuals at an increased risk of stroke.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinical trials: NCT05914883.

Predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio for clinical outcome in patients with atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The association between the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and the prognosis of Atrial Fibrillation (AF) has been extensively studied, yet clinical outcomes have varied. Consequently, this analysis was undertaken to explore the link between NLR and the prognostic markers of AF.

Methods

We conducted an exhaustive search across electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, to investigate the correlation between the NLR and indicators of adverse clinical outcomes associated with AF from the database establishment date through March 31, 2024. In this study, the recurrence rate of AF was the primary outcome measure, while the secondary outcome measures were mortality, stroke, and left atrial thrombus. Odds ratio (OR), relative risk (RR), hazard ratio (HR) and standard mean difference (SMD) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) were integrated for assessment, and the stability of prognostic outcomes and publication bias were verified by sensitivity analysis and Egger's test, respectively. Subgroup analyses were performed to pinpoint the sources of heterogeneity.

Results

This analysis included 20 studies, encompassing a total of 59,256 patients. Our statistical analysis of both categorical and continuous variables revealed that an elevated NLR was significantly associated with increased risks in AF patients for recurrence (categorical variable: OR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.21-1.60; continuous variable: SMD = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.24-0.74), mortality (categorical variable: OR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.59-2.20), stroke (categorical variable: OR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.13-2.17; continuous variable: SMD = 0.77, 95% CI = 0.63-0.91), and left atrial thrombus (categorical variable: OR = 1.87, 95% CI = 1.27-2.75; continuous variable: SMD = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.30-0.89). Subgroup analyses found that high NLR was significantly linked to AF recurrence when the NLR was >3. High NLR was significantly linked to the risk of stroke in AF when the NLR was ≤3.

Conclusions

This study suggested that a high NLR is significantly linked to prognostic risk markers of AF, and NLR may be an effective biomarker for the prognosis of AF in clinical practice.

Systematic Review Registration

PROSPERO (CRD42024530970).

Investigative agents for atrial fibrillation: agonists and stimulants, progress and expectations

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of cardiac arrhythmia. Its prevalence has increased due to worldwide populations that are aging in combination with the growing incidence of risk factors associated. Recent advances in our understanding of AF pathophysiology and the identification of nodal players involved in AF-promoting atrial remodeling highlights potential opportunities for new therapeutic approaches.

AREAS COVERED

This detailed review summarizes recent developments in the field antiarrhythmic drugs in the field AF.

EXPERT OPINION

The current situation is far than optimal. Despite clear unmet needs in drug development in the field of AF treatment, the current development of new drugs is absent. The need for a molecule with absence of cardiac and non-cardiac toxicity in the short and long term is a limitation in the field. Improvement in the understanding of AF genetics, pathophysiology, molecular alterations, big data and artificial intelligence with the objective to provide a personalized AF treatment will be the cornerstone of AF treatment in the coming years.

Severity, Outcomes, and their Secular Changes in 33,870 Ischemic Stroke Patients with Atrial Fibrillation in a Hospital-Based Registry: Japan Stroke Data Bank

AIM

Severity, functional outcomes, and their secular changes in acute atrial fibrillation (AF)-associated stroke patients were determined.

METHODS

Acute ischemic stroke patients with AF in a hospital-based, multicenter, prospective registry from January-2000 through December-2020, were compared with those without AF. The co-primary outcomes were the initial severity assessed by the NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score and favorable outcome assessed by the modified Rankin Scale scores 0-2 at hospital discharge.

RESULTS

Of the 142,351 patients studied, 33,870 had AF. AF patients had higher NIHSS scores (median 9 vs. 3, adjusted coefficient 5.468, 95% CI 5.354-5.582) than non-AF patients. Favorable outcome was less common in AF patients than in non-AF patients in the unadjusted analysis (48.4% vs. 70.4%), but it was more common with adjustment for the NIHSS score and other factors (adjusted OR 1.110, 95% CI 1.061-1.161). In AF patients, the NIHSS score decreased throughout the 21-year period (adjusted coefficient -0.088, 95% CI -0.115 - -0.061 per year), and the reduction was steeper than in non-AF patients (P＜0.001). In AF patients, favorable outcome became more common over the period (adjusted OR 1.018, 95% CI 1.010-1.026), and the increase was steeper than in non-AF patients (P＜0.001); the increase was no longer significant after further adjustment by reperfusion therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Initial stroke severity became milder and functional outcomes improved in AF patients over the 21-year period. These secular changes were steeper than in non-AF patients, suggesting that AF-associated stroke seemed to reap more benefit of recent development of stroke care than stroke without AF.

Atrial Fibrillation Prevalence Rates and Its Association with Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Factors: SIMETAP-AF Study

Background and Objectives: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent arrhythmia and the main cause of hospital admissions for cardioembolic stroke. The SIMETAP research project aims to update the prevalence rates of cardiovascular, renal, or metabolic factors and to evaluate their respective associations with factors that could be related. The present study aims to assess the AF prevalence rates in an adult population and its association with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) factors. Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional observational study was conducted in a primary care setting, with a population-based random sample of 6588 people aged 18.0-102.8 years. Crude and adjusted prevalence rates of AF were calculated. The associations of CKM factors with AF were assessed using bivariate and multivariate analysis. Results: The age- and sex-adjusted prevalence rates of AF were 2.9% in the overall adult population, 6.1% in the population aged ≥50 years, and 12.9% in the population aged ≥70 years, with no significant differences by sex. AF prevalence in the population under 50 years of age barely reached 1‰. Heart failure (HF), hypertension, chronic kidney disease (CKD), stroke, low HDL-cholesterol, and prediabetes were independent CKM factors associated with AF in the overall population, as were the same factors, except prediabetes, in the population ≥50 years old (p < 0.001). High or very high vascular risk was present in 92.4% [95% CI: 89.1-95.7]) of the population with AF. Conclusions: The adjusted prevalence rate of AF in the population aged 50 years or older was 6.1%, twice that of the overall adult population and half that of the population aged 70 years or older. The main independent CKM factors associated with AF were HF, stroke, CKD, hypertension, and low HDL-cholesterol.

Impact of the Type of Anticoagulation Therapy on Long-Term Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Coronary Bifurcation Lesion and Atrial Fibrillation-Insights from the Bulgarian Bifurcation Registry

Background and Objectives: Patients with atrial fibrillation and coronary artery disease represent a group with a greater risk of mortality. To evaluate patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and a significant coronary bifurcation lesion and compare the clinical outcomes between the patients on anticoagulant treatment with Vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and those on direct anticoagulant (DOAC). Materials and Methods: This is a prospective study of patients with AF and stable coronary artery disease, who had evidence of a significant coronary bifurcation lesion. A log-rank test was used to assess the difference in mortality between patients taking VKA and those on DOAC. The primary endpoint was the incidence of all-cause and cardiovascular death at mid-term. Results: A total of 226 patients with AF and a significant bifurcation lesion were included. The mean age was 70.9 ± 9.2, and 70% were males. Of the patients, 123 (54.7%) were on VKA treatment, and 103 (45.3%) were taking DOAC. For a median follow-up time of 55 (39-96) months, overall mortality was 40%, whereas CV mortality was 31%. Both all-cause (28.2% versus 50.4%, p = 0.020) and CV death (12.7% versus 24.9%, p = 0.032) were significantly lower in patients taking DOAC versus those on VKA. In patients treated with PCI, CV mortality was significantly lower in patients taking DOAC (21.4% versus 40.5%, p = 0.032). VKA therapy was an independent predictor of cardiovascular death (HR 1.88; 95% CI 1.11-3.18; p = 0.01), together with chronic kidney disease (HR 1.81; 95% CI 1.13-2.92; p = 0.01). Conclusions: Treatment with DOAC in patients with atrial fibrillation and coronary bifurcation lesion was associated with significantly lower mortality independently of the treatment approach. VKA was an independent predictor of CV mortality.

Trajectories of Frailty and Clinical Outcomes in Older Adults With Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From the Shizuoka Kokuho Database

BACKGROUND

The increasing prevalence of frailty has gained considerable attention due to its profound influence on clinical outcomes. However, our understanding of the progression of frailty and long-term clinical outcomes in older individuals with atrial fibrillation remains scarce.

METHODS

Using data from 2012 to 2018 from a comprehensive claims database incorporating primary and hospital care records in Shizuoka, Japan, we selected patients aged ≥65 years with atrial fibrillation who initiated oral anticoagulant therapy. The trajectory of frailty was plotted using Sankey plots, illustrating the annual changes in their frailty according to the electronic frailty index during a 3-year follow-up after oral anticoagulant initiation, along with the incidence of clinical adverse outcomes. For deceased patients, we assessed their frailty status in the year preceding their death.

RESULTS

Of 6247 eligible patients (45.1% women; mean age, 79.3±8.0 years) at oral anticoagulant initiation, 7.7% were categorized as fit (electronic frailty index, 0-0.12), 30.1% as mildly frail (>0.12-0.24), 35.4% as moderately frail (>0.24-0.36), and 25.9% as severely frail (>0.36). Over the 3-year follow-up, 10.4% of initially fit patients transitioned to moderately frail or severely frail. Conversely, 12.5% of severely frail patients improved to fit or mildly frail. Death, stroke, and major bleeding occurred in 23.4%, 4.1%, and 2.2% of patients, respectively. Among the mortality cases, 74.8% (N=1183) and 3.5% (N=55) had experienced moderately or severely frail and either a stroke or major bleeding in the year preceding their death, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In a contemporary era of atrial fibrillation management, a minor fraction of older patients on oral anticoagulants died following a stroke or major bleeding. However, their frailty demonstrated a dynamic trajectory, and a substantial proportion of death was observed after transitioning to a moderately or severely frail state.

Exploring the bidirectional relationship between sleep disorders and atrial fibrillation: implications for risk stratification and management

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is characterized by the absence of p-waves on ECG and irregular rhythm. It often presents with palpitations either palpitations may occur acutely over a short period or intermittently over several years. Other cardinal symptoms of atrial fibrillation include fatigue, dyspnea, and lightheadedness; it is important however to note that most affected individuals are asymptomatic. Concurrently, sleep disorders such as obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), insomnia, narcolepsy, and circadian rhythm disorders which are a group of conditions associated with the body's internal clock that affect the timing of sleep and alertness, are raising concerns due to their potential associations to arrhythmias. This review explores the bidirectional relationship between AF and sleep disorders, highlighting their implications for risk stratification and management strategies.

MAIN BODY

The narrative approach of this review synthesizes evidence from numerous studies obtained through meticulous literature searches. Specific sleep disorders with a bidirectional relationship with AF are the focus, with scrutiny on the prevalence of this connection. The examination delves into the pathophysiology of sleep-related autonomic dysregulation and inflammation, emphasizing potential management modalities. Various meta-analysis cohorts have highlighted a strong connection between sleep disorders and atrial fibrillation (AF). Patients with sleep disorders, especially OSA, have a higher likelihood of developing AF, and conversely, those with AF are more prone to sleep disorders. This impact is not limited to development, as sleep disorders also contribute to the progression of AF, with AF, in turn, negatively impacting sleep duration and quality. Sleep disorders may play an important role in atrial remodeling as well as electrophysiological abnormalities, rendering the atrial tissue more susceptible to arrhythmogenesis. The narrative review suggests that treating sleep disorders could not only improve sleep quality but also reduce risk factors associated with atrial fibrillation. The effective management of sleep disorders emerges as a potential challenge in preventing and treating atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, this narrative study highlights the bidirectional relationship between sleep disorders and atrial fibrillation. There is a positive correlation, affecting the development, progression, and management of atrial fibrillation. The detrimental impact of sleep disorders on atrial remodeling and electrophysiological abnormalities underscores the significance of their diagnosis and treatment. Education about the importance of sleep and the benefits of sleep disorder treatment becomes imperative for patients with AF and sleep disorders.

The budget impact of implementing atrial fibrillation-screening in European countries

A budget impact analysis estimates the short-term difference between the cost of the current treatment strategy and a new treatment strategy, in this case to implement population screening for atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of this study is to estimate the financial impact of implementing population-based AF-screening of 75-year-olds compared with the current setting of no screening from a healthcare payer perspective in eight European countries. The net budget impact of AF-screening was estimated in country-specific settings for Denmark, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Serbia, Spain, and Sweden. Country-specific parameters were used to allow for variations in healthcare systems and to reflect the healthcare sector in the country of interest. Similar results can be seen in all countries AF-screening incurs savings of stroke-related costs since AF treatment reduces the number of strokes. However, the increased number of detected AF and higher drug acquisition will increase the drug costs as well as the costs of physician- and control visits. The net budget impact per invited varied from €10 in Ireland to €122 in the Netherlands. The results showed the increased costs of implementing AF-screening were mainly driven by increased drug costs and screening costs. In conclusion, across Europe, though the initial cost of screening and more frequent use of oral anti-coagulants will increase the healthcare payers' costs, introducing population screening for AF will result in savings of stroke-related costs.

Thromboembolic and bleeding complications after elective cardioversion of atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study

AIMS

Elective cardioversion (ECV) is routinely used in atrial fibrillation (AF) to restore sinus rhythm. However, it includes a risk of thromboembolism even during adequate oral anticoagulation treatment. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of thromboembolic and bleeding complications after ECV in a real-life setting utilizing data from a large AF population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This nationwide register-based study included all (n = 9625) Finnish AF patients undergoing their first-ever ECV between 2012 and 2018. The thromboembolic and bleeding complications within 30 days after ECV were analysed. The mean age of the patients was 67.7 ± 9.9 years, 61.2% were men, and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 2.6 ± 1.6. Warfarin was used in 6245 (64.9%) and non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in 3380 (35.1%) cardioversions. Fifty-two (0.5%) thromboembolic complications occurred, of which 62% were ischaemic strokes, 25% transient ischaemic attacks, and 13% other systemic embolisms. Thromboembolic events occurred in 14 (0.4%) NOAC-treated patients and in 38 (0.6%) warfarin-treated patients (odds ratio 0.77; confidence interval: 0.42-1.39). The median time from ECV to the thromboembolic event was 2 days, and 78% of the events occurred within 10 days. Age and alcohol abuse were significant predictors of thromboembolic events. Among warfarin users, thromboembolic complications were more common with international normalized ratio (INR) <2.5 than INR ≥2.5 (0.9% vs. 0.4%, P = 0.026). Overall, 27 (0.3%) bleeding events occurred.

CONCLUSION

The rate of thromboembolic and bleeding complications related to ECV was low without significant difference between NOAC- and warfarin-treated patients. With warfarin, INR ≥2.5 at the time of cardioversion reduced the risk of thromboembolic complications.

Current Gaps in the Provision of Safe and Effective Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation and the Potential for Factor XI-Directed Therapeutics

The global prevalence of atrial fibrillation is rapidly increasing, in large part due to the aging of the population. Atrial fibrillation is known to increase the risk of thromboembolic stroke by 5 times, but it has been evident for decades that well-managed anticoagulation therapy can greatly attenuate this risk. Despite advances in pharmacology (such as the shift from vitamin K antagonists to direct oral anticoagulants) that have increased the safety and convenience of chronic oral anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation, a preponderance of recent observational data indicates that protection from stroke is poorly achieved on a population basis. This outcomes deficit is multifactorial in origin, stemming from a combination of underprescribing of anticoagulants (often as a result of bleeding concerns by prescribers), limitations of the drugs themselves (drug-drug interactions, bioaccumulation in renal insufficiency, short half-lives that result in lapses in therapeutic effect, etc), and suboptimal patient adherence that results from lack of understanding/education, polypharmacy, fear of bleeding, forgetfulness, and socioeconomic barriers, among other obstacles. Often this adherence is not reported to treating clinicians, further subverting efforts to optimize care. A multidisciplinary, interprofessional panel of clinicians met during the 2023 International Society of Thrombosis and Haemostasis Congress to discuss these gaps in therapy, how they can be more readily recognized, and the potential for factor XI-directed anticoagulants to improve the safety and efficacy of stroke prevention. A full appreciation of this potential requires a reevaluation of traditional teaching about the "coagulation cascade" and decoupling the processes that result in (physiologic) hemostasis and (pathologic) thrombosis. The panel discussion is summarized and presented here.

Impact of frailty in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation undergoing catheter ablation

Background

The relationships between frailty and clinical outcomes in elderly Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) after catheter ablation (CA) have not been established. We evaluated the frailty rate of patients undergoing CA for NVAF, examined whether CA for NVAF improves frailty, and analyzed the CA outcomes of patients with and without frailty.

Methods

Elderly Japanese patients (≥65 years; mean age: 72.8 years) who participated in the real-world ablation therapy with anti-coagulants in management of atrial fibrillation registry and who responded to the frailty screening index survey were included (n = 213). Frailty and AF recurrence were assessed preoperatively and at 3 and 6 months after CA.

Results

Twenty-six patients (12.8%) were frail, 109 (53.7%) were pre-frail, and 68 (33.5%) were robust. Cardiovascular (frailty: 0.5%/person-year; pre-frailty: 0.1%/person-year; robust: 0.1%/person-year) and cardiac (frailty: 0.5%/person-year; pre-frailty: 0.1%/person-year; robust: 0.1%/person-year) events, as well as major bleeding (frailty: 0.3%/person-year; pre-frailty: 0.1%/person-year; robust: 0.1%/person-year), were numerically more frequent in the frailty group. No deaths from cardiovascular or stroke/systemic thromboembolic events occurred. A large proportion of patients did not experience 3-month (frailty: 96.2%; pre-frailty: 96.3%; robust: 88.2%) or 6-month (frailty: 88.5%; pre-frailty: 91.7%; robust: 86.8%) AF recurrence after CA. Weight loss, walking speed, and fatigue improved in the frailty and pre-frailty groups after CA.

Conclusion

Japanese patients aged ≥65 years with frailty or pre-frailty had improved frailty screening index components, such as weight loss, walking speed and fatigue, after CA. Therefore, elderly patients with frailty or pre-frailty may benefit from CA for NVAF.

Intravenous thrombolysis in patients with recent intake of direct oral anticoagulants: A target trial analysis after the liberalization of institutional guidelines

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to report the safety and efficacy of off-label intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) with alteplase after sequentially liberalizing our institutional guidelines allowing IVT for patients under direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) regardless of plasma levels, time of last intake, and without prior anticoagulation reversal therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We utilized the target-trial methodology to emulate hypothetical criteria of a randomized controlled trial in our prospective stroke registry. Consecutive DOAC patients (06/2021-11/2023) otherwise qualifying for IVT were included. Safety and efficacy outcomes (symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage [ICH], any radiological ICH, major bleeding, 90-day mortality, 90-day good functional outcome [mRS 0-2 or return to baseline]) were assessed using inverse-probability-weighted regression-adjustment comparing patients with versus without IVT.

RESULTS

Ninety eight patients fulfilled the target-trial criteria. IVT was given in 49/98 (50%) patients at a median of 178 (interquartile range 134-285) min after symptom onset with median DOAC plasma level of 77 ng/ml (15 patients had plasma levels > 100 ng/ml; 25/49 [51%] were treated within 12 h after last DOAC ingestion). Endovascular therapy was more frequent in patients without IVT (73% vs 33%). Symptomatic ICH occurred in 0/49 patients receiving IVT and 2/49 patients without IVT (adjusted difference -2.5%; 95% CI -5.9 to 0.8). The rates of any radiological ICH were comparable. Patients receiving IVT were more likely to have good functional outcomes.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

After liberalizing our approach for IVT regardless of recent DOAC intake, we did not experience any safety concerns. The association of IVT with better functional outcomes warrants prospective randomized controlled trials.

Identification of Plasmatic MicroRNA-206 as New Predictor of Early Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation After Catheter Ablation Using Next-generation Sequencing

BACKGROUND

Catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) is indicated in patients with recurrent and symptomatic AF episodes. Despite the strict inclusion/exclusion criteria, AF recurrence after CA remains high. Identification of a novel biomarker that would predict AF recurrence would help to stratify the patients. The aim of the study was to seek novel biomarkers among the plasmatic microRNAs (miRNAs, miRs).

METHODS

A prospective monocentric study was conducted. A total of 49 consecutive AF patients indicated for CA were included. Blood sampling was performed prior to CA. RNA was isolated from plasma using commercial kits. In the exploration phase, small RNA sequencing was performed in ten AF patients (five with and five without AF recurrence) using Illumina instrument. In the validation phase, levels of selected miRNAs were determined using quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) in all participants.

RESULTS

Altogether, 22 miRNAs were identified as altered between the groups by next-generation sequencing (using the DESeq2 algorithm). Using qRT-PCR, levels of the five most altered miRNAs (miR-190b/206/326/505-5p/1296-5p) were verified in the whole cohort. Plasma levels of hsa-miR-206 were significantly higher in patients with early (within 6 months) AF recurrence and showed an increase of risk recurrence,2.65 times by every increase in its level by 1 unit in the binary logistic regression.

CONCLUSION

We have identified a set of 22 plasmatic miRNAs that differ between the patients with and without AF recurrence after CA and confirmed hsa-miR-206 as a novel miRNA associated with early AF recurrence. Results shall be verified in a larger independent cohort.

MicroRNAs in Atrial Fibrillation: Mechanisms, Vascular Implications, and Therapeutic Potential

Atrial fibrillation (AFib), the most prevalent arrhythmia in clinical practice, presents a growing global health concern, particularly with the aging population, as it is associated with devastating complications and an impaired quality of life. Its pathophysiology is multifactorial, including the pathways of fibrosis, inflammation, and oxidative stress. MicroRNAs (miRNAs), small non-coding RNA molecules, have emerged as substantial contributors in AFib pathophysiology, by affecting those pathways. In this review, we explore the intricate relationship between miRNAs and the aforementioned aspects of AFib, shedding light on the molecular pathways as well as the potential diagnostic applications. Recent evidence also suggests a possible role of miRNA therapeutics in maintenance of sinus rhythm via the antagonism of miR-1 and miR-328, or the pharmacological upregulation of miR-27b and miR-223-3p. Unraveling the crosstalk between specific miRNA profiles and genetic predispositions may pave the way for personalized therapeutic approaches, setting the tone for precision medicine in atrial fibrillation.

Aggressive Rhythm Control Strategy in Atrial Fibrillation Patients Presenting at the Emergency Department: The HEROMEDICUS Study Design and Initial Results

Atrial fibrillation has progressively become a more common reason for emergency department visits, representing 0.5% of presenting reasons. Registry data have indicated that about 60% of atrial fibrillation patients who present to the emergency department are admitted, emphasizing the need for more efficient management of atrial fibrillation in the acute phase. Management of atrial fibrillation in the setting of the emergency department varies between countries and healthcare systems. The most plausible reason to justify a conservative rather than an aggressive strategy in the management of atrial fibrillation is the absence of specific guidelines from diverse societies. Several trials of atrial fibrillation treatment strategies, including cardioversion, have demonstrated that atrial fibrillation in the emergency department can be treated safely and effectively, avoiding admission. In the present study, we present the epidemiology and characteristics of atrial fibrillation patients presenting to the emergency department, as well as the impact of diverse management strategies on atrial-fibrillation-related hospital admissions. Lastly, the design and initial data of the HEROMEDICUS protocol will be presented, which constitutes an electrophysiology-based aggressive rhythm control strategy in patients with atrial fibrillation in the emergency department setting.

Screening for Atrial Fibrillation by Digital Health Technology in Older People in Homecare Settings: A Feasibility Trial

Aims

Users of homecare services are often excluded from clinical trials due to advanced age, multimorbidity, and frailty. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common and frequently undiagnosed arrhythmia in the elderly and is associated with severe mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs. Timely identification prevents associated complications through evidence-based treatment. This study is aimed at assessing the feasibility of AF screening using new digital health technology in older people in a homecare setting.

Methods

Users of homecare services ≥ 65 years old with at least one additional risk factor for stroke in two Norwegian municipalities were assessed for study participation by nurses. Participants performed a continuous prolonged ECG recording using a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor).

Results

A total of 144 individuals were assessed for study participation, but only 18 (13%) were included. The main reasons for noninclusion were known AF and/or anticoagulation therapy (25%), severe cognitive impairment (26%), and lack of willingness to participate (36%). The mean age of participants performing the ECG test was 81 (SD ± 7) years, and 9 (50%) were women. All ECG tests were interpretable; the mean ECG monitoring time was 104 hours (IQR 34-338 hours). AF was detected in one individual (6%).

Conclusion

This feasibility study highlights the challenges of enrolling older people receiving homecare services in clinical trials. However, all included participants performed an interpretable and prolonged continuous ECG recording with a digital ECG patch device. This trial is registered with NCT04700865.

High Diagnostic Accuracy of Long-Term Electrocardiogram Interpretation by General Practitioners

Aims

Traditional long-term ECG monitoring systems have primarily been used by cardiologist. New remote and wearable easy-to-use devices have led to increased use of ECG recordings also outside cardiology clinics. The aims of this study were to assess the feasibility and diagnostic accuracy of interpretation of the one-lead ECG recordings from a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor system) by general practitioners (GP).

Methods

Norwegian GPs were invited to digitally assess 10 long-term ECG recordings with different arrhythmias performed by the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor system. For all ECG examinations, the presence/absence of different arrhythmias was registered.

Results

A total of 40 GPs accepted the invitation and assessed all the 10 long-term ECG recordings. All the tests were assessed as interpretable by all the GPs. Arrhythmias (atrial fibrillation/flutter, supraventricular tachycardia, and ventricular tachycardia) were correctly identified in most cases, with sensitivity of 98% (95% CI 95-99%), specificity of 75% (95% CI 68-82%), and diagnostic accuracy of 89% (85-92%). Incorrect automatic system algorithm interpretations were rarely corrected by the GPs.

Conclusion

GPs interpreted one-lead recordings by the ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor system with high diagnostic accuracy for common arrhythmias. However, in cases with rare arrhythmias, we recommend consulting a cardiologist to confirm the diagnosis before treatment is initiated. This trial is registered with NCT04700865.

The Role of Immune Cells Driving Electropathology and Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common progressive cardiac arrhythmia worldwide and entails serious complications including stroke and heart failure. Despite decades of clinical research, the current treatment of AF is suboptimal. This is due to a lack of knowledge on the mechanistic root causes of AF. Prevailing theories indicate a key role for molecular and structural changes in driving electrical conduction abnormalities in the atria and as such triggering AF. Emerging evidence indicates the role of the altered atrial and systemic immune landscape in driving this so-called electropathology. Immune cells and immune markers play a central role in immune remodeling by exhibiting dual facets. While the activation and recruitment of immune cells contribute to maintaining atrial stability, the excessive activation and pronounced expression of immune markers can foster AF. This review delineates shifts in cardiac composition and the distribution of immune cells in the context of cardiac health and disease, especially AF. A comprehensive exploration of the functions of diverse immune cell types in AF and other cardiac diseases is essential to unravel the intricacies of immune remodeling. Usltimately, we delve into clinical evidence showcasing immune modifications in both the atrial and systemic domains among AF patients, aiming to elucidate immune markers for therapy and diagnostics.

Updates in the management of atrial fibrillation: Emerging therapies and treatment

OBJECTIVE

The most common and clinically important cardiac arrhythmia is atrial fibrillation (AF), which has a large negative impact on public health due to higher fatalities, morbidity, and healthcare expenditure rates. This study aims to provide valuable insights into the effectiveness and outcomes of various treatment approaches and interventions for AF.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review.

METHOD

The most pertinent published research (original papers and reviews) in the scientific literature were searched for and critically assessed using the online, internationally indexed databases PubMed, Medline, and Cochrane Reviews. These studies are summarised in this review. Keywords like "Atrial Fibrillation", "emerging therapies", "treatment", "catheter ablation", and "atrial appendage" were used to search the papers. The papers were researched and examined to be relevant to the topic.

CONCLUSION

A lot of work has gone into enhancing AF management to deal with this expanding public health concern. Significant developments and advances in the treatment of AF during the past few years have aided clinicians in giving AF patients better care. The most recent treatments for AF include medication, catheter ablation, cryo-balloon ablation, and left atrial appendage closure.

Model-based estimation of AV-nodal refractory period and conduction delay trends from ECG

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia, associated with significant burdens to patients and the healthcare system. The atrioventricular (AV) node plays a vital role in regulating heart rate during AF by filtering electrical impulses from the atria. However, it is often insufficient in regards to maintaining a healthy heart rate, thus the AV node properties are modified using rate-control drugs. Moreover, treatment selection during permanent AF is currently done empirically. Quantifying individual differences in diurnal and short-term variability of AV-nodal function could aid in personalized treatment selection. Methods: This study presents a novel methodology for estimating the refractory period (RP) and conduction delay (CD) trends, and their uncertainty in the two pathways of the AV node during 24 h using non-invasive data. This was achieved by utilizing a network model together with a problem-specific genetic algorithm and an approximate Bayesian computation algorithm. Diurnal variability in the estimated RP and CD was quantified by the difference between the daytime and nighttime estimates, and short-term variability was quantified by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance between adjacent 10-min segments in the 24-h trends. Additionally, the predictive value of the derived parameter trends regarding drug outcome was investigated using several machine learning tools. Results: Holter electrocardiograms from 51 patients with permanent AF during baseline were analyzed, and the predictive power of variations in RP and CD on the resulting heart rate reduction after treatment with four rate control drugs was investigated. Diurnal variability yielded no correlation to treatment outcome, and no prediction of drug outcome was possible using the machine learning tools. However, a correlation between the short-term variability for the RP and CD in the fast pathway and resulting heart rate reduction during treatment with metoprolol (ρ = 0.48, p < 0.005 in RP, ρ = 0.35, p < 0.05 in CD) were found. Discussion: The proposed methodology enables non-invasive estimation of the AV node properties during 24 h, which-indicated by the correlation between the short-term variability and heart rate reduction-may have the potential to assist in treatment selection.

Randomised, siteless study to compare systematic atrial fibrillation screening using enrichment by a risk prediction model with standard care in a Swedish population aged ≥ 65 years: CONSIDERING-AF study design

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and confers an increased risk of mortality, stroke, heart failure and cognitive decline. There is growing interest in AF screening; however, the most suitable population and device for AF detection remains to be elucidated. Here, we present the design of the CONSIDERING-AF (deteCtiON and Stroke preventIon by moDEl scRreenING for Atrial Fibrillation) study.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

CONSIDERING-AF is a randomised, controlled, siteless, non-blinded diagnostic superiority trial with four parallel groups and a primary endpoint of identifying AF during a 6-month study period set in Region Halland, Sweden. In each group, 740 individuals aged≥65 years will be included. The primary objective is to compare the intervention of AF screening enrichment using a risk prediction model (RPM), followed by 14 days of a continuous ECG patch, with no intervention (standard care). Primary outcome is defined as the incident AF recorded in the Region Halland Information Database after 6 months as compared with standard care. Secondary endpoints include the difference in incident AF between groups enriched or not by the RPM, with and without an invitation to 14 days of continuous ECG recording, and the proportions of oral anticoagulation treatment in the four groups.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study has ethical approval from the Swedish Ethical Review Authority. Results will be published in peer-reviewed international journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05838781.

Arrhythmias among Older Adults Receiving Comprehensive Geriatric Care: Prevalence and Associated Factors

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular diseases and arrhythmias are medical conditions that increase with age and are associated with significant morbidities and mortality. The aim of the present study was to investigate the prevalence of arrhythmias and clinical associations in the collective of older adults receiving comprehensive geriatric care (CGC).

METHODS

Holter ECG monitoring (HECG) of older patients hospitalized for CGC was analyzed. The prevalence of arrhythmias and the associations between the presence of arrhythmias, patients' characteristics and the functional status regarding basic activities of daily living (assessed by the Barthel index (BI)), walking ability (assessed by the timed up and go test (TUG)), and balance and gait (assessed by the Tinetti balance and gait test (TBGT)) were examined.

RESULTS

In the presented study, 626 patients were included (mean age: 83.9 ± 6.6 years, 67.7% were female). The most common arrhythmias detected in HECG were premature ventricular contractions (87.2%), premature atrial contractions (71.7%), and atrial fibrillation (22.7%). Atrial flutter was found in 1.0%, paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia in 5.8%, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia in 12.5%, first-degree AV block in 0.8%, second-degree AV block type Mobitz I in 0.8%, second-degree AV block type Mobitz II in 0.3%, pause > 2.5 s any cause in 3.5%, and pause > 3 s any cause in 1.6% of the cases. Premature atrial contractions were associated with the female sex (74.8% vs. 65.3%, p = 0.018), whereas in male patients, the following arrhythmias were more common: premature ventricular contractions (91.6% vs. 85.1%, p = 0.029), ventricular bigeminus (8.4% vs. 3.8%, p = 0.021), and non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (17.3% vs. 10.1%, p = 0.014). Atrial fibrillation detected in HECG was more frequent in patients at high risk of falls, indicated by their TBGT score ≤ 18 (24.7% vs. 12.0%, p = 0.006), and premature ventricular contractions were more common in patients unable to walk (TUG score 5) compared to those with largely independent mobility (TUG score 1 or 2) (88.0% vs. 75.0%, p = 0.023). In a logistic regression analysis, atrial fibrillation detected in HECG was identified as a risk factor for a high risk of falls (odds ratio (OR): 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.23-4.46).

CONCLUSION

In our study, investigation of HECG of older adults hospitalized for CGC revealed that premature atrial contractions, premature ventricular contractions, and atrial fibrillation were the most common arrhythmias. Premature atrial contractions were found to be more frequent in female patients, while male patients were more prone to premature ventricular contractions. In the investigated population, atrial fibrillation emerged as a risk factor associated with a high risk of falls.

Atrial fibrillation ablation in heart failure patients: Where do we stand in 2023? - State of the art review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure are common overlapping cardiovascular disorders. Despite important therapeutic advances over the past several decades, controversy persists about whether a rate control or rhythm control approach constitutes the best option in this population. There is also considerable debate about whether antiarrhythmic drug therapy or ablation is the best approach when rhythm control is pursued.  A brief historical examination of the literature addressing this issue will be performed. An analysis of several important clinical outcomes observed in the prospective, randomized studies, which have compared AF ablation to non-ablation treatment options, will be discussed. This review will conclude with recommendations to guide clinicians on the status of AF ablation as a treatment option when considering management options in heart failure patients with atrial fibrillation.

Exercise and Atrial Fibrillation: The Dose Makes the Poison? A Narrative Review

"All things are poison, and nothing is without poison; the dosage alone makes it so a thing is not a poison" (Paracelsus, ~ 1538 AD). This well-known quote seems to aptly summarize the current understanding of the interaction between exercise and atrial fibrillation (AF). A host of data strongly suggests that regular exercise has a protective effect against developing AF. A small but well-conducted group of trials also demonstrates beneficial effects of exercise in the treatment of AF. Recently, however, potentially detrimental effects of large volumes of high-intensity exercise on the probability of developing AF have moved into the sports-cardiological focus. This effect is well documented for elite athletes; data regarding the general population is less clear. This review presents the current data regarding the protective, therapeutic and potentially risk-enhancing effects of exercise regarding AF. The authors demonstrate that the benefits are clear and strongly outweigh the potential disadvantages.

The impact of atrial fibrillation on prognosis in aortic stenosis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and aortic stenosis (AS) are both highly prevalent and often coexist. Various studies have focused on the prognostic value of AF in patients with AS, but rarely considered left ventricular (LV) diastolic function as a prognostic factor.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic impact of AF in patients with AS while correcting for LV diastolic function.

METHODS

Patients with first diagnosis of significant AS were selected and stratified according to history of AF. The endpoint was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 2849 patients with significant AS (mean age 72 ± 12 years, 54.8% men) were evaluated, and 686 (24.1%) had a history of AF. During a median follow-up of 60 (30-97) months, 1182 (41.5%) patients died. Ten-year mortality rate in patients with AF was 46.8% compared to 36.8% in patients with sinus rhythm (SR) (log-rank P < 0.001). On univariable (HR: 1.42; 95% CI: 1.25-1.62; P < 0.001) and multivariable Cox regression analysis (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.02-1.38; P = 0.026), AF was independently associated with mortality. However, when correcting for indexed left atrial volume, E/e' or both, AF was no longer independently associated with all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

Patients with significant AS and AF have a reduced survival as compared to patients with SR. Nonetheless, when correcting for markers of LV diastolic function, AF was not independently associated with outcomes in patients with significant AS.

Ten-year trends in incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark according to demographics, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence (2009-2018)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and a major global health burden. Updated trends in the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF) are needed.

METHODS

Using the Danish Heart Statistics, we investigated nationwide trends 2009-2018 in incidence rate and prevalence of AF according to age as well as age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and prevalence (ASP) of AF according to sex, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence. Comparing year 2018 to 2009, we calculated stratum-specific ASIR ratios (ASIRR) and changes in ASP.

RESULTS

During 2009-2015 the ASIR for AF increased for both men and women, followed by a decline from 2015-2018. Overall, this resulted in a 9% increase among men (ASIRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.12), but no change among women (ASIRR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.97-1.04). The ASP increased by 29% among men and 26% among women. An increase in ASIR was observed in all ethnic groups except men of Far Eastern ethnicity. Lower educational level was associated with greater increases in both ASIR and ASP. ASIR and ASP differed slightly between the Danish regions but increased in all of them.

CONCLUSIONS

During 2009-2018 the incidence and prevalence of AF in Denmark increased although the increase in incidence was transient among women. Factors associated with higher incidence were male sex, higher age, Danish and Western ethnicity as well as Middle Eastern/North African ethnicity among women, and lower educational level. Within Denmark, we observed only minor regional differences in AF incidence and prevalence.

Causal association of calcific aortic valve stenosis and atrial fibrillation: a Mendelian randomization study

Calcific aortic valve stenosis (CAVS) is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in observational studies, but whether these associations are causal has not been determined. This study aimed to explore the potential causal relationship between CAVS and AF via Mendelian randomization (MR). Genetic variants from the genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary data of the European population for CAVS were used to investigate the association with AF. The inverse variance weighted (IVW) approach was used to obtain the primary causal inference, and several sensitivity analysis approaches, such as the MR‒Egger and weighted median (WM), were performed to assess the robustness of the results. A total of nineteen valid and independent genetic SNPs associated with CAVS were obtained from the GWAS database. Genetically predicted CAVS (OR: 1.105; 95% CI: 1.072-1.139; p = 8.60E-11) was associated with an increased risk of AF. Similar results were discovered in the sensitivity analyses by using MR Egger and weighted median approaches. An MR design was used to reduce confounding variables and the potential for reverse causality bias. The results provide genetic evidence that CAVS considerably increased the risk of AF.

Novel laparoscopic renal denervation immediately reduces atrial fibrillation inducibility: a swine model study

Catheter-based approaches may have inherent limitations in achieving effective renal denervation (RDN) and treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to investigate the acute effects of novel laparoscopic RDN on modulating AF inducibility using a swine model. Four and five swine were randomly allocated to the sham and RDN groups, respectively. Each swine underwent measurement of the atrial effective refractory period (AERP) and AF induction tests using burst atrial pacing before and immediately after sham or RDN procedures with and without vagal nerve stimulation (VNS). A laparoscopic RDN procedure circumferentially ablated the renal nerves round the renal arteries using radiofrequency energy. There was no significant difference in the baseline AERP between the two groups (p > 0.05). Under VNS, AERP was significantly increased by 20 ms after laparoscopic RDN (95% CI = 0-30, p = 0.004). Compared to the sham group, the RDN group showed significantly reduced AF inducibility [OR (95% CI) = 0.32 (0.13-0.76) and 0.24 (0.11-0.57) with and without VNS, respectively]. After laparoscopic RDN, the duration of inducible AF episodes was significantly shortened from 28 (10-77) s to 7 (3-11) s (p < 0.001). The novel laparoscopic RDN can immediately reduce AF inducibility in a swine model.

Safety and Efficacy of Uninterrupted Oral Anticoagulation in Patients Undergoing Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation with Different Techniques

BACKGROUND

The safety and efficacy of an uninterrupted direct anticoagulation (DOAC) strategy during catheter ablation (CA) for atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been fully investigated with different ablation techniques.

METHODS

We evaluated consecutive AF patients undergoing catheter ablation with three different techniques. All patients were managed with an uninterrupted DOAC strategy. The primary endpoint was the rate of periprocedural thromboembolic and bleeding events. The secondary endpoints of the study were the rate of MACE and bleeding events at one-year follow-up.

RESULTS

In total, 162 patients were enrolled. Overall, 53 were female and the median age was 60 [55.5-69.5] years. The median CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were 2 [1-4] and 2 [1-2], respectively. In total, 16 patients had a past stroke or TIA while 11 had a predisposition or a history of bleeding. The CA procedure was performed with different techniques: RF 43%, cryoballoon 37%, or laser-balloon 20%. Overall, 35.8% were on rivaroxaban, 20.4% were on edoxaban, 6.8% were on apixaban, and 3.7% were on dabigatran. All other patients were all naïve to DOACs; the first anticoagulant dose was given before the ablation procedure. As for periprocedural complications, we found three groin hematomas not requiring interventions, one ischemic stroke, and one systemic air embolism (the last two likely due to several catheter changes through the transeptal sheath). Five patients reached the secondary endpoints: one patient for a myocardial infarction while four patients experienced minor bleeding during 1-year follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results corroborate the safety and the efficacy of uninterrupted DOAC strategy in patients undergoing CA for AF, regardless of the ablation technique.

Risk of both intracranial hemorrhage and ischemic stroke in elderly individuals with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation taking direct oral anticoagulants compared with warfarin: Analysis of the ANAFIE registry

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) might have a higher risk of intracerebral hemorrhage. To investigate this, we compared the incidence of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and its subtypes, as well as ischemic stroke, in patients taking direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) compared with warfarin in a real-world setting. We also determined the baseline characteristics associated with both ICH and ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Patients aged ⩾ 75 years with documented NVAF enrolled in the prospective, multicenter, observational All Nippon Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly Registry between October 2016 and January 2018 were evaluated. The co-primary endpoints were the incidence of ischemic stroke and ICH. Secondary endpoints included subtypes of ICH.

RESULTS

Of 32,275 patients (13,793 women; median age, 81.0 years) analyzed, 21,585 (66.9%) were taking DOACs and 8233 (25.5%) were taking warfarin. During the median 1.88-year follow-up, 743 patients (1.24/100 person-years) developed ischemic stroke and 453 (0.75/100 person-years) developed ICH (intracerebral hemorrhage, 189; subarachnoid hemorrhage, 72; subdural/epidural hemorrhage, 190; unknown subtype, 2). The incidence of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.70-0.97), ICH (aHR 0.68, 95% CI 0.55-0.83), and subdural/epidural hemorrhage (aHR 0.53, 95% CI 0.39-0.72) was lower in DOAC users versus warfarin users. The incidence of fatal ICH and fatal subarachnoid hemorrhage was also lower in DOAC users versus warfarin users. Several baseline characteristics other than anticoagulants were also associated with the incidence of the endpoints. Of these, history of cerebrovascular disease (aHR 2.39, 95% CI 2.05-2.78), persistent NVAF, (aHR 1.90, 95% CI 1.53-2.36), and long-standing persistent/permanent NVAF (aHR 1.92, 95% CI 1.60-2.30) was strongly associated with ischemic stroke; severe hepatic disease (aHR 2.67, 95% CI 1.46-4.88) was strongly associated with overall ICH; and history of fall within 1 year was strongly associated with both overall ICH (aHR 2.29, 95% CI 1.76-2.97) and subdural/epidural hemorrhage (aHR 2.90, 95% CI 1.99-4.23).

CONCLUSION

Patients aged ⩾ 75 years with NVAF taking DOACs had lower risks of ischemic stroke, ICH, and subdural/epidural hemorrhage than those taking warfarin. Fall was strongly associated with the risks of intracranial and subdural/epidural hemorrhage.

DATA ACCESS STATEMENT

The individual de-identified participant data and study protocol will be shared for up to 36 months after the publication of the article. Access criteria for data sharing (including requests) will be decided on by a committee led by Daiichi Sankyo. To gain access, those requesting data access will need to sign a data access agreement. Requests should be directed to yamt-tky@umin.ac.jp.

Safety and Efficacy of Cryoballoon Pulmonary Vein Isolation and Left Atrial Appendage Closure Combined Procedure and Half-Dose Rivaroxaban After Operation in Elderly Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Background

To investigate the safety and effectiveness of cryo-balloon pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) and left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) combined procedure and half-dose rivaroxaban after operation in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Patients and Methods

A total of 203 AF patients presented for cryo-balloon PVI, and LAAC combined procedure was included from 2019 to 2021. Postoperative patients were anticoagulated with rivaroxaban with/without clopidogrel for 60 days, with oral rivaroxaban of 10 mg in the elderly group and 20 mg in the non-elderly group. Patients with AF ≥80 and <80 years were considered elderly and non-elderly groups, respectively. Scheduled follow-ups and transesophageal echocardiography were used to assess peri- and post-procedural safety and effectiveness.

Results

A total of 203 patients underwent the combined procedure, 83 in the elderly and 120 in the non-elderly groups. All patients successfully obtained PVI and satisfactory LAAC. During the perioperative period, one patient had puncture complications in the elderly group and one with thrombosis in the non-elderly group. Oral rivaroxaban was administered to 83.2% and 75% of patients in the elderly and non-elderly groups, respectively, and rivaroxaban was combined with clopidogrel anticoagulation in the remaining patients. The annual rates of composite clinical events were 8.4% and 9.2% in the elderly and non-elderly groups, respectively, with no statistically significant difference. Patients in both groups had complete sealing, and there was no displacement of devices, death and peripheral arterial thrombosis. Recurrence of AF occurred in 25 and 32 patients in the elderly and non-elderly groups, respectively, with no statistically significant difference. Besides, the two groups had no statistically significant difference in cerebral infarction/transient ischemic attack and device-related thrombosis (p > 0.05).

Conclusion

This study suggests that cryo-balloon PVI and LAAC combined procedure and half-dose rivaroxaban after the operation is safe and effective in treating elderly patients with AF.

Associations of dietary patterns with risk of incident atrial fibrillation in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS)

BACKGROUND

We examined whether the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in a large, biracial, prospective cohort is lower in participants who adhere to heart-healthy dietary patterns and higher in participants who adhere to less heart-healthy diets.

METHODS

Between 2003 and 2007, the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort study enrolled 30,239 Black and White Americans aged 45 years or older. Dietary patterns (convenience, plant-based, sweets, Southern, and alcohol and salads) and the Mediterranean diet score (MDS) were derived based on food frequency questionnaire data. The primary outcome was incident AF at the follow-up visit 2013-2016, defined by either electrocardiogram or self-reported medical history of a physician diagnosis.

RESULTS

This study included 8977 participants (mean age 63 ± 8.3 years; 56% women; 30% Black) free of AF at baseline who completed the follow-up exam an average of 9.4 years later. A total of 782 incident AF cases were detected. In multivariable logistic regression analyses, neither the MDS score (odds ratio (OR) per SD increment = 1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.95-1.11) or the plant-based dietary pattern (OR per SD increment = 1.03; 95% CI 0.94-1.12) were associated with AF risk. Additionally, an increased AF risk was not associated with any of the less-healthy dietary patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

While specific dietary patterns have been associated with AF risk factors, our findings fail to show an association between diet patterns and AF development.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal

Stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is one pillar of the management of this common arrhythmia. Substantial advances in the epidemiology and associated pathophysiology underlying AF-related stroke and thrombo-embolism are evident. Furthermore, the introduction of the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (also called direct oral anticoagulants) has clearly changed our approach to stroke prevention in AF, such that the default should be to offer oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention, unless the patient is at low risk. A strategy of early rhythm control is also beneficial in reducing strokes in selected patients with recent onset AF, when compared to rate control. Cardiovascular risk factor management, with optimization of comorbidities and attention to lifestyle factors, and the patient's psychological morbidity are also essential. Finally, in selected patients with absolute contraindications to long-term oral anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion or exclusion may be considered. The aim of this state-of-the-art review article is to provide an overview of the current status of AF-related stroke and prevention strategies. A holistic or integrated care approach to AF management is recommended to minimize the risk of stroke in patients with AF, based on the evidence-based Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway, as follows: A: Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; B: Better patient-centred, symptom-directed decisions on rate or rhythm control; C: Cardiovascular risk factor and comorbidity optimization, including lifestyle changes.

Implementation and first outcomes of a novel standard operating procedure for preprocedural transoesophageal echocardiography screening in course of atrial arrhythmia ablation

AIMS

Preprocedural transoesophageal echocardiography (TEE) screening for left atrial (LA) thrombi is the standard of care in many centres performing atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. However, TEE imposes procedural risks for patients and is often challenging to implement in daily practice, besides causing patient discomfort. At our centre, a novel standard operating procedure (SOP) was implemented, aiming to identify patients that can be exempt from TEE screening. We aimed to assess whether this screening approach may reduce preprocedural TEEs without imposing patients of higher risks for cerebrovascular events (CVEs).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data of 1874 consecutive patients treated by catheter ablation of LA arrhythmias between 2018 and 2022 were retrospectively analysed. A cohort of 937 patients, where decision to perform TEE screening was based on a new SOP (considering rhythm at admission, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and sufficient anticoagulation), was compared to a matched cohort receiving TEE before every procedure. Number of performed TEEs and incidences of CVEs were compared. Implementation of the new SOP led to a 67% reduction in TEEs performed (old SOP: 933 vs. new SOP: 305). No significant differences between the groups were detected regarding transitory ischaemic attack (old SOP: 5 vs. new SOP: 3; P = 0.48) and stroke (no events). No solid thrombi were detected during TEE screening.

CONCLUSION

The number of preprocedural screening TEEs before AF ablation procedures can be safely reduced by applying risk stratification based on rhythm at admission and CHA2DS2-VASc score, if anticoagulation was performed properly.

Patient perspectives on same-day discharge following catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: results from a patient survey as part of the monocentric FAST AFA trial

AIMS

Same-day discharge (SDD) following catheter ablation (CA) of atrial fibrillation (AF) was already introduced in selected facilities in Europe, but a widespread implementation has not yet succeeded. Data on patients' perspectives are lacking. Therefore, we conducted a survey to address patients' beliefs towards SDD and identify variables that are associated with their evaluation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

As part of the prospective, monocentric FAST AFA trial, patients aged ≥20 years undergoing left atrial CA for AF were asked to participate in the survey consisting of a study-specific questionnaire, the AF knowledge scale, and pre-defined patient-reported outcome measures. The study cohort was stratified based on SDD willingness, and a logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors for patients' valuation. Between 26 July 2021 and 01 July 2022, 256 of 376 screened patients consented to study participation of whom 248 (mean age 61.8 years, 33.9% female) completed the SDD survey. Of them, 50.0% were willing to have SDD concepts integrated into their clinical course with increased patient comfort (27.5%), shorter waiting times (14.6%), and a cost-efficient treatment (14.0%) being imaginable benefits. In contrast, expressed concerns included uncertainties with occurring complaints (50.6%), the insufficient recognition (47.8%), and treatment (48.9%) of complications. European Heart Rhythm Association class at baseline and inpatient treatments within the preceding year were predictors for SDD willingness whereas comorbidity burden or AF knowledge were not.

CONCLUSION

We provide a detailed survey expressing patients' beliefs towards SDD following left atrial CA. Our findings may facilitate adequate patient selection to improve the future implementation of SDD programs in suitable cohorts.

Persistence to rivaroxaban therapy for stroke prevention in clinical practice in Italy: Rationale and design of the RITMUS-AF prospective observational cohort study

Background

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is a cardiac rhythm disturbance that increases the risk of stroke and is highly prevalent in Europe and Italy, increasingly with advancing age. Oral anticoagulation is a key component of stroke prevention in patients with NVAF, yet withdrawal or interruption of anticoagulation may transiently increase the risk of embolic events. Treatment persistence to anticoagulation is an important metric but one that is not well studied in patients with NVAF in Italy. The RITMUS-AF study aims to evaluate the persistence with rivaroxaban treatment for stroke prevention in patients with NVAF in Italy.

Methods

RITMUS-AF is a prospective, observational cohort study of patients with NVAF in hospital cardiology departments with a non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant surveillance program across all 20 regions of Italy. The study population comprises consecutively screened, consenting patients with NVAF naïve to and newly treated with rivaroxaban for stroke prevention in routine clinical practice. The target enrollment is 800 patients; each patient will be followed for a maximum duration of 24 months. The primary endpoint is the proportion of patients who discontinue rivaroxaban treatment. Secondary endpoints are reasons for rivaroxaban discontinuation, dose changes and reasons for changes, switches to alternative therapies and the reasons for these decisions, and self-reported adherence. Data analyses will be exploratory and descriptive.

Conclusion

RITMUS-AF will help to address the limited data in Italian clinical practice on treatment persistence and reasons for drug interruptions in patients with NVAF on rivaroxaban.

Assessment of atrial fibrillation in European emergency departments: insights from a prospective observational multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis and management of atrial fibrillation (AF) in emergency departments (EDs) have not been well described in France, with limited EU research. This study aimed to describe the diagnosis, management, and prognosis of AF patients in French EDs.

METHODS

A prospective, observational 2-month study in adults diagnosed with AF was conducted at 32 French EDs. Data regarding patient characteristics, diagnosis, and treatment at EDs were collected, with 12-month follow-up.

RESULTS

The study included a total of 1369 patients diagnosed with AF at an ED: 279 patients (20.4%) with idiopathic AF (no identified cause of the AF) and 1090 (79.6%) with secondary AF (with a principal diagnosis identified as the cause of AF). Patients were aged 84 years (median) and 51.3% were female. Significantly more idiopathic AF patients than secondary AF patients underwent CHA<inf>2</inf>DS<inf>2</inf>-VASc assessment (67.8% vs. 52.1%,) or echocardiography (21.2% vs. 8.3%), or received an oral anticoagulant and/or antiarrhythmic (62.0% vs. 12.9%). Idiopathic AF patients also had significantly higher rates of discharge to home (36.4% vs. 20.4%) and 3-month cardiologist follow-up (67.0% vs. 41.1%). At 12 months, 96% of patients with follow-up achieved sinus rhythm. The estimated Kaplan-Meier 12-month mortality rate was significantly lower with idiopathic AF than secondary AF (11.9% vs. 34.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients diagnosed with idiopathic or secondary AF at the ED presented heterogeneous characteristics and prognoses, with those with secondary AF having worse outcomes. Further studies are warranted to optimize patients' initial evaluation in EDs and provide appropriate follow-up.

Comparison of discrimination and calibration performance of ECG-based machine learning models for prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Machine learning (ML) methods to build prediction models starting from electrocardiogram (ECG) signals are an emerging research field. The aim of the present study is to investigate the performances of two ML approaches based on ECGs for the prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF), in terms of discrimination, calibration and sample size dependence.

METHODS

We trained two models to predict new-onset AF: a convolutional neural network (CNN), that takes as input the raw ECG signals, and an eXtreme Gradient Boosting model (XGB), that uses the signal's extracted features. A penalized logistic regression model (LR) was used as a benchmark. Discrimination was evaluated with the area under the ROC curve, while calibration with the integrated calibration index. We investigated the dependence of models' performances on the sample size and on class imbalance corrections introduced with random under-sampling.

RESULTS

CNN's discrimination was the most affected by the sample size, outperforming XGB and LR only around n = 10.000 observations. Calibration showed only a small dependence on the sample size for all the models considered. Balancing the training set with random undersampling did not improve discrimination in any of the models. Instead, the main effect of imbalance corrections was to worsen the models' calibration (for CNN, integrated calibration index from 0.014 [0.01, 0.018] to 0.17 [0.16, 0.19]). The sample size emerged as a fundamental point for developing the CNN model, especially in terms of discrimination (AUC = 0.75 [0.73, 0.77] when n = 10.000, AUC = 0.80 [0.79, 0.81] when n = 150.000). The effect of the sample size on the other two models was weaker. Imbalance corrections led to poorly calibrated models, for all the approaches considered, reducing the clinical utility of the models.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that the choice of approach in the analysis of ECG should be based on the amount of data available, preferring more standard models for small datasets. Moreover, imbalance correction methods should be avoided when developing clinical prediction models, where calibration is crucial.

Effect of Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation Patients with Polypharmacy: A Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

 The aim of the present meta-analysis was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with polypharmacy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

 Randomized controlled trials or observational studies reporting the data of NOACs versus VKAs among AF patients with polypharmacy were included. The search was performed in the PubMed and Embase databases up to November 2022. A total of 12 studies involving 767,544 AF patients were included. For the primary outcomes, the use of NOACs compared with VKAs was significantly associated with a reduced risk of stroke or systemic embolism in AF patients with moderate polypharmacy (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.77 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.86]) and severe polypharmacy (HR: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.69-0.82]), but there was no significant difference in major bleeding (moderate polypharmacy: HR: 0.87 [95% CI: 0.74-1.01]; severe polypharmacy: HR: 0.91 [95% CI: 0.79-1.06]) between the two groups. In secondary outcomes, there were no differences in the rates of ischemic stroke, all-cause death, and gastrointestinal bleeding between the NOAC- and VKA- users, but NOAC users had a reduced risk of any bleeding compared with VKA- users. Compared with VKAs, the risk of intracranial hemorrhage was reduced in NOAC- users with moderate polypharmacy but not severe polypharmacy.

CONCLUSION

 In patients with AF and polypharmacy, NOACs showed advantages over VKAs in stroke or systemic embolism and any bleeding, and were comparable to VKAs for major bleeding, ischemic stroke, all-cause death, intracranial hemorrhage, and gastrointestinal bleeding.

Managing older people with atrial fibrillation and preventing stroke: a review of anticoagulation approaches

INTRODUCTION

Oral anticoagulants (OACs) are the cornerstone of stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF), but prescribing decisions in older people are complicated. Clinicians must assess the net clinical benefit of OAC in the context of multiple chronic conditions, polypharmacy, frailty and life expectancy. The under-representation of high-risk, older adult sub-populations in clinical trials presents the challenge of choosing the right OAC, where a 'one-size-fits-all' approach cannot be taken.

AREAS COVERED

This review discusses OAC approaches for stroke prevention in older people with AF and presents a prescribing aid to support clinicians' decision-making. High-risk older adults with multiple chronic conditions, specifically chronic kidney disease, dementia/cognitive impairment, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack or intracranial hemorrhage, polypharmacy, frailty, low body weight, high falls risk, and those aged ≥75 years are considered.

EXPERT OPINION

Non-vitamin K antagonist OACs are the preferred first-line OAC in older adults with AF, including high-risk subpopulations, after individual assessment of stroke and bleeding risk, except those with mechanical heart valves and moderate-to-severe mitral stenosis. Head-to-head comparisons of NOACs are not available, therefore the choice of drug (and dose) should be based on an individual's risk (stroke and bleeding) and incorporate their treatment preferences. Treatment decisions must be person-centered and principles of shared decision-making applied.

Atrial fibrillation: primary prevention, secondary prevention, and prevention of thromboembolic complications: part 1

Atrial fibrillation (AF), is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia. It was once thought to be benign as long as the ventricular rate was controlled, however, AF is associated with significant cardiac morbidity and mortality. Increasing life expectancy driven by improved health care and decreased fertility rates has, in most of the world, resulted in the population aged ≥65 years growing more rapidly than the overall population. As the population ages, projections suggest that the burden of AF may increase more than 60% by 2050. Although considerable progress has been made in the treatment and management of AF, primary prevention, secondary prevention, and prevention of thromboembolic complications remain a work in progress. This narrative review was facilitated by a MEDLINE search to identify peer-reviewed clinical trials, randomized controlled trials, meta-analyses, and other clinically relevant studies. The search was limited to English-language reports published between 1950 and 2021. Atrial fibrillation was searched via the terms primary prevention, hyperthyroidism, Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome, catheter ablation, surgical ablation, hybrid ablation, stroke prevention, anticoagulation, left atrial occlusion and atrial excision. Google and Google scholar as well as bibliographies of identified articles were reviewed for additional references. In these two manuscripts, we discuss the current strategies available to prevent AF, then compare noninvasive and invasive treatment strategies to diminish AF recurrence. In addition, we examine the pharmacological, percutaneous device and surgical approaches to prevent stroke as well as other types of thromboembolic events.

Fully digital self-screening for atrial fibrillation with patch electrocardiogram

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia worldwide. The AF is associated with severe mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs, and guidelines recommend screening people at risk. However, screening methods and organization still need to be clarified. The current study aimed to assess the feasibility of a fully digital self-screening procedure and to assess the prevalence of undetected AF using a continuous patch electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring system.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Individuals ≥65 years old with at least one additional risk factor for stroke from the general population of Norway were invited to a fully digital continuous self-screening for AF using a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor). Participants self-reported clinical characteristics and usability online, and all participants received digital feedback of their results. A total of 2118 individuals with a mean CHA2DS2-VASc risk score of 2.6 (0.9) were enrolled in the study [74% women; mean age 70.1 years (4.2)]. Of these, 1849 (87.3%) participants completed the ECG self-screening test, while 215 (10.2%) did not try to start the test and 54 (2.5%) failed to start the test. The system usability score was 84.5. The mean ECG monitoring time was 153 h (87). Atrial fibrillation was detected in 41 (2.2%) individuals.

CONCLUSION

This fully digitalized self-screening procedure for AF demonstrated excellent feasibility. The number needed to screen was 45 to detect one unrecognized case of AF in subjects at risk for stroke. Randomized studies with long-term follow-up are needed to assess whether self-screening for AF can reduce the incidence of AF-related complications.

CLINICAL TRIALS

NCT04700865.

Microembolizations in the Arterial Cerebral Circulation in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation Ablation Using the Cryoballoon Technique-Protocol and Methodology of a Prospective Observational Study

There is considerable uncertainty regarding the impact of microembolic signals (MESs) on neuropsychological abilities in patients receiving pulmonary vein isolation and beyond using the cryoballoon technique. We conducted the largest prospective observational study on this topic, providing insights into the gradual unmasking of procedure-related MESs and their impacts on neuropsychological outcomes. MESs were continuously detected periprocedurally using transcranial Doppler ultrasonography. Neuropsychological status was evaluated comprehensively using the CERAD Plus test battery, which consists of 11 neuropsychological subtests. Patients with atrial fibrillation were included in the study with an equal distribution (50:50) of paroxysmal or persistent presentations. Of 167 consecutive eligible patients, 100 were included within the study enrollment period from February 2021 to August 2022. The study, including the documentation of all follow-up visits, ended in November 2022. This paper focuses on describing the study protocol and methodology and presenting the baseline data.

ANMCO-SIMEU consensus document: appropriate management of atrial fibrillation in the emergency department

Atrial fibrillation (AF) accounts for 2% of the total presentations to the emergency department (ED) and represents the most frequent arrhythmic cause for hospitalization. It steadily increases the risk of thromboembolic events and is often associated with several comorbidities that negatively affect patient's quality of life and prognosis. AF has a considerable impact on healthcare resources, making the promotion of an adequate and coordinated management of this arrhythmia necessary in order to avoid clinical complications and to implement the adoption of appropriate technological and pharmacological treatment options. AF management varies across regions and hospitals and there is also heterogeneity in the use of anticoagulation and electric cardioversion, with limited use of direct oral anticoagulants. The ED represents the first access point for early management of patients with AF. The appropriate management of this arrhythmia in the acute setting has a great impact on improving patient's quality of life and outcomes as well as on rationalization of the financial resources related to the clinical course of AF. Therefore, physicians should provide a well-structured clinical and diagnostic pathway for patients with AF who are admitted to the ED. This should be based on a tight and propositional collaboration among several specialists, i.e. the ED physician, cardiologist, internal medicine physician, anesthesiologist. The aim of this ANMCO-SIMEU consensus document is to provide shared recommendations for promoting an integrated, accurate, and up-to-date management of patients with AF admitted to the ED or Cardiology Department, in order to make it homogeneous across the national territory.

Gut microbiome and atrial fibrillation-results from a large population-based study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important heart rhythm disorder in aging populations. The gut microbiome composition has been previously related to cardiovascular disease risk factors. Whether the gut microbial profile is also associated with the risk of AF remains unknown.

METHODS

We examined the associations of prevalent and incident AF with gut microbiota in the FINRISK 2002 study, a random population sample of 6763 individuals. We replicated our findings in an independent case-control cohort of 138 individuals in Hamburg, Germany.

FINDINGS

Multivariable-adjusted regression models revealed that prevalent AF (N = 116) was associated with nine microbial genera. Incident AF (N = 539) over a median follow-up of 15 years was associated with eight microbial genera with false discovery rate (FDR)-corrected P < 0.05. Both prevalent and incident AF were associated with the genera Enorma and Bifidobacterium (FDR-corrected P < 0.001). AF was not significantly associated with bacterial diversity measures. Seventy-five percent of top genera (Enorma, Paraprevotella, Odoribacter, Collinsella, Barnesiella, Alistipes) in Cox regression analyses showed a consistent direction of shifted abundance in an independent AF case-control cohort that was used for replication.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings establish the basis for the use of microbiome profiles in AF risk prediction. However, extensive research is still warranted before microbiome sequencing can be used for prevention and targeted treatment of AF.

FUNDING

This study was funded by European Research Council, German Ministry of Research and Education, Academy of Finland, Finnish Medical Foundation, and the Finnish Foundation for Cardiovascular Research, the Emil Aaltonen Foundation, and the Paavo Nurmi Foundation.

Cardioselective versus Non-Cardioselective Beta-Blockers and Outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been independently associated with increased mortality; however, there is no evidence regarding beta-blocker cardioselectivity and long-term outcomes in patients with AF and concurrent COPD. Methods: This post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized trial (NCT02941978) included patients hospitalized with comorbid AF. At discharge, all patients were classified according to the presence of COPD; patients with COPD on beta-blockers were classified according to beta-blocker cardioselectivity. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were calculated by using multivariable Cox regression models. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality and hospitalizations. Results: Of 1103 patients with AF, 145 (13%) had comorbid COPD. Comorbid COPD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause (aHR, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02 to 1.73) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.47; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.99), but not with increased risk of hospitalizations (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.48). The use of cardioselective versus non-cardioselective beta-blockers was associated with similar all-cause mortality (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.94), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.33; 95% CI, 0.71 to 2.51), and hospitalizations (aHR 1.65; 95% CI 0.80 to 3.38). Conclusions: In recently hospitalized patients with AF, the presence of COPD was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. No difference between cardioselective and non-cardioselective beta-blockers, regarding clinical outcomes, was identified.

Incidence and Predictors of Switching and Dose Change of Direct Oral Anticoagulants among Elderly Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation: A 5-Year Analysis of a Large Administrative Database

In the last decade, novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have emerged as prominent therapeutic options in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We analysed the clinical burden and the switching rate between all available NOACs, and their dosage change over a period of 5 years in a representative population of patients with NVAF aged between 70 and 75 years. Methods and Results: This is a retrospective observational study on administrative databases, covering approximately 6.2 million health-assisted individuals by the Italian National Health System (around 11% of the entire Italian residents). Out of 4640 NVAF patients treated with NOACs and aged 70-75 years in 2017, 3772 (81.3%) patients were still in treatment with NOAC up to 2021 and among them, 3389 (73.0%) patients remained in treatment with the same NOAC during 2017-2021. In fact, 10.2% of patients switched NOAC type and 10.3% changed the dose of the same NOAC. Overall, after switching, the dabigatran and rivaroxaban groups lost, respectively, 13.5% and 2.8% of patients, while apixaban and edoxaban resulted in a relative percentage increase of 6.8% and 44.6% of patients, respectively. By a logistic regression analysis, the treatment with rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban (respect to dabigatran) was associated with a significant risk reduction of switch of 57%, 68%, and 44%, respectively. On the other hand, several features of high risk were associated with dose reduction. Conclusions. In our 5-year analysis of a large administrative database, a switching among NOACs or a change in NOAC dosages occurred in around 20% of elderly patients with NVAF. The type of NOAC was associated with a high switching rate, while several characteristics of high risk resulted as predictors of dose reduction of NOACs. Moreover, a worsening trend of clinical conditions occurred in patients maintaining the same NOAC treatment across 2017-2021.

Associations of risk factor burden and genetic predisposition with the 10-year risk of atrial fibrillation: observations from a large prospective study of 348,904 participants

BACKGROUND

Understanding the effects of risk factor burden and genetic predisposition on the long-term risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is important to improve public health initiatives. However, the 10-year risk of AF considering risk factor burden and genetic predisposition is unknown.

METHODS

A total of 348,904 genetically unrelated participants without AF at baseline from the UK were categorized into three groups: index ages 45 years (n = 84,206), 55 years (n=117,520), and 65 years (n=147,178). Optimal, borderline, or elevated risk factor burden was determined by body mass index, blood pressure, diabetes mellitus, alcohol consumption, smoking status, and history of myocardial infarction or heart failure. Genetic predisposition was estimated using the polygenic risk score (PRS), constructed using 165 predefined genetic risk variants. The combined effects of risk factor burden and PRS on the risk of incident AF in 10 years were estimated for each index age. Fine and Gray models were developed to predict the 10-year risk of AF.

RESULTS

The overall 10-year risk of AF was 0.67% (95% CI: 0.61-0.73%) for index age 45 years, 2.05% (95% CI: 1.96-2.13%) for index age 55 years, and 6.34% (95% CI: 6.21-6.46%) for index age 65 years, respectively. An optimal risk factor burden was associated with later AF onset regardless of genetic predisposition and sex (P < 0.001). Significant synergistic interactions were observed for risk factor burden with PRS at each index age (P < 0.05). Participants with an elevated risk factor burden and high PRS had the highest 10-year risk of AF in reference to those who had both an optimal risk factor burden and a low PRS. At younger ages, optimal risk burden and high PRS might also lead to later onset of AF, compared to the joint effect of elevated risk burden and low/intermediate PRS.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factor burden together with a genetic predisposition is associated with the 10-year risk of AF. Our results may be helpful in selecting high-risk individuals for primary prevention of AF and facilitating subsequent health interventions.