The incidence of acute pancreatitis: impact of social deprivation, alcohol consumption, seasonal and demographic factors

Global, regional, and national burden of pancreatitis in children and adolescents

BACKGROUND

Pancreatitis poses a growing public health concern among children and adolescents, yet comprehensive data on its prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) remain scarce. This study aims to analyze global, regional, and national trends in pancreatitis burden over the past 3 decades.

METHODS

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database spanning 1990-2019, we assessed pancreatitis prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs, reporting on numbers, rates, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR), and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Trends were analyzed by age, sex, region, and socio-demographic index (SDI) using jointpoint analysis and predictive modeling.

RESULTS

Globally, pancreatitis prevalence and incidence rates have increased (AAPC prevalence = 0.13, 95% CI: 0.11-0.16; AAPC incidence = 0.30, 95% CI: 0.28-0.32), while mortality and DALYs rates have decreased (AAPC mortality = -1.30, 95% CI: -1.53, -1.07; AAPC DALYs = -1.21, 95% CI: -1.41, -1.01). Both genders showed similar trends. Children under 5 and adolescents 15-19 had higher mortality and DALYs rates. Low SDI regions experienced the greatest increase in ASIR. Eastern Europe exhibited high and rising ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR. Projections indicate continued rise in prevalence with declining mortality and DALYs.

CONCLUSION

Pancreatitis burden in children and adolescents has surged globally, especially in lower SDI regions. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted interventions and healthcare resources in affected areas.

Exosomes Derived From Cerulein-Stimulated Pancreatic Acinar Cells Mediate Peritoneal Macrophage M1 Polarization and Pyroptosis via an miR-24-3p/MARCH3/NLRP3 Axis in Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) has a high incidence of hospitalizations, morbidity, and mortality worldwide. A growing number of studies on AP pathogenesis are based on cerulein-induced experimental model, which simulates human AP in vivo. It has been demonstrated that both pancreatic acinar cells and peritoneal macrophages are involved in pancreatic inflammation and damage. However, their connection has not been well understood.

METHODS

A cerulein-induced AP model was established on the pancreatic acinar cell line AR42J. Rat macrophages were isolated from the peritoneal cavity. The effects of cerulein-induced pancreatic exosomes on the peritoneal macrophage and pancreas in vivo and in vitro were examined. The underlying molecular mechanism was investigated by exploring the regulatory role of downstream molecules.

RESULTS

We found that exosomes derived from cerulein-treated AR42J cells induced rat peritoneal macrophage M1 polarization and pyroptosis. miR-24-3p was upregulated in cerulein-stimulated exosomes, whereas the miR-24-3p inhibitor counteracted the effect of pancreatic exosomes on peritoneal macrophage M1 polarization and pyroptosis. Furthermore, miR-24-3p inhibited March3 expression, whereas MARCH3 mediated NLRP3 ubiquitination in rat peritoneal macrophages, which, in turn, contributed to the apoptosis, reactive oxygen species production, and inflammation in AR42J cells.

CONCLUSIONS

Exosomes derived from cerulein-stimulated pancreatic acinar cells mediate peritoneal macrophage M1 polarization and pyroptosis via an miR-24-3p/MARCH3/NLRP3 axis in AP.

Involvement of heparanase in the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis: Implication of novel therapeutic approaches

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disease with high morbidity and mortality rate. Unfortunately, neither the etiology nor the pathophysiology of AP are fully understood and causal treatment options are not available. Recently we demonstrated that heparanase (Hpa) is adversely involved in the pathogenesis of AP and inhibition of this enzyme ameliorates the manifestation of the disease. Moreover, a pioneer study demonstrated that Aspirin has partial inhibitory effect on Hpa. Another compound, which possesses a mild pancreato-protective effect against AP, is Trehalose, a common disaccharide. We hypothesized that combination of Aspirin, Trehalose, PG545 (Pixatimod) and SST0001 (Roneparstat), specific inhibitors of Hpa, may exert pancreato-protective effect better than each drug alone. Thus, the current study examines the pancreato-protective effects of Aspirin, Trehalose, PG545 and SST0001 in experimental model of AP induced by cerulein in wild-type (WT) and Hpa over-expressing (Hpa-Tg) mice. Cerulein-induced AP in WT mice was associated with significant rises in the serum levels of lipase (X4) and amylase (X3) with enhancement of pancreatic edema index, inflammatory response, and autophagy. Responses to cerulein were all more profound in Hpa-Tg mice versus WT mice, evident by X7 and X5 folds increase in lipase and amylase levels, respectively. Treatment with Aspirin or Trehalose alone and even more so in combination with PG545 or SST0001 were highly effective, restoring the serum level of lipase back to the basal level. Importantly, a novel newly synthesized compound termed Aspirlose effectively ameliorated the pathogenesis of AP as a single agent. Collectively, the results strongly indicate that targeting Hpa by using anti-Hpa drug combinations constitute a novel therapy for this common orphan disease.

The four seasons of pancreatitis - Etiology of acute pancreatitis during the course of the year

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Whether seasonality is a factor that influences the incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is an under-investigated area. If seasonal incidence peaks can be detected, specifically with regard to biliary pancreatitis, has so far been answered in contradictory ways in the literature.

METHODS

All AP cases from two tertiary German referral centers were identified between 2016 and 2022 based on ICD-10 discharge codes. The χ2 test for goodness of fit was applied to test significant differences in monthly and seasonal distributions of AP admissions.

RESULTS

In total, 3597 AP cases were included. We observed significantly more idiopathic and biliary cases in May to July (p-values 0.041 and 0.027, respectively). Furthermore, most drug-induced APs were identified during the winter months (p-value 0.006). Moreover, there was a significant peak of alcohol-induced pancreatitis in summer and fall (p-value 0.038).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data indicate a seasonal impact on AP incidences for certain etiologies.

The influence of socioeconomic inequity and guidelines compliance on clinical outcomes of patients with acute biliary pancreatitis. An international multicentric cohort study

BACKGROUND

There is lack of data on the association between socioeconomic factors, guidelines compliance and clinical outcomes among patients with acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP).

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of the international MANCTRA-1 registry evaluating the impact of regional disparities as indicated by the Human Development Index (HDI), and guideline compliance on ABP clinical outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression models were employed to identify prognostic factors associated with mortality and readmission.

RESULTS

Among 5313 individuals from 151 centres across 42 countries marked disparities in comorbid conditions, ABP severity, and medical procedure usage were observed. Patients from lower HDI countries had higher guideline non-compliance (p < 0.001) and mortality (5.0% vs. 3.2%, p = 0.019) in comparison with very high HDI countries. On adjusted analysis, ASA score (OR 1.810, p = 0.037), severe ABP (OR 2.735, p < 0.001), infected necrosis (OR 2.225, p = 0.006), organ failure (OR 4.511, p = 0.001) and guideline non-compliance (OR 2.554, p = 0.002 and OR 2.178, p = 0.015) were associated with increased mortality. HDI was a critical socio-economic factor affecting both mortality (OR 2.452, p = 0.007) and readmission (OR 1.542, p = 0.046).

CONCLUSION

These data highlight the importance of collaborative research to characterise challenges and disparities in global ABP management. Less developed regions with lower HDI scores showed lower adherence to clinical guidelines and higher rates of mortality and recurrence.

Alcoholic Acute Pancreatitis, a Retrospective Study about Clinical Risk Factors and Outcomes-A Seven-Year Experience of a Large Tertiary Center

(1) Background: Alcohol consumption is one of the main causes of acute pancreatitis. (2) Material and Methods: In this unicentric retrospective cohort study, we selected 1855 patients from the Bucharest Acute Pancreatitis Index (BUC-API) who presented with acute pancreatitis. We investigated correlations between Alcoholic Acute Pancreatitis (AAP) and the rate of complications, cost, length of hospitalization and rate of recurrence. (3) Results: We found a moderately strong association between AAP and recurrence (p < 0.01) and observed that the disease is likelier to evolve with pseudocysts and walled-off necrosis than other forms of AP. Patients with AAP are less likely to have a morphologically normal pancreas than patients suffering from AP of other causes (p < 0.01), but a low probability of requiring intensive care unit admission (p < 0.01) significantly lowers daily cost (Md = 154.7 EUR compared to Md = 204.4 EUR) (p < 0.01). (4) Conclusions: This study's data show that patients with AAP have a greater rate of pseudocyst occurrence, lower intensive care unit admittance rate and lower cost of hospitalization than patients with AP of other causes. Typical Sketch: A middle-aged male tobacco smoker with recurrent AP, lower risk of in-hospital mortality and complications such as pseudocysts; treated in a gastroenterological ward and discharged at-will.

The epidemiology of acute pancreatitis in Tasmania over a 12-year period: Is this a disease of disadvantage?

BACKGROUND

The global incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing, but little information exists about trends in Australia. This study aimed to describe incidence trends, along with clinical and socio-demographic associations, in the state of Tasmania over a recent 12-year period.

METHODS

The study cohort was obtained by linking clinical and administrative datasets encompassing the whole Tasmanian population between 2007 and 2018, inclusive. Pancreatitis case definition was based on relevant ICD-10 hospitalization codes, or elevated serum lipase or amylase in pathology data. Age-standardised incidence rates were estimated, overall and stratified by sex, aetiology, and Index of Relative Socio-economic Disadvantage (IRSD).

RESULTS

In the study period, 4905 public hospital AP episodes were identified in 3503 people. The age-standardised person-based incidence rate across the entire period was 54 per 100,000 per year. Incidence was inversely related to IRSD score; 71 per 100,000 per year in the most disadvantaged quartile compared to 32 in the least disadvantaged. Biliary AP incidence was higher than that of alcohol-related AP, although the greatest incidence was in "unspecified" cases. There was an increase in incidence for the whole cohort (average annual percent change 3.23 %), largely driven by the two most disadvantaged IRSD quartiles; the least disadvantaged quartile saw a slight overall decrease.

CONCLUSION

This is the first Australian study providing robust evidence that AP incidence is increasing and is at the upper limit of population-based studies worldwide. This increased incidence is greatest in socio-economically disadvantaged areas, meriting further research to develop targeted, holistic management strategies.

Impact of Geospatial Food Access on Acute Pancreatitis Outcomes

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Food access is an important social determinant of health and refers to geographical and infrastructural aspects of food availability. Using publicly available data on food access from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), geospatial analyses can identify regions with variable food access, which may impact acute pancreatitis (AP), an acute inflammatory condition characterized by unpredictable outcomes and substantial mortality. This study aimed to investigate the association of clinical outcomes in patients with AP with geospatial food access.

METHODS

We examined AP-related hospitalizations at a tertiary center from January 2008 to December 2018. The physical addresses were geocoded through ArcGIS Pro2.7.0 (ESRI, Redlands, CA). USDA Food Access Research Atlas defined low food access as urban areas with 33% or more of the population residing over one mile from the nearest food source. Regression analyses enabled assessment of the association between AP outcomes and food access.

RESULTS

The study included 772 unique patients with AP residing in Massachusetts with 931 AP-related hospitalizations. One hundred and ninety-eight (25.6%) patients resided in census tracts with normal urban food access and 574 (74.4%) patients resided in tracts with low food access. AP severity per revised Atlanta classification [OR 1.88 (95%CI 1.21-2.92); p = 0.005], and 30-day AP-related readmission [OR 1.78(95%CI 1.11-2.86); p = 0.02] had significant association with food access, despite adjustment for demographics, healthcare behaviors, and comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index). However, food access lacked significant association with AP-related mortality (p = 0.40) and length of stay (LOS: p = 0.99).

CONCLUSION

Low food access had a significant association with 30-day AP-related readmissions and AP severity. However, mortality and LOS lacked significant association with food access. The association between nutrition, lifestyle, and AP outcomes warrants further prospective investigation.

Impact of heparanase-2 (Hpa2) on cancer and inflammation: Advances and paradigms

HPSE2, the gene-encoding heparanase 2 (Hpa2), is mutated in urofacial syndrome (UFS), a rare autosomal recessive congenital disease attributed to peripheral neuropathy. Hpa2 lacks intrinsic heparan sulfate (HS)-degrading activity, the hallmark of heparanase (Hpa1), yet it exhibits a high affinity toward HS, thereby inhibiting Hpa1 enzymatic activity. Hpa2 regulates selected genes that promote normal differentiation, tissue homeostasis, and endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress, resulting in antitumor, antiangiogenic, and anti-inflammatory effects. Importantly, stress conditions induce the expression of Hpa2, thus establishing a feedback loop, where Hpa2 enhances ER stress which, in turn, induces Hpa2 expression. In most cases, cancer patients who retain high levels of Hpa2 survive longer than patients bearing Hpa2-low tumors. Experimentally, overexpression of Hpa2 attenuates the growth of tumor xenografts, whereas Hpa2 gene silencing results in aggressive tumors. Studies applying conditional Hpa2 knockout (cHpa2-KO) mice revealed an essential involvement of Hpa2 contributed by the host in protecting against cancer and inflammation. This was best reflected by the distorted morphology of the Hpa2-null pancreas, including massive infiltration of immune cells, acinar to adipocyte trans-differentiation, and acinar to ductal metaplasia. Moreover, orthotopic inoculation of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) cells into the pancreas of Hpa2-null vs. wild-type mice yielded tumors that were by far more aggressive. Likewise, intravenous inoculation of cancer cells into cHpa2-KO mice resulted in a dramatically increased lung colonization reflecting the involvement of Hpa2 in restricting the formation of a premetastatic niche. Elucidating Hpa2 structure-activity-relationships is expected to support the development of Hpa2-based therapies against cancer and inflammation.

Assessing the causal link between liver function and acute pancreatitis: A Mendelian randomisation study

A correlation has been reported to exist between exposure factors (e.g. liver function) and acute pancreatitis. However, the specific causal relationship remains unclear. This study aimed to infer the causal relationship between liver function and acute pancreatitis using the Mendelian randomisation method. We employed summary data from a genome-wide association study involving individuals of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and FinnGen. Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SCNPs), closely associated with liver function, served as instrumental variables. We used five regression models for causality assessment: MR-Egger regression, the random-effect inverse variance weighting method (IVW), the weighted median method (WME), the weighted model, and the simple model. We assessed the heterogeneity of the SNPs using Cochran's Q test. Multi-effect analysis was performed using the intercept term of the MR-Egger method and leave-one-out detection. Odds ratios (ORs) were used to evaluate the causal relationship between liver function and acute pancreatitis risk. A total of 641 SNPs were incorporated as instrumental variables. The MR-IVW method indicated a causal effect of gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) on acute pancreatitis (OR = 1.180, 95%CI [confidence interval]: 1.021-1.365, P = 0.025), suggesting that GGT may influence the incidence of acute pancreatitis. Conversely, the results for alkaline phosphatase (ALP) (OR = 0.997, 95%CI: 0.992-1.002, P = 0.197) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (OR = 0.939, 95%CI: 0.794-1.111, P = 0.464) did not show a causal effect on acute pancreatitis. Additionally, neither the intercept term nor the zero difference in the MR-Egger regression attained statistical significance (P = 0.257), and there were no observable gene effects. This study suggests that GGT levels are a potential risk factor for acute pancreatitis and may increase the associated risk. In contrast, ALP and AST levels did not affect the risk of acute pancreatitis.

Risk Factors for Death in Patients with Severe Acute Pancreatitis in Guizhou Province, China

Aim

To compare the clinical characteristics of survival and nonsurvival patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and explore the risk of mortality in SAP patients.

Methods

This was a single-center retrospective study performed in a severe acute pancreatitis diagnosis and treatment center. According to the outcome, SAP patients were divided into survival group and nonsurvival group. One-way ANOVA or independent t-test was used to compare the clinical characteristics of two groups of patients. Multivariate retrospective analysis was used to identify risk factors for mortality in SAP patients.

Results

A total of 486 SAP patients were included in the study, and the 90-day mortality for SAP patients was 13.58%. The common etiologies of SAP are biliary tract diseases (69.75%) and hyperlipidemia (17.28%). The most common complications caused by SAP were organ failure (55.14%), ARDS (50.62%), AKI (30.45%), sepsis (27.16%), and abdominal fluid collection (27.57%). There were differences in age, complications, and medical intervention between the nonsurvival group and the survival group. The main causes of death were infection (46.97%), abdominal bleeding (28.79%), and organ failure (9.09%). The binary logistic regression analysis showed that there were significant differences in age, AKI, sepsis, abdominal hemorrhage, organ failure, laparotomy, creatinine, and APTT between the nonsurvival group and the survival group.

Conclusion

Age, AKI, sepsis, abdominal hemorrhage, and organ failure are risk factors for mortality in SAP patients. SAP patients with high creatinine and prolonged APTT upon admission require doctors to be vigilant. The main cause of death in SAP patients is pancreatitis-related organ failure and secondary infection.

Etiological Changes and Prognosis of Hospitalized Patients with Acute Pancreatitis Over a 15-Year Period

BACKGROUND

The worldwide incidence of acute pancreatitis (AP) is increasing, but the dominant etiology of AP may vary by country. Mixed etiologies are involved in the increase in the number of AP patients.

AIMS

This study was to analyze the etiological changes and prognosis of AP patients and explore the prognosis of AP patients with mixed etiologies.

METHODS

Using a retrospective analysis method, AP patients hospitalized from January 2007 to December 2021 were selected from a pancreatic center in Nanchang, China. Trends in the main etiologies were analyzed, and the severity and prognosis of different etiologies were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 10,071 patients were included. Cholelithiasis (56.0%), hyperlipidemia (25.3%), and alcohol (6.5%) were the top three etiologies. The proportion of acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) showed a decreasing trend, while the proportion of hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP) and alcoholic AP showed an increasing trend (all ptrend < 0.001). The incidence of organ failure and necrotizing pancreatitis was higher in patients with HTGP than in those with AP induced by other etiologies (all p < 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in mortality among patients with different etiologies. Patients with AP due to a mixed hypertriglyceridemia-alcoholic etiology had higher ICU admission rates and were more severe than those with AP induced by other mixed etiologies.

CONCLUSION

In the past 15 years, the proportion of ABP has trended downward, while those of HTGP and alcoholic AP have risen. Among patients with mixed etiologies, those with a mixed hypertriglyceridemia-alcoholic etiology had a worse prognosis.

Comparison of different intensive triglyceride-lowering therapies in patients with hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to investigate the clinical value of emergent triglyceride (TG)-lowering therapies for hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis (HLAP).

METHODS

126 HLAP patients were assigned randomly to receive either conventional treatment (CT), normal saline (NS) alone, or continuous veno-venous hemofiltration (CVVH) as an intensive TG-lowering therapy. TG levels, clinical outcomes, and inflammatory biomarkers were compared among the three groups.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics did not differ significantly among the groups. CVVH removed TG from the plasma and achieved its target TG (<500 mg/dL) in approximately 25 h, compared to 40 h in the NS alone group and no targeted effect within 48 h in the CT group (P < 0.05). Although the majority of clinical outcomes did not differ significantly, an unexpectedly higher incidence of organ failure occurred in the CVVH group compared to the others. Hospital costs, severe AP patients and length of stay were significantly higher in the CVVH group compared to the other groups (P < 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Early CVVH lowers TG levels more efficiently than NS alone or CT therapy, but is not superior in terms of clinical outcomes and costs. NS also lowers TG levels and is significantly less costly than the other two treatments. Further multicenter studies are needed to determine the feasibility of NS alone treatment for HLAP patients.

Evaluating the efficacy and timing of blood purification modalities in early-stage hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis treatment

Hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP) is characterized by a violent cytokine storm-driven inflammation and is associated with a predisposition to severe disease. The treatment strategy for HTG-AP consists mainly of conventional symptomatic and lipid-lowering treatments. For early-stage HTG-AP, blood purification (BP) can rapidly and effectively reduce serum triglyceride and inflammatory cytokine levels, block the development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and improve patient outcomes. Currently, the primary modalities for BP in patients with HTG-AP include plasma exchange, hemoperfusion, and hemofiltration. When using BP to treat patients with HTG-AP, a comprehensive analysis incorporating the elevated lipid levels and severity of the patient's condition contributes to the selection of different treatment modes. Moreover, the timing of the treatment is also imperative. Early intervention is associated with a better prognosis for patients with HTG-AP requiring lipid-lowering treatment.

Decreased HDL-C Levels as a Predictor of Organ Failure in Acute Pancreatitis in the Emergency Department

High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is reported as a biomarker of systemic inflammation and multi-organ failure (MOF), which has been rarely investigated in acute pancreatitis (AP), a frequent condition in the emergency department (ED). The objective was to study the predictive capacity of the decrease in HDL-C to the progression of MOF in AP in the ED; analyzing 114 patients with AP for one year in a longitudinal and prospective study, AP severity was obtained by the Atlanta classification, in relation to modified Marshall and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) scores, and clinical and laboratory parameters in a 48 h hospital stay. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to estimate the validity of the predictor and define optimal cut-off points. It was found that AP was classified as severe in 24.5%, mainly for biliary etiology (78.9%) and female sex (73.6%). As a biomarker, HDL-C decreased from 31.6 to 29.5 mg/dL in a 48 h stay (p < 0.001), correlating negatively with the increase in severity index > 2 and the modified Marshall (p < 0.032) and BISAP (p < 0.009) scores, finding an area under the ROC curve with a predictive capacity of 0.756 (95% CI, 0.614-0.898; p < 0.004) and a cut-off point of 28.5 mg/dL (sensitivity: 79%, specificity: 78%), demonstrating that the decrease in HDL-C levels serves as a useful indicator with a predictive capacity for MOF in mild to severe AP, during a 48 h hospital stay in the ED.

Acute Pancreatitis: Current Clinical Approaches, Molecular Pathophysiology, and Potential Therapeutics

OBJECTIVE

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), pancreatic inflammation leading to multiorgan failure, is associated with high morbidity and mortality. There is a critical need to identify novel therapeutic strategies to improve clinical outcomes for SAP patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A comprehensive literature review was performed to identify current clinical strategies, known molecular pathophysiology, and potential therapeutic targets for SAP.

RESULTS

Current clinical approaches focus on determining which patients will likely develop SAP. However, therapeutic options are limited to supportive care and fluid resuscitation. The application of a novel 5-cytokine panel accurately predicting disease outcomes in SAP suggests that molecular approaches will improve impact of future clinical trials in AP.

CONCLUSIONS

Inflammatory outcomes in acute pancreatitis are driven by several unique molecular signals, which compound to promote both local and systemic inflammation. The identification of master cytokine regulators is critical to developing therapeutics, which reduce inflammation through several mechanisms.

A Case of Hypertriglyceridemia-Induced Acute Pancreatitis in the Setting of Alcohol Abuse

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is the painful inflammation of the pancreas. It is commonly associated with gallstones, excessive alcohol use, and certain medications. We report a case of hypertriglyceridemia-induced pancreatitis in a 35-year-old African American male with a history of alcohol abuse, tobacco use, and hyperlipidemia who presented with abdominal pain and intractable vomiting. During history taking, he reported chronic alcohol abuse over the past 10 years. On physical examination, he was ill-looking, with a dry mucous membrane and reproducible epigastric tenderness. Laboratory testing indicated markedly elevated triglycerides and lipase levels. Computed Tomography imaging showed signs of pancreatic inflammation. He was treated with aggressive intravenous fluid hydration, insulin infusion, and pain control medications. He demonstrated significant improvement and then transitioned to oral fibrates. Community resources for alcohol abuse treatment were provided and a referral was made to endocrinology for outpatient follow-up. This case highlights acute pancreatitis in a person with high alcohol use with elevated triglyceride and explores possible associations between these three.

Neostigmine for the treatment of acute pancreatitis: a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common disease with substantial mortality. Gut dysfunction may result in abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS) and delay enteral nutrition, worsening AP condition. Neostigmine is used as a prokinetic drug for the treatment of AP. But there are no recommendations from guidelines due to the lack of evidence. Therefore, we plan to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore the efficacy and safety of neostigmine for AP, aiming to provide current evidence for clinical practice.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

We prepared this protocol following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocols. We will search the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, EMBASE, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, Wanfang, conference proceedings and ongoing trials registers for eligible studies comparing neostigmine plus conventional therapy with conventional therapy. Primary outcomes include new-onset ACS and serious adverse events caused by neostigmine. Evaluation of the risk of bias, heterogeneity and quality of evidence will follow recommendations of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions. Trial sequential analysis will be used to control the risk of random errors and assess conclusions in the meta-analysis.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval is unnecessary as the systematic review is based on published studies. Study findings will be published in a peer-reviewed journal.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42022369536.

Investigation of factors affecting COVID-19 pancreatic injury: a single-center, retrospective study

Pancreatic injury is considered an organ-related complication in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, it is unclear whether COVID-19 status affects pancreatic injury. This retrospective study aimed to determine whether COVID-19 affects the occurrence of pancreatic injuries. Consecutive patients diagnosed with sepsis admitted to the ICU between March 2020 and September 2021 were included. The primary endpoint was a pancreatic injury, which was defined as amylase or lipase levels > 3 times the upper limit of the normal range. Among the 177 patients included in the analysis, 40 (23%) were COVID-19 patients, and 54 (31%) had pancreatic injuries. Of these three patients, acute pancreatitis was diagnosed based on computed tomography. The pancreatic injury was significantly more common among COVID-19 patients (75 vs. 18%, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that COVID-19 and steroid use were independent risk factors for pancreatic injury (Odds Ratio (OR) 4.79 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.48-15.5], p = 0.009; OR 4.02 [95% CI 1.42-11.4], p = 0.009). This study revealed that the proportion of pancreatic injury in septic patients with COVID-19 was significantly higher than in those without COVID-19. It may be difficult to diagnose pancreatitis based on amylase and lipase levels in COVID-19 patients.

Malnutrition Imparts Worse Outcomes in Patients Admitted for Acute Pancreatitis

Purpose Cessation of enteral nutrition is usually a part of the early stage of acute pancreatitis (AP) treatment. To our knowledge, there is no large database study that examines the effects of preexisting malnutrition on the morbidities of patients admitted for acute pancreatitis. We aimed to investigate the effects of malnutrition on patients admitted for acute pancreatitis. Methods Data between 2008 and 2014 from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database was extracted. Inclusion criteria included patients with a primary diagnosis of AP using the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes, and ages greater than 17. Exclusion criteria included ICD-9 codes for chronic pancreatitis. The study group consisted of patients with a primary diagnosis of AP and a concurrent diagnosis of malnutrition. In-hospital mortality was compared using univariate and multivariate analyses to generate odds ratios. Elixhauser comorbidity scores predicting mortality and readmission were calculated based on weighted scores from 29 different comorbidities and compared using univariate analysis. Results Patients with malnutrition were significantly more likely to experience in-hospital mortality, sepsis, severe sepsis, septic shock, and respiratory failure. Malnutrition was found to increase mortality. Female sex and Black or Hispanic race showed lower mortality. Conclusion We hypothesize that there are likely other preexisting comorbidities that lead to malnutrition before the onset of pancreatitis. Malnutrition can cause impaired healing and the ability to recover from acute inflammation, which may be why the study group had a higher rate of sepsis.

Neostigmine for non-mild acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Background: The therapeutic value of neostigmine as a prokinetic drug in acute pancreatitis (AP), especially in non-mild AP, including moderately severe and severe AP remains controversial. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the efficacy of neostigmine treatment in patients with non-mild AP. Methods: We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang databases up to 24 December 2022 for RCTs comparing neostigmine plus conventional treatment versus the conventional treatment alone in patients with non-mild AP. Trial sequential analyses (TSA) were used to assess the risk of random errors and the results. Results: Six RCTs with 318 participants were included. Compared with conventional treatment, patients who received neostigmine plus conventional treatment had a shorter time duration for their first defecation (MD: -1.74; 95% CI: -2.10 to -1.38; p < 0.00001; n = 205; RCTs = 4; low quality of evidence) and better relief time of abdominal symptoms (MD: -1.59, 95% CI: -2.07 to -1.11; p < 0.00001; n = 155; RCTs = 3; low quality of evidence) as primary outcomes, and a faster percentage decrease of IAP at 24 h (p = 0.0005; moderate quality of evidence) and a shorter length of ICU stay (p < 0.00001; moderate quality of evidence) as partial secondary outcomes. TSA suggested the sample size was limited, but the cumulative Z curves of the primary outcomes crossed the conventional boundary and the trial sequential monitoring boundary. Conclusion: For patients with non-mild AP, neostigmine promotes the recovery of gastrointestinal motility and may have positive effects on the improvement of a clinical prognosis. Further large-sample studies are needed for a definite conclusion. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Identifier: CRD 42022381417.

Current and Emerging Therapies for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Reduction in Hypertriglyceridemia

Hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) is a prevalent medical condition in patients with cardiometabolic risk factors and is associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), if left undiagnosed and undertreated. Current guidelines identify HTG as a risk-enhancing factor and, as a result, recommend clinical evaluation and lifestyle-based interventions to address potential secondary causes of elevated triglyceride (TG) levels. For individuals with mild to moderate HTG at risk of ASCVD, statin therapy alone or in combination with other lipid-lowering medications known to decrease ASCVD risk are guideline-endorsed. In addition to lifestyle modifications, patients with severe HTG at risk of acute pancreatitis may benefit from fibrates, mixed formulation omega-3 fatty acids, and niacin; however, evidence does not support their use for ASCVD risk reduction in the contemporary statin era. Novel therapeutics including those that target apoC-III and ANGPTL3 have shown to be safe, well-tolerated, and effective for lowering TG levels. Given the growing burden of cardiometabolic disease and risk factors, public health and health policy strategies are urgently needed to enhance access to effective pharmacotherapies, affordable and nutritious food options, and timely health care services.

Incidence, Burden, and Predictors of Readmission for Acute Alcoholic Pancreatitis: A National Analysis over 11 Months

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Data regarding incidence, health-care burden, and predictors for readmission in patients with acute alcoholic pancreatitis (AAP) is scarce. We aim to identify incidence, health-care burden, and predictors of readmission over an 11-month period.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study using the 2016 National Readmission Database of adult patients admitted with a principal diagnosis of AAP in January and 11-month readmission follow up for all-cause readmission. Incidence of all-cause readmission, mortality rate, morbidity, length of stay (LOS), total hospitalization charges and costs were evaluated. Independent risk factors for all-cause readmission were identified using a Cox multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 6633 patients were included in the study. The mean age was 45.7 years and 28.9% of patients were female. 73.1% of patients had a modified BISAP score of 0. The 11-month readmission rate was 43.1%. The main cause of readmission was another episode of AAP. The mortality rate of readmission was 0.5% and the mortality rate during the index admission (IA) was 1.1% (P = 0.03). The mean LOS, total hospitalization charges and costs for readmission were 4.5 days, $34,307 and $8958, respectively. Independent predictors of readmission were Charlson Comorbidity Index score of ≥ 3, associated chronic alcoholic pancreatitis, and chronic pancreatitis (CP) from other causes.

CONCLUSION

Among patients admitted with AAP, the 11-month readmission rate was 43.1%. Over one-third of readmissions were due to another episode of AAP. Readmission associated with significant resource utilization. Special attention should be placed in patients with underlying CP due to the increased risk of readmission.

MARCH9 Mediates NOX2 Ubiquitination to Alleviate NLRP3 Inflammasome-Dependent Pancreatic Cell Pyroptosis in Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

The pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis mainly involves NLRP3 inflammasome-mediated pancreatic cell injury, although regulators of this inflammasome machinery are still not fully identified. Membrane-associated RING-CH 9 (MARCH9) is a member of MARCH-type finger proteins, which regulates innate immunity through catalyzing polyubiquitination of critical immune factors. The aim of present research is to examine the function of MARCH9 in acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Cerulein-induced acute pancreatitis was established on pancreatic cell line AR42J and rat model. Reactive oxygen species (ROS) accumulation and NLRP3 inflammasome-dependent cell pyroptosis in pancreas were examined by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

MARCH9 was downregulated by cerulein, but overexpressing MARCH9 could inhibit NLRP3 inflammasome activation and ROS accumulation, thus suppressing pancreatic cell pyroptosis and mitigating pancreatic injury. We further uncovered that the mechanism underlying such an effect of MARCH9 is through mediating the ubiquitination of NADPH oxidase-2, whose deficiency reduces cellular ROS accumulation and inflammasome formation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggested that MARCH9 suppresses NLRP3 inflammasome-mediated pancreatic cell injury through mediating the ubiquitination and degradation of NADPH oxidase-2, which compromises ROS generation and NLRP3 inflammasomal activation.

Comparative Evaluation of Harmless Acute Pancreatitis Score (HAPS) and Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) Scoring System in the Stratification of Prognosis in Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis is a common disease in patients presenting to the emergency room in any hospital. The most common causes are alcohol ingestion and gallstone disease. Diagnosis is usually based on clinical findings and elevated serum amylase and lipase levels. Imaging is often not necessary but may be used to confirm the diagnosis or rule out any other pathology or to evaluate for any complications. The majority of patients will have a mild, self-limiting disease but others may develop a severe fulminant course with organ failure. These patients are at high risk of developing complications, morbidity or mortality. Treatment of acute pancreatitis includes supportive treatment with antibiotics, fluids, analgesics and early enteral feeding. Several scores have been developed to predict the course of pancreatitis and help make informed decisions, monitoring and timely intervention. The majority of them are complicated, require extensive and expensive interventions or require time. Harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS) is one such score that is easy to calculate and is done at the time of admission, bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) is another one requiring more parameters. The parameters used to calculate it are easily available and can be done at a majority of healthcare facilities in developing countries. HAPS thus seems to be a good option in aiding doctors in assessing acute pancreatitis. It may be considered as a standard scoring for acute pancreatitis for early and effective management. We have tried to study and compare the superiority of HAPS over BISAP in predicting prognosis in acute pancreatitis.

Elevated hypertriglyceridemia and decreased gallstones in the etiological composition ratio of acute pancreatitis as affected by seasons and festivals: A two-center real-world study from China

Objective

The purpose of this study was to observe the annual variation in the etiology of acute pancreatitis (AP) and its relationship with seasons and festivals.

Methods

From 2011 to 2017, 5146 adult patients with AP were studied, including 4110 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University (South center) and 1036 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University (North center). We analyzed the overall annual variation in the etiology of AP and then compared the differences in etiology between the two regions, as well as the effects of seasons and festivals on the etiology of AP.

Results

Gallstones, hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) and alcohol were the top three etiologies of AP. Gallstone AP showed a downward trend (P<0.001), and HTG-AP and alcohol AP showed an upward trend (both P<0.01). Among the etiologies of AP, gallstones and HTG were affected by seasons and festivals. The composition ratio of HTG-AP increased, while gallstone AP decreased in winter and in months with long holidays (all P<0.01). The composition ratio of gallstone AP in the south center was higher than that in the north center (59.5% vs. 49%), especially in summer (62.9% vs. 44.0%) and autumn (61.5% vs. 45.7%, all P<0.001).

Conclusions

The composition ratio of HTG-AP increased while gallstone AP decreased in the past 7 years, and they were affected by seasons and festivals.

Global status of acute pancreatitis research in the last 20 years: A bibliometric study

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common digestive disease encountered in Emergency Departments that carries a heavy socioeconomic burden. This study was conducted to determine the global status of AP research. Articles related to AP published in 1999 to 2018 were retrieved from the Web of Science (WOS) database and the 20 highest-output countries or regions were determined based on the total number of publications. Correlation analysis of AP research output and the gross domestic product (GDP) of each country or region was conducted. The quantity and quality of research of these 20 highest-output countries were compared to the total output, outputs per capita, and average impact factor (IF). All annual data were analyzed using time-trend analysis. A keyword co-occurrence analysis was conducted to determine the highlights in AP research. In total, 17,698 publications were retrieved, and 16,461 papers (93.0%) of them were from the 20 highest-output countries. A significantly positive correlation was identified between AP research output and the GDP (R = 0.973, P < .001). The 5 highest-output countries were the USA (24.9%), China (12.3%), Germany (7.5%), Japan (6.7%), and the UK (6.1%). Finland ranked 1st in the number of publication per capita, the USA had the highest accumulated IF (25,432.758) and total citations (104,592), Switzerland had the highest average IF (6.723), and Netherland had the highest average citations (51.90). Genetic research and AP-related hyperglycemia were research highlights. Analysis of the global output of research of AP research showed signs of growth. Research output was positively correlated with GDP. For the most productive countries, research quality was stable. Although developing countries lagged behind in output per capita and quality, great progress has been made in the past 2 decades.

Role of Serum Interleukin-6 and C-reactive Protein in Early Prediction of Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Background

Early prediction of severity is an important goal in acute pancreatitis (AP), to identify 20% of patients who are likely to have a severe course. Such patients have an expected mortality of 15-20% and may benefit from early admission to high dependency or intensive care units, with parenteral or nasojejunal feeding and prophylactic antibiotics. In severe AP (SAP), multiorgan dysfunction accounts for most of early deaths.

Aims

The aim of this article is to assess the role of serum interleukin (IL)-6 and serum C-reactive protein (CRP) in early prediction of severity of AP.

Materials and Methods

This observational analytical study was conducted in the Department of General Surgery and Department of Biochemistry in our hospital in 62 patients as per inclusion and exclusion criteria.

Results

IL-6 on day 1 and day 2 as well as CRP on day 2 was 100% sensitive but IL-6 on day 1 and day 2 had a maximum specificity of 88.37% among them when compared with a specificity of 81.4% of CRP on day 2. Though CRP on day 1 also had a specificity of 88.37%, its sensitivity was 89.47%.

Conclusion

IL-6 and CRP together appear to be a promising marker for assessing the severity of AP within 48 h. We recommend to do IL-6 and CRP in patients with AP, which can help in predicting severity of the disease in patients.

Systematic Review: Impact of Social Determinants of Health on the Management and Prognosis of Gallstone Disease

Background:

Due to its prevalence, gallstone disease is a major public health issue. It affects diverse patient populations across various socioeconomic levels. Socioeconomic and geographic deprivation may impact both morbidity and mortality associated with digestive diseases, such as biliary tract disease.

Aim:

The aim of this systematic review was to review the available data on the impact of socioeconomic determinants and geographic factors on gallstone disease and its complications.

Methods:

This systematic review was conducted following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were searched by two investigators to retrieve studies about the impact of income, insurance status, hospital status, education level, living areas, and deprivation indices on gallstone disease. Thirty-seven studies were selected for this review.

Results:

Socially disadvantaged populations appear to be more frequently affected by complicated or severe forms of gallstone disease. The prognosis of biliary tract disease is poor in these populations regardless of patient status, and increased morbidity and mortality were observed for acute cholangitis or subsequent cholecystectomy. Limited or delayed access and low-quality therapeutic interventions could be among the potential causes for this poor prognosis.

Conclusions:

This systematic review suggests that socioeconomic determinants impact the management of gallstone disease. Enhanced knowledge of these parameters could contribute to improved public health policies to manage these diseases.

Acute Pancreatitis: Diagnosis and Treatment

Acute pancreatitis is a common indication for hospital admission, increasing in incidence, including in children, pregnancy and the elderly. Moderately severe acute pancreatitis with fluid and/or necrotic collections causes substantial morbidity, and severe disease with persistent organ failure causes significant mortality. The diagnosis requires two of upper abdominal pain, amylase/lipase ≥ 3 ×upper limit of normal, and/or cross-sectional imaging findings. Gallstones and ethanol predominate while hypertriglyceridaemia and drugs are notable among many causes. Serum triglycerides, full blood count, renal and liver function tests, glucose, calcium, transabdominal ultrasound, and chest imaging are indicated, with abdominal cross-sectional imaging if there is diagnostic uncertainty. Subsequent imaging is undertaken to detect complications, for example, if C-reactive protein exceeds 150 mg/L, or rarer aetiologies. Pancreatic intracellular calcium overload, mitochondrial impairment, and inflammatory responses are critical in pathogenesis, targeted in current treatment trials, which are crucially important as there is no internationally licenced drug to treat acute pancreatitis and prevent complications. Initial priorities are intravenous fluid resuscitation, analgesia, and enteral nutrition, and when necessary, critical care and organ support, parenteral nutrition, antibiotics, pancreatic exocrine and endocrine replacement therapy; all may have adverse effects. Patients with local complications should be referred to specialist tertiary centres to guide further management, which may include drainage and/or necrosectomy. The impact of acute pancreatitis can be devastating, so prevention or reduction of the risk of recurrence and progression to chronic pancreatitis with an increased risk of pancreas cancer requires proactive management that should be long term for some patients.

Ward based goal directed fluid therapy (GDFT) in acute pancreatitis (GAP) trial: A feasibility randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Goal-directed fluid therapy (GDFT) reduces complications in patients undergoing major general surgery. There are no reports of cardiac output evaluation being used to optimise the fluid administration for patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) in a general surgery ward.

METHOD

50 patients with AP were randomised to either ward-based GDFT (n = 25) with intravenous (IV) fluids administered based on stroke volume optimisation protocol or standard care (SC) (n = 25), but with blinded cardiac output evaluation, for 48-h following hospital admission. Primary outcome was feasibility.

RESULTS

50 of 116 eligible patients (43.1%) were recruited over 20 months demonstrating feasibility. 36 (72%) completed the 48-h of GDFT; 10 (20%) discharged within 48-h and 4 withdrawals (3 GDFT, 1 SC). Baseline characteristics were similar with only 3 participants having severe disease (6%, 1 GDFT, 2 SC). Similar volumes of IV fluids were administered in both groups (GDFT 5465 (1839) ml, SC 5211 (1745) ml). GDFT group had a lower heart rate, blood pressure and respiratory rate and improved oxygen saturations. GDFT was not associated with any harms. There was no evidence of difference in complications of AP (GDFT 24%, SC 32%) or in the duration of stay in intensive care (GDFT 0 (0), SC 0.7 [(Van DIjk et al., 2017) 33 days). Length of hospital stay was 5 (2.9) days in GDFT and 6.3 (7.6) in SC groups.

CONCLUSION

Ward-based GDFT is feasible and shows a signal of possible efficacy in AP in this early-stage study. A larger multi-site RCT is required to confirm clinical and cost effectiveness.

Comparison of different risk stratification systems for prediction of acute pancreatitis severity in patients referred to the emergency department of a tertiary care hospital

BACKGROUND

Prognostic prediction and estimation of severity at early stages of acute pancreatitis (AP) are crucial to reduce the complication rates and mortality. The objective of the present study is to evaluate the predicting ability of different clinical and radiological scores in AP.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected demographic and clinical data from 159 patients diagnosed with AP admitted to Canakkale Onsekiz Mart University Hospital between January 2017 and December 2019. Bedside index for severity AP (BISAP), and acute phys-iology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score at admission, Ranson and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) score at 48 h after admission were calculated. Modified computed tomography severity index (CTSI) was also calculated for each patient. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for each scoring system for predicting severe AP, pancreatic necrosis, length of hospital stay, and mortality by determining optimal cutoff points from the (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

mGPS and APACHE II had the highest AUC (0.929 and 0.823, respectively) to predict severe AP on admission with the best specificity and sensitivity. In predicting mortality BISAP (with a sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), and positive predictive value (PPV) of 75.0%, 70.9%, 98.2%, and 12.0%, respectively, [AUC: 0.793]) and APACHE II (with a sensitivity, specificity, NPV and PPV of 87.5%, 86.1%, 99.2%, and 25.0%, respectively, [AUC: 0.840]).

CONCLUSION

mGPS can be a valuable tool in predicting the patients more likely to develop severe AP and maybe somewhat better than BISAP score, APACHE II Ranson score, and mCTSI.

Hospital Trends of Acute Pancreatitis During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic

OBJECTIVE

The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic led to changes in individuals' behaviors and healthcare delivery. We examined the impact of these changes on the rates and clinical course of acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

Hospitalizations for AP from March 1 through August 31 in 2019 (baseline group) and the same period in 2020 (pandemic group) were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used for demographics and outcomes.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighty subjects (315 admissions) were identified in 2019 and 237 subjects (264 admissions) in 2020. Subjects in the pandemic group were more likely to have systemic inflammatory response syndrome (40% vs 25%, P < 0.01), pancreatic necrosis (14% vs 10%, P = 0.03), and persistent organ failure (17% vs 9%, P = 0.01) compared with prepandemic. There was no difference in etiology of AP. A multivariable model indicates that increased comorbidities, prior pancreatitis, pancreatic necrosis, and prescription of opiates at discharge were associated with 30-day readmissions during the pandemic.

CONCLUSIONS

Fewer patients were admitted for AP during the pandemic, suggesting that patients with milder symptoms avoided hospital interaction. Practices followed during the pandemic, especially avoidance of hospitalization and improved efficiency of hospital management, may reduce the burden of pancreatitis care in the future.

Seasonal Variations of Hospital Admissions for Alcohol-Related Hepatitis in the United States

Background

Clinical experience suggests an increased hospitalization rate for alcohol-related hepatitis (AH) in the winter months; however, seasonal variations in the prevalence of hospitalizations for AH have not been described previously. We hypothesized that AH hospitalizations would be higher in the winter months due to the holiday season and increased alcohol sales.

Methods

Patients with primary or secondary discharge diagnosis of AH were included in the study (International Classification of Diseases, Clinical Modification-10th Revision codes K70.4 and K70.1) between January 2016 and December 2019. The primary outcome measure for this study was daily hospitalizations by each month of the year. Secondary outcome measures included the rate of in-hospital mortality associated with AH, for each month.

Results

The highest number of AH-related admissions was reported in July (n = 56,800; 9%), followed by August (n = 55,700; 8.8%) and May (n = 54,865; 8.7%). February had the lowest number of admissions (n = 46,550; 7.37%). The adjusted mortality was highest in December (overall mortality: 9.6%; adjusted odds ratio: 1.29; 95% confidence interval: 1.142 - 1.461; P < 0.0001) and lowest in May (overall mortality rate: 7.7%). No difference was noted between length of stay and total hospitalization cost between months.

Conclusion

Our findings demonstrate that seasonal variations in hospitalizations related to AH do exist across the United States. Regional differences also exist and follow unique patterns. The increase in admissions for AH is in line with other studies suggesting that heavy drinking happens during the warm season. Hospital administrators and other stewards of healthcare resources can use seasonal patterns to guide allocation of resources.

Use of Modified Balthazar Grades for the Early Prediction of Acute Pancreatitis Severity in the Emergency Department

Objective

To develop a new approach based on Balthazar grades of acute pancreatitis (AP) and to assess this modified method as a tool for the early prediction of AP severity in the emergency department (ED).

Methods

Data pertaining to AP patients ≥18 years old that had undergone computed tomography (CT) scanning within 24 h following ED admission between January 1, 2017 and September 30, 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were separated into two groups based on the length of time between the onset of their AP symptoms and the completion of CT scanning (Group 1: <72 h; Group 2: ≥72 h). Modified Balthazar grades for these patients were then assessed, with the concordance between these modified grades and the 2012 revised Atlanta classification being assessed using the Kappa (κ) statistic. The modified grade with the largest κ value was evaluated based on performance traits including Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analyses, calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCA) in comparison with bedside index for severity in AP (BISAP) scores.

Results

In total, 372 patients were included in the present analysis. These patients were regraded according to six methods, with the method yielding the largest κ value consisting of regraded Balthazar grades A–C, D, and E, respectively, corresponding to mild, moderate, and severe AP. The κ values for this method were 0.786 (95% CI, 0.706–0.853) in Group 1 and 0.907 (95% CI, 0.842–0.955) in Group 2, exhibiting nearly complete agreement with the latest Atlanta classification of AP. AUROC values for these modified Balthazar grades when used to predict SAP were significantly higher than those for BISAP scores in Group 1, Group 2, and the overall cohort (P < 0.05). The DCA curves for Group 1, Group 2, and the overall patient cohort exhibited substantial net benefits when using these modified grades across a range of POFs relative to BISAP scores. The calibration curve for this modified approach to predicting POF in AP patients revealed good agreement in this cohort.

Conclusion

Modified Balthazar grades exhibited substantial to near-total agreement with the 2012 revised Atlanta classification of AP patients, and this modified method can thus be used for the early prediction of AP severity in the ED.

Fentanyl but Not Morphine or Buprenorphine Improves the Severity of Necrotizing Acute Pancreatitis in Rats

Opioids are widely used for the pain management of acute pancreatitis (AP), but their impact on disease progression is unclear. Therefore, our aim was to study the effects of clinically relevant opioids on the severity of experimental AP. Various doses of fentanyl, morphine, or buprenorphine were administered as pre- and/or post-treatments in rats. Necrotizing AP was induced by the intraperitoneal injection of L-ornithine-HCl or intra-ductal injection of Na-taurocholate, while intraperitoneal caerulein administration caused edematous AP. Disease severity was determined by laboratory and histological measurements. Mu opioid receptor (MOR) expression and function was assessed in control and AP animals. MOR was expressed in both the pancreas and brain. The pancreatic expression and function of MOR were reduced in AP. Fentanyl post-treatment reduced necrotizing AP severity, whereas pre-treatment exacerbated it. Fentanyl did not affect the outcome of edematous AP. Morphine decreased vacuolization in edematous AP, while buprenorphine pre-treatment increased pancreatic edema during AP. The overall effects of morphine on disease severity were negligible. In conclusion, the type, dosing, administration route, and timing of opioid treatment can influence the effects of opioids on AP severity. Fentanyl post-treatment proved to be beneficial in AP. Clinical studies are needed to determine which opioids are best in AP.

Causal mechanisms proposed for the alcohol harm paradox-a systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The alcohol harm paradox (AHP) posits that disadvantaged groups suffer from higher rates of alcohol-related harm compared with advantaged groups, despite reporting similar or lower levels of consumption on average. The causes of this relationship remain unclear. This study aimed to identify explanations proposed for the AHP. Secondary aims were to review the existing evidence for those explanations and investigate whether authors linked explanations to one another.

METHODS

This was a systematic review. We searched MEDLINE (1946-January 2021), EMBASE (1974-January 2021) and PsycINFO (1967-January 2021), supplemented with manual searching of grey literature. Included papers either explored the causes of the AHP or investigated the relationship between alcohol consumption, alcohol-related harm and socio-economic position. Papers were set in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development high-income countries. Explanations extracted for analysis could be evidenced in the empirical results or suggested by researchers in their narrative. Inductive thematic analysis was applied to group explanations.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine papers met the inclusion criteria and initial coding revealed that these papers contained 41 distinct explanations for the AHP. Following inductive thematic analysis, these explanations were grouped into 16 themes within six broad domains: individual, life-style, contextual, disadvantage, upstream and artefactual. Explanations related to risk behaviours, which fitted within the life-style domain, were the most frequently proposed (n = 51) and analysed (n = 21).

CONCLUSIONS

While there are many potential explanations for the alcohol harm paradox, most research focuses on risk behaviours while other explanations lack empirical testing.

Global Incidence of Acute Pancreatitis Is Increasing Over Time: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute pancreatitis is a common disease with significant associated morbidity and mortality. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies to explore the changing temporal trends of acute pancreatitis incidence globally.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search to identify population-based studies reporting the annual incidence of acute pancreatitis. Abstracts were assessed independently to identify applicable articles for full-text review and data extraction. Joinpoint temporal trend analyses were performed to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The AAPCs were pooled in a meta-analysis to capture the overall and regional trends in acute pancreatitis incidence over time. Temporal data were summarized in a static map and an interactive, web-based map.

RESULTS

Forty-four studies reported the temporal incidence of acute pancreatitis (online interactive map: https://kaplan-acute-pancreatitis-ucalgary.hub.arcgis.com/). The incidence of acute pancreatitis has increased from 1961 to 2016 (AAPC, 3.07%; 95% CI, 2.30% to 3.84%; n = 34). Increasing incidence was observed in North America (AAPC, 3.67%; 95% CI, 2.76% to 4.57%; n = 4) and Europe (AAPC, 2.77%; 95% CI, 1.91% to 3.63%; n = 23). The incidence of acute pancreatitis was stable in Asia (AAPC, -0.28%; 95% CI, -5.03% to 4.47%; n = 4).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the global incidence of acute pancreatitis over the last 56 years and demonstrates a steadily rising incidence over time in most countries of the Western world. More studies are needed to better define the changing incidence of acute pancreatitis in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

Prediction of Outcome in Acute Pancreatitis by the qSOFA and the New ERAP Score

BACKGROUND

Early identification of patients with acute severe pancreatitis is important for prompt and adequate treatment. Existing scores for pancreatitis are often laborious or require serial patient evaluation, whereas the qSOFA score, that was established to predict outcome in patients with suspected infection, is simple to perform.

AIMS AND METHODS

In this cohort study, we analyse the potential of the qSOFA score to predict outcome of patients with acute pancreatitis and refine the qSOFA score by rapid available laboratory parameters to the emergency room assessment of acute pancreatitis (ERAP) score. Validation was performed in a separate patient cohort.

RESULTS

In total 203 patients with acute pancreatitis were recruited. The qSOFA score has the potential to predict ICU admission (AUC = 0.730, p = 0.002) and organ failure (AUC = 0.799, p = 0.013) in acute pancreatitis. Respiratory rate, mental status, blood urea nitrogen and C-reactive protein are the rapid available parameters with the highest individual impact in binary logistic regression analyses. Their combination to the ERAP score can predict severity of acute pancreatitis according to the revised Atlanta classification (AUC = 0.689 ± 0.041, p < 0.001), ICU admission (AUC = 0.789 ± 0.067, p < 0.001), multi-organ dysfunction syndrome (AUC = 0.963 ± 0.024, p < 0.001) and mortality (AUC = 0.952 ± 0.028, p = 0.001). The performance and prognostic validity for organ failure and mortality were validated in an independent patient cohort.

CONCLUSION

The qSOFA is a rapidly available prognostic score in acute pancreatitis with limited prognostic validity. A combination with the laboratory parameters BUN and CRP results in the new ERAP score with outstanding prognostic validity for multi-organ dysfunction syndrome and mortality.

The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus and the severity of acute pancreatitis: Report from a large international registry

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus (DM) and acute pancreatitis (AP) severity has not been established. We assessed the impact of pre-existing DM on AP severity in an international, prospectively ascertained registry.

METHODS

APPRENTICE registry prospectively enrolled 1543 AP patients from 22 centers across 4 continents (8 US, 6 Europe, 5 Latin America, 3 India) between 2015 and 2018, and collected detailed clinical information. Pre-existing DM was defined a diagnosis of DM prior to AP admission. The primary outcome was AP severity defined by the Revised Atlanta Classification (RAC). Secondary outcomes were development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or intensive care unit (ICU) admission.

RESULTS

Pre-existing DM was present in 270 (17.5%) AP patients, of whom 252 (93.3%) had type 2 DM. Patients with pre-existing DM were significantly (p < 0.05) older (55.8 ± 16 vs. 48.3 ± 18.7 years), more likely to be overweight (BMI 29.5 ± 7 vs. 27.2 ± 6.2), have hypertriglyceridemia as the etiology (15% vs. 2%) and prior AP (33 vs. 24%). Mild, moderate, and severe AP were noted in 66%, 23%, and 11% of patients, respectively. On multivariable analysis, pre-existing DM did not significantly impact AP severity assessed by the RAC (moderate-severe vs. mild AP, OR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.63-1.18; severe vs. mild-moderate AP, OR = 1.05, 95% CI, 0.67-1.63), development of SIRS, or the need for ICU admission. No interaction was noted between DM status and continent.

CONCLUSION

About one in 5 patients with AP have pre-existing DM. Once confounding risk factors are considered, pre-existing DM per se is not a risk factor for severe AP.

Thirty-Day Readmission Among Patients with Alcoholic Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Alcoholic acute pancreatitis (AAP) comprises the second most common cause of acute pancreatitis in the USA, and there is lack of data regarding 30-day specific readmission causes and predictors. We aim to identify 30-day readmission rate, causes, and predictors of readmission.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of the 2016 National Readmission Database of adult patients readmitted within 30 days after an index admission for AAP.

RESULTS

Totally, 76,609 AAP patients were discharged from the hospital in 2016. The 30-day readmission rate was 12%. The main cause of readmission was another episode of AAP. Readmission was not associated with higher mortality (1.3% vs. 1.2%; P = 0.21) or prolonged length of stay (5.2 vs. 5.0 days; P = 0.06). The total health care economic burden was $354 million in charges and $90 million in costs. Independent predictors of readmission were having Medicaid insurance, a Charlson comorbidity index score ≥ 3, use of total parenteral nutrition, opioid abuse disorder, prior pancreatic cyst, chronic alcoholic pancreatitis, and other chronic pancreatitis. Obesity was associated with lower odds of readmission.

CONCLUSION

Readmission rate for AAP is high and its primary cause are recurrent episodes of AAP. Alcohol and substance abuse pose a high burden on our health care system. Public health strategies should be targeted to provide alcohol abuse disorder rehabilitation and cessation resources to alleviate the burden on readmission, the health care system and to improve patient outcomes.

Investigating the Factors Affecting the Development of Biliary Pancreatitis and Their Relationship with the Type and Severity of Complications

BACKGROUND Pancreatitis is an inflammation of the pancreatic tissue. Gallstones are known to be the most common cause of acute pancreatitis, especially in eastern countries, including Iran. Pancreatitis, in its course, can cause complications for the patient. Different systems have been identified as predictors of the severity of acute pancreatitis. As a result, we decided to examine the factors influencing the severity of biliary pancreatitis and their relationship with the complications in Iranian society. METHODS The present study is a cross-sectional, analytical study that was performed retrospectively on 160 patients with biliary pancreatitis. The main and dependent variable in this study is the severity of pancreatitis, which is divided into two groups of complications (local complications and systemic complications) and without complications. The necessary information was extracted from the patients' files and evaluated with SPSS software version 22. RESULTS Based on the results of single-variable analysis, there was a significant relationship between the patient's age, sex, Ranson and CRP criteria, and complication of the disease. In the univariate analysis, no significant statistical relationship was found between patients' BMI(Body Mass Index), CBD (common bile duct) size, serum alkaline phosphatase level, gallstone size, and FBS(Fasting blood sugar), and the complications of the disease, based on the multivariate analysis results. CONCLUSION The results of this study showed that four variables of the female sex, stone size, CRP, and high score of Ranson criteria act as independent risk factors in the development of complicating biliary pancreatitis.

A Case-CrossovEr study deSign to inform tailored interventions to prevent disease progression in Acute Pancreatitis (ACCESS-AP) - study design and population

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Alcohol is the most common etiology of recurrent acute pancreatitis and chronic pancreatitis. The extent and timing of drinking that increases the transient risk of acute pancreatitis is yet unknown.

METHODS

We designed a case-crossover study to determine the effective hazard period of drinking in relation to episodes of pancreatitis. We aim to evaluate the dose-response relationship between excess drinking and pancreatitis comparing the extent of drinking during case and control periods from the same individual. We aim to recruit 160 patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis, whose AUDIT-C score reaches 3 or higher. Interviews of each enrolled patient to define their 15-day history of alcohol consumption employing the timeline follow-back method. Long-term drinking and smoking will be investigated as modifiers of the impact of short-term excess drinking. Patients are followed-up for evaluation of usual alcohol consumption during asymptomatic periods following the index hospitalization. Blood and urine specimens are collected while the patients are hospitalized and during a standard-of-care follow-up visit.

RESULTS

We have recruited 31 patients to date, with a median age of 33 years. Females and non-White participants make up 26% and 35% of the enrolled population, respectively. Forty-eight % of patients have had a prior history of acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study will shed light on the impact of short-term changes in drinking on triggering acute pancreatitis. It will provide data on other covarying factors of drinking and behaviors changes after acute pancreatitis.

Pancreatic Safety of Once-Weekly Dulaglutide in Chinese Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Subgroup Analysis by Potential Influencing Factors

INTRODUCTION

In the randomized, open-label, parallel-arm, active-controlled phase III AWARD-CHN2 trial, once-weekly dulaglutide plus concomitant oral antihyperglycemic medications (OAMs) improved HbA1c over 26 weeks compared with once-daily insulin glargine in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This post-hoc subgroup analysis of AWARD-CHN2 investigated the pancreatic safety of dulaglutide in Chinese patients with T2DM, stratified by potential influencing factors.

METHODS

Changes in pancreatic enzyme (pancreatic amylase, total amylase, and lipase) levels over 26 weeks were assessed and stratified by patient age (< 60, ≥ 60 years), sex (female, male), duration of diabetes (< 10, ≥ 10 years), baseline weight (< 70, ≥ 70 kg), BMI (< 25, ≥ 25 kg/m²), HbA1c (< 8.5, ≥ 8.5%), triglycerides (< 2.3, ≥ 2.3 mmol/L), and concomitant OAMs (metformin, sulfonylurea, metformin plus sulfonylurea).

RESULTS

A total of 203 Chinese patients with T2DM were included in this post-hoc analysis. Pancreatic enzyme levels increased within the normal range from baseline to Week 26, and no pancreatitis events were confirmed by independent adjudication. Least-squares mean increase in pancreatic amylase (U/L) from baseline to Week 26 was comparable across all subgroups with no statistically (all P-values > 0.05) or clinically significant between-group differences for age (< 60 years: 5.34; ≥ 60 years: 6.71), sex (female: 5.85; male: 5.66), duration of diabetes (< 10 years: 6.15; ≥ 10 years: 4.85), weight (< 70 kg: 6.19; ≥ 70 kg: 5.39), BMI (< 25 kg/m²: 5.92; ≥ 25 kg/m²: 5.61), HbA1c (< 8.5%: 6.82; ≥ 8.5%: 4.08), triglycerides (< 2.3 mmol/L: 4.94; ≥ 2.3 mmol/L: 8.04), and concomitant OAMs (metformin: 5.68; sulfonylurea: 5.44; metformin plus sulfonylurea: 5.87). Similar results were observed for total amylase and lipase.

CONCLUSION

In Chinese patients with T2DM receiving dulaglutide 1.5 mg in AWARD-CHN2, elevations of pancreatic enzymes over 26 weeks were within the normal range and were neither associated with pancreatitis nor baseline factors, which suggests the clinical use of dulaglutide in Chinese patients with T2DM is not associated with pancreatic safety issues.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01648582.

Mislocalization of CFTR expression in acute pancreatitis and the beneficial effect of VX-661 + VX-770 treatment on disease severity

Cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) has an essential role in maintaining pancreatic ductal function. Impaired CFTR function can trigger acute pancreatitis (AP) and exacerbate disease severity. We aimed to investigate the localization and expression of CFTR during AP, and determined the effects of a CFTR corrector (VX-661) and potentiator (VX-770) on disease severity. AP was induced in FVB/n mice by 6-10 hourly intraperitoneal injections of 50 μg/kg cerulein. Some mice were pre-treated with five to six daily injections of 2 mg/kg VX-661 + VX-770. Control animals were administered physiological saline instead of cerulein and dimethyl sulfoxide instead of VX compounds. AP severity was determined by measuring laboratory and histological parameters; CFTR and CK19 expression was measured. Activity of ion transporters was followed by intracellular pH or fluid secretion measurement of isolated pancreatic intra-/interlobular ducts. Cerulein-induced AP severity was greatest between 12 and 24 h. CFTR mRNA expression was significantly increased 24 h after AP induction. Immunohistochemistry demonstrated disturbed staining morphology of CFTR and CK19 proteins in AP. Mislocalization of CFTR protein was observed from 6 h, while expression increased at 24 h compared to control. Ductal HCO₃ ^- transport activity was significantly increased 6 h after AP induction. AP mice pre-treatment with VX-661 + VX-770 significantly reduced the extent of tissue damage by about 20-30%, but other parameters were unchanged. Interestingly, VX-661 + VX-770 in vitro administration significantly increased the fluid secretion of ducts derived from AP animals. This study described the course of the CFTR expression and mislocalization in cerulein-induced AP. Our results suggest that the beneficial effects of CFTR correctors and potentiators should be further investigated in AP. KEY POINTS: Cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) is an important ion channel in epithelial cells. Its malfunction has several serious consequences, like developing or aggravating acute pancreatitis (AP). Here, the localization and expression of CFTR during cerulein-induced AP in mice were investigated and the effects of CFTR corrector (VX-661) and a potentiator (VX-770) on disease severity were determined. CFTR mRNA expression was significantly increased and mislocalization of CFTR protein was observed in AP compared to the control group. Interestingly, pre-treatment of AP mice with VX-661 + VX-770 significantly reduced the extent of pancreatic tissue damage by 20-30%. In vitro administration of VX-661 + VX-770 significantly increased the fluid secretion of ducts derived from AP animals. Based on these results, the utilization of CFTR correctors and potentiators should be further investigated in AP.

The global, regional, and national burden of acute pancreatitis in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is a common and potentially lethal gastrointestinal disease, but literatures for the disease burden are scarce for many countries. Understanding the current burden of acute pancreatitis and the different trends across various countries is essential for formulating effective preventive intervenes. We aimed to report the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) caused by acute pancreatitis in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019.

METHODS

Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) were used to analyze the epidemiology of acute pancreatitis at the global, regional, and national levels. We also reported the correlation between development status and acute pancreatitis' age-standardized DALY rates, and calculated DALYs attributable to alcohol etiology that had evidence of causation with acute pancreatitis. All of the estimates were shown as counts and age-standardized rates per 100,000 person-years.

RESULTS

There were 2,814,972.3 (95% UI 2,414,361.3-3,293,591.8) incident cases of acute pancreatitis occurred in 2019 globally; 1,273,955.2 (1,098,304.6-1,478,594.1) in women and 1,541,017.1 (1,307,264.4-1,814,454.3) in men. The global age-standardized incidence rate declined from 37.9/100,000 to 34.8/100,000 during 1990-2019, an annual decrease of 8.4% (5.9-10.4%). In 2019, there were 115,053.2 (104,304.4-128,173.4) deaths and 3,641,105.7 (3,282,952.5-4,026,948.1) DALYs due to acute pancreatitis. The global age-standardized mortality rate decreased by 17.2% (6.6-27.1%) annually from 1.7/100,000 in 1990 to 1.4/100,000 in 2019; over the same period, the age-standardized DALY rate declined by 17.6% (7.8-27.0%) annually. There were substantial differences in the incidence, mortality and DALYs across regions. Alcohol etiology attributed to a sizable fraction of acute pancreatitis-related deaths, especially in the high and high-middle SDI regions.

CONCLUSION

Substantial variation existed in the burden of acute pancreatitis worldwide, and the overall burden remains high with aging population. Geographically targeted considerations are needed to tailor future intervenes to relieve the burden of acute pancreatitis in specific countries, especially for Eastern Europe.

Gut microbiome in acute pancreatitis: A review based on current literature

The gut microbiome is a complex microbial community, recognized for its potential role in physiology, health, and disease. The available evidence supports the role of gut dysbiosis in pancreatic disorders, including acute pancreatitis (AP). In AP, the presence of gut barrier damage resulting in increased mucosal permeability may lead to translocation of intestinal bacteria, necrosis of pancreatic and peripancreatic tissue, and infection, often accompanied by multiple organ dysfunction syndrome. Preserving gut microbial homeostasis may reduce the systemic effects of AP. A growing body of evidence suggests the possible involvement of the gut microbiome in various pancreatic diseases, including AP. This review discusses the possible role of the gut microbiome in AP. It highlights AP treatment and supplementation with prebiotics, synbiotics, and probiotics to maintain gastrointestinal microbial balance and effectively reduce hospitalization, morbidity and mortality in an early phase. It also addresses novel therapeutic areas in the gut microbiome, personalized treatment, and provides a roadmap of human microbial contributions to AP that have potential clinical benefit.

Evaluation of the Prognostic Value of Red Cell Distribution Width to Total Serum Calcium Ratio in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

Introduction

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden inflammatory process in the pancreas with variable involvement of nearby organs or other organ systems, and it is a common cause for hospitalization of gastrointestinal origin. Early prediction of the prognosis of patients with AP is important to help physicians triage the patients and decrease mortality. Red cell distribution width (RDW) and total serum calcium (TSC) have been reported to be useful predictors of the severity of AP, but if these parameters are associated with the prognosis of AP is unknown. The objective of the study was to evaluate whether RDW/TSC can be used to predict the prognosis of patients with AP at an early stage.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled AP patients admitted to the emergency department of West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 1, 2016, to June 30, 2016. According to the prognosis, AP patients were divided into ICU group and non-ICU group, surgery group and nonsurgery group, and hospital survival group and hospital death group. Demographic information and clinical and laboratory parameters of all enrolled patients after being admitted to ED were compared between the groups. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the prognostic values of RDW, TSC, and RDW/TSC in patients with AP.

Results

A total of 666 AP patients were enrolled in this study, with an average age of 47.99 ± 14.11 years, including 633 patients who survived to discharge and 33 patients who died during hospitalization. The areas under the curve (AUC) of RDW and RDW/TSC predict that patients need to be admitted to ICU (0.773 vs. 0.824 vs. 0.723), patients need surgery treatment (0.744 vs. 0.768 vs. 0.690), and patients survived to hospital discharge (0.809 vs. 0.855 vs. 0.780) were greater than that of TSC, with RDW/TSC being the greatest.

Conclusions

RDW/TSC may be a new method to identify the AP patients who need to be transferred to the ICU, accompanying complications which need surgery treatment, or may be died in hospital at an early stage, and we should pay more attention to RDW/TSC in patients with AP, for they may have a worse prognosis.

Seasonal variation of peptic ulcer disease, peptic ulcer bleeding, and acute pancreatitis: A nationwide population-based study using a common data model

Although gastrointestinal diseases are reported at various times throughout the year, some particular seasons are associated with a higher incidence of these diseases. This study aimed to identify the seasonal variations of peptic ulcer (PU), peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB), and acute pancreatitis (AP) in South Korea.We conducted a retrospective, observational cohort study of all subjects aged >18 years between 2012 and 2016 using the Health Insurance Review and Assessment-National Patient Samples database, previously converted to the standardized Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership-Common Data Model. We assessed the overall seasonal variations of PU, PUB, and AP and further analyzed seasonal variations according to age and sex subgroups.In total, 14,626 patients with PU, 3575 with PUB, and 9023 with AP were analyzed for 5 years. A clear seasonal variation was noted in PU, with the highest incidence rate during winter, the second highest during spring, the third highest during summer, and the lowest incidence during autumn for 5 years (P < .001). PUB also showed significant seasonal fluctuations, with winter peak for 4 years, except 1 year, which had a spring peak (P < .001). However, AP showed no clear seasonal variations (P = .090). No significant differences in the seasonal variation of PU, PUB, and AP were observed according to sex and age subgroups (<60 years vs ≥60 years).Seasonal variation of PU and PUB should be considered when determining allocation of available health care resources.