Changing epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma in Asia

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram including inflammatory indicators for overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated primarily with surgery or loco-regional therapy: A single-center retrospective study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is among the most prevalent malignant tumors, but the current staging system has limited efficacy in predicting HCC prognosis. The authors sought to develop and validate a nomogram model for predicting overall survival (OS) in HCC patients primarily undergoing surgery or loco-regional therapy. Patients diagnosed with HCC from January 2017 to June 2023 were enrolled in the study. The data were randomly split into a training cohort and a validation cohort. Utilizing univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, independent risk factors for OS were identified, and a nomogram model was constructed to predict patient survival. Therapy, body mass index, portal vein tumor thrombus, leukocyte, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio, and prognostic nutritional index were used to build the nomogram for OS. The nomogram demonstrated strong predictive ability, with high C-index values (0.745 for the training cohort and 0.650 for the validation cohort). ROC curves, calibration plots, and DCA curves all indicated satisfactory performance of the nomogram. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed a significant difference in prognosis between patients in the low- and high- risk groups. This nomogram provides precise survival predictions for HCC patients and helps identify individuals with varying prognostic risks, emphasizing the need for individualized follow-up and treatment plans.

Unlocking the potential of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM): Shipi Xiaoji formula (SPXJF) as a novel ferroptosis inducer in hepatocellular carcinoma

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) is a major health concern with limited treatment options. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) offers potential therapeutic approaches for HCC, and SPXJF, a TCM formula, has shown promise in clinical observations for prolonging the survival of liver cancer patients.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To investigate the anti-tumor effects of SPXJF on HCC cells and explore its potential mechanism, focusing on ferroptosis induction.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

LC/Q-TOF-MS was used for compound identification. Cell viability assays, EdU proliferation assay, colony formation assay, wound healing assay, Transwell assay, and Western-blotting were conducted to evaluate the effects of SPXJF on HCC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion. Bioinformatics analysis and RT-PCR were employed to identify potential ferroptosis-related genes and validate the results. Ferroptosis induction was investigated using ferroptosis inhibitors, ROS and lipid peroxidation detection, and TEM. In vivo experiments using a subcutaneous xenograft tumor model confirmed the anti-tumor effects of SPXJF and its ability to induce ferroptosis in HCC.

RESULTS

SPXJF effectively inhibited the proliferation, migration, and invasion of HCC cells in vitro. The mechanism of action was found to be related to the induction of ferroptosis, as evidenced by increased intracellular Fe2+ and ROS levels, decreased GSH levels, altered mitochondrial morphology, and upregulation of ferroptosis-inducing proteins ACSL4 and LPCAT3, along with downregulation of ferroptosis-inhibiting proteins xCT and GPX4. Bioinformatics analysis and RT-PCR further identified GSTZ1, CDC25A, AURKA, NOX4, and CAPG as potential ferroptosis-related genes regulated by SPXJF. In vivo experiments confirmed the anti-tumor effects of SPXJF and its ability to induce ferroptosis in HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

SPXJF exerts anti-tumor effects on HCC cells by inducing ferroptosis, and its mechanism of action involves the regulation of ferroptosis-related genes and proteins. This study provides a theoretical basis for the clinical treatment of HCC and the development of new anti-cancer drugs, offering a valuable contribution to the field of ethnopharmacology.

APASL clinical practice guidelines on systemic therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma-2024

In Asia-Pacific region, hepatocellular carcinoma is a serious health threat attributing to over 600,000 deaths each year and account for over 70% of global cases. Clinically, the major unmet needs are recurrence after curative-intent surgery, liver transplantation or local ablation and disease progression in those with hepatocellular carcinoma not eligible for resection or failed locoregional therapy. In the recent few years, new targeted therapy and immune-checkpoint inhibitors have been registered as systemic therapy to address these issues. Notably, new forms of systemic therapy, either as first-line or second-line therapy for unresectable hepatocellular or those not eligible for locoregional therapy, are now available. New data is also emerging with the use of systemic therapy to prevent hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after curative-intent resection or local ablation therapy and to retard disease progression after locoregional therapy. In the future, further implementation of immune-checkpoint inhibitors and other forms of immunotherapy are expected to bring a new paradigm to the management of hepatocellular carcinoma. New insight related to immune-related adverse events with the use of immunotherapy has allso enabled optimization of the therapeutic approach to patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. The purpose of this clinical practice guideline is to provide an up-to-date recommendation based on clinical evidence and experience from expert Asia-Pacific key opinion leaders in the field of hepatocellular carcinoma. Three key questions will be addressed, namely: (1) Which patients with hepatocellular carcinoma should be considered for systemic therapy? (2) Which systemic therapy should be used? (3) How should a patient planned for immune checkpoint-based systemic therapy be managed and monitored?

Burden of gastrointestinal cancers among adolescent and young adults in Asia-Pacific region: trends from 1990 to 2019 and future predictions to 2044

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal cancer is a significant cause of cancer incidence and mortality. Nevertheless, the epidemiology of the burden among adolescents and young adults (AYAs, aged 15-39 years) remains limited in the Asia-Pacific region, despite the region's significant population. This study aims to explore the gastrointestinal cancer burden among AYAs in the Asia-Pacific region for the year 2019, while also analysing trends from 1990 to 2019 and projecting future trends up to 2044.

METHODS

Annual case numbers, age-standardized rates of incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and their estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for gastrointestinal cancers were derived from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. Trends over the next 25 years have also been predicted.

RESULTS

In 2019, there were 117,714 incident cases, 61,578 deaths and 3,483,053 DALYs due to gastrointestinal cancers in the Asia-Pacific region, accounting for 68.5%, 67.6% and 72.4%, respectively, of global gastrointestinal cancers in this population. The highest age-standardized rates occurred in countries with a middle Socio-demographic Index. From 1990 to 2019, there was a decline in the age-standardized rates of incidence, death and DALY attributed to gastrointestinal cancers, with EAPC of -1.10, -2.48 and -2.44, respectively. These rates are expected to stabilize over 25 years, with notable variations in individual gastrointestinal cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

Gastrointestinal cancers among AYAs in the Asia-Pacific region have posed a significant burden over the past 30 years and are expected to persist in the coming years.

Relative contribution of hepatitis B and C viruses in primary liver cancer in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

China, which has the largest number of patients with primary liver cancer (PLCs), lacks data on the overall prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) in PLCs. We aimed to comprehensively assess the seroprevalence of HBV and HCV among PLCs in China.

METHODS

We included and pooled observational studies reporting seroprevalence of HBsAg and anti-HCV antibodies among PLCs in China by searching PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane, Scopus, Embase, CNKI, Wanfang, and CBM. Multivariate meta-regression and subgroup analyses were used to explore sources of heterogeneity, and publication bias was assessed by funnel plots and Egger's test. PROSPERO registration number is CRD42023450382.

RESULTS

A total of 217 eligible studies were included in the meta-analysis. The estimated seroprevalence of HBV and HCV in PLCs was 75.09% (95% CI 73.12-77.02) and 11.82% (95% CI 9.79-14.00), respectively. After stratifying and analysing subgroups by region and study period, we found geographic differences in HBV and HCV prevalence among PLCs, with an overall increasing trend in the proportion of HBV and a decreasing trend in the proportion of HCV as well as co-infections in the last 40 years.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV and HCV infections still account for a high proportion of PLCs in China.

Construction of a novel platelet‑related gene risk model to predict the prognosis and drug response in virus‑related hepatocellular carcinoma

Platelet activity in the tumor microenvironment (TME) is crucial for the development of tumors. However, the roles and clinical potential of platelet activity in the TME for virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unclear. The present study aimed to identify a novel signature based on platelet activity for prognostic prediction and treatment decisions in virus-related HCC. First, a novel platelet signature score (PSS) for each patient with virus-related HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas was calculated using gene set variation analysis, and the patients were divided into two subgroups (high and low PSS). It was demonstrated that the patients with a high PSS had a worse prognosis, higher platelet activity, stronger inflammation and immunosuppression in TME than patients with a low PSS. Furthermore, 137 differentially expressed genes (DEGs; fold change >2; P<0.05) were identified using 'DESeq2' and 'edgeR' software. Subsequently, 3 genes (cyclin-J-Like protein, nuclear receptor subfamily 0 group B member 1 and tripartite motif containing 54) were identified from DEGs using univariate Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analyses. Risk score (RS) was calculated based on gene expression and coefficients from LASSO. Patients were divided into high and low RS groups according to the median value, and the 3-gene model was used to predict prognoses and drug responses. Notably, it was demonstrated that patients with a low RS may be better candidates for immune therapy due to lower levels of tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion scores. Moreover, patients with a high RS may be better candidates for nonimmune therapy due to lower half-maximal inhibitory concentration values of drugs (such as AKT inhibitors and gemcitabine). Finally, it was demonstrated that patients with a high PSS and RS had a higher platelet activity, inflammation status, tumor hallmarks and the worst prognosis than patients with a low PSS and RS. This helped to better find patients with these characteristics and suitable treatments using this method. Collectively, the findings of the present study indicate that PSS combined with RS has great potential to evaluate the prognosis of patients with virus -related HCC and assist in deciding treatment strategies.

A multi-omic analysis reveals that Gamabufotalin exerts anti-hepatocellular carcinoma effects by regulating amino acid metabolism through targeting STAMBPL1

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a prevalent type of liver cancer, is characterized by an unfavorable prognosis and a high mortality rate. Identifying novel treatments to prevent HCC recurrence and metastasis remains crucial for improving patient survival. Gamabufotalin (CS-6), a primary bufadienolide derived from the traditional Chinese medicine Chansu, has demonstrated significant anti-tumor activity. However, the effects and underlying mechanisms of CS-6 on HCC cells are not yet fully understood.

PURPOSE

This study sought to elucidate the anti-HCC effects and potential mechanisms of CS-6. In vitro experiments were conducted using the HCC cell lines MHCC97H and Huh-7, employing CCK-8 assays, colony formation assays, wound healing assays, transwell invasion and migration assays, and flow cytometry to assess apoptosis and cell cycle dynamics. A multi-omics approach, including metabolomics and RNA sequencing analysis, was utilized to identify CS-6's molecular targets and mechanisms in HCC therapy. Additionally, in vivo assessments were performed using xenografts in nude mice.

RESULTS

CS-6 significantly inhibited HCC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion. Multi-omics analysis suggested that CS-6's anti-HCC effects may involve the modulation of metabolic pathways, potentially through the downregulation of STAMBPL1, resulting in reduced mTOR signaling, increased apoptosis, and suppression of malignant HCC behavior. In vivo studies further confirmed that CS-6 significantly suppressed tumor growth and enhanced apoptosis and autophagy within tumors.

CONCLUSION

These results underscore the therapeutic potential of CS-6 in HCC treatment. The study offers novel insights into the mechanism of CS-6, suggesting that its therapeutic efficacy may be uniquely mediated by targeting STAMBPL1. This distinct mechanism sets CS-6 apart from existing HCC treatments and positions it as a promising candidate for further clinical investigation.

Targeting Hepatic Cancer Stem Cells (CSCs) and Related Drug Resistance by Small Interfering RNA (siRNA)

Tumor recurrence after curative therapy and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells' resistance to conventional therapies is the reasons for the worse clinical results of HCC patients. A tiny population of cancer cells with a strong potential for self-renewal, differentiation, and tumorigenesis has been identified as cancer stem cells (CSCs). The discovery of CSC surface markers and the separation of CSC subpopulations from HCC cells have been made possible by recent developments in the study of hepatic (liver) CSCs. Hepatic CSC surface markers include epithelial cell adhesion molecules (EpCAM), CD133, CD90, CD13, CD44, OV-6, ALDH, and K19. CSCs have a significant influence on the development of cancer, invasiveness, self-renewal, metastasis, and drug resistance in HCC, and thus provide a therapeutic chance to treat HCC and avoid its recurrence. Therefore, it is essential to develop treatment approaches that specifically and effectively target hepatic stem cells. Given this, one potential treatment approach is to use particular small interfering RNA (siRNA) to target CSC, disrupting their behavior and microenvironment as well as changing their epigenetic state. The characteristics of CSCs in HCC are outlined in this study, along with new treatment approaches based on siRNA that may be used to target hepatic CSCs and overcome HCC resistance to traditional therapies.

The Influence of Sex and Age on Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background and Aim: Age and biological sex are risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence, but their impact on overall survival (OS) is a matter of debate. This study aims to investigate how sex and age at diagnosis, along with other associated factors (i.e., comorbidities, etiologies, therapy) impact OS in the HCC population. Method: Data from two HCC cohorts-a prospective registry from the University Hospital of Bern, Switzerland, and a retrospective registry from General Hospital Vienna, Austria-were combined and analyzed. Clinical and laboratory data were reviewed, and OS was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test. Cox regression models with penalized splines were applied to examine how age at diagnosis influenced OS. Results: Of 1547 HCC patients, 1284 (84.1%) were male. Females were older (67 vs. 63 years, p < 0.001) and had lower rates of liver cirrhosis (p < 0.001), cardiac comorbidities (p < 0.001), and diabetes (p < 0.001). No significant difference in median OS between men and women was observed (18 months vs. 16 months, p = 0.304). Mortality risk increased with age, particularly between 60 and 70 years. However, after adjusting for treatment, the age effect became non-significant (p = 0.171). Conclusions: After controlling the model for therapy, neither age nor sex independently influenced OS in HCC patients, underscoring the impact of therapy on survival.

Bridging the Gap Between Imaging and Molecular Characterization: Current Understanding of Radiomics and Radiogenomics in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most common malignancy worldwide and the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths. Imaging plays a crucial role in the screening, diagnosis, and monitoring of HCC; however, the potential mechanism regarding phenotypes or molecular subtyping remains underexplored. Radiomics significantly expands the selection of features available by extracting quantitative features from imaging data. Radiogenomics bridges the gap between imaging and genetic/transcriptomic information by associating imaging features with critical genes and pathways, thereby providing biological annotations to these features. Despite challenges in interpreting these connections, assessing their universality, and considering the diversity in HCC etiology and genetic information across different populations, radiomics and radiogenomics offer new perspectives for precision treatment in HCC. This article provides an up-to-date summary of the advancements in radiomics and radiogenomics throughout the HCC care continuum, focusing on the clinical applications, advantages, and limitations of current techniques and offering prospects. Future research should aim to overcome these challenges to improve the prognosis of HCC patients and leverage imaging information for patient benefit.

Prospective appraisal of clinical diagnostic algorithms for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in Chinese patients with chronic hepatitis B infection

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is often detected at advanced stages among patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV), underscoring the urgency for more precise surveillance tests. Here, we compare the clinical performance of the novel - GAAD (gender [biological sex], age, alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], protein-induced by vitamin K absence-II [PIVKA-II]) and GALAD (gender [biological sex], age, AFP, Lens-culinaris AFP [AFP-L3]), PIVKA-II) algorithms to assess the utility of AFP-L3 for distinguishing HCC from benign chronic liver disease (CLD) in Chinese patients with predominantly chronic HBV infection. Eligible adults were enrolled, and biomarkers were measured using Elecsys (Cobas) or µTASWAKO assays. In total, 411 participants provided serum samples (HCC, n = 176 [early-stage, n = 110]; CLD, n = 136; specificity n = 101). HBV was the underlying disease etiology for most participants (HCC, 95%; benign CLD, 72%). For GAAD (Cobas), GALAD (Cobas), and GALAD (µTASWAKO), AUCs were 93.1% (95% CI: 90.0-96.2), 93.2% (90.0-96.3), and 92.7% (88.4-96.9) for early-stage, and 95.6% (93.6-97.6), 95.6% (93.6-97.7), and 95.8% (93.2-98.3) for all-stage HCC, versus CLD, respectively. Interestingly, both GAAD and GALAD algorithms demonstrated comparable diagnostic performance regardless of disease etiology (HBV vs. non-HBV), presence of cirrhosis, geographic region, and within pan-tumor specificity panels (p < 0.001), indicating AFP-L3 may have a negligible role in HCC surveillance.

Enhancing deep-seated hepatocellular carcinoma detection: assessing the added value of high mechanical index setting in sonazoid-based contrast-enhanced ultrasound during post-vascular phase

PURPOSE

This retrospective study aimed to investigate the role of an additional high mechanical index (MI) setting scan during the post-vascular phase (PVP) in detecting deep-seated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) lesions.

METHODS

A total of 805 confirmed HCCs, which underwent Sonazoid-based contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) between January 2014 and October 2021, were included. Low MI scan was initially employed for lesion detection during the PVP, followed by high MI scan. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized to address confounding variables.

RESULTS

Of the 805 study lesions, 668 were detected as perfusion defects at the initial low MI setting, while 137 remained undetected. Among these 137 undetected lesions, 77 were identified at the subsequent high MI setting, whereas 60 remained undetected. Lesions that were larger (18.69 ± 11.27 mm vs. 16.55 ± 7.42 mm, p = 0.006), more superficial (6.06 ± 2.41 cm vs. 7.40 ± 2.74 cm, p < 0.001), and hypoechoic (482/668 vs. 62/137, p < 0.001) were detectable at the initial low MI setting. Male patients benefited more from the additional high MI scan (63/97 vs. 14/40, p < 0.001). Lesions identified with additional high MI were larger (18.30 ± 8.76 mm vs. 14.30 ± 4.34 mm, p < 0.001) and deeper than undetected ones (8.48 ± 2.48 cm vs. 6.02 ± 2.43 cm, p < 0.001). After PSM, depth was shown to be an independent predictor in multivariate analysis (odds ratio: 1.557, 95% confidence interval: 1.249-1.941). The depth cutoff was 7.75 cm, with a sensitivity of 0.681, specificity of 0.851, and area under the curve of 0.774.

CONCLUSIONS

The additional high MI setting scan during the PVP of Sonazoid-based CEUS leads to enhanced detection of deep-seated HCCs.

D-glucaro-1,4-lactone improves Diethylnitrosamine induced hepatocellular carcinoma in rats via the uric acid-ROS pathway

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Liuwei dihuang pills is a famous Traditional Chinese Medicine with various anti-cancer properties. Over 50 pharmaceutical manufacturers produce Liuwei dihuang pills in China and an estimated millions of people around the world orally take it every day. D-glucaro-1,4-lactone (1,4-GL) was quantified to be about 12.0 mg/g in Liuwei dihuang pills and a primary bioactive component of it inhibiting the activity of β-glucuronidase in vivo. 1,4-GL can prevent and effectively inhibit various types of cancer. However, its exact mechanism of action remains unknown. The study would justify the traditional usage of Liuwei dihuang pills against cancers.

AIM OF THE STUDY

1,4-GL, a bioactive ingredient derived from Liuwei dihuang pills, a famous Traditional Chinese Medicine, could delay the progression of diethylnitrosamine (DEN)-induced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in rats. The mechanism underpinning the effect, however, remains poorly understood.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Healthy and HCC rats were treated with or without 1,4-GL (40.0 mg/kg) and 1HNMR-based metabonomic analysis was employed. 10 metabolites in uric acid pathway were quantitatively determined by UPLC-MS/MS. The expression of xanthine dehydrogenase (XDH), SLC2A9 mRNA, and SLC2A9 protein was determined using RT-qPCR and Western Blot. The effect of 1,4-GL on HCC-LM3 cells was verified in vitro. The alterations of ROS activity, SLC2A9 and XDH gene levels were observed in NCTC-1469 cells induced by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) after 1,4-GL treatment.

RESULTS

After the intervention of 1,4-GL, improved pathological morphology, liver lesions in HCC rats was observed with restored serum levels of AFP, AST, ALP, γ-GGT and Fisher's ratio. Hepatic metabonomics revealed that puring metabolism were significantly regulated by 1,4-GL in HCC rats. Uric acid, xanthine and hypoxanthine levels were quantified by UPLC-MS/MS and found to be nearly restored to control levels after 1,4-GL treatment in HCC rats. Changes in xanthine oxidase activity, XDH mRNA expression, and SLC2A9 mRNA and protein expression were also reversed. 1,4-GL treatment in LM3 HCC cells were consistent with the results in vivo. Furthermore, oxidative stress indicators such as T-SOD, GSH, CAT and MDA in serum and liver were improved after HCC rats treated with 1,4-GL. In vitro, 1,4-GL was observed to reduce lipopolysaccharide-induced ROS levels in NCTC-1469 cells with enhanced mRNA and protein expression of SLC2A9 and decreased mRNA level of XDH.

CONCLUSION

The protective effects of 1,4-GL against DEN-induced HCC by reducing uric acid and ROS levels due to down-regulation of uric acid production and up-regulation of SLC2A9 expressions. 1,4-GL may represent a novel treatment that improves recovery from HCC by targeting uric acid-ROS pathway.

WWOX tuning of oleic acid signaling orchestrates immunosuppressive macrophage polarization and sensitizes hepatocellular carcinoma to immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are therapeutically effective for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but are individually selective. This study examined the role of specific common fragile sites (CFSs) related gene in HCC immunotherapy.

METHODS

We analyzed HCC tissues using next-generation sequencing and flow cytometry via time-of-flight technology. A humanized orthotopic HCC mouse model, an in vitro co-culture system, untargeted metabolomics and a DNA pulldown assay were used to examine the function and mechanism of WWOX in the tumor immune response.

RESULTS

WWOX was the most upregulated CFS-related gene in HCC patients responsive to ICIs. WWOX deficiency renders HCC resistant to PD-1 treatment in humanized orthotopic HCC mouse model. Macrophage infiltration is increased and CD8 T-cell subset infiltration is decreased in WWOX-deficient HCC patients. HCC-derived oleic acid (OA) promotes macrophage conversion to an immunosuppressive phenotype. Mechanistically, WWOX deficiency promoted OA synthesis primarily via competitive binding of NME2 with KAT1, which promoted acetylation of NME2 at site 31 and inhibited NME2 binding to the SCD5 promoter region. Pharmacological blockade of SCD5 enhanced the antitumor effects of anti-PD-1 therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

WWOX is a key factor for immune escape in HCC patients, which suggests its use as a biomarker for stratified treatment with ICIs in clinical HCC patients.

Risk-stratified hepatocellular carcinoma screening according to the degree of obesity and progression to cirrhosis for diabetic patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) in Japan: a cost-effectiveness study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening in diabetic patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD).

DESIGN

A state-transition model from a healthcare payer perspective on a lifetime horizon.

SETTING

Japan.

POPULATION

A hypothetical cohort of 50-year-old diabetic patients with MASLD risk-stratified according to degree of obesity and progression to cirrhosis. Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver (MASL), metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and MASH cirrhosis are progressive manifestations of this specific type of liver disease.

INTERVENTION

Abdominal ultrasound (US), US with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), US with AFP and lectin-reactive alpha-fetoprotein (AFP-L3), CT, extracellular contrast-media-enhanced MRI (ECCM-MRI), gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI (EOB-MRI) and no screening.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), early-stage HCC cases, advanced-stage HCC cases and HCC-related deaths.

RESULTS

EOB-MRI is the most cost-effective screening method for non-obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis and for obese diabetic patients with MASH and MASH cirrhosis. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to HCC incidence in non-obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis and obese diabetic patients with MASH, and the adherence rate of HCC screening in obese diabetic patients with MASH. When the semiannual HCC incidence was between 0.008 and 0.0138 in non-obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis, US with AFP was more cost-effective than EOB-MRI. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves showed that EOB-MRI was 50.7%, 96.0% and 99.9% cost-effective in obese diabetic patients with MASH and non-obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis, and obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis at a willingness-to-pay level of $50 000 per QALY gained. Compared with no screening in 100 000 non-obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis and obese diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis, EOB-MRI reduced total costs by US$69 million and by US$142 million, increased lifetime effectiveness by 12 546 QALYs and by 15 815 QALYs, detected 17 873 and 21 014 early-stage HCC cases, and averted 2068 and 2471 HCC-related deaths, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Of all HCC screening methods for diabetic patients with MASH cirrhosis, EOB-MRI yields the greatest cost-saving with the highest QALYs, detects the greatest number of early-stage HCC cases and averts the greatest number of advanced-stage HCC cases and HCC-related deaths. The findings provide important insights for the precise implementation of risk-stratified HCC surveillance to reduce morbidity and mortality and improve the quality of life in diabetic patients with MASLD.

Development and validation of a model for predicting who can benefit from multiple TACE in HCC patients

This study was to develop and validate a model for predicting who can benefit from multiple transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.228 and 98 patients were included in the development and validation sets, respectively. The primary clinical endpoint was benefiting from consecutive multiple TACE treatments. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the independent risk factors for the clinical endpoint. The independent risk factors were then used to construct the predictive model. The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision curves were used to evaluate the predictive ability of the model.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that complete envelope, hepatic lopes, tumor number, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were independent risk factors for benefiting from multiple TACE in HCC patients. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model constructed by using independent risk factors in the development and validation sets was 0.843 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.784-0.902) and 0.828 (95%CI: 0.739-0.916), respectively. The calibration curves and clinical decision curves showed that the model had good predictive ability.The model established in this study has a good predictive effect on HCC patients who can benefit from multiple TACE.

Ablative Treatments and Surgery for Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Network Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

We compared overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following radiofrequency ablation (RFA), microwave ablation (MWA), cryoablation, and liver resection (LR), with the aim of evaluating treatment plans for early-stage HCC.

METHODS

Studies in PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases from April 1, 2004, to April 1, 2024, were searched. Articles were evaluated for quality using the randomized controlled trials tool. Two tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Data obtained from the literature were netted using Stata 15.0 and r 4.2.3. The assessed primary outcomes were OS and DFS at 1 and 3 y.

RESULTS

A total of 25 publications with 4548 patients were included, including 13 studies in mainland China and 12 in other regions. For 1-y DFS, the hazard ratio (HR) was 0.54 (95% credible interval (CrI): 0.38-0.76) for LR compared with RFA and 0.57 (95% CrI: 0.3--0.82) for LR compared with MWA. For 3-y DFS, the HR was 0.52 (95% CrI: 0.38-0.72) for LR compared with RFA and 0.53 (95% CrI: 0.37-0.76). In the Chinese mainland, LR may have a better 1- and 3-y DFS than MWA, but similar survival to RFA. In the other regions, LR had a better DFS than MWA and RFA patients. The rest of the comparisons were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

For early-stage HCC, LR may be more effective in reducing tumor recurrence than ablative treatments. Cryoablation may be a potential treatment for HCC. The differences in treatment effectiveness in different regions are worth further study.

Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in India - An Updated Review for 2024

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common form of primary liver cancer and is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality, especially in patients with chronic liver disease. As a reflection of geographical variations in India, there is significant variation in the prevalence and etiological factors of HCC. In contrast to previous studies reporting viral hepatitis as the most common etiology, recent data indicates a changing etiological pattern of cirrhosis and HCC, with alcohol and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) emerging as the foremost cause. Thus, there was a need for an updated review of the current literature and databases for the changing epidemiology and etiological spectrum of HCC in India. The review included data primarily from the National Cancer Registry Program and the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study, with the inclusion of other studies from India. The highlights of the present review are summarized in the following lines. Although the current incidence (2.15 per 100,000), prevalence (2.27 per 100,000), and mortality (2.21 per 100,000) rate of HCC in India remain lower compared to the global data, the annual rates of change in these parameters are higher in India. Among Indians, the present incidence, prevalence, and mortality related to HCC are higher in males, while the annual rate of change is higher in females. The Northeastern states have higher incidence, prevalence, and mortality related to HCC, but the Western states of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Goa, and Kerala are emerging as newer hotspots with higher annual rates of change in incidence, prevalence, and mortality. The incidence of HCC related to hepatitis B is on a downtrend, while those related to alcohol and MASLD are rising. Public health initiatives, awareness campaigns, and focused treatments are all necessary to combat these changes, particularly in areas with high incidence rates.

The role of β2-AR/PI3K/AKT pathway in the proliferation, migration and invasion of THLE-2 cells induced by nicotine

Nicotine, the primary constituent of tobacco, is one of the important factors that induce the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The β2-adrenergic receptor (β2-AR) is implicated in the growth and advancement of tumors. However, the role of β2-AR and its mediated cascades in nicotine-induced HCC remains unclear. This present study aims to observe the effects of nicotine on the proliferation, migration, and invasion of immortalized human liver epithelial (THLE-2) cells, as well as to explore the underlying mechanisms of action. The results of cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) assay showed that 0.3125 μM nicotine had the ability to promote the proliferation of THLE-2 cells with a significant time-dependent manner. Therefore, THLE-2 cells were mainly selected for chronic treatment with 0.3125 μM nicotine in the later stage to cause transformation. After 30 passages of THLE-2 cells with 0.3125 μM nicotine treatment, chronic exposure to nicotine significantly enhanced the proliferation, metastasis, and invasion of cells. Besides, it also upregulated the intracellular levels of β2-AR, phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K), AKT, matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2) and Cyclin D1, as well as downregulated the expression of p53. More importantly, the β2-AR/PI3K/AKT pathway was found to mediate the expression of MMP-2, Cyclin D1, and p53 in THLE-2 cells, playing a crucial role in their proliferation, migration, and invasion after continuous exposure to nicotine. Simply put, it demonstrated the role of β2-AR/PI3K/AKT pathway in the transformation of THLE-2 cells induced by nicotine. This study could provide valuable insights into the relationship between nicotine and HCC. Additionally, it lays the groundwork for investigating potential anticancer treatments for liver cancer linked to tobacco consumption.

Liver cancer in 2021: Global burden of disease study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The epidemiology of adult primary liver cancer continues to evolve, owing to the increasing prevalence of metabolic disease, rising alcohol consumption, advances in vaccination for HBV, and antiviral therapy for HCV. Disparities in care and the burden of liver cancer between populations persist. We assess trends in the burden of liver cancer and contributions by various etiologies across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2021.

METHODS

Utilizing the methodological framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we analyzed global and regional temporal trends in incidence and mortality, and the contributions of various etiologies of liver disease.

RESULTS

In 2021, there were an estimated 529,202 incident cases and 483,875 deaths related to liver cancer. From 2010 to 2021, global liver cancer incident cases and deaths increased by 26% and 25%, respectively. Global age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and death rates (ASDRs) for liver cancer declined but rose in the Americas and Southeast Asia. HBV remained the dominant cause of global incident liver cancer cases and deaths. MASLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease) was the only etiology of liver cancer with rising ASIRs and ASDRs. By contrast, ASIRs and ASDRs remained stable for alcohol-related liver cancer, and declined for HBV- and HCV-related liver cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

While age-adjusted incidence and deaths from liver cancer have started to decline, the absolute number of incident cases and deaths continues to increase. Population growth and aging contribute to the observed disconnect in the temporal trends of absolute cases and rates. Disparities remain, and MASLD-related liver cancer continues to surge.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Liver cancer remains a major cause of death globally, but its causes and burden in various regions are changing. This study highlights that new diagnoses and deaths related to liver cancer continue to rise. Age-adjusted death rates of liver cancer related to viral hepatitis are declining but remain high. By contrast, age-adjusted death rates of liver cancer related to MASLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease) are rising. Sustained efforts and resources are needed to eliminate viral hepatitis, reverse current trends in heavy alcohol use, and tackle the metabolic risk factors of MASLD.

Survival and cardiovascular disease mortality among primary liver cancer patients: A population-based study

Background

The prognosis of primary liver cancer (PLC) was influenced by death due to non-cancer causes, particularly death related to cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aimed to analyze mortality of non-cancer causes and identify the independent risk factors associated with CVD-related deaths in PLC patients.

Methods

In total, 112140 patients were enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2000-2019). Independent risk factors for death from CVD in patients with PLC were identified by Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

The median follow-up time of all PLC patients was 76 months (interquartile range (IQR): 36-129). The median overall survival (OS) was 12 months (IQR: 3-40). Patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) had shorter OS than patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (8 vs. 14 months; P < 0.001). A total of 87299 deaths were observed, among which 61477 (70.42 % of all deaths) were from PLC, and 12727 (14.58 % of all deaths) were from other cancers. Of all non-cancer deaths (9276, 10.63 %), 2860(30.86 %) were results of CVD. PLC patients had higher risks on CVD-related deaths, compared with general population (standard mortality ratio, SMR, 2.20; 95 % confidence interval, CI, 2.12-2.28). Typically, the highest SMRs appeared in the first year following cancer diagnosis. The multivariable analysis revealed the characteristics listed as followed to be independently risk factors of CVD: age, male (hazard ratio, HR: 1.248, 95%CI: 1.147-1.359), black race (HR: 1.334, 95%CI: 1.195-1.490), year 2016-2019 of diagnosis (HR 0.758, 95%CI: 0.671-0.856), ICC (HR: 1.202, 95%CI: 1.086-1.330), without surgery (HR: 2.479, 95%CI: 2.266-2.711) and without chemotherapy (HR: 2.211, 95%CI: 2.033-2.403).

Conclusion

It is essential to take cardiovascular health into consideration at the time of diagnosis for PLC patients as the risk of CVD mortality is significantly higher than that of general population.

Prognostic modeling of hepatocellular carcinoma based on T-cell proliferation regulators: a bioinformatics approach

Background

The prognostic value and immune significance of T-cell proliferation regulators (TCRs) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have not been previously reported. This study aimed to develop a new prognostic model based on TCRs in patients with HCC.

Method

This study used The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA-LIHC) and International Cancer Genome Consortium-Liver Cancer-Riken, Japan (ICGC-LIRI-JP) datasets along with TCRs. Differentially expressed TCRs (DE-TCRs) were identified by intersecting TCRs and differentially expressed genes between HCC and non-cancerous samples. Prognostic genes were determined using Cox regression analysis and were used to construct a risk model for HCC. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to assess the difference in survival between high-risk and low-risk groups. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess the validity of risk model, as well as for testing in the ICGC-LIRI-JP dataset. Additionally, independent prognostic factors were identified using multivariate Cox regression analysis and proportional hazards assumption, and they were used to construct a nomogram model. TCGA-LIHC dataset was subjected to tumor microenvironment analysis, drug sensitivity analysis, gene set variation analysis, and immune correlation analysis. The prognostic genes were analyzed using consensus clustering analysis, mutation analysis, copy number variation analysis, gene set enrichment analysis, and molecular prediction analysis.

Results

Among the 18 DE-TCRs, six genes (DCLRE1B, RAN, HOMER1, ADA, CDK1, and IL1RN) could predict the prognosis of HCC. A risk model that can accurately predict HCC prognosis was established based on these genes. An efficient nomogram model was also developed using clinical traits and risk scores. Immune-related analyses revealed that 39 immune checkpoints exhibited differential expression between the high-risk and low-risk groups. The rate of immunotherapy response was low in patients belonging to the high-risk group. Patients with HCC were further divided into cluster 1 and cluster 2 based on prognostic genes. Mutation analysis revealed that HOMER1 and CDK1 harbored missense mutations. DCLRE1B exhibited an increased copy number, whereas RAN exhibited a decreased copy number. The prognostic genes were significantly enriched in tryptophan metabolism pathways.

Conclusions

This bioinformatics analysis identified six TCR genes associated with HCC prognosis that can serve as diagnostic markers and therapeutic targets for HCC.

Tumor-Targeted CO Nanodelivery System Design and Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

In recent years, carbon monoxide (CO) has garnered increased attention as a novel green therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment. However, the CO donor is still limited in clinical application due to its lack of targeted ability and unstable release rate. Here, self-assembled amphiphilic nanomicelles glucose-polyethylene glycol (PEG)-lipoic acid (LA)-Fe2(CO)6 (Glu-Fe2(CO)6) are first designed as a CO donor and synthesized via a chemical method, combining glucose with Fe2(CO)6 through PEG-LA. Some advantages of this tumor-targeted Glu-Fe2(CO)6 delivery system include (I) good water-solubility, (II) the glutathione responsive CO slow release, (III) the active tumor-targeted ability of glucose as targeted ligands, and (IV) outstanding efficacy of antitumor and safety of CO therapy of HCC both in vitro and in vivo. These findings suggest that Glu-Fe2(CO)6 nanomicelles hold promise for enhancing antitumor therapeutic capabilities, presenting a novel tumor-targeted delivery strategy in gas therapy for HCC treatment.

Temporal trends in prevalence of liver cancer and etiology-specific liver cancer from 1990 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Liver cancer (LC) remains a major cause of cancer death worldwide. Grasping prevalence trends is key to informing strategies for control and prevention. We analyzed the global, regional and national trends in LC prevalence and its major causes from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

We obtained LC age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) estimates from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 and assessed trends using Joinpoint regression. LC cases were categorized into those due to hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), alcohol use, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and other causes.

RESULTS

While the ASPR of LC has shown a global decrease, there are specific regions where an increase in ASPR has been observed, with the highest rates in America. HBV remained the leading cause of LC (41.45 %) but significant increases occurred for HCV, alcohol use and NASH. Prevalence correlated with socioeconomic development. High-income countries had higher LC rates from HCV and alcohol but lower HBV-related LC. In high-income nations, LC prevalence climbs; the converse holds in middle- and low-income countries.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a global ASPR decrease, LC due to HCV, NASH, and alcohol is rising. Prevention strategies must prioritize HBV vaccination, HCV treatment, and alcohol regulation.

IMPACT

The study informs targeted LC control policies and emphasizes the importance of continued monitoring and regional cooperation to combat LC.

Tislelizumab versus Sorafenib in First-Line Treatment of Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Impact on Health-Related Quality of Life in RATIONALE-301 Study

Introduction

RATIONALE-301 (NCT03412773) was a global, phase 3 study comparing the efficacy and safety of tislelizumab with sorafenib as first-line (1L) treatment in adult patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that met its primary endpoint of noninferiority in overall survival (OS). This analysis compared health-related quality-of-life (HRQOL) outcomes between the arms.

Methods

Systemic therapy-naive adults with HCC were randomized 1:1 to receive tislelizumab (n = 342) or sorafenib (n = 332). HRQOL was assessed using EORTC QLQ-C30, QLQ-HCC18, and EQ-5D-5L. At cycles 4 and 6, a mixed model for repeated measures was performed using key-prespecified patient-reported outcome (PRO) endpoints of the QLQ-C30 and the QLQ-HCC18. Time to deterioration was analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method using the PRO endpoints.

Results

At cycles 4 and 6, patients in the tislelizumab arm had better HRQOL outcomes than the patients in the sorafenib arm per mean-change difference in GHS/QOL, QLQ-C30 physical functioning and fatigue, and QLQ-HCC18 symptom index; however, no differences for pain were observed. Patients in the tislelizumab arm had lower risk of deterioration in GHS/QOL (HR: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.49-0.94), QLQ-C30 physical functioning (HR: 0.45; 95% CI: 0.32-0.63) and fatigue (HR: 0.47; 95% CI: 0.36-0.61), QLQ-HCC18 symptom index (HR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.34-0.81), and HCC-specific fatigue (HR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.45-0.79). For pain, both arms had similar risk of deterioration (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.56-1.09). At cycles 4 and 6, patients in the tislelizumab arm maintained in EQ-5D-5L visual analog scale, whereas scores decreased for the patients in the sorafenib arm.

Conclusion

Patients with 1L HCC treated with tislelizumab had favorable HRQOL outcomes compared with patients treated with sorafenib, particularly in fatigue and physical functioning. These results, along with favorable safety profile, better response rate, and OS noninferiority, support tislelizumab as a potential 1L treatment option for unresectable HCC.

Recent Trends in Liver Cancer: Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Diagnostic Techniques

Liver cancer, particularly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), poses a significant global health challenge due to its high mortality rate. Hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) are the two main types of primary liver cancer (PLC), each with its own set of complexities. Secondary or metastatic liver cancer is more common than PLC. It is frequently observed in malignancies such as colorectal, pancreatic, melanoma, lung, and breast cancer. Liver cancer is often diagnosed at an advanced stage, making it difficult to treat. This highlights the need for focused research on early detection and effective treatment strategies. This review explores the epidemiology, risk factors, and diagnostic techniques for HCC. The development of HCC involves various risk factors, including chronic liver diseases, hepatitis B and C infections, alcohol consumption, obesity, smoking, and genetic predispositions. Various invasive and non-invasive diagnostic techniques, such as biopsy, liquid biopsy, and imaging modalities like ultrasonography, computed tomography scans (CT scans), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and positron emission tomography (PET) scans, are utilized for HCC detection and monitoring. Advances in imaging technology and biomarker research have led to more accurate and sensitive methods for early HCC detection. We also reviewed advanced research on emerging techniques, including next-generation sequencing, metabolomics, epigenetic biomarkers, and microbiome analysis, which show great potential for advancing early diagnosis and personalized treatment strategies. This literature review provides insights into the current state of liver cancer diagnosis and promising future advancements. Ongoing research and innovation in these areas are essential for improving early diagnosis and reducing the global burden of liver cancer.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Analgesic effects of ultrasound-guided preoperative posterior Quadratus Lumborum block in laparoscopic hepatectomy: A prospective double-blinded randomized controlled trial

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To determine if single-injection bilateral posterior quadratus lumborum block (QLB) with ropivacaine would improve postoperative analgesia in the first 24 h after laparoscopic hepatectomy, compared with 0.9% saline.

DESIGN

Prospective, double blinded, randomized controlled trial.

SETTING

A single tertiary care center from November 2021 and January 2023.

PATIENTS

A total of 94 patients scheduled to undergo laparoscopic hepatectomy due to hepatocellular carcinoma.

INTERVENTIONS

Ninety-four patients were randomized into a QLB group (receiving 20 mL of 0.375% ropivacaine on each side, 150 mg in total) or a control group (receiving 20 mL of 0.9% saline on each side).

MEASUREMENTS

The primary outcome was the cumulative opioid consumption during the initial 24-h post-surgery. Secondary outcomes included pain scores and intraoperative and recovery parameters.

MAIN RESULTS

The mean cumulative opioid consumption during the initial 24-h post-surgery was 30.8 ± 22.4 mg in the QLB group (n = 46) and 34.0 ± 19.4 mg in the control group (n = 46, mean differences: -3.3 mg, 95% confidence interval, -11.9 to 5.4, p = 0.457). The mean resting pain score at 1 h post-surgery was significantly lower in the QLB group than in the control group (5 [4-6.25] vs. 7 [4.75-8], p = 0.035). No significant intergroup differences were observed in the resting or coughing pain scores at other time points or in other secondary outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative bilateral posterior QLB did not reduce cumulative opioid consumption during the first 24 h after laparoscopic hepatectomy.

Construction of an interpretable model for predicting survival outcomes in patients with middle to advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (≥5 cm) using lasso-cox regression

Background

In this retrospective study, we aimed to identify key risk factors and establish an interpretable model for HCC with a diameter ≥ 5 cm using Lasso regression for effective risk stratification and clinical decision-making.

Methods

In this study, 843 patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm were included. Using Lasso regression to screen multiple characteristic variables, cox proportional hazard regression and random survival forest models (RSF) were established. By comparing the area under the curve (AUC), the optimal model was selected. The model was visualized, and the order of interpretable importance was determined. Finally, risk stratification was established to identify patients at high risk.

Result

Lasso regression identified 8 factors as characteristic risk factors. Subsequent analysis revealed that the lasso-cox model had AUC values of 0.773, 0.758, and 0.799, while the lasso-RSF model had AUC values of 0.734, 0.695, and 0.741, respectively. Based on these results, the lasso-cox model was chosen as the superior model. Interpretability assessments using SHAP values indicated that the most significant characteristic risk factors, in descending order of importance, were tumor number, BCLC stage, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), ascites, albumin (ALB), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST). Additionally, through risk score stratification and subgroup analysis, it was observed that the median OS of the low-risk group was significantly better than that of the middle- and high-risk groups.

Conclusion

We have developed an interpretable predictive model for middle and late HCC with tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm using lasso-cox regression analysis. This model demonstrates excellent prediction performance and can be utilized for risk stratification.

Prognostic model for predicting recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with high systemic immune-inflammation index based on machine learning in a multicenter study

Introduction

This study aims to use machine learning to conduct in-depth analysis of key factors affecting the recurrence of HCC patients with high preoperative systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) levels after receiving ablation treatment, and based on this, construct a nomogram model for predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) of patients.

Methods

This study included clinical data of 505 HCC patients who underwent ablation therapy at Beijing You'an Hospital from January 2014 to January 2020, and accepted 65 HCC patients with high SII levels from Beijing Ditan Hospital as an external validation cohort. 505 patients from Beijing You'an Hospital were divided into low SII and high SII groups based on the optimal cutoff value of SII scores. The high SII group was further randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), random survival forest (RSF), and multivariate Cox regression analysis, were used to explore the factors affecting the post-ablation RFS of HCC patients. Based on the identified key factors, a nomogram model were developed to predict RFS in HCC patients, and their performance were evaluated using the concordance index (C index), receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The optimal cutoff value for nomogram scores was used to divide patients into low- and high-risk groups, and the effectiveness of the model in risk stratification was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves.

Results

This study confirmed that age, BCLC stage, tumor number, and GGT level were independent risk factors affecting RFS in HCC patients. Based on the selected risk factors, an RFS nomogram was successfully constructed. The C-index, ROC curve, calibration curve, and DCA curve each demonstrated the discrimination, accuracy, and decision-making utility of the nomogram, indicating that it has good predictive performance. KM curve revealed the nomogram could significantly differentiate patient populations with different recurrence risk.

Conclusion

We developed a reliable nomogram that can accurately predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS for HCC patients with high SII levels following ablation therapy.

Burden of Gastrointestinal Tumors in Asian Countries, 1990-2021: An Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Background

Gastrointestinal tumors represent a significant component of the cancer burden in Asia. This study aims to evaluate the burden of gastrointestinal tumors in Asia from 1990 to 2021 using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021).

Methods

The absolute incidence, mortality, and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) number and rate of six gastrointestinal tumors(colon and rectum cancer (CRC), stomach cancer (SC), pancreatic cancer (PC), esophageal cancer (EC), liver cancer (LC) and gallbladder and biliary tract cancer (GBTC)) in 48 Asian countries were extracted from GBD 2021. Differences were analyzed based on gender, age, year, location and socio-demographic index (SDI).

Results

In 2021, SC accounted for the highest disease burden in Asia (DALYs=16.41million [95% UI: 13.70, 19.62]). From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rates of EC, LC, and SC in Asia declined, while the incidence rates of CRC and PC increased significantly, with CRC showing the largest rise (AAPC=1.08 [95% CI: 1.02 to 1.12]). Gastrointestinal tumors DALY rates peaked at age 70 and above, with males generally exhibiting higher rates than females. Furthermore, East Asia bears a higher burden compared to other Asian subregions. A higher SDI correlates with increased DALY rates for PC, but no linear relationship was observed for other gastrointestinal tumors.

Conclusion

The burden of gastrointestinal tumors in Asia remains high and may continue to increase. Therefore, effective prevention and treatment measures are essential to address the challenge posed by gastrointestinal tumors.

Combination of microparticles vaccine with MSI-1436 exerts a strong immune response for hepatocellular carcinoma

Although tumor cell-derived microparticles (MPs) vaccines have reportedly induced antitumor immune reactions for various cancers, the mechanism by which MPs derived from Hepa1-6 cells are taken up by dendritic cells (DCs) and provide the MPs antigens message to CD8+ T cells to exert their anti-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) effects remain unclear. Furthermore, the role of MPs in combination with the small-molecule drug MSI-1436, an inhibitor of protein tyrosine phosphatase 1B (PTP1B), in HCC has not yet been reported. In this study, protein mass spectrometry combined with cytology revealed that MPs are mainly taken up by DCs via the clathrin-mediated endocytosis and phagocytosis pathway and localized mainly in lysosomes. High concentration of tumor necrosis factor-α and interferon-γ was detected in CD8+ T cells stimulated with MPs-loaded DCs. Moreover, MPs combined with MSI-1436 further suppressed the proliferation of HCC cells in C57BL/6 tumor-bearing mice, which was closely correlated with CD4+/CD8+ T cells counts in peripheral blood, spleen, and the tumor microenvironment. Mechanistically, the combination of MPs and MSI-1436 exerts a more powerful anti-HCC effect, which may be related to the further inhibition of the expression of PTP1B. Overall, MPs combined with MSI-1436 exerted stronger antitumor effects than MPs or MSI-1436 alone. Therefore, the combination of MPs and MSI-1436 may be a promising means of treating HCC.

Elevated Hepatitis B virus RNA levels in hepatocellular carcinoma patients compared to cirrhotic individuals: A propensity score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

To delineate the levels of serum Hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and study comparisons with those of individuals afflicted with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Adult patients diagnosed with HBV-related cirrhosis or HCC (initial diagnosis) were enrolled in the cross-sectional study. Serum HBV DNA level was quantified through a real-time polymerase chain reaction assay with a lower limit of quantification (LLQ) of 20 IU/ml. Additionally, serum HBV RNA was quantified employing RNA real-time fluorescence thermostatic amplification detection technology with LLQ of 100 copies/ml. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to ensure balance in between-group confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 187 patients (47 with HCC and 140 with cirrhosis) were recruited, among whom 140 (74.9%) had undergone antiviral therapy prior to their inclusion, with varying durations. Serum HBV RNA was detectable in 89.4% of HCC patients at the time of carcinoma diagnosis. After PSM, individuals with HCC exhibited significantly elevated levels of serum HBV DNA and HBV RNA compared to those with cirrhosis (median lgHBV RNA 3.1 vs 2.0 copies/ml, P = 0.001). Subgroup analysis, including 38 patients who exhibited ultrasensitive HBV DNA negativity, revealed similar results (median lgHBV RNA 3.0 vs 0.0 copies/ml, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum HBV RNA levels were significantly higher in HBV-related HCC patients compared to cirrhotic patients. The presence of serum HBV RNA positivity or elevated levels was associated with the onset of HCC.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Asia: Physician and Patient Perspectives on Surveillance, Diagnosis, and Treatment

PURPOSE

In several Asian countries, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer deaths. HCC risk factors in Asia differ from those elsewhere and are changing with the treatment landscape as systemic treatment options increase. This study was conducted to gain insight from physicians and patients into HCC screening, diagnosis, and treatment strategies in Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam.

METHODS

Two cross-sectional, anonymized, online surveys were completed between July and December 2022 by physicians diagnosing and treating HCC (55 questions on risk factors, surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment) and patients ≥ 18 years old diagnosed with HCC (36 questions on disease knowledge, quality of life, and experiences of diagnosis and treatment).

RESULTS

Responses were received from 276 physicians in all 7 countries and 130 patients in Thailand, Taiwan, and Vietnam. From the physician's perspective, surveillance programs are widespread but identify insufficient HCC cases; only 18% are early-stage HCC at diagnosis. From the patient's perspective, knowledge of risk factors increases after diagnosis, but few seek support from patient associations; patients would benefit from better communication from their doctors. Treatment affordability and side effects are key issues for patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Awareness of the risk factors for HCC should be raised in primary care and the general population, and surveillance should identify early-stage HCC. Because patients rely on their doctors for support, doctors should better understand their patients' needs, and patients could be supported by trained nurses or case managers. Programs are needed to increase patients' access to proven HCC treatments.

Phase I-IV Drug Trials on Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Asian Populations: A Systematic Review of Ten Years of Studies

Despite advances in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) over the last few decades, treatment opportunities for patients with HCC remain limited. HCC is the most common form of liver cancer, accounting for approximately 90% of all cases worldwide. Moreover, apart from the current pharmacological interventions, hepatic resection and liver transplantation are the mainstay curative approaches for patients with HCC. This systematic review included phase I, II, III, and IV clinical trials (CTs) and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on current treatments for patients with HCC in Asian populations (2013-2023). A total of 427 articles were screened, and 184 non-duplicate publications were identified. After screening the titles and abstracts, 96 publications were excluded, and another 28 were excluded after full-text screening. The remaining 60 eligible RCTs/CTs were finally included. A total of 60 clinical trials fulfilled our inclusion criteria with 36 drugs used as monotherapy or combination therapy for HCC. Most studies used sorafenib alone or in combination with any of the treatment regimens. Lenvatinib or atezolizumab with bevacizumab was used for HCC after initial sorafenib treatment. Eighteen studies compared the efficacy of sorafenib with that of other drugs, including lenvatinib, cabozantinib, tepotinib, tigatuzumab, linifanib, erlotinib, resminostat, brivanib, tislelizumab, selumetinib, and refametinib. This study provides comprehensive insights into effective treatment interventions for HCC in Asian populations. The overall assessment indicates that sorafenib, used alone or in combination with atezolizumab and bevacizumab, has been the first treatment choice in the past decade to achieve better outcomes in patients with HCC in Asian populations.

Population pharmacokinetics study of tacrolimus in liver transplant recipients: a comparison between patients with or without liver cancer before surgery

Background and Objective

The main challenge for immunosuppressive therapy using tacrolimus in liver transplantation is the considerable variability in its oral bioavailability and the narrow treatment range. Many population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) models have been established to precisely estimate the PK variability of tacrolimus in liver transplant recipients. However, it remains unclear whether there is a significant difference in the PK behavior of tacrolimus between patients with or without liver cancer before surgery. Therefore, we aimed to compare the differences of PK parameters and simulate exposures of tacrolimus between populations preoperatively diagnosed with liver cancer or not by PopPK modeling.

Methods

In total, 802 blood concentrations of tacrolimus from 196 patients (118 liver cancer and 78 non-liver-cancer samples) were included in this study. Demographic data and clinical parameters were integrated to perform a PopPK analysis using the nonlinear mixed-effects modeling approach. Potential covariates were evaluated by using a stepwise method. Goodness-of-fit plot and bootstrap were performed to assess the model stability and predictive performance. Simulations were introduced to optimize dosing regimens of both the liver cancer and non-liver-cancer groups according to the guidance.

Results

The PK of tacrolimus was best described by a one-compartment model with first-order absorption and linear elimination, with weight and direct bilirubin as the significant covariates. In the process of constructing the basic model, we tried to separately estimate the PK parameters in liver cancer and non-liver-cancer populations. The results showed that the PK parameters in the two populations were similar, and the individual variation in Ka in non-liver-cancer subjects was large. Hence, the final model did not distinguish between the two populations. Moreover, a minor increase of less than 10% was observed in the simulated exposure in the patients preoperatively diagnosed with liver cancer compared with that in non-liver-cancer groups.

Conclusion

The established PopPK model was capable of optimizing tacrolimus dosing in whole populations who underwent liver transplantation. Although a minimal difference was found in tacrolimus exposure between the liver cancer and non-liver-cancer groups, more research is warranted to explore the differences between the two populations in the future, given the potential limitations of this study.

Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI nomogram model to differentiate hepatocellular carcinoma and focal nodular hyperplasia both showing iso- or hyperintensity in the hepatobiliary phase

BACKGROUND

To develop and validate a nomogram model based on Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI for differentiation between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and focal nodular hyperplasia (FNH) showing iso- or hyperintensity in the hepatobiliary phase (HBP).

METHODS

A total of 75 patients with 49 HCCs and 26 FNHs randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 52: 34 HCC; 18 FNH) and an internal validation cohort (n = 23: 15 HCC; 8 FNH). A total of 37 patients (n = 37: 25 HCC; 12 FNH) acted as an external test cohort. The clinical and imaging characteristics between HCC and FNH groups in the training cohort were compared. The statistically significant parameters were included into the FAE software, and a multivariate logistic regression classifier was used to identify independent predictors and establish a nomogram model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the prediction ability of the model, while the calibration and decision curves were used for model validation. Subanalysis was used to compare qualitative and quantitative characteristics of patients with chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis between the HCC and FNH groups.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, gender, age, enhancement rate in the arterial phase (AP), focal defects in uptake were significant predictors for HCC showing iso- or hyperintensity in the HBP. In the training cohort, area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity of the nomogram model were 0.989(95%CI: 0.967-1.000), 97.1% and 94.4%. In the internal validation cohort, the above three indicators were 0.917(95%CI: 0.782-1.000), 93.3% and 87.5%. In the external test cohort, the above three indicators were 0.960(95%CI: 0.905-1.000), 84.0% and 100.0%. The results of subanalysis showed that age was the independent predictor in the patients with chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis between HCC and FNH groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI nomogram model may be useful for discriminating HCC and FNH showing iso- or hyperintensity in the HBP before surgery.

Role of tumor-associated macrophages in hepatocellular carcinoma: impact, mechanism, and therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly frequent malignancy worldwide. The occurrence and progression of HCC is a complex process closely related to the polarization of tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) in the tumor microenvironment (TME). The polarization of TAMs is affected by a variety of signaling pathways and surrounding cells. Evidence has shown that TAMs play a crucial role in HCC, through its interaction with other immune cells in the TME. This review summarizes the origin and phenotypic polarization of TAMs, their potential impacts on HCC, and their mechanisms and potential targets for HCC immunotherapy.

The Value of CEUS LI-RADS combined with AFP in early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in low- and high-risk patients

BACKGROUND

We found that the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has increased significantly in non-cirrhotic individuals, with HCC being frequently overlooked or misdiagnosed. Contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) is known to have a high diagnostic quality in high-risk HCC patients. Therefore, we aimed to compare the detection accuracy of CEUS LI-RADS for HCC between low- and high-risk individuals, to confirm its value in low-risk patients at increased risk of HCC, but not yet included in the high-risk groups of LI-RADS. In addition, since CEUS LR-4 and LR-M categories contain a relatively high proportion of HCC, and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the most commonly used biomarker for HCC, and the clinically valid, we attempted to further improve the early diagnostic capability of CEUS LI-RADS for HCC in the low-risk and high-risk patients by combining CEUS LR-4 and LR-M categories with AFP.

METHODS

We defined high-risk groups (HR)-included in the high-risk patients of LI-RADS, low-risk groups (LR)-not included in the high-risk patients of LI-RADS and enrolled 189 HCC patients with LR and HR settings in a retrospective study. All lesions were confirmed histopathologically. The CEUS LI-RADS accuracy for detecting HCC in these two patients was compared. In addition, the diagnostic algorithm in our study was proposed (for CEUS LR-4 and LR-M patients with AFP>20 ng/ml). we analyzed the ability of CEUS LI-RADS as a valid method of establishing the early diagnosis of HCC in LR and HR patients by combining LR-4 and LR-M categories with AFP.

RESULTS

Through comparative analysis, the specificity of the CEUS LR-5 category for HCC in the HR group was 78.4%, whereas in the LR group, it was 94.2%. Meanwhile, the sensitivity (63.2% vs. 63.0%) and positive predictive value (PPV) (75.0% vs. 88.7%) did not differ between the LR and HR groups ( P = 0.990, P = 0.299). It is noteworthy that there were the high proportion of HCC in CEUS LR-4 and LR-M categories in our cases and when we combined CEUS LR-4 and LR-M categories with AFP significantly improved the sensitivity by 21.0% (84.2%) in the LR group, and by 16.0% (79.0%) in the HR group, with statistically difference in sensitivity after combination in the HR group ( P = 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

The CEUS LR-5 category has real meaningful utility in the diagnosis of HCC in both LR and HR patients. The early detection power of the CEUS LI-RADS category for HCC patients was further increased when the CEUS LR-4 and LR-M categories were combined with elevated AFP.

Zanthoxylum zanthoxyloides (Lam.) B. Zepernick & Timler alkaloidal extract exerts hepatoprotective effects in rats with a CCl4/olive oil-induced hepatocellular carcinoma-like phenotype

Objective

This study assessed the prophylactic anti-HCC effects of a combined stem and root alkaloidal extract of Zanthoxylum zanthoxyloides (Z. zanthoxyloides) (SRAEZZ) in rats with a CCl4/olive oil-induced HCC-like phenotype.

Methods

SRAEZZ was prepared from dried stems and roots of Z. zanthoxyloides in a 1:1 proportion and chemically characterized. A total of 30 healthy male Wistar rats (weighing 210-280 g) were randomly assigned to six groups (control, model, capecitabine, and SRAEZZ [50, 100, or 200 mg/kg]). All groups except the control received CCl4/olive oil (3 mL/kg, po) in the morning, whereas in the afternoon of the same dosing day, the model group received normal saline (5 mL/kg, po), the capecitabine group received capecitabine (50 mg/kg, po), and the SRAEZZ groups received SRAEZZ (50, 100, or 200 mg/kg, po, respectively) once per week for 36 days. Survival rate, serum α-fetoprotein (AFP), and C-reactive protein (CRP) were monitored. Gross liver anatomy, liver histology, liver enzymes (ALP, AST, and ALT), bilirubin, creatinine, urea, albumin, globulins, and hematological parameters were assessed.

Results

SRAEZZ yield was 0.58% from the initial stem and root sample (520 g). Quaternary phenanthridin alkaloids were detected in SRAEZZ. Control rats had a 100% survival rate compared with rats in the model group. SRAEZZ treatment improved the survival rate with respect to that in the model group. Serum AFP, CRP, and bilirubin levels were greater in the model group than the control group. SRAEZZ decreased serum AFP, CRP, and bilirubin below the levels observed in the model group. ALP, AST, and AST were higher in the model group, but lower in SRAEZZ-treated group, than the control group.

Conclusion

SRAEZZ demonstrated prophylactic anti-HCC effects against CCl4/olive oil-induced HCC-like phenotypes in rats. These findings highlight the potential of crude alkaloids from Z. zanthoxyloides as natural templates for semi-synthesis of anti-HCC pharmacotherapeutics.

Association Between Prediabetes and Risk, Mortality of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

As the high-risk stage of diabetes, the role of prediabetes in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. To address this knowledge gap, we undertook a meta-analysis to investigate the potential association between the prediabetic stage and HCC.

METHODS

In this study, two independent investigators conducted a comprehensive search for relevant articles published up until May 2023 in several databases, including PubMed, Web of Science, Medline, EMBASE, and Google Scholar. The results were then summarized using STATA 12.0 software.

RESULTS

Our analysis included a total of 6 cohort studies involving 1,490,752 participants, as well as 1 case-control study with 220 participants. The research aimed to examine the association between prediabetes and the risk of HCC. Our meta-analysis revealed that prediabetes was significantly associated with an elevated risk of HCC (odds ratio (OR)/relative risk (RR) = 1.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06 to 1.48, I2 = 57.2%, p = 0.012), using a random-effects model. Moreover, four cohort studies, encompassing 1,362,847 participants, explored the relationship between prediabetes and HCC mortality. The meta-analysis showed that prediabetes was associated with a higher mortality rate of HCC, also utilizing a random-effects model (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.36, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.81, I2 = 55.8%, p = 0.060).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, our findings highlight a significant association between prediabetes and an increased risk of HCC and suggest that prediabetes may also contribute to higher mortality rates among HCC patients.

Clinical significance of LINC02532 in hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma and its regulatory effect on tumor progression

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play an important role in tumor progression, including in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) induced by hepatitis B virus (HBV). Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the role of LINC02532 in HCC, mainly for diagnostic prognostic value and cellular function, as well as mechanistic aspects.

METHODS

Initially, GEO and VirBase databases were used to screen for aberrant lncRNAs in HBV-HCC.Then, HBV-HCC persons followed up in our center were retrospectively studied to investigate the diagnostic, prognostic value of LINC02532 in HBV-HCC. Subsequently, the role of LINC02532 in HBV-HCC was measured using cellular function assay methods and possible mechanisms were analyzed in conjunction with bioinformatic predictive science.

RESULTS

LINC02532 was a lncRNA abnormally expressed in HBV-HCC. LINC02532 was significantly up-regulated in the expression level in HBV-HCC tissues compared with normal tissues from patients. Moreover, LINC02532 could distinguish HBV-HCC and predict the prognosis of HBV-HCC. In vitro experiments showed that LINC02532 could regulate miR-455-3p and promote the malignant characterization of HBV-HCC cells. CHEK2 was a target gene of miR-455-3p.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis and diagnosis of HBV-HCC can rely on the expression of LINC02532. LINC02532 was important for further progression of HBV-HCC, by moderating miR-455-3p/CHEK2.

Assessment of Albumin-Incorporating Scores at Hepatocellular Carcinoma Diagnosis Using Machine Learning Techniques: An Evaluation of Prognostic Relevance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents high mortality rates worldwide, with limited evidence on prognostic factors at diagnosis. This study evaluates the utility of common scores incorporating albumin as predictors of mortality at HCC diagnosis using Machine Learning techniques. They are also compared to other scores and variables commonly used. A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 191 patients from Virgen de la Luz Hospital of Cuenca and University Hospital of Guadalajara. Demographic, analytical, and tumor-specific variables were included. Various Machine Learning algorithms were implemented, with eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) as the reference method. In the predictive model developed, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer score was the best predictor of mortality, closely followed by the Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin and Albumin-Bilirubin scores. Albumin levels alone also showed high relevance. Other scores, such as C-Reactive Protein/albumin and Child-Pugh performed less effectively. XGB proved to be the most accurate method across the metrics analyzed, outperforming other ML algorithms. In conclusion, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin and Albumin-Bilirubin scores are highly reliable for assessing survival at HCC diagnosis. The XGB-developed model proved to be the most reliable for this purpose compared to the other proposed methods.

Liver stiffness in hepatocellular carcinoma and chronic hepatitis patients: Hepatitis B virus infection and transaminases should be considered

BACKGROUND

Liver condition is a crucial prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but a convenient and comprehensive method to assess liver condition is lacking. Liver stiffness (LS) measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography may help in assessing liver fibrosis and liver condition. Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is an important risk factor for HCC progression, but LS was found to be less reliable in assessing liver fibrosis following hepatitis viral eradication. We hypothesize that the status of hepatitis virus infection would affect the accuracy of LS in assessing the liver condition.

AIM

To test the feasibility and impact factors of using LS to assess liver condition in patients with HCC and CHB.

METHODS

A total of 284 patients were retrospectively recruited and classified into two groups on the basis of serum CHB virus hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA levels [HBV-DNA ≥ 100.00 IU/mL as Pos group (n = 200) and < 100.00 IU/mL as Neg group (n = 84)]. Correlation analyses and receiver operating characteristic analyses were conducted to evaluate the relationship between LS and liver condition.

RESULTS

A significant correlation was found between LS and most of the parameters considered to have the ability to evaluate liver condition (P < 0.05). When alanine aminotransferase (ALT) concentrations were normal (≤ 40 U/L), LS was correlated with liver condition indices (P < 0.05), but the optimal cutoff of LS to identify a Child-Pugh score of 5 was higher in the Neg group (9.30 kPa) than the Pos group (7.40 kPa). When ALT levels were elevated (> 40 U/L), the correlations between LS and liver condition indices were not significant (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

LS was significantly correlated with most liver condition indices in patients with CHB and HCC. However, these correlations varied according to differences in HBV-DNA and transaminase concentrations.

A Comprehensive Insight and In Silico Analysis of CircRNAs in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Step toward ncRNA-Based Precision Medicine

Circular RNAs (circRNAs) are cardinal players in numerous physiological and pathological processes. CircRNAs play dual roles as tumor suppressors and oncogenes in different oncological contexts, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Their roles significantly impact the disease at all stages, including initiation, development, progression, invasion, and metastasis, in addition to the response to treatment. In this review, we discuss the biogenesis and regulatory functional roles of circRNAs, as well as circRNA-protein-mRNA ternary complex formation, elucidating the intricate pathways tuned by circRNAs to modulate gene expression and cellular processes through a comprehensive literature search, in silico search, and bioinformatics analysis. With a particular focus on the interplay between circRNAs, epigenetics, and HCC pathology, the article sets the stage for further exploration of circRNAs as novel investigational theranostic agents in the dynamic realm of HCC.

Metabolic reprogramming in hepatocellular carcinoma: a bibliometric and visualized study from 2011 to 2023

Background and aims

Metabolic reprogramming has been found to be a typical feature of tumors. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a cancer with high morbidity and mortality, has been extensively studied for its metabolic reprogramming-related mechanisms. Our study aims to identify the hotspots and frontiers of metabolic reprogramming research in HCC and to provide guidance for future scientific research and decision-making in HCC metabolism.

Methods

Relevant studies on the metabolic reprogramming of HCC were derived from the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) database up until November 2023. The bibliometrix tools in R were used for scientometric analysis and visualization.

Results

From 2011 to 2023, a total of 575 publications were obtained from WoSCC that met the established criteria. These publications involved 3,904 researchers and 948 organizations in 37 countries, with an average annual growth rate of 39.11% in research. These studies were published in 233 journals, with Cancers (n = 29) ranking first, followed by Frontiers in Oncology (n = 20) and International Journal of Molecular Sciences (n = 19). The top ten journals accounted for 26% of the 575 studies. The most prolific authors were Wang J (n = 14), Li Y (n = 12), and Liu J (n = 12). The country with the most publications is China, followed by the United States, Italy, and France. Fudan University had the largest percentage of research results with 15.48% (n = 89). Ally A's paper in Cell has the most citations. A total of 1,204 keywords were analyzed, with the trend themes such as "glycolysis," "tumor microenvironment," "Warburg effect," "mitochondria," "hypoxia ," etc. Co-occurrence network and cluster analysis revealed the relationships between keywords, authors, publications, and journals. Moreover, the close collaboration between countries in this field was elucidated.

Conclusion

This bibliometric and visual analysis delves into studies related to metabolic reprogramming in HCC between 2012 and 2023, elucidating the characteristics of research in this field, which has gradually moved away from single glycolipid metabolism studies to the integration of overall metabolism in the body, pointing out the trend of research topics, and the dynamics of the interaction between the tumor microenvironment and metabolic reprogramming will be the future direction of research, which provides blueprints and inspirations for HCC prevention and treatment programs to the researchers in this field.

Systematic Review Registration: [https://www.bibliometrix.org].

Efficacy and Safety of Surgical Resection in Elderly Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background/Aims

: With increased life expectancy, the management of elderly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients became a crucial issue, yet it is still challenging due to comorbidities and high surgical risks. While surgical resection is considered as primary treatment for eligible HCC patients, systematic evidence on its outcomes in elderly patients remains scarce. In this review, we aimed to analyze the efficacy and safety outcomes of surgical resection in elderly HCC patients.

Methods

: The studies included in this meta-analysis were selected from Ovid-MEDLINE, Ovid-Embase, CENTRAL, KoreaMed, KMbase, and KISS databases following a predefined protocol. Efficacy outcomes included overall survival and disease-free survival, while the safety outcomes included postoperative mortality and complications.

Results

: Patients in the elderly group (≥65 years) who underwent surgery exhibited non-inferior overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92 to 1.74) and disease-free survival (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.99 to 1.08) compared to the non-elderly group. Overall postoperative mortality exhibited no statistical difference (odds ratio [OR], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.87 to 1.31), but 30-day, 90-day, and in-hospital mortality were higher in the elderly group. The incidence of overall complications was higher in the elderly group (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.22 to 1.69). Sensitivity analysis for the super elderly group (≥80 years) showed significantly higher in-hospital mortality compared to the non-super elderly group (OR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.16 to 5.45).

Conclusions

: The efficacy outcome of surgical resection in the elderly HCC patients was not worse than that in the non-elderly HCC patients, while in-hospital mortality and complications rates were higher. Therefore, surgical resection should be purposefully considered in the elderly population, with careful candidate selection.

Lasso-Cox interpretable model of AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma patients, markers for predicting tumor progression or prognosis are limited. Therefore, our objective is to establish an optimal predicet model for this subset of patients, utilizing interpretable methods to enhance the accuracy of HCC prognosis prediction.

METHODS

We recruited a total of 508 AFP-negative HCC patients in this study, modeling with randomly divided training set and validated with validation set. At the same time, 86 patients treated in different time periods were used as internal validation. After comparing the cox model with the random forest model based on Lasso regression, we have chosen the former to build our model. This model has been interpreted with SHAP values and validated using ROC, DCA. Additionally, we have reconfirmed the model's effectiveness by employing an internal validation set of independent periods. Subsequently, we have established a risk stratification system.

RESULTS

The AUC values of the Lasso-Cox model at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.807, 0.846, and 0.803, and the AUC values of the Lasso-RSF model at 1, 2, and 3 years were 0.783, 0.829, and 0.776. Lasso-Cox model was finally used to predict the prognosis of AFP-negative HCC patients in this study. And BCLC stage, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), diameter of tumor, lung metastases (LM), albumin (ALB), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and the number of tumors were included in the model. The validation set and the separate internal validation set both indicate that the model is stable and accurate. Using risk factors to establish risk stratification, we observed that the survival time of the low-risk group, the middle-risk group, and the high-risk group decreased gradually, with significant differences among the three groups.

CONCLUSION

The Lasso-Cox model based on AFP-negative HCC showed good predictive performance for liver cancer. SHAP explained the model for further clinical application.

Global prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The global proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) attributable to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is unclear. The MAFLD diagnostic criteria allows objective diagnosis in the presence of steatosis plus defined markers of metabolic dysfunction, irrespective of concurrent liver disease. We aimed to determine the total global prevalence of MAFLD in HCC cohorts (total-MAFLD), including the proportion with MAFLD as their sole liver disease (single-MAFLD), and the proportion of those with concurrent liver disease where MAFLD was a contributary factor (mixed-MAFLD).

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis included studies systematically ascertaining MAFLD in HCC cohorts, defined using international expert panel criteria including ethnicity-specific BMI cut-offs. A comparison of clinical and tumour characteristics was performed between single-MAFLD, mixed-MAFLD, and non-MAFLD HCC.

RESULTS

22 studies (56,565 individuals with HCC) were included. Total and single-MAFLD HCC prevalence was 48.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 34.5-63.0%) and 12.4% (95% CI 8.3-17.3%), respectively. In HCC due to chronic hepatitis B, C, and alcohol-related liver disease, mixed-MAFLD prevalence was 40.0% (95% CI 30.2-50.3%), 54.1% (95% CI 40.4-67.6%) and 64.3% (95% CI 52.7-75.0%), respectively. Mixed-MAFLD HCC had significantly higher likelihood of cirrhosis and lower likelihood of metastatic spread compared to single-MAFLD HCC, and a higher platelet count and lower likelihood of macrovascular invasion compared to non-MAFLD HCC.

CONCLUSION

MAFLD is common as a sole aetiology, but more so as a co-factor in mixed-aetiology HCC, supporting the use of positive diagnostic criteria.

Barriers and enablers to people-centred viral hepatitis care in Vietnam and the Philippines: Results of a patient journey mapping study

In Vietnam and the Philippines, viral hepatitis is the leading cause of cirrhosis and liver cancer. This study aims to understand the barriers and enablers of people receiving care for hepatitis B and C to support both countries' efforts to eliminate viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030. Retrospective, semi-structured interviews were conducted with a purposive, quota-based sample of 63 people living with hepatitis B or C in one province of Vietnam and one region of the Philippines. A rapid deductive approach to thematic analysis produced key findings among the three phases of care: (1) pre-awareness and testing, (2) linkage and treatment initiation and (3) ongoing treatment and recovery. The research found that participants followed five typical journeys, from a variety of entry points. Barriers during the pre-awareness and testing phase included limited awareness about hepatitis and its management, stigma and psychological impacts. Enablers included being familiar with the health system and/or patients benefiting from social connections within the health systems. During the linkage and treatment initiation phase, barriers included difficult physical access, complex navigation and inadequate counselling. In this phase, family support emerged as a critical enabler. During the ongoing treatment and recovery phase, the cost of care and socially and culturally informed perceptions of the disease and medication use were both barriers and enablers. Exploring peoples' journeys with hepatitis B and C in Vietnam and the Philippines revealed many similarities despite the different cultural and health system contexts. Insights from this study may help generate a contextualized, people-centred evidence base to inform the design and improvement of primary care services for hepatitis in both research sites.