Global burden of disease: acute-on-chronic liver failure, a systematic review and meta-analysis

Prevalence of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure in Autoimmune Hepatitis, Treatment Response and Mortality Burden Assessment: A Region-Predominant Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a global health problem. Little scientific evidence exists on its prevalence in autoimmune hepatitis. Treatment response and mortality outcomes have also been reported differently. The study was conducted to estimate the overall prevalence of ACLF among patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) and determine the associated treatment response and mortality. We scrutinized wide literature in Scopus, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane, and assessed published articles completely, studies performed and reported from around the globe, until December 07, 2023, according to the PROSPERO registered protocol (CRD42023412176). Studies (retrospective and prospective cohort study type) that stated the ACLF development among established AIH cases were considered. Features of the study, duration of follow-up, and numeric patient information were retrieved from the studies included. The research paper quality was checked for risk of bias. Random effect meta-analysis with metaregression and subsection scrutinies were performed with R. The main outcome was the collective prevalence of ACLF in the AIH patients, whereas treatment response and mortality in AIH-associated ACLF were secondary outcomes. Six studies were involved with confirmed diagnoses in 985 AIH patients for the data synthesis. The pooled prevalence of ACLF in the explored patients was 12% (95% CI: 8-17) ( P =0.01). Heterogeneity was found to be high in the present meta-analysis ( I2 =72%; P < 0.01). For the secondary endpoint analysis, the pooled prevalence of complete remission at 1-year follow-up was 71% (0.52; 0.85), and mortality from the ACLF-AIH patient population was 32% (95% CI: 18-50). Sensitivity analysis showed no influence on the overall estimations of the pooled prevalence of ACLF by omitting studies one by one. One in 10 AIH patients likely present with ACLF. The response to treatment is seen in two-thirds of patients, and mortality is high.

Chishao - Fuzi herbal pair restore the macrophage M1/M2 balance in acute-on-chronic liver failure

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Traditional herbal pair Paeoniae Radix Rubra (roots of Paeonia lactiflora Pall., Chishao in Chinese) and Aconiti Lateralis Radix Praeparata (lateral roots of Aconitum carmichaelii Debeaux, Fuzi in Chinese) are widely used for the treatment of liver diseases, demonstrating clinical efficacy against acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). As the core drug pair representing the "clearing method" and "warming method" in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), they align with the TCM syndromic characteristics of ACLF, characterized by a mixture of deficiencies and realities. However, the molecular mechanisms underlying the anti-ACLF effects of Chishao - Fuzi herbal pair remain unclear.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To reveal the immunoinflammatory status of patients with hepatitis B virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) based on macrophage polarization and to explore the mechanism of action of Chishao - Fuzi herbal pair in regulating macrophage polarization against ACLF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Peripheral blood samples were prospectively obtained from patients with HBV-ACLF, patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the immunoactive phase and healthy individuals. Flow cytometry, qRT-qPCR, and ELISA were used to reveal the activation status of monocyte-macrophages and the expression differences in related cytokines in the peripheral blood of patients with HBV-ACLF. Then, an ACLF rat model and a macrophage inflammation model in vitro were established. Hematoxylin-eosin staining, immunohistochemical staining, transmission electron microscopy, flow cytometry, western blotting, RT-qPCR, and ELISA were used to observe changes in the expression of M1/M2 macrophage markers and related inflammatory factors after Chishao - Fuzi herbal pair intervention, both in vivo and in vitro.

RESULTS

Patients with HBV-ACLF exhibited an imbalance in M1/M2 macrophage polarization, showing a tendency to activate M1 macrophages with high expression of CD86 and iNOS. This imbalance led to an increase in relevant pro-inflammatory factors (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α) and a decrease in anti-inflammatory factors (IL-10, TGF-β, VEGF), exacerbating the uncontrolled immune-inflammatory response. Chishao - Fuzi herbal pair intervention improved liver function, coagulation function, and histopathological injury in ACLF rats. It also partially ameliorated endotoxemia and inflammatory injury in ACLF. The mechanism was to restore the immune-inflammatory imbalance and prevent the exacerbation of inflammatory response to liver failure by promoting macrophage polarization toward M2 anti-inflammatory direction, inhibiting M1 macrophage activation, and increasing the levels of anti-inflammatory factors and decreasing pro-inflammatory factors.

CONCLUSION

Chishao - Fuzi herbal pair can reduce the systemic inflammatory burden of liver failure by modulating macrophage polarization and restoring ACLF immune-inflammatory imbalance. This study provides new perspectives and strategies for studying HBV-ACLF immune reconstitution and inflammatory response control.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective review of cases at a transplantation center in Brazil

PURPOSE

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a leading cause of death in cirrhotic patients. This study aims to describe the outcomes of in-patients with ACLF at a liver transplantation (LT) center in Brazil.

METHODS

Retrospective study analyzing patient data from 2017 to 2022. Re-transplant cases and patients without previous chronic liver disease were excluded. The ACLF diagnosis was based on the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure criteria and assessments repeated on days 3 and 7 after the initial diagnosis.

RESULTS

Among 381 patients, 10.49% (n = 40) were diagnosed with ACLF. Bacterial infection was the most common precipitating factor (45%). Kidney failure occurred in 65% of the cases. The 28-day mortality rate was 35% and varied according to ACLF severity at diagnosis, from single organ failure (ACLF-1) at 22% to three organ failures (ACLF-3) at 60%. Eighteen patients (45%) were transplanted with a 100% 28-day survival rate. For ACLF-3 cases at diagnosis (n = 15), the 28-day and 1-year survival rates with a transplant (n = 4) were 100% and 80%, respectively, and without transplant (n = 11), 10 and 0%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

ACLF was associated with high mortality rates. LT was an effective therapeutic option, particularly for ACLF-3 cases.

Active alcohol consumption is associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure in Hispanic patients

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe clinical entity associated with elevated short-term mortality. We aimed to characterize patients with decompensated cirrhosis according to presence of ACLF, their association with active alcohol intake, and long-term survival in Latin America.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of decompensated cirrhotic in three Chilean university centers (2017-2019). ACLF was diagnosed according EASL-CLIF criteria. We assessed survival using competing-risk and time-to-event analyses. We evaluated the time to death using accelerated failure time (AFT) models.

RESULTS

We included 320 patients, median age of 65.3±11.7 years old, and 48.4% were women. 92 (28.7%) patients met ACLF criteria (ACLF-1: 29.3%, ACLF-2: 27.1%, and ACLF-3: 43.4%). The most common precipitants were infections (39.1%), and the leading organ failure was kidney (59.8%). Active alcohol consumption was frequent (27.7%), even in patients with a prior diagnosis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) (16.2%). Ninety-two (28.7%) patients had ACLF (ACLF-1: 8.4%, ACLF-2: 7.8%, and ACLF-3: 12.5%). ACLF patients had a higher MELD-Na score at admission (27 [22-31] versus 16 [12-21], p<0.0001), a higher frequency of alcohol-associated liver disease (36.7% versus 24.9%, p=0.039), and a more frequent active alcohol intake (37.2% versus 23.8%, p=0.019). In a multivariate model, ACLF was associated with higher mortality (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.735, 95%CI: 1.153-2.609; p<0.008). In the AFT models, the presence of ACLF during hospitalization correlated with a shorter time to death: ACLF-1 shortens the time to death by 4.7 times (time ratio [TR] 0.214, 95%CI: 0.075-0.615; p<0.004), ACLF-2 by 4.4 times (TR 0.224, 95%CI: 0.070-0.713; p<0.011), and ACLF-3 by 37 times (TR 0.027, 95%CI: 0.006-0.129; p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis and ACLF exhibited a high frequency ofactive alcohol consumption. Patients with ACLF showed higher mortality and shorter time todeath than those without ACLF.

Outcome Predictors of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: A Narrative Review

Complications of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) include increased short-term mortality. Extrahepatic organ failures result from chronic liver disease and acute hepatic injury. This combination characterizes end-stage liver disease. Its rapid progression makes it challenging for hepatologists and intensivists to treat. The varied definitions of this condition lead to varied clinical presentations. Hepatic or extrahepatic failures are more prevalent in chronic hepatitis B or cirrhosis patients who receive an additional injury. Numerous intensity parameters and prognosis ratings, including those for hepatitis B virus (HBV), have been developed and verified for various patients and causes of the disease. Liver regeneration, liver transplantation (LT), or antiviral therapy for HBV-related ACLF are the main treatment aims for various organ failures. LT is the best treatment for HBV-ACLF. In some HBV-related ACLF patients, nucleos(t)ide analogs and artificial liver assistance may enhance survival. Combining epidemiological and clinical studies, this review updates our understanding of HBV-ACLF's definition, diagnosis, epidemiology, etiology, therapy, and prognosis.

Single-Cell RNA Sequencing Shows T-Cell Exhaustion Landscape in the Peripheral Blood of Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background/Aims

The occurrence and development of hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is closely related to the immune pathway. We explored the heterogeneity of peripheral blood T cell subsets and the characteristics of exhausted T lymphocytes, in an attempt to identify potential therapeutic target molecules for immune dysfunction in ACLF patients.

Methods

A total of 83,577 T cells from HBV-ACLF patients and healthy controls were screened for heterogeneity by single-cell RNA sequencing. In addition, exhausted T-lymphocyte subsets were screened to analyze their gene expression profiles, and their developmental trajectories were investigated. Subsequently, the expression of exhausted T cells and their capacity in secreting cytokines (interleukin 2, interferon γ, and tumor necrosis factor α) were validated by flow cytometry.

Results

A total of eight stable clusters were identified, among which CD4+ TIGIT+ subset and CD8+ LAG-3+ subset, with high expression of exhaust genes, were significantly higher in the HBV-ACLF patients than in normal controls. As shown by pseudotime analysis, T cells experienced a transition from naïve T cells to effector T cells and then exhausted T cells. Flow cytometry confirmed that the CD4+TIGIT+ subset and CD8+LAG-3+ subset in the peripheral blood of the ACLF patients were significantly higher than those in the healthy controls. Moreover, in vitro cultured CD8+LAG-3+ T cells were significantly fewer capable of secreting cytokines than CD8+LAG-3- subset.

Conclusions

Peripheral blood T cells are heterogeneous in HBV-ACLF. The exhausted T cells markedly increase during the pathogenesis of ACLF, suggesting that T-cell exhaustion is involved in the immune dysfunction of HBV-ACLF patients.

Definitions, Etiologies, and Outcomes of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a major public health concern. We aimed to assess the definitions, etiologic spectrum, organ failure (OF), and outcomes of ACLF globally.

METHODS

Three databases were searched for studies on ACLF from 1990 until September 2022. Information regarding definitions, acute precipitants, underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), OF, and mortality were extracted. Meta-analyses were performed for pooled prevalence rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) using random-effects model for each definition of ACLF.

RESULTS

Of the 11,451 studies identified, 114 articles (142 cohorts encompassing 210,239 patients) met the eligibility criteria. Most studies (53.2%) used the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) definition, followed by Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) (33.3%). Systemic infection was the major acute precipitant, and alcohol use was the major cause of CLD in EASL-defined studies, whereas alcohol was both the major acute precipitant and cause of CLD in APASL-defined studies. Liver failure was the major OF in APASL-based studies, whereas renal failure was predominant in EASL-based studies. Thirty-day mortality varied across definitions: APASL: 38.9%, 95% CI, 31.2%-46.9%; EASL: 47.9%, 95% CI, 42.2%-53.5%; and NACSELD: 52.2%, 95% CI, 51.9%-52.5%. Diagnostic overlap between definitions ranged from 7.7% to 80.2%. Meta-regression suggested that the World Health Organization region influenced 30-day mortality in studies using EASL definition.

CONCLUSIONS

Heterogeneity in the definition of ACLF proposed by different expert societies and regional preferences in its use result in differences in clinical phenotype and outcomes. A uniform definition would enhance the comparability and interpretation of global data.

Geographic disparities in access to liver transplant for advanced cirrhosis: Time to ring the alarm!

Decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer are major risk factors for mortality worldwide. Liver transplantation (LT), both live-donor LT or deceased-donor LT, are lifesaving, but there are several barriers toward equitable access. These barriers are exacerbated in the setting of critical illness or acute-on-chronic liver failure. Rates of LT vary widely worldwide but are lowest in lower-income countries owing to lack of resources, infrastructure, late disease presentation, and limited donor awareness. A recent experience by the Chronic Liver Disease Evolution and Registry for Events and Decompensation consortium defined these barriers toward LT as critical in determining overall survival in hospitalized cirrhosis patients. A major focus should be on appropriate, affordable, and early cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer care to prevent the need for LT. Live-donor LT is predominant across Asian countries, whereas deceased-donor LT is more common in Western countries; both approaches have unique challenges that add to the access disparities. There are many challenges toward equitable access but uniform definitions of acute-on-chronic liver failure, improving transplant expertise, enhancing availability of resources and encouraging knowledge between centers, and preventing disease progression are critical to reduce LT disparities.

NK-cell-elicited gasdermin-D-dependent hepatocyte pyroptosis induces neutrophil extracellular traps that facilitate HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HBV infection is a major etiology of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). At present, the pattern and regulation of hepatocyte death during HBV-ACLF progression are still undefined. Evaluating the mode of cell death and its inducers will provide new insights for developing therapeutic strategies targeting cell death. In this study, we aimed to elucidate whether and how immune landscapes trigger hepatocyte death and lead to the progression of HBV-related ACLF.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We identified that pyroptosis represented the main cell death pattern in the liver of patients with HBV-related ACLF. Deficiency of MHC-I in HBV-reactivated hepatocytes activated cytotoxic NK cells, which in turn operated in a perforin/granzyme-dependent manner to trigger GSDMD/caspase-8-dependent pyroptosis of hepatocytes. Neutrophils selectively accumulated in the pyroptotic liver, and HMGB1 derived from the pyroptotic liver constituted an important factor triggering the generation of pathogenic extracellular traps in neutrophils (NETs). Clinically, elevated plasma levels of myeloperoxidase-DNA complexes were a promising prognostic biomarker for HBV-related ACLF. More importantly, targeting GSDMD pyroptosis-HMGB1 release in the liver abrogates NETs that intercept the development of HBV-related ACLF.

CONCLUSIONS

Studying the mechanisms that selectively modulate GSDMD-dependent pyroptosis, as well as its immune landscapes, will provide a novel strategy for restoring the liver function of patients with HBV-related ACLF.

Acute and non-acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis (47/130)

In the traditional view, the occurrence of cirrhosis-related complications, such as hepatic encephalopathy, formation of ascites or variceal haemorrhage, marks the transition to the decompensated stage of cirrhosis. Although the dichotomous stratification into a compensated and decompensated state reflects a prognostic water-shed moment and remains to hold its prognostic validity, it represents an oversimplification of clinical realities. A broadening understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms underpinning decompensation have led to the identification of distinct prognostic subgroups, associated with different clinical courses following decompensation. Data provided by the PREDICT study uncovered three distinct sub-phenotypes of acute decompensation (AD). Moreover, acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been established as a distinct clinical entity for many years, which is associated with a high short-term mortality. Recently, non-acute decompensation (NAD) has been proposed as a distinct pathway of decompensation, complementing current concepts of the spectrum of decompensation. In contrast to AD, NAD is characterized by a slow and progressive development of complications, which are often presented at first decompensation and/or in patients in an earlier stage of chronic liver disease. Successful treatment of AD or NAD may lead to a clinical stabilization or even the concept of recompensation. This review aims to provide an overview on current concepts of decompensation and to delineate recent advances in our clinical and pathophysiological understanding.

Global acute-on-chronic liver failure trends during 2012-2022: A bibliometric study

Introduction

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome with high short-term mortality. ACLF has been increasingly studied in recent years; however, a bibliometric analysis of the entire ACLF field has not been conducted. This study assesses current global trends and hotspots in ACLF research.

Materials and methods

The core Web of Science database was searched for all ACLF-related publications conducted during 2012-2022. The data included information on the author, country, author keywords, publication year, citation frequency, and references. Microsoft Excel was used to collate the data and calculate percentages. VOSviewer software was used for citation and density visualization analysis. Histogram rendering was performed using GraphPad Prism Version 8.0 and R software was used to supplement the analysis.

Result

A total of 1609 ACLF-related articles from 67 different countries were identified. China contributed the most literature, followed by the United States. However, Chinese literature only had the 4th highest number of citations, indicating that cooperation with other countries needs to be strengthened. The Journal of Hepatology had the highest number of ACLF-related citations. Prognosis was one of the most common author keywords, which may highlight current research hotspots. Bacterial infection was a common keyword and was closely related to prognosis.

Conclusion

This bibliometric analysis suggests that future research hotspots will focus on the interplay among bacterial infection, organ failure, and prognosis.

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: Lessons from a Decade of EASL-CLIF Definition and Scoring Systems

How to cite this article: Solao V. Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: Lessons from a Decade of EASL-CLIF Definition and Scoring Systems. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(2):100-102.

Clinical Profile, Short-term Prognostic Accuracies of CLIF-C ACLF Score and Serial CLIF-C OF Scores in Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure Patients: A Prospective Observational Study

Background

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a recently defined entity that carries high short-term mortality. The European Association for Study of Liver (EASL) has given a different definition for ACLF and derived two scores called Chronic Liver Failure-Consortium Organ Failure (CLIF-C OF) and CLIF-C ACLF to diagnose and predict the short-term outcome, respectively.

Materials and methods

This was the prospective observational study, included 40 ACLF patients diagnosed as per the EASL definition and calculated CLIF-C ACLF as well as other scores (CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, CLIF-C OF) on admission. Serial CLIF-C OF scores were also calculated (Day 3 and Day 7). The 28-day and 90-day mortality was recorded.

Results

Alcohol was the predominant etiology of cirrhosis (32 patients-80%). Infection was the chief precipitating factor in 19 patients (47.5%). The 28-day and 90-day mortality was 45% and 52.5%. Mean (SD) of CLIF-C ACLF scores of survivors and non-survivors on Day-90 were 44.11(6.62) and 53.86 (7.83). The prognostic accuracy of the CLIF-C ACLF score (Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve-AUROC) to predict 28-day and 90-day mortality was 0.86 and 0.84, respectively. MELD-Na and CLIF-C ACLF scores had higher AUROC for predicting 28-day and 90-day mortality, respectively. The AUROC of the CLIF-C OF score on Day 3 was found to be higher than the values of Day 1 and Day 7, but it was not statistically significant.

Conclusion

CLIF-C ACLF has good short-term prognostic accuracy and it is as good as other available scores. Serial CLIF-C OF scores were equally good in predicting in short-term mortality.

How to cite this article

Hareesh GJ, Ramadoss R. Clinical Profile, Short-term Prognostic Accuracies of CLIF-C ACLF Score and Serial CLIF-C OF Scores in Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure Patients: A Prospective Observational Study. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(2):126-133.

Hepatoprotective efficacy and interventional mechanism of JianPi LiShi YangGan formula in acute-on-chronic liver failure

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) progresses rapidly with a high short-term death rate. Although JianPi LiShi YangGan formula (YGF) has been used to treat ACLF by managing inflammatory responses and reducing endotoxemia, hepatocyte injury, and mortality, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear.

AIM OF THE STUDY

This study aims to investigate the potential mechanisms underlying the efficacy and protective benefits of YGF in mice with ACLF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

YGF composition was determined using high-performance liquid chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry. We constructed a mouse model of ACLF using carbon tetrachloride, lipopolysaccharide (LPS), and D-galactosamine (D-Gal), as well as an in vitro model of D-Gal/LPS-induced hepatocyte injury. The therapeutic effects of YGF in ACLF mice were verified using hematoxylin-eosin, Sirius red, and Masson staining, and by measuring serum alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), and inflammatory cytokine levels. Mitochondrial damage in hepatocytes was evaluated using electron microscopy, while superoxide anion levels in liver tissue were investigated using dihydroethidium. Transcriptome analysis, immunohistochemistry, western blotting, and immunofluorescence assays were performed to explore the mechanisms underlying the ameliorative effects of YGF against ACLF.

RESULTS

In mice with ACLF, YGF therapy partially decreased serum inflammatory cytokine levels, as well as hepatocyte injury and liver fibrosis. The livers of ACLF mice treated with YGF exhibited decreased mitochondrial damage and reactive oxygen species generation, as well as a decreased number of M1 macrophages and increased number of M2 macrophages. Transcriptome analysis revealed that YGF may regulate biological processes such as autophagy, mitophagy, and PI3K/AKT signaling. In ACLF mice, YGF promoted mitophagy and inhibited PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway activation in hepatocytes. Meanwhile, the autophagy inhibitor 3M-A reduced the capacity of YGF to induce autophagy and protect against hepatocyte injury in vitro. In contrast, the PI3K agonist 740 Y-P suppressed the ability of YGF to control PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway activation and induce autophagy.

CONCLUSIONS

Together, our findings suggest that YGF mediates autophagy, tight junctions, cytokine generation, and other biological processes. In addition, YGF inhibits hepatic inflammatory responses and ameliorates hepatocyte injury in mice with ACLF. Mechanistically, YGF can promote mitophagy to ameliorate acute-on-chronic liver failure by inhibiting the PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Causes, Clinical Parameters, and Predictors of Mortality

Objectives This study aimed to identify the causes, clinical characteristics, and 28-day in-hospital mortality predictors in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods A cross-sectional study enrolled sixty-four patients aged 18-70 years with acute-on-chronic liver failure. The study was conducted at the Gastroenterology Department, Lahore General Hospital. The study classified ACLF according to the criteria of the European Association for the Study of the Liver - Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF). Patients were followed for 28 days for mortality outcomes. The outcomes between Survivor and Non-survivor groups were compared using the Chi-Square/Fisher's Exact Test for categorical variables and the Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables. Results In this study, age and duration of chronic liver disease were not significantly different between survivors and non-survivors. The etiology of liver disease and ACLF causes had no impact on 28-day mortality. Non-survivors had lower mean arterial pressure, and higher mortality was linked with lower Glasgow Coma Scale scores, upper gastrointestinal bleeding, and Grade IV hepatic encephalopathy. Significant differences in bilirubin, serum creatinine, urea, and C-reactive protein levels were observed at 28 days. Survival rates were highest with single organ failure (35.94%) and decreased with multiple organ failures. The overall survival rate was 51.56%. Predictive validity for mortality was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC), with Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) at 0.679, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) at 0.819, and Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA) at 0.771. Conclusion This study concludes that in acute-on-chronic liver failure, factors like age, gender, and disease etiology do not significantly predict 28-day mortality. Key mortality indicators include clinical parameters such as lower Glasgow Coma Scale scores, hepatic encephalopathy Grade IV, and laboratory findings like elevated bilirubin and serum creatinine. The MELD score is the most compelling prognostic tool.

Influence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease on the prognosis of patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

OBJECTIVES

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has clinical relevance in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We investigated the association between MAFLD and prognosis in patients with ACLF.

METHODS

We included patients with ACLF with available clinical data who visited our hospital for nearly 9 years. We compared the prognosis of patients in the different subgroups of ACLF and predicted the incidence of adverse outcomes. Moreover, a new model based on MAFLD was established.

RESULTS

Among 339 participants, 75 had MAFLD. The prognosis of patients with ACLF was significantly correlated with MAFLD. Patients with ACLF with concomitant MAFLD tended to have a lower cumulative survival rate (p = 0.026) and a higher incidence of hepatorenal syndrome (9.33% versus 3.40%, p = 0.033) than those without MAFLD. We developed an TIM2 model and the area under the ROC curve of the new model for 30-day and 60-day mortality (0.759 and 0.748) was higher than other predictive methods.

CONCLUSION

The presence of MAFLD in patients with HBV-related ACLF was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Moreover, The TIM2 model is a high-performance prognostic score for HBV-related ACLF.

Niujiao Dihuang Jiedu decoction promotes SLC7A11 m5C methylation modification against ferroptosis in acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) constitutes a prevalent manifestation of liver failure within clinical settings. This condition manifests swiftly and is characterized by an exceedingly elevated fatality rate.

OBJECTIVE

While numerous investigations have delved into the role of RNA methylation in ferroptosis, the impact of such methylation on ACLF-associated ferroptosis remains notably underexplored. This study aimed to elucidate the molecular mechanism underlying the efficacy of Niujiao Dihuang Jiedu decoction (NDD) in mitigating ferroptosis in ACLF, with a specific focus on RNA 5-methylcytosine (m5C) methylation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An ACLF rat model was established alongside an erastin-induced ferroptosis model in LO2 cells. Both in vitro and in vivo experiments were conducted to substantiate NDD's influence on ferroptosis. The modifying influence of methylase NOL1/NOP2/sun domain (NSUN5) upon SLC7A11, a key ferroptosis-associated gene, was probed through dot blot, immunofluorescence co-localization, and RNA binding protein immunoprecipitation (RIP) experiments.

RESULTS

Serological and hepatic histopathological findings indicated NDD's discernible therapeutic impact on ACLF. Furthermore, ferroptosis phenotype experiments revealed NDD's proficiency in effectively impeding the occurrence and development of ferroptosis. Dot blot assays demonstrated a reduction in the overall RNA m5C levels during cellular ferroptosis. Furthermore, through immunofluorescence co-localization and RIP techniques, we found that the propensity of methylase NSUN5 to associate with SLC7A11 mRNA, thereby enhancing its protein translation and conferring resistance against ferroptosis.

CONCLUSION

RNA methylation is involved in the process of ACLF-associated ferroptosis, and NDD can inhibit ACLF-associated ferroptosis by fostering SLC7A11 m5C methylation.

Advancements in the pathogenesis of hepatic osteodystrophy and the potential therapeutic of mesenchymal stromal cells

Hepatic osteodystrophy (HOD) is a metabolically associated bone disease mainly manifested as osteoporosis with the characteristic of bone loss induced by chronic liver disease (CLD). Due to its high incidence in CLD patients and increased risk of fracture, the research on HOD has received considerable interest. The specific pathogenesis of HOD has not been fully revealed. While it is widely believed that disturbance of hormone level, abnormal secretion of cytokines and damage of intestinal barrier caused by CLD might jointly affect the bone metabolic balance of bone formation and bone absorption. At present, the treatment of HOD is mainly to alleviate the bone loss by drug treatment, but the efficacy and safety are not satisfactory. Mesenchymal stromal cells (MSCs) are cells with multidirectional differentiation potential, cell transplantation therapy based on MSCs is an emerging therapeutic approach. This review mainly summarized the pathogenesis and treatment of HOD, reviewed the research progress of MSCs therapy and the combination of MSCs and scaffolds in the application of osteoporotic bone defects, and discussed the potential and limitations of MSCs therapy, providing theoretical basis for subsequent studies.

Novel prognostic biomarkers in decompensated cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis experience high mortality rates. Current prognostic scores, including the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), may underperform in settings other than in those they were initially developed. Novel biomarkers have been proposed to improve prognostication accuracy and even to predict development of complications.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on novel urine and blood biomarkers and their ability to predict 90-day mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Secondary outcomes included 28-day and 1-year mortality, and development of acute-on-chronic liver failure, acute kidney injury and other complications. To overcome differences in units, temporal changes in assays and reporting heterogeneity, we used the ratio of means (RoM) as measure of association for assessing strength in predicting outcomes. An RoM>1 implies that the mean biomarker level is higher in those that develop the outcome than in those that do not.

RESULTS

Of 6629 unique references, 103 were included, reporting on 29 different biomarkers, with a total of 31 362 biomarker patients. Most studies were prospective cohorts of hospitalised patients (median Child-Pugh-Turcotte score of 9 and MELD score of 18). The pooled 90-day mortality rate was 0.27 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.29). The RoM for predicting 90-day mortality was highest for interleukin 6 (IL-6) (2.56, 95% CI 2.39 to 2.74), followed by urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) (2.42, 95% CI 2.20 to 2.66) and copeptin (2.33, 95% CI 2.17 to 2.50). These RoMs were all higher than for MELD (1.44, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.46).

CONCLUSION

Novel biomarkers, including IL-6, uNGAL and copeptin, can probably improve prognostication of patients with decompensated cirrhosis compared with MELD alone.

The burden of HEV-related acute liver failure in Bangladesh, China and India: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis E can potentially progress to HEV-related acute liver failure (HEV-ALF). East and South Asia bear a substantial burden of HEV infection, with Bangladesh, China, and India facing the most severe threat in this region. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the burden of HEV-ALF in these three high-risk countries.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed utilizing PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Medline, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Studies in English or Chinese that reported data on the burden of HEV-ALF in Bangladesh, China and India were included. Outcomes were pooled with meta-analysis utilizing R software. Estimates were calculated with random-effects models, and subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted to address heterogeneity. Egger's test and Begg's test were performed to assess publication bias.

RESULTS

A total of 20 eligible studies were included in this study. The pooled HEV-attributable proportion of viral-related acute liver failure was estimated to be 40.0% (95% CI: 0.28-0.52), 30.0% (95% CI: 0.18-0.44), and 61.0% (95% CI: 0.49-0.72) among non-pregnant individuals in India, China and Bangladesh, while in Indian pregnant females, it was 71.0% (95% CI: 0.62-0.79). The combined prevalence among non-pregnant HEV-infected participants was 28.0% (95% CI: 0.20-0.37) and 10.0% (95% CI: 0.01-0.28) in India and China, and it was 34.0% (95% CI: 0.27-0.42) in Indian pregnant females with HEV infection. The overall mortality of HEV-ALF was estimated to be 32.0% (95% CI: 0.23-0.42) and 64.0% (95% CI: 0.50-0.77) among the non-pregnant and the pregnant participants in India, and it was 23.0% (95% CI: 0.14-0.34) in Chinese non-pregnant participants.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of HEV-ALF in Bangladesh, China, and India is non-negligible despite geographic and population heterogeneity. The prevention of HEV infection and early recognition of HEV-ALF are of great significance, especially in high-risk countries and populations.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO registration ID is CRD42022382101.

Efficacy and safety of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate versus entecavir in the treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure with hepatitis B: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Oral nucleoside (acid) analogues (NAs) are recommended for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) associated with hepatitis B virus (HBV-ACLF). The efficacy and safety of tenofovir (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) in these patients remain unclear.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search in PubMed, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library, and Embase database was conducted to select studies published before December 2022 on TDF or ETV for HBV-ACLF. The primary outcomes were survival rates at 4, 12, and 48 weeks. Secondary outcomes were virologic and biochemical responses, serum antigen conversion, liver function score, and safety.

RESULTS

Four prospective and one retrospective cohort studies were selected. The overall analysis showed comparable survival rates at 4, 12, and 48 weeks for all patients receiving TDF or ETV (4-week: RR = 1.17, 95% CI: 0.90-1.51, p = 0.24; 12-week: RR = 1.00, 95% CI: 0.88-1.13, p = 0.94; 48-week: RR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.58-1.57, p = 0.86). Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score at 12 weeks were comparable in both groups but lower than baseline (CTP: SMD = -0.75, 95% CI:-2.81-1.30, p = 0.47; MELD: SMD = -1.10, 95% CI:-2.29-0.08, p = 0.07). At 48 weeks, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) levels were found to decrease to different degrees from baseline in both the TDF and ETV groups, and the decrease was greater in the TDF group than in the ETV group. No significant differences were found in biochemical, virologic response, and serum antigen conversion between the two groups during the observation period.

CONCLUSION

TDF treatment of HBV-ACLF is similar to ETV in improving survival, liver function, and virologic response but the effects on renal function in two groups in the long term remain unclear. More and larger long-term clinical trials are required to confirm these findings.

Consensus document on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) established by the Mexican Association of Hepatology

Acute-on chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been an intensively debated topic mainly due to the lack of a unified definition and diagnostic criteria. The growing number of publications describing the mechanisms of ACLF development, the progression of the disease, outcomes and treatment has contributed to a better understanding of the disease, however, it has also sparked the debate about this condition. As an attempt to provide medical professionals with a more uniform definition that could be applied to our population, the first Mexican consensus was performed by a panel of experts in the area of hepatology in Mexico. We used the most relevant and impactful publications along with the clinical and research experience of the consensus participants. The consensus was led by 4 coordinators who provided the most relevant bibliography by doing an exhaustive search on the topic. The entire bibliography was made available to the members of the consensus for consultation at any time during the process and six working groups were formed to develop the following sections: 1.- Generalities, definitions, and criteria, 2.- Pathophysiology of cirrhosis, 3.- Genetics in ACLF, 4.- Clinical manifestations, 5.- Liver transplantation in ACLF, 6.- Other treatments.

Clinical determinants of hospital mortality in liver failure: a comprehensive analysis of 62,717 patients

BACKGROUND

Liver failure (LF) is characterised by a loss of the synthetic and metabolic liver function and is associated with a high mortality. Large-scale data on recent developments and hospital mortality of LF in Germany are missing. A systematic analysis and careful interpretation of these datasets could help to optimise outcomes of LF.

METHODS

We used standardised hospital discharge data of the Federal Statistical Office to evaluate current trends, hospital mortality and factors associated with an unfavourable course of LF in Germany between 2010 and 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 62,717 hospitalised LF cases were identified. Annual LF frequency decreased from 6716 (2010) to 5855 (2019) cases and was higher among males (60.51%). Hospital mortality was 38.08% and significantly declined over the observation period. Mortality significantly correlated with patients' age and was highest among individuals with (sub)acute LF (47.5%). Multivariate regression analyses revealed pulmonary (ORARDS: 2.76, ORmechanical ventilation: 6.46) and renal complications (ORacute kidney failure: 2.04, ORhepatorenal syndrome: 2.92) and sepsis (OR: 1.92) as factors for increased mortality. Liver transplantation reduced mortality in patients with (sub)acute LF. Hospital mortality significantly decreased with the annual LF case volume and ranged from 47.46% to 29.87% in low- or high-case-volume hospitals, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although incidence rates and hospital mortality of LF in Germany have constantly decreased, hospital mortality has remained at a very high level. We identified a number of variables associated with increased mortality that could help to improve framework conditions for the treatment of LF in the future.

Impressive recompensation in transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt-treated individuals with complications of decompensated cirrhosis based on Baveno VII criteria

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is the standard second-line treatment option for individuals with complications of decompensated cirrhosis, such as variceal bleeding and refractory ascites.

AIM

To investigate whether recompensation existed in TIPS-treated patients with decompensated cirrhosis according to Baveno VII criteria.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis was performed on 64 patients who received TIPS for variceal bleeding or refractory ascites. The definition of recompensation referred to Baveno VII criteria and previous study. Clinical events, laboratory tests, and radiological examinations were regularly conducted during a preset follow-up period. The recompensation ratio in this cohort was calculated. Beyond that, univariate and multivariate regression models were conducted to identify the predictors of recompensation.

RESULTS

Of the 64 patients with a 12-mo follow-up, 20 (31%) achieved recompensation. Age [odds ratio (OR): 1.124; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.034-1.222] and post-TIPS portal pressure gradient < 12 mmHg (OR: 0.119; 95%CI: 0.024-0.584) were identified as independent predictors of recompensation in patients with decompensated cirrhosis after TIPS.

CONCLUSION

The present study demonstrated that nearly one-third of the TIPS-treated patients achieved recompensation within this cohort. According to our findings, recompensation is more likely to be achieved in younger patients. In addition, postoperative portal pressure gradient reduction below 12 mmHg contributes to the occurrence of recompensation.

Review article: Emerging and current management of acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinically and pathophysiologically distinct condition from acutely decompensated cirrhosis and is characterised by systemic inflammation, extrahepatic organ failure, and high short-term mortality.

AIMS

To provide a narrative review of the diagnostic criteria, prognosis, epidemiology, and general management principles of ACLF. Four specific interventions that are explored in detail are intravenous albumin, extracorporeal liver assist devices, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor, and liver transplantation.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Cochrane databases for articles published up to July 2023.

RESULTS

Approximately 35% of hospital inpatients with decompensated cirrhosis have ACLF. There is significant heterogeneity in the criteria used to diagnose ACLF; different definitions identify different phenotypes with varying mortality. Criteria established by the European Association for the Study of the Liver were developed in prospective patient cohorts and are, to-date, the most well validated internationally. Systemic haemodynamic instability, renal dysfunction, coagulopathy, neurological dysfunction, and respiratory failure are key considerations when managing ACLF in the intensive care unit. Apart from liver transplantation, there are no accepted evidence-based treatments for ACLF, but several different approaches are under investigation.

CONCLUSION

The recognition of ACLF as a distinct entity from acutely decompensated cirrhosis has allowed for better patient stratification in clinical settings, facilitating earlier engagement with the intensive care unit and liver transplantation teams. Research priorities over the next decade should focus on exploring novel treatment strategies with a particular focus on which, when, and how patients with ACLF should be treated.

Acute on chronic liver failure: A South Australian experience

Background and Aim

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome described in patients with acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis, characterized by organ failures and high mortality. Intensive management, including liver transplantation (LT), has been shown to improve survival. To address the limited Australian data on ACLF, we describe the prevalence, clinical profile, and outcome of ACLF in an Australian cohort of hospitalized patients.

Methods

A retrospective review of hepatology admissions in a tertiary hospital from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2019 identified AD and ACLF cohorts, as defined by the European Association for Study of the Liver definition. Patient characteristics, clinical course, survival at 28- and 90-day survival, and feasibility of LT were analyzed.

Results

Among the 192 admissions with AD, 74 admissions (39%) met ACLF criteria. A prior diagnosis of alcohol-related cirrhosis was highly prevalent in both cohorts. Grade-1 ACLF was the most frequent (60%), with renal failure being the commonest organ failure; 28-day (23% vs 2%, P = <0.001) and 90-day mortality (36% vs 16%, P = 0.002) were higher in ACLF than AD. Due to ongoing alcohol use disorder (AUD), only six patients underwent LT assessment during ACLF admission.

Conclusion

ACLF was common in our cohort of cirrhosis with AD and was associated with high mortality. AUD despite prior cirrhosis diagnosis was a barrier to LT. Prioritization of ACLF patients for LT after addressing AUD and relaxation of the 6-month abstinence rule may improve ACLF survival and should be addressed in prospective studies.

Mechanisms and treatment approaches for ACLF

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a life-threatening syndrome characterized by decompensation of cirrhosis, severe systemic inflammation and organ failures. ACLF is frequently triggered by intra- and/or extrahepatic insults, such as bacterial infections, alcohol-related hepatitis or flares of hepatic viruses. The imbalance between systemic inflammation and immune tolerance causes organ failures through the following mechanisms: (i) direct damage of immune cells/mediators; (ii) worsening of circulatory dysfunction resulting in organ hypoperfusion and (iii) metabolic alterations with prioritization of energetic substrates for inflammation and peripheral organ 'energetic crisis'. Currently, the management of ACLF includes the support of organ failures, the identification and treatment of precipitating factors and expedited assessment for liver transplantation (LT). Early LT should be considered in patients with ACLF grade 3, who are unlikely to recover with the available treatments and have a mortality rate > 70% at 28 days. However, the selection of transplant candidates and their prioritization on the LT waiting list need standardization. Future challenges in the ACLF field include a better understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms leading to inflammation and organ failures, the development of specific treatments for the disease and personalized treatment approaches. Herein, we reviewed the current knowledge and future perspectives on mechanisms and treatment of ACLF.

Adaptation and implementation of clinical guidelines on maternal and newborn postnatal care in Iran: study protocol

BACKGROUND

According to World Health Organization (WHO), the postnatal care provision aims to provide care and treatment with the highest quality and the least intervention to obtain the best health and well-being for the family. The present study aims to adapt international guidelines for the clinical recommendations for the postpartum period and implement and determine its effectiveness.

METHODS/DESIGN

This study will be done in two phases. In the first phase, international clinical guidelines for mother and newborn postnatal care will be adapted. The second phase is a randomized controlled trial in which the adapted guideline recommendations will be implemented, and maternal and neonatal outcomes will be measured. The ADAPTE method for adaptation of clinical guidelines, is usedg in the first phase. A systematic review was conducted in the databases and clinical guidelines related to postpartum care were extracted according to the inclusion criteria. The quality of clinical guidelines was evaluated using the AGREE-II tool. The WHO clinical guideline obtained the highest evaluation score and was chosen as the main guideline, and the NICE clinical guideline, with a second higher evaluation score, was also used to fill some gaps in the WHO guideline. Based on the pre-determined questions, recommendations will be sent to the relevant experts and stakeholders for their evaluation. After the external evaluation and the finalization of the recommendations, the postpartum clinical guideline will be compiled and used in the second phase of the study. In the second phase, 272 women in the immediate postnatal stage of the maternity and postpartum ward of Taleghani and AL-Zahra Hospitals in Tabriz will be assigned into the intervention (receiving care based on adapted guidline recommendations) and control (receiving routine hospital care) groups uing individual stratified block randomization. At 6 weeks after birth, we will complete the Edinburgh postnatal depression scale, postpartum specific anxiety scale and Barkin index of maternal functioning (to assess the primary outcomes), as well as a maternal health problems checklist, infant care behavior, and violence assessment questionnaires (to asses the seconadary outcomes). Further, the maternal health problems checklist and the Edinburgh postnatal depression scale will be completed in the second week after birth. The data will be analyzed using an independent t-test and ANCOVA.

DISCUSSION

It is expected that the implementation of evidence-based clinical guidelines improves maternal and neonatal outcomes and experience of the postpartum period. The positive experience can also help to achieve Iran's population policies and the need to increase childbearing in the country.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials (IRCT): IRCT20120718010324N76; Date of registration: 27/1/2023. URL: https://en.irct.ir/user/trial/66874/view ; Date of first registration: 27/3/2023.

The novel SALT-M score predicts 1-year post-transplant mortality in patients with severe acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Twenty-eight-day mortality ranges from 30-90% in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure grades 2/3 (severe ACLF). Though liver transplantation (LT) has demonstrated a survival benefit, the scarcity of donor organs and uncertainty regarding post-LT mortality among patients with severe ACLF may cause hesitancy. We developed and externally validated a model to predict 1-year post-LT mortality in severe ACLF, called the Sundaram ACLF-LT-Mortality (SALT-M) score, and estimated the median length of stay (LoS) after LT (ACLF-LT-LoS).

METHODS

In 15 LT centers in the US, we retrospectively identified a cohort of patients with severe ACLF transplanted between 2014-2019, followed up to Jan'2022. Candidate predictors included demographics, clinical and laboratory values, and organ failures. We selected predictors in the final model using clinical criteria and externally validated them in two French cohorts. We provided measures of overall performance, discrimination, and calibration. We used multivariable median regression to estimate LoS after adjusting for clinically relevant factors.

RESULTS

We included 735 patients, of whom 521 (70.8%) had severe ACLF (120 ACLF-3, external cohort). The median age was 55 years, and 104 with severe ACLF (19.9%) died within 1-year post-LT. Our final model included age >50 years, use of 1/≥2 inotropes, presence of respiratory failure, diabetes mellitus, and BMI (continuous). The c-statistic was 0.72 (derivation) and 0.80 (validation), indicating adequate discrimination and calibration based on the observed/expected probability plots. Age, respiratory failure, BMI, and presence of infection independently predicted median LoS.

CONCLUSIONS

The SALT-M score predicts mortality within 1-year after LT in patients with ACLF. The ACLF-LT-LoS score predicted median post-LT stay. Future studies using these scores could assist in determining transplant benefits.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Liver transplantation (LT) may be the only life-saving procedure available to patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), but clinically instability can augment the perceived risk of post-transplant mortality at 1 year. We developed a parsimonious score with clinically and readily available parameters to objectively assess 1-year post-LT survival and predict median length of stay after LT. We developed and externally validated a clinical model called the Sundaram ACLF-LT-Mortality score in 521 US patients with ACLF with 2 or ≥3 organ failure(s) and 120 French patients with ACLF grade 3. The c-statistic was 0.72 in the development cohort and 0.80 in the validation cohort. We also provided an estimation of the median length of stay after LT in these patients. Our models can be used in discussions on the risks/benefits of LT in patients listed with severe ACLF. Nevertheless, the score is far from perfect and other factors, such as patient's preference and center-specific factors, need to be considered when using these tools.

Bikunin: A Promising Prognostic Biomarker for Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Patients with Viral Hepatitis B

Purpose

To screen out potential prognostic biomarkers for HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF).

Patients and Methods

Peripheral blood samples of HBV-ACLF patients (n=56) and normal controls (n=15) from the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University from January 2021 to April 2022 were collected, 5 normal patients and 10 patients with ACLF were randomly selected for Data independent acquisition (DIA) mass spectrometry analysis, and the potential core proteins were screened out via bioinformatics. All samples were validated by Enzyme linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA) technology, and the survival curve was constructed based on the patient's 90-day survival time.

Results

A total of 247 differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) were screened, of which 148 were upregulated and 99 were down-regulated. The DEPs were mainly enriched in high-density lipoprotein particle remodeling, coagulation, and hemostasis and participated in signaling pathways such as cholesterol metabolism, coagulation cascades, and PPAR signaling pathway. Finally, bikunin was selected for further study and validated via the ELISA, compared with the normal group, bikunin was poorly expressed in the HBV-ACLF group, the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.0001), the area under the curve (AUC) for Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was 0.917. Furthermore, compared with the non-survival group, bikunin was highly expressed in the HBV-ACLF survival group, the difference was statistically significant (P=0.0015), and the survival curve showed a positive correlation with patient survival (P=0.0063).

Conclusion

The level of plasma bikunin in HBV-ACLF is down-regulated, which is positively correlated with the survival of the patients with HBV-ACLF, and is expected to become a new prognostic biomarker.

T2-weighted imaging and dynamic contrast‑enhanced imaging in predicting the prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome with high 28- and 90-day mortality rates. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been widely used to diagnose and evaluate liver disease. Our purpose is to determine the value of the imaging features derived from Gd-DTPA-enhanced MRI for predicting the poor outcome of patients with ACLF and develop a clinically practical radiological score.

METHODS

This retrospective study comprised 175 ACLF patients who underwent Gd-DTPA-enhanced abdominal MRI from January 2017 to December 2021. The primary end-point was 90-day mortality. Imaging parameters, such as diffuse hyperintense of the liver on T2WI, patchy enhancement of the liver at the arterial phase, uneven enhancement of the liver at the portal vein phase, gallbladder wall edema, periportal edema, ascites, esophageal and gastric varix, umbilical vein patefac, portal vein thrombosis, and splenomegaly were screened. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to evaluate prognostic factors and develop a prediction model. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 31 of the 175 ACLF patients died within 90 days. In the multivariate analysis, three imaging parameters were independently associated with survival: diffuse hyperintense on T2WI (p = 0.007; HR = 3.53 [1.40-8.89]), patchy enhancement at the arterial phase (p = 0.037; HR = 2.45 [1.06-5.69]), moderate ascites (vs. mild) (p = 0.006; HR = 4.12 [1.49-11.36]), and severe ascites (vs. mild) (p = 0.005; HR = 4.29 [1.57-11.71]). A practical radiological score was proposed, based on the presence of diffuse hyperintense (7 points), patchy enhancement (5 points), and ascites (6, 8, and 8 points for mild, moderate, and severe, respectively). Further analysis showed that a cut-off at 14 points was optimum to distinguish high-risk (score > 14) from the low-risk group (score ≤ 14) for 90-day survival and demonstrated a mean area under the ROC curve of 0.774 in ACLF patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Gd-DTPA-enhanced MR imaging features can predict poor outcomes in patients with ACLF, based on which we proposed a clinically practical radiological score allowing stratification of the 90-day survival.

Prognostic Models in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome characterized by severe hepatic dysfunction leading to multiorgan failure in patients with end-stage liver disease. ACLF is a challenging clinical syndrome with a rapid clinical course and high short-term mortality. There is no single uniform definition of ACLF or consensus in predicting ACLF-related outcomes, which makes comparing studies difficult and standardizing management protocols challenging. This review aims to provide insights into the common prognostic models that define and grade ACLF.

Sympathetic nervous activation, mitochondrial dysfunction and outcome in acutely decompensated cirrhosis: the metabolomic prognostic models (CLIF-C MET)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current prognostic scores of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD), particularly those with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), underestimate the risk of mortality. This is probably because systemic inflammation (SI), the major driver of AD/ACLF, is not reflected in the scores. SI induces metabolic changes, which impair delivery of the necessary energy for the immune reaction. This investigation aimed to identify metabolites associated with short-term (28-day) death and to design metabolomic prognostic models.

METHODS

Two prospective multicentre large cohorts from Europe for investigating ACLF and development of ACLF, CANONIC (discovery, n=831) and PREDICT (validation, n=851), were explored by untargeted serum metabolomics to identify and validate metabolites which could allow improved prognostic modelling.

RESULTS

Three prognostic metabolites strongly associated with death were selected to build the models. 4-Hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate is a norepinephrine derivative, which may be derived from the brainstem response to SI. Additionally, galacturonic acid and hexanoylcarnitine are associated with mitochondrial dysfunction. Model 1 included only these three prognostic metabolites and age. Model 2 was built around 4-hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate, hexanoylcarnitine, bilirubin, international normalised ratio (INR) and age. In the discovery cohort, both models were more accurate in predicting death within 7, 14 and 28 days after admission compared with MELDNa score (C-index: 0.9267, 0.9002 and 0.8424, and 0.9369, 0.9206 and 0.8529, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Similar results were found in the validation cohort (C-index: 0.940, 0.834 and 0.791, and 0.947, 0.857 and 0.810, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Also, in ACLF, model 1 and model 2 outperformed MELDNa 7, 14 and 28 days after admission for prediction of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Models including metabolites (CLIF-C MET) reflecting SI, mitochondrial dysfunction and sympathetic system activation are better predictors of short-term mortality than scores based only on organ dysfunction (eg, MELDNa), especially in patients with ACLF.

Classification and Epidemiologic Aspects of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

The three most common definitions of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) are derived from data from North America, Europe, and the Asian-Pacific Region. All three definitions identify patients with underlying liver disease who are at increased risk for mortality who develop a syndrome often characterized by associated organ failures. The epidemiology of ACLF differs throughout various regions globally and is driven by the cause of the underlying chronic liver disease and the triggers of ACLF.

Epidemiology, characteristics, and outcomes of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure in Australia

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is distinct from acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis in its clinical presentation, pathophysiology, and prognosis. There are limited published Australian ACLF data.

METHODS

We performed a single-center retrospective cohort study of all adults with cirrhosis admitted with a decompensating event to a liver transplantation (LT) centre between 2015 and 2020. ACLF was defined using the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) definition while those who did not meet the definition were classified as AD. The primary outcome of interest was 90-day LT-free survival.

RESULTS

A total of 615 patients had 1039 admissions for a decompensating event. On their index admission, 34% (209/615) of patients were classified as ACLF. Median admission model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and MELD-Na scores were higher in ACLF patients compared with AD (21 vs 17 and 25 vs 20 respectively, both P < 0.001). Both the presence and severity of ACLF (grade ≥ 2) significantly predicted worse LT-free survival compared with patients with AD. The EASL-CLIF ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLF), MELD and MELD-Na scores performed similarly in predicting 90-day mortality. Patients with index ACLF had a higher risk of 28-day mortality (28.1% vs 5.1%, P < 0.001) and shorter times to readmission compared with those with AD.

CONCLUSION

ACLF complicates over a third of hospital admissions for cirrhosis with decompensating events and is associated with a high short-term mortality. The presence and grade of ACLF predicts 90-day mortality and should be identified as those at greatest risk of poor outcome without intervention such as LT.

Drug-Induced Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Challenges and Future Directions

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is a global problem related to prescription and over-the-counter medications as well as herbal and dietary supplements. It can lead to liver failure with the risk of death and need for liver transplantation. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) may be precipitated by DILI and is associated with a high risk of mortality. This review addresses the challenges in defining the diagnostic criteria of drug-induced ACLF (DI-ACLF). The studies characterizing DI-ACLF and its outcomes are summarized, highlighting geographic differences in underlying liver disease and implicated agents, as are future directions in the field.

Definition, diagnosis and epidemiology of acute-on-chronic liver failure

This narrative review addresses the definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure, a condition associated with high short-term mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and/or cirrhosis. We provide two major points of view: the East and the West perspective. Both definitions vary regarding the underlying patient population and organ failure(s) definition. Nevertheless, all the definitions have their clinical utility: from the core concept of having the "liver" as a conditio sine qua non, the syndrome cannot exist (Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver); a data-driven, robust definition (European Association for the Study of the Liver); a bedside tool that can quickly identify patients at high risk of dying (North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease [NACSELD]). In each section, we provide the overall definitions, the criteria of organ failure(s), and some epidemiological data illustrating how these apply in each area of the world.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: far to go-a review

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been recognized as a severe clinical syndrome based on the acute deterioration of chronic liver disease and is characterized by organ failure and high short-term mortality. Heterogeneous definitions and diagnostic criteria for the clinical condition have been proposed in different geographic regions due to the differences in aetiologies and precipitating events. Several predictive and prognostic scores have been developed and validated to guide clinical management. The specific pathophysiology of ACLF remains uncertain and is mainly associated with an intense systemic inflammatory response and immune-metabolism disorder based on current evidence. For ACLF patients, standardization of the treatment paradigm is required for different disease stages that may provide targeted treatment strategies for individual needs.

Intrahepatic macrophage reprogramming associated with lipid metabolism in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe syndrome with high short-term mortality, but the pathophysiology still remains largely unknown. Immune dysregulation and metabolic disorders contribute to the progression of ACLF, but the crosstalk between immunity and metabolism during ACLF is less understood. This study aims to depict the immune microenvironment in the liver during ACLF, and explore the role of lipid metabolic disorder on immunity.

METHODS

Single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) was performed using the liver non-parenchymal cells (NPCs) and peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from healthy controls, cirrhosis patients and ACLF patients. A series of inflammation-related cytokines and chemokines were detected using liver and plasma samples. The lipid metabolomics targeted free fatty acids (FFAs) in the liver was also detected.

RESULTS

The scRNA-seq analysis of liver NPCs showed a significant increase of monocytes/macrophages (Mono/Mac) infiltration in ACLF livers, whereas the resident Kupffer cells (KCs) were exhausted. A characterized TREM2⁺ Mono/Mac subpopulation was identified in ACLF, and showed immunosuppressive function. Combined with the scRNA-seq data from PBMCs, the pseudotime analysis revealed that the TREM2⁺ Mono/Mac were differentiated from the peripheral monocytes and correlated with lipid metabolism-related genes including APOE, APOC1, FABP5 and TREM2. The targeted lipid metabolomics proved the accumulation of unsaturated FFAs associated with α-linolenic acid (α-LA) and α-LA metabolism and beta oxidation of very long chain fatty acids in the ACLF livers, indicating that unsaturated FFAs might promote the differentiation of TREM2⁺ Mono/Mac during ACLF.

CONCLUSIONS

The reprogramming of macrophages was found in the liver during ACLF. The immunosuppressive TREM2⁺ macrophages were enriched in the ACLF liver and contributed to the immunosuppressive hepatic microenvironment. The accumulation of unsaturated FFAs in the ACLF liver promoted the reprogramming of the macrophages. It might be a potential target to improve the immune deficiency of ACLF patients through regulating lipid metabolism.

Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure: Current Interventional Treatment Options and Future Challenges

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a frequent complication in patients with liver cirrhosis that has high short-term mortality. It is characterized by acute decompensation (AD) of liver cirrhosis, intra- and extrahepatic organ failure, and severe systemic inflammation (SI). In the recent past, several studies have investigated the management of this group of patients. Identification and treatment of precipitants of decompensation and ACLF play an important role, and management of the respective intra- and extrahepatic organ failures is essential. However, no specific treatment for ACLF has been established to date, and the only curative treatment option currently available for these patients is liver transplantation (LT). It has been shown that ACLF patients are at severe risk of waitlist mortality, and post-LT survival rates are high, making ACLF patients suitable candidates for LT. However, only a limited number of patients are eligible for LT due to related contraindications such as uncontrolled infections. In this case, bridging strategies (e.g., extracorporeal organ support systems) are required. Further therapeutic approaches have recently been developed and evaluated. Thus, this review focuses on current management and potential future treatment options.

A new dyslipidemia-based scoring model to predict transplant-free survival in patients with hepatitis E-triggered acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Hepatitis E virus (HEV)-triggered acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has unacceptably high short-term mortality. However, it is unclear whether the existing predictive scoring models are applicable to evaluate the prognosis of HEV-triggered ACLF.

METHODS

We screened datasets of patients with HEV-triggered ACLF from a regional tertiary hospital for infectious diseases in Shanghai, China, between January 2011 and January 2021. Clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded and compared to determine a variety of short-term mortality risk factors, which were used to develop and validate a new prognostic scoring model.

RESULTS

Out of 4952 HEV-infected patients, 817 patients with underlying chronic liver disease were enrolled in this study. Among these, 371 patients with HEV-triggered ACLF were identified and allocated to the training set (n = 254) and test set (n = 117). The analysis revealed that hepatic encephalopathy (HE), ascites, triacylglycerol and apolipoprotein A (apoA) were associated with 90-day mortality (P < 0.05). Based on these significant indicators, we designed and calculated a new prognostic score = 0.632 × (ascites: no, 1 point; mild to moderate, 2 points; severe, 3 points) + 0.865 × (HE: no, 1 point; grade 1-2, 2 points; grade 3-4, 3 points) - 0.413 × triacylglycerol (mmol/L) - 2.171 × apoA (g/L). Compared to four well-known prognostic models (MELD score, CTP score, CLIF-C OFs and CLIF-C ACLFs), the new scoring model is more accurate, with the highest auROCs of 0.878 and 0.896, respectively, to predict 28- and 90-day transplantation-free survival from HEV-triggered ACLF. When our model was compared to COSSH ACLF IIs, there was no significant difference. The test data also demonstrated good concordance.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is one of the first to address the correlation between hepatitis E and serum lipids and provides a new simple and efficient prognostic scoring model for HEV-triggered ACLF.

Global epidemiology of cirrhosis - aetiology, trends and predictions

Cirrhosis is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in people with chronic liver disease worldwide. In 2019, cirrhosis was associated with 2.4% of global deaths. Owing to the rising prevalence of obesity and increased alcohol consumption on the one hand, and improvements in the management of hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus infections on the other, the epidemiology and burden of cirrhosis are changing. In this Review, we highlight global trends in the epidemiology of cirrhosis, discuss the contributions of various aetiologies of liver disease, examine projections for the burden of cirrhosis, and suggest future directions to tackle this condition. Although viral hepatitis remains the leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, the prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and alcohol-associated cirrhosis are rising in several regions of the world. The global number of deaths from cirrhosis increased between 2012 and 2017, but age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) declined. However, the ASDR for NAFLD-associated cirrhosis increased over this period, whereas ASDRs for other aetiologies of cirrhosis declined. The number of deaths from cirrhosis is projected to increase in the next decade. For these reasons, greater efforts are required to facilitate primary prevention, early detection and treatment of liver disease, and to improve access to care.

Yi-Qi-Jian-Pi formula ameliorates immune function in acute-on-chronic liver failure by upregulating autophagy and mitochondrial biogenesis in CD8+ T lymphocytes

ETHNOPHARMACOLOGICAL RELEVANCE

A key event in the pathogenesis of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is the imbalance in the systemic immune response; immunosuppression in patients with ACLF contributes to poor prognosis. The Yi-Qi-Jian-Pi formula (YQJPF) may improve T lymphocyte immune function in patients with ACLF.

AIM OF THE STUDY

To investigate the immune mechanism of YQJPF in vivo and in vitro.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An ACLF rat model was established by injection of CCl₄, lipopolysaccharide, and D-galactosamine. We examined the effect of different doses of YQJPF (6.43, 12.87, 25.74 g/kg) on liver injury and immune function in the ACLF rat model. Magnetic-activated cell sorting was used to sort the CD8⁺ T lymphocytes in the spleen for lymphocyte function detection. In primary CD8⁺ T lymphocytes and Jurkat cell lines, the expression of mitochondrial function and biogenesis and autophagy related markers were detected using molecular biological methods and flow cytometry analysis.

RESULTS

YQJPF improved the peripheral blood lymphocyte count and proportion of CD8⁺ T lymphocytes in ACLF rats, increased pro-inflammatory factors (IL-2, IFN-λ, and TNF-α), and reduced anti-inflammatory factors (IL-10 and TGF β1). YQJPF also improved metabolism and mitochondrial homeostasis in CD8⁺ T lymphocytes, alleviated lymphocyte immune dysfunction by promoting autophagy, upregulated mitochondrial biogenesis by promoting PGC-1α, NRF-1, and TFAM expression, and regulated the relationship between autophagy and mitochondrial biogenesis via PGC-1α.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that YQJPF could improve immune function in a rat model of ACLF, possibly via affecting the homeostasis of lymphatic mitochondria in CD8⁺ T lymphocytes. YQJPF may enhance lymphocyte mitochondrial biosynthesis and promote lymphocyte autophagy. PGC-1α is a possible upstream regulatory target of YQJPF.

Longitudinal transkingdom gut microbial approach towards decompensation in outpatients with cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

First decompensation development is a critical milestone that needs to be predicted. Transkingdom gut microbial interactions, including archaeal methanogens, may be important targets and predictors but a longitudinal approach is needed.

DESIGN

Cirrhosis outpatients who provided stool twice were included. Group 1: compensated, group 2: 1 decompensation (decomp), group 3: >1 decompensationwere followed and divided into those who remained stable or decompensated. Bacteria, viral and archaeal presence, α/β diversity and taxa changes over time adjusted for clinical variables were analysed. Correlation networks between kingdoms were analysed.

RESULTS

157 outpatients (72 group 1, 33 group 2 and 52 group 3) were followed and 28%-47% developed outcomes. Baseline between those who remained stable/developed outcome: While no α/β diversity differences were seen, commensals were lower and pathobionts were higher in those who decompensated. After decompensation: those experiencing their first decompensation showed greater decrease in α/β-diversity, bacterial change (↑Lactobacillus spp, Streptococcus parasanguinis and ↓ beneficial Lachnospiraceae and Eubacterium hallii) and viral change (↑Siphoviridae, ↓ Myoviridae) versus those with further decompensation. Archaea: 19% had Methanobacter brevii, which was similar between/within groups. Correlation networks: Baseline archaeal-viral-bacterial networks were denser and more homogeneous in those who decompensated versus the rest. Archaea-bacterial correlations collapsed post first decompensation. Lactobacillus phage Lc Nu and C2-like viruses were negatively linked with beneficial bacteria.

CONCLUSION

In this longitudinal study of cirrhosis outpatients, the greatest transkingdom gut microbial changes were seen in those reaching the first decompensation, compared with subsequent decompensating events. A transkingdom approach may refine prediction and provide therapeutic targets to prevent cirrhosis progression.

Global burden of Liver Disease: 2023 Update

Liver disease accounts for 2 million deaths and is responsible for 4% of all deaths (1 out of every 25 deaths worldwide); approximately 2/3 of all liver related deaths occur in men. Deaths are largely attributable to complications of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, with acute hepatitis accounting for a smaller proportion of deaths. The most common causes of cirrhosis worldwide are related to viral hepatitis, alcohol, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Hepatotropic viruses are the etiological factor in most cases of acute hepatitis, but drug-induced liver injury increasingly accounts for a significant proportion of cases. This iteration of the global burden of liver disease is an update of the 2019 version and focuses mainly on areas where significant new information is available like alcohol-associated liver disease, NAFLD, viral hepatitis, and HCC. We also devote a separate section to the burden of liver disease in Africa, an area of the world typically neglected in such documents.

DLL4-Notch signalling in acute-on-chronic liver failure: State of the art and perspectives

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by acute decompensation of chronic liver disease associated with multiple-organ failures and high short-term mortality. Acute insults to patients with chronic liver disease can lead to ACLF, among which, hepatitis B virus-related ACLF is the most common type of liver failure in the Asia-Pacific region. Currently, immune-metabolism disorders and systemic inflammation are proposed to be the main mechanisms of ACLF. The resulting cholestasis and intrahepatic microcirculatory dysfunction accelerate the development of ACLF. Treatments targeting immune regulation, metabolic balance, microcirculation maintenance and bile duct repair can alleviate inflammation and restore the tissue structure. An increasing number of studies have demonstrated that delta-like ligand 4 (DLL4), one of the Notch signalling ligands, plays a vital role in immune regulation, metabolism, angiogenesis, and biliary regeneration, which participate in liver pathological and physiological processes. The detailed mechanism of the DLL4-Notch signalling pathway in ACLF has rarely been investigated. Here, we review the evidence showing that DLL4-Notch signalling is involved in ACLF and analyse the potential role of DLL4 in the treatment of ACLF.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: clinical course and liver transplantation

INTRODUCTION

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome characterized by intense systemic inflammatory response, multiple-organ failures, and high short-term mortality in patients with chronic liver disease. ACLF is dynamic and heterogeneous, and the prognosis is closely related to the clinical course. Currently, liver transplantation (LT) remains the only potential curative treatment that improves survival of ACLF patients.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, we summarize the dynamic clinical course of ACLF and the relationship between the clinical course and the post-LT prognosis, especially the factors affecting the mortality after LT in severe ACLF patients and explore the optimal choice of LT therapy for ACLF patients, both to benefit patients the most and to avoid futile therapy.

EXPERT OPINION

ACLF is a dynamic disease with varying clinical phenotypes, and the global burden is high. Early identification of the clinical course is important to assess the prognosis and guide the treatment. The contradiction between shortage of liver donors and the large number of recipients makes it necessary for us to strictly screen out the recipients and identify patients who really need LT to save liver sources.

Low lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, calcitriol level, and CD206 level predict the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients cirrhosis with acute decompensation

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Prognostic models of ACLF have been developed; however, few studies have focused on the occurrence of ACLF. This study aimed to identify the factors that predict the development of ACLF, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and infection in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis were enrolled, and the serum levels of calcitriol, Cluster of Differentiation 26 (CD206), and macrophage-inducible lectin receptor (Mincle) were measured, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were calculated; all the patients were tracked for 6 months. A generalized estimating equation (GEE) was used to assess the factors associated with ACLF development, HE, and infection. The aforementioned model was derived based on immunological markers, and receiver operating characteristic analysis with area under the curve (AUC) was adopted to evaluate accuracy.

RESULTS

After screening 325 patients with cirrhosis, 65 patients were eligible. In the GEE model, low levels of calcitriol (odds ratio [OR] = 3.259; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.118-8.929) and CD206 (OR = 2.666; 95% CI = 1.082-6.567) were associated with the development of ACLF, and the LMR was a protective factor (OR = 0.356; 95% CI = 0.147-0.861). Low calcitriol levels were a risk factor for HE (OR = 3.827) and infection (OR = 2.489). LMR was found to be a protective factor against HE (OR = 0.388). An immunological model for the discrimination of ACLF development within 6 months was proposed, with an AUC of 0.734 (95% CI = 0.598-0.869).

CONCLUSION

Single and combined immunological markers, including low LMR and low levels of calcitriol and CD206, were promising for early prediction of the development of ACLF, HE, and infection in patients with cirrhosis.

Prognosis of hepatitis E infection in patients with chronic liver disease: A meta-analysis

In individuals with underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), hepatitis E virus (HEV) infection is a potential trigger of acute-on-chronic liver failure. In this systematic review, seven electronic databases were searched. Pooled incidence rates with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated by the Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation method. The association between death or liver failure and HEV superinfection in CLD patients was estimated by the odds ratios (OR) with a 95% CI. A total of 18 studies from 5 countries were eligible for systematic review. The prevalence of acute HEV infection in hospitalized CLD patients with clinical manifestations of hepatitis was 13.6%, which was significantly higher than that in CLD patients from the community (pooled prevalence 1.1%). The overall rates of liver failure and mortality in CLD patients with HEV superinfection were 35.8% (95% CI: 26.7%-45.6%) and 14.3% (95% CI: 10.6%-18.5%), respectively, with the rates in cirrhotic patients being approximately 2-fold and 4-fold higher than those in noncirrhotic patients, respectively. The risks of liver failure (OR = 5.5, 95% CI: 1.5-20.1) and mortality (OR = 5.0, 95% CI: 1.9-13.3) were significantly higher in CLD patients with HEV superinfection than in those without HEV superinfection. HEV testing in hospitalized CLD patients is necessary due to the high prevalence of HEV infection observed in hospitalized CLD patients. HEV superinfection could accelerate disease progression in patients with underlying CLD and increase mortality in these patients. HEV vaccination is appropriate for patients with pre-existing CLD.

CHINAT-CD4 Score Predicts Transplant-Free Survival in Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Aim

The early prognosis evaluation of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is important to decrease its mortality. We aimed to develop a new score to accurately predict the outcome of patients with ACLF.

Methods

A derivation set of 408 patients with hepatitis B virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) based on the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria is used to develop a prognostic score that was validated in 209 patients with HBV-ACLF and 195 patients with non-HBV-ACLF.

Results

Seven factors were significantly related to the 28-day mortality and constituted a new score (CHINAT-CD4 = 0.320 × ln (creatinine) + 0.668 × hepatic encephalopathy score + 0.745 × ln (international normalized ratio) + 0.476 × ln (neutrophil) + 0.251 × ln (aspartate aminotransferase) + 0.411 × ln (total bilirubin) - 0.605 × ln (CD4+ T cells count)). The C-indices of the new score for the 28-/90-day mortality (0.810/0.806) outperformed those of the other seven scores (p≤0.05). The results were confirmed in a validation set (0.798/793 for HBV-ACLF; 0.790/0.788 for non-HBV-ACLF). The novel score based on CD4⁺ T cell count showed high predictive performance for the 28-/90-day mortality of ACLF.

Conclusion

The novel score based on CD4⁺ T cell count can accurately predict the 28-/90-day mortality for patients with ACLF.