Diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests for advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD: an individual patient data meta-analysis

Diagnostic Accuracy of the LiverRisk Score to Detect Increased Liver Stiffness Among a United States General Population and Subgroups

Background

The LiverRisk score (LRS) has recently been proposed to predict liver fibrosis and future development of liver-related outcomes in the general population. Here, we performed an external validation of this score.

Methods

We used data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020, a United States population-based cohort to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the LRS to detect a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥8 and ≥12 kPa. Performance was tested among the entire general population and clinically relevant subgroups.

Results

The cohort comprised 7,025 participants (aged 49 [33-63], 49% male), and 9.7% had an LSM ≥8 and 3.2% had an LSM ≥12 kPa. The area under the receiver characteristic operator curve (AUC) in the overall population was 0.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] :0.71-0.75) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.74-0.81) to detect an LSM ≥8 and ≥ 12 kPa, respectively, significantly outperforming the fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4) but not the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE), or metabolic dysfunction-associated fibrosis 5 (MAF-5). Performance was consistent among most subgroups, but AUC levels to detect an LSM ≥8 kPa decreased to <0.70 among participants aged 18-40 or 60-80 years, blacks, and individuals with diabetes or liver steatosis. The LRS categorized 80.5% as very low risk, 17.7% as low risk, and 1.8% as at risk, prevalence of an LSM ≥8 in these groups was 6.3%, 20.8%, and 50.5%, respectively. The sensitivity to detect an LSM ≥8 kPa was 47.3% in the overall population (but dropped to 21.3% for individuals aged 18-40 years) despite applying the lowest cut-off, which should yield the highest sensitivity.

Conclusion

The LRS score is a promising new tool to predict liver fibrosis; however, its diagnostic accuracy attenuates especially among patients aged 18-40 or 60-80 years. The overall sensitivity was only 47.3% at the lowest LRS cut-off. Further studies assessing cost-benefit ratios according to the LRS compared to FIB-4 and other risk scores such as MAF-5 and SAFE are required to determine its usefulness in referral strategies.

HEAR-MHE study: Automated speech analysis identifies minimal hepatic encephalopathy and may predict future overt hepatic encephalopathy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HE is a major cause of poor quality of life in patients with cirrhosis. A simple diagnostic test to identify minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) and predict future overt HE (OHE) is lacking. We aimed to evaluate if analysis of speech patterns using a modern speech platform (1) correlates with validated HE tests, (2) correlates with MHE, and (3) predicts future OHE.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

In a two-center prospective cohort study of 200 outpatients with cirrhosis and 50 controls, patients underwent baseline speech recording and validated HE diagnostic testing with psychometric HE score. Patients were followed for 6 months to identify episodes of OHE. Seven hundred fifty-two speech variables were extracted using an automated speech analysis platform, reflecting the acoustic, lexical, and semantic aspects of speech. Patients with cirrhosis were median 63 years old (IQR 54, 68), 49.5% (99) were female. Over 100 speech variables were significantly associated with psychometric HE score ( p <0.05 with false discovery rate adjustment). A three-variable speech model (2 acoustic, 1 speech tempo variable) was similar to animal naming test in predicting MHE (AUC 0.76 vs. 0.69; p =0.11). Adding age and MELD-Na improved the accuracy of the speech model (AUC: 0.82). A combined clinical-speech model ("HEAR-MHE model") predicted time to OHE with a concordance of 0.74 ( p =0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Automated speech analysis is highly correlated with validated HE tests, associated with MHE, and may predict future OHE. Future research is needed to validate this tool and to understand how it can be implemented in clinical practice.

Screening for Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease-Related Advanced Fibrosis in Diabetology: A Prospective Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVE

Screening for advanced fibrosis (AF) resulting from metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is recommended in diabetology. This study aimed to compare the performance of noninvasive tests (NITs) with that of two-step algorithms for detecting patients at high risk of AF requiring referral to hepatologists.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We conducted a planned interim analysis of a prospective multicenter study including participants with type 2 diabetes and/or obesity and MASLD with comprehensive liver assessment comprising blood-based NITs, vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), and two-dimensional shear-wave elastography (2D-SWE). AF risk stratification was determined by a composite criterion of liver biopsy, magnetic resonance elastography, or VCTE ≥12 kPa depending on availability.

RESULTS

Of 654 patients (87% with type 2 diabetes, 56% male, 74% with obesity), 17.6% had an intermediate/high risk of AF, and 9.3% had a high risk of AF. The area under the empirical receiver operating characteristic curves of NITs for detection of high risk of AF were as follows: fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) score, 0.78 (95% CI 0.72-0.84); FibroMeter, 0.74 (0.66-0.83); FibroTest, 0.78 (0.72-0.85); Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test, 0.82 (0.76-0.87); and SWE, 0.84 (0.78-0.89). Algorithms with FIB-4 score/VCTE showed good diagnostic performance for referral of patients at intermediate/high risk of AF to specialized care in hepatology. An alternative FIB-4 score/ELF test strategy showed a high negative predictive value (NPV; 88-89%) and a lower positive predictive value (PPV; 39-46%) at a threshold of 9.8. The FIB-4 score/2D-SWE strategy had an NPV of 91% and a PPV of 58-62%. The age-adapted FIB-4 score threshold resulted in lower NPVs and PPVs in all algorithms.

CONCLUSIONS

The FIB-4 score/VCTE algorithm showed excellent diagnostic performance, demonstrating its applicability for routine screening in diabetology. The ELF test using an adapted low threshold at 9.8 may be used as an alternative to VCTE.

Detecting at-risk steatotic liver disease and liver fibrosis in the community

Advanced liver fibrosis and "At-Risk" metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (At-Risk MASH) are present in 5% and 10%, respectively, of community-based patients with steatotic liver disease and metabolic risk factors and/or excess alcohol consumption. Identification of these patients is critical to guide prognosis and management due to their increased risk of liver decompensation and HCC. In addition, identification of At-Risk MASH will assist in targeting those eligible for pharmacotherapy. Screening pathways for detecting advanced liver fibrosis, consisting of sequential Fibrosis-4 Index and elastography or direct liver fibrosis biomarkers in patients with clinical risk factors, are recommended; however have suboptimal sensitivity and specificity. Biomarkers based on serum and/or elastography for At-Risk MASH have been developed in specialist centres; however lack broad validation, particularly in the community. Currently a range of barriers have retarded adoption of liver fibrosis screening in primary care, including knowledge gaps regarding non-invasive testing, cost, and limited access of non-invasive tests, and lack of integrated ordering and reporting systems. Once target patients are identified, robust pathways for linkage to specialist care are needed. Despite these challenges, studies performed in primary care have confirmed that liver fibrosis screening programs increase the detection of unrecognized advanced liver disease and may reduce unnecessary specialist referrals. Furthermore, some data suggest that community-based screening of liver fibrosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-associated steatotic liver disease is cost-effective. Widespread implementation of systematic evidence-based diagnostic pathways in the community is needed to reduce liver-related morbidity related to steatotic liver disease.

Comparison of Referral Rates and Costs Using Fibrosis-4 and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) Testing Strategies for Initial Evaluation of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) in a Veteran Population

BACKGROUND

Global metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) prevalence is estimated at 30% and projected to reach 55.7% by 2040. In the Veterans Affairs (VA) healthcare system, an estimated 1.8 million veterans have metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH).

METHODS

Adult patients at risk for MASLD in a VA healthcare system underwent Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF®) testing. Referral rates and cost savings were compared among 6 noninvasive testing (NIT) strategies using these 2 tests independently or sequentially at various cutoffs.

RESULTS

Enrolled patients (N = 254) had a mean age of 65.3 ± 9.3 years and mean body mass index (BMI) of 31.7 ± 6, 87.4% male: 78.3% were non-Hispanic/Latino, and 96.5% had type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Among the 6 evaluated strategies, using FIB-4 followed by ELF at a 9.8 cutoff yielded the highest proportion of patients retained in primary care without need of referral to hepatology clinic (165/227; 72.7%), and was associated with the lowest costs ($407.62). Compared to the FIB-4 only strategy, FIB-4/ELF with a 9.8 cutoff strategy resulted in 26% fewer referrals and 8.47% lower costs. In the subgroup of patients with BMI >32, there were 25.17% fewer referrals and costs were 8.31% lower.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that sequential use of ELF with a 9.8 cutoff following indeterminate FIB-4 tests results in lower referral rates and lower care costs in a veteran population at risk of MASLD. Adding ELF as a sequential test after indeterminate FIB-4 might help reduce the number of referrals and overall cost of care.

Liver stiffness progression in biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic disease among people with diabetes versus people without diabetes: A prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are limited data on the progression of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) versus those without T2DM in biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. We examined LSM progression in participants with T2DM versus those without T2DM in a large, prospective, multicenter cohort study.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study included 1231 adult participants (62% female) with biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease who had VCTEs at least 1 year apart. LSM progression and regression were defined by a ≥20% increase and an upward or downward change, respectively, in the LSM category in the Baveno VII categories for compensated advanced chronic liver disease, compared between participants with T2DM (n = 680) versus no T2DM (n = 551) at baseline. The mean (±SD) age and body mass index were 51.8 (±12.0) years and 34.0 (±6.5) kg/m 2 , respectively. The median (IQR) time between the first and last VCTE measurements was 4.1 (2.5-6.5) years. Participants with T2DM had higher LSM progression at 4 years (12% vs. 10%), 6 years (23% vs. 16%), and 8 years (50% vs. 39%), p = 0.04. Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for multiple confounders, the presence of T2DM remained an independent predictor of LSM progression (adjusted HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.01-1.81, p = 0.04). T2DM was not associated with LSM regression ( p = 0.71). Mean HbA1c was significantly associated with LSM progression ( p = 0.003) and regression ( p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Using serial VCTE data from a multicenter study of participants with biopsy-proven metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, we demonstrate that T2DM and HbA1c are associated with LSM progression.

MicroRNA-26b protects against MASH development in mice and can be efficiently targeted with lipid nanoparticles

The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is increasing, urging more research into the underlying mechanisms. MicroRNA-26b (Mir26b) might play a role in several MASH-related pathways. Therefore, we aimed to determine the role of Mir26b in MASH and its therapeutic potential using Mir26b mimic-loaded lipid nanoparticles (LNPs). Apoe-/-Mir26b-/-, Apoe-/-Lyz2creMir26bfl/fl mice, and respective controls were fed a Western-type diet to induce MASH. Plasma and liver samples were characterized regarding lipid metabolism, hepatic inflammation, and fibrosis. Additionally, Mir26b mimic-loaded LNPs were injected in Apoe-/-Mir26b-/- mice to rescue the phenotype and key results were validated in human precision-cut liver slices. Finally, kinase profiling was used to elucidate underlying mechanisms. Apoe-/-Mir26b-/- mice showed increased hepatic lipid levels, coinciding with increased expression of scavenger receptor a and platelet glycoprotein 4. Similar effects were found in mice lacking myeloid-specific Mir26b. Additionally, hepatic TNF and IL-6 levels and amount of infiltrated macrophages were increased in Apoe-/-Mir26b-/- mice. Moreover, Tgfb expression was increased by the Mir26b deficiency, leading to more hepatic fibrosis. A murine treatment model with Mir26b mimic-loaded LNPs reduced hepatic lipids, rescuing the observed phenotype. Kinase profiling identified increased inflammatory signaling upon Mir26b deficiency, which was rescued by LNP treatment. Finally, Mir26b mimic-loaded LNPs also reduced inflammation in human precision-cut liver slices. Overall, our study demonstrates that the detrimental effects of Mir26b deficiency in MASH can be rescued by LNP treatment. This novel discovery leads to more insight into MASH development, opening doors to potential new treatment options using LNP technology.

Association of liver fibrosis-4 index with functional outcomes in chinese patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing mechanical thrombectomy

This study aimed to investigate the association between the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and functional outcomes and hemorrhagic complications in patients with large vessel occlusion acute ischemic stroke (LVO-AIS) treated with mechanical thrombectomy (MT). In this single-center retrospective cohort study, we consecutively enrolled patients with LVO-AIS who underwent MT between January 2018 and February 2024. The primary endpoint was poor functional outcome at 90 days (modified Rankin Scale score 3-6). Secondary endpoints included hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH). Multivariable logistic regression models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to evaluate the association between FIB-4 index and outcomes after adjusting for potential confounders. Among 421 patients, 254 (60.33%) had poor outcomes, 197 (46.79%) developed HT, and 76 (18.05%) experienced sICH. After adjustment for confounding factors, each unit increase in FIB-4 index was associated with a 38% higher risk of poor outcome (P = 0.013). This association showed significant nonlinearity (P-nonlinear = 0.010), with risk increasing exponentially beyond a FIB-4 threshold of 2.4. Advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 ≥ 2.67) was independently associated with poor outcomes (P = 0.024). FIB-4 index independently predicts poor functional outcomes in LVO-AIS patients. This readily available biomarker may help identify high-risk patients who could benefit from enhanced monitoring and individualized treatment strategies.

Metabolic Syndrome and Liver Disease: Re-Appraisal of Screening, Diagnosis, and Treatment Through the Paradigm Shift from NAFLD to MASLD

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously known as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), encompasses a spectrum of liver diseases characterized by hepatic steatosis, the presence of at least one cardiometabolic risk factor, and no other apparent cause. Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a cluster of clinical conditions associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, and overall morbidity and mortality. This narrative review summarizes the changes in the management of people with MetS and NAFLD/MASLD from screening to therapeutic strategies that have occurred in the last decades. Specifically, we underline the clinical importance of considering the different impacts of simple steatosis and advanced fibrosis and provide an up-to-date overview on non-invasive diagnostic tests (i.e., imaging and serum biomarkers), which now offer acceptable accuracy and are globally more accessible. Early detection of MetS and MASLD is a top priority as it allows for timely interventions, primarily through lifestyle modification. The liver and cardiovascular benefits of a global and multidimensional approach are not negligible. Therefore, a holistic approach to both conditions, MetS and related chronic liver disease, should be applied to improve overall health and longevity.

An inverted U-shaped association between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and the albumin ratio and hepatic steatosis and liver fibrosis: a population-based study

Background

The high-sensitivity C-reactive protein to albumin (CAR) ratio is a comprehensive measure of inflammation in vivo. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis are significantly correlated with inflammation. The present study aimed to explore the possible associations between CAR and hepatic steatosis and fibrosis in the American population.

Methods

The study population involved the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) participants from 2017 to 2020. The natural logarithm of CAR, calculated as Ln(CAR) with base "e," was used for further analyses. The relationships between Ln(CAR) and the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and between Ln(CAR) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were investigated through multivariate linear regression analysis. Interaction and subgroup analysis identified factors affecting these variables. Nonlinear relationships were elucidated by smoothing curves and threshold effect analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive performance of the CAR for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The results were adjusted for U.S. population estimates.

Results

The study included a total of 7,404 individuals. Ln(CAR) was positively correlated with CAP in the fully adjusted model, with an effect value of β = 1.827 (95% CI, 0.611, 3.042). A more pronounced positive association was observed among participants with a BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 in the subgroup analysis. An inverted U-shaped association was shown between Ln(CAR) and CAP through smooth curve fitting and a two-segment linear regression model, with an inflection point of (-9.594). ROC curve analysis showed that CAR had a moderate predictive value for NAFLD (AUC = 0.6895), with a sensitivity of 0.7276 and a specificity of 0.6092. No significant association was detected between Ln(CAR) and the LSM.

Conclusion

We demonstrate an inverted U-shaped relationship between Ln(CAR) and CAP risk within the U.S. demographic. Our results suggest that CAR may serve as a valuable diagnostic tool for NAFLD. Further prospective research is necessary to validate this conclusion.

Pharmaco-Economic Assessment of Screening Strategies for High-Risk MASLD in Primary Care

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Several scientific associations recommend a sequential combination of non-invasive tests (NITs) to identify high-risk MASLD patients but their cost-effectiveness is unknown.

METHODS

A cost-utility model was developed to assess the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of recommended screening strategies for patients with clinically suspected MASLD, specifically those with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity with multiple cardiometabolic risk factors which will be initiated in primary care. Six screening strategies were assessed, using either vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) or the enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test as a second-line test following an initial Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) assessment as the first line NIT. The model included treatment effects of resmetirom for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) patients with F2 or F3 fibrosis.

RESULTS

All screening strategies for high-risk MASLD in US incurred additional costs compared to no screening, ranging from $13 587 to $14 730 per patient with T2D and $14 274 to $15 661 per patient with obesity. However, screening reduced long-term costs, ranging from $22 150 to $22 279 per patient with T2D and $13 704 to $13 705 per patient with obesity, compared to $24 221 and $14 956 for no screening, respectively. ICERs ranged from $26 913 to $27 884 per QALY for T2D patients and $23 265 to $24  992 per QALY for patients with obesity. While ICERs were influenced by VCTE availability, they remained cost-effective when using ELF as the second-line test. Our findings remain robust across a range of key parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

Screening for high-risk MASLD is cost-effective according to recent guidelines. Implementing these screening strategies in primary care should be considered.

The Asian Pacific association for the study of the liver clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) affects over one-fourth of the global adult population and is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide. To address this, the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) has created clinical practice guidelines focused on MAFLD. The guidelines cover various aspects of the disease, such as its epidemiology, diagnosis, screening, assessment, and treatment. The guidelines aim to advance clinical practice, knowledge, and research on MAFLD, particularly in special groups. The guidelines are designed to advance clinical practice, to provide evidence-based recommendations to assist healthcare stakeholders in decision-making and to improve patient care and disease awareness. The guidelines take into account the burden of clinical management for the healthcare sector.

Biomechanical Assessment of Liver Integrity: Prospective Evaluation of Mechanical Versus Acoustic MR Elastography

BACKGROUND

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) can quantify tissue biomechanics noninvasively, including pathological hepatic states like metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis.

PURPOSE

To compare the performance of 2D/3D-MRE using the gravitational (GT) transducer concept with the current commercial acoustic (AC) solution utilizing a 2D-MRE approach. Additionally, quality index markers (QIs) were proposed to identify image pixels with sufficient quality for reliably estimating tissue biomechanics.

STUDY TYPE

Prospective.

POPULATION

One hundred seventy participants with suspected or confirmed liver disease (median age, 57 years [interquartile range (IQR), 46-65]; 66 females), and 11 healthy volunteers (median age, 31 years [IQR, 27-34]; 5 females).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

Participants were scanned twice at 1.5 T and 60 Hz vibration frequency: first, using AC-MRE (2D-MRE, spin-echo EPI sequence, 11 seconds breath-hold), and second, using GT-MRE (2D- and 3D-MRE, gradient-echo sequence, 14 seconds breath-hold).

ASSESSMENT

Image analysis was performed by four independent radiologists and one biomedical engineer. Additionally, superimposed analytic plane shear waves of known wavelength and attenuation at fixed shear modulus were used to propose pertinent QIs.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Spearman's correlation coefficient (r) was applied to assess the correlation between modalities. Interreader reproducibility was evaluated using Bland-Altman bias and reproducibility coefficients. P-values <0.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Liver stiffness quantified via GT-2D/3D correlated well with AC-2D (r ≥ 0.89 [95% CI: 0.85-0.92]) and histopathological grading (r ≥ 0.84 [95% CI: 0.72-0.91]), demonstrating excellent agreement in Bland-Altman plots and between readers (κ ≥ 0.86 [95% CI: 0.81-0.91]). However, GT-2D showed a bias in overestimating stiffness compared to GT-3D. Proposed QIs enabled the identification of pixels deviating beyond 10% from true stiffness based on a combination of total wave amplitude, temporal sinusoidal nonlinearity, and wave signal-to-noise ratio for GT-3D.

CONCLUSION

GT-MRE represents an alternative to AC-MRE for noninvasive liver tissue characterization. Both GT-2D and 3D approaches correlated strongly with the established commercial approach, offering advanced capabilities in abdominal imaging compared to AC-MRE.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

1 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Design and rationale for a global novel non-invasive screening observational study using genetics and non-invasive methodologies to identify at-risk MASLD participants: The ALIGN study

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a common chronic liver disease that is heterogenous in nature with various drivers and modifiers such as metabolic dysfunction and genetic factors. MASLD and the progressive subtype, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) represent the most rapidly increasing cause of liver-related mortality. There are limited treatment options for patients living with MASLD and MASH, various treatments with an array of different targets are under investigation and one therapeutic has been approved since the initiation of this study. Clinical trials investigating treatments for MASLD and MASH are associated with a high screen failure rate, driven largely by the regulatory required histological inclusion criteria for clinical trial eligibility. Other available clinically utilized biomarkers, typically referred to as non-invasive tests (NITs), can assess both the presence of steatosis and the severity of liver fibrosis in patients with MASLD and MASH in the clinic but are not yet approved over histological changes as endpoints for pivotal trials. However, the use of NITs have been demonstrated to increase the likelihood of meeting clinical trial entry criteria. All-Liver Interventional Global Network (ALIGN) is the first described multi-centre global observational screening study aimed at identifying individuals with a high likelihood of MASLD/MASH interested in participating in therapeutic clinical trials using non-invasive methodologies and genetic testing. This study represents a valuable prototype for industry and academic groups looking to evaluate large populations for MASH eligibility and interest in clinical trial participation.

Non-invasive tests for fibrotic MASH for reducing screen failure in therapeutic trials

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Therapeutic trials in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) are hampered by a high 70-80% screen failure rate mostly because of the absence of fibrotic MASH on baseline liver biopsies, underscoring the need for better selection of candidates. We compared the performance of eight non-invasive tests, designed or not for the diagnosis of fibrotic MASH.

METHODS

A total of 1,005 patients with histologically proven MASLD were included in five tertiary care centers. Three non-invasive tests developed for fibrotic MASH were evaluated: the simple blood test Fibrotic NASH Index (FNI), the specialized blood test MACK-3, and the elastography-based test FAST. Five non-invasive tests recommended for advanced fibrosis were evaluated as well: the simple blood test FIB-4, the specialized blood tests FibroTest and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis test (ELF™), and the elastography-based tests FibroScan and Agile3+. Fibrotic MASH was defined as MASH with MASLD activity score ≥4 and fibrosis score F ≥2.

RESULTS

Among simple blood tests (n = 1,005), FNI had a significantly higher area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for fibrotic MASH than FIB-4 (0.709 [0.677-0.741] vs. 0.662 [0.628-0.695], p = 0.019). Among elastography-based tests (n = 817), FAST had a significantly higher AUROC (0.774 [0.743-0.806]) than FibroScan (0.728 [0.694-0.763], p = 0.013) and Agile3+ (0.708 [0.672-0.744], p = 0.004). Among specialized blood tests (n = 545), MACK-3 had a significantly higher AUROC (0.772 [0.734-0.811]) than FibroTest (0.615 [0.568-0.663], p <0.001) and ELF (0.700 [0.656-0.744], p = 0.028). Sequential combination (FAST then Agile3+; MACK-3 then ELF) identified a subset including one-third of patients in whom the false-positive rate was only 30%.

CONCLUSIONS

Sequential combinations using first-line tests designed for fibrotic MASH improves the identification of candidates for MASH therapeutic trials.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Drug development in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is hampered by a high screen failure rate, one of the main reasons being the absence of MASH and significant fibrosis (fibrotic MASH) on the baseline liver biopsy, a key inclusion criterion in MASH therapeutic trials. Non-invasive tests represent an attractive opportunity to better select candidates for these trials, but most of them have been developed for advanced fibrosis and the new tests designed for the diagnosis of fibrotic MASH remain poorly validated. In this work, we demonstrate that the tests specifically designed for fibrotic MASH are more accurate for this diagnostic target than the tests currently recommended and initially developed for advanced fibrosis. We propose sequential combinations that will facilitate the identification of patients with fibrotic MASH in need of treatment, and their inclusion in MASH therapeutic trials.

MASLD, At-Risk MASH and Increased Liver Stiffness Are Associated With Young Adulthood Obesity Without Residual Risk After Losing Obesity

BACKGROUND

Obesity can result in persistent metabolic changes despite weight loss, which may affect liver health. We aimed to investigate associations between young adulthood obesity and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), at-risk steatohepatitis and increased liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in a general population setting.

METHODS

We studied NHANES 2017-2020 community-dwelling participants aged > 40 years with BMI ≥ 18.5 and no heart failure. Weight at age 25 was obtained through questionnaires and compared to current weight. Assessment included controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and LSM. Associations between obesity status change with MASLD or at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and increased LSM were investigated and adjusted for demographics and metabolic health.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 4,580 participants (57% stable non-obesity, 33% gained obesity, 2% lost obesity and 8% stable obesity). Compared to stable no-obesity, stable obesity was strongly associated with MASLD (odds ratio [OR]: 5.47, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 3.97-7.66) as was gained obesity (OR: 4.68, 95% CI: 3.93-5.59), whereas no increased risk was demonstrated for lost obesity (OR: 1.26, 95% CI: 0.76-2.10). Similar associations for stable obesity and gained obesity with at-risk MASH and LSM ≥ 8 kPa were demonstrated. No residual risk was found for lost obesity (MASH-OR: 1.05 95% CI: 0.36-2.49; LSM ≥ 8 kPa-OR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.29-1.97). Results were consistent in sensitivity analysis where obesity change was calculated over the past 10 years and weight change was stratified in normal weight/overweight/obesity.

CONCLUSION

Young adulthood obesity is an important risk factor for MASLD, at-risk MASH and increased LSM among the general population aged 40-80 years. Losing obesity resulted in normalisation of odds for MASLD, at-risk MASH and increased LSM. These findings underline the importance of preventing and treating young adulthood obesity to maintain liver health.

Guided-VCTE: An Enhanced FibroScan Examination With Improved Guidance and Applicability

OBJECTIVE

Although FibroScan (FS), based on Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography (VCTE), is a widely used non-invasive device for assessing liver fibrosis and steatosis, its current standard-VCTE examination remains timely and difficult on patients with obesity. The Guided-VCTE examination uses continuous shear waves to locate the liver by providing a real-time predictive indicator for shear wave propagation and uses shear wave maps averaging to increase the signal-to-noise ratio in difficult to assess patients. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the new indicator, as well as compare examination times and success rates with both standard-VCTE and Guided-VCTE examinations.

METHODS

We recruited 130 patients all with varying BMI in this multicenter study. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive values and negative predictive values assessed the new indicator effectiveness. Success rates were compared using Wilcoxon signed rank tests rates and time-to-event analyses were used to investigate examination times. Agreement and repeatability of both methods were assessed using Wilcoxon signed-rank test.

RESULTS

The new indicator was highly effective, with a 97% sensitivity for predicting valid liver stiffness measurements (LSM). LSM and controlled attenuation parameter results remained in good agreement between two examinations. The Guided-VCTE examination significantly increased the success rate of individual measurements and significantly reduced the time required for localization in the study cohort, especially in patients with grade 2 obesity (BMI ≥35 kg/m²). Additionally, the proportion of patients scanned in less than 4 minutes was significantly higher with the Guided-VCTE examination.

CONCLUSION

Guided-VCTE is a new effective technique that simplifies further FS use, particularly for patients with obesity.

Construction and evaluation of a diagnostic model for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease based on advanced glycation end products and their receptors

Background

Effective biomarkers for the diagnosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) remain limited. This study aims to evaluate the potential of advanced glycation end products (AGEs) and their endogenous secretory receptor (esRAGE) as non-invasive biomarkers for diagnosing MASLD, to explore differences between obese and non-obese MASLD patients, and to develop a novel diagnostic model based on these biomarkers.

Methods

This study enrolled 341 participants, including 246 MASLD patients (118 non-obese, 128 obese) and 95 healthy controls. Serum AGEs and esRAGE levels were measured by ELISA. Key predictors were identified using the Lasso algorithm, and a diagnostic model was developed with logistic regression and visualized as nomograms. Diagnostic accuracy and utility were evaluated through the area under the curve (AUC), bootstrap validation, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Serum AGEs and esRAGE levels were significantly higher in MASLD patients compared to controls. Moreover, obese MASLD patients had higher esRAGE levels than non-obese ones, but no significant difference in AGEs levels was found. A diagnostic model incorporating age, WC, BMI, ALT, TG, HDL, AGEs, and esRAGE achieved an AUC of 0.963, with 94.3% sensitivity and 85.3% specificity. The AUC for bootstrap internal validation was 0.963 (95% CI: 0.944-0.982). Calibration curves showed strong predictive accuracy, and DCA demonstrated high net clinical benefit.

Conclusion

Serum AGEs and esRAGE serve as non-invasive biomarkers for distinguishing MASLD patients. We developed and validated diagnostic models for MASLD, offering valuable tools to identify at-risk populations and improve prevention and treatment strategies.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in adults

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the umbrella term that comprises metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver, or isolated hepatic steatosis, through to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, the progressive necroinflammatory disease form that can progress to fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. MASLD is estimated to affect more than one-third of adults worldwide. MASLD is closely associated with insulin resistance, obesity, gut microbial dysbiosis and genetic risk factors. The obesity epidemic and the growing prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus greatly contribute to the increasing burden of MASLD. The treatment and prevention of major metabolic comorbidities such as type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity will probably slow the growth of MASLD. In 2023, the field decided on a new nomenclature and agreed on a set of research and action priorities, and in 2024, the US FDA approved the first drug, resmetirom, for the treatment of non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Reliable, validated biomarkers that can replace histology for patient selection and primary end points in MASH trials will greatly accelerate the drug development process. Additionally, noninvasive tests that can reliably determine treatment response or predict response to therapy are warranted. Sustained efforts are required to combat the burden of MASLD by tackling metabolic risk factors, improving risk stratification and linkage to care, and increasing access to therapeutic agents and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Weight-adjusted waist circumference index with hepatic steatosis and fibrosis in adult females: a cross-sectional, nationally representative study (NHANES 2017-2020)

BACKGROUND

Obesity is detrimental to liver health. Weight-adjusted waist circumference (WWI) is a new indicator of obesity that is superior to body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) in predicting obesity. There are limited studies on the relationship between Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MASLD) and WWI. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between WWI, Controlled Attenuation Parameters (CAP), and Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM), with special attention to gender differences.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included participants from the 2017 to 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). The study used multiple linear regression models, smoothed curves, and threshold effects analyses to describe the relationships between variables. Multiple regression analyses were used to examine the associations between the four obesity indicators and CAP and LSM. Subject work characteristics (ROC) curves were used to assess the predictive value of WWI and other traditional obesity indicators for hepatic steatosis and liver fibrosis, and predictive power was assessed by area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The study involved 6713 participants, including 3072 men (46%) and 3641 women (54%). The results showed that among female participants, higher WWI was associated with hepatic steatosis (OR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.43, 2.04; P < 0.0001) and hepatic fibrosis (OR = 2.11, 95% CI: 1.58, 2.84; P < 0.0001). Smoothed curve fitting of WWI versus CAP showed a statistically significant positive correlation between WWI in male and female participants There was a statistically significant positive correlation with CAP for both male and female participants. The same significant non-linear relationship was found between WWI and LSM, with no significant difference between males and females. WWI was also a good predictor of hepatic steatosis compared to other obesity indicators and was more pronounced in male participants (AUC = 0.8224). Whereas in the comparison of WWI with LSM, wBMI was a better predictor in female participants (AUC = 0.7751).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on this study, WWI was significantly associated with the risk of hepatic steatosis and hepatic fibrosis in women, suggesting the potential of WWI as a screening tool. Due to the cross-sectional design, causality cannot be inferred. Longitudinal studies are needed to validate our findings.

HEPNET Position Statement-I, Case Definition, Classification, Screening & Diagnosis of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) in Pakistan: A Resource for Primary and Secondary Care Physicians

The Hep-Net position paper comes at a significant time in the history of Metabolically Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD) due to the rapid rise in this disease entity in the past decade. Metabolically Associated Fatty Liver Disease, by its very name, encompasses several common metabolic disease entities, top among those being diabetes and obesity. For Pakistan, the situation is serious as it is among the top 10 countries globally regarding the prevalence of obesity and number one in terms of diabetes, with over a quarter of adults affected. There remains slight ambiguity as regards the nomenclature of MAFLD, with western societies preferring to remove the word "fatty" and substitute with `'steatotic" i.e. MASLD. Regardless of names/titles the metabolic nature of the disease and its management remains the same and fortunately, that is something where universal consensus is present. Under the umbrella of Hep-Net, eminent hepatologists from all over Pakistan have pooled their efforts to formulate guidelines that are specifically tailored to the Pakistani population, its specific lifestyle and relevant interventions that are needed to treat fatty/steatotic liver disease. By virtue of its multi-systemic consequences, metabolic fatty liver disease represents the most significant and expensive disease entity, globally. Prevention, through public education and timely intervention in diagnosed cases will serve to avert a healthcare storm that will far outweigh viral hepatitis.

Reproducibility of EUS-guided shear wave elastography for assessment of hepatic fibrosis: a prospective pilot cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis is important in the management of liver disease. EUS-guided shear wave elastography (EUS-SWE) is a newer technology that can measure liver stiffness, thereby estimating hepatic fibrosis. There are limited data comparing EUS-SWE to vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) using liver biopsy as the reference standard, and the reproducibility of EUS-SWE measurements is not known.

METHODS

In total, 52 patients referred for EUS-guided liver biopsy (EUS-LB) were prospectively enrolled. Patients first underwent VCTE, then 2 consecutive EUS-SWE measurements done first in the left and then another 2 in the right. Bilobar EUS-LB was then done. Receiver operating characteristic curves were developed to compare EUS-SWE to VCTE and correlate to histology. Analysis was performed to determine EUS-SWE variability in paired measurements for each lobe and between right and left liver lobes.

RESULTS

The most common indication for EUS-LB was non-alcoholic steatohepatitis fibrosis staging in 46% of patients. Right lobe SWE had a strong correlation with fibrosis stage ρ = 0.571 (P < .0001) whereas left lobe EUS-SWE had a moderate correlation ρ = 0.368 (P < .0079). Both EUS-SWE and VCTE were similar for discrimination of all stages of fibrosis based on empiric receiver operating characteristic curves. However, the variance between paired consecutive EUS-SWE measurements was 3.5 times higher in the left lobe compared to the right lobe (P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

EUS-SWE provides an assessment of hepatic fibrosis comparable to VCTE. EUS-SWE in the left lobe has 3.5 times higher variance between consecutive measurements compared to the right.

Use of noninvasive fibrosis calculators in an urban diabetes center suggests a large burden of undetected advanced liver disease

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is prevalent in up to 60% of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). T2DM accelerates the risk of hepatic fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with MASLD. Our goal in this study was to identify patients with suspected MASLD and hepatic fibrosis in a large T2DM clinic by using noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of patients with T2DM seen by our endocrinologists at the Medical Faculty Associates (MFA) Diabetes Center in Washington, DC, from November 1, 2021, until November 1, 2022. We included all subjects who were over 18 years old with a hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) of 6.5 or higher. Patients with a history of significant alcohol consumption, decompensated cirrhosis, previous bariatric surgery, or prior chronic liver disease were excluded from the study. We identified patients at risk for hepatic fibrosis by using the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index, NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS) and AST to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) when lab values were available.

RESULTS

A total of 1,411 patients were evaluated for T2DM by an endocrinology provider during the one-year period. Out of these, 336 patients met one or more of the exclusion criteria, leaving a total of 1075 patients included in the analysis. The majority were African American (n = 582, 54%), 261 were Caucasian (24.3%), and 85 were Hispanic (7.9%). Most patients were females (n = 675, 62.7%). The mean HbA1c was 8.1 ± 2.3. 643 patients (59.8%) were insulin dependent. Based on FIB-4 scores, we found that 35 (3.9%) patients had a score of > 2.67 associated with advanced fibrosis and 257 (29%) patients with scores of 1.3-2.67 had moderate fibrosis. Using the NFS calculator, there were 281 (28%) patients with values of > 0.675 consistent with F3-F4 disease. 715 (71.8%) patients with values of < 0.675 consistent with F0-F2 fibrosis. A total of 6(< 1%) patients met criteria for advanced fibrosis by APRI scoring.

CONCLUSION

In our urban Diabetes Center, utilizing the NFS calculator may detect many patients with advanced liver disease. Further research is needed to ensure the internal validity of the non-invasive tests in predicting liver fibrosis and to correlate these findings with transient elastography and other imaging evidence of fatty liver disease.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

Non-applicable.

Anthropometric Indices and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease in Males and Females Living With Severe Obesity

Introduction: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is highly prevalent among people living with severe obesity (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 35 kg/m2). However, it remains unknown how sex and adipose tissue distribution are related to MAFLD onset and progression into metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) or advanced stages of fibrosis. Methodology: We retrospectively studied patients with severe obesity who were eligible for bariatric surgery. Demographic characteristics, biomarkers, and cardiometabolic comorbidities were reported. Anthropometric indices such as BMI, waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), neck circumference (NC), lipid accumulation product (LAP), visceral adiposity index (VAI), body adiposity index (BAI), abdominal volume index (AVI), and body roundness index (BRI) were measured or calculated. MAFLD, MASH, and stages of fibrosis (F1-F4) were established from perioperative liver biopsies. Standardized univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to examine the association between demographic variables, anthropometric indices, cardiometabolic conditions, and the risk of MASH or severe fibrosis (F2-F4). Results: A total of 2091 participants with severe obesity were included in the analyses; BMI 47.9 ± 7.3 kg/m2, age 46.2 ± 11.2 years, and 68.4% females. Overall, MAFLD prevalence was 79.5%, with 44.5% having MASH and 24.4% having severe fibrosis (Stage 2 or higher). No anthropometric indices of adiposity were associated with MASH or fibrosis severity. In this population, female sex was a risk factor for severe fibrosis (OR: 1.27, 95% CI 1.01-1.59, p < 0.05). Conclusions: MAFLD and MASH are highly prevalent in individuals living with severe obesity, but no anthropometric indices or laboratory tests are good predictors of MAFLD or MASH in this population. When MAFLD is diagnosed, our results suggest that females with severe obesity might be at higher risk of advanced stages of fibrosis.

Lean MASLD and IBD: Exploring the Intersection of Metabolic Dysfunction and the Gut-Liver Axis

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) challenges traditional paradigms by manifesting in lean individuals. The link between MASLD and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) underscores the importance of the gut-liver axis in disease progression and chronic inflammation. This study evaluates MASLD prevalence, clinical characteristics, and diagnostic predictors in lean individuals with and without IBD. This prospective study included 387 lean patients. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis were assessed using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE). Anthropometric, clinical and biological data were compared. The subgroup analyses focused on MASLD patients with and without IBD. MASLD was present in 34.1% of lean individuals and 46.3% of those who were lean with IBD. MASLD patients had increased visceral adiposity (CUN-BAE: 31.21 ± 5.42 vs. 24.57 ± 6.49, p < 0.001) and metabolic dysfunction, including dyslipidemia and elevated fasting glucose. IBD-MASLD patients exhibited greater hepatic steatosis and systemic inflammation. CUN-BAE outperformed FLI and HSI in predicting liver steatosis, especially in IBD patients (AUC = 0.806). Lean MASLD, particularly in IBD patients, highlights the need for tailored diagnostic and management strategies. The gut-liver axis plays a key role in disease progression, and the CUN-BAE index demonstrates superior accuracy for identifying liver steatosis.

Higher risk of carotid plaque among lean individuals with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Lean individual with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (L-NAFLD) is a prominent area of research, yet its pathogenesis and association with other diseases such as atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease remain uncertain.

OBJECT

A retrospective study, investigate the association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and carotid plaque (CP) in lean [body mass index (BMI) <24Kg/m2] and non-lean (BMI≥24Kg/m2) populations, as well as identify the related influence factors.

METHOD

3,587 participants were eligible and categorized into 4 groups based on the presence with CP and BMI, binary logistic regression analysis was utilized alongside other statistical methods.

RESULTS

L-NAFLD participants had a 1.395-fold higher risk of CP compared to lean individuals without NAFLD. Age, gender, systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, fasting blood glucose, and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) were identified as independent risk factors with cutoff values lower than the normal upper limits. However, this association was not observed among non-lean participants, regardless of confounding factors adjustment. Moreover, the impact of FIB-4 on the association of NAFLD and CP was more significant in lean CP participants (OR = 1.360 for 1.30 ~ 2.67, and OR = 2.002 for >2.67~<3.48) than in non-lean CP ones.

CONCLUSION

The L-NAFLD population had a higher risk of CP, while lean CP individuals experienced more severe liver fibrosis. Implementing stricter management of risk factors may improve the health status of high-risk populations.

Role of noninvasive tests in the prognostication of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

In managing metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, which affects over 30% of the general population, effective noninvasive biomarkers for assessing disease severity, monitoring disease progression, predicting the development of liver-related complications, and assessing treatment response are crucial. The advantage of simple fibrosis scores lies in their widespread accessibility through routinely performed blood tests and extensive validation in different clinical settings. They have shown reasonable accuracy in diagnosing advanced fibrosis and good performance in excluding the majority of patients with a low risk of liver-related complications. Among patients with elevated serum fibrosis scores, a more specific fibrosis and imaging biomarker has proved useful to accurately identify patients at risk of liver-related complications. Among specific fibrosis blood biomarkers, enhanced liver fibrosis is the most widely utilized and has been approved in the United States as a prognostic biomarker. For imaging biomarkers, the availability of vibration-controlled transient elastography has been largely improved over the past years, enabling the use of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for accurate assessment of significant and advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Combining LSM with other routinely available blood tests enhances the ability to diagnose at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and predict liver-related complications, some reaching an accuracy comparable to that of liver biopsy. Magnetic resonance imaging-based modalities provide the most accurate quantification of liver fibrosis, though the current utilization is limited to research settings. Expanding their future use in clinical practice depends on factors such as cost and facility availability.

Understanding MASH: An Examination of Progression and Clinical Outcomes by Disease Severity in the TARGET-NASH Database

INTRODUCTION

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), the progressive form of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), is linked to cardiometabolic risk factors such as obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). The rising prevalence of MASH and risk of hepatic and extra-hepatic complications emphasize the need for a better understanding of disease progression and associated outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence of, and demographic and clinical characteristics associated with, progression to MASH-related complications by disease severity in patients with non-cirrhotic MASH or MASH cirrhosis. Alignment between noninvasive tests (NITs) and biopsy-determined fibrosis stage was also assessed.

METHODS

This analysis used data from the TARGET-NASH cohort that includes adults with MASH across academic and community sites in the United States. Patients with non-cirrhotic MASH or MASH cirrhosis were stratified by disease severity based on fibrosis stage or cirrhosis. Progression to MASH-related outcomes, including all-cause mortality, cirrhosis, and liver transplantation, was assessed.

RESULTS

Among the 2378 patients included in this analysis, 48% had MASH cirrhosis. Incidence of all-cause mortality increased with disease severity from 0.14/100 person-months (100PM) at fibrosis stage 0-1 (F0-F1) to 2.02/100PM with compensated cirrhosis and 4.62/100PM with decompensated cirrhosis. Compared with patients with F0-F1, risk of progression to cirrhosis was higher in patients with F3 [hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI); 18.66, 10.97-31.73] and F2 (HR, 95% CI; 3.74, 2.00-6.98). Among those who progressed to MASH-related outcomes, 67.9% had T2D and 73.9% had hypertension. Vibration-controlled transient elastography showed better alignment with biopsy-determined fibrosis stage than Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4).

CONCLUSIONS

Progression to all-cause mortality in patients with MASH was significantly associated with the presence of higher fibrosis stage and cirrhosis. Cardiometabolic comorbidities such as T2D and hypertension were prevalent in patients with MASH progression. Early identification and management of MASH may mitigate disease progression and liver-related complications.

Accurate non-invasive detection of MASH with fibrosis F2-F3 using a lightweight machine learning model with minimal clinical and metabolomic variables

BACKGROUND

There are no known non-invasive tests (NITs) designed for accurately detecting metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) with liver fibrosis stages F2-F3, excluding cirrhosis-the FDA-defined range for prescribing Resmetirom and other drugs in clinical trials. We aimed to validate and re-optimize known NITs, and most importantly to develop new machine learning (ML)-based NITs to accurately detect MASH F2-F3.

METHODS

Clinical and metabolomic data were collected from 443 patients across three countries and two clinic types (metabolic surgery, gastroenterology/hepatology) covering the entire spectrum of biopsy-proven MASH, including cirrhosis and healthy controls. Three novel types of ML models were developed using a categorical gradient boosting machine pipeline under a classic 4:1 split and a secondary independent validation analysis. These were compared with twenty-three biomarker, imaging, and algorithm-based NITs with both known and re-optimized cutoffs for MASH F2-F3.

RESULTS

The NAFLD (Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease) Fibrosis Score (NFS) at a - 1.455 cutoff attained an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.59, the highest sensitivity (90.9 %), and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 87.2 %. FIB-4 risk stratification followed by elastography (8 kPa) had the best specificity (86.9 %) and positive predictive value (PPV) (63.3 %), with an AUC of 0.57. NFS followed by elastography improved the PPV to 65.3 % and AUC to 0.62. Re-optimized FibroScan-AST (FAST) at a 0.22 cutoff had the highest PPV (69.1 %). ML models using aminotransferases, metabolic syndrome components, BMI, and 3-ureidopropionate achieved an AUC of 0.89, which further increased to 0.91 following hyperparameter optimization and the addition of alpha-ketoglutarate. These new ML models outperformed all other NITs and displayed accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV up to 91.2 %, 85.3 %, 97.0 %, 92.4 %, and 90.7 % respectively. The models were reproduced and validated in a secondary sensitivity analysis, that used one of the cohorts as feature selection/training, and the rest as independent validation, likewise outperforming all other applicable NITs.

CONCLUSIONS

We report for the first time the diagnostic characteristics of non-invasive, metabolomics-based biomarker models to detect MASH with fibrosis F2-F3 required for Resmetirom treatment and inclusion in ongoing phase-III trials. These models may be used alone or in combination with other NITs to accurately determine treatment eligibility.

The relationship between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and frailty: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Frailty is frequently observed in end-stage liver disease of various etiologies, but its role in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains incompletely understood. We aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the association and prevalence of frailty in NAFLD.

METHODS

A systematic review of PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Scopus was performed. The random-effects model was used to estimate the pooled prevalence of frailty. Meta-analyzed odds ratios (OR) were calculated to examine the association between frailty and NAFLD.

RESULTS

Among the initial 430 articles identified, 18 studies were included. Three studies involving 3673 participants had a pooled OR of 2.03 (95% CI: 1.51-2.72; Iˆ2 = 1.1%; p < 0.0001) for the association between frailty and NAFLD. The pooled prevalence of frailty in individuals with NAFLD was 23% (95% CI: 13%-38%; Iˆ2 = 93.5%) using the liver frailty index (LFI) and 8% (95% CI: 3%-21%; Iˆ2 = 98.1%) using the Fried frailty index (FFI). NAFLD patients' mean grip strength and balance time were 26.4 kg (95% CI: 23.0-29.8) and 23s (95% CI: 10-35), respectively. Among studies that also included individuals with liver cirrhosis, grip strength was lower in those with cirrhosis vs. the broader population of those with NAFLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that frailty is highly prevalent in individuals with NAFLD, with a significantly higher prevalence compared to those without NAFLD. Individuals with NAFLD have more than two-fold increased odds of frailty. Assessing frailty in NAFLD patients enables targeted management to improve outcomes.

Association of liver fibrosis with aneurysm size and mortality risk in patients undergoing open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) poses a significant health risk due to its silent nature and high mortality upon rupture. The Fib-4 index, initially designed for liver fibrosis assessment, presents potential beyond its scope. This study aims to investigate the association of FIB-4 with aneurysm size and mortality risk, exploring its utility as a risk predictor for enhanced clinical management. This retrospective longitudinal research studied 141 AAA open repair surgery patients (92% male, mean age of 70 years (SD: 11.5)) from October 2016 to September 2021 for a median follow-up 35 months (IQR: 0.7 - 56.6). All-cause mortality was the primary outcome. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were calculated for each Fib-4 cut-off between 1.5 and 3.25. FIB-4 cut-off range of 2.58-2.74 was associated with higher mortality risk in adjusted HR. Specifically, FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 increased mortality by 78% (aHR:1.78, 95% CI: 1.06 - 3.00). Furthermore, FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 was significantly associated with a baseline aneurysm size ≥ 8cm (aOR: 2.67, 95% CI: 1.17 - 6.09). FIB-4 was independently associated with a higher mortality risk and higher aneurysm size. These findings suggest that FIB-4 assessment in clinical practice may enhance risk profiling, aiding in more precise stratification and management strategies for AAA patients.

Estimating the prevalence of adults at risk for advanced hepatic fibrosis using FIB-4 in a Swiss tertiary care hospital

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic liver diseases pose a serious public health issue. Identifying patients at risk for advanced liver fibrosis is crucial for early intervention. The Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), a simple non-invasive test, classifies patients into three risk groups for advanced fibrosis. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of patients at risk for advanced hepatic fibrosis at a Swiss tertiary care hospital by calculating the FIB-4 score in routine blood analysis.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted using data from 36,360 patients who visited outpatient clinics at eight main clinics of the University Hospital Bern in Switzerland. The data collection period ran from January 1st to December 31st, 2022. Patients attending the hepatology outpatient clinic were excluded. We then calculated the overall and clinic-specific prevalence of patients falling into the high risk category for advanced fibrosis according to FIB-4.

RESULTS

Among the 36,360 patients, 26,245 (72.2%) had a low risk of advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 <1.3), whereas 3913 (10.8%) and 2597 (7.1%) patients were flagged to have a high risk of advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 >2.67 and FIB-4 >3.25 respectively). Geriatrics and Cardiology had the highest proportions of patients at risk for advanced fibrosis over all clinics.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates a high prevalence of high FIB-4 score in a Swiss tertiary care hospital. The implementation of the automatically generated FIB-4 score in daily practice, not only in primary care, but also within tertiary care hospitals, could be crucial for early identification of outpatients at high risk of advanced liver fibrosis requiring further hepatological investigations.

Prognostic performance of the two-step clinical care pathway in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Current guidelines recommend a two-step approach for risk stratification in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) involving Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) or similar second-line tests. This study aimed to examine the prognostic performance of this approach.

METHODS

The VCTE-Prognosis study was a longitudinal study of patients with MASLD who had undergone VCTE examinations at 16 centres from the US, Europe and Asia with subsequent follow-up for clinical events. The primary endpoint was incident liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatic decompensation and/or hepatocellular carcinoma.

RESULTS

Of 12,950 patients (mean age 52 years, 41% female, 12.1% LSM >12 kPa), baseline FIB-4, at cut-offs of 1.3 (or 2.0 for age ≥65) and 2.67, classified 66.3% as low-risk and 9.8% as high-risk, leaving 23.9% in the intermediate-risk zone. After classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients as low-risk if LSM was <8.0 kPa and high-risk if LSM was >12.0 kPa, 81.5%, 4.6%, and 13.9% of the full cohort were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. At a median (IQR) follow-up of 47 (23-72) months, 248 (1.9%) patients developed LREs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of LREs was 0.5%, 1.0% and 10.8% in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively. Replacing LSM with Agile 3+, Agile 4, and FAST did not reduce the intermediate-risk zone or improve event prediction. Classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients by LSM <10 kPa (low-risk) and >15 kPa (high-risk) reduced the intermediate-risk zone while maintaining predictive performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The non-invasive two-step approach of FIB-4 followed by LSM is effective in classifying patients at different risks of LREs.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is emerging as one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide, but only a minority of patients will develop these complications. Therefore, it is necessary to use non-invasive tests instead of liver biopsy for risk stratification. Additionally, as most patients with MASLD are seen in primary care instead of specialist settings, cost and availability of the tests should be taken into consideration. In this multicentre study, the use of the Fibrosis-4 index followed by liver stiffness measurement by vibration-controlled transient elastography effectively identified patients who would later develop liver-related events. The results support current recommendations by various regional guidelines on a clinical care pathway based on non-invasive tests to diagnose advanced liver fibrosis.

BMI trajectories are associated with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis via aging-inflammation mediation

BACKGROUND

As the global epidemic of obesity fuels metabolic conditions, the burden of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) will become enormous. Abundant studies revealed the association between high body mass index (BMI) and NAFLD but overlooked the BMI patterns across life stages. We aimed to explore how BMI trajectories over age relate to NAFLD.

METHODS

Selecting 3212 participants in NHANES 2017-2020, we tracked BMI records at different ages. Using a latent class trajectory model (LCTM), we identified BMI trajectories over age. Multinomial logistic regression assessed their association with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis. Structural equation modeling (SEM) revealed mediation effects.

RESULTS

We identified 3 BMI trajectories: Steady Progression, Increase to Decrease, and Rapid Ascending. There was no significant difference in NAFLD/advanced fibrosis risk between the increase-to-decrease group and the steady progression group. The Rapid Ascending trajectory significantly correlated with NAFLD (OR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.29-3.77) and advanced fibrosis (OR = 3.04, 95% CI 1.13-8.22). This association was influenced by a chain-mediated process of phenotypic age and C-reactive protein (mediated effect to NAFLD = 0.010, p < 0.01; mediated effect to advanced fibrosis = 0.003, p < 0.05). This mediation on NAFLD was independent of insulin resistance (IR). The association between rapid ascending trajectory and advanced fibrosis was more pronounced among the male subgroup (p for interaction = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

The rapid ascending trajectory of BMI correlates with an increased susceptibility to NAFLD and advanced fibrosis independent of BMI, mediated by aging and inflammation. Our results suggest that long-term maintenance of BMI is pivotal in NAFLD prevention. Aging-inflammation may represent a distinct mechanism of sustained obesity to NAFLD, independent of IR.

FibroScan Discordance With Liver Biopsy Significantly Overestimates Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in MASLD Subjects With Class 3 Obesity: Implications for Resmetirom Eligibility

GOALS

To investigate the effect of obesity on the stages of fibrosis discordance between FibroScan and liver biopsy.

BACKGROUND

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide. Accurate fibrosis assessment is essential in MASLD patients for prognosis and treatment. Vibration-controlled transient elastography using FibroScan can overestimate liver fibrosis in obese patients.

STUDY

This retrospective study included 245 MASLD patients who underwent FibroScan and liver biopsy. Participants were included with FibroScan controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) 250+, 10 liver stiffness measurements (LSM) with IQR/med ≤30%, and 10+ portal tracts on biopsy. Discordance was defined as a ≥2 stage difference between FibroScan and liver biopsy. Participants were stratified by BMI and obesity class to assess their association with discordance. We conducted a post hoc analysis to determine the implication of discordance on resmetirom eligibility. Data was entered into SPSS v28.

RESULTS

Among 245 patients, 29.4% exhibited a ≥2 stage discordance between FibroScan and biopsy. Class 3 obesity was significantly associated with discordance (38.6%) compared with class 2 obesity (24.6%) and class 0 to 1 obesity (18.4%). FibroScan suggested cirrhosis in 66 (57.9%) participants with class 3 obesity, however, liver biopsy confirmed cirrhosis in only 16 (24.2%) subjects and identified 28 (42.4%) subjects with stages 2 to 3 fibrosis, making them potentially eligible for resmetirom.

CONCLUSIONS

FibroScan significantly overestimates advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in class 3 obesity. A second noninvasive test is warranted for accurate liver-directed therapeutic allocation and to minimize unnecessary biopsies in MASLD management.

Cardiovascular-Liver-Metabolic Health: Recommendations in Screening, Diagnosis, and Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Cardiovascular Disease via Modified Delphi Approach

There is a new awareness of the widespread nature of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and its connection to cardiovascular disease (CVD). This has catalyzed collaboration between cardiologists, hepatologists, endocrinologists, and the wider multidisciplinary team to address the need for earlier identification of those with MASLD who are at increased risk for CVD. The overlap in the pathophysiologic processes and parallel prevalence of CVD, metabolic syndrome, and MASLD highlight the multisystem consequences of poor cardiovascular-liver-metabolic health. Metabolic dysfunction and associated insulin resistance, together with the predilection for ectopic fat deposition in the liver and surrounding tissues, are associated with elevated risk of endothelial dysfunction, systemic inflammatory response, and ectopic fat deposition in the epicardium. This complex pathophysiology can accelerate atherogenic dyslipidemia, atherogenesis, diastolic dysfunction, valvular calcification, and cardiac arrhythmias. Despite the mounting evidence of mechanistic pathways underpinning MASLD and CVD, current recommendations have not clearly focused upon MASLD as a risk factor or target for intervention in CVD. We have brought together a diverse range of international experts committed to promoting cardiovascular-liver-metabolic health and related outcomes across the globe. The overarching goal of this document is to offer a construct for clinicians in the cardiovascular field with regards to (1) diagnosis and screening of MASLD through the use of noninvasive serum and imaging tests; (2) screening for CVD in all individuals with MASLD regardless of established atherosclerotic risk factors; and (3) the approach to management of MASLD with respect to prevention of CVD through lifestyle, as well as pharmacologic and surgical strategies. To achieve this, the modified Delphi method was applied and a series of evidence-based quality standard recommendations have been identified.

Estimated Burden of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in US Adults, 2020 to 2050

Importance

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease and is projected to become the leading indication for liver transplant (LT) in the US. Understanding its clinical burden can help to identify opportunities for prevention and treatment.

Objective

To project the burden of MASLD in US adults from 2020 to 2050.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This decision analytical modeling study used an agent-based state transition model that simulates the natural history of MASLD progression among adults 18 years of age or older. Primary data sources for model inputs were the published literature.

Exposure

Natural history of MASLD.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cases of MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), fibrosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), LT, and liver-related death.

Results

The model simulated 2 821 624 individuals (mean age. 35.8 years; 50.9% female). The model predicted a steady increase in the prevalence of MASLD from 33.7% (86.3 million people) in 2020 to 41.4% (121.9 million people) by 2050. Cases of MASH would increase from 14.9 million (5.8% of US adults) in 2020 to 23.2 million (7.9% of US adults) by 2050. The number of cases of MASH and clinically significant fibrosis (ie, F≥F2, centrilobular and periportal fibrosis or more severe disease) were estimated to increase from 6.7 million to 11.7 million. By 2046 to 2050, MASLD would cause 22 440 new cases of HCC and 6720 new cases of LT per year compared with 11 483 new cases of HCC and 1717 new cases of LT in 2020 to 2025. Liver-related mortality was estimated to increase from 30 500 deaths (1.0% of all-cause deaths in adults) in 2020 to 95 300 deaths (2.4%) in 2050.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this decision analytical modeling study, the model forecast a substantial increase in clinical burden of MASLD over the next 3 decades in the absence of effective treatments. These results suggest that health systems should plan for large increases in the number of HCC cases and in the need for LT.

Accuracy of blood-based biomarkers for staging liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease: A systematic review supporting the AASLD Practice Guideline

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Blood-based biomarkers have been proposed as an alternative to liver biopsy for noninvasive liver disease assessment in chronic liver disease. Our aims for this systematic review were to evaluate the diagnostic utility of selected blood-based tests either alone, or in combination, for identifying significant fibrosis (F2-4), advanced fibrosis (F3-4), and cirrhosis (F4), as compared to biopsy in chronic liver disease.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We included a comprehensive search of databases including Ovid MEDLINE(R), EMBASE, Cochrane Database, and Scopus through to April 2022. Two independent reviewers selected 286 studies with 103,162 patients. The most frequently identified studies included the simple aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis (FIB)-4 markers (with low-to-moderate risk of bias) in HBV and HCV, HIV-HCV/HBV coinfection, and NAFLD. Positive (LR+) and negative (LR-) likelihood ratios across direct and indirect biomarker tests for HCV and HBV for F2-4, F3-4, or F4 were 1.66-6.25 and 0.23-0.80, 1.89-5.24 and 0.12-0.64, and 1.32-7.15 and 0.15-0.86, respectively; LR+ and LR- for NAFLD F2-4, F3-4, and F4 were 2.65-3.37 and 0.37-0.39, 2.25-6.76 and 0.07-0.87, and 3.90 and 0.15, respectively. Overall, the proportional odds ratio indicated FIB-4 <1.45 was better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index <0.5 for F2-4. FIB-4 >3.25 was also better than aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index >1.5 for F3-4 and F4. There was limited data for combined tests.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood-based biomarkers are associated with small-to-moderate change in pretest probability for diagnosing F2-4, F3-4, and F4 in viral hepatitis, HIV-HCV coinfection, and NAFLD, with limited comparative or combination studies for other chronic liver diseases.

Prevalence of Low FIB-4 in MASLD-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicentre Study

BACKGROUND

Major society guidelines recommend the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) as the initial step to risk stratifying people with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We aimed to evaluate the proportion of people with MASLD-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and a low FIB-4.

METHODS

This cohort study included 613 consecutive adults (33% female) diagnosed with MASLD-related HCC from January 2008 to August 2023 at seven international centres in Australia, India, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and the United States. The primary objective was to determine the proportion of participants with a low FIB-4, defined as FIB-4 < 1.3, or < 2 if age > 65 years, in people without cirrhosis.

RESULTS

The mean (±SD) age and body mass index were 71 (±11) years and 27 (±7) kg/m2, respectively. Overall, 235 participants (38%) did not have known cirrhosis. The median FIB-4 was 3.90 (IQR 2.42-6.42). A total of 78 participants (13%) had a low FIB-4. Among participants without known cirrhosis (n = 235), 62 participants (26%) had a low FIB-4. Participants with a low FIB-4 had larger median total tumour diameter (p < 0.001) and lower median serum alpha-fetoprotein (p = 0.005), compared to participants without a low FIB-4. Cirrhosis was associated with lower odds of low FIB-4, but not other factors such as male sex, type 2 diabetes, or obesity.

CONCLUSION

More than a quarter of those with MASLD-related HCC without cirrhosis have a low FIB-4. The proposed clinical care pathways may not identify these people for further evaluation.

Cardiometabolic risk factors and coronary atherosclerosis progression in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: the influential role of quantity over type

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) who are at an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) are critical to identify and manage. We aimed to assess whether the risk of CVD in patients with MASLD differed according to the type or number of cardiometabolic risk factors.

METHODS

This longitudinal cohort study involved 5674 adults who underwent at least two health checkups between 2004 and 2021. Steatotic liver disease (SLD) was assessed using ultrasonography and participants with SLD were classified as having either non-MASLD or MASLD. CVD risk was evaluated using coronary artery calcium (CAC) progression as measured using multidetector computed tomography scans.

RESULTS

Over an average 5.8-year follow-up period, patients with MASLD exhibited faster CAC progression than those with non-MASLD (18% vs 11%, P < 0.01). MASLD with any cardiometabolic risk factor exacerbated CAC progression; however, the degree of CAC progression was similar among the different risk components. The adjusted ratios (95% CI) of CAC progression rates comparing non-MASLD with MASLD with one, two, three, four, and five cardiometabolic risk factors were 1.02 (0.99, 1.06), 1.04 (1.01, 1.08), 1.07 (1.03, 1.10), 1.08 (1.05, 1.11), and 1.11 (1.07, 1.15), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In individuals with MASLD, all cardiometabolic risk factors contributed to the deterioration of coronary atherosclerosis, with no specific factor exerting a dominant influence. Coronary atherosclerosis progression is directly associated with the cumulative number of cardiometabolic risk factors. Therefore, identifying and managing an increasing number of these factors is imperative in clinical practice, even when MASLD is diagnosed based on only one risk factor.

The role of noninvasive biomarkers for monitoring cell injury in advanced liver fibrosis

INTRODUCTION

Accurate and reliable diagnosis and monitoring of hepatic fibrosis is increasingly important given the variable natural history in chronic liver disease (CLD) and expanding antifibrotic therapeutic options targeting reversibility of early-stage cirrhosis. This highlights the need to develop more refined and effective noninvasive techniques for the dynamic assessment of fibrogenesis and fibrolysis.

AREAS COVERED

We conducted a literature review on PubMed, from 1 December 1970, to 1 November 2024, to evaluate and compare available blood-based and imaging-based noninvasive tools for hepatic fibrosis diagnosis and monitoring. Simple scores such as FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score are suitable for excluding significant or advanced fibrosis, while tertiary centers should adopt complex scores and liver stiffness measurement as part of a secondary diagnostic and more comprehensive evaluation. Moreover, the advent of multiomics for high-resolution molecular profiling, and integration of artificial intelligence for noninvasive diagnostics holds promise for revolutionizing fibrosis monitoring and treatment through novel biomarker discovery and predictive omics-based algorithms.

EXPERT OPINION

The increased shift toward noninvasive diagnostics for liver fibrosis needs to align with personalized medicine, enabling more effective, tailored management strategies for patients with liver disease in the future.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common chronic liver disease in the United States. It is characterized by steatosis in the liver and is potentially reversible. Risk factors include obesity, type 2 mellitus, and other metabolic disorders. Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), a more severe form of MASLD, puts patients at risk for cirrhosis, liver decompensation, and liver cancer. Diet, exercise, and weight loss are the cornerstones of management. Although only 1 medication has been approved for treatment of MASH, other pharmacotherapies and surgeries that aid weight loss and optimize metabolic risk factors can be used. Early diagnosis and intervention are important to prevent progression to cirrhosis and its complications, including cancer.

Associations of C-reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio and metabolic-dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: evidence from NHANES 2017-2018

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between Metabolic-dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease(MASLD)and C-reactive protein/lymphocyte ratio (CLR).

METHODS

MASLD was defined as a Controlled Attenuation Parameter (CAP ≥ 274dB/m) and CLR = C-reactive protein/lymphocyte. A multifactor linear regression model was used to test the relationship between MASLD and CLR. Smoothed curves and threshold effects analyses were fitted to describe nonlinear relationships. Subgroup analyses and interaction tests were then performed according to gender, prevalence of diabetes, ethnicity, and smoking status.

RESULTS

A total of 1846 participants from the NHANES database were included in this study. In the unadjusted model and model 1 (adjusted for age, sex, and race), CLR was positively associated with MASLD pathogenicity. Unadjusted model (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07, P = 0.0017), model 1 (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01-1.07, P = 0.0056). The results of the fitted smoothed curves showed that CLR and the risk of developing MASLD were nonlinear. Interaction tests and subgroup analyses confirmed that there were no significant interactions between CLR and MASLD causation with gender, race, prevalence of diabetes mellitus, and smoking status(P interaction>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that CLR is positively associated with the risk of developing MASLD Targeting CLR levels may be a new approach to treating MASLD.

Parallel randomised trial testing community fibrosis assessment for suspected non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: outcomes from LOCATE-NAFLD

OBJECTIVE

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is estimated to affect a third of Australian adults, and its prevalence is predicted to rise, increasing the burden on the healthcare system. The LOCal Assessment and Triage Evaluation of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (LOCATE-NAFLD) trialled a community-based fibrosis assessment service using FibroScan to reduce the time to diagnosis of high-risk NAFLD and improve patient outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a 1:1 parallel randomised trial to compare two alternative models of care for NAFLD diagnosis and assessment. Participants had suspected NAFLD and were referred to a hepatology clinic in one of three major hospitals in South-East Queensland. Eligible consenting participants were randomised to receive usual care or the intervention (LOCATE). Participants in the intervention arm received a FibroScan outside of the hospital setting, with results provided to their primary care provider and the referring hepatologist. All participants were followed up 12 months after randomisation to measure their clinical and patient-reported outcomes.

RESULTS

97 participants were recruited from October 2020 to December 2022. Of the 50 participants randomised to the intervention arm, one failed to attend their appointment, and of the 48 (98%) who had a FibroScan 13 (27%) had a liver stiffness measurement of 8.0 kPa or greater. The HR for the time to diagnosis of high risk was 1.28 (95% CI 0.59 to 2.79), indicating a faster average time to diagnosis with the intervention, but failing to conclusively demonstrate a faster time. The intervention did greatly reduce the time to FibroScan by almost 1 year (median difference 0.92 years, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.45). Other clinical outcomes showed minimal changes.

CONCLUSION

The LOCATE model shows potential for impact, particularly in reducing waiting times for patients at high risk of developing severe liver disease due to NAFLD. A larger sample and longer follow-ups are needed to measure additional clinical outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ACTRN12620000158965.

Diagnostics and omics technologies for the detection and prediction of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related malignancies

The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) continues to rise, making it the leading etiology of chronic liver diseases and a prime cause of liver-related mortality. MASLD can progress into steatohepatitis (termed MASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis, and ultimately cancer. MASLD is associated with increased risks of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and also extrahepatic malignancies, which can develop in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients, emphasizing the importance of identifying patients with MASLD at risk of developing MASLD-associated malignancies. However, the optimal screening, diagnostic, and risk stratification strategies for patients with MASLD at risk of cancer are still under debate. Individuals with MASH-associated cirrhosis are recommended to undergo surveillance for HCC (e.g. by ultrasound and biomarkers) every six months. No specific screening approaches for MASLD-related malignancies in non-cirrhotic cases are established to date. The rapidly developing omics technologies, including genetics, metabolomics, and proteomics, show great potential for discovering non-invasive markers to fulfill this unmet need. This review provides an overview on the incidence and mortality of MASLD-associated malignancies, current strategies for HCC screening, surveillance and diagnosis in patients with MASLD, and the evolving role of omics technologies in the discovery of non-invasive markers for the prediction and risk stratification of MASLD-associated HCC.

Non-invasive prediction nomogram for predicting significant fibrosis in patients with metabolic-associated fatty liver disease: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

This study aims to validate the efficacy of the conventional non-invasive score in predicting significant fibrosis in metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and to develop a non-invasive prediction model for MAFLD.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted among 7701 participants with MAFLD from August 2018 to December 2023. All participants were divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The study compared different subgroups' demographic, anthropometric, and laboratory examination indicators and conducted logistic regression analysis to assess the correlation between independent variables and liver fibrosis. Nomograms were created using the logistic regression model. The predictive values of noninvasive models and nomograms were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Four nomograms were developed for the quantitative analysis of significant liver fibrosis risk based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis results. The nomogram's area under ROC curves (AUC) was 0.710, 0.714, 0.748, and 0.715 in overall MAFLD, OW-MAFLD, Lean-MAFLD, and T2DM-MAFLD, respectively. The nomogram had a higher AUC in all MAFLD participants and OW-MAFLD than the other non-invasive scores. The DCA curve showed that the net benefit of each nomogram was higher than that of APRI and FIB-4. In the validation cohort, the AUCs of the nomograms were 0.722, 0.750, 0.719, and 0.705, respectively.

CONCLUSION

APRI, FIB-4, and NFS performed poorly predicting significant fibrosis in patients with MAFLD. The new model demonstrated improved diagnostic accuracy and clinical applicability in identifying significant fibrosis in MAFLD.