Enhancing the Infrastructure of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study for Cancer Epidemiology Research: ARIC Cancer

Waist circumference-years and cancer risk: a prospective study of the association and comparison of predictive performance with waist circumference and body mass index

BACKGROUND

Associations of waist circumferences (WC) and body mass index (BMI) measured once or over time, with cancer incidence were studied. WC is associated with some cancers independent of BMI. Analyses of cumulative central adiposity and cancer are lacking. We investigated associations between waist circumference-years, incorporating exposure time to WC ≥ 102 cm in men or ≥88 cm in women, and cancer, and compared this with single WC or BMI.

METHODS

Serial WC measurements taken over 9 years in the prospective Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC) predicted yearly WC. Cox proportional hazards regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of cancer incidence for waist circumference-years, WC or BMI, measured in Visit 4. Harrell's C-statistic quantified metric predictive performances.

RESULTS

10,172 participants were followed up from Visit 4 for cancer over a median 13.7 for men and 15.8 years for women. For obesity-related cancers, HRs per standard deviation waist circumference-years were 1.14 (95%CI:1.04,1.25) and 1.19 (95%CI:1.12,1.27), respectively. Differences in metric predictive performances were marginal.

DISCUSSION

This is the first study to identify positive associations between waist circumference-years and cancer. Waist circumference-years did not provide additional information on cancer risk beyond that of WC and BMI. BMI is routinely measured in clinic so it may be preferred over WC.

Subsequent risk of cancer among adults with peripheral artery disease in the community: The atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Several studies reported an increased cancer risk related to lower-extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD) but had important caveats: not accounting for key confounders like smoking, follow-up <10 years, or no race-specific results. To assess the long-term independent association of PAD with cancer incidence in a bi-racial community-based cohort.

METHODS

We categorized 13,106 ARIC participants without cancer at baseline (mean age 54.0 [SD 5.7] years, 45.7 % male, and 26.1 % Black) into symptomatic PAD (clinical history or intermittent claudication), asymptomatic PAD (ankle-brachial index [ABI] ≤0.9), and five ABI categories (0.1-interval between 0.9 and 1.3 and > 1.3). We used cancer registries and medical records to ascertain cancer cases and ran multivariable Cox models.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 25.3 years, there were 4143 incident cancer cases. 25-year cumulative incidence was 37.2 % in symptomatic PAD, 32.3 % in asymptomatic PAD, and 28.0-31.0 % in the other categories. Symptomatic and asymptomatic PAD remained significantly associated with cancer incidence after adjusting for potential confounders, including smoking and diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 1.42 [1.05-1.92] and 1.24 [1.05-1.46], respectively). When stratified by smoking status, we observed a robust association of PAD (symptomatic and asymptomatic combined) vs. no PAD with cancer risk in ever smokers (HR 1.42 [1.21-1.67]) but not in never smokers. The results were most evident for lung cancer (HR 2.16 (95 %CI 1.65-2.83) for PAD vs. no PAD within ever smokers).

CONCLUSIONS

Symptomatic and asymptomatic PAD conferred cancer risk, particularly among ever smokers and for lung cancer. Patients with PAD should receive evidence-based cancer prevention and screening.

Association Between Obesity and Risk of Total and Obesity-Related Cancer in People With Incident Cardiovascular Disease

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer frequently co-occur due to shared risk factors such as obesity, which is linked to CVD and 14 cancer types. This study explores whether CVD pathophysiologies, combined with obesity, increase cancer risk, impacting clinical management.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, spanning 28 years, were analyzed. The cohort included 5127 participants with incident CVD (myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, coronary heart disease), of whom 1511 developed a first primary cancer. Follow-up began at CVD diagnosis after Visit 1. Obesity was assessed using body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip ratio. Incidence rate differences between obesity groups were adjusted for age, sex, and center, whereas the obesity-cancer association was estimated using Fine-Gray regression adjusted for shared risk factors including smoking. Cancer incidence in obese individuals with CVD (body mass index: rate differences=226.6/100 000 person-years) was higher than in those with normal weight. Although obesity was not linked to overall cancer after adjusting for shared risk factors, it was nominally associated with obesity-related cancers. Specifically, women with CVD and obesity had increased obesity-related cancer risk (body mass index: hazard ratio, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.17-2.31]). No significant associations were found in men, even after excluding prostate cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that obesity is linked to higher obesity-related cancer risk in women with incident CVD, independent of shared risk factors. Further research is needed to eliminate residual confounding, understand sex differences, and explore how CVD pathophysiologies and obesity together influence cancer risk.

Development, characterization, and replication of proteomic aging clocks: Analysis of 2 population-based cohorts

BACKGROUND

Biological age may be estimated by proteomic aging clocks (PACs). Previous published PACs were constructed either in smaller studies or mainly in white individuals, and they used proteomic measures from only one-time point. In this study, we created de novo PACs and compared their performance to published PACs at 2 different time points in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study of white and black participants (around 75% white and 25% black).

MEDTHODS AND FINDINGS

A total of 4,712 plasma proteins were measured using SomaScan in blood samples collected in 1990 to 1992 from 11,761 midlife participants (aged 46 to 70 years) and in 2011 to 2013 from 5,183 late-life participants (aged 66 to 90 years). The de novo ARIC PACs were constructed by training them against chronological age using elastic net regression in two-thirds of healthy participants in midlife and late life and validated in the remaining one-third of healthy participants at the corresponding time point. We also computed 3 published PACs. We estimated age acceleration for each PAC as residuals after regressing each PAC on chronological age. We also calculated the change in age acceleration from midlife to late life. We examined the associations of age acceleration and change in age acceleration with mortality through 2019 from all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and lower respiratory disease (LRD) using Cox proportional hazards regression in participants (irrespective of health) after excluding the training set. The model was adjusted for chronological age, smoking, body mass index (BMI), and other confounders. We externally validated the midlife PAC using the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Exam 1 data. The ARIC PACs had a slightly stronger correlation with chronological age than published PACs in healthy participants at each time point. Associations with mortality were similar for the ARIC PACs and published PACs. For late-life and midlife age acceleration for the ARIC PACs, respectively, hazard ratios (HRs) per 1 standard deviation were 1.65 and 1.38 (both p < 0.001) for all-cause mortality, 1.37 and 1.20 (both p < 0.001) for CVD mortality, 1.21 (p = 0.028) and 1.04 (p = 0.280) for cancer mortality, and 1.68 and 1.36 (both p < 0.001) for LRD mortality. For the change in age acceleration, HRs for all-cause, CVD, and LRD mortality were comparable to the HRs for late-life age acceleration. The association between the change in age acceleration and cancer mortality was not significant. The external validation of the midlife PAC in MESA showed significant associations with mortality, as observed for midlife participants in ARIC. The main limitation is that our PACs were constructed in midlife and late-life participants. It is unknown whether these PACs could be applied to young individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

In this longitudinal study, we found that the ARIC PACs and published PACs were similarly associated with an increased risk of mortality. These findings suggested that PACs show promise as biomarkers of biological age. PACs may be serve as tools to predict mortality and evaluate the effect of anti-aging lifestyle and therapeutic interventions.

Validation of candidate protein biomarkers previously identified by genetic instruments for prostate cancer risk: A prospective cohort analysis of directly measured protein levels in the ARIC study

BACKGROUND

Multiple novel protein biomarkers have been shown to be associated with prostate cancer risk using genetic instruments. This study aimed to externally validate the associations of 30 genetically predicted candidate proteins with prostate cancer risk using aptamer-based levels in US Black and White men in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Plasma protein levels were previously measured by SomaScan® using the blood collected in 1990-1992.

METHODS

Among 4864 eligible participants, we ascertained 667 first primary prostate cancer cases through 2015. Hazard ratios (HRs) of prostate cancer and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression for tertiles of each protein. We adjusted for age, race, and other risk factors.

RESULTS

Of the 30 proteins and considering a nominal p trend < 0.05, two were positively associated with prostate cancer risk-RF1ML (tertile 3 vs. 1: HR = 1.23; 95% CI 1.02-1.48; p trend = 0.037) and TPST1 (1.28, 95% CI 1.06-1.55; p trend = 0.0087); two were inversely associated-ATF6A (HR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.65-0.98; p trend = 0.028) and SPINT2 (HR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.61-0.90; p trend = 0.0025). One protein, KDEL2, which was nonlinearly associated (test-for-linearity: p < 0.01) showed a statistically significant lower risk in the second tertile (HR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.95). Of these five, four proteins-ATF6A, KDEL2, RF1ML, and TPST1-were consistent in the direction of association with the discovery studies.

CONCLUSION

This study validated some pre-diagnostic protein biomarkers of the risk of prostate cancer.

Proteomic Aging Clocks and the Risk of Mortality among Longer-Term Cancer Survivors in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

Background

We constructed a new proteomic aging clock (PAC) and computed the published Lehallier's PAC to estimate biological age. We tested PACs' associations with mortality in longer-term cancer survivors and cancer-free participants.

Methods

ARIC measured 4,712 proteins using SomaScan in plasma samples collected at multiple visits, including Visit 5 (2011-13), from 806 cancer survivors and 3,699 cancer-free participants (aged 66-90). In the training set (N=2,466 randomly selected cancer-free participants), we developed the new PAC using elastic net regression and computed Lehallier's PAC. Age acceleration was calculated as residuals after regressing each PAC on chronological age after excluding the training set. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression to examine the associations of age acceleration with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality.

Results

Both PACs were correlated with chronological age [r=0.70-0.75]. Age acceleration for these two PACs was similarly associated with all-cause mortality in cancer survivors [hazard ratios (HRs) per 1 SD=1.40-1.42, p<0.01]. The associations with all-cause mortality were similar in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants for both PACs [p-interactions=0.20-0.62]. There were also associations with all-cause mortality in breast cancer survivors for both PACs [HRs=1.54-1.72, p<0.01] and colorectal cancer survivors for the new PAC [HR=1.96, p=0.03]. Additionally, the new PAC was associated with cancer mortality in all cancer survivors. Finally, HRs=1.42-1.61 [p<0.01] for CVD mortality in cancer-free participants for two PACs but the association was insignificant in cancer survivors perhaps due to a limited number of outcomes.

Conclusion

PACs hold promise as potential biomarkers for premature mortality in cancer survivors.

DNA Methylation-Derived Immune Cell Proportions and Cancer Risk, Including Lung Cancer, in Black Participants

Prior cohort studies assessing cancer risk based on immune cell subtype profiles have predominantly focused on White populations. This limitation obscures vital insights into how cancer risk varies across race. Immune cell subtype proportions were estimated using deconvolution based on leukocyte DNA methylation markers from blood samples collected at baseline on participants without cancer in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Over a mean of 17.5 years of follow-up, 668 incident cancers were diagnosed in 2,467 Black participants. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine immune cell subtype proportions and overall cancer incidence and site-specific incidence (lung, breast, and prostate cancers). Higher T regulatory cell proportions were associated with statistically significantly higher lung cancer risk (hazard ratio = 1.22, 95% confidence interval = 1.06-1.41 per percent increase). Increased memory B cell proportions were associated with significantly higher risk of prostate cancer (1.17, 1.04-1.33) and all cancers (1.13, 1.05-1.22). Increased CD8+ naïve cell proportions were associated with significantly lower risk of all cancers in participants ≥55 years (0.91, 0.83-0.98). Other immune cell subtypes did not display statistically significant associations with cancer risk. These results in Black participants align closely with prior findings in largely White populations. Findings from this study could help identify those at high cancer risk and outline risk stratifying to target patients for cancer screening, prevention, and other interventions. Further studies should assess these relationships in other cancer types, better elucidate the interplay of B cells in cancer risk, and identify biomarkers for personalized risk stratification.

Overweight-years and cancer risk: A prospective study of the association and comparison of predictive performance with body mass index (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study)

Excess body mass index (BMI) is associated with a higher risk of at least 13 cancers, but it is usually measured at a single time point. We tested whether the overweight-years metric, which incorporates exposure time to BMI ≥25 kg/m2 , is associated with cancer risk and compared this with a single BMI measure. We used adulthood BMI readings in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study to derive the overweight-years metric. We calculated associations between the metric and BMI and the risk of cancers using Cox proportional hazards models. Models that either included the metric or BMI were compared using Harrell's C-statistic. We included 13,463 participants, with 3,876 first primary cancers over a mean of 19 years (SD 7) of cancer follow-up. Hazard ratios for obesity-related cancers per standard deviation overweight-years were 1.15 (95% CI: 1.05-1.25) in men and 1.14 (95% CI: 1.08-1.20) in women. The difference in the C-statistic between models that incorporated BMI, or the overweight-years metric was non-significant in men and women. Overweight-years was associated with the risk of obesity-related cancers but did not outperform a single BMI measure in association performance characteristics.

Performance of the pooled cohort equations in cancer survivors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

BACKGROUND

Cancer survivors may have elevated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. Therefore, we tested how accurately the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association 2013 pooled cohort equations (PCEs) predict 10-year ASCVD risk in cancer survivors.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the calibration and discrimination of the PCEs in cancer survivors compared to non-cancer participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

We evaluated the PCEs' performance among 1244 cancer survivors and 3849 cancer-free participants who were free of ASCVD at the start of follow-up. Each cancer survivor was incidence-density matched with up to five controls by age, race, sex, and study center. Follow-up began at the first study visit at least 1 year after the diagnosis date of the cancer survivor and finished at the ASCVD event, death, or end of follow-up. Calibration and discrimination were assessed and compared between cancer survivors and cancer-free participants.

RESULTS

Cancer survivors had higher PCE-predicted risk, at 26.1%, compared with 23.1% for cancer-free participants. There were 110 ASCVD events in cancer survivors and 332 ASCVD events in cancer-free participants. The PCEs overestimated ASCVD risk in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants by 45.6% and 47.4%, respectively, with poor discrimination in both groups (C-statistic for cancer survivors = 0.623; for cancer-free participants, C = 0.671).

CONCLUSIONS

The PCEs overestimated ASCVD risk in all participants. The performance of the PCEs was similar in cancer survivors and cancer-free participants.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

Our findings suggest that ASCVD risk prediction tools tailored to survivors of adult cancers may not be needed.

Big Data for Geriatric Oncology Research

Cancer is the second leading cause of death in North Carolina and approximately half of cancers are diagnosed in older adults (≥65 years). Cancer clinical trials in older adults are limited and there is a lack of evidence on optimal care strategies in this population. We highlight how big data can fill in gaps in geriatric oncology research.

Clonal Hematopoiesis Risk Score and All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Older Adults

Importance

Clonal hematopoiesis (CH) with acquired pathogenic variants in myeloid leukemia driver genes is common in older adults but of unknown prognostic value.

Objective

To investigate the prevalence of CH and the utility of the CH risk score (CHRS) in estimating all-cause and disease-specific mortality in older adults with CH.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based prospective cohort study involved community-dwelling older adults (aged 67-90 years) without hematologic malignant neoplasms (HMs) who were participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Visit 5 at 4 US centers: Forsyth County, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi; Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Washington County, Maryland. Samples were collected from 2011 to 2013, sequencing was performed in 2022, and data analysis was completed in 2023.

Exposure

The exposure was a diagnosis of CH. CHRS scores (calculated using 8 demographic, complete blood cell count, and molecular factors) were used to categorize individuals with CH into low-risk (CHRS ≤9.5), intermediate-risk (CHRS >9.5 to <12.5), and high-risk (CHRS ≥12.5) groups.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes were HM mortality, cardiovascular disease mortality, and death from other causes.

Results

Among 3871 participants without a history of HM (mean [SD] age, 75.7 [5.2] years; 2264 [58.5%] female individuals; 895 [23.1%] Black individuals; 2976 White individuals [76.9%]), 938 (24.2%) had CH. According to the CHRS, 562 (59.9%) were low risk, 318 (33.9%) were intermediate risk, and 58 (6.2%) were high risk. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 7.13 (5.63-7.78) years, 570 participants without CH (19.4%) and 254 participants with CH (27.1%) died. Mortality by CHRS risk group was 128 deaths (22.8%) for low risk, 93 (29.2%) for intermediate risk, and 33 (56.9%) for high risk. By use of multivariable competing risk regression, subdistribution hazard ratios (sHRs) for all-cause mortality were 1.08 (95% CI, 0.89-1.31; P = .42) for low-risk CH, 1.12 (95% CI, 0.89-1.41; P = .31) for intermediate-risk CH, and 2.52 (95% CI, 1.72-3.70; P < .001) for high-risk CH compared with no CH. Among individuals in the high-risk CH group, the sHR of death from HM (6 deaths [10.3%]) was 25.58 (95% CI, 7.55-86.71; P < .001) and that of cardiovascular death (12 deaths [20.7%]) was 2.91 (95% CI, 1.55-5.47; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, the CHRS was associated with all-cause, HM-related, and cardiovascular disease mortality in older adults with CH and may be useful in shared decision-making to guide clinical management and identify appropriate candidates for clinical trials.

External validation of genetically predicted protein biomarkers for pancreatic cancer risk using aptamer-based plasma levels: A prospective analysis in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Genetically predicted proteins have been associated with pancreatic cancer risk previously. We aimed to externally validate the associations of 53 candidate proteins with pancreatic cancer risk using directly measured, prediagnostic levels. We conducted a prospective cohort study of 10 355 US Black and White men and women in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Aptamer-based plasma proteomic profiling was previously performed using blood collected in 1993 to 1995, from which the proteins were selected. By 2015 (median: 20 years), 93 incident pancreatic cancer cases were ascertained. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for protein tertiles, and adjust for age, race, and known risk factors. Of the 53 proteins, three were statistically significantly, positively associated with risk-GLCE (tertile 3 vs 1: HR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.12-3.13; P-trend = 0.01), GOLM1 (aptamer 1: HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.16-3.37; P-trend = 0.01; aptamer 2: HR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.07-3.24; P-trend = 0.05), and QSOX2 (HR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.09-3.58; P-trend = 0.05); two were inversely associated-F177A (HR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.35-1.00; P-trend = 0.05) and LIFsR (HR = 0.55, 95% CI: 0.32-0.93; P-trend = 0.03); and one showed a statistically significant lower risk in the middle tertile-endoglin (HR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29-0.86); by chance, we expected significant associations for 2.65 proteins. FAM3D, IP10, sTie-1 (positive); SEM6A and JAG1 (inverse) were suggestively associated with risk. Of these 11, 10 proteins-endoglin, FAM3D, F177A, GLCE, GOLM1, JAG1, LIFsR, QSOX2, SEM6A and sTie-1-were consistent in direction of association with the discovery studies. This prospective study validated or supports 10 proteins as associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

Development and Characterization of Proteomic Aging Clocks in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

Biological age may be estimated by proteomic aging clocks (PACs). Previous published PACs were constructed either in smaller studies or mainly in White individuals, and they used proteomic measures from only one-time point. In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study of about 12,000 persons followed for 30 years (around 75% White, 25% Black), we created de novo PACs and compared their performance to published PACs at two different time points. We measured 4,712 plasma proteins by SomaScan in 11,761 midlife participants, aged 46-70 years (1990-92), and 5,183 late-life pariticpants, aged 66-90 years (2011-13). All proteins were log2-transformed to correct for skewness. We created de novo PACs by training them against chronological age using elastic net regression in two-thirds of healthy participants in midlife and late life and compared their performance to three published PACs. We estimated age acceleration (by regressing each PAC on chronological age) and its change from midlife to late life. We examined their associations with mortality from all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and lower respiratory disease (LRD) using Cox proportional hazards regression in all remaining participants irrespective of health. The model was adjusted for chronological age, smoking, body mass index (BMI), and other confounders. The ARIC PACs had a slightly stronger correlation with chronological age than published PACs in healthy participants at each time point. Associations with mortality were similar for the ARIC and published PACs. For late-life and midlife age acceleration for the ARIC PACs, respectively, hazard ratios (HRs) per one standard deviation were 1.65 and 1.38 (both p<0.001) for all-cause mortality, 1.37 and 1.20 (both p<0.001) for CVD mortality, 1.21 (p=0.03) and 1.04 (p=0.19) for cancer mortality, and 1.46 and 1.68 (both p<0.001) for LRD mortality. For the change in age acceleration, HRs for all-cause, CVD, and LRD mortality were comparable to those observed for late-life age acceleration. The association between the change in age acceleration and cancer mortality was insignificant. In this prospective study, the ARIC and published PACs were similarly associated with an increased risk of mortality and advanced testing in relation to various age-related conditions in future studies is suggested.

Liver Fibrosis Scores and Prostate Cancer Risk and Mortality in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Subclinical liver impairment due to fibrosis could influence the development and detectability of prostate cancer. To investigate the association between liver fibrosis and prostate cancer incidence and mortality, we included 5,284 men (mean age: 57.6 years, 20.1% Black) without cancer or liver disease at Visit 2 in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Liver fibrosis was assessed using the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS). Over 25 years, 215 Black and 511 White men were diagnosed with prostate cancer, and 26 Black and 51 White men died from the disease. We estimated HRs for total and fatal prostate cancer using Cox regression. FIB-4 [quintile 5 vs. 1: HR = 0.47, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.29-0.77, Ptrend = 0.004] and NFS (HR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.33-0.97, Ptrend = 0.03) were inversely associated with prostate cancer risk in Black men. Compared with no abnormal score, men with ≥1 abnormal score had a lower prostate cancer risk if they were Black (HR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.24-0.89), but not White (HR = 1.04, 95% CI: 0.69-1.58). Liver fibrosis scores did not appear to be associated with fatal prostate cancer in Black or White men. Among men without a clinical diagnosis of liver disease, higher liver fibrosis scores were associated with lower incidence of prostate cancer in Black men, but not in White men, and not with fatal prostate cancer in either race. Further research is needed to understand the influence of subclinical liver disease on prostate cancer development versus detectability and the racial differences observed.

PREVENTION RELEVANCE

Investigating the link between liver fibrosis and prostate cancer risk and mortality, our study reveals the potential influence of liver health on prostate cancer development and on detection using PSA test, urging further research to understand the differential findings by race and to optimize prevention and intervention strategies.

Epigenome-wide association study of incident type 2 diabetes in Black and White participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

DNA methylation studies of incident type 2 diabetes in US populations are limited, and to our knowledge none included individuals of African descent living in the US. We performed an epigenome-wide association analysis of blood-based methylation levels at CpG sites with incident type 2 diabetes using Cox regression in 2,091 Black and 1,029 White individuals from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. At an epigenome-wide significance threshold of 10-7, we detected 7 novel diabetes-associated CpG sites in C1orf151 (cg05380846: HR= 0.89, p = 8.4 × 10-12), ZNF2 (cg01585592: HR= 0.88, p = 1.6 × 10-9), JPH3 (cg16696007: HR= 0.87, p = 7.8 × 10-9), GPX6 (cg02793507: HR= 0.85, p = 2.7 × 10-8 and cg00647063: HR= 1.20, p = 2.5 × 10-8), chr17q25 (cg16865890: HR= 0.8, p = 6.9 × 10-8), and chr11p15 (cg13738793: HR= 1.11, p = 7.7 × 10-8). The CpG sites at C1orf151, ZNF2, JPH3 and GPX6, were identified in Black adults, chr17q25 was identified in White adults, and chr11p15 was identified upon meta-analyzing the two groups. The CpG sites at JPH3 and GPX6 were likely associated with incident type 2 diabetes independent of BMI. All the CpG sites, except at JPH3, were likely consequences of elevated glucose at baseline. We additionally replicated known type 2 diabetes-associated CpG sites including cg19693031 at TXNIP, cg00574958 at CPT1A, cg16567056 at PLBC2, cg11024682 at SREBF1, cg08857797 at VPS25, and cg06500161 at ABCG1, 3 of which were replicated in Black adults at the epigenome-wide threshold. We observed modest increase in type 2 diabetes variance explained upon addition of the significantly associated CpG sites to a Cox model that included traditional type 2 diabetes risk factors and fasting glucose (increase from 26.2% to 30.5% in Black adults; increase from 36.9% to 39.4% in White adults). We examined if groups of proximal CpG sites were associated with incident type 2 diabetes using a gene-region specific and a gene-region agnostic differentially methylated region (DMR) analysis. Our DMR analyses revealed several clusters of significant CpG sites, including a DMR consisting of a previously discovered CpG site at ADCY7 and promoter regions of TP63 which were differentially methylated across all race groups. This study illustrates improved discovery of CpG sites/regions by leveraging both individual CpG site and DMR analyses in an unexplored population. Our findings include genes linked to diabetes in experimental studies (e.g., GPX6, JPH3, and TP63), and future gene-specific methylation studies could elucidate the link between genes, environment, and methylation in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes.

Associations between MICA and MICB Genetic Variants, Protein Levels, and Colorectal Cancer: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)

BACKGROUND

The MHC class I chain-related protein A (MICA) and protein B (MICB) participate in tumor immunosurveillance and may be important in colorectal cancer, but have not been examined in colorectal cancer development.

METHODS

sMICA and sMICB blood levels were measured by SomaScan in Visit 2 (1990-92, baseline) and Visit 3 (1993-95) samples in cancer-free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. We selected rs1051792, rs1063635, rs2516448, rs3763288, rs1131896, rs2596542, and rs2395029 that were located in or in the vicinity of MICA or MICB and were associated with cancer or autoimmune diseases in published studies. SNPs were genotyped by the Affymetrix Genome-Wide Human SNP Array. We applied linear and Cox proportional hazards regressions to examine the associations of preselected SNPs with sMICA and sMICB levels and colorectal cancer risk (236 colorectal cancers, 8,609 participants) and of sMICA and sMICB levels with colorectal cancer risk (312 colorectal cancers, 10,834 participants). In genetic analyses, estimates adjusted for ancestry markers were meta-analyzed.

RESULTS

Rs1051792-A, rs1063635-A, rs2516448-C, rs3763288-A, rs2596542-T, and rs2395029-G were significantly associated with decreased sMICA levels. Rs2395029-G, in the vicinity of MICA and MICB, was also associated with increased sMICB levels. Rs2596542-T was significantly associated with decreased colorectal cancer risk. Lower sMICA levels were associated with lower colorectal cancer risk in males (HR = 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.49-0.96) but not in females (Pinteraction = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Rs2596542-T associated with lower sMICA levels was associated with decreased colorectal cancer risk. Lower sMICA levels were associated with lower colorectal cancer risk in males.

IMPACT

These findings support an importance of immunosurveillance in colorectal cancer.

Total-, LDL-, and HDL-cholesterol, apolipoproteins, and triglycerides with risk of total and fatal prostate cancer in Black and White men in the ARIC study

BACKGROUND

Cholesterol reduction is considered a mechanism through which cholesterol-lowering drugs including statins are associated with a reduced aggressive prostate cancer risk. While prior cohort studies found positive associations between total cholesterol and more advanced stage and grade in White men, whether associations for total cholesterol, low (LDL)- and high (HDL)-density lipoprotein cholesterol, apolipoprotein B (LDL particle) and A1 (HDL particle), and triglycerides are similar for fatal prostate cancer and in Black men, who experience a disproportionate burden of total and fatal prostate cancer, is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective study of 1553 Black and 5071 White cancer-free men attending visit 1 (1987-1989) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. A total of 885 incident prostate cancer cases were ascertained through 2015, and 128 prostate cancer deaths through 2018. We estimated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of total and fatal prostate cancer per 1-standard deviation increments and for tertiles (T1-T3) of time-updated lipid biomarkers overall and in Black and White men.

RESULTS

Greater total cholesterol concentration (HR per-1 SD = 1.25; 95% CI = 1.00-1.58) and LDL cholesterol (HR per-1 SD = 1.26; 95% CI = 0.99-1.60) were associated with higher fatal prostate cancer risk in White men only. Apolipoprotein B was nonlinearly associated with fatal prostate cancer overall (T2 vs. T1: HR = 1.66; 95% CI = 1.05-2.64) and in Black men (HR = 3.59; 95% CI = 1.53-8.40) but not White men (HR = 1.13; 95% CI = 0.65-1.97). Tests for interaction by race were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings may improve the understanding of lipid metabolism in prostate carcinogenesis by disease aggressiveness, and by race while emphasizing the importance of cholesterol control.

Periodontal and Other Oral Bacteria and Risk of Lung Cancer in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Evidence suggests that periodontal disease is associated with increased lung cancer risk, but whether periodontal pathogens are explanatory is unknown. We prospectively studied associations of prediagnostic circulating antibodies with oral bacteria and of periodontal bacteria in subgingival plaque with lung cancer.

METHODS

We included 4,263 cancer-free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study with previously measured serum IgG antibodies to 18 oral bacteria. In 1,287 participants for whom subgingival plaque was collected, counts for 8 periodontal bacteria were previously measured. Incident lung cancers (N = 118) were ascertained through 2015 (median follow-up = 17.5 years). We used Cox regression to estimate multivariable-adjusted associations, including for sums of antibodies to orange (C. rectus, F. nucleatum, P. intermedia, P. micra, and P. nigrescens) and red (P. gingivalis, T. forsythensis, and T. denticola) complex bacteria.

RESULTS

Orange complex bacteria antibodies were positively associated with lung cancer [per IQR hazard ratios (HR) = 1.15; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 1.02-1.29], which was stronger in men (HR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.08-1.49), and explained by P. intermedia and P. nigrescens (HR = 1.15; 95% CI, 1.04-1.26). Suggestive positive associations with lung cancer (N = 40) were observed for F. nucleatum, A. actinomycetemcomitans, and P. gingivalis counts. Significant positive associations were found for the count to antibody ratio for P. intermedia and P. gingivalis.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified positive associations with lung cancer for oral bacteria, especially orange complex that are moderately pathogenic for periodontal disease.

IMPACT

This prospective study supports the need for more research on periodontal bacteria in lung cancer etiology. If associations are supported, this may inform novel lung cancer prevention strategies.

Atherosclerosis With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy: Evidence, Diagnosis, and Management: JACC: CardioOncology State-of-the-Art Review

As the clinical applications of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) expand, our knowledge of the potential adverse effects of these drugs continues to broaden. Emerging evidence supports the association between ICI therapy with accelerated atherosclerosis and atherosclerotic cardiovascular (CV) events. We discuss the biological plausibility and the clinical evidence supporting an effect of inhibition of these immune checkpoints on atherosclerotic CV disease. Further, we provide a perspective on potential diagnostic and pharmacological strategies to reduce atherosclerotic risk in ICI-treated patients. Our understanding of the pathophysiology of ICI-related atherosclerosis is in its early stages. Further research is needed to identify the mechanisms linking ICI therapy to atherosclerosis, leverage the insight that ICI therapy provides into CV biology, and develop robust approaches to manage the expanding cohort of patients who may be at risk for atherosclerotic CV disease.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Among Cancer Survivors: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

More than 80% of adult patients diagnosed with cancer survive long term. Long-term complications of cancer and its therapies may increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but prospective studies using adjudicated cancer and CVD events are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to assess the risk of CVD in cancer survivors in a prospective community-based study.

METHODS

We included 12,414 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study participants. Cancer diagnoses were ascertained via linkage with state registries supplemented with medical records. Incident CVD outcomes were coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure (HF), stroke, and a composite of these. We used multivariable Poisson and Cox regressions to estimate the association of cancer with incident CVD.

RESULTS

Mean age was 54 years, 55% were female, and 25% were Black. A total of 3,250 participants (25%) had incident cancer over a median 13.6 years of follow-up. Age-adjusted incidence rates of CVD (per 1,000 person-years) were 23.1 (95% CI: 24.7-29.1) for cancer survivors and 12.0 (95% CI: 11.5-12.4) for subjects without cancer. After adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, cancer survivors had significantly higher risks of CVD (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.26-1.50), HF (HR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.38-1.68), and stroke (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.03-1.44), but not CHD (HR: 1.11; 95% CI: 0.97-1.28). Breast, lung, colorectal, and hematologic/lymphatic cancers, but not prostate cancer, were significantly associated with CVD risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with persons without cancer, adult cancer survivors have significantly higher risk of CVD, especially HF, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. There is an unmet need to define strategies for CVD prevention in this high-risk population.

Obesity Duration, Severity, and Distribution Trajectories and Cardiovascular Disease Risk in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Background Research examining the role of obesity in cardiovascular disease (CVD) often fails to adequately consider heterogeneity in obesity severity, distribution, and duration. Methods and Results We here use multivariate latent class mixed models in the biracial Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (N=14 514; mean age=54 years; 55% female) to associate obesity subclasses (derived from body mass index, waist circumference, self-reported weight at age 25, tricep skinfold, and calf circumference across up to four triennial visits) with total mortality, incident CVD, and CVD risk factors. We identified four obesity subclasses, summarized by their body mass index and waist circumference slope as decline (4.1%), stable/slow decline (67.8%), moderate increase (24.6%), and rapid increase (3.6%) subclasses. Compared with participants in the stable/slow decline subclass, the decline subclass was associated with elevated mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.45, 95% CI 1.31, 1.60, P<0.0001) and with heart failure (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22, 1.63, P<0.0001), stroke (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.22, 1.92, P=0.0002), and coronary heart disease (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14, 1.63, P=0.0008), adjusting for baseline body mass index and CVD risk factor profile. The moderate increase latent class was not associated with any significant differences in CVD risk as compared to the stable/slow decline latent class and was associated with a lower overall risk of mortality (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80, 0.90, P<0.0001), despite higher body mass index at baseline. The rapid increase latent class was associated with a higher risk of heart failure versus the stable/slow decline latent class (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.10, 1.62, P=0.004). Conclusions Consideration of heterogeneity and longitudinal changes in obesity measures is needed in clinical care for a more precision-oriented view of CVD risk.

Lipid-Lowering Drug Use and Cancer Incidence and Mortality in the ARIC Study

Background

Lipid-lowering drugs, particularly statins, are associated with reduced incidence of certain cancers in some studies. Associations with cancer mortality are not well studied, and whether associations are similar across race is unknown.

Methods

We conducted a prospective analysis of 12 997 cancer-free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who were never users at visit 1 (1987-1989). Ever use, duration of use, and age at first use were modeled as time-dependent variables using Cox regression to estimate associations with total, obesity- and smoking-associated, bladder, breast, colorectal, lung, and prostate cancer incidence and mortality.

Results

We ascertained 3869 cancer cases and 1661 cancer deaths in 237 999 or more person-years. At 6 years of follow-up, 70.8% of lipid-lowering drug use was a statin. Compared with never use, ever use was associated with lower total, obesity- and smoking-associated cancer mortality and with colorectal cancer mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.32 to 0.79) and incidence (HR = 0.69, 95% CI = 0.53 to 0.92). Inverse associations were consistent by sex and race. Shorter-term use was associated with bladder cancer incidence in men (<10 years: HR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.02 to 2.73). First use at age 60 years or older was inversely associated with: total mortality, obesity- and smoking-associated mortality, and colorectal cancer mortality; and total incidence, obesity- and smoking-associated incidence, and breast, colorectal, and prostate cancer incidence.

Conclusions

This study provides additional evidence for inverse associations between lipid-lowering drug use and cancer incidence and mortality but a positive association with bladder cancer incidence in men. Evaluation of the impact of chemoprevention strategies that include lipid-lowering drugs on population-level cancer burden is needed.

Prostate Cancer Mortality Associated with Aggregate Polymorphisms in Androgen-Regulating Genes: The Atherosclerosis Risk in the Communities (ARIC) Study

Genetic variations in androgen metabolism may influence prostate cancer (PC) prognosis. Clinical studies consistently linked PC prognosis with four single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the critical androgen-regulating genes: 3-beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase (HSD3B1) rs1047303, 5-alpha-reductase 2 (SRD5A2) rs523349, and solute carrier organic ion (SLCO2B1) rs1789693 and rs12422149. We tested the association of four androgen-regulating SNPs, individually and combined, with PC-specific mortality in the ARIC population-based prospective cohort. Men diagnosed with PC (N = 622; 79% White, 21% Black) were followed for death (N = 350) including PC death (N = 74). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95%CI adjusting for center, age, stage, and grade at diagnosis using separate hazards for races. A priori genetic risk score (GRS) was created as the unweighted sum of risk alleles in the four pre-selected SNPs. The gain-of-function rs1047303C allele was associated PC-specific mortality among men with metastatic PC at diagnosis (HR = 4.89 per risk allele, p = 0.01). Higher GRS was associated with PC-specific mortality (per risk allele: HR = 1.26, p = 0.03). We confirmed that the gain-of-function allele in HSD3B1 rs1047303 is associated with greater PC mortality in men with metastatic disease. Additionally, our findings suggest a cumulative effect of androgen-regulating genes on PC-specific mortality; however, further validation is required.

Associations of Leisure-Time Physical Activity and Television Viewing with Life Expectancy Cancer-Free at Age 50: The ARIC Study

BACKGROUND

Physical activity has been associated with longer chronic disease-free life expectancy, but specific cancer types have not been investigated. We examined whether leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (LTPA) and television (TV) viewing were associated with life expectancy cancer-free.

METHODS

We included 14,508 participants without a cancer history from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. We used multistate survival models to separately examine associations of LTPA (no LTPA,

RESULTS

Compared with no LTPA, participants who engaged in LTPA ≥median had a greater life expectancy cancer-free from colorectal [men-2.2 years (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.7-2.7), women-2.3 years (95% CI, 1.7-2.8)], lung [men-2.1 years (95% CI, 1.5-2.6), women-2.1 years (95% CI, 1.6-2.7)], prostate [1.5 years (95% CI, 0.8-2.2)], and postmenopausal breast cancer [2.4 years (95% CI, 1.4-3.3)]. Compared with watching TV often/very often, participants who seldom/never watched TV had a greater colorectal, lung, and postmenopausal breast cancer-free life expectancy of ∼1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

Participating in LTPA was associated with longer life expectancy cancer-free from colorectal, lung, prostate, and postmenopausal breast cancer. Viewing less TV was associated with more years lived cancer-free from colorectal, lung, and postmenopausal breast cancer.

IMPACT

Increasing physical activity and reducing TV viewing may extend the number of years lived cancer-free.

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Key Words Collapse

MESH Headings

• Adult
• Aged
• Exercise/physiology
• Female
• Humans
• Life Expectancy/trends
• Male
• Middle Aged
• Neoplasms/epidemiology
• Risk Factors
• Television/trends
• Time Factors

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Grants

• P30 CA016086 NCI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700002C NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700001I NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700004I NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700004C NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700003I NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700005C NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700001C NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700003C NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700002I NHLBI NIH HHS
• HHSN268201700005I NHLBI NIH HHS
• T32 HL007055 NHLBI NIH HHS
• U01 CA164975 NCI NIH HHS

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Affiliation(s)

Carmen C Cuthbertson Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Hazel B Nichols Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
Xianming Tan Department of Biostatistics, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
Anna Kucharska-Newton Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
Gerardo Heiss Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
Corinne E Joshu Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
Elizabeth A Platz Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
Kelly R Evenson Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina

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Performance of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin Assays to Reflect Comorbidity Burden and Improve Mortality Risk Stratification in Older Adults With Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

Incorporation of comorbidity burden to inform diabetes management in older adults remains challenging. High-sensitivity cardiac troponins are objective, quantifiable biomarkers that may improve risk monitoring in older adults. We assessed the associations of elevations in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and T (hs-cTnT) with comorbidities and improvements in mortality risk stratification.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used logistic regression to examine associations of comorbidities with elevations in either troponin (≥85th percentile) among 1,835 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study with diabetes (ages 67-89 years, 43% male, 31% black) at visit 5 (2011-2013). We used Cox models to compare associations of high cardiac troponins with mortality across comorbidity levels.

RESULTS

Elevations in either troponin (≥9.4 ng/L for hs-cTnI, ≥25 ng/L for hs-cTnT) were associated with prevalent coronary heart disease, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, pulmonary disease, hypoglycemia, hypertension, dementia, and frailty. Over a median follow-up of 6.2 years (418 deaths), both high hs-cTnI and high hs-cTnT further stratified mortality risk beyond comorbidity levels; those with a high hs-cTnI or hs-cTnT and high comorbidity were at highest mortality risk. Even among those with low comorbidity, a high hs-cTnI (hazard ratio 3.0 [95% CI 1.7, 5.4]) or hs-cTnT (hazard ratio 3.3 [95% CI 1.8, 6.2]) was associated with elevated mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Many comorbidities were reflected by both hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT; elevations in either of the troponins were associated with higher mortality risk beyond comorbidity burden. High-sensitivity cardiac troponins may identify older adults at high mortality risk and be useful in guiding clinical care of older adults with diabetes.

Adherence to the World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research cancer prevention guidelines and colorectal cancer incidence among African Americans and whites: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

BACKGROUND

Adherence to the World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF)/American Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) cancer prevention recommendations is associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in whites, but only 1 previous study has reported on this link in African Americans. This study assessed the association between the 2018 WCRF/AICR guidelines and CRC incidence in African Americans (26.5%) and whites (73.5%) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities prospective cohort (n = 13,822).

METHODS

A total of 368 incident CRC cases (268 among whites and 100 among African Americans) were identified between the baseline (1987) and 2012. A baseline adherence score was created for 7 WCRF/AICR guidelines (each contributing 0, 0.5, or 1 point to the score, with higher scores corresponding to greater adherence). Adherence scores were also categorized as tertiles (0.0-3.0, 3.5-4.0, and 4.5-7.0). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the total cohort and with stratification by race.

RESULTS

After adjustments for age, sex, race, center, smoking, education, intake of aspirin, calcium, total calories, diabetes status, and, in women, hormone replacement therapy, greater adherence was associated with decreased CRC risk. The HRs per 1-unit increment in score were 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80-0.97) for the whole cohort, 0.89 (95% CI, 0.73-1.09) for African Americans, and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.77-0.99) for whites. Similar associations between higher adherence scores and decreased cancer risk were observed for men and women and for colon cancer but not for rectal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater adherence to the cancer prevention recommendations appears to be associated with decreased CRC risk for both African Americans and whites.

Cancer Survivorship and Subclinical Myocardial Damage

Cancer survivors might have an excess risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) resulting from toxicities of cancer therapies and a high burden of CVD risk factors. We sought to evaluate the association of cancer survivorship with subclinical myocardial damage, as assessed by elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) test results. We included 3,512 participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who attended visit 5 (2011-2013) and were free of CVD (coronary heart disease, heart failure, or stroke). We used multivariate logistic regression to evaluate the cross-sectional associations of survivorship from any, non-sex-related, and sex-related cancers (e.g., breast, prostate) with elevated hs-cTnT (≥14 ng/L). Of 3,512 participants (mean age, 76 years; 62% women; 21% black), 19% were cancer survivors. Cancer survivors had significantly higher odds of elevated hs-cTnT (OR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.53). Results were similar for survivors of non-sex-related and colorectal cancers, but there was no association between survivorship from breast and prostate cancers and elevated hs-cTnT. Results were similar after additional adjustments for CVD risk factors. Survivors of some cancers might be more likely to have elevated hs-cTnT than persons without prior cancer. The excess burden of subclinical myocardial damage in this population might not be fully explained by traditional CVD risk factors.

SES and correlated factors do not explain the association between periodontal disease, edentulism, and cancer risk

PURPOSE

Severe periodontal disease and edentulism have been previously reported to be significantly associated with cancer risk and mortality, including in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (2018); however, complex sources of confounding by socioeconomic status (SES), and characteristics correlated with SES, could have been present in earlier analyses.

METHODS

To capture life course SES and its correlates, we generated a propensity score and included it, along with other potential confounders such as smoking and obesity, into a Cox regression model to examine the association between periodontal disease and cancer risk. In addition, we stratified the model with the propensity score by low and high SES. All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

Compared with our previous study, the associations for severe periodontitis and cancer incidence remained comparable after weighting by the propensity score (e.g., for total cancer: before weighting, hazard ratio = 1.24, 95% confidence interval = 1.07-1.42 vs. after weighting, hazard ratio = 1.23, 95% confidence interval = 1.05-1.44 when comparing severe periodontitis to no or mild periodontitis). Associations were comparable in low and high SES strata and statistically significant among participants with high SES.

CONCLUSIONS

Complex sources of confounding by SES and its correlates are unlikely to fully account for the positive associations observed for periodontal disease and edentulism and cancer risk.

Prospective Association of Serum and Dietary Magnesium with Colorectal Cancer Incidence

BACKGROUND

Laboratory and epidemiologic research suggests a protective role of magnesium in colorectal cancer development. We estimated the associations of serum and dietary magnesium with colorectal cancer incidence in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

Serum magnesium concentration was measured in blood collected twice (1987-1989 and 1990-1992) and averaged. Dietary magnesium was assessed by food-frequency questionnaire administered twice (1987-1989 and 1993-1995) and averaged. For both dietary and serum magnesium, the averaged measures were categorized into quintiles for analysis. Analyses included 315 colorectal cancer cases among 13,009 participants for serum magnesium (followed for a median of 20.4 years), and 256 cases among 10,971 participants for dietary magnesium (followed for a median of 17.5 years). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) of colorectal cancer for the highest four quintiles compared with the first quintile of serum magnesium were as follows: Q2: 0.70 (0.49-0.99); Q3: 0.68 (0.47-1.00); Q4: 0.87 (0.62-1.21); and Q5: 0.79 (0.57-1.11; P trend = 0.04). An inverse association was present in females (HR for Q5 vs. Q1: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.36-0.98, P trend = 0.01), but not males (HR for Q5 vs. Q1: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.67-1.79, P trend = 0.92; P interaction = 0.34). Dietary magnesium was not statistically significantly associated with colorectal cancer risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study found a higher risk of colorectal cancer with lower serum magnesium among females, but not males.

IMPACT

If our findings are confirmed, maintaining adequate serum magnesium levels may be important for colorectal cancer prevention.

Association between greater leg length and increased incidence of colorectal cancer: the atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study

PURPOSE

Previous studies have reported that taller people have an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). We examined the association of two height components-leg length and sitting height-with CRC risk in 14,532 individuals aged 45-64 years in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study.

METHODS

Anthropometrics were measured at baseline (1987-1989). Incident CRC cases (n = 382) were ascertained from 1987 to 2012. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for CRC and colon cancer across quintiles of sex-specific leg length and sitting height.

RESULTS

The highest (versus the lowest) quintile of leg length was associated with a 36% greater CRC risk (p-trend = 0.04), and 51% greater colon cancer risk (p-trend = 0.01). For the top four quintiles combined, risk was increased by 34% for CRC and by 45% for colon cancer versus the lowest quintile. Total height and sitting height were not significantly associated with CRC or colon cancer risk. A small number of cases (n = 57) limited our ability to conduct subgroup analyses for rectal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

A positive association of leg length with CRC and colon cancer risk suggests that biological mechanisms leading to greater leg length during puberty may explain the association between taller height and CRC.

Reasons for Differences in the Incidence of Venous Thromboembolism in Black Versus White Americans

INTRODUCTION

Venous thromboembolism incidence rates are 30%-100% higher in US blacks than whites. We examined the degree to which differences in the frequencies of socioeconomic, lifestyle, medical risk factors, and genetic variants explain the excess venous thromboembolism risk in blacks and whether some risk factors are more strongly associated with venous thromboembolism in blacks compared with whites.

METHODS

We measured venous thromboembolism risk factors in black and white participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study in 1987-1989 and followed them prospectively through 2015 for venous thromboembolism incidence.

RESULTS

Over a mean of 22 years, we identified 332 venous thromboembolisms in blacks and 578 in whites, yielding 65% higher crude incidence rates per 1000 person-years in blacks. The age and sex-adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of venous thromboembolism for blacks compared with whites was 2.04 (1.76, 2.37) for follow-up >10 years and was attenuated to 1.14 (0.89, 1.46) when adjusted for baseline confounders or mediators of the race association, which tended to be more common in blacks. For example, adjustment for just baseline weight, family income, and concentration of plasma factor VIII reduced the regression coefficient for race by 75%. There were no significant (P <0.05) 2-way multiplicative interactions of race with any risk factor, except with a 5-single nucleotide polymorphism (5-SNP) genetic risk score (a weaker venous thromboembolism risk factor in blacks) and with hospitalization for heart failure (a stronger venous thromboembolism risk factor in blacks).

CONCLUSION

The higher incidence rate of venous thromboembolism in blacks than whites was mostly explained by blacks having higher frequencies of venous thromboembolism risk factors.

Periodontal Disease Assessed Using Clinical Dental Measurements and Cancer Risk in the ARIC Study

Background

While evidence is increasingly consistent with a positive association between periodontitis and cancer risk, most studies have relied on self-reported periodontitis. In this study, we prospectively evaluated the association of periodontal disease severity with cancer risk in black and white older adults in a cohort study that included a dental examination.

Methods

Included were 7466 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study cohort who at visit 4 (1996-1998) reported being edentulous or underwent the dental examination. Probing depth and gingival recession were measured at six sites on all teeth; these measurements were used to define periodontal disease severity. Incident cancers (n = 1648) and cancer deaths (n = 547) were ascertained during a median of 14.7 years of follow-up. All statistical tests were two-sided.

Results

An increased risk of total cancer (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.07 to 1.44, Ptrend = .004) was observed for severe periodontitis (>30% of sites with attachment loss >3 mm) compared with no/mild periodontitis (<10% of sites with attachment loss >3 mm), adjusting for smoking and other factors. Strong associations were observed for lung cancer (HR = 2.33, 95% CI = 1.51 to 3.60, Ptrend < .001), and elevated risks were noted for colorectal cancer for severe periodontitis, which were significant among never smokers (HR = 2.12, 95% CI = 1.00 to 4.47). Associations were generally weaker, or not apparent among black participants, except for lung and colorectal cancers, where associations were similar by race. No associations were observed for breast, prostate, or hematopoietic and lymphatic cancer risk.

Conclusions

This study provides additional evidence that cancer risk, especially for lung and colorectal cancer, is elevated in individuals with periodontitis. Additional research is needed to understand cancer site-specific and racial differences in findings.

Serum Urate, Genetic Variation, and Prostate Cancer Risk: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Evidence is mounting that intraprostatic inflammation influences prostate cancer development. Uric acid crystals depositing in the prostate could result in injury and inflammation, increasing prostate cancer risk.

METHODS

Included were 6,574 men ages 45-64 years who enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study in 1987 to 1989. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the association of serum urate concentration alone and to improve accuracy, jointly with a genetic risk score (GRS, N = 4,983) derived from variants predictive of urate concentration, with prostate cancer (N = 813) risk.

RESULTS

Serum urate concentration or joint categories of urate concentration and GRS were not associated with prostate cancer risk (P trend for quartiles = 0.3). Results were generally similar by race and after excluding users of medications that influence uric acid.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum urate alone and with a urate-associated GRS were not associated with prostate cancer risk.

IMPACT

It is unlikely that circulating urate concentration influences prostate cancer development.

Dietary choline and betaine intakes and risk of total and lethal prostate cancer in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

PURPOSE

Two prior cohort studies suggested that choline, but not betaine intake, is associated with an increased risk of advanced prostate cancer (PCa). Given that evidence remains limited, we evaluated whether intakes of choline and derivative betaine are associated with total and lethal PCa risk and PCa death in men with PCa.

METHODS

We included 6,528 men (24.4% African American) without a cancer diagnosis at baseline (1987-1989) followed through 2012. Dietary intake was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire coupled with a nutrient database. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of total and lethal PCa risk overall and by race.

RESULTS

Choline intake was not associated with total (n = 811) or lethal (n = 95) PCa risk overall or by race. Betaine intake was inversely associated with lethal (tertile 3 vs 1, HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.35-1.00, p trend = 0.04), but not total PCa risk; patterns for lethal PCa were similar by race. Neither nutrient was associated with PCa death in men with PCa.

CONCLUSIONS

Choline intake was not associated with total or lethal PCa or with PCa death in men with PCa. Betaine intake was inversely associated with lethal, but not total PCa risk or with PCa death in men with PCa. Our results do not support the hypothesis that higher choline intake increases lethal PCa risk, but do suggest that higher betaine intake may be associated with lower lethal PCa risk. Further investigation with a larger number of lethal cases is needed.

Aspirin and Non-Aspirin NSAID Use and Prostate Cancer Incidence, Mortality, and Case Fatality in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

NSAIDs appear to moderately reduce prostate cancer risk. However, evidence is limited on whether NSAIDs protect against prostate cancer mortality (death from prostate cancer among men without a cancer history) and case fatality (death from prostate cancer among men with prostate cancer), and whether benefits are consistent in white and black men. This study investigated associations of aspirin and non-aspirin (NA) NSAID use with prostate cancer incidence, mortality, and case fatality in a population-based cohort of white and black men.

METHODS

We included 6,594 men (5,060 white and 1,534 black) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study without a cancer history at enrollment from 1987 to 1989. NSAID use was assessed at four study visits (1987-1998). Cancer outcomes were ascertained through 2012. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate adjusted HRs, overall and by race.

RESULTS

Aspirin use was not associated with prostate cancer incidence. However, aspirin use was inversely associated with prostate cancer mortality [HR, 0.59; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.36-0.96]. This association was consistent among white and black men and appeared restricted to men using aspirin daily and/or for cardiovascular disease prevention. Aspirin use was inversely associated with case fatality (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.22-0.94). NA-NSAID use was not associated with these endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

Aspirin use was inversely associated with prostate cancer mortality and case fatality among white and black men.

IMPACT

If confirmed by additional studies, benefits of aspirin for preventing prostate cancer mortality may need to be factored into risk-benefit calculations of men considering an aspirin regimen.

Hyperglycemia, Classified with Multiple Biomarkers Simultaneously in Men without Diabetes, and Risk of Fatal Prostate Cancer

The association between hyperglycemia and prostate cancer risk is inconsistent, and its association with prostate cancer mortality is understudied. Thus, we investigated the association between hyperglycemia and prostate cancer risk and mortality using multiple biomarkers simultaneously to classify hyper- and normoglycemia. We conducted a prospective analysis of 5,162 cancer-free men attending visit 2 (1990-1992) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study followed for total (N = 671) and lethal (N = 69) prostate cancer incidence and prostate cancer mortality (N = 64) through 2012. Men without diagnosed diabetes were classified as normo- or hyperglycemic using joint categories of fasting glucose, glycated hemoglobin, and glycated albumin (or fructosamine) defined by clinical or research cutpoints. We evaluated the multivariable-adjusted association of hyperglycemia with prostate cancer incidence and mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression; men with diagnosed diabetes were included as a separate exposure category. Among 4,753 men without diagnosed diabetes, 61.5% were classified as having hyperglycemia (high on ≥1 biomarker). HbA1c and glycated albumin together classified 61.9% of 1,736 men with normal fasting glucose as normoglycemic. Compared with men who were normal on all three biomarkers, men who were high on ≥1 biomarker had an increased risk of lethal [HR, 2.50; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.12-5.58] and fatal (HR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.26-8.48) disease, but not total prostate cancer incidence (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.81-1.20); associations were similar including fructosamine instead of glycated albumin. Our findings indicate hyperglycemia is associated with an increased risk of lethal and fatal prostate cancer, but not total prostate cancer incidence.

A Collaborative Analysis of Individual Participant Data from 19 Prospective Studies Assesses Circulating Vitamin D and Prostate Cancer Risk

Previous prospective studies assessing the relationship between circulating concentrations of vitamin D and prostate cancer risk have shown inconclusive results, particularly for risk of aggressive disease. In this study, we examine the association between prediagnostic concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] and 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D [1,25(OH)2D] and the risk of prostate cancer overall and by tumor characteristics. Principal investigators of 19 prospective studies provided individual participant data on circulating 25(OH)D and 1,25(OH)2D for up to 13,462 men with incident prostate cancer and 20,261 control participants. ORs for prostate cancer by study-specific fifths of season-standardized vitamin D concentration were estimated using multivariable-adjusted conditional logistic regression. 25(OH)D concentration was positively associated with risk for total prostate cancer (multivariable-adjusted OR comparing highest vs. lowest study-specific fifth was 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.31; P trend < 0.001). However, this association varied by disease aggressiveness (P heterogeneity = 0.014); higher circulating 25(OH)D was associated with a higher risk of nonaggressive disease (OR per 80 percentile increase = 1.24, 1.13-1.36) but not with aggressive disease (defined as stage 4, metastases, or prostate cancer death, 0.95, 0.78-1.15). 1,25(OH)2D concentration was not associated with risk for prostate cancer overall or by tumor characteristics. The absence of an association of vitamin D with aggressive disease does not support the hypothesis that vitamin D deficiency increases prostate cancer risk. Rather, the association of high circulating 25(OH)D concentration with a higher risk of nonaggressive prostate cancer may be influenced by detection bias. SIGNIFICANCE: This international collaboration comprises the largest prospective study on blood vitamin D and prostate cancer risk and shows no association with aggressive disease but some evidence of a higher risk of nonaggressive disease.

Longer-term Lipid-lowering Drug Use and Risk of Incident and Fatal Prostate Cancer in Black and White Men in the ARIC Study

Lipid-lowering medications, particularly statins, may protect against aggressive prostate cancer. Fatal prostate cancer, the most clinically relevant outcome, remains understudied for this association. We prospectively studied lipid-lowering medication use and both incident and fatal prostate cancer in black and white men in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. A total of 6,518 men without cancer at visit 2 (1990-1992), the start of the statin era, were followed for prostate cancer incidence and death through 2012. Medication use was collected during study visits and telephone calls at up to nine time points during follow-up. Cox regression was used to estimate HR and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of total (white N = 541, black N = 259) and fatal (white N = 56, black N = 34) prostate cancer overall and by race. Lipid-lowering medication use was modeled as time-dependent current use or duration (never, <10, and ≥10 years). By visit 4 (1996-1998), 21% of white and 11% of black men had used a lipid-lowering medication, mostly statins. There was a suggestion that current users were less likely to die from prostate cancer than nonusers (HR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.42-1.07) after multivariable adjustment. We observed no statistically significant differences between black and white men. Current use was not associated with incident prostate cancer, although long-term use was statistically significantly inversely associated with incidence (HR = 0.68; 95% CI = 0.50-0.92). Long-term lipid-lowering medication use was associated with lower risk of prostate cancer. Current use was possibly associated with fatal prostate cancer.