C-reactive protein as a predictor of mortality in critically ill patients: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Comparative Analysis of C-reactive Protein and Procalcitonin as Biomarkers for Prognostic Assessment in Pediatric Sepsis

Background Sepsis poses a critical medical challenge due to its profound systemic inflammatory response, which frequently results in organ dysfunction and high mortality rates, especially in pediatric patients. The condition requires prompt recognition and aggressive management to mitigate its severe outcomes. Methods This prospective study enrolled 248 pediatric patients admitted with sepsis to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) at our tertiary care center. Patients were randomly assigned to either the C-reactive protein (CRP) or procalcitonin (PCT) groups, with biomarker levels measured upon admission (hour zero) and again at 72 hours post-admission. Clinical parameters such as the need for ionotropic support, use of steroids, incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI), requirement for invasive ventilation, patient outcomes, and changes in antibiotic management were assessed based on these biomarker levels. Results Procalcitonin-positive sepsis cases demonstrated notable clinical severity compared to their C-reactive protein counterparts, showing significantly lower systolic blood pressure (p = 0.012), heightened need for ionotropic support (p < 0.0001), and more pronounced liver and renal dysfunction as indicated by elevated serum bilirubin (p = 0.001) and creatinine levels (p = 0.0058). The incidence of AKI was also higher in procalcitonin-positive cases. Despite these severe clinical parameters, there were no significant differences in the length of the PICU stay or in patient outcomes concerning discharge and mortality rates. Procalcitonin levels effectively guided antibiotic management, resulting in therapy adjustments in a substantial proportion of cases, with 67 (54%) experiencing downgrades and 33 (27%) requiring upgrades based on procalcitonin levels measured 72 hours post-admission. Conclusion Procalcitonin proves to be a valuable biomarker in assessing the severity and management of sepsis in pediatric patients. It correlates significantly with clinical parameters such as blood pressure, the need for ionotropic support, and markers of organ dysfunction.

Infectious diseases and infection control prevention strategies in adult and pediatric population on ECMO

As survival after ECMO improves and use of ECMO support increases in both pediatric and adult population, there is a need to focus on both the morbidities and complications associated with ECMO and how to manage and prevent them. Infectious complications during ECMO often have a significant clinical impact, resulting in increased morbidity or mortality irrespective of the underlying etiology necessitating cardiorespiratory support. In this review article, we discuss the prevention, management, challenges, and differences of infectious complications in adult and pediatric patients receiving ECMO support.

Fibrinogen-to-prealbumin and C-reactive protein-to-prealbumin ratios as prognostic indicators in severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome

Background

The primary aim of this study is to investigate the correlation between serum levels of fibrinogen-to-prealbumin ratio (FPR) and C-reactive protein-to-prealbumin ratio (CPR) and prognostic outcomes among patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS). SFTS, characterized by elevated mortality rates, represents a substantial public health challenge as an emerging infectious disease.

Methods

The study included 159 patients with SFTS. Clinical and laboratory data were compared between the survival and death groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were utilized to identify independent risk factors for mortality. The predictive efficacy of FPR and CPR was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier curve and the log-rank test was employed for comparison.

Results

The death group exhibited significantly elevated levels of FPR and CPR compared to the survival group (P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis confirmed that both FPR and CPR independently correlated with a poorer prognosis among patients with SFTS. The ROC curve analysis indicated that FPR and CPR had superior predictive capabilities compared to C-reactive protein and fibrinogen. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients with SFTS who have FPR > 0.045 (log-rank test; χ2 = 17.370, P < 0.001) or CPR > 0.05 (log-rank test; χ2 = 19.442, P < 0.001) experienced significantly lower survival rates within a 30-day follow-up period.

Conclusion

Elevated levels of FPR and CPR serve as distinct risk factors for mortality among patients with SFTS, indicating their potential to predict an unfavorable prognosis in these patients.

Conventional and unconventional T-cell responses contribute to the prediction of clinical outcome and causative bacterial pathogen in sepsis patients

Sepsis is characterized by a dysfunctional host response to infection culminating in life-threatening organ failure that requires complex patient management and rapid intervention. Timely diagnosis of the underlying cause of sepsis is crucial, and identifying those at risk of complications and death is imperative for triaging treatment and resource allocation. Here, we explored the potential of explainable machine learning models to predict mortality and causative pathogen in sepsis patients. By using a modelling pipeline employing multiple feature selection algorithms, we demonstrate the feasibility of identifying integrative patterns from clinical parameters, plasma biomarkers, and extensive phenotyping of blood immune cells. While no single variable had sufficient predictive power, models that combined five and more features showed a macro area under the curve (AUC) of 0.85 to predict 90-day mortality after sepsis diagnosis, and a macro AUC of 0.86 to discriminate between Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacterial infections. Parameters associated with the cellular immune response contributed the most to models predictive of 90-day mortality, most notably, the proportion of T cells among PBMCs, together with expression of CXCR3 by CD4+ T cells and CD25 by mucosal-associated invariant T (MAIT) cells. Frequencies of Vδ2+ γδ T cells had the most profound impact on the prediction of Gram-negative infections, alongside other T-cell-related variables and total neutrophil count. Overall, our findings highlight the added value of measuring the proportion and activation patterns of conventional and unconventional T cells in the blood of sepsis patients in combination with other immunological, biochemical, and clinical parameters.

[High nutritional risk by three variants of NUTRIC score in critically ventilated patients]

Introduction

Introduction: variants of the NUTRIC score with or without inflammatory biomarkers, modified without interleukin 6 (IL-6) (NUTRICm), with C-reactive protein (CRP) instead of IL-6, dichotomous (NUTRICpcr1) or in tertiles (NUTRICpcr2), were proposed to assess nutritional risk (NR) in critical patients. However, the assessment of the high NR might not be uniform between these scores. Objectives: to compare the assessment of the high NR by NUTRICm and the two variants of the NUTRICpcr. Material and methods: analysis of a prospective cohort of patients ventilated prior to COVID-19. Agreement was analyzed using the Kappa test and mortality discrimination by logistic regression. The proportion of patients with high NR was compared with the Chi-square test. Results: five hundred and fifty patients were analyzed. Median (IQR) age and APACHE II: 44 (28-58) years and 17 (12-22) points, predominant traumatic pathology (38.2 %) and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) mortality of 32.5 %. The concordance was high between NUTRICm and NUTRICpcr1 (Kappa = 0.81) and lower between NUTRICm and NUTRICpcr2 (Kappa = 0.60). The AUCROC (95 % CI) of NUTRICm, NUTRICpcr1 and NUTRICpcr2 to discriminate mortality was 0.695 (0.495-0.591), 0.693 (0.495-0.591) and 0.685 (0.495-0.591), respectively. The tall NB showed significant differences between NUTRICm and NUTRICpcr1 (19.8 % vs 14.4 %, p 0.0243), being greater between NUTRICm and NUTRICpcr2 (19.8 vs 9.8 %, p < 0.0001). Conclusion: the three NUTRIC variants studied discriminate mortality in a similar way. However, the NUTRICm, without an inflammatory biomarker, classifies more patients as high nutritional risk.

Kinetics of C-reactive protein during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

BACKGROUND

The exposure of blood to the artificial circuit during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) can induce an inflammatory response. C-reactive protein (CRP) is a commonly used biomarker of systemic inflammation.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, we analyzed results of daily plasma CRP measurements in 110 critically ill patients, treated with ECMO. We compared CRP levels during the first 5 days of ECMO operation, between different groups of patients according to ECMO configurations, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) status, and mechanical ventilation parameters.

RESULTS

There was a statistically significant decrease in CRP levels during the first 5 days of veno-venous (VV) ECMO (173 ± 111 mg/L, 154 ± 107 mg/L, 127 ± 97 mg/L, 114 ± 100 mg/L and 118 ± 90 mg/L for days 1-5 respectively, p < 0.001). Simultaneously, there was a significant reduction in ventilatory parameters, as represented by the mechanical power (MP) calculation, from 24.02 ± 14.53 J/min to 6.18 ± 4.22 J/min within 3 h of VV ECMO initiation (p < 0.001). There was non-significant trend of increase in CRP level during the first 5 days of veno arterial (VA) ECMO (123 ± 80 mg/L, 179 ± 91 mg/L, 203 ± 90 mg/L, 179 ± 95 mg/L and 198 ± 93 for days 1-5 respectively, p = 0.126) and no significant change in calculated MP (from 14.28 ± 8.56 J/min to 10.81 ± 8.09 J/min within 3 h if ECMO initiation, p = 0.071).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed a significant decrease in CRP levels during the first 5 days of VV ECMO support, and suggest that the concomitant reduction in ventilatory MP may have mitigated the degree of alveolar stress and strain that could have contributed to a decrease in the systemic inflammatory process.

Predictive Value of PRISM-4, PIM-3, CRP, Albumin, CRP/Albumin Ratio and Lactate in Critically Ill Children

The accurate prediction of the prognosis for critically ill children is crucial, with the Pediatric Index of Mortality (PIM) and Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) being extensively utilized for this purpose. Albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), and lactate levels, which are indicative of inflammation and circulatory status in critically ill children, have not been incorporated into existing scoring systems. This retrospective cohort study evaluated the association between biological markers and the clinical outcomes in children with critical illnesses. PRISM-4 and PIM-3 death probability (DP), albumin, lactate, CRP, and CRP/albumin ratio were recorded upon admission. The accuracy of the indexes in predicting mortality were assessed by calculating the area under the curve (AUC). There were 942 patients included and the 28-day mortality rate was 7.9%. The AUC for PRISM-4, PIM-3, CRP, CRP/albumin ratio, albumin, and lactate were 0.923, 0.896, 0.798, 0.795, 0.751, 0.728, respectively. The findings in the subgroup analysis of septic patients were similar to those found in the overall population. Although CRP, CRP/albumin ratio, albumin, and lactate levels are all linked to mortality in children, CRP and the CRP/albumin ratio have lower predictive values than albumin and lactate. Incorporation of albumin and lactate into scoring systems will improve predictability.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Independent Predictors for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome in Patients Presenting With Sepsis

The current meta-analysis was conducted to determine the predictors of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in patients with sepsis. The present meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the MOOSE (Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) guidelines. We conducted a systematic search using the PubMed, Cochrane Library, and EMBASE databases for studies published between 1 January 2000 and 28 February 2023 that assessed the predictors of ARDS in patients with sepsis. We used key terms such as "predictors," "acute respiratory distress syndrome," and "sepsis" to search for relevant articles. Our search was limited to human studies published in English. A total of six studies were included in this meta-analysis. Of the six studies, four were retrospective and two were prospective. The pooled incidence of ARDS was 11.27%. We identified six factors with a consistent and statistically significant association with ARDS, including sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, pulmonary sepsis, smoking, pancreatitis, and C-reactive protein. Age, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) were not found to be significantly associated with ARDS in this patient population. It is important for healthcare providers to consider these predictors when assessing patients with sepsis and septic shock to identify those at high risk for developing ARDS and implement appropriate preventive measures.

Current Status of Antibiotic Stewardship and the Role of Biomarkers in Antibiotic Stewardship Programs

The importance of antibiotic stewardship is increasingly emphasized in accordance with the increasing incidences of multidrug-resistant organisms and accompanying increases in disease burden. This review describes the obstacles in operating an antibiotic stewardship program (ASP), and whether the use of biomarkers within currently available resources can help. Surveys conducted around the world have shown that major obstacles to ASPs are shortages of time and personnel, lack of appropriate compensation for ASP operation, and lack of guidelines or appropriate manuals. Sufficient investment, such as the provision of full-time equivalent ASP practitioners, and adoption of computerized clinical decision systems are useful measures to improve ASP within an institution. However, these methods are not easy in terms of both time commitments and cost. Some biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and presepsin are promising tools in ASP due to their utility in diagnosis and forecasting the prognosis of sepsis. Recent studies have demonstrated the usefulness of algorithmic approaches based on procalcitonin level to determine the initiation or discontinuation of antibiotics, which would be helpful in decreasing antibiotics use, resulting in more appropriate antibiotics use.

Systemic Inflammation Evaluated by Interleukin-6 or C-Reactive Protein in Critically Ill Patients: Results From the FROG-ICU Study

Background

The prognostic impact of high concentration of interleukin-6 (IL-6) or C-reactive protein (CRP), two routinely available markers of systemic inflammation in the general population of critically ill patients, remains unclear. In a large cohort of critically ill patients including septic and non-septic patients, we assessed the relationship between baseline IL-6 or CRP and mortality, organ dysfunction, and the need for organ support.

Methods

This was an ancillary analysis of the prospective French and euRopean Outcome reGistry in Intensive Care Units (FROG-ICU) study including patients with a requirement for invasive mechanical ventilation and/or vasoactive drug support for more than 24 h following intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The primary objective was to determine the association between baseline IL-6 or CRP concentration and survival until day 90. Secondary outcomes included organ dysfunction as evaluated by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, and the need for organ support, including vasopressors/inotropes and/or renal replacement therapy (RRT).

Results

Median IL-6 and CRP concentrations (n = 2,076) at baseline were 100.9 pg/ml (IQR 43.5–261.7) and 143.7 mg/L (IQR 78.6–219.8), respectively. Day-90 mortality was 30%. High IL-6 or CRP was associated with worse 90-day survival (hazard ratios 1.92 [1.63–2.26] and 1.21 [1.03–1.41], respectively), after adjustment on the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS-II). High IL-6 was also associated with the need for organ-support therapies, such as vasopressors/inotropes (OR 2.67 [2.15–3.31]) and RRT (OR 1.55 [1.26–1.91]), including when considering only patients independent from those supports at the time of IL-6 measurement. Associations between high CRP and organ support were inconsistent.

Conclusion

IL-6 appears to be preferred over CRP to evaluate critically ill patients’ prognoses.

Eosinophil Cell Count Predicts Mortality in the Intensive Care Unit after Return of Spontaneous Circulation

BACKGROUND

Eosinophils constitute 1%-5% of peripheral blood leukocytes, less in the presence of acute infections (referred to as eosinopenia). Studies indicate that eosinopenia can be used as a prognostic predictor for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation, sepsis, or acute myocardial infarction disease. There are only a few studies about predicting mortality in emergency departments and intensive care units (ICUs). Prognostic studies about patients in ICUs are generally carried out using different scoring systems. We aimed to analyze if the eosinophil count can estimate the prognosis among non-traumatic patients who underwent cardiopulmonary resuscitation and were hospitalized in ICU thereafter.

METHODS

The data were evaluated of 865 non-traumatic adult patients (>18 years of age) who were admitted with cardiopulmonary arrest or developed cardiopulmonary arrest during clinical follow-ups. Admission venous blood sample tests, complete blood count, and biochemical laboratory results were recorded. Arterial blood gas results were also evaluated. The mean results of the recorded laboratory results were compared between the surviving and non-surviving patients groups.

RESULTS

There was a significant difference between the two groups in regard to platelet, eosinophil count, pH, PaO₂, SaO₂, and HCO₃^- (P<0.001 for all). In the multiple linear regression analysis, eosinophil counts were found to be an independent factor (odds ratio=0.03, 95% confidence interval 0.33-0.56, P<0.001) associated with the mortality after cardiopulmonary resuscitation.

CONCLUSION

Because admission eosinophil counts can be measured easily, they are inexpensive biomarkers that can be used for predicting the prognosis among the patients who have return of spontaneous circulation and are treated in ICUs.

C-reactive protein concentration as a risk predictor of mortality in intensive care unit: a multicenter, prospective, observational study

Background

It is not clear whether there are valuable inflammatory markers for prognosis judgment in the intensive care unit (ICU). We therefore conducted a multicenter, prospective, observational study to evaluate the prognostic role of inflammatory markers.

Methods

The clinical and laboratory data of patients at admission, including C-reactive protein (CRP), were collected in four general ICUs from September 1, 2018, to August 1, 2019. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors independently associated with nonsurvival. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to evaluate the effect size of different factors in predicting mortality during ICU stay. 3 -knots were used to assess whether alternative cut points for these biomarkers were more appropriate.

Results

A total of 813 patients were recruited, among whom 121 patients (14.88%) died during the ICU stay. The AUC-ROC values of PCT and CRP for discriminating ICU mortality were 0.696 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.650–0.743) and 0.684 (95% CI, 0.633–0.735), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, only APACHE II score (odds ratio, 1.166; 95% CI, 1.129–1.203; P = 0.000) and CRP concentration > 62.8 mg/L (odds ratio, 2.145; 95% CI, 1.343–3.427; P = 0.001), were significantly associated with an increased risk of ICU mortality. Moreover, the combination of APACHE II score and CRP > 62.8 mg/L significantly improved risk reclassification over the APACHE II score alone, with NRI (0.556) and IDI (0.013). Restricted cubic spline analysis confirmed that CRP concentration > 62.8 mg/L was the optimal cut-off value for differentiating between surviving and nonsurviving patients.

Conclusion

CRP markedly improved risk reclassification for prognosis prediction.

Comparison of prognosis and safety of pacemaker implantation in patients aged less than or 85 years and older

PURPOSE

Cardiac conduction disturbance necessitating pacemaker implantation is common among elderly patients. However, patients often have comorbidities and increased frailty which may result in limited life prognosis and a high rate of procedure-related complications. We evaluated pacemaker implantation in older patients by comparing life prognosis and complication rate in patients aged ≥ and < 85 years.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 262 consecutive patients who underwent initial pacemaker implantation for bradycardia (age, 77 ± 10 years old; male, 132 (50%); dual chamber pacemaker, 222 (85%) patients). Acute and long-term outcomes were compared between patients aged ≥ 85 and < 85 years. Primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death and severe procedure-related complications.

RESULTS

Seven (14%) patients aged ≥ 85 years (n = 50; 19%) were non-ambulatory. During 2-year follow-up, primary outcome (death or severe complication) occurred in 47 (18%). Freedom from primary outcome was similar between age groups (81.6% versus 80.8%; p = 0.98). Freedom from all-cause death and from severe complication in the study period were also similar (all-cause death, 91.6% versus 88.7%, p = 0.70; severe complication, 89.7% versus 91.5%, p = 0.75). On multivariate analysis, sick sinus syndrome (hazard ratio (HR) 2.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-6.4, p = 0.03), immunosuppressant use (HR 21 (95% CI 3.3-134), p < 0.01), and high C-reactive protein (HR 1.5 (95% CI 1.2-1.9), p < 0.01) were independent predictors of primary outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Life prognosis and severe complication rates after pacemaker implantation were similar between patients aged ≥ and < 85 years.

Circulating myeloperoxidase is elevated in septic shock and is associated with systemic organ failure and mortality in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND

Neutrophils are elevated in critically ill patients during the systemic inflammatory response to trauma and sepsis. The neutrophil-derived enzyme myeloperoxidase generates reactive oxygen species which can react with host tissue resulting in cell damage and dysfunction. Thus, elevated myeloperoxidase in the circulation may be associated with adverse patient outcomes.

METHODS

Circulating myeloperoxidase concentrations were measured in a cohort of 44 critically ill patients, 55% of whom were diagnosed with septic shock, and 44 healthy controls. Intensive care mortality prediction scores (SOFA, SAPS, APACHE) and ICU and hospital mortality were obtained from the patients' clinical notes. Hematological and biochemical assessments included blood cell counts, lactate, alanine transaminase, creatinine, bilirubin, C-reactive protein, and PaO₂. Myeloperoxidase was measured using a commercial ELISA kit and cell free DNA was detected using SytoxGreen™ fluorescence staining.

RESULTS

Myeloperoxidase concentrations were significantly higher in critically ill patients than control samples (234 ± 30 ng/ml versus 15 ± 4 ng/ml, p < 0.001), and were elevated in septic shock relative to non-septic patients (302 ± 42 ng/ml versus 156 ± 38 ng/ml, p = 0.02), despite neutrophil counts being comparable between the two subgroups (p = 0.6). Myeloperoxidase correlated with SOFA scores in the critically ill patients (r = 0.395, p = 0.02), and with markers of tissue dysfunction and injury such as lactate (r = 0.572, p < 0.001), log₁₀ alanine transferase (r = 0.392, p = 0.016) and log₁₀ cell free DNA (r = 0.371, p = 0.03). The subgroup of patients with higher than mean APACHE III scores (i.e. >78, n = 16) exhibited significantly elevated myeloperoxidase concentrations in the non-survivors compared with survivors (416 ± 59 ng/ml versus 140 ± 33 ng/mL, p = 0.001). Hospital mortality for the whole cohort was 27%; mortality in the high APACHE III subgroup was 38%, and when combined with higher than mean myeloperoxidase (i.e. >234 ng/mL), mortality increased to 71%.

CONCLUSIONS

Myeloperoxidase is associated with markers of tissue injury and systemic organ failure, particularly in septic patients. The enzyme is also associated with mortality in patients with higher APACHE III scores, and thus has potential as an additional diagnostic marker to improve mortality prediction.

Derivation and validation of a new nutritional index for predicting 90 days mortality after ICU admission in a Korean population

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Predicting the mortality in patients admitted to the ICU is important for determining a treatment strategy and public health policy. Although many scores have been developed to predict the mortality, these scores were based on Caucasian population. We aimed to develop a new prognostic index, the New nutritional index (NNI), to predict 90-days mortality after ICU admission based on Korean population.

METHODS

Patients (1453) who admitted intensive care unit (ICU) of the Gangnam Severance hospital were analyzed. After exclusion, 984 patients were randomly divided into internal (n = 702) and external validation (n = 282) data set. The new nutritional index (NNI) was developed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression with backward selection of predictors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and comparison of the area under the curve (AUC) verified the better predictor of 90 days-mortality after ICU admission.

RESULTS

The NNI better predicted 90 days-mortality compared to modified NUTRIC score, APACHE II scores, SOFA scores, CRP, glucose, total protein, and albumin level in internal and external data sets, with AUC of 0.862 (SE: 0.017, 95% CI: 0.829-0.895) and 0.858 (SE: 0.015, 95% CI: 0.829-0.887), respectively. The calibration plots using external data set for validation showed a close approximation to the logistic calibration of each nomogram, and p-value of Hosmer and Lemeshow test was 0.1804.

CONCLUSION

The NNI has advantages as a predictor of 90 days mortality based on nutritional status in the Korean population.

Monomeric C-Reactive Protein in Serum With Markedly Elevated CRP Levels Shares Common Calcium-Dependent Ligand Binding Properties With an in vitro Dissociated Form of C-Reactive Protein

A monomeric form of C-reactive protein (CRP) which precipitates with cell wall pneumococcal C polysaccharide (CWPS) and retains the ability to reversibly bind to its ligand phosphocholine has been produced through urea-induced dissociation at an optimized concentration of 3 M urea over a 10 weeks period. Dissociated samples were purified via size exclusion chromatography and characterized by western blot, phosphocholine affinity chromatography and CWPS precipitation. Human serum samples from patients with raised CRP levels (>100 mg/L as determined by the clinical laboratory assay) were purified by affinity and size exclusion chromatography and analyzed (n = 40) to determine whether circulating monomeric CRP could be detected ex vivo. All 40 samples tested positive for pentameric CRP via western blot and enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) analysis. Monomeric C-reactive protein was also identified in all 40 patient samples tested, with an average level recorded of 1.03 mg/L (SE = ±0.11). Both the in vitro monomeric C-reactive protein and the human serum monomeric protein displayed a molecular weight of approximately 23 kDa, both were recognized by the same anti-CRP monoclonal antibody and both reversibly bound to phosphocholine in a calcium-dependent manner. In common with native pentameric CRP, the in vitro mCRP precipitated with CWPS. These overlapping characteristics suggest that a physiologically relevant, near-native monomeric CRP, which retains the structure and binding properties of native CRP subunits, has been produced through in vitro dissociation of pentameric CRP and also isolated from serum with markedly elevated CRP levels. This provides a clear route toward the in-depth study of the structure and function of physiological monomeric CRP.

Eosinopenia and post-hospital outcomes in critically ill non-cardiac vascular surgery patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Eosinopenia is a marker for acute inflammation. We hypothesized that eosinopenia at Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission in vascular surgery patients who receive critical care, would be associated with increased mortality following hospital discharge.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a two-center observational cohort study of critically ill, non-cardiac adult vascular surgery patients who received treatment in Boston between 1997 and 2012 and survived hospital admission. The consecutive sample included 5083 patients (male 57%, white 82%, mean age [SD] 61.6 [17.4] years). The exposure was Absolute eosinophil count measured within 24 h of admission to the ICU and categorized as ≤10 cells/μL, 11-50 cells/μL, 51-100 cells/μL, 101-350 cells/μL (normal range), and >350 cells/μL. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 90 days of hospital discharge. The secondary outcome was discharge to home following hospitalization. 90-day post-discharge mortality was 6.7%, and 12.9% of patients were readmitted within 30 days. After multivariable adjustment, patients with eosinopenia (≤10 cells/μL) have a 90-day post-discharge mortality OR of 1.97 (95%CI 1.42, 2.73; P < 0.001) relative to patients with an absolute eosinophil count of 101-350 cells/μL. Further, after multivariable adjustment, patients with eosinopenia (≤10 cells/μL) have a 25% lower odds of discharge to home compared to patients with an absolute eosinophil count of 101-350 cells/μL [OR = 0.71 (CI 95% 0.59-0.85); P < 0.001].

CONCLUSION

Eosinopenia at ICU admission is a robust predictor of increased mortality and lower likelihood of discharge to home in vascular surgery patients treated with critical care who survive hospitalization.

The use of APACHE II, SOFA, SAPS 3, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, and lactate to predict mortality of surgical critically ill patients: A retrospective cohort study

Several prognostic indices have been employed to predict the outcome of surgical critically ill patients. Among them, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) and simplified acute physiology score (SAPS 3) are widely used. It seems that biological markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and blood lactate levels correlate with the degree of inflammation during the immediate postoperative phase and could be used as independent predictors. The objective of this study is to compare the different predictive values of prognostic indices and biological markers in the outcome of 847 surgical patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) in the postoperative phase.The patients were divided into survivors (n = 765, 57.4% males, age 61, interquartile range 51-71) and nonsurvivors (n = 82, 57.3% males, age 70, interquartile range 58-79). APACHE II, APACHE II death probability (DP), SOFA, SAPS 3, SAPS 3 DP, CRP, albumin, and lactate were recorded on ICU admission (first 24 hours). The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were used to measure the index accuracy to predict mortality.The AUROC and 95% CI for APACHE II, APACHE II DP, SOFA, SAPS 3, SAPS 3 DP, CRP/albumin ratio, CRP, albumin, and lactate were 0.850 (0.824-0.873), 0.855 (0.829-0.878), 0.791 (0.762-0.818), 0.840 (0.813-0.864), 0.840 (0.813-0.864), 0.731 (0.700-0.761), 0.708 (0.676-0.739), 0.697 (0.665-0.728), and 0.601 (0.567-0.634), respectively. The ICU and overall in-hospital mortality were 6.6 and 9.7%, respectively. The APACHE II, APACHE II DP, SAPS 3, SAPS 3 DP, and SOFA scores showed a better performance than CRP/albumin ratio, CRP, albumin, or lactate to predict in-hospital mortality of surgical critically ill patients.Even though all indices were able to discriminate septic from nonseptic patients, only APACHE II, APACHE II DP, SOFA and to a lesser extent SAPS 3, SAPS 3 DP, and blood lactate levels could predict in the first 24-hour ICU admission surgical patients who have survived sepsis.

Use of ulinastatin was associated with reduced mortality in critically ill patients with sepsis

Background

Ulinastatin has anti-inflammatory properties and could potentially benefit critically ill septic patients. Nevertheless, clinical studies have yielded conflicting results. The present study examined the efficacy of ulinastatin in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis and/or septic shock.

Methods

All septic patients admitted to the ICU of Wuhu No. 2 People's Hospital between 2014 and 2017 were screened for potential eligibility for this retrospective study. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, and its correlation with ulinastatin was assessed using multiple logistic regression models.

Results

The study included 263 patients, with an overall 28-day mortality of 38%. Patients receiving ulinastatin showed significantly lower mortality than the control patients (31% vs. 55%; P<0.001). Ulinastatin use was associated with significantly reduced risk of death (OR: 0.317, 95% CI: 0.158-0.621; P=0.001) after adjustment for age, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, vasopressor use, and patient type as determined with a multivariable regression model.

Conclusions

Treatment with ulinastatin was associated with a decrease in 28-day mortality in critically ill septic patients.

Usefulness of RBC distribution width and C-reactive protein to predict mortality in pediatric non-cardiac critical illness

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to assess the performance of red blood cell distribution width (RDW), C-reactive protein (CRP) or the combination of both to predict clinical outcomes in pediatric non-cardiovascular critical illness.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed 404 pediatric non-cardiovascular critically ill patients admitted to pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Potential predictors were identified using multivariable logistic regression. We also calculated the power of RDW and CRP additive to pediatric critical illness score (PCIS) to predict mortality with calculation of C-index value, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) indices.

RESULTS

RDW and CRP independently predicted PICU mortality. The C-index value of PCIS with respect to prediction of PICU mortality was greater than that of RDW and CRP. The combination of RDW or CRP or both with PCIS did significantly increase C-index value for predicting mortality (all p < 0.01). Addition of RDW or CRP or their combination to PCIS provided IDI of 7%, 1.1% and 9.4% (p = 0.009, 0.01 and 0.003) and NRI of 15.9%, 13.1% and 19.6% (p = 0.002, 0.043 and 0.002), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In pediatric non-cardiovascular critically ill patients, RDW and CRP could serve as independent predictors of PICU mortality and addition of RDW or CRP or both to PCIS significantly improves the ability to predict PICU mortality.

Prognostic value of presepsin in adult patients with sepsis: Systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

Presepsin is a novel biomarker to diagnose sepsis but its prognostic value has not been comprehensively reviewed. We conducted this meta-analysis to evaluate the mortality prediction value of presepsin in sepsis.

Methods

We searched comprehensive electronic databases from PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library through September 2017 using the key words of (‘presepsin’ or ‘sCD14-ST’ or ‘soluble CD14 subtype’) and (‘sepsis’ or ‘septic shock’) and (‘prognosis’ or ‘prognostic value’ or ‘prognostic biomarker’ or ‘mortality’). We extracted the presepsin levels in survivors and non-survivors from each individual study and evaluated the standardized mean difference (SMD) using a web-based meta-analysis with the R statistical analysis program.

Results

A total of 10 studies and 1617 patients were included. Presepsin levels in the first sampling (within 24 hours) were significantly lower among survivors as compared with non-survivors: the pooled SMD between survivors and non-survivors was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.62–1.22) in the random effects model (I² = 79%, P< 0.01). In subgroups, divided by the sepsis severity or study site, pooled SMD was consistently noting higher presepsin levels in non-survivals (P< 0.05).

Conclusion

This meta-analysis demonstrates some mortality prediction value in presepsin in patients with sepsis. Further studies are needed to define the optimal cut-off point to predict mortality in sepsis.

Predictive value of the C-reactive protein-to-prealbumin ratio in medical ICU patients

AIM

This prospective study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the ratio of C-reactive protein-to-prealbumin (CRP/PAB) and clinical outcomes in medical intensive care unit patients.

MATERIALS & METHODS

All 240 consecutive adult patients were enrolled in this study with demographic and clinical features collected.

RESULTS

Compared with patients belonging to the CRP/PAB ≤0.24 group, hospital mortality and the total length of stay in hospital (TLSH) were significantly increased in patients in the CRP/PAB >0.24 group. CRP/PAB and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score score were independently correlated with hospital mortality while CRP/PAB and age were independently associated with TLSH.

CONCLUSION

CRP/PAB were independently correlated with hospital mortality and TLSH in medical intensive care unit.

Predictive value of C-reactive protein in critically ill patients after abdominal surgery

OBJECTIVES:

The development of sepsis after abdominal surgery is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Due to inflammation, it may be difficult to diagnose infection when it occurs, but measurement of C-reactive protein could facilitate this diagnosis. In the present study, we evaluated the predictive value and time course of C-reactive protein in relation to outcome in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) after abdominal surgery.

METHODS:

We included patients admitted to the ICU after abdominal surgery over a period of two years. The patients were divided into two groups according to their outcome: favorable (F; left the ICU alive, without modification of the antibiotic regimen) and unfavorable (D; death in the ICU, surgical revision with or without modification of the antibiotic regimen or just modification of the regimen). We then compared the highest C-reactive protein level on the first day of admission between the two groups.

RESULTS:

A total of 308 patients were included: 86 patients had an unfavorable outcome (group D) and 222 had a favorable outcome (group F). The groups were similar in terms of leukocytosis, neutrophilia, and platelet count. C-reactive protein was significantly higher at admission in group D and was the best predictor of an unfavorable outcome, with a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 72% for a threshold of 41 mg/L. No changes in C-reactive protein, as assessed based on the delta C-reactive protein, especially at days 4 and 5, were associated with a poor prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS:

A C-reactive protein cut-off of 41 mg/L during the first day of ICU admission after abdominal surgery was a predictor of an adverse outcome. However, no changes in the C-reactive protein concentration, especially by day 4 or 5, could identify patients at risk of death.

Causal mediation analysis in the context of clinical research

Clinical researches usually collected numerous intermediate variables besides treatment and outcome. These variables are often incorrectly treated as confounding factors and are thus controlled using a variety of multivariable regression models depending on the types of outcome variable. However, these methods fail to disentangle underlying mediating processes. Causal mediation analysis (CMA) is a method to dissect total effect of a treatment into direct and indirect effect. The indirect effect is transmitted via mediator to the outcome. The mediation package is designed to perform CMA under the assumption of sequential ignorability. It reports average causal mediation effect (ACME), average direct effect (ADE) and total effect. Also, the package provides visualization tool for these estimated effects. Sensitivity analysis is designed to examine whether the results are robust to the violation of the sequential ignorability assumption since the assumption has been criticized to be too strong to be satisfied in research practice.

Diagnosing sepsis - The role of laboratory medicine

Sepsis is the host response to microbial pathogens resulting in significant morbidity and mortality. An accurate and timely diagnosis of sepsis allows prompt and appropriate treatment. This review discusses laboratory testing for sepsis because differentiating systemic inflammation from infection is challenging. Procalcitonin (PCT) is currently an FDA approved test to aid in the diagnosis of sepsis but with questionable efficacy. However, studies support the use of PCT for antibiotic de-escalation. Serial lactate measurements have been recommended for monitoring treatment efficacy as part of sepsis bundles. The 2016 sepsis consensus definitions include lactate concentrations >2mmol/L (>18mg/dL) as part of the definition of septic shock. Also included in the 2016 definitions are measuring bilirubin and creatinine to determine progression of organ failure indicating worse prognosis. Hematologic parameters, including a simple white blood cell count and differential, are frequently part of the initial sepsis diagnostic protocols. Several new biomarkers have been proposed to diagnose sepsis or to predict mortality, but they currently lack sufficient sensitivity and specificity to be considered as stand-alone testing. If sepsis is suspected, new technologies and microbiologic assays allow rapid and specific identification of pathogens. In 2016 there is no single laboratory test that accurately diagnoses sepsis.

Procalcitonin Levels in Survivors and Nonsurvivors of Sepsis: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Procalcitonin (PCT) is an acute-phase reactant that has been used to diagnose and potentially track the treatment of sepsis. Procalcitonin values rise initially as the infection sets in and eventually fall with resolution. Its level has been reported to be significantly higher in potential nonsurvivors of a septic episode than among survivors. However, there is also a significant amount of evidence against this. We thus conducted a meta-analysis to pool data from all the available studies regarding PCT levels in survivors and nonsurvivors of sepsis. An extensive literature search was conducted using the key words "procalcitonin," "sepsis," and "prognosis." The references of the relevant studies were also scanned. The data from the eligible studies were extracted and analyzed for any significant pooled mean difference between survivors and nonsurvivors both on days 1 and 3. The mean difference in the day 1 PCT values between survivors and nonsurvivors was found to be statistically significant (P = 0.02). The mean difference on day 3 was also statistically significant (P = 0.002). However, in a subgroup consisting of studies on patients with severe sepsis and septic shock, day 1 difference was not found to be significant (P = 0.62). We found heterogeneity of 90% in our study population, which decreased to 62% after exclusion of studies conducted in emergency department patients. Procalcitonin levels in early stages of sepsis are significantly lower among survivors as compared with nonsurvivors of sepsis.

The effectiveness of Corticosteroids on mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome or acute lung injury: a secondary analysis

The development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is associated with dys-regulated inflammation. Since corticosteroids are potent anti-inflammatory drugs, they are thought to be beneficial for ARDS patients. The study aimed to investigate the effectiveness of corticosteroids on mortality outcome in ARDS patients. The study was a secondary analysis of a prospective randomized controlled trial (NCT00979121). ARDS patients with invasive mechanical ventilation were enrolled. Corticosteroids use was defined as IV or PO administration of corticosteroids totaling more than 20 mg methylprednisolone equivalents during one calendar day. Missing data were handled using multiple imputation technique. Multivariable model was built to adjust for confounding covariates. A total of 745 patients were enrolled, including 540 survivors and 205 non-survivors. Patients in the non-survivor group were more likely to use corticosteroids (38% vs. 29.8%; p = 0.032). After adjustment for other potential confounders, corticosteroids showed no statistically significant effect on mortality outcome (OR: 1.18; 95% CI: 0.81-1.71). Furthermore, we investigated the interaction between corticosteroid use and variables of vasopressor and PaO2. The result showed that there was no significant interaction. In conclusion, the study failed to identify any beneficial effects of corticosteroids on mortality outcome in patients with ARDS.

Modeling C-reactive protein kinetic profiles for use as a clinical prediction tool in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia

Aim: We hypothesized that C-reactive protein (CRP) kinetics can be accurately modeled and might have clinical utility in a cohort of patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia. Materials & methods: We constructed and validated a nonlinear mixed effects model using CRP values obtained during the first week of illness. Results: Hematological malignancy, prosthetic heart valves and metastatic seeding were identified as major covariates that influenced CRP kinetics. When considering the presence of metastatic infection as an ‘unknown’, the model could predict its presence through analysis of the observed CRP profile with an Area-under-the-Receiver-Operator-Characteristic curve of 0.81, indicating some diagnostic accuracy. Conclusion: We conclude that early CRP kinetics can be accurately modeled and can help identify patients with metastatic seeding in S. aureus bacteremia. Further validation is required.

Platelet indices are novel predictors of hospital mortality in intensive care unit patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Platelet volume indices (PVIs) are inexpensive and readily available in intensive care units (ICUs). However, their association with mortality has never been investigated in a critical care setting. Our study aimed to investigate the association of PVI and mortality in unselected ICU patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study conducted in a mixed 24-bed ICU from September 2010 to December 2012. Platelet indices including mean platelet volume (MPV), platelet distribution width (PDW), platelet count, and plateletcrit were measured on ICU entry. Univariable analyses were performed to screen for variables that were associated with mortality. Variables with P < .1 were incorporated into a regression model to adjust for the odds ratio of platelet indices.

RESULTS

A total of 1556 patients were included during the study period, including 1113 survivors and 443 nonsurvivors (mortality rate: 28.47%). Platelet distribution width and MPV were significantly higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors. Platelet distribution width greater than 17% and MPV greater than 11.3 fL were independent risk factors for mortality (adjusted odds ratio: 1.92 and 1.84, respectively) and survival time (hazards ratio: 1.77 and 1.75, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Higher MPV and PDW are associated with increased risk of death, whereas the decrease in plateletcrit is associated with increased mortality risk.

Role of C-reactive protein in schizophrenia: an overview

Over the years, schizophrenia is speculated to be associated with immune or inflammatory reactions mediated by cytokines. It is proposed that chronic inflammation might damage the micro-vascular system of brain and hamper cerebral blood flow. Scientific evidence suggests that an increase of stress hormone like norepinephrine may activate the inflammatory arm of the immune system and trigger the expression of genes that cause chronic, low-grade inflammation. Thus, studies were conducted to decipher the potentiality of CRP as a marker for inflammation in schizophrenia. This article reviews the findings of CRP in schizophrenia, and the limitations of the previous studies have been discussed. The importance of simultaneous study of CRP modulating cytokines and CRP gene polymorphism in the study of serum or plasma level of CRP has been emphasized.

Prediction of delirium in critically ill patients with elevated C-reactive protein

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Delirium is thought to be associated with systemic inflammatory response. However, its association with the most widely used inflammatory biomarker C-reactive protein (CRP) has not been well established. We aimed to examine whether CRP on intensive care unit (ICU) entry was associated with subsequent development of delirium.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This prospective observational study was conducted in a mixed 24-bed ICU in a tertiary teaching hospital.

METHODS

All patients admitted to the ICU from February 2011 to June 2012 were screened for eligibility. Demographic data and clinical characteristics of included patients were recorded. Patients were screened for the presence of delirium by using the tool Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU (CAM-ICU). C-reactive protein was obtained on ICU entry and 24 hours thereafter. Eligible patients were followed up for 28 days or until death. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate independent risk factors for delirium. Clinical outcome included the length of stay (LOS) in the ICU, 28-day mortality, and duration of mechanical ventilation. Two-tailed P < .05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 223 patients were included during study period. In univariate analysis, patients with delirium showed significantly higher CRP values than those without (120.5 vs 57.5 mg/L; P = .0001). By adjusting for confounding variables (including age, sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, intubation, living alone, physical restraint, alcohol drinking, smoking, type of medical condition, and hospital LOS before ICU admission) in logistic regression model, CRP remained an independent predictor of delirium (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.15). As compared with nondelirious patients, those with delirium showed longer LOS in ICU (13 vs 5 days; P < .001) and duration of mechanical ventilation (6 vs 1 days; P < .001). An increase in CRP greater than 8.1 mg/L within 24 hours was associated with 4-fold increase in the risk of delirium (odds ratio: 4.47, 95% confidence interval, 1.28-15.60).

CONCLUSION

C-reactive protein measured on ICU entry and its changes within 24 hours are risk indicators of delirium. Further studies exploring the treatment of delirium according to CRP levels are warranted.

Red cell distribution width is associated with hospital mortality in unselected critically ill patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Red cell distribution width (RDW) is a variability of red cell sizes and has been associated with outcomes in many clinical settings. Its prognostic value in intensive care unit (ICU) has been reported but requires confirmation. The study aimed to investigate the role of RDW in predicting hospital mortality in critically ill patients.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study conducted in a 24-bed ICU of a tertiary teaching hospital. Data on demographic characteristics and laboratory measurements were collected from medical information database. Baseline variables were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors. The primary endpoint was hospital mortality; and ICU length of stays (LOS) were compared between patients with RDW >14.8% and ≤14.8%. The predictive value of RDW was also measured using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Two-sided P<0.05 was considered to be statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 1,539 patients were enrolled during study period, including 1,084 survivors and 455 nonsurvivors. In univariate analysis, variables such as age, sex, primary diagnosis, C-reactive protein (CRP), RDW and albumin were significantly associated with hospital mortality. RDW remained significantly associated with mortality after adjustment for sex, age, Charlson index albumin and CRP, with an odds ratio of 1.1 (95% CI: 1.03-1.16). Diagnostic performance of RDW in predicting mortality appeared to be suboptimal (AU-ROC: 0.62). Changes in RDW during a short follow up period were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

RDW measured on ICU entry is associated with hospital mortality. Patients with higher RDW will have longer LOS in ICU. Repeated measurements of RDW provide no additional prognostic value in critically ill patients.

Higher serum chloride concentrations are associated with acute kidney injury in unselected critically ill patients

BACKGROUND

Chloride administration has been found to be harmful to the kidney in critically ill patients. However the association between plasma chloride concentration and renal function has never been investigated.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study conducted in a tertiary 24-bed intensive care unit from September 2010 to November 2012. Data on serum chloride for each patient during their ICU stay were abstracted from electronic database. Cl0 referred to the initial chloride on ICU entry, Cl(max), Cl(min) and Cl(mean) referred to the maximum, minimum and mean chloride values before the onset of AKI, respectively. AKI was defined according to the conventional AKIN criteria. Univariate and multivariable analysis were performed to examine the association of chloride and AKI development.

RESULTS

A total of 1221 patients were included into analysis during study period. Three hundred and fifty-seven patients (29.2%) developed AKI. Cl(max) was significantly higher in AKI than in non-AKI group (111.8 ± 8.1 vs 107.9 ± 5.4 mmol/l; p < 0.001); Cl0 was not significantly different between AKI and non-AKI patients; Cl(mean) was significantly higher in AKI than non-AKI (104.3 ± 5.8 vs 103.4 ± 4.5;  = 0.0047) patients. Cl(max) remained to be associated with AKI in multivariable analysis (OR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.08-1.13).

CONCLUSION

Chloride overload as represented by Cl(mean) and Cl(max) is significantly associated with the development of AKI.

Interpretation of C-reactive protein concentrations in critically ill patients

Infection is often difficult to recognize in critically ill patients because of the marked coexisting inflammatory process. Lack of early recognition prevents timely resuscitation and effective antimicrobial therapy, resulting in increased morbidity and mortality. Measurement of a biomarker, such as C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration, in addition to history and physical signs, could facilitate diagnosis. Although frequently measured in clinical practice, few studies have reported on the pathophysiological role of this biomarker and its predictive value in critically ill patients. In this review, we discuss the pathophysiological role of CRP and its potential interpretation in the inflammatory processes observed in critically ill patients.

Age-related differences in symptoms, diagnosis and prognosis of bacteremia

Background

Elderly patients are at particular risk for bacteremia and sepsis. Atypical presentation may complicate the diagnosis. We studied patients with bacteremia, in order to assess possible age-related effects on the clinical presentation and course of severe infections.

Methods

We reviewed the records of 680 patients hospitalized between 1994 and 2004. All patients were diagnosed with bacteremia, 450 caused by Escherichia coli and 230 by Streptococcus pneumoniae. Descriptive analyses were performed for three age groups (< 65 years, 65–84 years, ≥ 85 years). In multivariate analyses age was dichotomized (< 65, ≥ 65 years). Symptoms were categorized into atypical or typical. Prognostic sensitivity of CRP and SIRS in identifying early organ failure was studied at different cut-off values. Outcome variables were organ failure within one day after admission and in-hospital mortality.

Results

The higher age-groups more often presented atypical symptoms (p <0.001), decline in general health (p=0.029), and higher in-hospital mortality (p<0.001). The prognostic sensitivity of CRP did not differ between age groups, but in those ≥ 85 years the prognostic sensitivity of two SIRS criteria was lower than that of three criteria. Classical symptoms were protective for early organ failure (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.45-0.99), and risk factors included; age ≥ 65 years (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.09-2.49), comorbid illnesses (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.02-1.40 per diagnosis), decline in general health (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.58-3.27), tachycardia (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.02-2.20), tachypnea (OR 3.86, 95% CI 2.64-5.66), and leukopenia (OR 4.16, 95% CI 1.59-10.91). Fever was protective for in-hospital mortality (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.24-0.89), and risk factors included; age ≥ 65 years (OR 15.02, 95% CI 3.68-61.29), ≥ 1 comorbid illness (OR 2.61, 95% CI 1.11-6.14), bacteremia caused by S. pneumoniae (OR 2.79, 95% CI 1.43-5.46), leukopenia (OR 4.62, 95% CI 1.88-11.37), and number of early failing organs (OR 3.06, 95% CI 2.20-4.27 per failing organ).

Conclusions

Elderly patients with bacteremia more often present with atypical symptoms and reduced general health. The SIRS-criteria have poorer sensitivity for identifying organ failure in these patients. Advanced age, comorbidity, decline in general health, pneumococcal infection, and absence of classical symptoms are markers of a poor prognosis.

The role of C-reactive protein and the SOFA score as parameter for clinical decision making in surgical patients during the intensive care unit course

Introduction

C-reactive Protein (CRP) is used next to clinical scoring systems to recognize critically ill patients prone to develop complications on the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). The purpose of this study is to assess the predictive value of CRP as parameter for clinical deterioration and/or clinical decision making as ordering diagnostic procedures or performing (re)interventions. Also, we wanted to determine the value of CRP in early detection of surgical complications in the critically ill general surgical patient in the ICU and its interpretation in adjunct to a clinical scoring system, the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score.

Materials and Methods

In our prospective observational study, 174 general surgical patients admitted into the Intensive Care Unit were included. We evaluated the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score (SOFA) and daily measured the C-reactive protein (CRP) concentrations. All events (diagnostic or therapeutic interventions) and surgical complications were registered. Then the relationship between SOFA score, CRP concentrations, events and complications were studied.

Results

Each 10% increase in CRP resulted in a 3.5% increase in the odds of an event (odds ratio 1.035, 95% CI: 1.004–1.068; p = 0.028). However, an increase in CRP levels did not lead to a higher odds of complication (OR 0.983, 95% CI: 0.932–1.036; p = 0.52). When adjusting for the SOFA score the effect of CRP on the probability of a first event remained significant (OR 1.033, 95% CI: 1.001–1.065; p = 0.046), and again did not significantly affect the complication probability (OR 0.980, 95% CI: 0.929–1.035; p = 0.46).

Conclusions

An increase in C-reactive protein is a poor parameter for early detection of complications in the critically ill surgical patient in the ICU by means of diagnostic procedures or therapeutic (re)-interventions.

Eosinophil count and neutrophil-lymphocyte count ratio as prognostic markers in patients with bacteremia: a retrospective cohort study

Introduction

There is scarce evidence on the use of eosinophil count as a marker of outcome in patients with infection. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether changes in eosinophil count, as well as the neutrophil-lymphocyte count ratio (NLCR), could be used as clinical markers of outcome in patients with bacteremia.

Methods

We performed a retrospective study of patients with a first episode of community-acquired or healthcare-related bacteremia during hospital admission between 2004 and 2009. A total of 2,311 patients were included. Cox regression was used to analyze the behaviour of eosinophil count and the NLCR in survivors and non-survivors.

Results

In the adjusted analysis, the main independent risk factor for mortality was persistence of an eosinophil count below 0.0454·10³/uL (HR = 4.20; 95% CI 2.66–6.62). An NLCR value >7 was also an independent risk factor but was of lesser importance. The mean eosinophil count in survivors showed a tendency to increase rapidly and to achieve normal values between the second and third day. In these patients, the NLCR was <7 between the second and third day.

Conclusion

Both sustained eosinopenia and persistence of an NLCR >7 were independent markers of mortality in patients with bacteremia.

Ten Commandments of Interpreting and Applying Results of Biomarker Research

Prognostic and diagnostic capabilities of a biomarker are ‘two sides of the same coin’ in medicine. For instance, serum troponin is very useful in diagnosing acute myocardial infarction and, at the same time, the peak concentrations of serum troponin are also useful in assessing the prognosis of both ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI1. In this issue of the Journal, we have two interesting studies on prognostic significance of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) or lactate concentrations in critically ill patients2,3, and they conclude that these non-specific biomarkers may be useful to predict mortality of critically ill patients.