Validation of two predictive models for survival in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Management of pulmonary hypertension in special conditions

Care of pulmonary hypertension (PH) patients in special situations requires insightful knowledge of the pathophysiology of the cardiopulmonary system and close interaction with different specialists, depending on the situation. The role of this task force was to gather knowledge about five conditions that PH patients may be faced with. These conditions are 1) perioperative care; 2) management of pregnancy; 3) medication adherence; 4) palliative care; and 5) the influence of climate on PH. Many of these aspects have not been covered by previous World Symposia on Pulmonary Hypertension. All of the above conditions are highly affected by psychological, geographical and socioeconomic factors, and share the need for adequate healthcare provision. The task force identified significant gaps in information and research in these areas. The current recommendations are based on detailed literature search and expert opinion. The task force calls for further studies and research to better understand and address the special circumstances that PH patients may encounter.

Risk stratification and treatment goals in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Risk stratification has gained an increasing role in predicting outcomes and guiding the treatment of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The most predictive prognostic factors are three noninvasive parameters (World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walk distance and natriuretic peptides) that are included in all currently validated risk stratification tools. However, suffering from limitations mainly related to reduced specificity of PAH severity, these variables may not always be adequate in isolation for guiding individualised treatment decisions. Moreover, with effective combination treatment regimens and emerging PAH therapies, markers associated with pulmonary vascular remodelling are expected to become of increasing relevance in guiding the treatment of patients with PAH. While reaching a low mortality risk, assessed with a validated risk tool, remains an important treatment goal, preliminary data suggest that invasive haemodynamics and cardiac imaging may add incremental value in guiding treatment decisions.

Cardiac Arrhythmias in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension and Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension: Mechanistic Insights, Pathophysiology, and Outcomes

Arrhythmias are increasingly recognized as severe complications of precapillary pulmonary hypertension, encompassing pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Despite their significant contribution to symptoms, morbidity, in-hospital mortality, and potentially sudden death in PAH/CTEPH, there remains a lack of comprehensive data on epidemiology, pathophysiology, and outcomes to inform the management of these patients. This review provides an overview of the latest evidence on this subject, spanning from the molecular mechanisms underlying arrhythmias in the hypertrophied or failing right heart to the clinical aspects of epidemiology, diagnosis, and treatment.

Prognostic Value of Serial Risk Stratification in Adult and Pediatric Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

In pulmonary arterial hypertension, it is recommended to base therapeutic decisions on risk stratification. This systematic review aims to report the prognostic value of serial risk stratification in adult and pediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension and to explore the usability of serial risk stratification as treatment target.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Electronic databases PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched up to January 30, 2023, using terms associated with pulmonary arterial hypertension, pediatric pulmonary hypertension, and risk stratification. Observational studies and clinical trials describing risk stratification at both baseline and follow-up were included. Sixty five studies were eligible for inclusion, including only 2 studies in a pediatric population. C-statistic range at baseline was 0.31 to 0.77 and improved to 0.30 to 0.91 at follow-up. In 53% of patients, risk status changed (42% improved, 12% worsened) over 168 days (interquartile range, 137-327 days; n=22 studies). The average proportion of low-risk patients increased from 18% at baseline to 36% at a median follow-up of 244 days (interquartile range, 140-365 days; n=40 studies). In placebo-controlled drug studies, risk statuses of the intervention groups improved more and worsened less compared with the placebo groups. Furthermore, a low-risk status, but also an improved risk status, at follow-up was associated with a better outcome. Similar results were found in the 2 pediatric studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Follow-up risk stratification has improved prognostic value compared with baseline risk stratification, and change in risk status between baseline and follow-up corresponded to a change in survival. These data support the use of serial risk stratification as treatment target in pulmonary arterial hypertension.

A prognostic model for systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: CSTAR-PAH cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary arterial hypertension is a major cause of death in systemic lupus erythematosus, but there are no tools specialized for predicting survival in systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension.

RESEARCH QUESTION

To develop a practical model for predicting long-term prognosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension.

METHODS

A prognostic model was developed from a multicenter, longitudinal national cohort of consecutively evaluated patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension. The study was conducted between November 2006 and February 2020. All-cause death was defined as the endpoint. Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operators were used to fit the model. Internal validation of the model was assessed by discrimination and calibration using bootstrapping.

RESULTS

Of 310 patients included in the study, 81 (26.1%) died within a median follow-up of 5.94 years (interquartile range 4.67-7.46). The final prognostic model included eight variables: modified World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walking distance, pulmonary vascular resistance, estimated glomerular filtration rate, thrombocytopenia, mild interstitial lung disease, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide/brain natriuretic peptide level, and direct bilirubin level. A 5-year death probability predictive algorithm was established and validated using the C-index (0.77) and a satisfactory calibration curve. Risk stratification was performed based on the predicted probability to improve clinical decision-making.

CONCLUSIONS

This new risk stratification model for systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension may provide individualized prognostic probability using readily obtained clinical risk factors. External validation is required to demonstrate the accuracy of this model's predictions in diverse patient populations.

Pharmacotherapy of refractory pulmonary arterial hypertension

INTRODUCTION

Treatment of refractory pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is challenging and rarely the focus of reviews. The purpose of this review is to discuss current treatment options of refractory PAH, along with the state of research of several new medications.

AREAS COVERED

We conducted a comprehensive PubMed search on the relevant literature on treating PAH, with a focus on approved and investigational interventions for high-risk patients. Our strategy used keywords 'Treatment' AND 'Pulmonary Hypertension,' without date restrictions, ensuring a thorough survey of available literature for our review.

EXPERT OPINION

By utilizing serial risk assessment to identify patients remaining intermediate or high-risk, more patients are likely to survive longer. This is done by earlier use of combination or triple therapy with prostacyclin drugs. Current medications for PAH are all essentially vasodilators that improve physiology, but do not truly modify the disease process. The potential application of new investigational medications is exciting as they work by novel pathways likely to change the landscape of refractory PAH treatment.

Health Care Disparities in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

The current approach for the management of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) relies on data gathered from clinical trials and large registries. However, there is concern that minorities including Black, Indigenous, and People of Color are underrepresented in these trials and registries, making current data not generalizable to these groups of patients. Hence, it is important to discuss the significance of race/ethnicity and socioeconomic factors in patients with PAH. Here, we review the current knowledge on health care disparities in PAH. We also propose future steps in the global task of assuring justice and equality in access to pulmonary hypertension health care.

Evolution and optimization of clinical trial endpoints and design in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Selection of endpoints for clinical trials in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is challenging because of the small numbers of patients and the changing expectations of patients, clinicians, and regulators in this evolving therapy area. The most commonly used primary endpoint in PAH trials has been 6-min walk distance (6MWD), leading to the approval of several targeted therapies. However, single surrogate endpoints such as 6MWD or hemodynamic parameters may not correlate with clinical outcomes. Composite endpoints of clinical worsening have been developed to reflect patients' overall condition more accurately, although there is no standard definition of worsening. Recently there has been a shift to composite endpoints assessing clinical improvement, and risk scores developed from registry data are increasingly being used. Biomarkers are another area of interest, although brain natriuretic peptide and its N-terminal prohormone are the only markers used for risk assessment or as endpoints in PAH. A range of other genetic, metabolic, and immunologic markers is currently under investigation, along with conventional and novel imaging modalities. Patient-reported outcomes are an increasingly important part of evaluating new therapies, and several PAH-specific tools are now available. In the future, alternative statistical techniques and trial designs, such as patient enrichment strategies, will play a role in evaluating PAH-targeted therapies. In addition, modern sequencing techniques, imaging analyses, and high-dimensional statistical modeling/machine learning may reveal novel markers that can play a role in the diagnosis and monitoring of PAH.

The combination of supervised and unsupervised learning based risk stratification and phenotyping in pulmonary arterial hypertension-a long-term retrospective multicenter trial

BACKGROUND

Accurate risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), a devastating cardiopulmonary disease, is essential to guide successful therapy. Machine learning may improve risk management and harness clinical variability in PAH.

METHODS

We conducted a long-term retrospective observational study (median follow-up: 67 months) including 183 PAH patients from three Austrian PAH expert centers. Clinical, cardiopulmonary function, laboratory, imaging, and hemodynamic parameters were assessed. Cox proportional hazard Elastic Net and partitioning around medoid clustering were applied to establish a multi-parameter PAH mortality risk signature and investigate PAH phenotypes.

RESULTS

Seven parameters identified by Elastic Net modeling, namely age, six-minute walking distance, red blood cell distribution width, cardiac index, pulmonary vascular resistance, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and right atrial area, constituted a highly predictive mortality risk signature (training cohort: concordance index = 0.82 [95%CI: 0.75 - 0.89], test cohort: 0.77 [0.66 - 0.88]). The Elastic Net signature demonstrated superior prognostic accuracy as compared with five established risk scores. The signature factors defined two clusters of PAH patients with distinct risk profiles. The high-risk/poor prognosis cluster was characterized by advanced age at diagnosis, poor cardiac output, increased red cell distribution width, higher pulmonary vascular resistance, and a poor six-minute walking test performance.

CONCLUSION

Supervised and unsupervised learning algorithms such as Elastic Net regression and medoid clustering are powerful tools for automated mortality risk prediction and clinical phenotyping in PAH.

Risk assessment validation in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: Data from a Southern Brazil registry (RESPHIRAR study)

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a severe and progressive disease characterized by increased pulmonary vascular resistance, ultimately leading to right heart failure and death. Registries are a valuable tool in the research of rare conditions such as PAH. Moreover, the risk assessment strategy has been validated in European and North American registries and has been reported to provide an accurate prediction of mortality and the clinical advantage of reaching low-risk status. However, there is no available data from Brazil. Thus, the aim of the present study was to describe the characteristics of a sample of PAH from Southern Brazil and to retrospectively validate the risk assessment at our population. The RESPHIRAR is a retrospective and multicentric registry on pulmonary hypertension. With a join collaboration from nine centers in Southern Brazil, demographics, clinical presentation, and hemodynamics data of PAH were collected between 2007 and 2017. Moreover, the REVEAL 2.0 and REVEAL 2.0 Lite risk assessments were validated in our population. Overall, 370 PAH patients were included in the present study. Patients were predominantly female (78.5%) and had a mean age of 41.8 ± 18.8 years. Most patients (33.4%) had idiopathic PAH, 30.2% had PAH associated with congenital heart disease, and 23.5% had PAH associated with connective tissue disease. The low-risk group showed significantly lower mortality than the intermediated- or high-risk group at diagnosis (p < 0.05). In conclusion, our data suggest that REVEAL 2.0 and REVEAL 2.0 Lite risk assessments can predict mortality risk in PAH patients in Southern Brazil.

The evolving landscape of pulmonary arterial hypertension clinical trials

Although it is a rare disease, the number of available therapeutic options for treating pulmonary arterial hypertension has increased since the late 1990s, with multiple drugs developed that are shown to be effective in phase 3 randomised controlled trials. Despite considerable advancements in pulmonary arterial hypertension treatment, prognosis remains poor. Existing therapies target pulmonary endothelial dysfunction with vasodilation and anti-proliferative effects. Novel therapies that target proliferative vascular remodelling and affect important outcomes are urgently needed. There is need for additional innovations in clinical trial design so that all emerging candidate therapies can be rigorously studied. Pulmonary arterial hypertension trial design has shifted from short-term submaximal exercise capacity as a primary endpoint, to larger clinical event-driven trial outcomes. Event-driven pulmonary arterial hypertension trials could face feasibility and efficiency issues in the future because increasing sample sizes and longer follow-up durations are needed, which would be problematic in such a rare disease. Enrichment strategies, innovative and alternative trial designs, and novel trial endpoints are potential solutions that could improve the efficiency of future pulmonary arterial hypertension trials while maintaining robustness and clinically meaningful evidence.

Risk stratification in adult and pediatric pulmonary arterial hypertension: A systematic review

Introduction

Currently, risk stratification is the cornerstone of determining treatment strategy for patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Since the 2015 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of pulmonary hypertension recommended risk assessment, the number of studies reporting risk stratification has considerably increased. This systematic review aims to report and compare the variables and prognostic value of the various risk stratification models for outcome prediction in adult and pediatric PAH.

Methods

A systematic search with terms related to PAH, pediatric pulmonary hypertension, and risk stratification was performed through databases PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science up to June 8, 2022. Observational studies and clinical trials on risk stratification in adult and pediatric PAH were included, excluding case reports/series, guidelines, and reviews. Risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. Data on the variables used in the models and the predictive strength of the models given by c-statistic were extracted from eligible studies.

Results

A total of 74 studies were eligible for inclusion, with this review focusing on model development (n = 21), model validation (n = 13), and model enhancement (n = 9). The variables used most often in current risk stratification models were the non-invasive WHO functional class, 6-minute walk distance and BNP/NT-proBNP, and the invasive mean right atrial pressure, cardiac index and mixed venous oxygen saturation. C-statistics of current risk stratification models range from 0.56 to 0.83 in adults and from 0.69 to 0.78 in children (only two studies available). Risk stratification models focusing solely on echocardiographic parameters or biomarkers have also been reported.

Conclusion

Studies reporting risk stratification in pediatric PAH are scarce. This systematic review provides an overview of current data on risk stratification models and its value for guiding treatment strategies in PAH.

Systematic review registration

[https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42022316885], identifier [CRD42022316885].

Hispanic Ethnicity and Social Determinants of Health in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: The Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry

Rationale: There is a noticeable underrepresentation of minorities in clinical trials and registries in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Prior studies evaluating the association between Hispanic ethnicity and clinical outcomes in patients with PAH have not assessed the socioeconomic profile of Hispanic individuals or the significance of social determinants of health in clinical outcomes. Objectives: To determine the association between Hispanic ethnicity, social determinants of health, and clinical outcomes in PAH. Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of adult participants with PAH enrolled in the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry, a multicenter U.S.-based registry of patients treated at pulmonary hypertension care centers. Participants were classified as Hispanics and non-Hispanic White individuals, based on self-reported ethnicity. A comparison of baseline clinical and sociodemographic characteristics between groups was performed as well using absolute standardized differences (ASD). The primary outcome of the study was to assess transplant-free survival between Hispanics and non-Hispanic White individuals. A Cox proportional hazards model was used for the multivariable analysis after adjusting for age, sex, PAH etiology, annual income, education level, and health insurance. Results: A total of 683 individuals were included, 98 (14.3%) of Hispanic ethnicity. Hispanic patients had impaired access to health care (31.6% vs. 12.9% Medicaid/uninsured; ASD, 0.35), lower education level (72.6% vs. 94.0% high school graduates or higher; ASD, 0.60), and lower annual income (32.0% vs. 17.4% with income <20,000 U.S. dollars; ASD, 0.47), compared with non-Hispanic White individuals. Hispanic patients had a higher frequency of emergency room visits and a higher number of hospitalizations, despite having similar disease severity (incidence rate ratio, 1.452; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.326-1.590; and 1.428; 95% CI, 1.292-1.577, respectively). Although the unadjusted analysis showed a lower transplant/death hazard ratio for Hispanics (hazard ratio, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.24-0.94; P = 0.032), there was no association between Hispanic ethnicity and outcome in the multivariable model after adjusting for social determinants of health and other covariates (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.35-1.62; P = 0.474). Conclusions: Hispanic ethnicity was not associated with differences in survival after adjusting for social determinants of health and other factors. Social determinants of health are important to consider when assessing the association between ethnicity and outcomes in PAH.

Risk assessment tools for survival prognosis: An era of new surrogacy endpoints for clinical outcome measurement in pulmonary arterial hypertension clinical trials?

Developing a new medication in a rare disease indication like pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is very challenging. This is especially true now that clinical trials often employ time to clinical worsening (TTCW) as an endpoint (thus requiring a relatively large and lengthy trial) and since patients are more frequently prescribed combination therapy. During the last few decades, several tools have been developed to predict mortality in PAH and have demonstrated generally good discrimination. The objective of this review article is to assess the available data on the different tools and methods described in the literature and identify potential candidates that could be used as surrogate endpoints in pivotal randomized clinical trials in future. Some of these tools have been validated in various registries and in post-hoc analyses of clinical trial data, but none have been assessed in a prospective clinical trial and we still lack the evidence necessary for endorsement by health authorities. In this review, we identify several promising options that warrant further investigation as potential surrogate endpoints in clinical trials to replace TTCW or 6-minute walk distance. Prospective inclusion of such tools in new clinical trials may help build a stronger surrogacy for prognosis of disease progression and mortality.

The Right Heart Network and Risk Stratification in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Prognosis in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is closely related to indexes of right ventricular function. A better understanding of their relationship may provide important implications for risk stratification in PAH.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can clinical network graphs inform risk stratification in PAH?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

The study cohort consisted of 231 patients with PAH followed up for a median of 7.1 years. An undirected, correlation network was used to visualize the relationship between clinical features in PAH. This network was enriched for right heart parameters and included N-terminal pro-hormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), comprehensive echocardiographic parameters, and hemodynamics, as well as 6-min walk distance (6MWD), vital signs, laboratory data, and diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (Dlco). Connectivity was assessed by using eigenvector and betweenness centrality to reflect global and regional connectivity, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to model event-free survival for the combined end point of death or lung transplantation.

RESULTS

A network of closely intertwined features centered around NT-proBNP with 6MWD emerging as a secondary hub were identified. Less connected nodes included Dlco, systolic BP, albumin, and sodium. Over the follow-up period, death or transplantation occurred in 92 patients (39.8%). A strong prognostic model was achieved with a Harrell's C-index of 0.81 (0.77-0.85) when combining central right heart features (NT-proBNP and right ventricular end-systolic remodeling index) with 6MWD and less connected nodes (Dlco, systolic BP, albumin, sodium, sex, connective tissue disease etiology, and prostanoid therapy). When added to the baseline risk model, serial change in NT-proBNP significantly improved outcome prediction at 5 years (increase in C-statistic of 0.071 ± 0.024; P = .003).

INTERPRETATION

NT-proBNP emerged as a central hub in the intertwined PAH network. Connectivity analysis provides explainability for feature selection and combination in outcome models.

Using the Plasma Proteome for Risk Stratifying Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Rationale: NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide), a biomarker of cardiac origin, is used to risk stratify patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Its limitations include poor sensitivity to early vascular pathology. Other biomarkers of vascular or systemic origin may also be useful in the management of PAH. Objectives: Identify prognostic proteins in PAH that complement NT-proBNP and clinical risk scores. Methods: An aptamer-based assay (SomaScan version 4) targeting 4,152 proteins was used to measure plasma proteins in patients with idiopathic, heritable, or drug-induced PAH from the UK National Cohort of PAH (n = 357) and the French EFORT (Evaluation of Prognostic Factors and Therapeutic Targets in PAH) study (n = 79). Prognostic proteins were identified in discovery-replication analyses of UK samples. Proteins independent of 6-minute-walk distance and NT-proBNP entered least absolute shrinkage and selection operator modeling, and the best combination in a single score was evaluated against clinical targets in EFORT. Measurements and Main Results: Thirty-one proteins robustly informed prognosis independent of NT-proBNP and 6-minute-walk distance in the UK cohort. A weighted combination score of six proteins was validated at baseline (5-yr mortality; area under the curve [AUC], 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.85) and follow-up in EFORT (AUC, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75-0.94; P = 9.96 × 10^-6). The protein score risk stratified patients independent of established clinical targets and risk equations. The addition of the six-protein model score to NT-proBNP improved prediction of 5-year outcomes from AUC 0.762 (0.702-0.821) to 0.818 (0.767-0.869) by receiver operating characteristic analysis (P = 0.00426 for difference in AUC) in the UK replication and French samples combined. Conclusions: The plasma proteome informs prognosis beyond established factors in PAH and may provide a more sensitive measure of therapeutic response.

Harnessing Big Data to Advance Treatment and Understanding of Pulmonary Hypertension

Pulmonary hypertension is a complex disease with multiple causes, corresponding to phenotypic heterogeneity and variable therapeutic responses. Advancing understanding of pulmonary hypertension pathogenesis is likely to hinge on integrated methods that leverage data from health records, imaging, novel molecular -omics profiling, and other modalities. In this review, we summarize key data sets generated thus far in the field and describe analytical methods that hold promise for deciphering the molecular mechanisms that underpin pulmonary vascular remodeling, including machine learning, network medicine, and functional genetics. We also detail how genetic and subphenotyping approaches enable earlier diagnosis, refined prognostication, and optimized treatment prediction. We propose strategies that identify functionally important molecular pathways, bolstered by findings across multi-omics platforms, which are well-positioned to individualize drug therapy selection and advance precision medicine in this highly morbid disease.

Long-term mortality after pulmonary artery denervation stratified by baseline functional class in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: Long-term mortality after PADN stratified by functional class

AIMS

This study aimed to assess the long-term effects of pulmonary artery denervation (PADN) on mortality in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Between March 2012 and March 2018, a total of 120 patients with PAH, who underwent PADN treatment and were prospectively followed up, were analysed. Patients were classified into World Health Organization (WHO) Functional Class I and II (FC 1-2; n=46) and Functional Class III and IV (FC 3-4; n=74) according to their FC prior to PADN. The primary endpoint was lung transplantation-free mortality until March 2021. The secondary endpoint was a change in the six-minute walk distance (6MWD). During the median of 4.8 years of follow-up, 23 (19.2%) patients died, predominantly from the FC 3-4 group (25.7%), compared to 8.7% in the FC 1-2 group (p=0.034). The mortality rate at one year (2.2% vs 12.2%, p=0.087) and three years (6.5% vs 17.6%, p=0.102) was numerically low in the FC 1-2 group versus the FC 3-4 group, respectively. The median net increase of 6MWD was +29 m in the FC 1-2 group, compared to +60.5 m in the FC 3-4 group (p=0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

PADN results in significant improvements in survival at long-term follow-up, especially in patients with PAH in FC 3-4. This study was the continuation of the PADN-1 study which was registered at URL: http://www.chictr.trc.com.cn. Unique identifier: chiCTR-ONC-12002085.

Change in REVEAL Lite 2 risk score predicts outcomes in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension in the PATENT study

BACKGROUND

Risk assessment is essential in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) management. We investigated the effect of riociguat on REVEAL Lite 2 score, an abridged version of the REVEAL risk score, and its association with long-term outcomes in PATENT.

METHODS

PATENT-1 was a randomized, double-blind study of riociguat vs placebo in patients with PAH. In the PATENT-2 open-label extension, all patients received riociguat up to 2.5 mg three times daily (n = 396). REVEAL Lite 2 scores were calculated at baseline, PATENT-1 Week 12, and PATENT-2 Week 12, with patients stratified as low- (1-5), intermediate- (6-7), or high-risk (≥8). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses assessed association of riociguat with survival and clinical worsening-free survival (CWFS).

RESULTS

REVEAL Lite 2 score improved with riociguat 2.5 mg at PATENT-1 Week 12 (least-squares mean difference vs placebo: -0.8; p = 0.0004). More patients receiving riociguat 2.5 mg stabilized or improved risk stratum at PATENT-1 Week 12 vs placebo (p = 0.0005) and achieved low-risk status. REVEAL Lite 2 score at baseline and PATENT-1 Week 12 were associated with survival and CWFS (all p < 0.0001), as was change in score from baseline to Week 12 (p = 0.0002 and p < 0.0001, respectively). Survival and CWFS differed between risk strata at baseline (p < 0.0001) and PATENT-1 Week 12 (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis confirms the risk-reduction benefits of riociguat in patients with PAH and further contributes to the validation of REVEAL Lite 2 in facilitating PAH risk assessment.

What's new in pulmonary hypertension clinical research: lessons from the best abstracts at the 2020 American Thoracic Society International Conference

In this conference paper, we review the 2020 American Thoracic Society International Conference session titled, "What's New in Pulmonary Hypertension Clinical Research: Lessons from the Best Abstracts". This virtual mini-symposium took place on 21 October 2020, in lieu of the annual in-person ATS International Conference which was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Seven clinical research abstracts were selected for presentation in the session, which encompassed five major themes: (1) standardizing diagnosis and management of pulmonary hypertension, (2) improving risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension, (3) evaluating biomarkers of disease activity, (4) understanding metabolic dysregulation across the spectrum of pulmonary hypertension, and (5) advancing knowledge in chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension. Focusing on these five thematic contexts, we review the current state of knowledge, summarize presented research abstracts, appraise their significance and limitations, and then discuss relevant future directions in pulmonary hypertension clinical research.

Prediction Models and Scores in Pulmonary Hypertension: A Review

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a serious disease with increased morbidity and mortality. The need for an individualized patient treatment approach necessitates the use of risk assessment in PAH patients. That may include a range of hemodynamic, clinical, imaging and biochemical parameters derived from clinical studies and registry data.

OBJECTIVE

In the current systematic review, we summarize the available data on risk prognostic models and scores in PAH and we explore the possible concordance amongst different risk stratification tools in PAH.

METHODS

PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines aided the performance of this systematic review. Eligible studies were identified through a literature search in the electronic databases PubMed, Science Direct, Google Scholar and Cochrane with the use of various combinations of MeSH and non-MeSH terms, with a focus on PAH.

RESULTS

Overall, 25 studies were included in the systematic review; out of them, 9 were studies deriving prognostic equations and risk scores and 16 were validating studies of an existing score. The majority of risk stratification scores use hemodynamic data for the assessment of prognosis, while others also include clinical and demographic variables in their equations. The risk discrimination in the overall PAH population was adequate, especially in differentiating the low versus high-risk patients, but their discrimination ability in the intermediate groups remained lower. Current ESC/ERS proposed risk stratification score utilizes a limited number of parameters with prognostic significance, whose prognostic ability has been validated in European patient populations.

CONCLUSION

Despite improvement in risk estimation of prognostic tools of the disease, PAH morbidity and mortality remain high, necessitating the need for the risk scores to undergo periodic re-evaluation and refinements to incorporate new data into predictors of disease progression and mortality and, thereby, maintain their clinical utility.

Validation of the REVEAL Prognostic Models in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus-Associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

No previous studies have investigated the predictive performance of the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-term Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Disease Management (REVEAL) prognostic equation and simplified risk score calculator in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (SLE-PAH). We aimed to validate these prediction tools in an external cohort of patients with SLE-PAH. In this study, the validation cohort consisted of patients with SLE-PAH registered in a prospective, multicenter, nationwide database between November 2006 and May2016. The follow-up of patients was censored at 1 year. Discrimination, calibration, model fit, and risk stratification of the REVEAL prognostic equation and simplified risk score calculator were validated. As a result, a total of 306 patients with SLE-PAH were included. The 1-year overall survival rate was 91.5%. The C-index of the prognostic equation was 0.736, demonstrating reasonably good discrimination, and it was greater than that for the simplified risk score calculator (0.710). The overall calibration slope was 0.83, and the Brier score was 0.079. The risk of renal insufficiency and World Health Organization Functional Class III (WHO FC III) were underestimated, and the risk assigned to a heart rate >92 bpm in the REVEAL prognostic models was not observed in our validation cohort. Both model discrimination and calibration were poor in the very high-risk group. In conclusion, the REVEAL models exhibit good discriminatory ability when predicting 1-year overall survival in patients with SLE-PAH. Findings from both models should be interpreted with caution in cases of renal insufficiency, WHO FC III, and heart rate >92 bpm.

Impact of inhaled treprostinil on risk stratification with noninvasive parameters: a post hoc analysis of the TRIUMPH and BEAT studies

The 2015 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society treatment guidelines recommend frequent risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension utilizing risk variables. Our objectives were: (1) to investigate the impact of inhaled treprostinil on risk stratification using the French noninvasive approach and REVEAL 2.0, and (2) to analyze the prognostic utility of both risk stratification methods in the predominantly New York Heart Association/World Health Organization functional class III/IV cohorts of TRIUMPH and BEAT. A post hoc analysis was performed to assess risk at baseline and follow-up at Week 12 in the TRIUMPH cohort (n = 148) and at Week 16, 21, and 30 in the inhaled treprostinil naïve placebo BEAT cohort (n = 73). Overall survival, clinical worsening-free survival, and pulmonary arterial hypertension-related hospitalization-free survival were all assessed in the pooled TRIUMPH and inhaled treprostinil naïve placebo BEAT cohorts based on risk group/strata at Week 12/16 follow-up. Inhaled treprostinil improved REVEAL 2.0 risk stratum (OR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.09–5.19, p = 0.0298) and REVEAL 2.0 score (p = 0.0008) compared to placebo in the TRIUMPH cohort at Week 12. REVEAL 2.0 risk stratum and the number of low-risk criteria by the French approach improved at Weeks 16, 21, and 30 in the inhaled treprostinil naïve placebo BEAT cohort. Combining cohorts, REVEAL 2.0 risk stratification at follow-up was prognostic for clinical worsening-free, pulmonary arterial hypertension hospitalization-free, and overall survival, whereas the number of low-risk criteria was not. These post-hoc pooled analyses suggest inhaled treprostinil improves risk status and indicates that the REVEAL 2.0 calculator may be more suitable than the French noninvasive method for evaluating short-term clinical change in the New York Heart Association/World Health Organization functional class III/IV population.

Changes in REVEAL risk score in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension treated with macitentan in clinical practice: results from the PRACMA study

Background

Macitentan is a dual endothelin receptor antagonist indicated for the long-term treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). We evaluated the change over time in REVEAL risk score in incident and prevalent patients receiving macitentan for the first time.

Methods

Retrospective, observational study including adult patients with idiopathic/heritable PAH or PAH associated with connective tissue disorders or congenital heart disease treated with macitentan for ≥6-month follow-up in Spain. The REVEAL risk score and risk strata were computed at the start of macitentan and after ≥6-month in patients with ≥7 out of 12 valid REVEAL components.

Results

Overall, 81 patients (57 for the REVEAL score) were analysed, 77.8% women. The mean age was 57.2 years and 50.6% of patients had idiopathic/heritable PAH. Prevalent patients were 59.3 and 40.7% were incident. Main therapies for PAH included macitentan monotherapy (42.0%) and macitentan in combination with phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitor (44.4%). With a median time of macitentan treatment of 10.5 months, the mean REVEAL score was 8.7 points at baseline and was 7.2 points after ≥6-month follow-up. The mean change (95% CI) in REVEAL risk score was − 1.4 (− 2.0, − 0.9) points (p < 0.0001), being − 1.8 (− 3.0, − 0.7) points (p = 0.0040) and − 1.2 (− 1.8, − 0.5) points (p = 0.0010), in incident and prevalent patients, respectively. The reduction was also significant by risk stratum (36.8% of patients in the high-very high risk strata at baseline versus 14.0% after ≥6-month, p < 0.05) and therapy group. The REVEAL components that significantly improved were WHO functional class (FC) (63.9% FC III at macitentan initiation and 23.6% after ≥6-month, p < 0.0001), 6-min walk test (mean change: 41.8 m, p < 0.01), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or N-terminal proBNP (NT-proBNP) (mean change of − 157.6 pg/mL and − 530.0 pg/mL, respectively, p < 0.05 both), and pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) (mean change: − 3.4 WU, p < 0.01).

Conclusions

In this study, treatment with macitentan improved the REVEAL risk strata and score in both incident and prevalent PAH patients, and in all patients regardless of the therapy strategy. Macitentan significantly improved some of REVEAL components including WHO FC, BNP/NT-proBNP, PVR, and 6-min walk test after at least 6-month follow-up.

Prediction of pulmonary hypertension in older adults based on vital capacity and systolic pulmonary artery pressure

Objective

Right heart catheterization (RHC) is associated with a higher procedural risk in older adults, but non-invasive estimation of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a challenge. We aimed to elaborate a non-invasive prediction model to estimate PH.

Methods and design

We retrospectively analysed 134 older adults (70.0 years ±12.3; 44.9% males) who reported to our clinic with unclear dyspnea between 01/2015 and 01/2020 and had received RHC as a part of their diagnostic workup. Lung function testing, analysis of blood gas samples, 6 min walk distance and echocardiography were performed within 24 hours of RHC.

Main outcome measures

In a stepwise statistical approach by using an in/exclusion algorithm (using the AIC criterion) we analysed non-invasive parameters to test their value in predicting PH (defined as mean pulmonary artery pressure, PA_mean, >25mmHg). Discrimination capability of the final model was measured by the AUC (area under curve) from an ROC (receiver operating characteristics) analysis.

Results

We yielded a sensitivity of 87.2% and a specificity of 62.5% in a combinatorial logistical model with systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) and forced vital capacity (VC_max), the discrimination index was 86.7%. The odds ratios for an increase of 10 mmHg of sPAP were 2.99 (2.08–4.65) and 1.86 (1.11–3.21) for a 1 l decrease in VC_max. On their own, VC_max proved to be specific (83.3%), while sPAP was a sensitive (79.1%) predictor for PH.

Conclusions

We provide a combinatorial model to predict PH from sPAP and VC_max in older adults, which may help to avoid invasive procedures.

Chronic inflammation within the vascular wall in pulmonary arterial hypertension: more than a spectator

This review seeks to provide an update of preclinical findings and available clinical data on the chronic persistent inflammation and its direct role on the pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) progression. We reviewed the different mechanisms by which the inflammatory and immune pathways contribute to the structural and functional changes occurring in the three vascular compartments: the tunica intima, tunica media, and tunica adventitia. We also discussed how these inflammatory mediator changes may serve as a biomarker of the PAH progression and summarize unanswered questions and opportunities for future studies in this area.

The Role and Regulation of Pulmonary Artery Smooth Muscle Cells in Pulmonary Hypertension

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is one of the most devastating cardiovascular diseases worldwide and it draws much attention from numerous scientists. As an indispensable part of pulmonary artery, smooth muscle cells are worthy of being carefully investigated. To elucidate the pathogenesis of PH, several theories focusing on pulmonary artery smooth muscle cells (PASMC), such as hyperproliferation, resistance to apoptosis, and cancer theory, have been proposed and widely studied. Here, we tried to summarize the studies, concentrating on the role of PASMC in the development of PH, feasible molecular basis to intervene, and potential treatment to PH.

Prognostic Value of Cardiac Magnetic Resonance–Derived Right Ventricular Remodeling Parameters in Pulmonary Hypertension

Background

Cardiac right ventricular remodeling plays a substantial role in pathogenesis, progression, and prognosis of pulmonary hypertension. Cardiac magnetic resonance is considered an excellent tool for evaluation of right ventricle. However, value of right ventricular remodeling parameters derived from cardiac magnetic resonance in predicting adverse events is controversial.

Methods

The Pubmed (MEDLINE), Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure platform (CNKI), China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP), and Wanfang databases were systematically searched until November 2019. Studies reporting hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause death and composite end point of pulmonary hypertension were included. Univariate HRs were extracted from the included studies to calculate pooled HRs of each right ventricular remodeling parameter.

Results

Eight studies with 1120 patients examining all-cause death (female: 44%–92%, age: 40–67 years old, follow-up time: 27–48 months) and 10 studies with 604 patients examining composite end point (female: 60%–83%, age: 29–57 years old, follow-up time: 10–68 months) met the criteria. Right ventricular ejection fraction was the only parameter which could predict both all-cause death (pooled HR=0.95; P =0.014) and composite end point (pooled HR=0.95; P <0.001), although right ventricular end-diastolic volume index (pooled HR=1.01; P <0.001), right ventricular end-systolic volume index (pooled HR=1.01, P =0.045), and right ventricular mass index (pooled HR=1.03, P =0.032) only predicted composite outcome. Similar results were observed when we conducted the meta-analysis among patients with World Health Organization type I of pulmonary hypertension.

Conclusions

Cardiac magnetic resonance–derived right ventricular remodeling parameters have independent prognostic value for all-cause death and composite end point of patients with pulmonary hypertension. Right ventricular ejection fraction was the strongest prognostic factor among all the right ventricular remodeling parameters. Right ventricular mass index, right ventricular end-diastolic volume index, and right ventricular end-systolic volume index also demonstrated prognostic value.

Intravascular Ultrasound Pulmonary Artery Denervation to Treat Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension (TROPHY1): Multicenter, Early Feasibility Study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate whether therapeutic intravascular ultrasound pulmonary artery denervation (PDN) is safe and reduces pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) on a minimum of dual oral therapy.

BACKGROUND

Early studies have suggested that PDN can reduce PVR in patients with PAH.

METHODS

TROPHY1 (Treatment of Pulmonary Hypertension 1) was a multicenter, international, open-label trial undertaken at 8 specialist centers. Patients 18 to 75 years of age with PAH were eligible if taking dual oral or triple nonparenteral therapy and not responsive to acute vasodilator testing. Eligible patients underwent PDN (TIVUS System). The primary safety endpoint was procedure-related adverse events at 30 days. Secondary endpoints included procedure-related adverse events, disease worsening and death to 12 months, and efficacy endpoints that included change in pulmonary hemodynamic status, 6-min walk distance, and quality of life from baseline to 4 or 6 months. Patients were to remain on disease-specific medication for the duration of the study.

RESULTS

Twenty-three patients underwent PDN, with no procedure-related serious adverse events reported. The reduction in PVR at 4- or 6-month follow-up was 94 ± 151 dyn·s·cm-5 (p = 0.001) or 17.8%, which was associated with a 42 ± 63 m (p = 0.02) increase in 6-min walk distance and a 671 ± 1,555 step (p = 0.04) increase in daily activity.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicenter early feasibility study, PDN with an intravascular ultrasound catheter was performed without procedure-related adverse events and was associated with a reduction in PVR and increases in 6-min walk distance and daily activity in patients with PAH on background dual or triple therapy.

Risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension: Insights from the GRIPHON study

BACKGROUND

Approaches to risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) include the noninvasive French risk assessment approach (number of low-risk criteria based on the European Society of Cardiology and European Respiratory Society guidelines) and Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) 2.0 risk calculator. The prognostic and predictive value of these methods for morbidity/mortality was evaluated in the predominantly prevalent population of GRIPHON, the largest randomized controlled trial in PAH.

METHODS

GRIPHON randomized 1,156 patients with PAH to selexipag or placebo. Post-hoc analyses were performed on the primary composite end-point of morbidity/mortality by the number of low-risk criteria (World Health Organization functional class I-II; 6-minute walk distance >440 m; N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide <300 ng/liter) and REVEAL 2.0 risk category. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Both the number of low-risk criteria and the REVEAL 2.0 risk category were prognostic for morbidity/mortality at baseline and any time-point during the study. Patients with 3 low-risk criteria at baseline had a 94% reduced risk of morbidity/mortality compared to patients with 0 low-risk criteria and were all categorized as low-risk by REVEAL 2.0. The treatment effect of selexipag on morbidity/mortality was consistent irrespective of the number of low-risk criteria or the REVEAL 2.0 risk category at any time-point during the study. Selexipag-treated patients were more likely to increase their number of low-risk criteria from baseline to week 26 than placebo-treated patients (odds ratio 1.69, p = 0.0002); similar results were observed for REVEAL 2.0 risk score.

CONCLUSIONS

These results support the association between risk profile and long-term outcome and suggest that selexipag treatment may improve risk profile.

Outcomes of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Are Improved in a Specialty Care Center

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is characterized by elevated pulmonary arterial pressures and is managed by vasodilator therapies. Current guidelines encourage PAH management in specialty care centers (SCCs), but evidence is sparse regarding improvement in clinical outcomes and correlation to vasodilator use with referral.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is PAH management at SCCs associated with improved clinical outcomes?

STUDY DESIGNAND METHODS

A single-center, retrospective study was performed at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC; overseeing 40 hospitals). Patients with PAH were identified between 2008 and 2018 and classified into an SCC or non-SCC cohort. Cox proportional hazard modeling was done to compare for all-cause mortality, as was negative binomial regression modeling for hospitalizations. Vasodilator therapy was included to adjust outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 580 patients with PAH at UPMC, 455 (78%) were treated at the SCC, comprising a younger (58.8 vs 64.8 years; P < .001) and more often female (68.4% vs 51.2%; P < .001) population with more comorbidities without differences in race or income. SCC patients demonstrated improved survival (hazard ratio, 0.68; P = .012) and fewer hospitalizations (incidence ratio, 0.54; P < .001), and provided more frequent disease monitoring. Early patient referral to SCC (< 6 months from time of diagnosis) was associated with improved outcomes compared with non-SCC patients. SCC patients were more frequently prescribed vasodilators (P < .001) and carried more diagnostic PAH coding (P < .001). Vasodilators were associated with improved outcomes irrespective of location but without statistical significance when comparing between locations (P > .05).

INTERPRETATION

The UPMC SCC demonstrated improved outcomes in mortality and hospitalizations. The SCC benefit was multifactorial, with more frequent vasodilator therapy and disease monitoring. These findings provide robust evidence for early and regular referral of patients with PAH to SCCs.

A Bayesian Network Meta-analysis of Add-on Drug Therapies Specific for Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

Background: Recently published meta-analyses did not discriminate between drug agents used for initial and sequential combination therapy. Objective: To assess the comparative efficacy of drugs specific for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) as add-on therapies based on 6-minute walk distance (6MWD), all-cause mortality, and discontinuation due to adverse events (AEs). Methods: EMBASE, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched until December 9, 2018, for the randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trials (RCTs) conducted on primarily adult patients diagnosed with PAH. Data extracted from applicable RCTs were as follows: for 6MWD mean change from baseline, the total number of patients, and the number of patients with events, per treatment. Network meta-analysis (NMA) was conducted in a Bayesian framework. Results: A total of 16 RCTs were eligible for analysis, with 4112 patients. Add-on therapy with tadalafil or inhaled treprostinil performed better than endothelin receptor antagonists alone [27 m; 95% credible interval (CrI): (11, 43); and 19 m; 95% CrI: (10, 27); respectively]. Add-on therapy with macitentan or bosentan performed better than phosphodiesterase type 5 inhibitors alone [26 m; 95% CrI: (6.4, 45); and 22 m; 95% CrI: (5.1, 38); respectively]. Differences in all-cause mortality and discontinuation due to AEs were nonsignificant. Conclusion and Relevance: Our NMA evaluated efficacy and safety of add-on therapies in patients with PAH. None of the previous meta-analyses evaluated RCTs focusing solely on patients pretreated with another PAH-specific drug therapy. Our results support guideline recommendations on combination therapy in PAH patients and add the quantitative perspective on which sequential therapy demonstrated the greatest effect size.

Retrospective Validation of the REVEAL 2.0 Risk Score With the Australian and New Zealand Pulmonary Hypertension Registry Cohort

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) prognosis has improved with targeted therapies; however, the long-term outlook remains poor. Objective multiparametric risk assessment is recommended to identify patients at risk of early morbidity and mortality, and for optimization of treatment. The US Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) 2.0 risk score is a new model proposed for the follow-up of patients with PAH but has not been externally validated.

METHODS

The REVEAL 2.0 risk score was applied to a mixed prevalent and incident cohort of patients with PAH (n = 1,011) from the Pulmonary Hypertension Society of Australia and New Zealand (PHSANZ) Registry. Kaplan-Meier survival was estimated for each REVEAL 2.0 risk score strata and for a simplified three-category (low, intermediate, and high risk) model. Sensitivity analysis was performed on an incident-only cohort.

RESULTS

The REVEAL 2.0 model effectively discriminated risk in the large external PHSANZ Registry cohort, with a C statistic of 0.74 (both for full eight-tier and three-category models). When applied to incident cases only, the C statistic was 0.73. The three-category REVEAL 2.0 model demonstrated robust separation of 12- and 60-month survival estimates (all risk category comparisons P < .001). Although the full eight-tier REVEAL 2.0 model separated patients at low, intermediate, and high risk, survival estimates overlapped within some of the intermediate- and high-risk strata.

CONCLUSIONS

The REVEAL 2.0 risk score was validated in a large external cohort from the PHSANZ Registry. The REVEAL 2.0 model can be applied for risk assessment of patients with PAH at follow-up. The simplified three-category model may be preferred for clinical use and for future comparison with other prognostic models.

[Risk stratification methods and their significance in pulmonary arterial hypertension]

Despite significant advances in therapy, pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) remains a progressive disease with a poor prognosis. Immediately after establishing the diagnosis of PAH, urgent treatment with PAH-specific therapy is required. Due to the progressive nature of the disease, all patients should be closely monitored and their treatment regimen should be promptly changed according to clinical need. Risk stratification is an important method for informing the clinician and the patient about the prognosis of disease and the choice of therapy methods. The REVEAL scale and the ESC/ERS 2015 risk assessment table are important multifactorial tools for making decisions about the prescription and correction of PAH therapy, as well as for assessment of patients' response to therapy. Current guidelines for PAH indicate that the most important task of treatment of PAH is to achieve the low - risk status.

Validation of the REVEAL Prognostic Equation and Risk Score Calculator in Incident Systemic Sclerosis-Associated Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

OBJECTIVE

A prognostic equation and risk score calculator derived from the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-term Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Disease Management (REVEAL) are being used to predict 1-year survival in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), but little is known about the performance of these REVEAL survival prediction tools in systemic sclerosis (SSc)-associated PAH (SSc-PAH).

METHODS

Prospectively gathered data from the Johns Hopkins Pulmonary Hypertension Program and Pulmonary Hypertension Assessment and Recognition of Outcome in Scleroderma Registries were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the REVEAL models for predicting the probability of 1-year survival in patients with SSc-PAH. Model discrimination was assessed by comparison of the Harrell's C-index, model fit was assessed using multivariable regression techniques, and model calibration was assessed by comparing predicted to observed survival estimates.

RESULTS

The validation cohort consisted of 292 SSc-PAH patients with a 1-year survival rate of 87.4%. The C-index for predictive accuracy of the REVEAL prognostic equation (0.734, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.652-0.816) and for the risk score (0.743, 95% CI 0.663-0.823) demonstrated good discrimination, comparable to that in the model development cohort. The calibration slope was 0.707 (95% CI 0.400-1.014), indicating that the overall model fit was marginal (P = 0.06). The magnitude of risk assigned to low distance on the 6-minute walk test (6MWD) and elevated serum levels of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) was lower in the validation cohort than was originally seen in the REVEAL derivation cohort. Model calibration was poor, particularly for the highest risk groups.

CONCLUSION

In predicting 1-year survival in patients newly diagnosed as having SSc-PAH, the REVEAL prognostic equation and risk score provide very good discrimination but poor calibration. REVEAL prediction scores should be interpreted with caution in newly diagnosed SSc-PAH patients, particularly those with higher predicted risk of poor 1-year survival resulting from a low 6MWD or a high BNP serum level.

The 6th World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension: what's old is new

In February 2018, the 6th World Symposium on Pulmonary Hypertension (WSPH) brought together experts from various disciplines to review the most relevant clinical and scientific advances in the field of PH over the last 5 years. Based on careful review and discussions by members of the different task forces, major revisions were made on the hemodynamic definition for various forms of PH and new genes were added to the list of genetic markers associated with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and pulmonary veno-occlusive disease. In addition, the use of risk stratification tools was encouraged as a strategy to reduce one-year mortality risk in PAH patients through early implementation of PAH therapies. While members of the medical community are still debating some of the proposed changes, the new WSPH guidelines advocate early diagnosis and initiation of combination therapy to reduce mortality and improve quality of life in patients with PH.

Risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Background

Current pulmonary hypertension treatment guidelines recommend use of a risk stratification model encompassing a range of parameters, allowing patients to be categorised as low, intermediate or high risk. Three abbreviated versions of this risk stratification model were previously evaluated in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in the French, Swedish and COMPERA registries. Our objective was to investigate the three abbreviated risk stratification methods for patients with mostly prevalent PAH and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), in patients from the PATENT-1/2 and CHEST-1/2 studies of riociguat.

Methods

Risk was assessed at baseline and at follow-up in PATENT-1 and CHEST-1. Survival and clinical worsening-free survival were assessed in patients in each risk group/strata.

Results

With all three methods, riociguat improved risk group/strata in patients with PAH after 12 weeks. The French non-invasive and Swedish/COMPERA methods discriminated prognosis for survival and clinical worsening-free survival at both baseline and follow-up. Furthermore, patients achieving one or more low-risk criteria or a low-risk stratum at follow-up had a significantly reduced risk of death and clinical worsening compared with patients achieving no low-risk criteria or an intermediate-risk stratum. Similar results were obtained in patients with inoperable or persistent/recurrent CTEPH.

Conclusions

This analysis confirms and extends the results of the registry analyses, supporting the value of goal-oriented treatment in PAH. Further assessment of these methods in patients with CTEPH is warranted.

Riociguat improves risk group in patients with PAH and CTEPH according to three abbreviated versions of the ESC/ERS risk stratification model (results of a post hoc analysis)http://ow.ly/Herk30o8lKM

Pulmonary Hypertension

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a chronic and progressive disease that presents like many other lung diseases, often leading to a delay in diagnosis, and therefore a delay in optimal therapy. This article provides a review of PH for internists, covering clinical presentation, diagnostic algorithm, different types of PH, and overview of treatments. In addition, it emphasizes the importance of early referral to, and partnership between, PH specialists and physicians on the front lines to improve early diagnosis and optimize management of these complex patients.

The Use of Risk Assessment Tools and Prognostic Scores in Managing Patients with Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a chronic, progressive, and incurable disease with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite increasingly available treatment options, PAH patients continue to experience disease progression and increased rates of hospitalizations due to right heart failure. Physician's ability to comprehensively assess PAH patients, determine prognosis, and monitor disease progression and response to treatment remains critical in optimizing outcomes.

RECENT FINDINGS

Risk assessment in PAH should include a range of clinical, hemodynamic, and exercise parameters, performed in a serial fashion over the course of treatment. Approaches to risk assessment in PAH patients include the use of risk variables, scores, and equations that stratify the impact of both modifiable (e.g., 6-min walk distance, functional class, brain natriuretic peptide), and non-modifiable (e.g., age, gender, PAH etiology) risk factors. Such tools allow physicians to better determine prognosis, allocate treatment resources, and enhance the consistency of treatment approaches across providers. Comprehensive and accurate risk prediction is essential to make individualized treatment decisions and optimizing outcomes in PAH.

Three-dimensional right-ventricular regional deformation and survival in pulmonary hypertension

Aims

Survival in pulmonary hypertension (PH) relates to right ventricular (RV) function. However, the RV unique anatomy and structure limit 2D analysis and its regional 3D function has not been studied yet. The aim of this study was to assess the implications of global and regional 3D RV deformation on clinical condition and survival in adults with PH and healthy controls.

Methods and results

We collected a prospective longitudinal cohort of 104 consecutive PH patients and 34 healthy controls between September 2014 and December 2015. Acquired 3D transthoracic RV echocardiographic sequences were analysed by semi-automatic software (TomTec 4D RV-Function 2.0). Output meshes were post-processed to extract regional motion and deformation. Global and regional statistics provided deformation patterns for each subgroup of subjects. RV lateral and inferior regions showed the highest deformation. In PH patients, RV global and regional motion and deformation [both circumferential, longitudinal, and area strain (AS)] were affected in all segments (P < 0.001 against healthy controls). Deformation patterns gradually worsened with the clinical condition. Over 6.7 [5.8-7.2] months follow-up, 16 (15.4%) patients died from cardio-pulmonary causes. Right atrial pressure, global RV AS, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, 3D RV ejection fraction, and end-diastolic volume were independent predictors of survival. Global RV AS  > -18% was the most powerful RV function parameter, identifying patients with a 48%-increased risk of death (AUC 0.83 [0.74-0.90], P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Right ventricular strain patterns gradually worsen in PH patients and provide independent prognostic information in this population.

Risk stratification and medical therapy of pulmonary arterial hypertension

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) remains a severe clinical condition despite the availability over the past 15 years of multiple drugs interfering with the endothelin, nitric oxide and prostacyclin pathways. The recent progress observed in medical therapy of PAH is not, therefore, related to the discovery of new pathways, but to the development of new strategies for combination therapy and on escalation of treatments based on systematic assessment of clinical response. The current treatment strategy is based on the severity of the newly diagnosed PAH patient as assessed by a multiparametric risk stratification approach. Clinical, exercise, right ventricular function and haemodynamic parameters are combined to define a low-, intermediate- or high-risk status according to the expected 1-year mortality. The current treatment algorithm provides the most appropriate initial strategy, including monotherapy, or double or triple combination therapy. Further treatment escalation is required in case low-risk status is not achieved in planned follow-up assessments. Lung transplantation may be required in most advanced cases on maximal medical therapy.

Pathophysiology, incidence, management, and consequences of cardiac arrhythmia in pulmonary arterial hypertension and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Arrhythmias are increasingly recognized as serious, end-stage complications of pre-capillary pulmonary hypertension, including pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Although arrhythmias contribute to symptoms, morbidity, in-hospital mortality, and possibly sudden death in PAH/CTEPH, there remains a paucity of epidemiologic, pathophysiologic, and outcome data to guide management of these patients. This review summarizes the most current evidence on the topic: from the molecular mechanisms driving arrhythmia in the hypertrophied or failing right heart, to the clinical aspects of epidemiology, diagnosis, and management.

Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension

This article provides an overview of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), beginning with the initial pathologic recognition of pulmonary hypertension more than 100 years ago and progressing to the current diagnostic categorization of PAH. It reviews the epidemiology, pathophysiology, genetics, and modern treatment of PAH. The article discusses several important recent studies that have highlighted the importance of new management strategies, including serial risk assessment and combination pharmacotherapy.

A modified risk score in one-year survival rate assessment of group 1 pulmonary arterial hypertension

BACKGROUND

Risk assessment of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) contributes to its management. Unfortunately, the existing risk assessment approaches are defective for clinicians to practice in daily clinical settings to some extent.

METHODS

We designed a modified Risk Assessment Score of PAH (mRASP) comprising four non-invasive variables which were World Health Organization functional class(WHO FC), 6-min walk distance (6MWD), N-terminal of the pro-hormone brain natriuretic peptide(NT-pro BNP), and right atrial area(RAA), then validated it in the prediction of one-year survival rate for patients with PAH by contrast with the REVEAL risk score.

RESULTS

For the validation cohort(n = 216), the predicted one-year survival rate were 95-100%, 90-95%, and < 90% in the mRASP risk score strata of 0-2, 3-5, and 6-8, respectively; meanwhile, the observed one-year survival rates were 97.1, 92.6, and 52.2%, in each corresponding stratum, respectively. The mRASP (c-index = 0.727) demonstrated similar predictive power in contrast with the REVEAL risk assessment score (c-index = 0.715) in the prediction of one-year survival rate.

CONCLUSION

The mRASP is an eligible risk assessment tool for the prognostic assessment of PAH. In contrast with the REVEAL score, it demonstrated similar predictive power and accuracy, with extra simplicity and convenience.