The predictive value of ICD-10 diagnostic coding used to assess Charlson comorbidity index conditions in the population-based Danish National Registry of Patients

Treatment intensity level as a proxy for severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A risk stratification tool

BACKGROUND

Increasing severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with increasing risk of poor outcomes. Using health registry data, we aimed to assess the association between treatment intensity levels (TIL), as a proxy for underlying COPD severity, and long-term outcomes.

METHODS

Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients diagnosed with COPD during 2001-2016, who were alive at index date of 1 January 2017. We stratified patients into exclusive TILs from least to most severe: no use, short term therapy, mono-, dual-, triple therapy, oral corticosteroid (OCS), and long-term oxygen treatment (LTOT). Survival analyses were used to assess 5-year outcomes by TIL.

RESULTS

We identified 53,803 patients with COPD in the study period (median age: 72 years [inter quartile range, 64-80], 48 % male). The three most severe TILs were associated with a significant incremental increase in all-cause mortality with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for triple therapy, OCS and LTOT of 1.44 (95 % CI: 1.38-1.51), 1.67 (95 % CI: 1.59-1.75), and 2.91 (95 % CI: 2.76-3.07) compared with those receiving no therapy as reference. The same pattern was evident for the composite outcome of 5-year mortality or COPD-related hospitalization with an aHR for triple therapy, OCS and LTOT of 2.30 (95 % CI: 2.22-2.38), 2.85 (95 % CI: 2.74-2.96), and 4.00 (95 % CI: 3.81-4.20), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Increasing TILs were associated with increasing five-year mortality and risk of COPD-related hospitalization. TILs may be used as a proxy for underlying COPD severity in epidemiological studies.

Potential of the Danish Comorbidity Index for Acute Myocardial Infarction to discriminate mortality in patients with infective endocarditis

INTRODUCTION

Current risk score models for predicting mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) include data often unavailable in registries, limiting their use for confounding adjustment in population-based research.

METHODS

This study assessed the Danish Comorbidity Index for Acute Myocardial Infarction (DANCAMI) for its ability to predict 30-day, 1-year, and 5-year mortality in IE patients, compared to the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI). The study included all adult Danish patients with first-time IE from 1995 to 2021. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was estimated using logistic regression to measure discriminatory performance for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality at the specified time intervals. A baseline model included age and sex, while extended models incorporated continuous comorbidity scores.

RESULTS

We identified 8966 patients with IE. Mortality rates were 12% at 30 days, 26% at 1 year, and 36% at 5 years. For all-cause mortality, AUCs for the baseline versus DANCAMI models were 0.64 vs. 0.69 at 30 days, 0.66 vs. 0.73 at 1 year, and 0.72 vs. 0.79 at 5 years. For cardiovascular mortality, AUCs for baseline versus DANCAMI models were 0.67 vs. 0.69 at 30 days, 0.67 vs. 0.69 at 1 year, and 0.70 vs. 0.71 at 5 years. CCI and ECI demonstrated comparable AUCs to the DANCAMI model.

CONCLUSION

DANCAMI improved discrimination of short- and long-term mortality in IE patients and may be used for confounder adjustment similarly to CCI and ECI.

Cardiovascular health and cancer mortality: evidence from US NHANES and UK Biobank cohort studies

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association recently introduced a novel cardiovascular health (CVH) metric, Life's Essential 8 (LE8), for health promotion. However, the relationship between LE8 and cancer mortality risk remains uncertain.

METHODS

We investigated 17,076 participants from US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (US NHANES) and 272,727 participants from UK Biobank, all free of cancer at baseline. The CVH score, based on LE8 metrics, incorporates four health behaviors (diet, physical activity, smoking, and sleep) and four health factors (body mass index, lipid, blood glucose, and blood pressure). Self-reported questionnaires assessed health behaviors. Primary outcomes were mortality rates for total cancer and its subtypes. The association between CVH score (continuous and categorical variable) and outcomes was examined using Cox model with adjustments. Cancer subtypes-related polygenic risk score (PRS) was constructed to evaluate its interactions with CVH on cancer death risk.

RESULTS

Over 141,526 person-years in US NHANES, 424 cancer-related deaths occurred, and in UK Biobank, 8,872 cancer deaths were documented during 3,690,893 person-years. High CVH was associated with reduced overall cancer mortality compared to low CVH (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37-0.91 in US NHANES; 0.51, 0.46-0.57 in UK Biobank). Each one-standard deviation increase in CVH score was linked to a 19% decrease in cancer mortality (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73-0.91) in US NHANES and a 19% decrease (HR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.79-0.83) in UK Biobank. Adhering to ideal CVH was linearly associated with decreased risks of death from lung, bladder, liver, kidney, esophageal, breast, colorectal, pancreatic, and gastric cancers in UK Biobank. Furthermore, integrating genetic data revealed individuals with low PRS and high CVH exhibited the lowest mortality from eight cancers (HRs ranged from 0.36 to 0.57) compared to those with high PRS and low CVH. No significant modification of the association between CVH and mortality risk for eight cancers by genetic predisposition was observed. Subgroup analyses showed a more pronounced protective association for overall cancer mortality among younger participants and those with lower socio-economic status.

CONCLUSIONS

Maintaining optimal CVH is associated with a substantial reduction in the risk of overall cancer mortality. Adherence to ideal CVH correlates linearly with decreased mortality risk across multiple cancer subtypes. Individuals with both ideal CVH and high genetic predisposition demonstrated significant health benefits. These findings support adopting ideal CVH as an intervention strategy to mitigate cancer mortality risk and promote healthy aging.

Adherence to glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist treatment in type 2 diabetes mellitus: A nationwide registry study

AIMS

To assess the level of adherence to glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) treatment using real-world data and to investigate the sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with discontinuation of GLP-1RAs.

METHODS

First-time users of GLP-1RAs with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), aged ≥18 years, in the period 2007 to 2020, were identified using Danish registries, allowing all participants a minimum of 18 months' follow-up. Adherence to GLP-1RA therapy (medication possession ratio >0.80) and discontinuation of GLP-1RA therapy was estimated at 6- and 12-month follow-ups. Multivariable cause-specific Cox regression was used to identify sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with risk of discontinuation.

RESULTS

In total, 44 343 first-time users of GLP-1RAs with T2DM were identified (mean age 58.6 years, 42.7% female, median duration of T2DM 6.8 years, median glycated haemoglobin level 65 mmol/mol). The absolute risk of discontinuing GLP-1RA treatment within 6 months was 14.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 13.9-14.6) and 21.2% (95% CI 20.8-21.5) within 12 months. At 6 months, 50.4% were adherent to GLP-1RA therapy and at 12 months, 48.6% remained adherent. In the multivariable model, younger (<40 years) and older age (>75 years), higher Charlson Comorbidity Index score, lower household income, high school and longer university degree as educational attainment level, and longer diabetes duration were associated with a higher risk of discontinuing GLP-1RA treatment.

CONCLUSION

Approximately one in five patients discontinued GLP-1RA therapy within the first 12 months and only half were adherent. Overall, lower socioeconomic status and higher comorbidity burden were associated with higher risk of discontinuing GLP-1RA treatment.

Association Between Body Composition Patterns, Cardiovascular Disease, and Risk of Neurodegenerative Disease in the UK Biobank

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Accumulating evidence connects diverse components of body composition (e.g., fat, muscle, and bone) to neurodegenerative disease risk, yet their interplay remains underexplored. This study examines the associations between patterns of body composition and the risk of neurodegenerative diseases, exploring the mediating role of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs).

METHODS

This retrospective analysis used data from the UK Biobank, a prospective community-based cohort study. We included participants free of neurodegenerative diseases and with requisite body composition measurements at recruitment, who were followed from 5 years after recruitment until April 1, 2023, to identify incident neurodegenerative diseases. We assessed the associations between different components and major patterns of body composition (identified by principal component analysis) with the risk of neurodegenerative diseases, using multivariable Cox models. Analyses were stratified by disease susceptibility, indexed by polygenetic risk scores for Alzheimer and Parkinson diseases, APOE genotype, and family history of neurodegenerative diseases. Furthermore, we performed mediation analysis to estimate the contribution of CVDs to these associations. In addition, in a subcohort of 40,790 participants, we examined the relationship between body composition patterns and brain aging biomarkers (i.e., brain atrophy and cerebral small vessel disease).

RESULTS

Among 412,691 participants (mean age 56.0 years, 55.1% female), 8,224 new cases of neurodegenerative diseases were identified over an average follow-up of 9.1 years. Patterns identified as "fat-to-lean mass," "muscle strength," "bone density," and "leg-dominant fat distribution" were associated with a lower rate of neurodegenerative diseases (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.74-0.94) while "central obesity" and "arm-dominant fat distribution" patterns were associated with a higher rate (HR = 1.13-1.18). Stratification analysis yielded comparable risk estimates across different susceptibility groups. Notably, 10.7%-35.3% of the observed associations were mediated by CVDs, particularly cerebrovascular diseases. The subcohort analysis of brain aging biomarkers corroborated the findings for "central obesity," "muscle strength," and "arm-dominant fat distribution" patterns.

DISCUSSION

Our analyses demonstrated robust associations of body composition patterns featured by "central obesity," "muscle strength," and "arm-dominant fat distribution" with both neurodegenerative diseases and brain aging, which were partially mediated by CVDs. These findings underscore the potential of improving body composition and early CVD management in mitigating risk of neurodegenerative diseases.

Palliative care case management in a surgical department for patients with gastrointestinal cancer-a register-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of generalist palliative care interventions in hospitals is unknown.

AIM

This study aimed to explore the impact of a palliative care case management intervention for patients with gastrointestinal cancer (PalMaGiC) on hospital admissions, healthcare use, and place of death.

DESIGN

This was a register-based cohort study analyzing data from the Danish Register on Causes of Death, the Danish National Patient Register, and the Danish Palliative Database.

SETTING/PARTICIPANTS

Deceased patients with gastrointestinal cancer from 2010 to 2020 exposed to PalMaGiC were compared over three periods of time to patients receiving standard care.

RESULTS

A total of 43,969 patients with gastrointestinal cancers were included in the study, of whom 1518 were exposed to PalMaGiC. In the last 30 days of life, exposed patients were significantly more likely to be hospitalized (OR of 1.62 (95% CI 1.26-2.01)), spend more days at the hospital, estimate of 1.21 (95% CI 1.02-1.44), and have a higher number of hospital admissions (RR of 1.13 (95% CI 1.01-1.27)), and were more likely to die at the hospital (OR of 1.94 (95% CI 1.55-2.44)) with an increasing trend over time. No differences were found for hospital healthcare use.

CONCLUSION

Patients exposed to the PalMaGiC intervention had a greater likelihood of hospitalizations and death at the hospital compared to unexposed patients, despite the opposite intention. Sensitivity analyses show that regional differences may hold some of the explanation for this. Future development of generalist palliative care in hospitals should focus on integrating a home-based approach, community care, and PC physician involvement.

The impact of comorbidity burden on cardiac arrest mortality: A population-based cohort study

AIM

Patients experiencing cardiac arrest are often burdened with comorbidities that increase mortality. This study examined the impact of comorbidity burden on cardiac arrest mortality by quantifying biological interaction.

METHODS

Nationwide population-based Danish cohort study of adult patients hospitalized for cardiac arrest during 1996-2021 and 5:1 matched comparisons from the general population (matched on age, sex, calendar year, and all Charlson Comorbidity Index comorbidities). Mortality rates and hazard ratios for the association between cardiac arrest and mortality was calculated according to comorbidity burden (none, low, moderate, severe). Biological interaction was examined by calculating interaction contrasts (difference in rate differences).

RESULTS

For no comorbidity burden, the 30-day mortality rate per 1,000 person-years was 18,110 in the cardiac arrest cohort and 24 in the comparison cohort (hazard ratio = 1,435). For low comorbidity burden, the 30-day mortality rate increased to 20,272 in the cardiac arrest cohort and 41 in the comparison cohort (hazard ratio = 504). The corresponding interaction contrast of 2,145 indicated that 11% of the mortality rate in patients with cardiac arrest and low comorbidity burden was explained by interaction between the two. This percentage increased to 20% for moderate and to 28% for severe comorbidity burden. Within 31-365-day follow-up, the percentage of the mortality rate explained by interaction was 28% for low, 38% for moderate, and 41% for severe comorbidity burden. The interaction effect was present for both out-of-hospital and in-hospital cardiac arrest.

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidity burden interacted with cardiac arrest to increase mortality beyond that explained by their separate effects.

Association between cardiac time intervals and incident heart failure after acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Cardiac time intervals are sensitive markers of myocardial dysfunction that predispose to heart failure (HF). We aimed to investigate the association between cardiac time intervals and HF in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

This study included 386 ACS patients treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Patients underwent an echocardiography examination a median of two days after PCI. Cardiac time intervals including isovolumic relaxation time (IVRT), isovolumic contraction time (IVCT), and systolic ejection time (ET), and myocardial performance index (MPI) were obtained by tissue Doppler echocardiography. The outcome was incident HF.

RESULTS

During follow-up (median 4.3, IQR:1.0-6.7 years), 140 (36%) developed HF. In unadjusted analyses, IVRT was not associated with HF (HR 1.02 (0.95-1.10), p = 0.61, per 10ms increase), and neither was IVCT (HR 0.07 (0.95-1.22), p = 0.26, per 10ms increase). Increasing MPI was associated with a higher risk of HF (HR 1.20 (1.08-1.34), P = 0.001, per 0.1 increase), and so was decreasing ET (HR 1.13 (1.07-1.18), P < 0.001 per 10ms decrease). After multivariable adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, MPI (HR 1.13 (1.01-1.27), P = 0.034) and ET (HR 1.09 (1.01-1.17), P = 0.025) remained significantly associated with incident HF. LVEF modified the association between ET and HF (p for interaction = 0.002), such that ET was associated with HF in patients with LVEF ≥ 36% (HR = 1.15 (1.06-1.24), P = 0.001, per 10ms decrease).

CONCLUSION

In patients admitted with ACS, shortened ET and higher MPI were independently associated with an increased risk of incident HF. Additionally, ET was associated with incident HF in patients with LVEF above 36%.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus in patients with ischemic stroke - A nationwide study

AIMS

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a risk factor for ischemic stroke (IS) and associated with an adverse prognosis. Both stroke and diabetes care has evolved substantially during the last decade. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of T2D among IS patients along with time trends in the risk profile, use of glucose-lowering medications, quality-of-care and clinical outcomes, including stroke severity; length-of-stay; mortality, readmission and recurrent stroke in a large national cohort.

METHODS

Registry-based cohort study including all IS events in Denmark from 2004 to 2020. IS with co-morbid T2D were compared to IS without diabetes while adjusting for age, sex, stroke severity, co-morbidity and socio-economic factors.

RESULTS

The study included 169,262 IS events; 24,479 with co-morbid T2D. The prevalence of T2D in IS increased from 12.0% (2004-2006) to 17.0% (2019-2020). The adjusted absolute 30-day mortality risk in IS with T2D decreased from 9.9% (2004-2006) to 7.8% (2019-2020). The corresponding adjusted risk ratios (aRR) were 1.22 95% confidence interval (1.09-1.37) and 1.29 (1.11-1.50), respectively. The aRR of 365-day mortality was in 2004-2006: 1.20 (1.12-1.29) and in 2019-2020: 1.34 (1.22-1.47). The 30- and 365-day readmissions rates were also consistently higher in IS with T2D.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of T2D in IS increased over time. The 30- and 365-day mortality rates decreased over the time-period but were consistently higher in IS with co-morbid T2D. Readmissions were also higher in IS with T2D. This highlights an urgent need for strategies to further improve the prognosis in IS patients with co-morbid T2D.

Children born preterm or small for gestational age to mothers with multiple sclerosis: Do these children have an increased risk of infections in early life?

BACKGROUND

Mothers with multiple sclerosis are at increased risk of preterm birth and small for gestational age infants. Both conditions pose a risk of morbidity, including early-life infections.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the risk of infections in the first 3 years of life among children born preterm or small for gestational age to mothers with multiple sclerosis.

METHODS

We used Danish national health registers to establish the study cohort of all births by women with MS born from 1995 to 2023. In Cox regression models, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of infections in preterm or small for gestational age children.

RESULTS

Preterm children had an adjusted HR of 1.49 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.15-1.93) for hospital-diagnosed infection and 0.88 (95% CI 0.72-1.06) for antibiotic prescriptions. Small for gestational age children had an adjusted HR of 0.81 (95% CI 0.54-1.22) for hospital-diagnosed infection and 1.07 (95% CI 0.82-1.38) for antibiotic prescriptions.

CONCLUSION

Children born preterm to mothers with multiple sclerosis had an increased risk of hospital-diagnosed infections in the first 3 years of life, but not of mild-to-moderate infections evaluated on prescriptions. Children born small for gestational age did not have an increased risk of infections.

Glucagonlike peptide-1 receptor agonists versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors in ischemic strokes with diabetes 2

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Cardiovascular outcome trials demonstrate that glucagonlike peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) reduce the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), whereas dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is) have not shown cardiovascular benefits. We compared acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with T2D treated with either a GLP-1RA or DPP-4i prior to the index stroke.

METHODS

This national cohort study included AIS patients with T2D from 2017 to 2020 in Denmark who were users of a GLP-1RA or DPP-4i. To be categorized as a user, we required at least 12 months of exposure and no concurrent treatment with another newer glucose-lowering medication during the last 3 months prior to the index stroke. GLP-1RA users were compared to users of DPP-4i while adjusting for the calendar year of index stroke, age, sex, comorbidity, and socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

The study included 1567 AIS events with T2D; 593 were users of GLP-1RA and 974 of DPP-4i. The absolute risk of a very severe stroke was 2.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.2-3.7) in GLP-1RA users and 6.1% (95% CI = 4.6-7.7) in DPP-4i users. The corresponding adjusted risk ratio (aRR) of GLP-1RA versus DPP-4i was 0.49 (95% CI = 0.24-1.00). The aRRs of 30-day and 365-day mortality were 0.55 (95% CI = 0.32-0.94) and 0.72 (95% CI = 0.53-0.98), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of a very severe stroke as well as the 30-day and 365-day poststroke mortality rates were lower among the AIS patients with comorbid T2D receiving GLP-1RA prior to the index stroke compared to those receiving DPP-4i. Hence, GLP-1RA may improve stroke outcomes in comparison with DPP-4i.

Major comorbid diseases as predictors of infection in the first month after hip fracture surgery: a population-based cohort study in 92,239 patients

PURPOSE

Comorbidity level is a predictor of infection in the first 30 days after hip fracture surgery. However, the roles of individual comorbid diseases as predictors of infection remain unclear. We investigated individual major comorbid diseases as predictors of infection after hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

We obtained Danish population-based medical registry data for patients undergoing hip fracture surgery (2004-2018). Information was obtained on 27 comorbidities, included in various comorbidity indices, 5 years before surgery. The primary outcome was any hospital-treated infection within 30 days after surgery. Cumulative incidence of infection was calculated by considering death as competing risk. We used logistic regression to compute mutually adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence interval for infection.

RESULTS

Of 92,239 patients with hip fracture, 71% were women, and the median age was 83 years. The most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (23%), heart arrhythmia (15%), and cerebrovascular disease (14%). The 30-day incidence of infection was 15% and 12% among the total cohort and among patients with no record of comorbidities, respectively. Infection incidence was highest among patients with renal disease (24%), depression/anxiety (23%), and chronic pulmonary disease (23%), and lowest among patients with metastatic solid tumor (15%). Adjusted odds ratios of infection ranged from 0.94 [0.80-1.10] for metastatic solid tumor to 1.77 [1.63-1.92] for renal disease.

CONCLUSION

Most comorbid diseases were predictors of infection after surgery for hip fracture. Awareness of patients' comorbidity profiles might help clinicians initiate preventive measures or inform patients of their expected risk.

Treatment of inflammatory bowel disease with steroid-sparing medications is age-dependent - Results from a Danish nationwide cohort study, 2000-2018

BACKGROUND

Paediatric-onset and elderly-onset inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) present unique treatment challenges.

AIMS

We investigated treatment patterns following a first and second course of systemic steroids in paediatric- and elderly-onset IBD and compared them to adult-onset IBD.

METHODS

All patients diagnosed with Crohn's disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) between 2000 and 2018 were identified through the Danish healthcare registries. Patients were divided into groups based on their age at diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier plots were prepared for medications and surgeries after diagnosis and after the first and second courses of systemic steroids. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using multivariate Cox regression analysis for steroid-sparing medications.

RESULTS

1851 CD (13%) and 1687 (6%) UC patients were paediatric-onset, while 2952 (20%) CD and 5812 (23%) UC patients were elderly-onset. Paediatric-onset more frequently received immunomodulators [CD: HR: 1.64, CI: 1.52-1.77, UC: HR: 2.29, CI: 2.02-2.61] and biologics [CD: HR: 1.43, CI: 1.25-1.65, UC: HR: 1.27, CI: 0.99-1.64], while elderly-onset less frequently received immunomodulators [CD: HR: 0.39, CI: 0.35-0.44, UC: HR: 0.58, CI: 0.50-0.67] and biologics [CD: HR: 0.19, CI: 0.14-0.25, UC: HR: 0.36, CI: 0.27-0.48] compared to adult-onset age groups. After two courses of systemic steroids, elderly-onset still received less steroid-sparing medications. High frailty was associated with lower usage of medications for elderly-onset.

CONCLUSION

There are significant differences in the use of steroid-sparing medication between age of onset, even after two courses with systemic steroids. High frailty could account for some of these differences in elderly-onset IBD.

Disease Trajectories from Healthcare Data: Methodologies, Key Results, and Future Perspectives

Disease trajectories, defined as sequential, directional disease associations, have become an intense research field driven by the availability of electronic population-wide healthcare data and sufficient computational power. Here, we provide an overview of disease trajectory studies with a focus on European work, including ontologies used as well as computational methodologies for the construction of disease trajectories. We also discuss different applications of disease trajectories from descriptive risk identification to disease progression, patient stratification, and personalized predictions using machine learning. We describe challenges and opportunities in the area that eventually will benefit from initiatives such as the European Health Data Space, which, with time, will make it possible to analyze data from cohorts comprising hundreds of millions of patients.

Confounding and Negative Control Methods in Observational Study of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine Effectiveness: A Nationwide, Population-Based Danish Health Registry Study

Background

Observational studies of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine effectiveness are prone to confounding, which can be illustrated using negative control methods.

Methods

Nationwide population-based cohort study including two cohorts of Danish residents 60-90 years of age matched 1:1 on age and sex: A vaccinated and a non-vaccinated cohort, including 61052 SARS-CoV-2 vaccinated individuals between 1 March and 1 July 2021 and 61052 individuals not vaccinated preceding 1 July 2021. From these two cohorts, we constructed negative control cohorts of individuals diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection or acute myocardial infarction, stroke, cancer, low energy fracture, or head-trauma. Outcomes were SARS-CoV-2 infection, negative control outcomes (eg, mammography, prostate biopsy, operation for cataract, malignant melanoma, examination of eye and ear), and death. We used Cox regression to calculate adjusted incidence and mortality rate ratios (aIRR and aMRR).

Results

Risks of SARS-CoV2 infection and all negative control outcomes were elevated in the vaccinated population, ranging from an aIRR of 1.15 (95% CI: 1.09-1.21) for eye examinations to 3.05 (95% CI: 2.24-4.14) for malignant melanoma. Conversely, the risk of death in the SARS-CoV-2 infected cohort and in all negative control cohorts was lower in vaccinated individuals, ranging from an aMRR of 0.23 (95% CI: 0.19-0.26) after SARS-CoV-2 infection to 0.50 (95% CI: 0.37-0.67) after stroke.

Conclusion

Our findings indicate that observational studies of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine effectiveness may be subject to substantial confounding. Therefore, randomized trials are essential to establish vaccine efficacy after the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and the rollout of multiple booster vaccines.

Use of proton pump inhibitors after laparoscopic gastric bypass and sleeve gastrectomy: a nationwide register-based cohort study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

L-RYGB and L-SG are the dominant bariatric procedures worldwide. While L-RYGB is an effective treatment of coexisting gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), L-SG is associated with an increased risk of de-novo or worsening of GERD. The study aimed to evaluate the long-term use of proton pump inhibitors (PPI) following laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (L-RYGB) and sleeve gastrectomy (L-SG).

SUBJECTS/METHODS

This nationwide register-based study included all patients undergoing L-RYGB or L-SG in Denmark between 2008 and 2018. In total, 17,740 patients were included in the study, with 16,096 and 1671 undergoing L-RYGB and L-SG, respectively. The median follow up was 11 years after L-RYGB and 4 years after L-SG. Data were collected through Danish nationwide health registries. The development in PPI use was assessed through postoperative redeemed prescriptions. GERD development was defined by a relevant diagnosis code associated with gastroscopy, 24 h pH measurement, revisional surgery or anti-reflux surgery. The risk of initiation of PPI treatment or GERD diagnosis was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier plots and COX regression models. The risk of continuous PPI treatment was examined using logistic regression modeling.

RESULTS

The risk of initiating PPI treatment was significantly higher after L-SG compared with L-RYGB (HR 7.06, 95% CI 6.42-7.77, p < 0.0001). The risk of continuous PPI treatment was likewise significantly higher after L-SG (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.36-1.54, p < 0.0001). The utilization of PPI consistently increased after both procedures. The risk of GERD diagnosis was also significantly higher after L-SG compared with L-RYGB (HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.27-2.93, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of initiating and continuing PPI treatment was significantly higher after L-SG compared with L-RYGB, and a continuous increase in the utilization of PPI was observed after both procedures.

Dietary Minerals and Incident Cardiovascular Outcomes among Never-Smokers in a Danish Case-Cohort Study

Background: Diet is known to impact cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, but evidence for the essential minerals of magnesium (Mg), calcium (Ca), and potassium (K) is inconsistent. Methods: We conducted a case-cohort study within a non-smoking subgroup of the Danish Diet, Cancer and Health cohort, a prospective study of 50-64-year-olds recruited between 1993-1997. We identified incident heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke cases through 2015 with an 1135-member subcohort. We measured the dietary intake of minerals, also known as elements, and calculated a combined dietary intake (CDI) score based on joint Ca, Mg and K intakes (mg/d) from Food Frequency Questionnaires. We estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with Cox proportional hazard models. Results: Most HRs examining associations between CDI score and CVD were null. However, the third quartile of CDI was associated with a lower risk for heart failure (HR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.67, 1.17), AMI (HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.60, 1.04), and stroke (HR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.44, 0.88). Conclusions: We did not find consistent evidence to suggest that higher levels of essential minerals are associated with incident HF, AMI, and stroke, though results suggest a potential U-shaped relationship between select minerals and CVD outcomes.

The DANIsh VASculitis cohort study: protocol for a national multicenter prospective study including incident and prevalent patients with giant cell arteritis and polymyalgia rheumatica

The DANIsh VASculitis cohort study, DANIVAS, is an observational national multicenter study with the overall aim to prospectively collect protocolized clinical data and biobank material from patients with polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) and giant cell arteritis (GCA) diagnosed and/or followed at Danish rheumatology departments. A long-term key objective is to investigate whether the use of new clinically implemented diagnostic imaging modalities facilitates disease stratification in the GCA-PMR disease spectrum. In particular, we aim to evaluate treatment requirements in GCA patients with and without large-vessel involvement, treatment needs in PMR patients with and without subclinical giant cell arteritis, and the prognostic role of imaging with respect to aneurysm development. Hence, in GCA and PMR, imaging stratification is hypothesized to be able to guide management strategies. With an established infrastructure within rheumatology for clinical studies in Denmark, the infrastructure of the Danish Rheumatologic Biobank, and the possibility to cross-link data with valid nationwide registries, the DANIVAS project holds an exceptional possibility to collect comprehensive real-world data on diagnosis, disease severity, disease duration, treatment effect, complications, and adverse events. In this paper, we present the research protocol for the DANIVAS study. Clinical trial registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/, identifier NCT05935709.

Impact of diabetes on the risk of subsequent fractures in 92,600 patients with an incident hip fracture: A Danish nationwide cohort study 2004-2018

PURPOSE

We investigated the incidence rates of a subsequent hip fracture (HF) and other subsequent fractures than HF after first incident HF, comparing patients with and without diabetes.

METHODS

Using Danish medical databases, we identified 92,600 incident HF patients in the period 2004-2018. Diabetes exposure was examined overall, by type of diabetes (T2D and T1D), and by presence of diabetes complications. We estimated cumulative incidence of subsequent HFs and fractures other than HF within two years of the incident HF. Using Cox regression, adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95 % confidence interval (CI) were calculated.

RESULTS

Among incident HF patients, 11,469 (12 %) had diabetes, of whom 10,253 (89 %) had T2D and 1216 (11 %) had T1D. The 2-year incidence rates for a new subsequent HF were 4.8 % (95 % CI: 4.6-4.9) for patients without diabetes (reference group), 4.1 % (95 % CI: 3.8-4.6) for T2D, and 4.3 % (95 % CI: 3.3-5.6) for T1D. Corresponding aHRs were 1.01 (95 % CI 0.90-1.14) for T2D and 1.17 (95 % CI 0.87-1.58) for T1D. There was effect modification by sex, as women with T1D had an aHR of 1.52 (95 % CI: 1.09-2.11) for subsequent HF, and by specific diabetes complications (for example, patients with T2D and prior hypoglycemia had an aHR of 1.75 (95 % CI: 1.24-2.42) for subsequent HF, while patients with T1D and neuropathy had an aHR of 1.73 (95 %: 1.09-2.75), when compared with patients without diabetes). For fractures other than HF, the 2-year incidence rates were 7.3 % (95 % CI: 7.2-7.5) for patients without diabetes, 6.6 % (95 % CI: 6.1-7.1) for T2D, and 8.5 % (95 % CI: 7.0-10.1) for T1D, with corresponding aHRs of 1.01 (95 % CI 0.92-1.11) for T2D and 1.43 (95 % CI: 1.16-1.78) for T1D. T2D was only a risk factor for other subsequent fractures among HF patients of high age (age 86-89 years: aHR 1.22 (95 % CI 0.99-1.55), age 90+ years: aHR 1.37 (95 % CI 1.08-1.74)), whereas T1D was robustly associated with increased risk of fractures other than HF in all subgroups.

CONCLUSION

Among HF patients, we found no strong overall association of T2D or T1D with increased risk of subsequent HF, but diabetes patients with prior hypoglycemic events or neuropathy were at increased risk. In contrast, patients with T1D had a clearly increased risk of subsequent fractures other than HF.

A Nationwide Target Trial Emulation Assessing the Risk of Antidepressant-Induced Mania Among Patients With Bipolar Depression

OBJECTIVE

Antidepressants are commonly used to treat bipolar depression but may increase the risk of mania. The evidence from randomized controlled trials, however, is limited by short treatment durations, providing little evidence for the long-term risk of antidepressant-induced mania. The authors performed a target trial emulation to compare the risk of mania among individuals with bipolar depression treated or not treated with antidepressants over a 1-year period.

METHODS

The authors emulated a target trial using observational data from nationwide Danish health registers. The study included 979 individuals with bipolar depression recently discharged from a psychiatric ward. Of these, 358 individuals received antidepressant treatment, and 621 did not. The occurrence of mania and bipolar depression over the following year was ascertained, and the intention-to-treat effect of antidepressants was analyzed by using Cox proportional hazards regression with adjustment for baseline covariates to emulate randomized open-label treatment allocation.

RESULTS

The fully adjusted analyses revealed no statistically significant associations between treatment with an antidepressant and the risk of mania in the full sample (hazard rate ratio=1.08, 95% CI=0.72-1.61), in the subsample concomitantly treated with a mood-stabilizing agent (hazard rate ratio=1.16, 95% CI=0.63-2.13), and in the subsample not treated with a mood-stabilizing agent (hazard rate ratio=1.16, 95% CI=0.65-2.07). Secondary analyses revealed no statistically significant association between treatment with an antidepressant and bipolar depression recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that the risk of antidepressant-induced mania is negligible and call for further studies to optimize treatment strategies for individuals with bipolar depression.

Impact of breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer on prognosis in patients with first-time pulmonary embolism: A Danish nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is described as a prognostic factor in patients with cancer however, the prognostic impact of PE remains unknown. This study investigated, the 1-year prognosis following PE in patients with breast-, gastrointestinal-, or lung cancer stratified by cancer status.

METHODS

All Danish patients with first-time PE from 2008 to 2018 were included. Cancer status was categorized as no cancer, history of cancer, non-active cancer and active cancer. Unadjusted and age-stratified 1-year risk of death was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Cause of death was reported using the Aalen-Johansen method.

RESULTS

Of 35,679 patients with PE, 18% had a breast-, gastrointestinal-, or lung cancer. Patients with cancer were older compared with no cancer (69.8 years [IQR: 56.2-79.8]). One-year risk of death (95% confidence interval) for active breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer was 49.5% (44.0%-54.9%), 75.0% (72.5%-77.4%) and 80.1% (78.0%-82.3%) respectively, compared with 18.9% (18.4%-19.3%) for no cancer. Age-stratified analysis revealed no association with increasing age in non-active lung cancer and all active cancers. Further, non-cardiovascular death accounted for an increasing proportion by cancer status (no cancer < history of cancer < non-active cancer < active cancer).

CONCLUSIONS

One-year risk of death was dependent on both cancer type and status; no association with age was found for patients with active cancers. Non-cardiovascular death was leading in non-active and active cancers. Thus, the occurrence of first-time PE could be regarded as a marker of cancer severity for patients with breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer.

Risk of a post-colonoscopy colorectal cancer in patients with diverticular disease: a population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Post-colonoscopy colorectal cancers (PCCRCs) may account for up to 30% of all colorectal cancers (CRCs) diagnosed in patients with diverticular disease; however, absolute and relative risks of PCCRC among these patients undergoing colonoscopy remain unknown.

METHODS

We performed a cohort study (1995-2015) including patients with and without diverticular disease who underwent colonoscopy. We calculated 7-36-month cumulative incidence proportions (CIPs) of PCCRC. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to compute hazard ratios (HRs) of PCCRC, comparing patients with and without diverticular disease, as a measure of relative risk. We calculated 3-year PCCRC rates, as per World Endoscopy Organization recommendations, to estimate the proportion of CRC patients with and without diverticular disease who were considered to have PCCRC. We stratified all analyses by PCCRC location.

RESULTS

We observed 373 PCCRCs among 56 642 patients with diverticular disease and 1536 PCCRCs among 306 800 patients without diverticular disease. The PCCRC CIP after first-time colonoscopy was 0.45% (95%CI 0.40%-0.51%) for patients with and 0.36% (95%CI 0.34%-0.38%) for patients without diverticular disease. Comparing patients with and without diverticular disease undergoing first-time colonoscopy, the adjusted HR was 0.84 (95%CI 0.73-0.97) for PCCRC and 1.23 (95%CI 1.01-1.50) for proximal PCCRCs. The 3-year PCCRC rate was 19.0% (22.3% for proximal PCCRCs) for patients with and 6.5% for patients without diverticular disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the absolute risk was low, the relative risk of proximal PCCRCs may be elevated in patients with diverticular disease undergoing colonoscopy compared with patients without the disease.

Landmark analysis of the risk of recurrence after resection or ablation for HCC: A nationwide study

BACKGROUND

The risk of HCC recurrence at particular landmarks since the initial treatment is unknown. With this registry-based study, we aimed to provide a nuanced description of the prognosis following resection or ablation for HCC, including landmark analyses.

METHODS

Using the Danish nationwide health care registries, we identified all patients who received resection or ablation in 2000-2018 as the first HCC treatment. HCC recurrence was defined as a new HCC treatment > 90 days after the first treatment. We conducted competing risk landmark analyses of the cumulative risk of recurrence and death.

RESULTS

Among 4801 patients with HCC, we identified 426 patients who received resection and 544 who received ablation. The 2 treatment cohorts differed in cirrhosis prevalence and tumor stage. The 5-year recurrence risk was 40.7% (95% CI 35.5%-45.8%) following resection and 60.7% (95% CI: 55.9%-65.1%) following ablation. The 1-year recurrence risk decreased over the landmarks from 20.4% (95% CI: 16.6%-24.6%) at the time of resection to 4.7% (95% CI: 0.9%-13.9%) at the 5-year landmark. For ablation, the risk decreased from 36.1% (95% CI: 31.9%-40.4%) at the time of treatment to 5.3% (95% CI: 0.4%-21.4%) at the 5-year landmark. The risk of death without recurrence was stable over the landmarks following both resection and ablation.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the risk of recurrence or death following resection or ablation for HCC is high from the treatment date, but the risk of recurrence decreases greatly over the survival landmarks. This information is valuable for clinicians and their patients.

Atrial fibrillation: age at diagnosis, incident cardiovascular events, and mortality

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are at increased risks of cardiovascular diseases and mortality, but risks according to age at diagnosis have not been reported. This study investigated age-specific risks of outcomes among patients with AF and the background population.

METHODS

This nationwide population-based cohort study included patients with AF and controls without outcomes by the application of exposure density matching on the basis of sex, year of birth, and index date. The absolute risks and hazard rates were stratified by age groups and assessed using competing risk survival analyses and Cox regression models, respectively. The expected differences in residual life years among participants were estimated.

RESULTS

The study included 216 579 AF patients from year 2000 to 2020 and 866 316 controls. The mean follow-up time was 7.9 years. Comparing AF patients with matched controls, the hazard ratios among individuals ≤50 years was 8.90 [95% confidence interval (CI), 7.17-11.0] for cardiomyopathy, 8.64 (95% CI, 7.74-9.64) for heart failure, 2.18 (95% CI, 1.89-2.52) for ischaemic stroke, and 2.74 (95% CI, 2.53-2.96) for mortality. The expected average loss of life years among individuals ≤50 years was 9.2 years (95% CI, 9.0-9.3) years. The estimates decreased with older age.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings show that earlier diagnosis of AF is associated with a higher hazard ratio of subsequent myocardial disease and shorter life expectancy. Further studies are needed to determine causality and whether AF could be used as a risk marker among particularly younger patients.

Patients suffering traumatic brain injury: patient characteristics, prehospital triage, primary referral and mortality - A population-based follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a potential high-risk condition, but appropriate care pathways, including prehospital triage and primary referral to a specialised neurosurgical centre, can improve neurological outcome and survival. The care pathway starts with layman triage, wherein the patient or bystander decides whether to contact a general practitioner (GP) or emergency services (1-1-2 call) as an entryway into the health care system. The GP or 112-health care professional then decides on the level of urgency and dispatches emergency medical services (EMS) when needed. Finally, a decision is made regarding referral of the TBI patient to a specialised neurotrauma centre or a local hospital. Recent studies have shown that injuries are generally more severe in patients entering the health care system through EMS (112-calls) than through GPs; however, no information exists on whether mortality and morbidity outcomes differ depending on the referral choice. The aim of this study was to examine triage pathways, including the method of entry into the health care system, as well as patient characteristics and place of primary referral, to determine the associated 30-day and 1-year mortality rates in TBI patients with confirmed intracranial lesions.

METHODS

This retrospective observational population-based follow-up study was conducted in the Central Denmark Region from 1 February 2017 to 31 January 2019. We included all adult patients who contacted hospitals and were ascribed a predefined TBI ICD-10 diagnosis code in the Danish National Patient Register. The obtained TBI cohort was merged with prehospital data from the Prehospital Emergency Medical Services, Central Denmark Region, and vital status from the Danish Civil Registration System. Binary logistic regression analysis of mortality was conducted. In all patients with TBI (including concussions), the primary outcome was primary referral to a specialised centre based on mode of entry ('GP/HCP', '112-call' or 'Unreferred') into the health care system. In the subgroup of patients with confirmed intracranial lesions, the secondary outcomes were the relative risk of death at day 30 and 1 year based on the place of primary referral.

RESULTS

Of 5,257 first TBI hospital contacts of adult patients included in the cohort, 1,430 (27.2%) entered the health care system via 1-1-2 emergency medical calls. TBI patients triaged by 112-calls were more likely to receive the highest level of emergency response (15.6% vs. 50.3%; p < 0.001) and second-tier resources and were more frequently referred directly to a specialised centre than were patients entering through GPs or other health care personnel. In the subgroup of 1188/5257 (22.4%) patients with confirmed intracranial lesions, we found no difference in the risk ratio of 30 day (RR 1.04 (95%CI 0.65-1.63)) or 1 year (RR 0.96 (95%CI 0.72-1.25)) all-cause mortality between patients primarily referred to a regional hospital or to a specialised centre when adjusting for age, sex, comorbidities, antiplatelet/anticoagulant treatment and type of intracranial lesions.

CONCLUSION

TBI patients mainly enter the health system by contact with GPs or other health care professionals. However, patients entering through 112-calls are more frequently triaged directly to specialised centres. We were unable to demonstrate any significant difference in the adjusted 30-day and 1-year mortality based on e primary referral to a specialised centre. The inability to demonstrate an effect on mortality based on primary referral to a specialised centre may reflect a lack of clinical data in the registries used. Considerable differences may exist in nondocumented baseline characteristics (i.e., GCS, blood pressure and injury severity) between the groups and may limit conclusions about differences in mortality. Further research providing high-quality evidence on the effect of primary referral is needed to secure early neurosurgical interventions in TBI patients.

Follow-Up Study of Effectiveness of 23-Valent Pneumococcal Polysaccharide Vaccine Against All-Type and Serotype-Specific Invasive Pneumococcal Disease, Denmark

As a follow-up to a previous study, we investigated vaccine effectiveness (VE) of 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) among 1,254,498 persons >65 years of age as part of a vaccination program in Denmark during April 2020-January 2023. We assessed VE by using a Cox regression model and adjusted for age, sex, and underlying conditions. Using nationwide data, we estimated a VE of PPSV23 against all-type IPD of 32% and against PPSV23-serotype IPD of 41%. Because this follow-up study had more statistical power than the original study, we also estimated VE against IPD caused by PPSV23-serotypes excluding serotype 3; serotype 3; serotype 8; serotype 22F; PPSV23 non-PCV15 serotypes; PPSV23 non-PCV20 serotypes; and IPD over time. Our findings suggest PPSV23 vaccination can protect persons >65 years of age against IPD caused by all serotypes or serotype groupings, except serotype 3.

Trends in cause-specific mortality among people with type 2 and type 1 diabetes from 2002 to 2019: a Danish population-based study

Background

Despite advances in primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease, excess mortality persists within the diabetes population. This study explores the components of this excess mortality and their interaction with sex.

Methods

Using Danish registries (2002-2019), we identified residents aged 18-99 years, their diabetes status, and recorded causes of death. Applying Lexis-based methods, we computed age-standardized mortality rates (asMRs), mortality relative risks (asMRRs), and log-linear trends for cause-specific mortality.

Findings

From 2002 to 2019, 958,278 individuals died in Denmark (T2D: 148,620; T1D: 7830) during 84.4 M person-years. During the study period, overall asMRs declined, driven by reducing cardiovascular mortality, notably in men with T2D. Conversely, cancer mortality remained high, making cancer the leading cause of death in individuals with T2D. Individuals with T2D faced an elevated mortality risk from nearly all cancer types, ranging from 9% to 257% compared to their non-diabetic counterparts. Notably, obesity-related cancers exhibited the highest relative risks: liver cancer (Men: asMRR 3.58 (3.28; 3.91); Women: asMRR 2.49 (2.14; 2.89)), pancreatic cancer (Men: asMRR 3.50 (3.25; 3.77); Women: asMRR 3.57 (3.31; 3.85)), and kidney cancer (Men: asMRR 2.10 (1.84; 2.40); Women: asMRR 2.31 (1.92; 2.79)). In men with type 2 diabetes, excess mortality remained stable, except for dementia. In women, diabetes-related excess mortality increased by 6-17% per decade across all causes of death, except cardiovascular disease.

Interpretation

In the last decade, cancer has emerged as the leading cause of death among individuals with T2D in Denmark, emphasizing the need for diabetes management strategies incorporating cancer prevention. A sex-specific approach is crucial to address persistently higher relative mortality in women with diabetes.

Funding

Supported by Steno Diabetes Center Aarhus, which is partially funded by an unrestricted donation from the Novo Nordisk Foundation, and by The Danish Diabetes Academy.

Cardiovascular safety of using non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs for gout: a Danish nationwide case-crossover study

Gout attacks are treated with uric-lowering and anti-inflammatory drugs. In patients with gout, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) could be both cardiovascular beneficial, due to their anti-inflammatory actions, and cardiovascular hazardous, due to their prothrombotic, hypertensive, and proarrhythmic side effects. We, therefore, examined the risk of cardiovascular events associated with NSAID use in patients with gout. We conducted a nationwide, population-based case-crossover study of all Danes ≥ 18 years of age with first-time gout during 1997-2020, who experienced a cardiovascular event (myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation/flutter, or cardiovascular death) (n = 59,150). The exposure was use of NSAIDs, overall and according to type (ibuprofen, naproxen, or diclofenac). We used the dates 300, 240, 180, and 120 before the outcome date as reference dates. We used the Mantel-Haenszel method to calculate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the association between NSAID use and cardiovascular events. NSAID use was overall associated with 12% decreased odds of a cardiovascular event (OR = 0.88, 95% CI: 0.85-0.91). This decreased odds ratio was observed for the use of ibuprofen (OR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.88-0.97) and naproxen (OR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.74-0.97), but not for the use of diclofenac (OR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.90-1.05). Overall, use of NSAIDs was associated with decreased odds of all the individual components of the composite outcome. NSAIDs were not associated with an increased cardiovascular event rate when used in gout patients. Ibuprofen and naproxen appeared to have better cardiovascular risk profiles than diclofenac.

Outcomes of patients with cardiac amyloidosis undergoing percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion

BACKGROUND

There is limited data on the safety and efficacy of left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) devices in patients with cardiac amyloidosis. We examined the outcomes of patients with cardiac amyloidosis undergoing LAAO device implantation in a nationally representative cohort of patients.

METHODS

The National Readmissions Database (NRD) was analyzed from 2016 to 2019 to identify patients ≥ 18 years old with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing LAAO. Patients were divided into those with cardiac amyloidosis and those without cardiac amyloidosis. A multivariable logistic regression model was utilized to assess the independent association of cardiac amyloidosis with in-hospital, 30-day/90-day/180-day outcomes after adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

Our cohort included 54,900 LAAO implantation procedures, of which 220 (0.4%) had cardiac amyloidosis. Patients with cardiac amyloidosis had a lower proportion of women and a lower prevalence of comorbidities including anemia, obesity, diabetes, and peripheral vascular disorders but a higher prevalence of stroke, as compared to those without cardiac amyloidosis. On multivariable analysis, cardiac amyloidosis was associated with significantly higher odds of peri-procedural major adverse events (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 2.69; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.41-5.14; p<0.01) and neurological complications (aOR: 5.48; 95% CI: 2.47-12.8; p<0.01). There was no difference in the odds of other peri-procedural complications, in-hospital mortality, hospital resource utilization, and 30/90/180-day all-cause/bleeding/stroke-related readmissions between both groups.

CONCLUSION

Patients with cardiac amyloidosis undergoing LAAO device implantation have an increased risk of peri-procedural complications without any difference in bleeding/stroke-related readmissions. These hypothesis-generating findings need validation in future prospective studies.

Comparing major and mild cognitive impairment risks in older type-2 diabetic patients: a Danish register-based study on dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors vs. glucagon-like peptide-1 analogues

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of major and mild cognitive impairment (CI) in type-2 diabetes older patients is 15-25% and 30-60%, respectively, thus affecting quality of life and health outcomes. There is, therefore, the need of head-to-head studies aiming at identifying the optimal treatment for individuals with type-2 diabetes at increased risk of mild and major CI. This study focuses on the risk of developing mild and major CI in Danish patients treated with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 analogues (GLP-1a) using administrative and healthcare registers.

METHODS

An active comparator design with a 3-year follow-up period was used. The main outcome was the hospital admission with a diagnosis of mild CI or major CI. Multivariate Cox Regression analysis was performed using the high-dimensional propensity score to obtain adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) estimates. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and marginal structured model were used to calculate risk differences while accounting for the variations of confounders throughout the follow-up period.

RESULTS

Our results show a significant higher risk of major CI between DPP-4i and GLP-1a in unadjusted [HR (95% CI) = 3.13 (2.45-4.00), p < 0.001] and adjusted analyses [HR (95% CI) = 1.58 (1.22-2.06), p = 0.001]. No statistically significant differences were observed for mild CI. IPTW resulted stable throughout the follow-up period. Marginal structure modeling (β (95% CI) = 0.022 (0.020-0.024), p < 0.001) resulted in a higher risk of major CI for DPP-4i when compared to GLP-1a.

DISCUSSION

DPP-4i was associated with an increased risk of developing major CI when compared to GLP-1a among older individuals with type-2 diabetes.

Inhaled corticosteroid treatment and pneumonia in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease - nationwide development from 1998 to 2018

Background

A decreasing use of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) in patients with a hospital-registered diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has recently been documented in Denmark. ICS treatment is not recommended in patients with high pneumonia risk, and we aimed to assess the development of ICS treatment in relation to pneumonia occurrence.

Methods

Annual nationwide register-based cross-sectional studies from 1998 to 2018 including all patients ≥40 years of age with a hospital-registered ICD-10 diagnosis of COPD on the 31st of December each year. We calculated the annual proportion of patients with at least one outpatient pneumonia (redeemed prescription of relevant antibiotics) or pneumonia hospitalization (hospitalization or ER visit), and stratified by ICS dose (No ICS, low dose, medium dose, or high dose).

Results

The study population increased from 35,656 patients in 1998 to 99,057 patients in 2018. The annual proportion of patients experiencing a pneumonia decreased from 69.4% to 55.2%. The proportion of patients with at least one outpatient pneumonia, but no hospitalization, decreased (59.2% to 46.2%). The overall proportion of patients with at least one pneumonia hospitalization remained unchanged (10.2% to 9.0%), but this proportion increased in patients in high dose ICS (9.9% to 14.6%). The overall proportion of patients in high dose treatment decreased (12.7% to 5.7%), but not in patients with pneumonia hospitalization (16.5% to 15.1).

Conclusions

Our study demonstrates a nationwide decrease from 1998 to 2018 in the proportion of patients who redeemed a prescription for antibiotics used mainly for respiratory tract infections, which may reflect a decrease in the number of outpatient pneumonias. This decrease was largely caused by an increase in the number of patients without pneumonia. No differences over time were seen regarding hospitalization-requiring pneumonia. High dose ICS treatment was unchanged in patients with hospitalization-requiring pneumonia.

Sex differences in atrial fibrillation ablation outcomes in patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

There is a lack of data on the impact of sex on the outcomes of patients with heart failure (HF) undergoing atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. We aimed to analyze the association of sex with outcomes of atrial fibrillation ablation in patients with heart failure.

METHODS

The National Readmissions Database (NRD) was analyzed from 2016 to 2019 to identify patients ≥ 18 years old with heart failure (HF) undergoing AF ablation. The outcomes of interest included peri-procedural complications, in-hospital mortality, resource utilization, and unplanned 1-year readmissions. The final cohort was divided into patients with HFrEF and HFpEF and outcomes were compared between males and females in both cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 23,277 patients with HF underwent AF ablation between 2016 and 2019, of which 14,480 had HFrEF and 8,797 had HFpEF. Among patients with HFrEF, 61.6% were males and 38.4% were females whereas, among patients with HFpEF, 35.4% were males and 64.6% were females. On a multivariable-adjusted analysis, in patients with HFrEF, there was no difference in the odds of in-hospital mortality, peri-procedural complications, or 1-year HF-related/AF-related/all-cause readmissions between males and females. In patients with HFpEF, females had a higher risk 1-year HF-related readmissions (adjusted hazards ratio: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.13-1.87; p = 0.01), without any difference in the 1-year AF-related/all-cause readmissions, in-hospital mortality, or peri-procedural complications.

CONCLUSION

Our results show that females with HFrEF undergoing AF ablation have similar outcomes whereas females with HFpEF have higher 1-year HF readmissions with no difference in the other outcomes, compared to males.

Risk of periodontitis in adolescents with bipolar disorder: a cohort study of 21,255 subjects

Although a growing number of studies have investigated the relationship between psychosocial factors and periodontitis, studies investigating the association between bipolar disorder (BD) and periodontitis are lacking. Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, 4251 adolescents with BD and 17,004 age- and sex-matched controls were included. They were followed up from enrollment to the end of 2011 or death. Periodontitis was diagnosed during the follow-up. Cox regression analysis indicated that adolescents with BD had a higher risk of periodontitis (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.77-3.17) than did controls. Subanalyses stratified by sex revealed a higher risk of periodontitis in male (HR: 2.83, 95% CI 2.56-3.14) and female (HR: 3.01, 95% CI 2.74-3.30) adolescents with BD than their respective controls. The long-term use of mood stabilizers was associated with a higher risk of periodontitis (HR: 1.19, 95% CI 1.06-1.35) in the BD cohort. Our study highlighted an increased risk of periodontitis in adolescents with BD compared with controls during the follow-up. We recommend that more attention should be paid to the prevention of periodontitis in adolescents with BD, especially those who are female or receiving mood stabilizers.

Associations between health-related quality of life and subsequent need for specialized palliative care and hospital utilization in patients with gastrointestinal cancer-a prospective single-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

We lack knowledge of which factors are associated with the risk of developing complex palliative care needs. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between patient-reported health-related quality of life and subsequent referral to specialized palliative care (SPC) and hospital utilization.

METHODS

This was a prospective single-center cohort study. Data on patient-reported outcomes were collected through the European Organization of Research and Treatment of Cancer Questionnaire-Core-15-Palliative Care (EORTC QLQ-C15-PAL) at the time of diagnosis. Covariates and hospital utilization outcomes were collected from medical records. Adjusted logistic and Poisson regression were applied in the analyses. Participants were newly diagnosed with incurable gastrointestinal cancer and affiliated with a palliative care case management intervention established in a gastroenterology department.

RESULTS

Out of 397 patients with incurable gastrointestinal cancer, 170 were included in the study. Patients newly diagnosed with incurable gastrointestinal cancer experienced a substantial burden of symptoms. Pain was significantly associated with subsequent referral to SPC (OR 1.015; 95% CI 1.001-1.029). Patients with lower education levels (OR 0.210; 95% CI 0.056-0.778) and a Charlson Comorbidity Index score of 2 or more (OR 0.173; 95% CI 0.041-0.733) were less likely to be referred to SPC. Pain (IRR 1.011; 95% CI 1.005-1.018), constipation (IRR 1.009; 95% CI 1.004-1.015), and impaired overall quality of life (IRR 0.991; 95% CI 0.983-0.999) were significantly associated with increased risk of hospital admissions.

CONCLUSION

The study indicates a need for interventions in hospital departments to identify and manage the substantial symptom burden experienced by patients, provide palliative care, and ensure timely referral to SPC.

Temporal trends in characteristics and outcomes after myocardial infarction in patients with and without peripheral artery disease - A Nationwide, register-based follow-up study

AIM

Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) represent a high-risk population with increased morbidity and mortality. We aimed to examine trends in myocardial infarction (MI), PAD and adverse clinical outcomes from years 2000 to 2019.

METHODS

This nationwide Danish-based registry study included all patients with MI from years 2000-2019. Patients with PAD were compared to patients without PAD. Temporal changes in PAD prevalence over time was examined using the Cochrane-Armitage trend test, and Cox regression was used to test for between-group significance in all care and outcome measures.

RESULTS

A total of 196,635 patients experienced an MI within the study time frame; the prevalence of PAD over time showed a slight increase (p < 0.01). Patients with MI and a concurrent PAD diagnosis elicited a heavier burden of comorbidities. The primary MACE endpoint showed significant decreases in both patients with and without PAD (p < 0.01); the decrease was more marked in patients without a concurrent PAD diagnosis (p < 0.01) alongside with 1-year all-cause mortality (p < 0.01). There was a slight increase in initiation of preventive pharmacotherapy with a prominent increase in initiation of P2Y12-inhibitors post discharge in patients without PAD in comparison to patients with PAD, and the same pattern applied for lipid lowering agents (p < 0.01). Also, there was an increase in revascularization in patients with MI but more markedly in patients without coexisting PAD.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite significant decreases in MACE and mortality and significant increases in guideline-recommended care and revascularization over time for MI patients both with and without PAD, improvement in all these measures was less prominent in patients with MI and concomitant PAD.

Association of cancer with functional decline at old age: a longitudinal study in Danish twins

INTRODUCTION

There is evidence that older adults with cancer have a higher risk of functional decline than cancer-free older adults. However, few studies are longitudinal, and none are twin studies. Thus, we aimed to investigate the relationship between cancer and functional decline in older adult (aged 70+ years) twins.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Cancer cases in the Longitudinal Study of Aging Danish Twins were identified through the Danish Cancer Registry. Functional status was assessed using hand grip strength (6 years follow-up), and self-reported questions on mobility (10 years follow-up), and cut-offs were defined to assess functional decline. Cox regression models were performed for all the individual twins. In addition, we extended the analysis to discordant twin pairs (twin pairs with one having cancer and the other being cancer-free), to control to a certain extent for (unmeasured) shared confounders (genetic and environmental factors).

RESULTS

The analysis based on individual twins showed that individual twins with cancer are at increased hazard of worsening hand grip strength (hazard ratio (HR) 1.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04, 1.80) than cancer-free twins. Among the discordant twin pairs, twins with cancer had a higher hazard of worsening hand grip strength (HR 3.50, 95% CI 1.15, 10.63) than cancer-free cotwins. In contrast, there was no evidence of a difference between the hazard of experiencing mobility decline for twins with cancer compared with cancer-free twins, in both individual twins and discordant twin pairs analyses.

DISCUSSION

Cancer was associated with hand grip strength functional decline in old individual twins and discordant pairs. Our results strengthen the importance of comprehensive geriatric assessment in older adults with cancer, as well as the importance of routine assessment of functional status. Promoting physical activity through exercise training programmes could enable the prevention of functional decline in older adults with cancer.

Health status, care dependency and oral care utilization among older adults: a register-based study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to examine oral care utilisation among older Danes and to describe the extent to which oral care use is associated with the co-existence of challenges relating to general health and care dependency.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study used registry data covering the entire population of older adults (≥65 years) in seven municipalities in Denmark (N = 178 787 individuals). Oral care services utilisation was computed from administrative data on oral care contacts up to and including 2019, including both private oral care and a municipal oral care programme (MOCP). Various registry data sources were used to compute risk factors to describe oral care utilisation across indicators of general health and care dependency.

RESULTS

Indicators for poorer health were associated with larger proportions of individuals enrolled in the MOCPs and larger proportions of non-users of any type of oral care. Higher degrees of care dependency were associated with larger proportions of individuals enrolled in MOCPs and individuals with no use of any oral care services, with the exception of nursing home residents, who comprised a lower proportion of non-users than individuals receiving at-home care. Municipal oral care mainly enrolled older adults who were nursing home residents (60% of nursing home residents were enrolled).

CONCLUSION

Our findings support existing evidence on the link between oral care utilisation and general health and frailty. While the municipal care programmes assisted in covering oral care for those with the highest level of care dependency, future preventive strategies for ensuring care continuity for older adults that are increasing in frailty may want to focus on the earlier stages of frailty and of general health deterioration.

Association Between Defibrillation Using LIFEPAK 15 or ZOLL X Series and Survival Outcomes in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Defibrillation is essential for achieving return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with shockable rhythms. This study aimed to investigate if the type of defibrillator used was associated with ROSC in OHCA.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included adult patients with OHCA from the Danish Cardiac Arrest Registry from 2016 to 2021 with at least 1 defibrillation by the emergency medical services. We used multivariable logistic regression and a difference-in-difference analysis, including all patients with or without emergency medical services shock to assess the causal inference of using the different defibrillator models (LIFEPAK or ZOLL) for OHCA defibrillation. Among 6516 patients, 77% were male, the median age (quartile 1; quartile 3) was 70 (59; 79), and 57% achieved ROSC. In total, 5514 patients (85%) were defibrillated using LIFEPAK (ROSC: 56%) and 1002 patients (15%) were defibrillated using ZOLL (ROSC: 63%). Patients defibrillated using ZOLL had an increased adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for ROSC compared with LIFEPAK (aOR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.04-1.43]). There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality (aOR, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.95-1.30]). Patients without emergency medical services defibrillation, but treated by ZOLL-equipped emergency medical services, had a nonsignificant aOR for ROSC compared with LIFEPAK (aOR, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.99-1.23]) and the difference-in-difference analysis was not statistically significant (OR, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.91-1.34]).

CONCLUSIONS

Defibrillation using ZOLL X Series was associated with increased odds for ROSC compared with defibrillation using LIFEPAK 15 for patients with OHCA. However, a difference-in-difference analysis suggested that other factors may be responsible for the observed association.

Hypoparathyroidism and mortality after total thyroidectomy: A nationwide matched cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Total thyroidectomy (TT) carries a risk of hypoparathyroidism (hypoPT). Recently, hypoPT has been associated with higher overall mortality rates. We aimed to evaluate the frequency of hypoPT and mortality in patients undergoing TT in Denmark covering 20 years.

DESIGN

Retrospective Cohort study.

PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS

Using population-based registries, we identified all Danish individuals who had undergone TT between January 1998 and December 2017. We included a comparison cohort by randomly selecting 10 citizens for each patient, matched on sex and birth year. HypoPT was defined as treatment with active vitamin D after 12 months postoperatively. We used cumulative incidence to calculate risks and Cox regression to compare the rate of mortality between patients and the comparison cohort. We evaluated patients in different comorbidity groups using the Charlson Comorbidity Index and by different indications for surgery.

RESULTS

7912 patients underwent TT in the period. The prevalence of hypoPT in the study period was 16.6%, 12 months postoperatively. After adjusting for potential confounders the risk of death due to any causes (hazard ratio; 95% confidence intervals) following TT was significantly increased (1.34; 1.15-1.56) for patients who developed hypoPT. However, subgroup analysis revealed mortality was only increased in malignancy cases (2.48; 1.99-3.10) whereas mortality was not increased when surgery was due to benign indications such as goitre (0.88; 0.68-1.15) or thyrotoxicosis (0.86; 0.57-1.28).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of active vitamin D for hypoPT was prevalent one year after TT. Patients with hypoPT did not have an increased risk of mortality following TT unless the indication was due to malignancy.

Prevalence and prognostic value of electrocardiographic abnormalities in hypokalemia: A multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Hypokalemia is common in hospitalized patients and associated with ECG abnormalities. The prevalence and prognostic value of ECG abnormalities in hypokalemic patients are, however, not well established.

METHODS

The study was a multicentered cohort study, including all ault patients with an ECG and potassium level <4.4 mmol/L recorded at arrival to four emergency departments in Denmark and Sweden. Using computerized measurements from ECGs, we investigated the relationship between potassium levels and heart rate, QRS duration, corrected QT (QTc) interval, ST-segment depressions, T-wave flattening, and T-wave inversion using cubic splines. Within strata of potassium levels, we further estimated the hazard ratio (HR) for 7-day mortality, admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and diagnosis of ventricular arrhythmia or cardiac arrest, comparing patients with and without specific ECG abnormalities matched 1:2 on propensity scores.

RESULTS

Among 79,599 included patients, decreasing potassium levels were associated with a concentration-dependent increase in all investigated ECG variables. ECG abnormalities were present in 40% of hypokalemic patients ([K+ ] <3.5 mmol/L), with T-wave flattening, ST-segment depression, and QTc prolongation occurring in 27%, 16%, and 14%. In patients with mild hypokalemia ([K+ ] 3.0-3.4 mmol/L), a heart rate >100 bpm, ST-depressions, and T-wave inversion were associated with increased HRs for 7-day mortality and ICU admission, whereas only a heart rate >100 bpm predicted both mortality and ICU admission among patients with [K+ ] <3.0 mmol/L. HR estimates were, however, similar to those in eukalemic patients. The low number of events with ventricular arrhythmia limited evaluation for this outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

ECG abnormalities were common in hypokalemic patients, but they are poor prognostic markers for short-term adverse events under the current standard of care.

Risk of fractures and use of bisphosphonates in adult patients with immune thrombocytopenia-A nationwide population-based study

Corticosteroids remain the first-line treatment of immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), but increase the risk of osteoporosis and fractures. Bisphosphonates are used for the treatment of osteoporosis, but their usage among patients with ITP has not been systemically described. We investigated the risk of fractures and the use of bisphosphonates in adult patients with primary (pITP) and secondary ITP (sITP) compared with matched comparators in a nationwide registry-based cohort study. We identified 4030 patients with pITP (median age 60 years [IQR, 40-74]), 550 with sITP (median age 59 years [IQR, 43-74]) and 182 939 age-sex-matched general population comparators. All individuals were followed for incident fractures. Bisphosphonate use was estimated for calendar-years and in temporal relation to the ITP diagnosis. Adjusted cause-specific hazard ratio (csHR) for any fracture was 1.37 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23; 1.54) for pITP and 1.54 (1.17; 2.03) for sITP. The first-year csHR was 1.82 (1.39; 2.40) for pITP and 2.78 (1.58; 4.91) for sITP. Bisphosphonate use over calendar-years and in the early years following ITP diagnosis was higher among patients with ITP diagnosis compared with the general population. In conclusion, the risk of fractures and the use of bisphosphonates are higher in patients with ITP compared with the general population.

Hyperthyroidism and the risk of non-thyroid cancer: a Danish register-based long-term follow-up study

Objective

Cancer is the second most common cause of death worldwide. It is currently debated whether thyroid dysfunction is a modifiable cancer risk factor. Our aim was to evaluate the risk of cancer in patients with hyperthyroidism.

Methods

This is a register-based nationwide cohort study of individuals with a diagnosis of hyperthyroidism. Each hyperthyroid case was matched with four reference individuals according to age and sex. Using Fine and Gray competing risk regression models, we studied the association of hyperthyroidism and subsequent all-cause cancer diagnoses, adjusted for preexisting morbidity. Sub-analyses were stratified for cause of hyperthyroidism (Graves' disease and toxic nodular goiter, age when diagnosed with hyperthyroidism, sex, and cancer localization (lung, prostate, breast, and colorectal cancer)).

Results

The cohort consisted of 95,469 patients with hyperthyroidism (followed for a median of 10.9 years (range: 5.2-17.2)), and 364,494 reference individuals (followed for a median of 11.2 years (range: 5.4-17.4)). Hyperthyroidism was associated with increased all-cause cancer risk (sub-distribution hazard ratio (SHR): 1.12; 95% CI: 1.10-1.14), as well as an increased risk of breast (SHR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.02-1.13), lung (SHR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.16-1.26), and prostate cancer (SHR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.02-1.19), but not colorectal cancer (SHR: 1.04; 95% CI: 0.99-1.09). Sub-analyses stratified for age when diagnosed with hyperthyroidism and cause of hyperthyroidism yielded similar results.

Conclusion

In this register-based study, patients with hyperthyroidism had an increased risk of cancer, in particular lung, prostate, and breast cancer. Whether a causal link exists remains to be proven.

Health Perceptions, Multimorbidity, and New Fractures and Mortality Among Patients With a Fracture

Importance

A high proportion of patients who sustain a fracture have multimorbidity. However, the association of multimorbidity with postfracture adverse outcomes, such as subsequent fractures and premature mortality, has not been widely explored.

Objective

To examine the association of multimorbidity and self-rated health with subsequent fractures and mortality after fracture.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This prospective cohort study included participants from New South Wales, Australia, in the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study (n = 267 357). Participants were recruited from July 2005 to December 2009 and followed up from the date of the incident fracture until subsequent fracture, death, or the end of the study (April 2017), whichever occurred first, with questionnaire data linked to hospital admission and medication records. Data analysis was reported between March and September 2023.

Exposures

Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score and self-rated health (SRH).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were subsequent fracture or mortality after an incident fracture. Associations between SRH measures and subsequent fracture and mortality were also assessed. All analyses were stratified by sex given the different fracture and mortality risk profiles of females and males.

Results

Of 25 280 adults who sustained incident fractures, 16 191 (64%) were female (mean [SD] age, 74 [12] years) and 9089 (36%) were male (mean [SD] age, 74 [13] years). During a median follow-up time of 2.8 years (IQR, 1.1-5.2 years), 2540 females (16%) and 1135 males (12%) sustained a subsequent fracture and 2281 females (14%) and 2140 males (24%) died without a subsequent fracture. Compared with a CCI score of less than 2, those with a CCI score of 2 to 3 had an increased risk of subsequent fracture (females: hazard ratio [HR], 1.16 [95% CI, 1.05-1.27]; males: HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.09-1.43]) and mortality (females: HR, 2.19 [95% CI, 1.99-2.40]; males: HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.71-2.09]). Those with a CCI score of 4 or greater had greater risks of subsequent fracture (females: HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.12-1.58]; males: HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.21-1.81]) and mortality (females: HR, 4.48 [95% CI, 3.97-5.06]; males: HR, 3.82 [95% CI 3.41-4.29]). Self-rated health was also significantly associated with subsequent fracture and mortality. Those reporting the poorest health and quality of life had the highest subsequent fracture risks, and their mortality risks were even higher.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, both CCI and SRH measures were associated with increased risk of subsequent fractures and mortality after fracture, underscoring the importance of managing the care of patients with comorbidities who sustain a fracture.

Risk of depression and anxiety in 7.302 patients with sarcoidosis: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim was to investigate the association between sarcoidosis and anxiety and/or depression (A/D) in patients with sarcoidosis and comparators matched on age, gender, residency, and cohabitation status.

METHODS

Patients with newly diagnosed sarcoidosis between 2001 and 2015 were identified in the Danish National Patient Register. Cases were matched 1:4 with non-sarcoidosis comparators. We estimated the cumulative incidence of A/D using the Cumulative Incidence Function and the subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) for A/D using the Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model. Estimates were adjusted for socio-economic status and Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index.

RESULTS

We identified 7.302 cases and 26.145 matched comparators. The cumulative incidence of A/D after five years was 6.0% (95%CI 5.5-6.4) for cases and 4.2% (95%CI 4.0-4.4) for matched comparators. The cumulative incidence was higher among cases for both males and females and in all age-groups compared with the matched comparators. The adjusted-sHR for A/D was 1.38 (95%CI 1.24-1.53). The adjusted-sHR for A/D was 1.51 (95%CI 1.30-1.75) for male cases and 1.25 (95%CI 1.08-1.45) for female cases compared with the matched comparators. The adjusted-sHR for A/D was higher for cases in all age-groups compared with the matched comparators, although not statistically significant among cases aged 30-39 years (a-sHR 1.15; 95%CI 0.92-1.44).

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcoidosis cases had a higher risk of A/D compared with matched comparators during 18 years of follow-up. The risk of developing A/D was greater for male and female cases and within all age-groups compared with the matched comparators.

Validation of the de Morton mobility index (DEMMI) among acute stroke patients aged ≥65 years: a register study

PURPOSE

To validate the de Morton Mobility Index (DEMMI) in older (≥65 years) patients with acute stroke in a hospital setting within the first week after stroke onset.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the Danish National Database of Geriatrics, we identified 4,176 patients with acute stroke (≥65 years). Floor and ceiling effects of DEMMI were investigated. Furthermore, convergent validity was investigated by correlations between DEMMI and the Barthel Index using Spearman's rho. Known-groups validity was tested by comparing DEMMI scores for different groups (with/without dementia, depression, comorbidity, and walking aids), and unidimensionality of DEMMI was evaluated by Mokken scale analysis.

RESULTS

A floor effect was identified with 22.1% of the patients scoring 0 on DEMMI on admission. Both convergent and known-groups validity were confirmed for DEMMI. Patients who were bedbound had a lower DEMMI score (median [IQR]: 0 [0;0]) than patients without any walking aid (median [IQR]: 62 [33;74]). Furthermore, Mokken scale analysis identified unidimensionality with overall fit to the model (Loevinger H 0.88 (p < 0.0001)).

CONCLUSION

DEMMI is a valid instrument for use in patients with acute stroke (≥65 years) in a hospital setting within the first week after stroke onset.

Kidney Disease in Women With Previous Gestational Diabetes Mellitus: A Nationwide Register-Based Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

The association between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and incident kidney disease, the mediating effects of diabetes and hypertension, and the impact of severity of metabolic dysfunction during pregnancy on the risk of incident kidney disease were investigated in this study.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

This Danish, nationwide, register-based cohort study included all women giving birth between 1997 and 2018. Outcomes included chronic kidney disease (CKD) and acute kidney disease, based on diagnosis codes. Cox regression analyses explored the association between GDM and kidney disease. A proxy for severity of metabolic dysfunction during pregnancy was based on GDM diagnosis and insulin treatment during GDM in pregnancy and was included in the models as an interaction term. The mediating effects of subsequent diabetes and hypertension prior to kidney disease were quantified using mediation analyses.

RESULTS

Data from 697,622 women were used. Median follow-up was 11.9 years. GDM was associated with higher risk of CKD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.92; 95% CI 1.67-2.21), whereas acute kidney disease was unrelated to GDM. The proportions of indirect effects of diabetes and hypertension on the association between GDM and CKD were 75.7% (95% CI 61.8-89.6) and 30.3% (95% CI 25.2-35.4), respectively, as assessed by mediation analyses. The CKD risk was significantly increased in women with insulin-treated GDM and no subsequent diabetes compared with women without GDM (aHR 2.35; 95% CI 1.39-3.97).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of CKD was significantly elevated after GDM irrespective of subsequent development of diabetes and hypertension. Furthermore, women with severe metabolic dysfunction during pregnancy had the highest CKD risk.

Long-term cardiovascular events, graft failure, and mortality in kidney transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Kidney transplant recipients are at increased risks of cardiovascular events, but contemporary risk estimates are sparse. Using the Danish nationwide administrative databases, we quantified 1- and 5-year risks of cardiovascular disease and kidney failure among all first-time kidney transplant recipients (2005-2018) and age- and sex-matched controls (1:10 ratio).

METHODS

Cumulative 1- and 5-year incidence of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure), kidney failure (re-transplantation or need for dialysis >30 days post-transplant), and mortality following transplantation were calculated until maximally Dec 31, 2018.

RESULTS

A total of 2,565 kidney transplant recipients (median age 50.5 [25-75th percentile 40.2-60.7] years, 37 % females) and 25,650 controls were included. 1-year cumulative incidence of myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure was 2.6 % (95 % confidence interval 1.9 %-3.2 %) among kidney transplant recipients versus 0.5 % (0.4 %-0.5 %) in controls. Cumulative 5-year risk estimates for the same endpoints were 8.3 % (7.1 %-9.5 %) for the transplant patients, and 2.6 % (2.3 %-2.8 %) among controls, respectively. For the kidney transplant cohort, cumulative mortality was 2.2 % (1.7 %-2.8 %) and 10.3 % (9.0 %-11.6 %) at 1- and 5 years, respectively, versus 0.5 % (0.4 %-0.6 %) and 3.0 % (2.7 %-3.2 %) for controls. The cumulative incidence of dialysis and re-transplantation was 6.1 % (5.2 %-7.1 %) at 1 year and 16.3 % (14.7 %-17.9 %) at 5 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the benefits of transplantation, kidney transplant recipients continue to have significant long-term cardiovascular disease, end-stage kidney disease, and mortality risks even with contemporary medical management. Better cardiovascular preventive strategies are warranted to improve prognosis in this segment of patients.

Accuracy of heart failure ascertainment using routinely collected healthcare data: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Ascertainment of heart failure (HF) hospitalizations in cardiovascular trials is costly and complex, involving processes that could be streamlined by using routinely collected healthcare data (RCD). The utility of coded RCD for HF outcome ascertainment in randomized trials requires assessment. We systematically reviewed studies assessing RCD-based HF outcome ascertainment against "gold standard" (GS) methods to study the feasibility of using such methods in clinical trials.

METHODS

Studies assessing International Classification of Disease (ICD) coded RCD-based HF outcome ascertainment against GS methods and reporting at least one agreement statistic were identified by searching MEDLINE and Embase from inception to May 2021. Data on study characteristics, details of RCD and GS data sources and definitions, and test statistics were reviewed. Summary sensitivities and specificities for studies ascertaining acute and prevalent HF were estimated using a bivariate random effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was evaluated using I2 statistics and hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curves.

RESULTS

A total of 58 studies of 48,643 GS-adjudicated HF events were included in this review. Strategies used to improve case identification included the use of broader coding definitions, combining multiple data sources, and using machine learning algorithms to search free text data, but these methods were not always successful and at times reduced specificity in individual studies. Meta-analysis of 17 acute HF studies showed that RCD algorithms have high specificity (96.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 91.5-98.3), but lacked sensitivity (63.5%, 95% CI 51.3-74.1) with similar results for 21 prevalent HF studies. There was considerable heterogeneity between studies.

CONCLUSIONS

RCD can correctly identify HF outcomes but may miss approximately one-third of events. Methods used to improve case identification should also focus on minimizing false positives.

Identifying the prevalence of Parkinson's disease in Denmark using healthcare registries and self-reported survey data

INTRODUCTION

Existing estimates of PD prevalence in Denmark are lower than those in the rest of Europe and are based on identification via single registries. Hence, are aim was to use a combined registry/self-report survey approach to identify people with PD and also investigate whether using different registry methods led to differences in the accuracy, completeness and characteristics of the identified cohorts.

METHODS

This study had a cross-sectional design using routinely collected health registry data to identify adults, ≥18 years of age and resident in Denmark, with PD from either the Danish National Patient (DNP) registry or Danish Prescription Medicines (DPM) registry. Those identified were asked to confirm their PD diagnosis using a national self-report survey.

RESULTS

13,433 people were identified potentially as having PD via the DNP or DPM registry and sent a survey. Of these, 9094 responded (68 %) of which 85 % confirmed they had PD (n = 7763; 194/100,000; 95%CI:7650-7876). When adjusting for non-respondents, assuming an equal rate of confirmation in respondents and non-respondents, estimated Danish PD population was 11,467 (198.4/100,000; 95 % CI:197.2-199.6). Identification of people using those found in both registries led to 98 % confirming they had PD versus using one registry: DNP 93 % and DPM 88 %. No clear differences in sociodemographic characteristics were found between different registry identification methods.

CONCLUSIONS

Estimated PD population in Denmark was significantly higher than previous Danish estimates and close to existing estimates in other European countries. The most accurate PD population was identified when including those found in both the DNP and DPM registries.

Mortality in patients with incident rheumatoid arthritis and depression: a Danish cohort study of 11 071 patients and 55 355 comparators

OBJECTIVES

In patients with RA, the association between mortality and depression has been investigated only in patients with prevalent RA. In this study, we estimated the mortality risk associated with depression, defined as the first filling of a prescription for antidepressants, in patients with incident RA and background population comparators.

METHODS

From 2008 to 2018, we identified patients with incident RA in the nationwide Danish rheumatologic database, DANBIO. For each patient, we randomly selected five comparators. Participants were not treated with antidepressants or diagnosed with depression 3 years prior to the index date. From other registers we collected data on socioeconomic status, mortality and cause of death using unique personal identifiers. Using Cox models, we calculated hazard rate ratios (HRR) with 95% CI.

RESULTS

In depressed patients with RA vs patients without depression, adjusted HRR for all-cause mortality was 5.34 (95% CI 3.02, 9.45) during 0-2 years and 3.15 (95% CI 2.62, 3.79) during the total follow-up period, and highest in patients <55 years with HRR 8.13 (95% CI 3.89, 17.02). In comparators with depression vs comparators without depression, the association with mortality was similar to that in patients with RA. There were no unnatural causes of death among depressed patients with RA. The most frequent natural causes of death were cancer, cardiovascular disease, stroke and pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

In patients with RA, depression was a predictor of death but with a strength similar to that in matched comparators.