Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman approach and its modification for random-effects meta-analysis with few studies

Incidence and prevalence of autoimmune diseases in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies

Background

Autoimmune diseases account for a substantial burden of disease in high-income countries, including Europe and North America. However, their epidemiology remains under-researched in other regions. We examined the incidence and prevalence of eight autoimmune diseases in the adult Chinese population through a systematic review of epidemiological studies.

Methods

We searched OvidSP MEDLINE and Google Scholar from 1995 to 2023 (inclusive) for articles on the incidence or prevalence of autoimmune thyroiditis (AT), Graves' disease (GD), type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D), multiple sclerosis (MS), Crohn's disease (CD), ulcerative colitis (UC), rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We included studies from mainland China, Taiwan, Hong Kong or Macau. The study is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021225842).

Findings

We retrieved 2278 records, of which 62 studies (161 estimates) were included in the systematic review, and 42 studies (101 estimates) were included in the meta-analysis. Pooled fixed-effects estimates for incidence of CD, UC, MS, T1D and SLE were 0.22 (95% CI 0.21-0.23), 1.13 (1.10-1.17), 0.28 (0.26-0.30), 2.20 (1.70-2.84) and 4.87 (4.21-5.64) per 100,000 persons, respectively. For RA, one study estimate was included, with an incidence of 15.8 per 100,000 persons. Fixed-effects estimates for the prevalence of CD, UC, MS, SLE, RA, GD and AT were 3.73 (95% CI 3.68-3.78), 16.11 (15.93-16.29), 4.08 (3.95-4.21), 93.44 (92.27-94.63), 104 (103-106), 450 (422-481) and 2322 (2057-2620), respectively, per 100,000 persons. Across all conditions, women were almost twice as likely as men to be diagnosed with an autoimmune disease.

Interpretation

There is marked variation in the frequency of autoimmune diseases among Chinese adults. We estimate that 2.7-3.0% (>31 million people) of the adult Chinese population have one or more autoimmune diseases, comparable to Western populations, with the majority of the burden from autoimmune thyroid diseases and rheumatoid arthritis.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Occult Hypoxemia Prevalence and Clinical Outcomes Among Hospitalized Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There is growing concern that pulse oximeters are routinely less accurate in hospitalized patients with darker skin pigmentation, in turn increasing risk of undetected (occult) hypoxemia and adverse clinical outcomes. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to synthesize evidence on racial and ethnic disparities in occult hypoxemia prevalence and clinical impacts of undetected hypoxemia.

METHODS

Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL databases were searched for relevant articles published through January 2024. Eligible studies must have been conducted among adults in inpatient or outpatient settings and report occult hypoxemia prevalence stratified by patient race or ethnicity, or clinical outcomes stratified by patient race or ethnicity and occult hypoxemia status. Screening for inclusion was conducted independently by two investigators. Data extraction and risk of bias assessment were conducted by one investigator then checked by a second. Outcome data were synthesized using random-effects meta-analyses.

RESULTS

Fifteen primary studies met eligibility criteria and reported occult hypoxemia prevalence in 732,505 paired oximetry measurements from 207,464 hospitalized patients. Compared with White patients, occult hypoxemia is likely more common among Black patients (pooled prevalence ratio = 1.67, 95% CI 1.47 to 1.90) and among patients identifying as Asian, Latinx, Indigenous, multiracial, or other race or ethnicity (pooled prevalence ratio = 1.39, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.64). Findings from studies reporting clinical outcomes suggest that Black patients with undetected hypoxemia may experience poorer treatment delivery outcomes than White patients with undetected hypoxemia. No evidence was found from outpatient settings.

DISCUSSION

This review and included primary studies rely on self-identified race or ethnicity, which may obscure variability in occult hypoxemia risk. Findings underscore that clinicians should be aware of the risk of occult hypoxemia in hospitalized patients with darker skin pigmentation. Moreover, oximetry data from included studies suggests that the accuracy of pulse oximeters could vary substantially from patient to patient and even within individual patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO ( CRD42023402152 ).

Strategies to improve the implementation of preventive care in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Action on smoking, obesity, excess alcohol, and physical inactivity in primary care is effective and cost-effective, but implementation is low. The aim was to examine the effectiveness of strategies to increase the implementation of preventive healthcare in primary care.

METHODS

CINAHL, CENTRAL, The Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Dissertations & Theses - Global, Embase, Europe PMC, MEDLINE and PsycINFO were searched from inception through 5 October 2023 with no date of publication or language limits. Randomised trials, non-randomised trials, controlled before-after studies and interrupted time series studies comparing implementation strategies (team changes; changes to the electronic patient registry; facilitated relay of information; continuous quality improvement; clinician education; clinical reminders; financial incentives or multicomponent interventions) to usual care were included. Two reviewers screened studies, extracted data, and assessed bias with an adapted Cochrane risk of bias tool for Effective Practice and Organisation of Care reviews. Meta-analysis was conducted with random-effects models. Narrative synthesis was conducted where meta-analysis was not possible. Outcome measures included process and behavioural outcomes at the closest point to 12 months for each implementation strategy.

RESULTS

Eighty-five studies were included comprising of 4,210,946 participants from 3713 clusters in 71 cluster trials, 6748 participants in 5 randomised trials, 5,966,552 participants in 8 interrupted time series, and 176,061 participants in 1 controlled before after study. There was evidence that clinical reminders (OR 3.46; 95% CI 1.72-6.96; I2 = 89.4%), clinician education (OR 1.89; 95% CI 1.46-2.46; I2 = 80.6%), facilitated relay of information (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.10-3.46, I2 = 88.2%), and multicomponent interventions (OR 3.10; 95% CI 1.60-5.99, I2 = 96.1%) increased processes of care. Multicomponent intervention results were robust to sensitivity analysis. There was no evidence that other implementation strategies affected processes of care or that any of the implementation strategies improved behavioural outcomes. No studies reported on interventions specifically designed for remote consultations. Limitations included high statistical heterogeneity and many studies did not account for clustering.

CONCLUSIONS

Multicomponent interventions may be the most effective implementation strategy. There was no evidence that implementation interventions improved behavioural outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42022350912.

Effects of carotenoid supplementation on glycemic control: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials

OBJECTIVES

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effects of carotenoid supplementation on glycemic indices, and the certainty of evidence.

METHODS

A systematic literature search in PubMed, SCOPUS, ISI-Web of Science, and Cochrane Library was conducted from inception up to Jun 17, 2024. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effect of carotenoid supplementation on circulating glycemic parameters were included. Records were excluded when studies reported the effect of co-interventions with other nutrients, did not provide mean differences (MDs) and standard deviations (SD) for outcomes, or administered whole food rather than supplements of carotenoids. Summary mean differences (MDs) and 95% CI between intervention and control groups were estimated using a random-effects model. The risk of bias of the included studies was assessed using the Risk of Bias 2.0 (RoB 2.0) tool.

RESULTS

Overall, 36 publications with 45 estimated effect sizes were included in the meta-analyses. The overall findings showed an improvement in fasting blood glucose (FBG) (MD = -4.54 mg/dl; 95% CI: -5.9, -3.2; n = 45), and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C) (MD = -0.25% (95% CI: -0.4, -0.11; n = 22) in the intervention group in comparison with the control group. Moreover, in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D), interventions with astaxanthin and fucoxanthin led to a reduction in FBG by 4.36 mg/dl (95% CI: -6.13, -2.6; n = 10). The findings also showed that the intervention with crocin reduced FBG levels by 13.5 mg/dl (95% CI: -15.5, -7.8; n = 5), and HbA1C by 0.55% (95% CI: -0.77, -0.34; n = 5) in individuals with T2D. However, the certainty of evidence was very low.

CONCLUSION

Carotenoid's supplementation improved glycemic parameters especially in people with T2D. However. the certainty of evidence was very low, mainly due to small sample size, and indirectness. Therefore, no specific recommendations can be provided at present and well-designed RCTs are required. REGISTRY URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ REGISTRY NUMBER: CRD42021285084 REGISTRY AND REGISTRY NUMBER FOR SYSTEMATIC REVIEWS OR META-ANALYSES: PROSPERO ID: CRD42021285084.

Risk and incidence of cardiovascular disease associated with polycystic ovary syndrome

AIMS

We aimed to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and estimate the global incidence of PCOS-associated CVD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a meta-analysis across five databases to evaluate the risk of CVD among women with PCOS. The global incidence of PCOS-associated CVD was calculated by a population attributable fraction modelling using the pooled risk ratio (RR), PCOS prevalence, CVD incidence number, and age-standardized rate (ASIR), from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. An estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to assess the temporal trend of PCOS-associated CVD. The risk of CVD was significantly increased in women with PCOS for an all-age group (pooled RR 1.51, 95% confidence interval 1.36-1.69) and 10- to 54-year-olds (1.37, 1.17-1.59). Globally, from 1990 to 2019, the PCOS-associated CVD cases in women across the all-age group has raised from 102 530 to 235 560. The most affected regions were East Asia and the Pacific (108 430, 66 090-166 150) in 2019. South Asia has the highest increase trend of PCOS-associated CVD ASIRs (EAPC 2.61%, 2.49-2.73). The annual increase in ASIR in PCOS-CVD incidence for the 10-54 age group (EAPC 0.49%, 0.41-0.56) is faster than that of the all-age group (0.34, 0.27-0.42). The middle- or low-middle sociodemographic index countries experienced higher increase trend of CVD due to PCOS in the past 30 years.

CONCLUSION

Women with PCOS have a significantly increased risk of CVD. Efficient measures to enhance its prevention and treatment are important for regions with a high PCOS-associated CVD burden, especially premature CVD in women under 55 years.

Risk Stratification in Nonischemic Dilated Cardiomyopathy Using CMR Imaging: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Importance

Accurate risk stratification of nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDCM) remains challenging.

Objective

To evaluate the association of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging-derived measurements with clinical outcomes in NIDCM.

Data Sources

MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science Core Collection databases were systematically searched for articles from January 2005 to April 2023.

Study Selection

Prospective and retrospective nonrandomized diagnostic studies reporting on the association between CMR imaging-derived measurements and adverse clinical outcomes in NIDCM were deemed eligible.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Prespecified items related to patient population, CMR imaging measurements, and clinical outcomes were extracted at the study level by 2 independent reviewers. Random-effects models were fitted using restricted maximum likelihood estimation and the method of Hartung, Knapp, Sidik, and Jonkman.

Main Outcomes and Measures

All-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, arrhythmic events, heart failure events, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

Results

A total of 103 studies including 29 687 patients with NIDCM were analyzed. Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) presence and extent (per 1%) were associated with higher all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.81 [95% CI, 1.60-2.04]; P < .001 and HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.02-1.12]; P = .02, respectively), cardiovascular mortality (HR, 2.43 [95% CI, 2.13-2.78]; P < .001 and HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.07-1.24]; P = .01), arrhythmic events (HR, 2.69 [95% CI, 2.20-3.30]; P < .001 and HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.03-1.12]; P = .004) and heart failure events (HR, 1.98 [95% CI, 1.73-2.27]; P < .001 and HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.01-1.10]; P = .02). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (per 1%) was not associated with all-cause mortality (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.97-1.02]; P = .47), cardiovascular mortality (HR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.00]; P = .05), or arrhythmic outcomes (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.97-1.01]; P = .34). Lower risks for heart failure events (HR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.95-0.98]; P = .002) and MACE (HR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.96-0.99]; P < .001) were observed with higher LVEF. Higher native T1 relaxation times (per 10 ms) were associated with arrhythmic events (HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.01-1.14]; P = .04) and MACE (HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.01-1.11]; P = .03). Global longitudinal strain (GLS) (per 1%) was not associated with heart failure events (HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.95-1.18]; P = .15) or MACE (HR, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.94-1.14]; P = .43). Limited data precluded definitive analysis for native T1 relaxation times, GLS, and extracellular volume fraction (ECV) with respect to mortality outcomes.

Conclusion

The presence and extent of LGE were associated with various adverse clinical outcomes, whereas LVEF was not significantly associated with mortality and arrhythmic end points in NIDCM. Risk stratification using native T1 relaxation times, extracellular volume fraction, and global longitudinal strain requires further evaluation.

Investigating the Heterogeneity of "Study Twins"

Meta-analyses are commonly performed based on random-effects models, while in certain cases one might also argue in favor of a common-effect model. One such case may be given by the example of two "study twins" that are performed according to a common (or at least very similar) protocol. Here we investigate the particular case of meta-analysis of a pair of studies, for example, summarizing the results of two confirmatory clinical trials in phase III of a clinical development program. Thereby, we focus on the question of to what extent homogeneity or heterogeneity may be discernible and include an empirical investigation of published ("twin") pairs of studies. A pair of estimates from two studies only provide very little evidence of homogeneity or heterogeneity of effects, and ad hoc decision criteria may often be misleading.

The effect of physical exercise on cognitive function in schizophrenia patients: A GRADE assessed systematic review and meta-analysis of controlled clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Physical exercise has demonstrated the potential to improve cognitive impairment in schizophrenia, although the results are limited. The objective of this meta-analysis is to synthesize the existing evidence on the impact of physical exercise on cognitive functions in schizophrenia.

METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase was conducted. The study included controlled clinical trials on patients with schizophrenia that received physical exercise as the intervention for improving cognition. A meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model, and the outcomes were reported using the standardized mean difference (SMD) and a 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI).

RESULTS

A total of 22 articles, including 1066 patients (565 in the intervention group and 501 in the control group), were included in the final analysis. Physical exercises significantly improved global cognition (SMD: 0.73, 95 % CI (0.46-1.00), P < 0.001), and aerobic exercise was found to have a more significant effect than resistance and mindfulness exercise (SMD: 0.76, 95 % CI (0.45-1.07), P < 0.001). The speed of processing [SMD: 0.88, 95 % CI (0.37-1.38), P = 0.001], attention [SMD: 0.61, 95 % CI (0.20-1.02), P = 0.004], and visual learning memory [SMD: 1.42, 95 % CI (0.14-2.71), P = 0.03] demonstrated significant improvement after physical exercise, while no significant effects were observed on working memory, verbal learning memory, reasoning and problem-solving, and social cognition.

CONCLUSIONS

Exercise can improve overall cognitive function in people with Schizophrenia. However, it is unclear whether this improvement is significant in specific cognitive domains.

Development and validation of a prognostic model to predict birth weight: individual participant data meta-analysis

Objective

To predict birth weight at various potential gestational ages of delivery based on data routinely available at the first antenatal visit.

Design

Individual participant data meta-analysis.

Data sources

Individual participant data of four cohorts (237 228 pregnancies) from the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications (IPPIC) network dataset.

Eligibility criteria for selecting studies

Studies in the IPPIC network were identified by searching major databases for studies reporting risk factors for adverse pregnancy outcomes, such as pre-eclampsia, fetal growth restriction, and stillbirth, from database inception to August 2019. Data of four IPPIC cohorts (237 228 pregnancies) from the US (National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, 2018; 233 483 pregnancies), UK (Allen et al, 2017; 1045 pregnancies), Norway (STORK Groruddalen research programme, 2010; 823 pregnancies), and Australia (Rumbold et al, 2006; 1877 pregnancies) were included in the development of the model.

Results

The IPPIC birth weight model was developed with random intercept regression models with backward elimination for variable selection. Internal-external cross validation was performed to assess the study specific and pooled performance of the model, reported as calibration slope, calibration-in-the-large, and observed versus expected average birth weight ratio. Meta-analysis showed that the apparent performance of the model had good calibration (calibration slope 0.99, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88 to 1.10; calibration-in-the-large 44.5 g, -18.4 to 107.3) with an observed versus expected average birth weight ratio of 1.02 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.07). The proportion of variation in birth weight explained by the model (R2) was 46.9% (range 32.7-56.1% in each cohort). On internal-external cross validation, the model showed good calibration and predictive performance when validated in three cohorts with a calibration slope of 0.90 (Allen cohort), 1.04 (STORK Groruddalen cohort), and 1.07 (Rumbold cohort), calibration-in-the-large of -22.3 g (Allen cohort), -33.42 (Rumbold cohort), and 86.4 g (STORK Groruddalen cohort), and observed versus expected ratio of 0.99 (Rumbold cohort), 1.00 (Allen cohort), and 1.03 (STORK Groruddalen cohort); respective pooled estimates were 1.00 (95% CI 0.78 to 1.23; calibration slope), 9.7 g (-154.3 to 173.8; calibration-in-the-large), and 1.00 (0.94 to 1.07; observed v expected ratio). The model predictions were more accurate (smaller mean square error) in the lower end of predicted birth weight, which is important in informing clinical decision making.

Conclusions

The IPPIC birth weight model allowed birth weight predictions for a range of possible gestational ages. The model explained about 50% of individual variation in birth weights, was well calibrated (especially in babies at high risk of fetal growth restriction and its complications), and showed promising performance in four different populations included in the individual participant data meta-analysis. Further research to examine the generalisability of performance in other countries, settings, and subgroups is required.

Trial registration

PROSPERO CRD42019135045.

Prolonged Beta-Lactam Infusions in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether beta-lactam extended or continuous beta-lactam infusions (EI/CI) improve clinical outcomes in children with proven or suspected bacterial infections.

STUDY DESIGN

We included observational and interventional studies that compared beta-lactam EI or CI with standard infusions in children less than 18 years old, and reported on mortality, hospital or intensive care unit length of stay, microbiological cure, and/or clinical cure. Data sources included PubMed, Medline, EBM Reviews, EMBASE, and CINAHL and were searched from January 1, 1980, to November 3, 2023. Thirteen studies (2945 patients) were included: 5 randomized control trials and 8 observational studies. Indications for antimicrobial therapies and clinical severity varied, ranging from cystic fibrosis exacerbation to critically ill children with bacteriemia.

RESULTS

EI and CI were not associated with a reduction in mortality in randomized control trials (n = 1464; RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.71, 1.21), but were in observational studies (n = 833; RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.19, 0.96). We found no difference in hospital length of stay. Results for clinical and microbiological cures were heterogeneous and reported as narrative review. The included studies were highly heterogeneous, limiting the strength of our findings. The lack of shared definitions for clinical and microbiological cure outcomes precluded analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

EI and CI were not consistently associated with reduced mortality or length of stay in children. Results were conflicting regarding clinical and microbiological cures. More well-designed studies targeting high-risk populations are necessary to determine the efficacy of these alternative dosing strategies.

Epidemiology of Trichomonas vaginalis infection in the Middle East and North Africa: systematic review, meta-analyses, and meta-regressions

BACKGROUND

Trichomoniasis, caused by the parasite Trichomonas vaginalis (TV), remains an underappreciated sexually transmitted infection (STI), primarily due to inadequate understanding of its epidemiology and public health implications. This study aimed to characterize TV epidemiology in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA).

METHODS

Systematic review and analysis of evidence sourced from international, regional, and national databases were conducted. Findings were reported following PRISMA guidelines. Random-effects meta-analyses and meta-regressions were performed to determine pooled mean prevalence, investigate associations with prevalence, and identify sources of between-study heterogeneity.

FINDINGS

The review identified 263 relevant publications, encompassing 462 TV prevalence measures. The pooled mean TV prevalence was estimated as follows: 4.7% (95% CI: 3.9-5.6%) in the general population of women, 17.2% (95% CI: 5.4-33.6%) among intermediate-risk populations, 10.3% (95% CI: 6.2-15.3%) among female sex workers, 13.9% (95% CI: 12.3-15.6%) among symptomatic women, 7.4% (95% CI: 1.9-15.5%) among infertility clinic attendees, 2.3% (95% CI: 0.1-6.3%) among women with miscarriages or ectopic pregnancies, and 1.6% (95% CI: 0.8-2.7%) among STI clinic attendees. Limited data were found for men. Multivariable meta-regressions explained >40% of the prevalence variation, unveiling a hierarchical prevalence pattern by population type, an inverse correlation with national income, and a prevalence decline at a rate of 1% per calendar year.

INTERPRETATION

Despite conservative sexual norms, MENA has a substantial TV prevalence, comparable to the global TV prevalence. The unexpectedly high prevalence of this curable infection may, in part, be attributed to limited access to and underutilization of STI screening and treatment services.

FUNDING

This work was supported by the Qatar Research, Development, and Innovation Council [ARG01-0522-230273] and by the Biomedical Research Program at Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar.

Development and validation of prediction models for fetal growth restriction and birthweight: an individual participant data meta-analysis

Background

Fetal growth restriction is associated with perinatal morbidity and mortality. Early identification of women having at-risk fetuses can reduce perinatal adverse outcomes.

Objectives

To assess the predictive performance of existing models predicting fetal growth restriction and birthweight, and if needed, to develop and validate new multivariable models using individual participant data.

Design

Individual participant data meta-analyses of cohorts in International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications network, decision curve analysis and health economics analysis.

Participants

Pregnant women at booking. External validation of existing models (9 cohorts, 441,415 pregnancies); International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications model development and validation (4 cohorts, 237,228 pregnancies).

Predictors

Maternal clinical characteristics, biochemical and ultrasound markers.

Primary outcomes

fetal growth restriction defined as birthweight <10th centile adjusted for gestational age and with stillbirth, neonatal death or delivery before 32 weeks' gestation birthweight.

Analysis

First, we externally validated existing models using individual participant data meta-analysis. If needed, we developed and validated new International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications models using random-intercept regression models with backward elimination for variable selection and undertook internal-external cross-validation. We estimated the study-specific performance (c-statistic, calibration slope, calibration-in-the-large) for each model and pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was quantified using τ2 and 95% prediction intervals. We assessed the clinical utility of the fetal growth restriction model using decision curve analysis, and health economics analysis based on National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2008 model.

Results

Of the 119 published models, one birthweight model (Poon) could be validated. None reported fetal growth restriction using our definition. Across all cohorts, the Poon model had good summary calibration slope of 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.90 to 0.96) with slight overfitting, and underpredicted birthweight by 90.4 g on average (95% confidence interval 37.9 g to 142.9 g). The newly developed International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-fetal growth restriction model included maternal age, height, parity, smoking status, ethnicity, and any history of hypertension, pre-eclampsia, previous stillbirth or small for gestational age baby and gestational age at delivery. This allowed predictions conditional on a range of assumed gestational ages at delivery. The pooled apparent c-statistic and calibration were 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.51 to 1.0), and 0.95 (95% confidence interval 0.67 to 1.23), respectively. The model showed positive net benefit for predicted probability thresholds between 1% and 90%. In addition to the predictors in the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-fetal growth restriction model, the International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-birthweight model included maternal weight, history of diabetes and mode of conception. Average calibration slope across cohorts in the internal-external cross-validation was 1.00 (95% confidence interval 0.78 to 1.23) with no evidence of overfitting. Birthweight was underestimated by 9.7 g on average (95% confidence interval -154.3 g to 173.8 g).

Limitations

We could not externally validate most of the published models due to variations in the definitions of outcomes. Internal-external cross-validation of our International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-fetal growth restriction model was limited by the paucity of events in the included cohorts. The economic evaluation using the published National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2008 model may not reflect current practice, and full economic evaluation was not possible due to paucity of data.

Future work

International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications models' performance needs to be assessed in routine practice, and their impact on decision-making and clinical outcomes needs evaluation.

Conclusion

The International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-fetal growth restriction and International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications-birthweight models accurately predict fetal growth restriction and birthweight for various assumed gestational ages at delivery. These can be used to stratify the risk status at booking, plan monitoring and management.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42019135045.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 17/148/07) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 14. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Trivalent and quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccine in adults aged 60 and older: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To compare the efficacy of influenza vaccines of any valency for adults 60 years and older.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Systematic review with network meta-analysis (NMA) of randomised controlled trials (RCTs). MEDLINE, EMBASE, JBI Evidence-Based Practice (EBP) Database, PsycINFO, and Cochrane Evidence -Based Medicine database were searched from inception to 20 June 20, 2022. Two reviewers screened, abstracted, and appraised articles (Cochrane Risk of Bias (ROB) 2.0 tool) independently. We assessed certainty of findings using Confidence in Network Meta-Analysis and Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations approaches. We performed random-effects meta-analysis and network meta-analysis (NMA), and estimated odds ratios (ORs) for dichotomous outcomes and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for count outcomes along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and prediction intervals.

PARTICIPANTS

Older adults (≥60 years old) receiving an influenza vaccine licensed in Canada or the USA (vs placebo, no vaccine, or any other licensed vaccine), at any dose.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Laboratory-confirmed influenza (LCI) and influenza-like illness (ILI). Secondary outcomes were the number of vascular adverse events, hospitalisation for acute respiratory infection (ARI) and ILI, inpatient hospitalisation, emergency room (ER) visit for ILI, outpatient visit, and mortality, among others.

RESULTS

We included 41 RCTs and 15 companion reports comprising 8 vaccine types and 206 032 participants. Vaccines may prevent LCI compared with placebo, with high-dose trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV3-HD) (NMA: 9 RCTs, 52 202 participants, OR 0.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.11 to 0.51), low certainty of evidence) and recombinant influenza vaccine (RIV) (OR 0.25, 95%CI (0.08 to 0.73), low certainty of evidence) among the most efficacious vaccines. Standard dose trivalent IIV3 (IIV3-SD) may prevent ILI compared with placebo, but the result was imprecise (meta-analysis: 2 RCTs, 854 participants, OR 0.39, 95%CI (0.15 to 1.02), low certainty of evidence). Any HD was associated with prevention of ILI compared with placebo (NMA: 9 RCTs, 65 658 participants, OR 0.38, 95%CI (0.15 to 0.93)). Adjuvanted quadrivalent IIV (IIV4-Adj) may be associated with the least vascular adverse events, but the results were very uncertain (NMA: eight 8 RCTs, 57 677 participants, IRR 0.18, 95%CI (0.07 to 0.43), very low certainty of evidence). RIV on all-cause mortality may be comparable to placebo (NMA: 20 RCTs, 140 577 participants, OR 1.01, 95%CI (0.23 to 4.49), low certainty of evidence).

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review demonstrated efficacy associated with IIV3-HD and RIV vaccines in protecting older persons against LCI. RIV vaccine may reduce all-cause mortality when compared with other vaccines, but the evidence is uncertain. Differences in efficacy between influenza vaccines remain uncertain with very low to moderate certainty of evidence.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020177357.

Herbal Medicine in Children and Adults With Atopic Dermatitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Herbal medicine is widely used for dermatological diseases, particularly atopic dermatitis. This study aims to systematically review existing literature on the efficacy of both topical and systemic herbal interventions for atopic dermatitis across various age groups. Conducting a comprehensive search on MEDLINE/PubMed, Scopus, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (Central) until April 12, 2023, only randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were included. The review is reported following the PRISMA guidelines and was conducted in accordance to Cochrane recommendations. Two authors independently extracted details, including demographics, medication, control/placebo groups, outcomes, adverse events, and results, with quality assessment using the Cochrane risk of bias tool 2.0. A meta-analysis, utilizing the random-effects model, was conducted, and publication bias was assessed through funnel plot inspection. The quality of evidence adhered to GRADE working group recommendations. The primary focus was evaluating atopic dermatitis or pruritus severity. The review encompassed 51 RCTs (3763 participants). Of these, 31 RCTs explored 19 distinct herbs and five complex remedies, whereas 20 RCTs (1088 participants) specifically investigated evening primrose oil (EPO). Herbs such as sunflower, licorice, figs, coconut, EPO, indigo naturalis, licorice, mauve, St. John's wort, and a combination of aloe vera and olive oil were found to have evidence of efficacy in the local treatment of atopic dermatitis. A meta-analysis on systemic used EPO, involving 13 RCTs, found no significant difference in atopic dermatitis severity compared with placebo (SMD: 0.14; 95% CI [-0.45; 0.73], 13 RCTs). In conclusion, this review provides a nuanced perspective on herbal substance efficacy for atopic dermatitis. While the EPO meta-analysis failed to show a discernible benefit beyond placebo, individual herbal preparations showed promising results in RCTs included in this review. Nevertheless, larger, methodologically rigorous studies are essential to establish evidence for herbal remedies in atopic dermatitis treatment.

Clinical significance of combined tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes and microsatellite instability status in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Microsatellite instability (MSI) status and tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) are established prognostic factors in colorectal cancer. Previous studies evaluating the combination of TIL and MSI status identified distinct colorectal cancer subtypes with unique prognostic associations. However, these studies were often limited by sample size, particularly for MSI-high (MSI-H) tumours, and there is no comprehensive summary of the available evidence. We aimed to review the literature to compare the survival outcomes associated with the subtypes derived from the integrated MSI-TIL classification in patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS

In this systematic review and network meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library without language restrictions, for articles published between Jan 1, 1990, and March 13, 2024. Patient cohorts comparing different combinations of TIL (high or low) and MSI status (MSI or microsatellite stable [MSS]) in patients with surgically resected colorectal cancer were included. Studies were excluded if they focused on neoadjuvant therapy or on other immune markers such as B cells or macrophages. Methodological quality assessment was done with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale; data appraisal and extraction was done independently by two reviewers. Summary estimates were extracted from published reports. The primary outcomes were overall survival, disease-free survival, and cancer-specific survival. A frequentist network meta-analysis was done to compare hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CI for each outcome. The MSI-TIL subgroups were prognostically ranked based on P-score, bias, magnitude, and precision of associations with each outcome. The protocol is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023461108).

FINDINGS

Of 302 studies initially identified, 21 studies (comprising 14 028 patients) were included in the systematic review and 19 (13 029 patients) in the meta-analysis. Nine studies were identified with a low risk of bias and the remaining ten had a moderate risk of bias. The MSI-TIL-high (MSI-TIL-H) subtype exhibited longer overall survival (HR 0·45, 95% CI 0·34-0·61; I2=77·7%), disease-free survival (0·43, 0·32-0·58; I2=61·6%), and cancer-specific survival (0·53, 0·43-0·66; I2=0%), followed by the MSS-TIL-H subtype for overall survival (HR 0·53, 0·41-0·69; I2=77·7%), disease-free survival (0·52, 0·41-0·64; I2=61·6%), and cancer-specific survival (0·55, 0·47-0·64; I2=0%) than did patients with MSS-TIL-low tumours (MSS-TIL-L). Patients with the MSI-TIL-L subtype had similar overall survival (0·88, 0·66-1·18; I2=77·7%) and disease-free survival (0·93, 0·69-1·26; I2=61·6%), but a modestly longer cancer-specific survival (0·72, 0·57-0·90; I2=0%) than did the MSS-TIL-L subtype. Results from the direct and indirect evidence were strongly congruous.

INTERPRETATION

The findings from this network meta-analysis suggest that better survival was only observed among patients with TIL-H colorectal cancer, regardless of MSI or MSS status. The integrated MSI-TIL classification should be further explored as a predictive tool for clinical decision-making in early-stage colorectal cancer.

FUNDING

German Research Council (HO 5117/2-2).

The effectiveness of social prescribing in the management of long-term conditions in community-based adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the effectiveness of social prescribing interventions in the management of long-term conditions in adults.

DATA SOURCES

Eleven electronic databases were searched for randomised and quasi-randomised controlled trials.

REVIEW METHODS

Outcomes of interest were quality of life, physical activity, psychological well-being and disease-specific measures. Bias was assessed with the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2 tool. A narrative synthesis and meta-analysis were performed.

RESULTS

Twelve studies (n = 3566) were included in this review. Social prescribing interventions were heterogeneous and the most common risks of bias were poor blinding and high attrition. Social prescribing interventions designed to target specific long-term conditions i.e., cancer and diabetes demonstrated significant improvements in quality of life (n = 2 studies) and disease-specific psychological outcomes respectively (n = 3 studies). There was some evidence for improvement in physical activity (n = 2 studies) but most changes were within group only (n = 4 studies). Social prescribing interventions did not demonstrate any significant changes in general psychological well-being.

CONCLUSION

Social prescribing interventions demonstrated some improvements across a range of outcomes although the quality of evidence remains poor.

Association of vitamin B12, folate, and homocysteine with COVID-19 severity and mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

We aimed to review the available evidence on the association between vitamin B12, folate, and homocysteine levels with worse outcomes among COVID-19 patients.

Methods

The search was carried out in ten databases simultaneously run on 10 May 2023, without language restrictions. We included cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort studies. The random-effects meta-analysis was performed using the Sidik-Jonkman method and corrected 95% confidence intervals using the truncated Knapp-Hartung standard errors. Standardized mean difference and 95% CI was used as the measure effect size.

Results

Thirteen articles were included in this review (n = 2134). Patients with COVID-19 who did not survive had the highest serum vitamin B12 values (SMD: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.31-1.78; p = 0.01, I2 = 91.22%). In contrast, low serum folate values were associated with patients with severe COVID-19 (SMD: -0.77; 95% CI: -1.35 to -0.19; p = 0.02, I2 = 59.09%). The remaining tested differences did not yield significant results.

Conclusion

Elevated serum levels of vitamin B12 were associated with higher mortality in patients with COVID-19. Severe cases of COVID-19 were associated with low serum folate levels. Future studies should incorporate a larger sample size.

Andexanet alfa versus PCC products for factor Xa inhibitor bleeding: A systematic review with meta-analysis

Previous meta-analyses assessed andexanet alfa (AA) or prothrombin complex concentrate (PCC) products for the treatment of Factor Xa inhibitor (FXaI)-associated major bleeding. However, they did not include recent studies or assess the impact of the risk of bias. We conducted a systematic review with meta-analysis on the effectiveness of AA versus PCC products for FXaI-associated major bleeding, inclusive of the studies' risk of bias. PubMed and Embase were searched for comparative studies assessing major bleeding in patients using FXaI who received AA or PCC. We used the Methodological Index for NOn-Randomized Studies (MINORS) checklist and one question from the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Critical Appraisal of Case Series tool to assess the risk of bias. Random-effects meta-analyses were performed to provide a pooled estimate for the effect of AA versus PCC products on hemostatic efficacy, in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and thrombotic events. Low-moderate risk of bias studies were meta-analyzed separately, as well as combined with high risk of bias studies. Eighteen comparative evaluations of AA versus PCC were identified. Twenty-eight percent of the studies (n = 5) had low-moderate risk and 72% (n = 13) had a high risk of bias. Studies with low-moderate risk of bias suggested improvements in hemostatic efficacy [Odds Ratio (OR) 2.72 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.15-6.44); one study], lower in-hospital mortality [OR 0.48 (95% CI: 0.38-0.61); three studies], and reduced 30-day mortality [OR 0.49 (95% CI: 0.30-0.80); two studies] when AA was used versus PCC products. When studies were included regardless of the risk of bias, pooled effects showed improvements in hemostatic efficacy [OR 1.36 (95% CI: 1.01-1.84); 12 studies] and reductions in 30-day mortality [OR 0.53 (95% CI: 0.37-0.76); six studies] for AA versus PCC. The difference in thrombotic events with AA versus PCC was not statistically significant in the low-moderate, high, or combined risk of bias groups. The evidence from low-moderate quality real-world studies suggests that AA is superior to PCC in enhancing hemostatic efficacy and reducing in-hospital and 30-day mortality. When studies are assessed regardless of the risk of bias, the pooled hemostatic efficacy and 30-day mortality risk remain significantly better with AA versus PCC.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of preoperative predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery

Hip fractures are a global health problem with a high postoperative mortality rate. Preoperative predictors for early mortality could be used to optimise and personalise healthcare strategies. This study aimed to identify predictors for early mortality following hip fracture surgery. Cohort studies examining independent preoperative predictors for mortality following hip fracture surgery were identified through a systematic search on Scopus and PubMed. Predictors for 30-day mortality were the primary outcome, and predictors for mortality within 1 year were secondary outcomes. Primary outcomes were analysed with random-effects meta-analyses. Confidence in the cumulative evidence was assessed using the GRADE criteria. Secondary outcomes were synthesised narratively. Thirty-three cohort studies involving 462,699 patients were meta-analysed. Five high-quality evidence predictors for 30-day mortality were identified: age per year (OR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.07), ASA score ≥ 3 (OR: 2.69, 95% CI: 2.12-3.42), male gender (OR: 2.00, 95% CI: 1.85-2.18), institutional residence (OR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.31-2.49), and metastatic cancer (OR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.58-3.10). Additionally, six moderate-quality evidence predictors were identified: chronic renal failure, dementia, diabetes, low haemoglobin, heart failures, and a history of any malignancy. Weak evidence was found for non-metastatic cancer. This review found relevant preoperative predictors which could be used to identify patients who are at high risk of 30-day mortality following hip fracture surgery. For some predictors, the prognostic value could be increased by further subcategorising the conditions by severity.

Treatments for ADHD in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review

CONTEXT

Effective treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is essential to improving youth outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review provides an overview of the available treatment options.

DATA SOURCES

We identified controlled treatment evaluations in 12 databases published from 1980 to June 2023; treatments were not restricted by intervention content.

STUDY SELECTION

Studies in children and adolescents with clinically diagnosed ADHD, reporting patient health and psychosocial outcomes, were eligible. Publications were screened by trained reviewers, supported by machine learning.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were abstracted and critically appraised by 1 reviewer and checked by a methodologist. Data were pooled using random-effects models. Strength of evidence and applicability assessments followed Evidence-based Practice Center standards.

RESULTS

In total, 312 studies reported in 540 publications were included. We grouped evidence for medication, psychosocial interventions, parent support, nutrition and supplements, neurofeedback, neurostimulation, physical exercise, complementary medicine, school interventions, and provider approaches. Several treatments improved ADHD symptoms. Medications had the strongest evidence base for improving outcomes, including disruptive behaviors and broadband measures, but were associated with adverse events.

LIMITATIONS

We found limited evidence of studies comparing alternative treatments directly and indirect analyses identified few systematic differences across stimulants and nonstimulants. Identified combination of medication with youth-directed psychosocial interventions did not systematically produce better results than monotherapy, though few combinations have been evaluated.

CONCLUSIONS

A growing number of treatments are available that improve ADHD symptoms and other outcomes, in particular for school-aged youth. Medication therapies remain important treatment options but are associated with adverse events.

Can molecular hydrogen supplementation reduce exercise-induced oxidative stress in healthy adults? A systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

Exercise-induced oxidative stress affects multiple neurophysiological processes, diminishing the exercise performance. Hydrogen (H2) can selectively reduce excessive free radicals, but studies observed its "dual effects" on exercise-induced oxidative stress, that is, increasing or decreasing the oxidative stress. Therefore, we here conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to quantitatively assess the influence of H2 on exercise-induced oxidative stress in healthy adults.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of publications across five databases. The following keywords were used for search strategy: ["hydrogen"[Mesh] or "molecular hydrogen" or "hydrogen rich water" or "hydrogen-rich water" or "hydrogen rich saline"] and ["Oxidative Stress"[Mesh] or "Antioxidative Stress" or "Oxidative Damage" or "Oxidative Injury" or "Oxidative Cleavage"] and ["randomized controlled trial"[Mesh] or "randomized" or "RCT"]. We included trials reporting the effects of H2 on exercise-induced oxidative stress and potential antioxidant capacity post-exercise in healthy adults. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted to explore how various elements of the intervention design affected those outcomes.

Results

Six studies, encompassing seven experiments with a total of 76 participants, were included in our analysis. Among these studies, hydrogen-rich water, hydrogen bathing, and hydrogen-rich gas were three forms used in H2 administration. The H2 was applied in different timing, including before, during, or after exercise only, both before and after exercise, and repeatedly over days. Single-dose, multi-dose within 1 day and/or multiple-dose over days were implemented. It was observed that compared to placebo, the effects of H2 on oxidative stress (diacron-reactive oxygen metabolites, d-ROMs) was not significant (SMD = -0.01, 95%CI-0.42 to 0.39, p = 0.94). However, H2 induced greater improvement in antioxidant potential capacity (Biological Antioxidant Potential, BAP) (SMD = 0.29, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.54, p = 0.03) as compared to placebo. Subgroup analyses revealed that H2 supplementation showed greater improvement (SMD = 0.52, 95%CI 0.16 to 0.87, p = 0.02) in the antioxidant potential capacity of intermittent exercises than continuous exercise.

Conclusion

H2 supplementation can help enhance antioxidant potential capacity in healthy adults, especially in intermittent exercise, but not directly diminish the levels of exercise-induced oxidative stress. Future studies with more rigorous design are needed to examine and confirm these findings.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=364123, Identifier CRD42022364123.

Antithrombotic Therapy in Cerebral Cavernous Malformations: A Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis, and Network Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Cerebral cavernous malformations are complex vascular anomalies in the central nervous system associated with a risk of intracranial hemorrhage. Traditional guidelines have been cautious about the use of antithrombotic therapy in this patient group, citing concerns about potential bleeding risk. However, recent research posits that antithrombotic therapy may actually be beneficial. This study aims to clarify the association between antithrombotic therapy, including antiplatelet and anticoagulant medications, and the risk of intracranial hemorrhage in patients with cerebral cavernous malformations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases, following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Nine single-center, nonrandomized cohort studies involving 2709 patients were included. Outcomes were analyzed using random-effects model, and a network meta-analysis was conducted for further insight. Of the 2709 patients studied, 388 were on antithrombotic therapy. Patients on antithrombotic therapy had a lower risk of presenting with intracranial hemorrhage (odds ratio [OR], 0.56 [95% CI, 0.45-0.7]; P<0.0001). In addition, the use of antithrombotic therapy was associated with lower risk of intracranial hemorrhage from a cerebral cavernous malformation on follow-up (OR, 0.21 [95% CI, 0.13-0.35]; P<0.0001). A network meta-analysis revealed a nonsignificant OR of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.23-2.56) when antiplatelet therapy was compared with anticoagulant therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study explores the potential benefits of antithrombotic therapy in cerebral cavernous malformations. Although the analysis suggests a possible role for antithrombotic agents, it is critical to note that the evidence remains preliminary. Fundamental biases in study design, such as ascertainment and assignment bias, limit the weight of our conclusions. Therefore, our findings should be considered hypothesis-generating and not definitive for clinical practice change.

Genetics, epigenetics, and neurobiology of childhood-onset depression: an umbrella review

Depression is a serious and persistent psychiatric disorder that commonly first manifests during childhood. Depression that starts in childhood is increasing in frequency, likely due both to evolutionary trends and to increased recognition of the disorder. In this umbrella review, we systematically searched the extant literature for genetic, epigenetic, and neurobiological factors that contribute to a childhood onset of depression. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, OVID/PsychInfo, and Google Scholar with the following inclusion criteria: (1) systematic review or meta-analysis from a peer-reviewed journal; (2) inclusion of a measure assessing early age of onset of depression; and (3) assessment of neurobiological, genetic, environmental, and epigenetic predictors of early onset depression. Findings from 89 systematic reviews of moderate to high quality suggest that childhood-onset depressive disorders have neurobiological, genetic, environmental, and epigenetic roots consistent with a diathesis-stress theory of depression. This review identified key putative markers that may be targeted for personalized clinical decision-making and provide important insights concerning candidate mechanisms that might underpin the early onset of depression.

Development and external validation of the eFalls tool: a multivariable prediction model for the risk of ED attendance or hospitalisation with a fall or fracture in older adults

BACKGROUND

Falls are common in older adults and can devastate personal independence through injury such as fracture and fear of future falls. Methods to identify people for falls prevention interventions are currently limited, with high risks of bias in published prediction models. We have developed and externally validated the eFalls prediction model using routinely collected primary care electronic health records (EHR) to predict risk of emergency department attendance/hospitalisation with fall or fracture within 1 year.

METHODS

Data comprised two independent, retrospective cohorts of adults aged ≥65 years: the population of Wales, from the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank (model development); the population of Bradford and Airedale, England, from Connected Bradford (external validation). Predictors included electronic frailty index components, supplemented with variables informed by literature reviews and clinical expertise. Fall/fracture risk was modelled using multivariable logistic regression with a Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator penalty. Predictive performance was assessed through calibration, discrimination and clinical utility. Apparent, internal-external cross-validation and external validation performance were assessed across general practices and in clinically relevant subgroups.

RESULTS

The model's discrimination performance (c-statistic) was 0.72 (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.68 to 0.76) on internal-external cross-validation and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.80 to 0.83) on external validation. Calibration was variable across practices, with some over-prediction in the validation population (calibration-in-the-large, -0.87; 95% CI: -0.96 to -0.78). Clinical utility on external validation was improved after recalibration.

CONCLUSION

The eFalls prediction model shows good performance and could support proactive stratification for falls prevention services if appropriately embedded into primary care EHR systems.

Gastroesophageal reflux disease following laparoscopic vertical sleeve gastrectomy and laparoscopic roux-en-Y gastric bypass: meta-analysis and systematic review of 5-year data

To compare 5-year gastroesophageal reflux outcomes following Laparoscopic Vertical Sleeve Gastrectomy (LVSG) and Laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (LRYGB) based on high quality randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We conducted a sub-analysis of our systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs of primary LVSG and LRYGB procedures in adults for 5-year post-operative complications (PROSPERO CRD42018112054). Electronic databases were searched from January 2015 to July 2021 for publications meeting inclusion criteria. The Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman random effects model was utilized to estimate weighted mean differences where meta-analysis was possible. Bias and certainty of evidence was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool 2 and GRADE. Four RCTs were included (LVSG n = 266, LRYGB n = 259). An increase in adverse GERD outcomes were observed at 5 years postoperatively in LVSG compared to LRYGB in all outcomes considered: Overall worsened GERD, including the development de novo GERD, occurred more commonly following LVSG compared to LRYGB (OR 5.34, 95% CI 1.67 to 17.05; p = 0.02; I2 = 0%; (Moderate level of certainty); Reoperations to treat severe GERD (OR 7.22, 95% CI 0.82 to 63.63; p = 0.06; I2 = 0%; High level of certainty) and non-surgical management for worsened GERD (OR 3.42, 95% CI 1.16 to 10.05; p = 0.04; I2 = 0%; Low level of certainty) was more common in LVSG patients. LVSG is associated with the development and worsening of GERD symptoms compared to LRYGB at 5 years postoperatively leading to either introduction/increased pharmacological requirement or further surgical treatment. Appropriate patient/surgical selection is critical to minimize these postoperative risks.

Intensive vs Conventional Blood Pressure Control After Thrombectomy in Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Importance

Endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is standard treatment for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) due to large-vessel occlusion (LVO), but optimal post-EVT blood pressure (BP) control remains debated.

Objective

To assess the association of different systolic BP targets following EVT with functional outcomes, mortality, and complications in patients with AIS due to LVO.

Data Sources

Systematic review and meta-analysis of databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, and Cochrane Library) to September 8, 2023.

Study Selection

Inclusion criteria consisted of randomized clinical trials examining post-EVT management of systolic BP in patients with AIS and LVO comparing intensive vs conventional targets. Nonrandomized studies, observational studies, noninterventional trials, meeting abstracts, duplicate studies, studies with overlapping data, and non-English language studies were excluded. Two authors independently applied these criteria through a blinded review, with discrepancies resolved through consensus. The risk of bias in the included studies was assessed using the revised tool for assessing risk of bias in randomized trials.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

This study adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline. Three authors extracted data regarding study characteristics, baseline patient data, and outcomes of interest. The pooled data were analyzed using a random-effects meta-analysis.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Rates of functional independence, 90-day mortality, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and hypotensive events.

Results

A total of 4 randomized clinical trials with 1571 initially enrolled patients were included in the analysis. Lower functional independence rates were observed in the intensive control group (relative risk [RR], 0.81 [95% CI, 0.67-0.98]). No significant differences were found in 90-day mortality (RR, 1.18 [95% CI, 0.92-1.52]), symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (RR, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.75-1.67]), or hypotensive events (RR, 1.80 [95% CI, 0.37-8.76]). There was minimal heterogeneity among the studies included in the functional independence outcome (I2 = 13% and τ2 = 0.003), which was absent among other outcomes (I2 = 0 and τ2 = 0).

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that intensive post-EVT BP reduction does not yield benefits and may carry risks. While awaiting the results of additional ongoing trials, a conservative BP management strategy after endovascular recanalization is favored in daily practice.

Global prevalence of psychosocial assessment following hospital-treated self-harm: systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hospital-treated self-harm is common, costly and associated with repeated self-harm and suicide. Providing a comprehensive psychosocial assessment following self-harm is recommended by professional bodies and may improve outcomes.

AIMS

To review the provision of psychosocial assessments after hospital-presenting self-harm and the extent to which macro-level factors indicative of service provision explain variability in these estimates.

METHOD

We searched five electronic databases to 3 January 2023 for studies reporting data on the proportion of patients and/or events that were provided a psychosocial assessment. Pooled weighted prevalence estimates were calculated with the random-effects model. Random-effects meta-regression was used to investigate between-study variability.

RESULTS

119 publications (69 unique samples) were included. Across ages, two-thirds of patients had a psychosocial assessment (0.67, 95% CI 0.58-0.76). The proportion was higher for young people and older adults (0.75, 95% CI 0.36-0.99 and 0.83, 95% CI 0.48-1.00, respectively) compared with adults (0.64, 95% CI 0.54-0.73). For events, around half of all presentations had these assessments across the age range. No macro-level factor explained between-study heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

There is room for improvement in the universal provision of psychosocial assessments for self-harm. This represents a missed opportunity to review and tailor aftercare supports for those at risk. Given the marked unexplained heterogeneity between studies, the person- and system-level factors that influence provision of psychosocial assessments after self-harm should be studied further.

Robust variance estimation in small meta-analysis with the standardized mean difference

Conventional random-effects models in meta-analysis rely on large sample approximations instead of exact small sample results. While random-effects methods produce efficient estimates and confidence intervals for the summary effect have correct coverage when the number of studies is sufficiently large, we demonstrate that conventional methods result in confidence intervals that are not wide enough when the number of studies is small, depending on the configuration of sample sizes across studies, the degree of true heterogeneity and number of studies. We introduce two alternative variance estimators with better small sample properties, investigate degrees of freedom adjustments for computing confidence intervals, and study their effectiveness via simulation studies.

Primary antibiotic resistance of Helicobacter pylori in the Asia-Pacific region between 1990 and 2022: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

We previously showed rising primary antibiotic resistance of Helicobacter pylori during 1990-2015 in the Asia-Pacific region. However, whether primary antibiotic resistance continues to rise is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to assess the latest prevalence of H pylori antibiotic resistance in this region.

METHODS

We did an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies and randomised controlled trials published in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library between Jan 1, 1990, and July 12, 2023. Studies investigating primary H pylori resistance to clarithromycin, metronidazole, levofloxacin, amoxicillin, or tetracycline in individuals naive to eradication therapy in the Asia-Pacific region (as defined by the UN geoscheme) were eligible for inclusion. There were no language restrictions. Studies that focused on specific subpopulations (eg, children) were excluded. Using a standardised extraction form, two authors independently reviewed and extracted summary data from all eligible articles. The updated prevalence of antibiotic resistance was generated by meta-analysis under a random-effects model and subgroup analyses were done by countries and periods of study. Between-study variability was assessed by use of I2. The study is registered in PROSPERO, CRD42022339956.

FINDINGS

A total of 351 studies, including 175 new studies and 176 studies from our previous analysis, were included in this meta-analysis. The overall prevalence of primary antibiotic resistance of H pylori between 1990 and 2022 was 22% (95% CI 20-23; I2=96%) for clarithromycin, 52% (49-55; I2=99%) for metronidazole, 26% (24-29; I2=96%) for levofloxacin, 4% (3-5; I2=95%) for tetracycline, and 4% (3-5; I2=95%) for amoxicillin. Prevalence varied considerably between countries and across study periods. From 1990 to 2022, the prevalence of primary resistance increased for clarithromycin, metronidazole, and levofloxacin but remained stable for amoxicillin and tetracycline. The latest primary resistance prevalences were 30% (95% CI 28-33; I2=93%) for clarithromycin, 61% (55-66; I2=99%) for metronidazole, 35% (31-39; I2=95%) for levofloxacin, 4% (2-6; I2=96%) for tetracycline, and 6% (4-8; I2=96%) for amoxicillin in the Asia-Pacific region.

INTERPRETATION

Treatment guidelines should be adapted in response to the rising primary resistance of key antibiotics for H pylori eradication. A global policy to control and monitor the antibiotic resistance of H pylori is urgently needed.

FUNDING

Ministry of Health and Welfare of Taiwan, National Science and Technology Council of Taiwan, and National Taiwan University.

TRANSLATION

For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Quantitative impact of frenotomy on breastfeeding: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Symptoms related to infant ankyloglossia/tongue-tie may deter mothers from breastfeeding, yet frenotomy is controversial.

METHODS

Databases included PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and Google Scholar from 1961-2023. Controlled trials and cohort studies with validated measures of surgical efficacy for breastfeeding outcomes were eligible. Meta-analyses synthesized data with inverse-variance weighting to determine standardized mean differences (SMD) between pre-/postoperative scores.

RESULTS

Twenty-one of 1568 screened studies were included. Breastfeeding self-efficacy improved significantly post-frenotomy: medium effect after 5-10 days (SMD 0.60 [95% CI: 0.48, 0.71; P < 0.001]), large effect after 1 month (SMD 0.91 [CI: 0.79, 1.04; P < 0.001]). Nipple pain decreased significantly post-frenotomy: large effect after 5-15 days (SMD -1.10 [CI: -1.49, -0.70; P < 0.001]) and 1 month (SMD -1.23 [CI: -1.79, -0.67; P = 0.002]). Frenotomy had a medium effect on infant gastroesophageal reflux severity at 1-week follow-up (SMD -0.63 [CI: -0.95, -0.31; P = 0.008]), with continued improvement at 1 month (SMD -0.41 [CI: -0.78, -0.05; P = 0.04]). From LATCH scores, breastfeeding quality improved after 5-7 days by a large SMD of 1.28 (CI: 0.56, 2.00; P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Providers should offer frenotomy to improve outcomes in dyads with ankyloglossia-associated breastfeeding difficulties.

PROTOCOL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO identifier CRD42022303838 .

IMPACT

This systematic review and meta-analysis showed that breastfeeding self-efficacy, maternal pain, infant latch, and infant gastroesophageal reflux significantly improve after frenotomy in mother-infant dyads with breastfeeding difficulties and ankyloglossia. Providers should offer frenotomy to improve breastfeeding outcomes in symptomatic mother-infant dyads who face challenges associated with ankyloglossia.

Estimates of the global burden of non-Hodgkin lymphoma attributable to HIV: a population attributable modeling study

Background

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) significantly increases the risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) development, yet the population-level impact on NHL burden is unquantified. We aim to quantify this association and estimate the global burden of HIV-associated NHL.

Methods

In this meta-analysis, we searched five databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus) from database inception up to September 13, 2023, identifying cohort, case-control, or cross-sectional studies with an effective control group to assess NHL risk among individuals with HIV infection, with two authors extracting summary data from reports. Global and regional HIV-associated population attributable fraction (PAF) and NHL disease burden were calculated based on the pooled risk ratio (RR). HIV prevalence and NHL incidence were obtained from the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) and Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. Trends in NHL incidence due to HIV were assessed using age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023404150).

Findings

Out of 14,929 literature sources, 39 articles met our inclusion criteria. The risk of NHL was significantly increased in the population living with HIV (pooled RR 23.51, 95% CI 17.62-31.37; I2 = 100%, p < 0.0001), without publication bias. Globally, 6.92% (95% CI 2.18%-11.57%) of NHL new cases in 2019 were attributable to HIV infection (30,503, 95% CI 9585-52,209), which marked a more than three-fold increase from 1990 (8340, 95% CI 3346-13,799). The UNAIDS region of Eastern and Southern Africa was the highest affected region, with 44.46% (95% CI 19.62%-58.57%) of NHL new cases attributed to HIV infection. The Eastern Europe and Central Asia region experienced the highest increase in ASIR of NHL due to HIV in the past thirty years, wherein the EAPC was 8.74% (95% CI 7.66%-9.84%), from 2010 to 2019.

Interpretation

People with HIV infection face a significantly increased risk of NHL. Targeted prevention and control policies are especially crucial for countries in Eastern and Southern Africa, Eastern Europe and Central Asia, to achieve the UNAIDS's '90-90-90' Fast-Track targets. Limited studies across diverse regions and heterogeneity between research have hindered precise estimations for specific periods and regions.

Funding

Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, Chengdu, China; Health Care for Cadres of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, China; Science and Technology Department of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, China.

Health-related physical fitness in women with polycystic ovary syndrome versus controls: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) is a common endocrinopathy associated with cardiometabolic dysfunction.

PURPOSE

(1) To compare HRPF indices, including cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF), muscle strength, and muscle endurance, between women with and without PCOS (i.e., controls). (2) To explore the impact of moderating factors, i.e., insulin sensitivity, androgen levels, physical activity levels, and body mass index, on these indices.

METHODS

Articles comparing HRPF between PCOS and control groups were identified until February 27th, 2022. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted and moderating factors were explored with subgroup and meta-regression analyses.

RESULTS

Twenty studies were included. Compared to controls, CRF was lower in women with PCOS (n = 15, - 0.70 [- 1.35, - 0.05], P = 0.03, I2 = 95%). Meta-regression analyses demonstrated that fasting insulin (P = 0.004) and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (P = 0.006) were negatively associated with CRF, while sex-hormone binding globulin levels (P = 0.003) were positively associated. Absolute muscle strength was not different between PCOS and controls (n = 7, 0.17 [- 0.10, 0.45], P = 0.22, I2 = 37%). One study evaluated muscle endurance and reported lower core endurance in PCOS subjects compared to controls.

CONCLUSION

These data suggest that PCOS may be associated with impaired CRF. It remains unclear whether muscle strength and endurance differ between women with PCOS and controls. As this data set was limited by a small sample size, potential for bias, and inconsistent findings, additional studies accounting for the heterogeneous presentation of PCOS as well as improved matching between PCOS and controls for characteristics known to affect HRPF would help elucidate the impact of PCOS on indices of HRPF.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020196380.

Immediate, Short-term, Medium-term, and Long-term effects of Acceptance and Commitment Therapy for Smoking Cessation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Acceptance and commitment therapy (ACT) is increasingly being studied as a treatment for smoking cessation. However, its immediate, short-, and long-term effects have rarely been reviewed.

METHODS

This systematic review aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of immediate, short-, medium-, and long-term smoking cessation rates in ACT and comparators at less than 3-month, 3 to 4-month, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were searched in eight databases until April 20, 2023. We assessed the quality of RCTs and the certainty of evidence of outcomes.

RESULTS

Nineteen RCTs involving 7885 smokers across six countries were included. The majority (72.81%) of RCTs were graded as low risk across six domains. For complete-case outcomes, meta-analyses were conducted, and the results revealed a significant effect in favor of ACT [risk ratio: 1.70-1.80 at <3-month, 3 to 4-month, and 6 months follow-up] compared with comparators. For outcomes using missing data management, meta-analyses found an overall effect in favor of ACT, but a significant effect was found at 3 to 4-months only. However, 12-month follow-ups revealed no significant reduction in smoking cessation for both outcomes. Moderate and substantial heterogeneities were found among four meta-analyses that may lead to inaccurate estimates of effects. The certainty of evidence of all outcomes was rated as low and very low.

CONCLUSION

ACT may be an effective intervention for smoking cessation with immediate, short-term, and medium-term effects. Caution must be applied in the interpretation of the results due to the limited trials and low certainty of evidence.

IMPLICATION

ACT can be implemented adjuvant to the usual treatment for smoking cessation. Additional RCTs with follow-up data using biochemically verified measures in non-US countries are warranted.

Endovascular thrombectomy after acute ischemic stroke of the basilar artery: a meta-analysis of four randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Previous randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and meta-analyses were underpowered to demonstrate the superiority of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) over medical therapy (MEDT) in the treatment of acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion of the posterior circulation (PC-LVO). We performed an updated systematic review and meta-analysis after the publication of the BAOCHE and ATTENTION trials to determine whether EVT can benefit patients presenting with PC-LVO.

METHODS

Using Nested Knowledge, we screened literature for RCTs on EVT in PC-LVO. The primary outcome was 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 0-3, and secondary outcomes included 90-day mRS score 0-2, 90-day mortality, and rate of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH). A random-effects model was used to compute rate ratios (RRs) and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Four RCTs with 988 patients, 556 patients in the EVT arm and 432 patients in the MEDT arm, were included in the meta-analysis. EVT resulted in significantly higher rates of mRS score 0-3 (RR=1.54; 95% CI 1.16 to 2.04; P=0.002) and functional independence (RR=1.83; 95% CI 1.08 to 3.08; P=0.024), and lower rates of mortality (RR=0.76; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.90; P=0.002) at 90-day follow-up compared with MEDT alone. However, EVT patients had higher rates of sICH (RR=7.48; 95% CI 2.27 to 24.61; P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

EVT conferred significant patient benefit over MEDT alone in the treatment of PC-LVO. Future studies should better define patients for whom EVT is futile and determine factors that contribute to higher rates of sICH.

Effectiveness of combined surgical and exercise-based interventions following primary traumatic anterior shoulder dislocation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effectiveness, risk of recurrence and return to activity (RTA) of surgery combined with exercise-based interventions (EBI) versus EBI alone after traumatic anterior shoulder dislocation (ASD).

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

Systematic literature search (MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, Google Scholar).

ELIGIBILITY

Studies focused on EBI or EBI as a part of postoperative care for adults with an ASD, written in English, and published after 1990. We excluded diagnostic, assessment-based studies on individuals experiencing recurrent shoulder dislocations, concomitant shoulder injury, animal or cadaveric studies. Primary outcomes were dislocation RTA. Secondary outcomes were self-reported outcome measures, strength and range of motion. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate the effect of EBI (SMD; Hedges' g, RR). The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach was used to assess the certainty of evidence.

RESULTS

Sixty studies were included (n=3598); seven were meta-analysed (n=345). The mean age of participants in the included studies was 26.71±9.19 and 56% of those included were male. Of the 60 studies included in the systematic review, 29 were fair quality (48.3%), 15 studies were good quality (25%) and 16 studies were poor quality (26.7%), (k=0.66). Individuals who underwent EBI alone were 2.03 times more likely to experience recurrent instability than individuals who underwent EBI in conjunction with surgery (RR 2.03, 95% CI 1.03 to 3.97). Individuals who underwent EBI with surgery appeared 1.81 times more likely to RTA than those who underwent EBI alone, although results were not statistically significant (RR 1.81, 95% CI 0.96 to 3.43).

CONCLUSIONS

Surgery combined with EBI is more effective in reducing the risk of recurrence and possibly increasing RTA than EBI alone after traumatic ASD.

Combined nail-plate constructs in the management of osteoporotic native distal femoral fractures: a systematic review of the available evidence

PURPOSE

Distal femoral fractures account for 4-6% of fragility fractures. These may be managed using a combined nail-plate construct (NPC). The use of NPCs is gaining traction. Whilst several theoretical advantages exist, there is little evidence reporting on binary or patient-reported outcomes. The aim of the current study was to perform a systematic review of the available literature pertaining to NPCs and their treatment of native distal femoral fractures, appraising the outcomes and focusing on the rationale for their increasing uptake in recent literature.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Clinical Key, PubMed and Cochrane library was performed from date of inception up to in August 9, 2022. All study languages were included initially. A further Google Scholar search review was performed to identify any other studies not identified in the database interrogation. Studies were eligible if they reported on the use of nail-plate constructs in managing distal femoral fractures. Any outcome metric was permitted. The study was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. Risk of bias was assessed using the Methodological Index for non-randomised Studies tool. Quantitative analysis was performed using a log odds ratio random effects model. The Knapp-Hartung adjustment was utilised if the total number of included studies was < 5. Study effect sizes and appropriate plots were constructed to illustrate the outcomes data.

RESULTS

A total of four studies were eligible for inclusion. Study data was extracted and summarised with their relevant outcomes presented. The literature review demonstrated that the use of NPCs led to significantly earlier full weight bearing (p < 0.001) and had reduced non-union rates over a single construct, without affecting infection rates (12.5% vs. 5.6%; p = 0.289) and significantly lower implant failure rates (10.5% vs. 0%; p = 0.011). A meta-analysis is performed of available studies and Forrest plots presented.

CONCLUSION

The use of NPC in the management of native osteoporotic DFFs is gaining traction but the available evidence is of low grade with significant heterogeneity in small cohorts of patients. We suggest that a large-scale, multicentre prospective study should be performed, with agreed functional and radiological outcome metrics, to provide a more robust evidence base.

Artificial intelligence for colorectal neoplasia detection during colonoscopy: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials

BACKGROUND

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in detecting colorectal neoplasia during colonoscopy holds the potential to enhance adenoma detection rates (ADRs) and reduce adenoma miss rates (AMRs). However, varied outcomes have been observed across studies. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the potential advantages and disadvantages of employing AI-aided systems during colonoscopy.

METHODS

Using Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms and keywords, a comprehensive electronic literature search was performed of the Embase, Medline, and the Cochrane Library databases from the inception of each database until October 04, 2023, in order to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing AI-assisted with standard colonoscopy for detecting colorectal neoplasia. Primary outcomes included AMR, ADR, and adenomas detected per colonoscopy (APC). Secondary outcomes comprised the poly missed detection rate (PMR), poly detection rate (PDR), and poly detected per colonoscopy (PPC). We utilized random-effects meta-analyses with Hartung-Knapp adjustment to consolidate results. The prediction interval (PI) and I2 statistics were utilized to quantify between-study heterogeneity. Moreover, meta-regression and subgroup analyses were performed to investigate the potential sources of heterogeneity. This systematic review and meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42023428658).

FINDINGS

This study encompassed 33 trials involving 27,404 patients. Those undergoing AI-aided colonoscopy experienced a significant decrease in PMR (RR, 0.475; 95% CI, 0.294-0.768; I2 = 87.49%) and AMR (RR, 0.495; 95% CI, 0.390-0.627; I2 = 48.76%). Additionally, a significant increase in PDR (RR, 1.238; 95% CI, 1.158-1.323; I2 = 81.67%) and ADR (RR, 1.242; 95% CI, 1.159-1.332; I2 = 78.87%), along with a significant increase in the rates of PPC (IRR, 1.388; 95% CI, 1.270-1.517; I2 = 91.99%) and APC (IRR, 1.390; 95% CI, 1.277-1.513; I2 = 86.24%), was observed. This resulted in 0.271 more PPCs (95% CI, 0.144-0.259; I2 = 65.61%) and 0.202 more APCs (95% CI, 0.144-0.259; I2 = 68.15%).

INTERPRETATION

AI-aided colonoscopy significantly enhanced the detection of colorectal neoplasia detection, likely by reducing the miss rate. However, future studies should focus on evaluating the cost-effectiveness and long-term benefits of AI-aided colonoscopy in reducing cancer incidence.

FUNDING

This work was supported by the Heilongjiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (LH2023H096), the Postdoctoral research project in Heilongjiang Province (LBH-Z22210), the National Natural Science Foundation of China's General Program (82072640) and the Outstanding Youth Project of Heilongjiang Natural Science Foundation (YQ2021H023).

Child maltreatment and resilience in adulthood: a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Although child maltreatment (CM) has been linked to health problems and poor psychosocial functioning, not all individuals exposed to CM develop or experience negative consequences later in life. This suggests that some individuals show resilience after being exposed to CM. However, conclusions have been limited by inconsistent findings across different CM subtypes and resilience domains.Objective: To develop a protocol for conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis to quantify associations between CM (overall and its subtypes) and resilience (global and its multiple domains) in adulthood, and to examine moderators and mediators of these associations.Method: PubMed, PsycINFO, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science will be searched to identify relevant studies on the association between CM (exposure) and resilience (outcome) in adults (≥ 18 years). Data will be screened and extracted by at least two independent reviewers. The methodological quality of the included studies will be independently assessed with a modified version of the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). If deemed viable, a meta-analysis will be conducted using a random effects model. Heterogeneity of evidence will be estimated with the I2 statistic, and publication bias will be assessed. The effects of potential moderators (e.g. timing and severity of CM, age, sex, family cohesion, socio-economic status, country/region) will be analysed using meta-regression and subgroup analyses, and meta-analytical structural equation modelling will be employed to synthesise indirect mediation effects. Candidate moderators and mediators (e.g. genetic factors, brain functioning, attachment style, personality traits, physical activity, and social support) will be also examined qualitatively.Conclusions: This protocol will facilitate a systematic review and meta-analysis that has the potential to enhance our knowledge about the association between CM exposure in early life and resilience in adulthood. Understanding associations and underlying mechanisms between CM and resilience is potentially important in informing prevention and interventions to sustain health and improve outcomes among adults with a history of CM.PROSPERO registration: CRD42023394120.

Birth prevalence and risk factors of neural tube defects in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to estimate the prevalence of neural tube defects (NTDs) and to identify potential risk factors in the Ethiopian context.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

STUDY PARTICIPANTS

A total of 611 064 participants were included in the review obtained from 42 studies.

METHODS

PubMed (Medline), Embase and Cochrane Library databases in combination with other potential sources of literature were systematically searched, whereby studies conducted between January 2010 and December 2022 were targeted in the review process. All observational studies were included and heterogeneity between studies was verified using Cochrane Q test statistics and I2 test statistics. Small study effects were checked using Egger's statistical test at a 5% significance level.

RESULT

The pooled prevalence of all NTDs per 10 000 births in Ethiopia was 71.48 (95% CI 57.80 to 86.58). The between-study heterogeneity was high (I2= 97.49%, p<0.0001). Birth prevalence of spina bifida (33.99 per 10 000) was higher than anencephaly (23.70 per 10 000), and encephalocele (4.22 per 10 000). Unbooked antenatal care (AOR 2.26, 95% CI (1.30 to 3.94)), preconception intake of folic acid (AOR 0.41, 95% CI (0.26 to 0.66)), having chronic medical illness (AOR 2.06, 95% CI (1.42 to 2.99)), drinking alcohol (AOR 2.70, 95% CI (1.89 to 3.85)), smoking cigarette (AOR 2.49, 95% CI (1.51 to 4.11)), chewing khat (AOR 3.30, 95% CI (1.88 to 5.80)), exposure to pesticides (AOR 3.87, 95% CI (2.63 to 5.71)), maternal age ≥35 (AOR 1.90, 95% CI (1.13 to 3.25)), maternal low educational status (AOR 1.60, 95% CI (1.13 to 2.24)), residing in urban areas (AOR 0.75, 95% CI (0.58 to 0.97))and family history of NTDs (AOR 2.51, 95% CI (1.36 to 4.62)) were associated with NTD cases.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of NTDs in Ethiopia is seven times as high as in other Western countries where prevention measures are put in place. Heredity, maternal and environmental factors are associated with a high prevalence of NTDs. Mandatory fortification of staple food with folic acid should be taken as a priority intervention to curb the burden of NTDs. To smoothen and overlook the pace of implementation of mass fortification, screening, and monitoring surveillance systems should be in place along with awareness-raising measures.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42023413490.

Interventions to prevent obesity in Latinx children birth to 6 years globally: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To conduct a systematic review of obesity prevention interventions in Latinx children ages birth to 6 years published in any language from 2010-2020.

DESIGN

We used PubMed, ERIC, PsycINFO, Scopus, Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO) and Google Scholar databases to conduct a search on May 1 2020, January 1 2021 and November 1 2022. We included randomised controlled trials, quasi-experimental studies and non-randomised interventions with a control or comparison group that reported measures of adiposity.

SETTING

Interventions taking place in the United States, Latin America or the Caribbean.

PARTICIPANTS

Latinx children ages birth to 6 years.

RESULTS

Of 8601 unique records identified, forty manuscripts about thirty-nine unique studies describing thirty distinct interventions in the United States and nine interventions in Latin America and the Caribbean met our inclusion criteria. Interventions were primarily based in early care and education centres (n 13) or combined home settings, for example home and community (n 7). Randomised interventions taking place in community or home settings were more likely to report significant reductions in adiposity or weight-related outcomes compared to other settings. Using the Cochrane risk of bias tools for randomised and non-randomised studies, we judged thirty-eight randomised trials and nine non-randomised interventions to have a high or unclear risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

The results highlight a need for more rigorous designs and more effective intervention strategies in Latinx children at risk for having overweight and obesity. Registered with the PROSPERO database for systematic reviews under registration number CRD42020161339.

Does adding exercise or physical activity to pharmacological osteoporosis therapy in patients with increased fracture risk improve bone mineral density and lower fracture risk? A systematic review and meta-analysis

This prospectively registered systematic review and meta-analysis examines whether exercise (EX) training has an additive effect to osteoanabolic and/or antiresorptive pharmacological therapy (PT) in people with osteoporosis on bone mineral density (BMD), bone turnover markers (BTMs), fracture healing, and fractures. Four databases (inception to 6 May 2022), 5 trial registries, and reference lists were searched. Included were randomized controlled trials comparing the effect of EX + PT vs. PT with regard to BMD, BTM, fracture healing, and fractures. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane RoB2 and certainty of evidence by the GRADE approach. Random-effects meta-analysis with Hartung-Knapp-Sidik-Jonkman adjustment was used to estimate standardized mean differences and 95% confidence intervals. Out of 2593 records, five RCTs with 530 participants were included. Meta-analysis showed with very low certainty evidence and wide confidence intervals that EX + PT compared to PT had larger effect sizes for BMD at 12 months at the hip (SMD [95%CI]: 0.18 [- 1.71; 2.06], n = 3 studies), tibia (0.25 [- 4.85; 5.34], n = 2), lumbar spine (0.20 [- 1.15; 1.55], n = 4), and forearm (0.05 [- 0.35; 0.46], n = 3), but not femoral neck (- 0.03 [- 1.80; 1.75], n = 3). Furthermore, no improvement was revealed for BTM such as bone ALP (- 0.68 [- 5.88; 4.53], n = 3), PINP (- 0.74 [- 10.42; 8.93], n = 2), and CTX-I (- 0.69 [- 9.61; 8.23], n = 2), but with very wide confidence intervals. Three potentially relevant ongoing trials were identified via registries. No data were found for fracture healing or fracture outcomes. It remains unclear whether EX has an additive impact to PT in people with osteoporosis. High-quality, adequately powered, targetted RCTs are required. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42022336132.

Global prevalence of psychiatric in- and out-patient treatment following hospital-presenting self-harm: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Hospital-treated self-harm is common, costly, and strongly associated with suicide. Whilst effective psychosocial interventions exist, little is known about what key factors might modify the clinical decision to refer an individual to psychiatric in- and/or out-patient treatment following an episode of hospital-treated self-harm.

Methods

We searched five electronic databases (CENTRAL, CDSR, MEDLINE, Embase, and PsycINFO) until 3 January 2023 for studies reporting data on either the proportion of patients and/or events that receive a referral and/or discharge to psychiatric in- and/or outpatient treatment after an episode of hospital-treated self-harm. Pooled weighted prevalence estimates were calculated using the random effects model with the Freedman-Tukey double arcsine adjustment in R, version 4.0.5. We also investigated whether several study-level and macro-level factors explained variability for these outcomes using random-effects meta-regression. The protocol of this review was pre-registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021261531).

Findings

189 publications, representing 131 unique studies, which reported data on 243,953 individual participants who had engaged in a total of 174,359 episodes of self-harm were included. Samples were drawn from 44 different countries. According to World Bank classifications, most (83.7%) samples were from high income countries. Across the age range, one-quarter of persons were referred for inpatient psychiatric care and, of these, around one-fifth received treatment. Just over one-third were referred to outpatient psychiatric care, whilst around half of those referred received at least one treatment session across the age range. Event rate estimates were generally of a lower magnitude. Subgroup analyses found that older adults (mean sample age: ≥60 years) may be less likely than young people (mean sample age: ≤25 years) and adults (mean sample age: >25 years to <60 years) to be referred for outpatient psychiatric care following self-harm. More recent studies were associated with a small increase in the proportion of presentations (events) that were referred to, and received, psychiatric outpatient treatment. No macro-level factor explained between-study heterogeneity.

Interpretation

There is considerable scope for improvement in the allocation and provision of both in- and out-patient psychiatric care following hospital-presenting self-harm, particularly considering that the period after discharge from general hospitals represents the peak risk period for repeat self-harm and suicide. Given the marked between-study heterogeneity, the basis for allocation of aftercare treatment is therefore not yet known and should be further studied.

Funding

There was no specific funding for this review.

Effect of Isoenergetic Substitution of Cheese with Other Dairy Products on Blood Lipid Markers in the Fasted and Postprandial State: An Updated and Extended Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials in Adults

Consumption of fat as part of a cheese matrix may differentially affect blood lipid responses when compared with other dairy foods. This systematic review was conducted to compare the impact of consuming equal amounts of fat from cheese and other dairy products on blood lipid markers in the fasted and postprandial state. Searches of PubMed (Medline), Cochrane Central and Embase databases were conducted up to mid-June 2022. Eligible human randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigated the effect of isoenergetic substitution of hard or semi-hard cheese with other dairy products on blood lipid markers. Risk of bias (RoB) was assessed using the Cochrane RoB 2.0 tool. Random-effects meta-analyses assessed the effect of ≥2 similar dietary replacements on the same blood lipid marker. Of 1491 identified citations, 10 articles were included (RoB: all some concerns). Pooled analyses of 7 RCTs showed a reduction in fasting total cholesterol, LDL-C and HDL-C concentrations after ≥14 d mean daily intake of 135 g cheese (weighted mean difference [WMD]: -0.24 mmol/L; 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.34, -0.15; I2 = 59.8%, WMD: -0.19 mmol/L; 95% CI: -0.27, -0.12; I2 = 42.8%, and WMD: -0.04 mmol/L; 95% CI: -0.08, -0.00; I2 = 58.6%, respectively) relative to ∼52 g/d butter. We found no evidence of a benefit from replacing cheese for ≥14 d with milk on fasting blood lipid markers (n = 2). Limited postprandial RCTs, described in narrative syntheses, suggested that cheese-rich meals may induce differential fed-state lipid responses compared with some other dairy matrix structures, but not butter (n ≤ 2). In conclusion, these findings indicate that dairy fat consumed in the form of cheese has a differential effect on blood lipid responses relative to some other dairy food structures. However, owing to considerable heterogeneity and limited studies, further confirmation from RCTs is warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: This systematic review protocol was registered at https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ as CRD42022299748.

Systematic review with meta-analysis of relative risk of prolonged times to tracheal extubation with desflurane versus sevoflurane or isoflurane

The objective of this systematic review was to estimate the relative risk of prolonged times to tracheal extubation with desflurane versus sevoflurane or isoflurane. Prolonged times are defined as ≥15 min from end of surgery (or anesthetic discontinuation) to extubation in the operating room. They are associated with reintubations, naloxone and flumazenil administration, longer times from procedure end to operating room exit, greater differences between actual and scheduled operating room times, longer times from operating room exit to next case start, longer durations of the workday, and more operating room personnel idle while waiting for extubation. Published randomized clinical trials of humans were included. Generalized pivotal methods were used to estimate the relative risk of prolonged extubation for each study from reported means and standard deviations of extubation times. The relative risks were combined using DerSimonian-Laird random effects meta-analysis with Knapp-Hartung adjustment. From 67 papers, there were 78 two-drug comparisons, including 5167 patients. Studies were of high quality (23/78) or moderate quality (55/78), the latter due to lack of blinding of observers to group assignment and/or patient attrition because patients were extubated after operating room exit. Desflurane resulted in a 65% relative reduction in the incidence of prolonged extubation compared with sevoflurane (95% confidence interval 49% to 76%, P < .0001) and in a 78% relative reduction compared with isoflurane (58% to 89%, P = .0001). There were no significant associations between studies' relative risks and quality, industry funding, or year of publication (all six meta-regressions P ≥ .35). In conclusion, when emergence from general anesthesia with different drugs are compared with sevoflurane or isoflurane, suitable benchmarks quantifying rapidity of emergence are reductions in the incidence of prolonged extubation achieved by desflurane, approximately 65% and 78%, respectively. These estimates give realistic context for interpretation of results of future studies that compare new anesthetic agents to current anesthetics.

First-pass effect in posterior acute ischemic stroke undergoing endovascular thrombectomy: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

First-pass effect (FPE) has been shown to be a predictor of favorable clinical outcomes following endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in the anterior circulation. Literature regarding FPE for posterior circulation AIS is sparse; we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to explore FPE in posterior circulation stroke undergoing EVT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of the English literature in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science. FPE was defined as thrombolysis in cerebral infarction (TICI) 2c-3 and modified FPE (mFPE) was defined as TICI 2b-3 in one pass. Definitions of non-FPE and non-mFPE varied among studies. The primary outcome of interest was modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2. Secondary outcomes of interest were mRS 0-3, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), and mortality. We calculated odds ratios (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). Heterogeneity was assessed with Q statistic and I2 test.

RESULTS

Seven studies with 417 patients in the mFPE group, 942 in the non-mFPE group, 545 in the FPE group, and 1023 in the non-FPE group were included. Overall, FPE was associated with greater rates of 90-day mRS 0-2 (OR= 2.78, 95% CI= 2.11-3.65; P-value< 0.001) and mRS 0-3 (OR= 2.67, 95% CI= 1.98-3.60; P-value< 0.001); however, there was significant heterogeneity among studies for both mRS 0-2 (I2= 69%; P-value< 0.001) and mRS 0-3 (I2= 69%; P-value< 0.001). FPE and non-FPE were associated with similar rates of sICH (OR= 0.65, 95% CI= 0.40-1.07; P-value= 0.09), and no heterogeneity was observed (I2= 0%; P-value= 0.95). FPE was associated with lower rates of mortality (OR= 0.44, 95% CI= 0.33-0.58; P-value< 0.001), although heterogeneity was observed (I2= 58%; P-value= 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

FPE is associated with favorable clinical outcomes in patients undergoing EVT for posterior circulation AIS. Future studies should work to further quantify the impact of FPE on outcomes in the posterior circulation.

Systemic thrombolysis with newer thrombolytics vs anticoagulation in acute intermediate risk pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing systemic thrombolysis to anticoagulation in intermediate risk pulmonary embolism (PE) have yielded mixed results. A prior meta-analysis on this topic had included studies that used lower than standard dose of thrombolytics and included thrombolytic agents that are no longer available. Hence, interpreting the findings of that paper is not valid in contemporary practice.

OBJECTIVES

We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials of systemic thrombolysis with newer thrombolytic agents vs anticoagulation in intermediate risk PE.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis is reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement.

RESULTS

Nine randomized controlled trials were included in the study. We did not find any difference in in-hospital mortality (RR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.42-1.50; I2: 0) or risk of major bleeding (RR:2.08;95% CI: 0.98-4.42; I2: 23.9%) between systemic thrombolysis and anticoagulation. Systemic thrombolysis was associated with lower risks for vasopressor use (RR: 0.27; 95% CI: 0.11-0.64, I2: 0) and secondary/rescue thrombolysis (RR: 0.25; 95% CI: 0.14-0.45; I2: 0). But systemic thrombolysis was found to have an increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage (RR: 4.55; 95% CI: 1.30-15.91; I2:0). There was no difference in mechanical ventilation between the two groups (RR: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.31-1.19, I2:0).

CONCLUSION

In our meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials of systemic thrombolysis vs anticoagulation in intermediate risk PE, we did not find any difference in in-hospital mortality or overall risk of major bleeding. With systemic thrombolysis, we found lower risks for vasopressor use and need for secondary/ rescue thrombolysis and an increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage.

Conservative versus early surgical treatment in the management of pyogenic spondylodiscitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Spondylodiscitis is the commonest spine infection, and pyogenic spondylodiscitis is the most common subtype. Whilst antibiotic therapy is the mainstay of treatment, some advocate that early surgery can improve mortality, relapse rates, and length of stay. Given that the condition carries a high mortality rate of up to 20%, the most effective treatment must be identified. We aimed to compare the mortality, relapse rate, and length of hospital stay of conservative versus early surgical treatment of pyogenic spondylodiscitis. All major databases were searched for original studies, which were evaluated using a qualitative synthesis, meta-analyses, influence, and regression analyses. The meta-analysis, with an overall pooled sample size of 10,954 patients from 21 studies, found that the pooled mortality among the early surgery patient subgroup was 8% versus 13% for patients treated conservatively. The mean proportion of relapse/failure among the early surgery subgroup was 15% versus 21% for the conservative treatment subgroup. Further, it concluded that early surgical treatment, when compared to conservative management, is associated with a 40% and 39% risk reduction in relapse/failure rate and mortality rate, respectively, and a 7.75 days per patient reduction in length of hospital stay (p < 0.01). The meta-analysis demonstrated that early surgical intervention consistently significantly outperforms conservative management in relapse/failure and mortality rates, and length of stay, in patients with pyogenic spondylodiscitis.

Partial breast irradiation compared with whole breast irradiation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Early-stage breast cancer is among the most common cancer diagnoses. Adjuvant radiotherapy is an essential component of breast-conserving therapy, and several options exist for tailoring its extent and duration. This study assesses the comparative effectiveness of partial-breast irradiation (PBI) compared with whole-breast irradiation (WBI).

METHODS

A systematic review was completed to identify relevant randomized clinical trials and comparative observational studies. Independent reviewers working in pairs selected studies and extracted data. Randomized trial results were pooled using a random effects model. Prespecified main outcomes were ipsilateral breast recurrence (IBR), cosmesis, and adverse events (AEs).

RESULTS

Fourteen randomized clinical trials and 6 comparative observational studies with 17 234 patients evaluated the comparative effectiveness of PBI. PBI was not statistically significantly different from WBI for IBR at 5 years (RR = 1.34, 95% CI = 0.83 to 2.18; high strength of evidence [SOE]) and 10 years (RR = 1.29, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.91; high SOE). Evidence for cosmetic outcomes was insufficient. Statistically significantly fewer acute AEs were reported with PBI compared with WBI, with no statistically significant difference in late AEs. Data from subgroups according to patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics were insufficient. Intraoperative radiotherapy was associated with higher IBR at 5, 10, and over than 10 years (high SOE) compared with WBI.

CONCLUSIONS

Ipsilateral breast recurrence was not statistically significantly different between PBI and WBI. Acute AEs were less frequent with PBI. This evidence supports the effectiveness of PBI among selected patients with early-stage, favorable-risk breast cancer who are similar to those represented in the included studies.

The Influence of Electroconvulsive Therapy (ECT) on Brain-Derived Neurotrophic Factor (BDNF) Plasma Level in Patients with Schizophrenia-A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The main aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis is to establish whether there is a correlation between the brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) level and electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) treatment and the reduction in psychotic symptoms in patients diagnosed with schizophrenia. A systematic search of PubMed/Medline, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, Scopus and Embase was conducted up to March 2023. Inclusion criteria: studies in which adult patients with schizophrenia treated with antipsychotic medication received ECT therapy and had the BDNF level measured before and after ECT treatment. Exclusion criteria: animal and in vitro studies or studies not involving complete information about the treatment and concentration of BDNF in plasma. The risk of bias was assessed using Egger's regression-based test for meta-analysis with continuous outcomes. Six studies comprising 248 individuals with schizophrenia were included. A statistically significant increase in BDNF levels after ECT treatment was observed only in two studies (p < 0.001 and p < 0.027, respectively), whereas in four other studies, an upward trend without statistical significance was noticed. The estimated overall size effect revealed that ECT therapy caused a slight change in the BDNF level but without statistical significance (ES = -0.328). Different numbers of ECT procedures (4-10), final measurement of the BDNF level made at a different time point, using bilateral or unilateral electrode positioning during ECT and treatment with different combinations of typical or atypical antipsychotic medications may be potential reasons for the lack of statistical significance in the changes in BDNF levels after treatment. Data regarding the measurement of BDNF levels pre and post ECT therapy in patients with schizophrenia are very limited without an extended follow-up period and evaluation of mental health change. Our meta-analysis showed that treatment with ECT therapy and antipsychotic medication increases serum BDNF levels in patients with drug-resistant schizophrenia compared to patients treated with medication only; however, this effect is not statistically significant.

Meta-analysis of Shugan Jieyu Capsule for depression in patients with coronary heart disease

INTRODUCTION

Shugan Jieyu Capsule (SGJYC) has been prescribed to treat primary and secondary depression; however, whether it can benefit depression of patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) remains controversial. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of SGJYC in treating depression in patients with CHD.

PATIENT CONCERNS

A total of 644 CHD patients with depression were selected from China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, China Biomedical Database, MEDLINE, the Cochrane library from their inceptions until June, 2021.

DIAGNOSIS

All patients with CHD or coronary artery disease were confirmed to suffer from depression based on recognized criteria.

INTERVENTION

Patients were assigned randomly to receive SGJYC-based regimens or conventional antidepressants alone.

OUTCOMES

Meta-analysis of 6 studies showed that antidepressants (MD, 2.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73~3.50) or sertraline (MD, 2.15; 95%CI, 0.61~3.68) significantly alleviated depression level compared to SGJYC; however, SGJYC plus antihypertensive drugs (AHD) (MD, -8.33; 95%CI, -13.90 ~ -2.75) significantly improved depression symptoms compared to AHD. A significant difference in risk of adverse cardiac events (risk ratios [RR], 2.72; 95%CI, 1.07~6.94) between SGJYC and sertraline was detected in patients with simple CHD.

CONCLUSIONS

SGJYC has a poor effect on depressive symptoms, and the effect of combination with AHD is better than AHD but its efficacy and cardiac safety are inferior to antidepressants.