Weight change and mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with new-onset diabetes mellitus: a nationwide cohort study

Glucose lowering drug or strategy dependent impact of weight reduction on the prevention of CVD outcomes in Type 2 diabetes: a systematic review of CVOTs

AIMS

This systematic review was aimed to assess the association between magnitude of body weight loss (BWL) in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients and cardiovascular (CV) risk in CV outcome trials (CVOTs).

METHODS

We searched electronic databases (PubMed, Cochrane and Scopus) for available CVOTs, observational cohort studies or post hoc analyses of clinical trials of adult T2D patients investigated the association of BWL with CV outcomes and/or all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

19 RCTs of novel glucose-lowering drugs (GLP-1RA, DPP-4i and SGLT2i) and 6 RCT or observational trial of different strategies (intensive treatment or standard care) were included (379.904 T2D patients). Higher BWL during GLP-1RA treatment, in comaprison to lower BWL, was associated with higher decrease in risk of MACE, while DPP-4i had not that effect. With SGLT2i the higher decrease in risk of MACE was associated with lower BWL. In contrast, in other different strategies, higher BWL lead to increase in risk for MACE and all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In CVOTs, treatment of T2D patients resulted in BWL, which correlated with reduction in risk for CV outcomes, particularly with GLP-1 RAs. However, interventional non-CVOTs are warning that in the absence of structured behavioral intervention and relevant medication, the large BWL might be harmful for CV outcomes.

Weight Change and the Risk of Micro and Macro Vascular Complications of Diabetes: A Systematic Review

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a metabolic disease that can be a significant cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD), leading to macrovascular and microvascular diseases. Many researchers around the world have investigated the effects of weight change on micro and macro CVD in patients with T2DM. This study aimed to investigate the effect of weight change (weight gain and loss) on microvascular and macrovascular complications in patients with T2DM. We searched PubMed, Scopus and Google Scholar from the database until January 2023. We screened the title, abstract, and full text of articles, and after quality assessment, we extracted data from interrelated ones into this systematic review. Reviewing the results of 11 cohort studies with 219,839 individuals (T2DM patients) showed that weight loss caused an increase in the mortality rate in diabetic patients, while weight gain after diabetes diagnosis increased the risk of CVD, chronic kidney disease (CKD), microvascular disease, stroke and mortality. It should be noted that severe body weight variability increases the mortality rate and the risk of microvascular disease. Unlike other studies, one study showed that more than 5% weight gain positively affected CVD and coronary heart disease in T2DM patients. Generally, weight change in patients with T2DM is an essential sign of cardiovascular complications. According to our findings, the risk of cardiovascular complications in patients with weight loss is seen to be higher than in patients with weight gain. In regular patients with body mass index (BMI), stable weight in a healthy range is reported to decrease the risk of CVD.

Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Risk for Diabetes Complications and All-Cause Mortality in Finnish Type 2 Diabetes Patients

Objective

We aimed to assess how longitudinal body mass index (BMI) trajectories are associated with diabetes complications and all-cause mortality in Finnish patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).

Methods

In this cohort study, electronic health records from public primary and specialized healthcare services in all 13 municipalities of North Karelia, Finland, were utilized. This study included a total of 889 adults with newly diagnosed T2D in 2011 or 2012 (mean age at baseline 62.0 years). Individual BMI trajectories from the T2D diagnosis until 2014 were estimated and grouped by growth mixture modeling (GMM). Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for microvascular complications, macrovascular complications, any diabetes complications, and all-cause mortality from 2015 to 2022 across BMI trajectory groups were estimated using Cox regression models.

Results

Three distinct BMI trajectory groups were identified using GMM and labeled as follows: "stable" (n = 774, 87.1%), "decreasing" (n = 87, 9.8%), and "increasing" (n = 28, 3.1%). During a median follow-up of 8 years, there were 119 (13.3%) patients with microvascular complications, 187 (21.0%) with macrovascular complications, 258 (29.0%) with any diabetes complications, and 180 (20.2%) deaths. Compared with the "stable" BMI, the "increasing" BMI was associated with an increased risk of microvascular complications (HR = 2.88, 95% CI: 1.32 to 6.28), macrovascular complications (HR = 2.52, 95% CI: 1.17 to 5.43), and any diabetes complications (HR = 2.21, 95% CI: 1.16 to 4.20). The "decreasing" BMI was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.14 to 3.15), compared to the "stable" BMI.

Conclusion

Our findings underscore the significance of continuous BMI monitoring and weight management in patients with T2D. Tailored treatments are crucial for efficiently preventing weight gain and reducing the risk of diabetes complications.

Racial and ethnic disparities in the association between financial hardship and self-reported weight change during the first year of the pandemic in the U.S

Studies have shown that financial hardship can impact weight change; however, it is unclear what the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has had on weight change in U.S. adults, or whether racial-ethnic groups were impacted differentially. We estimated the association between financial hardship and self-reported weight change using data from the cross-sectional COVID-19's Unequal Racial Burden (CURB) survey, a nationally representative online survey of 5,500 American Indian/Alaska Native, Asian, Black/African American, Latino (English- and Spanish-speaking), Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, White, and multiracial adults conducted from 12/2020 to 2/2021. Financial hardship was measured over six domains (lost income, debt, unmet general expenses, unmet healthcare expenses, housing insecurity, and food insecurity). The association between each financial hardship domain and self-reported 3-level weight change variable were estimated using multinomial logistic regression, adjusting for sociodemographic and self-reported health. After adjustment, food insecurity was strongly associated with weight loss among American Indian/Alaska Native (aOR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.05-4.77), Black/African American (aOR = 1.77, 95% CI = 1.02-3.11), and Spanish-speaking Latino adults (aOR = 2.32, 95% CI = 1.01-5.35). Unmet healthcare expenses were also strongly associated with weight loss among Black/African American, English-speaking Latino, Spanish-speaking Latino, and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander adults (aORs = 2.00-2.14). Other domains were associated with weight loss and/or weight gain, but associations were not as strong and less consistent across race-ethnicity. In conclusion, food insecurity and unmet healthcare expenses during the pandemic were strongly associated with weight loss among racial-ethnic minority groups. Using multi-dimensional measures of financial hardship provides a comprehensive assessment of the effects of specific financial hardship domains on weight change among diverse racial-ethnic groups.

Weight fluctuations preceding and succeeding heart failure diagnosis: Implications for all-cause mortality

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to explore the ramifications of weight fluctuations preceding and succeeding the identification of heart failure (HF) on all-cause mortality.

METHODS

The research cohort comprised individuals engaged in the Kailuan Group's health assessments from 2006 to 2018, who were subsequently diagnosed with HF. The moment of HF recognition marked the commencement of the monitoring period, culminating either at the instance of comprehensive mortality or at the conclusion of the monitoring phase (December 31, 2021).

RESULTS

Throughout an average monitoring span of 5.8±3.5 years, from the 3115 qualified participants, 957 instances (30.7%) encountered comprehensive mortality. The COX proportional hazards regression model's outcomes revealed that, post the adjustment for potential confounders, in comparison to the Q3 category, the Q1 category had the highest hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.71 (1.43-2.05).

CONCLUSION

Weight reduction before and post the HF diagnosis stands as an autonomous risk determinant for comprehensive mortality.

Associations of Recreational and Nonrecreational Physical Activity and Body Weight Change on Cardiovascular Disease Mortality During the Obesogenic Transition in the United States: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

To investigate cardiovascular disease mortality associated with longitudinal changes in body weight, and recreational and nonrecreational physical activity during the obesogenic transition in the United States since the 1970s.

METHODS

Data were analyzed from 4921 individuals aged 25-74 years who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey between 1971 and 1979 and follow-up studies to 1992. Mortality was confirmed by searching the National Death Index or proxy interview; clinical data were collected in person. Changes in self-reported recreational and nonrecreational physical activity categories over time were coded as stable, increase, or decrease. Competing risks regression was used to determine hazard ratios adjusted for covariates. A logit model in a generalization method was used to explore mediation effects of change in body weight.

RESULTS

Compared with the "moderate-vigorous stable" group (reference), individuals who remained inactive ("inactive stable") or reduced their participation in physical activity ("active to inactive") experienced the highest mortality, with a 50% to 176% and 22% to 222% relative increased hazard ratios for nonrecreational and recreational physical activity, respectively, across all models adjusted for covariates. This corresponded to significant loss of life (up to 3 y; all P < .05). Individuals who became active ("inactive to active") were not at increased risk. We found weak (but nonstatistically significant) evidence of mediation effects of body weight change on mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal changes in moderate-vigorous recreational and nonrecreational physical activity were important predictors of cardiovascular disease mortality during the obesogenic transition period in the United States and were mostly unexplained by changes in body weight.

Body weight time in target range and cardiovascular outcomes in adults with overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes

AIMS

Prescription of weight loss to individuals is often characterized by weight fluctuations. However, current body weight management metrics may have difficulty characterizing the changes in body weight over time. We aim to characterize the long-term changes using body weight time in target range (TTR) and test its independent association with cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 4468 adults from the Look AHEAD (Action for Health in Diabetes) trial. Body weight TTR was defined as the percentage of time during which body weight was within the Look AHEAD weight loss goal range. The associations of body weight TTR with cardiovascular outcomes were analysed using multivariable Cox modelling and restricted cubic spline function. Among the participants (mean age 58.9 years, 58.5% women, 66.5% White), there were 721 incident primary outcomes [cumulative incidence: 17.5%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 16.3-18.8%] during a median of 9.5 years of follow-up. Each 1 SD increase in body weight TTR was significantly associated with a decreased risk of the primary outcome (hazard ratio: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.75-0.94) after adjusting for mean and variability of body weight and traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Further analyses using restricted cubic spline indicated the inverse association between body weight TTR and the primary outcome in a dose-dependent manner. Similar associations remained significant among the participants with lower baseline or mean body weight.

CONCLUSION

In adults with overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes, higher body weight TTR was independently associated with lower risks of cardiovascular adverse events in a dose-response manner.

The Risks of Cardiovascular Disease Following Weight Change in Adults with Diabetes: A Cohort Study and Meta-analysis (jc.2022-01089)

CONTEXT

Weight management is recognized as critical in reducing cardio-metabolic risk factors for adults with diabetes, but the effects of weight change on cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes are unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate 18-month weight change and subsequent risk of macrovascular and microvascular complications in established individuals with type 2 diabetes.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This study consisted of a cohort study and a meta-analysis. In the cohort study, weight change over 18 months was divided into: gain ≥5%, gain 1%-5%, stable (-1%-1%), loss 1%-5%, and loss ≥5%. Cox regression analyses were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). We then used random-effect models to pool the results combing our study with other relevant studies.

RESULTS

In the cohort study, 8920 participants with valid weight measurements were included. Compared with patients with stable weight, higher risks were seen in those with weight change for total vascular complications (gain ≥5%: HR=1.43, 95% CI: 1.10-1.85; gain 1-5%: HR=1.44, 95% CI: 1.02-2.03; loss ≥5%: HR=1.58, 95% CI: 1.20-2.08), macrovascular complications (gain ≥5%: HR=1.84, 95% CI: 1.16-2.91; loss 1-5%: HR=1.91, 95% CI: 1.06-3.43; loss ≥5%: HR=2.18, 95% CI: 1.36-3.49) and microvascular complications (loss ≥5%: HR=1.48, 95% CI: 1.06-2.06). Meta-analysis also showed similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Weight gain and loss over 18 months among patients with type 2 diabetes, especially weight change ≥5%, may be a warning sign of adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

Association of magnitude of weight loss and weight variability with mortality and major cardiovascular events among individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Weight management is strongly promoted for overweight or obese patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) by current guidelines. However, the prognostic impact of weight loss achieved without behavioural intervention on the mortality and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes in diabetic patients is still contested.

Methods

We searched the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for studies that investigated the association of weight loss or weight variability with mortality and CV outcomes. Results of studies that measured weight loss by percentage weight loss from baseline and stratified it as > 10% and 5–10% or studies that computed weight variability were pooled using random effects model. Study quality was evaluated using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale.

Results

Thirty eligible studies were included in the systematic review and 13 of these were included in the meta-analysis. Large weight loss (> 10%) was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (pooled hazard ratio (HR) 2.27, 95% CI 1.51–3.42), composite of major CV events (pooled HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.38–2.12) and CV mortality (pooled HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.27–1.76) among T2DM patients. Moderate weight loss showed no significant association with all-cause mortality (pooled HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.97–1.41) or CV outcomes (pooled HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.94–1.33). Weight variability was associated with high hazard of all-cause mortality (pooled HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.52–1.56).

Conclusions

Large weight loss and large fluctuations in weight are potential markers of increased risk of mortality and CV events in T2DM patients. Maintaining a stable weight may have positive impact in these patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01503-x.

The associations of hepatic steatosis and fibrosis using fatty liver index and BARD score with cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in patients with new-onset type 2 diabetes: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Although both type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), evidence is lacking as to whether the presence of NAFLD confers an additional risk of CVD in patients with T2DM. We investigated the associations between hepatic steatosis and/or fibrosis and risk of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure (HF), and mortality in patients with new-onset T2DM.

Methods

Using the Korean National Health Insurance dataset, we included 139,633 patients diagnosed with new-onset T2DM who underwent a national health screening from January 2009 to December 2012. Hepatic steatosis and advanced hepatic fibrosis were determined using cutoff values for fatty liver index (FLI) and BARD score. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models.

Results

During the median follow-up of 7.7 years, there were 3,079 (2.2%) cases of MI, 4,238 (3.0%) cases of ischemic stroke, 4,303 (3.1%) cases of HF, and 8,465 (6.1%) all-cause deaths. Hepatic steatosis defined as FLI ≥ 60 was associated with increased risk for MI (HR [95% CI], 1.28 [1.14–1.44]), stroke (1.41 [1.25–1.56]), HF (1.17 [1.07–1.26]), and mortality (1.41 [1.32–1.51]) after adjusting for well-known risk factors. Compared to the group without steatosis, the group with steatosis and without fibrosis (BARD < 2) and the group with both steatosis and fibrosis (BARD ≥ 2) showed gradual increased risk for MI, stroke, HF, and mortality (all p for trends < 0.001).

Conclusion

Hepatic steatosis and/or advanced fibrosis as assessed by FLI or BARD score were significantly associated with risk of CVD and mortality in new-onset T2DM.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01483-y.

Association between weight change and incidence of cardiovascular disease events and mortality among adults with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review of observational studies and behavioural intervention trials

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Weight loss is often recommended in the treatment of type 2 diabetes. While evidence has shown that large weight loss may lead to diabetes remission and improvement in cardiovascular risk factors, long-term impacts are unclear. We performed a systematic review of studies of weight loss and other weight changes and incidence of CVD among people with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Observational studies of behavioural (non-surgical and non-pharmaceutical) weight changes and CVD events among adults with type 2 diabetes, and trials of behavioural interventions targeting weight loss, were identified through searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, and The Cochrane Library (CENTRAL) until 9 July 2019. Included studies reported change in weight and CVD and/or mortality outcomes among adults with type 2 diabetes. We performed a narrative synthesis of observational studies and meta-analysis of trial data.

RESULTS

Of 13,227 identified articles, 17 (14 observational studies, three trials) met inclusion criteria. Weight gain (vs no change) was associated with higher hazard of CVD events (HRs [95% CIs] ranged from 1.13 [1.00, 1.29] to 1.63 [1.11, 2.39]) and all-cause mortality (HRs [95% CIs] ranged from 1.26 [1.12, 1.41] to 1.57 [1.33, 1.85]). Unintentional weight loss (vs no change) was associated with higher risks of all-cause mortality, but associations with intentional weight loss were unclear. Behavioural interventions targeting weight loss showed no effect on CVD events (pooled HR [95% CI] 0.95 [0.71, 1.27]; I² = 50.1%). Risk of bias was moderate in most studies and was high in three studies, due to potential uncontrolled confounding and method of weight assessment.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Weight gain is associated with increased risks of CVD and mortality, although there is a lack of data supporting behavioural weight-loss interventions for CVD prevention among adults with type 2 diabetes. Long-term follow-up of behavioural intervention studies is needed to understand effects on CVD and mortality and to inform policy concerning weight management advice and support for people with diabetes. PROSPERO registration CRD42019127304.

Weight Change, Lifestyle, and Mortality in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

CONTEXT

The association between weight change and mortality among participants with incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) was unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To examine above association and evaluate the impact of lifestyle on it.

METHODS

This prospective analysis included 11 262 incident T2D patients from Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study. We assessed weight change bracketing T2D diagnosis in relation to mortality. We also examined potential effect modification by a healthy lifestyle consisting of high-quality diet, regular physical activity, nonsmoking status, and moderate alcohol consumption.

RESULTS

On average, T2D patients lost 2.3 kg during a 2-year time window spanning the T2D diagnosis, and body weight increased afterwards following a trajectory similar to that of nondiabetics. Compared with patients with a stable weight, T2D patients who lost ≥10% body weight had a 21% (95% CI, 9%-35%) increased all-cause mortality. Lifestyle significantly modified these associations: the hazard ratios (95% CIs) of all-cause mortality comparing ≥10% weight loss with stable weight were 1.63 (1.26-2.09) among participants with a deteriorated lifestyle, 1.27 (1.11-1.46) for a stable lifestyle, and 1.02 (0.81-1.27) for an improved lifestyle (Pinteraction < 0.001). Major weight loss was associated with increased cause-specific mortality and similar effect modifications by lifestyle were also observed.

CONCLUSION

Significant weight loss upon T2D incidence was associated with increased mortality, although improved lifestyle quality abolished these associations. These results highlight the role of adopting a healthy lifestyle for newly diagnosed T2D patients, especially among those who might lose weight unintentionally, and improving long-term survival.

Underweight and Weight Change Increases End-Stage Renal Disease Risk in Patients with Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

Weight variability has known as a risk factor for cardiovascular events and mortality. However, its effect on end-stage renal disease (ESRD) development remains controversial. We investigated the relationship between weight change and ESRD risk. Overall, 97,029 patients with DM aged >20 years were selected from the Korean National Health Screening Program 2009–2012. Weight change was defined as differences in body weight from the index year to 2 years later. Newly diagnosed ESRD was observed until 2017 end. Over a 5.1-year median follow-up period, ESRD was newly diagnosed in 7932 (4.81%) DM patients. BMI < 18.5 kg/m² and waist circumferences <85/80 and >100/95 cm were ESRD risk factors. ESRD risk increased with increasing weight change; ≥10% weight loss (hazard ratio [HR], 1.247) followed by ≥10% weight gain (1.247) was associated with a higher HR than ≤5% weight change after adjusting for several confounding factors. The association between weight change and ESRD risk in a subgroup analysis was significantly stronger in patients aged <65 years, without proteinuria, with BMI ≥ 25, with DM duration <5 years, and prescribed less than 3 classes of DM medication. Underweight patients showed higher ESRD risks than overweight patients. Weight loss >10% was associated with the fastest decline in renal function.

The importance of weight stabilization amongst those with overweight or obesity: Results from a large health care system

Data on patterns of weight change among adults with overweight or obesity are minimal. We aimed to examine patterns of weight change and associated hospitalizations in a large health system, and to develop a model to predict 2-year significant weight gain. Data from the Duke University Health System was abstracted from 1/1/13 to 12/31/16 on patients with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 in 2014. A regression model was developed to predict patients that would increase their weight by 10% within 2 years. We estimated the association between weight change category and all-cause hospitalization using Cox proportional hazards models. Of the 37,253 patients in our cohort, 59% had stable weight over 2 years, while 24% gained ≥ 5% weight and 17% lost ≥ 5% weight. Our predictive model had reasonable discriminatory capacity to predict which individuals would gain ≥ 10% weight over 2 years (AUC 0.73). Compared with stable weight, the risk of hospitalization was increased by 37% for individuals with > 10% weight loss [adj. HR (95% CI): 1.37 (1.25,1.5)], by 30% for those with > 10% weight gain [adj. HR (95% CI): 1.3 (1.19,1.42)], by 18% for those with 5-10% weight loss [adj. HR (95% CI): 1.18 (1.09,1.28)], and by 10% for those with 5-10% weight gain [adj. HR (95% CI): 1.1 (1.02,1.19)]. In this examination of a large health system, significant weight gain or loss of > 10% was associated with increased all-cause hospitalization over 2 years compared with stable weight. This analysis adds to the increasing observational evidence that weight stability may be a key health driver.

Weight Change Since Age 20 and the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study

Aim: Weight change could have many health outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the association between weight change and mortality risk due to total cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke among Japanese.

Methods: We used Suita Study data from 4,746 people aged 30-79 years in this prospective cohort study. Weight change was defined as the difference between baseline weight and weight at age 20. We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of total CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality for 1) participants with a weight change (＞10, 5 to 10, -5 to -10, and ＜-10 kg) compared to those with stable weight (-4.9 to 4.9 kg) and 2) participants who moved from one body mass index category (underweight, normal weight, or overweight) to another compared to those with normal weight at age 20 and baseline.

Results: Within a median follow-up period of 19.9 years, the numbers of total CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality were 268, 132, and 79, respectively. Weight loss of ＞10 kg was associated with the increased risk of total CVD mortality 2.07 (1.29, 3.32) and stroke mortality 3.02 (1.40, 6.52). Moving from normal weight at age 20 to underweight at baseline was associated with the increased risk of total CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality: 1.76 (1.12, 2.77), 2.10 (1.13, 3.92), and 2.25 (1.05, 4.83), respectively.

Conclusion: Weight loss, especially when moving from normal to underweight, was associated with the increased risk of CVD mortality.

Adiposity by Differing Measures and the Risk of Cataract in the UK Biobank: The Importance of Diabetes

Purpose

To examine the association between adiposity by differing measures and incident cataract and identify important factors contributing to the association.

Methods

Our analysis included 153,139 adults from the UK Biobank, aged 40 to 70 years at baseline (2006-2010). Cataract was ascertained using hospital inpatient, and self-reported data until the early of 2021. Anthropometric measures, body fat percentage, and glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) were measured at baseline.

Results

During a median follow-up of 10.9 years, 15,255 cases of incident cataract were documented. HbA1c was an important contributor to the association between obesity and incident cataract. Obesity; defined by body mass index was associated with an increased risk of cataract (hazard ratio [HR], 1.21 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-1.26), and this association was attenuated but remained significant after additional adjustment for HbA1c (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.10). Similar results were observed for obesity defined by waist circumference or waist-to-hip ratio. Obesity defined by fat percentage was associated with an increased risk of cataract before but not after adjustment for covariates. The association between obesity defined by body mass index and incident cataract was positively significant in individuals with normal HbA1c (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02-1.13), but inversely significant in those with prediabetes (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.67-0.96) or diabetes (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.61-0.89).

Conclusions

Anthropometric measurements are more predictive of cataract than bioelectrical impedance measures. Diabetes plays an important role in the association between obesity and incident cataract.

The causal association between body mass index and type 2 diabetes mellitus-evidence based on regression discontinuity design

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate and determine the precise causal association between body mass index (BMI) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using a regression discontinuity design (RDD).

METHODS

The cross-sectional data of 8550 participants were from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) in 2015. Influencing factors with statistically significant were selected with logistic regression analysis, and a risk prediction model was established to obtain the risk of individuals suffering from T2DM. RDD was performed with BMI as the grouping variable and the risk of individuals suffering from T2DM as the outcome variable.

RESULTS

The predictive factors in the T2DM risk prediction model were age, gender, BMI, habitation, education, physical activity level, preference for sugary beverages, walking, self-evaluation health status and history of hypertension. The AUC (area under receiver operating characteristic curve) of the T2DM risk prediction model was 0.849 (95% CI: 0.833, 0.866). BMI was an independent risk factor for T2DM (OR = 1.109, p < 0.001); at BMI = 31 kg/m² , the risk of T2DM increased sharply by 5.03% (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a positive causal association between BMI and T2DM; when BMI = 31 kg/m² , the risk of individuals suffering from T2DM was sharply increased.

Sex-specific association of BMI change with stroke in middle-aged and older adults with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to evaluate the association between BMI change and stroke in middle-aged and older adults with type 2 diabetes and identify sex differences.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study is an ongoing national population-based cohort study. Participants aged 45 or above with type 2 diabetes were enrolled and followed for stroke incidence. BMI change was defined as BMI at 2013-BMI at 2011. Of 1774 participants (mean [SD] age in 2011, 60.23 [8.88] years), 795 (44.8 %) were men. A total of 112 incident stroke cases were confirmed up to 2018. The incidence rate of stroke was similar between men and women (6.79 % vs 5.92 %, P = 0.516). BMI increase was independently associated with an increased stroke risk (adjusted odds ratio, 1.15; 95 % CI, 1.05-1.31) in men, while this positive association was not significant in women (adjusted odds ratio, 1.12; 95 % CI, 0.98-1.29). In addition, the positive dose-response relationship between BMI increase and stroke was observed only in men.

CONCLUSION

Among middle-aged and older adults with type 2 diabetes, there is a sex-specific association of BMI change with stroke. An increase in BMI could result in a higher risk of incident stroke in men.

Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardioprotective Benefit in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Without Baseline Metformin: A Systematic Review and Update Meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Sodium Glucose Co-transporter 2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) were associated with a reduction in cardiovascular disease events in cardiovascular outcomes trials (CVOTs) in type 2 diabetes. Most of the patients included in these trials received metformin as background therapy.

AIM

To evaluate the effect of glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists on major cardiovascular events (MACE) and mortality in metformin-naïve patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled clinical trials of GLP-1RAs on type 2 diabetes population was performed, after searching the PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scielo, Google Scholar and Cochrane Controlled Trials databases. The primary endpoint was MACE. The secondary endpoints were cardiovascular death and all-cause mortality. A meta-analysis of time-to-event outcomes was performed. This meta-analysis was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021260040) RESULTS: Seven trials, including 11510 patients, were identified and considered eligible for the analyses. GLP-1RAs were associated with a significant reduction in MACE incidence (HR: 0.86, 95% confidence interval: 0.79-0.94; I²: 0%). The secondary endpoints analysis showed a non-significant reduction in all-cause mortality (HR: 0.86, 95% confidence interval: 0.73-1.00 I²: 0%) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.81, 95% confidence interval: 0.63-1.05; I²: 0%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this meta-analysis, GLP-1RAs reduced the incidence of MACE in patients with type 2 diabetes without metformin at baseline, without significant reduction in all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. These results support the fact that when a GLP-1RAs is administered, the benefit on cardiovascular outcomes is independent of the use of metformin.

Cardiovascular Outcomes of Obesity According to Menopausal Status: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

We estimated the effect of obesity on the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in women according to menopausal status.

METHODS

Women aged 40 to 69 years under routine health check-ups provided by the National Health Insurance Service in 2009 were followed up till 2018 (n=2,208,559).

RESULTS

In premenopausal women, a significant increment of mortality rate was found in underweight and obesity class II (hazard ratio [HR], 1.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31 to 1.67; and HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.39) compared to normal body mass index (BMI); overweight and obesity class I did not affect mortality rate. In postmenopausal women, obesity as well as overweight status reduced the risk of mortality compared to normal BMI (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83 to 0.88; and HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.86). By contrast, there was a linear association between CVD and BMI above the normal range irrespective of menopausal status, which was attenuated in diabetic women.

CONCLUSION

The current study replicated the J-shaped relationship between BMI and mortality, being more prominent in the postmenopausal group. The risk of CVD was linearly increased as BMI was increased above the normal range irrespective of menopausal status.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease increases the risk of diabetes in young adults: A nationwide population-based study in Korea

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with an increased risk of diabetes but has been rarely investigated in young adults. In this study, we investigated the relationship between NAFLD and incident diabetes risk in young adults using nationwide Korean population data.

METHODS

This population-based cohort study from the Korean National Health Insurance Service included adults aged 20 through 39 years who underwent a health examination from 2009 to 2012. NAFLD was defined as a fatty liver index (FLI) ≥60 in the absence of alcohol consumption of ≥30 g/day. Newly diagnosed diabetes during follow-up was identified using claims data. Cox regression was used to calculate the hazard ratio for incident diabetes after adjusting for classical confounders.

FINDINGS

Among the 5,254,786 participants, 9.3% had an FLI ≥60. During the median follow-up of 8.6 years, 91,885 cases of incident diabetes occurred. In multivariable analysis, the risk of incident diabetes was significantly higher in the NAFLD group than the control group (adjusted hazard ratio = 4.97, 95% confidence interval, 4.90-5.05). Stratified analyses showed higher associations in those who were ≥30 years, male, obese, smokers, alcohol consumers, and did not regularly exercise (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is associated with a five-fold increased risk of incident diabetes in young adults. These results suggest an independent high risk for incident diabetes in young adults and underscore the importance of paying early attention to patients who develop NAFLD before middle age.

Do Weight trajectories influence diabetes control? A prospective study in Switzerland (CoLaus study)

OBJECTIVE

Identify anthropometric trajectories among subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and associate them with glycaemic control.

METHODS

Prospective study including 268 community-dwelling participants with T2DM (34% women, mean age 68.7 ± 8.9 years) followed for 10.7 years (range: 8.8-13.6 years). T2DM control was considered for 1) fasting plasma glucose (FPG) < 7.0 mmol/L, or 2) HbA1c < 7.0% (53 nmol/mol). Changes in weight or waist and weight variability were considered.

RESULTS

One half (FPG) and one third (HbA1c) of participants presented with uncontrolled T2DM. Half of the participants presented with obesity and 75% with abdominal obesity. During follow-up, half of the participants maintained their weight, 25% gained > 5 kg, and 25% lost < 5 kg; almost half increased their waist by > 5 cm. Using FPG as criterion, participants who lost > 5 cm waist were more likely to be controlled: multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.10 (1.23-7.78). Participants with controlled T2DM also presented with a higher weight variability: multivariable adjusted mean ± standard error 4.8 ± 0.3 vs. 3.9 ± 0.3 kg, p = 0.028. Using HbA1c as criterion, participants who lost > 5 kg were less likely to be controlled: OR and (95% CI): 0.35 (0.18-0.66). Similar findings were obtained when restricting the analysis to participants who were diabetic throughout the whole study period.

CONCLUSION

In a Swiss community-based sample of participants with T2DM, T2DM control rates could be implemented. Neither weight nor waist variability was significantly and consistently associated with T2DM control.

Weight change and risk of cardiovascular disease among adults with type 2 diabetes: more than 14 years of follow-up in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study

BACKGROUND

To examine the impact of weight change on incident cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease (CVD/CHD) among an Iranian population with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

The study population included 763 participants with T2DM aged ≥ 30 years without a history of CVD and cancer at baseline. Two weight measurements done at baseline and about 3 years later. Based on their weight change, they categorized into: > 5% loss, 3-5% loss, stable (± < 3%), 3-5% gain, > 5% gain. Participants were then followed for incident CVD/CHD annually up to 20 March 2018. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, educational level, current smoking, glucose-lowering drug use, family history of CVD, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, chronic kidney disease, and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) were applied to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of weight change categories for incident CVD/CHD, considering stable weight as reference.

RESULTS

After the weight change measurement, during a median follow-up of 14.4 years, 258 CVD and 214 CHD occurred. Over 5% weight gain was associated with reduced risks of CVD and CHD development by the HRs of 0.70 [95% CI 0.48-1.01; P-value: 0.058] and 0.61 [0.40-0.93], respectively, in multivariable analysis. After further adjustment for FPG change, the HRs of weight gain > 5% were attenuated to 0.75 [0.51-1.10; P-value: 0.138] and 0.66 [043-1.01; P-value: 0.053] for incident CVD and CHD, respectively. The effect of weight loss > 5% was in opposite direction among those older versus younger than 60 years; with suggestive increased risk (not statistically significant) of incident CHD/CVD for the older group. Moreover, weight gain > 5% significantly reduced the risk of CHD only among those older than 60 years (P-value for interaction < 0.2). Furthermore, weight gain > 5% had an association with lower risk of CVD and CHD among sulfonylurea users (0.56 [0.32-0.98] for CVD and 0.54 [0.29-0.99] for CHD).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results with a long-term follow-up showed that weight gain > 5% was associated with better CVD/CHD outcomes among Iranian participants with T2DM, especially older ones. Moreover, we did not find an unfavorable impact on incident CVD/CHD for sulfonylurea-induced weight gain.

Weight change and microvascular outcomes in patients with new-onset diabetes: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Because weight control is important in treatment of type 2 diabetes, it is essential to understand the associations between weight change and the risk of microvascular complications among patients with type 2 diabetes. We examined whether weight changes early after new-onset diabetes have an impact on the clinical outcomes of diabetic nephropathy and retinopathy.

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort database, 181,872 patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes who were free of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) during 2007 to 2012 were followed to the end of 2016. Weight change was defined as the difference in body weight from the time of diabetes diagnosis to 2 years later.

RESULTS

We identified 180 cases of ESRD and 780 cases of PDR followed up for a median of 5.5 years from the index year at 2 years after diagnosis. Those with 5% to 10% weight gain showed a significantly higher hazard ratio (HR) for ESRD, compared with those with ≤ 5% weight change after adjusting for several confounding factors, including the baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR, 1.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14 to 2.70). Those with ≥ 10% weight loss showed the lowest HR for PDR (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.83), whereas those with ≥ 10% weight gain showed the highest HR for PDR (HR, 3.20; 95% CI, 2.51 to 4.08).

CONCLUSION

Weight gain after new-onset diabetes was associated with increased risk of ESRD and PDR whereas weight loss with decreased risk of PDR, but not ESRD.

HDL Dysfunctionality: Clinical Relevance of Quality Rather Than Quantity

High-density lipoproteins (HDLs) represent a class of lipoproteins very heterogeneous in structure, composition, and biological functions, which carry out reverse cholesterol transport, antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, antithrombotic, and vasodilator actions. Despite the evidence suggesting a clear inverse relationship between HDL cholesterol (HDL-c) concentration and the risk for cardiovascular disease, plasma HDL cholesterol levels do not predict the functionality and composition of HDLs. The importance of defining both the amount of cholesterol transported and lipoprotein functionality has recently been highlighted. Indeed, different clinical conditions such as obesity, diabetes mellitus type 2 (T2DM), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) can alter the HDL functionality, converting normal HDLs into dysfunctional ones, undergoing structural changes, and exhibiting proinflammatory, pro-oxidant, prothrombotic, and proapoptotic properties. The aim of the current review is to summarize the actual knowledge concerning the physical-chemical alteration of HDLs related to their functions, which have been found to be relevant in several pathological conditions associated with systemic inflammation and oxidative stress.

Changes in metabolic syndrome status affect the incidence of end-stage renal disease in the general population: a nationwide cohort study

Few studies have investigated the impact of a change in metabolic syndrome (MetS) components on clinical renal outcomes in the general population. Using nationally representative data from the Korean National Health Insurance System, 13,310,924 subjects who underwent two health examinations over 2 years and were free from end-stage renal disease (ESRD) from 2009 to 2012 were followed to the end of 2016. The subjects were divided into four groups according to the change in MetS components between the two visits over 2 years: no MetS (–/–), post-MetS (–/+), pre-MetS (+/–), and both MetS (+/+). After a median follow up of 5.11 years, 18,582 incident ESRD cases were identified. In the multivariate adjusted model, the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the development of ESRD in the both-MetS (+/+) group compared with the no-MetS (–/–) group was 5.65 (95% CI, 5.42–5.89), which was independent of age, sex, and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. Additionally, the HR for the pre-MetS (+/–) group versus the no-MetS (–/–) group was 2.28 (2.15–2.42). In subgroup analysis according to renal function, the impact of a change in MetS on the incidence of ESRD was more pronounced in individuals with advanced renal dysfunction. Subjects with resolved MetS components had a decreased risk of ESRD, but not as low as those that never had MetS components. This provides evidence supporting the strategy of modulating MetS in the general population to prevent the development of ESRD.

Prevention of Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease in Obesity

Obesity is one of the major risk factors for the development of both impaired glucose tolerance (IGT, or prediabetes) and type 2 diabetes (T2D), and its prevalence worldwide drives toward an increased rate of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Given the estimations of the World Health Organization (WHO) and the recommendation of the Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP), where IGT and diabetes are considered as risk factors for the development of cardiovascular complications and obesity, the development of diabetes should be treated because of its potential reversibility. In this view, several interventions such as diet, lifestyle changes, and pharmacological treatment are effective, including bariatric metabolic surgery (BMS), which is the most incisive way to efficiently lower body weight. In this review, we sought to summarize some of the major aspects linked to diabetes prevention in overweight/obesity, focusing on the use of surgery; we also attempted to elucidate molecular pathways involved in a variety of obesity-induced processes able to favor the progression of chronic diseases, such as diabetes and its complications.

Intentional weight loss as a predictor of type 2 diabetes occurrence in a general adult population

INTRODUCTION

Observational and intervention studies have verified that weight loss predicts a reduced type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk. At the population level, knowledge on the prediction of self-report intentional weight loss (IWL) on T2D incidence is, however, sparse. We studied the prediction of self-report IWL on T2D incidence during a 15-year follow-up in a general adult population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The study sample from the representative Finnish Health 2000 Survey comprised 4270 individuals, aged 30-69 years. IWL was determined with questions concerning dieting attempts and weight loss during the year prior to baseline. Incident T2D cases during a 15-year follow-up were drawn from national health registers. The strength of the association between IWL and T2D incidence was estimated with the Cox model.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, 417 incident cases of T2D occurred. IWL predicted an increased risk of T2D incidence (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.11 to 1.87, p=0.008) in a multivariable model. In interaction analyses comparing individuals with and without IWL, a suggestively elevated risk emerged in men, the younger age group, among less-educated people and in individuals with unfavorable values in several lifestyle factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Self-report IWL may predict an increased risk of T2D in long-term, probably due to self-implemented IWL tending to fail. The initial prevention of weight gain and support for weight maintenance after weight loss deserve greater emphasis in order to prevent T2D.

Interleukin-4 Improves Metabolic Abnormalities in Leptin-Deficient and High-Fat Diet Mice

Obesity is a metabolic disorder that results from complex interactions between genetic predisposition and dietary factors. Interleukin-4 (IL-4), besides its role in immunity, has metabolic effects on insulin efficacy. We studied the effects of IL-4 on metabolic abnormalities in a mice model of obesity involving leptin deficiency and leptin resistance. Leptin-deficient 145E and leptin-resistant high-fat diet (HFD) mice showed lower levels of circulating IL-4. 145E and HFD mice showed a number of abnormalities: Obesity, hyperglycemia, hyperinsulinemia, insulin resistance, dyslipidemia, liver injury, and adiposity with concurrent inflammation, decreases in Akt, signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3), and STAT6 phosphorylation in the hypothalamus, liver, and epididymal fat. Independent of leptin-deficient obesity and dietary obesity, a course of 8-week IL-4 supplementation improved obesity and impairment in Akt, STAT3, and STAT6 signaling. Amelioration of cytokine expression, despite variable extents, was closely linked with the actions of IL-4. Additionally, the browning of white adipocytes by IL-4 was found in epididymal white adipose tissues and 3T3-L1 preadipocytes. Chronic exercise, weight management, and probiotics are recommended to overweight patients and IL-4 signaling is associated with clinical improvement. Thus, IL-4 could be a metabolic regulator and antiobesity candidate for the treatment of obesity and its complications.

High variability in bodyweight is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Bodyweight variability is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to examine the relationship between bodyweight variability and the risk of AF in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM), and whether this relationship was affected by baseline body mass index (BMI), weight change, or advanced diabetic stage.

Methods

A nationwide population-based cohort of 670,797 patients with type 2 DM from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database without a history of AF and with ≥ 3 measurements of bodyweight over a 5-year period were followed up for AF development. Intra-individual bodyweight variability was calculated using variability independent of mean, and high bodyweight variability was defined as the quintile with the highest variability with the lower four quintiles as reference.

Results

During a median of 7.0 years of follow-up, 22,019 patients (3.3%) newly developed AF. After multivariate adjustment, those in the highest quintile of bodyweight variability showed a higher risk of incident AF (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.12–1.20) compared to those in the lower 4 quintiles with reference bodyweight variability, irrespective of baseline BMI group and direction of overall weight change. This association was greater in magnitude in subjects with lower BMI, those on insulin, and those with a DM duration of greater than 5 years. In sensitivity analyses, high bodyweight variability was consistently associated with AF development using other indices of variability and adjusting for glycemic variability.

Conclusions

High variability in bodyweight was associated with AF development, independently of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and baseline BMI. This association was stronger in underweight patients and with advanced diabetic stage. Weight fluctuation may interfere with the beneficial effects of weight loss and should be avoided when possible in weight control regimens for DM patients.

A model to predict risk of stroke in middle-aged adults with type 2 diabetes generated from a nationwide population-based cohort study in Korea

AIMS

The incidence of stroke differs between Asians and Caucasians, and between people with or without diabetes mellitus (DM). This study aimed to develop a model to predict the risk of stroke in middle-aged patients with type 2 DM.

METHODS

Using the National Health Insurance Database in Korea, data from patients aged 40-64 years with type 2 DM who received a health examination from 2009 to 2012 (n = 1,297,131) were analyzed as development (n = 907,992) and validation (n = 389,139) cohorts. Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to derive a risk-scoring system, and 13 predictive variables were selected. A risk score nomogram based on the risk prediction model was created to estimate the 5-year risk of stroke.

RESULTS

In patients with type 2 DM, significant predictors for the development of stroke were older age, being male or a current smoker, lack of exercise, low body mass index, low estimated glomerular filtration rate, presence of coronary heart disease, longer duration of DM, insulin or multiple oral hypoglycemic agents use, low (<100 mg/dL) or high (≥140 mg/dL) fasting blood glucose, high systolic blood pressure, high total cholesterol, and presence of atrial fibrillation. The concordance indexes for stroke prediction were 0.703 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.700-0.707) in the development cohort and 0.703 (95% CI 0.698-0.708) in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a risk model using various clinical parameters to predict stroke in patients with type 2 DM. This model may provide helpful information for identifying high-risk patients and guide prevention of stroke in this specific population.

Acute Pancreatitis in Patients With a Medical History of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Clinical Findings and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Characteristics

OBJECTIVE

To determine the characteristics of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM)-related acute pancreatitis (AP) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS

Retrospectively studied 262 patients with AP were admitted to our institution and underwent MRI. Diagnosis of T2DM-related AP was based on clinical manifestations, laboratory tests, and MRI. Pancreatic/peripancreatic changes were assessed on MRI.

RESULTS

Fifty-three (20.2%) patients with T2DM-related AP and 209 (79.8%) with nondiabetic AP were enrolled. On MRI, a higher prevalence of necrotizing pancreatitis (P < 0.001), pancreatic necrosis >30% (57.5% vs 29.2%; P = 0.006), hemorrhage (35.8% vs 19.1%; P = 0.009), abdominal wall edema (67.9% vs 46.8%; P = 0.006), walled-off necrosis (43.2% vs 14.6%; P < 0.001), and infected collections (P < 0.001) were registered in T2DM with AP. T2DM-related AP sustained greater magnetic resonance severity index (mean, 5.1 [range, 2-10] vs 3.4 [range, 1-10]; P < 0.001), higher incidence of moderate and severe pancreatitis (69.8% vs 40.2%; P < 0.001), higher organ failure (45.3% vs 22%; P = 0.001), and prolonged hospitalization (mean, 25.2 [range, 10-63] vs 16 [range, 5-48] days; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Type 2 diabetes mellitus-related AP is more moderate-to-severe pancreatitis, and it correlates with MRI characteristics of the pancreas itself, hemorrhage, abdominal wall, and infected collections.

The pro-inflammatory marker soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (ST2) is reduced especially in diabetic morbidly obese patients undergoing bariatric surgery

BACKGROUND

High soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2) is a marker of poor prognosis in chronic inflammatory conditions. ST2 and its ligand interleukin (IL)-33 are elevated in adipose tissue of obese individuals. We aimed to evaluate circulating sST2 and IL-33 as possible markers of metabolic benefit in morbidly overweight patients after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) bariatric surgery.

METHODS

sST2, IL-33, high sensitive IL-6, high sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP), leptin, cholesterol metabolism and liver parameters were measured in 80 morbidly obese individuals before and 1 year after bariatric surgery.

RESULTS

sST2 was higher (P = 0.03) in diabetics as compared to individuals without diabetes. Baseline sST2 was also higher in males than in females (P= 0.0002). One year after bariatric surgery, sST2 levels were decreased (median 120, IQR 59-176 pg/mL) as compared to sST2 before surgery (median 141, IQR 111-181, P = 0.0024), and the diabetic group showed most pronounced reduction in sST2 (P = 0.0016). An association was found between sST2 and liver function parameters before and after bariatric surgery, and between baseline sST2 and total cholesterol, triglyceride, total low density lipoprotein (LDL), small dense LDL, Apolipoprotein B as well as with small dense high density lipoproteins (HDL). In the subgroup of diabetic patients positive correlation between IL-33 and sST2 (r = 0.44, P = 0.05) was noticed.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating sST2 is associated with markers of liver functions and lipid metabolism in severely obese patients and a reduction of sST2 was shown after successful bariatric surgery, most prominently in diabetic patients.

Cholesterol levels and development of cardiovascular disease in Koreans with type 2 diabetes mellitus and without pre-existing cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND

The aim of the present study was to identify a threshold for the cholesterol level at which the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) begins to increase in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, 2,077,135 people aged ≥ 40 years with type 2 DM who underwent regular health checks between 2009 and 2012 were included. Subjects with previous CVD were excluded. Cox regression analyses were performed to estimate the risk of CVD for each low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) group using the < 70 mg/dL as the reference group.

RESULTS

There were 78,560 cases of stroke (3.91%), and 50,791 myocardial infarction (MI, 2.53%) during a median follow-up of 7.1 years. Among participants not taking statins, LDL-C levels of 130-159 mg/dL and ≥ 160 mg/dL were significantly associated with the risk of MI: the hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval) were 1.19 (1.14-1.25) and 1.53 (1.46-1.62), respectively. Among participants taking statins, all categories of LDL-C level ≥ 70 mg/dL were significantly associated with increased risk of stroke and MI.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified an increased risk of CVD in people with an LDL-C level ≥ 130 mg/dL among individuals with type 2 DM not taking statins. The risk of CVD was significantly higher in those taking statins with an LDL-C level ≥ 70 mg/dL.