Exclusion rates in randomized controlled trials of treatments for physical conditions: a systematic review

Pharmacologic Treatment of Hypertension in Older Adults

The authors conducted a review of pharmacologic therapy in older adults with hypertension. They reviewed the evidence supporting their use in older adults, understanding the physiologic changes and potential adverse drug effects associated with aging and antihypertensive medication use, exploring guideline recommendations for antihypertensive use in older adults, and evaluating the associated risks and benefits of specific classes of antihypertensive medications.

Treatment-related Adverse Events, Including Fatal Toxicities, in Patients With Extensive-stage Small-cell Lung Cancer Receiving Adjuvant Programmed Cell Death 1/Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1 Inhibitors: A Meta-analysis and Trial Sequential Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The safety profile of programmed cell death 1 (PD-1)/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors when associated with chemotherapy for the treatment of patients with extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer is still not fully unraveled.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive searrch of the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases for randomized controlled trials that investigated the addition of PD-1 or PD-L1 inhibitors to standard investigator choice chemotherapy. We used risk -ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all endpoints.

RESULTS

Six studies and 2,995 patients were included. At the baseline, the median age of the patients varied from 62 to 65 years, 311 (10.4%) had brain metastases, and 1,060 (35.4%) had liver metastases. PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors were found to reduce fatal toxicities-related mortality (RR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.80-0.91; p < 0.001; I2 = 49%). The intervention group had a higher incidence of decreased appetite (RR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.02-1.40; p = 0.03; I2 = 0%), hyponatremia (RR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.08-2.12; p = 0.02; I2 = 0%), and hypothyroidism (RR: 3.14; 95% CI: 1.10-8.95; p = 0.03; I2 = 81%) of any grade. Regarding adverse events of grade 3-4, there was no association of the addition of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors with an increased occurrence of any of the evaluated outcomes.

CONCLUSION

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the incorporation of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors to chemotherapy demonstrated an excellent safety profile and to be a promising prospect for reshaping the established treatment paradigms for patients with extensive-stage small cell lung cancer.

Real-World Use of Semaglutide for Weight Management: Patient Characteristics and Dose Titration-A Danish Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To determine patient characteristics and dose titration patterns of real-world semaglutide (Wegovy) users.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used a population-based cohort study including Danish adults who filled semaglutide prescriptions from 12 December 2022 to 31 December 2023. Outcomes were patient characteristics, prescriber type, and dose titration patterns.

RESULTS

We identified 110,748 individuals (median age 49 years; 70% female) filling 773,708 prescriptions for semaglutide. General practitioners initiated treatment in 86%. Common comorbidities included hypertension (30%), dyslipidemia (17%), and arthrosis (17%). Only 13% reached the maximum dose of 2.4 mg by their fifth prescription, while 5.7% stopped after the first prescription. Few users (10%) followed recommended dose increases every 4 weeks. Overall, 25% filled at least one prescription of 2.4 mg, while 33-48% continued with the 1.0-mg dosage from the fourth prescription onward.

CONCLUSIONS

Real-world semaglutide users generally resembled trial participants, but few follow the dose titration schemes tested in premarket clinical trials.

Patient- vs organ-based prognostic tools for older patients in critical care units : An observational study with a 3-month follow-up

BACKGROUND

Anticipating a doubling of older adults in Europe by 2050, healthcare systems face substantial challenges, particularly in critical care units. However, there is still a lack of evidence-based knowledge for treating and assessing mortality risk in older patients. This study compared the predictive accuracy of two assessment tools for long-term outcomes among older patients: the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA). As the MPI is based on a more holistic assessment, it may provide a more accurate prediction than the organ-based SOFA.

OBJECTIVE

Does the MPI provide a more accurate prediction of mortality risk and quality of life for older patients in critical care units than the organ-based SOFA score?

METHODS

In a 6-month study, 96 patients aged 65 and older admitted to intensive (ICU) or intermediate care units (IMC) were enrolled to assess 90-day mortality using a comprehensive geriatric assessment-based MPI and the SOFA score. The follow-up (FU) involved telephone assessments 30 and 90 days after admission, focusing on posthospitalization health and quality of life.

RESULTS

Both MPI (p = 0.039) and SOFA score (p = 0.014) successfully predicted mortality among older IMC and ICU patients in logistic regressions. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses demonstrated comparable areas under the curve (AUCs) for MPI (0.618) and SOFA score (0.621), as well as a similar sensitivity and specificity (MPI 61.0% and 52.9%; SOFA score: 68.9% and 45.1%, respectively). The MPI at admission moreover correlated significantly with quality of life (p < 0.001, r = -0.631 at discharge; p = 0.005, r = -0.377 at 30-day FU; p = 0.004, r = -0.409 at 90-day FU) and nursing needs (Mann-Whitney U‑test, p = 0.002 at 30-day FU; p = 0.011 at 90-day FU) at FU, while the SOFA score did not show significant associations with respect to these parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

In geriatric critical care, both the MPI and the SOFA score effectively predict mortality risk. While the SOFA score may appear more practical due to its simpler and faster implementation, only the MPI demonstrated significant correlations with quality of life and nursing needs in the FU after 30 and 90 days.

Generalizability and treatment with sodium-glucose co-trasporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) among patients with type 2 diabetes: an assessment using an Italian primary care database

AIMS

This study aimed to assess the proportions of type 2 diabetes (T2D) subjects meeting cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) criteria for sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) and estimate SGLT2i utilization, along with associated demographic and clinical characteristics, in a primary care setting.

METHODS

T2D patients in Italy were selected between January 1, 2021, and December 31, 2022, from The Health Improvement Network (THIN®) database. Representativeness was determined by dividing patients meeting key inclusion criteria for four CVOTs (CANVAS, DECLARE-TIMI 58, EMPA-REG OUTCOME, VERTIS-CV) to the total T2D population. Demographic and clinical characteristics of eligible T2D subjects and SGLT2i users were compared, and logistic regression models assessed the likelihood of receiving SGLT2i.

RESULTS

Out of 17,102 T2D patients, 8,828 met eligibility criteria for at least one CVOT. DECLARE-TIMI 58 exhibited the highest representativeness (51.1%), compared to CANVAS (21.1%), EMPA-REG OUTCOME (5.5%), and VERTIS-CV (4.9%) trials. Eligible CVOTs patients were older (74.6 vs. 68.3 years), with a longer disease duration (10.2 vs. 9.7 years), and higher established cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevalence (36.0 vs. 27.3%) compared to SGLT2i users. Less than 10% of eligible T2D patients received SGLT2i. Males (OR: 1.43; 95%CI: 1.24-1.66) were more likely to be prescribed SGLT2i than other antidiabetic drugs, while the elderly (80 + vs. 40-64 years, OR: 0.17; 95% CI: 0.14-0.22) were less likely. Eligible T2D patients with CVD reported an increased likelihood of receiving SGLT2is compared to other antidiabetics.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights significant variability in the proportion of T2D subjects meeting SGLT2i CVOT inclusion criteria, with DECLARE-TIMI-58 being the most represented. Low SGLT2i prescription rates in the Italian primary care setting, along with substantial demographic and clinical differences between SGLT-2i users and T2D eligible patients, emphasize the need for targeted interventions to optimize the use of these medications in primary care settings.

Supplementing systematic review findings with healthcare system data: pilot projects from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Evidence-based Practice Center program

OBJECTIVES

The US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, through the Evidence-based Practice Center (EPC) Program, aims to provide health system decision makers with the highest-quality evidence to inform clinical decisions. However, limitations in the literature may lead to inconclusive findings in EPC systematic reviews (SRs). The EPC Program conducted pilot projects to understand the feasibility, benefits, and challenges of utilizing health system data to augment SR findings to support confidence in healthcare decision-making based on real-world experiences.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

Three contractors (each an EPC located at a different health system) selected a recently completed SR conducted by their center and identified an evidence gap that electronic health record (EHR) data might address. All pilot project topics addressed clinical questions as opposed to care delivery, care organization, or care disparities topics that are common in EPC reports. Topic areas addressed by each EPC included infantile epilepsy, migraine, and hip fracture. EPCs also tracked additional resources needed to conduct supplemental analyses. The workgroup met monthly in 2022-2023 to discuss challenges and lessons learned from the pilot projects.

RESULTS

Two supplemental data analyses filled an evidence gap identified in the SRs (raised certainty of evidence, improved applicability) and the third filled a health system knowledge gap. Project challenges fell under three themes: regulatory and logistical issues, data collection and analysis, and interpretation and presentation of findings. Limited ability to capture key clinical variables given inconsistent or missing data within the EHR was a major limitation. The workgroup found that conducting supplemental data analysis alongside an SR was feasible but adds considerable time and resources to the review process (estimated total hours to complete pilot projects ranged from 283 to 595 across EPCs), and that the increased effort and resources added limited incremental value.

CONCLUSION

Supplementing existing SRs with analyses of EHR data is resource intensive and requires specialized skillsets throughout the process. While using EHR data for research has immense potential to generate real-world evidence and fill knowledge gaps, these data may not yet be ready for routine use alongside SRs.

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol response to statins according to comorbidities and co-medications: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

The response of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) to statin therapy is variable, and may be affected by the presence of co-morbid conditions or the use of concomitant medications. Systematic variation in the response to statins based on these factors could affect the selection of the statin treatment regimen in population subgroups. We investigated whether common comorbidities and co-medications had clinically important effects on statin responses in individual patients.

METHODS

This register-based cohort study included 89,006 simvastatin or atorvastatin initiators with measurements of pre-statin and on-statin LDL-C levels, in Denmark, 2008-2018. We defined statin response as the percentage reduction in LDL-C, and used linear regression to estimate percentage reduction differences (PRD) according to 175 chronic comorbidities and 99 co-medications. We evaluated both the statistical significance (P-values corrected for multiple testing) and the clinical importance (PRD of 5 percentage points or more) of the observed associations.

RESULTS

Concomitant use of oral blood-glucose lowering drugs, which included metformin in 96% of treated individuals, was associated with a greater response to statin therapy that was both statistically significant and clinically important, with a PRD of 5.18 (95% confidence interval: 4.79 to 5.57). No other comorbidity or co-medication reached the prespecified thresholds for a significant, clinically important effect on statin response. Overall, comorbidities and co-medications had little effect on statin response, and altogether explained only 1.7% of the total observed population variance.

CONCLUSION

Most of the studied comorbidities and co-medications did not have a clinically important effect on statin response, suggesting no need to modify treatment regimens. However, use of metformin was associated with a significantly enhanced LDL-C response to statins, suggesting that lower statin doses may be effective in patients taking metformin.

Molecular Morbidity Score-Can MicroRNAs Assess the Burden of Disease?

Multimorbidity refers to the presence of two or more chronic diseases and is associated with adverse outcomes for patients. Factors such as an ageing population have contributed to a rise in prevalence of multimorbidity globally; however, multimorbidity is often neglected in clinical guidelines. This is largely because patients with multimorbidity are systematically excluded from clinical trials. Accordingly, there is an urgent need to develop novel biomarkers and methods of prognostication for this cohort of patients. The hallmarks of ageing are now thought to potentiate the pathogenesis of multimorbidity. MicroRNAs are small, regulatory, noncoding RNAs which have been implicated in the pathogenesis and prognostication of numerous chronic diseases; there is a substantial body of evidence now implicating microRNA dysregulation with the different hallmarks of ageing in the aetiology of chronic diseases. This article proposes using the hallmarks of ageing as a framework to develop a panel of microRNAs to assess the prognostic burden of multimorbidity. This putative molecular morbidity score would have many potential applications, including assessing the efficacy of clinical interventions, informing clinical decision making and facilitating wider inclusion of patients with multimorbidity in clinical trials.

Essential New Complexity-Based Themes for Patient-Centered Diagnosis and Treatment of Dementia and Predementia in Older People: Multimorbidity and Multilevel Phenomenology

Dementia is a highly prevalent condition with devastating clinical and socioeconomic sequela. It is expected to triple in prevalence by 2050. No treatment is currently known to be effective. Symptomatic late-onset dementia and predementia (SLODP) affects 95% of patients with the syndrome. In contrast to trials of pharmacological prevention, no treatment is suggested to remediate or cure these symptomatic patients. SLODP but not young onset dementia is intensely associated with multimorbidity (MUM), including brain-perturbating conditions (BPCs). Recent studies showed that MUM/BPCs have a major role in the pathogenesis of SLODP. Fortunately, most MUM/BPCs are medically treatable, and thus, their treatment may modify and improve SLODP, relieving suffering and reducing its clinical and socioeconomic threats. Regrettably, the complex system features of SLODP impede the diagnosis and treatment of the potentially remediable conditions (PRCs) associated with them, mainly due to failure of pattern recognition and a flawed diagnostic workup. We suggest incorporating two SLODP-specific conceptual themes into the diagnostic workup: MUM/BPC and multilevel phenomenological themes. By doing so, we were able to improve the diagnostic accuracy of SLODP components and optimize detecting and favorably treating PRCs. These revolutionary concepts and their implications for remediability and other parameters are discussed in the paper.

UK Stakeholder Perspectives on Surrogate Endpoints in Cancer, and the Potential for UK Real-World Datasets to Validate Their Use in Decision-Making

Duration of overall survival in patients with cancer has lengthened due to earlier detection and improved treatments. However, these improvements have created challenges in assessing the impact of newer treatments, particularly those used early in the treatment pathway. As overall survival remains most decision-makers' preferred primary endpoint, therapeutic innovations may take a long time to be introduced into clinical practice. Moreover, it is difficult to extrapolate findings to heterogeneous populations and address the concerns of patients wishing to evaluate everyday quality and extension of life. There is growing interest in the use of surrogate or interim endpoints to demonstrate robust treatment effects sooner than is possible with measurement of overall survival. It is hoped that they could speed up patients' access to new drugs, combinations, and sequences, and inform treatment decision-making. However, while surrogate endpoints have been used by regulators for drug approvals, this has occurred on a case-by-case basis. Evidence standards are yet to be clearly defined for acceptability in health technology appraisals or to shape clinical practice. This article considers the relevance of the use of surrogate endpoints in cancer in the UK context, and explores whether collection and analysis of real-world UK data and evidence might contribute to validation.

Reporting on patient's body mass index (BMI) in recent clinical trials for patients with breast cancer: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The proportion of patients with breast cancer and obesity is increasing. While the therapeutic landscape of breast cancer has been expanding, we lack knowledge about the potential differential efficacy of most drugs according to the body mass index (BMI). Here, we conducted a systematic review on recent clinical drug trials to document the dosing regimen of recent drugs, the reporting of BMI and the possible exclusion of patients according to BMI, other adiposity measurements and/or diabetes (leading comorbidity of obesity). We further explored whether treatment efficacy was evaluated according to BMI.

METHODS

A search of Pubmed and ClinicalTrials.gov was performed to identify phase I-IV trials investigating novel systemic breast cancer treatments. Dosing regimens and exclusion based on BMI, adiposity measurements or diabetes, documentation of BMI and subgroup analyses according to BMI were assessed.

RESULTS

495 trials evaluating 26 different drugs were included. Most of the drugs (21/26, 81%) were given in a fixed dose independent of patient weight. BMI was an exclusion criterion in 3 out of 495 trials. Patients with diabetes, the leading comorbidity of obesity, were excluded in 67/495 trials (13.5%). Distribution of patients according to BMI was mentioned in 8% of the manuscripts, subgroup analysis was performed in 2 trials. No other measures of adiposity/body composition were mentioned in any of the trials. Retrospective analyses on the impact of BMI were performed in 6 trials.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient adiposity is hardly considered as most novel drug treatments are given in a fixed dose. BMI is generally not reported in recent trials and few secondary analyses are performed. Given the prevalence of patients with obesity and the impact obesity can have on pharmacokinetics and cancer biology, more attention should be given by investigators and study sponsors to reporting patient's BMI and evaluating its impact on treatment efficacy and toxicity.

Participant flow diagrams for health equity in AI

Selection bias can arise through many aspects of a study, including recruitment, inclusion/exclusion criteria, input-level exclusion and outcome-level exclusion, and often reflects the underrepresentation of populations historically disadvantaged in medical research. The effects of selection bias can be further amplified when non-representative samples are used in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) applications to construct clinical algorithms. Building on the "Data Cards" initiative for transparency in AI research, we advocate for the addition of a participant flow diagram for AI studies detailing relevant sociodemographic and/or clinical characteristics of excluded participants across study phases, with the goal of identifying potential algorithmic biases before their clinical implementation. We include both a model for this flow diagram as well as a brief case study explaining how it could be implemented in practice. Through standardized reporting of participant flow diagrams, we aim to better identify potential inequities embedded in AI applications, facilitating more reliable and equitable clinical algorithms.

A systematic review of flurbiprofen 8.75 mg dose and risk of adverse events (excluding haemorrhagic) resulting from drug-drug interactions

Background: Flurbiprofen 8.75 mg lozenges and oromucosal sprays are used for symptomatic relief of sore throat in patients aged 12 years and over. The documented adverse events of flurbiprofen use include those related to its pharmacological actions, namely, increased risk of haemorrhagic events, however other adverse events (such as nephrotoxicity and cardiac failure) have been known to occur. The likelihood of occurrence of adverse events increases when flurbiprofen is used concomitantly with some other medications. Therefore, the objective of this systematic review was to collate the current evidence on adverse events which occur with flurbiprofen 8.75 mg dose (any formulation), in particular as a result of interaction with other medicinal products, with a focus on non-haemorrhagic events. Methods: Systematic searches of the literature were conducted to identify literature on any formulation of flurbiprofen 8.75 mg up to the date of the electronic database search (data lock: 28 April 2020). Publications were screened to identify studies reporting non-haemorrhagic adverse events with flurbiprofen 8.75 mg and/or non-haemorrhagic adverse events in the comparator arm. Data extraction was performed for eligible studies according to pre-defined criteria and summarised in narratives, tables and figures. Risk of bias and certainty of evidence assessments were planned for each included study where results relating to the primary objective of the systematic review were available. Results: Of 1,528 publications identified by systematic literature searches, 26 met the inclusion criteria and were included in this review. None of these 26 studies contained information on non-haemorrhagic adverse events occurring as a result of a drug-drug interaction (interaction with concomitant medication used with flurbiprofen 8.75 mg), as per the primary objective and secondary objectives of the systematic review. Conclusion: Results from this systematic review on the risk of non-haemorrhagic events did not provide evidence for these events occurring as a result of interaction with other medicinal products. Additional appropriately designed studies would be required to confirm whether these findings suggest a true absence of risk or limitations in reporting.

Aging hallmarks, biomarkers, and clocks for personalized medicine: (re)positioning the limelight

The rapidly increasing aging prevalence, complexity, and heterogeneity pose the scientific and medical communities in front of challenges. These are delivered by gaps between basic and translational research, as well as between clinical practice guidelines to improve survival and absence of evidence on personalized strategies to improve functions, wellbeing and quality of life. The triumphs of aging science sheding more and more light on mechanisms of aging as well as those of medical and technological progress to prolong life expectancy are clear. Currently, and in the next two to three decades, all efforts must be put in a closer interdisciplinary dialogue between biogerontologists and geriatricians to enable real-life measures of aging phenotypes to be used to uncover the physiological - and therefore translational - relevance of newly discovered aging clocks, biomarkers, and hallmarks.

Do the Few Dictate Care for the Many? Revascularisation Considerations That Go Beyond the Guidelines

The burden of coronary artery disease (CAD) is large and growing, commonly presenting with comorbidities and older age. Patients may benefit from coronary revascularisation with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), yet half of patients with CAD who would benefit from revascularisation fall outside the eligibility criteria of trials to date. As such, the choice of revascularisation procedures varies depending on the CAD anatomy and complexity, surgical risk and comorbidities, the patient's preferences and values, and the treating team's expertise. The recent American guidelines on coronary revascularisation are comprehensive in describing recommendations for PCI, CABG, or conservative management in patients with CAD. However, individual challenging patient presentations cannot be fully captured in guidelines. The aim of this narrative review is to summarise common clinical scenarios that are not sufficiently described by contemporary clinical guidelines and trials in order to inform heart team members and trainees about the nuanced considerations and available evidence to manage such cases. We discuss clinical cases that fall beyond the current guidelines and summarise the relevant evidence evaluating coronary revascularisation for these patients. In addition, we highlight gaps in knowledge based on a lack of research (eg, ineligibility of certain patient populations), underrepresentation in research (eg, underenrollment of female and non-White patients), and the surge in newer minimally invasive and hybrid techniques. We argue that ultimately, evidence-based medicine, patient preference, shared decision making, and effective heart team communications are necessary to best manage complex CAD presentations potentially benefitting from revascularisation with CABG or PCI.

The implications of competing risks and direct treatment disutility in cardiovascular disease and osteoporotic fracture: risk prediction and cost effectiveness analysis

Background

Clinical guidelines commonly recommend preventative treatments for people above a risk threshold. Therefore, decision-makers must have faith in risk prediction tools and model-based cost-effectiveness analyses for people at different levels of risk. Two problems that arise are inadequate handling of competing risks of death and failing to account for direct treatment disutility (i.e. the hassle of taking treatments). We explored these issues using two case studies: primary prevention of cardiovascular disease using statins and osteoporotic fracture using bisphosphonates.

Objectives

Externally validate three risk prediction tools [QRISK®3, QRISK®-Lifetime, QFracture-2012 (ClinRisk Ltd, Leeds, UK)]; derive and internally validate new risk prediction tools for cardiovascular disease [competing mortality risk model with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CRISK-CCI)] and fracture (CFracture), accounting for competing-cause death; quantify direct treatment disutility for statins and bisphosphonates; and examine the effect of competing risks and direct treatment disutility on the cost-effectiveness of preventative treatments.

Design, participants, main outcome measures, data sources

Discrimination and calibration of risk prediction models (Clinical Practice Research Datalink participants: aged 25-84 years for cardiovascular disease and aged 30-99 years for fractures); direct treatment disutility was elicited in online stated-preference surveys (people with/people without experience of statins/bisphosphonates); costs and quality-adjusted life-years were determined from decision-analytic modelling (updated models used in National Institute for Health and Care Excellence decision-making).

Results

CRISK-CCI has excellent discrimination, similar to that of QRISK3 (Harrell's c = 0.864 vs. 0.865, respectively, for women; and 0.819 vs. 0.834, respectively, for men). CRISK-CCI has systematically better calibration, although both models overpredict in high-risk subgroups. People recommended for treatment (10-year risk of ≥ 10%) are younger when using QRISK-Lifetime than when using QRISK3, and have fewer observed events in a 10-year follow-up (4.0% vs. 11.9%, respectively, for women; and 4.3% vs. 10.8%, respectively, for men). QFracture-2012 underpredicts fractures, owing to under-ascertainment of events in its derivation. However, there is major overprediction among people aged 85-99 years and/or with multiple long-term conditions. CFracture is better calibrated, although it also overpredicts among older people. In a time trade-off exercise (n = 879), statins exhibited direct treatment disutility of 0.034; for bisphosphonates, it was greater, at 0.067. Inconvenience also influenced preferences in best-worst scaling (n = 631). Updated cost-effectiveness analysis generates more quality-adjusted life-years among people with below-average cardiovascular risk and fewer among people with above-average risk. If people experience disutility when taking statins, the cardiovascular risk threshold at which benefits outweigh harms rises with age (≥ 8% 10-year risk at 40 years of age; ≥ 38% 10-year risk at 80 years of age). Assuming that everyone experiences population-average direct treatment disutility with oral bisphosphonates, treatment is net harmful at all levels of risk.

Limitations

Treating data as missing at random is a strong assumption in risk prediction model derivation. Disentangling the effect of statins from secular trends in cardiovascular disease in the previous two decades is challenging. Validating lifetime risk prediction is impossible without using very historical data. Respondents to our stated-preference survey may not be representative of the population. There is no consensus on which direct treatment disutilities should be used for cost-effectiveness analyses. Not all the inputs to the cost-effectiveness models could be updated.

Conclusions

Ignoring competing mortality in risk prediction overestimates the risk of cardiovascular events and fracture, especially among older people and those with multimorbidity. Adjustment for competing risk does not meaningfully alter cost-effectiveness of these preventative interventions, but direct treatment disutility is measurable and has the potential to alter the balance of benefits and harms. We argue that this is best addressed in individual-level shared decision-making.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42021249959.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health and Social Care Delivery Research programme (NIHR award ref: 15/12/22) and is published in full in Health and Social Care Delivery Research; Vol. 12, No. 4. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

International Systematic Review of Utility Values Associated with Cardiovascular Disease and Reflections on Selecting Evidence for a UK Decision-Analytic Model

PURPOSE

Evaluating interventions for cardiovascular disease (CVD) requires estimates of its effect on utility. We aimed to 1) systematically review utility estimates for CVDs published since 2013 and 2) critically appraise UK-relevant estimates and calculate corresponding baseline utility multipliers.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase (April 22, 2021) using CVD and utility terms. We screened results for primary studies reporting utility distributions for people with experience of heart failure, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, stable angina, stroke, transient ischemic attack, or unstable angina. We extracted characteristics from studies included. For UK estimates based on the EuroQoL 5-dimension (EQ-5D) measure, we assessed risk of bias and applicability to a decision-analytic model, pooled arms/time points as appropriate, and estimated baseline utility multipliers using predicted utility for age- and sex- matched populations without CVD. We sought utility sources from directly applicable studies with low risk of bias, prioritizing plausibility of severity ordering in our base-case model and highest population ascertainment in a sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Most of the 403 studies identified used EQ-5D (n = 217) and most assessed Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development populations (n = 262), although measures and countries varied widely. UK studies using EQ-5D (n = 29) produced very heterogeneous baseline utility multipliers for each type of CVD, precluding meta-analysis and implying different possible severity orderings. We could find sources that provided a plausible ordering of utilities while adequately representing health states.

CONCLUSIONS

We cataloged international CVD utility estimates and calculated UK-relevant baseline utility multipliers. Modelers should consider unreported sources of heterogeneity, such as population differences, when selecting utility evidence from reviews.

HIGHLIGHTS

Published systematic reviews have summarized estimates of utility associated with cardiovascular disease published up to 2013.We 1) reviewed utility estimates for 7 types of cardiovascular disease published since 2013, 2) critically appraised UK-relevant studies, and 3) estimated the effect of each cardiovascular disease on baseline utility.Our review 1) recommends a consistent and reliable set of baseline utility multipliers for 7 types of cardiovascular disease and 2) provides systematically identified reference information for researchers seeking utility evidence for their own context.

Operationalizing the GRADE-equity criterion to inform guideline recommendations: application to a medical cannabis guideline

OBJECTIVES

Incorporating health equity considerations into guideline development often requires information beyond that gathered through traditional evidence synthesis methodology. This article outlines an operationalization plan for the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE)-equity criterion to gather and assess evidence from primary studies within systematic reviews, enhancing guideline recommendations to promote equity. We demonstrate its use in a clinical guideline on medical cannabis for chronic pain.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We reviewed GRADE guidance and resources recommended by team members regarding the use of evidence for equity considerations, drafted an operationalization plan, and iteratively refined it through team discussion and feedback and piloted it on a medicinal cannabis guideline.

RESULTS

We propose a seven-step approach: 1) identify disadvantaged populations, 2) examine available data for specific populations, 3) evaluate population baseline risk for primary outcomes, 4) assess representation of these populations in primary studies, 5) appraise analyses, 6) note barriers to implementation of effective interventions for these populations, and 7) suggest supportive strategies to facilitate implementation of effective interventions.

CONCLUSION

Our approach assists guideline developers in recognizing equity considerations, particularly in resource-constrained settings. Its application across various guideline topics can verify its feasibility and necessary adjustments.

Drug induced liver injury - a 2023 update

Drug-Induced Liver Injury (DILI) constitutes hepatic damage attributed to drug exposure. DILI may be categorized as hepatocellular, cholestatic or mixed and might also involve immune responses. When DILI occurs in dose-dependent manner, it is referred to as intrinsic, while if the injury occurs spontaneously, it is termed as idiosyncratic. This review predominately focused on idiosyncratic liver injury. The established molecular mechanisms for DILI include (1) mitochondria dysfunction, (2) increased reactive oxygen species levels, (3) presence of elevated apoptosis and necrosis, (4) and bile duct injuries associated with immune mediated pathways. However, it should be emphasized that the underlying mechanisms responsible for DILI are still unknown. Prevention strategies are critical as incidences occur frequently, and treatment options are limited once the injury has developed. The aim of this review was to utilize retrospective cohort studies from across the globe to gain insight into epidemiological patterns. This review considers (1) what is currently known regarding the mechanisms underlying DILI, (2) discusses potential risk factors and (3) implications of the coronavirus pandemic on DILI presentation and research. Future perspectives are also considered and discussed and include potential new biomarkers, causality assessment and reporting methods.

Limited access to liver transplantation and TIPS despite high mortality, healthcare resource use and costs of cirrhosis in Germany

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Data on number of patients with cirrhosis in Germany are limited. We therefore aimed to estimate prevalence, comorbidities, mortality, utilization of healthcare resources and costs of patients with cirrhosis and incidence of decompensation of cirrhosis in Germany.

METHODS

This longitudinal observational study was based on an anonymized representative claims database including 4.9 million persons insured by a statutory health insurance (SHI) between 2015-2020. Patients with decompensated and compensated cirrhosis were selected via diagnostic ICD codes and followed for 2 years.

RESULTS

Prevalence of cirrhosis in 2015 was 250/100 000, resulting in 201 747 (95% CI: 197 540-206 040) patients extrapolated to the German population. Out of all patients with compensated cirrhosis in 2015 who did not deceased, 16.0% developed a decompensation within 3 years. Overall, 978 patients (Ø-age: 68 years; 60% male) were included in the decompensated, and 5135 patients (Ø-age: 66 years; 59% male) in the compensated cirrhosis cohort. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis had a higher burden of comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index 7.3 vs. 4.4) and 3 times higher costs per quarter (7172 € vs. 2213 €) than patients with compensated cirrhosis. 1-year mortality after decompensation was 51% compared to 8% in compensated cirrhosis. Of note, only few patients with decompensated cirrhosis received a liver transplantation or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) (1% and 5%).

CONCLUSION

Patients with cirrhosis have a high healthcare burden in especially decompensated stage. Accordingly, 1-year mortality of decompensated cirrhosis in Germany is high. Despite high health resource utilization, only few patients have access to liver transplantation or TIPS.

Unified Protocol for the transdiagnostic treatment of emotional disorders in people with post COVID-19 condition: study protocol for a multiple baseline n-of-1 trial

Background

Post COVID-19 syndrome, defined as the persistence of COVID-19 symptoms beyond 3 months, is associated with a high emotional burden. Post COVID-19 patients frequently present comorbid anxiety, depressive and related disorders (emotional disorders, EDs) which have an important impact on their quality of life. Unfortunately, psychological interventions to manage these EDs are rarely provided to post COVID-19 patients. Also importantly, most psychological interventions do not address comorbidity, namely simultaneous EDs present in COVID-19 patients. This study will explore the clinical utility and acceptability of a protocol-based cognitive-behavioral therapy called the Unified Protocol for the transdiagnostic treatment of EDs in patients suffering post COVID-19 condition.

Methods

A multiple baseline n-of-1 trial will be used, as it allows participants to be their own comparison control. Sample will be composed of 60 patients diagnosed with post COVID-19 conditions and comorbid EDs from three Spanish hospitals. After meeting the eligibility criteria, participants will answer the pre-assessment protocol and then they will be randomly assigned to three different baseline conditions (6, 8, or 10 days of assessments before the intervention). Participants and professionals will be unblinded to participants' allocation. Once the baseline assessment has been completed, participants will receive the online psychological individual intervention through video-calls. The Unified Protocol intervention will comprise 8 sessions of a 1 h duration each. After the intervention, participants will answer the post-assessment protocol. Additional follow-up assessments will be conducted at one, three, six, and twelve months after the intervention. Primary outcomes will be anxiety and depressive symptoms. Secondary outcomes include quality of life, emotion dysregulation, distress tolerance, and satisfaction with the programme. Data analyses will include between-group and within-group differences and visual analysis of patients' progress.

Discussion

Results from this study will be disseminated in scientific journals. These findings may help to provide valuable information in the implementation of psychological interventions for patients suffering post COVID-19 conditions.

Clinical trial registration

https://clinicaltrials.gov, identifier (NCT05581277).

Global Cardio Oncology Registry (G-COR): Registry Design, Primary Objectives, and Future Perspectives of a Multicenter Global Initiative

BACKGROUND

Global collaboration in cardio-oncology is needed to understand the prevalence of cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in different risk groups, practice settings, and geographic locations. There are limited data on the socioeconomic and racial/ethnic disparities that may impact access to care and outcomes. To address these gaps, we established the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry, a multinational, multicenter prospective registry.

METHODS

We assembled cardiologists and oncologists from academic and community settings to collaborate in the first Global Cardio-Oncology Registry. Subsequently, a survey for site resources, demographics, and intention to participate was conducted. We designed an online data platform to facilitate this global initiative.

RESULTS

A total of 119 sites responded to an online questionnaire on their practices and main goals of the registry: 49 US sites from 23 states and 70 international sites from 5 continents indicated a willingness to participate in the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry. Sites were more commonly led by cardiologists (85/119; 72%) and were more often university/teaching (81/119; 68%) than community based (38/119; 32%). The average number of cardio-oncology patients treated per month was 80 per site. The top 3 Global Cardio-Oncology Registry priorities in cardio-oncology care were breast cancer, hematologic malignancies, and patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. Executive and scientific committees and specific committees were established. A pilot phase for breast cancer using Research Electronic Data Capture Cloud platform recently started patient enrollment.

CONCLUSIONS

We present the structure for a global collaboration. Information derived from the Global Cardio-Oncology Registry will help understand the risk factors impacting cancer therapy-related cardiovascular toxicity in different geographic locations and therefore contribute to reduce access gaps in cardio-oncology care. Risk calculators will be prospectively derived and validated.

Comparative effectiveness of treatments for rheumatoid arthritis in clinical practice: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To assess real-world comparative effectiveness studies of biologic (b) and targeted synthetic (ts) disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) in adults with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) through a systematic review.

METHODS

We searched Medline for journal articles (2001-2021) and Embase® for abstracts presented at the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology and American College of Rheumatology (ACR) 2020 and 2021 annual meetings on non-randomized studies comparing the effectiveness of b/tsDMARDs using ACR-recommended disease activity measures, measures of functional status, and patient-reported outcomes (HAQ, PROMIS PF, patient pain, Patient and Physician Global Assessment of disease activity). Methodological heterogeneity between studies precluded meta-analyses. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk Of Bias In Non-randomized Studies of Interventions-I tool.

RESULTS

Of 1283 records screened, 68 were selected for data extraction, of which 1 was excluded due to critical risk of bias. Most studies were multicenter observational cohort/registry studies (n = 60) and were published between 2011 and 2021 (n = 60). Mean or median reported RA duration was between 6 and 15 years. Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (46 studies), Clinical Disease Activity Index (37 studies), and Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (32 studies) were the most common outcomes used in clinical practice, with regional differences identified. The most common comparison was between tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFis) and non-TNFi bDMARDs (35 studies). There were no evident differences between b/tsDMARDs in clinical effectiveness.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review summarizing real-world evidence from a very large number of global studies found there are many effective options for the treatment of RA, but relatively less evidence to support the use of any one b/tsDMARD or drug class over another. Treatment for patients with RA should be tailored to suit individual clinical profiles. Further research is needed to identify whether specific patient subgroups may benefit from specific drug classes.

Remission, response, retention and persistence to treatment with disease-modifying agents in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: a study of harmonised Swedish, Danish and Norwegian cohorts

OBJECTIVE

Precision medicine in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) requires a good understanding of treatment outcomes and often collaborative efforts that call for data harmonisation. We aimed to describe how harmonisation across study cohorts can be achieved and investigate how the observed proportions reaching remission vary across remission criteria, study types, disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and countries, and how they relate to other treatment outcomes.

METHODS

We used data from eight existing large-scale, clinical RA registers and a pragmatic trial from Sweden, Denmark and Norway. In these, we defined three types of treatment cohorts; methotrexate monotherapy (as first DMARD), tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) (as first biological DMARD) and rituximab. We developed a harmonised study protocol defining time points during 36 months of follow-up, collected clinical visit data on treatment response, retention, persistence and six alternative definitions of remission, and investigated how these outcomes differed within and between cohorts, by treatment.

RESULTS

Cohort sizes ranged from ~50 to 22 000 patients with RA. The proportions reaching each outcome varied across outcome metric, but with small to modest variations within and between cohorts, countries and treatment. Retention and persistence rates were high (>50% at 1 year), yet <33% of patients starting methotrexate or TNFi, and only 10% starting rituximab, remained on drug without other DMARDs added and achieved American Congress of Rheumatology/European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology or Simplified Disease Activity Index remission at 1 year.

CONCLUSION

Harmonisation of data from different RA data sources can be achieved without compromising internal validity or generalisability. The low proportions reaching remission, point to an unmet need for treatment optimisation in RA.

Impact of data source choice on multimorbidity measurement: a comparison study of 2.3 million individuals in the Welsh National Health Service

BACKGROUND

Measurement of multimorbidity in research is variable, including the choice of the data source used to ascertain conditions. We compared the estimated prevalence of multimorbidity and associations with mortality using different data sources.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study of SAIL Databank data including 2,340,027 individuals of all ages living in Wales on 01 January 2019. Comparison of prevalence of multimorbidity and constituent 47 conditions using data from primary care (PC), hospital inpatient (HI), and linked PC-HI data sources and examination of associations between condition count and 12-month mortality.

RESULTS

Using linked PC-HI compared with only HI data, multimorbidity was more prevalent (32.2% versus 16.5%), and the population of people identified as having multimorbidity was younger (mean age 62.5 versus 66.8 years) and included more women (54.2% versus 52.6%). Individuals with multimorbidity in both PC and HI data had stronger associations with mortality than those with multimorbidity only in HI data (adjusted odds ratio 8.34 [95% CI 8.02-8.68] versus 6.95 (95%CI 6.79-7.12] in people with ≥ 4 conditions). The prevalence of conditions identified using only PC versus only HI data was significantly higher for 37/47 and significantly lower for 10/47: the highest PC/HI ratio was for depression (14.2 [95% CI 14.1-14.4]) and the lowest for aneurysm (0.51 [95% CI 0.5-0.5]). Agreement in ascertainment of conditions between the two data sources varied considerably, being slight for five (kappa < 0.20), fair for 12 (kappa 0.21-0.40), moderate for 16 (kappa 0.41-0.60), and substantial for 12 (kappa 0.61-0.80) conditions, and by body system was lowest for mental and behavioural disorders. The percentage agreement, individuals with a condition identified in both PC and HI data, was lowest in anxiety (4.6%) and highest in coronary artery disease (62.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of single data sources may underestimate prevalence when measuring multimorbidity and many important conditions (especially mental and behavioural disorders). Caution should be used when interpreting findings of research examining individual and multiple long-term conditions using single data sources. Where available, researchers using electronic health data should link primary care and hospital inpatient data to generate more robust evidence to support evidence-based healthcare planning decisions for people with multimorbidity.

Association Between Age and Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Response to Statins : A Danish Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

There is large patient-to-patient variability in the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) response to statin treatment. The reduction in LDL-C may depend on the age of the patient treated-particularly in older adults, who have been substantially underrepresented in randomized controlled trials.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between age and the LDL-C reduction by statins.

DESIGN

Nationwide, register-based cohort study.

SETTING

Denmark, 2008 to 2018.

PARTICIPANTS

82 958 simvastatin or atorvastatin initiators with LDL-C measurements before and during statin use.

MEASUREMENTS

Statin response, defined as percentage reduction in prestatin LDL-C level, and percentage reduction differences (PRDs) according to age and simvastatin or atorvastatin dose based on a longitudinal model for LDL-C.

RESULTS

Among 82 958 statin initiators, 10 388 (13%) were aged 75 years or older. With low- to moderate-intensity statins, initiators aged 75 years or older had greater mean LDL-C percentage reductions than initiators younger than 50 years-for example, 39.0% versus 33.8% for simvastatin, 20 mg, and 44.2% versus 40.2% for atorvastatin, 20 mg. The adjusted PRD for initiators aged 75 years compared with initiators aged 50 years was 2.62 percentage points. This association was consistent for primary prevention (2.54 percentage points) and secondary prevention (2.32 percentage points) but smaller for initiators of high-intensity statins (atorvastatin, 40 mg: 1.36 percentage points; atorvastatin, 80 mg: -0.58 percentage point).

LIMITATION

Use of administrative data, observational pre-post comparison with a moderately high proportion of missing data, lack of information on body mass index, and the mainly White study population may limit generalizability.

CONCLUSION

Low- to moderate-intensity statins were associated with a greater reduction in LDL-C levels in older persons than younger persons and may be more appealing as initial treatment in older adults who are at increased risk for adverse events.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

The Independent Research Fund Denmark, Brødrene Hartmanns Fond, and Fonden til Lægevidenskabens Fremme.

STOPP/START criteria for potentially inappropriate prescribing in older people: version 3

PURPOSE

STOPP/START is a physiological systems-based explicit set of criteria that attempts to define the clinically important prescribing problems relating to potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs-STOPP criteria) and potential prescribing omissions (PPOs-START criteria). The previous two versions of STOPP/START criteria were published in 2008 and 2015. The present study describes the revised and updated third version of the criteria.

METHODS

A detailed system-by-system review of the published literature from April 2014 to March 2022 was undertaken with the aim of including clinically important new explicit PIM and PPO criteria and removing any criteria considered to be no longer correct or outdated. A panel of 11 academic physicians with recognized expertise in geriatric pharmacotherapy from 8 European countries participated in a Delphi panel with the task of validating the draft criteria. The panel was presented with the draft new criteria using the SurveyMonkey® on-line platform in which panelists were asked to indicate their level of agreement on a five-point Likert scale.

RESULTS

Two hundred and four evidence-based draft criteria (one hundred and forty-five STOPP criteria, fifty-nine START criteria) were presented to panelists for assessment using the Delphi validation method. Over the course of four rounds of Delphi validation, the panel achieved consensus on 133 STOPP criteria and 57 START criteria, i.e., 190 STOPP/START criteria in total representing a 66.7% increase in the number of criteria compared to STOPP/START version 2 published in 2015.

CONCLUSION

A fully revised and updated version of STOPP/START criteria has been validated by a European expert panel using the Delphi consensus process.

Exploring the Effect of Eligibility Criteria on AD Severity and Severe Adverse Event in Eligible Patients

Clinical trials were vital tools to prove the effectiveness and safety of medications. To maximize generalizability, the study sample should represent the sample population and the target population. However, the clinical trial design tends to favor the evaluation of drug safety and procedure (i.e., internal validity) without clear knowledge of its penalty on trial generalizability (i.e., external validity). Alzheimer's Disease (AD) trials are known to have generalizability issues. Thus, in this study, we explore the effect of eligibility criteria on the AD severity patients and the severe adverse event (SAE) among the eligible patients.

Long-term outcomes of vedolizumab in inflammatory bowel disease: the Swedish prospective multicentre SVEAH extension study

Background

Real-world data on long-term outcomes of vedolizumab (VDZ) are scarce.

Objective

To assess long-term outcomes (up to 3 years) of VDZ in treating inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

Design

A nationwide, prospective multicentre extension of a Swedish observational study on VDZ assessing Effectiveness And Healthcare resource utilization in patients with IBD (SVEAH).

Methods

After re-consent, data of patients with Crohn's disease (CD) (n = 68) and ulcerative colitis (UC) (n = 46) treated with VDZ were prospectively recorded using an electronic case report form integrated with the Swedish IBD Register (SWIBREG). The primary outcome was clinical remission (defined as Harvey-Bradshaw Index ⩽4 in CD and partial Mayo score ⩽2 in UC) at 104 and 156 weeks in patients with a response and/or remission 12 weeks after starting VDZ. Secondary outcomes included health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and biochemical outcomes.

Results

VDZ continuation rates were high at weeks 104 and 156, 88% and 84%, respectively, for CD and 87% and 78%, respectively, for UC. Of the 53 CD patients with a response/remission at 12 weeks, 40 (75%) patients were in remission at 104 weeks and 42 (79%) patients at 156 weeks. For UC, these numbers were 25/31 (81%) and 22/31 (71%), respectively. Improvements were seen in the Short Health Scale (p < 0.01 for each dimension; CD, n = 51; UC, n = 33) and the EuroQol 5-Dimensions, 5-levels index value (p < 0.01; CD, n = 39; UC, n = 30). Median plasma-C-reactive protein concentrations (mg/L) decreased from 5 at baseline to 4 in CD (p = 0.01, n = 53) and from 5 to 4 in UC (p = 0.03, n = 34) at 156 weeks. Correspondingly, median faecal-calprotectin (µg/g) decreased from 641 to 114 in CD patients (p < 0.01, n = 26) and from 387 to 37 in UC patients (p = 0.02, n = 17).

Conclusion

VDZ demonstrated high continuation rates and was associated with improvements in clinical outcomes, HRQoL measures and inflammatory markers at 2 and 3 years after treatment initiation in this prospective national SVEAH extension study.

Registration

ENCePP registration number: EUPAS22735.

Matching enrolled trial participants to disease demographics: Using IRB submissions to identify opportunities for researcher training

Background

Many diseases are highly prevalent in older adults, yet older adults are often underrepresented in corresponding trials. Our objectives were to (1) determine alignment between Institutional Review Board (IRB) protocol age ranges and enrollment demographics to disease demographics pre- and post-implementation of the 2019 National Institutes of Health (NIH) Lifespan Policy and (2) raise awareness about inclusive recruitment to principal investigators (PIs).

Methods

This was a pre-post study. We reviewed investigator-initiated studies meeting eligibility criteria at Oregon Health & Science University from 2017 to 2018 to determine baseline alignment. Alignment was defined by the level of matching between protocol/enrollment age and disease demographics: 2 points for full match, 1 point for partial match, and 0 points for mismatch. After the NIH policy implementation, we reviewed new studies for alignment. When a mismatch was determined, we contacted PIs (either at initial IRB protocol submission or during ongoing recruitment) to raise awareness and provide strategies to expand inclusion of older adults in their trials.

Results

Studies that matched IRB protocol ages to disease demographics significantly improved from 78% pre-implementation to 91.2% post-implementation. Similarly, study enrollment ages matching disease demographics increased by 13.4% following the implementation (74.5%-87.9%). Out of 18 post-implementation mismatched studies, 7 PIs accepted a meeting and 3 subsequently changed their protocol age ranges.

Conclusion

This study highlights strategies that translational institutes and academic institutions could use to identify research studies whose participants do not align with disease demographics, offering opportunities for researcher awareness and training to enhance inclusion.

Impacts of Eligibility Criteria on Trial Participants' Age in Alzheimer's Disease Clinical Trials

Overly restricted and poorly designed eligibility criteria reduce the generalizability of the results from clinical trials. We conducted a study to identify and quantify the impacts of study traits extracted from eligibility criteria on the age of study populations in Alzheimer's Disease (AD) clinical trials. Using machine learning methods and SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values, we identified 30 and 34 study traits that excluded older patients from AD trials in our 2 generated target populations respectively. We also found that study traits had different magnitudes of impacts on the age distributions of the generated study populations across racial-ethnic groups. To our best knowledge, this was the first study that quantified the impact of eligibility criteria on the age of AD trial participants. Our research is a first step in addressing the overly restrictive eligibility criteria in AD clinical trials.

Inclusion of adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and or communication in research: triangulation from a mixed-methods study of current practice and values across multiple stakeholders

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to: (A) describe researcher decision-making when including or excluding adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and/or communication in research and (B) explore the underlying values and reasoning of stakeholders in research which falls under the provisions of the Mental Capacity Act, 2005.

DESIGN

The mixed-methods design included semistructured interviews with adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and/or communication, supporters, researchers, research ethics committee members and an online survey with researchers. Triangulation was used to integrate the data and examine the complementarity of the findings.

SETTING

England and Wales.

PARTICIPANTS

There were 61 participants who took part in semistructured interviews, of which 39 were adults with conditions with potential to affect capacity and/or communication, 6 were in support roles for adults with conditions with potential to affect capacity and/or communication (including family members and professionals in advocacy organisations), 8 were members of research ethics committees flagged under the Mental Capacity Act to review research where there could be issues of mental capacity and 8 were researchers with experience of working with adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and/or communication. The online survey had 128 participants, researchers with experience of working with adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and/or communication.

RESULTS

All stakeholders were supportive of the genuine inclusion of adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and/or communication in research, and exclusion was seen as a form of discrimination. Many researchers were daunted by meeting the threshold within the legislation for including participants who may lack capacity.

CONCLUSION

Further training, expertise and resources are required to promote the successful inclusion in research of adults with conditions that have the potential to affect capacity and/or communication.

Proxy Decision-Making for Clinical Research in Nursing Home Residents With Dementia: A Qualitative Analysis

OBJECTIVES

The benefit-risk ratio of many interventions remains unclear in older adults with dementia. Efforts for more representative trial inclusion are made; however, recruiting and particularly gaining informed consent remains complex. For research participation, dementia compels the designation of a legal guardian (LG) to give proxy consent. To advance future trial development, we aimed to provide more insights into the factors that affect the proxy decision-making process in dementia research.

DESIGN

A qualitative analysis of semi-structured interviews about proxy decision-making on participation in dementia research.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

LGs of nursing home residents that gave (n = 19) and refrained from giving (n = 18) proxy consent for a clinical trial (the ∗∗∗BLINDED∗∗∗ study) in the Netherlands.

METHODS

Verbatim transcripts were thematically analyzed by using a preliminary deductive framework with room for induction of additional emerging themes, being an overall abductive approach. Based on that theme list, related factors of the decision-making process were grouped into overarching levels and merged into a step-by-step process.

RESULTS

When discussing proxy decision-making on the participation of an older adult with dementia in a clinical trial, LGs described interconnected factors on the level of the study and patient. Past experiences and attitudes of the LG influenced the weighing of these study- and patient-related factors, leading to a preliminary decision. Other proxies and treating health care professionals (HCPs) were named as important other stakeholders of the decision-making process.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

When giving proxy consent for research participation, LGs weigh study- and patient-related factors, leading to an initial benefit-risk evaluation. This weighing process is influenced by LG-related factors and can be modulated by other proxies or treating HCPs, leading to a definitive decision. Although insights into these underlying mechanisms could facilitate the proxy decision-making process for both LGs and researchers, treating HCPs could act as an independent party.

Study protocol for a multicenter randomized controlled trial of personalized exercise therapy and self-management support for people with multimorbidity: The MOBILIZE study

Background

Despite the great individual and societal burden associated with multimorbidity, little is known about how to effectively manage it.

Objective

The aim of this multicenter randomized controlled trial (RCT) is to investigate the 12-month effects of a personalized exercise therapy and self-management support program in addition to usual care in people with multimorbidity.

Design

This is a protocol for a pragmatic, parallel-group (1:1 ratio), superiority RCT conducted at five intervention sites (two hospitals, a private practice physiotherapy clinic and two municipal rehabilitation centers) in Region Zealand, Denmark. A total of 228 persons with multimorbidity aged 18 years or older, will be randomly allocated to one of two groups. Both groups will receive usual care, defined as routine care for multimorbidity at the discretion of the treating doctor, while the intervention group will also participate in a 12-week exercise therapy and self-management support program tailored to people with multimorbidity at one of the intervention sites. The primary outcome will be the between-group difference in change in EQ-5D-5L from baseline to the follow-up at 12 months. Secondary outcomes include objectively-measured physical function and physical activity, inflammatory markers, disease and treatment burden, anxiety, depression, stress, sleep, pain and other self-reported parameters. In parallel with the RCT, an observational cohort will follow persons aged ≥18 years with multimorbidity not adhering to all eligibility criteria, as well as people fulfilling all eligibility criteria, but unwilling to participate in the RCT. This study was approved by the Regional Committee on Health Research Ethics for Region Zealand (SJ-857) and results will be communicated in scientific papers, at relevant conferences and to a broader audience.

Discussion

Exercise therapy and self-management support is safe and effective in people with single conditions. However, it is still unclear whether this holds true for individuals with multimorbidity. This pragmatic, multicenter RCT will provide high-quality evidence on the benefits and harms of exercise therapy and self-management support and, if the results support it, lead to the development of a plan for implementation in clinical practice.

Comparing stroke rehabilitation inpatients and clinical trials eligibility criteria: A secondary chart review analysis revealing that most patients could have been excluded from rehabilitation trials based on comorbidity status

Background

The generalizability of treatments examined in rehabilitation randomized controls trials (RCTs) partly depend on the similarity between trial subjects and a stroke rehabilitation inpatient population. The aim of this study was to determine the proportion of stroke rehabilitation inpatients that would have been eligible or ineligible to participate in published stroke RCTs.

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of chart review data collected as part of an independent quality improvement initiative. Data pertaining to the characteristics of stroke rehabilitation inpatients (e.g. age, cognitive impairment, previous stroke, comorbidities) were extracted from the medical charts of patients consecutively admitted to an inpatient stroke rehabilitation unit at a large urban rehabilitation hospital in Canada. Using the exclusion criteria categories of stroke RCTs identified from a systematic scoping review of 428 RCTs, we identified how many stroke rehabilitation inpatients would have been eligible or ineligible to participate in stroke RCTs based on their age, cognitive impairment, previous stroke and presence of comorbidities.

Results

In total, 110 stroke rehabilitation inpatients were included. Twenty-four percent of patients were 80 years of age or older, 84.5% had queries or concerns regarding patient cognitive abilities, 28.0% had a previous stroke, and 31.8% had a severe stroke. Stroke rehabilitation inpatients had six comorbidities on average. Based on these factors, most stroke rehabilitation inpatients could have been excluded from stroke RCTs, with cognitive impairment the most common RCT exclusion criteria.

Conclusions

Changes to the design of RCTs would support the development of clinical practice guidelines that reflect stroke rehabilitation inpatient characteristics, enhancing equity, diversity, and inclusion within samples and the generalizability of results.

Frailty: Pathophysiology, Theoretical and Operational Definition(s), Impact, Prevalence, Management and Prevention, in an Increasingly Economically Developed and Ageing World

The world's population is ageing, and most older adults experience a later life burdened with disease and disability. Frailty is a multidimensional and dynamic condition characterized by declines in reserve and function across multiple physiological systems, such that the ability to cope with every day or acute stressors becomes compromised. It is projected to become one of the most serious public health challenges economically developed societies will face in the coming century. This review provides a comprehensive overview of frailty, exploring its pathophysiology, theoretical and operational definition(s), impact, prevalence, management, and prevention, within the context of its emergence as a major public health challenge, in an increasingly economically developed and ageing world. Further, this review discusses the major limitations, deficiencies, and knowledge gaps presently within the field, and future research directions pertinent to the advancement of frailty research and the promotion of healthy longevity among the increasing global population of older adults.

Assessing trial representativeness using serious adverse events: an observational analysis using aggregate and individual-level data from clinical trials and routine healthcare data

BACKGROUND

The applicability of randomised controlled trials of pharmacological agents to older people with frailty/multimorbidity is often uncertain, due to concerns that trials are not representative. However, assessing trial representativeness is challenging and complex. We explore an approach assessing trial representativeness by comparing rates of trial serious adverse events (SAE) to rates of hospitalisation/death in routine care.

METHODS

This was an observational analysis of individual (125 trials, n=122,069) and aggregate-level drug trial data (483 trials, n=636,267) for 21 index conditions compared to population-based routine healthcare data (routine care). Trials were identified from ClinicalTrials.gov . Routine care comparison from linked primary care and hospital data from Wales, UK (n=2.3M). Our outcome of interest was SAEs (routinely reported in trials). In routine care, SAEs were based on hospitalisations and deaths (which are SAEs by definition). We compared trial SAEs in trials to expected SAEs based on age/sex standardised routine care populations with the same index condition. Using IPD, we assessed the relationship between multimorbidity count and SAEs in both trials and routine care and assessed the impact on the observed/expected SAE ratio additionally accounting for multimorbidity.

RESULTS

For 12/21 index conditions, the pooled observed/expected SAE ratio was <1, indicating fewer SAEs in trial participants than in routine care. A further 6/21 had point estimates <1 but the 95% CI included the null. The median pooled estimate of observed/expected SAE ratio was 0.60 (95% CI 0.55-0.64; COPD) and the interquartile range was 0.44 (0.34-0.55; Parkinson's disease) to 0.87 (0.58-1.29; inflammatory bowel disease). Higher multimorbidity count was associated with SAEs across all index conditions in both routine care and trials. For most trials, the observed/expected SAE ratio moved closer to 1 after additionally accounting for multimorbidity count, but it nonetheless remained below 1 for most.

CONCLUSIONS

Trial participants experience fewer SAEs than expected based on age/sex/condition hospitalisation and death rates in routine care, confirming the predicted lack of representativeness. This difference is only partially explained by differences in multimorbidity. Assessing observed/expected SAE may help assess the applicability of trial findings to older populations in whom multimorbidity and frailty are common.

Comparing clinical trial population representativeness to real-world populations: an external validity analysis encompassing 43 895 trials and 5 685 738 individuals across 989 unique drugs and 286 conditions in England

BACKGROUND

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) inform prescription guidelines, but stringent eligibility criteria exclude individuals with vulnerable characteristics, which we define as comorbidities, concomitant medication use, and vulnerabilities due to age. Poor external validity can result in inadequate treatment decision information. Our first aim was to quantify the extent of exclusion of individuals with vulnerable characteristics from RCTs for all prescription drugs. Our second aim was to quantify the prevalence of individuals with vulnerable characteristics from population electronic health records who are actively prescribed such drugs. In tandem, these two aims will allow us to assess the representativeness between RCT and real-world populations and identify vulnerable populations potentially at risk of inadequate treatment decision information. When a vulnerable population is highly excluded from RCTs but has a high prevalence of individuals actively being prescribed the same medication, there is likely to be a gap in treatment decision information. Our third aim was to investigate the use of real-world evidence in contributing towards quantifying missing treatment risk or benefit through an observational study.

METHODS

We extracted RCTs from ClinicalTrials.gov from its inception to April 28, 2021, and primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Gold database from Jan 1, 1998, to Dec 31, 2020. We referred to the British National Formulary to classify prescription drugs into drug categories. We conducted descriptive analyses and quantified RCT exclusion and prevalence of individuals with vulnerable characteristics for comparison to identify populations without treatment decision information. Exclusion and prevalence were assessed separately for different age groups, individual clinical specialities, and for quantities of concomitant conditions by clinical specialities, where multimorbidity was defined as having two or more clinical specialties, and medications prescribed, where polypharmacy was defined as having five or more medications prescribed. Population trends of individuals with multimorbidity or polypharmacy were assessed separately by age group. We conducted an observational cohort study to validate the use of real-world evidence in contributing towards quantifying treatment risk or benefit for patients with dementia on anti-dementia drugs with and without a contraindicated clinical speciality. To do so, we identified the clinical specialities that anti-dementia drug RCTs highly excluded yet had corresponding high prevalence in the real-world population, forming the groups with highest risk of having scarce treatment decision information. Cox regression was used to assess if the risk of mortality outcomes differs between both groups.

FINDINGS

43 895 RCTs from ClinicalTrials.gov and 5 685 738 million individuals from primary care records were used. We considered 989 unique drugs and 286 conditions across 13 drug-category cohorts. For the descriptive analyses, the median RCT exclusion proportion across 13 drug categories was 81·5% (IQR 76·7-85·5) for adolescents (aged <18 years), 26·3% (IQR 21·0-29·5) for individuals older than 60 years, 40·5% (IQR 33·7-43·0) for individuals older than 70 years, and 52·9% (IQR 47·1-56·0) for individuals older than 80 years. Multimorbidity had a median exclusion proportion of 91·1% (IQR 88·9-91·8) and median prevalence of 41·0% (IQR 34·9-46·0). Concomitant medication use had a median exclusion proportion of 52·5% (IQR 50·0-53·7) and a median prevalence of 94·3% (IQR 84·3-97·2), and polypharmacy had a median prevalence of 47·7% (IQR 38·0-56·1). Population trends show increasing multimorbidity with age and consistently high polypharmacy across age groups. Populations with cardiovascular or otorhinolaryngological comorbidities had the highest risk of having scarce treatment decision information. For the observational study, populations with cardiovascular or psychiatric comorbidities had highest risk of having scarce treatment decision information. Patients with dementia with an anti-dementia prescription and contraindicated cardiovascular condition had a higher risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1·20 [95% CI 1·13-1·28 ; p<0·0001]) compared with patients with dementia without a contraindicated cardiovascular condition. Patients with dementia with comorbid delirium (HR 1·25 [95% CI 1·06-1·48]; p<0·0088), intellectual disability (HR 2·72 [95% CI 1·53-4·81]; p=0·0006), and schizophrenia and schizotypal delusional disorders (HR 1·36 [95% CI 1·02-1·82]; p=0·036) had a higher risk of mortality compared with patients with dementia without these conditions.

INTERPRETATION

Overly stringent RCT exclusion criteria do not appropriately account for the heterogeneity of vulnerable characteristics observed in real-world populations. Treatment decision information is scarce for such individuals, which might affect health outcomes. We discuss the challenges facing the inclusivity of such individuals and highlight the strength of real-world evidence as an integrative solution in complementing RCTs and increasing the completeness of evidence-based medicine assessments in evaluating the effectiveness of treatment decisions.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) University College London Hospitals Biomedical Research Centre, NIHR Great Ormond Street Hospital Biomedical Research Centre, Academy of Medical Sciences, and the University College London Overseas Research Scholarship.

Brentuximab vedotin in the treatment of paediatric patients with relapsed or refractory Hodgkin's lymphoma: Results of a real-life study

BACKGROUND

Brentuximab vedotin (BV) is an antibody drug-conjugated anti-CD30 approved for the treatment of adult classical Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL), whereas it is considered as off-label indication in paediatrics. The aim of the study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of BV to treat patients aged less than 18 years with refractory/relapsed HL.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multicentre, retrospective study, 68 paediatric patients who received at least one dose of BV between November 2011 and August 2020 were enrolled. A median of nine doses of BV were administered as monotherapy (n = 31) or combined with other therapies (n = 37). BV was administrated alone as consolidation therapy after stem cell transplantation (SCT) in 12 patients, before SCT in 18 patients, whereas in 15 patients it was used before and after SCT as consolidation therapy. Median follow-up was 2.8 years (range: 0.6-8.9 years).

RESULTS

The best response was observed in the 86% of patients; the overall response rate was 66%. The 3-year progression-free survival was 58%, whereas the overall survival was 75%. No statistically significant differences between patients treated with BV monotherapy or combination were highlighted. In multivariate analysis, patients with non-nodular sclerosis HL and not transplanted had an increased risk of failure. Overall, 46% of patients had grade 3-4 adverse events that led to BV discontinuation in five of them.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, our study confirms that BV was a safe and effective drug, able to induce complete remission, either as monotherapy or in association with standard therapy.

Trial Forge Guidance 3: randomised trials and how to recruit and retain individuals from ethnic minority groups-practical guidance to support better practice

Randomised trials, especially those intended to directly inform clinical practice and policy, should be designed to reflect all those who could benefit from the intervention under test should it prove effective. This does not always happen. The UK National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) INCLUDE project identified many groups in the UK that are under-served by trials, including ethnic minorities.This guidance document presents four key recommendations for designing and running trials that include the ethnic groups needed by the trial. These are (1) ensure eligibility criteria and recruitment pathway do not limit participation in ways you do not intend, (2) ensure your trial materials are developed with inclusion in mind, (3) ensure staff are culturally competent and (4) build trusting partnerships with community organisations that work with ethnic minority groups. Each recommendation comes with best practice advice, public contributor testimonials, examples of the inclusion problem tackled by the recommendation, or strategies to mitigate the problem, as well as a collection of resources to support implementation of the recommendations.We encourage trial teams to follow the recommendations and, where possible, evaluate the strategies they use to implement them. Finally, while our primary audience is those designing, running and reporting trials, we hope funders, grant reviewers and approvals agencies may also find our guidance useful.

Implementation of Web-Based Psychosocial Interventions for Adults With Acquired Brain Injury and Their Caregivers: Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

More than 135 million people worldwide live with acquired brain injury (ABI) and its many psychosocial sequelae. This growing global burden necessitates scalable rehabilitation services. Despite demonstrated potential to increase the accessibility and scalability of psychosocial supports, digital health interventions are challenging to implement and sustain. The Nonadoption, Abandonment, Scale-Up, Spread, and Sustainability (NASSS) framework can offer developers and researchers a comprehensive overview of considerations to implement, scale, and sustain digital health interventions.

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review identified published, peer-reviewed primary evidence of implementation outcomes, strategies, and factors for web-based psychosocial interventions targeting either adults with ABI or their formal or informal caregivers; evaluated and summarized this evidence; synthesized qualitative and quantitative implementation data according to the NASSS framework; and provided recommendations for future implementation. Results were compared with 3 hypotheses which state that complexity (dynamic, unpredictable, and poorly characterized factors) in most or all NASSS domains increases likelihood of implementation failure; success is achievable, but difficult with many complicated domains (containing multiple interacting factors); and simplicity (straightforward, predictable, and few factors) in most or all domains increases the likelihood of success.

METHODS

From a comprehensive search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, speechBITE, and neuroBITE, we reviewed primary implementation evidence from January 2008 to June 2020. For web-based psychosocial interventions delivered via standard desktop computer, mobile phone, tablet, television, and virtual reality devices to adults with ABI or their formal or informal caregivers, we extracted intervention characteristics, stakeholder involvement, implementation scope and outcomes, study design and quality, and implementation data. Implementation data were both narratively synthesized and descriptively quantified across all 7 domains (condition, technology, value proposition, adopters, organization, wider system, and their interaction over time) and all subdomains of the NASSS framework. Study quality and risk of bias were assessed using the 2018 Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool.

RESULTS

We identified 60 peer-reviewed studies from 12 countries, including 5723 adults with ABI, 1920 carers, and 50 health care staff. The findings aligned with all 3 hypotheses.

CONCLUSIONS

Although studies were of low methodological quality and insufficient number to statistically test relationships, the results appeared consistent with recommendations to reduce complexity as much as possible to facilitate implementation. Although studies excluded individuals with a range of comorbidities and sociocultural challenges, such simplification of NASSS domain 1 may have been necessary to advance intervention value propositions (domain 3). However, to create equitable digital health solutions that can be successfully implemented in real-world settings, it is recommended that developers involve people with ABI, their close others, and health care staff in addressing complexities in domains 2 to 7 from the earliest intervention design stages.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CRD42020186387; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42020186387.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

RR2-10.1177/20552076211035988.

Multimorbidity

Multimorbidity (two or more coexisting conditions in an individual) is a growing global challenge with substantial effects on individuals, carers and society. Multimorbidity occurs a decade earlier in socioeconomically deprived communities and is associated with premature death, poorer function and quality of life and increased health-care utilization. Mechanisms underlying the development of multimorbidity are complex, interrelated and multilevel, but are related to ageing and underlying biological mechanisms and broader determinants of health such as socioeconomic deprivation. Little is known about prevention of multimorbidity, but focusing on psychosocial and behavioural factors, particularly population level interventions and structural changes, is likely to be beneficial. Most clinical practice guidelines and health-care training and delivery focus on single diseases, leading to care that is sometimes inadequate and potentially harmful. Multimorbidity requires person-centred care, prioritizing what matters most to the individual and the individual's carers, ensuring care that is effectively coordinated and minimally disruptive, and aligns with the patient's values. Interventions are likely to be complex and multifaceted. Although an increasing number of studies have examined multimorbidity interventions, there is still limited evidence to support any approach. Greater investment in multimorbidity research and training along with reconfiguration of health care supporting the management of multimorbidity is urgently needed.

A Desirability of Outcome Ranking Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial Comparing Seven Versus Fourteen Days of Antibiotics for Uncomplicated Gram-Negative Bloodstream Infection

Background

Although a short course (7 days) of antibiotics has been demonstrated to be noninferior to a conventional course (14 days) in terms of mortality and infectious complications for patients with a Gram-negative bacterial bloodstream infection (GNB), it is unknown whether a shorter treatment duration can provide a better overall clinical outcome.

Methods

We applied a bloodstream infection-specific desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) analysis to the results of a previously completed, randomized controlled trial comparing short versus conventional course antibiotic therapy for hospitalized patients with uncomplicated GNB. We determined the probability that a randomly selected participant in the short course group would have a more desirable overall outcome than a participant in the conventional duration group. We performed (1) partial credit analyses allowing for calculated and variable weighting of DOOR ranks and (2) subgroup analyses to elucidate which patients may benefit the most from short durations of therapy.

Results

For the 604 patients included in the original study (306 short course, 298 conventional course), the probability of having a more desirable outcome with a short course of antibiotics compared with a conventional course was 51.1% (95% confidence interval, 46.7% to 55.4%), indicating no significant difference. Partial credit analyses indicated that the DOOR results were similar across different patient preferences. Prespecified subgroup analyses using DOOR did not reveal significant differences between short and conventional courses of therapy.

Conclusions

Both short and conventional durations of antibiotic therapy provide comparable clinical outcomes when using DOOR to consider benefits and risks of treatment options for GNB.

Pragmatic Clinical Studies: An Emerging Clinical Research Discipline for Improving Evidence-Based Practice of Cardiovascular Diseases in Asia

Pragmatic clinical studies, an emerging clinical research discipline, include a wide range of studies that are largely embedded with routine clinical practice and aim to evaluate the comparative effectiveness and safety of different clinical intervention strategies. Increased availability and quality of electronic medical/health records drives the development of pragmatic clinical studies. In this review, we describe evolution of the conceptual framework of pragmatic clinical studies and share perspectives on the importance of pragmatic clinical studies in evidence-based practice for cardiovascular diseases, as a complement to conventional randomized controlled trials. We also highlight specific needs of pragmatic clinical studies in improving evidence-based practice for cardiovascular disease in Asian countries. The main challenges of pragmatic clinical studies are discussed briefly in this review.

Does weight management research for adults with severe obesity represent them? Analysis of systematic review data

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to determine the extent to which current evidence from long-term randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of weight management is generalisable and applicable to underserved adult groups with obesity (body mass index (BMI) ≥35 kg/m²).

METHODS

Descriptive analysis of 131 RCTs, published after 1990-May 2017 with ≥1 year of follow-up, included in a systematic review of long-term weight management interventions for adults with BMI ≥35 kg/m² (the REBALANCE Project). Studies were identified from MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychINFO, SCI, CENTRAL and from hand searching. Reporting of trial inclusion and exclusion criteria, trial recruitment strategies, baseline characteristics and outcomes were analysed using a predefined list of characteristics informed by the PROGRESS (Place of residence, Race/ethnicity/culture/language, Occupation, Gender/sex, Religion, Education, Socioeconomic status, Social capital)-Plus framework and the UK Equality Act 2010.

RESULTS

Few (6.1%) trials reported adapting recruitment to appeal to underserved groups. 10.0% reported culturally adapting their trial materials. Only 6.1% of trials gave any justification for their exclusion criteria, yet over half excluded participation for age or mental health reasons. Just over half (58%) of the trials reported participants' race or ethnicity, and one-fifth reported socioeconomic status. Where outcomes were reported for underserved groups, the most common analysis was by sex (47.3%), followed by race or ethnicity (16.8%). 3.1% of trials reported outcomes according to socioeconomic status.

DISCUSSION

Although we were limited by poor trial reporting, our results indicate inadequate representation of people most at risk of obesity. Guidance for considering underserved groups may improve the appropriateness of research and inform greater engagement with health and social care services.

FUNDING

National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment Programme (project number: 15/09/04).

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42016040190.