Incidence, short-term outcome, and spatial distribution of stroke patients in Ludhiana, India

Incidence, case fatality, and functional outcome of intracerebral haemorrhage, according to age, sex, and country income level: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) accounts for approximately 28% of all strokes worldwide. ICH has a high case fatality, and only few survivors recover to independent living. Over the past decades, demographic changes, and changes in prevalence and management of risk factors may have influenced incidence. Widespread implementation of stroke units and improved care in general may have affected case fatality and outcome. We aimed to update the evidence on incidence, case fatality, and functional outcome of ICH, according to age, sex, and country income level.

Methods

We systematically searched PubMed and Embase from 2008 to April 2023 for prospective population-based studies on incidence, case fatality, or functional outcome of first-ever ICH. We excluded studies in which less than 80% of cases was confirmed with imaging or autopsy. Quality of the studies was assessed based on the used case finding methods. We used inverse variance-based random-effects meta-analyses to pool the crude incidence, case fatality at 1 month, and the percentage of patients with good functional outcome after 3, 6, or 12 months, as defined by the authors of the individual studies. Time trends were assessed using weighted linear meta-regression. Funnel plots were constructed to study publication bias. The review was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42023413314).

Findings

We identified 70 eligible studies, describing 19,470 ICH patients from 26 different countries. Of these, 62 studies reported on crude incidence, 41 on case fatality, and 10 on functional outcome. Overall crude incidence was 29.2 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI 23.3-36.4; I2 = 100%). Incidence was lower in women than in men and increased with age. Incidence was highest in lower-middle income countries, followed by high and upper-middle income countries. Case fatality at 1 month was 35.5% (95% CI 32.3-38.9; I2 = 90%). The percentage of patients with good functional outcome (mRS 0-2 in nine studies, mRS 0-3 in one) after 3-12 months was 31.2% (95% CI 24.7-38.6; I2 = 76%). We found no time trends in incidence, case fatality, or functional outcome.

Interpretation

Our results demonstrate the persistently high burden and devastating consequences of ICH, stressing the need for better preventive strategies and acute treatments.

Funding

None.

Acute Stroke in the Emergency Department: Profiles of Patients and Obstacles to Acute Intervention

AIMS

To build a demographic profile of patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with stroke, determine the proportion who successfully undergo thrombolysis and active interventions, and study their outcomes up to discharge or death in the hospital.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A sample size of 215 was calculated and patients were recruited consecutively on presentation to the ED after obtaining consent. Data was collected and they were followed up till the outcome. Data was tabulated and analyzed both as a whole and after further categorization into infarction, hemorrhagic stroke, and cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT). Mean and standard deviation were used for continuous variables and chi-square for categorical variables.

RESULTS

A total of 216 patients were recruited, 156 (72%) male and 60 (28%) female. There were 135 (63%) ischemic strokes, 67 (31%) hemorrhagic, and 14 (6%) CVT. The mean age was 56.57 years (SD 14.22 years). A total of 12 patients (5.5%) presented within the 'golden hour' and 28 ischemic strokes presented within the thrombolysis window, of which nine were thrombolyzed. In total, 39 patients were intubated in the ED, of which 10 (7.41%) had ischemic strokes, 27 (40.3%) had hemorrhagic strokes and two (14.29%) had CVTs. There were 192 patients admitted to in-patient care, while 24 (11%) were discharged against medical advice. A further 14 patients were intubated during admission. Nine patients (13.43%) with hemorrhagic strokes underwent surgical decompression, five (7.46%) had an external ventricular drain (EVD) placed, six (8.96%) underwent aneurysm clipping, and two (2.99%) underwent aneurysm coiling. One case of CVT underwent surgical decompression.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke is a highly heterogeneous clinical entity with nuanced differences between the different subtypes. There appear to be significant obstacles regarding the early presentation of strokes to hospitals and the initiation of thrombolysis in the case of acute interventions.

Physical Activity, Mental Activity, and Risk of Incident Stroke: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Cumulative evidence suggests a correlation between physical or mental activity and the risk of stroke. However, the combined impact of these activities on stroke onset remains unexplored. This study identified physical and mental activity patterns using principal component analysis and investigated their associations with risk of incident stroke in the general population.

METHODS

Our study was sourced from the UK Biobank cohort between 2006 and 2010. Information on physical and mental-related activities were obtained through a touch-screen questionnaire. The incident stroke was diagnosed by physicians and subsequently verified through linkage to Hospital Episode Statistics. Principal component analysis was used to identify potential physical and mental activity patterns. Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of incident stroke, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The initial UK Biobank cohort originally consisted of 502 411 individuals, of whom a total of 386 902 participants (aged 38-79 years) without any history of stroke at baseline were included in our study. During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 6983 (1.8%) cases of stroke were documented. The mean age of the included participants was 55.9 years, and the proportion of women was 55.1%. We found that multiple individual items related to physical and mental activity showed significant associations with risk of stroke. We identified 4 patterns of physical activity and 3 patterns of mental activity using principal component analysis. The adherence to activity patterns of vigorous exercise, housework, and walking predominant patterns were associated with a lower risk of stroke by 17% (HR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.78-0.89]; 20% (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.75-0.85]; and 20% (HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.75-0.86), respectively. Additionally, the transportation predominant pattern (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.28-1.45) and watching TV pattern (HR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.33-1.53) were found to be significantly associated with a higher risk of stroke. These associations remained consistent across all subtypes of stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Activity patterns mainly related to frequent vigorous exercise, housework, and walking were associated with lower risks of stroke and all its subtypes. Our findings provide new insights for promoting suitable patterns of physical and mental activity for primary prevention of stroke.

Stroke incidence, mortality, subtypes in rural and urban populations in five geographic areas of India (2018-2019): results from the National Stroke Registry Programme

Background

Increasing stroke burden in India demands a long-term stroke surveillance framework. Earlier studies in India were urban-based, short term and provided limited data on stroke incidence and its outcomes. This gap is addressed by the establishment of five population-based stroke registries (PBSRs) of the National Stroke Registry Programme, India. This paper describes stroke incidence, mortality and age, sex, and subtypes distribution in the five PBSRs with urban and rural populations.

Methods

First-ever incident stroke patients in age group ≥18 years, resident for at least one year in the defined geographic area, identified from health facilities were registered. Death records with stroke as the cause of death from the Civil Registration System (CRS) were included. Transient ischemic attack (TIA) was excluded. Three PBSRs (Cuttack, Tirunelveli, Cachar) included urban and rural populations. PBSRs in Kota and Varanasi were urban areas. The crude and age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) by age, sex, and residence (urban and rural), rate ratios of ASR, case fatality proportions and rates at day 28 after onset of stroke were calculated for years 2018-2019.

Findings

A total of 13,820 registered first-ever stroke cases that included 985 death certificate-only cases (DCOs) were analysed. The pooled crude incidence rate was 138.1 per 100,000 population with an age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of 103.4 (both sexes), 125.7 (males) and 80.8 (females). The risk of stroke among rural residents was one in seven (Cuttack), one in nine (Tirunelveli), and one in 15 (Cachar). Ischemic stroke was the most common type in all PBSRs. Age-standardized case fatality rates (ASCFR) per 100,000 population for pooled PBSRs was 30.0 (males) and 18.8 (females), and the rate ratio (M/F) ranged from 1.2 (Cuttack) to 2.0 (Cachar).

Interpretation

Population-based registries have provided a comprehensive stroke surveillance platform to measure stroke burden and outcomes by age, sex, residence and subtype across India. The rural-urban pattern of stroke incidence and mortality shall guide health policy and programme planning to strengthen stroke prevention and treatment measures in India.

Funding

The National Stroke Registry Programme is funded through the intramural funding of the Indian Council of Medical Research, Department of Health Research, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, India.

Prevalence, contributing factors, and economic implications of strokes among older adults: a study of North-East India

Stroke is a significant cause of mortality and disability in India, with its economic impact on the rise. This study aims to investigate the prevalence and factors associated with stroke among the elderly population in seven north-eastern states of India and its economic consequences. Data from the initial phase of the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (2017-2018) were utilized, and bivariate and multivariate analyses were done. Stroke prevalence (1.53%) was notable among both genders, with approximately 1% in females and 2.3% in males. Individuals with low physical activity, higher socio-economic status, and unemployment faced a higher risk of stroke. Females exhibited a 60% lower likelihood [AOR 0.40; (CI 0.250-0.627)] of stroke compared to males and hypertension was a significant risk factor. Stroke patients incur up to INR 50,000 of financial burden, with a considerable proportion facing disability in comprehension and speech. The economic burden of stroke-related hospitalization was significantly high, emphasizing the need for government-funded health insurance to cover stroke-related medications and reducing out-of-pocket expenses for patients seeking treatment in healthcare facilities. The study highlights the urgency for better schemes to address the growing threat of strokes in the north-eastern parts of India for comprehensively tackling this public health challenge.

Surveillance of stroke: a South-East Asia Region (SEAR) perspective

Surveillance of stroke is critical to track its burden and assess progress in prevention and treatment. We reviewed the literature to evaluate stroke surveillance efforts in the South-East Asia Region (SEAR) countries, identify progress and assess gaps. Epidemiological data on all the major parameters such as the incidence, prevalence and mortality of stroke were available for India and Thailand but for none of the other SEAR countries. Most of the epidemiological data came from investigator-initiated studies. National stroke surveillance was present only in India in the form of a National Stroke Registry Programme and Thailand has a national database that was used to obtain epidemiological data for stroke. Research on novel methods for stroke registration, such as using information technology, was absent. This review identified serious gaps in the monitoring and surveillance of stroke in SEAR countries. Systematic efforts are needed to fill those gaps.

Incidence and outcomes for stroke in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, during 2019-21: a prospective population-based study

BACKGROUND

In the absence of reliable data to quantify the burden of stroke, we aimed to determine the incidence and outcome of stroke through the conduct of a prospective population-based study in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, during 2019-21.

METHODS

All cases of stroke were identified through surveillance of multiple overlapping sources of hospitalised, ambulatory, and deceased individuals, using standardised diagnostic criteria in adult (aged ≥16 years) residents of the six urban districts of Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia (population person-years, N=1 896 965) between Jan 1, 2019, and Dec 31, 2020. Data on sociodemography, medical history, and management were collected. Crude and standardised incidence were calculated for first-ever stroke and its major pathological subtypes, and reported with 95% CIs. Outcomes were 28-day case fatality ratios and functional recovery on the modified Rankin scale at 90 days and 1 year.

FINDINGS

3803 strokes in 3738 patients were identified, of which 2962 were first-ever incident cases (mean age 59 years [SD 13], 1161 [39·2%] females). Annual incidence of first-ever stroke (per 100 000) was 156·1 (95% CI 150·5-161·8) on a crude basis, 171·6 (157·5-185·6) when age-adjusted to the Mongolian population, and 140·3 (136·7-143·9) when age-adjusted to the world population. World-adjusted incidence of pathological subtypes were 66·6 (95% CI 64·8-68·3) for ischaemic stroke, 54·5 (53·0-56·1) for intracerebral haemorrhage, and 18·7 (18·3-19·1) for subarachnoid haemorrhage. Men were twice as likely to suffer ischaemic stroke and intracerebral haemorrhage as women, but the risks were similar for subarachnoid haemorrhage; these patterns were consistent across age-groups. The predominant risk factors were hypertension seen in 1363 (63·1%) of 2161, smoking in 596 (26·8%) of 2220, regular alcohol consumption in 533 (24·0%) of 2220, obesity in 342 (16·1%) of 2125, and diabetes in 282 (12·7%) of 2220. There was little use (0·9%) of thrombolysis for acute ischaemic stroke, partly due to delays in presentation after the onset of symptoms (median 16·0 h [IQR 3·0-48·0]). The 28-day case-fatality rate was 36·1% (95% CI 34·3-37·9) overall, and 14·8% (12·8-16·7) for ischaemic stroke, 52·9% (49·9-55·8) for intracerebral haemorrhage, and 54·3% (49·4-59·1) for subarachnoid haemorrhage. Corresponding figures for poor functional outcome at 1-year, defined by scores of 3-6 for death or dependency on the mRS, were 61·6% (95% CI 59·8-63·4), 47·5% (44·7-50·3), 77·0% (74·5-79·5), and 61·8% (57·0-66·5), respectively.

INTERPRETATION

The urban population of Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, has a high incidence of stroke, particularly for intracerebral haemorrhage and subarachnoid haemorrhage, from which half of patients die within 1 month and more than two-thirds are either dead or dependent at 90 days. Although the overall incidence of stroke is similar to other countries, it occurs at a mean age of 60 years, which is at least 10 years younger than in high-income countries. These epidemiological data can inform the implementation of future programmes and scale-up activities for the primary and secondary prevention of stroke, and in the organisation of systems of care.

FUNDING

Science and Technology Foundation of the Ministry of Education, Culture, and Science of Mongolia and The George Institute for Global Health.

A Review of Rehabilitation Benefits of Exercise Training Combined with Nutrition Supplement for Improving Protein Synthesis and Skeletal Muscle Strength in Patients with Cerebral Stroke

Cerebral vascular accident (CVA) is one of the main causes of chronic disability, and it affects the function of daily life, so it is increasingly important to actively rehabilitate patients' physical functions. The research confirmed that the nutrition supplement strategy is helpful to improve the effect of sports rehabilitation adaptation and sports performance. The patients with chronic strokes (whose strokes occur for more than 6 months) have special nutritional needs while actively carrying out rehabilitation exercises, but there are still few studies to discuss at present. Therefore, this paper will take exercise rehabilitation to promote muscle strength and improve muscle protein synthesis as the main axis and, through integrating existing scientific evidence, discuss the special needs of chronic stroke patients in rehabilitation exercise intervention and nutrition supplement one by one. At the same time, we further evaluated the physiological mechanism of nutrition intervention to promote training adaptation and compared the effects of various nutrition supplement strategies on stroke rehabilitation. Literature review pointed out that immediately supplementing protein nutrition (such as whey protein or soybean protein) after resistance exercise or endurance exercise can promote the efficiency of muscle protein synthesis and produce additive benefits, thereby improving the quality of muscle tissue. Recent animal research results show that probiotics can prevent the risk factors of neural function degradation and promote the benefits of sports rehabilitation. At the same time, natural polyphenols (such as catechin or resveratrol) or vitamins can also reduce the oxidative stress injury caused by animal stroke and promote the proliferation of neural tissue. In view of the fact that animal research results still make up the majority of issues related to the role of nutrition supplements in promoting nerve repair and protection, and the true benefits still need to be confirmed by subsequent human studies. This paper suggests that the future research direction should be the supplement of natural antioxidants, probiotics, compound nutritional supplements, and integrated human clinical research.

Incidence and Long-Term Survival of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage Over Time: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose

Recent epidemiological data indicate that the absolute number of hemorrhagic stroke cases increased by 47% between 1990 and 2010 and continued to cause high rates of death and disability. The last systematic review and meta-analysis of incidence and long-term survival of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) were published 11 and 7 years ago, respectively, and lacked comparison between different income groups, therefore, a more up to date analysis is needed. We aim to investigate the ICH incidence and long-term survival data in countries of different income groups.

Materials Methods

We systematically searched Ovid Medline for population-based longitudinal studies of first-ever spontaneous ICH published from January 2000 to December 2020. We performed meta-analyses on the incidence and survival rate in countries of 4 different income groups with random-effects models (severe inconsistency). The I² was used to measure the heterogeneity. Heterogeneity was further investigated by conducting the meta-regression on the study mid-year. Time trends of the survival rate were assessed by weighted linear regression.

Results

We identified 84 eligible papers, including 68 publications reporting incidence and 24 publications on the survival rate. The pooled incidence of ICH per 100,000 per person-years was 26.47 (95% CI: 21.84–32.07) worldwide, 25.9 (95% CI: 22.63–29.63) in high-income countries (HIC), 28.45 (95% CI: 15.90–50.88) in upper-middle-income countries, and 31.73 (95% CI: 18.41–54.7) in lower-middle-income countries. The 1-year pooled survival rate was from 50% (95% CI: 47–54%; n = 4,380) worldwide to 50% (95% CI: 47–54%) in HIC, and 46% (95% CI: 38–55%) in upper-middle income countries. The 5-year pooled survival rate was 41% (95% CI: 35–48%; n = 864) worldwide, 41% (95% CI: 32–50%) in high-income and upper-middle countries. No publications were found reporting the long-term survival in lower-middle-income and low-income countries. No time trends in incidence or survival were found by meta-regression.

Conclusion

The pooled ICH incidence was highest in lower-middle-income countries. About half of ICH patients survived 1 year, and about two-fifths survived 5 years. Reliable population-based studies estimating the ICH incidence and long-term survival in low-income and low-middle-income countries are needed to help prevention of ICH.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=170140, PROSPERO CRD42020170140.

Stroke in India: A systematic review of the incidence, prevalence, and case fatality

BACKGROUND

The burden of stroke is increasing in India; stroke is now the fourth leading cause of death and the fifth leading cause of disability. Previous research suggests that the incidence of stroke in India ranges between 105 and 152/100,000 people per year. However, there is a paucity of available data and a lack of uniform methods across published studies.

AIM

To identify high-quality prospective studies reporting the epidemiology of stroke in India.

SUMMARY OF REVIEW

A search strategy was modified from the Cochrane Stroke Strategy and adapted for a range of bibliographic databases from January 1997 to August 2020. From 7717 identified records, nine studies were selected for inclusion; three population-based registries, a further three population-based registries also using community-based ascertainment and three community-based door-to-door surveys. Studies represented the four cities of Mumbai, Trivandrum, Ludhiana, Kolkata, the state of Punjab, and 12 villages of Baruipur in the state of West Bengal. The total population denominator was 22,479,509 and 11,654 (mean 1294 SD 1710) people were identified with incident stroke. Crude incidence of stroke ranged from 108 to 172/100,000 people per year, crude prevalence from 26 to 757/100,000 people per year, and one-month case fatality rates from 18% to 42%.

CONCLUSIONS

Further high-quality evidence is needed across India to guide stroke policy and inform the development and organization of stroke services. Future researchers should consider the World Health Organization STEPwise approach to Surveillance framework, including longitudinal data collection, the inclusion of census population data, and a combination of hospital-registry and comprehensive community ascertainment strategies to ensure complete stroke identification.

Epidemiology of young stroke in the ludhiana population-based stroke registry

Objective:

The objective of the study was to determine incidence, risk factors, and short-term outcomes of young stroke in Ludhiana city, Northwest India.

Methods:

Data were collected on first-ever stroke in patients of age ≥18 years, from hospitals, diagnostic imaging centers, general practitioners, and municipal corporation during March 2011–March 2013 in Ludhiana city, using the World Health Organization Stepwise Approach to Surveillance (WHO STEPS). Outcome was documented using the modified Rankin Scale at 28 days.

Results:

Of 2948 patients, 700 (24%) were in the age group 18–49 years. Annual incidence in this age group was 46/100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 41–51/100,000). Hypertension (84%), diabetes mellitus (48%), and atrial fibrillation (AF) (12%) were found more common in >49 years age group, as compared with 18–49 years age group. Drug abuse (8.7% vs. 6% in age >49 years; P = 0.04) and tobacco intake (8.7% vs. 5.6% in age >49 years; P = 0.02) was more common in young people, that is, 18–49 years age group in comparison to older patients, >49 years age group. Recovery was better in younger subjects (60% vs. 46% in age >49 years P < 0.001). In a multivariable analysis, younger people were more often literate (odds ratio [OR] 2.52; 95% CI, 1.68–3.77; P < 0.001), employed (OR 3.92; 95% CI, 2.20–5.21; P < 0.001), and 374 (60%) had good clinical outcome, modified Rankin Scale <2 at 28 days follow-up as compared with 938 (46%) older patients (OR 1.52; 95% CI, 1.15–2.00; P = 0.003).

Conclusion:

Hypertension, diabetes mellitus, drug addiction, and tobacco intake were significantly associated with young stroke. Outcome was also better in younger people.

Global Epidemiology of Stroke and Access to Acute Ischemic Stroke Interventions

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

To provide an up-to-date review of the incidence of stroke and large vessel occlusion (LVO) around the globe, as well as the eligibility and access to IV thrombolysis (IVT) and mechanical thrombectomy (MT) worldwide.

RECENT FINDINGS

Randomized clinical trials have established MT with or without IVT as the usual care for patients with LVO stroke for up to 24 hours from symptom onset. Eligibility for IVT has extended beyond 4.5 hours based on permissible imaging criteria. With these advances in the last 5 years, there has been a notable increase in the population of patients eligible for acute stroke interventions. However, access to acute stroke care and utilization of MT or IVT is lagging in these patients.

SUMMARY

Stroke is the second leading cause of both disability and death worldwide, with the highest burden of the disease shared by low- and middle-income countries. In 2016, there were 13.7 million new incident strokes globally; ≈87% of these were ischemic strokes and by conservative estimation about 10%-20% of these account for LVO. Fewer than 5% of patients with acute ischemic stroke received IVT globally in the eligible therapeutic time window and fewer than 100,000 MTs were performed worldwide in 2016. This highlights the large gap among eligible patients and the low utilization rates of these advances across the globe. Multiple global initiatives are underway to investigate interventions to improve systems of care and bridge this gap.

Transient Ischemic Attack (TIA) Incidence with Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Mapping for Stroke Prevention Interventions

Objectives:

GIS mapping as a public health tool has been increasingly applied to chronic disease control. While evaluating TIA incidence from an existing regional stroke registry in Ludhiana city, India, we aim to apply the innovative concept of regional TIA GIS mapping for planning targeted stroke prevention interventions.

Methods:

TIA patient data was obtained from hospitals, scan centers and general practitioners from March 2010 to March 2013 using WHO-Stroke STEPS based surveillance as part of establishing a population-based stroke registry in Ludhiana city. From this registry, patients with TIA (diagnosed by MRI image-based stroke rule-out, or clinically) were chosen and data analyzed.

Results:

A total of 138 TIA patients were included in the final analysis. The annual TIA incidence rate for Ludhiana city was 7.13/100,000 (95% confidence interval: 5.52 to 8.74) for 2012-2013. Mean age was 58.5 ± 13.9 years (range: 22-88 years) and 87 (63%) were men. Majority of the TIA cases had anterior circulation TIAs. Hypertension (87.4%) was the most common risk factor. Using Geographic Information System (GIS) mapping, high TIA incidence was seen in central, western, and southern parts and clustering of TIA cumulative incidence was seen in the central part of Ludhiana city.

Conclusion:

Incidence rate of TIA was lower than that expected from a low- and middle-income country (LMIC). TIA GIS mapping, looking at regional localization, can be a novel option for developing targeted, cost-effective stroke prevention programs.

A prospective population-based study of stroke in the Central Region of Iran: The Qom Incidence of Stroke Study

OBJECTIVE

Based on the few population-based studies that have been conducted in the Middle East, we determined the incidence of stroke in Qom, one of the central provinces of Iran.

METHODS

The Qom province includes an estimated at-risk population of about 1 million. During a 12-month period (November 2018-November 2019), all first-ever strokes occurring in the target population were registered. Hospitalized cases were ascertained by discharge codes. Out-of-hospital cases were ascertained by a prospective screening of emergency medical services, emergency departments, ambulances records, primary care clinics, rural and urban public health centers, primary care physician offices, and neurologists' offices. Crude and age-adjusted incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) were calculated.

RESULTS

During the study period, 1462 first-ever strokes occurred with a mean age of 68.1 (17-103) years; of these 45.2% were females (661 cases). The crude annual incidence rate per 100,000 at-risk populations was 145.4 (95% confidence interval, 138.1-153.0) for all types of stroke (156.5 for males and 134.3 for females), 26.4 (95% confidence interval, 23.5-29.8) for hemorrhagic stroke, and 114 (95% confidence interval, 105-121) for ischemic stroke. The incidence rate adjusted to the world population was 201.4 (95% confidence interval, 193-210) per 100,000 at-risk populations (adj incidence, 218.5 for males vs 187.4 for females). The total fatality rate during the first 28 days was 19.6%.

CONCLUSION

This study states that in this region there is a high incidence of stroke, which occurs at a younger age than the global average. There was a high prevalence of underlying stroke risk factors.

INSTRuCT: Protocol, Infrastructure, and Governance

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Very few large scale multicentric stroke clinical trials have been done in India. The Indian Council of Medical Research funded INSTRuCT (Indian Stroke Clinical Trial Network) as a task force project with the objectives to establish a state-of-the-art stroke clinical trial network and to conduct pharmacological and nonpharmacological stroke clinical trials relevant to the nation and globally. The purpose of the article is to enumerate the structure of multicentric stroke network, with emphasis on its scope, challenges and expectations in India.

METHODS

Multiple expert group meetings were conducted by Indian Council of Medical Research to understand the scope of network to perform stroke clinical trials in the country. Established stroke centers with annual volume of 200 patients with stroke with prior experience of conducting clinical trials were included. Central coordinating center, standard operating procedures, data and safety monitoring board were formed.

DISCUSSION

In first phase, 2 trials were initiated namely, SPRINT (Secondary Prevention by Structured Semi-Interactive Stroke Prevention Package in India) and Ayurveda treatment in the rehabilitation of patients with ischemic stroke in India (RESTORE [Rehabilitation of Ischemic stroke Patients in India: A Randomized controlled trial]). In second phase, 4 trials have been approved. SPRINT trial was the first to be initiated. SPRINT trial randomized first patient on April 28, 2018; recruited 3048 patients with an average of 128.5 per month so far. The first follow-up was completed on May 27, 2019. RESTORE trial randomized first patient on May 22, 2019; recruited 49 patients with an average of 3.7 per month so far. The first follow-up was completed on August 30, 2019.

CONCLUSIONS

In next 5 years, INSTRuCT will be able to complete high-quality large scale stroke trials which are relevant globally.

REGISTRATION

URL: http://www.ctri.nic.in/; Unique Identifier: CTRI/2017/05/008507.

Rural Stroke Surveillance and Establishment of Acute Stroke Care Pathway Using Frontline Health Workers in Rural Northwest India: The Ludhiana Experience

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The role of community health workers (CHWs) in stroke surveillance and in establishing the stroke care pathway has not been studied. The aim of the study was to evaluate the feasibility of using CHWs in the public health system to identify stroke patients for population-based stroke registration and to study the establishment of acute stroke care pathway in rural areas of Ludhiana, Punjab, Northwest India.

METHODS

Two rural blocks in Ludhiana district, comprising 164 villages and a population of 259,778, were selected. Phase-1 (feasibility study) was from August to November 2016 and phase-2 from December 2016 to November 2018. All first-ever stroke cases in adults (aged ≥18 years) were included. The accredited social health activists (ASHAs) were trained to identify stroke patients in the community, who were later evaluated by a neurologist. Stroke characteristics were recorded, and the outcome was assessed at 6 months using modified Rankin scale (0-2, good outcome).

FINDINGS

During phase-2, 359 first-ever stroke patients and 102 stroke mimics were identified. The age-standardized incidence rate was 218.5/100,000 and 197∙6/100,000 for each year. Half (52.4%) of the patients reached health-care facilities within 4.5 h, yet none of them received thrombolysis. Very few patients (1.9%) utilized free government 108 ambulance service to reach a health-care facility. Out of 359 stroke cases, the majority (306, 85.23%) were reported by ASHAs and 14.77% were reported by other sources. Brain imaging was available in 127 (35.4%) patients, and 100 (78.7%) had ischemic stroke. The most common risk factor was hypertension (320, 89%) and drug abuse (154, 42.9%). At 6 months, 168 (64%) patients had a good outcome.

CONCLUSION

ASHAs were able to identify stroke patients in the villages. Despite high numbers of patients reaching health-care facilities within a window period, the hospitals were unable to provide acute stroke treatment like thrombolysis. The health-care system needs to be strengthened to improve stroke care.

National Stroke Registry Programme in India for Surveillance and Research: Design and Methodology

The burden of stroke is increasing, and India lacks comparable long-term data on stroke incidence and mortality. Disease surveillance using a registry model can provide long-term data on stroke for linking with public health interventions in stroke prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation. The objectives of the National Stroke Registry Programme (NSRP), India, are to generate reliable data on the incidence of first-ever stroke events in defined populations through a population-based stroke registry (PBSR) and to describe the patterns of care and outcomes of patients with stroke in different treatment settings through a hospital-based stroke registry (HBSR). Continuous systematic collection on a standardized format of diagnostic, treatment, and outcome information on stroke events in persons of defined population (PBSR) and those who attend hospitals (HBSR) is conducted through active data abstraction from review of records from all health facilities and imaging centres that cater to stroke patients. Data are ICD coded, verified, and completed by obtaining survival status of registered patients. IT tools are used for data collection,management and analysis. The NSRP shall establish a standardized stroke surveillance system that would reliably measure stroke incidence, subtypes, treatment patterns, complications, disability, case fatality, and survival. This evidence shall inform health planning of stroke interventions and control activities. It would facilitate improvement in stroke services to improve quality of care and outcomes of stroke. A thrust for research on stroke would be encouraged based on evidence-based hypothesis generation.

Global Stroke Statistics 2019

BACKGROUND

Data on stroke epidemiology and availability of hospital-based stroke services around the world are important for guiding policy decisions and healthcare planning.

AIMS

To provide the most current incidence, mortality and case-fatality data on stroke and describe current availability of stroke units around the world by country.

METHODS

We searched multiple databases (based on our existing search strategy) to identify new original manuscripts and review articles published between 1 June 2016 and 31 October 2018 that met the ideal criteria for data on stroke incidence and case-fatality. For data on the availability of hospital-based stroke services, we searched PubMed for all literature published up until 31 June 2018. We further screened reference lists, citation history of manuscripts and gray literature for this information. Mortality codes for International Classification of Diseases-9 and International Classification of Diseases-10 were extracted from the World Health Organization mortality database for each country providing these data. Population denominators were obtained from the World Health Organization, and when these were unavailable within a two-year period of mortality data, population denominators within a two-year period were obtained from the United Nations. Using country-specific population denominators and the most recent years of mortality data available for each country, we calculated both the crude mortality from stroke and mortality adjusted to the World Health Organization world population.

RESULTS

Since our last report in 2017, there were two countries with new incidence studies, China (n = 1) and India (n = 2) that met the ideal criteria. New data on case-fatality were found for Estonia and India. The most current mortality data were available for the year 2015 (39 countries), 2016 (43 countries), and 2017 (7 countries). No new data on mortality were available for six countries. Availability of stroke units was noted for 63 countries, and the proportion of patients treated in stroke units was reported for 35/63 countries.

CONCLUSION

Up-to-date data on stroke incidence, case-fatality, and mortality statistics provide evidence of variation among countries and changing magnitudes of burden among high and low-middle income countries. Reporting of hospital-based stroke units remains limited and should be encouraged.

Direct estimates of disability-adjusted life years lost due to stroke : a cross-sectional observational study in a demographic surveillance site in rural Gadchiroli, India

OBJECTIVE

To directly estimate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost due to stroke in rural Gadchiroli, India and measure the contribution of mortality and disability to total DALYs lost.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional descriptive study using population census, vital registration and stroke prevalence data.

SETTING

A demographic surveillance site of 86 villages in Gadchiroli, a rural district in Maharashtra, India.

PARTICIPANTS

Population counts and mortality information were drawn from a census and vital registration system covering a population of approximately 94 154 individuals; stroke prevalence information was based on a door-to-door evaluation of all 45 053 individuals from 39 of the 86 villages in the surveillance site.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD) and DALYs lost due to stroke.

RESULTS

There were 229 stroke deaths among the total population of 94 154 individuals and 175 stroke survivors among the subpopulation of 45 053 individuals. An estimated 2984 DALYs were lost due to stroke per 100 000 person-years with a higher burden among men compared with women (3142 vs 2821 DALYs). Over three-fourths (80%) of the total DALYs lost due to stroke were between ages 30 and 70 years. YLL accounted for 98.9% of total DALYs lost.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a high burden of stroke in rural Gadchiroli with a significant burden at premature ages. These results reveal a substantial need for surveillance and improved preventive and curative services for stroke in rural India.

Age-and-sex stratified prevalence of atrial fibrillation in rural Western India: Results of SMART-India, a population-based screening study

BACKGROUND

Early detection of Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is a public health priority across the globe because AF-related strokes are preventable. Despite an ongoing stroke epidemic in India, a public health strategy for AF screening and treatment is missing because the epidemiology of AF in India remains poorly defined.

METHODS

This population-based study used mobile technology to derive age and sex-stratified AF prevalence by screening 7 participants in each of six age and sex strata (age 40-55, 56-65, 65+, and male and female) from 50 villages (2100 participants). A health worker from each village used a handheld digital electrocardiogram (iECG) device (Kardia) to screen for AF on 3 separate days, and administered a questionnaire. All abnormal (AF or unclassified) iECGs were reviewed by the Indian cardiologist and AF determination confirmed by a US-based cardiac electrophysiologist.

RESULTS

Of the 2100 individuals enrolled, iECGs were collected from 2074 participants (98.8%) and 1947 (92.7%) participants responded to the questionnaire. AF was identified in 33 participants (1.6%), two-thirds on the first iECG. AF prevalence was higher among males (2.3% vs 1.0%, p = 0.03) and in older people (0.6%, 0.9%, 2.1%, 5.6%; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of AF observed in our population-based sample is comparable to rates found in studies from North America and Western Europe and increases similarly with age. AF screening using village health workers in rural India is feasible and presents an opportunity for a strategy to address the stroke epidemic in India through primary prevention.

Prevention of stroke: a global perspective

Along with the rising global burden of disability attributed to stroke, costs of stroke care are rising, providing the impetus to direct our research focus towards effective measures of stroke prevention. In this Series paper, we discuss strategies for reducing the risk of the emergence of disease (primordial prevention), preventing the onset of disease (primary prevention), and preventing the recurrence of disease (secondary prevention). Our focus includes global strategies and campaigns, and measurements of the effectiveness of worldwide preventive interventions, with an emphasis on low-income and middle-income countries. Our findings reveal that effective tobacco control, adequate nutrition, and development of healthy cities are important strategies for primordial prevention, whereas polypill strategies, use of mobile technology (mHealth), along with salt reduction and other dietary interventions, are effective in the primary prevention of stroke. An effective collaboration between various health-care sectors, government policies, and campaigns can successfully implement secondary prevention strategies, through surveillance and registries, such as the WHO's non-communicable diseases programmes, across high-income and low-income countries.

Study protocol for Smartphone Monitoring for Atrial fibrillation in Real-Time in India (SMART-India): a community-based screening and referral programme

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the world's most common arrhythmia, often goes undetected and untreated in low-resource communities, including India, where AF epidemiology is undefined. AF is an important risk factor for stroke, which plagues an estimated 1.6 million Indians annually. As such, early detection of AF and management of high-risk patients is critically important to decrease stroke burden in individuals with AF. This study aims to describe the epidemiology of AF in Anand District, Gujarat, India, characterise the clinical profile of individuals who are diagnosed with AF and determine the performance of two mobile technologies for community-based AF screening.

METHODS

This observational study builds on findings from a previous feasibility study and leverages two novel technologies as well as an existing community health programme to perform door-to-door AF screening for 2000 people from 60 villages of Anand District, Gujarat, India using local health workers. A single-lead ECG and a pulse-based application is used to screen each individual for AF three times over a period of 5 days. Participants with suspected arrhythmias are followed up by study cardiologist who makes final diagnoses. Participants diagnosed with AF are initiated on treatment based on current anticoagulation guidelines and clinical reasoning.

ANALYTICAL PLAN

Age-stratified and sex-stratified prevalence of AF in the Anand District will be calculated for sample and estimated for Anand distribution using survey design weights. Sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with AF will be evaluated using multivariable regression methods. Performance of each mobile technology in detecting AF will be evaluated using a 12-lead ECG interpretation as the gold standard.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This protocol was approved separately by the Institutional Review Board of University of Massachusetts Medical School and the Human Research Ethics Committee at Charutar Arogya Mandal. The findings of this study will be disseminated through peer-reviewed journals and scientific conferences.

Ischemic Stroke Profile, Risk Factors, and Outcomes in India: The Indo-US Collaborative Stroke Project

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The Indo-US Collaborative Stroke Project was designed to characterize ischemic stroke across 5 high-volume academic tertiary hospitals in India.

METHODS

From January 2012 to August 2014, research coordinators and physician coinvestigators prospectively collected data on 2066 patients with ischemic stroke admitted <2 weeks after onset. Investigator training and supervision and data monitoring were conducted by the US site (Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston).

RESULTS

The mean age was 58.3±14.7 years, 67.2% men. The median admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was 10 (interquartile range, 5-15) and 24.5% had National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale ≥16. Hypertension (60.8%), diabetes mellitus (35.7%), and tobacco use (32.2%, including bidi/smokeless tobacco) were common risk factors. Only 4% had atrial fibrillation. All patients underwent computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging; 81% had cerebrovascular imaging. Stroke etiologic subtypes were large artery (29.9%), cardiac (24.9%), small artery (14.2%), other definite (3.4%), and undetermined (27.6%, including 6.7% with incomplete evaluation). Intravenous or intra-arterial thrombolysis was administered in 13%. In-hospital mortality was 7.9%, and 48% achieved modified Rankin Scale score 0 to 2 at 90 days. On multivariate analysis, diabetes mellitus predicted poor 3-month outcome and younger age, lower admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and small-artery etiology predicted excellent 3-month outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

These comprehensive and novel clinical imaging data will prove useful in refining stroke guidelines and advancing stroke care in India.

Family-led rehabilitation after stroke in India (ATTEND): a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Most people with stroke in India have no access to organised rehabilitation services. The effectiveness of training family members to provide stroke rehabilitation is uncertain. Our primary objective was to determine whether family-led stroke rehabilitation, initiated in hospital and continued at home, would be superior to usual care in a low-resource setting.

METHODS

The Family-led Rehabilitation after Stroke in India (ATTEND) trial was a prospectively randomised open trial with blinded endpoint done across 14 hospitals in India. Patients aged 18 years or older who had had a stroke within the past month, had residual disability and reasonable expectation of survival, and who had an informal family-nominated caregiver were randomly assigned to intervention or usual care by site coordinators using a secure web-based system with minimisation by site and stroke severity. The family members of participants in the intervention group received additional structured rehabilitation training-including information provision, joint goal setting, carer training, and task-specific training-that was started in hospital and continued at home for up to 2 months. The primary outcome was death or dependency at 6 months, defined by scores 3-6 on the modified Rankin scale (range, 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]) as assessed by masked observers. Analyses were by intention to treat. This trial is registered with Clinical Trials Registry-India (CTRI/2013/04/003557), Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12613000078752), and Universal Trial Number (U1111-1138-6707).

FINDINGS

Between Jan 13, 2014, and Feb 12, 2016, 1250 patients were randomly assigned to intervention (n=623) or control (n=627) groups. 33 patients were lost to follow-up (14 intervention, 19 control) and five patients withdrew (two intervention, three control). At 6 months, 285 (47%) of 607 patients in the intervention group and 287 (47%) of 605 controls were dead or dependent (odds ratio 0·98, 95% CI 0·78-1·23, p=0·87). 72 (12%) patients in the intervention group and 86 (14%) in the control group died (p=0·27), and we observed no difference in rehospitalisation (89 [14%]patients in the intervention group vs 82 [13%] in the control group; p=0·56). We also found no difference in total non-fatal events (112 events in 82 [13%] intervention patients vs 110 events in 79 [13%] control patients; p=0·80).

INTERPRETATION

Although task shifting is an attractive solution for health-care sustainability, our results do not support investment in new stroke rehabilitation services that shift tasks to family caregivers, unless new evidence emerges. A future avenue of research should be to investigate the effects of task shifting to health-care assistants or team-based community care.

FUNDING

The National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia.

RAHI-SATHI Indo-U.S. Collaboration: The Evolution of a Trainee-Led Twinning Model in Global Health Into a Multidisciplinary Collaborative Program

RAHI–SATHI presents an innovative twinning model of global health academic partnership, resulting in a number of successful research activities, that features trainees or students as the driving force, complemented by strategic institutional support from both sides of the partnership. Others can promote similar student-led initiatives by: (1) accepting an expanded role for trainees in global health programs, (2) creating structured research and program opportunities for trainees, (3) developing a network of faculty and trainees interested in global health, (4) sharing extramural global health funding opportunities with faculty and trainees, and (5) offering seed funding.

Background:

In recent years there has been a surge in the number of global health programs operated by academic institutions. However, most of the existing programs describe partnerships that are primarily faculty-driven and supported by extramural funding.

Program Description:

Research and Advocacy for Health in India (RAHI, or “pathfinder” in Hindi) and Support and Action Towards Health-Equity in India (SATHI, or “partnership” in Hindi) are 2 interconnected, collaborative efforts between the University of Massachusetts Medical School (UMMS) and Charutar Arogya Mandal (CAM), a medical college and a tertiary care center in rural western India. The RAHI–SATHI program is the culmination of a series of student/trainee-led research and capacity strengthening initiatives that received institutional support in the form of faculty mentorship and seed funding. RAHI–SATHI's trainee-led twinning approach overcomes traditional barriers faced by global health programs. Trainees help mitigate geographical barriers by acting as a bridge between members from different institutions, garner cultural insight through their ability to immerse themselves in a community, and overcome expertise limitations through pre-planned structured mentorship from faculty of both institutions. Trainees play a central role in cultivating trust among the team members and, in the process, they acquire personal leadership skills that may benefit them in their future careers.

Conclusion:

This paradigm of trainee-led twinning partnership promotes sustainability in an uncertain funding climate and provides a roadmap for conducting foundational work that is essential for the development of a broad, university-wide global health program.

Quality Indicators of Intravenous Thrombolysis from North India

Background:

Data on intravenous (IV) thrombolysis using tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) are limited from low- and middle-income countries. We aimed to assess the quality indicators of IV thrombolysis in our stroke unit.

Methods:

All stroke patients admitted in our hospital from October 2008 to April 2017 were included in this study. Data were collected prospectively by trained research staff in a detailed case record form. Outcome was assessed using modified Rankin Scale (mRS, 0–1 good outcome).

Results:

Of the total 4720 stroke patients seen, 944 (20%) came within window period (<4.5 h). Of these, 214 (4.5%) were eligible for thrombolysis and 170 (3.6%) were thrombolysed, relatives of 23 (23/214, 10.7%) patients denied consent, and 21 (9.8%) patients could not afford tPA. The mean age of thrombolysed patients was 58.4 (range 19–95) years. Median NIHSS at admission was 12 (interquartile range 2–24). Average onset-to-door (O-D) time was 76.8 (5–219) min, door-to-examination (D-E) time was 17.8 (5–105) min, door-to-CT (D-CT) time was 48 (1–205) min, and door-to-needle (D-N) time was 90 (20–285) min. At 6 months, 110 (64.7%) patients were contactable and 82 (74.5%) patients had good outcome (mRS 0–1).

Conclusion:

Thrombolysis rate has steadily increased at the center without undue adverse effects even in the elderly. D-E and D-CT times have reduced, but O-D and D-N times need further improvement. More patients could be thrombolysed if the cost of tPA is reduced and the consent process is waived.

Ethnic variation in acute cerebrovascular disease: Analysis from the Qatar stroke registry

Objective

We analysed the Qatar stroke registry for ethnic variations in patients admitted with cerebrovascular disease at Hamad General Hospital, Qatar.

Methods

Patients admitted with acute stroke from January 2014 to December 2015, enrolled in the registry were included in the study. We evaluated the clinical presentation, risk factors, and outcome at discharge and 90 days post-discharge in relation to the patient's ethnic background.

Results

A total of 1727 patients were enrolled in the Hamad General Hospital stroke registry (Middle Eastern 594 (34.4%), South East Asian 924 (53.5%) and Far Eastern 209 (12.1%)). There were significant differences in risk factors, clinical presentation and prognosis. Compared to Middle Eastern patients, Far Eastern patients were younger (62.8 ± 13.7 vs. 48.9 ± 9.1 years; p < 0.001). Diabetes and hypertension were significantly more common in Middle Eastern patients (358 (60.3%), 458 (77.1%)) compared to South East Asian patients (420 (45.5%), 596 (64.5%)) and Far Eastern patients (57 (27.3%), 154 (73.7%)), respectively (p < 0.001). Stroke was more severe in the Far Eastern group (median (interquartile range) - 5.0 (2-11.5)) compared to the Middle Eastern group (median (interquartile range) - 4.0 (1-8)) and South East Asian (median (interquartile range) - 4.0 (2-9)), p = 0.011. Mortality at 90 days was highest in patients from the Far East (15/209 (8.2%)) compared to the Middle East (35/594 (6.5%)) and South East Asia (33/924 (4.0)), p = 0.028. Patients from the Far East had significantly higher rates of intracranial hemorrhage compared to the Middle East and South East Asia (70/209 (33.5%), 77/594 (13.0%), and 169/924 (18.3%)), respectively (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The early age at presentation and the poor control of risk factors, especially in patients from South East Asia and the Far East requires attention.